LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
March 06/15
Bible Quotation For Today/Parable of
the Rich Man & his abundant Crops
Luke 12/16-21: "Then he told them a parable: ‘The land of a rich man produced
abundantly. And he thought to himself, "What should I do, for I have no place to
store my crops?" Then he said, "I will do this: I will pull down my barns and
build larger ones, and there I will store all my grain and my goods. And I will
say to my soul, Soul, you have ample goods laid up for many years; relax, eat,
drink, be merry." But God said to him, "You fool! This very night your life is
being demanded of you. And the things you have prepared, whose will they be?"
So it is with those who store up treasures for themselves but are not rich
towards God.’"
Bible Quotation For Today/let God be
proved true, as it is written, ‘So that you may be justified in your words
"Letter to the Romans 03/01-07: "What advantage has the Jew? Or what is the
value of circumcision? Much, in every way. For in the first place the Jews were
entrusted with the oracles of God. What if some were unfaithful? Will their
faithlessness nullify the faithfulness of God? By no means! Although everyone is
a liar, let God be proved true, as it is written, ‘So that you may be justified
in your words, and prevail in your judging.’ But if our injustice serves to
confirm the justice of God, what should we say? That God is unjust to inflict
wrath on us? (I speak in a human way.) By no means! For then how could God judge
the world? But if through my falsehood God’s truthfulness abounds to his glory,
why am I still being condemned as a sinner?"
Latest analysis, editorials from miscellaneous sources published on March
05-06/15
From Iraq to Syria: the Genocidal Ordeal of the Assyrians/By Joseph Yacoub/March
05/15
The Saudi king gave a prize to an Islamic scholar who says 9/11 was an
‘inside job/The
Washington Post/March 05/15
On Iran, Arabs deeply mistrust Obama/Michael
Young/The Daily Star/March 05/15
Netanyahu has created a zero-sum game with the U.S/David
Ignatius/The Daily Star/March 05/15
Syria's Iranization becoming real strategic threat for Israel/Israel
Ziv/Ynetnews/March 05/15
Lebanese Related News published on
March 05-06/15
Sigrid Kaag, the United Nations special coordinator for Lebanon: Hezbollah’s
Shebaa raid violated Resolution 1701
Salam Stresses Consensus Best Option in Decision-Making
Salam takes tough line with Cabine
Hezbollah: Netanyahu a fox in sheep’s clothing
Hezbollah brands Netanyahu a fox in sheep’s clothing
Lebanon heading for all-inclusive package deal
Lebanese Cabinet agrees to consensual decision making
Lebanese Cabinet back on course
Kahwagi denies personal political ambitions
Row erupts over jihadi arrested in Bekaa hospital
Hezbollah urges tighter state control in suburbs: report
Jumblat Snaps Back after Threat, Says PSP Backs Revolution against 'Terrorist'
Syrian Regime
Lebanese Army chief Jean Kahwagi denies personal political ambitions
N. Lebanon governor shuts down factory over emissions
ISF Arrests Top Fugitive Linked to ISIL
Report: Beirut Port Official to Visit Bkirki over Controversial Basin
Gemayel Lauds Salam's Role in Safeguarding Country, Criticizes Ongoing
Presidential Vacuum
Oil Exploration Awaits Political Consensus on Two Petroleum Decrees
Mashnouq Urges Aoun to become Consensual Candidate, Slams Lack of Responsibility
France to Deliver Weapons to Lebanon Soon under Controversial Arms Deal
Mazloum Says No Maronite Summit, Dialogue Should Only Serve Presidential Polls
Russian, Chinese 'Veto' Stopping Refugees from Returning to Safe Areas in Syria
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
March 05-06/15
IS 'Bulldozes' Ancient Assyrian City of Nimrud in Iraq
Knife-wielding attacker slashes face of US ambassador in South Korea
U.S. Ambassador Recovers from Knife Attack Praised by N. Korea
Military pressure may be needed to oust Assad: Kerry
U.S. sees positive Iran role in Tikrit battle
Saudi FM urges coalition to face ISIS challenge on the ground
Faisal Urges Anti-IS Ground Fight as Kerry Says 'Military Pressure May be
Needed' to Oust Assad
Regime strike kills 18 civilians in Aleppo clashes
An American administration with a grudge
Nusra Front’s top military brass killed in Idlib
France Says Assad 'Not Credible' Partner in Fight against IS
Rebels attack regime intel HQ in Aleppo
US and Iran reach “special understanding” over Tikrit offensive: sources
Rebels attack Aleppo security building, monitor says dozens killed
Tikrit operations cause 28,000 to flee: UN
Yemen: Hadi seeks transfer of international aid to Aden
Al-Qaeda affiliate in Syria may split from organization, fight ISIS: senior
opposition member
Egypt replaces interior minister in Cabinet
Libyan government to halt airstrikes for peace talks
Why Turkish pipeline project may harm Putin
Another Saudi Beheading Adds to 'Unprecedented' Pace
Jihad Watch Site Latest Reports
Islamic State bulldozed ancient Assyrian city of Nimrud
Robert Spencer in PJM: How The Western Intelligentsia Denies Islam’s History of
War and Crime
Muslim beheader invokes Quran 8:12 and 47:4 to justify beheading
Canada: Parliament Hill gunman invoked jihad in video minutes before attack
DoJ hires imam who said Ayaan Hirsi Ali deserved death for leaving Islam
Main U.S.-backed Syrian rebel group disbanding, joining jihadists
Boston Marathon jihad trial: defense attorney admits “It was him”
New York City public schools to have Muslim holidays off
Canada: Police arrest three Muslims over mall threat
California Muslim charged with trying to join the Islamic State
UK: Muslims arrested for conning elderly into funding jihadis’ trips to Syria
Sigrid Kaag, the United Nations
special coordinator for Lebanon: Hezbollah’s Shebaa raid violated Resolution
1701
Elise Knutsen/The Daily Star/Mar. 06, 2015
BEIRUT: Contrary to the Lebanese government’s position, the United Nations
believes that Hezbollah violated Security Council Resolution 1701 when it
attacked an Israeli convoy in the Shebaa Farms last month, a high-ranking U.N.
official told The Daily Star.
Hezbollah’s launching of anti-tank missiles from Lebanon, which resulted in the
death of two Israeli soldiers, “constitutes a serious violation of the cessation
of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel,” said Sigrid Kaag, the United Nations
special coordinator for Lebanon.
But Lebanese officials from both political coalitions insist Hezbollah did not
in fact breach the resolution. Kaag spoke with Hezbollah during and after the
crisis in January and the party told her that the attack on the Israeli convoy
was “a carefully calibrated operation” that did not violate Resolution 1701. She
added that the most recent Security Council report on the implementation of 1701
which has not yet been made fully public addresses violations by both Hezbollah
and Israel of the resolution. The report states that an investigation by UNIFIL
found that the Israeli army had fired 20 white phosphorous mortar shells into
Lebanon. Despite repeatedly claiming that the Israeli army will discontinue the
use of white phosphorus, which is restricted by international law, the toxic gas
is apparently still in use.
There is mounting concern that hostile language, “posturing, incidents or
accidents” may inadvertently lead to a renewed conflict between Hezbollah and
Israel, Kaag said. The international community has taken a “renewed interest” in
Resolution 1701 and will “look at opportunities where progress may be possible
or rather should happen,” Kaag said. She refused to specify, however, whether
she would lobby for an official designation of the Shebaa Farms, which the U.N.
claims is a disputed territory. When asked whether she would push for Israel’s
withdrawal from the Lebanese village of Ghajar, Kaag replied that “stability” is
valued by the parties involved. Israel has occupied the entire village, half of
which lies in Lebanese territory, since 2000. The United Nations has repeatedly
urged the Israeli government to withdraw its troops from the village. But Kaag
suggested that liberation was unlikely, at least for now, in order to maintain
calm along the border. Kaag, who assumed the position of special coordinator in
mid-January, said that the situation along Lebanon’s southern border figured
among the topics she discussed with Arab League chief Nabil Elaraby on a trip to
Cairo earlier this week. “Obviously I wanted to have Dr. Nabil Elaraby’s take on
the situation both on the south [and] eastern borders, a broader perspective so
to speak,” Kaag told The Daily Star. The international community must continue
to play an important role in helping Lebanon maintain stability, Kaag stressed.
At the Humanitarian Pledging Conference for Syria, which will be held in Kuwait
at the end of this month, Kaag will seek to “put Lebanon on the map again.”As
the crisis enters its fifth year, “donor fatigue” is a serious concern, Kaag
said, but Lebanon urgently needs international support to help manage the
refugee crisis, which has had an adverse effect on the country’s economy and
stability. Moreover, if Syrian refugees are pushed to desperation some may
follow “the path to radicalization and extremism.”International institutions are
looking into new ways to keep Lebanon afloat financially, Kaag added. As a
middle-income country with generally high social and development indicators but
struggling with a refugee influx, the “financial architecture” of institutions
like the World Bank needs to be flexible, she said. Echoing statements made by
U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon, Kaag condemned the participation of Lebanese citizens in
the Syrian conflict. There is “tremendous concern” that the Syrian conflict
might further spill over into Lebanon, she added.
The presidential vacuum, she said “normalizes an erosion of the institutions as
forseen by the Constitution and also by [the] Taif [Accord] ... [which] cannot
be good for Lebanon’s interests in the mid term or long term.”
Hezbollah brands Netanyahu a fox in
sheep’s clothing
The Daily Star/Mar. 06, 2015/BEIRUT: Hezbollah denounced Thursday Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech to the U.S. Congress as “disgusting” and
“hostile” and warned against advancing Israeli interests at the expense of the
American people. “What is disgusting is that Netanyahu stood there like a fox in
sheep’s clothing, calling on Iran to stop its aggressions in the Middle East,”
Hezbollah MP Hussein Musawi said in a statement released by the party’s media
office. Musawi described Netanyahu’s speech as “rich in its hostility toward the
Islamic Republic of Iran,” saying that it reflected the positions of “American
Zionist lobby groups.” Addressing the American people, the MP questioned how
they could accept a Congress that clearly served Zionist interests and turned a
blind eye to crimes against humanity committed by Israel. “More importantly, how
can this population accept the fact that Israel’s interests are secured at the
expense of the interests of American people?” he added. The MP also criticized
some Arab rulers, especially those in the Gulf, whom he claimed had made “a
friend” out of Netanyahu due to their shared hostility toward Iran.
Lebanese Cabinet agrees to consensual decision making
The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015/BEIRUT: The first Cabinet session in over two weeks
ended Thursday, with Prime Minister Tammam Salam declaring that a consensus
formula would replace the body's current decision-making mechanism. “Given the
exceptional circumstances resulting from the 9-month long presidential vacuum,
the consensus formula is given a priority in the constitution,” Salam said at
the start of the session, according to Information Minister Ramzi Joreige. Salam
stressed that a consensus-based decision making system remains as the “best
option” as long as it doesn't lead to disruption in Cabinet, Joreige added. The
information minister did not reveal any amendments to the current mechanism,
which requires unanimous support from all 24 ministers on Cabinet decisions, but
said that Salam would no longer “tolerate” disruptions resulting from a lack of
quorum. The prime minister also expressed hopes that Cabinet’s one year
anniversary would serve as an occasion for the government to reevaluate its work
in light of the presidential void, and reiterated the urgent need to elect a
presdient, Joreige said. Cabinet then proceeded to study delayed agenda items
that had been postponed due to the two-week pause in Cabinet’s work. The
three-hour long session ended with ministers agreeing on five regular agenda
items.
According to ministerial sources, the consensus formula, which was agreed upon
during Salam’s consultations with all blocs represented in the Cabinet, calls
for consensus to be the basis of the government’s work. If any minister objects
to a Cabinet decision relating to a non-exceptional matter and on which the
majority of political blocs agree, it will not be postponed but will be
approved, the sources said. They added that ministers who oppose any decision
can register their reservations, something that was not applied in previous
sessions before Salam suspended Cabinet sessions last month. In addition, the
deal calls for all items on the agenda to obtain prior consent from all major
political blocs so that they can be approved with the required speed, the
sources said. The agreement also calls on ministers to avoid using Cabinet
sessions as a platform for political duels, as was often the case in the past.
With regard to Cabinet decrees that need the president’s signature after they
have been signed by the prime minister, the relevant minister and the finance
minister, they would be presented to the ministers to sign them, the sources
said. If one or more ministers refused to sign, the Constitution would be
applied in this case, which means that the decrees would become effective after
15 days, the sources added.
IS 'Bulldozes' Ancient Assyrian City
of Nimrud in Iraq
Naharnet/The Islamic State group began bulldozing the ancient Assyrian city of
Nimrud in Iraq on Thursday, the government said, in the jihadists' latest attack
on the country's historical heritage. IS "assaulted the historic city of Nimrud
and bulldozed it with heavy vehicles," the tourism and antiquities ministry said
on an official Facebook page. An Iraqi antiquities official confirmed the news,
saying the destruction began after noon prayers on Thursday and that trucks that
may have been used to haul away artifacts had also been spotted at the site.
"Until now, we do not know to what extent it was destroyed," the official said
on condition of anonymity. Nimrud, which was founded in the 13th century BC,
lies on the Tigris around 30 kilometers (18 miles) southeast of Mosul, Iraq's
second city and the main hub of IS in the country. The destruction at Nimrud,
one of the jewels of the Assyrian era, came a week after the jihadist group
released a video showing militants armed with sledgehammers and jackhammers
smashing priceless ancient artifacts at the Mosul museum.
That attack sparked widespread consternation and alarm, with some archaeologists
and heritage experts comparing it to the 2001 demolition of the Bamiyan Buddhas
in Afghanistan by the Taliban. In the jihadists' extreme interpretation of
Islam, statues, idols and shrines are a corruption of the purity of the early
Muslim faith and amount to recognizing other objects of worship than God. The
group spearheaded a sweeping offensive last June that overran Nineveh province,
where Mosul and Nimrud are located, and swept through much of Iraq's Sunni Arab
heartland. Iraqi security forces and allied fighters are battling to regain
ground from the jihadists with backing from an international anti-IS coalition
as well as neighboring Iran. But major operations to drive IS out of Nineveh are
likely months away, leaving the province's irreplaceable historical sites at the
mercy of militants who have no regard for Iraq's past. SourceAgence France
Presse
Lebanese Army chief Jean Kahwagi denies personal political
ambitions
The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015/BEIRUT: Army Commander Jean Kahwagi said Thursday
that the military does not engage in political games, stressing that his actions
are not related to any personal interests or ambitions. “The Army is for all the
Lebanese, it will not be part of the political struggle or a tool for anyone,”
Kahwagi told Al-Mayadeen TV. “The Army is an institution of fighting and
discipline without political ambitions, and its leadership does not make secret
deals under the table.”Kahwaji played down rumors about his alleged “personal
demand for political and official posts in the government,” saying such
accusations are “nonsensical.”Kahwagi has often been touted as a potential
presidential candidate. Many army commanders have been elected to the presidency
in the past, most recently former presidents Emile Lahoud and Michel Sleiman.
Kahwagi also stressed that the Army has been forced into the battle with
terrorists and that it will be fought without any “political calculations.” He
highlighted the Army’s capabilities, saying its troops have the required
military skills to fight terrorism. “The central mission in this phase is
protecting Lebanon against any strife and confronting terrorism,” he said.
Kahwagi also said Arab and international actors were “serious” in their
intentions to confront terrorism, and thanked the United States and Jordan for
recent military aid packages to the Lebanese Army.
Lebanese Cabinet back on course
The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015 /Lebanon’s Cabinet appears poised to turn the
corner after months of internal bickering produced a state of paralysis.
Ministers from the various political factions are scheduled to convene Thursday
for what is hoped is a productive session, after leading political factions and
figures agreed that enough is enough. Yes, Baabda Palace has been without a
president for nearly a year, but this vacancy shouldn’t mean that the crucially
important executive body of the Cabinet should also disappear from the scene.
After a long series of meetings and discussions, the country’s politicians
appear to have realized that the standoff over the Cabinet should come to an
end, but they should remember how the conflict started – if they return to
attending meetings with the same mindset, the only prospect is further paralysis
and drift. The failure to elect a president is a huge blow to Lebanon’s
political system, but it’s the second such long spell of having no head of state
in less than a decade. The agenda of the Cabinet, where business touches on a
whole host of people’s “daily” issues and concerns, is more directly tied to the
welfare of the public. Every minister has the duty and the right to object to,
or express reservations about, the actions taken by the Cabinet, but this
doesn’t give them the right to paralyze the executive branch. In such cases, the
majority simply must carry the day, because obtaining the consent of 24 out of
24 ministers is a monumentally difficult task. With the Cabinet’s backlog of
business growing longer by the day, politicians simply must end the standoff as
soon as possible.
N. Lebanon governor shuts down factory over emissions
Antoine Amrieh/The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015/BEIRUT: North Lebanon’s Governor
ordered Thursday the closure of a peat-processing plant in the Koura district
after residents complained about its emissions and impact on agriculture.
Governor Ramzi Nohra, accompanied by security forces, raided the factory
overnight in the Koura village of Bziza. “The factory operated continuously
during the night to hide the great harm that it causes,” Nohra told The Daily
Star. “The factory violates health standards.” The governor explained that
factory, which extracts oil from peat, created emissions and odors that had
caused anger among the area’s residents. “This is why we observed closely how
this factory was being operated, and we saw that it lacks any health standards,”
he said. “It will be immediately closed.”
A bishop from the village expressed his gratitude for the decision, saying the
factory was originally erected against the will of the area’s residents. He
explained that the factory had also been causing health problems and
agricultural losses for the village’s farmers.
A municipality board member of Bziza told The Daily Star that the factory was
not licensed by the municipality when it was created in 2008. “The factory
received the license from former Industry Minister Ghazi Zeaiter directly,
without us knowing how it happened,” board member Sleiman Qassas said. “The
municipality was only notified about it [after].”Ghazi Zeaiter is the current
Minister of Public Works and Transportation. He is affiliated with the Amal
Movement, headed by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri.
ISF Arrests Top Fugitive Linked to ISIL
Naharnet/Police in the Bekaa Valley detained on Thursday an allegedly dangerous
terrorist linked to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). The
state-run National News Agency reported that Syrian national Hussein Ghurelli,
who is linked to ISIL in the Syrian Qalamoun, was detained in a hospital in the
Bekaa. The name of the hospital was not revealed. Ghurelli, according to NNA,
was being treated for an injury he sustained in his head during last week's
clashes in the northeastern border town of Ras Baalbek.
He also reportedly took part in the battles against the army in town of Arsal.
Last week, the army targeted militant posts on the outskirts of Ras Baalbek,
seizing two hilltop positions. The army frequently clashed with the militants in
their hideouts near the Syria border, targeting gunmen to prevent them from
advancing. The jihadists remain entrenched on the outskirts of Arsal on the
porous Syrian-Lebanese border. The mountainous area along the Lebanese-Syrian
border has long been a smuggling haven, with multiple routes into Syria that
have been used to transport weapons and fighters.
Mazloum Says No Maronite Summit, Dialogue Should Only Serve
Presidential Polls
Naharnet/Maronite bishop Samir Mazloum has denied that Bkirki was seeking to
hold a summit for the rival Christian political leaders but he called for
dialogue among different factions to focus on the election of a new president.
“There is no such thing at this current stage,” Mazloum told al-Joumhouria
newspaper published on Thursday about a possible summit among Free Patriotic
Movement leader MP Michel Aoun, Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea, the head of
Kataeb Party, former President Amin Gemayel, and MP Suleiman Franjieh, who is
the leader of Marada Movement. Mazloum reiterated Bkirki's call for the swift
election of a new head of state, blaming the vacuum at Baabda Palace on several
obstacles in state institutions. “A president should be elected as soon as
possible to rectify the state's affairs,” he stressed. Asked about the
resumption of cabinet sessions, the bishop said: “It is natural for the
government to resume its meetings and to do all it can to serve the people.”
Prime Minister Tammam Salam had suspended sessions, warning that he would not
invite the ministers for a meeting if they did not heed his call to amend the
controversial working mechanism that was adopted after the rival MPs failed to
elect a successor to President Michel Suleiman last year. Earlier this week, he
decided to call for a session on Thursday after the different factions agreed
for consensus to be the basis of the government’s work rather than the unanimous
support from all the ministers on cabinet decisions. But Mazloum said “nothing
has practically changed” after the deal among the ministers.
Asked about the dialogue among different factions, the bishop told al-Joumhouria
that Bkirki encourages talks. “But any dialogue or activity … would be short of
reaching its objectives if it is not in favor of electing a president.” He
expressed hope that the conferees would deal with the presidential elections as
the most essential issue on the agenda of their talks. Hizbullah and al-Mustaqbal
officials have been holding talks under Speaker Nabih Berri's sponsorship since
December. Christian rivals the FPM and the LF are also engaging in dialogue to
set the stage for a meeting between Aoun and Geagea. Both are presidential
candidates and their rivalry is among the reasons that has left the country's
top Christian post vacant.
Report: Beirut Port Official to Visit Bkirki over
Controversial Basin
Naharnet /The head of the Beirut Port Authority Hassan Qoraytem is expected to
visit Bkirki on Thursday to defend his decision to fill the controversial fourth
basin at the port, al-Joumhouria newspaper reported. The daily said Qoraytem
will hold talks with Bishop Boulos Sayyah, who is expected to reiterate to the
port official that Christian parties reject the filling of the basin. The plan
to fill it sparked controversy in December when the truckers syndicate went on
strike over fears that the project would cause hundreds of Beirut Port
employees, mostly truckers, to lose their jobs. The syndicate claims that the
filling of the basin would end the role of Beirut Port and would harm the
economy. The project will give more space to store containers. But there are
fears that transforming the Port of Beirut into a transshipment hub would direct
large vessels to the Port of Tripoli because the fourth basin will no longer be
able to accept big cargo ships. The truckers later ended their strike after
Prime Minister Tammam Salam said the work to fill the basin would freeze until
the issue was resolved. Bkirki has again hosted a meeting for the Christian
parties that reject the filling of the basin. The representatives of the Free
Patriotic Movement, Kataeb Party, the Lebanese Forces, Marada Movement and the
Tashnag said in a statement that their stance from the issue has not changed.
According to al-Joumhouria, their statement was aimed at refuting claims that
some of them had backed down from their position. The objective of the meeting
was also aimed at stressing that the work stoppage at the basin did not mean the
issue has been resolved, said the daily.
Gemayel Lauds Salam's Role in Safeguarding Country,
Criticizes Ongoing Presidential Vacuum
Naharnet /Kataeb Party leader Amin Gemayel expressed relief over Prime Minister
Tammam Salam's role in safeguarding the cabinet and the country's interests,
reiterating the importance of electing a new head of state. The Christian chief
described a meeting with Salam on Wednesday as relieving, noting that they
discussed all matters that concern the Lebanese. “We are in agreement,” Gemayel
said in comments published in al-Joumhouria newspaper on Thursday. Salam called
on the cabinet to resume meetings on Thursday after differences between the
ministers on the amendment of the mechanism prompted the premier to suspend
sessions in the past two weeks giving way for the cabinet members to reach an
agreement on the formula, which he wants it to be based on article 65 of the
constitution.
The current mechanism, which was adopted after the cabinet assumed the
prerogative of the president in accordance with the constitution, states that
ministers should give unanimous support to the government's decisions. But it
proved to be troublesome after some ministers resorted to veto power. Gemayel
remarked that he underlined during the meeting the importance of electing a new
head of state, who is the key to stability in Lebanon and the unity of
institutions. “In the absence of the president article 65 of the constitution
has no grounds and shouldn't be adopted,” Gemayel lamented. The article's clause
five says: “The legal quorum for a council meeting shall be a two-thirds
majority of its members. It shall make its decisions by consensus. If that is
not possible, it makes its decisions by vote of the majority of attending
members. Basic issues shall require the approval of two thirds of the members of
the government named in the decree of its formation.” The Kataeb chief
criticized the parliament, noting that it should only convene to elect a new
president, saying: “Some officials shouldn't act as if the presence or absence
of a head of state is the same.”“Priority is for electing a new president,”
Gemayel stressed, warning that adapting to the presidential vacuum is a “serious
and dangerous crime.”
Hezbollah urges tighter state control in suburbs: report
The Daily StarظMar. 05, 2015/BEIRUT: Hezbollah has pleaded for the government to
stop the spread of weapons in Beirut’s southern suburbs following a number of
armed clashes between local clans, local daily Al-Liwaa said Thursday. Citing
well-informed sources, the report said Hezbollah has informed concerned parties
that it can no longer bear the consequences of the proliferation of weapons in
the southern suburbs in the wake of clashes between the Jaafar and Zeaiter clans
in Burj al-Barajneh. Hezbollah, the report added, stressed that the government
was the only authority that could put an end to the spread of crimes and
contraband in the area. Al-Liwaa has also learned that Hezbollah participants in
the dialogue with the Future Movement have called for the implementation of a
speedy security plan for the Hezbollah-controlled suburbs, similar to the
crackdown on outlaws in north and east Lebanon. Interior Minister Nouhad
Machnouk reportedly informed Beirut MPs who visited him Wednesday that his
ministry has begun examining the logistics to put the southern suburbs’ security
plan into action. Security forces deployed for the first time in the Hezbollah
stronghold in September 2013 as part of a plan to replace checkpoints set up by
Hezbollah following a series of deadly car bombings that targeted the southern
suburbs.
Military pressure may be needed to oust Assad: Kerry
Agence France Presse/Mar. 05, 2015/RIYADH: Military pressure may be needed to
oust Syria's President Bashar Assad, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said in
Saudi Arabia Thursday. "He's lost any semblance of legitimacy, but we have no
higher priority than disrupting and defeating Daesh ... Ultimately a combination
of diplomacy and pressure will be needed to bring about a political transition,"
he told reporters, adding that "military pressure may be needed."
Daesh is an Arabic acronym for ISIS, which has seized swathes of Syria and Iraq.
Jumblat Snaps Back after Threat, Says PSP Backs Revolution
against 'Terrorist' Syrian Regime
Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat reiterated on
Thursday that his party backs the Syrian revolution against the terrorist regime
of President Bashar Assad after receiving threats from a Jordanian writer. “The
PSP holds onto its stable stance in support of the Syrian revolution against the
regime of terror, murder and threat against the Syrian people,” Jumblat said in
a statement, which he issued a day after al-Akhbar newspaper said the writer had
threatened the lawmaker. The unnamed journalist had reportedly said the mainly
Druze city of al-Swaida, which is located in southwestern Syria close to the
Jordanian border, “would be safeguarded politically and militarily by breaking
Walid Jumblat, the central connection in the plot.” The PSP chief described the
writer as one of the mouthpieces of the terrorist regime in Syria, which he said
is taking the country towards destruction. Jumblat stated that his party has not
interfered in Syria's war and was keen on having a comprehensive confrontation
by the people against the regime to protect the country's unity.
He said he reserved the right to take legal action against the writer “through
Lebanon's state institutions that were and will remain our only choice.” Jumblat
also urged Lebanon's different political factions “to reject all sorts of
instigation and accusations which Lebanon has played a high price for.”
Saudi FM urges coalition to face ISIS challenge on the
ground
Agence France Presse/Mar. 05, 2015/RIYADH: Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud
al-Faisal called Thursday on the U.S.-led coalition conducting airstrikes
against ISIS in Syria and Iraq to fight the jihadis on the ground. The kingdom,
part of the coalition, "stresses the need to provide the military means needed
to face this challenge on the ground," Faisal said during a press conference
with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry. Several Arab countries have joined the
air campaign against ISIS. President Barack Obama, anxious to avoid a drawn-out
ground war, has backed an air campaign but ruled out deploying boots on the
ground. Meanwhile, Faisal warned of Iran's growing role in Iraq, accusing the
Shiite-dominated Islamic republic of "taking over" its Arab neighbor through its
aid in the fight against ISIS.
"Tikrit is a prime example of what we are worried about. Iran is taking over the
country," Faisal said of the late Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein's hometown. The
U.S. military's top officer, General Martin Dempsey, said Tuesday that Iran's
help in an Iraqi offensive to recapture Tikrit could be "a positive thing"
providing it did not fuel added sectarianism. Sunni-dominated Saudi Arabia is
wary of the ambitions of its arch rival across the Gulf.
The Saudi king gave a prize to an
Islamic scholar who says 9/11 was an ‘inside job’
By Ishaan Tharoor March 4 /15/The Washington Post
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2015/03/04/the-saudi-king-gave-a-prize-to-an-islamic-scholar-who-says-911-was-an-inside-job/
Saudi King Salman, left, presented Zakir Naik, president of the Islamic Research
Foundation in India, with the 2015 King Faisal International Prize for Service
to Islam in Riyadh. (King Faisal Foundation via AFP)
Over the weekend, Saudi Arabia's King Salman awarded a prestigious prize to
Zakir Naik, a televangelist and religious scholar from India, heralding him as
"one of the most renowned non-Arabic-speaking promulgators of Islam." Naik, a
trained doctor, founded the Peace TV channel, which supposedly reaches an
audience of 100 million English-speaking Muslims. His popular YouTube stream
includes videos titled "Who is deceived by the Satan, Christians or Muslims?"
and "Does eating non-vegetarian food have any effect on the mind?"
Naik's creed is an expansive one. "Islam is the only religion that can bring
peace to the whole of humanity," he said in a video biography aired at the
ceremony.
The preacher is not short of controversy. His orthodox, Wahhabist views —
affiliated closely with the Saudi state — are polarizing in India, which is home
to a diverse set of Muslim traditions and sects. His conservatism has led him to
make statements endorsing the use of female sex slaves and allegedly expressing
sympathy for terrorists.
[Read: The facts, and a few myths, about Saudi Arabia's human rights record]
Earlier this year, hundreds of Sufi Muslims picketed a New Delhi event where
Naik was speaking, demanding his arrest and accusing him of propagating a
divisive, dangerous brand of Islam.
In a 2008 video, he claimed President George W. Bush was behind the Sept. 11
attacks. "Even a fool will know that this was an inside job," Naik said. Years
before, he appeared to offer tacit backing to terrorist masterminds such as
Osama bin Laden.
"If [Bin Laden] is terrorizing America the terrorist, the biggest terrorist, I
am with him," he said in one video. "Every Muslim should be a terrorist."
In a video in 2007, he talked about how "Jews are controlling America."
In 2010, Britain's government barred his entry into the country on grounds of
"unacceptable behavior."
Naik's supporters argue that his comments are taken out of context, and point to
the religious diversity of those in attendance at his mass public events.
Speaking to the New York Times earlier this week, he condemned the violence of
militants like those from the Islamic State, but not without a caveat. "I am
absolutely against Muslims who kill, but what is the U.S. doing?” Naik said,
citing civilian casualties amid U.S. campaigns in the Muslim world. "Is the U.S.
really bothered about human rights? No!"
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry arrived in Saudi Arabia late Wednesday to
consult with Salman on the status of negotiations with Iran, a Saudi foe. The
United States' close relationship with Saudi Arabia endures despite the
kingdom's horrific human rights record and its conspicuous role in helping
spread the views preached by Islamic supremacists such as Naik.
Naik, who has also been feted in the neighboring United Arab Emirates,
reportedly received a 24-karat gold medal from the Saudi king and a check for
$200,000.
From Iraq to Syria: the Genocidal
Ordeal of the Assyrians
By Joseph Yacoub
Posted 2015-03-05
Assyrians fleeing from Urmia, Iran in 1918 to escape the genocide by Turks.
(AINA) — The Assyrian-Chaldean community is facing dark times and a distressing
situation. These criminal attacks, these innocent kidnappings (more than 250
people, young people, women and older people are taken into captivity), the
forced exile of thousands of people (more than 3000 refugees in Hassake and
Qamishli) those martyred (more than 10 already) are a terrible shock to a
community that has endured in the past much suffering.A new tragedy and
collective extermination against the Assyrian-Chaldeans is once more unfolding
before our eyes in pain and blood in Syria, since Monday February 23rd,
following that of Iraq where the Nineveh province is still in mourning since its
invasion by the terrorist groups of the so-called “Islamic State”, one June the
10th and July the 17th of 2014.
With the destruction of historical monuments that date back more than 3000 years
of history and the demolition of churches and sanctuaries by a band of nihilist
obscurantists, the memory of a people and traces of a civilization, Mesopotamia,
one of the cradles of humanity, that holds a tangible and intangible world
heritage, is being erased.
These acts of vandalism have been vigorously denounced by the Director General
of UNESCO, Irina Bokova.
Early on the morning of Monday February 23rd, the ISIS terror befell the
Assyrian villages of Khabur, with the first persecutions having begun in
September, with the summing of removal of crosses from churches.
See attacks on Assyrians in Syria
See Timeline of ISIS in North Iraq
The irony is that these new victims, these worthy son of Hakkari, their
ancestral home, are precisely the children of the deported from Iraq massacres
of 1933, themselves survivors of the 1915 genocide in the Ottoman Empire.
Syria was the third country of refuge
They live in the northeast of Syria, since 1933, on the 2 banks of the Khabur
River in 35 villages between the towns of Hassake (which is my hometown) and Ras
al-Ain. It is with joy that I spent my childhood and youth between Hassake and
the Assyrian villages where I fed on the love of the Assyrian country and
learned the pride of belonging to this people.
Who are the Assyrians?
The documents of the League of Nations (SDN), which is the UN between the wars,
claim that the Assyrians were “driven from their mountains by Turkish forces” in
1915 and “took refuge in Urmia, Persia, that was, at the time, in the hands of
Russian troops.”
After 1915, a new tragedy occurred, the exodus of the Assyrian-Chaldeans of
Persia to Iraq on the 31st of July 1918. This terrible exodus is described in
these terms: “After traveling in the stampede 300 miles (480 km) towards the
south-east, with their families, their livestock and their property, the
Assyrians finally reached Hamadan, decimated by perpetual attacks of the Turks,
Kurds and Persians on all sides. Burned by the heat of the summer, ravaged by
typhus, dysentery, smallpox and cholera, the old and young, exhausted by fatigue
and fever, were abandoned on the roadside, and the dead and dying marked the
path to retreat. In the end, after losing 20,000 of them, the survivors reached
Hamadan and made contact with the British troops.”
Fifteen years after arriving in Iraq (1918-1933), they were again victims of
massacres that were at the time largely reflected by the international press,
namely French.
Yet when Iraq gained independence and was admitted to the League of Nations on
October 30th 1932, commitments were made to establish the Assyrians, who
originated in Hakkari, as a homogeneous ethnic unity and compact group. However,
the word “unit” was in the plural, thus maintaining the dispersion of the
people. At the time, three key ideas summarized their demands homogeneous
institution, administrative autonomy and right to collect taxes.
All efforts to establish the Assyrian unity had failed due to the resistance of
the Iraqi authorities. Therefore, it was before such a state of dispersion,
disunity and sloshing that the situation was becoming more and more critical.
Massacres took place in the village of Simmele and other localities in northern
Iraq in August of 1933, committed by the now independent Iraqi state.
They made state of 3000 victims killed in atrocious conditions. It was then that
a number of Assyrian mountaineers once again took the road on a forced exile to
Syria, where they were greeted and seated in the Khabur region by the French
authorities who then had the Mandate of Syria, entrusted by the League.
Villages cited as model
They built villages and developed agricultural land that lay fallow. They were
cited as a model of success and loyalty to Syria.
We can mention with pride the list of major Assyrian villages built with their
labor, estimated at 35, which is a microcosm and a reproduction that reminded
them of the Hakkari:
Um Gargan Arbouch Tal Tal Hormuz Damshesh Tal Tal Tal Tal Maghada, Kharita,
Alkeif Um, Um Waqfa Abu Tina, Qabr Shamiyeh, Baloaa Tal Tal Goran Shamiram Tal
Tal Jazirah, Talaa Tal Tal Najme, Hefian Tal Tal Nasri, Baz Tal Tal Jumaa,
Maghas Tal Tal Masas, Jadaya Tal Tal Tawil, Tamer Tal Tal Kepchi, Faidat Tal Tal
Ahmar Tal Ruman Tahtani Tal Ruman Fokani, Brej Tal Tal Sakra, Wardiate Tal Tal
Shamyeh.
The Khabur, a miniature of the Hakkari
What is extraordinary, from an anthropological and sociological point of view,
is that when they arrived in the Khabur, Assyrians reproduced the structures of
tribal organization, clan, family and religion prevailing since ancient times in
Hakkari.
Thus, Tal Damshesh was occupied by the people of Konak, called Qotchesnaye, a
village which was until 1915 the Patriarchal Headquarter of March Shimoun , the
Baznaye inTal Baz and Tal Ruman Tahtani, the Talnaye in Tal Tal, the Djeloaye in
Qabr Shamiye, the Tchalnaye in Tal Brej, the Gounouknaye in Tal Sakra and Qabr
Shamyeh, the Mazernaye in Tal Wardiate, the Deznaye in Tal Baloaa, the Gavarnaye
in Tal Goran and Tal Maghas, the Marbouchnaye in Tal Shamiram, the Halemnaye in
Tal Jumaa, the Barwarnaye in Tal Masas, the Ilynnaye in Tal Jadaya, the Tiaraye
in Tal Tamer, the Akernaye in Tal Kepchi the Mazernaye in Tal Ruman Fokani ….
The defense of their identity, ethnic, cultural and religious
This story is transmitted, since, as an intangible heritage through songs,
illustrated by folklore, perpetuated by many poems and literary productions.
Belonging to the Assyrian Church of the East, formerly called Nestorian, grouped
around their Patriarch (who lived in exile) and their leaders (the Maleks), they
built churches whose names recall their saints, those they worshiped the
country, as Saint Shalita, Saint Zaya, Saint Petion, Saint Guiwarguis, Saint
Sarguis, Saint Bichou …and every village is composed mainly of the tribe and
clan to which they belonged.
A knowingly planned strategy and a crime against humanity
Since the 23rd of February the situation has been extremely worrying, with
several villages like Tal Tamer, Tal Shamiram, Tal Tawil and Tal Hormuz attacked
by ultra radical Islamists, equipped with heavy artillery.
Misfortune has befallen this peaceful community that asks for nothing more than
its share of life and the right to dignity and respect. Fed by a political
ideology of hate, this is a strategy concerted and carefully prepared for the
goal of emptying the region of its Christian population, destabilizing, sowing
fear and spreading terror. Faced with these cruel and barbaric acts, it is
urgent to respond by taking concrete measures to break this passivity and
inconsistency in which the international community delights.
How did we reach this situation? What contempt of the human being and what
decline of civilization. This address was delivered at the event for the
Assyrians Khabur (Syria), in Sarcelles, Sunday 1 March 2015. Translated from
French by Maguy Chiha. Joseph Yacoub is Honorary Professor (Political Science)
from the Catholic University of Lyon. Views and opinions expressed in guest
editorials do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of AINA.
On Iran, Arabs deeply mistrust Obama
Michael Young/The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015
What was striking in Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech before the U.S. House of
Representatives Tuesday was how the Israeli prime minister exploited the Obama
administration’s ambiguities on the broader implications of a nuclear deal with
Iran.
While Netanyahu’s proposals for how to strengthen the nuclear accord are not
likely to be implemented, two issues he raised cannot be readily ignored by
President Barack Obama: How a deal might enhance Iran’s regional influence; and
whether regional wariness with a deal could spur nuclear proliferation. Iran’s
regional role is an issue that the U.S. has strenuously, and foolishly, sought
to separate from the nuclear discussions. This has alarmed the Gulf states – and
now Israel – who fear that a lifting of sanctions on Iran and a rapprochement
with the U.S. would facilitate Iranian expansionism. The Arab states understand
that the implications of a nuclear accord are mainly political. Having signed a
long-awaited arrangement with Tehran, the U.S. is unlikely to turn around and
enter into new conflicts to prevent it from widening its reach in the Arab
world.
Indeed, there are signs that the Obama administration would do precisely the
contrary. Obama, in a letter last October to Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei, effectively recognized Iran’s role in Syria by reassuring him that
coalition airstrikes against ISIS would not target Bashar Assad’s forces.
Moreover, by affirming the parallel interests of the U.S. and Iran in combating
ISIS, Obama defined a basis for regional cooperation with Tehran. It is
understandable that Netanyahu’s warning fell on deaf ears at the White House.
The relationship between Obama and the Israeli prime minister has been poor, and
Netanyahu’s refusal to advance in negotiations with the Palestinians suggests to
the Americans that relations with his government are a one-way street. For
Netanyahu to then personally lobby in Washington against a major Obama
initiative was the last straw. No wonder House Democrats were so withering in
their criticism of him.
But whatever Netanyahu’s duplicity, the questions he raised are the same ones
that many Arab states have, and to which Obama has offered no answers. Iranian
influence in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, the Palestinian territories and now Yemen, is
very real, and Tehran has spent years building it up, patiently and
deliberately.
Obama has explained his Iran policy poorly, and there is a growing sense that
this has been intentional. Why? Because Obama’s true ambition is to reduce
America’s role in the Middle East, and, to quote analyst Tony Badran, leave in
its place “a new security structure, of which Iran is a principal pillar.”
Because such a scheme is bound to anger U.S. allies in the region, Obama has
concealed his true intentions.
From the start the administration made it a primary goal to reorient American
attentions away from the Middle East, toward Asia. When the so-called “Arab
Spring” began, Obama ignored its potential benefits and sought to pursue
American disengagement. At every stage the administration worked to reduce the
American footprint, and where that was not possible, as in Libya and Iraq, to
define limited goals and share the burden with others. In absolute terms this
approach is defensible. But as Badran suggests the outcome may well be an
enhanced role for Iran, and this is something Arab states, not to mention
Israel, will have great trouble accepting. If Obama imagines that the best way
to advance his project is to keep mum about the outcome, he will see many more
reactions like Netanyahu’s before long.
The Israeli prime minister is correct about one thing: If the Arabs feel
threatened by an Iran that, ultimately, has the means of going nuclear, they
will respond in kind by trying to develop their own nuclear capability. This
would generate considerable instability and defeat the purpose of a nuclear
agreement now.
In many passages Netanyahu’s speech was over the top. His credibility has been
damaged by revelations that Israeli intelligence did not share his assessment of
Iran’s nuclear program. There are few leaders as shameless, as annoying, as
fraudulent. But that should not detract from the validity of some of his points.
While many in the region might accept Obama’s choice to avert war with Iran by
agreeing a nuclear deal, they see nothing reassuring in America’s vision of the
aftermath.
The reality is that Obama is deeply distrusted in the Arab world. He is not a
man who communicates much with Arab leaders or societies. His aversion to the
region’s problems is palpable. Nor is Obama a president who immerses himself in
the Middle East’s details. The extent of this was best illustrated by the fact
that he never considered appointing an envoy to coordinate with regional allies
over America’s position in the nuclear talks. Obama may get his deal with Iran,
but he has prepared the terrain so carelessly that the consequences may be quite
damaging. Iran is a rising power in a region where Arab states are
disintegrating. Agreeing with Iran, if that happens, will be the easy part. Much
tougher will be leaving in place a stable regional order. And given Obama’s
performance until now, no one is wagering much that the U.S. will succeed in
that.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR. He tweets @BeirutCalling.
Netanyahu has created a zero-sum game
with the U.S.
David Ignatius/The Daily Star/Mar. 05, 2015
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lobbied powerfully against a nuclear
agreement with Iran in a well-crafted speech to Congress Tuesday. The problem is
that he has now created a zero-sum game with the Obama administration, in which
either the president or the prime minister seems likely to come out a loser.
Playing for huge stakes two weeks ahead of the Israeli elections, Netanyahu gave
what may prove to be the defining speech of his career. He opened graciously
with praise for President Barack Obama, which made his critique of the
administration’s diplomacy all the stronger. He warned that the planned
agreement would create a “nuclear tinderbox” in the Mideast and “inevitably lead
to war.”
Netanyahu’s speech deepened his divide with the White House, where the
boisterous cheers for the Israeli prime minister on the floor of the House of
Representatives must have sounded like a rebuke. The speech has also created a
new dynamic that may put the Middle East even closer to the knife’s edge.
Consider the possible outcomes as the Iran negotiations head toward a March 24
deadline: Netanyahu could “win,” and convince Congress to derail the biggest
foreign policy initiative of Obama’s presidency. Or Obama could “win,” and push
ahead to conclude what Netanyahu characterized as “a very bad deal.” Either
outcome would traumatize U.S.-Israel relations and portend a poisonous final two
years for Obama’s presidency.
Two other hard landings are possible after Netanyahu’s high-wire performance.
Iran could balk at further concessions, walk away from negotiations and
accelerate its nuclear program – forcing the U.S. and Israel to consider
military action. Or Netanyahu, having bet his political future on the visit to
Washington, could lose in the Israeli elections on March 17. That defeat may be
less likely after Netanyahu’s deft presentation.
What’s least likely is that Tehran will bend enough to agree to Netanyahu’s
formula.
Netanyahu’s speech didn’t offer many new ideas, but a White House senior
official’s dismissal of it as “all rhetoric, no action” was overstated. Although
the Israeli leader clearly rejects the deal Obama is contemplating, he argued
that if the U.S. is determined to proceed, it should insist that the agreement
not terminate until Iran has abandoned its aggression in the region, halted its
terrorism and accepted Israel’s existence.
Obama hopes for just such an evolution toward postrevolutionary sanity in Tehran
over the decadelong duration of the planned agreement, and Netanyahu is right
that it would be good to put this in writing. But that would almost certainly be
a deal-breaker for Tehran.
Netanyahu invoked the poet Robert Frost’s “The Road Not Taken” in arguing that
at the approaching fork, there is one safe route. But both paths appear likely
to have dangerous obstructions.
The most obvious problem with an Iran deal is that it would create a new breach
with Israel. Washington and its allies would worry that Israel might take
unilateral military action against what Netanyahu has described as an
existential threat. A deal would also bring inevitable allegations that Iran was
cheating. This could trigger new rounds of sanctions legislation by the U.S.
Congress that could, in turn, lead Iran to argue that Washington was reneging –
and result in the pact unraveling.
An agreement would also, as Netanyahu warned, mean a new era of nuclear
proliferation in the Middle East, as Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Turkey sought to
achieve the same “nuclear threshold” status the pact would give Iran. When the
sunset of the agreement approaches roughly 10 years hence, and Iran is freed
from limits, the race toward nuclear capability would accelerate across the
region. As bad as the Mideast is now, it could get much worse.
The other path is the one where U.S. diplomacy fails. This could result from a
hardening of the U.S. or Iranian positions, from new sanctions legislated by
Congress, or simply the inability to bridge existing gaps. Here, again, greater
tension is likely – with U.S. and Iranian forces at dangerously close quarters
in the fight against ISIS militants in Iraq and Syria.
What Netanyahu did Tuesday was to raise the bar for Obama. Any deal that the
administration signs will have to address the concerns Netanyahu voiced. Given
what’s at stake in the Middle East, that’s probably a good thing. As
administration officials said at the outset of negotiations, no deal is better
than a bad one.
The Israeli prime minister’s speech, for all its divisive political
consequences, served to sharpen the focus on what a good deal would look like.
**David Ignatius is published twice weekly by THE DAILY STAR.
Syria's Iranization becoming real
strategic threat for Israel
Israel Ziv/Ynetnews
Published: 03.05.15/Israel Opinion
Analysis: If Iran succeeds in its plan to nationalize Golan Heights and gain
control of Damascus basin, Israel will wake up to a much more complicated
regional reality; tense relationship with US administration is making things
even more difficult.
As the nuclear agreement between Washington and Tehran takes shape, and as Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attempts to thwart it, we should not underestimate
the importance of the situation in Syria, which is not only exacting a bloody
toll at a rate of more than 100 people a day, but is also becoming a strategic
threat to Israel which is just as serious as the Iranian threat. Iran is fully
taking the reins over the situation in Syria. The Iranians are working closely
with President Bashar Assad, citing the "need to protect him." In practice, not
a single military decision is implemented without them. Iran no longer trusts
Hezbollah, whose performance so far has produced insufficient achievements.
The Revolutionary Guards commanders have taken command of the Golan Heights
front down to the southern city of Daraa. Over 10,000 Shiite volunteers from
Iran, Iraq and Afghanistan have been sent to Syria to fill the ranks and curb
the rebels' major Sunni offensive towards Damascus.
This is all happening of course over the dissolving Syrian army's head and over
Assad himself, who is turning into a puppet counting down its days and watching
its lost country.
Israel is watching the Iranization taking place about 10 kilometers from its
border with great concern. Iran is in fact taking the place of the enemy from
Damascus, which has been Israel's "most convenient" enemy for four decades.
Washington, which wants to reach a nuclear agreement at almost all costs, is
turning a blind eye. Moscow, which has already given up on Assad and has come to
terms with the fact that it will likely never see the money for the weapons it
supplied him with, is completely shutting its eyes.
Iran is implementing an extremely realistic strategy and taking advantage of the
American disorientation in the area. It's already clear that the Western
coalition's response is too little, too late. The United States is sticking to a
tactic of dismantling the Islamic State by adding more and more force, but is
completely blind to the changes in the balance of power in the region. The US is
in fact supporting the transfer of control over Damascus to the Iranians for a
shaky nuclear agreement, for a bargain price: Two (Damascus plus Yemen) for the
price of one.
The Islamic State is only expanding its wingspan. While the Americans are
striking in northern Iraq, ISIS has already expanded its activity to 10 other
countries in the world, including north and east Africa, Yemen, Afghanistan,
Pakistan, Indonesia, etc.
US President Barack Obama refuses to acknowledge the existence of radical
Islamic terror ("there is Islam, and there is terrorism…") and chooses to ignore
the fact that the Sunnis' Islamic war against the Shiites is an established
fact. But ISIS is gaining power and influence and growing stronger in a
geometric series as a fanatic religious and viral phenomenon. Even the attempt
to prevent ISIS from gaining control of Libya is being led by Egypt today, not
by any of the Western countries.
While Israel is concerned about the Iranian expansion to its northern border,
the tense relationship with the White House is making things very difficult.
Will the prime minister's Congress speech, over Obama's head, really stop the
agreement or only encourage it? That's unclear. But it will definitely not
advance the strategic understandings with the administration in Washington,
which Israel must reach at this time. And this is a much urgent matter than the
extent of the supervision over the nuclear program in 10 years from now.
Israel must carefully monitor the developments. On the one hand, we should avoid
getting entangled in a war we're not part of. But on the other hand, if Iran
succeeds in its plan to nationalize the Golan and gain control of the Damascus
basin, Israel will wake up to a new regional reality which will be much more
complicated than Hezbollah – a direct and broad Iranian front which Israel has
yet to experience.
Major-General (res.) Israel Ziv served as head of the Operations Directorate
branch in the IDF's General Staff.
Netanyahu Has Reasons To Be Worried
Dennis Ross/USA Today
March 4, 2015
Washington has left too many questions unanswered in a possible nuclear deal
with Iran.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a strong case to the Congress about why
he thinks the potential agreement with Iran on its nuclear program is a "very
bad deal." Leaving aside his fears that lifting sanctions will provide Iran more
resources to pursue trouble-making in the Middle East, the prime minister
worries that a deal that permits Iran to be a threshold nuclear state will not
prevent it from acquiring nuclear weapons but actually pave the way for it to do
so.
Netanyahu believes that the break-out time for producing weapons-grade uranium
will inevitably be too short -- indeed, less than the year President Obama
speaks about -- and that inspections of the Iranian program will necessarily be
too limited and, in any case, promise no action in the face of violations.
Worse, Iran will be treated like Japan or the Netherlands after the agreement
expires in 10-15 years, permitting it to build tens of thousands of centrifuges
and enabling it to produce a weapon at a time of its choosing.
Accepting the mantra that "no deal is better than a bad deal," Netanyahu offers
the alternative of insisting on better terms and increasing the pressure on the
Iranians until a more credible agreement is reached. He does not fear the
Iranians walking away from the negotiating table because, in his words, they
need the deal more than the U.S. and its partners.
While the Obama administration is unlikely to accept his argument that it should
simply negotiate better and harder, it should not dismiss the concerns he raises
about the emerging deal. Indeed, the administration argument that there is no
better alternative than the deal it is negotiating begs the question of whether
the prospective agreement is acceptable.
And, here, the administration needs to explain why the deal it is trying to
conclude actually will prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons for the
life-time of the agreement and afterwards. It needs to explain why the
combination of the number and quality of centrifuges, their output, and the
ship-out from Iran of enriched uranium will, in fact, ensure that the break-out
time for the Iranians will not be less than one year. Either this combination
adds up or it does not, but there should be an explicit answer to Netanyahu's
charge that Iran will be able to break-out much more quickly.
Similarly, there should be an answer on how the verification regime is going to
work to ensure that we can detect, even in a larger nuclear program, any Iranian
violation of the agreement. The issue of verification is critical not just
because Iran's past clandestine nuclear efforts prove it cannot be trusted but
also because the administration has made a one year break-out time the key
measure of success of the agreement. But we can only be certain that Iran will
be one year away from being able to produce a bomb's supply of weapons-grade
uranium if we can detect what they are doing when they do it.
Obviously, detection is only part of the equation. We cannot wait to determine
what we will do about violations when they happen. Iran must know in advance
what the consequences are for violations, particularly if we want to deter them
in the first place. And this clearly goes to the heart of Netanyahu's concerns:
if he had high confidence that we would impose harsh consequences in response to
Iranian violations, including the use of force if we caught Iran dashing toward
a weapon, he would be less fearful of the agreement he believes is going to
emerge.
But he does not see that, and he fears as with past arms control agreements that
we will seek to discuss violations and not respond to them until it is too late.
So the administration should address this fear and prove it means what it says
by spelling out different categories of violations and the consequences for each
-- and then seek congressional authorization to empower this president and his
successors to act on these consequences.
If applied also to Iranian moves toward a nuclear weapon after the expiration of
the deal, the administration would truly be answering the most significant of
the concerns that Netanyahu raised. Maybe then, this episode of U.S.-Israeli
tension would be overcome.
**Dennis Ross, the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The
Washington Institute, served as a senior Middle East advisor to President Obama
from 2009 to 2011. This article was made possible in part by support from the
Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.