LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
April 11/15
Bible Quotation For Today/Jesus
breathed on them and said to them, ‘Receive the Holy Spirit.
John 20/19-25: "When it was evening on that day, the first day of the week, and
the doors of the house where the disciples had met were locked for fear of the
Jews, Jesus came and stood among them and said, ‘Peace be with you.’ After he
said this, he showed them his hands and his side. Then the disciples rejoiced
when they saw the Lord. Jesus said to them again, ‘Peace be with you. As the
Father has sent me, so I send you.’When he had said this, he breathed on them
and said to them, ‘Receive the Holy Spirit.If you forgive the sins of any, they
are forgiven them; if you retain the sins of any, they are retained.’ But Thomas
(who was called the Twin), one of the twelve, was not with them when Jesus came.
So the other disciples told him, ‘We have seen the Lord.’ But he said to them,
‘Unless I see the mark of the nails in his hands, and put my finger in the mark
of the nails and my hand in his side, I will not believe."
Bible Quotation For Today/See
to it that no one takes you captive through philosophy and empty deceit,
according to human tradition
Letter to the Colossians 02/08-15: "See to it that no one takes you captive
through philosophy and empty deceit, according to human tradition, according to
the elemental spirits of the universe, and not according to Christ. For in him
the whole fullness of deity dwells bodily, and you have come to fullness in him,
who is the head of every ruler and authority. In him also you were circumcised
with a spiritual circumcision, by putting off the body of the flesh in the
circumcision of Christ; when you were buried with him in baptism, you were also
raised with him through faith in the power of God, who raised him from the dead.
And when you were dead in trespasses and the uncircumcision of your flesh, God
made you alive together with him, when he forgave us all our trespasses, erasing
the record that stood against us with its legal demands. He set this aside,
nailing it to the cross. He disarmed the rulers and authorities and made a
public example of them, triumphing over them in it."
Latest analysis, editorials from miscellaneous sources published on April
10-11/15
Stones from glass houses/The Daily Star/April
10/15
Obama's Iranian attraction, Netanyahu's repulsion/Nahum Barnea/Ynetnews/April
10/15
There is No "Better Deal" with Iran/Efraim Inbar/BESA Center
Perspectives/April 10/15
Why the Lebanese scenario won’t work in Yemen/Amir
Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/April 10/15
An apology from Lebanon is not enough/Salman
Aldossary/Asharq Alawsat/April 10/15
Contradictions in Obama’s Doctrine/Abdulrahman
Al-Rashed/ASharq Alawsat/April 10/15
Obama is always wrong on the Middle East/Tariq
Alhomayed/ASharq Al Awsat/April 10/15
Lebanese Related News published on April
10-11/15
Inside the Middle East: Palestinians in Syria lose respect for Hezbollah
Geagea-Aoun talks make good progress
Berri Says Dialogue between Mustaqbal, Hizbullah Ongoing
'Iran helping Hamas, Hezbollah build fleet of suicide drones
Iran not trusted to uphold deal by most in the US, NBC poll finds
Security source: Lebanon forces kill ‘militants,’ arrest cleric
Security Forces Arrest Hoblos, Kill Fugitives in Tripoli
Salafist sheikhs question killing of Tripoli militants
Rifi to Raad: Those Criticizing Usurpation of Yemenis' Will Have Condemned
themselves in Syria
Raad Responds to Hariri: Only Cowards Remain Silent over Saudi's Genocide of
Yemenis
Two Syrians Arrested for Belonging to al-Nusra Front
Health Ministry Anti-Corruption Campaign Shuts Beauty Clinic, Daycares
French Defense Minister Arrives in Beirut on April 20 to Oversee Arms Delivery
Sarmadi Meets Nasrallah, Says Presidential Deadlock Requires Lebanese Consensus
Customs Foil Operation to Smuggle Two Tons of Drugs to Egypt
Maid survives apparent 4-story suicide leap
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
April 10-11/15
Argentina to publish Israel embassy bombing docs
Saudis says no to Swedish monkeys over spat
Rouhani issues nuclear deal terms
Germany says in Iran's hands when sanctions will be lifted
Iran, Saudi Arabia in tense buildup opposite Yemen’s Gulf of Aden shore: US air
tankers refueling Saudi jets
Pakistan Parliament Rejects Saudi Call to Join Yemen Coalition
Syria Talks in Moscow Yield no Results
Syria Opposition Figures Seek to Form Alternative Body
Obama, Castro to Break Bread at Historic Summit
Ban: Yarmouk the deepest circle of hell
PLO Rejects Idea of Joining Yarmuk Fighting
71 Chadian soldiers killed fighting Boko Haram: army
Clinton to join US presidential race this weekend: reports
Jihad Watch Latest News
Iranian city bars Christians from celebrating Easter in churches
Syria: Female jihadis screaming “Allahu akbar” set up jihad training camp in
world’s oldest Byzantine church
Poll: More than half of Americans have unfavorable view of Islam
Kansas: Muslim charged with jihad plot to bomb Fort Riley for the Islamic State
Islamic State stones man to death for being gay
Finnish parliament cancels free speech event featuring Muhammad cartoonist Lars
Vilks over security concerns
Australia Muslim leader: Muslims join jihad because “blood is boiling” over
domestic persecution & West’s atrocities
Leftist feminists’ abandonment of women under Islam — on The Glazov Gang
US Muslim: “Cursed secular laws are worse than the laws of Islam”
The Burning Coals Of Hatred
By: Elias Bejjani
April 10/15
(1 Samuel 24/12): "May the LORD judge between you and me. And may the LORD
avenge the wrongs you have done to me, but my hand will not touch you”
Both the Hebrew and Greek words translated “vengeance,” “revenge,” and “avenge”
have as their root meaning the idea of punishment. This is crucial in
understanding why God reserves for Himself the right to avenge. Believers should
refrain from acts of revenge and let God do His work. In both the New and Old
Testament God asks us to leave the revenge issues for him.
(Deuteronomy 32/35): "To me belongeth vengeance and recompense; their foot shall
slide in due time: for the day of their calamity is at hand, and the things that
shall come upon them make haste". (Deuteronomy 32/36): "For the LORD will
vindicate His people, and will have compassion on His servants, when He sees
that their strength is gone, and there is none remaining bond or free." ".
It is a known fact that the severance of communication between people is a form
of death and an evil readymade formula for bloody and destructive
confrontations. When people cease to communicate with each other because of
hostility, hatred, resentment, stupidity, ignorance, lack of faith, pompousness
or fear of confrontation they simply abandon God Himself because in the
beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God
(John1-1).
How could anyone who alleges to be religious and to fear God, allow himself to
assume God's work and judge others based on his/her own concepts and self made
criteria for what is right and wrong, and simply put them on trial and issue
verdicts against them? He who does so does not really understand Christ's
teaching which said: "Don’t judge, so that you won’t be judged, for with
whatever judgment you judge, you will be judged; and with whatever measure you
measure, it will be measured to you (Matthew 7/1-2). Those who unlawfully give
themselves this Godly right Christ calls them hypocrites.
When two individuals speak two different languages that neither of them
comprehends no actual communication takes place. One of them has to learn the
other's language in a bid for the communication to be productive and a two-way
one, or otherwise they keep on speaking an incomprehensible Babylonian language.
In this same context righteousness and evilness are two different human
qualities with two contradicting frames of mind and mentalities. Those who
abandon love, become dominated by hatred, hold grudges, judge others, cease to
communicate speak the language of Satan, while those who believe in God and know
that He is love, speak His language of problem solving, mercy, openness,
consoling, forgiveness and meekness. (Paul's First Letter to the Corinthians
13/1-3): "If I speak with the languages of men and of angels, but don’t have
love, I have become sounding brass, or a clanging cymbal. If I have the gift of
prophecy and know all mysteries and all knowledge; and if I have all faith, so
as to remove mountains, but don’t have love, I am nothing. If I dole out all my
goods to feed the poor, and if I give my body to be burned, but don’t have love,
it profits me nothing."
A proven devastating fact that is often ignored by the conceited, selfish,
stubborn, childish, opinionated and stupid is that dire consequences occur when
two parties become possessed with hostilities. They turn into rivals and speak
the language of Satan. These two parties fall prey to a vicious cycle of
hostilities and an endless cycle of retaliations. (John12/40): “He has blinded
their eyes and he hardened their heart, lest they should see with their eyes,
and perceive with their heart, and would turn, and I would heal them.”.
Impulsivity and anger are common human traits through which one loses control
and acts stupidly without thinking of the dreadful consequences. We all know for
sure that it does not take much of an effort to hate, despise, resent, act
evilly or hold grudges against others, particularly those with whom we might
have serious or crucial problems and conflicts with.
At the same time, it is very primitive to act violently and take revenge by
physical or emotional means against those who one believes have inflicted pain
on him or unlawfully took what is his by force or fraud.
"We should aim in all our desires and expectations of deliverance, both from sin
and trouble, that we may do the better service to the Lord; that we may serve
Him without fear. If His grace has delivered our souls from the death of sin, He
will bring us to heaven, to walk before Him forever in light." (Matthew Henry:
56:8-13)
Meanwhile, to love and forgive is a very difficult task to do. The matter needs
a great deal of self control, anger taming, and nobility not to react with
revenge against those who confront us with hatred, grudges and evilness,
especially when they purposefully hurt us and infringe on our rights, property,
and beloved ones. (Matthew 5/44): "But I tell you: Love your enemies and pray
for those who persecute you."
A well know Lebanese proverb says: "when in the woods if you are not a lion,
lions will devour you". Yes, this is 100% right if we were animals, but we are
not and the wood's doctrine, "the stronger eats the weaker", does not apply to
human beings. Why it does not? Simply because we are God's children and He has
created us in His image and we must act accordingly (Genesis 1/27): "So God
created man in His own image, in the image of God created He him; male and
female created He them."
Our conduct ought to be righteous and not evil, civilized, peaceful, loving and
shaped in a human and not in an animal manner. As God's children we are taught
to love and not to hate, especially those to whom we see as enemies, and pray
for those who persecute us. (Luke 6/27): "But I say to you who hear, love your
enemies, and do good to those who hate you."
As God's Children, we are not supposed to take revenge no matter what, but
instead forgive and leave the vengeance for God. (Romans 12/19): "Do not take
revenge, my friends, but leave room for God's wrath, for it is written: "It is
mine to avenge; I will repay, says the Lord". (Leviticus 19/18): "'Do not seek
revenge or bear a grudge against one of your people, but love your neighbor as
yourself. I am the LORD". (Nahum1/2): "The LORD is a jealous and avenging God;
the LORD takes vengeance and is filled with wrath. The LORD takes vengeance on
His foes and maintains His wrath against his enemies." As devoted believers, we
are required to leave the work of judgment for the rulers and courts even if we
feel they are biased and unfair. God Himself will punish them if they do not
fear Him and not perform their duties with justice. (1Peter 2/13-14): "Submit
yourselves for the Lord's sake to every authority instituted among men: whether
to the king, as the supreme authority, or to governors, who are sent by him to
punish those who do wrong and to commend those who do right.”
(Hebrews 10/30): "For we know him who said, “vengeance is mine; I will repay.”
And again, “The Lord will judge his people.”
There is no doubt that in this contemporary competitive and merciless society
that we live in, self defense and protecting oneself and one’s interests is a
lawful right, because the law does not protect those who are stupid. Self
defense needs a great deal of wisdom, understanding and restraining of physical
abilities by spiritual attainment. This simply means that the one who has the
ability to bring great harm doesn’t mean he or she needs to use it for more than
is required for self defense. Just because we can break someone’s arm, doesn’t
mean we need to use that ability. Just because we have a gun doesn’t mean we
need to fire on someone who breaks into the home.
Psalm 94/: "1 O LORD, the God who avenges, O God who avenges, shine forth"
The question is, when we are hurt do we have to act on our revenge impulses?
Some say by taking revenge, a man is but even with his enemy; but in passing
over it, he is superior.
Those possessed with hatred and grudges suffer the most. They sit on unseen
burning coals that make them continuously sad, angry, hostile, miserable,
unsocial and vindictive.
Let us trust in Almighty God, fear no one but Him, and beg Him to cure us from
all ailments of hatred, grudges and hostilities
Psalm 56/11: "In God I trust; I will not be afraid. What can man do to me?
French Defense Minister Arrives in Beirut on April 20 to
Oversee Arms Delivery
Naharnet/French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian is expected to kick off a
two-day visit to Lebanon later this month to oversee the delivery of French arms
to Lebanese military under a Saudi financed deal. According to An Nahar
newspaper, Le Drian will arrive in Beirut on April 20 to attend a ceremony on
the delivery of the first shipment of $3 billion worth of weapons to the army.
He will hold talks with prominent Lebanese leaders, including Speaker Nabih
Berri, Prime Minister Tammam Salam and Army Commander General Jean Qahwaji. The
daily said that French authorities formally informed its Lebanese counterpart of
Le Drian's visit. Saudi Arabia and France inked the deal in Riyadh in November.
The deal also includes training programs for the Lebanese army run by the French
military. It aims to boost Lebanon's military as it struggles to contain the
rising tide of violence linked to the civil war in neighboring Syria. Saudi
Arabia last year announced it would give the Lebanese army $3 billion to
purchase weapons and equipment from France, but that deal has yet to be fully
implemented. In August, the kingdom offered another $1 billion in funds to allow
the army to purchase supplies immediately.
Rifi to Raad: Those Criticizing Usurpation of Yemenis' Will
Have Condemned themselves in Syria
Naharnet/Justice Minister Ashraf Rifi criticized Hizbullah's Loyalty to the
Resistance bloc chief MP Mohmmed Raad's response to Mustaqbal Movement leader MP
Saad Hariri over the developments in Yemen and Iran's role in the region,
reported the daily al-Mustaqbal on Friday. He said: “Those speaking against the
usurpation of the will of the Yemeni people have condemned themselves in
supporting the actions of the Syrian regime, which has destroyed its cities and
villages on its residents.”
“Those who consider the condemnation of Saudi Arabia as a national,
constitutional, humanitarian, and moral commitment are up to their ears in the
developments in Syria, which is witnessing the worst humanitarian massacre in
the history of people demanding their freedom and dignity,” the minister added.
“Hizbullah, through Raad's statement, is right in saying that intelligence lies
in learning from experiences and avoiding repeating the same mistakes.
Cleverness lies in avoiding transforming people into fuel for the dreams of an
empire that is obsessed with fragmenting Arab entities and seizing control of
their capitals,” Rifi stressed in reference to Hizbullah's main ally Iran and
its regional ambitions. “He is also right in saying that the Mustaqbal Movement
and Hizbullah have strategic differences in that the movement searches for the
future, while you return to the past without learning from history's lessons,”
he remarked. “Hizbullah has added to its black record under the tutelage of Iran
a new characteristic that would not have emerged had it not been for the
Saudi-led Decisive Storm military operation in Yemen that is aimed at saving it
from the clutches of the delusions of the Persian empire,” he continued.
“Hizbullah is playing the role of the obedient pawn in Iran's hands. Iran is
orchestrating the battles of influence in the Arab world through the party, its
Huthi brothers, Syrian regime, and sectarian majority in Iraq,” he said. “The
attack against Saudi Arabia was caused by its mission to preserve the
sovereignty of Yemen against Hizbullah's Huthi brothers who seek to repeat the
actions of May 7 in Sanaa and Aden,” he noted.
He was referring to the May 7, 2008 clashes that erupted when gunmen belonging
to Hizbullah and its allies swept through Beirut’s neighborhoods after the
government of then Premier Fouad Saniora decided to dismantle the group's
telecom network and sack airport security chief Brig. Gen. Wafiq Shqeir. Raad
condemned on Thursday Hariri's recent remarks against the criticism directed to
Saudi Arabia, saying that linking Iran to the developments in Yemen and Lebanon
are a “major mistake.” “Only ignorants and cowards remain silent over Saudi
Arabia's genocide in Yemen,” he stressed. “Condemning the Saudi intervention in
Yemen and its military aggression against its land, army, and people is a
national, constitutional, humanitarian, and moral commitment that should rein in
the aggressors, warn them of the dangerousness of their actions, and steer
developments towards a peaceful solution to the crisis.” declared Raad. Hariri
on Wednesday had slammed Iran's expansionist plans in the region, defended Saudi
Arabia, and attempts to link Lebanon to the neighboring conflicts.
Raad Responds to Hariri: Only Cowards Remain Silent over
Saudi's Genocide of Yemenis
Naharnet/Head of Hizbullah's Loyalty to the Resistance bloc MP Mohammed Raad
criticized on Thursday Mustaqbal Movement leader MP Saad Hariri's positions on
the Saudi-led airstrikes on Yemen, saying that linking Iran to the developments
in Yemen and Lebanon are a “major mistake.”He said in a statement: “Only
ignorants and cowards remain silent over Saudi Arabia's genocide in Yemen.”“We
call on Hariri and all of his advisors to listen to their conscience and revise
their policies, especially since it appears that the so-called Saudi-led
Decisive Storm operation is reaching a dead end,” he added. “They should instead
focus on avoiding destroying Lebanon and avoiding stirring sectarian tensions,”
he said, while emphasizing the importance of coexistence in confronting
challenges. Furthermore, Raad noted that the Mustaqbal Movement and Hizbullah
have long had differing views over local and regional developments, adding
however that the differences will not deter the party from continuing the
dialogue with the movement. “We understand the sensitive position that Hariri is
in during this moment given the criticism directed against the Saudi Arabian
leadership and its idiotic policy and failed aggression against Yemen and its
people,” he continued. “But remaining silent over the crimes against civilians
and the will of the Yemeni people can only be accepted by slaves, ignorants, or
cowards,” he stated.
“Condemning the Saudi intervention in Yemen and its military aggression against
its land, army, and people is a national, constitutional, humanitarian, and
moral commitment that should rein in the aggressors, warn them of the
dangerousness of their actions, and steer developments towards a peaceful
solution to the crisis.” declared Raad. “It should not be wrong to condemn the
aggression, but it should be wrong to justify it,” he noted. “We consider Saudi
Arabia an arrogant brother who cannot cover his crimes with regional and
international coalitions or with wasting more of the wealth of its people and
nation,” he added.
Moreover, the MP said: “Comparing Lebanon to the developments in Yemen is a
major mistake that stems from failing to properly assess the developments that
have taken place in Lebanon.” “It also stems from the failure to acknowledge the
will of the people by instead treating them as pawns to serve the interests of
other powers,” he explained. “Iran has long been keen on Lebanon's stability,
security, sovereignty, and the right of its people to resist the Zionist
aggressors,” he stated.
“Iran has never allowed itself to take decisions on behalf of the Lebanese
people, whether in regards to Israel or their internal affairs,” Raad said.
“Iran has long sought to help the Lebanese people, regardless of their
affiliations or sect in order to empower their national stances against the
Israeli enemy or for the sake of their country,” he stressed.He deemed as
defamation any claims to the contrary against Iran.“Such claims only serve the
enemies of Lebanon,” the MP declared. On Wednesday, Hariri condemned the
manipulation of Tele Liban, Lebanon's official television station, after it
aired an interview for Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah with Syria's al-Ikhbariya
channel.
He remarked that Lebanon was “not in need of further problems created by
Hizbullah”, the latest of which was dragging Tele Liban in the political and
media battlefield in the country. He condemned in a statement the use of
“Lebanese media outlets to target friendly Arab countries and Saudi Arabia
similar to the practices adopted by some suspicious voices and yellow journalism
that want Lebanon to become a partner in antagonizing its Arab brothers for the
sake of Iran and its regional policies.”“Remaining silent over this issue is not
justified, whether for the sake of dialogue, which we still seek, or for the
sake of placing national interests above foreign ones, especially after
witnessing officials from the other side of the divide being adept at
jeopardizing these interests on a daily basis,” he added. “It is unfortunate
that Lebanon is being used to these ends, such as linking it to regional
conflicts,” he lamented. “Saudi Arabia's actions in the region stem from its
belief in protecting the Arab identity and the rights of its people to security,
stability, and development, as opposed to other countries, like Iran that seek
to destroy this stability and turn Arab capitals into open grounds for sectarian
and armed chaos,” declared the lawmaker.
“It has become apparent to observers that Iran does not pay heed to Arab
countries and their official institutions as much as it is interested in
infiltrating societies and manipulating sectarian tensions,” Hariri stated.
“Iran seeks to replicate the Lebanese scenario in Yemen where it has been
fashioning the Ansarullah Huthi movement in the shape of Hizbullah in order to
transform it into a pawn at the doorstep of Mecca and the Arab Gulf,” he noted,
while saying that Saudi Arabia has sought to thwart this plan through its
airstrikes on Yemen.
Sarmadi Meets Nasrallah, Says Presidential Deadlock
Requires Lebanese Consensus
Naharnet /The special envoy of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, Morteza Sarmadi,
met during a short visit to Lebanon Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah,
stressing that the presidential stalemate in Lebanon could only be resolved by
the Lebanese. “Such a local matter could only be resolved by the rival parties
and the key issue is consensus among the Lebanese,” Sarmadi said in an interview
published in As Safir newspaper published on Friday. He stressed that Tehran
supports any agreement that the Lebanese reach over the identity of the new
president. The Iranian diplomat reiterated his country's offer to deliver arms
to Lebanon, pointing out that there are no obstacles preventing Tehran from
carrying out such a deal “if the Lebanese would accept it.”The controversial
Iranian grant to the Lebanese army was first discussed in October, however it
created a rift among cabinet members. Iran's offer of support follows aid
packages for the Lebanese army from both its regional rival Saudi Arabia and the
United States. It comes as the Lebanese army is battling jihadists from
al-Qaida-linked al-Nusra Front and the Islamic State group, who are entrenched
on the outskirts of the northeastern border town of Arsal on the porous
Syrian-Lebanese border. Sarmadi said that “combating terrorism and extremism
requires the unity of all the countries in the region to prevent the expansion
of such phenomena.”“We are ready to cooperate with the concerned authorities in
Lebanon to counter terrorism.”Sarmadi visited Beirut Wednesday and met with
senior Lebanese officials, including Speaker Nabih Berri, Prime Minister Tammam
Salam and Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil. As Safir newspaper also reported that
the Iranian diplomat met with Hizbullah chief Nasrallah. He praised the party's
resistance against Israel, considering that Nasrallah is “wisely leading
Hizbullah.”Hizbullah is part of the so-called axis of resistance -- which
comprises Iran and Syria.
Geagea-Aoun talks make good progress
Wassim Mroueh/The Daily Star/Apr. 10, 2015/BEIRUT: Talks between the Lebanese
Forces and Michel Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement have achieved “remarkable
progress,” an MP from FPM chief Michel Aoun’s bloc said Thursday, after meeting
with LF leader Samir Geagea. “I don’t want to announce the results [of the
meeting], I would rather leave that to Gen. Michel Aoun and Dr. Samir Geagea,”
MP Ibrahim Kanaan said after the talks, which he described as “important.”“Certainly,
we have achieved remarkable progress. The work is serious and takes into
consideration the concerns of both groups.”Kanaan said discussion focused on the
content of a “declaration of intent,” which the rival political groups are
jointly composing. The document is expected to announce the LF and FPM’s renewed
commitment to abolishing past tensions between their parties.Speaking to The
Daily Star, a source familiar with the talks between the two Christian groups
said the meeting was “very productive – things are on the right track.”The
source said that late last month, the LF received the FPM’s proposed amendments
to a draft of the declaration. “The Lebanese Forces made their own amendments
and will return the draft to [the FPM] in the next few days,” the source said.
“Things are being finalized.”
The Future Movement and Hezbollah are also engaged in dialogue sessions, holding
nine meetings since December. Despite their ongoing talks, the war of words
between the rival parties over the conflict in Yemen erupted again Thursday. MP
Mohammad Raad, head of Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc, responded sharply to
recent comments by Future Movement leader Saad Hariri. The former premier had
denounced remarks made by Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah in a televised
interview, saying they were “offensive” to Saudi Arabia. “We understand the
embarrassing situation that Sheikh Saad is facing and his frustration at this
moment, especially concerning our criticism of the leaders of Saudi Arabia,
their botched policies, and their failed aggression in Yemen,” Raad said.
“Condemning the aggression and refuting the aggressors’ crimes is not offensive.
What is offensive is justifying the aggression, applauding it, [propagating]
illusions about it and making misplaced bets [on its outcome],” Raad added. His
statement came a day after Hariri criticized Nasrallah for “luring” Lebanon’s
official television channel into airing “offensive” remarks against Saudi
Arabia, made during an interview with Syria’s Al-Ekhbariya TV. Nasrallah railed
against Riyadh for its recent military intervention in Yemen. Despite his
statement, Raad said his party was adamant that the dialogue with the Future
Movement would continue.
Berri Says Dialogue between Mustaqbal, Hizbullah Ongoing
Naharnet/Speaker Nabih stressed on Friday that dialogue between the rival two
parties al-Mustaqbal movement and Hizbullah will continue, pointing out that the
upcoming session will remain on time. “Dialogue will continue and will continue
to achieve Lebanon's best interest,” Berri said. His comments came in light of
media reports saying that al-Mustaqbal movement is mulling to suspend the talks
with Hizbullah over the recent verbal spat between the officials of the two
parties. Hizbullah and al-Mustaqbal officials have been meeting in Ain el-Tineh
under the auspices of Berri since December to defuse sectarian hostility linked
to the war in Syria. The upcoming session is set to be held on April 14.
Berri expressed pessimism earlier on Friday over the verbal spat between
Hizbullah and al-Mustaqbal movement. He said that the hostile media exchange
should be the center of attention of the upcoming dialogue session between the
two parties. “I will demand both sides to tackle the matter amid the strong
rhetoric and firm stances,” the speaker's visitors quoted him as saying in
comments to al-Joumhouria newspaper on Friday.“We should be cautious.”
Meanwhile, al-Akhbar newspaper reported that al-Mustaqbal movement is seeking to
adjourn for a week Tuesday's dialogue session over the pretext that Nader
Hariri, the adviser of the Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri, is abroad.
Sources close to al-Msutaqbal told the newspaper that the “rise in tension
between the two parties doesn't allow the holding of a new session, which would
make no sense amid the current rhetoric.”
“The matter will be discussed with Hariri, but hasn't been yet proposed to
Berri.”Hariri on Wednesday had slammed Iran's expansionist plans in the region,
defended Saudi Arabia, and attempts to link Lebanon to the neighboring
conflicts, in direct response to a speech by Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah. However, Hariri's statements prompted Hizbullah's Loyalty to the
Resistance bloc chief MP Mohmmed Raad to condemn the remarks against the
criticism directed to Saudi Arabia, saying that linking Iran to the developments
in Yemen and Lebanon are a “major mistake.” “Only ignorants and cowards remain
silent over Saudi Arabia's genocide in Yemen,” he stressed.
Security Forces Arrest Hoblos, Kill Fugitives in Tripoli
Naharnet /Security forces succeeded on Thursday in arresting and killing
prominent fugitives wanted on terrorism charges, most notably Sheikh Khaled
Hoblos, who is wanted for his involvement in clashes with the army in Bhannine
in late 2014. An Internal Security Forces statement late on Thursday announced
that Hoblos was arrested while riding in a Kia Picanto vehicle that was driven
by Amir al-Kurdi in the northern city of Tripoli. Soon after, an Opel vehicle,
with two passengers on board, opened fire at the security forces, slightly
wounding two members. The forces retaliated at the car, killing the two
passengers.
They were later identified as Osama Mansour and Ahmed al-Nazer. They also
determined that Masnour had opened fire. He also possessed an explosive belt
that a military expert has since dismantled, added the communique. As Safir
newspaper Friday said that the ISF Intelligence Bureau managed to pursue and
kill Mansour and al-Nazer in an ambush in the Miatayn crossroads in Tripoli. The
Bureau had been monitoring the telephone calls of a terrorist group, finding out
that some of its members will be holding a meeting at a cafe in Tripoli's Bab
al-Tabbaneh neighborhood. An Intelligence Bureau unit, under the surveillance of
Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq, was summoned to raid the cafe and arrest
the suspects. As it approached the scene, the unit was surprised with the
appearance of two cars leaving the area at high speeds. They took the al-Zahriyeh
road leading towards the Miatayn crossroads near an army checkpoint. The
security forces sought to block the road against one of the cars, which was
transporting Mansour and al-Nazer, in order to apprehend the passengers, said As
Safir. They were instead met with gunshots from the other car that was following
it and transporting Hoblos and three of his armed companions. Two members of the
ISF unit were seriously wounded in the clash that lasted about five minutes,
added As Safir. The army was also involved in the incident. Mansour and al-Nazer
were killed in the unrest, while Hoblos was wounded and arrested. He has been
transported to the ISF General Directorate in Beirut where investigations are
underway with him. His companions in the car managed to flee the scene. The army
has since cordoned off the area where the clash took place and forensic experts
discovered a number of weapons, hand grenades, and explosive belts in the
fugitives' abandoned vehicles.
In October, the army engaged in clashes in the northern town of Bhannine with
Islamist gunmen led by Hoblos. The clashes in Bhannine coincided at the time
with unprecedented fighting between the army and Islamist militants in Tripoli's
old souks and Bab al-Tabbaneh neighborhood. A number of the members of Hoblos'
Islamist network have since been arrested. Mansour is wanted on terrorism
charges. In January, he was implicated, along with 27 others, in the double
suicide bombing that rocked the Jabal Mohsen district of Tripoli earlier that
month. Mansour, along with prominent fugitive Shadi al-Mawlawi, was wanted for
leading armed groups that engaged in deadly gunbattles with the army in Tripoli
and its surrounding areas in October. Mansour and al-Mawlawi were also charged
with recruiting people for the purpose of carrying out terrorist attacks,
assaulting the army and planting bombs.
Two Syrians Arrested for Belonging to al-Nusra Front
Naharnet/Two Syrians were arrested in the eastern Bekaa region for belonging to
a terrorist group, reported the National News Agency. It said that the Army
Intelligence arrested them in al-Labweh for being affiliated to the al-Nusra
Front. The detainees have been identified as Mohammed Idris and Abdul Muhaymen
al-Abed. The army has in recent months arrested scores of suspected extremists
linked to the Syrian conflict. The al-Nusra Front, completely unknown before the
rebellion in Syria that began two years ago, has been a rebel standard-bearer
since mid-2012 when it became the spearhead of the insurgency ahead of the Free
Syrian Army. The organization has been blacklisted in December by the United
States as a "terrorist" organization and makes no secret of its aim for Syria to
become an Islamist state. The jihadists remain entrenched on the outskirts of
the northeastern town of Arsal on the porous Syrian-Lebanese border. The
mountainous area along the Lebanese-Syrian border has long been a smuggling
haven, with multiple routes into Syria that have been used to transport weapons
and fighters.
Pakistan Parliament Rejects Saudi Call to Join Yemen
Coalition
Naharnet/Pakistan's parliament on Friday voted to stay out of the conflict in
Yemen, rejecting Saudi demands for Islamabad to join its military coalition
against Shiite Huthi rebels. A unanimous resolution passed by a special session
of parliament backed the government's commitment to protect Saudi Arabia's
territory, which has so far not been threatened by the conflict. But it said
Pakistan should play a mediating role and not get involved in fighting in Yemen
-- turning down longstanding ally Riyadh's request for troops, ships and
warplanes. "Parliament of Pakistan... underscores the need for continued efforts
by the government of Pakistan to find a peaceful resolution of the crisis," the
resolution said. "(Parliament) desires that Pakistan should maintain neutrality
in the Yemen conflict so as to be able to play a proactive diplomatic role to
end the crisis." The motion is not binding, but Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif said
last week that any Pakistani participation would need the backing of parliament.
It was passed after five days of debate on the Yemen crisis, in which many
lawmakers urged Sharif not to send Pakistani forces to join the fight. The
coalition of largely Sunni Muslim countries led by Riyadh has been hitting Huthi
Shiite rebels in Yemen with air strikes in a bid to restore the government of
fugitive President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi.
Saudi Arabia has vowed to bomb the rebels, who it says are backed by Tehran,
into surrender to prevent them establishing a pro-Iran state on its doorstep.
- Four-stage plan -
Islamabad found itself in an awkward position on Yemen. It has deep military and
religious ties to Saudi and has long benefited from the oil-rich kingdom's
largesse. But it has been reluctant to become ensnared in a conflict with
sectarian overtones, with violence against minority Shiites on the rise at home
in recent years. Moreover, the large Pakistani military is stretched,
maintaining a heavy presence on the border with arch-rival India as well as
fighting against Taliban militants in the northwest. Instead, Pakistan has
pushed diplomatic efforts in the past week, holding talks with Turkish and
Iranian officials to try to forge a way ahead. Friday's resolution urged the
government to begin work in the U.N. Security Council and the Organization of
Islamic Cooperation bloc to bring about a ceasefire. But analyst Hasan Askari
said Pakistan's historic closeness to Saudi Arabia -- and that of Sharif,
sheltered by Riyadh when he was overthrown in 1999 -- made a peace-making role
problematic.
"Pakistan cannot play the role of mediator or moderator in this conflict because
Pakistan is still partisan and supporting Saudi Arabia," Askari told AFP.
"Nawaz Sharif is facing a dilemma because he is under a personal obligation to
the Saudis." On Wednesday Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif and his
Pakistani counterpart Sartaj Aziz pledged to work for a peaceful end to the
fighting, which has cost hundreds of lives since the Saudi offensive began last
month. Zarif laid out a four-stage plan for talks, calling for an immediate
ceasefire followed by humanitarian assistance, dialogue among Yemenis and the
formation of an "all-inclusive government."
Aziz appeared cool on Iran's idea of an immediate ceasefire, saying it "would
consolidate the existing ground position", which currently has Huthis in control
of large parts of Yemen, including the capital Sanaa.
Instead he called for "a more comprehensive resolution on facilitating an
intra-Yemeni dialogue to create the possibility of some kind of negotiated
solution."Agence France Presse
Obama, Castro to Break Bread at Historic Summit
Naharnet/U.S. President Barack Obama and Cuba's Raul Castro will put aside
decades of Cold War-era tensions Friday, sitting at the same table with other
regional leaders for a landmark summit. Obama and Castro will join some 30 other
presidents at the two-day Summit of the Americas in Panama City, breaking bread
at a seaside dinner in a complex of ruins from the era of the Spanish
conquistadors. Their chief diplomats, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and
Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez, made history themselves when they held
talks Thursday evening. It was the first meeting between the chief diplomats of
the two nations since 1958, a year before Fidel Castro's revolutionary guerrilla
seized power. In a bombshell announcement, the countries revealed in December
they had agreed to restore diplomatic ties. Talks have started. Kerry and
Rodriguez "had a lengthy and very constructive discussion this evening. The two
agreed they made progress and that we would continue to work to resolve
outstanding issues," a State Department official said in a brief statement.
While the meetings are packed with powerful symbolism, the two countries have a
long road ahead in their broader goal of normalizing relations.
An Obama-Castro meeting is "part of the overall negotiations that are taking
place," said former Cuban diplomat and foreign relations professor Carlos
Alzugaray. "This doesn't end with Raul's presence at the summit; it's the
beginning."Obama acknowledged as much on Thursday during a visit to Jamaica,
before landing in Panama. "I never foresaw that immediately overnight everything
would transform itself, that suddenly Cuba became a partner diplomatically with
us the way Jamaica is, for example," he said. "That's going to take some time."
The U.S. leader may bring to the table a resolution to an old gripe from Cuba,
as a senator said the U.S. State Department recommended that he remove Havana
from a list of state sponsors of terrorism.Cuba's inclusion on the blacklist,
which includes Iran, Syria and Sudan, has been a major sticking point in
negotiations to reopen embassies that closed after relations broke in 1961.
Cuba was first put on the blacklist in 1982 for harboring ETA Basque separatist
militants and Colombian FARC rebels. Removing Cuba from the terror-sponsor list
would not be immediate. Congress would have 45 days to decide whether to
override Obama's recommendation. U.S. lawmakers who have been critical of the
diplomatic detente could seize on the review of the list to further attack
Obama's Cuba policy. Cuba has other major demands, most importantly that the
U.S. Congress lift an embargo that the communist regime blames for the island's
economic troubles. Washington wants Cuba to lift restrictions on the movement of
its diplomats on the island, giving them unfettered access to ordinary Cubans.
The reconciliation appears popular in both countries. A Marist College poll
showed this week that 59 percent of Americans back the diplomatic thaw, while a
survey by U.S. pollster Bendixen & Amandi International in Cuba found that 97 of
islanders are in favor.
But Cuban government supporters confronted dissidents on the sidelines of the
summit, heckling them as they attended a civil society forum. A meeting between
Castro and Obama at the summit will provide a picture moment to immortalize the
diplomatic thaw that they announced in December. The two leaders briefly shook
hands at Nelson Mandela's funeral in 2013, but they now have a chance for more
face time. The White House said the two would have time to interact, but the
extent of the encounter remains a mystery and could fall short of a formal,
bilateral meeting. But as Obama moves to remove an old source of tension in US
relations with Latin America, a new headache has emerged since he imposed
sanctions against Venezuelan officials accused of human rights abuses in an
opposition crackdown.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, Havana's main ally in the region, said
Thursday he had gathered 13.4 million signatures in a petition urging Obama to
lift his executive order, which calls Caracas a U.S. national security threat.
Maduro welcomed White House statements saying it does not see Venezuela as a
threat after all. But, he added, "I ask Obama why he signed this order. If he
doesn't answer ... it will be impossible to open a new era" in U.S.-Venezuelan
relations. Agence France Presse
Stones from glass houses
The Daily Star/Apr. 10, 2015/Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s angry rant Thursday about
the Saudi-led intervention in Yemen reveals the Iranian leader is increasingly
nervous about recent decisions from Tehran, as he should be, given Iran’s
contribution to regional strife. Accusing the campaign to protect Yemen’s
legitimate government of committing “genocide,” Khamenei seemed to forget that
those in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones. Sponsoring conflicts across the
region, Iran should do well to consider its own crimes.
In Iraq it conspired with the U.S. to rule the country post-Saddam, with Sunni
civilians targeted by Iranian proxies. And more recently in Syria, for years it
has been propping up the Assad regime with arms, money, military advisers and
footsoldiers to help maintain and prolong a bloody civil war that has killed
over 200,000 people and displaced millions. It has set the country back decades,
cost billions and had knock-on effects worldwide. And that is not to mention its
dealings in Bahrain and Lebanon, or its occupation of three islands belonging to
the UAE. Khamenei’s nervous tone perhaps spoke of his realization – a little
late – that Iran’s plans for increased expansion in Yemen were shattered
overnight with the Saudi-led strikes on rebel positions. If Iran truly wants to
see peace in the Middle East, as the more dovish voices in its government often
seek to suggest, it should stop sponsoring conflicts across the region, and
propping up individuals and crime networks elsewhere. Having foolishly mistaken
Gulf patience and overtures in recent years for weakness, Iran may have now
realized it has awoken a sleeping giant.
'Iran helping Hamas, Hezbollah build fleet of suicide drones'
By JPOST.COM STAFF/04/09/2015
Iran is building an explosive fleet of so-called “suicide kamikaze drones” while
also providing know-how on assembling these new weapons to its terrorist allies
Hamas and Hezbollah, according to a new report commissioned by the US Army. The
report, which was cited by the American daily newspaper The Washington Times and
published by the Army's Foreign Military Studies Office at Fort Leavenworth,
Kansas, states that “no aspect of Iran’s overt military program has seen as much
development over the past decade as Iranian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).”“Whereas
a decade ago Iran’s UAVs and drones were largely for show, a platform with
little if any capability, the Iranian military today boasts widespread use of
drones, employed not only by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), but
also by the regular army, both regular and IRGC navy, and the regular and IRGC
air forces.”This development is significant for Israel because both Hamas and
Hezbollah have sought to deploy drones which have penetrated Israeli airspace.
Thus far, they have not managed to cause damage, though drones outfitted with
explosives could inflict casualties against soldiers and civilians. “In a
mid-February speech, regular army General Abdolrahim Moussavi outlined the
army’s growing use of drones, with emphasis on suicide or kamikaze drones,”
according to the US Army report. “While it is easy to dismiss the idea of a
suicide drone as more symbolic than real in an age of cruise missiles and
precise Predators, utilizing suicide drones is an asymmetric strategy which both
allows Iran to compete on an uneven playing field and poses a risk by allowing
operators to pick and choose targets of opportunity over a drone’s multi-hour
flight duration.”
Iran not trusted to uphold deal by most in the US, NBC poll finds
By JPOST.COM STAFF /04/10/2015 /A
survey conducted by NBC News has found that 68 percent of Americans do not
believe Iran will uphold its part of a final nuclear accord with six major
powers.
Iran and the P5+1 countries – the US, China, Russia, France, Great Britain and
Germany – reached a framework deal with Tehran in Lausanne earlier this month,
which framed the parameters of a larger, more technical agreement due by June
30. A quarter of those surveyed in the NBC poll, which was conducted online
April 6-8 and released on Thursday, said they trusted the Islamic Republic "to
abide by a nuclear agreement." Under the pact, cast as an "understanding," Iran
will be allowed to continue the enrichment of uranium and will close no
facilities. 53% of respondents said Iran's nuclear program constitutes a major
threat to the United States. 37%, by comparison, said it was a minor threat,
while 8% said it was no risk whatsoever. Also, half said they were following
events unfolding throughout the nuclear talks quite closely, with more
Republicans than Democrats staying tuned to news coming out of Switzerland. The
American TV network also asked participants who they trusted more to spearhead
negotiations to curb Iran's nuclear program – US President Barack Obama or the
Republicans in Congress – to which most (54%) returned with support for the
president. Nearly two thirds of the 2,052 adults surveyed said they felt the
country was heading in the wrong direction. As for Obama's job approval ratings
– the poll, which was done in conjunction with SurveyMonkey, found that some 51%
of Americans approved of "the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president"
compared to 48% who disapproved. World powers and Iran have yet to agree on a
fundamental component of the structure of a nuclear deal, with the main
disagreement between the parties being how to couple international sanctions
relief for Tehran with its demonstrated compliance with an accord. The United
States and its allies want to lift sanctions over time, providing little relief
up front, whereas Iran wants full exemption from all EU and UN sanctions upon
the initial implementation of a comprehensive agreement.
There is No "Better Deal" with Iran
Efraim Inbar/BESA Center Perspectives
April 9, 2015
http://www.meforum.org/5165/iran-no-better-deal
The debate over the pros and cons of the Iran nuclear framework agreement
negotiated between the P-5+1 and Iran at Lausanne (April 2, 2015) is simply
irrelevant. The search for truth in the conflicting versions and details of the
deal coming out of Washington and Tehran is of no consequence. Moreover, the
steps suggested by Israel and other critics to improve the efficacy of the deal
(by more stringent inspections and so on) will result in little change. The deal
is basically dangerous in nature, and needs to be rejected outright.
The deal permits Iran to preserve stockpiles of enriched uranium, to continue to
enrich uranium, and to maintain illegally built facilities at Fordow and Arak.
Even in the absence of a signed full agreement, the US and its negotiating
partners have already awarded legitimacy to Iran's nuclear threshold status. In
all likelihood, the United States, quite desperate to secure an agreement, will
make additional concessions in order to have a signed formal deal – which will
not be worth the paper on which it is written.
This outcome has been a foregone conclusion since November 2013, when the US
agreed to the "Joint Plan of Action" on Iran's nuclear program. Already back
then, the US decided not to insist on the goal of rolling back the Iranian
nuclear program, ignoring several UN Security Council resolutions demanding no
uranium enrichment. Washington also disregarded the security concerns of its
allies in the Middle East (primarily Israel, Saudi Arabia and Egypt – who better
understand the regional realities).
Middle Easterners clearly discern an Iranian diplomatic victory in this accord,
which is no surprise. Iranians are much more adept at negotiating than
Americans. Iran is getting more or less what it wanted: The capability to
produce enriched uranium and to research weapon design; an agreement to keep its
missile program intact; and no linkages to Iranian behavior in the region. The
deal is a prelude to nuclear breakout and Iranian regional hegemony. With no
attempt to roll back the Iranian nuclear program, we are progressing toward the
North Korean model.
Indeed, with no attempt to roll back the Iranian nuclear program, as was done in
Libya, we are progressing toward the North Korean model. Those two are the only
options in dealing with nuclear programs of determined states such as Iran.
Iran's nuclear program benefited in many ways from assistance that originated in
Pakistan and in North Korea (both are nuclear proliferators despite American
opposition). Compare the recent statements by President Obama to the speeches of
President Clinton justifying the agreement with North Korea (October 1994).
Their similarities are amazing; an indication of the incredible capacity of
great powers for self-delusion.
What counts is not the Obama's administration expression of satisfaction with
the prospective deal, but the perceptions of Middle East actors. For example,
Saudi Arabia and Egypt have deplored the fact that the US is bestowing
international legitimacy on Iran's status as a nuclear threshold state. They
probably believe the interpretations of the deal offered by Tehran more than
those professed in Washington. Therefore, they will do their best to build a
similar infrastructure leading inevitably to nuclear proliferation in the region
– a strategic nightmare for everybody.
Unfortunately, no better deal is in the offing. Whatever revisions are
introduced cannot change its basic nature. The accord allows Iran to have
fissionable material that can be enriched to weapons grade material in a short
time and Tehran can always deny access to inspectors any time it chooses. This
is the essence of the North Korean precedent.
It is more evident than ever that only military action can stop Iran from
building a nuclear bomb.
Obama is right that the only alternative to this deal is an Iranian nuclear fait
accompli or the bombing of the Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Obama's penchant
for engagement, his reluctance to use force, and his liberal prism on
international relations (which adds rosy colors to international agreements)
have led to this miserable result.
Netanyahu is wrong in demanding a better deal because no such deal exists. Yet
denying its ratification by the US Congress could create better international
circumstances for an Israeli military strike. In fact, criticism of Obama's deal
with Iran fulfills only one main function – to legitimize future military
action. Indeed, Netanyahu is the only leader concerned enough about the
consequences of a bad deal with the guts and the military capability to order a
strike on the Iranian key nuclear installations.
If inspections, sanctions, sabotage and political isolation ever had a chance to
stop Iran from getting the bomb, that certainly is no longer the case. It is
more evident than ever that only military action can stop a determined state,
such as the Islamic Republic of Iran, from building a nuclear bomb. It remains
to be seen whether Israel has elected the leader to live up to this historic
challenge.
**Efraim Inbar is director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, a
professor of political studies at Bar-Ilan University, and a Shillman-Ginsburg
fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Why the Lebanese scenario won’t work
in Yemen
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al AWsat
Friday, 10 Apr, 2015
A Persian proverb warns that “not every recipe is fit for every banquet.”
The idea is that a method that might work in one case need not necessarily work
in every case.Applied to empire-building enterprises, the wisdom of this dictum
is apparent in the case of Iran’s involvement in the Yemeni imbroglio.
It was by acting as an opportunist power that Iran was dragged into the Yemeni
crisis.Some self-styled empire-builders in the Iranian military-security
establishment persuaded themselves that they could add another feather to their
cap—a temptation they found hard to resist.
They dragged Iran into a complex situation with little or no knowledge of how
things work, or don’t work, in Yemen.Whatever the outcome of the experiment one
thing is certain: the Houthi strategy backed by Iran has already failed. There
are two reasons for that failure.
The first is that the fantasy about the United States switching sides in the
Middle East and acknowledging Iran as regional hegemon is just that—a fantasy.
That fantasy has been promoted by President Barack Obama who has spoken of Iran
as a “regional power” and tried to modulate US policy in Lebanon, Syria and Iraq
to please the mullahs.
However, it is enough to recall that Obama has only 18 months or so to play in
that fantasy world. Once he has faded into a footnote in history, the US and
European democracies might not endorse a policy designed to hand over the Middle
East to the mullahs and their ex-KGB allies in Moscow. The fantasy in question
is absurd even in the context of Obama’s absurd foreign policy.
Doing all he can to put the US into global retreat mode, he cannot, at the same
time, give the mullahs a helping hand in extending their empire into Arabia
Felix. The second reason why the Houthi scheme will fail is that it is a poor
copy of the Iranian scheme in Lebanon and, as such, inapplicable to Yemen. The
Iranian scheme in Lebanon has worked, at least so far, because of factors that
are either different or non-existent in Yemen.
Lebanon is a tiny country on a coastal strip backing into a small mountain
range, covering just 10,400 square kilometers and thus relatively easy to
control with a small force. Yemen, however, covers an area of 527,000 square
kilometers with a variety of terrains spanning mountains, deserts, coasts and
islands. Lebanon has a population of around 5.6 million concentrated in and
around the greater Beirut region and a dozen urban areas. Yemen’s population of
almost 27 million, however, is spread over a vast territory with an estimated
7,000 villages and scores of semi-urban settlements from the borders of Rub’al
Khali to the Red Sea.
In recent days headlines have shrieked about the Houthis “seizing Aden.”Those
who know Aden would know that neither the Houthis nor any other armed group,
including the remnants of the national army, have the manpower to seize control
of that shapeless sprawling city, which is surrounded by a dozen shanty towns.In
the late 1960s the British had to deploy over 50,000 troops to control a much
smaller Aden and, in the end, did not succeed. They had to barricade themselves
in RAF Khormaksar, being content with launching occasional sorties into the
city. This is precisely what the Houthis are doing. That doesn’t mean they have
“seized” Aden, however. There is yet another difference between Lebanon and
Yemen.
In Lebanon, Iran enjoyed the support of the country’s largest neighbor Syria in
its imperial scheme. In the case of Yemen, no neighbor is prepared to act as a
channel for Iranian domination. If anything, Yemen’s neighbors—Saudi Arabia and
Oman—do not wish to witness a repeat of the Lebanese scenario. Oman cannot have
forgotten that, in the 1960s and 70s, Communist insurgents used Yemeni territory
as a launchpad in a war of conquest against the sultanate’s southern province of
Dhofar. As for Saudi Arabia, the prospect of having a hostile power along its
longest frontier is hardly welcome, to say the least. Another major difference
is that the Shi’ite community in Lebanon has had historic links with Iran going
back almost five centuries. As Twelvers, Lebanese Shi’ites have always been
close to Iran, the program to reorganize and strengthen the Shi’ite community
started under the Shah with the dispatching of missionaries, led by the
charismatic Moussa Sadr and backed with generous donations by the Iranian
government. Iran under the Shah had 2,400 soldiers in southern Lebanon
ostensibly to protect Shi’ites from Yasser Arafat’s PLO fighters.
The Lebanese Christian community was also sympathetic to Iran because of shared
opposition to pan-Arabism led by Nasser and the Ba’ath movement. In Yemen,
however, the recent presentation of the Zaydi community—some 42 percent of the
population—as Shi’ites does not reflect the reality of how they are perceived in
Iran. The Iranian clergy regards Zaydis as a splinter from original Shi’ism in
the same way as it regards a range of other communities. Even then, it is clear
that the Houthis, though well-armed and well-funded, do not represent a majority
among the Zaydi community in Yemen. In recent weeks, many Zaydis in both Sana’a
and Taiz have been demonstrating against the Houthis and their Iranian backers.
In Lebanon, Hezbollah has not gone for a direct power grab. It has kept the
facade of power intact, using its guns to impose its will from inside the
system. Lebanon had a president (at least until recently), a prime minister, a
cabinet, a parliament and a national army. However, when it comes to Iran’s
interests, Hezbollah is able to carry out Tehran’s orders by bypassing all those
formal entities. The Houthis, however, went for a brazen power grab which, as
might have been expected, mobilized other currents of Yemeni politics against
them. Their final mistake was to seize the presidential palace and force the
incumbent to tender his resignation at gunpoint.While Hezbollah uses the threat
of assassination to force other factions to comply with Iran’s will, it does not
solely depend on violence. With a mixture of flattery and bribery involving
serious money from Tehran, Hezbollah now has recruited clients within all
Lebanese communities.The Houthis, however, have exaggerated their gun power in
dealing with Yemen’s various communities.No one can imagine a Houthi
administration controlling even the northern, mostly Zaydi, provinces let alone
the whole of Yemen. Houthis have heightened their profile largely thanks to an
alliance with the deposed president Ali Abdullah Saleh and the remnants of his
regular army.
In military terms, too, the Lebanese scenario, with Hezbollah as key player, is
not applicable to Yemen.Iran created and armed Hezbollah for low intensity
warfare, not wars of position aimed at capturing and holding territory. Iran
wants Hezbollah for firing missiles and rockets, conducting urban attacks
through car bombs and individual assassinations, and other guerrilla style
operations. In Yemen, however, the Houthis’ armed branch, is deployed in a
conventional war for which it has neither the necessary training, leadership or
logistics.
The net result of the Iranian imperial scheme, if it does indeed exist, could be
Yemen’s disintegration. Hadhramaut has already broken loose, perhaps with
Al-Qaeda trying to take control. Sana’a and Taiz are divided into mutually
hostile neighborhoods while the four ex-sultanates of the south are in the hands
of a variety of armed groups. In Aden, a seesaw struggle is unlikely to end
anytime soon. Trying to re-enact the Lebanese scenario in Yemen has so far led
to disaster for all concerned.
An apology from Lebanon is not enough
Salman Aldossary/Asharq Alawsat
Thursday, 9 Apr, 2015
The issue is not Hassan Nasrallah appearing on TV and reiterating his insults
and verbal attacks towards Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States—this is nothing new
for the Hezbollah chief, particularly since the launch of Operation Decisive
Storm two weeks ago. Rather, the issue is Lebanese state television
participating in this campaign of insults and attacks in an unprecedented
manner.
In addition to airing Nasrallah’s insulting comments, Lebanese state TV also
aired Nasrallah’s interview with Syrian state television. In response to all
this, Lebanon’s Information Minister offered a limp apology in passing,
promising to launch an “internal investigation” into the matter. This means that
the official response of Lebanon, so far, has been nothing more than an off the
cuff comment, with the government taking no action to address the negative
impact Nasrallah’s remarks will have on Saudi-Lebanese ties.
In all countries of the world, opinions expressed on state television, without
doubt, reflect and represent the government’s political orientation. It is true
that mistakes can happen, and those who work in the media knows this well, but
this argument is not viable when we are talking about a figure such as Nasrallah.
Lebanese state TV aired remarks by a man who has been one of the staunchest
defenders of the Iranian regime and who has only stepped up his anti-Saudi
campaign since the start of Operation Decisive Storm. Nasrallah’s interview was
aired in full, as if he were Iran’s Information Minister or an official
spokesman, while no Lebanese official stepped in to stop this. This is
indicative of some political, not media, message being sent by the Lebanese
government to Saudi Arabia.
It is unacceptable for Lebanese state television to demonstrate this kind of
bias, placing Iran’s interests above those of the Lebanese state. Aside from the
information minister’s apology, which aimed only to deceive Saudi Arabia, the
news director at the Lebanese broadcaster Saeb Diab said that national
television is “for all Lebanon and is committed to observing objectivity and
balance across the Lebanese spectrum.” But can this apply to footage and news
taken directly from Syrian state television? When put with this question, Diab
asked in surprise: “Why would broadcasting Nasrallah’s interview be banned?”
So while the minister apologized and promised to carry out an “internal”
investigation, the real television executives in Lebanon do not see any problem
with this in the first place.
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States have been subject to an organized smear
campaign by Lebanese media on a daily basis, whether by TV channels, newspapers
or news websites. That the campaign has even reached Lebanese state television
is not surprising; this is not because Iran controls the organs of the state
through its legitimate proxy Hezbollah, or that several “currents” previously
known for their patriotic stances are no longer able to confront Iran’s growing
influence; rather, it is unfortunately due to those who do not appreciate the
political and economic stances of the Gulf and take them for granted.
“Lebanese Persians” are launching an unprecedented campaign against Saudi Arabia
and the Gulf and despite their recently increasing numbers, their stances,
orientations and antagonistic discourse is well-understood. As for the “Lebanese
Arabs,” of all sects—Sunnis, Shi’ites, Christians or Druze—while they have not
been infiltrated by Iran, their role has been diminishing. Unlike in the past,
their voices are no longer loud enough to stop Iran’s growing influence in the
heart of the Lebanese state. This is something that has been on the rise ever
since Tehran succeeded in exporting its revolution to Lebanon.
Contradictions in Obama’s Doctrine
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/ASharq AlAwsat
Thursday, 9 Apr, 2015
I tried to ignore US President Barack Obama’s interview with the New York Times
because I was sure it would be part of his propaganda campaign for the framework
nuclear deal with Iran. Still, the interview’s impact cannot be ignored. Rather
than calming the fears of those in the Gulf region, Obama has provoked many
here.
Thomas Friedman, one of the Times’ most prominent writers who is extremely
knowledgeable about the region’s affairs, interviewed the president. Perhaps
this was why the nation’s leader was dragged into arguing his points, instead of
justifying them.
What’s strange about the conversation was that Obama commended the Iranian
regime, justifying its actions and implying a sense of guilt over what the US
had done against Iran.
I don’t know what books the American president reads before he goes to bed or
how he understands the events of the past three decades. Tehran’s mentality and
practices are close to those of Al-Qaeda: religious, fascist and hostile towards
anyone who opposes their ideology. Tehran’s understanding of the world considers
others as either believers or infidels. It is Iran that was responsible for much
of the violence in the region under the banner of religion—and this was around
15 years before Al-Qaeda even emerged.
In as much as Obama was apologetic toward the Iranian regime and generous with
his gift of a nuclear agreement, he was harsh toward Arabs, and his severity was
unjustified. For example, he said that instead of worrying about the threat
posed by Iran, Arabs must stand against the crimes of Bashar Al-Assad.
To be frank, I read this paragraph more than once and tried to put it in to
context, yet I failed to understand what seemed to me to be contradictions. The
crimes of the Assad regime, which have led to the deaths of a quarter of a
million people and displaced more than 10 million are the direct result of the
support and interference of Iran, the country that Obama is apologizing to and
commending.
Obama criticizes Arabs because they have not fought against the Assad regime,
when in fact it’s his government that prevented them from using advanced weapons
to confront Assad’s tanks and stop Assad’s warplanes that have shelled Syrian
cities every day!
For four years now, the Syrian rebels have been defending themselves against
Assad’s forces by using low-grade arms such as Kalashnikovs and mortars—this is
because the US prevents them from buying and attaining more powerful weapons
from any other party.
Then Obama criticized his Gulf allies by saying their problems are domestic, as
a result of a lack of satisfaction among their people, as well as the presence
of extremism, terrorism and unemployment. Of course, this is all true and no one
denies there are domestic challenges. However it does not mean the Gulf will not
voice its irritation at the agreement the Americans reached with Iran that gives
Tehran free rein in a manner that threatens the Gulf.
There’s no contradiction here. These domestic and external concerns do not
contradict one another. To illustrate the point: it would not make sense for us
to tell the American president that he does not have to worry about the Islamic
State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and Al-Qaeda because he has internal problems
such as unemployment and inadequate healthcare.
As Arabs, we are not against Obama signing a reconciliation deal with Iran—on
the contrary we agree with it because we are the weakest party. Our hope is that
we all reach peace and end disputes. However, what Obama is doing by lifting
sanctions on Iran is that he’s bringing down the wall with the country without
placing down any ways in which to restrain it. Meanwhile, Iran sends its forces
and generals to fight in Syria and Iraq and funds the Houthi uprising in Yemen.
An acquaintance of mine who read Obama’s interview with Friedman said that
perhaps the president wants his name to make it to the history books, like
former President Richard Nixon did when opening up relations with China.
However, the difference is huge. Comparisons with China and Iran are not valid.
Iran is more like North Korea. China was a country closed in on itself, and it
was not part of wars and terrorist activities across the world, which Iran has
been carrying out non-stop for the last three decades.
What’s stranger still is that after Obama’s statements were published, the
president’s deputy national security adviser Ben Rhodes addressed the Arabs of
the Gulf, commending and reassuring them—and in doing so some of his statements
contradicted what Obama had told Friedman.
Obama's Iranian attraction,
Netanyahu's repulsion
Nahum Barnea/Ynetnews/Published: 04.10.15/Israel Opinion
Why is the president so enchanted with Persia, and will the prime minister
negotiate with the US on the terms of the agreement, or go all out to scupper
it? President Obama called Thomas Friedman, the respected New York Times
columnist, to the White House last Saturday. The summons was not accidental, nor
was the timing.
Obama sees before him two target groups: Democratic senators and Israeli public
opinion. Friedman caught the attention of both audiences. Obama see the Israelis
as important in their own right, but no less so because of their indirect effect
on his Senate campaign.
As in any political process, it comes down to numbers. Of the 100 sitting
senators, 54 are Republicans. They have no difficulty in passing a law that will
effectively thwart any agreement with Iran. The president would then veto their
move, and the law would return to the Senate. To overcome Obama's veto, the
Republicans need a two-thirds majority, in other words, the support of 13
Democratic senators. The battle is now being fought. Israeli governments have
tried to enlist the Congress against the White House several times in the past.
These attempts usually end in failure. But a campaign such as the one now being
conducted is unprecedented, both in terms of importance of the issue for both
sides, and for the depth of its impact on American politics. The US president
and Israeli prime minister are each trying to pull the rug out from under the
feet of the other.
The game is not symmetrical. In some ways, Netanyahu has a massive advantage:
The Republican majority in Congress at his disposal; Jewish billionaires are
willing to throw money at any Democratic senator who joins the campaign and to
punish any who do not; Israel and Netanyahu enjoy fundamental sympathy in
American public opinion, which cannot be said for the attitude of the Israelis
towards Obama. But the asymmetry also works for the other side: Netanyahu heads
the government of a relatively small country, one sponsored by the United
States. While there are those who see his attempt to defeat an incumbent
president as heroic, others see it as megalomania, chutzpah, lawlessness. The
first to feel uncomfortable senators are members of the Democratic Party, the
target audience of this campaign.
There is a gaping chasm between Obama and Netanyahu. What separates them on the
Iranian issue is far more than the contents of the framework agreement reached
in Lausanne. Obama's recent statements, in public appearances and private
conversations, paint the following picture: The possibility of reaching a
compromise with Iran, a detente, has a magical effect on Obama. He has had a
romantic side when it comes to Iran, an emotional side. This may sound like an
odd, speculative statement, given that it relates to such a politician known for
being a cold rationalist. I will try to explain.
Obama began his first term with a great approach to the Arab world, which
culminated in his speech at Cairo University in June 2009. I was there, seeing
the astonished faces of the guests, the excited students. Obama wanted to tell
hundreds of millions in the Arab world that this was a new beginning – and this
was the main focus of that speech – the start of a liberal democracy, just,
fair, Western, secular. There was a great deal of romance in that speech, a lot
of optimism, and very little understanding of the history of the Middle East.
What has happened since in the Arab world has brought him only disappointment.
He is not impressed by General al-Sisi, who rose to power in Egypt on the
bayonets of his soldiers and keeps control with their help. He despises the
rulers of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, languishing in their artificial
wealth and corruption.
Iran touched his heart because of its 5,000-year-long history, because of the
wrong done to it by the US in 1953 when America helped oust the legally elected
government and reinstall the Shah. The Iranians recognized this tendency in
Obama and knew how to play on it.
Primarily, Obama is entranced by the possibility that he can make his mark on
American history. In less than two years, he will leave office, and Iran is his
last chance. In talks with US officials I ask if they think there is a
similarity between the move Nixon made towards China in the 1970s and Obama's
move towards Iran. In one move, Nixon ended three decades of uncompromising
hostility. On the way he abandoned Taiwan, a country whose alliance to the
United States was solid and provided a great deal more than our alliance, and
its influence in Congress had a great many years over our own.If in this
parable, Iran plays the part of Mainland China, who plays the role of Taiwan,
the ally betrayed? Egypt? Saudi Arabia? Israel? All of them? You'd better take a
look at the state of Taiwan today, says an American government official dryly.
It is living happily ever after, with its money is invested in China and China's
money invested in Taiwan.
When Netanyahu hears Khamenei, he likens himself to Churchill dealing with
Hitler; Obama writes to Khamenei and imagines himself as Nixon meeting with Mao.
And this is just the first step towards the abyss. Obama is offering Netanyahu
an alternative plan. He proposed that Israel begin negotiations with the US
government on the day after the agreement with Iran is signed. There are many
issues that need clarification, from a formal defense treaty or another
guarantee ensuring American military intervention against any country attempting
to attack Israel. During his interview with Friedman, Obama hinted that he was
willing to give such a guarantee. Compensation for Israel includes advanced
weaponry and funding for defense systems, steps that will balance out the
compensation going to Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries, and ensuring an
Israeli military advantage. It also means a US promise to attack Iran militarily
if it violates the agreement or at least an American promise to support an
Israeli attack should such a situation arise.
But negotiations of this nature cannot take place when Netanyahu is
simultaneously trying to muster a majority in Congress to override the
president's veto. Netanyahu cannot have it both ways. The Senate is currently in
recess. When it reconvenes next Monday, the government will hold a series of
briefings, in camera, listing all of the benefits for the US, both overt and
covert, of an agreement with Iran. The Republicans will push for a vote, and the
Democrats will push for a compromise on the wording of the law for oversight on
any Iran deal: The Senate will be able to track, monitor and verify, but it will
not be able to annul the agreement. The Republicans want to pass the legislation
before the agreement is signed, while the Democrats would rather wait for the
agreement in full. Much will depend on statements by Netanyahu and the intensity
of the pressure from pro-Israel lobby AIPAC and a group of Jewish
billionaires.This is a massive risk. If Obama beats the campaign against him,
Israel will face a greatly reduced ability to obtain the guarantees it needs. It
will find itself outside the city gates. The US administration is wondering
which way Netanyahu will tilt. The answer lies in the assessment of the power he
has to sway American politics, and his willingness to commit to it. Is he going
to rail against the agreement to the bitter end? Does he believe there are
enough Democratic senators willing to turn their backs on their president for
the sake of Israel? Is he going to jump the other way in the final hour and
enter into negotiations with the White House? Is he counting on Iran to withdraw
from the agreement or violate the understandings and cause an explosion? Is he
preparing an Israeli move that would deliver a mortal blow to the agreement?
Does Netanyahu even have a Plan B?
Inside the Middle East: Palestinians in Syria lose respect for Hezbollah
By THE MEDIA LINE/HUGO EL-SHAMMAH/ـ/J.Post/04/10/2015
Beirut, Lebanon—Chain smoking next to his living room window in Beirut’s Shatila
refugee camp, Khaled recalled the beginning of Syria’s uprising. A 21-year-old
Palestinian from Yarmouk, a refugee camp established in 1948 to house
Palestinians who fled their homes during the Arab-Israel war, he says his father
physically restrained him from participating in demonstrations against the
regime. “He locked me in the house,” Khaled told The Media Line while stroking
his short beard and curly mustache. “He told me that Palestinians are guests in
Syria and that this isn’t our struggle.” Protests continued unabated for months.
And as regime repression of the rebels intensified, the uprising soon became
weaponized. On July 29, 2011, defectors from the Syrian National Army mobilized
to protect demonstrators under the banner of the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Since
Palestinians received more rights in Syria than any other Arab country -- by way
of a law enacted in 1957 before the rise of the Baathist regime –most wanted to
maintain neutrality as the conflict unfolded. But after the regime of President
Bashar Assad bombed Yarmouk on December 16, 2012, opposition and al-Qaida-linked
groups seized the opportunity to enter the camp.
Yarmouk was now militarized and civilian casualties mounted. But while Khaled’s
friends joined the rebel ranks, he left behind the only home he knew. That
December, he fled with his family to Shatila, a Palestinian enclave in south
Beirut controlled by the Shi'ite Hezbollah (Party of God) movement. In mid-2012,
Hezbollah entered Syria, ostensibly to safeguard a regime that was vital in
supporting its operations in the region. Once thought of as the ‘axis of
resistance’ against Israel, their intervention, coupled with their ally’s brutal
siege on Yarmouk, has damaged the movement’s popularity among Palestinians from
Syria.
Abu Ameen, a 40-year-old Palestinian who also escaped from Syria in December
2012, says that though he’s openly pledged support to Hezbollah, he’s merely
done so to avoid confrontation under their governance. “We are afraid to talk
about them here,” whispered Abu Ameen, while cleaning his eye glasses in a small
bedroom in Shatila. “Many of us don’t trust Hezbollah anymore.” In August 2013,
tensions between Hezbollah and Palestinians surfaced in Lebanon after the group
shot and killed a man who refused to stop at a checkpoint in the Palestinian
enclave of Burj Al-Burajneh. The incident took place just days after a car bomb
killed 30 civilians in a predominantly Shi'ite-populated area nearby. The
bombing was part of a larger sequence of attacks that year in retaliation to
Hezbollah’s involvement in Syria.
Sahar Atrache, a senior analyst for International Crisis Group (ICG) in Lebanon,
says that Hezbollah’s intervention transformed their image and antagonized
previous supporters. By branding anyone fighting the Syrian regime as ‘Sunni
extremists,’ the group justified its involvement through a dogmatic rhetoric.
“The group is no longer widely considered the axis of resistance, even if they
claim to be,” said Atrache. Those close to the group insist otherwise.
Historically framing their movement as a struggle against oppression,
Hezbollah’s declining popularity among Palestinians is of symbolic importance.
Heba, a journalist for a pro-Hezbollah Lebanese newspaper, says Palestinians who
no longer support the movement are compromising the ‘resistance’ against Israeli
occupation. “They are traitors,” Heba told The Media Line. “We supported their
struggle against Israel for 30 years, but now many have turned against
us.”“Hezbollah is supporting a regime that’s starving our people,” said Khaled,
as he turned towards the window to stare at Shatila’s garbage-ridden streets
beneath him.
Yarmouk has become the latest icon in the history of Palestinian suffering. The
regime’s total siege has starved nearly 250 people to death. And though more
than 18,000 Palestinians remain trapped in crumbled buildings without water and
electricity, the crisis has received little coverage in pro-Hezbollah media
outlets.
The arrival of Sunni hardline fighters in the middle of 2013 further
complemented Hezbollah’s effort in discrediting the popular uprising. Promoting
their intervention as a fight to protect minorities, the movement’s rhetoric has
intensified sectarian divisions and exaggerated Israeli’s presence in the
conflict. Although Israel has provided medical assistance to rebels and
civilians in the Golan Heights, Hezbollah-affiliated channels have accused them
of militarily backing jihadists in Syria. While Hezbollah’s most devoted
supporters have absorbed this narrative, others have questioned the truth of
these reports. Raed, a former television presenter for the pro-Hezbollah channel
‘Etejah’ (Direction), says such claims never had any basis.
“Hezbollah’s narrative is that the ISIS project is benefiting Israel but nobody
in the news room received any indication that this was true,” Raed told TML.
“They are lying,” whispered Abu Ameen. “Hezbollah is fighting in the name of
Palestine but they don’t care about us.”
Deepening sectarian rifts have diverted Hezbollah’s attention from Israel to
Syria. Their interference has prevented the fall of Damascus and redefined its
image. By helping the regime crush the Syrian rebellion and using sectarian
rhetoric, the movement has alienated themselves from the very people for whom it
purports to fight. Unable to ignore the brutality imposed on Yarmouk, many
Palestinians from Syria have lost faith in the ‘axis of resistance’ they once
supported. “I respected Hezbollah before the war,” said Khaled, while crushing
the stub of his cigarette in his ashtray. “Now I realize they’re just a movement
for Shi'ites.”
For more stories from The Media Line go to
www.themedialine.org
Iran, Saudi Arabia in tense buildup
opposite Yemen’s Gulf of Aden shore: US air tankers refueling Saudi jets
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 10, 2015,
Saudi-Iranian saber-rattling over Yemen has reached a dangerous peak, Thursday,
April 9, the Saudi army spokesman, Brig. Gen. Ahmad Al-Assiri, warned: “Iranian
ships have the right to be present in international waters, but won’t be allowed
to enter Yemeni territorial waters.”
This was Riyadh’s rapid-fire riposte for the Iranian decision to deploy its
navy’s 34th Flotilla, consisting of the Alborz destroyer and the Bushehr
helicopter carrier warship, in the Gulf of Aden opposite the Yemeni coast.
The Saudi general noted that Iran had not evacuated any of its citizens from
Yemen because, he said, “they are all involved in training and arming the
Houthis.”
Soon after launching their air offensive in late March against the
Iranian-backed Houthi rebels and forces loyal to ousted president Ali Saleh, the
Saudis took control of the country’s airspace to prevent the landing of
airlifted Iranian supplies for the Houthis. Russian flights were also barred
later from landing in the embattled country.
Gen. Al-Assiri then issued Saudi Arabia's bluntest threat yet: “Those Iranians
planning to remain in the country would face the same fate as the Houthis and
their supporters,” he said.
Clearly, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards personnel were being trapped in a
Saudi vice: Unable to leave Yemen, on the one hand, they were threatened with
death if caught, on the other.
Tehran decided to send its most effective naval force to the Gulf of Aden when
it realized that Riyadh would not heed its warnings to back off Yemen. Its
presence substantiated the threat of direct Iranian intervention in the Yemeni
conflict should harm come to the elite IRGC force aiding the rebels.
The Bushehr helicopter carrier made its maiden voyage to Port Sudan at the end
of 2012. Shortly after that, on Dec. 8 of that year, DEBKAfile first revealed is
features:
The new 13,000-ton vessel carries 12 Iranian strike helicopters, a crew of 200
and has a range of 8,000 nautical miles that reaches the US coast. There are
five landing spots on its decks and four parking spots, as well as SM-1 and SAM
anti-air missiles and 40-mm Fath-40 AAA anti-air cannon. Tehran invested $800
million in its first helicopter carrier.
If Tehran is not scared off by the Saudi threat and does order the Bushehr to
sail into Yemeni territorial waters, its guns and missiles would be in range
there to strike targets in neighboring Saudi Arabia to the north. Tehran could
justify this attack by Yemeni President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi having been
granted asylum in the oil kingdom.
However, the Saudi Air Force would also be on hand close by over Yemen to
retaliate by bombing the Iranian Bushehr and other warships to chase them away
from the Yemeni coast, if not to sink them.
Our sources predict that this naval-air collision would likely be limited in
extent. After peaking to a dangerous crisis, the clash would most probably be
contained before it escalated into a full-blown war between Saudi Arabia and
Iran.
The Obama administration’s backing for the Saudi Arabian intervention in support
of the internationally recognized Yemen president Hadi was intended to keep Iran
in check.
On Tuesday, April 7, US Deputy Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in
Riyadh and stated: "Saudi Arabia is sending a strong message to the Houthis and
their allies that they cannot overrun Yemen by force. As part of that effort, we
have expedited weapons deliveries, we have increased our intelligence sharing,
and we have established a joint coordination planning cell in the Saudi
operation center."
He was sending a clear message to Tehran backed up by solid US assistance
1. Tehran was being warned not to make the mistake of assuming that its
understandings with Washington over Iran's regional promotion included license
for aggression against Saudi Arabia.
2. Tehran was notified that the Saudi operational chiefs would henceforth
receive ongoing intelligence gathered by a US military satellite over the region
through their joint coordination center in Riyadh. This intelligence would also
cover the movements of Iranian warships in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea.
3. Further details of vital US aid came through Thursday, April 9, from Pentagon
spokesman Army Col. Steve Warren. He announced that the US Air Force had begun
an aerial refueling mission for “the Saudi Arabian-led mission engaged in air
strikes on Shiite Houthi rebels in Yemen.” In its first task Wednesday, a US
KC-135 Stratotanker refueled a Saudi Air Force F-15 Eagle and a UAE F-16
Fighting Falcon.
Warren said that the US Central Command aimed to fly one tanker mission a day in
support of the Saudi-led alliance, but it would not enter Yemeni airspace to
perform it.
Nonetheless, a potential sea-cum-air clash of arms between Saudi Arabia and Iran
off the shores of Yemen cannot be ruled out, especially after Riyadh ratcheted
up the tension Friday with a ban imposed on Iranian flights carrying pilgrims to
Mecca.
It would not be the first firefight to be triggered by the Yemeni conflict.
Earlier this week, Egyptian and Iranian warships exchanged fire in the tussle
for control over the strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait. The episode ended with the
Iranian ships being ordered directed from Tehran to break off contact and
distance themselves from the Egyptian craft. The Iranian Navy commander Rear
Adm. Habibollah Sayyari later denied reports appearing in the Gulf media that
Egyptian warships had forced Iranian naval vessels to retreat and quit the Gulf
of Aden.
The incendiary tension around the Gulf of Aden and rising fear of a
Saudi-Iranian military engagement has raised enough alarm for the US, French and
British fleets with a naval presence in the Gulf to go on a state of
preparedness.
Obama is always wrong on the Middle
East
Tariq Alhomayed/ASharq Al Awsat
Friday, 10 Apr, 2015
In his interview with journalist Thomas Friedman this week, US President Barack
Obama said that the threat to regional states, including Saudi Arabia, is not
Iranian intervention, but rather “internal threats.” Can this be true?
The reality is that Obama has an incorrect view of the region, and this is
something that has become increasingly clear since he took office. He is always
wrong on our region, and has made the biggest mistakes here, and these mistakes
have had major consequences.
Obama rushed to withdraw from Iraq, and now here we see him returning once
again. He played down the Syrian revolution and Assad’s crimes. He talked about
“red lines” but Assad has crossed each and every one of these, while Obama has
done nothing. He played down the threat of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria
(ISIS) only to subsequently be forced to acknowledge the reality of the
situation, although he still had enough time to blame his country’s intelligence
services for failing to realize this earlier.
It is also interesting to note a recent Washington Post report that revealed the
extent of ISIS’s connection with the former ruling Ba’athist regime in Iraq, and
that many members of the group are ex-members of Saddam Hussein’s military. This
is the same military that was controversially disbanded following the Iraq
invasion. Washington has made many mistakes in Iraq, and Obama must bear some
share of the responsibility for this.
Obama also gambled, for years, on political Islam being a successful model in
the region. This failed, of course, and the Islamists failure has had a
long-lasting effect on the entire region following the so-called Arab Spring.
Obama’s mistakes go beyond this, and we now see him making yet another one
today. This misjudgment that will have serious, adverse consequences for the
Middle East.
So, Obama thinks that the threat to the region is not Iran, but rather an
absence of internal reform. This is simply wrong, and demonstrates worrying
double standards.
In 2009, when Obama was already in office, the “Green Movement” broke out in
Iran. The Iranian authorities violently suppressed the protests, including
through the force of arms. Many protesters were killed, and many more arrested.
All the while, Obama looked on and did nothing. Indeed, some leading members of
this revolt remain behind bars until today. Since then, Iran has not carried out
any significant internal reform. During the same period, Gulf states—and
particularly Saudi Arabia—have moved forward with the internal reform process.
More than this, we can clearly see Iran’s threatening action in Iraq, Syria,
Lebanon and Yemen. This is not to mention the terrorist sleeper cells with ties
to Iran that have been uncovered in the Gulf.
So, after all this, how can Obama say that the threat does not come from Iran,
but rather from “internal threats?”
We can ask many questions regarding this perplexing view:
Who is responsible for all the sectarian crises and conflicts in our region?
Isn’t it Iran?
Who disrupted political reform in Iraq? Who disrupted the Lebanese presidential
election? Who is protecting the tyrant of Damascus Bashar Al-Assad?
The aim of this op-ed is not just to respond to Obama’s comments and paint a
clearer picture regarding what is happening in the region. We must also take a
deep breath and acknowledge that some of our regional states, particularly the
moderate ones, have made mistakes.
Why haven’t we seen them leading a diplomatic offensive in Washington in order
to explain and clarify our position? Why have we seen this corresponding
slow-down in the pace of reform and development in our countries?
How can we explain Obama’s fluctuating position looking for a “magic” solution
to the situation in the region, first rushing to political Islam, and then
resorting to Iran? Where are we in all this?
Of course, I am not putting forward a conspiracy theory to explain this, for the
simplest explanation is that President Obama does not understand our region, and
it is enough to compare his vision with that of another US official, such as
Gen. David Petraeus in this regard.
But ultimately, we must look to ourselves. Where are moderate Arab states on
these issues? Where is our diplomatic response? Why have we failed so badly in
the game of influence and lobbying in Washington?