LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
October 30/2013
Bible Quotation for today/Warning
against Prejudice
James 02/01-13: "My friends, as believers in our Lord
Jesus Christ, the Lord of glory, you must never treat
people in different ways according to their outward
appearance. Suppose a rich man wearing a gold ring and
fine clothes comes to your meeting, and a poor man in
ragged clothes also comes. If you show more respect to
the well-dressed man and say to him, “Have this best
seat here,” but say to the poor man, “Stand over there,
or sit here on the floor by my feet,” then you are
guilty of creating distinctions among yourselves and of
making judgments based on evil motives. Listen, my dear
friends! God chose the poor people of this world to be
rich in faith and to possess the kingdom which he
promised to those who love him. But you dishonor the
poor! Who are the ones who oppress you and drag you
before the judges? The rich! They are the ones who speak
evil of that good name which has been given to you. You
will be doing the right thing if you obey the law of the
Kingdom, which is found in the scripture, “Love your
neighbor as you love yourself.” But if you treat people
according to their outward appearance, you are guilty of
sin, and the Law condemns you as a lawbreaker. Whoever
breaks one commandment is guilty of breaking them all.
For the same one who said, “Do not commit adultery,”
also said, “Do not commit murder.” Even if you do not
commit adultery, you have become a lawbreaker if you
commit murder. Speak and act as people who will be
judged by the law that sets us free. For God will not
show mercy when he judges the person who has not been
merciful; but mercy triumphs over judgment.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For October 30/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For October30/13
Israel to US: Pass more sanctions, Iran could have material for
bomb within weeks
http://www.jpost.com/Iranian-Threat/News/Official-Iran-20-percent-enrichment-debate-meaningless-Israel-seeks-more-US-sanctions-329801
By TOVAH LAZAROFF/10/26/2013/ REUTERS
Israel urged the United States to pass a new round of sanctions against Tehran,
and warned that Iran could potentially have enough fissile material for a bomb
within weeks.
An Israeli official issued comments on Iran’s nuclear program in response to
reports from Washington that the White House wanted Congress to hold off on
passing a new round of sanctions against Iran as a gesture in the midst of the
ongoing six-party talks to diplomatically disarm Iran’s nuclear program.
Iranian MP: Despite warnings from West, Tehran continuing 20% uranium enrichment
Senior Iranian lawmaker Alaeddin Boroujerdi said his country continued to enrich
uranium at the 20 percent purity level, according to Iran’s Press TV. His
statement contradicted that of a senior Iranian parliamentarian last week – that
Tehran had halted that activity. Iran’s enrichment of uranium to a fissile level
of 20% is a major technical step, taking it just short of the concentration
needed for a nuclear weapon.
Iran says it needs the material only to fuel a medical research reactor.An envoy
in Vienna, where the IAEA is based, said he believed Iran was continuing to
refine uranium to the 20% threshold. The next quarterly IAEA report on Iran is
to be issued in November. An Israeli official said on Saturday night that the
entire debate over whether Iran had continued to enrich uranium at that level
was “meaningless” and an attempt to divert attention from the main issue: The
need for Iran to completely stop uranium enrichment at any level. The
international community, therefore, should ensure the full dismantlement of
Iran’s military nuclear weapons program, and until it does, sanctions against
Iran should be increased, the official said. “A nation that can enrich uranium
to 3.5% can have the ability” through innovative centrifuges “to enrich it at
90%. A nation that has the ability to recycle fuel, is almost guaranteed the
ability to produce nuclear weapons,” the official said. Prime Minister Binyamin
Netanyahu already spoke of this point when he addressed the UN General Assembly
in New York at the end of September, the official said. The official saw no
reason why Iran, which systematically violates UN Security Council resolutions,
should retain any enrichment capability or a heavy water reactor, given that
these two elements are not necessary for a civilian nuclear energy program, but
only for the development of nuclear weapons. Netanyahu conveyed a similar
message to US Secretary of State John Kerry when the two men met in Rome last
week, and Intelligence Minister Yuval Steinitz said the same thing to US Vice
President Joseph Biden when the two men met in Washington on Thursday. Both the
US and Israel agree that Iran’s nuclear program must be halted, and that
existing sanctions should not be eased until this happens. However, the two
governments differ on the issue of imposing new sanctions. Until Iran met with
the six negotiating parties – the US, Russia, China, France, Germany and the
United Kingdom – in Geneva earlier this month, the US Congress was poised to
pass a new round of sanctions against Iran that would be particularly crippling.
A round of six-party talks with Iran is to be held next week in Geneva, on
November 7 and 8. US State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki told reporters in
Washington on Friday that it was important to give diplomacy time to work before
taking further action, and that additional sanctions could be imposed later. “We
have conveyed that any congressional action should be aligned with our
negotiating strategy as we move forward. So while we understand that Congress
may consider new sanctions, we think this is a time for a pause, as we asked for
in the past, to see if negotiations can gain traction.... We feel that it’s
important that any new proposals take into account the progress we’re making
diplomatically and leave open the flexibility. There’s always time for sanctions
in the future as needed,” she said. Yukiya Amano, director-general of the IAEA,
is to meet in the agency’s Vienna headquarters with Iranian Deputy Foreign
Minister Abbas Araqchi for about an hour on Monday. “The meeting will provide an
opportunity to exchange views on the way forward,” the IAEA said in a statement.
It gave no details. The fact that the Amano-Araqchi meeting appeared to be
scheduled on short notice may be seen as a further sign of the Iranian
government’s desire to try to end international deadlock over the country’s
nuclear program. The meeting is to be followed by a round of negotiations later
the same day, also in Vienna, between senior officials from both sides over a
stalled IAEA investigation into suspicions of Iranian nuclear research.
Neither Amano nor Araqchi is due to take part in those previously scheduled
talks, which would be the 12th such meeting since early 2012. The IAEA-Iran
talks have so far failed to yield a breakthrough deal that would allow the
agency to resume its inquiry. Sanctions imposed in 2011 by the US and the
European Union have combined to slash Iran’s oil exports by more than 1 million
barrels a day, depriving Tehran of billions of dollars worth of sales a month
and helping to drive up inflation and unemployment. In Washington, Kerry and
Treasury Secretary Jack Lew will hold a briefing on Thursday on the status of
nuclear talks with Iran for members of a US Senate committee considering tough
sanctions on Tehran, Senate aides said on Friday. The House of Representatives
passed its version of a stiffer sanctions package in July by a 400-20 vote. The
House bill seeks to slash Iran’s oil exports by another 1 million barrels a day.
The Senate bill could reduce the ability of President Barack Obama’s
administration to offer waivers to the sanctions. But the measure has not come
to a vote in the banking committee, a prelude to its consideration by the full
Senate. The two versions would then be reconciled before being sent to Obama for
his signature. It appeared on Friday that banking committee leaders, who had
already put off consideration of the package from September, agreed to further
delay. Debate on amendments to the measure, known as the committee markup, had
been expected as soon as early next week with a vote on Thursday, but Senate
aides said they did not expect the markup next week. The White House hosted a
meeting of aides to Senate committee leaders on Thursday seeking to persuade
lawmakers to hold off on the new sanctions package.
Reuters contributed to this report.
Hezbollah remains threat to Israel
Ynetnews/After second Lebanon War, Shiite group rebuilt its
strength, arsenal, now poses acute threat to State of Israel
The Media Line
Published: 10.29.13, 22:47 / Israel News
When Israeli intelligence officials discuss the most serious threats to Israel
today, they always start with Iran and its nuclear program. But not far behind
is Hezbollah , the armed group in south Lebanon that is both part of the
Lebanese government and classified as a terrorist organization by much of the
international community. “Hezbollah has thousands and thousands of rockets and
missiles pointed at Israel and this is a problem,” Brig. Gen. (res) Amos Gilboa,
who spent decades in Israeli army intelligence told The Media Line. “Hezbollah
is a major threat to Israel. In the past, its firepower was mainly directed
against northern Israel, but now it can also reach Tel Aviv, the heart of our
industry and technology.” During the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah, the
group fired some 4000 short and medium range rockets at Israel killing 44
Israeli civilians. Israel used air strikes to destroy many of the rockets and
their launchers, killing more than 1000 Lebanese, both civilians and fighters.
Since then, Hezbollah has more than rebuilt its weapons capability and has some
100,000 rockets pointed at the Jewish state, according to Israel’s head of
northern command Major General Noam Tibon. Hezbollah also successfully spied on
Israel, especially in the period until the 2006 war.
“Hezbollah was able to recruit and run a whole string of agents within Israel
--- some of them well connected within the army and police and with access to
classified information,” Shlomo Shapiro, the head of the department of political
science at Bar Ilan University told The Media Line. “They were able to obtain
much of the information that Israel was seeking to deny from them and we could
see their operational successes based on accurate and timely intelligence.” He
said Hezbollah operatives learned Hebrew well, and could eavesdrop on Israeli
soldiers’ phone calls. Since 2006, Shapiro said, Israel has put a lot of effort
into trying to break Hezbollah’s spying capability, and has succeeded, at least
partially. Hezbollah currently has thousands of fighters in Syria, bolstering
Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad’s fight against rebel groups. Tibon told a
recent conference that Hizbullah is fighting in Syria’s most violent regions.
The number of Hezbollah fighters there is not clear. The Times of London
reported that there are now only 3500 fighters there, as compared to 10,000
previously. Hundreds of Hezbollah fighters have been killed in Lebanon. The
ongoing conflict in Syria has spilled over into Lebanon on several fronts.
Lebanon is currently hosting about one million Syrian refugees – the equivalent
of one-fourth of the country’s population. There have also been growing clashes
between supporters and opponents of Assad that have left at least 16 dead and 80
wounded in Tripoli. The Lebanese army has reinforced its presence there hoping
to tamp down the violence. At the same time, Hezbollah remains popular in
Lebanon, says Lebanese journalist Farid Chedid.
“Hezbollah represents both religion and a belonging attachment to being Shi’ite,”
Chedid, the editor of the Lebanon Wire, told The Media Line. “While there is
some criticism of Hezbollah for fighting in Syria, most Shi’ites in Lebanon
remain loyal.” Hezbollah is also seen as the only regional power, with the
exception of its patron Iran, which can stand up to Israel. Chedid said he did
not expect a new regional conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in the near
future. “Hezbollah cannot fight on several fronts at once -- not even a
superpower can do that,” Chedid said. “Hezbollah is already worn thin in
Lerbanon and does not have the willingness or capability to face a war with
Israel. Israel is also happy with the calm on its northern border.” The only way
that could change, he says, is if Israel decides to launch a military strike on
Iran. In that case, Hezbollah would launch hundreds of rockets at Israel, and
Israel would most likely respond with air attacks.
Article written by Linda Gradstein
Army Deploys in Tripoli's Syria Street after Calm Night
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/Lebanese army units deployed on Tuesday in a
street that separates two rival neighborhoods of the northern city of Tripoli
that have been engaged in gunbattles for the past week.
The troops began their deployment at 7:00 am in Syria Street which lies between
Jabal Mohsen and Bab al-Tabbaneh districts.
The soldiers carried out patrols and erected checkpoints in the street hours
after calm reigned in both neighborhoods, the state-run National News Agency
reported. Clashes ended after 11:00 pm Monday after top officials held intense
contacts to guarantee the army's safe entry to Syria Street, NNA said.
Three soldiers were wounded on Monday during a clash with gunmen as troops
deployed in Bab al-Tabbaneh, whose residents are mostly Sunni and back the
rebellion against Syrian President Bashar Assad. The military had earlier
deployed in Jabal Mohsen that is mainly Alawite, the sect of Assad.
A week of bloody clashes have left scores of casualties. But top officials claim
that their intention to resolve years of fighting between the two neighborhoods
are true.
They took a decision last week for the army to deploy in the city and bring the
situation under control. State Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Saqr
Saqr has tasked the army intelligence with carrying out a preliminary
investigation to identify those involved in the clashes to take appropriate
legal measures against them. Officials close to President Michel Suleiman also
told An Nahar daily published on Tuesday that the armed forces “will not back
off” from a decision reached during the security meeting at Baabda Palace “no
matter what the sacrifices were to bring back tranquility to Tripoli
Al-Mustaqbal Says Nasrallah's 'Arrogant' Statement Part of Psychological War
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/Al-Mustaqbal bloc stated on Tuesday that
Hizbullah chief's latest televised speech is a part of a “psychological war,”
stressing also on their rejection of all armed presence in the northern city of
Tripoli. "Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's speech is arrogant and is a part of a
psychological war he is wahing,” the bloc said in a released statement after the
MPs' weekly meeting at the Center House. The statement elaborated: “Through his
speech, Nasrallah tried to delude the Lebanese that the Damascus regime will
soon emerge victorious against the Syrian people, and that the Persian power
will dominate over Lebanon and the region. Nasrallah wanted to say that this
fate is inevitable and that the Lebanese, Syrians and Arabs have to cope with
it.”"But this will not be achieved.”Al-Mustaqbal accused Hizbullah of “contributing
to the paralysis in constitutional institutions and obstructing the formation of
the new cabinet.” "Nasrallah is proposing conditions for the cabinet's formation
that are unconstitutional,” it said.
"But the Lebanese people that resisted to terrorism and refused to surrender
will not give up and give in to the new arrogant scheme applied by Hizbullah and
its allies.”
In a televised speech he gave on Monday, Nasrallah commented on the political
deadlock in Lebanon and failure to form a new government, accusing the March 14
camp of only prolonging the impasse by imposing various conditions on forming a
cabinet.
He noted that the camp was and is still banking on the developments in Syria in
order to take any political decision in this matter, saying that such actions
will only maintain the deadlock. The Hizbullah chief therefore suggested that
the March 14 camp “exercise some humility” and accept the formation of a cabinet
that grants nine ministers to itself and the March 8 camp, while the remaining
six be granted to centrists.
The al-Mustaqbal urged Hizbullah again to withdraw its forces from Syria and
commit to the Baabda Declaration.
"True partnership will not be secured in the country unless Hizbullah commits to
the accords reached at national dialogue sessions and abides by the Baabda
Declaration.”Regarding the ongoing clashes in Tripoli, the bloc stated that it “strictly
rejects” the presence of armed men in the northern city and overruling the law.
It also held security forces responsible for preserving the situation in the
city and protecting citizens “all over Lebanon.” "Security in the country cannot
be in the hands of several parties and the possession of weapons by one faction
will trigger others to get armed and will promote violence.”
In a related matter, the bloc urged adopting “the toughest punishments” against
the criminals behind the twin explosions that targeted the mosques in the city.
"Especially after investigation revealed that the are linked to the Syrian
regime,” the MPs stressed.
"Strict and practical measures should be adopted against the Syrian regime and
those involved in the blasts, as well as those protecting whether individuals or
parties, must be persecuted.”
Forty-five people were killed and 800 injured in the car bomb blasts that
targeted the Sunni al-Taqwa and al-Salam mosques on August 23. Since them,
several suspects were charged with forming an armed gang for the purpose of
carrying out terrorist activities and bombing the Tripoli mosques.
Also, the conferees praised President Michel Suleiman's stances and that
“stressed on religious coexistence and on rejecting promoting ideas about the
present of minorities in the country.”
Change and Reform Vows to Follow Up on Issue of Forcibly Disappeared and Missing
Persons
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/The Change and Reform parliamentary bloc on
Tuesday said “it is necessary to separate legislative work from political
alignments,” stressing that “the issue of the forcibly disappeared and missing
Lebanese persons needs efforts and a follow-up.”“We discussed the legislative priorities, such as the coastal power line and the
approval of the oil decrees and the need for the cabinet to convene,” MP Ibrahim
Kanaan said after the bloc's weekly meeting in Rabieh, stressing that “these are
national and not political issues.”“We will follow up on all these issues,” Kanaan pledged, noting that “the
administration and justice parliamentary committee will meet tomorrow to discuss
the issue of the parliamentary electoral law in an attempt to find a fair law
that represents all political groups.”The lawmaker also called for separating
legislative work from “political alignments.”“The issue of the forcibly
disappeared and missing Lebanese persons needs efforts and a follow-up,” he
added. Meanwhile, caretaker Justice Minister Shakib Qortbawi, who took part in
the bloc's meeting, told reporters in Rabieh that “the issue of the forcibly
disappeared and detainees is among our priorities.”“We will never forget it but
we don't make seasonal overbids in this regard,” Qortbawi added.
“We put this issue as a priority in the cabinet's ministerial Policy Statement
and the Ministry of Justice has send a draft decree on establishing the
Independent Committee for the Forcibly Disappeared and Missing Persons.”
“We need an independent body to address the issue, that's why we sought to
create this committee,” the minister added.
For his part, Change and Reform bloc MP Hikmat Dib noted that “Lebanese has not
respected its missing persons and we must give answers to the families.”
“This is not aimed at reopening the wounds but rather at healing the wounds of
the families,” Dib went on to say.
On Monday, Phalange bloc MP Sami Gemayel urged the state to address the issue of
the Lebanese who are believed to be in Syrian jails, stressing that they are
“detainees” and not “missing persons.” Commenting on remarks voiced by Hizbullah
chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah only minutes before the news conference, Gemayel
said: “The 622 names who are in Syria are not -- in any way whatsoever --
missing persons, but rather detainees, such as our comrade Butros Khawand, who
was kidnapped from outside his home and was spotted in Syrian jails.” Earlier on
Monday, Nasrallah congratulated the nine Lebanese pilgrims on their safe return
to Lebanon after a 17-month kidnap ordeal in Syria's Aazaz, hoping this
development would pave the way for resolving the case of Lebanese held in Israel
and Syria. He suggested that mechanisms be set in place to tackle these issues.
He revealed: “I have received word from Syria that it is willing to help resolve
the cases of missing persons and we hope these efforts will yield happy
endings.”
Hariri Holds 'Regular' Meetings with March 14 Figures in Paris, Won't Meet Salam
by Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri held
talks with several March 14 figures in the French capital to discuss ways to
resolve the local crises, however, he will not meet with PM-designate Tammam
Salam. A source denied in comments published in al-Liwaa newspaper on Tuesday
that a meeting will be held between Hariri and Salam, who is currently in Geneva
on a private visit.
An Nahar newspaper reported on Monday that Salam was expected to meet with
Hariri in Paris to discuss the cabinet formation process. The report comes amid
rumors that Salam intends to give up his task to form a new government.
Salam has been facing since April conditions and counter conditions set by the
rival March 8 and March 14 alliances.
The source told al-Liwaa that Hariri is holding talks with prominent March 14
figures including head of al-Mustaqbal Parliamentary bloc leader MP Fouad
Saniora and MP Butros Harb to mull ways to resolve the crises confronting the
country.
The source described the talks as “normal” and to check on Hariri's health after
he underwent a surgery in Paris.
Hariri underwent a surgery to remove pins placed in his legs following a skiing
accident in 2012 in the French Alps.
However, another source expected that several issues will be discussed in Paris
with Hariri, which requires a wide meeting for the March 14 coalition.
ISF Intelligence Questions Tripoli Bombing Conspirator
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/The Military Prosecutor referred on Tuesday a
suspect to the Internal Security Forces Intelligence Branch to carry out the
initial investigation with him on his role in the deadly mosque bombings in the
northern city of Tripoli. Judge Saqr Saqr, who is the state commissioner to the
military court, asked the Intelligence Branch to “question Ahmed Mohammed Ali
over the information he has on the Tripoli blasts and his role in the case.”
LBCI TV quoted sources as saying that Ali had helped Ahmed Merhi, another
suspect in the twin blasts, to escape. Security forces have said that Merhi is
the driver of the vehicle that exploded near al-Taqwa mosque.
But Merhi could still be in Lebanese territories and under the protection of
certain parties, LBCI's sources said.
Forty-five people were killed and 800 injured in the car bomb blasts that
targeted the Sunni al-Taqwa and al-Salam mosques on August 23. Several suspects
have already been charged with forming an armed gang for the purpose of carrying
out terrorist activities and bombing the Tripoli mosques.
On Monday, several residents blocked the international highway near the town of
al-Masoudiyeh in the northern Akkar district with burning tires to protest Ali's
arrest. The state-run National News Agency said that the army intelligence
arrested him last week after raiding his house in the town of al-Haysa
Suleiman, Miqati, Qahwaji Stress Need to Completely Implement Tripoli Security
Plan
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/President Michel Suleiman, caretaker Prime
Minister Najib Miqati, and Army Commander General Jean Qahwaji discussed on
Tuesday the implementation of the security plan in Tripoli aimed at containing
the tensions in the northern city. They stressed the need to “completely
implement the security plan.” Qahwaji also informed the two officials of the
army's progress in imposing the plan and the phases that have so far been taken
on the ground.
The talks at the Baabda Palace also tackled the latest political and security
developments. Clashes erupted last week between Tripoli's rival Bab al-Tabbaneh
and Jabal Mohsen neighborhoods, leavings scores of casualties. The Lebanese army
deployed on Tuesday along Syria Street, the road that separates the two
neighborhoods. Three soldiers were wounded on Monday during a clash with gunmen
as troops deployed in Bab al-Tabbaneh, whose residents are mostly Sunni and back
the rebellion against Syrian President Bashar Assad.
The military had earlier deployed in Jabal Mohsen that is mainly Alawite, the
sect of Assad. The two neighborhoods have repeatedly witnessed rounds clashes
that have only grown in intensity after the eruption of the uprising in Syria in
March 2011.
Plumbly Lauds Tripoli Move, Says U.N. Unaware of Plan to Bury Syria Arms in
Lebanon
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Derek
Plumbly on Tuesday hailed the efforts exerted to contain the violence in the
northern city of Tripoli and denied knowledge of reported plans to destroy
Syria's chemical weapons in Lebanon.
Following talks with Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Miqati at the Grand Serail,
Plumbly expressed his “deep concern over the recurrence of violence in Tripoli
and welcomed the efforts of the army and security forces, in parallel with
political efforts and the efforts of the caretaker Prime Minister, to restore
calm across the city.” “Now, more than ever, and particularly in light of the
developments in neighboring Syria, it is important for all parties in Lebanon to
exercise restraint and to act in Lebanon’s interests,” he said. The army has
deployed heavily in the rival Tripoli districts of Bab al-Tabbaneh and Jabal
Mohsen, in addition to Syria Street that divides the two areas, a week after a
new bout of gunbattles left scores of casualties. The deployment came after a
decision taken by the country's top leaders to bring the city's security
situation under control. Plumbly reiterated the U.N.’s support for the calls
voiced by President Michel Suleiman and other leaders to respect the country’s
state institutions, protect Lebanon from the impact of the Syrian crisis through
the dissociation policy, to form an effective government and resume the national
dialogue among the political foes. Asked by a reporter about U.N.-Arab League
envoy Lakhdar Brahimi's visit to Beirut, Plumbly said: “Brahimi is currently in
Damascus and we wish him success in his discussions.” “We expect him to return
to Lebanon in the coming days. His office will share details regarding his
program and issues he would raise in Lebanon when available,” he added.
On media reports about the possibility of burying Syria’s chemicals in Lebanon,
Plumbly told reporters that “the U.N. is not aware of any such plans.”He said
the Syrian government has recently submitted its destruction plan to the
Director General of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in
the Hague. Caretaker Environment Minister Nazem al-Khoury has dismissed the
reports on the issue. “Lebanon categorically opposes such a policy and the
environment ministry will totally reject” it, he added.
Sami Gemayel to Nasrallah: 622 Lebanese in Syria are Detainees, Not Missing
Persons
Naharnet Newsdesk 28 October 2013/Phalange Party Central Committee Coordinator
MP Sami Gemayel on Monday urged the state to address the issue of the Lebanese
who are believed to be in Syrian jails, stressing that they are “detainees” and
not “missing persons.”“The issue of detainees in Syrian prisons is a crisis that
has been dragging on since 30 years and the state has not launched any
initiative to resolve the case in a drastic manner,” Gemayel said in a press
conference he held after the weekly meeting of the party's political bureau.
Commenting on remarks voiced by Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah only
minutes before the news conference, Gemayel said: “The 622 names who are in
Syria are not -- in any way whatsoever -- missing persons, but rather detainees,
such as our comrade Butros Khawand, who was kidnapped from outside his home and
was spotted in Syrian jails.”
“We totally know where they are and the names include those of army troops and
Lebanese citizens who were confronting Syria on October 13, 1990,” Gemayel
added. Turning to the issue of the nine Lebanese pilgrims who were abducted in
Syria in 2012 and released around two weeks ago, Gemayel saluted the freed men,
stressing his solidarity with them. But the lawmaker lashed out at the Lebanese
state over several details of the swap deal which also involved the freeing of
two Turkish pilots kidnapped in Lebanon and dozens of Syrian women detainees
from regime jails. “It turned out that the Lebanese state was aware of the
whereabouts of the abductors and was coordinating with them, and this has become
known by everyone,” Gemayel said.
He also voiced respect for General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim, but
criticized him for meeting Syrian security chief Ali Mamlouk – wanted in Lebanon
on charges of plotting bombings in the country –- as part of efforts to secure
the release of the nine Lebanese and the Syrian women.
Gemayel also deplored the manner in which the two Turkish pilots were freed,
saying “someone handed over the hostages” to Lebanese authorities. “Where is
this person, what is his name, why wasn't he arrested? There is no answer,”
Gemayel lamented. “Those who kidnapped the Turks in Lebanon were released from
jail on a L.L.500,000 each, and therefore the Lebanese judiciary forgot about
the law and constitution and it turned out that the judiciary is not free,” the
lawmaker added.
He noted that “the entire state mobilized for the sake of the Aazaz abductees,
and it seems that all the Lebanese must take things into their own hands so that
all officials can be mobilized.”
“Maybe if we kidnap the Syrian ambassador the state will act. What is the
message you are sending us in the case of the Aazaz abductees? Should we block
roads and kidnap people? Why don't you recognize the presence of the 622
detainees?” Gemayel added. “Do anything to demand the release of these
detainees. Seek the help of the United Nations,” Gemayel went on to say,
addressing Lebanese officials. “You are pushing us to renounce the state and to
review all our stances. This is a message to all officials and to the state,”
Gemayel warned. He vowed that the Phalange Party will not abandon “the 622
detainees, because they sacrificed for the freedom of the Lebanese.” Earlier on
Monday, Nasrallah congratulated the nine pilgrims on their safe return to
Lebanon, hoping this development would pave the way for resolving the case of
Lebanese held in Israel and Syria. He suggested that mechanisms be set in place
to tackle these issues.
He revealed: “I have received word from Syria that it is willing to help resolve
the cases of missing persons and we hope these efforts will yield happy
endings.”
Can Lebanon’s Christian community unite?
October 29, 2013/By Hasan Lakkis The Daily Star
Efforts to unify the Christians of Lebanon in order to protect the community
from the worst of the fallout from regional and internal crises have so far
proven futile, but the looming threat of a presidential vacuum could breathe new
life into reconciliation attempts. Christian political sources from across the
spectrum discuss mounting concern within the community regarding what they see
as the decline of Christian influence due to fragmentation and political
bickering.
One source predicted that the general political vacuum would not be resolved
anytime soon, pointing to the lack of any progress on the horizon to suggest a
breakthrough in the formation of a government. At the same time, Parliament has
stalled, and when President Michel Sleiman’s term ends in May it is not likely
to be renewed.
Christian parliamentarians said they had seen a trend of increasing
marginalization of the Christians within the political arena, especially when it
comes to major decisions.
This was made clear most recently when Parliament decided to extend its mandate
according to a Shiite-Sunni-Druze agreement. The sources blamed a general lack
of cohesion among the country’s Christians for the passing of the mandate
extension despite the fact that all major Christian parties were unified in
their opposition to it.
The sources also complained Christians were sidelined in the negotiations over
the electoral law, where, again, overwhelming Christian preference for the
Orthodox Law proposal was not enough to save it.
Further evidence of Christian discord is the continuing struggle over top-tier
government appointments generally reserved for Christians, which have remained
empty since the government resigned.
The sources noted that when a position opens up that is typically filled by a
Muslim, whether Sunni or Shiite, the main parties usually have very little
trouble reaching a consensus. When the appointment is for a position that should
go to a Christian, however, all sects have to agree due to the split in the
Christian community between March 8 and March 14.
These sources said that Christian presence in Lebanon, and the community’s
material and cultural contributions, cannot be overlooked or forgotten,
emphasizing that the state should remain divided 50/50 between Christians and
Muslims.
They blamed the Taif Accord for stripping the president of his powers. Although
the text of the Taif grants these powers to the Cabinet, the sources said in
reality they had been transferred to the prime minister.
The decline of Christian influence was exacerbated by the Syrian occupation and
a lack of Christian leadership following the Civil War: President Amine Gemayel
was forced into exile, as was Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun, while
Lebanese Forces head Samir Geagea was imprisoned in Lebanon.
The major rift occurred in 2005 following the assassination of former Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri and the signing of the memorandum of understanding between
Aoun’s FPM and Hezbollah. With time, the divisions have grown wider and more
acrimonious, mirroring the polarization between March 14 and March 8.
Even former Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir was unable to unite the Christian
community.
When President Michel Sleiman’s election effectively ended the political crisis
of 2008, many held out hope that he would unite the Christians of Lebanon. But
Sleiman too has been unable to halt the fragmentation, and rather than unifying
the community, he has become another party to the division, with no love lost
between him and Aoun over who would represent the Christians.
This merely weakens the Maronites and marginalizes the zaims, or traditional
leaders.
The Vatican then realized the danger posed by divisions within the Christian
community in Lebanon, the sources said, and pressed Sfeir to resign and allow
for another patriarch who would work toward building unity.
However, the same sources admitted that not long after Beshara Rai’s election as
patriarch in 2011, domestic and regional events spun out of control, and despite
his best efforts, he failed to unite the Christians.
This failure was apparent in the election law and in Christian representation in
the government. Even practical measures meant to unite their stances were met
with half-hearted efforts, resulting in photo ops and joint committees which
continue to follow up on the issue but have yet to yield any results.
A number of Maronite lawmakers from the March 8 and March 14 movements confirmed
to The Daily Star that efforts to find common ground among Christians were
ongoing.
They predicted that despite the obstacles, Christians should be able to at least
agree that the next president should be a true representative of the Christians,
and not the product of regional or international deals.
Berri Balances Confrontation in Defense of Parliament, Amendment of Flaws
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/Speaker Nabih Berri has rejected accusations
by al-Mustaqbal bloc leader Fouad Saniora that he was seeking to impose the rule
of the parliament on the rest of top institutions in Lebanon, saying he would
not allow anyone to paralyze the functions of the legislature. “It is not
natural and it is unacceptable for the legislative authority to become the
captive of the mood of the prime minister no matter who he is,” Berri told As
Safir newspaper published on Tuesday. He rejected the fact that “the resignation
would paralyze the parliament in addition to more than 30 official institutions
linked to the premiership.”Berri's remarks came after Saniora accused him of
taking advantage of the vacuum left by the resignation of Prime Minister Najib
Miqati's government to practice a “parliamentary power.”Al-Mustaqbal and the
rest of the March 14 alliance's MPs have been boycotting parliamentary sessions
that Berri has been calling for, leading to a lack of quorum.
The sessions have 45 items on the agenda. But al-Mustaqbal claims that the
parliament should only convene for emergency issues amid a resigned cabinet.
“Even if my father came out of his grave to become a prime minister and then
quit, I would not allow him to paralyze the activity of the parliament,” Berri
told As Safir.
Berri denied that he was equating the parliament with his seat, saying his
critics should not deal with the parliament's role based on their stance from
him.
He said the same applied to the premiership. “If Saad Hariri or Fouad Saniora or
Najib Miqati were prime ministers, this did not mean that the entire cabinet
would be characterized by the person who led it.”
Asked whether he agreed with a proposal made by Free Patriotic Movement leader
Michel Aoun to amend the constitution and include a deadline for the formation
of a cabinet, Berri said: “The flaw does not stop here.”
“There are a lot of things linked to the parliament that should be amended as
well,” he said, giving one example of how a lawmaker, who is absent from
parliament for the entire four years, continues to receive his salary. Going
back to the failure of Premier-designate Tammam Salam to form his government
since his appointment in April, Berri asked: “Is it possible that there isn't
any text that imposes a timeframe for the formation of the cabinet at a time
when the PM-designate is compelled to come up with a policy statement and refer
it to parliament in a one-month deadline after putting together his government?
Berri said that the loopholes in the constitution and in laws would only appear
through practice but “we should have the guts to rectify and correct them at the
appropriate time.”
Peace Envoy Says Assad Could Contribute to 'New' Syria
Naharnet Newsdesk 28 October 2013/U.N.-Arab League envoy Lakhdar Brahimi, who
arrived in Damascus Monday, believes President Bashar Assad could contribute to
the transition to a "new" Syria, but not as the country's leader.
Brahimi, who was in Syria on the latest leg of a regional tour to rally support
for peace talks, spoke about Assad in an interview in Paris with the Jeune
Afrique website published Monday.
"Many of those around (Assad) believe his candidacy (for a new presidential term
in 2014) is a fact. He considers this an absolute right... He thinks above all
of completing his mandate," the veteran Algerian diplomat said.
However, "what history teaches us is that after a crisis like this there is no
going back. President Assad could therefore usefully contribute to the
transition from the Syria of before, that of his father (the late president
Hafez Assad) and himself, to what I call the new Republic of Syria."
Brahimi said the U.S.-Russian accord to dismantle Syria's chemical arsenal had
transformed Assad from a "pariah" into a "partner" and convinced his supporters
even more of his ability to prevail. Brahimi also faces an uphill battle in
convincing the fractured opposition to attend the Geneva talks, after 19
Islamist rebel groups warned that anyone taking part in the talks would be
considered a traitor.
"This conference is the beginning of a process. We hope that the opposition will
manage to agree on a credible and representative delegation," Brahimi said.
"We should not delude ourselves: the entire world will not be present. But as
the process continues, it should include as much of the world as possible."
Brahimi, a veteran international troubleshooter, said he feared that if a
settlement could not be reached Syria may become a failed state like Somalia,
which has not had a functioning government for two decades. "The real threat in
Syria is not the partition of the country. The real danger is a sort of
"Somalization," but even more deep and lasting than what we have seen in
Somalia."Source/Agence France Presse.
Assad Sacks Deputy PM, Issues General Amnesty
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/Syrian President Bashar Assad on Tuesday
sacked his vice premier who had been absent without leave and held unauthorized
meetings abroad, the official SANA news agency said. The move follows media
reports that Qadri Jamil, a vice premier for economic affairs, had met with the
U.S. pointman for Syria, Ambassador Robert Ford, on Saturday in Geneva to
discuss proposed peace talks. SANA said Jamil was sacked after an "absence
without authorization from his post" as well as "activities and meetings outside
the country without authorization from the government."
According to a political source in Syria, Jamil had proposed joining the
opposition delegation to peace talks and that Ford had said he could not
represent both sides at once.
Opposition National Coalition spokesman Louay Safi said the incident showed that
"the regime is in the process of falling apart... Qadri Jamil perhaps felt the
ship is sinking."
A Lebanese newspaper reported that Jamil and his family have been living for the
past several weeks in Moscow, where the former member of the Syrian communist
party had studied economics. Jamil later founded his own party, the People's
Will, which participated in peaceful pro-democracy demonstrations in 2011 that
escalated into a rebellion after a crackdown by Assad.
As part of the tolerated domestic opposition, he helped draft a new constitution
last year and then participated in legislative elections before being named vice
premier.
The United States and Russia have been struggling to convince Syria's warring
parties to attend peace talks in Geneva next month aimed at ending the civil
war, which has killed an estimated 115,000 people.
U.N.-Arab League envoy Lakhdar Brahimi was in Damascus Tuesday as part of a
regional tour to rally support for the talks following a rare U.S.-Russian
accord to dismantle Syria's chemical weapons. The talks remain in doubt,
however, with Syria's increasingly fractured rebels having yet to say whether
they will attend.
The National Coalition has said it will not take part in the Geneva talks unless
Assad's resignation is on the table -- a demand rejected by Damascus -- while
several rebel groups have warned that anyone who attends will be considered a
traitor.
Assad has also cast doubt on the talks, and has said he will not negotiate with
any group tied to the rebels fighting his forces or to foreign states.
Meanwhile, SANA said Assad issued a general amnesty for crimes committed before
October 29, 2013.
Source/Agence France PresseNaharnet.
IAEA, Iran Say Nuclear Talks 'Very Productive'
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/The U.N. atomic watchdog and Iran said they
would meet again on November 11 over Tehran's nuclear program after a "very
productive meeting" on Tuesday. "Iran presented a new proposal on practical
measures as a constructive contribution to strengthen cooperation and dialogue
with a view to future resolution of all outstanding issues," the agency's chief
inspector Tero Varjoranta said. "Following the substantive discussions, it was
decided that a further meeting will be held on November 11 in Tehran in order to
take this cooperation forward," he said.
Iran's new envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Reza Najafi, said
the new proposal would allow both sides "to open a new chapter of cooperation."
The meeting in Vienna was one of a series in the Austrian capital ahead of
Iran's talks with six world powers in Geneva on November 7-8.
While those talks are focused on Iran's current nuclear activities, the IAEA
meeting -- the 12th since early 2012 -- was about allegations that Tehran
conducted nuclear weapons research prior to 2003. Source/Agence France Presse.
Egypt Judges Withdraw from Brotherhood Chief's Trial
Naharnet Newsdesk 29 October 2013/The three judges presiding in Muslim
Brotherhood chief Mohammed Badie's trial withdrew from the proceedings Tuesday
for "reasons of conscience", just days before Egypt's ousted Islamist president
Mohammed Morsi goes on trial.
Badie and his two deputies, Khairat al-Shater and Rashad al-Bayoumi, face
charges related to the deaths of protesters who stormed the Brotherhood's Cairo
headquarters on June 30.
"The judges are retiring from this case for reasons of conscience and the
accused must remain in detention," head judge Mohammed Fahmy al-Qarmuty told the
court at the start of the session, without elaborating. It was not immediately
clear what prompted the judges to step down and it is expected that new judges
will be appointed to hear the case.
Defense lawyer Mohammed Damaty insisted "there is no evidence at all in the
case". He told Agence France Presse that the authorities wanted to keep the
accused behind bars on a preventative basis "because they know very well that
the proceedings are political".
The judges' decision to step down will "prolong the process," he added. A total
of 32 other defendants are being prosecuted along with Badie, Shater and
Bayoumi. None of the 35 were in the court on Tuesday, when the second session of
their trial began. An official told AFP that the defendants were not brought to
the court for security reasons.
Badie, Shater and Bayoumi face charges of inciting the murders of nine
protesters on June 30. If found guilty, they face the death penalty. Three other
accused Islamists also face murder charges while 29 are charged with
participating in violence.
"I just want to see Badie and Shater hanged. I will fight for my son's rights,"
said Setohy Abdel Rahman, father of a protester killed in June 30 clashes, after
the judges announced their decision.
Millions of protesters on June 30 called for the ouster of Morsi, accusing him
of working for the sole benefit of the Brotherhood, ruining an already
dilapidated economy and monopolizing power following the 2011 overthrow of
longtime ruler Hosni Mubarak.
His supporters deny such allegations and point to the Muslim Brotherhood's
victories in a series of polls held after Mubarak's overthrow.The army on July 3
ousted Morsi after mass protests against his one-year rule. Tuesday's
developments in a downtown Cairo court came less than a week before the November
4 start of Morsi's trial.
Morsi is to be tried with 14 others for "incitement to murder" in connection
with deadly clashes between his supporters and opponents outside the
presidential palace in December 2012.
On Monday, the Anti-Coup Alliance supporting him said the Islamist had rejected
the authority of the court that is due to try him. "No lawyers will be defending
president Mohammed Morsi, neither Egyptians nor foreigners, because the
president does not recognize the trial or any action and processes that result
from the coup," the alliance, led by the Muslim Brotherhood, said in a
statement. The group said a team of Egyptian lawyers would be attending the
trial with Morsi, but only "to observe proceedings, not to defend him". The
alliance has called for mass protests on the day of the trial, raising fears of
further violence in the deeply polarized country.Security forces launched a
massive crackdown on Morsi's supporters in August, violently dispersing two
protest camps in Cairo. More than 1,000 people have been killed since Morsi's
ouster -- mainly his supporters -- and the authorities have arrested some 2,000
Islamists, including most of the Muslim Brotherhood's leadership. Morsi himself
has been held incommunicado in military custody since his ouster. His ouster has
not deterred supporters from organizing anti-military demonstrations, which are
now largely being held in universities. Their demonstrations have often
deteriorated into deadly street fights pitting them against opponents and
security forces.
Also on Tuesday, a Cairo court postponed the trial of four policemen accused of
killing 37 Islamist prisoners in August, judicial sources said. The next hearing
in their trial will be on November 12, they said.
Source/Agence France Presse.
With prisoners’ release, Palestinians demand Israel withdraw to 1949 lines,
renounce E. Jerusalem
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 28, 2013/Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
lamented Monday, Oct. 28 that the release Tuesday night of 26 jailed
Palestinians serving life sentences for murdering Israelis, the cause of
widespread popular ire, was “one of the hardest decisions” he has ever made. But
he faces much harder decisions from the list of tough demands, debkafile's
sources report were presented Israel by the Palestinians in ongoing US-sponsored
negotiations, The prime minister has not made them known to the Israeli public.
The new Palestinian terms are so harsh as to surely defy even US Secretary of
State John Kerry’s skills in bridging differences.
The prime minister also kept mum about his offer to the Palestinians of
financial compensation for land remaining under Israeli control – the first time
any Israeli leader has put a price tag on disputed territory.
The 16 Palestinian demands, which debkafile reveals exclusively for the first
time below, make the release of convicted Palestinian murderers a dangerous
exercise in futility, because each demand is enough to drive the negotiations
into impasse, just as Mahmoud Abbas did two years ago.
After seeing the Palestinian list, Netanyahu should have put the release of
prisoners on hold until Abbas comes around to a rational perception of the
negotiations as a give-and-take process for the object of reaching an agreement
– not an opportunity for outrageous extortion.
Israel’s senior negotiator Justice Minister Tzipi Livni tried arguing that the
Palestinians were just making an opening bid and they expected it to be driven
down in the bargaining process. However, negotiations have been going on for
three months and the process is into the fourth month of the nine-month period
assigned up to deadline.
Mahmoud Abbas, rather than seeking common ground, has used the time to raise his
price for a deal to an exorbitant level, while keeping his hand firmly on the
terrorist spigot.
It is a matter of record that a large proportion of jailed terrorists have
reverted to violence after they walked in the past through the exits of Israeli
jails.
First published list of Palestinian demands
The United States and Israel must acknowledge that the Palestinian state is
“under occupation.” (This is the Palestinian response to Prime Minister
Netanyahu’s demand to recognize Israel as the Jews’ national state.)
Israeli must repeal legislation extending Israeli law to East Jerusalem
The Palestinians will have full sovereignty over their air space. (This will bar
Israeli air force flights over Judea and Samaria and the Gaza Strip).
The Palestinians will have exclusive control of all border crossings to
neighboring nations. i.e. Israel and Jordan.
Israel’s withdrawal to the pre-1967 boundaries is not enough. Its pull-back must
go all the way to the 1949 armistice lines, additionally annexing to the
Palestinian state broad strips of Israeli land that were demilitarized at that
time. Among the areas which the Palestinians want to lay hands on are the Ayalon
Valley, the Latrun enclave and the Armon Hantatiz district of Jerusalem between
the Old City and West Jerusalem; the Huleh Lake Valley; the Golan slopes running
down to the Sea of Galilee; and the Nitzana belt north of the Gaza Strip – plus
one third of Dead Sea water and shore.
( The Palestinians hope to grab substantial Israeli territory beyond the
pre-1967 borders by invoking the long moribund 1949 accords.)
Electromagnetic space (radio frequencies, satellite and other communications)
will be under sole Palestinian control
The Palestinians are ready to relinquish 1.9 percent of West Bank territory.
All parts of East Jerusalem including the shrines sacred to Muslims, Christians
and Jews will come under sole Palestinian authority against a pledge of freedom
of worship.
Israel and its armed forces will draw back from the Palestinian state over a
three-year period. Six months after the drawdown is complete, the Palestinians
will be willing to sign final peace treaties with the State of Israel
The US and Israel must accept the settlement of the Palestinian refugee problem
as “a just and agreed solution.”
Every Palestinian refugee (as per the Palestinian Authority’s definition of up
to the fourth generation) will be free to choose between three options:
settlement in Israel or the Palestinian state or staying at their present
locations.
Whichever option is chosen, the refugees will be entitled to appropriate
restitution.
Only when the refugee issue is finally resolved will the Palestinians agree to
declare their dispute with Israel at an end
An international mechanism will be tasked with administering the disposition of
the Palestinian refugees and their resettlement. It will be composed of
Palestinian, Israeli, American, European, Canadian, Australian, Japanese and
Arab League representatives
The Palestinian state will be authorized to sign treaties including military
pacts without the intervention of a third party, such as Israel.
All parts of the Palestinian state will be clear of Israeli civilian and
military presence.
Quietly, Israel and the Gulf States Draw Closer Together
by Jonathan Spyer/PJ Media
http://www.meforum.org/3651/israel-gulf-states
Recent remarks by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have fueled renewed
speculation of behind-the-scenes links between Israel and the Gulf monarchies.
Netanyahu, speaking at the UN, said that "the dangers of a nuclear-armed Iran
and the emergence of other threats in our region have led many of our Arab
neighbors to recognize, finally recognize, that Israel is not their enemy."
He added: "This affords us the opportunity to overcome the historic animosities
and build new relationships, new friendships, new hopes."
There have been subsequent rumors of visits by senior Gulf officials to Israel,
to discuss matters of common interest.
While it is difficult to acquire details of these contacts at the present time,
it is a near certainty that they exist, on one level or another. Conversations
with Israeli officials suggest that much is happening behind the scenes.
Israel and the key states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (most importantly,
Saudi Arabia) share core views on the nature of key regional processes currently
underway, and their desired outcome. These commonalities have existed for some
time, and it is likely that the contacts are themselves not all that new.
There are three areas in which Israel and the countries of the GCC (with the
exception of Qatar) are on the same page.
They are: the urgency of the threat represented by the prospect of a nuclear
Iran, the danger represented by the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood over the last
two years, and the perception that the United States fails to understand the
urgency of these threats and, as a result, is acting in a naive and erroneous
way on both.
On the Iranian nuclear issue, Riyadh is deeply troubled by the current Iranian
'charm offensive' and its apparent effects on the west. Most importantly, the
Saudis fear the prospect of a nuclear Iran, which could force Riyadh and the
Gulf states to bend to its will, in return for guaranteeing the flow of oil
through the Straits of Hormuz, and avoiding direct encroachment on their sources
of energy.
Saudi Arabia faces Iran, directly across the Gulf. It is a far more fragile
construction than its Shia, Persian neighbor. Over the decades, Riyadh and the
other Gulf states sought to balance Iranian encroachment of this type through
alliance with the U.S.
But the U.S. no longer seems such a reliable ally. So new strong and like-minded
friends are needed.
On the Muslim Brotherhood, the Saudis feared the spread of this movement across
the region, and were infuriated by the role of Qatar in supporting its successes
in recent years.
Israel, too, was deeply concerned at the prospect of a new alliance of Sunni
Islamist states, with AKP-led Turkey and Morsi's Egypt chief among them.
Over the past year, the advance of the Muslim Brothers has been halted and
partially reversed. In Tunisia and Egypt, the MB administrations have gone.
Qatar has a new, less activist emir. The Muslim Brothers and Qatar have grown
weaker among the Syrian rebels.
Saudi Arabia has been responsible for some of this, through financial support
and political action. It has welcomed all of it. So has Israel.
On the U.S.: the Saudis think that the current U.S. administration is hopelessly
naive on the Middle East. They were shocked at the abandonment of Hosni Mubarak
of Egypt in 2011. They are equally vexed at the current indications of American
and Western willingness to lift some sanctions against Iran in return for
cosmetic concessions that would leave the core of Teheran's nuclear program
intact.
The Saudis were the first to congratulate General Abd al-Fatah al Sissi
following his military coup in early July. They are utterly dismayed by the
current U.S. withholding of part of Washington's package of military aid to
Cairo because of what the U.S. regards as the insufficiently speedy transition
back to elections in Egypt.
Again, Israel shares these perspectives. The absence of American leadership may
well be the key factor in causing Israel and the Gulf states to draw closer.
On the face of it, any alliance between Jewish Israel and Salafi Saudi Arabia
might appear an absurdity. Israel is a liberal democracy and a Jewish state.
Saudi Arabia is a repressive absolute monarchy, based on a particular Salafi
Muslim outlook which is deeply anti-Jewish and anti-Christian in nature.
This ideology is not a dead letter for the Saudis. Rather, they invest heavily
in spreading their particular rigid form of Islam in the west and elsewhere.
Their media and education system are rife with anti-Jewish prejudice.
But a clear distinction is made by the Saudis between the world of
ideology/media/culture and the realm of raison d'etat. Hence, there is no reason
to think they would not be able to publicly vilify Israel, while maintaining off
the radar links with it against more immediate enemies.
In this regard, it is worth remembering the Wikileaks revelation of remarks made
in private by Saudi King Abdullah to American General David Petraeus in April,
2008, in which he recommended military action against the Iranian nuclear
program. The king referred to Iran as the "head of the snake," which should be
cut off. No similarly venomous remarks on Israel were quoted from the
conversation, which took place far from the public eye.
Of course the common interests only go so far. Saudi Arabia supports Salafi
Islamist forces in both Syria and Egypt. Saudi money finds its way to Salafi
elements among the Palestinians. But the areas of commonality are on issues of
cardinal importance to both countries.
The de facto, unseen alliance between Israel, Saudi Arabia and the GCC countries
is one of the most intriguing structures currently emerging amid the whirling
chaos of the Middle East.
**Jonathan Spyer is a senior research fellow at the Global Research in
International Affairs (GLORIA) Center, and a fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Kerry: US won't succumb to fear tactics of those who oppose Iran diplomacy
By JPOST.COM STAFF/10/29/2013/US Secretary of State defends Washington's
decision to pursue diplomatic avenue with Tehran over its nuclear program. Kerry
votes with the other members of the United Nations Security Council on September
27, 2013/US Secretary of State John Kerry on Monday said that it would be "the
height of irresponsibility" for Washington not to test Iran's diplomatic
overtures in regard to its nuclear program.
In what could be construed as a reference to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's
warnings to the world not to fall for the "charm offensive" of Iranian President
Hassan Rouhani, Kerry stated that the US would not "succumb to fear tactics," of
those who oppose diplomacy. Speaking at a Washington gala in support of nuclear
disarmament, Kerry said that the US has "an opportunity to try to put to test
whether or not Iran really desires to pursue only a peaceful program, and will
submit to the standards of the international community in the effort to prove
that to the world." In the past months the prime minister has been portrayed as
leading a solitary campaign to increase economic pressure on Iran precisely at a
time when the international community is disposed to refrain from further
financial penalties as a good will gesture to help improve the chances of a
negotiated solution.
On Sunday Netanyahu defended that characterization, even as he explained he does
not believe it is reflective of reality. “This [halting Iran’s nuclear program]
is vital and important for the security of Israel and, in my view, the peace of
the world. Then certainly we are willing to stand alone in the face of world
opinion or changing fashion,” Netanyahu said. “But in fact we are not alone
because most, if not all leaders, those with whom I have spoken, agree with us.
There are those who say so fully and there are those who whisper and there are
those who say so privately. But everyone understands that Iran cannot be allowed
to retrain the ability to be within reach of nuclear weapons,” he said. The
prime minister briefed his cabinet on his conversation in Rome last week with
Kerry and explained that halting Iran’s nuclear weapons program was one of the
main topics in their seven hour meeting.
Netanyahu also discussed Iran with US President Barack Obama in a telephone call
on Monday night. Tovah Lazaroff contributed to this report.
Cairo bids for brand-new Russian SS-25 ballistic missiles in major arms
transaction with Moscow
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 29, 2013/Lt. Gen. Vyacheslav Kondrashov,
Russian Deputy chief of staff and head of GRU military intelligence, spent the
first day of his visit to Cairo, Tuesday, Oct. 29, with Egyptian military
chiefs, going through the list of Russian military hardware items they want to
buy in their first major arms transaction with Moscow in more than three
decades, DEBKAfile’s military sources report. The Egyptians asked Moscow to
supply the sort of advanced weapons withheld by the United States, and topped
their shopping list with medium-range intercontinental ballistic missiles that
cover Iran and most of the Middle East.
They told the Russian general that Moscow’s good faith in seeking to build a new
military relationship between the two governments would be tested by its
willingness to meet this Egyptian requirement.
They are most likely after the brand-new SS-25 road-mobile ICBM which has a
range of 2,000 km., which the Russians tested earlier this month.
Russia is not entirely comfortable with this demand, having signed a mutual
agreement with the US to stop manufacturing medium-range ballistic missiles. And
so the sale of SS-25 ICBMs to Egypt could get the Russians in hot water in
Washington. Gen. Kondrashov told his hosts that their list would receive serious
scrutiny and, in the meantime, Moscow is prepared to offer Cairo long-term
credit on easy terms to finance the package. This would relieve cash-strapped
Egypt of the need to find the money to pay for the arms and save its leaders
having to turn to Saudi Arabia and the Arab Emirates for funding.
The Russian general’s arrival in Cairo at the head of a large military
delegation was the first in 35 years. Since 1972, when Anwar Sadat expelled the
Soviet advisers, Egypt has never acquired Russian weapons.
DEBKAfile: Western sources are divided over the seriousness of the Saudi feud
with the Obama administration and tend to minimize Riyadh’s shift away from its
traditional ally, the US. But the Saudis are going full tilt to distance
themselves from Washington and are meanwhile urging Egypt’s ruler Defense
Minister Gen. Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi, to turn away from his country’s long
dependence on America. Hence the large arms transaction with Moscow, which was
agreed as early as last July - and reported by DEBKAfile at the time - when
Saudi Intelligence Director Prince Bandar bin Sultan met Russian President
Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin.
Word of the arrival of the Russian GRU general in Cairo appears to have prompted
US Secretary of State John Kerry to announce Tuesday that he planned to visit to
Egypt in the coming weeks. He may be too late to stop Egypt’s drift out of the
US orbit, especially since he made it plain that he would insist on meeting with
representatives of all the country’s political factions. This was taken to mean
the Muslim Brotherhood and other opposition groups. The Russian delegation has
no plans to talk to any non-military figures in Egypt, which means that its
members will not step out of the loyal circle centering on Gen. El-Sisi.
How to Negotiate with Iran
Dennis Ross, Eric Edelman, and Michael Makovsky
Los Angeles Times/Washington Institute
A deal struck for its own sake on Tehran's nuclear program would be worse than
no deal at all.
This month in Geneva, at the first negotiations over its nuclear program since
the election of President Hassan Rouhani, Iran took an unprecedented step: It
negotiated. For the first time, Tehran presented an actual vision of the endgame
for the talks with six world powers, and how to get there. However, contrary to
expectations, it offered no concessions, leaving serious questions about Iranian
purposes. With another round of talks scheduled for next week, U.S. negotiators
would do well to follow principles that signify the core interests at stake. The
most pressing national security threat facing the United States remains
preventing a nuclear-capable Iran. The preferred way to achieve that objective
is through a diplomatic agreement. But diplomacy can only be that -- a means to
an end. As Secretary of State John F. Kerry has said, a "bad deal is worse than
no deal." A deal struck for its own sake would still allow for a nuclear Iran;
undermine the legitimacy of any subsequent U.S. attempts or, much more likely,
Israeli attempts to arrest Iran's progress by military action; discredit and
compromise U.S. credibility; and weaken, if not destroy, the decades-old
international nonproliferation regime. Therefore, the United States should only
pursue an agreement within certain parameters, to ensure the deal actually
furthers the interests of the U.S. and its allies. As we explain in a new JINSA
Gemunder Center report, there are six such principles that should guide the
negotiations with Iran.
First, Iran must resolve outstanding international concerns. The International
Atomic Energy Agency has repeatedly complained that Iran has not been
forthcoming about its nuclear activities. Indeed, the IAEA in 2011 expressed its
"deep and increasing concern about the unresolved issues regarding the Iranian
nuclear program, including those which need to be clarified to exclude the
existence of possible military dimensions." Iran must quickly address all
outstanding IAEA concerns as part of any deal.
Second, Iran must adhere to international legal requirements. The IAEA's
repeated condemnations of Iran have spurred the U.N. Security Council to pass
six resolutions requiring Tehran to "suspend all enrichment-related and
reprocessing activities" and "to implement without delay all transparency
measures as the IAEA may request in support of its ongoing investigations." Iran
has repeatedly disputed the legality of these resolutions, claiming the Nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty, or NPT, grants it a right to enrich uranium. But no
such right exists. Iran's defiance and distortion of international legal demands
threatens to unravel the nonproliferation regime. To preserve it, negotiators
must reassert the Security Council's authority and the NPT's true purpose.
Third, deny Iran nuclear weapons capability. The main concern about Iran's
nuclear program is that it is on the verge of producing enough weapons-grade
uranium for a nuclear device. An acceptable deal must not just freeze but
tangibly roll back its ability to do so. This will require limits on size and
enrichment level of its uranium stockpile, number and type of operating and
installed centrifuges, design of enrichment facilities and possible plutonium
production at the Arak heavy-water reactor. Fourth, impose a strict inspections
regime. Just because Iran agrees to a deal does not mean it will stick to it. It
has tried to build each of its current enrichment facilities covertly. To
prevent it from attempting to do so again, negotiators should require Iran to
agree to more rigorous monitoring of its nuclear program.
Fifth, negotiate from a position of strength. Too often, Iran has used
negotiations to extract concessions, undermine international resolve and play
for time. In the few instances it has compromised, it has been because of the
threat of force. The success of these talks will hinge on Iran understanding
that there will be very real and damaging consequences if negotiations fail.
This will require at least these U.S. actions: Intensify sanctions and
incentivize other countries to do the same, issue more forceful and credible
statements that all options are on the table, initiate new military deployments
and make clear the support for Israeli military action if conducted.
Finally, do not waste time. Iran will likely attain an undetectable nuclear
capability by mid-2014, and perhaps even earlier, leaving scant time to both
negotiate and verifiably implement a deal. It appears that Iranian Foreign
Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif may have offered a timeline at Geneva for wrapping
up negotiations. But given Iranian nuclear progress over the last 18 months and
earlier unexplained activities, negotiators ought not accept a schedule that
stretches beyond the point when it becomes impossible to prevent a nuclear Iran
by other means. Implementing and making known a strict deadline for talks can
dissuade Iran from using diplomacy as a cover while sprinting for the bomb, and
reassure Israel so it does not feel compelled to act alone. Negotiators should
hew to these principles to avoid mistaking rhetoric for action, and must walk
away from any agreement that violates them.
*Dennis Ross is counselor at The Washington Institute and former senior Middle
East advisor to President Obama. Eric Edelman was undersecretary of defense for
policy in 2005-2009. Michael Makovsky is chief executive of JINSA and served in
the Office of the Secretary of Defense in 2002-2006.