LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
March 01/14
Pope Francis's Tweet For Today
The Eucharist is essential for us: it is Christ who wishes to enter our
lives and fill us with his grace.
Pape François
L’Eucharistie est essentielle pour nous : c’est le Christ qui veut
entrer dans notre vie et la remplir de sa grâce.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Eucharist jukərst, also called Holy Communion, the
Lord's Supper, and other names, is a sacrament accepted by almost all
Christians. It is reenacted in accordance with Jesus' instruction at the
Last Supper, as recorded in several books of the New Testament, that his
followers do in remembrance of him as when he gave his disciples bread,
saying, "This is my body", and gave them wine saying, "This is my
blood."[2][3]
Christians generally recognize a special presence of Christ in this
rite, though they differ about exactly how, where, and when Christ is
present. While all agree that there is no perceptible change in the
elements, some believe that they actually become the body and blood of
Christ, others believe in a "real" but merely spiritual presence of
Christ in the Eucharist, and still others take the act to be only a
symbolic reenactment of the Last Supper. A minority of Protestants view
the Eucharist as an ordinance in which the ceremony is seen not as a
specific channel of divine grace, but as an expression of faith and of
obedience to Christ.
In spite of differences between Christians about various aspects of the
Eucharist, there is, according to the Encyclopædia Britannica, "more of
a consensus among Christians about the meaning of the Eucharist than
would appear from the confessional debates over the sacramental
presence, the effects of the Eucharist, and the proper auspices under
which it may be celebrated."[2]
The word Eucharist may refer not only to the rite but also to the
consecrated bread (leavened or unleavened) and wine (or grape juice)
used in the rite. In this sense, communicants (that is, those who
partake of the communion elements) may speak of "receiving the
Eucharist", as well as "celebrating the Eucharist".
Latest analysis,
editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
For March 01/14
Popping Hezbollah’s resistance bubble/By Michael Young/The Daily Star/March
01/14
Opinion: Lebanon’s “Three Majorities/By: Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Alawsat
Implications of a Sisi Presidency /Adel El-Adawy /Washington Institute/ March 01/14
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For March 01/14
Lebanese Related News
Suleiman Draws New 'Equation,' Balances between Baabda Declaration and National Pact
Over 4 Syrian Raids Hit Arsal Outskirts as al-Nusra Executes Assad Supporters
Syrian airstrikes kill two in Lebanon border town
Judge Demands Death Penalty for Asir, Supporters
Geagea: Hezbollah statement a "clear Iranian message"
Lebanon judge indicts Sheikh Assir, requests death penalty
Roumieh Inmates Hold Strike, Demand to Meet Rifi
Rockets Land from Syria in Brital
Military Equipment Seized in Army Raid on Syrians in Baalbek
U.N. Calls for Avoiding Any Action that Adds to Regional Tension
Suleiman Meets Fneish, Says Lebanon Obliged to Commit to Baabda Declaration
Abdullah Azzam Brigades Plotting to Assassinate Parliament Speaker
Berri Holds onto Resistance, Warns Wind Could Change Directions
Sami Gemayel Rejects 'Lebanese's Right to Resist' Formula in Policy Statement
Foreign Ministry Asks Lebanon's U.N. Ambassador to File Complaint over Israeli Raids
Sabbagh emerges as jihadist symbol
Israel warns Lebanon to curb Hezbollah reprisals
Lebanon’s trade deficit widens by 31 percent
Salameh: Stability would lower debt cost
Miscellaneous Reports And News
Kerry defends US Iran position in advance of Obama-Netanyahu meeting
No Iran report with new bomb research information: IAEA
Yanukovych from Russia: I Was Not Overthrown but Compelled to Leave
North Yemen Clashes between Army, Rebels 'Kill 24'
Ukraine Accuses Russia of 'Armed Invasion' in Crimea
U.N. Chief Cites Syria at Rwanda Genocide Commemoration
ISIS retreats from parts of north Syria: activists
Islamist militants slice off alleged thief's hand in Syria
Popping Hezbollah’s resistance bubble
February 27, 2014/By Michael Young/The Daily Star
How ironic that when Hezbollah insists that the new
government’s policy statement include a mention of the privileged role of the
resistance, that role was imperceptible when Israeli aircraft attacked earlier
this week near Nabi Sheet. It’s still not clear what the Israelis bombed Monday
night, though news outlets suggested Wednesday that it was a shipment of
missiles from Syria. Hezbollah downplayed the incident, which Information
Minister Ramzi Joreige admitted had taken place inside Lebanon. Party officials
did not comment. Israel’s Channel 10 TV station reported the raid followed
warnings from Israel to Hezbollah, transmitted through European governments,
that the party’s deployment along the border with Syria had strategic
implications, therefore Israel would attack if Hezbollah maintained its
positions. Border control is still seen as the duty of the Lebanese Army, with
which Hezbollah is so keen to be equivalent in the people-Army-resistance triad
advocated by the party. Hezbollah has sought for years to position itself as a
protector of the Lebanese state – hence its insistence on retaining its weapons.
How funny, then, that the border has never been so porous, with officials
telling us that the car bombs in Lebanon are being rigged in the Syrian town of
Yabroud، before passing through Hezbollah areas on their way to Beirut. Not only
has Hezbollah been incapable of defending the borders, it has been utterly
incapable of defending its own community. The bombings directed against the
party and the Shiite community have only rarely occurred in faraway places where
security is patchy. It has, clearly, been the intent of the attackers to strike
at the very heart of Hezbollah’s quarters, regardless of the security measures,
and destroy any sense of confidence that the party can protect its own.
What was the Israeli message Monday? In recent years, before the party was drawn
into the Syrian quagmire, Hezbollah and its mouthpieces voiced great ambitions.
Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah, the party’s secretary-general, spoke of a new weapon
that would surprise the Israelis. He promised that in a future war, Hezbollah
would seize territory in northern Galilee. And there were some who suggested
that the time was ripe for the imposition of new rules of the game between the
party and Israel, along the lines of the 1996 April Understanding. Such hubris
was not surprising from those who considered the 2006 summer war a Hezbollah
victory. But today such puffery is more difficult to justify. The party has
imported the Syrian war into Lebanon and has become a hostage to the grinding,
open-ended battle on behalf of a Syrian regime delighted to have fresh,
non-Syrian bodies to feed into the battle. But the air raid this week suggested
something else. That if anyone is seeking to impose new rules, it is the
Israelis. If Channel 10 is correct, then we can wonder whether Israel’s
intention is not to increase the cost of Hezbollah’s deployment along the border
with Syria in the future. Indeed, as the Syrian regime increases its control
over areas adjoining those under Hezbollah’s sway in the northern Bekaa Valley,
Israeli anxieties can only rise. With the battle for Syria’s Qalamoun district
in high gear, Israel is worried that a secure Lebanese-Syrian border will
facilitate the transfer to Hezbollah of advanced weaponry that can hit Israeli
cities.
Hezbollah, with thousands of combatants in Syria, has a very narrow latitude to
respond to the Israelis if the air attacks escalate. Israel sees a golden
opportunity to impose red lines of its own on the party, and Hezbollah cannot do
much about it. All this was predictable months ago, when Hezbollah’s
recklessness in Syria promised to bring Lebanon nothing but strife. One can only
stare in disbelief as the party continues to insist on the
people-Army-resistance formula, when none of its Lebanese partners view it with
any conviction.
What is most flagrant is that Hezbollah, even as it seeks to impose a form of
hegemony inside Lebanon, has been shown to be no better than an auxiliary force
regionally for both the Iranian and Syrian regimes. The party cannot be happy to
see its men in the vanguard of the Syrian regime’s actions, even as the Syrian
army’s effectiveness remains suspect. And though the Iranians and the five
permanent members of the U.N. Security Council are negotiating a final nuclear
deal, the party is in no position to act as a deterrent to Israel if these talks
break down.
In other words, Hezbollah is struggling, at no small cost to Lebanon’s interests
and its own, to defend Syria and Iran, but it simultaneously seeks to force this
priority on the Lebanese through a formula that would allow it to retain its
weapons. Needless to say, this cannot conceivably go together with Hezbollah’s
efforts to reduce sectarian and political tensions at home. There are too many
contradictions in the party’s multiple ambitions, which the Israeli attack only
further damaged. For now, March 14 and the centrists should reject the
people-Army-resistance formula. Hezbollah is the one that needs cover for its
participation in the Syrian conflict, so let it make the concessions. The party
cannot even secure its core areas against the jihadists and Israel, so it should
stop trying to convince us that it merits a special role as protector of
Lebanon.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR. He tweets @BeirutCalling.
Opinion: Lebanon’s “Three Majorities”
By: Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Alawsat
http://www.aawsat.net/2014/02/article55329490
When listening to Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Al-Mouallem, Deputy Foreign
Minister Faisal Mekdad and UN representative Bashar Al-Jaafari, one can only
feel surprise at their extensive use of the term “sovereignty” in their
speeches. In fact, they consider “respecting” this “sovereignty” the sole basis
for any international dealing with Syria.
These figures, as well as others within the Syrian regime, could believe their
own discourse. They may even believe that their audience is buying their
rhetoric about “sovereignty.” However, it is the Syrian regime, which is killing
its own people and disrupting the national, social and institutional fabric of
the country, that has stripped the word “sovereignty” of its meaning.
The Lebanese—politicians, media and general public—are more humble. They realize
two things: that Lebanon is no longer an independent country, and that nobody
will believe them if they copy Bashar Al-Assad’s self-delusion. Without beating
around the bush, it is enough to note that the Lebanese military, supposedly a
national fortress and a melting pot of loyalties, is not the most powerful armed
force on the ground. In fact, there is a more powerful and influential power in
Lebanon. What’s more, in a country such as Lebanon, where national allegiance is
on the decline, we can sense divisions running along sectarian and religious
lines within state institutions. Even the government security forces are divided
along a tacitly recognized sectarian quota. Over the past few years, the
Lebanese military establishment has gone through several trying experiences and
has tried to demonstrate its impartiality to the Lebanese people. However, the
eruption of the Syrian revolution further divided the already disunited Lebanese
people into pro- and anti-Assad camps. After that, Hezbollah’s involvement in
Syria and the failure of the Lebanese military to find definitions for
controversial terms—including “extremism,” “fundamentalism,” “terrorism” and
“Takfirism”—have served to weaken the Lebanese people’s trust in the military’s
impartiality.
While it is true that such a task is the prerogative of the political, rather
than the military, establishment. The army—whether it likes or not—has become
the last resort for the Lebanese people, who expect it to provide consensual
figures moderate and disarming enough to assume the presidency.
In fact, the military has produced one of Lebanon’s finest presidents, Fuad
Chehab, who sincerely worked to ease tensions, fight extremism, restore national
unity and transform Lebanon into a state of institutions.
With no aspirations for power and wealth, Chehab, a descendent of a
Muslim-turned-Christian family of noble ancestry, succeeded in rebuilding the
state following 1958 crisis. A lot of the Lebanese still have good memories of
the man despite the growing influence of the security forces towards the end of
his term.
At odds with Émile Lahoud, the former Lebanese president who gave up his role as
an arbitrator among the Lebanese, preferring instead to operate under the
influence of the Syrian security apparatus, is current President Michel
Suleiman. Suleiman, also a former army chief, preferred to follow Chehab’s
course, remaining keen to adopt a consensual approach based on a reciprocal
compromise signed in the Qatari capital of Doha around the time he was elected
in 2008.
Today there are a number of prospective presidents, including Maronite leaders
from across the political spectrum. Although some of these names are outside the
stated map of alliances, those observing the scene expect that some of the names
could be serious contenders, particularly if the political actors reach a
consensus and the international sponsors express a desire to ensure that Lebanon
avoids another shakeup. Such a shakeup is the last thing the country needs,
given the escalating Syrian crisis and its security, political, economic and
humanitarian repercussions for Lebanon.
Some of Lebanon’s political and religious Christian figures—whose good
intentions are in question—are calling for the election of a “strong, Christian
president.” These are good words but with dubious intentions. The next Lebanese
President must be an icon of national unity and provide a safety net for
citizens, ensuring that state institutions remain at the service of all the
Lebanese people.
Those calling for the election of a “strong, Christian president” ignore the
fact that the head of the state is exactly what the title suggests—namely,
someone in charge of the entire state. This is quite different from the
positions of the Sunni Prime Minister, who heads a Cabinet divided equally
between Christians and Muslims, and the Shi’ite Speaker of the parliament, which
is also equally divided between Christians and Muslims.
Electing a “strong Christian President” in this implicitly sectarian sense will
constitute a provocative step that is fated to either fail or push the country
into the abyss. Moreover, the Lebanese Army’s impartiality towards the Sunni–Shi’ite
tensions is now in question, particularly following the deeply felt misgivings
within the Sunni community after the killing of Sheikh Ahmed Abdul Wahid and the
operation against Sheikh Ahmad Al-Assir, and its failure to block the movement
of Sunni and Shi’ite fighters across the Syria–Lebanon border. In light of this,
the Lebanese military establishment perhaps can no longer offer presidential
candidates who are equidistant from all political sides.
After ten months and ten days of stalemate, the surprising announcement of the
formation of Tammam Salam’s government has encouraged the optimists among the
Lebanese to believe in the presence of a secret “watchword” that helped
facilitate things and ease tensions.
However, the battle for the presidency will be tougher and riskier than reaching
an understanding aimed at forming a short-lived government. Even if Lebanon is
able to coexist with a “shadow government”—in the presence of a de facto
Hezbollah government—for a few months before presidential elections, a “shadow
presidency” would mean the elimination of the country.
In the late 1950s, when the political conflict in Lebanon was raging between the
“Pan-Arabist Muslims” and the “Lebanonist Christians,” famous Lebanese
journalist and politician Ghassan Tueni said that “Lebanon can only be ruled by
two majorities: Muslim and Christian.”
Although we now live in a “tripartite” conflict, Tueni’s principle has not
changed much. No president can succeed, no internal peace can remain, nor can
the state stand without a president that is accepted by each of the Sunni,
Shi’ite and Christian majorities. Any option other than the “three majorities”
will be a leap into the unknown. If the next president is not a consensual pick,
it could weaken his factional—national cover, and thus threaten more than his
representational legitimacy.
Syrian airstrikes kill two in Lebanon
border town
February 28, 2014/By Rakan al-Fakih/The Daily Star
HERMEL: Syrian government air raids on the outskirts of Arsal killed a child and
a teenager and wounded five others Friday, while seven rockets were fired from
within Syria at the Lebanese border town of Brital.
The Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria (ISIS), a radical Al-Qaeda-linked
Syrian rebel group, claimed responsibility for three of the rockets that hit
Brital and the surrounding area, saying the group had targeted "the party of the
devil's stronghold," a reference to Hezbollah. It is unclear who was behind the
other four. Brital is strongly associated with Hezbollah, which is fighting
alongside regime forces in Syria, while Arsal is known for supporting the Syrian
opposition. It was unclear whether the rockets were intended as a retaliation
for the airstrike near Arsal. Security sources said five missiles fired by
Syrian government jets hit a rugged and remote area in Khirbit Youneen and Wadi
Hmayyed on the edge of the northeastern town of Arsal at 9:15 a.m., causing no
casualties. Another missile hit the outskirts of the northeastern town close to
the Syrian border around 3 p.m., Deputy Mayor Ahmad al-Fliti told The Daily
Star. "I think this will continue because it seems they [the Syrian regime] are
preparing for something bigger," Fliti said. The afternoon attack killed an
11-year-old boy and a 16-year-old girl, a security source said. The wounded were
transferred to Al-Maydan Hospital in Lebanon. Less than three hours after the
morning air raid, seven rockets fired from Syria landed in Brital.
A little girl, whose name and age were not immediately disclosed, was lightly
wounded by two rockets of the rockets that slammed into the Brital neighborhood
of Wadi Shalah. The attack also caused damage to several homes.
Another five rockets landed on the outskirts of Brital, according to the
sources. Border towns in north and east Lebanon have often come under aerial and
artillery bombardment from both regime forces and the armed opposition since the
uprising against President Bashar Assad's regime began in March 2011.
Separately, two Syrian brothers were attacked over what appeared to be a
financial dispute, the security sources said.
Unidentified assailants opened fire on a motorcycle in Wadi Hmayyed, killing Ali
Hussin Al-Kouz, known as Ali al-Natsha, 50, and wounding his brother.
Kouz's body was taken to a field hospital in Arsal, while his brother was taken
captive by the attackers who reportedly took him over the border into Syria, the
sources said.
Baabda Declaration a fundamental policy: Sleiman
February 28, 2014/The Daily Star/BEIRUT: President Michel Sleiman insisted
Friday that the new Cabinet's policy statement include the Baabda Declaration,
which seeks to maintain Lebanon's neutrality regarding regional conflicts,
especially the Syrian crisis. “The Baabda Declaration has become an invariable
principle of [Lebanon’s] National Charter, which, consequently, must top
ministerial statements of [successive] governments,” Sleiman told a conference
on land issues in Kaslik, north of Beirut. "Everyone needs this Declaration and
will demand that it be enforced.”Sleiman hinted that “the land, the people and
common values” should replace the controversial tripartite equation “The Army,
the people and the resistance.” "The land, the people and common values is the
permanent tripartite," Sleiman maintained. The Hezbollah-led March 8 coalition
has insisted that the tripartite formula enshrining the resistance be adopted by
this government as it has been by previous governments. The March 14 coalition
and Sleiman want the policy statement to include the Baabda Declaration. Sleiman
also said that political and military decisions are the exclusive domain of
Constitutional institutions. The president called for a solution to return the
nearly 1 million Syrian refugees home “because they pose a substantial threat to
the land, the wealth and the demographic balance, as well as to national
integration and resources.”
Lebanon’s trade deficit widens by 31
percent
February 28, 2014 /The Daily Star/
BEIRUT: Lebanon’s trade deficit in January widened by 31.23 percent compared to
the same month in 2013, as exports fell to their lowest levels since the 2006
war, the Customs Department said Thursday. According to the figures released by
the department, total exports in January 2014 stood at $244 million compared to
$405 million in the same month of 2013, a drop of 39.753 percent. Total imports
also rose by 13.79 percent to $1.873 billion from $1.646 billion in January
2013. New Industry Minister Hussein Hajj Hasan said he would do his best to
increase exports and reduce the balance of trade deficit. He also promised to
review some of the “unfair” trade agreements with some countries. He claimed
that some countries were imposing strict requirements on the entry of
Lebanese-made goods into their markets. But observers doubt Hajj Hasan can do
anything to improve exports in less than three months, the expected tenure of
the current Cabinet. Industrialists and farmers cite the security situation and
the frequent closure of the Lebanese-Syrian border crossings as the main reasons
behind the drop in total exports. And although the government managed to open
sea routes for exporters, industrialists and farmers have complained that the
cost of shipping goods by sea was much higher than land transportation.
In 2013, Lebanon’s exports reached $3.936 billion while imports stood at $21.228
billion. Lebanon imports most of its needs from Europe, the United States and
Asia despite relentless efforts by all the successive industry and agriculture
ministers to rein in the balance of trade deficit. The figures also indicated
that 74 percent of the total imports passed through Beirut Port, followed by 16
percent for airports and 6 percent for Tripoli Port. The main countries
exporting to Lebanon in the month of January 2014 were the United States,
followed by China, Italy, France, Germany and Turkey. Switzerland remained the
largest recipient of Lebanese-made goods, followed by the United Arab Emirates,
Saudi Arabia, Syria and Iraq. A breakdown of Customs and VAT collection showed
that Beirut Port generated some $200 million, followed by Rafik Hariri
InternationalAirport with $17 million. es in the month of January fell by 5
percent to reach LL179 billion while VAT proceeds in the same month fell by 2
percent to reach LL174 billion. In 2013, Customs revenues reached LL2.259
trillion while VAT stood at LL2.120 trillion. Customs and VAT revenues are the
biggest generators of money for the Finance Ministry, followed by telecoms
revenues and income tax.
Salameh: Stability would lower debt
cost
February 28, 2014/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh said that interest rates and premiums
on government bonds would fall once the political and security situation in
Lebanon become more stable. “Of course, if we have a better environment, I think
that interest rates and the premium we pay will decrease,” Salameh told CNBC TV
earlier this week in London. The governor said the interest rates the Lebanese
government was paying on bonds were not too high given the country’s
international rating. “It is a normal and acceptable premium. Lebanon is rated
B-. We are still borrowing at BB+ or BBB levels,” he added. Lebanon continues to
tap the local market to borrow and roll over maturing Eurobonds at reasonable
interest rates. Salameh insisted that the monetary situation in the country
remained strong and sound despite the fact that the IMF projected Lebanon’s GDP
growth in 2013 at 1.5 percent. “Despite this macro weakness, the monetary
fundamentals remain pretty strong if we look at the deposits and at the
reserves.”Bank deposit growth in 2013 ranged between 6 and 7 percent while the
foreign currency reserves of the Central Bank stand at more than $36 billion. “I
think that Lebanon, because of its banking sector, is retaining the potential
for growth, so, as soon as we can get a better political environment, a better
security environment, the liquidity is there to fuel investment and encourage
consumption in Lebanon,” he said. Salameh also commented on the formation of the
new Cabinet. “The government is a message to the markets that the Lebanese want
a united country that abides by democratic behavior.”Salameh said the
international community had not acted swiftly to help Lebanon cope with the
Syrian refugee crisis.
“The international community is not acting fast enough in terms of intervening
to stop the conflict in Syria. The matter is complicated,” he said. “ Lebanon
itself has a burden from that. We have 900,000 refugees. The World Bank has
estimated to $1 billion per year the cost of these refugees on Lebanon, and we
are still hoping for the backing of the international community.”The governor
said the Central Bank was exerting effort to stimulate the economy, but
government efforts were needed to restore the Lebanese economy. “The Central
Bank has launched stimulus packages. We still have one for 2014 in order to
allow the private sector to borrow at low cost,” Salameh said. “The government
cannot really act this year in a convincing matter because there are two
elections running in Lebanon, the first for the Presidency and the second for
the Parliament.
“One should hope for the government to be active by the last quarter of 2014.”
Iran's support for resistance nonnegotiable: official
February 28, 2014/The Daily Star /BEIRUT: Iranian Parliamentary Speaker
Alaeddine Boroujerdi said Friday his country's support for the resistance was
nonnegotiable in the context of ongoing talks over Tehran’s nuclear activities
with the West. “The nuclear negotiations are purely over the nuclear issue
and do not include any other item,” Boroujerdi told reporters after meeting
Salam at the Grand Serail. “We cannot trade our defense and embrace of the
resistance for anything else and this is a solid political policy of the Islamic
Republic of Iran,” he added, referring to Hezbollah. Boroujerdi, who
arrived in Beirut Thursday following a trip to Damascus, also said that he
briefed Salam on the latest developments in talks between Iran and the P5 1.
"Every success achieved by the Islamic Republic of Iran on the international
level reflects positively on strengthening security and stability in the region
in general,” he said. He described his meeting with Salam as “very good,”
and handed the prime minister a congratulatory letter from the first deputy of
the Iranian president on the formation of a new government. Boroujerdi also said
he expressed Tehran’s condemnations of the Israeli raid in the Bekaa earlier
this week, emphasizing Iran's “solid stance in supporting sisterly Lebanon, its
unity, sovereignty, security and independence, as well as our support for the
resistance whether in Syria or Lebanon.” "We also exchanged views on several
issues concerning security developments in Lebanon, and we think such discussion
contributes positively to strengthening security here, which is of interest to
the Lebanese and the Iranians as well.” Boroujerdi also said he asked Salam to
have his government pay special attention to two cases: the 1982 abduction of
Iranian diplomats on Lebanese soil and the disappearance of Imam Musa Sadr.
Israel warns Lebanon to curb Hezbollah reprisals
February 28, 2014/The Daily Star/JERUSALEM: Israel
warned Lebanon on Friday to prevent threatened Hezbollah retaliation for an
alleged Israeli air strike on a site used by the guerrillas on the Syrian
border. Israel has neither confirmed nor denied carrying out Monday's strike, in
keeping with its silence on at least three such attacks over the past year
targeting suspected Hezbollah-bound convoys of advanced weapons from civil
war-torn Syria. In an unusually forthright public statement about the incident,
Hezbollah said Wednesday it would "choose the time and place and the proper way
to respond" against Israel, with which it fought a war in south Lebanon in 2006.
Israel has frequently promised to target Lebanon at large in any new conflict,
noting that Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed group, had politicians in the Beirut
government. "It is self-evident that we see Lebanon as responsible for any
attack on Israel from the territory of Lebanon," Israeli Strategic Affairs
Minister Yuval Steinitz said on Friday. "It is the duty of the Lebanese
government to prevent any terrorist attack - whether a terrorist or missile
attack, or any other kind - on the State of Israel," he told Israel Radio.
Israel is technically at war with Lebanon and Syria. Israeli analysts have been
mostly dismissive of Hezbollah's threat this week, arguing that its fighters
were too busy helping Syrian President Bashar al-Assad battle a three-year-old
rebellion to open up a new front with Israel.
Islamist militants slice off alleged thief's hand in Syria
Daily Star/BEIRUT: Islamist militants trying to enforce their religious strict
code in rebel-held areas of Syria have cut off the hand of an alleged thief in
Aleppo province, jihadist social media said on Friday.
tos of the public event were posted on Twitter by several jihadi accounts,
including "Jehad News", which said the thief in the northern town of Maskanah
had admitted his crimes "and also asked that his hand be cut off to cleanse his
sins". It was not immediately possible to verify the accounts. One photo showed
a blindfolded man with his hand being held on a table while several militants
watched, one with a large knife.A later photo showed the man with his hand
severed. The punishment was inflicted by the Islamic State in Iraq and Greater
Syria (ISIS), mainly composed of foreign fighters, an al Qaeda splinter group
that is widely considered the most radical of the groups fighting President
Bashar al-Assad. It is also engaged in a violent struggle with rival Islamist
rebels. ISIS controls much of rebel-held Syria in the north. In the city of
Raqqa, it has demanded that Christians pay a levy in gold and curb displays of
their faith in return for protection. It has also banned Christians from
owning weapons and from selling pork or wine to Muslims or drinking wine in
public.
Geagea: Hezbollah statement a "clear Iranian message"
February 27, 2014/The Daily Star /BERIUT: Lebanese Forces
leader Samir Geagea slammed Thursday Hezbollah's response to an Israeli air
strike on one of the party's positions, characterizing it as an Iranian message
to Israel. “The response of Hezbollah to the Israeli airstrike is actually the
response of Iran; Hezbollah waited 48 hours to issue a statement in response to
the strike because they were expecting something to come out from the Geneva
II," Geagea said, referring to the recent failed peace negotiations between the
Syrian regime and opposition. “The conflict intensified between the
Western axis and the second axis and that is why the Israeli airstrike took
place,” he said. “Ultimately, the response of Hezbollah is obviously a clear
Iranian message for Israel warning it not to interfere in the Syrian crisis.” An
Israeli airstrike on Monday targeted a Hezbollah position near the
Syrian-Lebanese border. The party confirmed two days later that Israeli
warplanes bombarded a Hezbollah target near the Janta region and vowed to
retaliate at the right time and place. “Once again, and because of Hezbollah’s
involvement in the regional turmoil, the party is implicating Lebanon in a
conflict that the country has nothing to do with. The solution would be in the
party's withdrawal from Syria and the army taking control of the border,” Geagea
said. Geagea also discussed the new Cabinet’s policy statement, expressing
pessimism. “What we have heard so far about the policy statement is not
promising,” he said. “A policy statement that insists on respecting all parties'
stances is useless because our problem is with one of these parties and its
decisions.” He also called for the implementation of the Baabda Declaration, an
agreement to distance Lebanon from regional turmoil, particularly the Syria
crisis, but said Hezbollah “does not have the intention to commit to the
declaration.” “If the Baabda Declaration is not implemented, the security
situation will remain the same and this means the social situation will continue
to deteriorate," said Geagea. The LF leader also called for exerting more effort
to discover the fate of Joseph Sader, a 57-old IT manager at Middle East
Airlines and father of three who was abducted on Feb. 12, 2009, while walking to
work at Rafik Hariri International Airport. “It is very, very, very shameful
that four years have passed since the kidnapping of Joseph Sader and the former
Cabinet did not open a probe into this matter,” he said. “Information revealed
by security officials in the meetings of the parliamentary committee on human
rights was ignored,” Geagea said. “I second Justice Minister Ashraf Rifi's call
to refer the meeting's reports to the prosecution to follow-up on this case.”
Lebanon judge indicts Sheikh Assir, requests death penalty
February 28, 2014/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Military Investigative Judge Riad Abu Ghayda issued
indictments Friday against 57 individuals, including Salafist Sheikh Ahmad Assir
and former pop singer Fadl Shaker. He requested the death penalty for all 57.
Abu Ghayda charged the suspects with the murder and attempted murder of dozens
of military personnel, including officers, and civilians, as well as with
inflicting damage to private and public property during the Abra clashes east of
Sidon in July 2013. At least 18 soldiers and 28 gunmen were killed in gunbattles
between Assir’s fighters and the Army in Abra. Assir and his followers were also
charged with provoking the killing of Army officers and with stirring sectarian
strife. Abu Ghayda referred the case and the suspects to the military tribunal.
Married Lebanese Man Becomes Maronite Catholic Priest in U.S.
http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/120589-married-lebanese-man-becomes-maronite-catholic-priest-in-u-s
http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/120589-married-lebanese-man-becomes-maronite-catholic-priest-in-u-s
Naharnet Newsdesk 28 February 2014/The Maronite Catholic Church in the United
States has ordained a married Lebanese priest for the first time in nearly a
century, after Pope Francis gave his permission. A ceremony at the ornate St.
Raymond's Maronite Cathedral in St. Louis ordained Deacon Wissam Akiki on
Thursday night. Eastern Catholic churches in the Middle East and Europe ordain
married men. However, the Vatican banned the practice in America in the 1920s
after Latin-rite bishops complained it was confusing for parishioners. But Pope
John Paul II called for greater acceptance of Eastern Catholic traditions. And
over the years, popes have made exceptions on a case-by-case basis for married
men to become Eastern Catholic priests in the U.S. "Almost half of our priests
in Lebanon are married, so it's not an unusual event in the life of the Maronite
Church, though in the United States it is," Deacon Louis Peters, chancellor at
St. Raymond's, said Thursday. Peters said the pope's action does not lift the
ban on married priests in the U.S. It is simply an exception. Whether the
decision would open the door for more married priests wasn't clear. Experts
cautioned against reading too much into it. "This is certainly not an automatic
indication that the mandate of celibacy within Roman rite will be overturned,"
said Randy Rosenberg, a theological studies professor at Saint Louis University.
Akiki, 41, completed seminary studies at Holy Spirit University in Lebanon, Our
Lady of Lebanon Maronite Seminary in Washington, D.C., and the Aquinas Institute
of Theology in St. Louis. He has been a deacon at St. Raymond's since 2009 and
worked as the assistant to the bishop. He and his wife, Manal Kassab, have one
daughter, Perla, 8. Peters said that in the most recent Maronite Patriarchal
Synod, the church reaffirmed its position in support of allowing married
priests, a tradition that, worldwide, dates back centuries. Peters said having
married priests "does not in any way detract from the value that the church
finds in the vocation to celibacy. The celibate priesthood continues to be
highly esteemed."Source/Associated Press.
Why Are Christians the World's Most Persecuted Group?
by Raymond Ibrahim/FrontPageMagazine.com
http://www.meforum.org/3779/christians-persecuted
Why are Christians, as a new Pew report documents, the most persecuted religious
group in the world? And why is their persecution occurring primarily throughout
the Islamic world? (In the category on "Countries with Very High Government
Restrictions on Religion," Pew lists 24 countries—20 of which are Islamic and
precisely where the overwhelming majority of "the world's" Christians are
actually being persecuted.)
The reason for this ubiquitous phenomenon of Muslim persecution of Christians is
threefold:
Christianity is the largest religion in the world. There are Christians
practically everywhere around the globe, including in much of the Muslim world.
Moreover, because much of the land that Islam seized was originally
Christian—including the Middle East and North Africa, the region that is today
known as the "Arab world"—Muslims everywhere are still confronted with vestiges
of Christianity, for example, in Syria, where many ancient churches and
monasteries are currently being destroyed by al-Qaeda linked, U.S. supported
"freedom fighters." Similarly, in Egypt, where Alexandria was a major center of
ancient Christianity before the 7th century Islamic invasions, there still
remain at least 10 million Coptic Christians (though some put the number at much
higher). Due to sheer numbers alone, then, indigenous Christians are much more
visible and exposed to attack by Muslims than other religious groups throughout
the Arab world. Yet as CNS News puts it, "President Obama expressed hope that
the 'Arab Spring' would give rise to greater religious freedom in North Africa
and the Middle East, which has had the world's highest level of hostility
towards religion in every year since 2007, when Pew first began measuring it.
However, the study finds that these regions actually experienced the largest
increase in religious hostilities in 2012."
Christianity is a proselytizing faith that seeks to win over converts. No other
major religion—including Buddhism, Hinduism, and Judaism—except Islam itself has
this missionary aspect (these faiths tend to be coterminous with their
respective ethnicities: Buddhists, Asians; Judaism, Jews; Hinduism, Hindus).
Thus because Christianity is the only religion that is actively confronting
Muslims with the truths of its own message, not only is it the primary religion
to be accused of proselytizing but, by publicly uttering teachings that
contradict Muhammad's, Christians are accused of blaspheming as well. Similarly,
this proselytizing element is behind the fact that most Muslims who apostatize
to other religions overwhelmingly convert to Christianity. Finally, if
indigenous Christians are many in the Middle East, because that is the cradle of
Christianity, in other regions with large Muslim populations, such as
sub-Saharan Africa and East Asia, Christian missionaries have won over millions
of converts to the faith—many of whom are now targeted and persecuted according
to Islam's anti-apostasy law, which often calls for the death penalty.
Christianity is the quintessential religion of martyrdom. From its
inception—beginning with Jesus followed by his disciples and the early
Church—many Christians have accepted martyrdom rather than recant their faith,
in ancient times at the hands of Romans, in Medieval and modern times at the
hands of pious Muslims and others. Few other religions encourage their adherents
to embrace death rather than recant, as captured by Christ's own words: "But
whoever denies me before men, I will deny him before my Father in heaven" (Matt
10:33; see also Luke 14:33)." Conversely, Islam teaches Muslims to openly
renounce their faith (taqiyya)—not just when their lives are threatened, but
even as a stratagem of war—as long as they remain Muslim in their hearts. Other
religions and sects also approve of dissimulation to preserve their adherents'
lives. Back in the 1800s, for instance, Samuel M. Zwemer, a Christian
missionary, observed that in Iran "Bahaism enjoys taqiyya (concealment of faith)
as a duty, but Christianity demands public profession; and hence in Persia it is
far easier to become a Bahai than to become a Christian."
To summarize, because of their sheer numbers around the globe, including the
Muslim world, Christians are the most likely targets of Islamic intolerance;
because sharing the Gospel, or "witnessing," is a dominant element of
Christianity, Christians are most likely to fall afoul of Islam's blasphemy and
proselytism laws, as even the barest pro-Christian talk is by necessity a
challenge to the legitimacy of Islam; because most Muslims who apostatize to
other religions convert to Christianity, it is as Christians that they suffer
persecution; and because boldness in face of certain death—martyrdom, dying for
the faith—is as old as Christianity itself, Christians are especially prone to
defy Islam's anti-freedom laws, whether by openly proclaiming Christianity or by
refusing to recant it, and so they die for it.
**Raymond Ibrahim, author of Crucified Again: Exposing Islam's New War on
Christians (Regnery, April, 2013) is a Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz
Freedom Center and an Associate Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Syria in stalemate
February 28, 2014/The Daily Star/ The Geneva II peace talks, which generated a
huge amount of media coverage this year, have experienced a steady drop off the
radar ever since the last session, when U.N. envoy Lakhdar Brahimi frankly
labeled them a failure. Since then, the concerned officials and politicians have
made various statements about the situation in Syria, in effect offering the
public the following formula: There is no ability to settle the conflict
militarily, and there is no agreement on how to settle the conflict politically.
Geneva’s abject failure was in fact a case of no side being willing or able to
convince the Syrian regime’s enablers, Russia and Iran, to help move the
situation toward a resolution. Recently, media reports have trumpeted one
supposedly “major” development on the ground or another, promising some type of
breakthrough offensive by either side. However, the information available thus
far indicates that the Syrian war remains mired in stalemate, and also appears
set for even bloodier weeks and months to come.
If the Western world and other members of the international community are armed
only with a policy of begging Moscow and Tehran to change their stance and
pressure their ally, then Syria and its neighbors are in for horrific,
destabilizing violence for the foreseeable future, naturally with negative
repercussions for all sides. If they believe that Russia is going to show
flexibility, given the political turmoil in Ukraine, the location of its other
warm-water naval presence, then they are in for a rude surprise. And as the
prospect of a new Geneva round is discussed over the next few weeks, every day
will only add 100 to 200 Syrian lives to the death toll.
No Iran report with new bomb research information: IAEA
February 28, 2014/By Dan Williams, Fredrik Dahl/Reuters
OCCUPIED JERUSALEM/VIENNA: The U.N. nuclear watchdog said on Friday it had not
prepared a report with new information about suspected atomic bomb research in
Iran, after Israel urged it to go public with all information it has regarding
such suspicions. Israel's statement followed a Reuters report on Thursday that
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) had planned a major report on Iran
last year that might have revealed more of its alleged activities that could be
used for designing a nuclear warhead, but had held off as Tehran's relations
with the outside world thawed.
Sources familiar with the matter said the IAEA apparently had not gone ahead
with writing the report and that there was no way of knowing what extra
information might have been included in such a document, although one source
said it could have added to worries about Iran.
According to the sources, the IAEA was believed to have dropped the idea of a
new report, at least for the time being.
In 2011, the IAEA issued a landmark report with a trove of intelligence
indicating past activity in Iran which could be relevant for developing nuclear
weapons, some of which it said might still be continuing. Iran rejected the
allegations as fabricated and baseless.
Since then, the U.N. watchdog has said it has obtained more information that
"has further corroborated" its analysis in the 2011 document, but has not given
details.
"The IAEA has not prepared any report containing new information relating to
possible military dimensions of Iran's nuclear programme," spokeswoman Gill
Tudor said in an email on Friday, in response to a question.
"The agency's reports on Iran to its Board of Governors are factual and
impartial. Their content is not influenced by political considerations," Tudor
said, giving no other details.
Israel disapproves of the Western rapprochement with its arch-foe over the last
six months, arguing that Iran has won sanctions relief while retaining the
infrastructure to pursue nuclear weapons. Iran says its atomic aspirations are
peaceful.
"The role of the IAEA is to expose to the international community all
information regarding military aspects of the Iranian nuclear project, and not
to withhold it for reasons of diplomatic sensitivity," Israeli Strategic Affairs
Minister Yuval Steinitz said in a statement.
"Because the matter of the PMD (possible military dimensions) is so important to
a final deal with Iran, I call on the IAEA to complete and publish the report at
the earliest opportunity," he said.
Israel is widely assumed to have the region's only nuclear arsenal. It has
representatives in the IAEA but, unlike Iran, has not signed the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
The sources said the planned IAEA report would probably have amounted to a wider
review of the Iranian nuclear file, including PMD and other outstanding issues.
They said the idea was raised internally when the IAEA's long-running efforts to
get Iran to cooperate with its investigation appeared completely deadlocked in
mid-2013.
But with a new leadership in Tehran trying to end its international isolation,
Iran and the IAEA agreed a step-by-step transparency pact in November to help
allay concerns about its atomic activities.
This was sealed shortly before a breakthrough November deal between Tehran and
the six powers - the United States, Russia, France, Germany, Britain and China -
which is meant to be capped by a final accord in July.
In follow-up talks on Feb. 8-9, Iran agreed for the first time to address one of
many PMD issues in the 2011 report, regarding so-called exploding bridge wire
detonators, which can have both civilian and military applications.
What’s behind Iran and Iraq’s ‘boosted’ military
cooperation?
By: Dr.Majid Rafizadeh?AlArabiya
Friday, 28 February 2014
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2014/02/28/What-s-behind-Iran-and-Iraq-boosted-military-cooperation-.html
Based on a recent report by Reuters news agency, Tehran has signed a $195
million arms deal with the central Iraqi government. Accordingly, Iranian and
Iraqi defense officials have signed eight agreements through which Iran will
sell Baghdad arms, military communications equipment, ammunition for tanks
artillery, mortars, and ammunition for U.S.-made M-12 assault rifles, among
other weaponry.
This deal came after the Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki appeared to have
failed in his attempts to procure additional arms from the United States for
fighting, what he calls extremist Sunnis in the western territories of Iraq.
Firstly, this arms deal has raised significant concerns, not only for the United
States but also for other regional countries. Jen Psaki, U.S. State Department
spokeswoman, pointed out in a news briefing, “Any transfer of arms from Iran to
a third country is in direct violation of UNSCR [United Nations Security Council
resolution] 1747. We are seeking clarification on the matter from the government
of Iraq and to ensure that Iraqi officials understand the limits that
international law places on arms trade with Iran.”
The significance of this arms deal is that this is considered to be the first
official arms deal between the Shi'ite Iranian government and Iraq's Shi'ite-led
government under Maliki. In addition, this signifies the increasing military,
geopolitical, strategic and economic relationship between Iran and Iraq since
American troops withdrew from Iraq in Dec. 2011. Moreover, this arms deal is in
violation of the United Nations embargo on weapons sales by Iran.
Iran: the most influential foreign force
After the withdrawal of US troop from Iraq, the Islamic Republic of Iran was
viewed as the most influential foreign force in Iraq politically, economically,
and militarily. Based on recent developments, Iran’s socio-political and
socio-economic leverage and influence in post-Baathist Iraq appears to be at its
peak.
Iran is not only geopolitically considered to be a dominant foreign force in
Iraq, but it is also an influential force, economically and socially
Iran’s influence in Iraq and its political leverage over Baghdad includes, but
is not limited to, Tehran’s close security, political, military, and
intelligence relationship with other powerful and influential Shiite groups,
including the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI) along with the followers of
Muqtada al-Sadr’s group. In addition, most of Prime Minister Maliki’s political
aides are closely tied with the Iranian government.
After the uprising in Syria, Iran’s machinations in Baghdad have also increased.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has been utilizing Iraqi territories as
a gateway to transfer arms and ammunition to Damascus. Reportedly, groups and
individuals such as the ISCI’s leaders and the current Iraqi Minister of
Transportation Hadi al-Amiri have been significant actors in assisting the arms
shipments to Syria.
On the other hand, there are two critical reasons that both the Iraqi and
Iranian governments are attempting to keep their military, security and
intelligence cooperation confidential.
Iranian leaders aim to project an image that they are not interfering in the
domestic affairs of other Arab countries. This policy works to ease the concerns
of other regional powers, as well as to remove any obstacles that may risk the
sanctions reliefs over Tehran.
From the perspective of the Iraqi government, it is crucial not to raise
American concerns about Iraq-Iran arms ties in order to allow the Maliki
government to obtain more advanced military capabilities, such as such
surveillance systems and drones to enhance his government’s intelligence,
tactical, and military capabilities against the opposition and insurgents.
Iraqi insurgents oppose Iran’s occupation
The less recognized fact is that one of the crucial reasons behind the fighting
against the Shiite-led government of Maliki is that they view the Mailiki
government (as well as his Dawa Party) as political puppets of Tehran. In other
words, these oppositional groups, such as the Military Council of the Anbar
Tribes have made clear their opposition to the increasing influence of Iran in
Iraq’s domestic and foreign politics, calling it “Iran’s occupation” of Iraq.
Iran is not only geopolitically considered to be a dominant foreign force in
Iraq, but it is also an influential force, economically and socially.
The Trade Promotion Organization of Iran (TPOI) pointed out that 72% of Iran’s
exports in 2013 went to Iraq. The report also revealed Iraq's imported goods
from Tehran have increased by approximately 15% last year. Considering non-oil
goods, Iraq is now Iran’s second largest trade partner—only after China. Iraqi
leaders have also recently announced that they are closely cooperating with the
Iranian government to boost Iraq’s oil production and exports to 9 million bpd
by 2020.
Socially and religiously speaking, it is worth noting that many religious
scholars that Tehran sends to Karbala and Najaf have significant influence in
the voting of the public in Iraq. Several crucial religious and political
leaders in Iraq were previously trained in the Islamic Republic as well.
Although the Iranian government attempts to show that its foreign policies and
arms deals with the Iraqi central and Shiite-led government of Maliki is not
sectarian, the close examinations of Tehran’s policies indicate the Iran’s
agenda is indeed sectarian. In addition, the Islamic Republic is more likely to
retain its position as the most influential foreign force in Iraq militarily,
intelligence, economically, and politically as long as Baghdad is governed by a
Shiite government and as long as Iraq is unstable, divided, and inflicted with
domestic conflict.
Implications of a Sisi Presidency
Adel El-Adawy /Washington Institute
February 28, 2014
The military chief has some strong assets and likely staying power, but he will
still face great pressure if he is elected as anticipated, since the benchmark
for success will be his ability to satisfy an Egyptian polity filled with
unrealistically high socioeconomic expectations.
The February 24 resignation of Egypt's cabinet has fed expectations that Field
Marshal Abdul Fatah al-Sisi will soon announce his bid to run in this year's
presidential election. For now, he remains defense minister in the reshuffled
cabinet formed by new prime minister Ibrahim Mahlab, but army chief of staff
Gen. Sedki Sobhi is expected to replace Sisi once he resigns to seek the
presidency.
Egypt's serious socioeconomic problems and security threats will make the next
president's job exceedingly difficult. The new leader's ability to sustain the
current institutional power configuration will be crucial in a tough domestic
and international political environment. In this regard, Sisi's professional
background -- as a strongman with close ties to Egypt's military leadership and
various Persian Gulf governments -- gives him an advantage over other potential
candidates. But he has yet to clearly articulate his views on governance, the
economy, and international political issues. His success will therefore require
the assembly of a technocratic presidential team ready to make bold decisions
and deliver to a people hungry for a better life.
BACKGROUND
In 2011 and 2013, the military and other powerful institutions had reasonable
incentives to move against the government. In 2011, Egypt's power centers were
divided -- few approved of Hosni Mubarak's son Gamal running for president, and
many were frustrated with the ruling family's increasingly overbearing role in
the decisionmaking process. In 2013, the Muslim Brotherhood's incompetent and
destructive leadership galvanized the state apparatus to support the protestors.
In short, the institutional configurations in both situations did not favor
those in power at the time.
The reality on the ground is different today, however, as revealed by numerous
interviews conducted over the past few months with officials from various
Egyptian security agencies. There is clear alignment and consensus among state
institutions, especially the security apparatus behind Sisi, who enjoys
considerable support from many power centers.
At the same time, the past three years show how quickly public opinion can
shift, especially if a government is believed to be ineffective at addressing
the country's socioeconomic, security, and political problems. Sisi himself has
acknowledged these challenges, and if he becomes president, he will need to deal
with a complex bureaucracy in order to resolve the most pressing problems.
The country's crushing socioeconomic burden is the foremost concern, but another
factor that could trigger popular discontent with a Sisi-led government is anger
at repressive measures against political opponents, especially against
nonviolent, non-Islamist critics. At the moment, most Egyptians appear willing
to give the government wide berth on this issue, content to accept the
collateral damage endured by democracy and civil-society advocates in the fight
against the Brotherhood and its fellow travelers. Yet there is an undefined
threshold that, if crossed, may tip the balance against popular deference on
this issue. Given Sisi's efforts thus far to align the operations of the
Interior Ministry and the army, he would likely bear the brunt of such
criticism.
THE MILITARY'S GENERATIONAL TRANSITION
In August 2012, Egypt witnessed a major generational transition among its
highest military ranks when Sisi and Sobhi rose to the top leadership positions.
Many analysts prematurely concluded that the removal of Defense Minister Hussein
Tantawi and Chief of Staff Sami Anan was not a significant change, arguing that
Sisi represented a continuation of the Tantawi era. Yet while Sisi did enjoy a
close relationship with his predecessor, some of his methods for leading the
Defense Ministry are profoundly different. In fact, Sisi and Sobhi's ascendance
has marked a new era within the military establishment.
Part of this shift is due to the manner in which both men benefited directly
from close U.S.-Egyptian military cooperation. Sisi and Sobhi each had the
opportunity to study at the U.S. Army War College, familiarizing them with
modern American military doctrine and leadership style while fostering strong
friendships with U.S. military officers. Yet Tantawi and Anan were mainly
exposed to Soviet military doctrine in their formative years, as reflected in
their leadership styles.
In addition, military education and training during the Tantawi era were based
on traditional warfare, which made the top brass less adaptive to modern
transnational threats and rapid technological developments. The rise of nonstate
actors, advances in intelligence gathering, and broader transformations in
global security dynamics were difficult for the older generation of officers to
fully embrace. Today, a younger generation of leaders is taking a much more
proactive approach to unconventional security challenges.
In particular, Sisi and Sobhi both understand that the Sinai security threat
requires an active military response. The military has undertaken a major,
unprecedented, and increasingly effective campaign against terrorist cells in
the peninsula and the Gaza smuggling tunnels on which they rely. Over 1,000
tunnels have been destroyed in the past few months, and a buffer zone has been
established to limit the activities of jihadists and smugglers at the border.
Ahmed Wasfi, the army general in charge of the campaign, is another member of a
rising young military leadership that is eager to take on the important Sinai
portfolio and much more receptive to focusing on border security and
counterterrorism.
Sisi has also established himself as the main interlocutor with regard to
U.S.-Egyptian security cooperation. This is different from the Tantawi era, when
an older generation of army officers was reluctant to embrace the broader and
more flexible security cooperation paradigm Washington sought following the
September 11 attacks. Their reluctance tilted the pillar of U.S. cooperation
with Cairo toward former intelligence chief Omar Suleiman, who established
himself as the main link in the relationship.
SISI'S LEADERSHIP STYLE
As defense minister, Sisi has shown a much more outgoing leadership style than
his predecessors. For example, one of his first decisions was to appoint a young
spokesman, Ahmed Ali, to represent the armed forces. At the time, the military
was badly shaken by its difficult eighteen-month rule post-Mubarak. Appointing a
young officer as the military's public face would have been difficult to imagine
during the Tantawi era, but Sisi saw a need to improve relations with the
street. According to several senior officers, Sisi also became much more
involved than his predecessors in going to the field and surrounding himself
with younger officers to boost institutional morale.
In addition, he has moved away from the strictly hierarchical leadership style
that gradually disconnected Tantawi from his peers and fostered discontent
within the military. Sisi showed more of a team-player approach from the outset,
especially given his younger age and his need to gain the respect of more senior
peers. For example, his deputy Sobhi is even younger but technically outranks
him. Sisi also made drastic changes to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces,
assembling a trusted team of handpicked officers.
Sisi's approach quickly earned him popularity and helped him maintain
cohesiveness. This was put to the test in the lead-up to last June's mass
uprising, when the Brotherhood government attempted to replace him with General
Wasfi, his close colleague. That gambit failed, and during a July 4 phone
interview broadcast on MBC Masr, Wasfi declared that the military's cohesiveness
was unbreakable.
Sisi also appears to have been effective at building coalitions among previously
competing institutions. During the Mubarak era, the Interior Ministry and police
were used as a counterbalance to the military establishment. As a result, the
police grew exponentially, and their relations with the military worsened,
hitting an all-time low in 2011.
Since Sisi took over as defense minister, however, the relationship has
gradually improved. In the past few weeks, police and military officials have
exchanged high-profile visits and offered positive remarks about each other. On
January 21, Sisi and a senior military delegation met with senior Interior
Ministry officials to mark the upcoming police holiday. At the gathering, he
emphasized the importance of their relationship: "The police and military are
the real guarantors of Egypt's security and stability...The existing challenges
are no doubt immense...and we [military] are right next to you [police] to
protect our country...Together, we are capable of delivering even though there
are many threats."
Sisi has also demonstrated awareness of the need to show broad political support
for major decisions. For example, during the July 3 televised announcement of
Morsi's removal, a wide spectrum of public figures and politicians were visible
in the background. Sisi even asked for a popular mandate on July 24 to
aggressively fight terrorism, making sure that the people would accept the
intense crackdown against the Brotherhood leadership.
What is less clear is how vigorously Sisi will tackle Egypt's deep structural
socioeconomic problems as president. He has not worked on these issues in the
past, nor has he articulated his vision for addressing them in the future.
Rather, he has kept a low profile on structural-reform subjects such as
subsidies, which are critical for economic progress but very delicate
politically. If he tackles these problems head on -- or if he does little and
the economy stumbles along -- his popularity may well drop.
CONCLUSION
Field Marshal Sisi is part of a new generation of U.S.-educated Egyptian
military leaders who tend to be more adaptive to the fast-changing security
threats across the region. His close relationship with various power centers --
especially his same-generation military colleagues -- enhances his prospects of
enduring if he becomes president. Given his extremely good chances of winning
the election, it would be shortsighted for Washington to jeopardize its
three-decade investment in close relations with Egypt's armed forces by
prolonging its military aid suspension. Moreover, Sisi's greater focus on
counterterrorism compared to his military predecessors creates an opportunity to
better advance mutual strategic security interests.
**Adel El-Adawy is a Next Generation Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Kerry defends US Iran position in advance of
Obama-Netanyahu meeting
By MICHAEL WILNER, HERB KEINON 02/28/2014/ J.Post
US Secretary of State John Kerry made a rare invocation of war with Iran in
advance of Monday's meeting between US President Barack Obama and Prime Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu where Tehran's nuclear program is expected top the agenda.
Netanyahu and top Israeli officials have been publicly at odds with the US over
terms for a diplomatic deal with Iran and their tone has not softened in the
lead-up to the Washington meeting.While the US has seemingly resigned itself to
Iran retaining some limited uranium enrichment capabilities under a final
agreement, Netanyahu has said that the Islamic Republic must be stripped of all
capability – including all enrichment capacity – to build nuclear weapons.
Netanyahu believes that the final agreement must address Iran’s weaponization
and intercontinental ballistic missile program, something not on the agenda in
the world power’s talks with the Iranians. Those missiles, he has argued, are
necessary only to deliver a nuclear payload.
Kerry this week defended the US, stating that before going to war with Iran over
its nuclear program, Obama has an obligation “as a matter of leadership” to
pursue a peaceful solution to the crisis.
“We took the initiative and led the effort to try to figure out if, before we go
to war, there actually might be a peaceful solution,” Kerry told reporters in
Washington, referring to an aggressive US effort last fall to freeze the crisis
with an interim deal,” Kerry said on Wednesday.
That deal, formally known as the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) and agreed upon by
Iran and the P5+1 – the US, United Kingdom, France, Russia, China and Germany –
grants the parties six months to negotiate a final settlement to the nuclear
impasse. “I happen to believe as a matter of leadership – and I learnt this
pretty hard from Vietnam – [that] before you send young people to war, you ought
to find out if there is a better alternative,” said Kerry, who served in the
Vietnam War as a US naval officer.
“That is an obligation we have as leaders to exhaust all the remedies available
to you before you ask people to give up their lives, and that is what we are
doing.”
Kerry’s comments made just five days before the Obama Netanyahu meeting were a
rare invocation of war with Iran, a scenario most senior administration
officials avoid discussing openly. The prospect of open conflict has come up in
recent months, however, in an effort by the White House to raise the stakes of
the negotiations.
Pushing Congress to stall a vote on a bill that would trigger new sanctions
tools against Iran should talks fail, Kerry warned his former Senate colleagues
that such a tactic might undermine the diplomatic process and lead to avoidable
conflict. That bill has since lost key Democratic support, not on its contents
but on its timing. Obama said he would veto the bill if passed during the
negotiations period, but promised to be the first to pursue new sanctions should
the JPOA expire without a comprehensive accord. Meanwhile, on the eve of
Netanyahu’s trip to Washington, where in addition to meeting Obama he is
scheduled to address the annual policy conference of the American Israel Public
Affairs Committee on Tuesday, government officials said that Netanyahu wanted to
move ahead as quickly as possible on the diplomatic track.
These comments were made in response to a New York Times report Thursday quoting
advisers to Obama as saying that he was poised to plunge back into the Middle
East diplomatic process, after months of letting Kerry do the heavy lifting.
According to the report, Obama will press Netanyahu to agree to the long-awaited
framework document that Kerry is expected to present in the near future to form
a basis for continued talks. Obama will meet Palestinian Authority President
Mahmoud Abbas on March 17, the White House said on Thursday, and the US
president will no doubt urge him as well to accept the framework. The Obama
administration had originally hoped to help broker a deal by April 29. But on
Wednesday, Kerry said he hopes at best to get Israel and the Palestinians to
agree on a “framework” for an agreement by that time.
A final deal may take another nine months or more, Kerry said. The framework
would guide further talks, White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters. “The
parties are talking about the core issues, including borders, security,
Jerusalem, refugees, mutual recognition, an end of conflict and an end of
claims,” he said.
believe that the framework will be a significant breakthrough, as it would
represent a common picture on the outlines of the final status agreement,” he
said.
Netanyahu, meanwhile, has urged European leaders with whom he has spoken over
the last few weeks to have the same type of “tough and critical” conversations
with the Palestinians that they routinely have with Israel regarding the need to
show flexibility and accept the framework.
On Thursday, timed just prior to Netanyahu’s departure, 10 heads of municipal
and regional councils in Judea and Samaria, and seven prominent
religious-Zionist rabbis – including Rabbi Haim Druckman and Rabbi Shmuel
Eliyahu – wrote letters to Netanyahu urging him to stand firm in the face of US
pressure. The two separate letters called on him to remain firm on the demand
for Palestinian recognition of Israel as the nation state of the Jewish people,
and urged him to oppose any division of the land.
“The entire land belongs only to the Jewish people,” the letters read. “There is
no place for another state on this holy land.”
Reuters contributed to this report.