LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
October 18/2013
Bible Quotation for today/
Strive to enter in by the narrow door
Luke13/22-30: "He went on his way through cities and
villages, teaching, and traveling on to Jerusalem.
One said to him, “Lord, are they few who are saved?” He
said to them, “Strive to enter in by the narrow
door, for many, I tell you, will seek to enter in, and
will not be able. When once the master of the
house has risen up, and has shut the door, and you begin
to stand outside, and to knock at the door, saying,
‘Lord, Lord, open to us!’ then he will answer and tell
you, ‘I don’t know you or where you come from.’ Then you
will begin to say, ‘We ate and drank in your presence,
and you taught in our streets.’ He will say, ‘I
tell you, I don’t know where you come from. Depart from
me, all you workers of iniquity.’ 13:28 There will be
weeping and gnashing of teeth, when you see Abraham,
Isaac, Jacob, and all the prophets, in the Kingdom of
God, and yourselves being thrown outside. They
will come from the east, west, north, and south, and
will sit down in the Kingdom of God. Behold, there
are some who are last who will be first, and there are
some who are first who will be last.”
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources For October 18/13
DEBKAfile/How Turkey shopped Mossad spies to Iran: A story leaked by Washington
to caution Netanyahu/October 18/13
Turkey blows Israel’s cover for Iranian spy ring/By David Ignatius /Washington
Post/October 18/13
Syria’s people deserve the chance to assert themselves/By: Amir Taheri/Asharq Alawsat/October 18/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For October 18/13
Lebanese Related News
Syria Rebels Kill Jamaa Jamaa, Top Intelligence Officer
Beirut Ranks 20 among World's Top Tourist Destinations
Brother of Abducted Lebanese Cameraman in Syria Demands to Know his Fate
No Cabinet without 9-9-6 formula: Hezbollah MP
Jumblat Says Paris Trip for Medical Reasons, Not Political
Qabbani in Phone Call with Al-Rahi Says Politicians Worsening Situation in Lebanon
Israeli Website Says Mustafa Badreddine Is Hizbullah's New Military Commander
Berri calls Hariri to wish him well after surgery
Beirut among top 25 best cities in the world
Ibrahim Interrupts Belgium Visit, Heads to Turkey for Talks over Aazaz Pilgrims
Aoun Meets al-Rahi, Urges Unity to Reach Lebanon's Salvation
Miscellaneous Reports And News
U.S. to Sell $10.8 bln in Missiles, Bombs to Saudis, UAE
Analysis: Turkey's unprecedented act of betrayal against Israel
Turkey Denies Tipping Off Iran about Israeli Spy Ring
Senators seek more Iran sanctions after talks
Netanyahu to meet Pope next week
US official lauds most 'intense, detailed, straightforward and candid talks'
with Iran ever
Syrian Observatory: At Least 41 Killed in Kurd-Jihadist Fighting
Chemical Watchdog Says Half Syria Inspection Work Done
Turkey Shells Jihadist Positions in Syria for First Time
Syria Official Says Peace Talks Possible in November
Soccer's Impact on Middle East Politics
Suicide Bomber Kills 15 in North Iraq
Congress ends US shutdown, avoids default
Obama Signs Bill Ending U.S. Shutdown, Raising Debt Ceiling
Netanyahu: Border must remain in Jordan Valley - like Rabin said
Peres: Status quo with Palestinians cannot go on
Palestinian president invites Pope to Holy Land
Canada PM Says Close to Reaching Free Trade Deal with EU
WHO: Air pollution causes cancer
No
Cabinet without 9-9-6 formula: Hezbollah MP
October 17, 2013/The Daily Star /BEIRUT: A Hezbollah MP said
Thursday that a Cabinet can only be formed in the country if both rival
political camps in Lebanon are granted veto power in the upcoming government.
“We are just wasting the time of the Lebanese people but eventually there will
only be a 9-9-6 Cabinet formula," MP Ali Fayyad said during a graduation
ceremony in south Lebanon. “Whoever thinks otherwise is delusional and will
sooner or later wake up from his illusions.”Fayyad assured that no one can
exclude the resistance from the Cabinet or marginalize its role at either the
domestic or regional level. “The resistance is a real [power] that no one can
overlook locally or regionally. No matter how some try to marginalize or narrow
down [the resistance] or launch accusations against it, facts eventually impose
recognizing and acknowledging its role locally and regionally,” Fayyad said.
“Those who think they can overcome Hezbollah in the process of forming the
Cabinet will eventually realize that they can postpone forming the government
but cannot exclude Hezbollah from it and that they were just wasting the time of
the Lebanese,” he added. Prime Minister-designate Tammam Salam’s attempts to
form a Cabinet have been stalled for over six months over conditions and
counter-conditions set by political rivals in the country. Hezbollah has been
pressing for the 9-9-6 formula.
Brother
of Abducted Lebanese Cameraman in Syria Demands to Know his Fate
Naharnet/George Kassab, the brother of a Lebanese cameraman who
disappeared in Syria, said on Thursday that the Lebanese authorities isn't
seeking to reveal the fate of Samir. “Should we start burning tires?” George
wondered in comments to Free Lebanon radio. He called on officials and President
Michel Suleiman to return Samir back to his family safe. “It's not the
first time that Samir travels to Syria or Turkey to cover the developments in
the two countries,” George pointed out. He told the radio station that Samir was
kidnapped along with Abu Dhabi-based Sky News Arabia crew in a town that is an
hour-far from Aleppo. Three-crew members, Kassab along with reporter Ishak
Moctar, a Mauritanian national and a Syrian driver whose name is being withheld
at his family's request, were on an assignment in northern Syria when the Sky
News lost contact with them on Tuesday morning. The team was covering the
humanitarian aspects of the Syrian conflict, the channel's head, Nart Bouran,
said. "We will continue to make every effort to contact them and to ensure their
safe return so that they can continue their vital work.”The conflict has been
difficult to cover since it erupted with an uprising against President Bashar
Assad in March 2011. International press freedom watchdog Reporters Without
Borders (RSF) describes Syria as currently the world's most dangerous country
for journalists to work in. Since the conflict began in March 2011, RSF has
recorded the deaths of 25 journalists and 26 citizen journalists.
Israeli Website Says Mustafa Badreddine Is Hizbullah's New Military Commander
Naharnet /An Israeli website that is expert on terrorism revealed on Wednesday
the identity of Hizbullah's new military commander, the successor of slain
official Imad Mughnieh. "Mustafa Amin Badreddine assumed his responsibilities as
the party's new military commander,” the website, 910, said according to
Palestinian news agency SAFA. Badreddine is one of the party's founders and was
the commander of several special operations, according to SAFA. The website also
published never seen pictures of the new military commander. The Special
Tribunal for Lebanon has accused Badreddine along with 3 other Hizbullah-linked
suspects of being involved in the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri in February 2005. According to the arrest warrant in the murder case, he
is accused of planning and overseeing the execution of the assassination.
Badreddine, also known as Sami Issa, was born 1961 and has strong ties with
Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and Iran. He is a cousin and the
brother-in-law of slain Hizbullah military commander Mughnieh.
He is a member of the Hizbullah’s Shura council and the head of its external
operations. He was arrested and imprisoned in Kuwait in 1983. In 1990, he
managed to escape prison and flee to Iran where the Revolutionary Guard returned
him to Beirut. The 910 website drew its name from the title given to the
external operations' cell in Hizbullah, 910, and it strives to gather
information on this unit and has also offered financial rewards for those
willing to reveal new data about it. Badreddine, is reportedly in charge of the
910 unit which, according to the website, is also behind the deadly blast in
Bulgaria's Burgas. Five Israeli tourists and their Bulgarian driver were killed
in the July 18, 2012 bombing on their tourist bus. The identity of the lone
bomber, who also perished, has so far remained a mystery. The attack was the
deadliest on Israelis abroad since 2004 and Israel immediately blamed it on Iran
and its "terrorist" proxy Hizbullah, but Bulgarian investigators have however
been more cautious. Iran denied involvement.
Jumblat
Says Paris Trip for Medical Reasons, Not Political
Naharnet /Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat stressed on Thursday
that his visit to the French capital, Paris, is to carry out the necessary
medical checkups. He pointed out in comments to LBCI that he arrived in Paris on
Sunday aboard Jumblat's National Struggle Front MP Nehme Tohmeh's private plane.
Jumblat revealed that he is suffering from back pain and was accompanied by the
family's doctor Ghattas Khoury, who informed him that ex-Prime Minister Saad
Hariri is also in France for medical treatment. The Druze leader added that he
contacted Hariri to check on his health, noting that his visit to France will
not include any political meetings.
Hariri's press office said on Tuesday that the Mustaqbal leader underwent a
successful surgery to remove pins placed in his leg after a skiing accident in
January 2012.
Analysis:
Turkey's unprecedented act of betrayal against Israel
By YOSSI MELMAN/10/17/2013/J.Post
If Turkey did blow cover of Israeli spy ring in Iran, it would violate unwritten
code of conduct that governs relations between allied intelligence agencies.
In April 2012, Iran announced that it had uncovered a spy ring numbering 15
operatives working at the behest of Israel. Iranian authorities fingered the
operatives as being responsible for the killings of nuclear scientists in recent
years. Tehran had long suspected the Mossad as the mastermind of these
operations. In announcing the arrests, Iran touted the apprehension of “Zionist
spies” and the revelations regarding “Zionist” intelligence activity in a
neighboring country.
The announcement, which didn’t garner much attention at the time, takes on added
importance Thursday just hours after The Washington Post reported that Turkish
intelligence revealed the identities of 10 Iranian spies working for Israel.
According to the report, Iranian agents would meet with their Mossad handlers on
Turkish soil.
This information was revealed by the newspaper’s senior foreign affairs analyst,
David Ignatius, a journalist who is known to maintain extensive contacts with
both the American and Israeli intelligence communities. If the report is
accurate – and it is difficult to doubt the credibility of Ignatius’ sources –
then we are talking about a very egregious – even unprecedented – act. In fact,
this is the basest act of betrayal imaginable.
For over 50 years, Israel and Turkey were strategic allies. At the heart of this
relationship were the extremely close ties between the Mossad and Military
Intelligence on one hand, and the Turkish MIT and its military intelligence
apparatus on the other hand. These ties were first established in 1958, and they
were an integral part of the “Trident” partnership that also included Iran’s
intelligence services during the reign of the Shah. It was only recently that
Israeli intelligence chiefs permitted archived, previously classified material
about the nature of this special relationship to be released for public
consumption.
This strategic alliance is manifest in the bi-annual meetings between the heads
of Mossad and MIT as well as intelligence analysts and experts on both sides.
This relationship was also characterized by the frequent exchanges of
information about common enemies and adversaries in the region, including Iraq,
Syria, and post-Islamic Iran.
Even during the most tense periods in relations between the two countries,
intelligence ties remained intact, even if they did cool somewhat. While
intelligence work is often interest-driven, devoid of sentiment and cruel in
nature, there are still unwritten rules of conduct that govern relationships.
If it is indeed guilty of blowing the cover off of the Israeli spy network, then
Turkey blatantly violated these codes. Despite the deteriorating ties triggered
by the violent Mavi Marmara incident of two years ago, Israel and Turkey have
never been – and are not today – enemies.
According to foreign media reports, Turkey has long been a base of operations
for Mossad agents operating against Iran. Nonetheless, it was only recently
reported that an Iranian-Belgian businessman who was arrested in Israel on
charges of being a spy for the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force had created
straw companies in Turkey to serve as a cover.
One may assume that Turkish intelligence was monitoring both Israeli and Iranian
espionage activity taking place on its soil. Despite the caution and the efforts
taken to maintain total secrecy even from close allies, it is possible that
Turkish intelligence agencies discovered the Mossad apparatus and its ties with
the Iranian network.
It was assumed that despite the bumpy road and tensions in relations, interests
would trump all other considerations and smooth relations between the
intelligence agencies would continue. Earlier this year, there were reports that
Mossad chief Tamir Pardo met with MIT director Hakan Fidan in Ankara. According
to Ignatius, Israeli officials wryly view Fidan as “Iran’s station chief in
Ankara.” Though this statement was made with tongue firmly planted in cheek, it
was meant to convey the sense that Fidan is perceived as very close to Iran. If
the Israeli spy network was indeed unveiled, it was done so at the order of
Fidan and with the full approval of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. His
obsessive animus toward Israel and his anti-Semitic tendencies are known to all.
Writer
Turkey blows Israel’s cover for Iranian spy ring
By David Ignatius /Washington Post
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/david-ignatius-turkey-blows-israels-cover-for-iranian-spy-ring/2013/10/16/7d9c1eb2-3686-11e3-be86-6aeaa439845b_story.html
The Turkish-Israeli relationship became so poisonous early last year that the
Turkish government of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is said to have
disclosed to Iranian intelligence the identities of up to 10 Iranians who had
been meeting inside Turkey with their Mossad case officers.
Knowledgeable sources describe the Turkish action as a “significant” loss of
intelligence and “an effort to slap the Israelis.” The incident, disclosed here
for the first time, illustrates the bitter, multi-dimensional spy wars that lie
behind the current negotiations between Iran and Western nations over a deal to
limit the Iranian nuclear program. A Turkish Embassy spokesman had no comment.
Israeli anger at the deliberate compromise of its agents may help explain why
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu became so entrenched in his refusal to
apologize to Erdogan about the May 2010 Gaza flotilla incident . In that
confrontation at sea, Israeli commandos boarded a Turkish-organized convoy of
ships carrying humanitarian aid to Gaza. Nine Turks were killed.
Netanyahu finally apologized to Erdogan by phone in March after President Obama
negotiated a compromise formula. But for more than a year before that, the
Israeli leader had resisted entreaties from Obama and Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton to heal the feud.
Top Israeli officials believe that, despite the apology, the severe strain with
Erdogan continues. The Turkish intelligence chief, Hakan Fidan, is also suspect
in Israel because of what are seen as friendly links with Tehran; several years
ago, Israeli intelligence officers are said to have described him facetiously to
CIA officials as “the MOIS station chief in Ankara,” a reference to Iran’s
Ministry of Intelligence and Security. The United States continued to deal with
Fidan on sensitive matters, however.
Though U.S. officials regarded exposure of the Israeli network as an unfortunate
intelligence loss, they didn’t protest directly to Turkish officials. Instead,
Turkish-American relations continued warming last year to the point that Erdogan
was among Obama’s key confidants. This practice of separating intelligence
issues from broader policymaking is said to be a long-standing U.S. approach.
U.S. officials were never sure whether the Turkish disclosure was done in
retaliation for the flotilla incident or was part of a broader deterioration in
Turkish-Israeli relations.
Israeli intelligence had apparently run part of its Iranian spy network through
Turkey, which has relatively easy movement back and forth across its border with
Iran. The Turkish intelligence service, known as the Milli Istihbarat Teskilati,
or MIT, conducts aggressive surveillance inside its borders, so it had the
resources to monitor Israeli-Iranian covert meetings.
U.S. officials assessed the incident as a problem of misplaced trust, rather
than bad tradecraft. They reasoned that the Mossad, after more than 50 years of
cooperation with Turkey, never imagined the Turks would “shop” Israeli agents to
a hostile power, in the words of one source. But Erdogan presented a unique
challenge, as he moved in 2009 to champion the Palestinian cause and, in various
ways, steered Ankara away from what had been, in effect, a secret partnership
with Jerusalem.
The Israeli-Turkish intelligence alliance was launched in a secret meeting in
August 1958 in Ankara between David Ben-Gurion, then Israel’s prime minister,
and Adnan Menderes, then Turkey’s prime minister. “The concrete result was a
formal but top-secret agreement for comprehensive cooperation” between the
Mossad and Turkish intelligence, wrote Dan Raviv and Yossi Melman in their 2012
book, “Spies Against Armageddon.”
The groundwork had been laid secretly by Reuven Shiloah, the founding director
of the Mossad, as part of what he called a “peripheral alliance strategy.”
Through that partnership, Israelis provided training in espionage to the Turks
and, ironically, also to Iranians under the shah’s government, which was toppled
in 1979.
Fidan, the Turkish spy chief, is a key Erdogan adviser. He became head of the
MIT in 2010 after serving as a noncommissioned officer in the Turkish army and
gaining a bachelor’s degree from the University of Maryland and a doctorate in
Ankara. After Fidan took over the Turkish service, “he rattled Turkey’s allies
by allegedly passing to Iran sensitive intelligence collected by the U.S. and
Israel,” according to a recent profile in the Wall Street Journal. The Journal
also noted U.S. fears that Fidan was arming jihadist rebels in Syria.
The Netanyahu-Erdogan quarrel, with its overlay of intelligence thrust and
parry, is an example of the kaleidoscopic changes that may be ahead in the
Middle East. The United States, Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt are all
exploring new alliances and struggling to find a new equilibrium — overtly and
covertly.
How Turkey shopped Mossad spies to Iran: A story leaked by Washington to caution
Netanyahu
DEBKAfile Special Report
October 17, 2013/Early last year, the Erdogan government blew the cover of up to
10 Israel agents in Iran who had been meeting inside Turkey with their Mossad
case officers. This story was published in The Washington Post, by David
Ignatius, who has excellent connections in the US capital, Thursday, Oct. 17 –
the day after a two-day conference in Geneva between six world powers with Iran
on its nuclear program. A chorus of Western powers led by the US hailed the
event as “substantive” and “forward-looking.”
But on the quiet, the WP story was directed against Israel’s Prime Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu as a caution to him to drop his “lone voice” posture against
trusting Iran to abandon its nuclear weapon aspirations. Instead, he must look
forward and start getting used to the “new Middle East" and role Barack Obama
has assigned for Iran. If he persists in his defiant attitude, Israeli
intelligence may face more debacles like the Turkish betrayal.
The WP story reveals from “knowledgeable sources” that Israeli intelligence had
apparently run part of its Iranian spy network through Turkey, which has
relatively easy movement back and forth across its border with Iran. “The
Turkish intelligence service MIT had the resources to monitor those meetings,
but after 50 years of cooperation with Turkey, Israel never imagined the Turks
would “shop” Israeli agents to a hostile power.
Ignatius reports: “US officials assessed the incident as a problem of misplaced
trust, rather than bad tradecraft.”
Still, the article presents Israel’s Mossad in an unflattering light, claiming
that Israeli intelligence officers in 2010 complained to the CIA that Hakan
Fidan Turkish intelligence chief was in fact “the MOIS station chief in Ankara.”
MOIS is Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and Security.
He describes “Israeli anger at the deliberate compromise of its agents,” which
he said may help explain why Netanyahu “became entrenched in his refusal to
apologize to Erdogan about the May 2010 Gaza flotilla incident" in which nine
Turks were killed. He did apologize later but the “severe strain with Erdogan
continues.”
debkafile’s intelligence sources underline five lessons from the WP article and
its timing:
1. The US never protested to Ankara about over its deliberate compromise of the
Israeli network because President Barack Obama was intent on cultivating Prime
Minister Erdogan as a key Muslim ally.
2. Washington wasn’t sure of Turkey’s motives. According to one theory, Erdogan
was settling a score with Israel for its commando raid on the Turkish Mavis
Marmama which was leading the flotilla to Gaza with pro-Palestinian activists.
3. Netanyahu’s apology, forced on him by Obama, did not ease strained relations
with Ankara.
4. Although US officials treated the exposure of the Israeli network as an
unfortunate intelligence loss, they continue to work with Hakan Fidan on
sensitive issues despite his suspected collaboration with Tehran.
“This practice of separating intelligence issues from broader policymaking is
said to be a long-standing US approach,” the writer reported.
5. “Kaleidoscopic changes” lie ahead of the Middle East, says Ignatius, and
countries like Israel, Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt are searching –
openly as well as covertly - for alliances in the constantly changing Middle
East.
The sixth lesson appears between the lines of the article. It is that if
Netanyahu wants to escape more punishment over his bad relations with Erdogan
and attitude on Iran, he must change his approach and acclimatize to the new
Middle East, however cruel and cold, in which the US and Iran are beginning to
cooperate.
The same message applies equally to Saudi Arabia and Egypt, both of which
actively challenge Barack Obama’s approach to the region.
As usual in the covert world of intelligence and espionage, the WP story has
another dimension. It is also the answer to a Wall Street Journal piece of Oct.
10 entitled “Turkey’s Spymaster Plots Own Course on Syria,” which quotes former
US Ambassador to Turkey James Jeffrey as saying, “Hakan Fidan is the face of the
new Middle East.”
He accused Fidan of working against US policy by helping to supply arms and
ammunition to the al-Qaeda-linked jihadis fighting with Syrian rebels. Jeffrey
describes Fidan as one of three spy chiefs acting to shape the “new Middle
East.” The other two are Prince Bandar bin Sultan, director of Saudi General
Intelligence, and Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the notorious Iranian Al Qods
Brigades intelligence and terror network.
Mossad chief Tomer Pardo did not make the list.
Soccer's Impact on Middle East Politics
James M. Dorsey /Washington Institute
On October 15, James Dorsey, a syndicated columnist and author of the blog (and
forthcoming book) The Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer, addressed a
Washington Institute Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of
his remarks.
Over the past several years, soccer fields across the Middle East and North
Africa have become battlegrounds for political, gender, and labor rights, as
well as issues of national, ideological, and ethnic identity. Examining the
recent and historical role of militant soccer fans in Egypt, Jordan, Iran, and
other countries can help shed light on where each society stands on these issues
today.
Most soccer clubs in the region were established with some kind of political or
ideological leaning, whether pro-colonial, pro-monarchy, nationalist, or other.
In Egypt, two such clubs have had tremendous influence -- al-Ahly and Zamalek.
The former was home to students who later became revolutionaries; President
Gamal Abdul Nasser himself eventually led the club. In contrast, Zamalek was
associated with pro-monarchy and pro-colonial movements. Today, the demography
of the two fan bases has hardly changed. For example, celebrated Egyptian player
Ibrahim Hassan described Zamalek as the "King's Club" in a 2010 interview,
despite being born years after the overthrow of Egypt's last monarch.
The soccer pitch can also be a barometer of future events. In Jordan, statements
openly critical of the royal family's corruption first gained notoriety on the
soccer field. And at Saudi soccer matches, many princes are booed, pelted with
various objects, and sometimes forced off the pitch entirely. Last year's
removal of the head of the Saudi Arabian Football Federation was perhaps the
first time a royal family member was forced to resign from a post due to public
pressure.
Although soccer players themselves rarely engage in political protests, the
sport evokes the kind of emotion that can spark such actions. In Iran, Tabriz's
main soccer club has been a major symbol of Azerbaijani ethnic identity; most
recently, it was the driving force behind demonstrations demanding reunification
of Iran's East Azerbaijan province and the former Soviet republic of Azerbaijan.
In Tehran, a ceremony held to commemorate deceased player Nasser Hejazi, who had
been openly critical of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, turned into a mass
antigovernment demonstration. Moreover, Iran's presidential elections often fall
around the same time as its final World Cup qualifying matches; in some cases,
celebrations of national team victories have led citizens to break social codes
and hold antiregime protests.
Jihadist and theological leaders in the region look to soccer as a rallying tool
well. Many Islamist mosques are affiliated with specific clubs, and militant
figures such as Usama bin Laden, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, and Hamas
leader Ismail Haniyeh understand the role that the sport has played in
recruiting followers and facilitating bonds between those who later carry out
violence. At the same time, strong disagreement persists between hardline
Islamist groups as to whether soccer is sanctioned under religious law. On one
hand, Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood considered forming its own club in 2011, while
Hezbollah and other groups own and operate teams in Lebanon. On the other hand,
the Somali group al-Shabab has been known to execute people just for watching
soccer matches.
The sport has also been an important battleground for women's rights. Saha al-Hawari,
the daughter of an Egyptian referee, worked to break down regional opposition to
women's soccer by convincing families, clubs, and governments to allow women to
organize their own teams. She also partnered with Jordan's Prince Ali in
convincing the member states of the West Asian Football Federation to declare
that women had an equal right to pursue soccer as a career.
RISE OF THE ULTRAS IN EGYPT
Around 2004-2006, passionate soccer fans in the Middle East connected with
like-minded groups around the world who embraced absolute commitment to their
clubs. These fans, called Ultras, saw players and coaches as opportunistic or
corrupt; this and other factors spurred them to develop an especially strong
sense of ownership over their clubs.
The growing influence of the Ultras challenged the power of some regimes, but
also presented them with opportunities. Leaders such as Ahmadinejad, former
Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak, and former Tunisian president Zine al-Abidine
Ben Ali sought close public association with national teams in order to harness
their massive popularity. Mubarak in particular used the sport to deflect
attention from government mismanagement and manipulate national emotions.
Meanwhile, Egypt's Ultras defiantly claimed ownership over their clubs, and by
2007, they were clashing with security forces on a weekly basis, whether at the
stadium or elsewhere. By 2011, they represented tens of thousands of
undereducated, unemployed young men who resented the regime and saw an
opportunity to respond. Once the revolution began, Ultras played a key role in
breaking the barrier of fear for the masses -- they approached Egyptians who had
never spoken out against the government, brought them to demonstrations in
Tahrir Square, and pressured them to remain once security forces cracked down.
Following Mubarak's ouster, the Ultras lost much of their public influence. Yet
the February 2012 stadium brawl that killed seventy-four in Port Said reignited
empathy toward the Ultras, sparking revolts in cities along the Red Sea and Suez
Canal.
QATAR'S WORLD CUP CONTROVERSY
While other nations tend to bid on hosting the World Cup in order to project
influence, create opportunities for their citizens, and improve infrastructure,
Qatar's focus in seeking the 2022 Cup was security. After Iraq's 1990 invasion
of Kuwait, Qatar learned that it could not rely on the Saudi defense umbrella.
And despite importing massive amounts of weapons and foreign personnel to staff
its armed forces, the small emirate still lacks the hard power needed to defend
itself. Soccer therefore represents a valuable soft-power tool and a boon to
national security.
Yet Doha's successful World Cup campaign has been subjected to intense scrutiny.
Although the country has major domestic issues, especially regarding labor, much
of the controversy surrounding its bid has stemmed from envy and prejudice.
Qataris did not expect the deluge of criticism they have received. After all,
many in the international community remained silent for years regarding concerns
about foreign workers in Qatar; powerful international trade federations did not
truly assert themselves until after the country's bid gained momentum. In any
case, the emirate is attempting to address these labor concerns, partnering with
source countries such as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh to make sure migrants are not
being exploited by middlemen.
Meanwhile, dismal attendance in Qatari soccer stadiums has prompted discussion
of reform. Knowing that they are only temporary residents, the country's
numerous foreign workers are less likely to become passionate fans, and many
citizens are uninterested in supporting government-owned soccer clubs. This has
spurred talk of transferring ownership from the state to publicly held
companies. More broadly, the Qatari government is perhaps the first to try
building a complete sports industry -- including sports medicine and sports
security -- from the ground up. In doing so, it has tied sports to the emirate's
burgeoning national identity.
The reforms being contemplated in Qatar may eventually spread to other Persian
Gulf states with similarly unsustainable demographic challenges. For now,
though, soccer's role in the Gulf will continue to create controversy. For
example, FIFA may have erred in appointing Bahrain's Sheikh Salman bin Ibrahim
al-Khalifa as president of the Asian Football Confederation despite his
crackdown on athletes who participated in antigovernment protests. Yet there
were really no good alternatives for the position.
This rapporteur's summary was prepared by Jeremy Brinster.
Canada PM
Says Close to Reaching Free Trade Deal with EU
Naharnet /Canada is close to reaching a free trade deal with the
European Union, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said Wednesday. "We will
soon complete negotiations on a Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement with
the European Union," Harper said in a Twitter message. He was echoed by EU Trade
spokesman John Clancy, who said: "Discussions are indeed continuing at the
highest level between the EU and Canada towards a comprehensive free trade deal
(CETA) -- with the hope to conclude the negotiations in the coming days."
Official sources told Agence France Presse the deal would give the European
Union increased access for cheese sales, clearing one of the last hurdles to a
free trade pact.
The agreement-in-principle must now be sent back to Canada's provinces for final
approval, they said.
On several previous occasions officials on both sides of the Atlantic have
touted a deal was imminent but deadlines passed and no announcement was
forthcoming.
Negotiations started in 2009 with the expectation they would be concluded by
late 2012, but they became deadlocked over a few holdout issues, mainly in
agriculture.
Canada asked for increased European access for its beef while the EU sought to
lower tariffs of up to 300 percent shielding Canada's supply-managed dairy
industry from imports of European cheeses.
On Wednesday, the Canadian dairy farmers' association said it would not support
a deal that would allow the EU to sell more cheese in this country, arguing that
its current quota was already generous.
"This (potential) deal would displace our local products with subsidized cheeses
from EU and risk our small businesses being shut down or put out of business.
This is unacceptable," the Dairy Farmers of Canada said in a statement.
Rudy Husny, spokesman for Canadian Trade Minister Ed Fast, however, reminded
that Harper committed to protecting Canada's supply-managed agricultural
sectors.
"Our government has been clear. All of the three key pillars of our domestic
system of supply management must remain intact: production controls, import
controls, and price controls," he said.
The actual amount of the proposed EU cheese quota increase is small, he said.
Canadian business leaders meanwhile applauded Harper's commitment to seal the
Canada-EU trade deal soon.
"After four years of negotiations, we are heartened by the prime minister's
assurance that negotiations are close to complete on the Canada-EU Comprehensive
and Economic Trade Agreement (CETA)," John Manley, president of the Canadian
Council of Chief Executives, said.
"On both sides of the Atlantic, the CETA will create jobs, spur investment and
promote economic growth."
Manley, a former top minister in previous Canadian governments, noted that in
most trade agreements, "neither side will get everything it wants."
But he said: "Narrow issues - whose economic value is arguably marginal in the
context of this trade agreement - should not distract us from the huge gains for
both sides."
A transatlantic deal would give Canadian companies access to 500 million
European consumers and eliminate 98 percent of Canadian tariffs on EU goods.
If Europe can secure a free trade deal with Canada, it would lay the groundwork
for a planned, much larger accord with the United States, both French and
Canadian leaders said in March.
Source/Agence France Presse.
Syria’s people deserve the chance to assert themselves
By: Amir Taheri/Asharq Alawsat
When talking of Syria, Russian diplomats peddle the old cliché of
“non-intervention in the affairs of a sovereign country.”
For their part, the Americans are trying to change the narrative from a civil
war that has claimed over 150,000 lives to one about identifying Bashar
Al-Assad’s chemical weapons.
The Russian and American positions would not survive even the most cursory
examination.
More than a dozen nations, including Russia, have been intervening in Syria for
years and continue to do so. Also, Syria’s “internal affairs” are affecting the
rest of the world, notably by producing the largest number of refugees the world
has seen since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979. According to UN
estimates almost two million Syrians refugees are already in Lebanon, Turkey,
Iraq, and Jordan. Syrian “boat people” are appearing in the Mediterranean
fleeing to Europe, at times with tragic results. Caught inside Syria, some 4.5
million “displaced persons” are refugees in waiting.
In a sense, Syria has ceased to be a nation-state in the normal sense of the
term. The administrative network has collapsed or been transformed into a
mechanism for repression. The Ba’athist regime has shrunk into one faction in a
civil war. Deputy Premier Qadri Jamil admits that the war has led to stalemate
and that large chunks of territory are under rebel control.
US talk about “eliminating chemical weapons” is a red herring. Under the
Washington-Moscow deal, inspectors are only allowed to visit sites “declared” by
Bashar Al-Assad’s faction. They have neither the authority nor the means to
identify suspected undeclared sites.
If Russians are right about “non-intervention,” why are they promoting a second
Geneva Conference precisely aimed at interfering in Syria’s domestic affairs?
And if Americans are right that the issue is chemical weapons, why are they
promoting a vast agenda that also includes flirting with Iran’s mullahs?
In its current shape, the Geneva conference, if it does take place, is no more
than a cynical ploy by Washington and Moscow to pretend that they are “doing
something” about what is the most tragic situation in the world today.
The international community, including Russia and the US, has every interest in
taking the Syrian tragedy more seriously.
As always, refugee camps—hell-holes where the wretched of the earth are caught
in a spiral of misery and anger—become recruiting grounds for merchants of
violence. In these metaphorical swamps mosquitoes of terror breed by the
thousands.
China, too, would be wise to take the issue more seriously at a time its Muslim
minority is showing fresh signs of restiveness.
By backing Assad, Russia has further blackened its image among Muslims across
the globe, an image already tarnished by decades of brutal repression in the
Caucasus, notably Chechnya.
As for Obama’s cynical maneuvers, their net effect is that the US now has no
friends in Syria on either side of the divide.
It took the world, especially the neighbors of Afghanistan, almost 30 years to
absorb the consequences of the refugee explosion produced by the Soviet
invasion. As an “ungoverned space” Afghanistan provided bases for dozens of
terror groups, mainly against Russia, the US, and China.
This time, Europe, too, would be wise to worry.
According to estimates some 3,000 citizens of the European Union are involved in
the Syrian war alongside different factions, including the Assad clan. A
Somalia-type “ungoverned space” on the Mediterranean would not be good news for
Europe.
The long-term impact of the Syrian refugee flood on Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan
is hard to gauge. Iraq is in even greater danger because the de facto secession
of Syria’s Kurds could reignite dreams of an independent Kurdistan, with this
issue set to be discussed at a pan-Kurdish conference in Erbil next month. The
outcome of the Syrian crisis could be a redrawing of the region’s map.
In other words, the Syrian civil war is an international issue. Tinkering with
it would amount to a dereliction of duty by the United Nations.
The Syrian crisis has three facets.
The first is the collapse of the military-security based state structures that
have been in place since the 1960s. Regardless of the outcome of the war, these
structures cannot be salvaged. Thus, the first issue is about how to help Syria
create new state structures, and regain its independence.
The second facet concerns the internal tensions among the rebel factions. The
anti-Assad groups have little interest in going to Geneva. The proposed
conference is not really about Syria. It is designed to foster the illusion that
Obama is still engaged with the world while allowing Russia to pose as a rising
power.
The third facet is, perhaps, the most important.
It concerns finding ways and means of enabling the mass of Syrians, now mostly
voiceless victims of a tragedy beyond their control, to re-enter the political
arena and gain a decisive say in shaping the future. The Syrian uprising was the
only genuinely popular revolt in the so-called “Arab Spring.” It cut across
ethnic and sectarian divides and, initially at least, espoused strong democratic
aspirations.
With the uprising degenerating into a civil war that popular energy has been
stifled. Ordinary people are willing and able to take risks even with their
lives through civil disobedience and non-violent struggle. But not everyone is
capable of picking up a gun or triggering a car bomb. The ruthless repression
unleashed by Assad succeeded in producing a violent backlash in which armed
struggle became the mantra.
However, it is wrong to suggest that the only way to see the back of Assad is
through the barrel of a gun.
Syria needs a political transition in which the mass of the people are helped to
assert themselves as arbiters of the nation’s future.
Everyone in the international community, including the cynical leaders of
Washington and Moscow, have an interest in trying to make that possible.