LCCC ENGLISH DAILY
NEWS BULLETIN
March 03/2013
Bible Quotation for today/The
Lost (prodigal) Son's parable
Luke 15/11-32: "Jesus went on to say, “There was once a man
who had two sons. The younger one said to him, ‘Father, give me my share of
the property now.’ So the man divided his property between his two sons.
After a few days the younger son sold his part of the property and left home
with the money. He went to a country far away, where he wasted his money in
reckless living. He spent everything he had. Then a severe famine spread
over that country, and he was left without a thing. So he went to work for
one of the citizens of that country, who sent him out to his farm to take
care of the pigs. He wished he could fill himself with the bean pods the
pigs ate, but no one gave him anything to eat. At last he came to his
senses and said, ‘All my father's hired workers have more than they can eat,
and here I am about to starve! I will get up and go to my father and say,
“Father, I have sinned against God and against you. I am no longer fit to be
called your son; treat me as one of your hired workers.”’ So he got up and
started back to his father." He was still a long way from home when his
father saw him; his heart was filled with pity, and he ran, threw his arms
around his son, and kissed him. ‘Father,’ the son said, ‘I have sinned
against God and against you. I am no longer fit to be called your son.’ But
the father called to his servants. ‘Hurry!’ he said. ‘Bring the best robe
and put it on him. Put a ring on his finger and shoes on his feet. Then go
and get the prize calf and kill it, and let us celebrate with a feast! For
this son of mine was dead, but now he is alive; he was lost, but now he has
been found.’ And so the feasting began. “In the meantime the older son was
out in the field. On his way back, when he came close to the house, he heard
the music and dancing. So he called one of the servants and asked him,
‘What's going on?’ ‘Your brother has come back home,’ the servant answered,
‘and your father has killed the prize calf, because he got him back safe and
sound.’ The older brother was so angry that he would not go into the house;
so his father came out and begged him to come in. But he spoke back to his
father, ‘Look, all these years I have worked for you like a slave, and I
have never disobeyed your orders. What have you given me? Not even a goat
for me to have a feast with my friends! But this son of yours wasted all
your property on prostitutes, and when he comes back home, you kill the
prize calf for him!’ ‘My son,’ the father answered, ‘you are always here
with me, and everything I have is yours. But we had to celebrate and
be happy, because your brother was dead, but now he is alive; he was lost,
but now he has been found.’
Latest analysis,
editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
The Future of Hezbollah/By: Adel Al Toraifi/Asharq lawsat/March 03/13
From Harrods to the Pyramids/By:Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed/Asharq
Alawsat/March 03/13
Maliki is Sincere but Wrong/By: Mshari Al-Zaydi /Asharq Alawsat/March 03/13
Old Elites Fighting Old Wars in Old Ways in Iraq/By: Amir Taheri /Asharq
Alawsat/March 03/13
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for March 03/13
Lebanon's SCC Protesters Vow 'Comprehensive Mobilization' as Talks with
Miqati Fail
MP Fouad Saniora Rejects Armed Appearances in Sidon, Says March 14 Will
Emerge Stronger after Elections
Controversial Salafist cleric Sheikh Ahmed al-Asir Supporters Protest for
2nd Week in Row, Demand End of Siege
Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rai supports extending terms of Sleiman,
Parliament
Hypocritical Much? Hezbollah Leader Lecturing On Stoking 'sectarian
Tensions'
Sectarian tensions rise in south Lebanon amid security enhancements
Hezbollah-Israel Psychological War Continues in Nasrallah Speech
Syrian no-man’s land bordering Israel and Jordan is up for grabs
Syria, Iran Say Assad to Remain in Power Till 2014
Syria's FM Accuses US of Double Standard
Syria will respond to sources of fire from Lebanon: envoy
Stray mortar shells fired from Syria land in Golan Heights
Syria: Fierce clashes in provincial capital Raqqa
Syria and Iran condemn US for offering support to anti-Assad rebels
Rebels fight for control of key Damascus suburb
Netanyahu gets 14 more days to form new Israeli government
Syrian Rebels Expecting European Arms
Mursi in Secret Talks with Opposition
Asir Police Play Down ‘African Gang’ Activity
Syrian Rebels Recover Behind the Front Lines
Maliki Warns Syria Conflict Could Engulf Iraq
Syrian Rebel Claims US Already Arming Opposition
Iraqi Hezbollah Chief Warns Government
Kerry: Egyptians need to find political consensus
Obama presses for deal to end U.S. spending cuts
Chad Claims it Killed Jihadi Leader Belmokhtar in Mali
When We are Lost, God Is Our Refuge
By: Elias Bejjani
The Lost (prodigal) Son's parable is a road map for repentance and forgiveness.
It shows us how much Almighty God our Father loves us, we His children, and how
He is always ready with open arms, and willing to forgive our sins and
trespasses when we come back to our senses, recognize right from wrong, admit
our weaknesses and wrongdoings, eagerly and freely return to Him and with faith
and repentance ask for His forgiveness.
In our Maronite Catholic Church's rite, on the Fourth Lent Sunday, that fall
this year on March 03, we recall and cite the biblical Lost Son's parable that
is known also as The Prodigal Son. This impulsive, selfish and thoughtless son,
as the parable tells us, fell prey to evil's temptation and decided to take his
share of his father's inheritance and leave the parental dwelling.
This Lost Son, who became a slave for his bodily earthly instincts' motives and
pleasure urges travelled to a far-away city where he indulged badly in all evil
conducts of pleasure and corruption until he lost all his money and became
penniless. He experienced severe poverty, starvation, humiliation and
loneliness. In the midst of his dire hardships he felt nostalgic, came back to
his senses and decided with great self confidence to return back to his father's
house, kneel on his feet and
ask him for forgiveness. On his return his
loving and kind father received him with rejoice, open arms, accepted his
repentance, and happily forgave him all his misdeeds. Because of his sincere
repentance his Father gave him back all his privileges as a son.
The Lost (prodigal) Son's parable:
Luke 15/11-32: "Jesus went on to say, “There was once a man who had two sons.
The younger one said to him, ‘Father, give me my share of the property now.’ So
the man divided his property between his two sons. After a few days the younger
son sold his part of the property and left home with the money. He went to a
country far away, where he wasted his money in reckless living. He spent
everything he had. Then a severe famine spread over that country, and he was
left without a thing. So he went to work for one of the citizens of that
country, who sent him out to his farm to take care of the pigs. He wished he
could fill himself with the bean pods the pigs ate, but no one gave him anything
to eat. At last he came to his senses and said, ‘All my father's hired workers
have more than they can eat, and here I am about to starve! I will get up and
go to my father and say, “Father, I have sinned against God and against you. I
am no longer fit to be called your son; treat me as one of your hired workers.”’
So he got up and started back to his father." He was still a long way from home
when his father saw him; his heart was filled with pity, and he ran, threw his
arms around his son, and kissed him. ‘Father,’ the son said, ‘I have sinned
against God and against you. I am no longer fit to be called your son.’ But the
father called to his servants. ‘Hurry!’ he said. ‘Bring the best robe and put it
on him. Put a ring on his finger and shoes on his feet. Then go and get the
prize calf and kill it, and let us celebrate with a feast! For this son of mine
was dead, but now he is alive; he was lost, but now he has been found.’ And so
the feasting began. “In the meantime the older son was out in the field. On his
way back, when he came close to the house, he heard the music and dancing. So
he called one of the servants and asked him, ‘What's going on?’ ‘Your brother
has come back home,’ the servant answered, ‘and your father has killed the prize
calf, because he got him back safe and sound.’ The older brother was so angry
that he would not go into the house; so his father came out and begged him to
come in. But he spoke back to his father, ‘Look, all these years I have worked
for you like a slave, and I have never disobeyed your orders. What have you
given me? Not even a goat for me to have a feast with my friends! But this son
of yours wasted all your property on prostitutes, and when he comes back home,
you kill the prize calf for him!’ ‘My son,’ the father answered, ‘you are always
here with me, and everything I have is yours. But we had to celebrate and
be happy, because your brother was dead, but now he is alive; he was lost, but
now he has been found.’”
Almighty God is ready and always willing to turn everything around and take the
hands of those who seriously and honestly pursue His mercy with perseverance
forgiveness and repentance. He, with love and extreme happiness leads their
steps towards all virtues of righteousness. He who in the Cana Wedding changed
the water into wine and cured the Leper is willing all
the time also to transform our minds and consciences from wickedness to goodness
and salvation if and when we call for His help.
Lent is a prime time for spiritual change through genuine praying, serious and
in depth self-examination,
return to the roots of faith, repentance and
forgiveness. Meanwhile fasting is not a mere act of abstaining from eating for
12 hours during the Lens day, but a time for temporary detachment and
dissociation from all instincts urges and all that is earthly.
Lent is a precious time for learning via a very personal experience how to share
in acts and not in words the poor, deprived, persecuted, alienated and sick. And
most importantly to seriously remind ourselves that we are just transient
visitors on this earth, no matter how big are our earthly riches and how much
influential our power and authority might be. Reality is that once Our Al Mighty
God takes back His gift of life, (soul), our bodies parish and with a very short
period of time disintegrates and become dust from which it was basically made.
"By the sweat of your brow you will eat your food until you return to the
ground, since from it you were taken; for dust you are and to dust you will
return". (Genesis 03:19)
During the Lent time we are required to
go through a thorough self - examination
process to cleanse our thoughts, conscience and mind from all that is instincts'
motives and urges. We need to peruse genuinely self peace and reach to every
body else for a comprehensive peace. Talking directly with God through praying
helps in reach these two sorts of peace.
"Where do wars and fightings among you come from? Don’t they come from your
pleasures that war in your members? You lust, and don’t have. You kill, covet,
and can’t obtain. You fight and make war. You don’t have, because you don’t ask.
You ask, and don’t receive, because you ask with wrong motives, so that you may
spend it for your pleasures. You adulterers and adulteresses, don’t you know
that friendship with the world is enmity with God? Whoever therefore wants to be
a friend of the world makes himself an enemy of God. Or do you think that the
Scripture says in vain, “The Spirit who lives in us yearns jealously”? But he
gives more grace. Therefore it says, “God resists the proud, but gives grace to
the humble. Be subject therefore to God. But resist the devil, and he will flee
from you. Draw near to God, and he will draw near to you. Cleanse your hands,
you sinners; and purify your hearts, you double-minded. Lament, mourn, and weep.
Let your laughter be turned to mourning, and your joy to gloom. Humble
yourselves in the sight of the Lord, and he will exalt you."
(James 4/01-10)
Asking Almighty God for what ever we need is exactly what the Holy
Bible instructs us to do when encountering all kinds of doubt, weaknesses,
stumbling, hard times, sickness, loneliness, persecution, injustice etc.
"And so I say to you: Ask, and you will receive; seek, and you will find; knock,
and the door will be opened to you. For those who ask will receive, and those
who seek will find, and the door will be opened to anyone who knocks. Would any
of you who are fathers give your son a snake when he asks for fish? Or would
you give him a scorpion when he asks for an egg? As bad as you are, you know how
to give good things to your children. How much more, then, will the Father in
heaven give the Holy Spirit to those who ask him!" (Luke 11/09-13)
We are not left alone at any time, especially when in trouble, no matter how far
we distance ourselves from God and disobey His Holy bible. He is a Father, a
loving, caring and forgiving Father. What is definite is that in spite of our
foolishness, stupidity, ignorance, defiance and ingratitude He never ever
abandons us or gives up on our salvation. He loves us because we His are
children. He happily sent His only begotten son to be tortured, humiliated and
crucified in a bid to absolve our original sin.
God, Our Father, carries our burdens and helps us to fight all kinds of Evil
temptations if we call for His help and believe in Him. He is our loving and
caring Father, and we are His children. A loving father never abandons his
children and what we have to is ask.
"Come to me, all you who labour and are heavily burdened, and I will give you
rest. Take my yoke upon you, and learn from me, for I am gentle and lowly in
heart; and you will find rest for your souls. For my yoke is easy, and my burden
is light.” (Matthew11/28-30). God is waiting for our repentance, let us run to Him and ask for forgiveness
before it is too late. "If you believe, you will receive whatever you ask for in
prayer." (Matthew 21/22)
Lebanon's SCC Protesters Vow 'Comprehensive
Mobilization' as Talks with Miqati Fail
Naharnet/Protesters demanding the government to refer the wage scale for the
public sector to parliament for approval held on Saturday a sit-in near the
vehicle registration authority in the North Metn town of Dekwaneh, vowing a
"comprehensive mobilization" next week. The protest
was organized by the Syndicate Coordination Committee, which is a coalition of
private and public school teachers and public sector employees.
Several SCC members, teachers and employees at the authority, who stopped their
work on Saturday, gathered outside the premises of the institution, the National
News Agency reported. “No one will end this open-ended
strike before the wage scale is referred to parliament,” Head of Public
Secondary School Education Teachers Association Hanna Gharib said at the
protest. The sit-in was accompanied by heavy security
measures taken by the Internal Security Forces, mainly riot police, to prevent
possible clashes. The SCC launched an open-ended
strike last week, saying it will not back down on its demands until the
government refers the scale that it approved last year to parliament for
endorsement. A meeting was held between a delegation
from the SCC led by Gharib and Prime Minister Najib Miqati at the Grand Serail
after the sit-in in Dekwaneh. The meeting was the
first since the SCC launched its strike. But Gharib said after the talks that
there was “no progress,” adding “the strike will go on until it (the scale) is
referred to parliament.”“There are only promises without any practical
solutions,” he told Voice of Lebanon radio (93.3).Miqati however told
journalists at the Grand Serail that he promised to put the wage scale on the
agenda of the first cabinet session that will convene under President Michel
Suleiman after March 21. “The issue is not only linked
to the wage scale but to the entire economy,” he said, adding that he told the
delegation to end their strike. Miqati later headed to
Ain el-Tineh for talks with Speaker Nabih Berri, who allegedly welcomed the
government's steps on the wage scale. During the
protest, Gharib had promised a "big day next week" if Miqati did not react
positively to the protesters' demands. "We will only
come out of this war with our heads high," he said.
Gharib called for a protest near the industry ministry on Monday to announce a
"comprehensive mobilization." On Friday, a protest was
held near the Labor Ministry in Beirut's Shiyah district. The demonstrators
announced they would implement new escalatory measures starting Monday if their
demands were not met. The government argues that it is
delaying the decision on the funding in an attempt to thoroughly discuss plans
to boost the treasury's revenue to cover the expenses of the salaries boost.
Chad Claims it Killed Jihadi Leader Belmokhtar in Mali
Naharnet/The Chadian army claimed that its troops in northern Mali on Saturday
killed Mokhtar Belmokhtar, the one-eyed jihadist commander who led the deadly
assault on a gas plant in southern Algeria in January.
"The Chadian forces in Mali completely destroyed the main jihadist base in Adrar
of the Ifoghas mountains" at 1200 GMT, an army statement said, adding that
several militants were killed "including leader Mokhtar Belmokhtar".Agence
France Presse
Controversial Salafist cleric Sheikh Ahmed al-Asir
Supporters Protest for 2nd Week in Row, Demand End of Siege
Naharnet/Controversial Salafist cleric Sheikh Ahmed al-Asir and his supporters
rallied for the second day in a row in the town of Abra in the southern city of
Sidon amid heavy security deployment to protest claims that Hizbullah rented
apartments in the vicinity of his mosque in the town.
“We reject the security siege and media blackout,” al-Asir said during the
protest. The army deployed heavily near al-Asir's
Bilal bin Rabah mosque in Abra, bringing reinforcements in anticipation of the
protest. The rallies held by al-Asir and his
supporters are to protest claims that Hizbullah rented apartments in the
vicinity of his mosque in the town. Last week, the
anti-Hizbullah Salafist cleric urged officials and authorities to force the
evacuation of the apartments to avert a possible “strife or any dangerous
incident.” Security forces prevented several
protesters from reaching the buildings that Hizbullah supporters allegedly
rented apartments in them, al-Asir's official page on social media network
Facebook. Media was prevented from broadcasting live
the rally. According to LBCI, al-Asir called on his
supporters to rally on Sunday at 4:00 p.m. at al-Karami roundabout.
“Iran's weapons in Sidon on Friday were ready to be used but the
judiciary and the higher defense council failed to see that,” al-Asir told
supporters.
He slammed the unbalanced policies in Lebanon, saying “everyone in the country
has the right to express his opinion but us.” “We will
not give up on our right to live in dignity... We will escalate our measures if
our demands weren't met,” the Salafist cleric said.
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah warned during a televised speech on
Wednesday that “some parties are pushing Lebanon in a very rapid manner to
sectarian strife and working on that night and day and all the facts verify this
issue.”He pointed out that some statements and remarks by some Sunni MPs and
clerics are taking a very provocative and seditious course.
Al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc head MP Fouad Saniora Rejects Armed Appearances
in Sidon, Says March 14 Will Emerge Stronger after Elections
Naharnet/Al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc head MP Fouad Saniora stated on
Saturday his rejection of all appearances of gunmen in the southern city of
Sidon, condemning blocking roads and “threatening people's movements”.“We are
against all appearances of gunmen in the city,” Saniora stressed in a speech he
gave at Rafik Hariri High School during the commemoration of Sidon's liberation
from Israeli occupation, insisting that judicial and security authorities are
the “only bodies in charge of assuring security and of restoring people's
rights”.Saniora emphasized on the shared experiences between Sidon's residents
and southerners during the Israeli occupation.
He remarked: “The city has always enjoyed openness and Christian-Muslim
coexistence and everyone has the right to live here”.“We'll preserve this,” he
confirmed. “We will not, however, ignore injustice as we are against coercion
and terrorizing people”.“The city should not be used to serve plans of regional
greed,” he noted. “There are violent intentions but we reject confronting them
with internal clashes”.The former PM called on the legal authorities to enforce
the law and to penalize “those committing crimes" without providing any
political cover-up on their activities.Controversial Salafist cleric Sheikh
Ahmed al-Asir and his supporters rallied for the second day in a row on Saturday
in Sidon's town of Abra amid heavy security deployment to protest claims that
Hizbullah rented apartments in the vicinity of his mosque in the town. Last
week, the anti-Hizbullah Salafist cleric urged officials and authorities to
force the evacuation of the apartments to avert a possible “strife or any
dangerous incident".
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah warned during a televised speech on
Wednesday that “some parties are pushing Lebanon in a very rapid manner to
sectarian strife and working on that night and day and all the facts verify this
issue".He pointed out that some statements and remarks by some Sunni MPs and
clerics are taking a very provocative and seditious course.
Tackling the upcoming parliamentary elections, Saniora said March 14 did have
misunderstandings discussing the electoral law, but he insisted that the
coalition will “emerge stronger”.
He expressed: “March 14 is not a political coalition but a vision for an
independent, free and democratic state”. “It's March 14's revolution that
launched the Arab Spring,” he remarked.
The Mustaqbal MP explained that the bloc's rejection of the Orthodox Gathering's
draft electoral law stems from the lawmakers' “belief in a united Lebanon”.
“We will oppose any attempt to divide Lebanon for political gains,” Saniora
stated.
The Orthodox proposal which calls for a single district and allows each sect to
vote for its own MPs under a proportional representation system was endorsed by
March 14's Phalange Party and the Lebanese Forces.
Meanwhile, it has been rejected by al-Mustaqbal, the Progressive Socialist Party
of Walid Jumblat and March 14's independent Christian MPs, along with President
Michel Suleiman and Prime Minister Najib Miqati. Saniora commented on reports
saying that Hizbullah fighters are engaged in battles in villages near the
Lebanese-Syrian border, expressing his opposition to any armed interference in
the neighboring country's war.
“Stop sending fighters to combat alongside President Bashar Assad's regimes,” he
stated, calling on the cabinet to deploy army on the border and to seek the help
of international emergency forces.
“A neutral cabinet is the answer to face regional developments and to restore
economic and political stability,” he said.
Also addressing the council of ministers, Saniora said: “Do not cover-up on
fraud cases that involved fake medications, smuggling gas and football
match-fixing”.
Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rai supports extending terms of
Sleiman, Parliament
March 02, 2013/By Hussein Dakroub /The
Daily Star
BEIRUT: Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rai has come out in support of extending the
terms of Parliament and President Michel Sleiman to allow rival factions to
agree on a new electoral law, in a development boosting the chances of
postponing the June 9 elections.Rai’s stance reflected growing doubts about the
ability of the March 8 and March 14 parties to reach agreement on a voting
system as the deadline for inviting voters to participate in the June 9
elections draws near, thus enhancing the possibility of the polls either being
conducted under the 1960 law, or not held on time.
Rai, who returned Friday from an official visit to Russia, lamented the feuding
parties’ failure to agree on a new electoral legislation to replace the 1960
law.
“Everyone has complained about the 1960 law. They have been working for years on
a new [electoral] law through committees and draft laws. The good will and
dignity of the Lebanese are sufficient [for the parties] to come up with a new
electoral law on which all the parties agree in the interests of everyone,” Rai
said in an interview with Russia Today.
Referring to failed attempts in the past few weeks by a parliamentary
subcommittee to agree on a new electoral law, Rai said: “I am still confident
that the Lebanese will reach a solution and a law will be approved.”
“If they have to extend the terms of [Parliament or the president] in order to
give people time to understand the new law and prepare for it, then so be it,”
Rai said, adding that the extension should be from two to four months.
“Everyone is against extending the mandate, be it for Parliament or for the
president. Everyone says they’re against the extension,” he added.
Speaking to reporters at Beirut airport, Rai confirmed his call for the
extension of the terms of the president and Parliament.
“Shame on us, on the Lebanese and on those in power for not arriving at a new
election law after having studied it in committees and draft laws for five
years. Shame on all of us for not reaching a new law,” Rai said. Sleiman has
recently declared that he opposes an extension of his six-year term in office,
which expires in 2014. He has also pledged not to sign a decree extending
Parliament’s four-year mandate, which expires on June 20.
In the interview with Russia Today, Rai rejected governing the upcoming
elections with the 1960 law. “Returning to the 1960 law is no longer acceptable.
For the sake of the dignity of the Lebanese, we must find an [electoral] law,”
he said. His comments came a day after Prime Minister
Najib Mikati signaled that his Cabinet was close to moving forward with the
elections based on the 1960 law after the failure to agree on a new voting
system. Mikati said Thursday he had agreed with Sleiman to sign a decree calling
on voters to participate in the elections.
The 1960 law, which has been rejected by both sides of the political divide,
including the Maronite Church, adopts the qada as an electoral district and is
based on a winner-takes-all system. The 1960 law was used in the 2009
elections.Rai also said security conditions should not prevent the elections
from being held, “unless, God forbid, things take a turn that restricts people’s
movements, then there will certainly be difficulty.”
Interior Minister Marwan Charbel said in a statement that he had sent a decree
calling on voters to participate in the polls to the Cabinet’s Secretariat
General on Dec. 3, and not two days ago as reported by some media outlets.
Meanwhile, a group of independent March 14 Christian lawmakers, including Deputy
Speaker Farid Makari, reiterated its rejection of the Orthodox Gathering’s
electoral proposal, while voicing support for a hybrid vote law that combines
proportional representation with a winner-takes-all system.
The lawmakers met with Beirut Greek Orthodox Archbishop Elias Audi to discuss
the issue.Referring to the Orthodox proposal, Makari told reporters after the
meeting: “We hope all the parties have really bypassed this proposal, which
contradicts Lebanon’s philosophy, its Constitution and the spirit of its
National Pact and causes damage to the Christians themselves.”Asked what was the
best electoral formula that could ensure true representation of the Christians,
Makari said: “The only logical formula, and not the best formula, that can be
accepted is the formula that combines a winner-takes-all system and proportional
representation.” The Orthodox proposal, which
designates Lebanon as a single electoral district in which each sect elects its
own lawmakers through a proportional representation voting system, has widened
the political divide in the country.Makari indirectly slammed a proposal
announced by Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah Wednesday calling for
adopting proportional representation with Lebanon as a single district. He said
such a proposal was aimed at preventing the elections from being held.
Syrian no-man’s land bordering Israel and Jordan is up for
grabs
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 2, 2013/The four
Syrian mortar shells exploding on the Israeli side of the Golan Saturday, March
2, flashed a signal to Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that the moment
is at hand to step in and decide how to dispose of the expanse of southern
Syrian bordering on northern Israel. This urgency sent Defense Minister Ehud
Barak flying to Washington Friday March 1, to meet new US Defense Secretary
Chuck Hagel next Tuesday.
At the top of their agenda for discussion this time will not be Iran but,
debkafile’s military sources report, the disappearance, except for scattered
military units, of Bashar Assad’s ruling presence and army from the Syrian areas
abutting on Israel and Jordan. The collapse of Assad’s defense lines on these
two borders generates a new strategic situation of major import.
Most Israelis, including their media, are too deeply engrossed in the ins and
outs of Netanyahu’s struggle to form a coalition government to notice that a no
man’s land has opened up on the Syrian Golan, the Horon province (where the
Syrian uprising first erupted two years ago), and the Yarmuk River dividing
Syria from Jordan.
At the same time, the Assad army is all but gone from there and the Syrian
rebels are constrained from moving into the abandoned territory by three
considerations:
1. They are short of the manpower for seizing and holding it;
2. Their commanders have evidently not caught onto the brilliant international,
strategic opportunity waiting to drop in their laps;
3. The Druze community in their mountain fortresses overlooking the territory is
poised to prevent any outsider takeover.
Israel is confronted with a choice between leaving the long-menacing areas
overlooking the Sea of Galilee and its north-eastern regions to an unknown fate
- or asserting control itself.
At this point, Israel’s armed forces still have three options:
a) Directly capturing dominant points in those no-man’s land areas as guarantees
of a say in who eventually dominates them.
b) Military support for a Druze land grab.
c) Military collaboration with Jordan to control the fate of the abandoned lands
abutting both their borders.
There is still time to pre-empt developments that would be detrimental to
Israel’s security: One such development would be a deal being reached on how to
dispose of the abandoned territory between the Assad government and Syrian
opposition in the talks opening in Moscow Tuesday, March 5.
This deal would open the door for ensconcing on the Israeli border Muslim
extremists, such as the pro-Al Qaeda factions fighting with the Syrian rebels.
Barak’s mission to Washington is to align Israel-US positions on these and other
urgent topics with the new US defense secretary. debkafile’s Washington sources
are skeptical about his chances of success in view of the Obama administration’s
decision to pass the resolution of the Syrian question to Russian President
Vladimir Putin.
This leaves the initiative up to Netanyahu. He has shown exceptional skill of
late in ducking clear decisions on such matters. However, indecisiveness at this
moment could cost Israel dear in the future.
Hypocritical much? Hezbollah leader lecturing on stoking
'sectarian tensions'
Published March 2nd, 2013 - via SyndiGate.info
Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is to be commended for sounding the
alarm over the threat of sectarian tensions in Lebanon.
In his speech Wednesday night he gave a level-headed warning of the risks the
country faces if it follows the path down which some of its religious and
political figures seem to want to take it.
Yet there will be those who will justifiably question whether the Hezbollah
chief has done enough to counter such tendencies within his own party and to
work actively to ease sectarian tensions in the country.
There are several questions that his speech raises over his party’s own
behavior, and some of the positions it has taken recently that arguably fan the
flames of exactly that which he warned against.
And regardless of how reasonable his speech sounded, his critics will always
measure the party over its actions both past and present.
Perhaps most prominent in their minds will be Nasrallah’s repeated refusal to
hand over party members named as suspects in the assassination of former Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri, as well Hezbollah’s apparent refusal to cooperate in the
investigation into the attempt on Butros Harb’s life.
Its role in engineering the downfall of a government headed by the main Sunni
leader also casts a shadow on its ability to position itself as a defender of
sectarian unity, as does the blind eye it has turned to calls for the current
government’s downfall. Their unwavering support for
the regime of President Bashar Assad, whether Nasrallah is willing to admit to
it or not, also has sectarian tones, increased by the participation of Hezbollah
“members,” as the party leader described them Wednesday, in fighting against
Syrian rebels. The direct negative repercussions of this on Lebanon’s stability
have already been hinted at, in the Free Syrian Army’s threats against
Hezbollah.
Nasrallah would be well advised to rethink some of these positions, so that his
words are backed up by his party’s actions. If he truly wants others to join his
efforts to combat growing sectarian tension, then he would do well to meet them
halfway by reviewing his own party’s positions on many areas before he asks
others to do the same. He cannot justify talking about peace and calm while
sanctioning destructive policies.
Finally, given that he adopted some constructive positions in his speech
Wednesday night, it was ultimately a disappointment to see the Hezbollah party
leader resort to threats against his opponents to get his point across. When he
told his opponents to miscalculate the party at their own risk, he proved that
his party was in fact reverting to old formulas.
For all the rational statements he made Wednesday, his final threat will be what
sticks in the minds of both the party’s opponents and its supporters. By
maintaining the worst of Hezbollah’s reputation, Nasrallah is undermining his
own positions. Should Hezbollah be lecturing other
people on sectarianism? Should the party be doing more to unite Lebanon? Tell us
what you think below.
Sectarian tensions rise in south Lebanon amid security
enhancements
Press TV/Relative calm hangs over the
southern Lebanese city of Sidon after the armed deployment of a very
controversial Salafist cleric -“Ahmad Al-Asir”- and his supporters several days
ago.
“Al-Asir” who had been threatening to break into apartments said to be owned by
the Lebanese Resistance movement Hezbollah in the city, was expected to stage an
indefinite sit-in in front of a Shia mosque there known as “Mujama’ Al-Zahraa’”.
“Mujamma’ Zahraa’s” Imam, “Sheikh Afif Nabulsi”, responded by vowing that no one
will be forced out of the city.
In a preemptive measure to contain this escalation which was considered to be of
sectarian nature, Lebanon’s Security Forces and Army were heavily deployed in
the city.
Meanwhile, several press conferences were also held in Sidon by religious
clerics and lawmakers to condemn what they described as the attempt of some to
instigate strife following suspicious agendas.
In a recent televised speech Hezbollah Secretary General, “Sayyed Hassan
Nasr-Allah”, warned of sectarian tensions stressing that some are pushing for a
Sunni-Shia strife in the country and called for prompt action to prevent history
from repeating itself. Back in November 2012, "Al-Asir" opposed the hanging of
pictures of Hezbollah martyrs who were killed by Israel and banners related to
the Shia community's mourning of the Martyrdom anniversary of the third Shia
Imam, on a day known as Ashura. As a result armed clashes broke out claiming the
lives of three people and injuring at least 8 others.
Unprecedented security measures were taken in the Southern portal city of Sidon
in attempt to contain any provocation that could lead to a nationwide conflict.
The city's lawmakers and dignitaries have stated that this phenomenon was not
spontaneous. They say certain foreign countries have orchestrated the plot to
isolate the resistance from within. Meanwhile, locals here say they are paying a
high price.
Netanyahu gets 14 more days to form new Israeli government
By Ori Lewis | Reuters – ..JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Israeli President Shimon Peres
on Saturday gave Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu an additional 14 days to try
to form a new government after he was unable to complete the task during an
initial 28-day period.Talks with potential partners have been deadlocked since
elections on January 22 and if he is unable to form a government by March 16 a
new poll could be called - a delay that also puts into question a planned visit
by U.S. President Barack Obama. Netanyahu's
Likud-Beitenu won 31 of the Knesset's 120 seats - an eroded lead that forced him
to cast a wide net for partners while juggling their disparate demands.
During the 28-day period, Netanyahu managed to forge a pact only with the
party of former foreign minister, Tzipi Livni, whose six-member faction "The
Movement" has given him 37 seats, way short of the minimum 61 needed to confirm
a new coalition.
In a brief statement following his meeting with Peres on Saturday night,
Netanyahu hinted that at least one potential coalition partner refused to sit
alongside others. Netanyahu has faced demands from the parties that placed
second and fourth, Yesh Atid (There is a Future) and Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home),
to slash mass exemptions from military conscription and cut welfare stipends to
ultra-Orthodox Jews.
In coalition talks on Friday with Bayit Yehudi, Netanyahu's chief negotiator
said the right-wing party was unwilling to sit alongside ultra-Orthodox parties
but Bayit Yehudi officials denied this.
Although he did not name Bayit Yehudi or Yesh Atid as the reason for his
inability to form a coalition, Netanyahu said some parties were boycotting
others.
"In these past four weeks I tried to form the broadest possible government ... I
think the ultra-Orthodox public is prepared to accept (demands by other
partners) but the main reason that I have not managed to complete the task by
today is ... because there is a boycott of a certain sector," he
said.Netanyahu's outgoing coalition includes two ultra-Orthodox parties which
have generally backed him on policies such the settlement of occupied West Bank
land in defiance of world powers who support the Palestinians' drive for
statehood there.
Bayit Yehudi is even less accommodating of the Palestinians than Netanyahu, who
says he wants to revive stalled peace talks.
NEW ELECTIONS
Should Netanyahu fail to co-opt allies for a parliamentary majority by March 16,
Peres could hand the coalition-building task to another lawmaker and if after an
additional period no government emerges, Israelis would have to return to the
polls.Netanyahu was backed by 82 of parliament's 120 lawmakers to form the next
government so Peres, whose only real executive power is to nominate a Knesset
member to form a government, may opt not to pick another candidate and elections
would be called.Obama is due to visit Israel at the end of March and Netanyahu's
trouble in building a new government raises the question of whether he may call
off that visit.
But when asked about Israeli reports he might cancel, an official in Washington,
speaking on condition of anonymity, said there was no talk at this point about
the possibility of Obama scrubbing the trip.
White House spokeswoman Bernadette Meehan said: "President Obama looks forward
to travelling to Jerusalem, Ramallah and Amman later this month."
(Additional reporting by Matt Spetalnick in Washington; Writing by Ori Lewis;
Editing by Robin Pomeroy)
Hezbollah-Israel Psychological War Continues in Nasrallah
Speech
Almonitor/Hezbollah Secretary General
Hassan Nasrallah appeared on TV to deny rumors that he has cancer and was
transferred to Tehran for treatment. His appearance was carefully planned from a
psychological warfare perspective. By listening to his speech, experts will
conclude that he is not sick and is in fact behind his desk in Beirut directing
operations. The speech also portrays him as competently confronting the internal
sectarian strife knocking on the door.Three psychological features were apparent
in his speech. They are part of a “psychological-security plan” aimed at denying
rumors of his illness and at showing that he is still in the country.
First: his calm demeanor. He did not raise his finger threateningly at Israel as
he used to, even though Israeli jets are overflying Lebanon in an unprecedented
way these days, conducting mock raids at low altitude over border areas.
Nasrallah’s calm demeanor revealed that the party possesses an “advanced
psychological missile” fired at Israel and the party’s many enemies. The
objective was to leave the impression that Nasrallah is in excellent
psychological health, indicating that his physical health is also sound.
Second: the context. Nasrallah used his appearance — which was ostensibly
intended to deny that he was afflicted by cancer or that he was in Iran — to
also address recent political developments, some of which happened a few hours
before his speech. He mentioned Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri’s statement, made
two hours before Nasrallah’s appearance, in which the former announced he was
withdrawing his electoral proposal. Nasrallah wanted to signal that he is
monitoring events very closely and is not bedridden in Tehran. His speech
contained dozens of instances designed to give the impression that he is closely
monitoring events.
Third: vigilance. Nasrallah gave the impression that he is going through a
period that requires him to strategically consider how to prevent triggering
sectarian strife in Lebanon. He warned of the danger this strife could pose and
called for sincere efforts to prevent it from happening. But he also gave the
impression that he is able to confront it if it were to occur.
His TV appearance was designed to show him as not only in good health but also
with full mental capacity from political and strategic perspectives, and that he
is perfectly able to make major political decisions. This is illustrated when he
said, “Do not make any mistakes with us.”
According to sources close to the party, Hezbollah believes the rumors that
Nasrallah was sick and has moved to Iran were part of psychological warfare
being carried out against the party, a war that has intensified in recent times.
Israel is its architect, and its aim is to influence the morale of the
resistance members and support base.
The sources list some of the methods used in the psychological campaign. These
include rumors that Hezbollah’s assistant secretary general, Sheikh Naim Qassem,
was assassinated; rumors that a car bomb was detonated in the southern suburbs
of Beirut, whose majority is Shiite and supports Hezbollah, in order to cause
panic; and mock raids being conducted by Israeli aircraft over areas thought to
contain Hezbollah military bases. The mock raids sounded real and were intended
to strike fear in the hearts of the fighters.
A series of events happened that together form a professionally conducted
psychological war. They reached their peak with the rumor that Nasrallah was
sick and had left Lebanon.
These sources reveal to Al-Monitor the following facts:
1. The party traced the source of the rumor that Nasrallah was ill to Beirut
International FM, a radio station with limited range, but was still picked up
locally and internationally. It is clear that choosing this radio station was
intentional to conceal the party responsible for the leak.
2. The party has a tradition to never hide the news that one of their leaders is
sick. Hence, Nasrallah’s medical records are public and they show that he is
free from disease. The only time he fell ill was several years ago, when he
suffered from a narrowed vertebrae. He underwent treatment and did not cover it
up.
3. Nasrallah personally attaches special importance to psychological operations
against Israel and closely follows the psychological war that Israel wages
against Hezbollah. In one instance, he refused to postpone his planned speech
when he learned that his son had been killed two hours earlier in a military
operation in the South. Nasrallah said to his advisers, “Relax, I will give my
speech on time. I do not want to give the impression to the enemy that the death
of my son has affected my morale.”
'The psychological war speech'
It is no secret that Hezbollah attaches special importance to psychological
warfare in its fight against Israel and its enemies. Hezbollah’s televised
appearance yesterday was one round in that war, in which the party used one of
its best psychological weapons. It is clear that before Nasrallah’s appearance,
his speech had undergone scrutiny by the party’s psychological warfare experts.
The way Nasrallah appeared was planned. Those who watched the speech can decide
for themselves whether the plan worked. If they come out with the impression
that rumors of his illness were false then the plan worked. The party would like
to know how the “psychological war speech” affected the Israelis. They hope that
the faces of the Israeli security agents would show their dismay after seeing
Nasrallah on TV and in good health.
Nasser Chararah is a contributing writer for Al-Monitor's Lebanon Pulse, head of
the Lebanese Institute for Studies and Publications, a writer for multiple Arab
newspapers and magazines, author of several books on the Hezbollah-Israeli
conflict and has worked for the Palestinian Research Center.
Syria, Iran Say Assad to Remain in Power Till 2014
By ALBERT AJI and ZEINA KARAM Associated Press DAMASCUS, Syria March 2, 2013
(AP)
Iran and Syria condemned a U.S. plan to assist rebels fighting to topple
President Bashar Assad on Saturday and signaled the Syrian leader intends to
stay in power at least until 2014 presidential elections.
The remarks came against the backdrop of a strategic victory for the regime as
the military regained control over a string of villages along a key highway to
open a potential supply route in Syria's heavily contested north.
The army command boasted of the achievement in a statement, saying it had
eradicated the remnants of "terrorist agents and mercenaries" in the area that
links the government-controlled central city of Hama with Aleppo's international
airport.
The reversal of gains, confirmed by Syrian activists, has the potential to
change the outcome of the battle in Aleppo, Syria's largest city where
government troops and rebels have been locked in a stalemate for months.
Syrian rebels have long complained that they are hampered by the world's failure
to provide heavier arms to help them battle Assad's better-equipped military.
The international community is reluctant to send weapons partly because of fears
they may fall into the hands of extremists who have been gaining influence among
the rebels.
This citizen journalism image provided by Edlib News Network, ENN, which has
been authenticated based on its contents and other AP reporting, shows
anti-Syrian regime protesters holding a caricature placard during a
demonstration, at Kafr Nabil town, in Idlib province, northern Syria, Friday,
March. 1, 2013. Syrian government forces fought fierce clashes with rebels
attacking a police academy near the northern city of Aleppo on Friday, while the
bodies of 10 men most of them shot in the head were found dumped along the side
of a road outside Damascus, activists said. (AP Photo/Edlib News Network ENN)
CloseBut U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry announced on Thursday that the Obama
administration was giving an additional $60 million in assistance to Syria's
political opposition and would, for the first time, provide non-lethal aid
directly to the rebels.In their first official statements on the U.S. decision,
the Syrian and Iranian foreign ministers accused Washington of having double
standards and warned it will only delay an end to the civil war.
Iran is a staunch ally of the Syrian regime and has stood by the embattled Assad
throughout the conflict.
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem and his Iranian counterpart, Ali Akbar
Salehi, also set clear parameters for any future talks with the opposition,
saying that whether Assad stays or goes will be decided in presidential
elections scheduled for next year. Salehi went further to say Assad may run for
another term.
"Assad is Syria's legal president until the next elections. Individuals have the
freedom to run as candidates. Until that time, Assad is Syria's president,"
Salehi said at a joint news conference in Tehran. Al-Moallem said the Syrian
people have the right to choose their leaders through the ballot box.
The remarks are likely to complicate already faltering diplomatic efforts to
start a dialogue between the government and the opposition, which has offered to
join talks with regime elements but insists that Assad must step down.
The U.N. estimates that 70,000 people have died since the uprising against Assad
began in March 2011.Syria's opposition chief has offered to sit down for talks
with regime elements, but insists that Assad must step down.
Al-Moallem said it was inconceivable that Washington would allocate $60 million
in assistance to Syrian opposition groups while it continues to "kill the Syrian
people" through economic sanctions imposed against the country.
"If they truly wanted a political settlement, they wouldn't punish the Syrian
people and finance (opposition) groups with so-called non-lethal aid," he said.
"Who are they kidding?"
The Damascus official called Syria's sovereignty a "red line."
He directly accused Turkey and Qatar and other countries he did not name of
supporting and funding "armed terrorist groups" operating in Syria, using the
regime's terminology for the rebels. Both countries are strong rebel backers and
have offered logistical and other assistance to Syrian opposition groups.
His Iranian host, Salehi, said "double standards were being applied by certain
countries that serve to prolong and deepen the Syrian crisis" and lead to more
bloodshed.
Syrian rebels control large swaths of land in the country's northeast, including
several neighborhoods of Aleppo.
For weeks they have been trying to storm the Aleppo airport, a major prize in
the battle for Syria's commercial capital. The rebels ousted troops from several
bases protecting the facility and cut off a major highway the army used to
supply its troops inside the airport complex.
Syrian army officials said troops had secured the facility and regained control
of several villages along the highway leading to the airport after days of
fighting.
An opposition spokesman, Rami Abdul-Rahman, director the Britain-based
anti-regime activist group the Observatory for Human Rights, confirmed the
army's victory Saturday, calling it a "significant achievement."
"Securing these villages, assuming the regime can hang on to them, has the
potential to turn around the direction of the conflict in Aleppo," Abdul-Rahman
said. This citizen journalism image provided by Edlib News Network, ENN, which
has been authenticated based on its contents and other AP reporting, shows
anti-Syrian regime protesters holding a banner and Syrian revolution flags,
during a demonstration, at Kafr Nabil town, in Idlib province, northern Syria,
Friday, March. 1, 2013. Syrian government forces fought fierce clashes with
rebels attacking a police academy near the northern city of Aleppo on Friday,
while the bodies of 10 men most of them shot in the head were found dumped along
the side of a road outside Damascus, activists said. (AP Photo/Edlib News
Network ENN) CloseIn other violence Saturday, clashes broke out in the
northeastern Raqqa province, and activists said dozens of people on both sides
were reported dead or wounded.
Ahrar al-Sham Movement, a militant Islamic brigade fighting with the rebels,
announced in an online video posted Saturday that it was starting a wide scale
operation against military and infrastructure targets in the area along with
other extremists including Jabhat al-Nusra, the al-Qaida-affiliated group
designated by the U.S. as a terrorist group.
Sporadic clashes also continued near Syria's Rabiya border crossing with Iraq.
Syrian fighter jets fired at least two missiles and rebels on the ground fired
at the jets, according to a witness on the Iraqi side of the border.
The fighting comes a day after Iraqi officials said a Russian-made rocket fired
from Syria slammed into Iraqi territory, intensifying concerns that violence
from Syria's civil war could spill across the border. No one was injured in the
strike.A police officer at the Iraqi Rabiya border crossing said five Syrian
soldiers and one officer fled the clashes into Iraqi territory. Three of the
soldiers were wounded and evacuated to a hospital in the northern Iraqi city of
Mosul, he said. A doctor confirmed the figure. Both
spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release
information to the media. They didn't say what happened to the other three who
fled.
The chief of Syrian rebel forces, Salim Idris, accused Iraqi soldiers of firing
at rebel positions inside Syrian territory and claimed Iraq's government was
backing Assad's regime.
Iraq's Defense Ministry denied that Iraqi forces were backing the Syrian army
during clashes with rebels. A statement said Iraqi forces are deployed in the
border regions only for routine duties and one Iraqi soldier was wounded during
the exchange of fire. *Karam reported from Beirut.
Associated Press writers Barbara Surk in Beirut, Ali Akbar Dareini in Tehran and
Qassim Abdul-Zahra and Sinan Salaheddin in Baghdad contributed to this report.
Rights Group: Cluster Bomb Attack in Syria Kills 19
VOA/A human rights group says 19 people were killed when Syrian
warplanes dropped cluster bombs, which are banned under a U.N. treaty. Amnesty
International said Saturday the attack Friday in the northern town of Aleppo
wounded more than 60 people. An Amnesty official on
the scene reported that nine Soviet-made cluster bombs, each carrying up to 150
cluster submunitions, were dropped on a heavily populated area.
Cluster bombs can potentially kill many civilians. Syria is among the countries
that have not signed a 2010 U.N. treaty banning their use.
Smoke rises over the Salah al-Din neighborhood in central Aleppo, Syria, March
2, 2013.xSmoke rises over the Salah al-Din neighborhood in central Aleppo,
Syria, March 2, 2013.
In other news, Syrian activists said a fierce battle on the outskirts of the
northern city of Raqa killed dozens of Syrian troops and rebel fighters. The
opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Saturday the clashes caused
many people to flee. Also Saturday, Syria and its ally, Iran, accused the United
States of applying double standards for offering to provide aid to the rebels.
On Thursday, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry announced $60 million in extra
aid to the Syrian opposition and, for the first time, non-lethal aid to some of
its rebels trying to overthrow President Bashar al-Assad.
In Geneva, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon met for talks with international
peace envoy Lakhdar Brahimi. The two later said in a statement the United
Nations is willing to broker peace talks between Syria's government and the
opposition.Both men also expressed frustration at the failure of the
international community to end the fighting in Syria. An estimated 70,000 people
have died in the 23-month-long conflict.
Some information for this report was provided by AP, AFP and Reuters.
Old Elites Fighting Old Wars in Old Ways in Iraq
By: Amir Taheri /Asharq Alawsat
In an address at the University of Basra last week, Iraq’s Prime Minister Nuri
Al-Maliki warned against “the threat of sectarianism.” Events in the past weeks
give some credence to the warning. We have witnessed mass demonstrations in such
Sunni-majority provinces as Anbar, Nineveh and Salahuddin. Even relatively quiet
places such as Diyala and Kirkuk have indicated that the sectarian pot may be on
the boil.
Since this is not the first time that Maliki warns of sectarianism one might
wonder what role his government has played in creating this threat. Another
important question is: How does Maliki propose to halt the drift towards
sectarian conflict? Maliki’s decision to dramatize the
situation may be motivated by electoral calculations. In April Iraqis go to the
polls in local elections with opinion surveys indicating great difficulties for
the coalition led by Maliki. Because local governments have a good chunk of
power under Iraq’s democratic constitution their control is important in shaping
the national political landscape. Maliki may well want to mobilize his Shi’ite
base ahead of local polls by harping on sectarian fears.
Doing so, however, might diminish his stature. Instead of acting as a leader for
all Iraqis he would be recast as a sectarian chief. And that could transform the
next parliamentary elections, scheduled for 2014, into a sectarian contest with
incalculable consequences. Maliki’s warning could
become a self-fulfilling prophecy, and doomsday scenarios predicting “the end of
Iraq” are already on the market.
In recent weeks, the Kurds have reawakened secessionist dreams by talking of “a
future in independence.”
Some observers see the visit to Moscow by Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani, and
the warming up of his relations with Turkey, as signs that the Erbil leadership
may be seeking international support for a breakaway referendum.
Ardent sectarian Shi’ites would not be too unhappy to see Kurds secede. That
would cut Iraq’s Sunni minority population by almost half, leaving Shi’ites in
an even stronger position.
Conservative Arab Sunni circles, including some tribes, might also welcome a
Kurd-free Iraq. This is because, politically, Kurds have always represented a
good chunk of progressive forces in Iraq. The remnants of the Ba’ath and kindred
Sunni revanchistes would welcome such an outcome and try to use it as a pretext
for claiming a mini-state of their own. Doomsayers claim that, if a chunk of
Iraq goes, we would witness the end of Iraq as a unified nation-state.Does this
sectarian ballet reflect the deeper political realities of post-dictatorship
Iraq? Or is it the product of choreography worked out by old sectarian leaders
who have lost touch with reality?
My guess is that the old ruling elites of Iraq’s various communities are still
fighting the old battles in the old ways.
Maliki is the product of the Dawa party, a Shia party that had to be sectarian
to survive, living and partly living, under dictatorship.
What about Barzani and Jalal Talabani? They could not have led the Kurds without
emphasizing Kurdish-ness in opposition to the Ba’athist ideology of pan-Arab
supremacy.
As for most Sunni Arab leaders, it is not easy to shake off the myth that
depicted Shi’ites and Kurds as “fifth-columns” seeking to sabotage Iraq from
within.
The challenge for Maliki and other Iraqi political leaders is to transcend their
respective sectarian pasts and discover, or re-discover, a new multi-ethnic,
multi-faith Iraq governed by pluralism.
Those who fail the challenge would be scripted out by reality.
Because of his position as prime minister, Maliki has a crucial role to
play. Rather than playing the sectarian card he should rise above petty politics
to propose a national program to all Iraqis. Since sectarianism is partly
fomented by outside powers, Maliki should re-balance Iraq’s foreign policy by
toning down closeness with Iran, without provoking its hostility, while
improving relations with Arab states worried about the so-called “Shi’ite
Crescent”.
The idea of a mini-Shi’ite state in nine of Iraq’s provinces would produce an
Iranian satellite, a modern version of the Nu’manite kingdom of the Sassanid
times. That would deprive Iraqi Shi’ites of effective control over their
destiny. The Kurdish leaders would do well to realize
that their people are more concerned about a credible project for economic and
cultural development with social justice rather than a scenario for secession.
The sectarian card might have been effective when Kurds were oppressed by
despots in Baghdad. Today, the central government is present in its absence.
A small independent Kurdistan, landlocked in a chunk of Iraq, would not be able
to maintain the relatively high living standards the Kurds have achieved over
the past three decades.
As for Arab Sunnis, a return to tribal leadership means an historic leap
backwards. The current Arab Sunni leadership has failed to secure a reasonable
share of power in the context of a federal Iraq. More than other communities,
Iraq’s Arab Sunni community needs new voices and a new leadership. Such a
leadership could find relevance in shaping the future only if it offers a
project for Iraq as a whole. After all, it was the Arab Sunni community that led
the creation of Iraq as a nation-state after the disintegration of the Ottoman
Empire.A mini-Arab Sunni state in four provinces could become an irrelevance or
get annexed by Jordan or Syria provided it survives as a unified state.
Iraq’s Arab Sunni community has genuine grievances and these must be
addressed. The fact that the Ba’ath victimized other communities more than the
Arab Sunnis does not justify oppressing them today.
Today, Iraq’s various communities including Turkmen, Christians and Feylis.
Their real difference notwithstanding, they resemble streams that must flow into
the same river in order to survive. If they flow away they risk disappearing in
neighboring sands. A potent symbol in the coming
elections could be a broom that promises to sweep away old sectarians.
For the first time since its creation Iraq is in control of its destiny. This is
a precious chance that only madmen would want to miss.
From Harrods to the Pyramids
By:Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed /Asharq Alawsat
We have recently seen news reports about the Qataris wanting to buy the pyramids
from the Egyptians. Prior to this, there were claims that they had also made an
offer to Egyptian businessmen and deputy Muslim Brotherhood Guide Khairat
El-Shater to buy the Suez Canal. Although such claim
have been denied and said to be nothing more than unsubstantiated rumors, there
can be no doubt that Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood government is now facing a
financial crisis to the point that it is now looking at any and all means of
saving money, including reconciliation with businessmen imprisoned on corruption
charges.
In principle, there is nothing strange about such bids, particularly in this era
of globalization. After all Harrods, one of Europe’s most important stores and a
historic British symbol, was bought up by Egyptian businessman Mohamed Al-Fayed.
He managed this store for a quarter of a century before selling it on to Qatar
for a reported GBP 1.5 billion. So what would be the problem if the Egyptians
sold the Suez Canal or the pyramids to the Qataris who have enough cash pay off
the Brotherhood government’s deficit?
In reality, it would be easier to imagine New York City selling off the Statue
of Liberty, or the French renting out the presidential Elysée Palace. It is
impossible to imagine the Egyptians agreeing to sell off the Sphinx or any other
historical monument in this manner. Egypt is a country in the midst of political
transition and is witnessing many conflicts between different civil forces. In
addition to this, the Egyptian people are very sensitive about the issue of
foreign ownership. We must not forget that the Egyptian opposition, during the
Mubarak era, raised hell with the government for taking the decision to sell off
the country’s iconic Omar Effendi department stores to a Saudi food company.
Even the Muslim Brotherhood criticized Mubarak at the time, despite the fact
that Omar Effendi was just a store—not a historical landmark—and was losing
money to boot. Today, the Brotherhood stand accused of being worse than Mubarak
for putting Egypt’s historic and strategic wealth on sale.
The Suez Canal—which the Qataris are reported to be interested in
buying—epitomizes the history of conflict in Egypt over control of national land
and wealth. It is therefore natural for the Egyptians to be suspicious and angry
about the idea of its sale, even if we are in an era of globalization where no
commercial property is sacred. The Suez Canal began as a French engineering
project during the eighteenth century under Napoleon Bonaparte. Napoleon wanted
to secure maritime control over the primary area of European colonial activity
in the world. The project also served as a French political move against the
British. The digging of the canal was not complete until the second half of the
nineteenth century. The Suez Canal deal saw the French being granted the right
to operate the canal for 99 years. When the Suez Canal began operations in 1969,
this represented one of the greatest events in the world, changing the balance
of trade and contemporary history. Due to their debts, the Egyptians were
subsequently forced to sell their shares in the canal to the British. Following
this, the military conflict over control of this important strategic waterway
began, with the British colonialists deploying their troops to control it. The
situation became even more complex after the establishment of the state of
Israel in 1948 and Egypt’s refusal to allow the Israelis to use the canal. Eight
years later, Israel, Britain, and France attacked Egypt following the
nationalization of the canal. Egypt responded by sinking forty ships and
shutting the Suez Canal. The rest is history. As a result of this, it is very
difficult to imagine that Qatar being able to manage the Suez Canal. This is not
a department store, while the Qataris are not an unaffiliated political party.
Qatar is at odds with almost 80 percent of countries in the region and does not
have Dubai’s experience in terms of successfully operating international ports.
Although selling the pyramids and renting out the Suez Canal are just ideas, or
more like rumors, they perhaps reflect the greatest problem that is facing the
Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, namely the economic crisis. It would be very
difficult for any ruling party to feed eighty million people per day, regardless
of ideology or political views. The Brotherhood came to power from opposition in
the street, and even prison, and they do not know much about running an economy
or state. As a result of this, we do not know how they will manage a complex
state like Egypt that is burdened with numerous commitments. In addition to
this, the Brotherhood is at odds with the other revolutionary forces and
over-encumbered with a thirst for power, seeking control over the presidency,
the government, the parliamentary and judiciary.
Maliki is Sincere but Wrong
By: Mshari Al-Zaydi /Asharq Alawsat
I don’t believe that there is any need to reiterate the criticisms of Iraqi
Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki’s performance, not to mention the huge number of
opportunities that he has missed to lead Iraq to safety.
Such criticisms are well-known. However, to be objective, we must not blame all
of Iraq’s current mistakes and misfortunes on the man. Iraqi’s youths are beset
by a number of historic issues and ills. These can be dated back to the era
during which the country was under British mandate, not to mention independence
from British rule, the monarchist era, the republican era, and later the harsh
Ba’athist era. This included both the reign of Abdul Salam Arif and later Saddam
Hussein, which encompassed the invasion of Kuwait, international isolation, and
then the occupation of Iraq itself and execution of Saddam Hussein. Following
this, we saw the the establishment of a political system based on sectarianism
as a result of the stupidity of the Americans, the cunning of Tehran, and the
disunity of Iraq’s Arab neighbors.
Nuri Al-Maliki can therefore be viewed as the natural product of Iraq’s history,
with all its ills. His discourse and actions are also a prime result of this.
In spite of all this, a fair and impartial observer cannot help but acknowledge
that Maliki demonstrates determination and possesses a clear vision. More
recently, the Iraqi prime minister has also begun to take increasingly direct
and clear positions, unlike many regional politicians; this includes his
interpretation and position on the Syrian war. This is something that was clear
to see in his previous interview with Asharq Al-Awsat editor-in-chief, during
which he warned against backing the Alawites into a corner, asserting that
desperation grants courage. In Maliki’s most recent interview with the
Associated Press (AP), he warned that a victory for Assad’s opponents will only
serve to incite sectarian wars in Lebanon and his own country, create a new
sanctuary for Al-Qaeda, and destabilize the region as a whole.
Maliki told AP: “If the opposition is victorious, there will be a civil war in
Lebanon, divisions in Jordan, and a sectarian war in Iraq”
Admittedly, Maliki’s words are direct and to the point, and perhaps anger many
of those who support the Syrian revolution against Bashar Al-Assad, and I
include myself in this category. However we must avoid becoming too emotional,
for he was correct in some of what he surmised, or at least close to being
correct. The signs of this civil war are clear to see in Iraq and Lebanon. This
is all the result of clashes between a dictatorial regime that has chosen to
focus on security solutions and inciting sectarian strife, and an opposition
that is insistent upon confrontation until the bitter end, making huge
sacrifices despite everybody forsaking them.
However this does not negate the fact that the “cowardly” American and European
reading of the Syrian situation from the very beginning, and the lack of any
real support for the Syrian revolution, ultimately served to force the Syrians
to dance with the devil in order to protect themselves from the butcher Bashar
Al-Assad and his criminal gang.
As for the impact of this on neighboring Iraq and Lebanon, this is only natural.
In addition to this, Maliki and the Shi’ite alliance’s discourse and gambles in
Iraq in terms of promoting the Iranian story about the situation in Syria are
crystal clear. It is enough to observe the “practices” of Iraq’s Shi’ite blocs
towards the Syrian crisis. The situation is even clearer in Lebanon, and
Hezbollah—with its fighters, discourse, and media, not to mention Hassan
Nasrallah himself—is standing shoulder to shoulder with the Assad regime. So why
should we not expect a similar response from Nuri Al-Maliki? Particularly when
we are talking about an ailing region that suffers from historic ills that are
too easy to exploit and incite.
Maliki is confident in his vision to incite the crisis, however he has failed to
continue to read the situation and see how others view him and the role that he
is playing in this sad drama.
The Future of Hezbollah
By: Adel Al Toraifi/Asharq lawsat
In a lengthy report published by the New Yorker magazine this week, the famous
journalist Dexter Filkins wrote about the growing concerns within Hezbollah
circles about the ongoing civil war in Syria, where the Assad regime is fighting
for survival with the support of its allies in Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq.
Filkins, who spent some time in Beirut’s southern suburbs and in the border
regions adjacent to Syria, was able to talk with some Hezbollah fighters and
even attended the memorial services of some elements who had died while fighting
alongside the Syrian regime in its efforts to quell the uprising.
The report quotes one Hezbollah commander as saying: “If Bashar goes down we’re
next”. Elsewhere, Filkins quotes another leader acknowledging that a Hezbollah
commander has died in Syria “performing his jihad duties”. Later on, another
party source contends, “The Arab countries are spending money to destroy Syria
and Hezbollah.”
The picture portrayed by Filkins reflects a party feeling threatened and anxious
as the Syrian warfare approaches its own strongholds. There is a state of
self-containment and mistrust among the Hezbollah leadership, with nihilistic
tendencies dominating all discussions and talk of a final battle and death
before surrender. For more than two years Hezbollah the party has tried to
distance itself—in the media—from the course of events in neighboring Syria,
while its leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has launched statements in support of his
Syrian ally, calling for “resistance” and opposition to the Israeli enemy.
However, this rhetoric has not succeeded in justifying Nasrallah’s position
towards the human suffering that the Syrian regime has caused.
Inside Lebanon, Hezbollah gained the acceptance and appreciation of some due to
its “resistance” work and its talk of liberating the land, and its popularity
rose sharply following the Israeli withdrawal in 2000. The party reached heroic
status in some parts of the Arab world even after igniting a costly thirty day
war with Israel in 2006. However, part of this burgeoning popularity was
subjected to a strong setback after Hezbollah’s military invasion of Beirut and
other areas in 2008, which some saw as an attempt to intimidate the Sunni
community and the party’s opponents from other sects. At the time, Hezbollah
justified its actions by describing them as a response to attempts to link the
party to several assassinations that had recently been carried out against
opposition Lebanese figures, most notably Rafik Hariri, the late Lebanese prime
minister. Even so, some popular circles remained understanding or silently
accepting of Hezbollah’s position, but since the outbreak of the events in Syria
the party has found itself in an unprecedented moral dilemma.
The overwhelming tendency of the Arab street sympathizes with the Syrian
demonstrations, and Hezbollah’s inexcusable stance alongside the Syrian regime
has generated a kind of frustration and anger towards the party. It seems that
Hezbollah has decided to stand in line with a regime that kills its own
citizens, and has even opted to send its own elements to participate in the
civil war of a neighboring country. When the so-called “Arab Spring” broke out,
the Hezbollah leadership adopted the official Iranian stance in support of
regime change, but as the uprisings continued Syria changed the rules of the
game, whereby Hezbollah sided with the Assad regime at the expense of the
unarmed Syrian citizens. This can be considered the critical moment when the
party lost its regional popularity, and transformed into a sectarian and
ideological opponent for broad sectors of the region. There is no doubt that
Hezbollah is currently going through its most difficult days. It is no longer
considered a hero in the Arab world but rather the odious enemy of the masses
themselves, who used to boast of the party’s achievements a few years ago. These
losses—at least for the foreseeable future—could change the position of
Hezbollah and its forces not only in Lebanon but in the whole region; a region
that is strongly against the party’s participation in the killing of innocent
people. Perhaps Hezbollah’s leaders never imagined that all their achievements
would one day transform into a heavy burden, but the most important question
today is: What is the future of Hezbollah in light of what has happened?
To begin with, it must be noted that Hezbollah, despite its grave losses, still
has some allies both inside and outside of Lebanon, particularly among some
minority circles who feel threatened. Above this, the party boasts an arsenal of
weapons and popular Shi’ite support, both of which encourage it to pursue
military force within its immediate surroundings. But nevertheless, these
factors are being genuinely under threat with the Syrian armed opposition
forcing Hezbollah to defend its border positions. In the event of the fall of
the Assad regime, there are no guarantees that the war will not spread towards
Hezbollah’s areas of influence inside Lebanon, and the party could soon find
itself confronted by many forces greater than it. Perhaps it is necessary to
consider the party’s alternatives following the fall of its traditional ally,
which used to provide it with a safe passage financially and militarily from
Iran.
Here we should not forget that Hezbollah was founded before the consolidation of
Iranian-Syrian relations, and that the party itself originally fought battles
with the Syrians to impose itself as a military reality parallel to—but
independent of—the Syrian army.
During the years that preceded the Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon,
Hezbollah used to declare that it alone had the final say in what was going on.
Nevertheless, the party—which was established mainly for military purposes—has
been unable, ever since dominating the Lebanese government in 2004, to put
itself forward as a political alternative to the Lebanese state, despite the
best efforts of its Iranian stepfather. Perhaps this is what is concerning
Hezbollah at the current moment, namely that it will be forced to change its
radical course to become more conciliatory and accepting in the Lebanese
environment, in order to regain its popularity in the wider region. In other
words, Hezbollah today has to choose between fighting a regional war to regain
what it has lost in terms of its moral and military presence, or to follow the
“peaceful” road and change its philosophy, if not its leadership, which has lost
all its former legitimacy. At this moment, no one is able to predict, but it
would be surprising if Hezbollah remained as it is after all that has happened.
We have become accustomed to the party—as an extension of Iran—changing its
policies and even its leaders in order to protect Iranian interests first and
foremost, and only then the interests of the party.
Some might think that it would be difficult for Iran to get rid of a charismatic
personality like Hassan Nasrallah, but there are historical precedents to
suggest that the Iranian regime does not mind sacrificing its men in order to
preserve its interests. Perhaps such a scenario is unlikely at the current
moment, where it can be said that Nasrallah has transformed into a symbol for
the party and the Shi’ite’s struggle for “resistance”. However, past experience
suggests that the removal of certain personalities does not mean their
retirement but rather their assassination, as regimes only seek to protect their
interests, not their loyal men.
A Hezbollah activist recently appeared on television warning of the danger of
the Al-Nusra Front in Syria and its alleged links to Al-Qaeda, claiming that
this is evidence of the armed Syrian uprising deviating from its course. The
activist then accused Gulf entities of supporting a “Sunni jihad” threatening
minorities.
In truth it is interesting that Hezbollah leaders have begun to scaremonger by
portraying others as jihadists, while the same rhetoric applies to them.
During his last recorded appearance, Nasrallah argued that his party would not
tolerate any attempts to curb its influence, and that it would fight to the end.
There is no doubt that Nasrallah meant what he said, or that he is ready to
sacrifice the innocent in order to retain the influence of his party, just as
Assad is doing now. Indeed it is sad that those currently in control of the fate
of Syria and Lebanon are people who believe that when it comes to history, they
will have the last word.