LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
October 15/2013
Bible Quotation for today/
John 12/12-22: "On
the next day a great multitude had come to the feast. When
they heard that Jesus was coming to Jerusalem, they took the
branches of the palm trees, and went out to meet him, and
cried out, “Hosanna! Blessed is he who comes in the name of
the Lord, the King of Israel!” Jesus, having found a young
donkey, sat on it. As it is written, “Don’t be afraid,
daughter of Zion. Behold, your King comes, sitting on a
donkey’s colt.”* His disciples didn’t understand these
things at first, but when Jesus was glorified, then they
remembered that these things were written about him, and
that they had done these things to him. The multitude
therefore that was with him when he called Lazarus out of
the tomb, and raised him from the dead, was testifying about
it. For this cause also the multitude went and met
him, because they heard that he had done this sign.
The Pharisees therefore said among themselves, “See how you
accomplish nothing. Behold, the world has gone after him.”
Now there were certain Greeks among those that went up to
worship at the feast. These, therefore, came to
Philip, who was from Bethsaida of Galilee, and asked him,
saying, “Sir, we want to see Jesus.” Philip came and told
Andrew, and in turn, Andrew came with Philip, and they told
Jesus.
Latest
analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous
sources For October 15/13
Divided they fall/The
Daily Star/October 15/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources For
October 15/13
Lebanese Related News
Two Lebanese Expatriates Win Seats in Nova Scotia Parliament in Canada
Judge charges seven over Tripoli bombings
Manhunt for Tripoli bombing suspects intensifies
Mustaqbal, Shaar, Rifi: Blame for Tripoli Blasts Falls Only on Those Who Staged
Them
Islamic National Gathering Calls for Expelling Syria Ambassador, Banning Arab
Democratic Party
Tripoli Bombings Suspects Charged as Eid Slams Intelligence Branch
Lebanon arrests alleged member of terrorist organization
Arsal residents say rocket victim was set up
Car bomb kills 20 in northwest Syria
Future slams Jumblatt over flip-flop
Turkey, Lebanon discuss Syria hostages
Mikati dissatisfied with caretaker Cabinet
Iran wants to boost ties with Lebanon, Saudi: Roknabadi
Police Doubt al-Atrash's Murder Near Syria Border
Relatives of Aazaz Pilgrims Urge Captors of Turkish Pilots to Allow Loves Ones
to Contact Them
Miscellaneous Reports And News
US to Iran ahead of Geneva: Carry on enriching uranium, but cut down on advanced
IR-2 centrifuges
Kerry calls for conference on Syria transition
Three ICRC staff, Red Crescent volunteer freed in Syria
Israel calls for pressure on Iran to be upheld
NGO: Car Bomb Kills 27 in Northwest Syria
UN: Syria war 'devastating Palestinian lives, homes
Iranian FM lowers expectations ahead of nuclear talks with world powers
Hamas ‘not
meddling’ in Egypt’s affairs, says Haniyeh
Vatican douses
rumors of Pope's Spring visit to Israel
Iranian Jewish
community to Obama: Seize 'unrepeatable' chance to mend ties with Iran
Kerry: Window of
diplomacy with Iran is 'cracking open,' but US still mindful of Israel
Iran nuclear talks in Geneva spur high hopes
Israel Minister Calls for Pressure on Iran to Be Kept Up
Russia Calls on U.S. to Bring Syria Opposition to Peace Talks
Ban Ki-moon Names Envoy for Syria Chemical Weapons
Two Lebanese Expatriates Win Seats in
Nova Scotia Parliament in Canada
Naharnet /..Two Canadians of Lebanese origins won
seats in the parliament of the Nova Scotia province in Canada, reported the
National News Agency on Monday.
Lina Mitlij and Patricia Philippe Arab won the seats in the elections that took
place last week. NNA said that it was first time that any Lebanese expatriate
wins a seat in such elections. Mitlij and Arab hail from the Bsharre town of al-Diman
and they are in constant contact with Lebanon and the Maronite Patriarchate
headquarters in their hometown, it added. They dedicated their victory to
Lebanon, stressing their loyalty to their second home Canada. They also
emphasized that they seek to serve Canadian society and bolster
Lebanese-Canadian ties.
Manhunt for suspects in Tripoli’s twin bombings intensifies
October 14, 2013/ By Youssef Diab, Antoine Amrieh/The Daily
Star
BEIRUT/TRIPOLI, Lebanon: A manhunt in pursuit of members of a seven-man ring
allegedly responsible for twin car bombs in Tripoli in August intensified over
the weekend, with preliminary investigations linking Syrian intelligence
services and a local political party to the attacks that killed 47
people.Military Prosecutor Saqr Saqr issued an arrest warrant Saturday for
Youssef Diab, a suspect in the deadly Tripoli bombings whose apprehension a day
earlier raised tensions in the northern city. Saqr issued arrest warrants for
three people including Diab, a judicial source told The Daily Star, adding that
the arrest of the suspect by the Internal Security Forces Information Branch was
approved by the state prosecutor. The other two were identified as Anis Hamzeh
and Hasan Jaafar, who were also detained. Sources with knowledge of the ISF
investigation detailed the role of Diab, who was arrested in a shop in Jabal
Mohsen and transferred to Beirut. The sources said that Diab confessed to
driving a rigged car to Al-Salam Mosque in Tripoli and detonating it, whereas
another member of the Alawite Arab Democratic Party, named Ahmad Merhi, drove
the other car and detonated it at Al-Taqwa Mosque.
Merhi remains at large.
The sources described the alleged role of detained sheikh Ahmad al-Gharib as
coordinating with Syrian intelligence, but he was not involved in carrying out
the bombings.
Instead, that task was assigned to a group of seven individuals from the ADP who
have experience in explosives, the sources said, adding that the group was led
by a man called Hayan Haydar.
The sources said that the cars were rigged by Syrian intelligence on Syrian
soil, before they were transferred to the Lebanese border near the area of Al-Qasr
in the Bekaa Valley.
The car was delivered to the group of seven on Aug. 21, two days before the
attack.Hasan Jaafar moved the car near the town of Qobeiyat in the north.
The group had taken the cars to Jabal Mohsen before the bombings to ensure they
were properly rigged. On the day of the bombing, Diab drove his car to the
Al-Salam Mosque and Merhi drove the other one to Al-Taqwa Mosque, according to
the sources. The cars were detonated at roughly the same time while worshippers
were inside the mosques.Tensions ran high in the city Friday after the arrest of
Diab who is a member of the predominantly Alawite, pro-Assad Arab Democratic
Party from Jabal Mohsen over his alleged role in the bombings.
Of the three people who have been arrested in the case, one has been released
for lack of evidence. The sources did not identify which suspect was released.
Head of General Security Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim earlier Saturday inspected
checkpoints set up by the agency in the northern city as part of the
government’s security plan to protect Tripoli.
Ibrahim followed up on the working conditions of personnel and gave orders to
his officers to remain on alert to address security concerns in the city in
coordination with the other security agencies involved.
Until late Friday, intermittent sniper fire was heard in Tripoli and a
rocket-propelled grenade fell near Syria Street, the road separating the mainly
Alawite Jabal Mohsen neighborhood from its rival the Sunni-dominated Bab al-Tabbaneh.
The two neighborhoods have engaged in deadly clashes on several occasions since
the crisis in Syria began in 2011. Jabal Mohsen maintains a strong support base
for President Bashar Assad while Bab al-Tabbaneh has voiced support for the
rebels. An official from the ADP, Ali Feddah, criticized Saturday the arrest of
Diab, alleging that Bab al-Tabbaneh residents fired at Jabal Mohsen minutes
after the apprehension.
“The way the security agency came and arrested Diab, who is only 18, was more
like a militia than a government-run force,” Feddah told a local television
station, claiming ISF personnel verbally attacked Diab and beat him before
apprehending him. “In addition to that, arresting this man from Jabal Mohsen is
like targeting an entire sect,” he added. Feddah also denied that the arrested
individuals belonged to the party, and said they would await the verdict of the
judiciary. A security source told The Daily Star that residents from Jabal
Mohsen allegedly fired at the Army following the arrest, wounding a soldier and
prompting troops to return fire.
Two people were also wounded by sniper fire in the city. The Lebanese Army
initiated contacts with Tripoli figures and politicians in order to restore calm
and began patrolling the area to prevent further escalation.
The unrest came two weeks after the caretaker government launched the first
phase of a security plan for Tripoli to preserve security and protect residents.
The initial phase included the deployment of Army, ISF and General Security
personnel and the erecting of checkpoints at the entrance of the city and around
known hot spots.
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati followed up on the situation in Tripoli
with caretaker Interior Minister Marwan Charbel as well as a number of security
chiefs, his office said.
Mikati also spoke to caretaker Justice Minister Shakib Qortbawi about the
ongoing investigation with Diab.
Officials in Tripoli sought over the weekend to limit the fallout from the
investigation amid fears of reprisals against Tripoli’s Alawites.
Ministers and MPs from Tripoli held a meeting at MP Mohammad Kabbara’s home,
after which they issued a statement stressing the need to let security forces
conduct their work and to avoid “threatening civil peace.”
The statement called on the Army and security services to quickly arrest the
suspects, while reaffirming their faith in the judicial system.
A group of sheikhs meeting inside Al-Salam Mosque Saturday called on the
Lebanese government to expel the Syrian ambassador in the country and demanded
the dissolution of the ADP, calling on the Army to confront the party and its
leadership. Top officials linked to the March 14 coalition called for a full
investigation, saying the Alawite sect should not be held responsible for the
crime.
Former ISF chief Ashraf Rifi, former Future MP Mustafa Allouch and Tripoli Mufti
Sheikh Malek Shaar called after a meeting with the politburo of the Future
Movement in the city for the most severe penalties against those who carried out
the attack, adding that Jabal Mohsen’s citizens are part of “Tripoli’s
fabric.”“We do not discriminate between one citizen and the other on religion
and sect,” said Shaar, who recently returned from a self-imposed exile for
security reasons in Europe. “I want my Alawite brothers to hear my clear words
... that they are to be respected and that they are part of the fabric of this
city.”
“We only have one problem and that is with those who are violating the law,” he
added. Allouch said it made sense that those who committed the crime have links
to Syrian intelligence, saying the operation carried the hallmark of the
institution in “the modus operandi and the reckless and indiscriminate thinking
that carries no concern for humanity.” Rifi said that only those who carried out
the crime are responsible for it and stressed that Tripoli’s citizens would not
carry out reprisals against innocents.
Lebanon arrests alleged member of terrorist organization
October 14, 2013/ The Daily Star /BEIRUT: General Security arrested a Palestinian man who allegedly manufactures detonators and forges IDs as part of a terrorist organization, the agency said Monday. According to the statement, an investigation revealed that the man, who is identified by the initials W.N., forges identification cards with a high level of professionalism and precision for terrorist elements. The suspect’s arrest and questioning were conducted under the supervision of deputy military commissioner Judge Danny al-Zaani. The man also “designs and manufactures electronic devices used in timing bombs, other explosive material and rocket launchers.” He has also allegedly participated in attacks on the external and internal security of the state, inciting sectarian and confessional strife. The case was referred to the military prosecutor Judge Saqr Saqr.
Future slams Jumblatt over flip-flop
By Hussein Dakroub/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The Future Movement has launched a blistering campaign against MP Walid
Jumblatt, accusing him of abandoning his centrist position and aligning himself
fully with the Hezbollah-led March 8 alliance.
The tension between the Future Movement and the leader of the Progressive
Socialist Party is likely to further complicate the already stalled attempts to
form a new Cabinet.
The newest setback comes two days after Prime Minister-designate Tammam Salam
sounded downbeat about forming a government soon, blaming “increased conditions”
set by the rival political factions for the Cabinet deadlock, now in its seventh
month.
“MP Jumblatt’s latest stances have put up new barriers in the way of forming a
Cabinet,” Mohammad Shatah, a political adviser to former Prime Minister Saad
Hariri, head of the Future Movement, told The Daily Star.
“This is in addition to hurdles put up by the March 8 alliance with their demand
for being represented in the Cabinet in proportion to their size in Parliament,
their rejection of the rotation of [key] ministries, and upholding the
tripartite equation,” Shatah said.
He was referring to Hezbollah’s insistence on the tripartite equation “the Army,
the people and the Resistance,” contained in the policy statement of previous
Cabinets, to remain in the new government’s ministerial statement.
The March 14 coalition, led by the Future Movement, has rejected this equation
and called instead for the Baabda Declaration to be adopted as the new Cabinet’s
policy statement.
Shatah said Jumblatt’s latest political stances on the Cabinet formation as well
as the 30-month war in Syria have put him closer to the March 8 camp.
“Jumblatt is no longer in the centrist position. He is closer to the March 8
team,” he said.
In an interview with As-Safir newspaper Friday, Jumblatt voiced support for the
March 8 alliance’s proposal for a 9-9-6 Cabinet lineup, saying the 8-8-8 Cabinet
proposal had collapsed.
This was viewed as a major about-face because Jumblatt had initially proposed
the 8-8-8 formula, with ministers equally divided between the March 8 and March
14 parties and centrists, as a way to break the Cabinet stalemate. The centrists
refer to President Michel Sleiman, Salam and Jumblatt.
Jumblatt, a staunch supporter of the Syrian opposition against President Bashar
Assad, said the March 14 parties, starting with Future MP Okab Saqr, had
intervened in the Syrian conflict before Hezbollah did. He mentioned north
Lebanon, which reportedly was used as a base to smuggle arms and send fighters
to Syria to join rebel groups fighting to oust the Assad regime.
Shatah said that with Jumblatt’s new stance, the Future Movement was unlikely to
accept the 9-9-6 Cabinet proposal because the PSP chief’s two ministers would be
considered on the side of the March 8 camp.
“I don’t think that the Future Movement will accept the 9-9-6 formula because
with Jumblatt’s new stance, it has become an 11-9-4 formula,” he said.
Al-Hayat newspaper quoted sources close to Salam as saying that difficulties
facing the Cabinet formation had increased as a result of Jumblatt’s new stance
when he insisted on the 9-9-6 formula and criticized the March 14 parties,
blaming them for delaying the birth of the government.
Jumblatt’s remarks drew quick and fiery responses from two Future MPs, Ahmad
Fatfat and Saqr. Fatfat said Jumblatt has abandoned his centrist position and
aligned himself fully with Hezbollah.“Jumblatt’s vacillations have crossed all
limits and are no longer acceptable. His centrist role is finished,” Fatfat said
in a statement.
In an interview with the Saudi daily Ash-Sharq al-Awsat published Sunday, Fatfat
said: “The PSP chief attacked the Syrian revolution and the March 14 parties,
even though he fully knows who is the party that is obstructing the Cabinet
formation. Jumblatt’s stances emanated from his interest. We are unable to keep
abreast of him because of his constantly changing position.”
“With his stances, Jumblatt has expressed full commitment to an alliance with
Hezbollah, while abandoning his centrist position,” he said. “We cannot say
Jumblatt is a centrist while he has adopted Hezbollah’s stance.”
Saqr, who have been living out of Lebanon for years, lashed out at Jumblatt,
accusing him of taking a major political turnaround on the Syrian conflict.
“Jumblatt, as part of his conflicting statements, has for some time been
including my name in a repeated attempt to justify Iran’s and Hezbollah’s
invasion of Syria,” Saqr said in a statement. “Therefore, we have to draw his
attention that the political, media and humanitarian support we have provided
[to the Syrian people] is the least humane duty toward a people being
slaughtered every day.”
However, caretaker Social Affairs Minister Wael Abu Faour and PSP sources denied
any change in Jumblatt’s position. “There is no change in any direction except
in the firm direction of protecting stability and avoiding horrors in Lebanon,”
Abu Faour, who belongs to Jumblatt’s parliamentary bloc, said in a statement
published by An-Nahar newspaper. A senior PSP source rejected the argument that
Jumblatt’s stance would further delay the Cabinet formation. “Jumblatt’s latest
stance does not amount to a turnaround or a new positioning. We are still in the
position of protecting stability in the country,” the source said. “Facilitating
the Cabinet formation is the responsibility of everyone.” Indirectly responding
to Salam’s sources that said that Jumblatt’s declaration has complicated the
Cabinet formation, the source said: “The PSP’s rational and wise stance, which
aims at protecting stability in the country, does not seek an obstruction of the
Cabinet formation.” He added: “The PSP’s position has from the beginning called
for the formation of an all-embracing government in which all political parties
are represented.”
“The PSP’s priority is to protect stability, and protecting stability cannot be
attained by excluding any part from the government,” the source said, referring
to a March 14 demand to exclude Hezbollah from the new Cabinet over its military
intervention in Syria. Hezbollah MP Nawwaf Musawi said attempts to exclude his
party from the next Cabinet were unconstitutional. “Every attempt to deny the
Resistance [Hezbollah] the right to be represented in the government is a
violation of the Constitution,” Musawi told a gathering in the southern town of
Al-Bayad.
Arsal residents say rocket victim was set up
October 14, 2013 /By Rakan al-Fakih /The Daily Star
HERMEL, Lebanon: Arsal residents told The Daily Star Sunday that they believed
assassinated terrorism suspect Omar Atrash was the victim of a scheme aiming to
tarnish the reputation of the village, by depicting it as a hub for extremism.
The residents said Atrash’s alleged role in planting explosives in Hezbollah
strongholds and killing several soldiers on the outskirts of the village, in
addition to killing four men in Labweh, was a gross exaggeration.
Local media reported that Atrash, who hailed from the Bekaa Valley town of Arsal,
was involved in two car bomb attacks that rocked Bir al-Abed and Ruwaiss in the
Beirut southern suburbs in July and August, respectively. Atrash is also
suspected of planning two rocket attacks in May that wounded four people in the
Beirut southern suburb of Shiyah. Omar Atrash and Samer Hujeiri, were killed
Friday after a rocket hit their vehicle somewhere in the narrow valley that
separates the mountainous area of Arsal and the Syrian frontier. Sameh Breidi
was injured in the incident and admitted to a hospital. Caretaker Defense
Minister Fayez Ghosn said in July that Atrash was behind an attack in Arsal in
May that killed three soldiers. Breidi was also suspected of involvement.
Earlier this month, Atrash appeared on Al-Jadeed TV, dismissing accusations that
he was involved in the attacks in the southern suburbs. He said he was leading
an armed group that supported the Syrian rebels in defending their people
against the regime forces. After his assassination, the Atrash family issued a
statement accusing the TV station of providing the party that carried out the
attack information about his whereabouts. Hujeiri’s truck was hit by a rocket
when it stopped to allow passengers to remove boulders blocking the road.
Hujeiri and Atrash were killed at once and their bodies charred after impact,
while Breidi sustained injuries. Two other cars that were following Atrash’s
pickup were not targeted. “Maybe Atrash was killed to divert the attention of
investigators and to prevent the security forces from uncovering the facts
behind the incidents that Atrash stood accused of,” Future Movement coordinator
in Arsal, Bakr Hujeiri, told The Daily Star.
Police Doubt al-Atrash's Murder Near Syria Border
Naharnet/Security forces have expressed doubt that the man allegedly behind bomb
blasts that rocked the southern suburbs of Beirut recently, was assassinated, An
Nahar daily reported on Monday. The newspaper said that the body of Omar al-Atrash,
who hailed from the Bekaa town of Arsal, was not examined by security forces,
which were also banned from opening an investigation into his murder. Al-Atrash
was buried in Arsal after he was killed on Friday in a rocket attack on his
vehicle in an area that separates Arsal and the Syrian border. An Nahar quoted
security forces as saying that they did not see the photo of the vehicle to
investigate whether the rocket attack was from the air or the ground. They also
did not rule out a booby-trapped explosion. But Arsal's residents claimed that
they prevented police from examining al-Atrash's body or open a probe into his
murder because he was badly mutilated. Media reports have said that al-Atrash
was involved in two deadly car bomb attacks in the Hizbullah stronghold of
Beirut's southern suburbs in July and August. He is also suspected of planning
two rocket attacks in May that wounded four people in the suburbs. Samer al-Hujeiri,
who was with al-Atrash in the car, was also killed Friday, reports said. Sameh
Breidi was injured in the incident and admitted to a hospital.
Nobel prize 'should have been mine', jokes Assad
October 14, 2013/Daily Star/BEIRUT: Syria's President Bashar
al-Assad has jokingly said that he should have been awarded the Nobel Peace
Prize, a pro-Damascus Lebanese newspaper reported on Monday. The prize, which
was given to the global chemical weapons watchdog on Friday, "should have been
mine", Assad said, according to Al-Akhbar newspaper. Assad made the remark
"jokingly", the daily said, as he commented on the award on Friday of Nobel
Peace Prize to the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, which
is working in Syria to destroy the Assad regime's massive chemical arsenal by
mid-2014. Al-Akhbar also reported that Assad had proposed in 2003 that all
countries in the region should hand over all weapons of mass destruction. But
the newspaper did not say when Assad made the comments about the Nobel. The OPCW
and the UN have had a team of 60 experts and support staff in Syria since
October 1, while the civil war rages on. The team started its work after a
breakthrough UN Security Council resolution last month ordering Syria's chemical
stockpile destroyed. The resolution came after a chemical attack in Damascus
province on August 21 that killed hundreds of people. It also followed US
threats to strike Assad's regime. Syria's war broke out after the army and
security forces unleashed a brutal crackdown against anti-Assad protests that
erupted in March 2011. More than 115,000 people have been killed in the conflict
so far, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights watchdog.
Divided they fall
October 14, 2013/ The Daily Star
A Geneva peace conference for Syria is generating angry reactions from members
of the Syrian opposition, as several leading figures are demanding guarantees
for the departure of Syrian President Bashar Assad in exchange for their
attendance. The latest blast came Sunday from George Sabra, the head of the
Syrian National Council, the predecessor of the current umbrella opposition
group in exile, the National Coalition.
Sabra said the proposed Geneva conference was a device to hide the international
community’s failure to end the war in Syria, and threatened that if the
Coalition decided to attend his group would pull out of it.
Also speaking out over the weekend was Ahmad Tohme, who has been tabbed to head
a provisional government by the Coalition. Tohme has yet to form the government,
but said in a newspaper interview that he was confident about the opportunity to
win back “three-quarters” of those who have joined the ranks of hard-line
Islamist groups fighting in Syria. This would happen, he continued, after the
provisional government is formed and begins to offer services to the public. In
the interview, Tohme noted that he and his team have been holding intensive
consultations with several different civilian and military actors in Syria, as
part of efforts to form a government. The remarks by Sabra are justifiable, but
only on moral and humanitarian grounds. The National Coalition eclipsed Sabra
and his National Council because they were unable to offer a viable political
alternative to the regime in Damascus. Now, with Geneva waiting in the wings,
the same lack of leadership is evident. Sabra and his colleagues are within
their rights to dismiss Geneva, but they should be working as hard as possible
to offer something to the Syrian people that will work. As for Tohme, his upbeat
tone about conducting consultations with leading elements of the Syrian
opposition inside the country would be praiseworthy, if it were the summer or
fall of 2011, and not a few months shy of 2014. The Syrian people have heard
enough about opposition figures consulting with each other. After more than
100,000 deaths, thousands of people being imprisoned, several million displaced
from their homes, and a society and economy in ruins, they need to unveil a
working plan, immediately, to end the war and bring about meaningful political
change.
As for Tohme’s belief that most people who have joined jihadist groups will come
to their senses and rejoin the national fabric after his government is formed,
it’s a wager that inspires confidence in very few people.
All members of the opposition should be working overtime to find a solution to
one of the most worrying aspects of the war in Syria: the growing role of
hard-line Islamist extremists. If the opposition can solve this urgent problem,
dealing with issues such as Geneva and a provisional government would become
much easier.
US to Iran ahead of Geneva: Carry on
enriching uranium, but cut down on advanced IR-2 centrifuges
DEBKAfile Special Report October 14, 2013/US Secretary of State John Kerry
briefed EU foreign policy executive Catherine Ashton Sunday night, Oct. 13, on
the areas of accord and discord quietly settled between the US and Iran. She had
to be brought up to speed before meeting Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif the next day, ahead of the P5+1 talks with Iran which she chairs in Geneva
on Tuesday, Oct 15.
Both Kerry and the leading Iranian negotiator Abbas Araghchi set out their
government’s official positions in public statements Sunday night. Neither can
guarantee which or any parts of those statements will survive all the way to the
end of the formal or the backdoor diplomatic processes.
The Secretary of State spoke of a window for diplomacy over Iran’s nuclear
program “cracking open” and said:“ …we believe no deal is better than a bad
deal.”
Kerry will not have forgotten how his ringing pledge of an American military
strike against Syria over its use of chemical weapons segued into the Pesident
Barack Obama's decision to back down.
Araghchi ruled out Tehran sending any of its enriched uranium abroad as part of
any deal to ease sanctions. In so saying, he directly contradicted an earlier
comment by parliament Speaker Ali Larijani that Iran has more enriched uranium
than it needs and should use it as a bargaining chip in talks with the West.
debkafile’s sources in Washington and Tehran report that 24 hours before the
Geneva forum, no hard and fast decisions have been reached on final areas of
accord and the proposals to be put on the table - either in Barack Obama’s tight
circle of intimate advisers headed by chief of staff Denis McDonough, or in
Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s bureau.
Both are held back by last-minute internal differences and uncertainties in
their home bases. Major issues are expected to move up from Geneva to higher
levels. Monday, Zarif confirmed the perception that no consensus was to be
expected at the Geneva forum and the six foreign ministers would have to be
convened to push a resolution forward.
As matters stand, debkafile can throw some light on five outstanding aspects:
1. As his contribution to bringing negotiations to a successful conclusion, i.e.
an accord signed by all six powers, Barack Obama agreed in principle in backdoor
exchanges that Iran’s nuclear program can continue, including the enrichment of
uranium up to 20 percent purity.
Where the two sides parted ways was on quantities of enriched material and the
type of centrifuges used for its manufacture.
2. President Obama is willing to accept the Iranian regime’s declaration that
its nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes and the country has never
engaged in weapons activity. He is even willing to fall for Iranian propaganda’s
claim that Khamenei had issued a fatwa prohibiting nuclear weapons, even through
every Shiite authority says that Iran's supreme leader is not competent to issue
religious edicts.
3. Khamenei himself is challenged by controversy at the top of his regime
between hard-liners standing out for more concessions from the West and factions
more amenable to compromise.
The influential Larijani was most likely talking for Khamenei when he offered
the first authoritative signal that Tehran would consider the removal of part of
its enriched uranium stocks from the country for the sake of an accord.
No sooner was his comment welcomed in Washington and European capitals as the
first major breakthrough in nuclear diplomacy with Tehran, when senior
negotiator Araghchi dumped a cold shower on their heads.
4. debkafile’s Iranian sources report that, for now, the hardliners are up in
the seesaw rocking the Iranian regime. Their faction argues that since the
United States has already agreed to let Iran continue to enrich uranium up to 20
percent, all that remains to be settled is a cap on the number of advanced
high-speed IR2 centrifuges Iran is allowed to use. This ace, they say, is
powerful enough to trump any arguments about the quantities of enriched fissile
material Iran is allowed to retain and keep in the country.
5. Nothing remains of the Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s four
stipulations for accepting a nuclear accord with Iran. Not a vestige will reach
the Geneva conference agenda after Washington brushed aside every one of those
stipulations, which were: to halt uranium enrichment, remove enriched uranium
stocks from Iran, shut down the Fordo underground enrichment plant and suspend
construction of the heavy water reactor in Arak for the production of plutonium.
Secretary Kerry threw a bone to the Israeli government in his comment Sunday via
satellite to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee summit in California:
"I want you to know that our eyes are open, too. While we seek a peaceful
resolution to Iran's nuclear program, words must be matched with actions. In any
engagement with Iran, we are mindful of Israel's security needs."
Israelis strongly doubt whether any of the parties to a future deal on Iran’s
nuclear program will match their words with actions.