LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
January 21/14
Bible
Quotation for today/Gifts
from the Holy Spirit
1Corinthians 12/01-11: "Now,
concerning what you wrote about the gifts from the Holy
Spirit. I want you to know the truth about them, my
friends. You know that while you were still heathen, you
were led astray in many ways to the worship of lifeless
idols. I want you to know that no one who is led by God's
Spirit can say “A curse on Jesus!” and no one can confess
“Jesus is Lord,” without being guided by the Holy Spirit.
There are different kinds of spiritual gifts, but the same
Spirit gives them. There are different ways of serving, but
the same Lord is served. There are different abilities to
perform service, but the same God gives ability to all for
their particular service. The Spirit's presence is shown in
some way in each person for the good of all. The Spirit
gives one person a message full of wisdom, while to another
person the same Spirit gives a message full of knowledge.
One and the same Spirit gives faith to one person, while to
another person he gives the power to heal. The Spirit gives
one person the power to work miracles; to another, the gift
of speaking God's message; and to yet another, the ability
to tell the difference between gifts that come from the
Spirit and those that do not. To one person he gives the
ability to speak in strange tongues, and to another he gives
the ability to explain what is said. But it is one and the
same Spirit who does all this; as he wishes, he gives a
different gift to each person.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For January 21/14
Egypt Prepares to Move Forward/By: Dr. Walid Phares/January 21/14
Bandar bin Sultan's Botched Syrian Intervention Dateline/By:
Hilal Khashan/January 21/14
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources
For January 21/14
Lebanese Related News
Hariri: Cabinet initiative to safeguard Lebanon
Death Toll from Tripoli Clashes Rises to Six ahead of Army Deployment
Geagea Says Army Hasn't Identified Nature of Maarab Drone: Efforts to Assassinate Me are Ongoing
No more obstacles to formation of Cabinet: Sleiman
STL defense challenges prosecution’s account
STL defense casts doubt over evidence in Hariri killing
Hariri says Assad ordered killing of his father
Salam, Aoun spar over ministerial portfolios
Suleiman: Defense Strategy Beginning to Take Shape through Saudi Grant to Army
The formation of a new government in Lebanon/Time for a response
Syria's Assad: Hariri trial tool to 'pressure Hezbollah'
Defense in Hariri Murder Cites Difficulties, Roux Calls for Respect of Merhi's Rights
Israeli Force Removes 2 Devices from Adeisseh under Eyes of Army, UNIFIL
Ibrahim Continues Contacts to Release Abducted Bishops, Maalula Nuns
Jumblat Hails 'Statesman' Hariri, Slams 'Campaigns' against Him
Tripoli Muslim Scholars Accuse State of Protecting Gunmen in City
Gemayel Calls for Formation of Cabinet Capable of Overseeing Constitutional Deadlines
Army Frees Priest after One-Day Abduction
Aoun Describes Hariri's Stance Concerning Cabinet as 'Brave'
Assad Describes STL as 'Politicized, Considers it a Tool to 'Pressure Hizbullah'
Two Students Killed, 13 Wounded in Seriine Car Accident
Hizbullah Seeks to Clinch Deal with Aoun on Rotation of Portfolios
Berri Expects Cabinet to be Formed this Week, Says Consultations Ongoing
Miscellaneous Reports And News
Harper: Singling out Israel is 'weak, wrong' form of new anti-Semitism: Harper
Harper to the
Israelis: Through fire and water, Canada will stand with you
Palestinian media cry foul over access to Harper visit to Bethlehem
US successfully pressures UN to rescind Iran invite to Syria peace talks
Netanyahu pours cold water on interim nuclear agreement on its first day
US begins Iran
sanctions relief, sees tough talks ahead
West, Iran activate landmark nuclear deal
United Nations chief withdraws last-minute invitation to Iran to attend Syrian
peace talks
Iran Curbs Enrichment as Nuclear Deal Takes Effect
Iran halts higher-grade uranium enrichment: IAEA report
UN's last-minute Iran invitation throws Syria talks into doubt
Assad expects to run again, rejects power deal
Syria Opposition Awaits Ban's Stance before Decision on Geneva II
Netanyahu pours cold water on interim nuclear agreement on its first day
Syrian President Expects to Run Again, Rejects Power Deal
Saad Hariri's interview: Not
impressive and Lacks Honesty
By: Elias Bejjani/January 21/14
Quite frankly for the first time since 2005, I was not
impressed at all by Mr. Saad Al Hariri's recent shocking and non Lebanese
rhetoric, tone and stances.
In his TV interview with Paula Yacoubian, (Future TV) on Monday 20/01/14, he was
not himself, but confused, perplexed, some what childish and apparently not well
prepared in advance to deal with the complex questions.
He sounded hostile at time which is not his nature and was not open, receptive
or appreciative to those who criticized his sudden Saudi imposed appeasements
to Hezbollah, especially from his own Future Movement.
He could not rationally or logically explain his last bizarre statements in
regards to his willingness for sharing the criminals and terrorists of Hezbollah
in a new Lebanese government.
For the first time I did not sense his usual transparency, innocence, honesty or
sincerity, as I used to previously.
Meanwhile all the junk and unconvincing excuses that he used to justify his
sudden willingness to sleep in the same bed with Hezbollah were bogus and not
persuasive at all.
It was very clear from the bitterness of his rhetoric, tone and confusion that
his decision making process is not totally in his hands.
Hariri this time disappointed me and made me doubt very much that he is
qualified to be where he is.
I hope I am mistaken in my interpretation of the contents of his very
superficial and disappointing interview.
Apparently it seems he is for sure going to share the criminals of Hezbollah in
the new government that is in preparation after shamelessly licking all his
previous promises and vows.
In conclusion, we strongly believe that Hariri is committing a fatal national
and patriotic mistake by succumbing to the Saudis and giving the criminal
Hezbollah the legitimacy not only to continue its barbaric Iranian occupation of
Lebanon and killing its patriotic leaders one after the other boldly and with
cold blood, but also and most importantly to go on fighting the Syrian people
and support the Butcher Bachar Al Assad to remain in power.
Hariri: Cabinet initiative aims to safeguard Lebanon
January 21, 2014/By Hussein Dakroub The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri said Monday he was driven by his
worries about Lebanon drifting into instability to join Hezbollah in a coalition
government with the aim of containing a long-simmering political conflict after
the March 8 coalition backtracked on its demand for veto power. He also said the
March 14 coalition, led by his Future Movement, would nominate a candidate from
its ranks to run in the presidential election, scheduled for May, thus
dismissing the possibility of a neutral or centrist candidate. In a wide-ranging
interview with Future TV, Hariri said Hezbollah and its March 8 allies would not
have veto power in a new Cabinet, and pledged not to compromise over the Future
Movement’s rejection of the party’s tripartite defense formula of the Army, the
people and the resistance.” He spoke days after attending in The Hague the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon’s trial in absentia of four Hezbollah members
indicted in the 2005 assassination of his father, former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri.
“What happened in The Hague is a very big issue that might cause a major problem
in the country. Do I act with my heart only or with mind? Therefore, I have said
there are deep-rooted differences with the March 8 side, particularly with
Hezbollah,” Hariri said in the interview conducted at his residence in Paris. He
cited three major contentious issues with Hezbollah: the party’s military
intervention in Syria on the side of President Bashar Assad’s forces, the
party’s arsenal and its protection of the suspects involved in his father’s
assassination. Hezbollah has refused to hand over five party members suspected
of involvement in Hariri’s killing.
Hariri scoffed at charges that his agreement to share power with Hezbollah in a
coalition government was designed to cover the party’s military involvement in
Syria. “We definitely will not cover Hezbollah’s participation in Syria. This
participation brought fire to Lebanon,” he said.“We are against a blocking third
[veto power]. We support the rotation [of ministerial portfolios]. I reject
outright the tripartite formula and I will never compromise on this matter,”
Hariri added.
He said he supported the Baabda Declaration, which calls for distancing Lebanon
from regional and international conflicts, particularly the conflict in Syria,
to replace the tripartite formula in the Cabinet’s policy statement.
Hariri’s remarks come amid rising hopes that a new Cabinet based on an 8-8-8
lineup could be formed this week, ending a 10-month-old deadlock. “The new
Cabinet will serve for two, three or four months until a new president is
elected,” he said, adding that he had to reciprocate the March 8 alliance’s
retreat from its demand for a 9-9-6 Cabinet in which the March 8 and March 14
camps would be granted veto power.
Referring to the wave of car bombings that struck Beirut, the southern suburbs
and the northern city of Tripoli recently, incidents directly linked to the war
in Syria, Hariri said: “The people want a government. The country can no longer
endure because of the tense situation. My duty is to find an equation to emerge
from the painful situation ... We want to halt the collapse.”“Participation
[with Hezbollah] in the government [is designed] to contain the conflict, even
though Hezbollah did not withdraw from Syria and put the differences at the
Cabinet table,” he said. “We are proceeding positively and they [March 8] also
say the same ... I am trying to find a window to pull the country out of this
predicament.” “Today, a glimmer of hope emerged over the Cabinet formation even
though there are major differences between us and them [March 8],” Hariri said.
“For us, we enter the Cabinet to contain the conflict at the Cabinet table, but
at the same time we want to care for the people’s interests.” Hariri also denied
he was abandoning his allies in the March 14 camp and moving toward a four-way
ruling political alliance made up of Hezbollah, Amal, the Progressive Socialist
Party and his Future Movement. “We have an open dialogue with our allies [in the
March 14 alliance] in which we inform them of the steps we are taking and the
reasons behind them,” he said. “Only death can separate me from my allies in the
March 14 coalition.” While stressing the strong bonds between him and
Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea, Hariri urged his longtime ally to reconsider
his stance over the Cabinet formation. “I urge Samir Geagea to reconsider his
position on this issue [the Cabinet] because we all have our concerns,” he said.
“But no one should think that I will abandon Samir Geagea or vice versa, and our
position is the same.” In an interview with France’s Europe1 radio station
earlier Monday, Hariri said Assad had most likely given the order for the
assassination of his father. He also said he would return to Lebanon for the
parliamentary elections scheduled in November. Hariri also reiterated his
accusation that Assad was behind the assassination of former Minister Mohammad
Shatah in Beirut in December.
Asked why international justice was a long process, Hariri said: “Because over a
period of 50 years there was impunity in Lebanon. This is the first time that
the international community has established a process of justice for Lebanon, in
the Arab world, in order to end political assassinations.”“Justice never forgets
or forgives. I want justice, not to forgive or forget.”
The formation of a new government in
Lebanon/Time for a response
January 20, 2014/The Daily Star/The formation of a new government in Lebanon
should have become significantly easier – in theory – in the wake of former
Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s announcement that he was ready to accept the
participation of Hezbollah in the next Cabinet. But Friday’s statement has yet
to produce any positive signals from the March 8 camp, which has long accused
its March 14 rivals of trying to block the formation of a government.Instead,
politicians from this coalition are falling back on old rhetoric, as they talk
about their long-standing conditions on issues such as Hezbollah’s weapons and
status as a resistance group, or relinquishing certain portfolios in a new
Cabinet. March 8 politicians can look no further than the Baabda Declaration if
they want to move the process forward; this document, which Hezbollah originally
endorsed, does nothing to downgrade the status of Hezbollah’s resistance. A
decision to adhere to the Baabda Declaration could provide a face-saving means
for all parties if they truly have good intentions about seeing Lebanon exit a
state of political paralysis.
Hariri has engaged in a bit of a gamble by endorsing the participation of
Hezbollah in the government, since some of his allies have reservations about
such a step. But Hariri has opted for the country’s greater good and believes
the higher national interest dictates such a step. The question is whether the
other side has a coherent response to such a truly significant act of politics,
or whether it is incapable of making the hard decisions that go with positions
of responsibility. The country is in dire straits and Hariri recognized the
overriding need for stability. Will March 8 prove that it shares this view?
Geagea Says Army Hasn't Identified Nature of Maarab Drone:
Efforts to Assassinate Me are Ongoing
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/Lebanese Forces leader Samir
Geagea warned on Monday that his assassination would have major repercussions on
the March 14 forces and Lebanese policies in general. He told al-Arabiya
television: “Preparations to assassinate me are ongoing.” He confirmed media
reports that spoke of drones flying over his Maarab residence, saying: “The
espionage planes are part of a policy of intimidation against the March 14
camp.” He stressed however that such methods will not intimidate him “as they
will not succeed in assassinating me.” “They will try to assassinate me again
seeing as such a development will have major repercussions on the March 14
forces,” Geagea noted. On the surveillance planes, he said that he had first
noticed it some 15 days ago, adding that security personnel at Maarab noted that
the sound generated by the plane differed from normal planes and its course also
differed from regular ones. The mysterious plane flew over Maarab on January 8
at around 12:30 am, he revealed. The plane flew over the residence for a few
minutes, but the suspicious activity prompted the state security forces at the
facility to contact the Army Command to inform it of the development, said the
LF chief. After the necessary investigations, the Army Command failed to
determine the nature of the plane. A similar incident took place on January 14,
but the plane hovered over Maarab for about two hours between 5:30 and 7:30 pm
at a relatively low altitude, Geagea stated.
He consequently directly contacted Army Commander General Jean Qahwaji. Qahwaji
said that the plane “was definitely not a Lebanese one." "And I personally
believe that they were not Israeli surveillance drones as they usually fly over
the South and the Bekaa, not over this specific region," Geagea added. “Military
experts informed me that it was unlikely that the plane was Israeli because the
drones do not usually hover over a region for a long period of time,” he
continued. Qahwaji pledged to Geagea that he will follow up on this issue. “I
believe that the army will be able to determine the identity of this plane the
next time it flies over Maarab,” he remarked.
Geagea suspected that the mysterious plane is linked to telephone threats that
have been made against numerous March 14 officials. Geagea escaped an
assassination attempt by snipers as he was taking a walk in the garden of his
Maarab residence in April 2012.
STL defense casts doubt over evidence
in Hariri killing
January 20, 2014/By Kareem Shaheen/The Daily Star
THE HAGUE: The lawyer defending Mustafa Badreddine, the alleged “apex” of an
assassination squad that killed former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, cast doubt
Monday on the telecommunications evidence used to indict his client, and said
the bombing that killed Hariri may not have been a suicide attack. In an
half-hour opening statement, Antoine Korkmaz said the prosecution had failed to
identify the actual operatives who allegedly carried out the assassination.
“Those accused are not the operatives of the bombing - those people remain
entirely unknown,” he said. “The intermediaries between the operatives, the
mastermind and the sponsor have by no means been identified, even
obliquely.”Korkmaz was referring to the “red network,” a group of telephones
identified by the prosecution as having been used in carrying out the
assassination, whose members remain unidentified other than Salim Ayyash, one of
the four named suspects. Korkmaz also criticised the prosecution for not
identifying a motive for the suspects to carry out the attack. “This lack of
motive of any identified mastermind makes the actions that they are accused of
totally inexplicable,” he said. Korkmaz also raised the possibility that the
bombing that killed Hariri was an underground bombing, a theory that has been
abandoned for years by investigators, who said that a Mitsubishi Canter van
laden with two tons of explosives was detonated by a suicide bomber. Korkmaz
said that no footage of the moment of the explosion has survived despite the
presence of many CCTV cameras in the area, saying such footage has disappeared.
He spoke on the third day of trial at the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, the
first time defense lawyers have outlined their case in court.
Hariri says Assad ordered killing of
his father
January 20, 2014/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri said Monday Syria’s President Bashar
Assad had most likely given the order for the assassination of his father,
former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, in 2005. In an interview with Europe1, the
leader of the Future Movement also said he would return to Lebanon for the
parliamentary elections. “The five accused are members of Hezbollah, an
organization that has a hierarchy. I think the whole world knows who gave the
order: it was Bashar Assad. I think this is pretty certain,” Saad Hariri told
the station in an interview conducted in French. The Special Tribunal for
Lebanon is proceeding with the trial of four suspects, all members of Hezbollah,
over the Feb. 14, 2005, assassination of Hariri’s father. A fifth Hezbollah
suspect has been indicted in the case. Hezbollah denies any involvement. In an
interview with Agence France Press, Assad accused the U.N.-backed court of being
a political tool to target Hezbollah. Hariri also reiterated his accusation that
Assad was behind the assassination of former Minister Mohammad Shatah in Beirut
in December. “Yes, of course [Assad also killed Shatah]. He was one of my
closest aides. He was killed in broad daylight in Beirut,” he said. “President
[Francois] Hollande and Saudi Arabia ... decided to assist the Lebanese Army.
[Riyadh] gave $3 billion to purchase French equipment for the Lebanese Army in
order to combat extremism. This is important for me, for Lebanon,” he added.
Asked why international justice was a long process, Hariri said: “Because over a
period of 50 years there was impunity in Lebanon. This is the first time that
the international community has established a process of justice for Lebanon, in
the Arab world, in order to end political assassinations.” He also praised
France’s role for supporting the STL. “France has played a bid role. Presidents
[Jacques] Chirac, [Nicolas] Sarkozy and Hollande always supported the tribunal,
justice, and Lebanon,” he said. “Justice never forgets or forgives. I want
justice, not to forgive or forget. This is justice for my father but also the 11
[victims] of political assassinations,” Hariri said, when asked whether he would
forgive and forget. Hariri also reiterated comments he made last week in which
he said he was willing to form a national coalition government with Hezbollah.
“For me the interests of Lebanon are more important than my own. The process
continues, the government in Lebanon is important for these three or four months
[as] there are presidential elections,” he said. “We think Lebanon should come
[first],” he added. Hariri, a staunch critic of the regime in Syria, also said
the only way to curb the number of youths heading to fight in Syria in the name
of jihad was to halt “the massacres by Bashar Assad against the Syrians.” “It
was he [Assad] who let Al-Qaeda [detainees] out of the prisons and the people
should know this fact. The heads of Al-Qaeda were in the prisons of Bashar
Assad. Today, these youths, I believe, are the victims of extremism, like the
150,000 killed by Bashar Assad,” he said. “It is like a [cult]. They manipulate
people, the youth, like drug traffickers. There are groups such as Al-Qaeda that
[brainwash] the youth to go fight in Syria,” he added. Asked about the Syria
peace conference expected later this week in Switzerland, Hariri said Assad
needed to leave power. “[It isn’t acceptable] to have a president like Bashar
Assad as Syria’s [head of state],” Hariri said. Asked whether he believed Russia
and Iran could convince Assad not to run in the presidential elections once
more, Hariri said: “It is the job of Russia and Iran to tell Assad to go.” “The
Syrians do not want Bashar Assad. Bashar Assad is the real Al-Qaeda that all the
world must today combat,” he added. Asked whether he would return to Lebanon for
the parliamentary elections in September, Hariri said: “Of course. I will return
to Lebanon for the elections and perhaps one day become prime minister [once
again.”
No more obstacles to formation of Cabinet: Sleiman
January 20, 2014/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: President Michel Sleiman raised hopes Monday that a new government could
soon see the light this week, saying all major obstacles had been overcome, in
the strongest signal yet of an end to the 10 months political deadlock in
Lebanon. “There are no more obstacles. We have started putting the final touches
on the new Cabinet and the end of this week will be decisive,” Sleiman said in a
brief chat with reporters after making an address to foreign diplomats at Baabda
Palace. “All political parties are finally convinced of the principle of
rotating ministerial portfolios,” he added, referring to reports last week of
opposition by MP Michel Aoun to the key March 14 demand to ending the impasse
over the Cabinet formation. Sleiman said although he had yet to decide on the
Cabinet line-up that the Foreign Ministry post should always be in step with the
president's positions "as the latter represents the state's foreign
policy.”Lebanon’s 10-month-old Cabinet deadlock recently witnessed signs of a
breakthrough after former Prime Minister Saad Hariri voiced willingness to take
part in a government with Hezbollah and after an 8-8-8 Cabinet lineup gained
support of most the country’s political rivals. Despite the optimism, Sleiman
reiterated his warning that he would move ahead with the formation of a neutral
government in the event efforts to form an all-embracing government failed. "I
will not allow [Lebanon] to reach May 25 without a government. If the formation
[process] is obstructed then all possibilities are available including a neutral
Cabinet,” he said. The president's six-year term ends on May 25. The
Hezbollah-led March 8 coalition has repeatedly voiced opposition to the
formation of a neutral government, warning that such a step would have negative
consequences on the country. Speaking to diplomats at the Presidential Palace,
Sleiman called for international efforts to help keep Lebanon distant from the
conflict in neighboring Syria. “We are looking to active international
initiatives to encourage internal parties and influential states to distance
Lebanon from regional conflicts through adherence to the Baabda Declaration,”
Sleiman told diplomats during a ceremony on the occasion of New Year. He said
that Lebanon had been damaged by the turmoil in Syria and was looking forward to
a political solution to end the nearly three-year-old crisis. “Lebanon’s
national path has suffered serious setbacks since 2011 due to the negative
repercussions of the continuing calamity in Syria on our political, economic and
social situation,” Sleiman said. “The domestic arena also witnessed a remarkable
rise in sectarian tension and gradual involvement in the armed conflict on
Syrian territories ... particularly with the growing flow of Syrian and
Palestinian refugees ... all of which have coincided with the return of
terrorist bombings across Lebanon.” “ Lebanon is particularly concerned with
finding a consensual political solution that restores stability and preserves
the unity of the neighboring country,” he said. “I hope that such a political
solution will allow the return of Syrians to their homes and that the
rehabilitation of the country is launched as soon as possible,” he said. The
president said that Lebanon would reiterate its stance against any military
involvement in Syria during the Geneva II peace conference on Syria due later
this week.
Despite an agreement between Lebanese rivals to distance Lebanon from the Syrian
conflict, Hezbollah made public last year its military intervention in Syria on
the side of President Bashar Assad. Sleiman also reiterated his keenness on
holding the presidential election due later this year on time. “I will exercise
maximum efforts to ensure the appropriate circumstances for holding the
presidential election in a democratic and calm manner,” Sleiman said. The
president has repeatedly said he opposes an extension to his term in office
which ends in May 2014.
Salam, Aoun spar over ministerial
portfolios
January 20, 2014/By Hussein Dakroub, Antoine Ghattas Saab/The
Daily Star
BEIRUT: A tug-of-war over key ministerial portfolios is threatening to delay the
formation of a new government, political sources said Sunday, as Hezbollah
welcomed former Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s new stance on the Cabinet crisis.
Also, an escalating row between the March 8 and March 14 camps over the policy
statement appears to be impeding the Cabinet formation widely expected this
week.
MP Michel Aoun, leader of the Free Patriotic Movement, was reported to be
opposing the rotation of ministerial portfolios based on party and sect in the
new Cabinet lineup because this would deprive him of two key portfolios: the
Energy Ministry currently held by his son-in-law Gebran Bassil and the
Telecommunications Ministry held by Nicolas Sehnaoui, who belongs to the FPM.
Aoun’s stance puts him at odds with Prime Minister-designate Tammam Salam, who
has called for the rotation of all ministerial portfolios among parties and
sects since he was appointed in April. It also puts Aoun on a different
wavelength than Speaker Nabih Berri, who has said he supported the rotation of
ministerial portfolios so long as it entailed equality between sects and
parties.
Apparently responding to attempts to rotate ministerial portfolios, Bassil said
Sunday that the Christians should be represented by key portfolios in the new
Cabinet.
“We are present with our Christianity and patriotism in Lebanon. Our presence is
reflected in the equality in Parliament, a strong president in the presidency
and a correct representation in the government,” Bassil said at a foundation
stone-laying ceremony for a solar energy plant project in the Nahr Beirut area.
“We must be present and represented by sovereign, [public] service and ordinary
portfolios. Our role will be on this basis,” he said, adding: “Our role and
presence are concomitant, and our Christian spirit is the spirit of harmony and
accord which no one can stifle.”In another speech Saturday, Bassil praised
Hariri’s readiness to join a Cabinet with Hezbollah, saying this could pave the
way for national understandings in the country.
“We are in need for national understanding between us and the Future Movement,
between the Future Movement and Hezbollah. Such understandings complete one
another and do not isolate anybody,” Bassil said.
In an interview with Reuters in The Hague Friday, Hariri said he was ready to
share power with Hezbollah in a coalition government to help stabilize Lebanon
as it faces growing threats to its security from the war raging in Syria.
Hariri’s remarks are expected to seal a political deal on an all-embracing
Cabinet based on 8-8-8 lineup that would break the 10-month government deadlock.
The deal, suggested by Berri and Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid
Jumblatt, will most likely involve Hariri’s Future Movement, the Hezbollah-led
March 8 alliance and Jumblatt’s bloc.
Hezbollah also welcomed Hariri’s remarks but said the policy statement needed to
be addressed after the Cabinet formation not before as demanded by the March 14
coalition.
“We do not want to discuss now the contents and details of the policy statement
because our convictions cannot be shaken by thunder. Perhaps, they [March 14]
uphold their convictions which they want to put forward during the discussions
of the policy statement,” MP Mohammad Raad, who heads Hezbollah’s parliamentary
bloc, said at a memorial ceremony in south Lebanon.
Commenting on Hariri’s readiness to join a Cabinet with Hezbollah, he said
Hezbollah and its allies were open to any initiative to solve the deepening
political crisis.“But this requires concessions from both sides. We will make
concessions in a way that will not affect our strategy and option,” Raad added.
Hezbollah MP Nawwaf Musawi also praised Hariri’s stance: “We will meet a
positive approach positively. We will reply in kind because we are keen on
preserving the unity of our country to confront challenges.” While Berri and the
March 8 parties want the policy statement to be discussed after the Cabinet
formation, the March 14 coalition insists that agreement on the blueprint be
reached before the formation. Also, the March 14 coalition demands that the
Baabda Declaration replaces Hezbollah’s tripartite equation: “The Army, the
people and the resistance” in the Cabinet’s policy statement. Lebanese Forces
leader Samir Geagea, who opposes an all-embracing government that includes
Hezbollah, renewed his call for dropping the tripartite equation and replacing
it with the Baabda Declaration.
“Any Cabinet that will be formed should be backed by political consensus of
March 14 and should have a prior and clear formulation of the policy statement,”
Geagea said Saturday. He said his party would not join any Cabinet that did not
adopt the Baabda Declaration in its policy statement Former President Amine
Gemayel called for an all-embracing government capable of meeting political and
security challenges in the country.
U.K. to cover cost of books at Lebanon
state schools
The Daily Star/January 20, 2014/BEIRUT: The United Kingdom will
cover the cost of school books for all students in Lebanese public schools for
the academic year 2013-2014, UK Ambassador to Lebanon Tom Fletcher said Monday.
The UK will be covering the expenses of books for Lebanese, Syrian and
Palestinian students to help ease some of the burdens of their parents, Fletcher
said according to a statement from caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s
office. Last week, UK International Development Secretary Justine Greening
announced during a visit to Lebanon £4 million to fund 300,000 packs of
textbooks to Lebanese and Syrian students aged between 6-15 years attending
Lebanon’s public schools. The scheme will ensure that every child aged between 6
and 15 who attends state school in Lebanon has a set of textbooks covering key
academic subjects.
Jumblat Hails 'Statesman' Hariri,
Slams 'Campaigns' against Him
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/Progressive Socialist Party
leader MP Walid Jumblat on Monday lauded the stances of former Prime Minister
Saad Hariri over the cabinet formation process, describing him as a “statesman”
who has put “the higher national interest” above all else. “One must praise
ex-PM Saad Hariri's stance, which came at a critical moment that Lebanon and the
Arab region are going through, amid rapid changes and major transformations that
are being accompanied by rivers of blood and incessant bleeding against the
backdrop of unprecedented sectarian and religious divisions,” said Jumblat in
his weekly op-ed in al-Anbaa.
“This subjected and is still subjecting Lebanon to further fragmentation and
political and security exposure whose harbingers have surfaced with the
terrorist bombings that are moving from one region to another and the political
assassinations which have recently targeted former minister Mohammed Shatah,”
Jumblat added. He pointed out that through his latest stance, Hariri "has proved
that he is a statesman who is capable of putting the higher national interest,
stability and civil peace above all else." "It reflects his deep understanding
of the nature of the Lebanese system and the elements that compose it and the
means to avoid more problems and obstacles on the domestic scene,” the PSP
leader added, noting that “this positive shift is at the core of the principles
championed by martyr premier Rafik Hariri: stability and building the state and
its institutions.”“That's why we condemn all the inflammatory political and
media campaigns that criticized his latest stance, which are not based on any
national considerations but rather on narrow partisan and factional
considerations that ex-PM Hariri has risen above,” added Jumblat. He praised
Hariri for “overcoming difficulties and confidently opening a new page at the
national level.” Jumblat hoped that these “important stances” will be followed
by “executive steps that contribute to reviving the faltering constitutional
institutions and respecting the upcoming junctures that must be held in timely
fashion.”On Fridat, Hariri announced that he is showing positivity in the
cabinet formation process, noting that Hizbullah is a political party that is
leading a “big coalition.” “We are positive regarding the cabinet formation
process. This is something good for the country and for stability in the
country,” Hariri said in an interview.
“We are trying to run the country together with everyone because we don't want
to exclude anyone as Lebanon is going through a difficult period, especially
after the international community miserably failed in addressing the Syrian
issue,” he added. Asked whether he was optimistic regarding the cabinet
formation process, Hariri answered: “I'm very optimistic … I don't know when it
will be formed but I'm optimistic.”
And in response to a question on whether there are any “red lines,” the ex-PM
said: “Red lines are defined by the country's needs and we want the country to
stabilize.”
Ibrahim Continues Contacts to Release Abducted Bishops,
Maalula Nuns
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/General Security chief Major
General Abbas Ibrahim continued on Monday his efforts to release the two bishops
and nuns kidnapped in Syria in April and December 2013 respectively, reported
OTV. It said that he carried out to that end talks with Patriarch of Antioch and
All the East Youhanna X Yazigi. Last week, Ibrahim said that officers from his
directorate met with representatives of the kidnappers of the nuns, kidnapped in
Syria's Maalula region, in the presence of a Qatari delegation. He had stated
that negotiations in the matter are “on the right track.”LBCI television had
reported at the time that the abductors are demanding the release of a number of
Islamist inmates from Roumieh prison in return for freeing two Lebanese nuns who
are among the kidnapped women. In December, jihadists and opposition fighters
entered the Syrian Christian town of Maalula and took 12 Lebanese and Syrian
Greek Orthodox nuns from the Mar Takla Monastery to the Yabrud area in Qalamoun
near Damascus. The 12 nuns join two bishops and a priest who are already
believed to be held by hardline rebels, deepening concerns that extremists in
the opposition's ranks are targeting Christians. The abducted nuns had appeared
in a video broadcast by Al-Jazeera, in which they reassured that they are in
good health. Bishops Youhanna Ibrahim and Boulos Yazigi were kidnapped on April
23 in the northern Syrian province of Aleppo while they were on a humanitarian
work.
Army Frees Priest after One-Day
Abduction
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/The Lebanese army freed on
Monday a priest from his captors a day after he was abducted in the Bekaa, the
state-run National News Agency reported. According to the NNA, Priest Rami al-Qazzi
was freed by a military unit after being kidnapped by unknown assailants on
Sunday. The priest was reportedly heading to Deir al-Ahmar from Tabarja. The
abductors contacted Mansour, the brother of al-Qazzi, at 7:00 p.m. on Sunday
informing him that “Rami is in their captivity in Syria.”
Gemayel Calls for Formation of Cabinet Capable of
Overseeing Constitutional Deadlines
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/Phalange Party leader MP Amin Gemayel called
on Monday for the formation of a cabinet capable of confronting all the
constitutional deadlines in the country and overseeing the upcoming presidential
elections.“Three upcoming deadlines will decide the fate of Lebanon,” Gemayel
said after talks with Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi at Bkirki. “It is
essential for us to find common grounds and offer compromises as the country
demands us to take courageous and responsible stances.”Suleiman's tenure ends in
May 2014. The cabinet formation process was put on the front burner after
Speaker Nabih Berri proposed a revised 8-8-8 government formula and President
Michel Suleiman said he would form a so-called neutral cabinet if the political
rivals don't agree on an all-embracing government within ten days. Amid the
Lebanese Forces' rejection of Hizbullah's participation in the cabinet, the
March 14 camp has reportedly accepted the 8-8-8 formula in principle, but it is
awaiting answers pertaining to the ministerial policy statement and the rotation
of portfolios among political parties.The 8-8-8 formula divides ministers
equally between the centrists and March 14 and 8 alliances, in which each get
eight ministers with “decisive ministers” for the March 14 and 8 coalitions.
Gemayel pointed out that talks with al-Rahi focused on coordinating the best
ways to end the current situation in the country. “All sides are being flexible
regarding the cabinet formation process,” he said. Asked about the start of the
STL sessions last week in a suburb outside The Hague nine years after the huge
Beirut blast that killed ex-Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, Gemayel expressed hope
that the assassination of his son Pierre would be included in the Special
Tribunal for Lebanon.Pierre was assassinated in 2006 in broad daylight while
passing through the Beirut neighborhood of Jdeideh.
Aoun Describes Hariri's Stance Concerning Cabinet as 'Brave'
Naharnet Newsdesk 20 January 2014/Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun
hailed on Monday ex-Prime Minister Saad Hariri's stance regarding the cabinet
formation process, describing it as “brave.”
“Hariri's stance facilitates the formation of the new cabinet and is a
foundation for also forming a new parliament,” Aoun said. On Friday, head of al-Mustaqbal
movement Hariri announced that he is showing positivity in the cabinet formation
process and noted that Hizbullah is a political party that is leading a “big
coalition.”A stance that was praised by various political parties. Aoun pointed
out that “there's no specified timeframe to form a new cabinet.”However, he
stressed that obstacles have demolished and consultations are currently focusing
on specifying its structure. The cabinet formation process was put on the front
burner after Speaker Nabih Berri proposed a revised 8-8-8 government formula and
President Michel Suleiman said he would form a so-called neutral cabinet if the
political rivals don't agree on an all-embracing government within ten days.
Amid the Lebanese Forces' rejection of Hizbullah's participation in the cabinet,
the March 14 camp has reportedly accepted the 8-8-8 formula in principle, but it
is awaiting answers pertaining to the ministerial policy statement and the
rotation of portfolios among political parties. The 8-8-8 formula divides
ministers equally between the centrists and March 14 and 8 alliances, in which
each get eight ministers with “decisive ministers” for the March 14 and 8
coalitions.
Syria's Assad: Hariri trial tool to
'pressure Hezbollah'
January 20, 2014/Agence France Presse
DAMASCUS: Syria's President Bashar Assad, in an exclusive interview with AFP,
has accused the court trying four suspects in the assassination of Lebanon's
former premier of being "politicized" and aimed at pressuring his ally
Hezbollah. "Nine years have passed since the beginning of this trial. Has
justice been served? Every accusation was made for political reasons," he said
on Sunday, days after the Special Tribunal for Lebanon began hearing evidence in
the 2005 killing of Rafiq Hariri."We have not seen any tangible proof put
forward against the parties involved in the case," added Assad, whose regime
came under suspicion in the killing, along with Lebanon's powerful Shiite group.
"The real question should be: why the timing? Why now? This court was set up
nine years ago," he added. "I believe that the whole thing is politicized and is
intended to put pressure on Hezbollah in Lebanon in the same way that it aimed
at putting pressure on Syria in the beginning, immediately after al-Hariri's
assassination," he said. Hariri was killed in a massive car bombing in Beirut in
February 2005. His supporters accused both Syria and Hezbollah of carrying out
the attack, which also killed 21 others. Four members of the group are on trial
in absentia for the killing before the special UN-backed court in The Hague,
which has taken years to gather evidence and begin hearing the case. Anger over
Syria's alleged involvement in Hariri's death erupted into popular
demonstrations in Lebanon that forced Damascus to withdraw its troops from the
country after nearly 30 years. Hezbollah has dismissed the court as a political
tool for the United States and Israel, and refused to turn over its members for
trial. The group is a key ally of the Damascus regime and has dispatched
fighters to battle alongside Syrian troops against a rebel uprising.
Assad expects to run again, rejects power deal
January 20, 2014/By Rana Moussaoui, Sammy Ketz/Agence France Presse
DAMASCUS: Syria's President Bashar al-Assad said there is a "significant" chance
he will seek a new term and ruled out sharing power with the opposition seeking
his ouster, in an exclusive interview with AFP before the Geneva II peace talks.
Speaking on Sunday at his presidential palace in Damascus, Assad said he
expected Syria's war to grind on. And he called for the talks scheduled to begin
on Wednesday in Montreux in Switzerland to focus on what he termed his "war
against terrorism". "I see no reason why I shouldn't stand," he said of
presidential elections in June. If there is "public opinion in favour of my
candidacy, I will not hesitate for a second to run for election". "In short, we
can say that the chances for my candidacy are significant." Assad appeared at
ease, wearing a navy blue suit and smiling regularly throughout the 45-minute
interview. He answered the first three questions on camera, and an AFP
photographer was able to take pictures. He spoke from the plush surroundings of
the Palace of the People on a Damascus hillside, but said he neither lives nor
works in the building, finding it too large, preferring his office or home.
Assad, 48, came to power in 2000 after the death of his father Hafez, who ruled
for nearly 30 years. He was elected in a referendum after his father's death and
won another seven-year term in July 2007. Assad dismissed the opposition, which
says it will attend the peace talks, as having been "created" by foreign
backers. "It is clear to everyone that some of the groups which might attend the
conference didn't exist until very recently," he said. "They were created during
the crisis by foreign intelligence agencies whether in Qatar, Saudi Arabia,
France, the United States or other countries."
"When we sit down with these groups, we are in fact negotiating with those
countries," Assad said. Opposition representation in government would mean "the
participation of each of those states in the Syrian government," he added. He
mocked the Syrian opposition leaders, who are based abroad. "Last year, they
claimed that they had control of 70 percent of Syria, yet they didn't even dare
to come to the areas that they had supposed control of," he said. They "come to
the border for a 30-minute photo opportunity and then they flee. How can they be
ministers in the government?" "These propositions are totally unrealistic, but
they do make a good joke!"The peace talks are meant to build on the Geneva I
accord, which called for a transitional government but made no mention of
Assad's departure.
The discussions are backed by both the United States, which supports the rebels,
and Russia, a staunch Assad ally.
Syria's conflict began in March 2011, with peaceful protests that spiralled into
an armed uprising after a brutal regime crackdown.
Assad said his forces were "making progress".
"This doesn't mean that victory is near at hand; these kinds of battles are
complicated, difficult and they need a lot of time."
"But when you're defending your country, it's obvious that the only choice is to
win," added Assad, who deems all those who oppose his regime "terrorists".
"This battle is not..., as Western propaganda portrays, a popular uprising
against a regime suppressing its people and a revolution calling for democracy
and freedom," he said.
"A popular revolution doesn't last for three years only to fail. Moreover, a
national revolution cannot have a foreign agenda."
Assad warned of the consequences if his government lost the war. "Should Syria
lose this battle, that would mean the spread of chaos throughout the Middle
East."
He rejected any distinction between the rebels and radical jihadists, despite a
recent backlash by the armed opposition against the Al-Qaeda-inspired Islamic
State of Iraq and the Levant. "Regardless of the labels you read in the Western
media, we are now fighting one extremist terrorist group comprising various
factions," he said.
Assad said this should be the primary focus of the peace talks.
"The Geneva conference should produce clear results with regard to the fight
against terrorism in Syria," he said.
"This is the most important decision or result that the Geneva conference could
produce. Any political solution that is reached without fighting terrorism has
no value."
Assad also said localised ceasefires, which have happened in areas around the
capital, could "be more important than Geneva". And he insisted that he had not
considered leaving Damascus, where he lives with his wife Asma and their three
children. "Fleeing is not an option in these circumstances. I must be at the
forefront of those defending this country and this has been the case from day
one."
Despite reports of war crimes by both Syrian forces and rebels, Assad said his
troops had never massacred civilians.
"These organisations do not have a single document to prove that the Syrian
government has committed a massacre against civilians anywhere," he said,
accusing rebels of "killing civilians everywhere". "The army does not shell
neighbourhoods. The army strikes areas where there are terrorists."
But, he added, "there is no such thing as a clean war in which there are no
innocent civilian victims".
'Why are there such evil people?' Assad defended the role of Lebanon's Hezbollah
movement, whose fighters are battling alongside his troops, noting that
combatants from around the world had joined the opposition.
But he said the withdrawal of all foreign fighters was "one element of the
solution in Syria".
Despite his diplomatic isolation, Assad confirmed that Western intelligence
agencies had reached out to his government on the issue of counter-terrorism.
"There have been meetings with several intelligence agencies from a number of
countries," he said.
But he added that Syria rejected security or political cooperation with
countries that have "anti-Syrian policies".
In particular, he accused France of becoming a "proxy state" for Qatar and Saudi
Arabia. All three are key rebel backers.
He also said many aspects of his life were unchanged.
"I go to work as usual, and we live in the same house as before." But Assad
added that his children, like other Syrian children, asked difficult questions.
"Why are there such evil people? Why are there victims? It's not easy to explain
these things to children," he said.
UN's last-minute Iran invitation throws Syria talks into
doubt
January 20, 2014/Daily Star/UNITED NATIONS/ANKARA: An unexpected
last-minute U.N. invitation for Iran to a peace conference on Syria threw the
talks into doubt on Monday, with Washington demanding Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon
withdraw his offer and the Syrian opposition threatening to pull out. Iran is
the main foreign backer of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and its presence has
been one of the most contentious issues looming over the first talks to be
attended by both Assad's government and opponents. The talks are set to start on
Wednesday in Switzerland but diplomats said the entire conference was now in
jeopardy.
"Is Geneva going to happen? That is the question we can't answer at the moment,"
a Western diplomat said. After the clamourous response to his invitation, Ban
said "intensive and urgent" discussions were under way.
Adding to dark clouds, Assad said he might seek re-election this year,
effectively dismissing any talk of negotiating his departure from power, his
enemies' main demand.
The West and the Syrian opposition have long said Iran must be barred from the
conference unless it first accepts an accord reached in Geneva in 2012 calling
for a transitional government for Syria, which they see as a step towards
unseating Assad. Ban said he had issued the invitation after Iran's foreign
minister assured him Tehran accepted the earlier accord. But Iran said it had
done no such thing and had accepted Ban's invitation "without pre-conditions" -
the phrase it has long used to spurn the earlier accord. That put Western
countries on a collision course with the United Nations: "If Iran does not fully
and publicly accept the Geneva communique, the invitation must be rescinded,"
U.S. State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said in a statement. Syria's main
political opposition in exile - the National Coalition, which agreed to attend
the conference known as Geneva 2 only two days ago - said it would announce it
was withdrawing from the talks unless Ban revoked his invitation within hours.
"We are giving a deadline of 1900 GMT for the invitation to be withdrawn," Anas
Abdah, a member of the National Coalition's political committee, told Reuters.
Ban said his invitation was based on an assurance from Foreign Minister Mohammad
Javad Zarif that " Iran understands that the basis for the talks is the full
implementation of the 30 June 2012 Geneva communique". But Iran's deputy foreign
minister Hosein Amirabdollahian appeared to contradict him.
"Setting such a condition to accept the Geneva 1 agreement for attending the
Geneva 2 meeting is rejected and unacceptable," the INSA news agency quoted him
as saying. " Iran will attend the talks without any pre-condition, based on an
invitation by U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon." Russia, which has long
lobbied for Iran to attend and criticised the opposition and the West for
opposing Tehran's presence, said there was no point in a conference without it.
"Not to ensure that all those who may directly influence the situation are
present would, I think, be an unforgivable mistake," Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov said.
Saudi Arabia, Iran's regional foe and the rebels' main sponsor, said Iran should
not be permitted to attend because it had troops on the ground aiding Assad.
However, it stopped short of saying it would not go or urging the opposition to
stay away. The conference had already appeared doomed, with virtually no chance
of achieving a breakthrough to end a war that has killed at least 130,000
people. A quarter of Syrians have been driven from their homes and half are
dependent on aid, many living in areas where they cannot be helped. Western
countries and the opposition say the 2012 accord promoting a transitional
governing body means Assad must leave power, and no deal is possible unless he
goes. But that fundamental demand, always difficult to achieve, is far less
realistic now after a year that saw Assad's position improve both on the
battlefield and in the diplomatic arena.
His forces recovered ground, rebels turned against one another and Washington
abandoned plans for air strikes, ending two years of speculation that the West
might join the war against him as it did against Libya's Muammar Gaddafi in
2011. In an interview on Monday with news agency AFP, Assad declared that he was
likely to run for re-election later this year, making clear that his removal was
not up for discussion.
"I see no reason why I shouldn't stand," Assad said. "If there is public desire
and a public opinion in favour of my candidacy, I will not hesitate for a second
to run for election."
He ruled out accepting opposition figures as ministers in his government, saying
that was "not realistic" and said the Swiss talks should aim to "fight
terrorism" - his blanket term for his armed opponents.
A powerful alliance of Islamist rebel groups has denounced the Switzerland talks
and refused to attend. Even securing the attendance of the main political
opposition National Coalition was a fraught affair, with many groups voting not
to go. Syria is now divided, with mainly Sunni Muslim rebels controlling the
north and east, Kurds controlling the northeast and Assad's forces, led by
members of his Alawite minority sect, controlling Damascus and the coast.
Western leaders who have been calling for Assad to leave power for three years
have curbed their support for his opponents over the past year because of the
rise of Islamists linked to al Qaeda in the rebel ranks.
The al Qaeda-linked Islamic State in Iraq in and Greater Syria, which fought
battles with other groups and controls the town of Raqqa, imposed sweeping
restrictions on personal freedoms in recent days, banning music and images of
people. No faction has the muscle to win a decisive victory on the ground. Rich
Sunni Arab states led by Saudi Arabia are funding and arming the rebels, while
Iran and its Lebanese Shi'ite allies Hezbollah back Assad. Violence is spreading
into neighbouring Iraq and Lebanon, and a humanitarian catastrophe is worsening
for the millions of Syrians forced from their homes.
Syria is one of the biggest issues dividing Tehran from the West at a time when
relations marked by decades of hostility have otherwise started to thaw with the
election of comparatively moderate president Hassan Rouhani in Tehran. Global
powers agreed in November to ease U.S. and EU sanctions on Iran in return for
curbs to its nuclear programme, but the thaw has so far had little impact on
Syria diplomacy.
Netanyahu pours cold water on interim nuclear agreement on
its first day
By HERB KEINON/LAST UPDATED: 01/20/2014/The Iranian interim
agreement that went into effect on Monday does not prevent Iran from
implementing its intentions to create nuclear weapons, Prime Minister Netanyahu
said in the Knesset. Netanyahu, in a speech welcoming visiting Canadian Prime
Minister Stephen Harper to the Knesset on Monday, said that the international
community's goal – one that has not yet been achieved -- must be stopping the
Iranians from gaining the capacity to build a nuclear weapon. The prime minister
likened the manufacturing of the fissile material needed to make a bomb to a
train that must pass through three stops: the first stop of enriching uranium to
3.5 percent, the second stop of enriching uranium to 20 percent, and the final
step of enriching uranium to 90 percent.
"The agreement in Geneva did away with the 20% stop, but left the train on its
track and enables Iran to upgrade the locomotive by developing new centrifuges,
so that when the day comes it can leap in a very short time to the final stop on
an express track without stopping at an intermediary stop," he said. The final
agreement that the world powers negotiates with Iran must take the "Iranian
nuclear train off the tracks," Netanyahu said, adding that Iran must not be
allowed to have the capability to manufacture a bomb. Netanyahu also said that
the international community should be demanding of Iran – at a time when it is
relieving sanctions and giving Teheran legitimization – that it end its calls
for the destruction of Israel, and the arming of terrorist groups such as Hamas,
Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad.
Harper also addressed Iran, saying that Canada has long held the view that every
diplomatic step needed to be taken to keep the Iranians from a bomb, and as a
result Ottawa appreciated the efforts of the world powers to find a diplomatic
solution. Harper said he hoped it would be possible to "walk the Iranian
government back from taking the irreversible step of manufacturing nuclear
weapons. But, for now, Canada’s own sanctions will remain fully in place. And
should our hopes not be realized, should the present agreement prove ephemeral,
Canada will be a strong voice for renewed sanctions."
Iran halts higher-grade uranium
enrichment: IAEA report
By Fredrik Dahl | Reuters – VIENNA (Reuters) - Iran has halted its most disputed
nuclear activity under a ground-breaking deal with six world powers, a
confidential U.N. atomic agency report obtained by Reuters showed, paving the
way for the easing of some Western sanctions against Tehran. The report by the
International Atomic Energy Agency also said Iran had begun diluting its
stockpile of uranium enriched to the fissile concentration of 20 percent - a
level that took it closer to the capability of producing fuel for an atom bomb.
Iran was also continuing to convert some of this reserve into oxide for
producing reactor fuel, the IAEA said, making the material less suitable for any
attempt to manufacture bombs. Iran says its nuclear program is entirely
peaceful. The IAEA will play a pivotal role in checking that Iran lives up to
its part of the interim accord by curbing uranium enrichment in exchange for
some relaxation of international sanctions that are severely damaging its
oil-dependent economy. It has had one to two teams of two inspectors each on the
ground in Iran virtually every day of the year to check there is no diversion of
nuclear materials, but that number will now increase significantly. The
inspection presence in Iran will "roughly double" in order to monitor the
implementation of Tehran's agreement with the powers, chief IAEA inspector Tero
Varjoranta said. Confirming a Reuters report on Friday, he told reporters the
IAEA's extra workload would cost around 6 million euros, much of which will need
to be funded by IAEA member states.
Varjoranta, IAEA deputy director general for safeguards, said the U.N. agency's
work to verify that Iran had carried out the agreed steps on Monday went "very
well ... we could do our work in a very effective manner".
Iran's envoy to the IAEA, Reza Najafi, said there had been a "good start" and
that Tehran was looking forward to the powers easing sanctions on the Islamic
Republic.
The IAEA report to member states said: "The Agency confirms that, as of 20
January 2014, Iran ... has ceased enriching uranium above 5 percent U-235 at the
two cascades at the Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant (PFEP) and four cascades at the
Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) previously used for this purpose." It was
referring to the Iran's two enrichment plants, at Natanz and Fordow. Cascades
are interlinked networks of centrifuge machines that refine uranium. Iran has
been enriching uranium to 20 percent concentration of the fissile U-235 isotope
since early 2010, stoking Western alarm over the nature of its nuclear program.
While that activity has now stopped, it will continue to produce lower-level
uranium with an enrichment level of up to 5 percent under the nuclear agreement
with the six world powers - the United States, France, Britain, Germany, China
and Russia.
NO ARAK "ADVANCES"
The IAEA report also listed other measures Iran had agreed to take under the
six-month accord. Those included an undertaking that it would not build any more
enrichment sites during the next half year, when Iran and the powers will seek
to negotiate a final settlement of Tehran's decade-old nuclear stand-off with
the powers. Enriched uranium can have both military and civilian purposes. Iran
denies Western allegations that it has been seeking to develop the capability to
make nuclear bombs, saying it wants only to generate electricity from
enrichment. The IAEA report also said Iran was, as of January 20, not
"conducting any further advances" to its activities at the Arak heavy water
research reactor, a plant under construction that could yield plutonium as an
alternative fuel for atomic bombs once it is operational. Iran denies any such
goal. In a January 18 letter to the Vienna-based IAEA, Iran had enclosed
information on centrifuge assembly workshops, storage facilities and centrifuge
rotor production workshops, the report added.
"The Agency and Iran have also agreed on arrangements for increased access by
agency inspectors to the nuclear facilities at Natanz and Fordow, including in
relation to weekends and holidays in Iran," the IAEA said.
(Editing by Mark Heinrich)
West, Iran activate landmark nuclear
deal
By Fredrik Dahl and Justyna Pawlak/VIENNA/BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Iran has halted
its most sensitive nuclear operations under a preliminary deal with world
powers, winning some relief from economic sanctions on Monday in a
ground-breaking exchange that could ease a threat of war. The United States and
European Union both suspended some trade and other restrictions against the OPEC
oil producer after the United Nations' nuclear watchdog confirmed that Iran had
fulfilled its side of an agreement made on November 24. The announcements, which
coincided with a diplomatic row over Iran's role at peace talks on Syria
[ID:nL5N0KU1X2], will allow six months of negotiation on a definitive accord
that the West hopes can end fears of Tehran developing nuclear weapons and Iran
wants to end sanctions that are crippling its economy. Iranian officials hailed
a warming of ties that will also see their new president make a pitch to
international business leaders at Davos later this week: "The iceberg of
sanctions against Iran is melting," the head of Iran's Atomic Energy
Organisation, Ali Akbar Salehi, told Iranian state television. Iran should be
able to recover $4.2 billion in oil revenues frozen in foreign accounts over the
six months of the interim deal, as well as resume trade in petrochemicals and
gold and other precious metals. But EU and U.S. officials stressed that other
sanctions will still be enforced during the six months of talks and that
reaching a final accord will be difficult. Israel, which has called the interim
pact a "historic mistake" and has repeatedly warned it might attack Iran to
prevent it developing nuclear arms, said any final deal must end any prospect of
Tehran building an atomic bomb - something Iran insists it has never had any
intention of doing. The interim accord was the culmination of years of on-off
diplomacy between Iran and six powers - the United States, Russia, China,
Britain, France and Germany. It marks the first time in a decade that Tehran has
limited nuclear operations that it says are aimed mainly at generating
electricity and the first time the West has eased its economic pressure on Iran.
TALKS AHEAD
"This is an important first step," said EU foreign policy chief Catherine
Ashton. "But more work will be needed to fully address the international
community's concerns regarding the exclusively peaceful nature of the Iranian
nuclear program." Ashton, who coordinates diplomatic contacts with Iran on
behalf of the six world powers, said she expected talks on the final settlement
to start in February. U.S. State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said those
negotiations would be "even more complex" and added: "We go into it clear-eyed
about the difficulties ahead." A White House spokesman said the "aggressive
enforcement" of the remaining sanctions would continue.
A senior U.S. official said: "This temporary relief will not fix the Iranian
economy. It will not come close. "Iran is not and will not be open for business
until it reaches a comprehensive agreement."President Barack Obama's
administration faces opposition to the easing of sanctions from Israel and from
some members of Congress who have threatened to tighten some restrictions.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told parliament the temporary pact
fell short of preventing Iran from working on nuclear arms. He said: "In the
final deal, the international community must get the Iranian nuclear train off
the track. Iran must not have the capability to produce atomic bombs." Israel,
assumed to be the only nuclear power in the Middle East, has been discomfited by
U.S. detente with Iran since the election last year of President Hassan Rouhani,
a relative moderate. He is expected to court global business this week at the
World Economic Forum in Davos. The deal took months of secret negotiations
between Washington and Tehran and marks a new thaw in relations that have been
generally hostile since the 1979 Islamic revolution.
IAEA
Under the interim deal, Iran agreed to suspend enrichment of uranium to a
fissile concentration of 20 percent, a short technical step away from the level
needed for nuclear weapons. It also has to dilute or convert its stockpile of
this higher-grade uranium, and cease work on the Arak heavy water reactor, which
could provide plutonium, an alternative to uranium for bombs. The IAEA said
Tehran had begun the dilution process and that enrichment of uranium to 20
percent had been stopped at the two facilities where such work is done. "The
Agency confirms that, as of January 20, 2014, Iran ... has ceased enriching
uranium above 5 percent U-235 at the two cascades at the Pilot Fuel Enrichment
Plant (PFEP) and four cascades at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP)
previously used for this purpose," its report to member states said. It was
referring to Iran's two enrichment plants, at Natanz and Fordow. Cascades are
linked networks of centrifuge machines that spin uranium gas to increase the
concentration of U-235, the isotope used in nuclear fission chain reactions,
which is found in nature at concentrations of less than 1 percent. The U.S.
government estimates the value to Iran of sanctions relief at about $7 billion
in total, although some diplomats say much will depend on the extent to which
Western companies will now seek to re-enter the Iranian market.
DOUBTS
Analysts said much was still unclear about how world powers could achieve their
goal of ensuring Iran cannot, secretly or otherwise, develop the capability to
build a nuclear weapon.
Mark Dubowitz, head of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington
and a proponent of tough sanctions on Iran, said that by providing short-term
economic relief, the West was losing future bargaining power with Tehran. "The
interim deal does nothing over the next 12 months to prevent Iran from
proceeding with the nuclear-weapon and ballistic-missile research that are the
keys to a deliverable nuclear weapon," he said. "Ahead of final negotiations,
Tehran will be in a stronger position to block peaceful Western efforts to
dismantle its military-nuclear program."
The U.N. nuclear watchdog will play a key role in checking that Iran implements
the deal, but its increased access falls short of what it says it needs to
investigate suspicions that Tehran may have worked on designing an atomic bomb
in the past. "The accord gives the powers and Iran plenty of flexibility in
going about reducing Iran's nuclear threat to a level the world will accept,"
said Mark Hibbs of the Carnegie Endowment. "But it hasn't spelled out how they
will work with the IAEA to resolve allegations Iran has been working on nuclear
weapons." (Additional reporting by Parisa Hafezi in Ankara, Lesley Wroughton,
Jeff Mason and Steve Holland in Washingon, Adrian Croft in Brussels and Maayan
Lubell in Jerusalem; Writing by Justyna Pawlak; Editing by Peter Graff and
Alastair Macdonald)
Egypt Prepares to Move Forward
By Walid Phares/© 2014 Newsmax.
A miracle on the Nile has been accomplished this week. Tens of millions of
Egyptian citizens from all walks of life, Muslims and Christians, conservatives
and liberals, seculars and religious, young and old, and in some instances,
healthy and sick, have come out to cast a vote in the referendum of the century:
either to say yes to new moderate constitution, relatively democratic, or to say
no and revert to an Islamist constitution adopted by the previous Muslim
Brotherhood regime.
Most likely, an overwhelming majority of voters will chose to move away from the
2012 Islamist regime of Mohammed Morsi and select a more liberating draft, one
that reinforces fundamental rights to women and minorities. The referendum will
seal a popular uprising that exploded almost a year ago, and culminated in two
gigantic peaceful demonstrations last summer against the political oppression of
the Ikhwan regime.
In short, we are finally witnessing a real democratic revolution emerging in the
largest Arab Muslim majority country in the world. As I predicted in my book,
"The Coming Revolution," published before the Arab Spring, the first unorganized
wave of protests against authoritarianism would unsettle dictators only to open
the door to allow very well organized Islamists to seize power, albeit by
elections. But soon enough thereafter, as we are seeing in Egypt and Tunisia, a
third wave, more conscious of the totalitarian goals of the fundamentalists and
better organized as civil societies, will topple the nascent Islamist regimes
before they take root.
This wave will redirect the countries back toward the initial dreams of the Arab
Spring. Few in the West are catching the nuances of this three stage evolution
of the uprisings. One major reason behind that inability to understand the
immensely positive news coming out of the Nile Valley is the coordinated and
powerful push back against the anti-Brotherhood revolution, funded by
petrodollars and unfortunately disseminated by large segments of specialized
Western academia and mainstream media.
Indeed, most of the American foreign policy establishment, in and outside
government, has taken a friendly attitude toward the Muslim Brotherhood since
the start of the Arab Spring for a variety of reasons, the central one being the
immense influence the Islamists enjoy and have enjoyed within the Middle East
studies circles in North America for decades.
It is natural that when the Muslim Brotherhood finally seized power in the
region, and in Egypt, their sympathizers would praise them and criticize their
opponents in the West.
Even after tens of millions of Egyptians rose against the Ikwan regime,
apologists in U.S. media relentlessly described the Islamists as moderates and
the masses as hysterically pro-military. Egypt’s civil society revolution, if
anything, broke the myth of a balanced and fair Western press.
But the most worrisome in Western Muslim Brotherhood apologia is the extent to
which it went to cover for the Islamists and smear the silent majorities of the
region. The apologists, while hesitantly admitting that Morsi’s regime
“displayed mistakes,” criticized the masses of Egypt for provoking a regime
change.
The critics argued that Egypt’s opposition should have waited for the next
election and sought to win them. This hypocritical argument did not inform the
Western public of the real threat to democracy in Egypt.
The Muslim Brotherhood have hijacked the mechanism that oversees the elections
in a way that ensures no future elections would have ever brought back an
opposition to power via the Islamist institutions. Such control is similar to
what happened in Iran and was also the case in the Soviet Union.
It is true that Morsi came to power via democratic elections, which some argue
he had rigged, but regardless of that charge, he nevertheless transformed the
country in a fascist state, reminiscent of Adolf Hitler and Benito Mussolini in
the 1930s: elected almost-democratically, but ruled undemocratically.
In such a situation, the Egyptian people acted better than peoples in any other
nation in the world. They went by the book and achieved a miracle on the Nile.
In June, a petition to recall Morsi gathered 22 million signatures, the largest
in the Arab world. The Islamist dictator resumed his authoritarian actions and
unleashed his brown shirts on demonstrators. The army did not budge.
On June 30, 33 million citizens from all walks of life marched peacefully in
Cairo and other cities demanding Morsi’s resignation. Normally, when an
overwhelming popular majority demands recall, chief executives resign and call
for new elections. Instead, in a speech in response to the recall, Morsi
declared jihad, opening the path for regime sponsored terror against his own
people. It was at that time that the armed forces, led by General Abdelfattah el
Sisee, asked the president, who had turned to violence, to refrain and find a
solution with the opposition—but to no avail.
The popular revolution, defending itself against a violent, even if elected,
president wanted him out, wanted the armed forces to organize the interim
government and commit to a referendum followed by legislative and presidential
elections.
The Muslim Brotherhood unveiled their masks by transforming their movement, once
removed from power, to a massive armed insurgency while al Qaeda linked
Jihadists went on a rampage in the Sinai. The Ikhwan shredded their own
legitimacy when they leaped to terror, exactly as did the national socialists
and fascists of Europe when they destroyed their own legitimacy when they
submitted their voters and citizens to bloodshed. Egyptians moved courageously,
step by step, to form an interim government, create a constitutional committee,
fight the Jihadists in Sinai, and resist the Brotherhood urban violence across
the country.
No military regime was established—though the army was capable of having
generals directly rule the country. Egypt has passed the era of military coups
and regimes, despite the accusations by pro-Ikhwan elites in the West.
The latest stage in Egypt’s march towards the real Spring was the first fully
democratic referendum in the modern history of the Arab world.
Fifty three million voters participated in the constitutional exercise that
uprooted any legitimacy to the Muslim Brotherhood’s claims of being elected.
Three to four times more Egyptians voted against the Islamist constitution than
all the Morsi voters, which included those who voted for him simply as a protest
against Mubarak.
The Egyptian people are finished with the Ikhwan for good, legally, politically
and morally, even if the sympathizers of the fundamentalists are still loud in
the West. The country is marching firmly towards the future. They will have
legislative elections and then a presidential election and will certainly have
lots of problems, all characteristic of a new Arab democracy working its way
toward becoming a Mediterranean democracy, somewhere between Turkey and Spain —
two countries with comparable military and Islamist pasts.
As the referendum has reinforced Egypt's new legitimacy with undeniable and
unprecedented numbers of voters, most of Western media remains bias to the
Muslim Brotherhood.
Tera Dahlt, a U.S. congressional fellow who has monitored the referendum told
Mohammed Fawzi in an interview in al Balad that "Western press is barely
mentioning the Ikhwan terror before and during the consultation and that the New
York Times and the Washington Post are not reporting on facts anymore but on
behalf of the Brotherhood."
Egyptians seems to move in one direction, against the jihadi terrorists and into
the next stages of elections, and the U.S. establishment seems to have stayed
behind, on the side of the Islamists.
What the public needs to understand is that a miracle took place on the Nile. An
Islamist regime on its way to becoming a Taliban-like power was unsettled by a
peaceful popular revolution. There will be debates about the role of the
military, the future of the Brotherhood, and the social disparities in the
country. But none of these issues can overshadow the fact that a Middle Eastern
people rose successfully against totalitarianism with non-violent means, that a
silent majority spoke loudly, and that democracy has claimed a major victory —
sadly against the goals of current U.S. policy.
President Obama's speech in Cairo in 2009, instead of partnering with the forces
of civil society then, emboldened the Ikhwan to raise their perceived caliphate.
Egypt's people seem to have moved into the opposite direction in 2014.
Washington owes them a new speech.
**Dr. Walid Phares is the author of "The Coming Revolution: Struggle for Freedom
in the Middle East," which in 2010 predicted the Arab Spring revolution. He
serves as a Co-Secretary General of the Transatlantic Parliamentary Group on
Counterterrorism.
© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.
Bandar bin Sultan's Botched Syrian Intervention Dateline
By: Hilal Khashan/Middle East Quarterly
http://www.meforum.org/3683/bandar-bin-sultan-syria
Be the first of your friends to like this.
In an untypically abrasive speech, Saudi King Abdullah welcomed the ouster of
Egypt's president Muhammad Morsi, stating: "Let the entire world know that the
people and government of the Saudi kingdom stood and still stand today with our
brothers in Egypt against terrorism, extremism, and sedition."[1] However
dramatic, this apparent shift from Riyadh's traditional accommodation of
perceived enemies, such as the Muslim Brotherhood and its regional affiliates,
to a more daring foreign policy is too little too late to reverse the decline of
its regional power. And nowhere was this weakness more starkly demonstrated than
in Riyadh's botched Syrian intervention, led by its most celebrated
diplomat—Prince Bandar bin Sultan.
A Broken Tradition of Cooptation
The foundations of Saudi foreign policy were laid under historical circumstances
that were completely different from today's political situation. From the 1930s
to the early 1950s, Western presence in the Middle East was quite strong with
the region enjoying geopolitical homeostasis. The rise of radical regimes in
Egypt, Syria, and Iraq, coupled with Moscow's growing involvement in the region,
did not seem to threaten Riyadh's domestic and international stance, and the
intensifying U.S.-Saudi relations, cemented by mutual commitment to combating
communism, steered the kingdom through the region's periodic upheavals well into
the late 1970s.
Saudi King Abdullah (l) meets with President Obama in Washington, June 29, 2010.
Riyadh has been openly critical of U.S. policy in the Middle East and has sent
unmistakable signals of its displeasure. Most Saudis worry that a vacillating
and unserious commander-in-chief in Washington may leave them twisting in the
region's political winds.
This self-assurance played a central role in the Saudi royal family's
nonconfrontational approach and its preference for quiet diplomacy.[2] Military
weakness, equilibrium, and calming situations were seemingly the three pillars
of Riyadh's foreign policy orientation. The royals ruled out asserting the
kingdom as a military power and, thanks to oil wealth and religious
significance, chose to make it a cornerstone of the regional balance of
interests.[3]
The Iranian revolution and subsequent regional developments, notably the Iraqi
invasion of Kuwait in 1990 and the recent Arab upheavals, undermined this
delicate balance of interests and made Riyadh's accommodative policy
increasingly untenable. Things came to a head during the 2011 Shiite uprising in
Bahrain, which the Saudis feared might spread to their own territory. Having
helped to quell the restiveness in the tiny neighboring kingdom, Abdullah
enlisted the services of Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the former veteran ambassador
to Washington, to take Saudi foreign policy in a more assertive direction.
The Prince of Sensitive Missions
Son of the late Saudi crown prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (d. 2011),
Bandar began his political career in 1978 as King Khaled's personal envoy to
Washington bypassing Ambassador Faisal al-Hegelan.[4] He quickly impressed
President Jimmy Carter by enlisting the support of Sen. James Abourezk
(Democrat, S. Dakota) in the toss-up vote on the Panama Canal treaty, and his
subtle diplomacy paved the way for Congress to pass the Saudi F-15 package
shortly thereafter.[5] In 1986, Bandar entered the limelight as a result of his
involvement in the Iran-Contra scandal and, four years later, played an
instrumental role in convincing hesitant Saudi royals to invite U.S. troops into
the kingdom to cope with the consequences of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. Since
then, he has served as a vital liaison between Washington and Riyadh. In 2005,
upon the completion of Bandar's 22-year stint in Washington, King Abdullah
appointed him to lead the country's National Security Council.
Bandar's advice was sought in large part due to the mounting evidence that
implicated Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah in the assassination of former Lebanese
prime minister, Rafiq Hariri, Riyadh's ally in Beirut. Following the July 2006
war between Israel and Hezbollah and the latter's crippling of the Fouad Seniora
government, Bandar convinced Abdullah to invest in creating a Sunni militia to
operate under the command of Hariri's son Saad. This fateful but ill-studied
decision undermined Bandar's credibility when, in 2008, Hezbollah's militiamen
stormed west Beirut and effortlessly dismantled Saad's militia in a matter of
hours. Bandar had evidently failed to appreciate the strength of Hezbollah or
the ineptitude of Hariri's leadership.
The Saudi royal family is seriously concerned about the turn of events in the
region and the possibility of demands for political reform such changes might
initiate. With more than two-thirds of its tribally and religiously
heterogeneous population alien to the austere Wahhabi doctrine,[6] there is very
little in common between the Najd-originated ruling Wahhabi dynasty and its
Shiite subjects in the oil-rich eastern province or Shafii and Maliki Sunni
Muslims in Hijaz. Likewise, the kingdom's southern subjects mostly belong to
Yemeni tribes where Shiite Ismailis and Zaydis proliferate.
Nevertheless, this failure did not deter Abdullah from calling on Bandar again
in July 2012 to head the Saudi intelligence apparatus. The Saudi king had
already become disturbed about the course of events in Syria and Bashar Assad's
refusal to leave office. He may have thought that Bandar, who knew how to deal
with Saddam Hussein, could work some magic with Bashar. In turn, mindful of
Bandar's deep unease with regional Shiite ascendancy, Tehran's state-controlled
media dubbed him the "prince of terrorists."[7]
President George W. Bush meets with Saudi ambassador to the U.S., Prince Bandar
bin Sultan (r), at the Bush ranch, August 27, 2002, in Crawford, Texas. Many
Americans noted at the time the seeming supplicant position of their president.
In 2005, King Abdullah appointed Bandar to lead the Saudi national security
council.
U.S. Indifference and the Iranian Surge
For years, the Saudis sought to accommodate Iran and Syria to no avail. They
even coerced Saad Hariri to swallow his pride and forgo the truth about his
father's assassins, forcing him to announce that "he had made a mistake in
blaming Syria for his father's killing."[8] Yet Saudi concessions did not
placate Tehran and Damascus for long: From the beginning of the Syrian uprising
in 2011, the mullahs in Tehran made the decision to prevent Assad's collapse and
instructed their Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to commit troops as part of its
collective effort to keep the regime in power.
For Riyadh, this behavior amounted to a confrontation that required a response.
After more than two years of silence, the Saudis finally decided to take sides
in Syria, only to realize that their support of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) would
be matched by Tehran's bolstering of Assad's military machine.
Even more dismaying to the Saudis was Washington's response—or lack thereof—to
the situation. Given the supposed close relationship between the two countries,
the fact that the Saudis did not have a clue about the administration's frame of
mind on Syria was shocking though they were not the only ones to take President
Obama's early warnings on the Syrian use of chemical weapons at face value.
Exasperated by Washington's inaction, foreign minister Saud al-Faisal turned to
the international community and implored it "to stop this aggression against the
Syrian people."[9]
The Saudis have every reason to feel disheartened, having failed to beat sense
into Assad and to engage the Iranians diplomatically. And while Riyadh's defense
agreements with Washington have not become completely irrelevant, most Saudis
worry that a vacillating and unserious commander-in-chief in Washington may
leave them twisting in the wind.
Bandar's Botched Syrian Policy
The Saudis believe that allowing Assad to stay in office will prolong the
uprising and endanger their own stability.[10] Given the weakness of the Free
Syrian Army, the continuation of the armed conflict only serves to increase the
presence of jihadists, notably al-Qaeda-affiliated groups such as the Islamic
State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and al-Nusra. As long as such groups remain
confined to northern Syria, the Saudis need not be overly concerned, but the
prospect of these groups proliferating in southwest Syria close to the Jordanian
border has begun to preoccupy them. Such an intrusion might mean that the
eventual march of jihadists to the Saudi frontier is a foregone conclusion.
While born of the same Salafist ideology as the kingdom's own Wahhabist brand of
Islam, these jihadist groups claim a purity of motive and a deadly modus
operandi that endangers the House of Saud. Muhammad ibn Saud adopted Wahhabism
in the mid-eighteenth century and sought to extend his rule throughout Arabia.
His great-great-great-grandson ibn Saud allied himself with the Ikhwan Wahhabi
army in 1911-27 to consolidate his reign in the current boundaries of Saudi
Arabia. The Ikhwan's attempts to export its jihad to Iraq and Transjordan
compelled ibn Saud to crush them in the battle of Siblah in March 1929. Whereas
Saudi monarchs have been content with their territorial domain, today's
jihadists in Syria aspire to rejuvenate the Ikhwan's original mission.[11]
To combat the threat, King Abdullah again enlisted Bandar's services. The prince
had not hidden his view that Bashar had to go because his inability to detect
red lines in politics had made Assad injurious to himself, his country, and his
Arab neighbors.[12] As The Wall Street Journal put it, "CIA officials knew that
KSA [Kingdom of Saudi Arabia] was serious about toppling Assad when the Saudi
king named prince Bandar bin Sultan to lead the effort."[13]
In an effort to convince Russia to drop its support of Assad, Bandar (r)
reportedly offered President Vladimir Putin (l) a trade package comprising a $15
billion arms deal and a pledge to refrain from competing with Russia in the
European gas market. But the offer also came with threats. Bandar is alleged to
have said, "I can give you a guarantee to protect the Winter Olympics … The
Chechen groups that threaten the security of the games are controlled by us."
In an effort to find a solution to the conflict, Bandar offered Russian
president Vladimir Putin what looked like a lucrative trade package comprising a
$15 billion arms deal and a pledge by the GCC to refrain from competing with
Russia in the European gas market. This might have worked had Bandar dispensed
with the stick that accompanied his carrot. Putin, who seems to consider himself
Obama's sole rival in international politics, was infuriated when Bandar
promised to rein in Chechen insurgents and prevent them from targeting the
upcoming 2014 Winter Olympics to be held in Sochi, Russia.[14]
While Bandar has been described "as a pivotal figure in the struggle by America
and its allies to tilt the battlefield balance against the regime in Syria,"[15]
there is mounting evidence that Washington is not really looking to dislodge
Assad. Despite past U.S. pronouncements that Assad "must go," there is a growing
realization in Washington that the alternative to the Syrian despot might
actually be worse with at least one account reporting that "the Americans
informed the Russians that the Syrian regime must be present in any agreement to
ensure smooth transition."[16]
Thanks to Bandar's efforts, Riyadh did supply the Free Syrian Army with a few
obsolete and ineffective shoulder-mounted surface-to-air missiles in June and at
least fifty Russian-made Konkurs antitank missiles.[17] But this is hardly
enough to topple Assad, and there seems to be an inverse relationship between
Riyadh's rhetoric and reality on the ground: The more the Saudis talk about
arming the FSA, the more obvious it is that the Assad regime is still in control
of the situation.[18] In fairness to Bandar, his failure to alter the military
balance on the ground in Syria has less to do with his ineptitude than with U.S.
restrictions on arms supplies to the FSA: Saudi military aid to the Syrian
rebels goes mostly through Jordan, which in turn requires CIA authorization for
passing U.S.-made arms into Syria.[19]
Given the course of events in Syria, it is highly unlikely that Bandar will
prevail against Assad's regime or Iranian regional maneuverings. Damascus's
promised cooperation with U.N. inspectors in dismantling its chemical weapons
arsenal has won it rare praise from U.S. Secretary of State Kerry, deflecting
previous criticisms and demands and giving the Assad regime a vital respite. An
end to the Syrian conflict is not in sight, and the great-power agreement is
unlikely to lead to an enhancement of Riyadh's status as a regional power.
Bandar has failed in Syria, and the royal family is reportedly "dissatisfied
with his performance there."[20]
The Worst Is Yet to Come
Bandar is in desperate need of scoring a victory in Syria to obscure mounting
internal problems in Riyadh, including the split over succession and the rise of
pro-Muslim Brotherhood advocates in the kingdom such as Awad al-Qani and his as-Sahwa
Current.[21] Thus, recent reports of Bandar's meddling in Iraq's sectarian
strife,[22] if true, may indicate a desperate ploy to deflect criticism at home
from his Syrian failings. But this feint is also doomed to failure as tilting
the balance of power against the Assad regime is not contingent upon
destabilizing Baghdad. If anything, it is likely to increase Iraqi Shiite
involvement in the Syrian armed conflict against the opponents of the regime. No
less alarming, the spread of violence in areas close to Saudi Arabia carries the
risk of spillover into the desert kingdom.
Saudi influence on U.S. Middle East policy, especially on issues that directly
affect the kingdom's interests, is quite limited and incommensurate with the
volume of the two countries' bilateral, political, security, and economic
interests. Washington perceives Riyadh as a quietist player dependent on U.S.
power to ensure the kingdom's safety from external threats. Thus, it is
reasonable to assume that Saudi requests to shape the formulation of certain
aspects of U.S. foreign policy will be disregarded. Riyadh may dislike Iran's
predominance in Iraq, but Tehran and Baghdad have found a modus vivendi since
Saddam's toppling in 2003, and the Obama administration is unlikely to challenge
this arrangement given its expressed goal of military disengagement and its
recent opening to Tehran. The administration will simply not allow Riyadh to
restrict its political options even when they conflict with the kingdom's own
interests.[23]
The Saudi royals at one point, especially since the recent Arab uprisings,
thought that they could reassert themselves as a stabilizing regional power. But
the truth of the matter is that they are actually part of the Arab strategic
vacuum they hoped to be capable of redressing. Given Riyadh's seeming inherent
inability to engage in meaningful political reform, promote social
liberalization, and tolerate religious plurality, all it can possibly do is sit
tight and hope that the regional status quo ante can be restored before too
long.
**Hilal Khashan is a professor of political science at the American University
of Beirut.
[1] Asharq al-Awsat (London), Aug. 19, 2013.
[2] Al-Jazeera Studies (Doha), Aug. 24, 2011.
[3] Arab News (Jeddah), Oct. 12, 2012.
[4] David B. Ottaway, The King's Messenger: Prince Bandar bin Sultan and
America's Tangled Relationship with Saudi Arabia (New York: Walker and Company,
2008), p. 30.
[5] William Simpson, The Prince: The Secret Story of the World's Most Intriguing
Royal Prince, Bandar bin Sultan (New York: HarperCollins, 2006), p. 54-7.
[6] Al-Khabar (Algiers), May 31, 2010.
[7] Press TV (Tehran), Sept. 20, 2013.
[8] The Daily Star (Beirut), Oct. 7, 2010.
[9] Al-Jazeera News (Doha), Sept. 1, 2013.
[10] Al-Quds al-Arabi (London), Oct. 17, 2013.
[11] Ahmed Mansour, "The Origin of Terrorism in Muslim History," International
Quranic Center, Falls Church, Va., accessed Oct. 23, 2013.
[12] Sabq (Riyadh), June 19, 2013.
[13] The Wall Street Journal, Aug. 25, 2013.
[14] Al-Quds (Jerusalem), Aug. 10, 2013.
[15] The Independent (London), Aug. 26, 2013.
[16] As-Safir (Beirut), Aug. 21, 2013.
[17] The Independent, June 17, 2013.
[18] Al-Manar TV (Beirut), Aug. 31, 2013.
[19] The Guardian (London), Apr. 14, 2013.
[20] Al-Akhbar (Cairo), July 10, 2013.
[21] Al-Manar TV, Aug. 29, 2013.
[22] Al-Sumaria News (Baghdad), Aug. 20, 2013.
[23] Al-Hayat (London), June 23, 2013.
Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s speech to the Knesset
The following is a text of Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s speech to
the Knesset, delivered at approximately 6:30 pm Jerusalem time on Monday January
20, 2014. The following has been adapted from a prepared text distributed to
reporters ahead of the speech. The actual speech, as a result, may differ
slightly from you see here.
Shalom.
And thank you for inviting me to visit this remarkable country, and especially
for this opportunity to address the Knesset.
It is truly a great honour.
And if I may, Mr. Speaker, on behalf of my wife Laureen and the entire Canadian
delegation, let me begin by thanking the government and people of Israel for the
warmth of your hospitality.
You have made us feel extremely welcome.
We have felt immediately at home.
Ladies and gentlemen, Canada and Israel are the greatest of friends, and the
most natural of allies.
And, with your indulgence, I would like to offer a reflection upon what makes
the relationship between Canada and Israel special and important because the
relationship between us is very strong.
The friendship between us is rooted in history, nourished by shared values, and
it is intentionally reinforced at the highest levels of commerce and government
as an outward expression of strongly held inner convictions.
There has, for example, been a free trade agreement in place between Canada and
Israel for many years an agreement that has already proved its worth.
The elimination of tariffs on industrial products, and some foodstuffs, has led
to a doubling in the value of trade between our countries.
But this only scratches the surface of the economic potential of this
relationship and I look forward to soon deepening and broadening our mutual
trade and investment goals.
As well, our military establishments share information and technology.
This has also been to our mutual benefit.
For example, during Canada’s mission to Afghanistan, our use of Israeli-built
reconnaissance equipment saved the lives of Canadian soldiers.
All such connections are important, and build strong bridges between us.
However, to truly understand the special relationship between Israel and Canada,
one must look beyond trade and institutions to the personal ties of friendship
and kinship.
Jews have been present in Canada for more than 250 years.
In generation after generation, by hard work and perseverance, Jewish
immigrants, often starting with nothing, have prospered greatly.
Today, there are nearly 350,000 Canadians who share with you their heritage and
their faith.
They are proud Canadians.
But having met literally thousands of members of this community, I can tell you
this:
They are also immensely proud of what the people of Israel have accomplished
here of your courage in war, of your generosity in peace, and of the bloom that
the desert has yielded, under your stewardship.
Laureen and I share that pride, the pride and the understanding that what has
been achieved here has occurred in the shadow of the horrors of the Holocaust;
the understanding that it is right to support Israel because, after generations
of persecution, the Jewish people deserve their own homeland and deserve to live
safely and peacefully in that homeland.
Let me repeat that: Canada supports Israel because it is right to do so.
This is a very Canadian trait, to do something for no reason other than it is
right even when no immediate reward for, or threat to, ourselves is evident.
On many occasions, Canadians have even gone so far as to bleed and die to defend
the freedom of others in far-off lands.
To be clear, we have also periodically made terrible mistakes as in the refusal
of our government in the 1930s to ease the plight of Jewish refugees but, as a
country, at the turning points of history, Canada has consistently chosen, often
to our great cost, to stand with others who oppose injustice, and to confront
the dark forces of the world.
It is, thus, a Canadian tradition to stand for what is principled and just,
regardless of whether it is convenient or popular.
But, I would argue, support today for the Jewish state of Israel is more than a
moral imperative it is also of strategic importance, also a matter of our own,
long-term interests.
Ladies and gentlemen, I said a moment ago, that the special friendship between
Canada and Israel is rooted in shared values.
Indeed, Israel is the only country in the Middle East, which has long anchored
itself in the ideals of freedom, democracy and the rule of law.
These are not mere notions.
They are the things that, over time and against all odds, have proven to be the
only ground in which human rights, political stability, and economic prosperity,
may flourish.
These values are not proprietary; they do not belong to one nation or one
people.
Nor are they a finite resource; on the contrary, the wider they are spread, the
stronger they grow.
Likewise, when they are threatened anywhere, they are threatened everywhere.
And what threatens them, or more precisely, what today threatens the societies
that embrace such values and the progress they nurture?
Those who scorn modernity, who loathe the liberty of others, and who hold the
differences of peoples and cultures in contempt. Those who, often begin by
hating the Jews, but, history shows us, end up hating anyone who is not them.
Those forces, which have threatened the state of Israel every single day of its
existence, and which, today, as 9/11 graphically showed us, threaten us all.
And so, either we stand up for our values and our interests, here, in Israel,
stand up for the existence of a free, democratic and distinctively Jewish state
or the retreat of our values and our interests in the world will begin.
Ladies and gentlemen, just as we refuse to retreat from our values, so we must
also uphold the duty to advance them.
And our commitment as Canadians to what is right, fair and just is a universal
one.
It applies no less to the Palestinian people, than it does to the people of
Israel.
Just as we unequivocally support Israel’s right of self-defence, so too Canada
has long-supported a just and secure future for the Palestinian people.
And, I believe, we share with Israel a sincere hope that the Palestinian people
and their leaders… will choose a viable, democratic, Palestinian state,
committed to living peacefully alongside the Jewish state of Israel.
As you, Prime Minister [Netanyahu], have said, when Palestinians make peace with
Israel, Israel will not be the last country to welcome a Palestinian state as a
new member of the United Nations — it will be the first.
Sadly, we have yet to reach that point.
But, when that day comes, and come it must, I can tell you that Israel may be
the first to welcome a sovereign Palestinian state, but Canada will be right
behind you.
Ladies and gentlemen, support – even firm support – doesn’t mean that allies and
friends will agree on all issues all of the time.
No state is beyond legitimate questioning or criticism.
But our support does mean at least three things.
First, Canada finds it deplorable that some in the international community still
question the legitimacy of the existence of the state of Israel.
Our view on Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish state is absolute and
non-negotiable.
Second, Canada believes that Israel should be able to exercise its full rights
as a UN member-state and to enjoy the full measure of its sovereignty.
For this reason, Canada has spoken on numerous occasions in support of Israel’s
engagement and equal treatment in multilateral fora.
And, in this regard, I should mention that we welcome Israel’s induction this
month into the western, democratic group of states at the United Nations.
Third, we refuse to single out Israel for criticism on the international stage.
Now I understand, in the world of diplomacy, with one, solitary, Jewish state
and scores of others, it is all too easy “to go along to get along” and single
out Israel.
But such “going along to get along,” is not a “balanced” approach, nor a
“sophisticated” one; it is, quite simply, weak and wrong.
Unfortunately, ladies and gentlemen, we live in a world where that kind of moral
relativism runs rampant.
And in the garden of such moral relativism, the seeds of much more sinister
notions can be easily planted.
And so we have witnessed, in recent years, the mutation of the old disease of
anti-Semitism and the emergence of a new strain.
We all know about the old anti-Semitism.
It was crude and ignorant, and it led to the horrors of the death camps.
Of course, in many dark corners, it is still with us.
But, in much of the western world, the old hatred has been translated into more
sophisticated language for use in polite society.
People who would never say they hate and blame the Jews for their own failings
or the problems of the world, instead declare their hatred of Israel and blame
the only Jewish state for the problems of the Middle East.
As once Jewish businesses were boycotted, some civil-society leaders today call
for a boycott of Israel.
On some campuses, intellectualized arguments against Israeli policies thinly
mask the underlying realities, such as the shunning of Israeli academics and the
harassment of Jewish students.
Most disgracefully of all, some openly call Israel an apartheid state.
Think about that.
Think about the twisted logic and outright malice behind that: a state, based on
freedom, democracy and the rule of law, that was founded so Jews can flourish,
as Jews, and seek shelter from the shadow of the worst racist experiment in
history, that is condemned, and that condemnation is masked in the language of
anti-racism.
It is nothing short of sickening.
But this is the face of the new anti-Semitism.
It targets the Jewish people by targeting Israel and attempts to make the old
bigotry acceptable for a new generation.
Of course, criticism of Israeli government policy is not in and of itself
necessarily anti-semitic.
But what else can we call criticism that selectively condemns only the Jewish
state and effectively denies its right to defend itself while systematically
ignoring – or excusing – the violence and oppression all around it?
What else can we call it when, Israel is routinely targeted at the United
Nations, and when Israel remains the only country to be the subject of a
permanent agenda item at the regular sessions of its human rights council?
Ladies and gentlemen, any assessment – any judgment – of Israel’s actions must
start with this understanding:
In the sixty-five years that modern Israel has been a nation, Israelis have
endured attacks and slanders beyond counting and have never known a day of true
peace.
And we understand that Israelis live with this, impossible calculus:
If you act to defend yourselves, you will suffer widespread condemnation, over
and over again.
But, should you fail to act, you alone will suffer the consequence of your
inaction, and that consequence will be final, your destruction.
The truth, that Canada understands, is that many of the hostile forces Israel
faces, are faced by all western nations.
And Israel faces them for many of the same reasons we face them.
You just happen to be a lot closer to them.
Of course, no nation is perfect.
But neither Israel’s existence nor its policies are responsible for the
instability in the Middle East today.
One must look beyond Israel’s borders to find the causes of the relentless
oppression, poverty and violence in much of the region, of the heartbreaking
suffering of syrian refugees, of sectarian violence and the fears of religious
minorities, especially christians, and of the current domestic turmoil in so
many states.
So what are we to do?
Most importantly, we must deal with the world as we find it.
The threats in this region are real, deeply rooted, and deadly and the forces of
progress, often anaemically weak.
For too many nations, it is still easier to scapegoat Israel than to emulate
your success.
It is easier to foster resentment and hatred of Israel’s democracy than it is to
provide the same rights and freedoms to their own people.
I believe that a Palestinian state will come, and one thing that will make it
come is when the regimes that bankroll terrorism realise that the path to peace
is accommodation, not violence.
Which brings me to the government of iran.
Late last year, the world announced a new approach to diplomacy with the
government in tehran.
Canada has long held the view that every diplomatic measure should be taken to
ensure that regime never obtains a nuclear weapon.
We therefore appreciate the earnest efforts of the five permanent members of the
security council and germany.
Canada will evaluate the success of this approach not on the merits of its
words, but on the implementation and verification of its promised actions.
We truly hope that it is possible to walk the iranian government back from
taking the irreversible step of manufacturing nuclear weapons.
But, for now, Canada’s own sanctions will remain fully in place.
And should our hopes not be realized, should the present agreement prove
ephemeral Canada will be a strong voice for renewed sanctions.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me conclude with this thought.
Je crois que l’histoire d’israël est UN très bel exemple pour le monde entier.
I believe the story of Israel is a great example to the world.
It is a story, essentially, of a people whose response to suffering has been to
move beyond resentment and build a most extraordinary society a vibrant
democracy a freedom-loving country… with an independent and rights-affirming
judiciary, an innovative, world-leading “start-up” nation.
You have taken the collective memory of death and persecution to build an
optimistic, forward-looking land one that so values life, you will sometimes
release a thousand criminals and terrorists, to save one of your own.
In the democratic family of nations, Israel represents values which our
government takes as articles of faith, and principles to drive our national
life.
And therefore, through fire and water, Canada will stand with you.
My friends, you have been generous with your time and attention.
Once more, Laureen and I and our entire delegation thank you for your generous
hospitality, and look forward to continuing our visit to your country.
Merci beaucoup.
Thank you for having us, and may peace be upon Israel.