LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
September 15/2013
Bible Quotation
for today/The Judgment Day
Matthews 25/31-46:
"But when the Son of Man comes in his glory, and
all the holy angels with him, then he will sit on the
throne of his glory. Before him all the nations will be
gathered, and he will separate them one from another, as
a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats. He
will set the sheep on his right hand, but the goats on
the left. Then the King will tell those on his
right hand, ‘Come, blessed of my Father, inherit the
Kingdom prepared for you from the foundation of the
world; for I was hungry, and you gave me food to eat. I
was thirsty, and you gave me drink. I was a stranger,
and you took me in. I was naked, and you clothed
me. I was sick, and you visited me. I was in prison, and
you came to me.’ “Then the righteous will answer
him, saying, ‘Lord, when did we see you hungry, and feed
you; or thirsty, and give you a drink? When did we see
you as a stranger, and take you in; or naked, and clothe
you? When did we see you sick, or in prison, and
come to you?’ “The King will answer them, ‘Most
certainly I tell you, inasmuch as you did it to one of
the least of these my brothers, you did it to me.’
Then he will say also to those on the left hand, ‘Depart
from me, you cursed, into the eternal fire which is
prepared for the devil and his angels; for I was
hungry, and you didn’t give me food to eat; I was
thirsty, and you gave me no drink; I was a
stranger, and you didn’t take me in; naked, and you
didn’t clothe me; sick, and in prison, and you didn’t
visit me.’ “Then they will also answer, saying,
‘Lord, when did we see you hungry, or thirsty, or a
stranger, or naked, or sick, or in prison, and didn’t
help you?’ Then he will answer them, saying, ‘Most
certainly I tell you, inasmuch as you didn’t do it to
one of the least of these, you didn’t do it to me.’
These will go away into eternal punishment, but the
righteous into eternal life.”
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports,
letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
A real interim choice for
Syria/By Dr. Walid Phares/September 15/13
Obama’s
Speech of Contradictions: Leadership Lost/Raghida Dergham/Al
Hayat/September 15/13
The
Ironies Of Postponing A Military Strike Against Syria/Walid
Choucair/Al Hayat/September 15/13
Revolutions Change Arab Societies/Husam Itani/Al
Hayat/September 15/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For September 15/13
Lebanese Related
News
Saqr Orders Arresting 3 Syrians
over the Baabda Rocket Case, Detains Asir Supporter
Miqati: Various Proposals on
New Govt. are Complicating Salam's Mission
Two People Injured as Syrian
Rockets Hit the Bekaa
Serra Meets Miqati, Says
UNIFIL, Army 'Partnership' Is Basis for Troops' Success
Shells Hit Two Akkar Towns amid
Fierce Battle near Grand River
Bahrain Bans Books on Hizbullah
because they 'Spread Hatred, Sectarianism'
Hariri Backs Suleiman Statement
on Baabda Declaration, Says Agreement a 'Serious Roadmap
for Pacification'
Drug Smuggling Attempt Thwarted
at Airport
Geagea says Baabda Declaration
necessary for state
Deep freeze
Siniora, Sleiman discuss local
situation, Cabinet
Battles rage in Syria
Christian town: security source
Miscellaneous Reports And News
FSA Spokesman: Syria shifts
chemicals to Iraq and Hezbollah
Ban: Assad a war criminal
Obama Welcomes Syria Chemical
Bid, Expects Assad Compliance: U.S. Ready for Military
Action if Diplomacy Fails
Syrian rebel leader says
US-Russian deal a blow to uprising
Syria Rebel Chief Rejects
U.S.-Russia Chemical Arms Deal
EU welcomes Syria deal, offers
to help implement it
Hundreds of fleeing Syrian
refugees reach Italian coast
U.S., Russia Agree Plan on
Syria's Chemical Weapons
Report: Major Powers Keen to
Hold Conference to Back Lebanon's Stability
U.S., Russia strike deal on
Syria chemical weapons
Iran Says U.S. No Longer Has
Pretext to Attack Syria
Al Qaeda calls for attacks
inside United States
Assad Gets a Week to Reveal
Chemical Arms Stockpile
Syria Opposition Names New
Interim Premier
Chapter 7 a Breakthrough in
U.N.'s Syria Drama
EU Offers to Help Implement
U.S.-Russia Deal on Syria as France, UK Hail
'Breakthrough'
Egypt police warn Islamist
protesters
The Late Bachir
Gemayal: The Grain of Wheat & the Yeast
By: Elias Bejjani
September 14, 2013
John 12:24: "Most
certainly I tell you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it
remains by itself alone. But if it dies, it bears much fruit."
On September 14,
1982, on the day Lebanon was celebrating the Day of the Holy Cross,
its
President-elect, Sheik Bachir
Gemayel, passed away
into the hands of the Almighty God after carrying the cross of the country to
heaven. He was not even 34 years old, but what he achieved for the freedom and
dignity of Lebanon places him among the great men who left a stamp of glory on
the history of Lebanon.
Bachir,
the hero, dreamt of
a sovereign, free and independent Lebanon, and his dream became the objective of
all free-minded Lebanese men and women. And even as the hands of evil and hatred
took him away through a cowardly assassination plot (14/09/82), his dream lives
on in the fiber of our people and their conscience for as long as the Cedars of
Lebanon tower over the country from their peaks.
Today we remember Bachir in our prayers. We
also remember his fallen
comrades who gave so much for our beloved country, and we learn from their
sacrifice many a lesson. With this 31 remembrance day, our hopes are renewed,
our determination is re-energized, and our commitment to the cause is
re-confirmed.
Bachir’s bright star was high in the skies
of Lebanon and with it the hopes of the Lebanese people. But the joy was killed
and the hopes dashed when his star fell from the skies, a martyr to his noble
ambitions aiming at building a strong Lebanon, confirmed in its sovereignty and
independence.
Bachir believed that "the one
Lebanon is the Lebanon of the 10,452 km2,
that the Lebanese must win back completely so that it belongs to its sons and
daughters in all their communities, creeds, and beliefs". But even as he
departed, what he believed in remains in the hearts and minds of all the
Lebanese people.
Bachir was raised on the cross of Lebanon on the day we remember the Cross. He
was killed in a political act at the intersection of the interests of nations,
individuals, and terrorist groups that feared for their own egotistical
interests should a unified, free and sovereign Lebanon rise from its ashes.
Bachir established the framework and then was unjustly taken from us too soon.
Those same regimes of evil, Syria and Iran, and groups and factions like the
terrorists, Hezbollah, continue today to hold the Lebanese people and their
country hostage to their greed, hatred, and savage schemes. They have mastered
the art of subservience and bowing at the doorstep of the forces of occupation.
They are shepherds of doom who have reneged on every pledge they made and
abandoned their flock.
They are factions whose job is to drive wedges between the free people of the
Land of the Cedars, assassinating their aspirations and hopes in deed, thought,
decision and execution. They assassinate Lebanon every morning and every hour of
their waking day, killing its sovereignty, its free decision-making, its
democracy and culture.
Bachir's venomous assassination still lingers to this day in all its ugliness,
its corruption and its neglect. It still lingers in its displacement and
emigration, dhimmitude, apostasy, with economic, social, financial, political,
security and patriotic decline.It still lingers with the rule of personal over
national interests. It still lingers with the dismemberment of the political
parties; the politicization of the judiciary; the truncation of sovereignty with
the imposition of foreign interference, and the abandonment of human, religious
and ethical values.
Bachir’s dream is here to stay and
will never disappear, because it is
the dream of a people who want a dignified life, a dream that calls upon unity,
sovereignty and peace.
We are today together to remember the martyrdom of Bachir
and his 22 comrades, lifting
our eyes and hearts in the midst of danger and trouble to the redeemer of
suffering humanity, Jesus-Christ, who said "And if I were to rise above
the earth, I shall take with me everyone" (John12/32). We ask Him for
light, faith, strength, and hope to continue our march forward and lift
ourselves, our homeland, and our people to victory, to peace, to righteousness,
to freedom and to all that is good in this world. For Bachir
is alive in our beings and in our minds.
Sheik Bachir, Lebanon's elected president who was assassinated before
assuming his presidential
responsibilities was and still is the patriotic blessed yeast that was brewed
and produced solid foundations of freedom, sovereignty and independence, as well
as perseverance and hope in all Lebanese minds and hearts.
See:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jp0_NJaLhb4
.
Terrorists and powers of evil could not destroy the dream that Bachir left for
us. Even the gates of hell shall not be able to shake our deeply-rooted faith
in peace, love and democracy. Bachir is the grain of wheat and the yeast.
Bachir's dream is alive and glowing. As expressed in Galatians 5:9: "A
little yeast grows through the whole lump".
N.B: The aboce piece was first published in 2009
FSA Spokesman: Syria shifts chemicals to Iraq and Hezbollah
http://www.aawsat.net/2013/09/article55316795
Beirut, Asharq Al-Awsat—The Syrian
opposition has accused the Assad regime of transferring one of the world’s
largest chemical arsenals to Iraq and Hezbollah in Lebanon. If the claim proves
to be true, the move would cast doubt on Damascus’s intention to comply with the
US and Russian plan to place the Assad regime’s chemical equipment under
international supervision.
Free Syrian Army (FSA) spokesman Luai Al-Mekdad told Asharq Al-Awsat that the
Assad regime is “preparing to transfer part of its [chemical] arsenal to Iraq
under the supervision of Iran’s Quds Force,” noting that Damascus is “returning
the Iraqi chemical arsenal, which Saddam Hussein had sent to Syria before the
2003 Iraq war.”
Mekdad, who claimed to have received this information from special sources
within the Syrian government, said that the “regime is waiting for technical
circumstances” before it ships the chemicals to Baghdad, a step which will be
taken “with the knowledge of the Iraqi prime minister Nouri Al-Maliki and under
the supervision of the pro-Assad [Iraqi] militias.”
Mekdad said the US should not “fall into the trap twice,” implying that Iraq now
will retain its chemical arsenal.
Another likely destination for the weapons is Hezbollah in Lebanon, which Mekdad
said “received the first batch of chemical weapons almost a year ago . . . and
now is preparing to receive the second batch, which it will stockpile in areas
along the border with Syria, as well as in Baalbek in the Beqaa Valley.”
“Hezbollah has prepared several highly fortified depots in several locations
that are under its control in Beqaa, as well as in the border zone in
preparation for receiving the chemical weapons,” he added.
The West estimates Syria is in possession of 1,000 tons of chemical warheads and
rockets, as well as liquid toxins. They are thought to be distributed across
Syria, including in the Rif Dimashq Governorate and the mountains of Latakia.
On Friday the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW)
said that Syria’s Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Al-Mekdad contacted it
requesting technical help, one day after the civil-war torn country became a
full-member in the chemical weapon watchdog organisation
In Kerry-Lavrov Syrian chemical accord scant
punishment. Assad is free to pursue war
DEBKAfile Special Report September 14, 2013/
http://www.debka.com/article/23279/In-Kerry-Lavrov-Syrian-chemical-accord-scant-punishment-Assad-is-free-to-pursue-war
The framework accord for destroying Syria’s chemical stockpiles, which US
Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
announced at a news conference in Geneva Saturday, Sept 14, covers important
ground - but leaves even more important issues unaddressed. Its implementation
depends on the full cooperation of Bashar Assad and his army for securing the
process. He is therefore assured of staying in power and free to wage war
unhindered.
This assurance was incorporated in Kerry’s words that the agreement can end the
chemical threat to the Syrian people, its neighbors and the region only “if
fully implemented.”
The US Secretary listed the six points of that accord:
1. It included a shared assessment of the amounts and types of Syrian regime’s
chemical weaopons stockpiles.
debkafile: Earlier reports spoke of a 40-percent disparity between the US and
Russian assessments.
2. The Syrian regime has one week until Sept. 21 to submit a comprehensive
listing, including names, types and quantities of its chemical weapons agents,
types of munitions and local and foreign storage, production and research and
development facilities.
The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons-OPCW, which usually
allows 30 days, has agreed to extraordinary procedures to assure the inspection
and destruction of all CW stocks.
3. Inspectors must be on the ground by November and the destruction of CW
completed by mid-2014.
--- On this point, the Russian foreign minister was less specific:
Implementation of the agreed framework for the removal and destruction of
Syria’s chemical weapons must be supported by an “OPCW investigation and a
Security Council resolution,” he said, indicating a process of several months.
debkafile: This timeline could stretch out even longer because of the technical
difficulties of destroying not just stocks but also manufacturing plant and the
facilities for mixing and loading the chemical and biological agents on weapons
of delivery.
4. Syria must provide immediate and unfettered access to its CW sites.
5. All CW including stocks inside and outside Syria must be surrendered and
destroyed on-site, or if necessary outside the country.
6. Non-compliance would entail the approval of Article 7 of the UN charter which
provides for legally binding military or non-military sanctions.
Lavrov’s version
--- On this point, too, Lavrov elaborated on Moscow’s position: Violations must
be first investigated and confirmed by the OPCW before coming before the UN
Security Council for a new resolution mandating “concrete measures.” These may
not entail military action, said the Russian foreign minister, “which would be
catastrophic.”
Although this word was not mentioned, the accord leaves Moscow free to use its
veto once again to bar punitive action against Syria.
In answer to a reporter’s question, Kerry later insisted that the Syrian regime
would be held fully accountable for non-compliance with its commitments and the
US president retained the power and right to pursue military measures
““commensurate with the [Syrian ruler’s] level of accountability” without UN
approval if diplomacy failed to achieve its end.
At the same time, the US secretary allowed that the US and Russians were agreed
that Syria would be disarmed of its chemical weapons by diplomatic, not
military, means.
Lavrov departed from Kerry’s presentation of their accord on more points:
a) All chemical weapons must be destroyed – not just those in the hands of the
Assad regime, but also the Syrian rebels. This laid the groundwork for the
Syrian ruler to delay compliance by pointing a finger at Israel.
b) Military action against Syria was ruled out a priori.
c) The Russian-US accord on Syria’s chemical weapons must lead to an
international conference to discuss the declaration of the Middle East as a
region free of weapons of mass destruction, which is Moscow’s ultimate aim.
This supported Assad’s stipulation which has made his implementation of the
Chemical Weapons Convention contingent on Israel ratifying the CWC which it
signed in 1993, as a step on the road to demanding its nuclear disarmament.
Secretary Kerry made no comments on this point.
d) The US will contribute the funding and other resources for destroying Syria’s
chemical weapons, and ask other world powers to participate.
More omissions
While the US secretary repeatedly praised President Vladimir Putin for
initiating Syria’s handover of chemical weapons, Lavrov omitted to reciprocate
with commendations of President Barack Obama.
debkafile’s intelligence and military sources see five conspicuous omissions in
the way of the “full implementation” of the US-Russian Geneva Agreement:
--- The timeline is left open. In none of his speeches and interviews did
President Obama set deadlines for the eradication of Syria’s poison chemicals,
and the dates set by Kerry Saturday in Geneva are unrealistic.
--- Russia and the Syrian ruler were left with the impression that Obama has
opted against bringing Assad to account for using chemical weapons in order to
keep his war afloat from a position of strength. Indeed the US president appears
not to be averse to letting him stay in power.
Neither Kerry nor Lavrov answered the reporter who asked simply: “Why didn’t you
first of all try and stop the war?"
--- Notwithstanding the impression Kerry tried to convey at the news conference,
Obama has clearly discarded the military option as a means of keeping Assad
under pressure to comply with his commitment to dismantle his chemical weapons.
Even if Washington decided to invoke Article 7 to punish Syria for
non-compliance with the accord, the Russian veto still hangs over this step.
--- Rescued from an imminent American military threat, the Syria ruler is free
to surrender only a small part of his chemical resources and, with the support
of his Russian and Iranian allies, hold back sufficient poison gas to save
himself if he risks losing the war. He can continue to
ignore the evidence found by US intelligence agencies that the Syrian army was
guilty of using chemical weapons against civilians in Homs, Aleppo and Idlib –
even before the poison gas massacre of Aug. 21 east of Damascus.
When on April 24, Brig. Gen. Itay Brun, head of Israeli Military
Intelligence research stated publicly: "We have recently detected the Syrian
army’s repeated use of lethal chemical weapons, apparently sarin,” the White
House in Washington was up in arms and made Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
and Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon promise that such slips of the tongue would
not recur.
Sunday, Sept. 15, Secretary Kerry is expected in Israel for a one-day trip.
He faces two uphill tasks: He must convince Israel that there is no
danger of Syrian chemical weapons being passed to the Lebanese Hizballah and so
diverted from international control; and that the US-Russian deal on Syria is
not a template for letting Tehran off the hook on its nuclear program. That is
the foremost of Israel’s concerns.
Christians cannot allow Middle East fundamentalism: Rai
September 14, 2013/The Daily Star /BEIRUT:
Cardinal Beshara Rai said Saturday that Christians should act to stop the spread
of fundamentalism and terrorism in the region. “The
Christian presence in the east dates back over two thousand years and it is
essential to spreading the values of peace, love and co-existence,” Rai said in
a sermon marking the Holy Cross Day, speaking from Romania’s Bucharest. “The
Christians cannot tolerate or allow the spread of terrorism and fundamentalism
in the Middle East,” he said. Celebrations were held in different Lebanese
regions to mark the Holy Cross Day celebration, and leading religious figures
held services for the occasion. In north Lebanon, a service was held in Koura at
the Saint Barbara monastery in Ras Masqa town. The town’s priest Father Nicolas
Daoud presided over a ceremony and stressed the importance the cross had for
Christians. The town was decorated with candles spread on the roads and at the
roofs of buildings. In Jezzine, a celebration was held
in Mar Maroun church for the Feast of the Holy Cross.
Ban: Assad a war criminal
September 14, 2013/The Daily Star
GENEVA/BEIRUT: U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon Friday accused Syrian President Bashar
Assad of crimes against humanity ahead of an “overwhelming” U.N. report he said
confirmed chemical weapons were used in Syria. Ban’s explosive comments came as
Washington and Moscow held their second day of crucial talks on dismantling
Syria’s chemical weapons arsenal. Though he did not
blame the regime directly for poisongas use, Ban said U.N. experts would confirm
in the report to be released next week that chemical weapons were used in an
attack that killed hundreds. Assad has vowed to
relinquish his chemical arms, after the alleged attack prompted threats of
military strikes. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry
and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov were holding talks in Geneva Friday to
hammer out the details of a Russian plan that emerged this week.
The last-minute Russian initiative caused U.S. President Barack Obama to back
away from planned military strikes in response to the attack, which Washington
blames on the regime and says killed about 1,400 people.
Washington has warned the regime that further steps will be needed before
military action would be off the table.
Obama said he hoped talks on the plan were successful, but said he would insist
any deal was “verifiable and enforceable,”
“I shared with the emir my hope that the negotiations that are currently taking
place between Secretary of State Kerry and Foreign Minister Lavrov in Geneva
bear fruit,” Obama said after meeting in the White House with Kuwait’s emir,
Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah
“But I repeated what I’ve said publicly, which is any agreement needs to be
verifiable and enforceable.”
At the United Nations, Ban lashed out at Assad and said inspectors would publish
an “overwhelming report” that chemical weapons were used.
He said the Syrian leader had “carried out many crimes against humanity” and
insisted there had to be “accountability” once Syria’s civil war was over.
In Geneva, Russian and U.S. officials said they hoped the chemical weapons talks
would open the door to wider efforts to end Syria’s conflict, which has claimed
more than 110,000 lives since March 2011.
Kerry said he would meet Lavrov again later this month – probably around Sept.
28 – to try to set a date for a long-delayed peace conference.
He said Washington and Moscow were “working hard to find common ground” to get
peace talks going in Geneva that would bring together Assad’s regime and the
opposition.
Much of the way forward “will obviously depend on the capacity to have success
here in the next day, hours, days, on the subject of the chemical weapons,”
Kerry told reporters after meeting with Lavrov and the U.N.-Arab League envoy to
Syria, Lakhdar Brahimi.
Lavrov said he also hoped a “basically abandoned” peace plan first agreed in
Geneva in June last year would be revived.
“We agreed to meet in New York in the margins of the [U.N.] General Assembly and
see where we are, and what the Syrian parties think about it and do about it,”
Lavrov said.
The French presidency said Kerry, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius and
British Foreign Secretary William Hague would hold further talks on Syria in
Paris Monday.
Assad confirmed for the first time Thursday that Syria planned to relinquish its
chemical weapons, and Russian President Vladimir Putin urged the international
community to take him seriously.
“This confirms the serious intentions of our partners to go along this path,”
Putin said at a security summit in Kyrgyzstan.
Syria Thursday filed documents at the United Nations seeking to join the
international convention banning chemical weapons and said it now considers
itself a full member.
A U.N. spokesman said Friday the organization had asked Syria for more
information about its application, but he declined to say what was missing from
the documents filed.
France – Washington’s main backer on military strikes – also said Friday that
Syria had not yet not done enough, calling for a binding Security Council
resolution that would authorize force if Assad does not give up his arsenal.
“The Syrian regime’s announcements are certainly very useful but also certainly
insufficient,” French Foreign Ministry spokesman Philippe Lalliot said.
Fueling concerns about Assad’s sincerity, reports emerged Friday that a secret
Syrian military unit was scattering the chemical weapons stockpile around the
country.
Russia has not revealed many details of its plan, but Russian media report that
it calls for a four-step process for the weapons handover.
Reports say the plan calls for Damascus to join the Organization for the
Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, declare the locations of its chemical arms,
allow OPCW inspectors access and finally arrange for destruction of the arsenal.
A spokesman for the Hague-based OPCW said it would meet next week to
examine Syria’s request.
Syria’s opposition National Coalition said it was “deeply skeptical” of the
government’s move and urged a tough U.N. resolution to enforce the measure.
“It is vital the threat of force stays on the table. For a [Security Council]
resolution to be anything other than a get-out-of-jail-free card for the regime,
it must be enforceable under Chapter 7,” allowing military action, it said in a
statement. The French presidency said meanwhile that
France, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Jordan had agreed to give
more help to the Syrian opposition in its battle against Assad.
After a meeting in Paris, French President Francois Hollande and foreign
ministers from the three countries “agreed on the need to strengthen
international support for the democratic opposition to allow it to face attacks
by the regime,” Hollande’s office said in a statement.
Geagea says Baabda Declaration necessary for state
September 14, 2013 /The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea said Saturday that the Baabda
Declaration, an agreement to distance Lebanon from the Syrian conflict, is
necessary for building a strong state.
“The Baabda Declaration is the minimum needed for establishing an effective
state in Lebanon,” Geagea said in an interview to the Free Lebanon radio station
on Saturday. “The capable state in Lebanon is still a
far away dream but we will continue to reach such aim,” he said.
The LF leader also criticized Hezbollah, saying that the party’s
participation in the fighting in Syria alongside the Syrian regime was “scaring
tourists and investors away and harming the country’s financial situation.”
The Baabda Declaration is an agreement between Lebanon’s opposing
political leaders made in 2012 that calls for distancing Lebanon from regional
conflicts.
Deep freeze
September 14, 2013/The Daily Star
Few people have any remaining doubts about the fact that political life in
Lebanon has entered a state of deep freeze as a result of the crisis next door
in Syria. For months, or a few years, politicians from
all sides of the spectrum have been accusing each other of getting involved in
the war in Syria. Throughout much of 2013, the situation steadily evolved into
serious gridlock, with the executive and legislative branches of government in
limbo. In nearly every political faction, one hears the argument that nothing of
any political significance can take place in Lebanon until the situation in
Syria becomes clear. On one level, this behavior is
understandable – a politician who tells people that nothing will change in
Lebanon until the situation in Syria becomes clear might be viewed as an
experienced, seasoned “player” in the national game.
But such a stance exposes the lack of independence from which many Lebanese
political factions suffer and a frightening lack of concern about the country’s
future.
Certainly, it might seem “wise” and “realistic” to say that nothing can happen
until things become clear in Syria, but the latest chapter in the saga next door
should serve as a wake-up call for Lebanese politicians.
After a dramatic crescendo or rhetoric that indicated Western military
intervention was just around the corner, the situation has now moved to one of
intensive negotiations between Moscow and Washington. However, the focus has
been on chemical weapons, and not finding a solution to Syria’s political
crisis.
The diplomatic and political tug-of-war over chemical weapons could eat up
another month, or three, or six. Perhaps it will require a few years to sort
out. And if one engages in reasonable speculation, the war itself in Syria could
easily last for a few years, or longer. And in all of these scenarios, there is
the possibility that in the end, no one side in Syria will be able to exert full
control. Therefore, those who are waiting for one side in Syria to emerge
triumphant might be in for a rude surprise when all is said and done.
Meanwhile, back in Lebanon, the damage and harm that comes from waiting
for a solution in Syria might build up to intolerable levels. Perhaps there are
some national issues so divisive that they truly require a resolution of the
Syrian war before serious work can begin on them.
But this approach should not be applied to the state of affairs in Lebanon in
general; otherwise, paralysis will lead to collapse and fragmentation. Putting
things in deep freeze is a dangerous tactic; there are a whole range of policy
items that can be worked out without being affected by the crisis in Syria.
The sooner that politicians specify the few things that truly deserve a
postponement, the better for Lebanon and its long-suffering public. Because
everything else requires serious work, right away.
Battles rage in Syria Christian town: security source
September 14, 2013/Daily Star
DAMASCUS: Syria's army battled rebels for control of the ancient Christian town
of Maaloula near Damascus on Saturday, a security official told AFP, a week
after opposition fighters took the area. At the same
time, rebel units were fighting jihadists in the east, near the border with
Iraq, as were Kurdish fighters in Hasakeh province in the northeast, the Syria
Observatory for Human Rights said. "The army is
continuing its mission in Maaloula. There are still some terrorist pockets in
the north of the town, in the Al-Safir hotel and its surroundings, as well as in
the hills surrounding the town," the official from the security services said on
condition of anonymity. President Bashar al-Assad's
regime has consistently labelled opponents as "terrorists" since the outbreak of
the revolt in March 2011 that has killed more than 110,000 people.
"The army has made some progress," the official added, saying the battle
for Maaloula has been hard because the army did not want to bomb the town.
The Britain-based Observatory said the air force was carrying out strikes
to support the ground operation, with the security source saying the town itself
was not being targeted to protect its ancient churches and other heritage sites.
Picturesque Maaloula is nestled under a large cliff, whose summit is
controlled by the rebels, making it difficult for the army to advance.
Last week, the Observatory and residents said rebel forces, including
jihadists linked to Al-Qaeda, had overrun the town.
Civilians started fleeing the town for Damascus and the neighbouring Sunni
village of Ain al-Tine, fearing an imminent escalation.
On Tuesday, rebels announced they would withdraw from Maaloula, but that
this was "conditional" on pro-regime forces not taking their place.
The town, home to about 5,000 people, is strategically important for
rebels, who are trying to tighten their grip on Damascus and already have bases
circling the capital. In other developments, the
Observatory said regime air strikes elsewhere had killed three women and a child
near Damascus. In Deir Ezzor province, near the Iraqi
border, it said there was fighting between rebels and units of the jihadist
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) in Albu Kamal, with five people
killed. And in Hasakeh province, in the northeast,
Kurdish fighters clashed with elements of ISIS and another jihadist group, the
Al-Nusra Front. In July, the Kurds drove the jihadists
out of the area after fierce fighting.
Report: Major Powers Keen to Hold Conference to Back Lebanon's Stability
Naharnet/World powers are keen on holding a conference on Lebanon given the
instability in the region, most notably the Syrian crisis, reported As Safir
newspaper on Saturday. An official Lebanese source
said that Russia, China, the United States, and France are in agreement to hold
a conference to support Lebanon's stability in order to keep it away from
regional conflicts, especially the unrest in Syria.
The meeting will also support Lebanon's economy, its army, and efforts to harbor
the Syrian refugees. The conference is likely to be
held at the United Nations headquarters in New York.
The source credited President Michel Suleiman for his efforts to hold the
conference, saying that it was discussed during a recent telephone call between
him and United States Secretary of State John Kerry earlier this week.
According to the source, Kerry voiced his eagerness to ensure the success
of the conference, stressing that it should help restore international,
regional, and Arab support for Lebanon “after the Lebanese sensed that this
backing had waned in light of recent security developments in the country.”
Another meeting on helping Lebanon cater to the needs to the Syrian is
scheduled to be held on the margins of the U.N.'s annual General Assembly
scheduled for later this month.
Saqr Orders Arresting 3 Syrians over the Baabda Rocket
Case, Detains Asir Supporter
Naharnet /State Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Saqr
Saqr ordered on Saturday the detainment of three new people over their alleged
involvement in the launching of rockets towards Baabda on August 1.
"Saqr order the arrest of three Syrian suspects over the Baabda rocket launching
case,” the state-run National News Agency reported.
The NNA added that the suspects were referred to Military Examining Magistrate
Fadi Sawwan for prosecution. On Thursday, Sawwan issued an arrest warrant
against Jamal Ismail over his alleged involvement in the firing of rockets
towards Baabda. And on August 30, Saqr ordered the
detention of suspects allegedly involved in the cases of firing rockets from
Ballouneh on Baabda and from the South towards Israel. Media reports had said
that the suspected intended to target the Defense Ministry in Yarze. But one
rocket hit a high-voltage power line in a nearby town and a second rocket failed
to launch. The launchpads were found in Ballouneh. On August 1, two rockets
fired from an area near the town of Aramoun in Aley struck locations near the
presidential palace and the Defense Ministry in Baabda.
Meanwhile, the NNA also revealed that Saqr arrested on Saturday a
supporter of Salafist cleric Ahmed al-Asir over his alleged involvement in the
fighting against the army in the southern town of Abra in June.
The detainee was referred to First Military Investigation Judge Riyad Abu
Ghida for further investigation, the same source added.
On June 23, Asir's supporters opened fire on an army checkpoint leaving
around 18 soldiers and more than 20 gunmen dead. The gunbattles concentrated in
the area of Bilal Bin Rabah Mosque and nearby buildings in Abra in the southern
city of Sidon. Since then, many Asir supporters men
were detained for their alleged involvement in the armed clashes.
However, Asir, a 45-year-old cleric who supports the overwhelmingly Sunni
rebels fighting to topple Syrian President Bashar Assad, is no where to be
found.
Miqati: Various Proposals on New Govt. are Complicating Salam's Mission
Naharnet/Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Miqati noted that the various
initiatives being proposed to form a government are only complicating
Premier-designate Tammam Salam's mission, reported al-Liwaa newspaper on
Saturday. He told the daily: “The proposals only complicate his mission because
they vary between one camp and the other.” Moreover, he said that the rival
March 8 and 14 camps are each banking on the developments in Syria in a hope
that its outcome will fall in their favor. Addressing calls for the resumption
of national dialogue, Miqati said: “Despite all sides' demands for a return to
the all-party talks, no one is actually taking practical steps to that end.”
On Friday, Development and Liberation bloc MPs met with President Michel
Suleiman and Miqati to brief them on Speaker Nabih Berri's “roadmap” on the new
government and the national dialogue.
The speaker has called for the resumption of national dialogue at the Baabda
palace for a period of at least five consecutive days to discuss the form and
policy statement of the future cabinet.
He said Salam should attend the talks that bring together the March 8 and 14
alliances. He also called for reviving talks on a new
electoral law, supporting the military to deal with arms proliferated in several
regions and addressing a national defense strategy, a reference to Hizbullah's
arms.
Bahrain Bans Books on Hizbullah because they 'Spread Hatred, Sectarianism'
Naharnet /Bahrain authorities banned books on Hizbullah, and published by a
publishing house linked to the party, during a cultural exposition, reported the
Bahrain News Agency on Friday. The Bahrain Ministry of
Information Affairs said in a statement that the books “promote sectarianism,
hatred, and extremist radical ideologies.”“These ideologies are a direct threat
to the safety and security of Bahrain,” it explained.
“The attempt to import these books is a blatant and heinous violation against
the will and sovereignty of Bahrain due to the poisonous sectarianism and
ideologies that target the unity of the Bahraini society,” it added.
“Freedom of opinion and expression will be preserved in the kingdom as
long as it does not violate the sovereignty and security of others,” stressed
the ministry. The GCC monarchies decided on June 10 to
impose sanctions on Hizbullah, targeting residency permits and its financial and
business activities in reprisal for the group's armed intervention in Syria.
The council comprises Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the
United Arab Emirates. Bahrain had already blacklisted
Hizbullah “due to its meddling in the country's internal affairs.”Ties between
the party and Bahrain had witnessed tensions due to the party's strong support
of a popular uprising in the country that began in 2011.
Shells Hit Two Akkar Towns amid Fierce Battle near Grand River
Naharnet/Shells fired from the Syrian side of the border fell on the
outskirts of the Akkar towns of al-Noura and al-Dabbabiyeh on Friday, prompting
residents to flee the area en masse, state-run National News Agency reported.
“A state of fear and anxiety is engulfing these border towns and some
residents have fled to safer places,” NNA said. “A major gunbattle involving the
use of all sorts of heavy weapons is currently taking place near the Grand
River,” the agency added. Meanwhile, Future TV said
Syrian artillery shelling was targeting "the Lebanese border area between
Western Dabbabiyeh and al-Noura and residents are fleeing the region."Earlier,
it said fierce bombardment was targeting the Syrian town of al-Zara "from
positions near the Lebanese border at a rate of two shells per minute."
Later on Friday, NNA said three shells and heavy machinegun fire targeted
the outskirts of Fraydees and al-Dabbabiyeh on the Lebanese bank of the Grand
River. It added that gunshots were being fired at the cars crossing the
Abboudiyeh-Minjez highway.
U.S., Russia strike deal on Syria chemical weapons
By Warren Strobel and Mariam Karouny | Reuters –
GENEVA/BEIRUT (Reuters) - Russia and the United States put aside bitter
differences over Syria to strike a deal on Saturday that by destroying President
Bashar al-Assad's chemical arsenal may avert U.S. military action against him.
The agreement after three days of talks in Geneva between U.S. Secretary
of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov demands that
Assad give a full account of his secret stockpile within a week.
International inspectors would rapidly get to work to eliminate all the
weapons by the middle of next year - an "ambitious" target, in Kerry's words.
If Syria reneges on a commitment to comply, Washington and Moscow pledged to
cooperate at the United Nations to impose penalties - though these remain to be
determined and Russia is highly unlikely to support military action, which U.S.
President Barack Obama has said must remain an option.
Kerry said Obama retained the right to attack, with or without U.N. backing.
For Assad's opponents, who two weeks ago were expecting U.S. air strikes at any
moment in response to a poison gas attack on rebel territory last month, the
deal was a big disappointment.
Despite Kerry and Lavrov's assurances that the pact may lay a foundation for
broader peace, they said Assad would not comply and that the deal brought an end
to their battles no closer.
Warplanes struck rebel-held suburbs of Damascus again on Saturday.
For the world's two greatest military powers, however, the Syrian conflict has
chilled relations to levels recalling the Cold War, and Saturday's agreement
offers a chance to step back from further confrontation.
For Russian President Vladimir Putin, it brings management of the Syrian crisis
back to the United Nations. For Obama, it solves the dilemma created by
Congress's reluctance to back military strikes that he was preparing without a
U.N. mandate.
Yet many difficulties lie ahead - not least the technical challenge of enforcing
a major disarmament involving complex and dangerous materials in the midst of a
vicious civil war that has inflamed the entire Middle East.
Kerry told a joint news conference in Geneva: "The implementation of this
framework, which will require the vigilance and the investment of the
international community, and full accountability of the Assad regime, presents a
hard road ahead." Lavrov said: "It shows that when
there is a will ... Russia and the United States can get results on the most
important problems including the weapons of mass destruction problem."
"The successful realization of this agreement will have meaning not only from
the point of view of the common goal of eliminating all arsenals of chemical
weapons, but also to avoid the military scenario that would be catastrophic for
this region and international relations on the whole."
REBELS DISMISSIVE
In Istanbul, the head of the Syrian rebel Supreme Military Council was
dismissive of the deal, however, saying it would not resolve the country's civil
war, now in its third year.
General Selim Idris called it a blow to opposition hopes of overthrowing Assad
and accused the Syrian president of circumventing any disarmament by already
sending chemical weapons to allies in Lebanon and Iraq in recent days. Qassim
Saadeddine, a rebel commander in northern Syria and a spokesman for the Supreme
Military Council, told Reuters his forces would not cooperate: "Let Kerry-Lavrov
plan go to hell. We reject it and we will not protect the inspectors or let them
enter Syria," he said by telephone.
A U.S. official, however, said Washington believed all Syria's chemical weapons
remained in areas under the Assad government's control.
Assad, who with backing from his sponsor Iran and its Lebanese Hezbollah allies
has fought off first demonstrations demanding democracy and now full-blown
rebellion backed by Arab states including Saudi Arabia, has agreed to sign up to
an international treaty banning chemical weapons and to submit to controls by
the U.N.-backed Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
While submitting to its inspections, he will be deprived of arms which he denies
having used.
But he has averted what were likely to be heavy U.S. and French missile strikes
and bombing raids that could have weakened his defenses against rebels who
control large swathes of Syria, including around the capital Damascus.
Despite the diplomatic breakthrough, chemical weapons only account for around 2
percent of deaths in a civil war in which 100,000 people have been killed since
2011.
On Saturday, Syrian warplanes struck rebel-held suburbs of the capital Damascus
and government forces clashed with rebels on the frontlines, according to
residents.
The residents and opposition activists, asked about the deal, said that it would
not benefit normal Syrians.
"The regime has been killing people for more than two years with all types of
weapons. Assad has used chemical weapons six or seven times. The killing will
continue. No change will happen. That is it," said an opposition activist in a
rebel-held suburb of Damascus who uses the name Tariq al-Dimashqi.
"The most important point is the act of killing, no matter what is the weapon,"
he said.
Syrian state media broadcast the Kerry and Lavrov news conference live,
indicating that Damascus is satisfied with the deal.
Having taken the surprise decision two weeks ago to seek congressional approval
for military action to punish Assad for using poison gas, Obama faced a dilemma
when lawmakers appeared likely to deny him that - citing unease about helping
Islamist militants among the rebels and a wariness of new entanglements in the
Middle East after wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
DEAL OFFERS WAY OUT
The weapons deal proposed by Putin, a former KGB agent intent on restoring some
of the influence Moscow lost with the collapse of the Soviet Union, offered a
way out. Russia has protected and armed Assad and has been alarmed at what it
sees as Western willingness to bypass the United Nations to impose "regime
change" in other states.
Under the terms of the U.S.-Russian agreement - a bilateral document which in
itself may represent something of a landmark in the management of global
affairs, recalling East-West deals of the Cold War-era - Syria must let the OPCW
complete an initial inspection of its chemical weapons sites by November.
Kerry said Assad must produce a "comprehensive listing" of its chemical weapons
stockpiles within a week. The goal, he said, was the complete destruction of
Syria's chemical weapons in the first half of 2014.
The framework agreement - which one U.S. official described as having been
worked out in "hard fought" negotiations with Russia - states that a U.N.
Security Council resolution should allow for regular assessments of Syria's
compliance and "in the event of non-compliance, including unauthorized transfer,
or any use of chemical weapons by anyone in Syria, the UN Security Council
should impose measures under Chapter VII of the UN Charter".
Chapter VII can include military force but can be limited to other kinds of
sanction. Russia and the United States continue to have different views on what
level of punishment to apply.
When Kerry said during the news conference that the text stated that the Council
"must" impose measures under Chapter VII, Lavrov interrupted to point out that
it says only it "should" impose measures.
"There's no diminution of options," Kerry said, noting Obama's right under U.S.
law to order military action, with or without support from Congress or any
international body.
Lavrov said of the agreement: "There (is) nothing said about the use of force
and not about any automatic sanctions."
Putin has supported Assad's contention that the sarin gas attack on August 21
around Damascus which Washington says killed over 1,400 civilians was the work
of rebels trying to provoke Western intervention.
If Russia were "100 percent" sure of a violation, Lavrov said, it would support
U.N. moves to "punish the perpetrators".
Senior Kerry aides involved in the talks said that the United States and Russia
agreed that Syria has 1,000 metric tons of chemical agents and precursors,
including nerve agents such as sarin gas and blister agents such as sulphur
mustard. But the officials, briefing reporters on
condition of anonymity, said there was no agreement among the powers on how many
chemical weapons-related sites Syria has that must be inspected under the
accord.
The U.S. estimate is that Assad's government has at least 45 sites associated
with its chemical weapons program, one U.S. official said.
Implementation of the accord, even assuming Syria complies with its terms, will
be daunting. "There are lots and lots of details that
still have to be sorted through," a second U.S. official said. To inspect,
secure and destroy all of Syria's chemical stockpiles by the first half of 2014
"is daunting to say the least". That timeline and
others in the accord "are targets ... not a deadline" another said.
Syria's chemical weapons are likely to be removed through a combination of
destroying them within Syria and shipping some out for destruction elsewhere,
the officials said. Russia is one possibility site for destruction, but no final
decisions have been made.
Lavrov and Kerry have said they will meet in New York at the United Nations in
about two weeks to see if they can push forward a long-delayed plan for an
international peace conference to try to negotiate an end to the war.
A drive last year for a political solution, dubbed the "Geneva Plan" and calling
for a transitional government, went nowhere as Assad refused to cede power and
the opposition insisted he could not be a part of any new political order.
Kerry said Saturday's chemical weapons deal could be "the first concrete
step" toward a final settlement. Lavrov said he hoped all parties to the
conflict could attend a conference in October, without pre-conditions.
(Additional reporting by Stephanie Nebehay and Tom Miles in Geneva and Oliver
Holmes in Beirut; Writing by Alastair Macdonald; Editing by Mike Collett-White)
Syrian rebel leader says US-Russian deal a blow to uprising
Reuters – ISTANBUL (Reuters) - The head of the opposition Syrian
Supreme Military Council said on Saturday a U.S.-Russian agreement to eliminate
Syria's chemical weapons was a blow to the two-and-a-half-year uprising to
remove President Bashar al-Assad from power. General
Selim Idris said the deal would allow Assad to escape being held accountable for
killing hundreds of civilians in a poison gas attack on Damascus on August 21.
Assad has denied responsibility for the attack. U.S.
Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov
announced the agreement on removing Syria's chemical weapons on Saturday after
nearly three days of talks in Geneva. Idris said
Assad's forces had started moving some of their chemical weapons to Lebanon and
Iraq in the last few days to evade a possible U.N. inspection. The assertion
could not be immediately verified.
"We have told our friends that the regime has begun moving a part of its
chemical weapons arsenal to Lebanon and Iraq. We told them do not be fooled,"
Idris told reporters in Istanbul.
"All of this initiative does not interest us. Russia is a partner with the
regime in killing the Syrian people. A crime against humanity has been committed
and there is not any mention of accountability."
Asked if rebel brigades would facilitate the work of any United Nations weapons
inspectors, Idris said: "This is very complicated ... If investigators come, we
will facilitate the mission. In the regions under our control there are no
chemical weapons. I don't know if this will just mean that investigators will
pass through the regions that are under rebel control. We are ready."But another
military council official, Qassim Saadeddine, said: "Let the Kerry-Lavrov plan
go to hell. We reject it and we will not protect the inspectors or let them
enter Syria."(Reporting by Khaled Yacoub Oweis, Dasha Afanasieva and Mariam
Karouny; Editing by Janet Lawrence)
Hundreds of fleeing Syrian refugees reach Italian coast
Reuters – ROME (Reuters) - Hundreds of Syrian refugees have been rescued in
rough seas and brought to Italy's southern coast in the last 24 hours, the
Italian coastguard said on Saturday.
Three boats carrying 809 refugees and possibly some migrants, including many
women and children, were intercepted off the Mediterranean islands of Lampedusa
and Sicily and off the mainland region of Calabria in the toe of Italy.
One boat carrying 171 refugees was in difficulty and gradually sinking
when it was rescued about 25 miles off Calabria, the coastguard said.
All the 359 refugees rescued off Syracuse in Sicily and the 171 rescued
off Calabria appeared to be from Syria, the Italian authorities said, while the
nationality of those rescued off Lampedusa was not available.
The number of Syrian refugees reaching Italy has increased steadily in
recent months and the United Nations estimates that 3,300 have arrived since the
start of August. More than 2 million refugees have now
fled Syria's civil war, mainly to neighboring Iraq, Jordan, Turkey and Lebanon,
out of a population of about 20 million. The two-and-a-half-year conflict is
estimated to have killed more than 100,000 people.
Thousands of migrants and refugees try to reach Italy's southern shores in
summer, when Mediterranean waters are calm enough for smaller boats to make the
crossing, usually from Libya or Tunisia. Though most
come from sub-Saharan Africa, this year many are fleeing the Syrian civil war or
political turmoil in Egypt and other parts of North Africa.
Many are drawn by hopes of finding work in Europe and often do not remain
in Italy. Illegal migrants intercepted by Italian
authorities are taken to state-run immigration centers. Some leave the often
lightly guarded buildings to seek work, and those who remain and cannot prove
that they are political refugees can be sent home.
(Reporting by Gavin Jones; editing by Mike Collett-White)
Al Qaeda calls for attacks inside United States
Reuters – DUBAI (Reuters) - Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri
urged small-scale attacks inside the United States to "bleed America
economically", adding he hoped eventually to see a more significant strike,
according to the SITE monitoring service. In an audio
speech released online a day after the 12th anniversary of the 9/11 strikes,
Zawahri said attacks "by one brother or a few of the brothers" would weaken the
U.S. economy by triggering big spending on security, SITE reported.
Western counter-terrorism chiefs have warned that radicalized "lone
wolves" who might have had no direct contact with al Qaeda posed as great a risk
as those who carried out complex plots like the 9/11 attacks.
"We should bleed America economically by provoking it to continue in its
massive expenditure on its security, for the weak point of America is its
economy, which has already begun to stagger due to the military and security
expenditure," he said. Keeping America in such a state
of tension and anticipation only required a few disparate attacks "here and
there", he said
"As we defeated it in the gang warfare in Somalia, Yemen, Iraq and Afghanistan,
so we should follow it with ...war on its own land. These disparate strikes can
be done by one brother or a few of the brothers."
At the same time, Muslims should seize any opportunity to land "a large strike"
on the United States, even if this took years of patience.
The Sept 11, 2001 attacks, in which hijacked airliners were flown into New
York's World Trade Center, the Pentagon in Washington and a Pennsylvania field,
triggered a global fight against al Qaeda extremists and their affiliates.
Almost 3,000 people were killed in the attacks. In his
audio speech, Zawahri said Muslims should refuse to buy goods from America and
its allies, as such spending only helped to fund U.S. military action in Muslim
lands. He added that Muslims should abandon the U.S. dollar and replace it with
the currency of nations that did not attack Muslims.
Zawahri spoke approvingly of one of the worst attacks on U.S. soil since
September 11, 2001, the bombing of the Boston Marathon in April, which U.S.
authorities say was carried out by two ethnic Chechen Muslim brothers. The
attack killed three people and injured 264. Zawahri
sought to paint the bombing as part of al Qaeda's violent transnational campaign
of jihad or holy war against U.S. interests, even if it was relatively
small-scale.
"The Boston incident confirms to the Americans ... that they are not facing
individuals, organizations or groups, but they are facing an uprising Ummah
(Muslim community), that rose in jihad to defend its soul, dignity and
capabilities.""What the American regime refuses to admit is that al Qaeda is a
message before it was an organization," he said.Zawahri, suspected by many
security specialists to be living in the Pakistan-Afghanistan border area, added
that the al Qaeda message simply was that if Muslims wanted to live in dignity
and "be liberated", then they had to defend their dignity.
(This story has been corrected to fix date of attack in paragraph
eight)(Reporting by William Maclean; editing by Mike Collett-White)
A real interim choice for Syria
By Dr. Walid Phares
In the northeastern part of Syria—contiguous to Iraq and Turkey—lies al Hasaka
or the Triangle, also known as al Jazeera province.
As large as Lebanon, this area is inhabited by roughly four million Kurds, one
million Christians and a half million Arabs. Assad forces have practically left
the area, and Kurdish militias have set up patrols, stopping Al Qaeda militias
trying to enter these districts. This region should be the foundation for a free
Syria. Here we should nurture a free zone inside Syria with the potential to
grow rapidly and defeat both the Assad regime and the Jihadists.
With U.S. and western help, the Kurds, Christians and Arabs who populate this
region can establish a liberated zone with its cities and rivers and expanded
airports that should serve as the receiving area for aid.
The current FSA and other opposition groups can be invited to aggregate in this
region. This pluralist “smaller Syria” would become the basis for liberation of
the country—and the establishment of a pluralistic and peaceful society for all
Syrians.
Sound unrealistic?
I would argue this is no more unrealistic than the hope that Vladimir Putin and
the Russians will broker an honest peace in Syria.
In fact, if you examine the three current Beltway solutions to the Syrian
crisis, we should recognize why turning to this plan will offer a real,
long-term hope for a pluralistic and peaceful Syria.
President Obama has made the case for a “limited strike” against Assad and the
forces who are presumed responsible for the horrible chemical gassing of more
than a thousand civilians—after more than a hundred thousand Syrians have
already been brutally killed in the civil war. The president wanted this limited
strike to force a weakened Assad to negotiate a settlement to the conflict. But
seasoned observers know there will be no mediated solutions to this conflict. It
has gone too far and divisions are too deep. But I would argue that other
Beltway solutions offer no more hope than those offered by Obama.
The isolationist argument is to simply allow both sides to fight it out because
America has no horse in this race. “Let Allah sort it out,” says Sarah Palin.
This “safe option” is incredibly dangerous.
If there are two radical forces—those of Assad and Al Qaeda—in the game, each
will receive more reinforcements and eventually settle their battles via some
Islamist medication—or worse still, a manufactured war with Israel. Even if that
war is avoided, we will be left with two extremist and heavily-armed terror
groups in Syria.
Another option put forward by Senator McCain is equally dangerous. He wants to
fully arm the rebels in an attempt at toppling Assad. The naïveté of this choice
can be manipulated by Islamist lobbies who will redirect U.S. assistance to
their radical brethren inside the opposition instead of to secular forces. This
could end up empowering Al Qaeda and producing future Benghazi-like attacks in
Syria.
Meanwhile, all of these positions could lead to war with Iran and Hezbollah—or
in view of this administration’s natural tendency toward retreat could culminate
in another victory for radicals.
That is why I suggest a practical, but irreversibly winning option for the
creation of a free Syria. We have in this region a group of vetted allies who
are in place, and where Al Qaeda and al Nusra have been contained—and where the
Assad regime is not omnipresent. Those in the U.S. who are concerned about
aiding two menacing forces can partner in this al Hasaka region with free and
independent Kurds, Christians and Arabs.
Those who want to arm the rebels will have an area ready to be supported.
If the administration wishes to conduct punitive raids against regime targets
without aiding Al Qaeda, it can over time empower the real allies to move
forward from this particular zone. The development of a free Syria is the most
viable option for the United States and Europe and the rest of the international
community. This is where the endangered minorities can be protected and joined
with liberals and seculars in the Arab Sunni majority.
Syrians yearn for freedom. Americans yearn for effective foreign policy. Let’s
start building toward that end.
**Dr. Walid Phares is an advisor to members of Congress and author of “The
Coming Revolution: Struggle for Freedom and the Middle East (Threshold Editions
2010).
U.S. military forces still in position for possible
Syria strikes
Reuters –WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Pentagon said on Saturday that U.S. military
forces were still positioned for possible military strikes on Syria, at least
for now, even after a U.S.-Russia agreement on destroying Syria's chemical
weapons arsenal. "We haven't made any changes to our
force posture to this point," Pentagon spokesman George Little said in a
statement. "The credible threat of military force has been key to driving
diplomatic progress, and it's important that the Assad regime lives up to its
obligations under the framework agreement." (Reporting
by Phil Stewart; Editing by Doina Chiacu)
Revolutions Change Arab Societies
Husam Itani/Al Hayat
Bit by bit, we are discovering the impact of the Arab revolutions on our
societies and daily lives. Indeed, the revolutions that have been ongoing for
about three years have gone beyond the squares, arenas, and armed
confrontations, and moved – without us noticing – into our homes, social lives,
values, and ideas.
By going back to the pre-revolutions stage on the personal and social levels,
many of us can see the extent of this impact on their friendships and social
lives, considering that these revolutions repositioned many Arabs in the
countries that witnessed the greatest political changes and those which remained
on the sidelines, within contexts that might have never even occurred to them.
At this level, there were very bad surprises with the discovery of sectarian
tendencies prevailing over those whom one considered as friends, while families
were shattered by prejudices exceeding ideology and affecting the perception of
life, the world, and the meaning of social and marital ties. But the cases of
separation, familial tensions, disputes among former friends and alienation
among colleagues, are still not getting direct media attention, although they
have become obvious and spread out on the widest scale.
These cases reveal that Arab societies, regardless of the political outcomes and
the ups and downs in the ongoing revolutions and their ability to meet the
promises for which they erupted in the first place, have irreversibly changed
and cannot go back to the way they used to be before Mohamed Bouazizi’s
self-immolation in Tunisia one day.
And whether the military return to power in this country or the Islamists assume
new positions in that other country, it is inevitable to say that the
patriarchal frameworks featuring a series of principles and taboos and governing
the relationships among individuals within the same family and with the
political, social and cultural authorities, have been deeply bruised in the
majority of the Arab countries and are about to become extinct – regardless of
whether their sustainment is negative or positive on social stability and
evolution.
Many factors have come together to encourage this transformation, not the least
of which being the spread of modern communication means and the dissemination of
new values. A lot was written about the role of social communication websites in
the organization of demonstrations and uprisings. But what concerns us at this
level is that these means, the open satellite channels, and the easy
transmission of ideas, participated in shaping a new awareness partly based on
the rejection of the widespread corruption seen in tyrannical regimes and the
calls for freedom, equality, the rule of the law and a certain degree of social
justice.
This step is much too deep to be recanted, whether voluntarily or forcibly, and
it will remain present in Arab society and among the youth for many years to
come.
This transformation that has started to emerge at the level of social values
will defy any attempt to subjugate, intimidate, or contain it, and constitute
yet another tributary in the river of the Arab revolutions. And we would not be
exaggerating if we were to say that these transformations - which are feared by
the governments - will be the greatest legacy in modern history, to the point
where the direct political developments and the arrival of this or that side to
power will become secondary.
Every day, we are witnessing the death of friendships and the surfacing of
others, divorces, separations, and marriages based on continuously changing
grounds that are no longer in line with the declining social settlements which
imposed these relationships in the past. We are facing a new Arab social dawn
with unclear facets and ambiguous details, and its path will not be easy or
paved. But what is certain is that it is irreversible.
The Ironies Of Postponing A Military Strike Against Syria
Walid Choucair/Al Hayat
Negotiations and maneuvers have been taking place over a political solution for
the crisis that arose after the Bashar Assad regime used chemical weapons
against its people, in order to see the regime avoid a military strike by the
United States and western countries. On the sidelines of these negotiations and
maneuvers, one can stop and take notice of some of the notions, conclusions and
ironies, which are well-removed from the propaganda about victory being achieved
by this or that country, whether in diplomatic, security, or military terms.
One of the leading observations is as follows: the countries supporting the
Syrian regime have not relied upon their military force and capabilities in
order to spare Assad a US military strike. Instead they are wagering on the
impact of the US Congress’ stance and its vote against supporting US President
Barack Obama’s move toward carrying out this strike.
Those who follow the statements made by leaders of the Syrian regime’s leading
supports, Russia and Iran, have surely noticed that they avoided threatening the
US with a response if Obama carries out his decision. They preferred to issue
warnings about the repercussions of the strike, in terms of al-Qaeda and
terrorist organizations benefiting from it in order to expand their operations
against western and US interests. Moscow stated clearly that it would not take
part in any war that breaks out, to the degree that it said it would not respond
if one of its ships were hit by mistake, or even on purpose. Meanwhile, the
political-media campaign waged by Iran stressed that Israel would be the country
that is most harmed by the strike. Iran threatened that missiles would fall on
Israel when they begin to strike Syrian regime locations. The excuses put
forward by Russia and Iran were aimed at influencing members of Congress who
have been hesitant, or who might change their stances if they are influenced by
the campaign waged by Obama to bring them around to his point of view. Moscow
and Tehran descended to engaging in the democratic game in Washington, in
parallel to Moscow’s sending ships to evacuate its nationals, and monitor US
military moves in the Mediterranean. Perhaps Russia’s radar will help the
Assad’s regime’s early-warning system when the rockets are launched from US
warships. Meanwhile there have been reports that Hezbollah has taken over
responsibility for some of Syria’s rocket launch platforms, in Syria, hinting
that it could responds from Syria, and not Lebanon, against Israel. Tehran has
wagered on this leading the Israeli lobby in Washington, due to its deep anxiety
over Israel’s security, to influencing certain members of the US House and
Senate to reject a strike, while preserving Israel’s security continues to be a
priority for Russia.
Tehran has exploited the “lobby” in America to work on warning the US public
about the repercussions of a strike, and perhaps this will help preserve a
congressional majority that rejects such military action. Iran has promised to
provide humanitarian and economic support to Syria. Russian President Vladimir
Putin has gone so far as to write an editorial for The New York Times, to speak
“directly to the American people and its political leaders,” in a rare move. He
called for protecting international law, and distanced himself from protecting
the Assad regime.
Obama himself has played the game of using external influence on Congress, by
drumming up European support. He managed to make progress via the EU call for “a
strong and clear response to the Syrian regime’s use of chemical weapons.”
However, it is ironic to see everyone talk about “hesitation” by Obama, for
merely deciding to refer to Congress to obtain its support, even though this
resembles the resort by Moscow and Tehran to peaceful and “democratic” means to
confront the possible strike.
It is the economy. US public opinion does not want to hear about a new war after
America’s failures in Iraq and Afghanistan caused a slowdown in the US economy.
This was behind Obama’s hesitation – he fears that a military strike will have a
negative impact on the economic situation, and on his promises to Americans that
the economy will recover. And the economy is equally important for Russia and
Iran. The economic situation in both countries is not enviable. If they move in
the direction of any kind of military confrontation with the US if it carries
out a strike, whether directly or indirectly, their economic difficulties will
become even greater, compared to the cost of their moving toward any compromise.
The likely economic cost is what prompted China’s president, Xi Jinping, at the
G20 Summit one week ago, to warn about the negative impact of any war.
There is the irony that the Syrian regime has acknowledged it possesses chemical
weapons, while Russia has implicitly acknowledged that Damascus used these
weapons, as they have both suggested putting them under the authority of the
United Nations (because the crisis resulted from their use, and not merely the
possession of these weapons). Another irony is that the Russian initiative
allows a return to the UN to deal with the Syrian crisis, after three vetoes by
Russia and China in the Security Council prevented this.
This (serious) return to the UN was an American demand, and not a Russian one.
Washington has retreated from unilaterally leading the world less than a year
after it invaded Iraq and failed to govern the country, during the Bush
administration. We should recall that the first fruits of this fall-back in the
US’ leading role came with UN Security Council Resolution 1559 on Lebanon, which
was followed by several decisions, most importantly related to sanctions on
Iran, with Russian and Chinese approval. Washington insists on cooperation with
Moscow, to preserve international consensus on the Iranian nuclear issue.
However, what deserves the most pity and ridicule in playing the game of
influencing American democracy is the letter sent by the speaker of Syria’s
Parliament to the legislatures of Britain, France, and the US, asking their
members to "not rush into any irresponsible reckless action."
Obama’s Speech of Contradictions: Leadership Lost
Raghida Dergham/Al Hayat
President Barack Obama has returned to his pattern of dithering and
backtracking, after appearing on the verge of being firm for a moment, making
the majority around the world wonder which Obama are they dealing with exactly,
with certainty replaced with speculation.
Obama’s mercurialness has turned the compass needle for this week towards making
a deal and evading a military strike. The speech of contradictions the U.S.
president delivered was lost between trying to convince the American public of
the morality of not burying the collective head in the sand over the use of
chemical weapons – which he said he was certain the Syrian regime had deployed
against its own people – and between trying to make it clear to the American
people that he too did not want military action in Syria, and would prefer to
avoid it through an understanding with Russia, which would see placing the
Syrian chemical weapons arsenal under international supervision. But the speech
of contradictions failed to mention any specific timeframe for chemical
diplomacy. It did not contain any clear-cut strategy for what Barack Obama
really wants in Syria: Is it a chemical deal, if it is serious? Is it punishment
and accountability for crossing the ‘red line’? Is it saving face given where
the vote in Congress was clearly heading, i.e. towards withholding authorization
for using military force? Or is it that Barack Obama has a surprise in mind that
will astound those wagering on structural weakness in the eyes of certain
adventurers?
There are those who believe that Barack Obama is deliberately weakening the
presidency, because he believes in the necessity of doing so. The proponents of
this view adduce Obama’s insistence on shrinking the powers of the presidency
and entrusting decision-making to Congress. They say that this is no accident,
but is something that is at the heart of his strategy. For this reason, they
reckon, Obama relinquished the power of deciding on military action in Syria,
granting Congress a ‘veto’ on the matter – though he did reserve the right to
make the decision in his capacity as president.
Meanwhile, the Syrian regime and President Bashar al-Assad have interpreted the
self-imposed restrictions of the U.S. president – in addition to restrictions
the U.S. congress imposed on any military operation during its deliberations –
to mean that the regime is safe and that the United States does not want to hold
it accountable, let alone remove it or even weaken it.
So far, President Obama has proven that he essentially does not want to take any
action in Syria. He wants nothing, in fact. Developments dragged him into taking
stances that had not been in his mind. Neatly two years ago, he said that Assad
had to step down, before consigning this position into oblivion and the no-man’s
land of diplomatic deals. He was practicing presidential rhetoric when he said
that the Syrian president had to go, but then contented himself with verbal
obfuscation. He did nothing to deliver on his promise – the promise made by the
U.S. presidency, no less. He threw his promise, and then turned his back. Thus,
he practically backed down on what he pledged, and walked away. More than a
100,000 dead and millions of Syrian refuges and displaced persons did not
succeed in bringing President Obama back to calling for Assad to step down.
Instead, he entered into bargains over the role of the Syrian president in the
transitional process, while Russia and Iran insisted that Assad should remain in
power – at least until the presidential elections in the summer of 2014, while
the civil war raged.
Not only did the U.S. president backtrack on his calls for Assad to step down,
but he also practically pledged not to topple the Assad regime when he insisted
repeatedly that the goal of any military strike would be to discipline and deter
the regime over the use of chemical weapons. He could have instead not gone
public with that pledge – just like he could have reserved the right to take
military action and keep its goals ambiguous. He did the opposite, reassuring
the regime in Damascus that accountability would be narrow and confined to the
chemical weapons issue, but not for any other violations. He threatened, and
then he reassured. Now, Damascus has confirmation from the U.S. president that
toppling the regime is not the policy of the United States.
When the use of chemical weapons caught Obama off guard, his pride was injured.
Indeed, Obama had drawn a ‘red line’ over the issue – but even that was a slip
of the tongue. In Obama’s point view, the Syrian regime knew that this was a
‘red line,’ so why did they embarrass him when he was seeking to avoid being
implicated in the Syrian issue? He was angry, but he was also moved by seeing
the children in their death throes, before becoming bloodless corpses. So he
retaliated and threatened a strike.
Some thought that Obama’s true character came to the fore after seeing those
horrific scenes, and that it was for this reason that he finally reversed his
hesitation and replaced his weakness with a determination to exact punishment.
But what happened was that Obama subsequently calmed down, and then backed down.
He then found in Congress a way to evade individual responsibility, before he
quickly discovered he was still in the predicament.
The Russian ‘precooked’ or ‘spontaneous’ initiative came as a result of another
slip of the tongue – as it is said – by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry. The
proposal gave Obama yet another chance to evade military action, and to confirm
that pledging to take military action came at an initiative from President Obama
that he could have not proposed. But having put forward the threat of military
action, he increased expectations. Then by backtracking, he increased confusion.
After his second and third about-turn, he helped perpetuate the impression of
him that he is a president lacking in the qualities of leadership.
President Obama, when he delivered his speech of contradictions, could have once
again taken the lead by restoring the power of decision-making to the
presidency. He could have told Congress that Russia made a proposal to place
Syrian chemical weapons under international supervision, which he intends to
study and test. If the proposal proves to be in goodwill and that it is serious,
he would build on it. But if it proves to be a ploy to buy time and an evasive
tactic, then he would use his powers as president to take the appropriate
decision – whether military or diplomatic.
President Obama could have told Congress that in light of this development,
Congress did not have to vote over a decision. He should not have asked to
‘delay’ the vote, but he should have said that he would inform Congress of his
decision. He did the opposite. Once again, he gave himself room to retreat by
shackling his presidential decision to a Congressional vote. Yet to prove his
contradictions, he reserved the right to act and make a decision regardless of
what happens in Congress, as he saw fit.
In his speech, President Barack Obama did not mention the Syrian opposition from
a standpoint expressing confidence in the Free Syrian Army, which the Obama
administration claims it wans to step up its support for. With this, Obama dealt
another blow to the opposition, which relies on U.S. support, but which fears
deep down the known American habit of letting down and then forsaking those who
stand with it.
Nor did Obama put the Russian role in Syria in perspective, especially in terms
of supplying the regime in Damascus with Russian military assistance. He did not
explain American-Russian disagreements either, or the obstructionism of Russia
and China at the UN Security Council in an attempt to thwart every American
attempt to resolve the crisis politically, or obtain authorization for military
action. He ended up only giving a leading role to Moscow in the chemical issue.
Obama did not put any conditions or a timeframe to test the intentions of Russia
or Syria in declaring readiness to place the chemical weapons arsenal under
international control, with the goal of dismantling them.
Instead of going immediately to the Security Council and secure a resolution
under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, which would put to the test what Russia
declared and Syria welcomed, President Obama agreed to dispatch the Secretary of
State to Geneva to negotiate with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov over
the chemical initiative. He agreed to ‘negotiations’ when he should have seized
the opportunity to lock the initiative into a UN Security Council resolution. He
agreed to take the issue out of the Security Council, giving Russia the gift of
pacifying the Council and avoid Chapter IV, making the negotiations essentially
bilateral Russian-American talks.
By doing so, the U.S. president has also let down his French allies, who rushed
to the Security Council with a draft resolution based on the Russian initiative
– to which Moscow responded with immediate rejection.
In truth, President Barack Obama has confounded his allies, more than he has
confounded his enemies. The senior members of his administration portrayed the
conflict in Syria from the viewpoint of a victory for Iran, Hezbollah, and
Russia if Obama were to backpedal from his pledge of a military strike. As for
Obama, he did not mention Hezbollah in the speech of contradictions, and
mentioned Iran with extreme leniency.
What will happen in Geneva then, when Kerry meets with Lavrov? Is there really a
comprehensive Russian plan to implement the proposal of putting Syrian chemical
weapons arsenal under international supervision in order to dismantle it?
Lavrov will seek to ‘tame’ Kerry, to render him again a calm partner convinced
in a political solution. Russia does not want a UN Security Council resolution
under Chapter VII, and does not even want the Syrian issue to be discussed at
the Security Council. Lavrov will try to confine the chemical issue to a
bilateral framework, and will try to revive Geneva 2 away from the Assad
Complex. To be sure, Lavrov and his chief Vladimir Putin believe that Obama is
their de facto ally because, in their view, he is the man who does not want to
carry out a military strike, the man who needs a way out, the man who will
always dither, and the man who favors retreating over advancing.
But Russia may have backed itself into the corner of Chapter VII, because the
implementation mechanism for placing the chemical arsenal under international
supervision requires a UN Security Council resolution under Chapter VII – if
Russia and Syria are indeed serious. But this also depends on whether the Obama
administration is truly serious. Indeed, if its goal is to use the Russian
proposal to evade, dither, and backtrack again, then it will be walking into the
labyrinths of bilateral diplomatic negotiations with Russia for an indefinite
period.
Logically speaking, the developments have engendered a situation where the
Syrian chemical weapons arsenal is now on the table. Whether Bashar al-Assad
follows in the footsteps of Saddam Hussein and agrees to the dismantlement of an
arsenal that has been long claimed to be crucial in the struggle against Israel
– thus agreeing to dismantling key abilities of the ‘Resistance’ – or whether he
allows UN inspectors to enter Syria as Saddam Hussein was compelled to do while
hiding his weapons, the result is one and the same. Indeed, both men placed
their regimes above their countries. What is happening now is therefore a
radical development that opens the door to international inspection and scrutiny
of declarations, no matter how complicated or difficult this track may be.
Ultimately, while the chemical outlet has provided a temporary way out for
Obama, Putin, and Assad, it may well be a permanent way in to Syria, resembling
the famous one that once played out in Iraq. Regardless of whether we have on
our hands the usual dithering, backtracking Obama, or an Obama full of
surprises, a radical new development has taken place in the Syrian issue,
brought about by the deployment of chemical weapons.
Question: "What is atheism?"
GotQuestions.org/Answer:
Atheism is the view that God does not exist. Atheism is not a new development.
Psalm 14:1, written by David around 1000 B.C., mentions atheism: “The fool says
in his heart, ‘There is no God.’” Recent statistics show an increasing number of
people claiming to be atheists, up to 10 percent of people worldwide. So why are
more and more people becoming atheists? Is atheism truly the logical position
atheists claim it to be? Why does atheism even exist?
Why doesn’t God simply reveal Himself to people, proving that He exists? Surely
if God would just appear, the thinking goes, everyone would believe in Him! The
problem here is that it is not God’s desire to just convince people that He
exists. It is God’s desire for people to believe in Him by faith (2 Peter 3:9)
and accept by faith His gift of salvation (John 3:16). God clearly demonstrated
His existence many times in the Old Testament (Genesis 6-9; Exodus 14:21-22; 1
Kings 18:19-31). Did the people believe that God exists? Yes. Did they turn from
their evil ways and obey God? No. If a person is not willing to accept God’s
existence by faith, then he/she is definitely not ready to accept Jesus Christ
as Savior by faith (Ephesians 2:8-9). God’s desire is for people to become
Christians, not just theists (those who believe God exists).
The Bible tells us that God’s existence must be accepted by faith. Hebrews 11:6
declares, “And without faith it is impossible to please God, because anyone who
comes to Him must believe that He exists and that He rewards those who earnestly
seek Him.” The Bible reminds us that we are blessed when we believe and trust in
God by faith: “Then Jesus told him, ‘Because you have seen me, you have
believed; blessed are those who have not seen and yet have believed’” (John
20:29).
The existence of God must be accepted by faith, but this does not mean belief in
God is illogical. There are many good arguments for the existence of God. The
Bible teaches that God’s existence is clearly seen in the universe (Psalm
19:1-4), in nature (Romans 1:18-22), and in our own hearts (Ecclesiastes 3:11).
With all that said, the existence of God cannot be proven; it must be accepted
by faith.
At the same time, it takes just as much faith to believe in atheism. To make the
absolute statement “God does not exist” is to make a claim of knowing absolutely
everything there is to know about everything and of having been everywhere in
the universe and having witnessed everything there is to be seen. Of course, no
atheist would make these claims. However, that is essentially what they are
claiming when they state that God absolutely does not exist. Atheists cannot
prove that God does not, for example, live in the center of the sun, or beneath
the clouds of Jupiter, or in some distant nebula. Since those places are beyond
our capacity to observe, it cannot be proven that God does not exist. It takes
just as much faith to be an atheist as it does to be a theist.
Atheism cannot be proven, and God’s existence must be accepted by faith.
Obviously, Christians believe strongly that God exists, and admit that God’s
existence is a matter of faith. At the same time, we reject the idea that belief
in God is illogical. We believe that God’s existence can be clearly seen, keenly
sensed, and proven to be philosophically and scientifically necessary. “The
heavens declare the glory of God; the skies proclaim the work of his hands. Day
after day they pour forth speech; night after night they display knowledge.
There is no speech or language where their voice is not heard. Their voice goes
out into all the earth, their words to the ends of the world” (Psalm 19:1-4).
Recommended Resource: I Don't Have Enough Faith to be an Atheist by Norm Geisler
and Frank Turek and The Real Face of Atheism by Ravi Zacharias.