LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
February 28/14
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For February 28/14
Israel’s new game plan with Hezbollah and Syria/By: Joyce Karam/Al Arabyia/February 28/14
Missiles and the fear of Syria’s opposition/By: Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabyia/February 28/14
Dozens of Young Men Burned to Ashes by Boko Haram in Northeastern Nigeria/ICC/February 28/14
Multiculturalism's Child Brides/By: Mark Durie/Quadrant Online/February 28/14
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For February 28/14
Lebanese Related News
March 14 Urges Army to Clarify Israeli Strike: Hizbullah is Not Sole Protector of Lebanon's Border
Mustaqbal: Policy Statement Should Adhere to Baabda Declaration, Bkirki Charter
Suleiman: Baabda Declaration More Significant Politically than Policy Statement
Jumblat Wants 'Consensual' President, Says Hizbullah's Decision to Withdraw from Syria 'Not in Lebanon' 26 February
Abou Faour Says 'Satisfactory Formula' Reached over Baabda Declaration, Discussion Now on Resistance
Aoun: Presidential Vote to Happen on Time, a Consensual President is a Weak President
IDF raises level of alert on Lebanese border following alleged strike
Report: Car Theft Gangs Sell Vehicles to Assailants to Carry out Bombings in Lebanon, Syria
Bassil Says to Cooperate with President, Premier to Shape Country's Foreign Policy
Bassil Meets al-Rahi: Bkirki Charter Serves as Basis for Dialogue
Unknown Assailants Toss Hand Grenade at Army Post in Tripoli, One Detained
Large Quantity of Spoiled Foodstuffs Seized at Ashrafieh Depot
Miscellaneous Reports And News
Syria Jihadists Lay Down Rules for Christians
US: Syria leads human rights violations in 2013
Pro-Moscow coup in Crimea. Russian fighter jets on W. border on combat alert.
Kiev deploys security forces
Partisan tactics in the US mark new effort to pass Iran nuclear sanctions bill
Kerry: US must pursue Iran nuke talks before considering war
US unlikely to unveil peace framework during Netanyahu-Obama meeting next week
Amnesty International to US, EU: Suspend all arms transfers to Israel
Yanukovych Says Still President, his Security 'Ensured in Russia'
Ukraine Warns Russia after Gunmen Control Crimea Parliament, Govt HQ
Nine Killed in 'Gas Cylinder' Blast in Qatar
Palestinians Reject U.S. Push for Peace Talks Beyond April
Syria Jihadists Lay Down Rules for Christians
http://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/120385-syria-jihadists-lay-down-rules-for-christians
Naharnet/26 February 2014/
A jihadist group in Syria said Wednesday that Christians in the city of Raqa
will have to pay taxes and hold religious rituals behind closed doors, under a
set of rules.
The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), listed 12 rules which made up
an "agreement" with Christians in the northern city to provide "protection."
The terms, bearing the stamp of ISIL which controls Raqa, were distributed on
jihadist forums.
They include a provision that Christians must pay a "jiziyeh" tax, as imposed in
early Islam on non-Muslim subjects.
It said wealthy Christians must pay up the equivalent of 13 grams (half an
ounce) of pure gold, that middle-class Christians pay half that sum, while the
poor pay a quarter.
The agreement also demands Christians "do not put on display a cross or anything
from their book, anywhere on Muslims' path or markets" and that they should not
"use megaphones to make their prayers heard."
Christians must also refrain from "holding any of their rituals... outside the
church."
The jihadist group demands that Christians follow "rules imposed by ISIL, such
as those relating to modesty in clothing." ISIL is rooted in al-Qaida in Iraq,
which also imposed the jiziyeh tax on Christians after the U.S.-led invasion of
2003. Raqa was once home to some 300,000 people, and less than one percent were
Christian. Many Christians fled the city after ISIL started attacking and
burning churches. ISIL also said that Christians "must not restore any
monasteries or churches... in their city or elsewhere in the vicinity."
Christians must not carry arms, it said, warning that offenders of the rules
would suffer "the fate that the people of war and rebellion faced."
ISIL is accused of holding scores of people prisoner, including peaceful
activists, rival rebels, foreign journalists and aid workers. It is facing an
all-out war by rival anti-regime forces in other parts of Syria.
Source/Agence France Presse.Middle
Israeli Defence Forces raises level of alert on Lebanese border following alleged strike
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4493135,00.html
US Secretary of State Kerry indirectly addresses
strike, says US is aware Syria is smuggling weapons to Hezbollah that pose a
threat to Israel.
Yoav Zitun, Yitzhak Benhorin/02.26.14, 22:22 / Ynetnews
After Hezbollah has threatened to retaliate against Israel for its alleged role
in a strike on a weapons convoy en route from Syria to Lebanon, the IDF Northern
Command decided Wednesday evening to increase the state of alert for forces
stationed along the border with Lebanon, fearing of retaliatory fire.Farmers
whose lands are near the border were also instructed to stay away from the
border fence. The IDF refused comment.Meanwhile, US Secretary of State John
Kerry indirectly addressed the Monday night attack on a weapons convoy en route
to Hezbollah in Lebanon that Lebanese reports attributed to Israel. In an
interview with MSNBC, Kerry said the United States was aware that Syria was
smuggling weapons to Hezbollah - weapons that pose a threat to Israel. The
American administration is having discussions on what are the next moves to be
taken to address the Syrian crisis, and includes Syria's neighbors - including
Israel - in the talks, Kerry said. According to Kerry, US President Barack Obama
was urging him and other administration officials to seek out other options to
resolving the Syrian crisis. "No one is happy with the situation today," Kerry
said. "We all understand that this is a massive humanitarian crisis that puts
pressure on Jordan and Lebanon. There are threats of weapons transfer from
(Syrian President Bashar) Assad to Hezbollah and this is a threat to Israel.
There are challenges in Turkey. All of these states are involved in talks with
us about what the next move is. I promise you the administration's working to
enter these discussions and the president is not taking any option off the
table."
Earlier Wednesday, after a day and a half of silence, Hezbollah admitted for the
first time that Israel Air Force conducted an attack on the Syrian-Lebanese
border. According to Hezbollah, the attack caused damage but there were no
fatalities. "The new aggression is a blatant assault on Lebanon and its
sovereignty and its territory...The Resistance (Hezbollah) will choose the time
and place and the proper way to respond to it," a statement on the group's Al-Manar
television station. Lebanese media reporting on Hezbollah's statement said
reports the attack targeted a weapons convoy were wrong, and denied reports of
four fatalities.
On Tuesday night, an Israeli official told TIME that the IDF is the one that
conducted the strike in the Beqaa Valley. He stated the convoy that was attacked
likely included missiles equipped with warheads more powerful and dangerous than
what Hezbollah currently has. On Wednesday morning, security sources told the
Lebanese Daily Star that the strike's target were two trucks - one carrying
missiles and the other carrying a missiles launcher. According to the report,
the trucks were on their way to Hezbollah missiles storage facility in Lebanon.
At first, the strike was reported to have happened on Lebanese territory, but a
Lebanese army official did not rule out the possibility the attack was on Syrian
soil.
Hezbollah: We will respond to Israeli
strike at the 'right time and place'
By ARIEL BEN SOLOMON, REUTERS/J.Post
http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Hezbollah-We-will-respond-to-Israeli-strike-at-the-right-time-and-place-343595
02/26/2014/Shi'ite organization, which had denied Israeli strike on
Syria-Lebanon border, says IAF bombing sorties targeted base, causing no
injuries. Hezbollah will respond to what it says was an Israeli air strike that
hit one of its bases on the border with Syria Monday night, the Lebanese
Islamist group said on Wednesday. The new aggression is a blatant assault on
Lebanon, its sovereignty and its territory.... The resistance [Hezbollah] will
choose the time, place and proper way to respond to it,” the group said in a
statement read out by a news presenter on its Al-Manar TV station. The
resistance [Hezbollah] will choose the time, place and proper way to respond to
it,” the group said in a statement read out by a news presenter on its Al-Manar
TV station.
The delayed reaction came after Hezbollah indirectly referred to the attack on
Tuesday while mentioning the Palestinian struggle against Israel.
The strike, which Israel has not claimed responsibility for, hit a base near the
Bekaa Valley village of Janta, Hezbollah said. It denied reports that the strike
targeted artillery or rocket bases, and said there were no casualties. However,
Lebanon’s The Daily Star reported on Wednesday that four Hezbollah members had
been killed.
Security sources told the paper that the attack targeted two trucks, one of them
carrying missiles and the other a missile launcher. The weapons were headed to a
Hezbollah warehouse in Lebanon, they said. Lebanese security sources said they
believed the attack took place on Syrian soil, but Hezbollah’s reference to
Lebanese “sovereignty” suggested it took place on Lebanon’s side of the border.
Israeli planes have struck areas on the Syrian side several times in the past
two years. If the location is confirmed, this would be the first air strike on
Lebanese soil since the Syrian revolt began in 2011.
“We at Hezbollah wish to stress the following. First, nothing that has been said
in the media about targeting artillery or rocket sites, or the martyrdom of a
member of the resistance, or anything else, has any truth to it at all. Second,
this new aggression is a blatant assault on Lebanon, its sovereignty and its
territory, not only on the resistance – it reinforces the adversarial nature of
the Zionists and it requires an honest and clear [commitment] from everyone,”
the statement said.
An Israeli drone flew over Lebanon on Tuesday, entering the country’s airspace
at 9:10 p.m. in the evening, Lebanon’s National News Agency reported on
Wednesday.
The Lebanese-Syrian border area is frequently used by smugglers. Security
sources in Lebanon say the target in Monday night’s air strike in Syria may have
been weapons trucks destined for Hezbollah.
Meanwhile, the American magazine Time said a senior Israeli security official
had confirmed that Israel had been behind the attack, which hit a convoy
carrying surface-to-surface missiles to Lebanon.
IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Benny Gantz on Sunday accused Iran – Assad’s ally
and Hezbollah’s patron – of moving weapons to the armed group.
“There is no theater in which Iran is not involved – giving out, if you like,
torches to pyromaniacs – be it munitions or missiles or intervention in the
fighting,” Gantz said. “We are tracking the processes of arms transfers in all
of the operational theaters. This is something that is very grim and very
sensitive. And from time to time, when the need arises, things can happen.”
Channel 10 television on Tuesday broadcast what it said were satellite images of
the locations that were struck, which appeared to show missile silos being
readied for weapons.
The Lebanese army reported that four Israeli planes had flown across northern
Lebanon on Monday night toward the Bekaa Valley before heading southwest toward
the Mediterranean Sea near the border with Israel. Israeli jets regularly fly
through Lebanese airspace without permission.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu neither claimed responsibility nor denied that
Israel had been involved, but said on Tuesday Israel would “do everything
required to safeguard the security of Israeli citizens.”Hezbollah called on
Wednesday for the Palestinians to continue to resist Israel, warning that the
Jewish state was planning to destroy the Aksa Mosque on the Temple Mount, Iran’s
Press TV reported. In a statement, the group praised Palestinians for resisting
Israeli aggression and its goal of judaizing Jerusalem. This came after a debate
on Israel’s sovereignty over the Temple Mount that was held on Tuesday in the
Knesset.
Partisan tactics in the US mark new effort to pass Iran nuclear
sanctions bill
By MICHAEL WILNER/J.Post/02/26/2014
Israeli envoy to US says pressure on Iran "dissipating," as monthly oil exports
increase.
WASHINGTON – Republicans in the US Senate are trying to revive a stalled bill
that would trigger new tools for sanctions against Iran should negotiations over
its nuclear program fail. With a majority of senators against a vote on
sanctions while talks between Iran and world powers remain underway, Republicans
are now attempting to add the text of the bill as an amendment to unrelated
legislation. On Wednesday, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky) said he
hoped to attach the sanctions language to a bill expanding healthcare and
education programs for veterans of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. And on
Tuesday, a similar suggestion was made by Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kansas) regarding
a bill reforming military procedures on instances of sexual assault. French
officials, meanwhile, told The Jerusalem Post that new action from Congress
would be “counterproductive” to the diplomatic process in Vienna, saying it
would threaten to undermine implementation of an interim agreement reached last
November in Geneva that temporarily froze Tehran’s nuclear work. The French
spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of engaging in foreign
political debate.
The Republican tactic, used frequently in Congress by the party in the minority,
is not guaranteed to work – but might be the Republicans’ best chance to debate
the bill on the floor after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nevada)
declined to give it a vote at the height of the bill’s popularity. Since the
Nuclear Weapon Free Iran Act of 2013 was first introduced in December by a
bipartisan group of legislators, President Barack Obama has threatened to veto
it, warning that new action in Congress would undermine the Geneva agreement. “A
broad bipartisan majority in the Senate would like to vote on Iran sanctions,”
McConnell insisted on Wednesday.
“The dilemma we have here is that the majority leader does not want this vote to
occur.” Meanwhile, new figures from tracking agencies show that Iran’s oil
exports increased yet again in February by over 100,000 barrels per day, to up
to 1.3 million bpd for the month, calling into question the integrity of the
international community’s existing sanctions infrastructure after the Geneva
deal. Citing the figures, Israel’s ambassador to the United States, Ron Dermer,
tweeted on Tuesday that “pressure on Iran is dissipating.”
US: Syria leads human rights violations in 2013
By Staff writer | Al Arabiya News/Thursday, 27 February 2014
A chemical weapons attack in Syria last summer, which reportedly killed more
than 1,400 people, was branded as the world’s worst violation against human
rights in 2013, Washington said Thursday. In its 2013 Human Rights report, the
United States condemned atrocities in which the Syrian people are witnessing
amid a civil war that has ripped through the country for over three years. The
report referred specifically to last August’s attack on the suburb of Ghouta,
where President Bashar al-Assad's regime was accused of unleashing a sarin gas
attack that allegedly killed some 1,429 civilians, including 426 children.“It is
one of many horrors in a civil war filled with countless crimes against
humanity, from the torture and murder of prisoners to the targeting of civilians
with barrel bombs and Scud missiles, which has claimed more than 100,000 live,”
the report said. “The tragedy that has befallen the Syrian people stands apart
in its scope and human cost,” it concluded. Washington also denounced what it
said was the growing use of security forces by repressive regimes to crackdown
on pro-democracy protests worldwide. The report highlighted how new and fragile
states, emerging out of the Arab Spring, are cracking down on civil society. pt
was heavily criticized for “the removal of an elected civilian government and
excessive use of force by security forces, including unlawful killings and
torture.” The report also foreshadowed the unrest that has gripped the Ukraine
in recent weeks. It claimed that parliamentary elections in Ukraine did not meet
international standards for fairness or transparency, thus leading to protests
that recently toppled the government. The report also said that Ukrainian
security forces had beaten protesters with batons and other violent means at a
peaceful Nov. 30 demonstration against the government at Kiev's main square. But
it said the most egregious abuse in Ukraine last year was the government's
crackdown on media, including violence against journalists. It criticized the
now defunct president Viktor Yanukovych's and his regime for increasing pressure
on civil society activists and non-government organizations. The State
Department's annual country-by-country index was released on Thursday as the
world marks the 65th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
But six decades later “more than one third of the world's population still lives
under authoritarian rule,” the report found. “A widening gap persists between
the rights conferred by law and the daily realities for many around the globe.”
It threw a spotlight on a lack of labor rights in countries such as Bangladesh,
where more than 1,000 garment workers were killed in a factory building collapse
in April. “Governments that protect human rights and are accountable to their
citizens are more secure, bolster international peace and security, and enjoy
shared prosperity with stable democratic countries around the world,” writes
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in the preface. “Countries that fail to
uphold human rights can face economic deprivation and international
isolation.”(with AFP and AP)
Kerry: US must pursue Iran nuke talks
before considering war
By REUTERS/J.Post/02/27/2014/US secretary of state says
Washington has to "exhaust all remedies" before contemplating military action to
force Tehran to cease nuclear activities.WASHINGTON - The United States has an
obligation to pursue nuclear negotiations with Iran before it considers going to
war with Tehran to force it to give up its nuclear activities, US Secretary of
State John Kerry said on Wednesday. "We took the initiative and led the effort
to try to figure out if before we go to war there actually might be a peaceful
solution," Kerry told a group of reporters.Iran reached a landmark preliminary
agreement with six world powers, including the United States, in November to
halt its most sensitive nuclear operations, winning some relief from economic
sanctions in return. US President Barack Obama, like his predecessors, has said
that all options are on the table with regard to Iran's nuclear program, using
diplomatic code for the possibility of military action. While US officials have
long held out that threat, Kerry's comments appeared to indicate that the Obama
administration would seriously consider a strike on Iran if the diplomatic talks
fail. "I happen to believe as a matter of leadership, and I learnt this pretty
hard from Vietnam, before you send young people to war you ought to find out if
there is a better alternative," said Kerry, who served in the Vietnam War as a
young US naval officer. "That is an obligation we have as leaders to exhaust all
the remedies available to you before you ask people to give up their lives and
that is what we are doing" with Iran, he added. The Obama administration is
under pressure from Republican lawmakers threatening to revive a bill that would
impose new sanctions on Iran, a move the White House is warning could interfere
with delicate nuclear talks to find a lasting agreement. Iran denies allegations
by the United States and some of its allies that it is seeking to develop the
capacity to build nuclear weapons. Pressure from lawmakers may increase with
signs that easing of sanctions pressure on Tehran has boosted oil export.
Sources who track tanker movements told Reuters Iran's oil exports rose further
in February for a fourth consecutive month. In addition extra cargoes had headed
to Syria and South Korea in February, according to a second tracking source.
Amnesty International to US, EU:
Suspend all arms transfers to Israel
By TOVAH LAZAROFF/02/27/2014/Foreign Ministry slams as "racist" report by NGO on
IDF’s actions against Palestinians.Amnesty International called on the
international community to suspend transferring arms to Israel to protest IDF
treatment of Palestinians in the West Bank. “Suspend transfers to Israel of
munitions, weapons, and related equipment including crowd control weapons and
devices, training and techniques,” Amnesty said in a 74-page report titled
“Trigger- Happy: Israel’s use of excessive force in the West Bank” that it
issued on Thursday. Arms transfers by the United States, the European Union and
other countries should only be resumed once Israel can ensure that they will not
be used to violate international humanitarian law and international human rights
law, Amnesty said. “Without pressure from the international community, the
situation is unlikely to change any time soon,” said Philip Luther, director of
the Middle East and North Africa Program at Amnesty International. “Too much
civilian blood has been spilled. This long-standing pattern of abuse must be
broken. If the Israeli authorities wish to prove to the world they are committed
to democratic principles and international human rights standards, unlawful
killings and unnecessary use of force must stop now,” Luther said. The report
provided case studies of 22 Palestinian civilians killed by the IDF since
January 2011, of which most were under the age of 25 and four were children.
According to Amnesty, at least 14 of the deaths occurred during protests against
Israel. It noted that according to the UN, the IDF killed 45 Palestinians in the
past three years.
According to Amnesty, the Palestinians who were killed did not appear to pose a
direct and immediate threat to Israeli soldiers in the 22 cases listed.
It added that “in some, there is evidence that they were victims of willful
killings, which would amount to war crimes.”The report further stated that in
that same three-year period, Israeli forces in the West Bank seriously injured
261 Palestinians, including 67 children, by firing live ammunition at them. It
said soldiers wounded another 8,000 Palestinians, including 1,500 children, by
other means, including rubber- coated metal bullets and teargas.
“The staggering numbers of wounded provide a sobering reminder of the relentless
daily danger faced by Palestinians living in the occupied West Bank,” Luther
said.
“The frequency and persistence of arbitrary and abusive force against peaceful
protesters in the West Bank by Israeli soldiers and police officers – and the
impunity enjoyed by perpetrators – suggests that it is carried out as a matter
of policy,” Luther added. The report called on the IDF to stop using live
ammunition and rubber-coated bullets except when necessary to protect lives. It
also asked the IDF to stop using teargas against Palestinians, explaining that
the chemicals contained within it were dangerous. It called on Israel to provide
reparations to Palestinians the IDF had unlawfully harmed. It also urged the IDF
to protect Palestinians from attacks by West Bank settlers. Foreign Ministry
spokesman Yigal Palmor said the report “smacks of bias, discrimination and
racism.” He accused Amnesty of wanting to deprive Israel of the right to
self-defense.
“Amnesty takes to making up its own laws. In their frenzied public relations
stunt to grab a quick headline, they innovate in the legal realm: no right of
self-defense under fire [for Israelis],” he said.
“Amnesty lies by omission, and otherwise.” The IDF said that Amnesty was
ignoring the substantial increase in Palestinian violence against Israel in the
last year. In 2013, Palestinians injured 132 Israelis, almost double the number
of those harmed in 2012, the IDF said. It noted that this was “no surprise,
considering that over 5,000 incidents of rock-hurling took place, half of which
were toward main roads.”
It added that “there were 66 further terror attacks, which included shootings,
the planting of [improvised explosive devices], blunt weapon attacks and the
abduction and murder of a soldier.”
The report, it said, also showed “a complete lack of understanding as to
operational challenges the IDF is posed with in the West Bank. “Where feasible,
the IDF contains this life-threatening violence using riot dispersal means,
including loud sirens, water cannons, sound grenades and teargas. Only once
these tools have been exhausted, and human life and safety remains under threat,
is the use of precision munition authorized,” it said.
Jerusalem Post Annual Conference. Buy it now, Special offer. Come meet Israel's
top leaders
US unlikely to unveil peace framework
during Netanyahu-Obama meeting next week
By HERB KEINON/J.Post/02/27/2014 /Despite speculation, Israeli officials
say US president unlikely to unveil framework document on continued final-status
deal talks to PM before Obama also meets with PA President Abbas. US President
Barack Obama is not expected to present Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu with
the much-discussed framework document for negotiations with the Palestinians
when they meet in Washington next week, Israeli officials said on Wednesday. The
comments come despite some speculation that Obama would unveil the document
during his scheduled meeting with Netanyahu in the White House on Monday. The
officials said it was unlikely Washington would roll out the paper before Obama
also meets with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.The Palestinians
announced earlier this week that Obama had invited Abbas to visit Washington
next month, though no final date was reported. Abbas met twice last week in
Paris with US Secretary of State John Kerry. Kerry has been working with the
sides since November on the document that would serve as the basis for
continuing the talks that began in July. Netanyahu may meet with Kerry in
Washington as well. Both men are to address the annual policy conference of the
America Israel Public Affairs Committee in Washington next week.
Israeli officials stressed on Wednesday that Iran would be the No. 1 issue on
the prime minister’s agenda when visiting Obama for their 14th meeting, the most
Obama has held with any foreign leader. The two men last met in Washington in
September, and before that they met several times in Israel last March when
Obama visited for his first time as president. Netanyahu has in recent days
underlined his differences with the US on Iran, stressing that any final
agreement with Iran must be one that denies the Iranians the capacity to produce
nuclear weapons. As such, he has made clear that Israel believes Tehran must be
denied all uranium enrichment capabilities.
The US, on the other hand, has seemingly resigned itself to Tehran retaining
some low-grade uranium enrichment capabilities. The meeting is expected to be a
chance for the two leaders to coordinate their positions and expectations
regarding the recently renewed Iran negotiations. Regarding the negotiations
with the PLO, Netanyahu is expected to underline Israeli security demands, as
well as the importance he attributes to the Palestinians recognizing Israel as
the nation-state of the Jewish people. Kerry has indicated in the past that the
US agreed with that position. The prime minister is to leave for the US on
Sunday.
In addition to his session with Obama, he is expected to meet with congressional
leaders, and there is a possibility he will meet with other senior
administration officials as well.
On Tuesday morning, he is scheduled to address the AIPAC conference and then fly
to Los Angeles. In the evening he will take part in the premiere of CBS travel
editor Peter Greenberg’s one-hour special Israel: The Royal Tour, which is part
of a series the newsman is doing on tours of various countries led by their
leaders. The next day, Netanyahu is scheduled to fly to San Francisco for
meetings in nearby Silicon Valley with the “heads of global companies at the
forefront of hi-tech development.” He will then return to Los Angeles for a gala
event with Hollywood personalities, before flying home on Thursday.
Multiculturalism's Child Brides
By: Mark Durie/Quadrant Online
February 26, 2014
http://www.meforum.org/3775/child-brides
Recent reports of under-age marriages in Australia are evidence that the
authorities need to do more to enforce marriage laws in Western nations, and in
particular to restrict the practice of unregistered 'clandestine' religious
marriages, particularly Islamic marriages.
Two cases recently came to public attention of NSW girls being married to older
men in unregistered religious ceremonies, allegedly with the approval of their
guardians. The first case was of a 14-year-old girl who reported she was
deceived into marrying a 21-year-old. After being subjected to years of sexual
and physical abuse she fled the relationship. Her case came to light in October,
2013, when she needed to pursue custody of her daughter through the courts.
The second case was of a 12-year-old married to a 26-year-old overseas student
by her father, an Australian-born convert to Islam. Imam Riaz Tasawar, who
allegedly conducted the ceremony, has been charged by the police, which is
remarkably the first prosecution in NSW for at least 20 years of someone for
solemnizing a marriage without being an authorized marriage celebrant. The
father has also been charged with procuring his daughter for sexual intercourse
and being an accessory to a sexual offence against a child.
The Daily Telegraph has reported an 'epidemic' of young girls becoming 'child
brides' or being in de facto relationships in NSW. The state Community Services
Minister, Pru Goward, commented "I understand there are actually a significant
number of unlawful, unregistered marriages to under-aged girls in NSW,
particularly in western Sydney, southwest Sydney and the Blue Mountains."
The Australian Marriage Act 1961 (paragraph 101) makes it a crime for anyone to
conduct a marriage without being authorized by the state. It is also an offense
for an authorized celebrant to conduct a marriage without receiving proper
notice of intention, ensuring on the basis of the information provided that the
parties are eligible to be married, and registering the marriage with the state.
It is crystal clear from the legal history of marriage's evolution in the West
that the reason for public registration of marriages was to protect vulnerable
women — and their children — from predatory and dishonest men. As Sir Roger
Ormrod stated in Collett vs. Collett [1968]), "The control of the formation of
marriage in this country has a long statutory history, much of it intended to
prevent clandestine marriages:" marriage laws were designed to to guarantee that
marriages, through public registration, met minimum legal requirements in order
to prevent abuses against women.
The public registration of marriages was first introduced in Western
jurisdictions through canon (i.e. church) law: the Council of Trent ruled in the
16th century that a wedding must be preceded by public notices read out in
church services; there had to be at least two witnesses; and an official wedding
register had to be maintained. These provisions were justified on the grounds
that 'clandestine' (unregistered) marriages put women at risk of exploitation.
In England registration of marriages was enforced by the state in the Marriage
Act of 1753, which was formally titled "An Act for the better preventing of
clandestine Marriages". The whole focus on this law was the prevention of
private marriages – which had become a scandal in England – and again the reason
given was the protection of women. Severe penalties were provided for clergy who
solemnized illegal marriages.
In the light of the history of marriage laws, it is hardly surprising that one
result of neglect in enforcing them would be a rise in exploitative, abusive
relationships which disadvantage women, including forced and underage marriages.
The Australian Islamic underage marriages which have attracted so much recent
attention are but the tip of the iceberg of unregistered religious marriages
across Western jurisdictions.
The practice of conducting unregistered religious ceremonies has become so
widespread that in some cases those who solemnize or are a party to illegal
religious marriages may not even be aware that they are committing an offence.
When a former Muslim told me recently about his unregistered marriage in
Australia, entered in to while he was still following Islam, he was shocked to
learn that the marriage had most likely been illegal.
The proliferation of unregistered religious marriages in recent years is a sign
that the Australian authorities need to do much more to enforce the provisions
of the Australian Marriage Act.
In the wake of the recent cases, it was to the credit of the Australian National
Imams Council that it was outspoken in rejecting underage marriages. However the
Imams should also have spoken out against unregistered marriages, because it is
a culture of unregistered unions which is placing Australian women and girls at
risk of exploitation through forced and underage marriages. The whole point of
registration has always been to help prevent such abuses.
The Imams Council also stated that 'any religion … should not be held
accountable for violations by its followers.' It could be objected that many
Islamic authorities have argued that the marriage of young girls is permissible
in Islam. However this is beside the point: for the authorities it ought to be
irrelevant whether a particular religion's teachings condones the marriage of
young girls or forced marriages: the point is that these practices should not be
tolerated in Australia, irrespective of what particular religions may or may not
teach.
It is not just Muslims who are engaging in unregistered marriages in Western
jurisdictions. The unregistered polygamous marriages of some Mormon sects
present serious challenges for the authorities in the United States; Melbourne
academic Sheila Jeffries in Man's Dominion has criticized a growing polygamous
trend on the fringes of American protestant Christianity; and UK courts have
also had to deal with the issue of unregistered Hindu marriages.
In the UK Muslim leaders have become concerned about the trend for Islamic
unions not to be registered, because of the impact this has upon women.
According to muslimmarriagecontract.org, a project of the Muslim Parliament of
Great Britain, "it is clear that many thousands of [Muslim] couples, for one
reason or another … are only in what is locally known as a nikah – a marriage
that is not accompanied by a civil marriage and is therefore not recognized by
the law in Britain. It is equally clear that this lack of proper legal status
often results in problems for the couple and suffering, especially for the
woman…" The site contrasts the situation in the UK with Canada, where Muslims
'almost always' register their marriages with the state.
The UK has badly mismanaged the issue of non-Christian religious marriages for
decades. Although it is a felony in England to solemnize a marriage without
meeting the requirements of the Marriage Act of 1949, Islamic marriages have
proved to be beyond the reach of the law. In a key legal decision from the
1960's (R v Bham), a court of appeal ruled that a Mr Bham, who solemnized an
unregistered Islamic marriage with a Christian woman, was not in violation of
the English Marriage Act because the ceremony was not "a marriage of the kind
allowed by English law" (see here): in effect the court found that because the
union was not a Christian one, or purporting to be like a Christian marriage, it
was not actually a 'marriage' at all, which had the effect that its
solemnization was not regulated by the state.
A series of English rulings have reinforced this approach (see the review here).
For example in Gandhi vs Patel [2002] Judge Park decided that a"Hindu ceremony
did not give rise to a 'void marriage'. Rather it created something which was
not a marriage of any kind at all, not even a marriage which was void. It might
be described as a 'non-marriage' rather than a void marriage. … In the present
case the Hindu ceremony … purported to be a marriage according to a foreign
religion, and it made no attempt to be an English marriage within the Marriage
Acts."
In a similar vein, in AAA v Ash [2010] it was accepted by the court that an
Islamic marriage held in a mosque was a non-marriage in English law: English law
distinguishes between a valid marriage and a 'void' marriage – both of which are
regulated by the marriage laws – and 'non-marriages' which fall outside the
scope of the law.
Such legal decisions were only possible because English marriage laws are
constructed around the marriage ceremonial of the Church of England and its
Christian understanding of marriage. The outcome is that in the UK today
Christian marriages are far more rigorously controlled by the state than Islamic
marriages.
In A-M vs A-M [2001] Judge Hughes commented that if the parties to a religious
marriage were all fully aware that it was polygamous, then this could mean that
"it in no sense purported to be effected according to the Marriage Acts, which
provide for the only way of marrying in England." In other words, solemnizing a
religious polygamous union in the UK would not be in breach of the marriage laws
if the parties all understood that the union was not a legal marriage as defined
by English law! This strays a long way indeed from the intended purpose of the
marriage laws.
To treat Christian and non-Christian marriages differently disrespects
non-Christian religions because their unions are considered 'non-marriages,' and
not even 'void' marriages. More importantly, it puts the women who enter such
unions at risk because the failure of the state to regulate their marriages
makes them vulnerable to the very abuses which the centuries-old marriage laws
were meant to to prevent.
It was the Islamic character of the ceremony which proved critical in the
appeal's court decision in R v Bham that no 'marriage' had taken place, and thus
there had been no felony of conducting an unauthorized solemnization of a
marriage. Such legal decisions have been detrimental to the state of marriage in
England. By declaring certain religious marriages to be beyond the regulatory
power of the marriage laws, they have validated the proliferation of
unregistered religious ceremonies. This has helped foster a culture of
non-registration of (non-Christian) religious marriages which, through the
privacy of such unions, can serve to conceal and validate abuses such as
underage marriages and polygamous unions.
It remains to be seen what the outcome will be in the prosecution of Imam Riaz
Tasawar in New South Wales. Will the union in question prove to be a 'void'
marriage and thus against the law, or a 'non-marriage' and thus outside the
scope of the law? A crucial difference is that, in contrast to the English
situation, Australian marriage laws are not tied to the concept of a state
church or any particular religion, so there is a much sounder basis for
prosecution than there would be in the UK. In any case against Imam Riaz Tasawar
will be an important test of Australia's apparently neglected marriage laws.
The central place of the established Church of England in the English Marriage
Act of 1949 has attracted a good deal of recent attention in the deliberations
of the English Parliament over revising marriage laws to allow same-sex unions.
The debate has focussed on the tension between parliament's intention to change
the marriage laws on the one hand, and the Church's rejection of same-sex unions
on the other. A pressing question for the UK is whether the interests of
vulnerable women and children would be better served by decoupling English
marriage laws from a particular religion altogether, so that all religious
marriage ceremonies can be placed on an equal footing under the one law, and
Islamic marriages in particular can be regulated to the same extent as Christian
or secular marriages.
If this were to happen, a key issue would be what constitutes a marriage. The
comment of a 1973 Law Commission report on marriage laws in England and Wales is
no less relevant today: "Unfortunately, the Act gives little indication of what
are the minimum requirements of a form known to and recognised by our law … as
capable of producing … a valid marriage."
Since the ceremonies of the Church of England can no longer be taken to be the
yardstick by which a 'valid marriage' is defined – a situation which has become
even clearer with the extension of marriage in England and Wales to same-sex
couples – it should become a matter of some urgency for UK legislators to
construct an agreed definition of marriage which will encompass non-Christian
religious unions, so as to ensure there is equal protection afforded by the
marriage laws to women in non-Christian marriages, and to allow the prosecution
of those who conduct unregistered religious ceremonies.
There has been a great deal of debate in Western states about the function and
purpose of marriage in recent years, much of it around same-sex unions. What is
often forgotten is that the public registration of marriages, developed over
centuries, was always intended as a device to prevent men from abusing women –
and their dependent children – through poorly documented relationships. The
recent rise in forced and underage religious marriages in Australia, and in
other Western jurisdictions, underscores the need for greater vigilance on the
part of the authorities to uphold and strengthen marriage laws. We can all learn
a lesson from the shambolic failure of UK marriage laws to provide reasonable
protection for women in non-Christian religious marriages.
It is concerning that in NSW no-one has been prosecuted for conducting an
unregistered marriage in at least 20 years. It is equally troubling that despite
the intense efforts devoted to extending marriage to same-sex couples in the UK,
nothing has been done to bring non-Christian religious marriages under the scope
of the marriage laws. This is despite the fact that the reasons for the state to
enforce marriage laws through a transparent system of public registration by
properly authorized celebrants are no less valid today than they were in
centuries past. Not to do so is a failure of compassion. Why should women in
Islamic marriages be treated as second class citizens, with fewer rights before
the law than women in Christian or secular non-religious marriages?
**Mark Durie is a theologian, human rights activist, Anglican pastor, a Shillman-Ginsburg
Writing Fellow at the Middle East Forum, and Adjunct Research Fellow of the
Centre for the Study of Islam and Other Faiths at Melbourne School of Theology.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Dozens of Young Men Burned to Ashes by Boko Haram in Northeastern Nigeria
Islamic Extremists Attack Government School,
Killing Male Students
2/26/2014 Washington D.C. (International Christian Concern)
- International Christian Concern (ICC) has learned that at least 58 students
were killed after Islamic militants attacked a secondary school in northeastern
Nigeria late Monday night, February 24. The militants, suspected to be connected
to Boko Haram, blocked the exits of a boys' dormitory, set it on fire and killed
the boys who tried to escape the flames. Many of the boys who could not escape
were burned alive.
In an interview with Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Ibrahim Abdul, a teacher at the
Federal Governmental College located in Buni Yadi, Yobe State, said the
militants arrived at the school "around 11:30 p.m. and operated till around 4
a.m., killing 29 students."
According to the most recent reports, at least 58 young men were killed in the
attack. Many witnesses reported the Boko Haram militants either shot or slit the
throats of boys who attempted to escape the burning buildings, but many died in
the flames. "Some of the students' bodies were burned to ashes," Police
Commissioner Sanusi Rufai told CBS News. One Christian charity active in Nigeria
claims the death toll could rise above 100.
"I heard the cries of some people outside the school even before they [the
militants] invaded the school," a student who survived the attack told Open
Doors International, as reported by Christian Today. "From where I was hiding I
could hear other students crying at the top of their voices. I saw fire on the
roofs of the hostels and other buildings in the school. But God saved my life.
After they killed the students and burnt the structures, they fled."
In an interview with ICC, Special Counsel for The Justice for Jos Project,
Emmanuel Ogebe linked attacks on federal schools to Christian persecution and
explained why the Christian population is hard hit by these attacks. "There are
already confirmed reports of Christian victims," Ogebe said. "There is a high
likelihood that many Christians attended the school since many northern state
governments, like Yobe, spend public funds on Islamic schools and discourage
Christian schools," Ogebe explained."The federal schools [like the school in
Buni Yadi] afford a rare opportunity for Christians to send their kids to
government-owned non-Islamic school."
Boko Haram, whose name means "Western education is a sin," has a stated goal of
establishing a separate Islamic state in Nigeria's northern and central regions
where it can implement its ultra-conservative interpretation of Sharia law. Boko
Haram often targets schools, government institutions and religious minorities,
mostly Christians, as part of a broader strategy to create a purely Islamic
society in northern Nigeria. In 2012, Boko Haram demanded all Christians living
in northern and central Nigeria to flee south. Since then, Boko Haram has
targeted the Christian minority with church bombings, drive-by shootings and
deadly raids on Christian villages as part of its strategy to 'purify' northern
and central Nigeria.
ICC's Regional Manager, William Stark, said, "Boko Haram continues to operate
almost unchallenged in northern Nigeria, unleashing unending violence on
civilian populations. This heinous attack on the school in Yobe state comes less
than a week after Boko Haram militants raided the Christian village of Izghe in
Borno state, killing over 100 Christian villagers because of their religious
identity. ICC has applauded action taken by the U.S. to designate Boko Haram as
a Foreign Terrorist Organization in 2013, but more decisive action must be
taken. The Nigerian government, who declared a state of emergency in several of
Nigeria's northern states, has shown an inability or unwillingness to protect
civilians from Boko Haram. If no decisive action is taken either by the U.S. or
Nigeria, the unbelievable violence being perpetrated in Nigeria will continue to
accelerate and will likely reach genocidal levels in the near future if it has
not already."
China’s assertiveness leaves its
neighbors anxious
By David Ignatius/The Washington Post
Published: February 26/14
A Chinese military expert is explaining to a conference here what he sees as the
benign inevitability of Beijing’s rising power in the Pacific. “You should trust
China,” he says cheerily. “In 10 years, we will be much stronger, and you will
feel safer.”This prediction did not appear to reassure most of the several dozen
European and American experts who had gathered for discussions last weekend.
Instead, there was a consensus, even among most of the Chinese participants,
that Beijing’s growing military power has worried its neighbors and led to
friction with Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam over disputed islands and
maritime rights.
“You think we are a bully,” concedes the Chinese military expert. “We think we
are a victim.” But nobody in the room disagreed about the reality that tensions
in the Pacific are rising — and that China and its neighbors cannot seem to find
a way out. This leaves the United States awkwardly in between, trying to support
traditional allies such as Japan without encouraging them to take reckless
moves.
It is a sign of the times that delegates here talk openly about the danger of
war in the Pacific. That’s a big change from the tone of similar gatherings just
a few years ago, when Chinese officials often tried to reassure foreign experts
that a rising China wasn’t on a collision course with the United States or
regional powers. Now, in the East and South China seas, the collision seems all
too possible.
Just two weeks ago, U.S. Navy Capt. James Fanell warned at a conference in San
Diego that China had been training for a “short, sharp war” to assert primacy
over islands claimed by Japan as the Senkakus and by China as the Diaoyus. “I do
not know how Chinese intentions could be more transparent,” he said, noting that
Beijing’s talk of “protection of maritime rights” was actually “a Chinese
euphemism for the coerced seizure of coastal rights of China’s neighbors.”
This is the Asian real-world backdrop for U.S. debates over military spending.
Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said in Washington on Monday that the Pentagon
“will continue to shift its operational focus and forces to the Asia-Pacific.”
But will allies such as Japan and the Philippines be bolstered by such talk at a
time when the United States is sharply cutting the number of troops and
warplanes — and will potential adversaries such as China be deterred?
The changing political-military map in Asia formed the context for last
weekend’s meeting of the Stockholm China Forum, an annual event organized by the
Shanghai Institutes for International Studies and the German Marshall Fund of
the United States (of which I’m a trustee). The not-for-attribution discussions
were surprisingly frank on all sides. But they dispelled, at least for me, the
hope that China would continue deferring to a powerful United States. Instead,
we’re clearly entering a period of greater Chinese assertiveness, especially in
maritime issues.
The Shanghai discussions also highlighted what’s ahead for the United States in
what strategists see as its role as “offshore balancer” of Chinese power. The
United States is committed by treaty to defend Japanese administrative control
in the Senkaku Islands; the U.S. military has plans to defeat any Chinese
“short, sharp war” there. But the United States doesn’t want to get dragged into
war over a few crags of rock, either, so Washington is also urging caution to
Tokyo.
The Senkaku situation is tense because Chinese coast guard vessels and planes
shadow the islands every day. This harassment has settled into a pattern whose
very predictability is one of the few stable elements in the dispute. But given
that no diplomatic resolution is in sight, Beijing and Tokyo need channels for
crisis communication — lest Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s analogy last
month to the run-up to World War I prove true.
In the South China Sea, China’s ambitions involve what it calls the “nine-dash
line,” which vaguely asserts Chinese maritime claims almost to the coasts of
Vietnam, Malaysia and the Philippines. This line has no legal foundation, in the
United States’ view, and even the Chinese don’t define just what the line
represents. The Philippine government has filed an international arbitration
claim challenging the nine-dash demarcation, so perhaps legal limits will be
placed on China’s maritime expansion.
When Chinese officials meet at international conferences such as the one in
Shanghai, they often talk about “win-win cooperation.” It’s a soothing concept,
and it has become the elevator music of international meetings. But looking at
the Pacific region, it’s hard to see any such spirit of compromise at work.
Missiles and the fear of Syria’s
opposition
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabyia
Russia’s foreign affairs ministry was ahead of Syria’s when warning of arming
the Syrian opposition with advanced weapons - air-to-surface and
surface-to-surface missiles. The Russian statements were directed against news
that Saudi Arabia intends to seal a deal that breaks the international ban on
Syria’s rebels. This is a very critical issue, and it’s also complicated due to
security, political and legal reasons. Russia’s excuse - and previously also
America’s excuse - is that Syrian opposition extremists, or those participating
in the fighting with them, may use these weapons to down jets or engage in wars
outside Syria. This has been a source of worry since day one of the revolution.
This worry has pushed Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime - along with
Iran’s support - to play the al-Qaeda card and enable terrorist groups, like the
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) and al-Nusra Front in Syria in order
to terrify not only the West but the entire world, including the Gulf states.
There are fears that terrorist groups like al-Qaeda will tomorrow down civilian
airplanes in any place it infiltrates or that it will target civilians in Europe
or the Gulf, or any country which is in a state of war against these terrorist
groups. We must not forget that it never attacked Iran or Israel or Syria before
this war. It’s not unlikely that the Syrian regime may commit these acts itself
- acts of launching rockets and then blaming the opposition in order to terrify
the world and besiege the opposition by sabotaging its international relations.
No finale
Syrian opposition leaders and Western officials have discussed this issue
several times. It’s because of this issue that the opposition was only provided
with simple weapons that cannot finalize the war in its favor. This is happening
at a time when the Russians and the Iranians are supplying Assads forces with
advanced weaponry which has killed over 100,000 people so far.
Prolonging the war by depriving the opposition of arms that finalize the war in
its favor means prolonging the age of ISIS and al-Nusra Front
This injustice must push those concerned not to accept this ban and insist on
reconsidering it. I believe that a certain segment of the opposition can be
trusted and equipped with advanced arms and that all guarantees can be achieved
to avoid suspicious parties from attaining missiles or using them outside Syrian
airspace. The other solution may to ban arming both parties and thus leave the
war in a state of a tie.
The Russians are afraid of arming the opposition with advanced weapons because
they, and the Iranians, provide direct military support on the ground -
including on the level of managing aerial shelling. This help has come in
Assad’s favor during the second half of the war. Assad’s forces without jets and
tanks cannot confront the armed opposition. Proof to that is that rebel groups
bloodied the militias of Hezbollah which is getting help logistic and aerial
help from the Iranian axis. Meanwhile, the Russians want their ally to resume
destroying all areas where there’s opposition, regardless of how many civilians
die on a daily basis.
Not the case
Due to legal and political reasons, countries in support of arming the
opposition - such as Saudi Arabia - cannot risk defying the world by equipping
the opposition with advanced weapons unless concerned parties agree. This is not
the case yet. The paradox is that although these countries stand with the Syrian
people during its ordeal, they are aware that the presence of the ISIS, al-Nusra
and similar groups pose a threat to them later. This is why Syria’s war is
complicated. There’s fighting among three parties. There’s the Assad regime
which represents Iran, terrorist groups like al-Qaeda, and the Free Syrian Army.
which is considered the only hope for a united and acceptable Syria. We know
that the coalition of Iran’s military axis - the Iranian revolutionary guards,
Assad’s forces, Hezbollah and Iraq’s militias - is suffering from a severe
drainage of its capabilities and forces during the conflict in the biggest war
they’ve been involved in. If the Syrian regime loses the war, it will be the
biggest strike against Iran and it will also be the end of Hezbollah as a
militant power. This explains why the Iranian axis is sacrificing blood and
money to win this war.
Impossible survival
Despite that, we repeat that it’s almost impossible for Assad’s regime to
survive – whether the war continues and even if support increases. This is
because of the size of the regime’s structure, the collapse of its security
institutions, its enmity with the sweeping majority of Syrians and its complete
dependence on Iran and Hezbollah. The only thing it can buy from its partial
victory is to exit governance towards exile or perhaps reach a peaceful solution
that maintains some regime remnants. Prolonging the war by depriving the
opposition of arms that finalize the war in its favor means prolonging the age
of ISIS and al-Nusra Front and increasing the capabilities of these groups - not
only in Syria but in the entire region. Not supplying the opposition with
missiles will not protect a few jets here and there. Rather, it will increase
the threat of terrorists across the world.
**This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on Feb. 27, 2013.
Israel’s new game plan with Hezbollah
and Syria
Joyce Karam/Al Arabyia
Under late Syrian President Hafez al-Assad, and for 29 years, Israel did not
once directly strike Syria outside the Arab-Israeli war of 1973. This dynamic is
quickly changing today, as the internal conflict spreads inside Syria, and
Israel repeatedly violates the country’s airspace launching more than five
strikes in the last two years, and one on the Lebanese border this week
allegedly targeting a Hezbollah weapons transfer. Publicly, Israel has not taken
responsibility to any of those strikes, probably in an attempt to contain the
repercussions. But everything from the nature of the attacks to the locations
and the parties targeted implicates the Israeli air power machinery, and “there
is no reason to think it is not the case,” says Jeffrey White, a defense fellow
at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
A new pattern
The six strikes that Israel carried recently began in Damascus on Jan. 30 of
last year, then hit Latakia before reaching Lebanon and targeting the border
town of Nabi Sheet last Monday. The strike inside Lebanon reportedly targeting
an arms shipment to Hezbollah, enforces an “old new redline” according to White.
He tells Al-Arabiya News that “part of the policy and the red line they (Israel)
have established is they will not allow Hezbollah to acquire sophisticated
weapons from Syria or from Iran through Syria.”
Israel has “made it clear that when they have the intelligence that indicates a
shipment or weapons delivery is going to occur, they are going to strike it.”
So far, both Assad and Hezbollah have avoided retaliating to Israel, and instead
promised to ‘respond at a time and place’ of their choosing
The fluidity of the situation in Syria and the deep involvement of Hezbollah in
the fighting that enters its fourth year next month has heightened Israeli and
U.S. concerns about the risk of the Assad regime passing sophisticated weapons
to the Lebanese group. Jeffrey White who worked for 34 years with the U.S.
Defense Intelligence Agency lists the type of weapons that qualify in this
category. Primarily, they include “sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles that
would threaten Israel’s ability to operate its air force.”
This means targeting “the SA 17 missiles, S-300 system if it were to be sent to
Syria.” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly warned Russian
President Vladimir Putin last year that his government would hit the S-300
missiles if they were to be delivered to Assad. Among the weaponry that could be
targeted by Israel are “surface to surface missiles, particularly the ones that
have accurate capability,” says White, as well as “anti-ship cruise missiles,
that Israel struck near Latakia” twice recently.
Less fear of retaliation
The frequency in Israel’s strikes is a product of the Syrian conflict and “a
larger capability for Israel to operate with reduced risk against Syria or
Hezbollah, and hence a greater ability to act” explains White.
So far, both Assad and Hezbollah have avoided retaliating to Israel, and instead
promised to “respond at a time and place” of their choosing. But the reality on
the ground, and the bitter long track of the Syrian conflict shows a difficult
path for Hezbollah or the Syrian regime to respond imminently. “Fighting two
fronts at the same time is not on the table,” says White, pointing to a
“constrained Hezbollah” and degraded Syrian army.
Hezbollah certainly “has options to but they all are risky” says White. Those
options include “attacking Israeli interest not along the border, but Europe or
South America”, a mission that has proven more complex after the indictment in
the Bulgaria bombing in 2012, and the jailing of a Hezbollah operative in Cyprus
in 2013 over plotting such attacks.
Risk Hezbollah, says White, could also choose to “carry limited military action
on the Lebanese border using surrogates or its own members in the hopes that the
Israelis would not react to it.” But that entails lot of risk if Israel
escalates. The Golan Heights is another front where Hezbollah and the Assad
regime could “create an incident” says the expert, but there is also the risk of
heavy Israeli retaliation.
Despite the six strikes, “there is a degree of mutual deterrence now,” and to
avoid an open war between Israel and Hezbollah, that the party might choose to
keep. As for Assad, the “capacity of his regime to strike against Israel is
greatly degraded by the war and the Syrian military apparatus has been
significantly weakened,” adds White.
For the time being and “unless one side decides to quit or get into significant
escalation” it is fair to expect the pattern of strikes to continue if and when
Hezbollah tries to acquire sophisticated weapons. It is a pattern that reflects
a new geopolitical and military balance for Israel, and a more complex reality
for Hezbollah.
Pro-Moscow coup in Crimea. Russian
fighter jets on W. border on combat alert. Kiev deploys security forces
DEBKAfile Special Report February 27, 2014/The Russian defense ministry
announced Thursday, Feb. 27 that fighter jets stood on combat alert along its
western borders with Ukraine. Moscow repeated its commitment to protect
Russian-speaking elements in the Crimean Peninsula. Earlier, armed men carried
out a pro-Russian coup in the Crimean capital, by seizing government and
parliamentary buildings and hoisting Russian flags – in response to the
pro-European coup in Kiev. Forces loyal to the provisional government in Kiev
meanwhile surround the area which they say was occupied by “criminals in army
fatigues.”
The pro-Russian coup came on the heels of a day of violent clashes between
pro-Russian and pro-European protesters in the Crimean capital, prompting a
Russian military alert. DEBKAfile: Witnesses in Crimea Wednesday night saw
Russian military equipment moving into the peninsula. We reported earlier that
Vladimir Putin would never relinquish Russian control of the Crimean peninsula
and its military bases there - or more particularly the big Black Sea naval base
at Sevastopol.
Read DEBKAfile's report of Wednesday, Feb. 26.
There is no way that President Vladimir Putin will relinquish Russian control of
the Crimean peninsula and its military bases there - or more particularly the
big Black Sea naval base at Sevastopol. This military stronghold is the key to
Russia’s Middle East policy. If it is imperiled, so too are Russia’s military
posture in Syria and its strategic understandings with Iran.
This peril raised its head Wednesday, Feb. 26, when pro-Russian and pro-European
protesters clashed violently in the Crimean town of Simferopol, the Peninsula’s
financial and highway hub.
Most of the protesters against Moscow were members of the minority Tatar
community, who had gathered from around the region to demand that Crimea accept
Kiev rule.
The majority population is Russian speaking and fought the Tatar demonstrators.
However, rival historic claims to this strategic peninsula were in full flight,
sparking red lights in Moscow to danger.
The Tatars ruled Crimea in the 18th century. If they manage to expel Russian
influence from Simferopol and then the rest of the region, it would be the
signal for dozens of the small peoples who make up the Russian Federation to go
into separatist mode and raise the flags of mutiny. The Kremlin is therefore
bound to nip the Tatar outbreak in the bud to save Russia.
And so, Putin ordered Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to stage an urgent four-day
drill to test the combat readiness of Russian military forces in central and
western Russia, starting with a high alert for the military and the deployment
of some units to shooting ranges.
The exercise will involve Russia’s Baltic and Northern Fleets and its air force.
In a televised statement after a meeting of top military officials in Moscow,
defense minister Gen. Shoigu said the forces “must be ready to bomb unfamiliar
testing grounds” and be "ready for action in crisis situations that threaten the
nation’s military security.”
A senior Russian lawmaker on Tuesday told pro-Russia activists in Ukraine's
Crimean Peninsula that Moscow will protect them if their lives are in danger.
The Russian president’s military move Wednesday signaled his readiness to send
his army into Ukraine and divide the country, if Moscow’s national interests and
the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine are at stake. Having broadcast that
message, Putin will now wait to see if it picked up by Washington and Brussels
for action to restrain the new authorities in Kiev.
But it is no longer certain how much control Western powers have over the former
protesters of Kiev, who appear to have taken the bit between their teeth.