LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
June 19/14
Bible Quotation for today/If you love me, you will keep my commandments.
John 14,15-26/‘"If you love me, you will keep my commandments. And I will ask the Father, and he will give you another Advocate, to be with you for ever. This is the Spirit of truth, whom the world cannot receive, because it neither sees him nor knows him. You know him, because he abides with you, and he will be in you. ‘I will not leave you orphaned; I am coming to you. In a little while the world will no longer see me, but you will see me; because I live, you also will live. On that day you will know that I am in my Father, and you in me, and I in you. They who have my commandments and keep them are those who love me; and those who love me will be loved by my Father, and I will love them and reveal myself to them.’ Judas (not Iscariot) said to him, ‘Lord, how is it that you will reveal yourself to us, and not to the world?’Jesus answered him, ‘Those who love me will keep my word, and my Father will love them, and we will come to them and make our home with them. Whoever does not love me does not keep my words; and the word that you hear is not mine, but is from the Father who sent me. ‘I have said these things to you while I am still with you. But the Advocate, the Holy Spirit, whom the Father will send in my name, will teach you everything, and remind you of all that I have said to you."
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For June 19/14
Two Nations, Together/By: David Hale, U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon/June 19/14
The Massacre Strategy/By: Aaron Y. Zelin/Washington Institute/June 19/14
Iran Is Not an Ally in Iraq/By: Michael Singh /Wall Street Journal/June 19/14
Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For June 19/14
Lebanese Related News
STL Resumes Trial of Accused in Hariri Assassination
Prolonged Vacuum as MPs Fail Again to Elect New President
Geagea Slams Aoun Pledge to Guarantee Security of Hariri if in Power
March 14 Slams 'All Extremist Movements', Including 'ISIL, Hizbullah'
Syrian Worker Killed, 3 Injured in Ashrafieh Building Wall Collapse
Salam to Visit Kuwait on Sunday
Al-Rahi, Aoun Meet at Dinner Banquet in Bkirki after Long Rift
Aoun Says Promised Hariri to Guarantee His Return to Lebanon, Urges
'Parliamentary Vote or System Change'
Hariri, Jumblat Awaited Meeting Won't Achieve Positive Results
Army Continues Security Campaign on Syrian Encampments in Arsal
Ongoing Dispute over VAT Hindering Agreement over Wage Scale
Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham: U.S. Must Help Lebanon over Refugee Crisis
Mustaqbal Slams 'Unacceptable' Vacuum, Says Open to Discuss Any Wage Hike Proposal
Lebanese families flee shelled Tfeil toward Arsal
Siniora: Discussion ongoing to reach deal on wage hike
Lebanon's Arabic press digest – June 18, 2014
Abra requests citizens to respect fasting Muslims
Franjieh: No President Can be Elected without Assad Consent
Miscellaneous Reports And News
Tehran, world powers begin drafting nuclear deal
Envoys: Iran refuses to budge on centrifuges
Iran Could Work with U.S. in Iraq if Nuclear Talks Succeed
East
Tehran, world powers begin drafting nuclear deal: Iran FM
Ten IDF brigades grind Hamas down, but no trace of kidnapped boys after six days
Livni praises Abbas' comments as 'important'
Netanyahu's office issues tepid response to Abbas’ strong denunciation of kidnappings
Iraqi PM Vows to 'Face Terrorism' as Militants Strike Refinery
Iraq Aims to Retake Key Shiite Town in Hours, PM Vows to 'Face Terrorism' as
Militants Hit Refinery
Zebari Says Iraq Has Requested U.S. Air Strikes on Jihadists
With ISIS at doorstep, Maliki sacks ‘traitors’
Barzani Asks Retired Peshmerga Fighters to Sign Up Again
UAE Recalls Envoy to Iraq, Slams 'Sectarian' Policies
Iraq’s Kurds link Kirkuk to own oil pipeline
Iraqi Kurds Forms Government after Months of Wrangling
Arab statehood hangs in the balance
Boko Haram Suspected after Football Screening Venue Bombed in Nigeria
STL Resumes Trial of Accused in Hariri Assassination
Naharnet/The Special Tribunal for Lebanon resumed on Wednesday the trial in the
Ayyash et al. case tackling the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri. The trial at the Hague kicked off with Registrar Daryl Mundis confirming
that none of the five accused came forward to appear before the trial.
The accused are Hizbullah members Salim Jamil Ayyash, Mustafa Amine Badreddine,
Hassan Habib Merhi, Hussein Hassan Oneissi and Assad Hassan Sabra. They will be
charged in absentia after they did not appear before the court and after
Lebanese authorities failed to apprehend them. The charges against the accused
were then listed, followed by a statement on slain Minister Bassel Fleihan, who
was a passenger in Hariri's vehicle on the day of the assassination. Fleihan
sustained severe burns from the explosion that targeted the former PM's convoy,
passing away 64 days after the attack.
Fleihan's widow, Yasma, was present at the courtroom as a victim in the
assassination. Prosecution Senior Trial Counsel Alexander Milne then began the
Prosecutor's opening statement by recounting the events that took place on the
day of Hariri's assassination on February 14, 2005 and the consequent
developments. Prosecution Counsel also covered the phone networks that are
believed to have been involved in the conspiracy. There are 65 participating
victims in the Ayyash et al. trial and they are represented by three Legal
Representatives. The Ayyash et al. trial started on January 16 and 15 witnesses
were heard and the statements of another 48 were admitted into evidence. Ayyash
and Badreddine face five charges including that of "committing a terrorist act
by means of an explosive device" and homicide, while Oneissi and Sabra faced
charges of conspiring to commit the same acts. Merhi is charged with a number of
crimes including "the crime of conspiracy aimed at committing a terrorist
act."Hariri and 22 others were killed in a massive suicide car bomb attack in
Beirut in February 2005.
Abra requests citizens to respect fasting Muslims
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/#axzz351BUkzQj
June 18, 2014/The Daily Star /BEIRUT: The Abra Municipality in
the coastal city of Sidon released a memo late Wednesday, urging citizens to
respect practicing Muslims during Ramadan and abstain from eating in public. In
his memo, Mayor Walid Nicolas al-Mchantaf stressed the importance of showing
consideration during the holy month and refraining from dining at restaurants
and cafes during the fasting period, which begins at sunrise and ends at sunset.
Abra is a predominantly Christian suburb of Sidon, but it has a large Muslim
community in the town that has been in the spotlight since last year’s deadly
clashes between Islamist gunmen affiliated with Sheikh Ahmad Assir and the
Lebanese Army.
Prolonged Vacuum as MPs Fail Again to Elect New President
Naharnet /Lawmakers failed on Wednesday for the seventh time to elect a new
president as differences between the rival parties seemed not to be abating.
Speaker Nabih Berri postponed the session to July 2 to fill the seat of the
country's top Christian post at Baabda Palace. Berri said in remarks published
in local dailies on Wednesday that he had continuously warned against the
non-election of a president, a reminiscent of 20 sessions held in 2007 and 2008
that ended in failure. The failure to choose a successor to President Michel
Suleiman, whose term expired on May 25, is the result of the boycott of the
majority of March 8 alliance's MPs. Free Patriotic Moment chief MP Michel Aoun,
whose Change and Reform bloc is among those who caused lack of quorum in
parliament, has said he would run for the presidency if there was consensus on
him. “I will announce my nomination when the political situation in parliament
becomes clear and when (the current candidates) are dismissed,” Aoun said on
Tuesday. “It is totally rejected to choose the weakest Christian as president
and I will not tolerate this,” he said about Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea
without naming him.
“I'm the strongest and I'm the one who represents (the Christians). My
popularity is on the rise,” he added. Despite his claims, Aoun's rivals in the
March 14 camp have refused to withdraw their support for Geagea, who was the
first to announce his candidacy. Several March 14 MPs snapped back at Aoun in
remarks to reporters in parliament. LF MP Elie Kairouz said the country's
Christians need a man of “struggle” and a person who holds onto his stances,
“not a man of contradiction in positions and choices.” Causing a vacuum at
Baabda Palace is similar to the political displacement of Christians, he added.
Franjieh: No President Can be Elected without Assad Consent
NaharnetظMarada Movement leader MP Suleiman Franjieh on Wednesday announced that
any candidate must enjoy Syrian President Bashar Assad's approval to be elected
a president in Lebanon, noting that the embattled Syrian leader would be
“pleased” if Free Patriotic Movement chief MP Michel Aoun manages to reach the
Baabda Palace. “No president can be elected in Lebanon without Bashar Assad's
consent,” Franjieh underlined during an interview with NBN television. “Assad
will be pleased if General Aoun becomes president and this is what he has
announced and Aoun knows that Assad admires him,” Franjieh added. Commenting on
Aoun's remarks that he would guarantee former Premier Saad Hariri's “political
security” if he returns to Lebanon, the Marada chief described the statement as
a “slip of the tongue.” He pointed out that the FPM leader did not mean that he
knows the parties that might seek to assassinate Hariri. In response to a
question, Franjieh said he does not support Aoun's proposal on staging
parliamentary elections in the absence of a president, saying “we had agreed in
Bkirki not to hold elections under the 1960 (electoral) law.” Pressed several
times to reveal whether he would eventually agree to holding the polls, Franjieh
said: “I believe that national accord is more important than anything … the
entire system is wrong nowadays.”
Earlier on Wednesday, lawmakers failed for the seventh time to elect a new
president as differences between the rival parties seemed not to be abating.
Speaker Nabih Berri postponed the session to July 2 to fill the seat of the
country's top Christian post at Baabda Palace. The failure to choose a successor
to Michel Suleiman, whose term expired on May 25, is the result of the boycott
of the majority of March 8 alliance's MPs. Aoun, whose Change and Reform bloc is
among those who caused lack of quorum in parliament, has said he would run for
the presidency if there was consensus on him.
Army Continues Security Campaign on Syrian Encampments in
Arsal
Naharnet /An army commando force raided on Wednesday Syrian refugees encampments
in the northeastern border town of Arsal, the state-run National News Agency
reported. NNA said that the army also carried out patrols on the outskirts of
Arsal in search for gunmen and wanted suspects. Last week, the army detained in
similar raids five Syrians on charges of participating in training with
terrorist groups. The detained men were apprehended inside Syrian refugee
encampments in the area, the army said in a communique. NNA said that the army
kicked off an operation to detain armed men, who are accused of assaulting
Syrian refugee camps in Wadi Hmeid area and abducting several Syrian nationals
and a Lebanese. Ever since the Syrian revolt erupted in March 2011, Arsal has
served as a key conduit for refugees, rebels and wounded people fleeing
strife-torn Syria. More than 1 million of Syrians are in Lebanon, leaving the
country, home to 4.5 million people, struggling to cope with the massive influx
of refugees.
Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham: U.S. Must Help Lebanon over Refugee Crisis
Naharnet/Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham has said the U.S. must spend money to
help Lebanon confront the Syrian refugee crisis as the U.S. Senate appropriators
advanced a $48.3 billion budget for foreign aid and State Department work. The
Appropriations foreign operations subcommittee adopted the budget by consensus
Tuesday. The full committee examines it Thursday. Graham, who is a ranking
subcommittee member, called for similar assistance to Jordan and other countries
that are facing refugee influxes. The funding would be slightly below this
year's but in line with that proposed by House appropriators. Like the House
measure, the $48.3 billion Senate budget includes conditions on Egypt support.
But it differs in not tightening restrictions on Palestinian aid after formation
of the recent unity government with Hamas. Democratic Sen. Patrick Leahy, the
chairman of the subcommittee, said it includes new funding for Ukraine and
others threatened by "Russian aggression."He said diplomatic security, health
and U.N. peacekeeping are fully funded. The U.S. embassy in Beirut revealed
earlier this month that Washington is providing more than $51 million to the
World Food Program and Non-Governmental Organizations in Lebanon, the highest
amount in terms of assistance provided to countries neighboring war-torn Syria.
In a series of tweets, the embassy said that “the U.S. is committed to
delivering humanitarian assistance to Syrians through the U.N. broad network, no
matter where they reside or have sought refuge.”The U.S. assistance in Lebanon
includes food aid, protection, shelter, water and sanitation in host
communities, education programs and other programs to prevent gender-based
violence, it said in one tweet. Secretary of State John Kerry's announcement
during a visit to Beirut of a $290 million in U.S. aid for U.N. agencies, rose
total humanitarian assistance since the beginning of the Syrian crisis to more
than $2 billion.
Geagea Slams Aoun Pledge to Guarantee Security of Hariri if in Power
Naharnet/Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea said on Wednesday that his political
arch-foe Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun isn't responsible for head
of al-Mustaqbal Movement Saad Hariri's security, stressing that staging the
parliamentary elections amid presidential vacuum is a dangerous precedent. “It
is early to discuss the legislative polls... But if we carry out the elections
without a head of state then we will return to the same crisis,” Geagea told
reporters at Maarab after lawmakers failed for the seventh time to elect a new
president. Geagea stressed that “the presidential elections must be held before
the parliamentary elections.”The Christian leader lashed out at Aoun without
naming him, wondering how some parties are justifying vacuum with the fear of
electing a weak president. “Christians are now sobbing over the ongoing vacuum.”
“It is totally rejected to choose the weakest Christian as president and I will
not tolerate this,” Aoun said Tuesday about Geagea without naming him.
“I'm the strongest and I'm the one who represents (the Christians). My
popularity is on the rise,” he added. Geagea slammed the March 8 alliance,
asking the Change and Reform bloc, which is head by Aoun, and Hizbullah's
Loyalty to the Resistance bloc “what they are waiting for” to attend the
parliamentary session and elect a new head of state. The failure to choose a
successor to President Michel Suleiman, whose term expired on May 25, is the
result of the boycott of the majority of March 8 alliance's MPs. The March 14
official voiced concern over the presidential impasse, expressing hope that the
rival parties would have at least one percent consensus over any candidate.
“It's not right to elect a president who has minimal representation but now we
will not be able to agree on a nominee who could garner the majority of votes,”
Geagea said. He proposed on Aoun to accept “any of the available options or head
to the parliament to vote for his candidate because vacuum will harm us
all.”Aoun has said he would run for the presidency if there was consensus on
him. Geagea said that meeting with the FPM chief will not lead to any positive
result.
“They are manipulating the system and the constitution, which poses a great
danger on the country and the Lebanese amid the developments in the region.”He
considered that the Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi as the “saddest person”
over the ongoing deadlock. “We shouldn't undermine the presidential vacuum,”
Geagea said, urging those who have “conscience” to attend the July 2 session set
to elect a new president. Speaker Nabih Berri postponed the session to July 2 to
fill the seat of the country's top Christian post at Baabda Palace. Geagea
concluded that Aoun is not responsible for Hariri's security, a day after Aoun
said that he could guarantee the political security of the Mustaqbal official if
he returns to Lebanon if he was in power. “Hariri will not also ask him for such
a demand.”
Al-Rahi, Aoun Meet at Dinner Banquet in Bkirki after Long
Rift
Naharnet/A meeting was held recently between Free Patriotic
Movement leader MP Michel Aoun and Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi in Bkirki
in an attempt to end the rift among them, As Safir newspaper reported on
Wednesday. According to the daily, al-Rahi held a dinner banquet on Monday night
in the presence of 25 bishops and attended by Aoun. The daily reported that
Bishop Samir Mazloum paved way for the two officials to end the rift and meet at
the Patriarchate after a phone conversation held between Aoun and al-Rahi last
week. Al-Rahi clarified to Aoun his statement that he doesn't want the FPM chief
or Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea to reach the Presidential Palace. “If
your (Aoun) and Geagea's candidacy led the country to vacuum... We should seek
the election of a third figure,” al-Rahi explained to Aoun. In April, al-Rahi
has ruled out the election of a president from either the March 8 or 14
alliance, saying the head of state should be consensual and capable of bringing
the bickering parties closer. The patriarch reiterated that the seat of the
Maronite church in Bkirki does not support any candidate. The newspaper said
that the FPM chief stressed to gatherers at al-Rahi's banquet that the
Christians, specifically the Maronites, have the right to be represented by a
strong and consensual president. Sources close to the LF denied in comments to
As Safir that Geagea rejected to attend the dinner banquet despite al-Rahi's
invitation, pointing out that “the circumstances that prevented him from
attending the last Maronite meeting are ongoing.”“No agreement was held on such
a meeting,” the sources said. Lebanon has been plunged into a leadership vacuum
after Michel Suleiman's presidential term ended on May 25 with rival political
blocs still divided over a new leader.Over the past two months the parliament
convened five times to try to elect a successor to Suleiman but failed during
the last five sessions due to a lack of quorum.
Aoun Says Promised Hariri to Guarantee His Return to Lebanon, Urges
'Parliamentary Vote or System Change'
Naharnet /Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun on Tuesday said he is
waiting for al-Mustaqbal movement to nominate him or endorse a “new candidate”
for the presidency, revealing that he had told Mustaqbal leader Saad Hariri that
he would guarantee his “political security” if he returns to Lebanon. “Mustaqbal
Movement officials contacted me and we had the intent to meet in the summer of
2013 but the circumstances did not allow us to do so. We then scheduled a
meeting in Rome and we agreed not to publicize it so that they (political
rivals) don't force its failure before it even happens,” Aoun said in an
interview on OTV. According to media reports, the meeting between the two men
was held in December 2013. “I told Hariri that Lebanon cannot bear further
deterioration and that the trials of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon had kicked
off and that we would accept the rulings. I said the situation in Lebanon was
deteriorating and that we cannot unite the country without cooperating with the
other camp,” said Aoun. He noted that he agreed with Hariri on “the issue of
Lebanon's unity,” pointing out that Hizbullah's weapons were among the topics
that they discussed. “I did not discuss the presidential vote with Hariri and I
told him that I can guarantee his political security if he returns to Lebanon
but noted that I cannot guarantee it if I'm not in power,” added Aoun. “I talked
with Hariri about an electoral law based on proportional representation and 15
electorates and he said he would look into the matter but until now I have not
received any answer,” the FPM leader said. Asked about his response if talks
with Hariri fail, Aoun said: “I do not know what would happen if negotiations
with Hariri hit a dead end ... Can he find a figure who enjoys the consensus of
both camps?” “I think there are two obstacles holding back Hariri: his allies
and Saudi Arabia, but this is my evaluation and I cannot judge things that I
don't know,” he added.
“We cannot interfere in the issue of Hizbullah, which has become part of the
solution in Syria. Hariri talked about the party's weapons in cities and I said
that neither us nor Hizbullah want the weapons to be in the city. Will Hizbullah
occupy Beirut for example?” Aoun asked sarcastically. He noted that Hariri “can
only endorse someone from his camp for the presidency.” “But after he fails
once, twice and three times, he must find a solution, or else we would stay
three or four years without a president,” Aoun warned.
Asked if he intends to officially announce his nomination for the presidency
anytime soon, Aoun said: “As long as there are no presidential candidates other
than those who were in the first session – (Democratic Gathering MP) Henri Helou
and (Lebanese Forces leader) Samir Geagea -- I will not attend the sessions,
because we would be wasting time.”
“If al-Mustaqbal movement has another candidate, let them announce his name and
we would congratulate them.”Aoun pointed out that the constitutional timeframe
for parliamentary elections “is in effect, whether there is a president or not.”
“We won't delay the polls to wait for the election of a president and we want to
hold them under a new electoral law,” he said. “Even if there is no president,
the parliament has the right to legislate in issues related to the formation of
authorities, such as the electoral law,” Aoun stated. “The interior minister
must set a date for the parliamentary elections and he has a one month deadline,
between September and October, and if that does not happen, we will take other
measures. I do not acknowledge the legitimacy of the current parliament in the
first place and I had filed an appeal and I'm awaiting the ruling,” Aoun went on
to say. The FPM leader declared that “a drastic change will take place in the
political system if the parliamentary elections were not held.” “I will
propose new rules for the election of the president, as it is unacceptable to
continue things as they are now,” he added. “We went to parliament and gave
Geagea a chance, but he did not garner all the votes of his bloc,” Aoun said.
Asked about Geagea's initiative regarding the presidential election, Aoun said
“the so-called Bkirki list (of candidates) has been refuted and Geagea's
initiatives are futile.” He noted that Wednesday's parliamentary session
dedicated to vote on a new president “will be similar to the previous sessions,”
which were stripped of the necessary quorum due to the boycott of Aoun and his
allies. “I will announce my nomination when the political situation in
parliament becomes clear and when (the current candidates) are dismissed,” Aoun
said. “Don't I have the right not to announce my nomination? I want them to
understand that our right cannot be easily usurped. They marginalized the
president and the parliament after taking 37 parliamentary seats. They
marginalized us in cabinet during the tenure of Michel Suleiman who had claimed
that he wanted to preserve the rights of Christians,” the FPM chief lamented.
“It is totally rejected to choose the weakest Christian as president and I will
not tolerate this ... I'm the strongest and I'm the one who represents (the
Christians) and my popularity is on the rise,” he added.
Mustaqbal Slams 'Unacceptable' Vacuum, Says Open to Discuss
Any Wage Hike Proposal
Naharnet/Al-Mustaqbal bloc on Tuesday called on the cabinet to
take charge of people's affairs, urging also the election of a new head of state
“as soon as possible.”"It is not acceptable to continue stalling amid vacuum in
the state's top post,” the bloc said in a released statement after the MPs'
weekly meeting at the Center House.The bloc stated that the solution lies in the
hands “of those obstructing the (presidential) juncture, i.e. the March 8
coalition, who are boycotting electoral sessions.”"The March 14 forces have
announced that their candidate is (Lebanese Forces chief) Samir Geagea and
instead of boycotting sessions, March 8 should take the same road and agree on a
consensual name who could become a symbol for the country's unity and
independence, and who could respect the state's sovereignty and the conclusions
of the national dialogue sessions,” the statement said. On the cabinet's role
amid the current presidential vacuum, the statement said: “We stress an accurate
implementation of the Constitution while attending the interest of people, the
state and the economy.” Separately, the MPs commented on the contentious new
wage scale, saying they are open to discuss any proposal that leads to the
long-awaited adoption of the draft. They stressed the bloc's stance of siding
with “the real and constant interests of employees, workers, teachers, and
military and security personnel.”The bloc said it was keen on securing a decent
livelihood for people, but highlighted that it should be based on “fairness
between different sectors and between costs and expected revenues.”The lawmakers
pointed out that "this issue requires more than estimating the treasury's
ability to bear the additional costs," as it should also explore "the economy's
capacity to bear additional tax burdens and to contain its negative
consequences." But the conferees assured that they are open to discuss any
proposal that takes the aforementioned conditions into consideration, and which
leads to the adoption of the new wage scale.
Salam to Visit Kuwait on Sunday
Naharnet/Prime Minister Tammam Salam is scheduled to visit Kuwait on Sunday for
talks with Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmed al-Sabah, in his second Gulf state visit
in a month. Al-Liwaa daily said Wednesday that the one-day trip is aimed at
sending a message that Lebanon's security situation has improved and that
Kuwaiti citizens could visit the country. Salam also aims at appeasing
businessmen and encouraging them to invest in Lebanon, it said. His talks would
focus on Kuwaiti assistance to Lebanon to help it confront the burden of Syrian
refugees, the newspaper added. The PM traveled to Riyadh last month on his first
official tour since he assumed office in February. During his visit, he met with
Saudi King Abdullah, senior Saudi officials and al-Mustaqbal movement leader
ex-PM Saad Hariri. Speaker Nabih Berri and Salam met on Tuesday with Kuwaiti
Speaker Marzouq al-Ghanim, who stressed his country's continued support for
Lebanon. Al-Ghanim was in Beirut to study ways to assist the country of 4.5
million that has hosted more than 1 million of Syrians. The rising number of
refugees has left Lebanon struggling to cope with the massive influx of
refugees.
Hariri, Jumblat Awaited Meeting Won't Achieve Positive
Results
Naharnet/The much-anticipated meeting between Progressive
Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat and al-Mustaqbal head MP Saad Hariri in
the French capital Paris is not expected to resolve the presidential deadlock.
An Nahar newspaper reported that the meeting, which was expected to be held on
Tuesday was postponed to Friday. The newspaper, published on Wednesday, said
that Hariri will host a dinner banquet in honor of Jumblat. The two officials,
according to the daily, will tackle the presidential crisis and ways to resolve
the political impasse. Sources underestimated in comments to al-Joumhouria
newspaper the importance of the meeting with the ongoing sharp differences over
the name of the presidential candidate. The sources said that the obstacles
impeding the election of a new head of state are not in the hands of the two
officials. “Neither Hariri nor Jumblat have a final position on the consensual
candidate who would be able to garner the majority of parliamentary
votes.”Jumblat traveled to Paris on Friday on board a private plane as media
reports said that the Druze leader will also meet with former President Michel
Suleiman. Lebanon was plunged in presidential vacuum following the end of
Suleiman's term on May 25. Five presidential election sessions were held, but
parliament has so far failed to elect a new head of state.
March 14 Slams 'All Extremist Movements', Including 'ISIL, Hizbullah'
Naharnet/The March 14 forces on Wednesday voiced their rejection of “all
extremist movements,” reiterating the call for “building the state and the
immediate election of a new president.”“Today, more than ever, the (March 14)
general secretariat announces its rejection of all extremist groups, whether
they resemble Hizbullah or the ISIL (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant),” the
secretariat said in a statement issued after its weekly meeting in Ashrafieh.
Militants spearheaded by the ISIL, an al-Qaida breakaway group, have made
stunning advances in Iraq, seizing control of vast swathes of territory in a
span of few days. Hizbullah has openly declared sending fighters to Syria to
assist the embattled regime against “takfiri” groups seeking to topple it. The
general secretariat stressed that its project “was and will always be struggle
to cross into a complete civil state that would be a role model for the
countries of the region, which has entered a long travail.” “These are the
beliefs of March 14, which have not and will not change regardless of any
developments in the region,” it added. The secretariat reminded of the stance of
al-Mustaqbal movement, “which on February 14, 2014 reiterated its keenness to
clearly and openly reject extremism, whichever side it may come from.” The March
14 General Secretariat also noted that it is “continuing meetings in the regions
and political activities because coexistence in Lebanon is a common national
responsibility.”But it warned that “tyranny only breeds tyranny and violence
only breeds violence,” pointing out that “Lebanon, which had experienced
sectarian polarization and killing before anyone else, is urged today to be an
example for coexistence and respecting diversity.”To this end, the general
secretariat called for “completing the process of building the state, the
immediate election of a new president and creative interaction among the
components of the diverse Lebanese social fabric.”
Ongoing Dispute over VAT Hindering Agreement over Wage Scale
Naharnet /Resolving the dispute over raising the Value Added Tax is among the
main obstacles that may hinder the approval of the new wage scale during a
legislative session scheduled for Thursday. Given the lingering differences, the
session may not even be attended by the Mustaqbal bloc, which may lead to a lack
of quorum at parliament. Head of the Mustaqbal bloc MP Fouad Saniora had held
talks Wednesday with Speaker Nabih Berri regarding the session, saying afterward
that talks over the wage hike “need more time.” Meanwhile, the Syndicate
Coordination Committee warned that it may resort to “escalatory” measures in the
future should the legislative session fail to adopt the new wage scale
draft-law. “We will head to the streets whether Thursday's legislative session
is held or not,” declared Head of Public Secondary School Education Teachers
Association Hanna Gharib during a press conference. “We will continue our
demonstrations and we will continue to hold lawmakers responsible for failing to
approve the wage hike,” he added. He slammed the potential raise in the VAT,
saying that it will result in a decrease in spending by the poor and people of
limited income.
Raising the VAT has been among the proposals sought to resolve the problem of
funding the new wage scale. “We are waging this battle in the name of all
Lebanese,” said Gharib. “We reject the approval of a wage scale that takes place
at the expense of the poor and those of limited income,” he added. “Our rights
will not be subject to any settlements or concessions,” he stressed. Moreover,
he remarked: “We are not bound to any of the discussions among the parliamentary
blocs because they did not even consult us in their talks.” In the meantime,
concerned ministers and lawmakers held a series of meetings at parliament ahead
of Thursday's legislative session. Change and Reform bloc MP Ibrahim Kanaan
announced during a press conference: “We reached a balance between revenues and
spending in the new wage scale.” “The balance leaves no room for differences
over the figures and it will not negatively impact the economy,” he explained.
“Today's talks ensured the rights of the concerned sides in the wage scale,” he
revealed. He remarked however that an agreement over the wage hike has not been
reached yet as differences over its funding still remain. “We have achieved
progress, but discussions, particularly over the funding, are still open,” he
said. “We hope that the new wage scale draft-law will be approved on Thursday,”
he added however. Education Minister Elias Bou Saab later added at the press
conference: “We hope to reach an agreement over the wage scale soon.” “Saniora
has not said that he opposes the hike, but rather he advocates it,” he stated.
“We hope to reach an agreement soon otherwise we risk wasting all the progress
we have achieved so far,” warned the minister. The SCC, a coalition of private
and public school teachers and public sector employees, have been holding onto a
121 percent increase in their salaries. But a ministerial-parliamentary
committee has proposed to reduce the total funding from LL2.8 trillion ($1.9
billion) to LL1.8 trillion ($1.2 billion). It has also called for raising
certain taxes, which are a source of controversy among parliamentary blocs.
Syrian Worker Killed, 3 Injured in Ashrafieh Building Wall
Collapse
Naharnet/One person was killed and three others were wounded on
Wednesday afternoon when the wall of an old building collapsed in the Beirut
region of Ashrafieh. Internal Security Forces announced on its account on the
social media website Twitter that the wall of an old building collapsed on four
Syrian workers during the demolition of the structure. It noted that the
incident took place in the neighborhood of Karm al-Zeitoun in the area. "The
workers had different types of injuries, and one of them was gravely wounded,”
the ISF noted. Later on, security forces announced that Syrian national Ahmed Kh.
was killed in the wall's collapse, adding that three of his colleagues were
injured. Beirut municipality chief Bilal Hamad blamed the person in charge of
the construction site for not taking the necessary procedures to “protect
citizens.” “Harsh steps will be taken at all construction sites that are not
adopting such (safety) procedures,” he warned. In march 2012, 26 people were
killed and 12 wounded in a building collapse that took place also in Ashrafieh.
The incident had raised fears of the occurrence of similar ones given the
abundance of old buildings in the country and people’s ignorance of proper
construction safety rules. Despite the outcry over the collapse, no official
authority has been established in order to monitor similar cases to prevent the
repeat of the disaster. Also in March 2012, the front of a vacant building
collapsed in the Beirut neighborhood of Bourj Hammoud without resulting in any
casualties. Damage was limited to nearby power poles and parked cars.
Zebari Says Iraq Has Requested U.S. Air Strikes on
Jihadists
Naharnet /Iraq has asked the United States to conduct air strikes
on Sunni Muslim jihadists who have seized key cities and large swathes of the
country, Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari said Wednesday.
Speaking in Saudi Arabia, Zebari also urged the kingdom, which has openly
criticized "sectarian" policies of the Shiite-led government against Arab
Sunnis, to "stop media incitement" and to support it against "terrorism." "Iraq
has officially asked Washington to help under the security agreement (between
the two countries), and to conduct air strikes against terrorist groups," Zebari
told reporters in Jeddah, following Arab ministerial consultations. Militants,
spearheaded by the jihadist Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and
joined by supporters of executed dictator Saddam Hussein, have overrun a large
chunk of northern and north-central Iraq in the past week, although their
advance has since been slowed. "A military approach will not be enough. We
acknowledge the need for drastic political solutions," Zebari said. The United
States spent millions of dollars over several years training and arming a new
Iraqi army after disbanding the Sunni-led force created by the late dictator
Saddam Hussein.
President Barack Obama has sent a small number of military personnel to Baghdad
to strengthen security for the U.S. embassy and is weighing potential military
options, including air strikes, to counter the militant onslaught. Zebari said
he held "frank" talks with Saudi officials. "Our message is that all are
requested to stand by Iraq's side against terrorism," he said.
"Saudi Arabia says all (developments in Iraq) were due to marginalization and
sectarianism (against Sunnis). It did not mention the slaughtering and
bloodshed. Hundreds of soldiers have been executed... The situation can't be
looked at from one angle," he said. "We have had frank discussions with the
Saudi leadership about this, and we asked for their help, and to stop media
incitement," he said, denouncing "fatwa edicts describing the events as a
revolution." Saudi media were swift in condemning Nouri al-Maliki's government
and trying to minimize the role of ISIL in the insurgency through highlighting
the role of Sunni tribes and other armed groups. Zebari acknowledged that Arab
Sunnis feel marginalized, but said killing is not the solution. "Sunnis feel
wronged, marginalized and less-represented. Yes, we support their demands and we
will continue to do so, but not through the killing and massacring in the name
of defending the Sunnis and their interests," he said. Source/Agence France
Presse
Iraq Aims to Retake Key Shiite Town in Hours, PM Vows to
'Face Terrorism' as Militants Hit Refinery
Naharnet/Iraq aims to complete the "liberation" of the strategic northern Shiite
town of Tal Afar from militants in a matter of hours, a security spokesman said
on Wednesday, as insurgents attacked the country's main oil refinery and seized
more territory in the north. Security forces plan to accomplish "the liberation
of the entire town by dawn on Thursday," the spokesman said, after which they
will head for militant-held areas in the city of Mosul, to its east. Iraqi
forces pushed into new areas of Tal Afar on Wednesday during heavy fighting with
militants, a provincial councilor said.
The Shiite-majority town is the largest in the northern province of Nineveh not
to fall to militants, and is located along a strategic corridor to Syria. It has
been the scene of fierce fighting for days. Meanwhile, militants seized three
villages in northern Iraq on Wednesday during clashes with security forces and
residents that left 20 civilians dead, a local official said. The official,
Shallal Abdul Baban, named the villages as Albu Hassan, Birwajli and Bastamli,
in Salaheddin province. Also on Wednesday, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki vowed
on television that "we will face terrorism and bring down the conspiracy,"
adding that "we will teach (militants) a lesson and strike them." He also said
the country's security forces, which wilted in the face of a major militant
offensive that overran all of one province and chunks of three more in a matter
of days last week, had suffered a "setback" but had not been defeated. Maliki
security spokesman Lieutenant General Qassem Atta later said security forces
would retake by Thursday morning full control of Tal Afar, a Shiite town in the
north that lies along a strategic corridor to Syria. That would provide a base
from which to launch operations to recapture Mosul. With regional tensions
rising, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said the Islamic republic "will do
everything" to protect Shiite shrines in Iraqi cities against the militant
assault. And Saudi Arabia warned of the risks of a civil war in Iraq with
unpredictable consequences for the region, while the United Arab Emirates
recalled its envoy to Baghdad, voicing concern over "exclusionary and sectarian
policies." The crisis, which has displaced hundreds of thousands of Iraqis,
threatens to break the country apart, while the assault on Baiji oil refinery
Wednesday further spooked international oil markets.
The attack on the refinery complex, in Salaheddin province north of Baghdad, was
launched before dawn. Officials said security forces controlled the refinery,
but clashes were ongoing, with Atta saying 40 militants were killed. Several
tanks containing refined products caught fire during the clashes. The refinery
was shut down and some employees evacuated on Tuesday due to a drop in demand
caused by the militant drive. World oil producers have cautiously watched the
unfolding chaos in Iraq, which currently exports around 2.5 million barrels of
oil per day. They have stressed that the country's vast crude supplies, mostly
in the south, are safe -- for now. The militants' swift advance has sparked
international alarm, with the U.N.'s envoy to Baghdad warning that the crisis
was "life-threatening for Iraq."
Analysts suggested that the country could unravel, surviving at best as a
federal state. John Drake, an expert on Iraq with British security group AKE,
was asked if Iraq could remain united. "I don't think it's impossible, but it is
highly unlikely," was his verdict. Meanwhile, the Indian foreign ministry
announced that 40 Indian construction workers had been abducted in Mosul, the
first city to fall in the offensive.
Spokesman Syed Akbaruddin said 46 Indian nurses were also stranded in the
militant-held city of Tikrit. Last week, as the offensive got underway ISIL
fighters kidnapped 49 Turks in Mosul, including diplomats and children, after
earlier seizing 31 Turkish truck drivers. In a bid to see off the offensive,
Maliki sacked several top security commanders Tuesday evening, then stood
alongside several of his main rivals in a rare display of unity among the
country's fractious political leaders. The dismissals came after soldiers and
police fled en masse as insurgents swept into Mosul, a city of two million, on
June 10.
Some abandoned their vehicles and uniforms when faced with the insurgents, which
are led by ISIL fighters but also include loyalists of executed dictator Saddam
Hussein.
After taking Mosul, militants captured a major chunk of mainly Sunni Arab
territory stretching towards the capital. Despite security forces' initial poor
performance, Pentagon spokesman Rear Admiral John Kirby said Iraqi troops, with
help from Shiite volunteers, were "stiffening their resistance" around Baghdad.
Source/Agence France Presse
Boko Haram Suspected after Football Screening Venue Bombed
in Nigeria
Naharnet/Boko Haram militants were on Wednesday suspected of
carrying out a deadly bomb attack against football fans watching the World Cup
in northern Nigeria, in the latest violence targeting the game. There was no
immediate claim of responsibility for the blast in the Nayi-Nama area of
Damaturu on Tuesday night but the Islamists have previously carried out attacks
on informal, big screen venues. Boko Haram, which in April kidnapped more than
200 schoolgirls in northeast Nigeria to international condemnation, has been
waging a brutal, five-year insurgency that has claimed thousands of lives.
Residents in Nayi-Nama said the bomb appeared to have been hidden in a motorized
rickshaw outside the Crossfire venue, where crowds had gathered to watch
tournament hosts Brazil play Mexico.
The blast happened at about 8:15 pm (1915 GMT), 15 minutes after the match
kicked off in Fortaleza. "We received 21 dead bodies and 27 injured victims from
the blast," a source at the Sani Abacha Specialist Hospital in Damaturu, told
AFP. Soldiers and police brought in the dead and injured from the scene of the
blast, which was quickly cordoned off, the source said. "The victims are young
men and children. They have burns, ruptured tissue and bone fractures," he
added. Yobe state police commissioner Sanusi Rufa'i said at least 14 people were
killed and 26 injured. Conflicting death tolls are common in Nigeria and the
authorities often round down the number of victims. "We still don't know how the
incident happened and as security personnel we can't just rely on eyewitness
accounts for an incident as serious as this," he added. "Our forensic
experts are conducting on-the-scene assessment to establish what really
happened. We will make public our findings when investigations are concluded."
The blast was the latest in a series at so-called "viewing centers" in Nigeria
blamed on Boko Haram, which has previously attacked schools teaching a "Western"
curriculum and Christian churches. Boko Haram leader Abubakar Shekau has
preached against football as part of the Islamist group's agenda to impose
strict Islamic law in northern Nigeria.
In several video clips, he described football and music as a Western ploy to
distract Muslims from their religion. In April this year, suspected Boko Haram
gunmen also stormed a packed venue in Potiskum, also in Yobe, shooting dead two
people as they watched European Champions League quarter-final matches. Football
is Nigeria's national sport and has a fanatical following but recent blasts
targeting fans in northeastern Adamawa and the central state of Plateau have
seen the authorities close big screen venues on security grounds. The World Cup
would normally have seen large crowds congregate to watch the matches, including
those of Nigeria's national team, the "Super Eagles", but many fans have opted
to stay at home for their own safety. "I'm not comfortable going to any viewing
center due to the Boko Haram threats," Danlami Ma'azu, who lives in the northern
city of Kano, told AFP last week. Adamawa and Yobe have both been under a state
of emergency since May last year to try to curb the violence, so far with little
success. Borno, which lies between the two states and has been worst hit by the
bloodshed, is also under special powers. East African nations are also on high
alert over possible attacks by Somalia's Al-Qaida-linked Shebab rebels during
football screenings. Britain has released warnings to citizens in several east
African nations -- including Ethiopia, Djibouti and Kenya, who all have troops
in Somalia -- speaking of the threat of attacks at public screenings of the
World Cup. "Previous terrorist attacks in the region have targeted places where
football matches are being viewed," Britain's Foreign Office said, adding that
crowded areas including transport hubs, hotels, restaurants and bars were also
possible targets.Source/Agence France Presse
Iran Could Work with U.S. in Iraq if Nuclear Talks Succeed
Naharnet/A top Iranian official said on Wednesday that Tehran
could consider working with the United States over the crisis in Iraq if talks
on its nuclear program are successful. Asked about possible cooperation in Iraq,
President Hassan Rouhani's chief of staff Mohammad Nahavandian told reporters in
Oslo that the nuclear talks were a "test for confidence building". "If that
comes to a final resolution, then there might be opportunities for other issues
to be discussed."Nahavandian added that he was opposed to external intervention
against Islamic militants from the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL)
who have made sweeping gains in northern Iraq in recent days amid reports of the
summary execution of hundreds of U.S.-trained Iraqi soldiers. "The management of
the situation has to be given to the people and the government of Iraq. The
Iraqi people and government have enough resources and commitment to defend
itself," he said. "The outside world should just respond to what the government
of Iraq wants (and) should not intervene in the management of the situation." He
reiterated a previous Iranian commitment to respond to any request for help from
the Iraqi government "to take care of the internal issue" and criticized U.S.
inaction. "With regards to the United States, we have not seen any serious
action from them against this wave of terrorism inside Iraq."Source/Agence
France Presse
Two Nations, Together
Naharnet/By David Hale
U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon
http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/135385-two-nations-together
How does celebrating an anniversary two weeks early show you the links and
values that Americans and Lebanese share?
For Americans, July 4th is a time for celebration – the anniversary of when the
Continental Congress adopted the Declaration of Independence stating that
America was no longer a colony, but a nation. We celebrate at home and abroad,
remembering the sacrifices made to ensure freedom and reflecting on how to
uphold our values.
This year is the seventh time that I celebrated America’s independence here,
with so many Lebanese friends and colleagues. It not only made me think about
the American experience, but also about the values that bind America and Lebanon
together. Among these are the defense of personal liberties and freedoms of
expression, press, and religion; a desire for representative and accountable
government; mutual respect and coexistence across diverse faiths; belief in the
benefits of a free market and entrepreneurial spirit; openness to the world
around us; and an interest in investing in education.
With that value of mutual respect in mind, we held our commemoration in June, to
accommodate those who will observe Ramadan in July.Living as neighbors with
those who are different from us in some way, and respecting and accommodating
those differences, is not the only similarity between Americans and Lebanese. My
years in Lebanon have shown me – the people have shown me – many areas where
U.S. and Lebanese ideals, goals and dreams intersect. Parents, whether in
Bellevue or Baalbek, Tripoli or Tallahassee, want a good education for their
children. And both of our societies recognize that investment in education is an
investment in a positive future for our countries. The roots of American
institutions of learning in Lebanon are deep, going back to the 1835 founding of
the American School for Girls, which would become the Lebanese American
University. And those roots are wide, with American schools established in
Nabatiyeh in the south and Tripoli in the north. The United States Government
has helped many of these schools with assistance and scholarships, and we are
proud to support a variety of education programs here, to support Lebanon’s
youth and families.
But our educational links are not just about governments working together. They
also showcase how private Americans and Lebanese choose to come together to
ensure open debate, discussion, and exchange of ideas on these campuses.
Generation after generation of Americans and Lebanese has been transformed by
these experiences.
Trade is another strong link between us and has also helped transform people and
places in both countries. Merchant ships from Boston, Massachusetts stopped in
Beirut’s harbor in the eighteenth century, even before the United States’
independence. More recently, an American company cleaned up the Normandy
landfill near that same harbor -- one of the first contracts awarded to an
American firm at the end of Lebanon’s civil war. What was once a reminder of
turmoil is now a place of celebration, such as our own national day reception
last night at Biel. The American Lebanese Chamber of Commerce in Lebanon is one
of our strongest partners here as we work together to attract investment, expand
trade, and build ever stronger economic relations to our mutual benefit. Last
night, many American companies operating in Lebanon joined me in hosting our
Independence Day reception.
Military and security ties also connect us. We have seen success in our
cooperation as the Lebanese Armed Forces and the Internal Security Forces gain
greater means to protect Lebanon’s people, borders and territory, and work to
keep the country stable and at peace in ways that are accountable to all
Lebanese. Since 2005, we have invested more than one billion dollars in these
institutions.
Success does come with sacrifice. I recently toured the museum in Roumieh
dedicated to the brave officers and soldiers of Lebanon’s Ranger Regiment who
sacrificed their lives fighting for Lebanon – a moving reminder of the turmoil
this country has endured and also of the strength of a united people. The United
States will continue to work with Lebanon and its people to ensure that strength
and lessen the sorrow. While we in the United States traditionally celebrate our
independence in July, these ideals are with us all year long and can, and
should, be remembered and lived each day. Our countries’ mutual values and
common goals drive our relationships – both private and governmental – and link
Lebanon and the U.S. I look forward to continuing and deepening that
relationship, every day of the year.
Ten IDF brigades grind Hamas down, but no trace of kidnapped boys after six days
DEBKAfile Special Report June 18, 2014/IDF night operations against Hamas
As the massive search for the three kidnapped teenagers Gil-Ad Sha’ar, Naftali
Frenkel and Eyal Yifrach, went into its sixth day Wednesday, June 8, Israelis
were getting impatient and skeptical about the prospects of finding them. Ten
IDF brigades plus special operations units have been mobilized to scour the
Hebron district, where the boys disappeared on June 12, and are keeping its
population of 300,000 under curfew. So why, people are asking, has the army
expanded the hunt to the northern West Bank towns of Nablus and Jenin?
Another 65 mostly Hamas activists were detained Tuesday overnight across the
West Bank. Of that number, 51 were former prisoners released by Israel in the
2011 trade for the Israel soldier Gilead Shalit.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu stressed that the special message conveyed by
these arrests is part of the all-out military effort to recover the three boys
and break up the Hamas organization in Judea and Samaria. At this late date,
Netanyahu was implying that he made a strategic blunder in 2011 when he signed
the deal for the release of 1,027 convicted Palestinian terrorists, including
multiple murderers, in exchange for the freedom of a single Israeli
soldier.Early Wednesday, the IDF was ordered to start reversing that deal and
putting the freed Palestinians back in prison. But reversing the hard military
core of a radical ideological movement dedicated to violence is a lengthy,
painstaking and costly process. One of debkafile’s military intelligence sources
reports that, even after nearly 300 Hamas activists were detained this week,
many thousands of activists, some of the highest rank, remain in Israeli and
Palestinian Authority prisons.
As for the missing boys, the liaison officers permanently attached to their
families may be more forthcoming to them than they are to the media, which are
kept totally in the dark. But whatever they may have been told, the fact remains
that the massive search has produced no tangible progress or concrete data on
the boys’ whereabouts thus far. Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz never tires
of repeating that the IDF will never give up until they are back home. The
entire Israeli operation is designed to show Hamas in the strongest language
that the old game is over. Kidnapping Israelis will never again yield the
release of Palestinian terrorists from prison, only intensify Israel’s
determination to smash Hamas’ political, terror, military and financial
infrastructures. This piecemeal destruction of the organization’s institutions
and underground presence in Judea and Samaria will go on and, if it fails to
produce results, the operation will extend to Hamas’ home ground in the Gaza
Strip.
Our military sources report that the IDF has deployed almost as much military
strength for this operation as it fielded for the April 2002 Defensive Wall
operation, that broke the back of the second intifada.
Ten IDF combat brigades have been seconded, equal to nearly three divisions and
including Special Operations forces, auxiliary contingents, police units and
Shin Bet internal intelligence personnel.
The high command has transferred to Judea and Samaria units from Israel’s
northern borders. The war engulfing Iraq is burning so fiercely that Tehran has
pulled Hizballah fighters and Iraqi Shiite militiamen out of Syria to battle the
Sunni ISIS and save the Baghdad regime. This has somewhat reduced the risks
facing northern Israel. The Israeli brigades are not just dismantling Hamas’
resources for waging terror, but every other terrorist entity they encounter –
some on the strength of new information obtained from interrogations of
detainees. Israeli troops are rooting out the smallest and most primitive of
these entities, one by one, to make sure that none will ever raise its head and
stir up a third intifada.
Thorough though it is, this operation has three shortcomings:
1. It has not accomplished its declared mission of rescuing the three kidnapped
teenagers and catching their abductors.
2. It is not reasonable to expect Hamas or its Iranian and Hizballah backers to
allow Israel to continue hammering Hamas for weeks or months or “for as long as
its takes,” as Israeli leaders have pledged, without pushing back. At some
point, the trio running the operation, Netanyahu, Ya’alon and Gantz, will have
to set a timeline.
Already Tuesday, a solid front of all the terrorist organizations based in the
Gaza Strip, led by Hamas and the pro-Iranian Jihad Islami, declared full
mobilization and set up a common war room for operations against Israel.
3. The man who has profited most from the IDF operation thus far is Palestinian
Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas. He can stand back and watch Israeli forces
smash Hamas’ assets and influence in the most important West Bank towns of
Ramallah, Jenin, Tulkarm, Hebron and Nablus. Those towns were formally
transferred to PA rule, but its security forces fear to set foot there.
Now, Abbas’ Fatah party can hope to win the Palestinian elections when they take
place next January. In Jeddah, Abbas came forward Wednesday to publicly demand
that the abductors of the three Israeli boys, whoever they are, let them go at
once. He accused the kidnappers of seeking to “ruin the Palestinian Authority”
and vowed they would be held accountable.
Addressing a gathering of Organization of the Islamic Cooperation foreign
ministers in Jedda, Abbas also pledged that there would be no third intifada
The Massacre Strategy
Aaron Y. Zelin/Washington Institute
June 17, 2014
http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/the-massacre-strategy
Why ISIS brags about its brutal sectarian murders in Iraq.
Over the weekend, dozens of pictures trickled out on one of the official Twitter
accounts of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, the jihadist group currently
setting off a panic in vast swathes of northern Iraq. The graphic photographs,
according to ISIS, showed mass executions of Shiite soldiers who had fought in
the Iraqi government's military and security forces. In the images, ISIS
fighters corral hundreds of individuals into trucks, forcing them to lie down in
shallow graves with their heads to the ground, and then shooting them with
Kalashnikovs.
ISIS claimed it had killed more than 1,700 people, though the pictures account
for a few hundred at most. Though shocking, this level of brutality is hardly
new for the extremist Sunni group, as it has attempted to provoke the Shiite
population going back to last decade, when the volatile Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was
its leader.
ISIS subscribes to takfir, a practice according to which it believes it is
legitimate to kill a Muslim who has abandoned its hard-line interpretation of
Islam. Last decade, when ISIS was under the control of Zarqawi and was then
called Al Qaeda in the Land of Two Rivers (better known as Al Qaeda in Iraq, or
AQI), it used takfir to justify the murder of not only the Shiite population of
Iraq but also other Sunnis who did not follow AQI's narrow and severe
interpretation of sharia, or Islamic law. (This broad use of takfir ended up
backfiring against AQI, since most Iraqi Sunnis did not want to live under such
an oppressive group.)
So ISIS, the latest incarnation of AQI, has religious reasons for massacring
Shiites, all of whom it views as apostates. And there's another motivation for
it as well: old-fashioned vengeance. As ISIS's official spokesperson noted in an
audio message posted June 11, "It is true that between us revenge awaits...a
long and heavy revenge awaits. However the revenge shall not be in Samara or
Baghdad, but rather it shall be in Karbala the city made filthy, and in Najaf
the polytheist city, so wait." (Karbala and Najaf are important Shiite shrine
cities.) So in ISIS's estimation, its attacks on Shiites are merely retaliation
for the Iraqi government's actions against Sunnis.
But there's also a strategic reason behind the executions -- and the gruesome
pictures posted online for all to see. ISIS's goal is not only to scare Iraqi
Shiites but to provoke them to radicalize, join Iranian-sponsored militias and
then commit similar atrocities against Sunnis. ISIS then hopes to set itself up
as the protectors of the Sunni population, helping to consolidate its hold on
Sunni population centers.
This strategy turned out badly in the recent past. In 2006 and 2007, AQI bombed
Samarra's al-Askari Mosque, a holy shrine for Shiite Muslims. In the aftermath,
Shiites launched major retaliatory attacks against the Sunni population, kicking
off a civil war that radically changed the makeup of Baghdad's population
through anti-Sunni death squads. AQI might have gained some leverage or sympathy
with the Sunni population at first, but it overplayed its hand by imposing a
harsh rule on much of Anbar province. Sunni tribes rebelled, with U.S. help and
encouragement, and pushed out the jihadists.
Some within both the Sunni and Shiite communities hope there isn't a recurrence
of widespread sectarian violence. Sunni tribal leaders in Mosul and Ramadi, for
example, called to fight against both the government and ISIS. Shiite cleric
Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani called upon Shiites to stand up against ISIS, but
only within the framework of the Iraqi state apparatus, an implicit slight
against Iran and its proxies.
Though Sistani framed his appeal in nationalistic terms, tens of thousands of
Shiite volunteers reportedly have responded, and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki
has shown no sign of tempering his anti-Sunni outlook. On Tuesday, the bodies of
44 Sunni prisoners were dumped in Baquba, a mixed town only a few dozen miles
from Baghdad -- suggesting it will be difficult to contain the sectarian fires.
ISIS, moreover, is far better organized -- and, with its seizure of oil fields
in Syria and banks in Iraq, better financed -- than the AQI of old. The regional
context is indeed different, too. American forces are not present to take
advantage of a potential second "awakening" movement, and split the tribes from
the jihadists. And as we've seen in Syria, although more nationalist and
mainstream Islamist groups have pushed ISIS out of certain areas, they haven't
been able to strategically cripple them. ISIS's base of operations in Syria also
gives the group strategic depth, allowing its fighters to retreat across the
border if necessary.
However this plays out in the long run, we will probably be seeing many more
pictures of massacred Shiites -- and Sunnis -- before the bloodletting abates.
**Aaron Y. Zelin is the Richard Borow Fellow at The Washington Institute and
founder of the website Jihadology.net.
Iran Is Not an Ally in Iraq
Michael Singh /Wall Street Journal
June 17, 2014
http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/iran-is-not-an-ally-in-iraq
ISIS would likely welcome deeper involvement from the IRGC.
During the second Iraq war, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was one of
the United States' fiercest foes. The IRGC was responsible not only for
organizing, training and equipping Shiite militants who fought U.S. troops, but
also for manufacturing and importing into Iraq so-called explosively formed
penetrators, or EFPs, one of the chief banes of American forces there. Also
courtesy of Tehran: mortar and rocket attacks on the Green Zone in Baghdad,
designed to speed the American departure.
For this reason, in addition to the deep distrust that has characterized
U.S.-Iran relations since 1979, it is more than passing strange to hear both
American and Iranian officials mooting the possibility of U.S.-Iran cooperation
in Iraq today. The U.S. and Iran share an interest in preventing further
advances by the extremist Sunni militia that calls itself the Islamic State in
Iraq and al-Sham, or ISIS. Nevertheless, accepting Iran's offer of assistance in
Iraq would be a grave mistake.
The efficacy of Iranian assistance is dubious at best: The IRGC has proven adept
at stoking insurgencies, but no better than any other country at ending them, in
Syria or in Iran itself. Not only would a partnership between Washington and
Tehran likely fail to improve the situation -- it could make matters far worse
in Iraq and throughout the Middle East.
The current crisis in Iraq is not precisely a sectarian conflict. ISIS hardly
enjoys unanimous support among Sunnis, who are among the group's victims as it
imposes repressive rule in the areas it conquers. But sectarian tensions are an
important factor in the country's problems. Iranian (Shia) involvement would be
perceived by Iraqi Sunnis as explicitly sectarian in nature, and thus do more to
inflame those tensions than calm them. For their part, Iraqi officials largely
appear to recognize this danger and have thus been publicly wary of embracing
Iranian offers.
In contrast, ISIS and other radical groups would likely welcome deeper Iranian
involvement. ISIS seeks to stoke anti-Shia sentiment to garner both local and
outside support. Were Iran to become more directly involved in Iraqi affairs --
especially in concert with the U.S. -- ISIS would take it as a propaganda boon
and use the development to attract funding and fighters.
This polarizing effect would be magnified if Iran resorted to organizing and
equipping Shiite militants. These militants might help halt ISIS advances in the
short run, but their reactivation would threaten to return Iraq to the days of
open sectarian war. Because they are an alternative to a professional fighting
force, these militias also pose an institutional threat to efforts to cultivate
a cross-sectarian Iraqi army.
Deeper IRGC involvement would increase Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's
dependence on Iran. His success thus far has been in part due to the perception
that his rivals in Iraq's Shiite community -- which is far from monolithic --
were too close to Tehran. Turning now to Iran for aid could change that, and not
by accident; while the U.S. seeks an independent, pluralistic Iraq, Iran appears
to prefer that Iraqi political and clerical institutions be beholden to Tehran's
own.
Iranian intervention in Iraq, whatever its immediate tactical utility, would
deepen the country's cleavages. And U.S.-Iranian cooperation in Iraq would stand
at stark odds with President Obama's sensible call for outreach by Mr. al-Maliki
to Iraq's Sunnis.
It could also have repercussions beyond Iraq. As the United States has stepped
back from its traditional security role in the Mideast, a contest by proxy has
emerged among regional powers such as Iran, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. The front
line of this conflict has been Syria. It has now expanded to Lebanon and Iraq,
and may expand elsewhere.
America's allies have worried that we are at best neutral in this conflict, and
at worst willing to overlook Iran's regional activities to expedite a nuclear
agreement and accelerate a "pivot" away from the region. Some even worry that
the U.S. is seeking a new alliance with Iran to supplant its old alliance system
in the region. As misplaced as these worries may be, an American embrace of an
Iranian security role in Iraq -- or even bilateral talks with Iran on regional
security that exclude other stakeholders -- will exacerbate them.
The U.S. goal must not only be to drive ISIS back from Baghdad, but also to
organize allies in an effort to halt the spread of chaotic regional conflict,
and to restore some semblance of stability and optimism. For the U.S., this need
not involve boots on the ground, but it will require diplomatic re-engagement
and a willingness to employ force judiciously, where appropriate.
What is needed from Iran, meanwhile, is not more involvement in regional
conflicts, but less. Specifically, Tehran must end its support for the Assad
regime in Syria; its provision of arms, funding and equipment to Sunni and Shia
extremist groups alike (such as Hezbollah and Hamas); and its nuclear
brinkmanship. This would do far more to improve prospects for the Middle East
than the deployment of IRGC irregulars in Iraq.
**Michael Singh is managing director of The Washington Institute.