LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
May 31/2013
Bible
Quotation for today/Love
01 Corinthians 13/: "I may be able to speak the
languages of human beings and even of angels, but if I have no love, my
speech is no more than a noisy gong or a clanging bell. 2 I may have the
gift of inspired preaching; I may have all knowledge and understand all
secrets; I may have all the faith needed to move mountains—but if I have
no love, I am nothing. I may give away everything I have, and even
give up my body to be burned—but if I have no love, this does me no
good. Love is patient and kind; it is not jealous or conceited or
proud; love is not ill-mannered or selfish or irritable; love does
not keep a record of wrongs; love is not happy with evil, but is
happy with the truth. Love never gives up; and its faith, hope,
and patience never fail. Love is eternal. There are inspired
messages, but they are temporary; there are gifts of speaking in strange
tongues, but they will cease; there is knowledge, but it will pass.
For our gifts of knowledge and of inspired messages are only partial;
but when what is perfect comes, then what is partial will disappear.
When I was a child, my speech, feelings, and thinking were all those of
a child; now that I am an adult, I have no more use for childish ways.
What we see now is like a dim image in a mirror; then we shall see
face-to-face. What I know now is only partial; then it will be
complete—as complete as God's knowledge of me. Meanwhile these three
remain: faith, hope, and love; and the greatest of these is love.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Sectarian anger brews among
Syrian Christians/By: Karen Boulos/Now Lebanon/May 31/13
Hezbollah vs. Hamas/By:
Hanin Ghaddar/Now Lebanon/May 31/13
The slow suicide of Syria’s
opposition/By Michael Young /The Daily Star/May 31/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for May 31/13
Nigeria foils latest Hezbollah
plot to attack Israelis
Nigeria Claims Discovery of
Hizbullah Cell
Report: Gulf States May Place
Hizbullah on Terror List
Israeli Energy Minister: We
Will Not Allow Transfer of Strategic Weapons From Syria
to Hizbullah
Suleiman Urges Nasrallah to
Stop Fighting in Syria, Says Will Challenge Long
Extension of Parliament's Mandate
Up to 110 MPs to Vote for
Parliament Extension over 'Security Incidents,'
'Sectarian Disputes'
Couple Killed, Children Wounded
in Bekaa Car Crash
SNC: No peace talks until
Hezbollah, Iran halt "invasion"
March 14 Independent MPs Say
Extension of Parliament's Term Undemocratic
FPM Takes a Firm Stance, Vows
to Challenge Extension of Parliament's Term
Palestinian Refugees Burn Aid
Provided by Hizbullah in Ain el-Hilweh
Russia Earmarks $10M for Syrian
Refugees in Lebanon, Jordan
'Karachi Affair' Suspect
Detained in France for 'Escape Bid'
Syrian Robs Lebanese Taxi
Driver but Leaves Behind his ID
President Gemayel Rejects
Adoption of 1960 Law, Describes it as 'Heresy'
Madi to Probe Inciting
Statements on Tripoli Clashes
Charbel, Ibrahim Head to Turkey
to Tackle Case of Abducted Pilgrims
Israeli intelligence denies
first Russian S-300s arrive in Syria - contrary to
Assad’s claim
Peace remote as Assad,
allies up military efforts
Peres Says Pope Could Help in
Interfaith Peace Talks
Syria Opposition in Urgent
Appeal for Qusayr Wounded
Syria Opposition Says No Peace
Talks until Hizbullah, Iran Halt 'Invasion'
Syrian rebel group vows
retaliation against Hezbollah
Assad Implies to al-Manar that
Syria Received Russia Missiles
Germany, Canada Call on Syria
Rebels to Join Talks
McCain crosses paths with
rebel kidnapper
New York Times: Obama has
Settled on New FBI Director
Assad defends Hezbollah presence in Syria
Israeli Energy Minister: We Will Not Allow Transfer of
Strategic Weapons From Syria to Hizbullah
Naharnet /Israel does not want to provoke a military "escalation"
with Syria but will not allow it to transfer strategic arms to groups like
Hizbullah, a cabinet minister said on Thursday. "There is no need to provoke an
escalation, there is no need to heat up the border with Syria, that was not our
objective and it will never be," Energy and Water Minister Silvan Shalom told
public radio. Asked about Moscow's plans to supply S-300 anti-aircraft missiles
to Syria, Shalom said they would only become a problem if they fell into the
wrong hands. "Syria has had strategic weapons for years, but the problem arises
when these arms fall into other hands and could be used against us. In that
case, we would have to act," he said. Moscow has defended its arms shipments to
Damascus, describing them as a "stabilizing factor" which could act as a
deterrent against foreign intervention. Shalom's remarks were made a day after
Netanyahu ordered his cabinet to stay silent on the issue of Russian arms
shipments to Syria in a bid to reduce tensions with Damascus and Moscow. Earlier
this week, Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon warned that Israel would "know what do
to" if Russia fulfilled the delivery of the S-300 anti-aircraft system. His
words appeared to be a veiled allusion to military action along the lines of
several strikes carried out on Syrian soil earlier which targeted weapons from
Iran destined for Hizbullah. Meanwhile, Israel's National Security Adviser
Yaakov Amidror recently met European Union ambassadors to explain clearly what
Israel's red lines were in respect to the S-300 system, Haaretz newspaper said
on Thursday. Amidror said Israel would not stop the delivery of the system but
would act "to prevent the S-300 from becoming operational" on Syrian soil,
according to the report. "We are not interested in intervening or influencing
the situation inside Syria," he told them. "We will only act when need to
protect our security and thus we will prevent in the future the transfer of
advanced weapons to Hizbullah."After the end of an annual civil defense drill on
Thursday, Netanyahu reiterated that Israel was surrounded by "tens of thousands
of missiles and rockets that could hit our home front." Netanyahu pointed to the
eight-day confrontation between Israel and Hamas militants in November, during
which rockets from Gaza hit near Jerusalem and Tel Aviv for the first time, as
"a small example of the substantial changes in modes of attack." "We must
prepare defensively and offensively for the new era of warfare," Netanyahu
stressed. "The Israeli home front is more accessible to the enemy than it has
been."SourceAgence France Presse.
Nigeria foils latest Hezbollah plot to attack Israelis
By REUTERS 05/30/2013/
http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Nigeria-foils-latest-Hezbollah-plot-to-attack-Israelis-314942
Authorities arrest three Lebanese in northern Nigeria on suspicion of being
members of Hezbollah; Military Spokesman Ikedichi Iweha says arms, ammunition
were targeted at facilities of Israel, Western interest in Nigeria.
KANO, Nigeria - Nigerian authorities said on Thursday they had arrested three
Lebanese in northern Nigeria on suspicion of being members of Hezbollah and that
a raid on one of their residences had revealed a stash of heavy weapons.The
three suspects were arrested between May 16 and May 28 in the north's biggest
city Kano, the city's military spokesman Captain Ikedichi Iweha said in a
statement. All had admitted to being members of Hezbollah under questioning. A
raid on the residence of one of the Lebanese had uncovered 11 60 mm anti-tank
weapons, four anti-tank landmines, two rounds of ammunition for a 122 mm
artillery gun, 21 rocket-propelled grenades, seventeen AK-47s with more than
11,000 bullets and some dynamite, he said. "The arms and ammunition were
targeted at facilities of Israel and Western interest in Nigeria," Iweha said,
but did not elaborate.
Separately, five fighters from Chad and two from Niger were arrested among
insurgents fleeing a two-week-old offensive against Islamist sect Boko Haram in
the northeast, as they tried to cross the border into Chad, Nigeria's defence
spokesman Brigadier General Chris Olukolade said in a statement. Authorities
believe there has been a growing involvement of al-Qaeda-linked foreign
jihadists in Nigeria's insurgency.
The secret service detained the first suspect, Mustapha Fawaz, on May 16 at his
supermarket in Kano. His interrogation led to other suspects, including Abdullah
Tahini, who was later arrested at Kano airport with $60,000 in undeclared cash.
Weapons stash
The third, Talal Roda, a Nigerian and Lebanese citizen, was arrested on Sunday
at the house where the weapons were found two days later.
"The search team uncovered an underground bunker in the master bedroom where a
large quantity of assorted weapons of different types and caliber were
recovered," Iweha said. "All those arrested have confessed to have undergone
Hezbollah terrorist training." The possibility of a link with Nigerian Islamist
sect Boko Haram, which Nigerian forces are battling in a major offensive in the
northeast, was being investigated, Iweha said at a news conference. An alliance
between Salafist Sunni Muslim Boko Haram and Shi'ite Hezbollah would be unusual,
and there has never previously been evidence of such a link.
Though most Nigerian Muslims are Sunni, there are several thousand Shi'ite
Nigerians, a legacy of Muslim radical Ibrahim Zakzaky's preachings since the
1980s. Zakzaky still leads Nigeria's main Shi'ite movement and has campaigned
for an Islamic government and stricter adherence to sharia law. Iweha declined
to say if any link to Zakzaky was being investigated, and his movement is
currently seen as largely peaceful.
A Nigerian court sentenced an alleged member of Iran's Revolutionary Guard and a
Nigerian accomplice to five years in prison this month over an illegal shipment
of mortars and rockets seized in the main port of Lagos in 2010.
Nigeria Claims Discovery of Hizbullah Cell
Naharnet/Nigeria's security services said Thursday they had discovered a home in
the northern city of Kano where Lebanese nationals had stored weapons intended
to attack Israeli and Western targets in Nigeria.
The Kano state director for Nigeria's main intelligence branch, the Department
of State Security (DSS), told journalists the compound's owner had ties to
Hizbullah and that the home had harbored a Hizbullah "cell".
But the official, Bassey Etang, offered no evidence to support this claim.
Journalists were brought to the home in the upmarket Bompai neighborhood of Kano
and taken to a bunker dug beneath a bedroom where weapons had allegedly been
stored. The stash included some 30 grenades, Kalashnikov assault rifles,
ammunition and various explosive materials. Etang, the director of the DSS in
Kano, said three Lebanese nationals had been arrested in connection with the
illegal arms cache, while a fourth suspect was at large."This is the handiwork
of Hizbullah. What has just been discovered is the cell of Hizbullah and what
you have seen here is a Hizbullah armory," Etang told reporters."These weapons
are meant to be used to target Israeli and Western interests in Nigeria."Nigeria
is confronting an insurgency waged by radical Islamist group Boko Haram that has
left thousands dead since 2009.
"Investigations are still ongoing to determine" if the Lebanese nationals "are
really connected to Boko Haram," the intelligence chief said.Analysts see Boko
Haram primarily as a domestic group that has possibly sought closer ties to
al-Qaida's west Africa franchise. One suspect in custody was identified as
Mustafa Fawaz, reportedly the owner of an amusement park in the capital Abuja
called Wonderland.An employee who answered a call to a number listed for
Wonderland told Agence France Presse that Fawaz had not been in the office this
week. The top military commander in Kano, Brigadier General Iliyasu Abba, who
briefed journalists alongside the intelligence chief, said the case had
generated "a lot of national interest". Nigeria is home to a large Lebanese
population, including in the mainly Muslim north.In February, the DSS said it
had discovered a militant cell receiving instructions from Iranian agents that
had sought to attack Israeli and Western targets in Nigeria.DSS National
spokesman Marilyn Ogar said at the time the group also planned to assassinate
Nigeria's former military ruler Ibrahim Babangida.
SourceAgence France Presse.
Report: Gulf States May Place
Hizbullah on Terror List
Naharnet /Gulf Arab states will consider placing Hizbullah, which
is openly involved in the Syrian conflict, on its terror list, al-Rai daily
quoted highly placed diplomats on Thursday as saying. Bahrain will ask foreign
ministers of the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council to discuss "placing
Hizbullah on the terror list" at a meeting in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia on Sunday,
the newspaper said. Bahrain currently holds the GCC's rotating presidency. The
paper did not say whether this referred to the party as a whole or just its
military wing, whose men are fighting alongside government troops in a fierce
battle to retake the Syrian town of Qusayr from rebels. The ministers will also
discuss Gulf security, "continued Iranian threats, especially the busting of
Iranian spy rings," in a number of GCC states. The GCC includes Bahrain, Kuwait,
Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Kuwait has already
convicted several Iranians and one of its own citizens for operating a spy ring
for Tehran, while Saudi Arabia and Bahrain have said they busted cells working
for the Islamic republic. On Monday, Bahrain on Monday banned opposition groups
from all contact with Hizbullah, a month after branding the movement as a
"terrorist organization." Hizbullah, like Iran, is a close ally of Syrian
President Bashar Assad.Gulf states have repeatedly accused Iran of meddling in
their affairs, a charge the Islamic republic categorically denies. More than
94,000 people have died in Syria since protests erupted more than two years ago
and morphed into an armed conflict after being brutally repressed. SourceAgence
France Presse.LebanonPoliticsIranKuwait
U.S. Demands Hizbullah Withdraw from Syria
Naharnet /The United States on Wednesday demanded the immediate withdrawal of
Hizbullah fighters from Syria, saying their active role in combat there was an
"extremely dangerous escalation.""This is an unacceptable and extremely
dangerous escalation. We demand that Hizbullah withdraw its fighters from Syria
immediately," State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said. Hizbullah leader
Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah confirmed last week that the group was actively fighting
on the side of its close ally, Syria's President Bashar Assad, in the Syrian
town of Qusayr near the border.
Psaki also condemned the "outrageous attack" on a Lebanese army checkpoint near
the border on Tuesday that killed three soldiers. It was not immediately clear
who was behind the attack, which was condemned by the Lebanese government and
Hizbullah. "These and other incidents are stark reminders that the conflict in
Syria poses an incredibly dangerous threat to Lebanon's stability, the people of
Lebanon and security," she said.
"We call on all parties to do their part to act with restraint and respect
Lebanon's stability and security."Hizbullah had long insisted its arsenal of
rockets and other weapons would only be used to defend Lebanon from its southern
neighbor. But Nasrallah has said the group must now defend Assad's regime
against an uprising increasingly dominated by hardline Sunni Islamists who view
Shiites and Assad's offshoot Alawite sect as apostates.
Hizbullah's involvement in Syria has raised fears the conflict could spill over
into Lebanon, where deadly clashes between supporters and opponents of the
Syrian regime have periodically erupted in the northern city of Tripoli.
Syria has long been a crucial conduit for arms supplied to Hizbullah by Iran.
Iran, Syria, Hizbullah and some Palestinian groups view themselves as an axis of
"resistance" against Israel and the West. Hizbullah is believed to have sent at
least 1,700 fighters to Qusayr more than a week ago to support the regime's
assault on the rebel stronghold. France estimates that 3,000 to 4,000 Hizbullah
fighters are operating in Syria.
Hundreds of civilians have reportedly been killed in Qusayr and thousands could
be trapped. The United Nations estimates that more than 70,000 people have been
killed since the initially peaceful uprising began in March 2011.Source/Agence
France Presse
March 14 Independent MPs Say Extension of Parliament's Term Undemocratic
Naharnet /Independent March 14 lawmakers expressed on Thursday regret over
attempts to extend the parliament's term, considering that it opposes the
democratic system and the principle of rotation in power.
“The security situation and the cabinet and parliament's inability to agree on
an electoral law compel the forced extension of the legislature's term, which
opposes the democratic norms,” a statement issued by the MPs said.
It pointed out that the extension obliges the political powers to facilitate the
formation of the cabinet and to halt all the preventive conditions by the March
8 alliance. The statement said that the situation in the country could lead to a
constitutional vacuum, which threatens the state and its stability. The
lawmakers “agreed to deal positively with any consensus reached by the rival
parties to avert any negative repercussions on the country.” On Wednesday,
Speaker Nabih Berri said that the parliament’s term will be extended to Nov, 20
2014.A parliamentary session is set to be held on Friday to vote on the
timeframe of extension.
Russia Earmarks $10M for Syrian Refugees in Lebanon, Jordan
Naharnet/The Russian government on Thursday earmarked 10 million dollars in aid
for Syrian refugees in Lebanon and Jordan that will be paid through the United
Nations in the year 2013. “In 2013, around 10 million dollars will be earmarked
as a contribution to the budget of the the United Nations High Commission for
Refugees (UNHCR), with around 6.5 million dollars in support for the Lebanese
government and around 3.5 million dollars in support for the Jordanian
government,” read a resolution issued by Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev.
Russia's finance ministry was tasked with coordinating with the foreign ministry
on how to transfer the funds to the United Nations.The Russian foreign ministry
was also asked to inform the Lebanese and Jordanian foreign ministries of the
resolution.
Palestinian Refugees Burn Aid Provided
by Hizbullah in Ain el-Hilweh
Naharnet/A number of Palestinian refugees who fled the war in Syria on Thursday
set ablaze aid offered to them by Hizbullah in protest at the party's military
intervention in the neighboring country, state-run-National News Agency
reported.The refugees at the Palestinian Ain el-Hilweh camp in Sidon called on
Hizbullah to withdraw its fighters from Syria and not to interfere in Syrian
affairs, NNA said.
The military support of Hizbullah has helped Syrian regime forces gain the upper
hand in the battle for control of Qusayr, a key town for both the regime and the
insurgents, where a fierce army assault began 12 days ago.
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah had previously justified the group's
involvement in Syria by saying they were defending Lebanese-inhabited border
villages inside Syria and Shiite holy sites. But the offensive on the
mostly-Sunni town of Qusayr forced the movement to change its argument."Syria is
the rear guard of the resistance (Hizbullah's fight with Israel), its backbone,
and the resistance cannot stay with its arms folded when its rear guard is
exposed," Nasrallah said on Saturday in a speech for the 13th anniversary of
Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon.Nasrallah stressed that Hizbullah will win the
battle against the “United States, Israel and the Takfiris just like it emerged
victorious in previous wars.”Hundreds of Palestinian refugees have fled to
Lebanon after fierce clashes at the Yarmouk refugee camp in Damascus.
Up to 110 MPs to Vote for Parliament Extension over 'Security Incidents,'
'Sectarian Disputes'
Naharnet/The extension of parliament's four-year mandate will likely be backed
by 110 lawmakers during a session scheduled to be held on Friday after efforts
to convince Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun to support such a move
failed. Several MPs expected around 105 or 110 lawmakers to vote for the
extension if they all attended Friday's session although its duration is still
the source of controversy between different parliamentary blocs.Rival parties
have failed to agree on an electoral law to govern the June 16 parliamentary
elections and the majority of them opposed the 1960 law that was used in the
2009 polls.
The lack of consensus compelled them to agree on an extension despite
differences on the duration. Some blocs are backing a 15-month extension while
others are backing an 18-month period.
The extension of the 128-seat legislature's term by up to 18 months marks the
first time that parliament has had to extend its term since Lebanon's civil war
ended in 1975-90.
The decision by Speaker Nabih Berri to call for a plenary session followed an
agreement between most political factions that the worsening security situation
has made campaigning and voting impossible, and that postponing it may ease
soaring tensions. Parliament's current term ends June 20. A copy of the
draft-law that was obtained by An Nahar daily said the extension was necessary
given that the security situation “was affecting clearly and directly the normal
life (of citizens) in vast areas and in most Lebanese governorates.”
“The transfer of incidents and disputes from one area to the other is causing
deaths and injuries and mainly in major cities, which becomes an obstacle to
communication between Lebanese regions from the North to the South to the
Bekaa,” it said. It added that political differences that are sometimes based on
“sectarian” disputes are “threatening sedition” and could obstruct the
organization of electoral campaigns and voting. Hizbullah and Berri's Amal
movement, which are Aoun's main allies, have failed to convince him to support
the draft-law. The FPM chief has rejected an extension, favoring holding polls
on time under the 1960 law despite his objection to it for failing to guarantee
the best representation of Christians.
FPM Takes a Firm Stance, Vows to Challenge Extension of Parliament's Term
Naharnet/Change and Reform parliamentary bloc MP Ibrahim Kanaan revealed on
Thursday that the Free Patriotic Movement began drafting a request to challenge
the extension of the parliament's mandate.
Kanaan, who is loyal to FPM leader MP Michel Aoun, pointed out in remarks
published in As Safir newspaper that the challenge will be filed directly after
the parliament endorses the extension. He noted that the challenge will focus on
several aspects including the importance of maintaining the democratic principle
of rotation in power. On Wednesday, Speaker Nabih Berri said that the
parliament’s term will be extended to Nov, 20 2014.
A parliamentary session is set to be held on Friday to vote on the timeframe of
extension. The lawmaker considered that extending the term of the parliament due
to the security situation “doesn't convince us.”
He also lashed out at the Phalange Party and the Lebanese Forces for approving
such a decision, saying that it contradicts their previous stances.
On Wednesday, President Michel Suleiman reiterated that he will challenge the
constitutionality of extending the parliament's term before the Constitutional
Council if polls weren't held by October. MPs “will of course agree on extending
the parliament's term because it will save them the cost of the electoral
campaign,” Suleiman said.
The president said he wants the lawmakers to cut the extended term short and
hold the parliamentary elections once they agree on an electoral law.
Couple Killed, Children Wounded in Bekaa Car Crash
Naharnet/A man and his wife were killed and their three children were injured
when their car crashed into a roadblock in the eastern Bekaa valley, the
state-run National News Agency reported on Thursday.
NNA said Michel Bsaibes, 37, and his 34-year-old wife Dana al-Khoury died when
the man, who was driving his Suzuki four-wheeler, crashed into concrete blocks
on the side of a road, the agency said.
The accident took place after midnight in the town of Chtaura. They were on
their way back home from a visit to Our Lady of Lebanon pilgrimage site in
Kesrouan.
Their three children 8-year-old Joy, Joseph, 4, and Louna, 2, suffered bruises
and broken bones and were taken to the Bekaa hospital, NNA added.
Syria Opposition Says No Peace Talks until Hizbullah, Iran Halt 'Invasion'
Naharnet /Syria's main opposition group said Thursday it will not take part in
proposed U.S.-Russia peace talks while key allies of President Bashar Assad's
regime are waging war alongside government forces.
"The National Coalition will not take part in any international conference or
any such efforts so long as the militias of Iran and Hizbullah continue their
invasion of Syria," the opposition's acting chief George Sabra told reporters in
Istanbul. "Today, Syrians' lives are more important than any political solution
or any international conference," Sabra added. It has taken the divided
opposition meeting in Istanbul a week to find common ground on the so-called
Geneva 2 peace conference proposed by Moscow and Washington in hopes of ending
more than two years of conflict estimated to have killed more than 94,000
people.
The group has previously said it was open in principle to any peace initiatives.
Sabra's comments follow Syrian army advances in areas where Hizbullah has joined
troops loyal to Assad. "In light of this savagery, any talk of an international
conference or a political solution in Syria is just meaningless chatter," he
said. His statement came hours after the National Coalition launched an urgent
appeal to rescue 1,000 wounded civilians from the town of Qusayr in central
Syria.Government troops and Hizbullah fighters have been battling for more than
a week to retake Qusayr from rebel hands.Rebel sources say the army has also
made new advances east of Damascus in the past week, in a bid to crush the
rebellion there. Sabra said it was in the hands of the international community,
"especially in the hands of (rebel backers) the Friends of Syria", to help stop
an army advance on Qusayr and the Eastern Ghouta area near Damascus.He called on
the United Nations and the Arab League to "act immediately and seriously to
stop... the continuous massacres". "We cannot understand or accept that people
are being killed in such a savage way while the international community is
silent," Sabra added. The Coalition's chief meanwhile reiterated a call to
President Michel Suleiman to stop Hizbullah from aiding Assad's troops. "We
remind the Lebanese president and the Lebanese people that a party with
government and parliament representation is taking part in this ugly crime,"
said Sabra.SourceAgence France Presse.
Syrian rebel group vows retaliation against Hezbollah
Now Lebanon/ A top Syrian armed rebel group vowed in a video to retaliate
against the Lebanese Shiite group Hezbollah for its involvement in the fighting
alongside the Syrian regime.“In response to the involvement of the terrorist
Lebanese Hezbollah in shedding the blood of our people in Qusayr and for
invading our lands… we will target the locations of this party everywhere,
whether in Lebanon or Syria,” a commander in the Liwa al-Tawhid said in a video
broadcast on YouTube on Tuesday. “We call on the Lebanese government and the
Lebanese people to restrain the gangs of this criminal party, otherwise, we will
have to move the battle to Lebanon.” “Our developed rockets will then target
[Beirut’s southern] suburb and beyond… and I will give directions to the
revolutionary in Syria to attack the gangs of Hezbollah in all Shiite villages,”
he added. Liwa al-Tawhid—which is affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood—was
formed in 2012 as the Free Syrian Army unit tasked with taking Aleppo. The rebel
group boasts a fighting force of thousands of troops, and according to recent
reports, has been redeploying in Al-Qusayr to support rebels fighting against an
onslaught by Hezbollah and regime forces. Syrian rebel fighters have raised
their rhetoric against Hezbollah as the Shiite party has pressed a military
campaign in Al-Qusayr. On Tuesday, Free Syrian Army chief-of-staff Selim Idriss
issued a 24-hour ultimatum to Lebanon to get Hezbollah to withdraw its troops
from Syria. Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah on Saturday vowed that his
party and the Syrian regime would emerge victorious in the fighting in Syria.The
morning after his speech two Grad rockets hit the Hezbollah-stronghold Dahiyeh
southern area of Beirut. Nobody has claimed responsibility for the attack
SNC: No peace talks until Hezbollah, Iran halt "invasion"
AFP/Syria's main opposition group said Thursday it will not take part in
proposed US-Russia peace talks while key allies of President Bashar al-Assad's
regime are waging war alongside government forces."The National Coalition will
not take part in any international conference or any such efforts so long as the
militias of Iran and Hezbollah continue their invasion of Syria," the
opposition's acting chief George Sabra told reporters in Istanbul. It has taken
the divided opposition meeting in Istanbul a week to find common ground on the
so-called Geneva 2 peace conference proposed by Moscow and Washington.The group
has previously said it was open in principle to any peace initiatives. Sabra's
comments follow Syrian army advances in areas where the Lebanese militia group
Hezbollah has joined troops loyal to Assad."In light of this savagery, any talk
of an international conference or a political solution in Syria is just
meaningless chatter," he said. His statement came hours after the Coalition
launched an urgent appeal to rescue 1,000 wounded civilians from the town of
Qusayr in central Syria. Government troops and Hezbollah fighters have been
battling for more than a week to retake Qusayr from rebel hands.
Hezbollah vs. Hamas
By: Hanin Ghaddar/Now Lebanon
Hezbollah's involvement in Qusayr could drag Lebanon into a broader conflict
Clashes erupted in Beirut Wednesday night between Palestinians and members of
the Amal Movement, MTV television station reported. The clashes took place in
the Farhat neighborhood near the Cité Sportive stadium, during which two hand
grenades were used. Without proper contextualization, this incident could be
seen as just another insignificant fight between two armed groups. But it
happened shortly after Jabhet al-Nusra declared the beginning of its operations
against Hezbollah in Beirut and the Beqaa. Meanwhile, various sources reported
that Hezbollah has asked Hamas to leave Dahiyeh (the southern suburbs of Beirut)
after it became known that Hamas has been fighting alongside the Free Syrian
Army in Qusayr. Hamas' alliance with Hezbollah and the Assad regime in Damascus
has always given Hezbollah a certain control over the Palestinian camps in
Lebanon – but things are drastically different now. Hamas is no longer an ally
of Assad or Hezbollah, the organization has shifted alliances and Hamas is now
Qatar's best friend and benefactor. Of course, that Hamas is now actually
fighting Hezbollah in Syria is hardly surprising news. Sources close to
Hezbollah in Lebanon report that most of Hezbollah’s casualties in Qusayr occur
in mines which Hezbollah and Hamas used against Israeli forces – both groups
were trained by the same army after all. The same sources also mentioned that
cluster mines are behind most of Hezbollah’s losses. Although Hamas’ leadership
in Lebanon officially denied being asked to leave the southern suburbs by
Hezbollah, many doubt this actually occurred. Hamas did not and will never
declare its military involvement in Syria, as the organization has always been
good at playing both sides carefully. Hamas never clearly and officially cut
ties with Iran, yet its leadership's new ties to Qatar are a poorly-kept secret.
After Khaled Meshaal and other Hamas officials were forced to flee the group’s
headquarters in Syria, Meshaal has since stationed himself in Qatar, making the
small Gulf city-state Hamas' new headquarters. Moreover, in October 2012 Qatar
pledged to give Hamas $400 million USD in support, which constitutes a critical
funding stream that will supplement major subsidies from Iran. Hamas' loyalty is
now with Qatar, and the Gulf state is clearly supporting and funding Syrian
rebels, particularly Islamist ones. It is only normal that Hamas, being the best
trained military faction in the region besides Hezbollah, will be asked to join
the rebels in Syria.
But this also means that Hezbollah is facing a new danger in Lebanon, and
Wednesday night's news shows that Palestinian camps could again be used to
partake in a conflict on Lebanese soil, this time against Hezbollah.
So here we have two supposedly resistance groups fighting each other,
politically and most probably militarily. Their fight in Syria will soon move
into Lebanon, and when Jabhat al-Nusra decides to launch its attack against
Hezbollah in Lebanon, it will come as no surprise if Hamas and other Islamist
groups in the Palestinian camps carry it out. Now that the Lebanese parliament
has decided to extend its term for at least 15 months, a new government will
probably not be formed anytime soon unless PM-designate Tammam Salam submits to
Hezbollah's demand that it maintains control over government and state
institutions. This means that Hezbollah is not only still a part of the Lebanese
state, it has also managed to maintain its control over Lebanon's institutions.
Therefore, all of Lebanon's institutions and sectors will be a target to whoever
wants to attack or pressure Hezbollah. When Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah
officially declared his organization’s military involvement in Syria, inviting
his opponents to fight him there, Nasrallah’s message was that Lebanon as a
state does not matter and it only exists to serve Hezbollah and Iran's
interests. Hence, Lebanon is forced to join Hezbollah in its battle in Syria.
Hezbollah is determined to win the Qusayr battle no matter the consequences, and
they are now sending better-equipped and trained troops to Qusayr. Nasrallah has
no choice in Qusayr but victory, in order to justify the huge number of
casualties coming from Syria every day. Hezbollah's losses in Qusayr are
damaging its reputation of invincibility, and winning (like the “divine” victory
of 2006) has now become simply non-negotiable.
However, what does victory mean at this point? Winning the battle in Qusayr may
mean losing a bigger war. Even if Hezbollah manages to take over Qusayr, they do
not have the power or ability to hold it. Eventually, Hezbollah will be chased
back into Lebanon. There are no borders or functioning state institutions to
stop their return.
But, Hezbollah has set a dangerous new precedent with its campaigns into Syria
by dragging Lebanon into the neighboring conflict. According to Hezbollah’s
ideological and military training – losses, no matter how big, are irrelevant if
they result in victory. This mentality is sure to prolong the conflict,
something Hezbollah strives on. This time, however, is different. Hezbollah has
positioned itself, through a calculated sectarian approach, as the enemy of all
Sunni Islamists who are taking over most of the region. No matter how strong
they are or how costly and long the conflict will drag on, Hezbollah is
determined to plow ahead. Yet today they are facing all the Sunnis in the region
including Hamas, and Hezbollah will eventually lose the bigger battle as a
result.As a small, sectarian state, Lebanon will be the biggest loser in this
broader regional divide. Therefore, the only choice left for Lebanon is to keep
Hezbollah out of any state institution. They cannot be part of the government or
parliament anymore. Hezbollah today is an occupying force in Syria, and if they
remain in control of Lebanon's institutions, it means that Lebanon will be
regarded as an occupying state. Lebanon must therefore change by exercising its
real independence.
**Hanin Ghaddar is the Managing Editor of NOW. She tweets @haningdr
Sectarian anger brews among Syrian Christians
Karen Boulos/Now Lebanon
ZAHLE, Lebanon – The onslaught of fighting in Syria has undoubtedly taken a
sectarian turn. This spiral of violence has engulfed all Syrian citizens, but
the attacks on Christian churches in Syria and other Muslim places of worship,
in addition to the kidnapping of Bishops Boulos Yazigi and Youhanna Ibrahim on
April 22, point to the dangers threatening Syria’s Christians and the Orthodox
Church in particular.
Destroyed churches have become common sights in Homs, Hama, and Aleppo. Faher
Maalouf, the parish priest of Our Lady of the Earthquake Church in Zahle,
Lebanon, says “the Church of Our Lady in the old Aleppo souk was destroyed, and
so was the Tabaqa Church in the Aleppo suburbs. The identity of those destroying
our churches is not important. What is important is the evil that drives people
to kill one another, which ultimately leads to destruction.”In an interview with
NOW, Maalouf explains that “Christianity, which is based on a lifelong quest of
sanctification and repentance, has been persecuted right from the start.
Hundreds of thousands of saints were martyred in the early centuries of
Christianity and this went on until the days of the Mamluks and the Turks. Our
martyrs are in the thousands.”
“Even during the Crusades, which we condemn and reject in the Orthodox Church,
Muslims at the time differentiated between the Franks and the Eastern
Christians, i.e. Orthodox Christians who many times took up the defense of the
Christians presence [in the East]. We have a historical presence [here]. When
Islam came, it respected… this presence. However, the violence we are witnessing
today is unlike anything we have seen throughout the course of history, even
during the Crusaders’ time, and can probably be likened to what happened under
the Mamluks and the Turks. The Turks are playing the same role nowadays, as if
this spirit has lived on in their hearts. What we mean to say is that this is
not the Islam we know.”
Father Maalouf asserts that “dangers now threaten the existence of Christians
and non-Christians alike. In other words, every decent human being and anyone
who wants to live in peace is threatened. Innocent people of all denominations
have been killed in Syria. Therefore, these fears do not concern the Christians
alone. [We] fear that all of the East will be emptied of “decent” people and of
all those who want to lead a life of tolerance, co-existence, harmony, and
affection.”Father Maalouf was a student of kidnapped Bishop Yazigi at the
Balamand Monastery in northern Lebanon. He says “the kidnapping of the two
bishops is undoubtedly painful to us. We are mobilized in prayer so that God
protects them and allows their safe return. This incident certainly affects the
Christians as the kidnapping of the two bishops has political dimensions. This
is certainly not a matter of gangs fighting in Syria. This is about intelligence
services affiliated with [various] states.”
A source close to Yazigi told NOW: “We are committed to our activities and
prayers, which aim to remind [us] of the two bishops’ cases and to the
statements issued by His Beatitude the patriarch.” When asked about the
displacement of Syria’s Orthodox community, the source said: “What is befalling
it is the same as what is befalling people all over Syria, not just the Orthodox
community.”
Many displaced Syrian Orthodox Christians have settled here in Zahle. One native
of Saqlabiya, a village in the Hama province, works at a school here where he
lives with his wife and two children. This Christian man, who requested
anonymity, recounts how he came to Lebanon about a year and a half ago after
leaving Syria because of the “disastrous situation” there. He asserts that
Christians want to immigrate to European and Western countries, “but the Church
is not letting them,” adding that if enough planes were brought in to fly them
out, “there would be no Christians left in Syria.”
This man says: “Gunmen threatened me personally along with my family. The
threats concern all Christians, as the situation in general is sectarian. They
arrested me and took my car. Not all of them were Syrians, I also saw Afghans.
Homs is like Iraq now; it has been emptied of its Christians as 70,000 have left
the city. Churches have been destroyed in Hama, Homs, and Aleppo. However,
churches in villages still exist to this day and may be bombed and destroyed
anytime.”Still, according to the same Syrian man, “the Syrian army’s presence in
the village impacts it negatively, as it [makes the village a] target for rebel
shelling. The majority of Christians in the village support the regime not out
of love, but because it used to provide them with stability, calm, and safety.
Job opportunities were available and not one Christian was poor in Hama. Gunmen
entered the village on Good Friday in 2011 as we were preparing for the Easter
holiday. We were taken by surprise as they carried out an attack using sticks
and rifles, and chanted disgusting sectarian slogans.”
**This article has been translated from the original Arabic.
Assad Implies to al-Manar that Syria Received Russia Missiles
Naharnet /Russia has delivered sophisticated air defense missiles to Syria,
President Bashar Assad has implied in an interview to be aired Thursday on
Hizbullah's al-Manar television, the network said.
Al-Manar said in a statement that when asked about the promised delivery of the
S-300 surface-to-air missiles, Assad replied: "All the agreements with Russia
will be honored and some already have been recently."
Israel's defense chief, Moshe Yaalon, said earlier this week that Russia's plan
to supply Syria with the weapons is a threat and that Israel was prepared to use
force to stop the delivery. Al-Manar TV released Assad's comment on the Russian
missiles through its breaking news service to clients on Thursday morning. The
TV is to air the exclusive interview later Thursday. On Monday, the European
Union lifted an arms embargo on Syria, paving way for individual countries of
the 27-member bloc to send weapons to rebels fighting to topple Assad's regime.
The move raised fears of an arms race in the Middle East. Israel has carried out
several airstrikes in Syria in recent months that are believed to have destroyed
weapons shipments bound for Hizbullah.But with the Russian missiles in Syria's
possession, the Israeli air force's ability to act could be limited.
Israel has lobbied Moscow over the planned sale of S-300 air-defense missiles to
Syria but on Tuesday, Russia's deputy foreign minister, Sergei Ryabkov, said his
government remained committed to the deal.
The S-300s have a range of up to 200 kilometers (125 miles) and the capability
to track and strike multiple targets simultaneously. Syria already possesses
Russian-made air defenses, and Israel is believed to have used long-distance
bombs fired from Israeli or Lebanese airspace. The S-300s would expand Syria's
capabilities, allowing it to counter airstrikes launched from foreign airspace
as well.
Monday's decision by the EU paved the way for individual countries to send
weapons to Assad's outgunned opponents. The EU's move may have little impact on
the conflict since no single European country is expected to send lethal weapons
to the rebels anytime soon. Britain and France, the main military powers in the
EU, had pushed for lifting the embargo. They have argued that Europe's threat of
arming the rebels in the future would force Assad to negotiate in good
faith.Russia, an Assad ally, harshly criticized Europe's decision to allow the
arming of Syrian rebels, saying it undercuts international efforts to bring the
opposing sides in Syrian conflict together for a peace conference.**SourceAgence
France PresseAssociated Press.
Assad defends Hezbollah presence in Syria
Now Lebanon/Syria's president spoke about the latest
developments regarding the war raging in his country
Syria’s president defended Hezbollah’s military role in his war-torn country in
an interview aired on the Shiite party’s Al-Manar television, saying the party
was intervening in Al-Qusayr to stop an attempt to “choke the Resistance.”
“What is happening in Al-Qusayr is related to Israel… they are aiming to choke
the resistance from land and sea,” Bashar al-Assad said in the interview
broadcasted Thursday night.
“Why is Hezbollah present on the border inside Syria? Because the battle is one
against Israel and its agents in [both] Syria and Lebanon,” he added.
Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah on Saturday said that his party was
fighting alongside the Syrian regime against “takfiris” in the country and vowed
that his party and the Syrian regime would emerge victorious.
Both Hezbollah and regime troops have engaged in fierce battles in a campaign to
seize the strategic rebel-held town of Al-Qusayr near the Lebanese border in
recent weeks. Syrian rebels have responded to the campaign by threatening to hit
Hezbollah within Lebanon, and two Grad rockets struck the Hezbollah-stronghold
of Dahiyeh in southern Beirut hours after Nasrallah’s most recent speech.
The Syrian leader tackled Lebanon’s policy of disassociation regarding its
neighbor, saying that “everyone knows Lebanon contributed to the Syrian crisis
negatively.”
“What disassociation are we talking about?... When the government disassociates
itself from an issue effecting its citizens, it is disassociating itself from
the citizens themselves.”
However, the Syrian leader stressed that he did not want to be seen as
criticizing the Lebanese government.
Assad also said that Syria would not sit idly if Israel hit his country again
for transferring advanced weaponry to Hezbollah.
“We informed foreign powers that we would respond to any [Israeli] strike with a
strike of our own,” the Syrian leader warned.
“If we want to retaliate against Israel, the retaliation must be a strategic
one,” Assad said in reference to his regime’s policy of opening a “front”
against Israel along the Golan Heights contested between the two countries.
Assad also spoke about Russian arms shipments to his country, but gave only a
vague answer on whether the controversial S-300 anti-air defense system was
being shipped to his country after Tel Aviv and Moscow engaged in a war of words
over the issue.
“What we agreed upon with Russia will be implemented, and part of it has been
implemented recently,” he said.
Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon on Tuesday warned Israel would "know what to do"
if Russia delivered promised anti-aircraft missiles to the Syrian regime. Moscow
had on Tuesday defended its weapons shipments and said they would lead to
“stability.”
Israel has launched several air raids inside Syria this year, targeting convoys
transporting weapons to its arch foe Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Assad also spoke about the proposed Geneva II peace conference, saying that his
country sought to negotiate with the powers backing rebel groups in his country,
and not the rebels themselves.
However, the Syrian leader warned that some powers were aiming to “sabotage the
conference,” adding that if the proposed talks fall through, “nothing will
change the reality on the ground.”
Regarding future political transition efforts, the Syrian president said that
his country’s people would decide on the country’s fate.
“If I feel that the people want me to run for president, then I will run,” he
said in reference to the presidential elections scheduled for 2014.
Russia and the US have been working to convene an international conference on
the Syrian crisis in Geneva, however the Syrian opposition coalition has said
that it would only attend if Hezbollah stops its campaign in Al-Qusayr.
Meanwhile, Russia warned that a European Union decision to lift its arms embargo
on the rebels fighting to oust Assad harmed international efforts to end the
conflict.
New York Times: Obama has Settled on New FBI Director
Naharnet/U.S. President Barack Obama has decided to nominate a Republican who
served under George W. Bush in the Justice Department as the new director of the
FBI, The New York Times reported.
James Comey, 52, is a former hedge fund manager who now teaches at Columbia Law
School. He would replace Robert Mueller, who by law must step down in September
as head of the Federal Bureau of Investigation.
The Times quoted two people with knowledge of the president's selection,
although the White House declined to comment late Wednesday. As Comey is a
Republican, choosing him would be yet another stab at bipartisanship on the part
of the Democratic president, who is seeing many of his initiatives stymied by
the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. The Times described Comey as
palatable to Democrats because in 2004 he stood up to White House aides as
acting attorney general and refused to renew authorization for a program to
eavesdrop on people without warrants.It is not clear when Obama will make the
nomination, the Times said. Mueller took over the FBI after the September 11,
2001 terror attacks and transformed the agency from one that focused largely on
white collar crime and drugs to an intelligence and counter-terrorism tool.
Comey has served as general counsel for a large hedge fund in Connecticut called
Bridgewater Associates, and at the FBI will have to grapple with budget woes
stemming from across the board spending cuts.
SourceAgence France Presse.
Israeli intelligence denies first
Russian S-300s arrive in Syria - contrary to Assad’s claim
DEBKAfile Special Report May 30, 2013/Senior Israeli intelligence sources
emphasized to debkafile Thursday May 30 that Syria had still not received the
first consignment of Russian S-300 anti-missile batteries – contrary to Syrian
President Bashar Assad’s claim. Directly taunting Israel, Syrian president
Bashar Assad said in an interview prerecorded for broadcast Thursday night, May
30, that the first batch of Russian S-300 anti-air missiles has arrived in Syria
and a second consignment was on the way. The broadcast was scheduled to air
simultaneously over Hizballah’s Al Manar and Syrian state television channels.
The Syrian ruler was responding to the quote from Israel’s National Security
Adviser Yakov Amidror that the S-300 batteries have not been delivered yet and
when they are, Israel will destroy them before they are operational.
Wednesday, May 29, debkafile reported the landing at Latakia airport of a large
Russian transport carrying 60 tons of unidentified freight. Labeled by Moscow
“humanitarian aid,” it may in fact have contained the first S-300 delivery to
which Assad referred. Continuing in the same vein, Assad said that not only
would the Syrian army react to any further Israeli attacks, he “would not stand
in the way of Syrian groups that want to fight for the liberation of the
Golan.”debkafile reported earlier Thursday. Fresh Hizballah forces entered Syria
early Thursday, May 30, hours after the United States called the presence of the
Hizballah fighters from Lebanon in Syria “unacceptable” and “dangerous” and
demanded their immediate withdrawal. Already fighting on three fronts –
Damascus, Homs and al Qusayr - debkafile’s military sources report that the new
increment is assigned a fourth. Iran’s Lebanese proxies will be heading south to
take on the rebel stronghold of Deraa, capital of the Huran, where thet will be
fighting within 30 kilometers of Israel’s Golan border.
Lookout posts report the incoming Hizballah units organizing their equipment and
getting set to move. The threats traded by Russia, Syria, Hizballah with Israel
have reached a new pitch of stridency.
Israel’s National Secuirty Adviser Yakov Amidror was quoted Wednesday night as
warning that if the Russian S-300 anti-air missiles are delivered to Syria,
Israel will strike them and prevent their deployment for operational use. Former
Defense Minister Moshe Arens voiced his certainty that the Russians are aware
Israel is capable of destroying the batteries.
debkafile’s military sources add: Moscow has made a point of stressing that the
S-300s for Syria will arrive accompanied by Russian officers and advisers, in
the belief that Israel will think twice before tangling with Moscow by attacking
the missiles still in their crates and risking harm to Russian personnel. This
eventuality came up in the tough conversation Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
had with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi on May 14. Syrian Foreign
Minister Walid Moallem has meanwhile pitched in to warn that another Israeli
strike against Syria would elicit an immediate Syrian response. He spoke to the
Hizballah TV station Al Mayadin Wednesday night. In answer to a question, he
said the Syrian response would be proportional to the Israeli attack. In
Helsinki, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu reacted harshly to the European
Union’s decision – spearheaded by Britain and France – to lift its arms embargo
on the Syrian rebels: He made it clear that this decision had untied Moscow’s
hands for supplying Bashar Assad with weapons banned by international treaties.
“Every decision has two sides. If one side lifts its restrictions, then the
other side may no longer feel compelled to keep its previously adopted
obligations,” Shoigu said Wednesday.
A special interview with President Assad is scheduled for simultaneous broadcast
Thursday night by Hizballah’s Al-Manar and Syrian state television channels.
The slow suicide of Syria’s opposition
May 30, 2013/By Michael Young /The Daily Star
We are near the stage where the Syrian opposition, thanks to an effective
campaign by the Syrian regime and its allies, but also a pervasive lack of unity
or direction, may lose much of the support it needs to defeat President Bashar
Assad’s regime. Nor has the opposition grasped the deepening anxiety in
neighboring countries who fear being destabilized by the conflict in Syria. A
car-bomb explosion in the Turkish border town of Reyhanli recently and the
rocket attack against the Shiyah neighborhood of Beirut’s southern suburbs have
only reinforced this fear (even if no one has claimed responsibility for the
suspicious Shiyah attack).
The killing of three Lebanese soldiers near Arsal Monday was no less worrisome.
Whoever committed all these crimes must have known they would increase hostility
to the cause of the Syrian rebels, whose determination to fight Assad until he
leaves office guarantees tenser times ahead. If it was the Syrian opposition or
its sympathizers, their reading of events was faulty; if it was the Syrian
regime or its allies, then they cleverly manipulated rising popular misgivings.
Even the reaction of the Free Syrian Army to the Shiyah attack was a disaster.
Initially, an FSA officer, Ammar al-Wawi, described the incident as a warning to
Hezbollah. Soon thereafter, another FSA spokesman, Fahd al-Masri, rebuked Wawi
and denied any FSA involvement. Wawi later changed his version, accusing
Hezbollah of firing the rockets itself. And on Tuesday, the FSA threatened to
retaliate against Hezbollah unless Lebanese President Michel Sleiman withdrew
Hezbollah from Syria, as if Sleiman had any say in the matter.
The cacophony is even louder when it comes to preparing for the Geneva II
conference on Syria scheduled for June. Last Thursday the opposition National
Coalition began meetings in Istanbul to expand its membership and include Michel
Kilo, a prominent opposition figure. Kilo proposed a list of 22 candidates, of
whom only five were accepted. “The real, real, real problem is in the
coalition,” a disgusted Kilo told the Al-Arabiya Arab satellite television
station. Meanwhile, the opposition has yet to decide whether it will be present
in Geneva. A refusal to attend risks alienating the opposition’s supporters in
the West. If it accepts, Geneva could prove to be its undoing, given the likely
internal discord over what is agreed. Worse, there are no guarantees the
National Coalition has much influence inside Syria, and Geneva may only
highlight this if the groups on the ground reject political arrangements reached
at the conference.
The Syrian opposition has failed to appreciate the shifting political context in
which it is functioning, while the Assad regime and its Russian and Iranian
backers have. For instance there has been no planning for Geneva and the very
real risks that the conference holds for the opposition, whether it participates
or not.
Russia and the United States are going to Geneva with very different agendas,
none of which favors Assad’s adversaries. For the Obama administration, Geneva
provides an opportunity to begin a political process permitting America to evade
a larger role in Syria. President Barack Obama had feared being pushed into such
a role after reports came out that the Syrian regime used chemical weapons
against the rebels, crossing Obama’s red lines for American intervention. The
president sent Secretary of State John Kerry to Moscow and the accord over a
conference bought Obama time to stay clear of Syria.
In other words, the Obama administration is going to Geneva largely to avoid
Syria. Already, the administration has postponed discussion of arming the Syrian
rebels, stating it does not want to undermine Geneva. If a political process is
agreed there, the Americans will have a further excuse not to send weapons. The
European states have also agreed not to supply weapons before August, to give
Geneva a chance.
Russia, with a far clearer sense of what it wants in Syria, has another aim in
Geneva: to consolidate Assad rule and put in motion a negotiating process that,
at least temporarily, curbs the violence and divides the opposition. By helping
Assad mount a successful offensive in the area around Qusair and reverse rebel
gains near Damascus, the Russians have reinforced the Syrian president’s
position, making it highly improbable that Geneva will seriously broach the
matter of Assad’s departure from power. The Russians surely sense that Obama’s
eagerness to be rid of the Syrian headache will push the U.S. to endorse a
solution that avoids determining Assad’s fate.
The Syrian opposition cannot be blamed for the shameful American performance in
Syria, but it can be blamed for failing to consider possible post-Geneva
outcomes. Nor has it adequately addressed the very real doubts that have emerged
over the participation in the Syrian uprising of the Nusra Front, an affiliate
of Al-Qaeda. The fact is that there are profound doubts that the opposition can
fill the vacuum in Syria if Assad goes, which can only favor jihadist groups. No
one in the West, particularly the U.S., much cares that it was Western
indecision over Syria that created an opening for the militant Islamists. As
they see the opposition in disarray, one thing they do not want is a new
Afghanistan in the Levant, which will destabilize Syria’s neighbors. And the
neighbors are beginning to agree. Recall that associating the opposition with
Al-Qaeda has long been the line of the Assad regime, which then made it a
self-fulfilling prophecy. Syria’s opposition must regroup quickly, or else all
will be lost. The tens of thousands of Syrians who have died at the hands of a
barbaric leadership deserve better. But the chances are they will not get
better.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR. He tweets @BeirutCalling.