LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
October 23/2013
Bible Quotation for today/In Praise of
Wisdom
Proverbs 08/19-36: "What
you get from me is better than the finest gold, better
than the purest silver. I walk the way of
righteousness; I follow the paths of justice, giving
wealth to those who love me, filling their houses with
treasures. “The Lord created me first of all, the first
of his works, long ago. I was made in the very
beginning, at the first, before the world began. I was
born before the oceans, when there were no springs of
water. I was born before the mountains, before the hills
were set in place, before God made the earth and its
fields or even the first handful of soil. I was there
when he set the sky in place, when he stretched the
horizon across the ocean, when he placed the clouds in
the sky, when he opened the springs of the ocean and
ordered the waters of the sea to rise no further than he
said. I was there when he laid the earth's foundations.
I was beside him like an architect, I was his daily
source of joy, always happy in his presence—happy with
the world and pleased with the human race. “Now, young
people, listen to me. Do as I say, and you will be
happy. Listen to what you are taught. Be wise; do not
neglect it. Those who listen to me will be happy— those
who stay at my door every day,
waiting at the entrance to my home. Those who find me
find life, and the Lord will be pleased with them. Those
who do not find me hurt themselves; anyone who hates me
loves death.”
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For October 23/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For October 23/13
One
killed, 11 wounded in north Lebanon fighting
October 22, 2013/The Daily Star/TRIPOLI, Lebanon:
Renewed fighting between supporters and opponents of President Bashar Assad
killed one boy and wounded 11 other people Tuesday in the northern city of
Tripoli. The intermittent clashes broke the calm that prevailed in the area as
part of the government’s security plan to preserve peace in the volatile city.
The boy was identified as 13-year-old Daniel Ahmad who died of wounds he
sustained in the clashes, a security source told The Daily Star. The wounded
were transferred to nearby hospitals in the city and included four soldiers, the
source added. Clashes broke out Monday evening between supporters and opponents
of Assad after residents of the neighborhood of Jabal Mohsen, supportive of the
Syrian leader, fired shots in the air when the Assad appeared in a TV interview.
Shortly afterward, residents of the rival neighborhood Bab al-Tabbaneh returned
the fire and targeted Jabal Mohsen. On Tuesday, the two rivals exchanged mortar
shells as well as rocket-propelled grenades amid sporadic sniper fire and
residents expected the direct fighting to erupt at any moment. The tensions
forced several branches of the Lebanese University to close Tuesday as well as
several public and private schools in the areas of Baddawi, Bab al-Tabbaneh,
Qibbeh and Zaheriyah. Backed by armored vehicles, the Lebanese Army was seen
patrolling the city and several other neighborhood. The two neighborhoods have a
history of violent clashes, since the uprising against Assad began in 2011. In
order to restore calm in the city following two car bombs two months ago, the
caretaker government drafted a security plan for Tripoli, but security forces
have only implemented its first phase.
Family of
Lebanese Cameraman Missing in Syria Urges Officials to Act
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/The family of Sky News Arabia cameraman Samir
Kassab who has gone missing in Syria urged Lebanese officials on Tuesday to
address the case, stressing that “he was performing his job professionally and
impartially and he is not involved in the conflict.” “Eight days have passed
since the disappearance of our son …, his Mauritanian colleague Ishak Moctar and
their Syrian driver, after contact with them was lost as they arrived in the
Syrian region of Aleppo last Tuesday to conduct a field report on the
humanitarian aspect of the Syrians' plight during Eid al-Adha,” the family said
in a statement. “After we preferred during this period to resort to prayer and
silence and to let things take their natural course, and after we followed up on
Sky News Arabia's strenuous efforts to find its crew, and as Samir's cause
remains absent from the interests of all political officials in Lebanon, we
remind that our son was performing his job professionally and impartially and he
is not involved in the conflict,” the family added, stressing that Kassab “is
not a member of any political party or group in his country.”The family also
urged journalists, civil society groups, international organizations and all
parties who have influence on the events in Syria to help secure the safe return
of Kassab and his colleagues.
The Abu Dhabi-based Sky News Arabia said Thursday it had lost contact with its
crew on assignment in the north Syria province of Aleppo, where abductions have
been on the rise. The channel said in a statement that Kassab, Moctar and a
Syrian driver it did not name at his family's request have been missing since
Tuesday. It appealed to "all concerned parties" to help it locate its team and
support "any effort ensuring their safe return."The journalists are "dedicated
to covering the news objectively, professionally and without bias," said Nart
Bouran, head of Sky News Arabia. Media watchdog Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
says at least 16 foreign journalists are missing in Syria, although many cases
have not been made public at the request of their families. RSF says that since
the conflict erupted in Syria in March 2011, at least 25 professional
journalists and 70 citizen journalists have been killed. Though journalists have
been killed while reporting from the regime side, most deaths and kidnappings
have been among those behind rebel lines. Sherif Mansour of the Committee to
Protect Journalists (CPJ) said the threat has evolved. "In the beginning we only
saw journalists being kidnapped by the government but later we began to see the
opposition becoming increasingly involved," he told Agence France Presse. "The
kidnappings now are not just for political reasons, but also for financial
reasons. We have also seen groups that are specifically targeting journalists,
accusing them of being spies."
Suleiman: Disassociation Policy is a Source of Pride, No
One Has Right to Criticize it
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/President Michel Suleiman
stressed on Tuesday the importance of the Baabda Declaration that calls for
Lebanon to distance itself from regional developments, saying that it has helped
safeguard the country from the unrest. He said: “The policy of disassociation is
a source of pride and no one has the right to criticize it.” He made his remarks
during a speech on the occasion of the expansion of the container area at Beirut
Port. “We must save Lebanon through dialogue and not shy away from its
agreements, especially the Baabda Declaration that seeks to preserve Lebanon,”
continued Suleiman. “Let us put aside our differences and agree on saving our
country,” declared the president. Moreover, he said: “We must reconcile with
ourselves and in turn with the law. We must let the judiciary and audit bureaus
carry out their work.”
“We must also respect constitutional deadlines, starting with the presidential
election,” he stressed. Suleiman emphasized the need for administrative reform,
noting: “The rule of law must be imposed in Lebanon away from the corruption
that has become rampant at some institutions.”“The best examples of corruption
at state institutions are the ongoing vacancies at these establishments that
were caused by political meddling,” he remarked. “We must unite and cooperate in
maintaining our constitutional institutions,” he demanded. Syrian President
Bashar Assad had criticized on Monday Lebanon's disassociation policy, saying:
“Lebanon has contributed directly to the situation in Syria by allowing the safe
passage of terrorists and weapons into the country.”
“It has allowed incitement against Syria, so technically it has not implemented
the policy of disassociation,” he noted to al-Mayadeen television. “Assuming if
it did implement the policy, what would it do if the fire spread to it? The
situation in Syria has started to directly impact Lebanon,” he said. The Baabda
Declaration was unanimously approved during a national dialogue session in June
2012.
It calls for keeping Lebanon away from regional developments, especially those
in Syria. Hizbullah has however been seen as having violated the declaration
after it became involved in the crisis in Syria where its fighters are
supporting regime forces. Its actions in Syria have been strongly condemned in
Lebanon and by foreign powers. Suleiman is scheduled to make two more speeches
this week, one on Thursday and another on Saturday.
Saturday's speech will take place during the opening of the Gathering for the
Christians of the Orient in Rabweh, reported al-Joumhouria newspaper on Tuesday.
During the event, he is set to highlight the need for dialogue between religions
and civilizations
Ongoing Row over Constitutionality of Parliamentary Session
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Discussions over a two-day parliamentary
session reached a dead-end on Tuesday amid a sharp row over its
constitutionality as al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc insisted on boycotting it
if Speaker Nabih Berri failed to modify its agenda. Head of al-Mustaqbal
Parliamentary bloc Fouad Saniora told reporters after talks with Berri, on the
sidelines of a session set to elect the parliament's bureau committee members
and the parliamentary committees members, that Wednesday's session is
“unconstitutional.” He pointed out that the bloc will not attend the two-day
session. For his part, Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra said that Berri has the
“keys to the parliament.”While Phalange Party MP Sami Gemayel told reporters
that there's no need to hold a session “as there is no state.” Lawmakers earlier
elected the same members to the parliament's bureau committee and the
parliamentary committees without any modification. The controversial two-day
legislative session that Berri called for is set to discuss 45 items on its
agenda, the same session that has been boycotted for five times since July over
differences on whether the parliament can convene amid a resigned government or
not. The previous sessions were boycotted by the March 14 coalition, caretaker
PM Najib Miqati and Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun's Change and
Reform parliamentary bloc. Miqati and the March 14 alliance argue that the
parliament can only discuss urgent items, while Aoun has boycotted over Berri's
failure to include his bloc's items on the session's agenda. However, Berri is
holding on to his stance that the parliament can convene at any time to discuss
draft-laws. He insists on keeping the 45 draft-laws on the session's agenda,
saying that he would continue to call on MPs for a General Assembly meeting
until the agenda is discussed. An Nahar newspaper reported earlier that Berri
and Saniora meeting will be held in presence of several March 14 MPs. According
to An Nahar daily published on Tuesday, the coalition held a meeting on Monday
eve to discuss the possibility of attending Wednesday's parliamentary session,
the process of cabinet formation and the developments in neighboring country
Syria.
Miqati Urges Preservation of Coexistence, Warns Against Favoring Sectarian
Interests
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Miqati called
on Tuesday for the preservation of Lebanon's unique state of coexistence through
stances that are based on national unity.
“Lebanon represents a national willingness for coexistence which multiplies our
responsibility in preserving this unique formula of Islamic-Christian
Brotherhood,” said Miqati after he was invited to attend the first Conference
for the Christians of the Orient. Miqati called for “practices and stances that
preserve national unity and consolidate partnership that is based on equality,
justice, cooperation and mutual respect.” The upcoming conference is a necessity
for Lebanon at this stage amid a rise in extremism, he said. “We should hold
onto our coexistence to guarantee a (better) future for all the Lebanese … and
to overcome this delicate stage,” he added. Miqati warned against putting
sectarian interests before patriotic feelings, which he said contradicts the
Taef Accord that has established a consensual democracy based on freedom,
justice and equality. The caretaker PM condemned attacks on churches and places
of worship in several countries, the latest in Egypt. “There should be unity in
confronting these assaults that tarnish the image of the monotheistic religions
and threaten coexistence among the faithful,” he said. Four Coptic Christians
were gunned down outside the Church of the Virgin in Cairo's working class
neighborhood of al-Warrak on Sunday. The four victims belonged to one family,
according to relatives. Seventeen others were wounded the attack. Bishop Samir
Mazloum, who is the Secretary-General of the Gathering for the Christians of the
Orient, said after meeting Miqati that he invited the caretaker Premier to the
conference that will be held on Saturday in Rabweh.
Change and Reform Slams 'Dangerous Campaign' against Sehnaoui
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/The Change and Reform parliamentary bloc on
Tuesday condemned what it described as a “dangerous campaign” against caretaker
Telecom Minister Nicolas Sehnaoui over the issue of telecom data, announcing
that it will play a role in reactivating the work of parliament. “There is a
dangerous campaign against Sehnaoui and those behind it bear the responsibility.
They are accusing him of crimes over the issue of telecom data, but we stress
that security agencies have always received the data they want,” the bloc's
secretary MP Ibrahim Kanaan said after Change and Reform's weekly meeting in
Rabieh.
“There is a control center that cost the state large sums of money. It allows
them to have direct access to the phone calls and to obtain the information they
want, so why is the center still closed?” Kanaan said.
“Why don't you activate the control center which was created according to
resolutions taken by the successive governments. It was a Lebanese dream to
gather intelligence without encroaching on the privacy of people,” he noted.
Former Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Ashraf Rifi has accused Sehnaoui
of withholding telecom data from security agencies in the periods that witnessed
the assassination of Intelligence Bureau chief Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hasan and
the attempt on Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea's life. Rifi accused Sehnaoui
of being accomplice in al-Hasan's assassination “because he withheld the telecom
data from investigators.” But the minister hit back, stressing that “security
agencies were receiving the complete telecom data everyday during the past three
years, including during the period of the assassination of martyr Major General
Wissam al-Hasan and the other incidents.” Separately, Kanaan said “Speaker (Nabih)
Berri informed us that some of the exits he suggested have been rejected, and we
believe that we must continue the discussions with Berri and with the other
blocs in order to resume the legislative sessions and the work of parliament, as
there are social priorities that we need to address.” “We will contribute to
relaunching the work of parliament," Kanaan noted.
Turning to the issue of the nine Lebanese pilgrims who were freed on Saturday
after a 17-month kidnap ordeal in Syria, Kanaan said: “We consider that the joy
is not complete as the fate of the two (Syrian) bishops is still unclear.” “We
have not obtained any information about them and about all those who went
missing in Syria. This is a humanitarian and not political issue and we will
exert efforts in this regard,” he added. On the issue of the row over oil
excavation, Kanaan emphasized that “all the needed oil decrees must be approved
and this must not be a topic for overbidding. “The cabinet must convene even if
it is a caretaker cabinet as the issue of oil is a priority,” he underlined.
Tawq Supporters Protest Removal of Illegal Construction, MP Geagea Voices
Support for Security Forces
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Security forces clashed on Tuesday with
supporters of former MP Jebran Tawq in the northern city of Bsharre over the
removal of illegal construction. "Tawq's supporters protested the removal of a
recently built amphitheater in the Cedar forest,” the state-run National News
Agency reported, noting that the construction was established on the occasion of
the weeding ceremony of the former MP's son. The NNA said: “The protesters
blocked the Ainta-al-Arz international road.”"Tear gas was used in the clashes
and the protesters were divided between those supporting the blocking of the
road, and others calling for reopening it.”"Local figures and Maronite Patriarch
Bechara al-Rahi were called to intervene without reaching consensus and the road
is still blocked," the same source remarked. LBCI television later noted that
negotiations are underway between the protesters and security forces over the
removal of the amphitheater. “Caretaker Interior Minister Marwan Charbel and
former MP Jebran Tawq are discussing the possibility of reopening the Bsharre
road,” LBCI added. Tawq explained to LBCI that the amphitheater was built for a
family occasion and on a private property that is "protected by the
constitution."
“It does not harm the environment and we want to plant trees in it,” he said.
"All Bsharre residents want to keep the amphitheater and what is happening today
is a militia-like behavior.”
He continued: “We do not want troubles but Bsharre lawmakers are held
responsible for the stage we reached today.”Later in the day, however, Tawq
urged his supporters to reopen the blocked road to “legally” find a solution to
the clashes with security forces, according to al-Jadeed television. Commenting
on the escalation of events, Lebanese Forces MP Sethrida Geagea stated that “the
majority of Bsharre residents support the security forces.”
“We urge them to continue their mission of removing illegal constructions,” the
Bsharre MP said. "We want our city to be an example of a region that respects
the state's authority and we insist that everyone abides by the law that should
be applied without any exceptions.”Geagea elaborated on Tuesday's event to Radio
Free Lebanon: “The caretaker Environment Minister took a decision to remove the
newly built illegal construction near the Cedar forest, but when security forces
started their work, a group of supporters of ex-MP Tawq tried to prevent them.”
"We call on Tawq to take the initiative and ask his supporters to allow security
forces to complete their mission,” she said. "Let's leave these matters to the
state that protects us along with the army and the security forces.” Geagea
thanked Charbel, caretaker Environment Minister Nazem al-Khouri, and caretaker
Culture Minister Gaby Layyoun over their insistence to preserve "We also
appreciate the efforts exerted by acting Internal Security Forces chief Brig.
Gen. Ibrahim Basbous and the security forces.”LF MP Elie Keyrouz assured LBCI
that the removal of illegal construction “does not target anyone.”"It is a
matter of a violation near the Cedar forest, which is placed on the list of
World Heritage Sites,” he pointed out.
SourceAgence France Presse.
Mustaqbal Slams 'Scandalous' Release of Suspects Linked to Turkish Pilots'
Abduction
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/The Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc slammed on
Tuesday the release of suspects linked to the case of the abduction of two
Turkish pilots, saying that this “scandal” helps enforce lawlessness in Lebanon.
It said in a statement after its weekly meeting: “The state, starting with
President Michel Suleiman and the government, should take a position that would
put a stop to the collapse of laws in Lebanon.”
It accused the March 8 forces of pressuring authorities to release the three
suspects, noting: “It is a message that encourages lawlessness in Lebanon, which
will transform the country into a failed state.”
The bloc therefore asked caretaker Justice Minister Shakib Qortbawi to list what
measures he took to confront this violation and what role the judiciary plays in
monitoring investigations. Moreover, it wondered how the released pilots were
transferred out of Lebanon and through what state authority. “Who transported
them from where they were being held captive? Is it true that some political
powers in government were behind their abduction?” it asked. “This scandal is
reminiscent of the kidnapping of foreigners in Lebanon that had taken place in
the past,” it continued. “It is also reminiscent of the scandal that surrounded
the death of pilot Samer Hanna” in 2008, said the Mustaqbal bloc. Addressing the
renewal of clashes between the rival neighborhoods of Bab al-Tabbaneh and Jabal
Mohsen in the northern city of Tripoli, the bloc urged the residents to exercise
restraint and avoid falling victim to the Syrian regime's trap of creating
strife in Lebanon. It also condemned Syrian President Bashar Assad's remarks on
Monday that Jabal Mohsen is part of Syria. “Th neighborhood is part of Tripoli
and its security. The Syrian regime should stop inciting its residents, arming
them, and sending them explosives that are being used against fellow residents
of Tripoli,” it demanded. It also hailed President Michel Suleiman's recent
remarks on the Baabda Declaration and his affirmation that it helps keep Lebanon
away from regional developments. It therefore demanded that the political and
security authorities take tangible steps that protect Tripoli and not just make
due with statements on security plans in the city. Commenting on the release of
the nine Lebanese pilgrims that were held in Syria's Aazaz region for over a
year, the Mustaqbal bloc congratulated the people on their release, hoping that
it will pave the way for efforts to be exerted to ensure the release of all
prisoners, especially Lebanese held in Syrian jails. It condemned however
General Security chief Abbas Ibrahim, who played a major role in releasing the
Aazaz pilgrims, for holding talks, as part of these efforts, with Syrian
security chief Ali Mamlouk, who is wanted by Lebanon for plotting to carry out
terrorist attacks in the country. Three suspects held over their connection to
the August abduction of two Turkish pilots were released on bail on Monday. The
two Turkish Airlines pilots – Murat Akpinar and Murat Agca – were freed Saturday
as part of a swap deal involving the release of the nine pilgrims and a number
of Syrian women prisoners.
Elias Murr Appointed Head of INTERPOL Foundation for a Safer World
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Former deputy Prime Minister and ex-Minister
Elias Murr has been appointed the head of the INTERPOL Foundation for a Safer
World for a seven-year term. The appointment was made unanimously by INTERPOL's
Executive Committee ahead of the organization's 82nd General Assembly held in
Colombia. The Assembly, which opened in Colombia on Monday, is focusing on the
need for new strategies and measures to help law enforcement more effectively
amid emerging global crime threats.
Cautious Calm in Tripoli Despite Intermittent Sniper
Activity
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Cautious calm prevailed on
Tuesday in the northern city of Tripoli despite intermittent gunfire and sniper
activity as several residents fled to safer areas, the state-run National News
agency reported. The news agency said that sniper activity reached the
international highway that links Tripoli with the northern province of Akkar.
Five people were injured, including soldiers, after clashes renewed on Monday
eve between the rival neighborhoods of Bab al-Tabbaneh and Jabal Mohsen. The
report pointed out that army units are responding to the sources of fire and
deployed in the area separating the two rival neighborhoods.
Voice of Lebanon radio (93.3) reported earlier that two mortar shells hit Syria
street, which separates the two districts. The army also carried out patrols in
the area. Tripoli has witnessed recurrent clashes between the Sunni-majority
neighborhood of Bab al-Tabbaneh and the mainly Alawite neighborhood of Jabal
Mohsen. The clashes have become more frequent and deadly since the beginning of
the Syrian uprising, which pits the Sunni-led opposition against the regime of
President Bashar Assad, who is Alawite. The NNA said that registered traffic in
Tripoli was light, in particular, on the international highway. Tripoli police
chief Brig. Gen. Bassam al-Ayyoubi announced early August the launching of a
crackdown on gunmen in the northern city.
Ibrahim Promises to Resolve Case of Hundreds of Lebanese Missing in Syria
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim
has revealed that he would seek to reopen the file of Lebanese held in Syrian
jails and resolve the case of the two bishops kidnapped in Syria. In remarks to
As Safir newspaper published on Tuesday, Ibrahim said that he had promised
Lebanese political and religious officials to seek the release of Bishops
Youhanna Ibrahim and Boulos Yazigi, who were kidnapped in Syria at the end of
April. He stressed that he had also promised them to find a closure to the fate
of hundreds of Lebanese thought to be held in Syria since the end of Lebanon's
15-year civil war. Ibrahim said his mission lied in implementing the orders of
President Michel Suleiman and Caretaker Interior Minister Marwan Charbel. He
told As Safir that the release of the nine Lebanese pilgrims after 17 months of
captivity in Syria was “an achievement for every Lebanese citizen.”The
achievement “does not belong to any sect or area,” he said, adding that “we
should take pride in our state.”The nine Shiite pilgrims, who were kidnapped by
rebels in May 2012 while on their way from Iran to Lebanon via Turkey and Syria,
were set free late Saturday as part of a deal that also saw the release of two
Turkish Airlines pilots, who were abducted in August in Beirut.
Vocal
hypocrites
October 22, 2013/The Daily Star
Some politicians in Lebanon suffer from acute schizophrenia. Day in and day out,
they spend half their day waxing poetic about the virtues of coexistence, and
the other half scaremongering about the threats posed by everyone who is not
from their small sect or group. While this schizophrenia has been around for a
while, it sometimes bursts out into the open. The latest trigger has come in the
form of anxiety over property ownership. If one reads the headlines, one might
think Christians are anxious over the sale of land to non-Christians. At first
glance, such fears and worries might even seem reasonable, due to demographic
change. But a little more digging is required to arrive at a sound diagnosis.
For one thing, the same type of politician and public figure who carries on
about the need to respect the law in Lebanon ends up becoming the first person
to ignore the concept of law altogether. There is simply no legal foundation for
engaging in such blatant, racist discrimination. Some might think
decentralization has actually arrived, but it hasn’t – and even decentralized
government doesn’t permit anti-constitutional behavior. Moreover, the same type
of Christian politician who rails against selling land to non-Christians has
been strangely silent about Muslim investors when they engage in large-scale
investments in places such as Sin al-Fil or Hazmieh. If one travels further
uphill in areas of Mount Lebanon, there are summer resort areas that have seen
large-scale purchases by Gulf investors, and home ownership by non-Christian
Lebanese – no one seems to be upset by the phenomenon, and few politicians seem
interested in railing against the unwanted guests.
Christians are not the only group that has been afflicted by this schizophrenic
behavior, but they are the ones usually making the loudest noise about the
threats posed by outsiders. Any politician who takes such a stance should at
least be consistent; instead of spending time talking about coexistence, they
should run openly on an anti-coexistence platform come election time.
But a more professional response by such politicians would be along the
following lines. They should ask themselves why Christians want to sell their
land.
Can politicians and officials who have spent years in their positions tell the
public about all the robust development projects they’ve brought to
Christian-majority areas, especially in rural parts of the country?
Can they tell the public about how they’ve helped boost the agricultural sector,
through forward-looking plans to grow high value crops, backed by public
infrastructure projects?
Can they point to any successes in eliminating the corruption and lack of
opportunity that makes many Christians (and other Lebanese) give up on where
they grew up and leave for a better life elsewhere?
If these politicians can’t point to such successes, then they should stay quiet
and stop inciting people to break the law, and stop paving the way for another
civil war.
British Foreign Secretary William Hague: Syria Meeting
Agrees Assad Can Have No Role in Future Govt
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/Western and Arab powers agreed
with Syrian opposition leaders Tuesday that President Bashar Assad should be
excluded from any future government, but urged the rebels to take part in a
peace conference in Geneva. British Foreign Secretary William Hague said after a
meeting in London that the rebels had to overcome their differences and commit
themselves to the talks in the Swiss city that are due to take place in late
November. But a defiant Assad said he was willing to run for re-election in
2014, a move further likely to anger a key rebel group that has so far refused
to take part in the Geneva 2 conference if regime figures are present. Hague
told a press conference after the meeting of the so-called Friends of Syria that
they had agreed a "number of important steps" during a meeting with Ahmad Jarba,
the head of the Syrian National Coalition.
"We are as clear as he is that Assad has no role in a peaceful and democratic
Syria," Hague said. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry urged the world to help
find a negotiated settlement for Syria, adding that the country itself could
disintegrate if more is not done. "The only alternative to a negotiated
settlement is continued if not increased killing," Kerry told reporters. "We
believe that the state of war will simply lead to the implosion of the state of
Syria." The London talks grouped Britain, Egypt, France, Germany, Italy, Jordan,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates and the United States,
together with Syrian opposition leaders.
The Syrian National Council, a key member of Jarba's Syrian National Coalition,
has already said it opposes the Geneva conference and threatened to quit the
umbrella opposition group if Assad's regime takes part.
Hague said that Jarba had to "carry others with him" ahead of a meeting of
leading rebel groups in early November, when they will decide whether or not to
take part in the Geneva meeting. He added: "Despite the enormous challenges
faced by the Syrian opposition, we urged the National Coalition to commit itself
fully to the Geneva 2 process, and lead and form the heart of any opposition
delegation."
In a communique after the meeting, the Friends of Syria agreed that when a
transitional government was established "Assad and his close associates with
blood on their hands will have no role in Syria.
"There must be accountability for acts committed during the present conflict."'I
don't see why I shouldn't run in the next election' Notably absent from London's
meeting is key Syria ally Russia, which has dismissed such gatherings in the
past, saying they do not represent all Syrian people. Hague also warned of the
need to bolster moderate forces in Syria, where an estimated 115,000 people have
been killed since March 2011 and several million more made homeless. "The longer
this conflict goes on, the more sectarian it becomes and the more extremists are
able to take hold, that is why we are making this renewed effort to get the
Geneva peace process going," he said. The United States and Russia have been
trying to organize the Geneva conference on the heels of the deal they reached
for the destruction of Syria's chemical weapons in the wake of a deadly poison
gas attack in August widely blamed on Damascus. But Assad dealt an early blow to
peace hopes, saying in an interview Monday that the factors are not in place for
the conference to succeed. "No time has been set, and the factors are not yet in
place if we want (Geneva 2) to succeed," Assad told Lebanon-based pan-Arab
satellite channel Al-Mayadeen, adding that there was no guarantee about "which
forces are taking part." Assad also gave no hint of releasing his grip on power.
"Personally, I don't see any reason why I shouldn't run in the next election,"
Assad declared. Hague earlier said that Iran -- Damascus's main regional ally --
could also play a role in the Geneva talks if it backed the need for a
transitional government in Syria. SourceAgence France Presse.
Hollande Tells Obama of 'Deep Disapproval' of U.S. Spying
Naharnet Newsdesk 22 October 2013/French President Francois
Hollande condemned U.S. spying on French citizens in a call with President
Barack Obama on Monday, as a row escalated over U.S. eavesdropping on millions
of French phone calls. Hollande's office said in a statement that he had
expressed "deep disapproval of these practices, which are unacceptable between
friends and allies because they infringe on the privacy of French citizens."
Hollande "asked that all explanations be provided, as well as all information
that could be at the disposal of former NSA consultant Edward Snowden."
The statement said the two leaders had agreed "to work together to determine the
facts and the exact scope of surveillance activities" revealed by French
newspaper Le Monde. The two stressed that surveillance operations should be put
into a "bilateral framework" and agreed that U.S. and French intelligence
agencies would "work together to this effect," the statement said.
Meanwhile, later on Tuesday, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said he had
made clear in talks with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry that snooping on its
allies was "unacceptable". In talks in Paris on Tuesday morning, "I said again
to John Kerry what Hollande told Barack Obama, that this kind of spying
conducted on a large scale by the Americans on its allies is something that is
unacceptable," Fabius said.
He said he urged Kerry to provide timely details on reports that the U.S.
National Security Agency had secretly monitored tens of millions of phone
conversations within France. "John Kerry responded that it was a system
inherited from previous administrations," Fabius told reporters after talks
between Western and Arab nations on Syria in London. "We want these practices to
stop, and we want to be informed about everything that exists.
"The fact that such practices have developed to this point between friends,
allies, is unacceptable." The claims were based on leaks from fugitive U.S.
ex-security analyst Edward Snowden and published by French newspaper Le Monde
and the German weekly Der Spiegel.SourceAgence France Presse.
Canada Concerned by Persistent Violence Against Coptic Orthodox Christians in
Egypt
October 21, 2013 - Andrew Bennett, Canada’s Ambassador for Religious Freedom,
today issued the following statement:
“Canada is deeply concerned by an attack outside a Coptic Orthodox Christian
church in Giza, Egypt, that killed four people, including two girls, an
eight-year-old and a 12-year-old, the latest in a number of assaults targeting
the country’s Coptic Orthodox Christian community.
“Attacks on places of worship are unacceptable. Canada calls on Egyptian
authorities to protect the Christian community and their churches and other
properties from violent attack.
“On behalf of all Canadians, I would like to extend our deepest sympathies to
the victims of these attacks and wish a speedy recovery to the injured.
“Canada firmly believes that implementing a transparent, democratic system that
respects the voices of all Egyptians, including members of all religious
communities, is the best way to restore calm and give all Egyptians a stake in
the future stability and prosperity of their country.”
Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird Meets With Israel's Minister of
Strategic and Intelligence Affairs
October 21, 2013 - Ottawa - Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird meets with Yuval
Steinitz, Israel's Minister of Strategic and Intelligence Affairs responsible
for International Relations, to discuss the ongoing Middle East peace process,
reinforce Canada's excellent relations with Israel and discuss the situations in
Syria and Iran.
Canada’s strong and multi-faceted relationship with Israel is based on shared
values, common interests and strong political and social ties between the two
countries. This relationship has been enhanced in recent years through increased
cooperation in several areas, including public security, defence, trade and
investment, and innovation. The Canadian and Israeli governments, private
sectors and academia continue to work together to develop this cooperation.
Riyadh to 'shift away from U.S.', spy chief tells envoys
October 22, 2013/By Amena Bakr/Reuters
DOHA: Saudi Arabia's intelligence chief has said the kingdom will make a "major
shift" in relations with the United States in protest at its perceived inaction
over the Syria war and its overtures to Iran, a source close to Saudi policy
said on Tuesday. Prince Bandar bin Sultan told European diplomats that
Washington had failed to act effectively on the Syria crisis and the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict, was growing closer to Tehran, and had failed to
back Saudi support for Bahrain when it crushed an anti-government revolt in
2011, the source said. It was not immediately clear if Prince Bandar's reported
statements had the full backing of King Abdullah.
"The shift away from the U.S. is a major one," the source close to Saudi policy
said. "Saudi doesn't want to find itself any longer in a situation where it is
dependent."
The United States and Saudi Arabia have been allies since the kingdom was
declared in 1932, giving Riyadh a powerful military protector and Washington
secure oil supplies.
The prince's initiative follows a surprise Saudi decision on Friday to reject a
coveted two-year term on the U.N. Security Council in protest at "double
standards" at the United Nations.
Prince Bandar, who was Saudi ambassador to Washington for 22 years, is seen as a
foreign policy hawk, especially on Iran. The Sunni Muslim kingdom's rivalry with
Shi'ite Iran, an ally of Syria, has amplified sectarian tensions across the
Middle East. A son of the late defence minister and crown prince, Prince Sultan,
and a protégé of the late King Fahd, he fell from favour with King Abdullah
after clashing on foreign policy in 2005.
But he was called in from the cold last year with a mandate to bring down
President Bashar al-Assad, diplomats in the Gulf say. Over the past year he has
led Saudi efforts to bring arms and other aid to Syrian rebels while his cousin,
Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal, worked the diplomatic corridors.
"Prince Bandar told diplomats that he plans to limit interaction with the U.S.,"
the source close to Saudi policy said. "This happens after the U.S. failed to
take any effective action on Syria and Palestine.
"Relations with the U.S. have been deteriorating for a while, as Saudi feels
that the U.S. is growing closer with Iran and the U.S. also failed to support
Saudi during the Bahrain uprising."
The source declined to provide more details of Bandar's talks with the
diplomats, which took place in the past few days. But he suggested that the
planned change in ties between the energy superpower and its traditional U.S.
ally would have wide-ranging consequences, including on arms purchases and oil
sales.
Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, ploughs much of its earnings
back into U.S. assets. Most of the Saudi central bank's net foreign assets of
$690 billion are thought to be denominated in dollars, much of them in U.S.
Treasury bonds. "All options are on the table now, and for sure there will be
some impact," the Saudi source said.
He said there would be no further coordination with the United States over the
war in Syria, where the Saudis have armed and financed rebel groups fighting
Assad.
The kingdom has informed the United States of its actions in Syria, and
diplomats say it has respected U.S. requests not to supply the groups with
advanced weaponry that the West fears could fall into the hands of al
Qaeda-aligned groups. Saudi anger boiled over after Washington refrained from
military strikes in response to a poison gas attack in Damascus in August when
Assad agreed to give up his chemical arsenal.
Saudi Arabia is also concerned about signs of a tentative reconciliation between
Washington and Tehran, something Riyadh fears may lead to a "grand bargain" on
the Iranian nuclear programme that would leave it at a disadvantage. The U.N.
Security Council has been paralysed over the 31-month-old Syria conflict, with
permanent members Russia and China repeatedly blocking measures to condemn
Assad.
Saudi Arabia backs Assad's mostly Sunni rebel foes. The Syrian leader, whose
Alawite sect is derived from Shi'ite Islam, has support from Iran and the armed
Lebanese Shi'ite movement Hezbollah. The Syrian leader denounces the insurgents
as al Qaeda-linked groups backed by Sunni-ruled states.
In Bahrain, home of the U.S Fifth Fleet, a simmering pro-democracy revolt by its
Shi'ite majority has prompted calls by some in Washington for U.S. ships to base
elsewhere.
Western policymakers say Bahrain's hosting of a U.S. naval base makes it a key
ally in keeping open the Strait of Hormuz, conduit for 40 percent of the world's
sea-borne oil exports.
Many U.S. economic interests in Saudi Arabia involve government contracts in
defence, other security sectors, health care, education, information technology
and construction.
But American businessmen in Riyadh, who did not want to be named because of the
sensitivity of the issue, said they did not believe the political bumps in the
U.S.-Saudi relationship would affect their business significantly.
"The big contracts are mostly government, but I don't see much political content
in who gets the contracts," one said.
Syrian rebels battle army in Christian town
October 22, 2013/By Diaa Hadid/Associated Press
BEIRUT: Syrian government forces battled Tuesday with al-Qaida-linked rebels
trying to capture an ancient Christian town north of Damascus, activists and the
state media said. The Jabhat al-Nusra, or Nusra Front, appears to have targeted
Sadad because of its strategic location near the main highway north of Damascus,
rather than because it is Christian. But hard-liners among the rebels are
hostile to Syria's Christian minority, who tend to support the government of
President Bashar Assad, and other al-Qaida-linked fighters have damaged and
desecrated churches in areas they have seized. The assault on Sadad, some 95
kilometers (60 miles) north of Damascus, began at dawn Monday, said the
Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Local police fought back the
initial assault and were reinforced by the army. The rebel attack seemed to
target a chief hospital in the town, said the Observatory, which monitors
fighting through a network of activists on the ground. He said that there was
also fighting in the nearby town of Muhin and that the Nusra Front controlled
the main road leading to Damascus. President Bashar Assad has drawn support from
Syria's patchwork of ethnic and religious minorities, including Christians and
members of his Alawite sect, a Shiite offshoot, in the country's civil war, now
in its third year. The rebels are dominated by Syria's Sunni Muslim majority.
Al-Qaida-linked militant groups such as the Nusra Front and the Islamic State of
Iraq and the Levant are among the most active rebel factions in Syria. They have
fought other rebel brigades to seize strategic border areas, and are also
battling Kurdish fighters in northern Syria. Also Tuesday, mortar rounds slammed
into a pro-government suburb on the outskirts of Damascus, killing at least two
people, said the state SANA news agency and the Observatory. It wasn't
immediately clear who was behind the shelling but rebels have previously
targeted Jaramana, home to Christians and the Druse religious group. It is close
to another suburb, Mleiha, where fighting between rebels and government forces
has been raging for days. Also Tuesday, Sigrid Kaag, the head of the team
charged with destroying Syria's chemical weapons, said Damascus had so far
"fully cooperated" with the mission. The goal of the joint U.N. and Organization
for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons mission is to destroy Syria's chemical
weapons stockpile, all chemical precursors, and the equipment to produce the
deadly weapons by mid-2014. "To date, the Government of Syria has fully
cooperated in supporting the work of the advance team and the OPCW-UN Joint
Mission," said Kaag, who was appointed by U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon for
the post earlier this month, in the Syrian capital of Damascus. "By joining the
Chemical Weapons Convention, the Syrian Government has indicated its commitment
to the task," she said referring to Syria's joining of the OPCW. She added that
the "timeframes are challenging given the goal of the elimination of Syria's
chemical weapons program in the first half of 2014."
Meanwhile, international inspectors to destroy Syria's chemical weapons
capability said they had visited 17 sites since they began their work at the
beginning of October. In a statement issued late Monday, they said they had
destroyed "critical equipment to make the facilities inoperable."
Us Russia and Iran expanding military cooperation and arms
trade
DEBKAfile Special Report October 21, 2013/In his four-day trip to
Tehran, Russian Air Force Chief Gen. Viktor Bondarev and his hosts, Brig. Gen.
Hassan Shasafi and other senior Iranian military chiefs, laid the groundwork for
a series of agreements to upgrade their military ties to a level unprecedented
in their past relations. DEBKAfile’s military and Iranian sources report that
Iran is deliberately accentuating those ties as a message to the Western powers
that if they give the Islamic Republic a hard time over its nuclear program, it
will go all the way to a full-dress defense pact with Russia.
Moscow has its own reasons for being keen to expand its military ties with
Tehran:
1. Signing defense accords and arms transactions with Iran will give Russia its
first serious military foothold in the Persian Gulf;
2. Moscow is not only seeking to compete with the US military presence in the
Gulf but also displace America and China in the weapons markets of the Middle
East.
3. Major Russian-Iranian arms deals will be a precedent for important weapons
transactions brokered by Saudi Arabia with Egypt. Moscow sees the shape of a
weapons-trading triangle that could be exploited in the future for Russia to
serve in the role of mediator between Riyadh and Tehran.
These are long term strategic goals for the Kremlin.
Iran additionally keeps at the front of its mind the potential for an Israeli or
American military strike on its nuclear program if the diplomatic track runs
into the sand – especially since the Islamic regime has no intention of giving
up what it considers its right to develop nuclear power and enrich uranium.
That is the truth behind the make-believe posture in some Western circles that
Iran offered the Geneva conference last week a list of concessions on its
nuclear program.
Tehran has put in special requests for massive Russian technological assistance
for upgrading its missile industry by extending the range of their ballistic
missiles and improving their precision. The Iranians also see a chance to
renovate their aging air force and have applied for Russian fighters,
interceptors, transports and refueling planes as well as training facilities for
air force flight crews.
After Moscow refused to deliver them advanced S-300 anti-air missile systems,
the Iranians set up programs for developing home-made products. They claim to
have built their own S-200 interceptor missiles and are offering to shell out
hefty sums for the purchase of new Russian technology to improve them.
The visiting Russian air force chief therefore had plenty to discuss with his
Iranian hosts. Especially significant was his visit Monday, Oct. 21 to the
Iranian anti-air command at Khatam Al-Anbiya and his conversation with its head,
Brig. Gen. Farzad Esmaili.
The Post-Islamist Era
By: Ali Ibrahim/Asharq Alawsat
Over the past four decades or more, the issue of political Islam, in all its
forms—from the Muslim Brotherhood to its extremist offshoots and literature—has
been a fertile topic for Arab and Western academics and scholars. Theses
specialists—along with entire research centers and think tanks across the
globe—have dedicated their academic careers to this issue, analyzing and
investigating the phenomenon of political Islam, each from their own specific
viewpoint, whether positive or negative.
The general academic trend is of the view that political Islam is on the rise,
with researchers exploring ways of securing coexistence and conducting dialogue,
as well as how to refine and tone down extremist ideas, particularly those
advocating the use of violence, which is something that many Islamist groups
have adopted. These studies also aimed at containing these ideas and concepts
both within the local community and as part of the rules of the international
game, particularly as this phenomenon has extended across the world as a result
of immigration and the presence of large Muslim communities in Western
countries. This is not to mention the terrorist acts carried out by some of the
violent offshoots of political Islam.
The events associated with what has been dubbed the ‘Arab Spring’ and the
subsequent arrival of the main Islamist trend to power in several Arab
republics, seems to have prompted some researchers and analysts to reconsider
previously-held views. This included views regarding the importance of
coexisting with the Islamists and allowing them to operate freely in the
political arena. However doctoral theses and treatises about the failure of
political Islam and its inability to rule or solve the traditional problems of
developing societies have now begun to emerge. Of course, these studies are
based on what happened in Egypt, Tunisia, and Libya over the past two and a half
years and—more significantly—the Islamist experience of rule in both Sudan and
Iran.
These particularly Western studies and analyses perhaps focus most on the
Jihadist ideology and jihadist organizations, particularly Al-Qaeda and its
offshoots. This is due to the numerous terrorist acts carried out by these
groups, with incidents of violence and bombings taking place across the world.
However as is the case with terrorism throughout history—which is a phenomenon
that preceded Jihadism—this is something that has no political horizon or future
because in the end sabotage and murder cannot attract genuine supporters who are
able to represent a mainstream trend in any society.
There is no better example for judging the failure or success of political Islam
to achieve an awakening or lead a society than the Sudanese ‘Salvation’
experience and the arrival of the Revolutionary Command Council for National
Salvation (RCC) to power. This is a regime that is still in control of the
joints of the Sudanese state today. The achievements of this government after
more than two decades in power are the best evidence of political Islam’s
failure:
South Sudan seceded after the
failure to reach a formula for coexistence following a war in which religious
slogans and jihadist literature was utilized as a justification for the Dababin
(suicide bombers) and everything else.
The economy failed to live up to the people’s aspirations, and this is evidenced
by the recent protests that broke out in the capital Khartoum against price
hikes, the widening gap between social classes, and issues pertaining to the
distribution of wealth. Even if the recent decision to lift fuel subsidies are
economically justified, this decision was not accompanied by any convincing
developmental projects or hope for the future that could help the Sudanese
people swallow this bitter pill.
As for Iran—which witnessed the first experience of the rule of political
Islam—it is easy to notice the public restlessness behind the Green Revolution
which followed Ahmadinejad’s victory in the penultimate presidential elections.
This is something that also can be seen in the attempts being made by current
President Hassan Rouhani—who came to power on the back of moderate electoral
slogans—to ease restrictions on society and give the impression that his
administration is able to shake off Iran’s international isolation as a result
of the country’s previous foreign policy.
There are also no studies or reports indicating that Iran is making any economic
achievements under political Islam, instead being a rentier state relying on the
country’s oil resources.
The Muslim Brotherhood came to power in a number of Arab Spring countries, and
it may say that it has yet to be given an adequate opportunity. However, the
Brotherhood’s performance in Egypt was a catastrophic failure. This led to their
ouster just one year after they came to power on a wave of popularity, with the
general public being willing to grant them a chance. We also do not see any
success for political Islam in Tunisia, which has ground to halt, or in Libya,
which has become hostage to chaos, militias, and factionalism.
Foreign Affairs magazine published a review of The Failure of Political Islam by
the well-known academic Oliver Roy; this book made an important observation that
the current phenomenon of urban “neo-fundamentalism” has nothing to do with the
views of Muslims scholars and intellectuals seeking harmony between social
traditions and heritage and modernity. In other words, Roy maintains that
neo-fundamentalism does little more than channel the anger of urban youth
regarding the lack of opportunities afforded to them into political opposition,
using political Islam as a cover. These projects also fail to offer any real
economic alternatives.
The problem lies in finding a genuine developmental project—with the requisite
political and economic facets—to meet public aspirations that generally revolve
around what non-Muslim nations have achieved, in addition to anger over the
failure of previous projects. The people have discovered that they were deceived
by the Islamists and that Islamist rule has nothing to offer them, while they
are also fed up with the violence and societal division that accompanies
political Islam. The question that must be asked now is: What next? This is
something that requires us to think outside of the box regarding the
post-Islamist era.
What a nuclear deal with Iran could look like
By Michael Singh, Published: October 18
Michael Singh is managing director of the Washington Institute for Near East
Policy.
With the first round of nuclear talks with Iran’s new, and newly pragmatic,
negotiating team in the books, the Washington policy debate about Iran has
shifted from whether a deal is possible to what sort of deal is acceptable.
While such discussions can often seem a miasma of centrifuge counts and
enrichment levels, there are, in fact, two distinct paths to a nuclear deal with
Iran.
The first path is one in which Tehran would receive relief from sanctions in
exchange for putting strict limits on its nuclear activities, such as
restricting uranium enrichment to low levels. The success of such an agreement
would depend on ensuring that Iran could not use declared nuclear activities as
a cover for covert activities aimed at developing a nuclear weapon. It would
also depend on ensuring that the deal was not easily reversible, so Tehran could
not renege once pressure had been alleviated.
There are ways that sanctions relief could be made more easily reversible — for
example, channeling oil payments to Tehran through a single mechanism that could
be blocked in the event of noncompliance — but none of these is fail-safe. The
efficacy and durability of a deal over limited enrichment would rest on Iranian
transparency. To be meaningful, transparency measures would have to include
allowing inspectors unfettered access to sites of their choosing, not just those
declared by Iranian officials, and a comprehensive accounting of Iran’s past and
present nuclear work, including the military elements of its nuclear program,
such as weaponization research.
Coming clean in this manner is a prerequisite for the success of any deal that
leaves in place dual-use nuclear capabilities. Countries that have divulged
their nuclear secrets, such as South Africa, have proceeded to cooperate
peacefully with the international community on atomic energy. Those that
continued to obfuscate despite agreements, such as North Korea, experienced
deeper isolation and external tensions.
Iran appears to prefer the latter model. While its officials profess a desire
for cooperation, they continue to dismiss as “unfounded allegations” evidence
deemed “credible” by the International Atomic Energy Agency that Iran has
engaged in nuclear work related to weapons. Iran continues to deny inspectors
access to suspected nuclear sites and key personnel, and it seeks to constrict
their activities within the bounds of its declared nuclear program.
Even in the best circumstances, it would take time to establish confidence that
Iran had truly given up its nuclear weapons aspirations. Allies such as Israel
and the Gulf states would distrust Iranian intentions, while Iranians would
bristle at the intrusiveness of inspections. Absent a strategic shift by Iran, a
deal on limited enrichment is more likely to increase those tensions than to
defuse them: Iran would seek to hide or deny activities for which the United
States and its allies have convincing evidence; Iran’s adversaries would seek to
match its nuclear capabilities; and erstwhile allies such as Russia and China
would drift away from the unlikely coalition currently led by Washington.
The unlikelihood of a change of heart by Iranian leaders suggests a second, more
straightforward path to an agreement: requiring Iran to dismantle its nuclear
program in exchange for any relief from sanctions, which would be increased
should Tehran refuse to yield. In this model, Iran would have to suspend
enrichment- and reprocessing-related activities as demanded by the U.N. Security
Council, dismantle its underground enrichment facility at Fordow and export its
stockpiles of enriched uranium, among other steps.
The obvious objection to such a deal is that it may be too difficult to achieve;
even U.S. negotiators have characterized this stance as “maximalist.” But any
deal must be evaluated in comparison to plausible alternatives, not in
isolation, and Iran’s alternatives are bleak. Iran’s economy is under severe
strain because of the sanctions. If Iran tried to “break out” for a nuclear
weapon, the United States and Israel have made clear that they would strike a
devastating military blow.
And contrary to conventional wisdom, time is not on Iran’s side. With each
passing day, Iran’s economic predicament deepens and its nuclear program
expands. But while the former threatens Iran’s well-being, the latter does not
improve it. Adding to its centrifuge inventory and uranium stockpile merely
edges Iran closer to Western “red lines” while making it no less vulnerable to
attack.
The United States possesses powerful leverage in the nuclear talks: Its
negotiating position is eminently reasonable. The West is offering Iran
something it desperately needs — sanctions relief — in exchange for something it
has little ostensible use for — enrichment and reprocessing — given its
disavowal of nuclear weapons. That’s hardly a maximalist position.
It is commendable that the United States and its allies hope earnestly that Iran
would take the path of true transparency and cooperation; indeed, President
Hassan Rouhani’s “ charm offensive ” is so beguiling because it appeals to those
hopes. But we, and perhaps even Rouhani, cannot compel Iran to make such a
fundamental change in course. We can, however, with firmness at the negotiating
table and confidence in our leverage make plain the alternatives and force
Tehran to confront, rather than evade, the consequences of its choices.
Read more: Michael Singh: Iran’s actions speak louder than its election results
Anne Applebaum: Iran hasn’t changed, no matter what it tells negotiators Ray
Takeyh: No more half-steps from Iran Hassan Rouhani: Why Iran seeks constructive
engagement
© The Washington Post Company
The Gulf Will Endure
Jihad el-Khazen/Al Hayat
“After the Sheikhs: The Coming Collapse of the Gulf Monarchies,” is a new book
written by Professor Christopher Davidson, who teaches at the University of
Durham in the north of England. A few days ago, he wrote an article in The New
York Times related to the book titled “The Last of the Sheikhs.” On June 22,
2013, the first paragraph of my column read, “Nearly 20 years ago, a book was
published in English by a Palestinian-American author named Said Aburish, titled
“Rise, Corruption and Coming Fall of the House of Saud.” The book was published
in 1994 and the author died in 2012, but the House of Saud has endured.
Some books contain wishes, and others contain some personal independent
reasoning. Professor Davidson’s book is perhaps of the second kind, as he is an
academician of the highest caliber, and has a long and profound expertise on
Gulf affairs. But I say that he missed the mark. I don’t seek a response from
him, as the debate will be settled in the coming years, or in one or two
decades. But just like Said Aburish died with Saudi, Bahrain, and other Gulf
countries still enduring, I predict that the professor and I will depart this
world with the situation in the Gulf largely unchanged.
It is not an ideal situation at all. Every member state of the Gulf Cooperation
Council (GCC) needs to reform. However, this applies to every single country in
the whole world. If we consider the “exceptional” nation, the United States, we
will find that this country needs to reform, even more than any dictatorship in
the depths of Africa. For one thing, a dictatorial regime in a backwards country
harms no one but its citizens. Meanwhile, the United States, at least since the
Second World War, has engaged in neo-colonial policies, and its wars killed
millions of people in addition to hundreds of thousands of Americans. Therefore,
reform in the United States is a thousand times more important than toppling a
dictator in the Middle East, Africa, or East Asia. Moreover, there is a key
point in understanding Gulf countries that the Western authors ignore or
overlook, namely, that some Gulf regimes are more liberal, democratic, and open
than their peoples. These peoples did not see prosperity, in the sense of high
income that guarantees high living standards, education, and healthcare for
citizens, until the last generation or two, and they are still feeling their way
ahead between the advocates of old traditions and the advocates of joining the
world and openness. And yet Western or Westernized Arab writers try to invent
Gulf countries tailored to their fantasies, steering away from accurateness,
both in analysis and outcomes. I am not defending anyone, but only presenting an
opinion that I hope is objective. To prove it is objective, I criticize Saudi
policy.
I had barely expressed support – on October 7 – for Saudi Foreign Minister
Prince Saud al-Faisal, for refusing to deliver his country’s speech at the UN
General Assembly in protest against the UN Security Council’s performance, when
I suffered from the ‘evil eye,’ as they say in English, and disagreed with Saudi
policy a few days later. What happened was that Saudi Arabia was elected as a
non-permanent member of the UN Security Council, but it turned down the seat
saying the Council had failed to carry out its duties in protecting
international peace and security, and preventing transgressions, conflicts, and
wars. This is true, but it was better for Saudi Arabia to remain in the UN
Security Council and express its views there on the Council’s failures again and
again, instead of expressing them once and withdrawing. For this reason, I hope
Saudi Arabia will reconsider its decision.