LCCC NEWS BULLETIN
APRIL 26/2006
Below news from
the Daily Star for 26/04/06
Solidere, Hariri family face
fresh criticism
Brammertz holds first meeting with Assad
Spats loom over next round of Lebanese talks
Workshop trumpets dialogue's state-shaping potential
Security Council mulls tough stance on 1559
Is freedom enough? For some, maybe not
'Good riddance:' Uneasy former neighbors recall
chilling tales of torture
Nation takes stock of storm wreckage
A country that reads is a country that lives
Lebanon's competitive
political process needs a referee
Better mainstream Islamists
than Al-Qaeda.By
Rami G. Khouri
Below news from
miscellaneous sources for 26/04/06
UN team interviews Assad over Hariri killing-Swissinfo
Al-Qaeda jihad vs US 'long war'-BBC News - UK
Syria to admit nearly 200 Palestinians stranded on the Iraq-Jordan-Reuters
Nasrallah says Israel will soon release el-Kunter-Jerusalem Post
ANALYSIS-A year after pullout, Syria looms large in Lebanon-Reuters
Study reveals domestic abuse is widespread in Syria-Christian Science Monitor
-
Hezbollah: No accord among Lebanese to draw borders with Syria-Monsters and
Critics.com -
It's the border, stupid-Pittsburgh Tribune
Eye of the beholder-Washington Times
Iran Flexes Diplomatic and Military Muscles-(JINSA
Head of Hariri Probe Travels to Syria-FOX
News - USA
Syria to take 181 stranded Palestinian refugee -UN-Reuters
Jordan says Hamas leaders in Syria ordered attacks-Reuters
On Fouad Siniora and his Policy-By: Hazem Saghieh Dar Al-Hayat
Bombshell presentation to launch DC terror symposium-WorldNetDaily
Head of Hariri Probe Travels to Syria
Tuesday, April 25, 2006
BEIRUT, Lebanon — The chief U.N. investigator into the assassination of former
Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri went to Syria under heavy guard Tuesday to
interview President Bashar Assad, who has been accused of threatening the
Lebanese leader months before he was killed. It will be the first time that
Assad answers questions about Hariri's assassination from the commission
appointed by the U.N. Security Council to investigate. The council has accused
Damascus of failing to cooperate fully with the probe into the February 2005
truck bombing that killed Hariri and 20 others on a Beirut street.
Assad declined two previous requests for interviews filed last year by the
commission, which is based in Beirut. Chief U.N. investigator Serge Brammertz
said in March that Assad had agreed to meet with him. In a television interview
last month, Assad said that while he expected "a meeting, not an interrogation"
with Brammertz, no question would be off-limits. "They can ask whatever they
like," he said. Senior Lebanese security officials said that Brammertz traveled
by land to Damascus is a heavily guarded convoy of 10 bulletproof vehicles.
Syrian officials had no immediate comment on the visit and a spokesperson for
the U.N. investigation in Beirut declined any comment.
Brammertz will also talk to Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa about Syria's
alleged involvement in the assassination, the Lebanese security officials said,
speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to
the media.
Many Lebanese blame Syria for Hariri's assassination and for a series of
mysterious bombings that have targeted Lebanese politicians and journalists
opposed to Syria in the last 14 months. Syria denies involvement in all the
attacks.
According to testimony to the U.N. commission by Hariri's political allies and
family members as well as a former Assad vice president who defected, the Syrian
leader threatened Hariri when they met in Damascus in 2004. Assad allegedly said
he wanted the term of Lebanon's pro-Syrian president to be extended, a move
Hariri was known to oppose but later went along with. Assad has said in
interviews that Hariri was a friend of Syria and denied he threatened him.
In an interview last month, Assad suggested that Hariri may have lied about the
threats against him to deflect criticism for siding with Syria in supporting the
extension of President Emile Lahoud's term.
"We heard later that he (Hariri) said that somebody from the Syrian Intelligence
put a gun to his head, but Hariri himself told me that some officials in the
West told him that they were angry with him because he stood by Syria. He told
me that, but maybe he told them he did that for this reason," Assad told PBS
television.
"Actually, neither me nor anybody else in Syria threatened him," Assad added.
The death of Hariri was a turning point in Syria's relations with Lebanon. As he
was seen as a quiet opponent of Syrian domination of Lebanon, Hariri's killing
provoked mass demonstrations against Syria which, combined with international
pressure, forced Damascus to pull its troops out of its neighbor in April last
year, ending a 29-year military presence.
Four top Lebanese generals — key figures in Syria's domination of Lebanon — have
been arrested and charged with involvement in Hariri's killing; top Syrian
officials have been implicated, but not charged.
Tuesday's visit is Brammertz's second to Syria since he took over the U.N.
investigation from Detlev Mehlis in January. In February, Brammertz, a Belgian
prosecutor, went to the Syrian capital and discussed Syrian cooperation with
Foreign Minister Walid Moallem. In his report to the U.N. Security Council last
month, Brammertz said there are encouraging signals from Syria. The report noted
that after two high-level meetings Syria agreed to a deal that will give the
commission access to "individuals, sites and information."
GLOBAL JIHAD
'Tangible proof' al-Qaida deploying nukes
Bombshell presentation to launch D.C. terror symposium
Posted: April 25, 2006-© 2006 WorldNetDaily.com
A terrorism symposium featuring leading experts will begin with presentation of
"tangible proof" al-Qaida not only has developed an arsenal of tactical nuclear
weapons but also has begun to deploy them for use in its jihad against the
United States and Israel. Paul L. Williams, author of "The Al Connection" and
"The Dunces of Doomsday," will present his findings at the National Press Club
in Washington at the conclusion of a public debate with Wall Street Journal
correspondent Richard Miniter on al-Qaida's nuclear weaponry. The debate, Friday
at 10 a.m., will be moderated by Fred Barnes, executive editor of The Weekly
Standard and regular contributor to the Fox News Channel. The public is invited
to attend.
The organizers say the event is timely, "with increased anxiety over demands for
a pullout from Iraq, the nuclear developments in Iran and North Korea, the
failure of our government to secure the borders and our country's fledgling,
incomprehensive effort at homeland security."
Epstein believes the majority of Americans disapprove of both the "cut-and-run
policy" proposed by many leading Democrats and the "compassionate conservative"
approach of the Bush administration, favoring instead a "firm and decisive
military action with no apologies to Russia, China, France, Germany, Saudi
Arabia or the United Nations."
"I am convinced that the threat we are currently facing from radical Islam
greatly surpasses that which was posed by the Third Reich," Epstein said. Anyone
interested in attending, Epstein added, should contact America's Truth Forum at
its website or by calling 866-709-3474.
The event offers the following speakers:
James Woolsey, who previously held presidential appointments in two Democratic
and two Republican administrations, served as the director of the Central
Intelligence Agency from 1993 to 1995.
Kenneth Timmerman, author of "Countdown to Crisis: the Coming Nuclear Showdown
with Iran," has been nominated for the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize.
Daniel Pipes, director of the Middle East Forum and a prize-winning columnist
for the New York Sun and The Jerusalem Post. Pipes was one of the few analysts
who warned of the threat of radical Islam to the U.S. before 9-11, writing in
1995, "war has been unilaterally declared on Europe and the United States." The
Boston Globe stated, "If Pipes's admonitions had been heeded, there might never
have been a 9-11."
Robert Spencer, director of the weblog Jihad Watch, is an author and researcher
who has studied Islam for more than 20 years. His book "The Politically
Incorrect Guide to Islam (And The Crusades)" spent four months on the New York
Times best-seller list. Spencer is an adjunct fellow with the Free Congress
Foundation and has written a selection of critically acclaimed books on Islam.
He has appeared on CNN and Fox News and has been heard on Vatican Radio.
David Horowitz, president of the Center for the Study of Popular Culture is the
author of "Unholy Alliance," which contends America's Left is giving aid and
comfort to its enemies in the terror war, and "The Professors: The 101 Most
Dangerous Academics in America."
Richard Miniter, author of two New York Times best-selling books, "Losing Bin
Laden" and "Shadow War," and an internationally recognized expert on terrorism.
Walid Phares, a senior fellow with the Foundation for the Defense of
Democracies, professor of Middle East Studies and author of several books on
Middle Eastern affairs including the most recent "Future Jihad: Terrorist
Strategies Against America." Phares' research and analysis of the Jihadi
ideology, strategies and movements goes back to the early 1980s. He conducts
briefings to governments, international organizations and appears frequently in
the media. Phares is called by many as "the one expert who understands the minds
of Jihadists best."
Walid Shoebat, a former Palestinian Liberation Organization terrorist, converted
to Christianity and now warns of the imminent threat of radical Islam to Western
civilization.
Harvey Kushner, noted author, lecturer, professor and internationally recognized
authority on terrorism. Kushner has advised and provided training to numerous
agencies, including the FBI, FAA, INS and U.S. Customs. He is a frequent guest
of all major television networks and often is quoted by news media worldwide.
Dr. Andrew Bostom, editor of the newly released book "The Legacy of Jihad," a
compendium of writings, both modern and ancient, on the uniquely Islamic
institution of jihad. Bostom is a physician specializing in epidemiology. Since
1997 he has been part of the full-time medical faculty at two hospital
affiliates of Brown University.
Bruce Tefft, founding member of the CIA's Counter Terrorism Center, has trained
more than 12,000 law enforcement officers and first responders and has served as
the New York Police Department's counter-terrorism and intelligence adviser
since 9-11.
Brigitte Gabriel, a former anchor for world news in the Middle East and a
prominent Arab-American journalist, survived a bombing in which her family's
home was reduced to rubble by radical Muslim forces.
Laura Mansfield, an author and counter-terror analyst, uses her knowledge of the
Arabic language and Islamic culture to investigate jihad and jihadis in the U.S.
and abroad.
Joe Kaufman, chairman of Americans Against Hate. He also is an investigative
journalist for Frontpage Magazine and host of "The Politics of Terrorism" radio
show.
Paul Williams, award-winning journalist and author of "Al Qaeda Connection,"
"Osama's Revenge: The Next 9/11," and "The Dunces of Doomsday," has served as a
consultant for the FBI, editor, adjunct professor of humanities at the
University of Scranton and correspondent for WorldNetDaily.
On Fouad Siniora and his Policy
Hazem Saghieh Al-Hayat - 25/04/06//
Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora is a special case for the Lebanese, in
general, and the Sunnis, in particular. If PM Rafik Hariri reminds us of Riyad
al-Solh in terms of laying the foundations of the Lebanese patriotism and its
phases. PM Siniora also reminds us of Sami al-Solh in terms of rejecting the
blackmail exerted on Lebanon in the name of 'Arabism' and 'fraternity'.
This is how many judges are moved in the 'inquisition' once Siniora moves, or
rather, publicly declares a fact that is wanted to remain under covers of lies.
Even when he attempts to move toward an Israeli withdrawal or obtain
international aid, those judges shower him with warnings that are rather
insults.
In fact, Siniora's 'Harirism', both in politics and economy, is more of an inlet
to him rather than an outlet. Indeed, the 'Harirism' he embodies is the product
of a lesson learnt from a long political experiment to which was added a lesson
learnt from the tragedy of late PM Rafik Hariri himself.
The Lebanese Sunnite leadership went through many phases, the first of which
ended in 1950-1951 with the death of Abdel-Hamid Karame, and the assassination
of Riyadh al-Solh in Jordan by operatives from the Syrian Nationalist party.
Since Israel was recently established and the region began living on the pace of
military coup-d'états, a phase of relatively successful adjustment with the
Lebanese political entity came to a close with the departure of al-Solh and
Karame. This phase was followed by many difficult and various attempts that were
associated with the names of Saeb Salam and Rashid Karame. However, the heated
Arab situation and, eventually, the Palestinian arms issue, helped complicate
such adjustment, i.e. what seemed congruous with the Fouad Shehab-Rashid Karame
tandem - stipulating a Nasserism control of a major part of Lebanon's
decision-making process - ended in an explosion with the Suleiman Franjieh-Saeb
Salam duo. This dragged Lebanon into direct conflict with Israel, synchronized
with the retreat of the Maronite 'political class' represented by Franjieh.
Hence, the two parties seemed to be a revengeful response to the other part of
the equation. After the miserable experiment of Amin al-Hafez, through which
President Franjieh tried to replace the Sunnite representation, emerged a new
experiment embodied by Salim al-Hoss during the mandates of Elias Sarkis and his
successors. Again, and after an ephemeral optimism about the end of the
'two-year war', the adjustment attempt reached a dead end, a situation that was
apparently and verbally expressed by a militant rhetoric in demonstrations and
in the numerous 'Arabism and Islam' forums in Beirut.
With PM Rafik Hariri, a kind of circumvention took place regarding the issue
that was prohibited and safeguarded by the Syrian forces. This circumvention was
meant to transfer the issue from the political to the economic field. This
change was not straightforward. It was implied, in an evasive manner; revealing
that the Lebanese Sunnite problem was no longer with their Christian compatriots
and that the proposed adjustment was no longer being submitted to Lebanese
patriotism, but rather to the Arabism in its military uniform.
The brutal response to Hariri took place when he sought to politicize his
economic patriotism, imposing these implications on his friend PM Fouad Siniora
and giving them a public attribute.
In this sense, Siniora went far in addressing the Christian "partner", even
though many Christians were not receptive to the message, due to their many
years of frustration. Thanks to the versatile buildup of the past - the Arab
Nationalist Movement, Sidon overlooking both Shiites and Palestinians, and his
academic track in the American University of Beirut - Siniora was bound to bear
the colors of moderate and open-minded Lebanese patriotism. More importantly, as
evident in the assassination of PM Rafik Hariri, such colors can only blend in a
flexible and multicolored Lebanese patriotism.
Keeping pace with Arab moderation, which is growing in circles that have been
scourged with the radicalism phase and its experiments, PM Siniora acts as if
the State comes first and last. He adds to the political body a new blood,
accentuated by the fact that he does not stem from the class of notables prone
to replace the State with the sect.
At this point, we can perhaps understand why some 'physicians', well-versed in
the art of hating and destroying the State, insist on 'testing the blood' of
Siniora. How could Siniora be so much in tune with his environment and milieu -
thanks to Hariri's blood - as was case with Sami al-Solh?!
ANALYSIS-A year after pullout, Syria looms large in
Lebanon
BEIRUT, April 25 (Reuters) - Syrian troops, a familiar sight for almost 30
years, are gone from Lebanon's streets. Anjar, the village that hosted Syria's
intelligence base, has sunk back into obscurity. Many old Syrian allies sit on
the sidelines.
But a year after the last Syrian soldiers left under global pressure after the
murder of former prime minister Rafik al-Hariri, the widespread euphoria has
vanished. Few doubt the pullout was a blow for Damascus, but cracks in Lebanon's
ruling anti-Syrian bloc and concern over its economic record have since given
new life to Syria's local allies.
No events are even planned to mark the April 26 withdrawal."Syria's presence is
not as oppressive as before, not as direct and controlling as before, but it is
still there," said Osama Safa, head of the Lebanese Centre for Policy Studies.
"After 30 years in Lebanon, Syria still has many strong points of influence
through traditional Lebanese political leaders... This has always been the case
and it always will be."Pro-Syrian Lebanese President Emile Lahoud remains in
power despite pressure by the anti-Syrian bloc for him to step down.
The anti-Syrian groups see Lahoud, whose term was extended in 2004 under Syrian
pressure, as the last vestige of its tutelage. But they have failed to agree on
any replacement, and national talks to end a debilitating political crisis look
set this week to leave Lahoud in the presidential palace for now.
TENSE RELATIONS
Relations between Syria and the government have been tense, with Damascus
rejecting calls to exchange embassies or mark a disputed border area occupied by
Israel. Meanwhile the Hizbollah guerrilla group, which is backed by Syria and
Iran, has managed to hold onto its arms, even though the same U.N. Security
Council resolution that demanded Syrian troops leave Lebanon also calls for
militias to disarm. Lebanon's only armed group, it has teamed up with another
Shi'ite Muslim group, Amal, for joint leadership of the largest religious
community in the country's delicate sectarian mosaic.
An understanding with the Maronite Christian general Michel Aoun, an unlikely
bedfellow who fought a battle with the Syrians at the close of the 1975-1990
civil war, has reduced the main anti-Syrian bloc's dominance in the 128-seat
parliament.
Syrian-backed politicians who stayed out of elections last May and June have
been popping up on television again.
In the north, Suleiman Franjieh, whose family has old ties to the ruling Assad
family in Syria, is forming a front with Omar Karami, the pro-Syrian prime
minister who resigned amid protests in the aftermath of Hariri's death.
They appear to have taken their cue from the anti-Syrian coalition's loss of
momentum and internal divisions. Hopes that the economy would take off after the
Syrian exit have faded and an international debt aid meeting has been delayed
for months.
SECURITY VACUUM
The Syrian withdrawal also left a security vacuum, with a string of bombings and
the assassination of two anti-Syrian journalists and a politician in the ensuing
months. Many Lebanese blamed Syria, saying the attacks were meant to prove the
Lebanese could not govern themselves. Syria has denied any role in the death of
Hariri or the ensuing instability. A U.N. investigator last year implicated
Syrian officials in the murder and said Damascus was impeding the inquiry, but a
follow-up report in March said the groundwork had been laid for better
cooperation. Much of the anti-Syrian coalition's credibility now hangs on that
inquiry; if Syria is cleared they will suffer a blow.
In the meantime, no one knows if Syria still maintains undercover agents in
Lebanon or how many there might be, though one thing is certain -- the borders
are porous and smugglers cross daily without going through the official customs
points. Truckloads of arms have come in for Hizbollah. "The Syrians played a
central role in creating the deadlock from which their Lebanese allies have
benefited," said Michael Young, opinion editor of Lebanon's Daily Star
newspaper.
"That doesn't mean their allies are in a position to return to where they were a
year ago, but they still have influence."
Study reveals domestic abuse is widespread in Syria
The first study of its kind in the country shows 25 percent of women may be
victims of violence.
By Rhonda Roumani | Correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor
World > Middle East
from the April 25, 2006 edition
DAMASCUS, SYRIA – This country's only shelter for abused women is largely a
secret. Victims learn about it through local churches, aid agencies, or lawyers.
It has just 10 beds for the 22 people who were recently staying there.
But a new study released earlier this month that says as many as 1 in 4 Syrian
women may be victims of physical violence is beginning to reveal just how
widespread a problem domestic abuse is throughout the country.
The study, funded by the United Nations Development Fund for Women (UNIFEM) and
conducted by the state-run General Union of Women, is the first of its kind to
try to quantify and explain the types of violence Syrian women face.
"Violence is in every home in the Arab world," says a woman who works at the
shelter and asked for anonymity because of the sensitivity of their work. "The
number of abused women is more than 1 in 4. We hope that with a hotline we'll be
able to help the largest number of women possible. We hope we can provide these
women with a type of hope so they can know themselves and can rebuild their
self-esteem," she says.
The shelter is currently working on acquiring a larger home and is trying to set
up a hotline for domestic abuse. There are no domestic abuse hotlines in Syria.
Women's rights activists pin the problem of violence against women on societal
shame associated with divorce, a lack of education on what exactly abuse
entails, a shortage of shelters, and weak laws that fail to protect women who
face abuse.
"There is a type of traditional thinking that it's [shameful] to go to the
police with such problems," says Maen Abdul-Salam, who heads Etana Press, a
publishing house dedicated to women's issues. "Families usually feel ashamed.
They don't want to talk about it. There needs to be more education to change the
mentality."
The study of nearly 1,900 families found that violence against women was more
prevalent in the countryside than in cities, that domestic abuse was more likely
to happen in homes facing economic hardship and in homes where men were less
educated or where women married at very young ages. Yahya Aous, the editor of
Thara.com, a website dedicated to women's issues, says a major problem is that
many women are not even aware that they may be victims.
"Women start to feel like abuse is a normal part of life," says Mr. Aous. "She
no longer believes it is violence. And if a woman is facing violence, there is
no place she can go where they will help her with the law and with her
situation."
While activists hailed the report as a first step in tackling the problem of
abuse, they also said that discrepancies in the numbers and the wording of the
report pose real concerns. "This is a good report because it is the first time
there is an official recognition that women are facing violence, especially to
this extent," says Bassam Kadi, an activist who heads the Syrian Women's
Website. "But the language in the report is not objective. In one way or
another, it holds the same biases that are available on the ground."
The report says that violence often takes place because of "mistakes" made by
the women or because they neglected their household duties or because they asked
too many questions.
In one segment of the report, the statistics show that nearly a quarter of
Syrian women are victims of physical violence. But elsewhere in the study,
statistics used show that the number of women who have been beaten is closer to
1 in 10, leading to confusion about the actual number. Like many other Arab
countries, statistics on domestic abuse are hard to come by because few studies
are done on the subject. Activists blame the statistical discrepancies in this
newest report on a lack of professional statisticians trained to conduct such
studies. Mr. Kadi and others also say that the report fails to address the root
of the problem by tackling the inadequacies in the Syrian law.
"They say the Syrian laws are good, but they are not," says Kadi. "A woman needs
to have her nose broken before she can really do anything. The laws do not deal
with all types of violence, like mere beating. There should be details on the
role of the laws in promoting violence. They needed to ask for new laws that
protect women from all types of violence."
Hezbollah: No accord among Lebanese to draw borders with
Syria
Apr 24, 2006,
Beirut - The Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah said Monday that there is no
agreement among the Lebanese to draw Lebanon's shared border with Syria because
a key southern zone remains occupied by Israel.
'It is not true that there is an accord among the Lebanese that we should
delineate the border of the Shebaa (Farms area), because it is occupied,' Sheikh
Hassan Nasrallah said during a rally in Beirut's southern suburbs. He called it
'an issue of controversy among the Lebanese political factions,' which started
roundtable talks on March 2 to resolve the political crisis that has gripped the
country since the February 14, 2005 assassination of former premier Rafik
Hariri. The talks are due to resume Friday. Last week, Syrian Foreign Minister
Walid Muallem said in an interview on al-Jazeera television, 'Syria is prepared
to demarcate its border with Lebanon from the north, down to Shebaa, which is
occupied and whose border we cannot draw.'
UN envoy Terje Roed-Larsen last week urged the two neighbours to agree on
demarcating the border in the small, mountainous territory at the convergence of
the Lebanese-Syrian-Israeli borders.
Israel captured the Shebaa Farms area from Syria in the 1967 Middle East war,
and it is now claimed by Lebanon with Damascus' consent. Israeli troops have
retained control of the area despite their withdrawal in May 2000 from south
Lebanon after two decades of occupation. It remains the scene of clashes between
Israeli forces and the Hezbollah militia.
The United Nations regards Shebaa Farms as Syrian territory.
Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Siniora indicated in remarks published Monday
during his visit in the US that the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the Shebaa
Farms border area could lead to disarmament of the radical Islamic group
Hezbollah.
'If the US and friendly countries help us achieve the withdrawal of Israel from
Shebaa Farms, this would make it possible for the Lebanese forces to be the sole
owner of weapons and arms in the country,' Siniora said in an interview with the
Washington Post newspaper and Newsweek magazine.
Siniora said he had discussed his proposal concerning the Shebaa Farms with US
President George W Bush last week in Washington. 'Let me put it this way - as
far as my request for Shebaa Farms, the president and his aides showed great
support, but they did not really commit themselves,' he said. © 2006 dpa -
Deutsche Presse-Agentur
Eye of the beholder
By Arnaud de Borchgrave
April 24, 2006
At least three unofficial Iranian emissaries have been in Washington this spring
with the same recommendation: Send a high-ranking current or former U.S.
official to Qom for secret talks with Ayatollah Ali Khameini to explore a
geopolitical deal before Iran passes yet another nuclear milestone -- e.g., a
nonaggression treaty in return for taking Iran's gauntleted hand off the nuclear
sword and resheathing it in an International Atomic Energy Agency scabbard. An
American exit from Iraq would be part of the diplomatic mix.
For President Bush, this is rank appeasement. He sees his embattled presidency
as a throwback to Winston Churchill on the backbenches of Parliament surrounded
by appeasers. Now it's a world of appeasers trying to blunt America's sword. Mr.
Bush tells his out-of-town visitors to think of how history will judge his
administration 20 years hence and not to worry about setbacks in Iraq.
Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh wrote a long story for the New Yorker the
gist of which is that Mr. Bush is contemplating a tactical nuclear strike
against Iran's nuclear installations, now spread in at least 17 different
locations. The absurd idea is not denied by Mr. Bush. He simply calls it "wild
speculation." For the rest of the world this means that the only power in
history to have used nuclear weapons -- "Little Boy" and "Fat Man" incinerated
almost 200,000 in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in less than a second -- is seriously
thinking of doing it again.
Mr. Bush's "wild speculation" description is now taken seriously in foreign
media as yet another indication America's global imperial hubris is out of
control. The damage this is doing to America's image is hard to quantify, but it
is at least as serious as the Abu Ghraib "torture" pictures.
Neoconservative supporters of the Bush administration are confident the
president will order air strikes against Iran between the November 2006
elections and November 2008, when his successor will be elected. The post-strike
scenario was put to one of these neocon supporters:
(1) Swift minelayers sail from Bandar Abbas, the Iranian naval base at the mouth
of the Strait of Hormuz and sow a few score mines in the world's busiest oil
shipping lane. All tanker traffic stops. U.S. and NATO minesweepers head for
Hormuz. Iranian naval commandos in Zodiak rubber speedboats come alongside a
supertanker and sink it by sticking limpet mines along the waterline. Oil
futures quickly pass $100 a barrel and keep climbing,
(2) Saudi Arabia's Shi'ite minority, employed in the eastern Saudi oilfields,
begins blowing oil pipelines. Sabotage is reported at Ras Tanura, the world's
largest oil loading port.
(3) U.S. air strikes obliterate Bandar Abbas.
(4) Iraq's two Shi'ite militia, armed and funded by Iran's Revolutionary Guards,
are ordered into action against Iraq's U.S.-funded and trained army and police
forces and against U.S. forces. U.S. casualties mount again. Congress calls for
immediate evacuation of U.S. forces into Kuwait. The Kuwaiti Parliament balks
and declares its neutrality in what is now the new U.S.-Iran war.
(5) Hezbollah and Hamas fire several thousand rockets and missiles over Israel's
protective barrier killing scores of Israelis. The Israeli Defense Force is
ordered back into Gaza to wipe out the terrorists.
(6) Hezbollah's militia goes into action against U.S. interests in Beirut.
(7) Shi'ite and Sunni Arabs close ranks against the U.S.-Zionist enemy. Arab
streets erupt in mass anti-U.S. demonstrations. Arab governments recall their
ambassadors from Washingt
(8) The entire Muslim world closes ranks behind Iran.
(9) A "dirty bomb" explodes in Lower Manhattan. Casualties are far lower than on
September 11, 2001, when the Twin Towers were destroyed. But a 60-square-block
area has to be permanently evacuated. It will be uninhabitable for several years
due to dangerous radiation.
The neocon interlocutor smiled, then shrugged his shoulders and called the
scenario "wild speculation." White House calculus ignores the fact Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad, Iran's president and a member of a fanatic sect of Shi'ite Islam,
believes in the apocalypse in his own lifetime. Some people who know him say he
thinks global death and destruction is only two years away and that this will be
followed by the return of the 12th Imam, known as the Mahdi.
Iran's president, who claims the Nazi Holocaust was pure fiction and that Israel
should be erased from the map, only has power over his Cabinet. Under Supreme
Leader Ali Khamenei come the intelligence services, armed forces, revolutionary
guards, parliament, broadcasting -- and the government. The time for secret
talks with the real No. 1 was yesterday.
Richard Armitage, a tough Republican who was deputy secretary of state under
Colin Powell, says it would behoove the U.S. to talk to Iran directly -- not
simply at the level of the U.S. ambassador in Baghdad to talk about the future
of Iraq. So far, the U.S. has resisted direct talks with Tehran about its
nuclear aspirations and mandated the EU3 -- the United Kingdom, France and
Germany -- as its surrogate.
The stakes are so high, Mr. Armitage says, the situation "merits talking to the
Iranians about the full range of our relationship... everything from energy to
terrorism to weapons to Iraq. We can be diplomatically astute enough to do it
without giving anything away."
When Nikita Khrushchev warned the U.S. that the Soviet Union would bury America,
Washington didn't break diplomatic relations but went on talking throughout the
Cold War, and the evil empire collapsed.
During the 1962 Cuban missile crisis, with the world poised on the edge of
nuclear war, brilliant U.S. diplomacy always left Khrushchev a way out of his
geopolitical power play. He was trying to find a shortcut to nuclear parity with
the U.S. The Soviet dictator took his missiles home, the U.S. agreed not to
invade Cuba, and later took its obsolete Jupiter missiles out of Turkey.
Perhaps Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is not a student of Machiavelli. But
Henry Kissinger, Zbigniew Brzezinski and James Schlesinger are still among us --
and ready to serve, not a public circus, but a top-secret head-to-head with
Velayat-e-Faqih, "the Guardianship of the Jurisprudent." That's Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, the Prophet's proconsul in the holy city of Qom.
***Arnaud de Borchgrave is editor at large of The Washington Times and of United
Press International.
Iran Flexes Diplomatic and Military Muscles
Tehran’s Nuclear Program Buttresses All-Out Bid for Regional Supremacy
While the international community focuses on Iran’s nuclear ambitions, officials
of the Islamic Republic have been busy exercising their rapidly increasing
influence - fueled by more than a decade of a lucrative petroleum sales and
accelerated by the removal of Iraq as a regional counterweight - in the Persian
Gulf and on the international stage. Complicating matters is Iran’s control of
the terrorist group Hezbollah in Lebanon and increasing sway over the now ruling
terrorist Hamas organization in the West Bank and Gaza. The ability to frustrate
Israeli-Palestinian peace making coupled with increasing its political, economic
and military influence, means that Iran is well on its way toward dominating the
wider region.
Iran’s Diplomatic Offensive
Against the backdrop of growing vocal opposition to Tehran’s nuclear ambitions
from members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Iranian officials have been
pressing fellow Gulf Arab states to support Iran’s nuclear program via a series
of diplomatic communiquŽs and visits. According to the online analysis firm
GeoStrategy-Direct, March 1, 2006 Ð in the last month, Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad has dispatched messages to all six members of the GCC - Bahrain,
Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE - urging support for Iran’s
nuclear program.
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki upon his arrival in Kuwait, October
3, 2005. During a visit to Kuwait in February, Ahmadinejad lambasted the U.S.
presence in Iraq and sought improved relations with Kuwait. Ahmadinejad’s visit,
the first one of a high-ranking Iranian in 25 years, was also aimed at allaying
concerns about Iran’s nuclear-fuel enrichment program and to improve defense
cooperation. On March 14, Kuwait hosted the annual two-day Iranian-Kuwaiti
security conference, which began in 2003. Since then, Iran and Kuwait have
signed a number of agreements increasing security and military cooperation
between the two states.
Bahrain’s Ambassador to Tehran, Kamel Saleh al-Saleh, met with Iranian officials
in early March to promote a number of initiatives designed to promote bilateral
ties, cooperation, and economic integration and during a visit to Qatar in
February, Iranian parliamentarian Hussein Sheik Al Islam said, “I am calling
upon GCC states to support Iran’s uranium enrichment plan,” according to the
GeoStrategy-Direct report. The letters from President Ahmadinejad are said to
have promised that Iran was not developing nuclear weapons and offered help to
establish nuclear power facilities throughout the GCC in an effort to preserve
the region’s natural oil and gas reserves.
Despite Tehran’s statements to the contrary, the thought of nuclear weapons in
Iranian hands may be reigniting formerly nascent nuclear programs in other Gulf
nations. Qatar, has initiated “an active exploratory effort for foreign nuclear
contacts in recent months,” including consultations with South Korea regarding
the prospects of nuclear energy cooperation, according to a February 2, 2006
Eurasia Security Watch report - a publication of the American Foreign Policy
Council, Washington, D.C. Perhaps more troubling is the specter of a
nuclear-armed Saudi Arabia Ð a prospect that has long been suspected by the
international community and was recently revisited when the Washington Times,
October 22, 2003, published an article claiming a secret agreement between
Pakistan and Riyadh regarding nuclear cooperation had been reached in 2003.
Iranian Shahab-3 ballistic missile. Although “it will be vehemently denied by
both countries, according to an anonymous source cited by the October 22
article, “future events will confirm that Pakistan has agreed to provide [Saudi
Arabia] with the wherewithal for a nuclear deterrent.” As predicted by the
Pakistani source, officials from both Saudi Arabia and Islamabad dismissed the
claims. The Saudi purchase of Chinese-made intermediate-range CSS-2 ballistic
missiles Ð capable of carrying nuclear payloads Ð in the 1980s, coupled with the
prospects of a nuclear Iran and the recent deterioration of U.S.-Saudi security
ties after 9/11, however, may be motivating the House of Saud to seek
alternative security arrangements, according to Richard L. Russell, a research
associate at Georgetown University’s Institute for the Study of Diplomacy. Saudi
Arabia’s foreign minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, warned that Iran’s nuclear
program “threatened disaster” for the Gulf. At the same time, Jordan’s foreign
minister expressed concerns that Iran was exacerbating the likelihood for a new
arms race in the region. Iranian officials met with Saudi Foreign Minister Saud
al-Faisal in February to discuss regional issues, according to The Washington
Post, March 20, 2005.
A nuclear capable Iran “totally turns over the balance of power and makes Iran
the master of the region and the influential instrument in its decisions,
Abdullah Bishara of the Center for Strategic Studies in Kuwait, said, according
to Eurasia Security Watch, April 12, 2006.
During an April 9 seminar in Doha, Qatar, Kuwaiti researcher Abdullah al-Nufaisi
said that the Saudi government was preparing a nuclear program in light of
Iran’s program, according to the United Press International. “Saudi Arabia will
not watch as its neighbors develop nuclear weapons, “an anonymous Gulf source
told UPI. “It’s a matter of time until a Saudi nuclear program begins.”
Iran Uses Gas and Oil to Sweet Talk Pakistan, India and Syria
In other regional moves, Iranian officials met in early March with their
Pakistani and Indian counterparts to discuss the construction of a natural gas
pipeline from Iran to India that would cross Pakistan. The pipeline would
provide for India’s growing energy needs and produce hundreds of millions of
dollars worth of transit fees for cash-starved Pakistan but is strongly opposed
by the United States.
A similar deal was struck in March when Iranian and Syrian diplomats concluded a
memorandum of understanding for the construction of pipelines between Damascus
and Tehran crossing Iraq. Iran and Syria have also agreed to cooperate on a
number of additional issues including Iranian support for the flagging Syrian
economy and the country’s ballistic missile development. Through close economic
cooperation, Syria and Iran would be better positioned to buck any international
sanctions.
In anticipation of United Nations Security Council sanctions over its nuclear
program, Iran has vowed to become Damascus’ leading investor and business
partner. “There are huge untapped economic potentials in the two countries which
should be further explored,” Iranian Housing Minister Mohammad Saeedi-Kia told
reporters at the Iranian-Syrian Joint Economic Commission conference held this
February in Damascus. Tehran’s interests in Syria solidified during the
Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. Iranian Ambassador to Syria, Mohammad Hassan Akhtari,
told Syria’s official news agency SANA, that Tehran had increased exports in the
last five years in a number of non-oil related areas, including steel, textiles,
automobiles, and technical and engineering expertise. Western intelligence
officials have said ballistic missile technology is among Tehran’s chief exports
to Syria as well.
Growing Solidarity with Increasingly Isolated Syria
In February 2005, Tehran proclaimed its intention to defend Damascus against
“challenges and threats” amidst an atmosphere of international condemnation
after former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri, an outspoken critic of
Syria’s domination of Lebanon, was assassinated in a massive car bombing. “We
are ready to help Syria on all grounds to confront threats,” Iranian
Vice-President Mohammad Reza Aref said during a meeting with Syrian Prime
Minister Naji al-Otari. “Our Syrian brothers are facing specific threats and we
hope they can benefit from our experience. We are ready to give them any help
necessary ... especially because Syria and Iran face several challenges and it
is necessary to build a common front,” he concluded.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (on right in light gray suit) reviews
honor guard with Syrian President Bashar Assad in Damascus. More recently,
Iranian officials promised to “use any means” to inflict “harm and pain” upon
the United States in order to “resist any pressure and threat” to Tehran’s
nuclear ambitions, according to an editorial in the New York Post by Peter
Brookes, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation in Washington D.C. Iran and
Syria concluded a mutual defense pact in 2004, further solidifying their ability
to weather international pressure and logistically and politically complicate
any impending military strikes.
The March 2, 2006 edition of the Iranian Democracy Monitor, another publication
of the American Foreign Policy Council, noted that Iran has been massing
ballistic missiles along its border with Azerbaijan in an attempt to persuade
that country to reject possible U.S. entreaties for basing rights for U.S.
forces to strike Iran’s nuclear sites. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov
recently announced, however, that the five Caspian littoral countries Ð Russia,
Iran, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan Ð were exploring the formation of
a ‘Caspian Security Pact’, according to the January 25, 2006 Russian Reform
Monitor Ð yet another product of the prolific think tank, the American Foreign
Policy Council. Ivanov told reporters military cooperation among the five
nations was needed to fight the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction,
prevent poaching, and guarantee the security of energy resources’ deliveries.
Iran and its Terror Puppets Hamas and Hezbollah
Following the electoral victory of the Hamas terrorist organization in the
Palestinian elections in January, the international community has placed
increasing pressure upon the organization’s leadership to recognize Israel’s
right to exist, honor existing treaties signed by the previous Palestinian
Authority government, and renounce violence as a means of achieving political
ambitions. Moscow broke ranks with the international community, however, and
provided a degree of political legitimacy to Hamas when the organization’s
political chief, Khaled Mashaal, was invited to meet with Russian officials in
March. Mashaal used the high profile meeting, however, to reiterate Hamas’s
absolute refusal to recognize the state of Israel.
Secretary-General of the Hezbollah terror organization Hassan Nasrallah (on
right) greets Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei. Mashaal was
also invited to visit Ankara where he met with leaders from Turkey’s ruling
Justice and Development Party (AKP). And, during a brief visit to the Sudanese
capital of Khartoum in mid-February, Mashaal stated, “there will be no
recognition of Israel, and there will be no security for the occupation and
colonization forces.” “Resistance will remain our strategic option É by God,
Israel will not feel safe and will have no legitimacy,” Mashaal shouted to a
rallying crowd, according to the Associated Press, February 14, 2006.
As U.S. and European leaders consider suspending annual aid package payments to
the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority in an attempt to gain political leverage
over the Hamas organization, Tehran has already pledged to compensate any
deficit created by a shutoff of funds from the West. Such a move would give Iran
increasing sway over Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. “Iran’s role in the
future of Palestine should continue to increase,” Mashaal told reporters in
Tehran following diplomatic discussions with Iranian Foreign Minister Manoucher
Mottaki.
In February, State Department Spokesman Adam Ereli warned that if Hamas accepted
any financial aid from Iran, it “would send a pretty clear signal,” that Hamas
“wants to put its feet in the camp of terror,” and “take $250 million from the
world’s leading sponsor of terrorism.” Ereli added that if Hamas refused to
renounce violence and recognize Israel, the United States would find a way “to
fund the humanitarian needs of the Palestinian people without giving money to
Hamas,” despite the fact that Hamas was elected by a popular vote.
While the United States and the European Union struggle to chart a diplomatic
course with the newly elected Hamas organization, Iran and Syria have already
begun coordinating a strategy designed to link Syrian-and Iranian-backed
terrorist organizations with Hamas to attack Israel or the United States should
either country strike at Iran or Syria, according to GeoStrategy-Direct, March
22, 2006. During a meeting held last January in Damascus, Iranian and Syrian
intelligence agents gathered the leaders of Hamas, Hezbollah, and Islamic Jihad
to coordinate all political and military steps with Damascus and Tehran. “The
idea was to make sure each group had its marching orders and would follow one
agenda,” according to a U.S. intelligence source who spoke with GeoStrategy-Direct
on condition of anonymity
Increasingly Active in Iraq
According to the Middle East News Line, March 3, 2006, Iran has deployed members
of the elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to assist anti-coalition
forces and assist Shi’ite militias amid increasing sectarian violence in Iraq.
“They are currently putting people into Iraq to do things that are harmful to
the future of Iraq, and we know it, and it is something that they will look back
on as having been an error in judgment,” Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld told
reporters during a press briefing at the Pentagon, March 7, 2006.
President Bush added from the White House in March that, “if the Iranians are
trying to influence the outcome of the political process [in Iraq], or the
outcome of the security situation there, we’re letting them know our
displeasure.” President Bush went on to say, “our call is for those in the
neighborhood to allow Iraq to develop a democracy. And that includes our call to
Iran, as well as to Syria.”
While both Iran and the United States have agreed to hold diplomatic meetings
regarding the future of Iraq, Iran continues its full-court press against
mounting pressure from Washington and the threat of sanctions imposed by the
United Nations Security Council over Tehran’s nuclear dossier. “If any country
intends to attack Iran, it should expect a fatal reply by the Iranian armed
forces,” Iranian Defense Minister Mustafa Najar said, according to Middle East
News Line, March 13, 2006. Western intelligence note a recent exercise conducted
by Iranian military forces in the Indian Ocean and Sea of Oman that was designed
to attack Western shipping and Arab oil facilities in the Gulf.
Iran Flexes Military Muscles
In December 2005, Tehran conducted a massive military exercise that combined
Iranian air and sea forces in a simulated attack on American warships in the
Persian Gulf bringing to a halt all oil shipments and included ballistic missile
strikes on Israel and Western-aligned Gulf Cooperation Council states, unnamed
diplomatic sources told GeoStrategy Direct, February 8, 2006. Following the
maneuvers, Iranian Defense Minister Mohammed Najar warned Israel that any
ambitions to launch an Osirak-like military strike would trigger a response that
“will be so firm that it will send them into eternal coma, like [Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel] Sharon.”
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (on left) views military training
exercises in the Persian Gulf, December 14, 2005. Image by Reuters. U.S. Defense
Intelligence Agency Director Lt. Gen. Michael Maples, USA, testified before the
Senate Armed Services Committee on February 28, that Iran’s continued
acquisition of ballistic missile technology, air defense systems, and anti ship
missiles will “significantly enhance Iran’s defensive capabilities and ability
to deny access to the Persian Gulf through the Straits of Hormuz.”
In a March 9 interview with the official Iranian news agency IRNA, Defense
Minister Najaf warned, “the Iranian armed forces are in full combat readiness
and are to defend the country’s territorial integrity with full powerÉ if any
country intends to attack Iran, it should expect a fatal reply by the Iranian
armed forces.” That threat was renewed on April 14 when the head of Iran’s
Revolutionary Guard, General Yayha Rahim Safavi, declared that that American
troops in neighboring Iraq and throughout the Gulf were ‘vulnerable’ to Iranian
attacks if the U.S. decided to strike. “You can start a war but it won’t be you
who finishes it,” the General threatened
Iranian Aces Wild
Coupled with a blitz of diplomatic visits designed to build regional support and
garner economic, political, and military cooperation, Iran has thus far been
able to fend off the threat of international isolation for its continued
enrichment program. Moreover, a number of lucrative contracts involving nuclear
cooperation, military modernization, and the supply of energy resources with
Russia and China, have enabled Tehran to guarantee a divided United National
Security Council.
Despite Iran’s continued and flagrant violations of IAEA protocols and alarming
provocations from Iranian President Ahmadinejad in public rhetoric, the
international community continues to be divided on how to respond. At the same
time, while diplomatic efforts remain divided, military options aimed at
resolving Iran’s nuclear program, according to anonymous defense officials, may
not be a viable option.
According to The Washington Post, April 9, 2006, Defense Department officials,
the Bush administration, and members of the intelligence community are
considering two different strike packages for Iran should diplomatic efforts
fail. One would be confined to a limited, surgical campaign designed to attack
Iran’s numerous nuclear facilities while a second option would also target key
political facilities, in an effort to collapse the Iranian government. But
experts are warning that an effective air strike on Iran’s nuclear
infrastructure would be difficult to achieve as Iran has taken aggressive
measures to protect it from such a scenario.
Some of the leading challenges include how to attack Iran’s nuclear research
program conducted at civilian university labs without causing extensive
collateral damage. Iran has also taken steps to spread out its nuclear
facilities throughout the country, bury much of it underground, and make strong
efforts to reinforce and harden those facilities against potential air strikes.
Some targeting experts have estimated the underground facilities to be protected
by at least 50 feet of earth and reinforced concrete, making them all but
impossible to defeat without the use of small tactical nuclear bombs.
Furthermore, questions remain about whether the use of military force can
actually destroy Iran’s nuclear capability or would it simply delay the
inevitable. Additionally, Iran has vowed to unleash hundreds of suicide attacks
against American targets around the world if such strikes are carried out.
National security experts are taking that threat seriously, warning that Iran’s
international terror network is far more capable than anything al Qaeda could
hope to achieve. Nonetheless, the military options remains in the diplomatic
arsenal and the Pentagon has undertaken a number of initiatives should the Bush
administration decide to play its military card.
A USAF F-15E Strike Eagle releases a GBU-28 bunker-buster guided bomb. A new
generation of bombs capable of taking out deeply buried and hardened targets is
needed. In July, defense officials, select members of Congress, and a number of
policy advisors will attend a war game exercise at the National Defense
University’s National Strategic Gaming Center that will simulate an attack on
Iran’s nuclear facilities, according to USA Today, April 18, 2006. Unlike
traditional war gaming exercises, NDU’s day-long conference is designed to
gather policy makers together and “discuss how to react to various events
presented in a fictional scenario.”
Following the alarming mid-April announcement by Iranian President Ahmadinejad
that Iran had mastered the enrichment process and entered the nuclear club, the
Pentagon has announced a number of initiatives designed to defeat underground
facilities like those increasingly in use around the world, including Iran.
The Department of Defense has also been arming munitions with earth-penetrating
warheads designed to burrow well beneath the surface of the earth before
exploding, in order to collapse underground bunkers. On June 2, 2006, the
Department of Defense’s Defense Threat Reduction Agency will conduct an
experiment, Divine Strake, at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Nevada Test Site.
It will consist of the detonation of 700 tons (TNT equivalent to 593 tons) of
the explosive ammonium nitrate-fuel oil (ANFO) on the ground above an existing
tunnel at the site constructed for other research efforts. ANFO is commonly used
in mining and blasting operations, and the amount of explosive being used in the
experiment was selected to cause various levels of damage to the tunnel. The
experiment supports DoD’s Tunnel Target Defeat Advanced Concept Technology
Demonstration, which is intended to improve the military’s confidence in its
ability to plan to defeat hardened and deeply buried targets.
****By JINSA Editorial Assistant Jonathan Howland.
Syria to take 181 stranded Palestinian refugee -UN
GENEVA, April 25 (Reuters) - Syria has agreed to take in 181 Palestinian
refugees who have been stranded at the Iraq-Jordanian border for more than a
month after fleeing insecurity in Baghdad, the United Nations said on Tuesday.
"We are grateful that the Syrian government is offering a solution to the group
which has been camping since March 19 at Trebil border point, just inside Iraq,"
said William Spindler, spokesman at the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).It
was not yet clear when they would be moved to Syria, but the agency hoped for a
smooth transfer, he told a news briefing. The original group of 89 Palestinian
refugees, nearly half of them children, was joined by nearly 100 more refugees
over the last weeks, Spindler said.At the weekend, another 50 Palestinians
arrived at the Iraq-Jordanian border from Baghdad but were stopped at the Iraqi
side and were prevented from joining the group of 181, he added.
Jordanian authorities, fearful of a large influx from among the 34,000
Palestinian refugees estimated to be living in Iraq, closed the border after the
first busload of 89 Palestinians arrived. It remains closed to Palestinian
refugees, according to UNHCR spokeswoman Astrid ven Genderen Stort.UNHCR had
voiced concern over the fate of the refugees, who were staying in the harsh
desert climate in "pretty dire" conditions.It stood ready to assist the group,
who once in Syria will fall under the responsibility of the U.N. Relief and
Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), Stort said.
Jordan says Hamas leaders in Syria ordered attacks
Tue Apr 25, 2006
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More International News... Email This Article | Print This Article [-] Text [+]
AMMAN (Reuters) - Jordan said on Tuesday a group of Hamas militants arrested
last week were close to staging attacks inside the kingdom on orders from the
Palestinian group's Syrian-based leadership."Security interrogations with the
detained suspects had proven they received instructions to execute operations
from leaders of Hamas and specifically one of the military officials of Hamas
currently based in Syria," government spokesperson Nasser Joudeh told Reuters.
"They (the attacks) had reached a stage of implementation targeting
installations and people in Jordan," he added.
Joudeh, who did not disclose how many Hamas activists had been arrested last
week, said one of the detainees had led security officials to a hideout near the
border with Syria in northern Jordan where large quantities of weapons and
rocket launchers had been found. Jordan said last week that rocket launchers and
highly combustible explosives seized from a secret Hamas arms cache in the
kingdom had been smuggled from Syria, where the Palestinian militant groups'
exiled leadership is based.
Hamas denied the accusations, saying it has never targeted Jordan or any country
other than Israel.
U.S. ally Jordan has over the years accused Damascus-based radical Palestinian
groups opposed to Middle East peacemaking of either plotting attacks inside the
kingdom or trying to smuggle arms to launch attacks against Israel from its
territory.
A security official told Reuters that while they were concerned the activists
and the smuggled weapons had come from Syria there was no proof that Damascus
condoned such activities.
Hamas leaders have had a rocky relationship over the years with Amman, which
signed a peace treaty with Israel in 1994 and has strong security cooperation
with its western neighbor. Jordanian officials privately support U.S.-led
efforts to isolate the Hamas government diplomatically and financially unless it
embraces Middle East peacemaking.
Hamas's politburo chief Khaled Meshaal, a Jordanian citizen, was expelled in
1999 along with other leaders after a crackdown on the group following
accusations of illegal activities.
Meshaal who is the overall leader of the group along with leading Jordanian
members have been based in Syria since he was forced to leave Jordan. The
militant group has a large following in refugee camps across Jordan, a country
which hosts the largest number of Palestinian refugees outside the West Bank and
Gaza.
UN team interviews Assad over Hariri killing
By Khaled Yacoub Oweis- DAMASCUS (Reuters) - United Nations investigator Serge
Brammertz interviewed President Bashar al-Assad on Tuesday over Syria's alleged
role in the killing of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri, UN
officials said. The meeting was the first between UN investigators and the
Syrian leader since the UN inquiry opened last June into the killing of Hariri
and 22 others by a lorry bomb in February 2005. There was no immediate news of
how the interview had gone. "Two separate meetings took place, one with
President Bashar al-Assad and one with Vice President Farouq al-Shara," a UN
spokeswoman in Beirut said.
Syria has been gripped by economic and political uncertainty since a UN report
last year by Brammertz's predecessor, Detlev Mehlis, implicated senior Syrian
security officials in Hariri's killing and said Syria was impeding the inquiry.
Syria has denied involvement, and a follow-up report by Brammertz in March said
groundwork had been laid for better co-operation, though it did not clear the
Syrian authorities.
Western diplomats in Damascus said there was no direct evidence implicating
Assad, and that by meeting Brammertz he was signalling a willingness to
co-operate. But one diplomat said he doubted the talks would shed much light on
the killing.
Assad has said that any Syrian official found to have been involved in the
assassination will be tried by the Syrian legal system for treason. Anti-Syrian
Lebanese politicians say that under Syria's strict top-down system of
government, there could not have been Syrian involvement in the killing without
Assad's knowledge.
SINISTER IMAGE
Ibrahim al-Daraji, a law professor at Damascus University, said the meeting with
Brammertz, a Belgian prosecutor, would help dispel a sinister image of Syrian
rulers spread by enemies. "The fact that Brammertz is here shows that Syria has
no problem in seeking the truth about the Hariri killing and co-operating with
the inquiry," Daraji said. "The technical and political standards governing the
interviews remain a secret, but it is understood that Syrian sovereignty will be
respected."
Daraji said Assad had been expected to deny vehemently that he had threatened
Hariri during a meeting on August 26, 2004, in Damascus in which the extension
of Lebanese President Emile Lahoud's term in office was discussed.
"The president said publicly this was not true. It is simply not in his nature
to threaten anyone," Daraji said.
Abdel-Halim Khaddam, a former vice president who defected to Paris last year,
has accused Assad of threatening Hariri and of involvement in his murder. Before
his departure, Khaddam was a pillar of the political system. Hariri's killing
sparked anti-Syrian protests in Beirut and generated international pressure that
eventually forced Syria to pull its troops out of Lebanon after 29 years. UN
Secretary-General Kofi Annan is trying to establish an international tribunal
that would probably be based outside Lebanon to try suspects in the killing.
Four senior Lebanese security officials who were close to Syria were removed
from their positions and detained last year in connection with the murder.
(Additional reporting by Lin Noueihed in Beirut)
Al-Qaeda jihad vs US 'long war'
Analysis- By Paul Reynolds
World Affairs Correspondent, BBC News website
Osama Bin Laden. The tactics of jihad...
Monday's bombings in Egypt fit in with the philosophy of war laid out in a 7,000
word document by Osama Bin Laden which appeared recently in the form of an audio
tape. And in turn, the tape came within weeks of the publication in February of
the Pentagon's "Quadrennial Defence Review" which stated: "The United States is
a nation engaged in what will be a long war."
We therefore now have two almost simultaneous documents from the leading forces
in the war and they are worth comparing.
There will be those who say that any comparison is odious but no professional
intelligence officer I know would allow emotion to obscure analysis and it is on
that basis that I proceed. The most striking thing about the Bin Laden statement
is its wide ranging nature. One counterterrorism commentator, Walid Phares, of
the Florida Atlantic University called it a "state of the jihad address".
The struggles
The al-Qaeda leader lists about 20 struggles worldwide. It is important to know
what they are. Among his declarations:
There can be no apology for the Danish cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad, which
he dwells on at length. Instead he says those "responsible" must be punished and
he leaves no doubt as to what that should be
The West is at war with "our nation", defined as Islam as a whole, which amounts
to a "crusade"
The West's hostility towards Hamas is evidence of this crusade
The UN Security Council is a "crusader movement along with pagan Buddhism". The
Buddhists are represented by China in his view
Islamic fighters should resist any attempt by the West to cut Darfur off from
the rest of Sudan. He rejects the settlement with the South
Iraq is the central struggle. "The epicentre of these wars and attacks is
Baghdad"
The fight in Iraq is a "crusader-Zionist war against Muslims". So, too, are or
were the conflicts in Bosnia, Chechnya, East Timor, Somalia and Kashmir
He attacks France for banning the headscarf in school and the writer Salman
Rushdie is still "the infidel" He calls for the death of "Bush's lackey in
Pakistan", meaning President Pervez Musharraf
King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia is responsible for "submissiveness and
humiliation" The global war is not a clash of civilisations but an attack "by
their civilisation against our civilisation"
He condemns the use of Nato troops in Afghanistan The people in the West are as
guilty as their leaders. "War is a common responsibility among people and
government"
No dialogue is now possible with the West as it rejected his own offer of a
truce "after the withdrawal of their armies" Thus, Osama Bin Laden's manifesto.
He does not incidentally mention Egypt but has no real need to since Egypt has
always been a battlefield for al-Qaeda. It is evident that Bin Laden has lost
none of his determination in the years since 11 September 2001 ("the Manhattan
conquest"). His manifesto is characterised by absolutism. Even the fight in Iraq
is pitched in terms of protecting "monotheism", which is an implied rejection of
the Iraqi majority, the Shias, according to Islamic scholars.
Whether his gathering in of just about every known conflict involving Muslims is
a sign of his strength or a sign that he is trying to raise morale in sometimes
weakened forces remains to be seen. But his ambition remains undiminished.
The Pentagon approach Against this, the Pentagon is preparing its own plans.
These were partly revealed in the four-yearly document it is required to produce
looking ahead towards the next 20 years. The new document gives it own
definition of the struggle and it is also couched in global terms.
...against the long war of Donald Rumsfeld
"Since the attacks of September 11, 2001, our nation has fought a global war
against violent extremists who use terrorism as their weapon of choice and who
seek to destroy our free way of life. "Our enemies seek weapons of mass
destruction and, if they are successful, will likely attempt to use them in
their conflict with free people everywhere. Currently, the struggle is centred
in Iraq and Afghanistan, but we will need to be prepared and arranged to
successfully defend our nation and its interests around the globe for years to
come."
In his usual blunt style, Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld says in an
introduction: "Now in the fifth year of this global war, the ideas and proposals
in this document are provided as a road map for change, leading to victory."
The main points
The ideas and proposals are then listed in general terms. The principle is to
make the US armed forces more flexible and to shift the emphasis:
From a peacetime tempo - to a wartime sense of urgency From a time of reasonable
predictability - to an era of surprise and uncertainty From single-focused
threats - to complex challenges From nation-state threats - to decentralised
network threats From conducting war against nations - to conducting war in
countries we are not at war with (safe havens)
From large institutional forces (tail) - to more powerful operational
capabilities (teeth).
There is a lot more like this in the 92 page document. The practical effects are
going to be an increase in Special Forces and more US forces stationed in
perhaps smaller groups around the world, sometimes clandestinely and even
without the knowledge of local US diplomats. There will be more unmanned drones.
There will even be special teams trained to disarm nuclear weapons. The threat
of terrorists using weapons of mass destruction is partly what lies behind the
overall commitment.
Critics are already saying that the Pentagon will no doubt also demand the big
ticket items like new jet fighters and heavy equipment for the army. But the
thinking behind the review is to configure forces to better prevent or counter
the kind of surprise attacks launched by al-Qaeda and its network of networks.
What the review does not get into, because it is not meant to, is the place that
military tactics occupy in the wider strategy in such a long war. The document
does allude to this at the end by stating: "The United States will not win the
war on terrorism... by military means... simultaneous, effective interaction
with civilian populations will be essential to achieve success."
And of course the lesson from the Cold War is that it was not won by military
means, though military strength certainly played a key role. It was won by one
system collapsing.
**Paul.Reynolds-INTERNET@bbc.co.uk
Syria to admit nearly 200 Palestinians stranded on the
Iraq-Jordan border
25 Apr 2006
GENEVA, Apr 25 (UNHCR) – The UN refugee agency has welcomed an announcement by
the government of Syria to admit 181 Palestinians who fled Baghdad in terror
following death threats in mid-March. Since that time they have been stranded on
the Iraq-Jordan border, surviving in a makeshift camp, with supplies of food,
water and other relief items provided by UNHCR and non-governmental
organizations. "We have been trying to find various solutions for these
Palestinians and are now very grateful that the Syrian government is offering a
solution to this group," said Radhouane Nouicer, UNHCR's regional deputy
director in Geneva. The group will be accepted into Syria under the auspices of
the UN Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA), the organization set up to help
Palestinians in the Near East. "We are in close contact with UNRWA which is
responsible for Palestinians in Syria, and we are ready to offer assistance
where needed."
There are an estimated 34,000 Palestinians in Iraq, of whom 23,000 are
registered with UNHCR in Baghdad. Palestinian refugees came to Iraq in three
main waves – in 1948, in 1967 and in 1991. Under Saddam Hussein's regime, they
were provided with protection and assistance and enjoyed a relatively high
standard of treatment that some segments of the Iraqi population now consider
unfair.
Having faced death threats, intimidation and kidnapping in recent months, an
initial group of 89 Palestinians arrived at the border on 19 March to find
access into Jordan denied. The group, which was later joined by 93 more people,
has camped at the Trebil border crossing ever since.
"We are presently in touch with all concerned parties trying to support a smooth
and quick transfer of the group of 181 to Syria," said Nouicer. News of the
announcement from Syria has led to more Palestinians fleeing Baghdad to the
border in the hope that they too will be allowed entry. "But," Nouicer added,
"So far we have not been informed that additional groups of Palestinians will be
accepted into the country."
Late on Saturday night, a bus carrying 50 Palestinians arrived at the
Iraq-Jordan border. Iraqi border authorities did not initially allow them to
join the group of 181 already camped there. When the weather worsened, however,
the 34 women and children on the bus were allowed to temporarily shelter in the
makeshift camp, while the men were moved to a site further away but still in the
border area. "Over the past two days, our staff in Jordan and Iraq have made
every effort to allow the new arrivals to officially join the other group, but
have been unsuccessful so far," UNHCR spokesman William Spindler told
journalists at a regular briefing in Geneva. "We have been told by border
officials that they had not received any official information regarding the
admission of additional people into Syria. "The situation inside the Trebil
border camp is getting more and more difficult," Spindler continued. "Over the
weekend, strong winds and dust storms blew away several tents and temporary
infrastructure, such as latrines, and caused heavy damage to the camp."Spindler
added that UNHCR was continuing to work with the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq
(UNAMI) and the Iraqi authorities to improve the security situation and enhance
the protection of the Palestinians in the capital.
Nasrallah says Israel will soon release el-Kunter
By JPOST.COM STAFF-Apr. 25, 2006 9:39
Hizbullah terrorist Samir el-Kunter, imprisoned in Israel, will soon be
released, Hizbullah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah said Tuesday in a speech
marking 28 years since Kunter was jailed. Nasrallah added that his organization
would consider discussing its arms policy druing the international dialogue
taking place in Lebanon. Nasrallah also stated that not all Lebanese approve of
redrawing the border in the Shaba Farm area, Israel Radio reported.