Bible Quotation for today
Luke 12/56-59: "
He said to the multitudes also “When you see a cloud rising from the west,
immediately you say, ‘A shower is coming,’ and so it happens. 12:55 When a
south wind blows, you say, ‘There will be a scorching heat,’ and it happens.
12:56 You hypocrites! You know how to interpret the appearance of the earth
and the sky, but how is it that you don’t interpret this time? 12:57 Why
don’t you judge for yourselves what is right? 12:58 For when you are going
with your adversary before the magistrate, try diligently on the way to be
released from him, lest perhaps he drag you to the judge, and the judge
deliver you to the officer, and the officer throw you into prison. 12:59 I
tell you, you will by no means get out of there, until you have paid the
very last penny.”
Latest analysis, editorials,
studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Koura
offers a taste of 2013/By: Matt Nash/Now Lebanon/July
14/12
Annan…and his
teacher al-Assad/By Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/July
14/12
The Syrian
army and sectarianism/By Hussein Shabokshi/Asharq Alawsat/July
14/12
Egypt's Power
Struggle and the Fate of Christians/By Aidan Clay/July
14/12
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for July
14/12
Hezbollah drone crashes in east Lebanon: sources
Cyprus detains Lebanese anti-Israel 'terror' suspect: reports
Geagea meets Kurdistan Democratic Party delegation
U.S. blames Syria for violence spillover into Lebanon
Lebanon's daily press digest - July 14, 2012
Three Lebanese Army officers were detained once again involved in killing two
Suni Shieks in Akkar
Minister
Abu Faour: Lebanon must not neglect needs of Syrian refugees
Lebanon inks $360 mln electricity deal
Gadhafi verdict in Sadr case postponed again
Thank you,
Wael Abu Faour
Report: Security Official in Turkey to Follow Up Case of Abducted Lebanese
Pilgrims
Paoli on Bastille Day: Lebanon’s Democracy a Model to be Followed in Region
Arslan Calls for Referendum on Army’s Role
Israel advised to brace for Syrian missile attack – conventional or chemical
45
officers of Tlass family defect from regime – Businessman Firas Tlass
Canada Condemns Massacre in Syria
Atrocity in Tremseh stuns world, Russia cool
Troops storm Syria town as calls for U.N. action grow
World outrage at
Syria "massacre", but no action
Clinton heads to Cairo for key talks with Morsi
Russia Condemns Syria 'Bloody Atrocity'
Annan Says Syria 'Flouted' U.N. Resolutions with Treimsa Massacre, Clinton Urges
Ceasefire around Town
Iran issues new oil blockade warning
Syria's Defected Baghdad Envoy Criticizes Iraq's PM
Iran war games show improved missile accuracy
Iran auto production drops over past three months
Iran issues new oil blockade warning
Saudi security forces kill oil province attacker: SPA
Hezbollah drone crashes in east Lebanon: sources
July 14, 2012 08:00 PM The Daily Star
BEIRUT: An Unmanned Aerial Vehicle belonging to Hezbollah crashed in east
Lebanon Saturday afternoon, security sources told the daily star. The UAV, which
witnesses said looked like a glowing ball of fire falling to earth, crashed in
the Baalbek town of Younin, the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity,
said. The crash site was soon cordoned off by members of the resistance, who
prevented access to the area and later transported the drone off site to an
unknown location. Quoting villagers in the area, Lebanon’s National News Agency
reported that an unidentified object crashed in the town.
The object, which was in flames, led to a fire in the area prompting Civil
Defense teams and security agencies to the scene. The state-run agency later
reported the object as that of a reconnaissance aircraft of unknown identity. It
said security agencies cordoned off the area, adding that the aircraft was
transported from the site and that the crater it left was filled in.
Three officers in Abdel-Wahed case detained again
July 14, 2012/The Daily Star /BEIRUT: Three Lebanese Army officers who were
released earlier in the month on bail in the case of the May killing of a Muslim
preacher and his companion were detained once again Saturday, judicial sources
said. Military Judge Riad Abu Ghida took the decision after further questioning
of the three officers, the sources said. The three officers as well as eight
other soldiers were released on bail July 5 in the case of Sheikhs Ahmad Abdel-Wahed
and Hussein al-Mereb who were shot dead at an army checkpoint in the north of
the country on May 20. Five other soldiers remain in custody. The release of the
soldiers led to road blocks by residents of Akkar, north Lebanon, where the
killing took place and where two preachers hailed from. Akkar figures and
politicians have also voiced anger over the handling of the investigation and
insist that it be referred to the county’s judicial highest authority,
threatening disobedience should the case remain in the hands of the Military
Tribunal. Prime Minister Najib Mikati has asked Justice Minister Shakib Qortbawi
to look into the possibility of transferring the case of the Akkar sheikhs'
killing to the Judicial Council. If Qortbawi recommends that the case be
transferred to the Judicial Council, his proposal would have to be approved by
the Cabinet in a vote before any such move is made. Commenting on the news
of the detention of the three officers, Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri
praised over the Military Tribunal’s decision to detain the three officers once
more, saying it improved trust in the army and justice in the country. “Hariri
praised the Military Tribunal’s decision to detain once more the three officers
in the case of the killing of Sheiks Mohammad Abdel-Wahed and Hussein al-Mereb
in Akkar and considered it a step that boosts the trust of victims and residents
of Akkar and all the Lebanese in justice and the Lebanese Army,” a statement
from the Future Movement leader said. For his part, Future parliamentary
bloc leader MP Fouad Siniora said the development put things back on the right
track. “What is needed is that the investigation carry on to its completion and
that the necessary steps be taken to achieve justice,” he added, according to
the National News Agency.
Cyprus detains Lebanese anti-Israel 'terror' suspect: reports
July 14, 2012/Daily Star /NICOSIA: Cyprus police have detained a young Lebanese
man who holds a Saudi passport on suspicion of planning a "terrorist attack"
against Israeli interests in the country, media reports said on Saturday. A
police spokesman said he could not deny or confirm the reports because it was a
"sensitive political issue". "This is an issue of security which we take very
seriously and we cannot comment any further," the spokesman told AFP. Online
news website Sigmalive said the police were tipped off by foreign intelligence
services and the man -- who came to Cyprus as a tourist -- was arrested in his
hotel room last week. It said the suspect appeared before a closed court for a
second time Friday where he was detained in police custody for another seven
days. Police are trying to unravel the level of involvement of the suspect, the
intended targets and whether he had accomplices on the island. According to
Sigmalive the man arrived on the island to plan and orchestrate the blowing up
of a plane or a bus. Local daily Phileleftheros said notes with details of
Israeli aircraft were found in his possession. State radio said the suspect was
staying in the southern coastal resort of Limassol and took photographs of
Israeli interests. Police have made no official public statement about the
arrest or the investigation. Cyprus had seen attacks against Israeli interests
in late 70s and early 80s, but since then the island has been viewed as neutral
ground for unofficial Mideast peace contacts
Saudi security forces kill oil province attacker: SPA
July 14, 2012/Daily Star/DUBAI: Saudi security forces shot and killed a man who
was among a group that opened fire and hurled a fire-bomb at a police station in
the oil-rich Eastern province, the official Saudi Press Agency (SPA) said
Saturday. The agency also quoted an Interior Ministry spokesman as saying that
four members of the security forces were wounded in a separate attack by masked
gunmen on motor-bikes who fired at two patrols in the village of Sehat, also in
Eastern Province, early on Saturday. Two men were killed on Sunday in Eastern
Province, where most of the country's Shi'ite Muslim minority lives, during
protests after the arrest of a prominent Shi'ite cleric. The Interior Ministry
blamed the killings on criminals but Shi'ite activists said snipers shot them.
Saudi Arabia, the world's No. 1 oil exporter and a key U.S. ally, is sensitive
to any unrest in the province in case it is fomented by non-Arab Shi'ite power
Iran to destabilise the Gulf region. Tehran denies any involvement. The SPA
quoted Interior Ministry spokesman Mansour al-Turki as saying the attack on the
police station in Awamiya took place at around 9:30 pm on Friday. One of the
four attackers hurled a Molotov cocktail at the station while the three others
opened fire, he said. "The security at the position dealt with them in
accordance with what the situation requires, which resulted in one being killed
while the others fled," SPA quoted Turki as saying. The agency said the second
attack occurred at around 1.00 a.m. on Saturday, but gave no information on the
wounded men's injuries. The Shiite Rasid website www.rasid.com identified the
dead man as 18-year-old Abdallah Jaafr al-Ajami and said local social media
websites had published pictures of him covered in blood. It also quoted
residents as casting doubt on the police spokesman's report that Ajami was
killed while attacking a police station, saying the compound was well protected
with concrete barriers and fences
45 officers of Tlass family defect from regime –
Businessman Firas Tlass
14/07/2012/By Mohamed Nassar/Asharq Alawsat
Dubai, Asharq Al-Awsat – The eldest son of former Syrian Defense Minister
General Mustafa Tlass, Firas Tlass, informed Asharq Al-Awsat that a total of 45
members of the Tlass family have defected from the al-Assad regime, including
his younger brother and boyhood friend of Bashar al-Assad, Brigadier General
Manaf Tlass. The Tlass family is a prominent Syrian Sunni family with
long-standing ties to the al-Assad regime. Mustafa Tlass previously served as
Syrian Defense Minister under president Hafez al-Assad, as well as his son and
successor Bashar al-Assad, whilst his son, Manaf Tlass, was a childhood friend
of Bashar al-Assad whose defection earlier this month served as a shock to the
al-Assad regime. The Tlass family reportedly has strong ties to the Free Syrian
Army [FSA], with Abdul Razzaq Tlass – nephew of Mustafa Tlass and cousin to
Manaf Tlass – serving as the commander of the FSA al-Farouq Brigade, which has
fought running battles with regime forces in Rastan and the outlying areas.
Speaking exclusively to Asharq Al-Awsat during a telephone interview from Paris,
Syrian business tycoon Firas Tlass strongly denied reports that the al-Farouq
Brigade commander had been killed. He also revealed that he is personally
providing humanitarian relief and assistance to the brigade, but stressed that
he is not arming the FSA. The Syrian businessman also refused to discuss his
younger brother’s defection from the al-Assad regime, saying that he is waiting
for the dust to settle following this shocking news. Tlass stressed that he
supports the Syrian revolution, adding “I support the people, not chaos, and I
hope that the country reaches a state of safety, for we are currently
experiencing a state of chaos” adding “we require a strong current to place
Syria on the right path and move it towards safety.”He also asserted that the
Syrian revolutionary movement on the ground is capable of “resolving” the Syrian
crisis, far more than those giving their opinions and views on Arab satellite
television.
Tlass also revealed that he is in constant contact with Abdul Razzaq Tlass,
commander of the FSA’s al-Farouq brigade. He said “I have been in contact with
Abdul Razzaq over the past 6 weeks” adding “I love him, for he is my cousin.”
He also called for mass civil disobedience to break out across Syria, adding
that the regional situation is very complex and there is significant foreign
intervention in Syrian affairs. Firas Tlass told Asharq Al-Awsat that the
situation on the ground is not a result of the strength of the al-Assad regime
forces but rather due to “regional conflict” adding “many countries are seeking
to gain influence and power over Syria.” He stressed that “this is a chess-game…
the international community wants Syria to be a failed state."
The Syrian businessman also confirmed that he is aware of the nature of the
support that the Syrian revolution is receiving, particularly the FSA, stressing
that all the support that reaches FSA brigades is “conditional support”. He
stressed that “all this conditional support is linked to future political
dictates and agendas.”
As for the fate of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Tlass said that al-Assad
remains part of the solution, despite the fact that he is the major reason
behind the crisis. He said that the best solution for Syria would be for Bashar
al-Assad to hand over power to a national council, adding this can be viewed as
a mixture of the Yemeni and Egyptian solutions.
However the Syrian tycoon told Asharq Al-Awsat this the most likely solution
would see the “rise of a strong internal current that unites an important part
of the revolutionary trend, and which possess a strong and clear political
program to govern the next stage” adding “this current would impose itself on
the scene and would be capable of negotiating with the regime.” He nominated his
cousin Abdul Razzaq Tlass as a figure who can represent the Syrian revolution.
Firas Tlass also confirmed that his father, former Syrian Defense Minister
Mustafa Tlass, is “saddened” by the current situation in Syria. Mustafa Tlass,
the former Syrian Defense Minister, is 80-years old and lives abroad in Paris.
Tlass also revealed that he has not liquidated all his business interests in
Syria, adding that the regime only began targeting some of his business
interests after it became aware of his position towards the revolution. He added
that not all of his businesses have been targeted.
The Syrian businessman also told Asharq Al-Awsat that “I was being monitored [by
the regime] since September last year, whilst a warrant for my arrest was issued
in May…but I had already left Syria by this time.”In an open discussion with the
“Syrian Youth dialogue” Facebook group earlier this week, Firas Tlass put
forward his view for the transitional phase in Syria. He stressed this should
include a “government with a specific formation (perhaps Manaf [Tlass] would be
one of its members) however the power in this government would be shared, in
other words there would be no president” adding “decisions would be made by
vote, and this government’s task would be to protect the transitional phase and
allow the country to reach a national constituent assembly elected under
international supervision.” Tlass also asserted that he would not speak on
behalf of anybody else, and did not want to answer questions about Manaf Tlass’s
future plans, saying “I said that I would speak for myself and not cite anyone,
and whatever results come from the ballot box I accept” adding “this country
deserves what is good, and not a return to the reproduction of power.” He
stressed “if Manaf Tlass came to power by internationally observed elections,
then that is his right. Whilst if a religious figure or a former solider or an
economist or even a Syrian Buddhist convert were elected…then I would respect
this." Firas Tlass is the founder and owner of the prominent Min Ajl Suriyya
[MAS] company. His company is involved in a variety of fields, including
agriculture and manufacturing.
Koura offers a taste of 2013?
Matt Nash/Now Lebanon/July 14, 2012
If you ask the Syrian Social Nationalist Party, there shouldn’t even be an
election.
Tomorrow the northern, mostly Christian, district of Koura is holding a
by-election to fill a parliamentary seat left empty by the May 31 death of
Lebanese Forces MP Farid Habib. Traditionally in Lebanese politics, when an MP
dies in office, someone from his or her family will run uncontested and “hold”
the seat until the next general election. Not this time.
The rumor mill has it that both Koura MP Farid Makari (a March 14 ally) and
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri pushed the LF and Habib’s family to run a
relative. Instead, LF leader Samir Geagea has said, the party contacted its top
brass in Koura and, through internal discussions and balloting, chose Fadi Karam—a
dentist making his first foray into politics—as their candidate.
Geagea argues that selecting Karam was done in line with the LF’s by-laws and
stands as a testament to the party’s rejection of familial dynasties. The SSNP,
of course, sees things differently.
In announcing his candidacy, the SSNP’s Walid Azar called Karam’s nomination a
“provocation” and said, “It is the leader of the Lebanese Forces, Samir Geagea,
who imposed the battle on the area.” (Azar could not be reached for an
interview.)
It is not surprising the party sees it this way. Firstly, the majority of
Koura’s population is Greek Orthodox—the same sect as SSNP founder Antoun Saadeh—and
historically the district has been a stronghold for the SSNP and allies like the
Lebanese Communist and Marada parties. Amioun, the “capital” of Koura and its
largest city, has a long-standing reputation as SSNP turf.
Karam’s family—which divides itself between support for the LF and the SSNP—is
from Amioun. For the SSNP, the idea of the LF both bucking tradition and trying
to pit a son of Amioun against his own city was just too much. So an electoral
battle there shall be.
From a governance perspective, Sunday’s poll is not really all that important.
It’s only one seat of 128, and the next general election is less than a year
away. But therein lies why both sides are taking it seriously—as a bellwether
for 2013. All of Lebanon’s political parties will be watching the margins in
Koura on Sunday.
In 2009, some 27,400 voters cast ballots in Koura—a turnout of around 47
percent.Pollsters Abdo Saad, from the Beirut Center for Research and
Information, and Rabih Haber, of Statistics Lebanon, told NOW that 4,700 Sunnis
voted, as did 5,000 Maronites. Haber said 300 Shia also went to the polls, but
Saad said there were more like 600 or 700. The remaining 18,000 to 22,000
electors are all Greek Orthodox, both men agreed. Despite the district’s
diversity, all three of its parliamentary seats are reserved for Greek Orthodox
candidates. Both Saad and Haber said their surveys suggest the LF’s Karam is
favored to win, though Saad cautioned that his data was gathered “two weeks
ago.”
While the March 14 list won Koura in 2009, the margin of victory was not
enormous. On average, the difference between the two lists was 2,029 votes (or
7.4 percent), Haber said. Immediately after the election, March 8 accused March
14 of winning merely on the back of votes from Sunnis and expatriates flown in
to participate. Those same accusations are flying this year as well.
Arguably the two most interesting questions in advance of Sunday’s election are:
How will the Sunnis vote, and how will supporters of Michel Aoun’s Free
Patriotic Movement vote. Let’s look at the last one first. Three years ago, the
March 8 list in Koura consisted of candidates from the SSNP, Marada and the FPM.
Marada’s candidate fared best with 12,201 votes, followed by the FPM with 12,154
and the SSNP with 11,980.
This time around, the LF is clearly trying to use the SSNP’s support of Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad against Azar. In a brief telephone interview, Karam
told NOW, “There are two types of speech in this election. Our speech is speech
of democracy and respecting others. The other speech is speech of war and going
back to past.” Geagea directly named Assad in urging supporters to vote on
Sunday.
Watch turnout numbers among the Christian communities after the vote. Is it
true, as some argue, that on-the-fence Christian voters are turned off by both
Aoun’s defense of Assad and having the SSNP as an ally? If Christian turnout is
low and the LF wins in a landslide, there will be a tangible reason to suspect
Aoun is in trouble in 2013. That said, the Aoun-Geagea rivalry is particularly
bitter, and voters uneasy with the FPM may suppress their concerns just to spite
the LF.
Ibrahim Ramadi, an FPM supporter close to the party’s leadership in Koura, told
NOW that he feels both sides are particularly excited to prove their strength
and predicts a turnout even higher than in 2009—which would be odd for a
by-election. As for the Sunnis, there is also speculation that former Prime
Minister Saad Hariri’s 15-month absence from Lebanon has lost him support.
Mustafa Hamoui, a Lebanese blogger with a keen political eye, points to a bridge
over the main coastal highway in Koura as evidence (Prime Minister Najib
Mikati’s photo has replaced Hariri’s next to the Sunni village of Qalamoun).
Low Sunni turnout would indicate Hariri’s critics are right (Hariri’s media
office released a message saying he calls on supporters to vote Karam, and his
brother, Ahmad, visited Koura recently). However, anger at seeing their
co-religionists killed in Syria could be a galvanizing factor for the community.
The real victory in Koura will be over bragging rights and momentum. In 2013,
Lebanon’s Christians will again likely decide which political coalition
represents the majority, which itself is something of a referendum on Aoun. The
former general shocked the political establishment with a tsunami of support in
2005, only to see it ebb in 2009. The question of where he stands in 2013 will
begin to be answered tomorrow.
Thank you, Wael Abu Faour
Hazem al-Amin/Now Lebanon/July 13, 2012
The Lebanese government announced that it has suspended aid destined to the
Syrian refugees who have fled to Lebanon, including the reception of the wounded
and the sick in hospitals. The harshness of this announcement entails feelings
of revenge, since government aid to the refugees never reached a level that
would justify its suspension. In this sense, this political announcement aims to
say that the wounded, the sick and those families that left their villages,
cities and homes out of fear of being killed are unwelcome in our country, one
where the government represents – at best – half of the Lebanese people. The
announcement coincides with the sixth anniversary of the July War, during which
the Syrians welcomed about 200,000 Lebanese displaced in Syria who were fleeing
Israeli bombardments. Interestingly, the person who engineered the “honorable”
stance of the cabinet representing “half of the Lebanese people minus one” is
Social Affairs Minister Wael Abu Faour, a member of the Progressive Socialist
Party, i.e. the party that moved from the cold bosom of the Syrian regime into
the warm bosom of the revolution. The young minister said: “The coverage of
healthcare expenses for Syrian refugees has been suspended rather than stopped
altogether in order to redevelop a new mechanism that would make sure no
exploitation occurs.” The government and the young minister feared for the minor
amounts paid by the cabinet of oil ships and money laundering to some Syrian
sick and wounded. This is transparency and integrity at an extraordinary moment
of vigilance. As for the generosity of providing care for the wounded, no one
can undermine its foundations, which are rooted in the ethics of Social Affairs
Minister Wael Abu Faour, who hails from the Mountain and who has engineered the
decision and still felt no need to resign. Rather than being motivated by
political or technical reasons, the decision denotes revenge. It would not hurt
a pro-Syrian government to treat a few members of the Syrian opposition who are
wounded and sick, as this might gloss over some of its shortcomings.
Technically speaking, squandering and mismanagement of minor sums of money – if
it is indeed taking place – are merely a drop in the sea of public squandering.
Furthermore, the losses resulting from the unethical substance of the decision
are many times greater than the ones incurred by the “chaotic coverage of
expenses.”
The government has decided to stop welcoming wounded who might die as a result
of their being denied hospital treatment. There is nothing worse than
proclaiming such a decision. This clarity sheds light on one aspect of the
tragedy, one which even the level of the crimes committed against these people
in their country did not succeed in revealing. “We will not welcome wounded
Syrians.” Who dared to say it before the Lebanese government? Many have
undoubtedly failed to welcome wounded Syrians in practice, but no one has dared
to proclaim it, engineer it based on decrees and laws, and announce it in press
conferences. The worst is that it is being implemented by ministers who claim to
support the [Syrian] revolution.
Maybe we ought to paint a clearer picture of the government for the Lebanese
people to see after this decision. On a day that will come soon enough, a
wounded person will come from Syria – either a man or a woman – in front of a
Akkar hospital and hospital staff will tell him/her: Sorry, we cannot allow you
in … Wait outside until you die. The wounded person will do as told and wait
outside for a slow and normal death. We say “Thank you” to the Lebanese
government, to Wael Abu Faour and to Najib Mikati. One must not forget either
that the government of Hezbollah and the Amal Movement has stopped providing
treatment to wounded Syrians on the anniversary of the July War following which
they had said, “Thank you, Qatar.” This article is a translation of the
original, which appeared on the NOW Arabic site on , Friday July 13, 2012
World outrage at Syria "massacre", but no action
14/07/2012/AMMAN/BEIRUT, (Reuters) - The United States has branded Syria's
leaders murderers after an attack on a village by President Bashar al-Assad's
troops left dozens dead, but there was no break in the deadlock among world
powers over how to bring about an end to the bloodshed. United Nations
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon also condemned what his monitors on the ground had
seen as an "indiscriminate" bombardment that included rocket-firing helicopters
of the town of Tremseh in rebellious Hama province, and he questioned Assad's
commitment to a U.N.-sponsored peace plan for Syria. But at U.N. headquarters in
New York, U.S. diplomats and their Western allies continued to run up against a
refusal on the part of Russia to lift its veto on harsher sanctions or any steps
Moscow views as imposing "regime change" in Damascus. There was "indisputable
evidence that the regime deliberately murdered innocent civilians", said U.S.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, demanding access for U.N. observers who on
Thursday were spectators to hours of bombing and gunfire, but were kept out of
the village by Syrian troops. As video evidence of casualties from the attack on
the village emerged on the Internet, Ban said: "I condemn, in the strongest
possible terms, the indiscriminate use of heavy artillery and shelling of
populated areas, including by firing from helicopters."
Accounts from opposition activists cited a death toll ranging from over 100 to
more than twice that figure - either way one of the bloodiest incidents in 17
months of conflict.
One group said rebel fighters rushed to reinforce the village after it came
under attack by infantry, artillery and air forces, leading to a battle that
went on for seven hours.
In a pattern seen at other settlements in recent months, rebels accused
irregular militiamen, known as shabbiha, from Assad's Alawite minority, of
swooping on the battered village, home mostly to Sunni Muslims, and of finishing
off their neighbors in a sectarian attack some called ethnic cleansing. Syrian
state television accused "armed terrorist groups" of committing a massacre at
Tremseh, but gave no death toll.
"GRIM REMINDER"
Assad, who succeeded his late father 12 years ago, has plenty of firepower to
suppress the opposition and can count on backing both from Shi'ite Iran, hostile
to the Sunni Arabs who lead most states in the region, and has also been
protected from sanctions by Syria's old Cold War ally Russia. Moscow rejects
Western governments' insistence that Assad must go and says a peace process must
come from within Syria. It is hosting the U.N. special envoy, Kofi Annan, at the
Kremlin next week, as diplomats at the Security Council will be resuming efforts
to narrow differences over raising pressure on Damascus.
Annan called the events at Tremseh a "grim reminder" that U.N. resolutions
calling for peace were being flouted and wrote to the Council urging it to
penalize Syria for failing to comply. But talks on Friday showed little
progress. One senior Western diplomat said: "The problem is Russia. "I'm not
saying they are not working behind the scenes, but clearly it hasn't worked and
they have to admit that either they haven't been pushing Assad hard enough or
they have and they have failed to persuade him ... At the moment, the effect of
what they are doing, maybe not the intention, but the effect, is just to give
space for the massacres to continue." French President Francois Hollande said he
was urging Russia - and China, which shares Moscow's suspicion of Western
powers' appetite for intervening in sovereign affairs - to change tack. "A
regime has decided to use force to crush its own people," he said. By blocking
sanctions that might force Assad aside, Russia and China would let "chaos and
war take hold in Syria" in way that would harm their own interests.
REBEL FORCES
Critics of the approach by Western powers, loath to undertake direct military
involvement of their own, say the revolt in Syria could lead to a wider,
sectarian conflict and bring to power radical Islamists hostile to non-Arab
nations.Washington and its European and Arab allies are wary of the rebel
forces, which have proved fractious among themselves, but believe an erosion of
support for Assad within the elite - as seen in high-level defections in the
past week - may in time allow for a period of political transition without him.
Clinton appealed to the veto-wielding Russians and Chinese on the Security
Council to join the Western drive against Assad. "History will judge this
Council," she said in a statement.
"Its members must ask themselves whether continuing to allow the Assad regime to
commit unspeakable violence against its own people is the legacy they want to
leave."
Russia withheld blame while condemning the violence and called for an inquiry
into events at Tremseh. "This wrongdoing serves the interests of those powers
that are not seeking peace but persistently seek to sow the seeds of
interconfessional and civilian conflict on Syrian soil," the foreign ministry
said. A local activist named Ahmed told Reuters there were 60 bodies at the
mosque, of whom 20 were identified: "There are more bodies in the fields, bodies
in the rivers and in houses." Opposition video segments posted on YouTube
provided evidence that dozens had met a violent death. One piece of film to
appear on the Internet showed the corpses of 15 young men with faces or shirts
drenched in blood. Most wore T-shirts and jeans. There were no women or
children. Other videos showed rows of bodies wrapped in blankets, sheets and
makeshift shrouds, some leaking blood. One man pulled aside a blanket to display
a carbonized corpse. Men placed wrapped bodies in a breeze-block trench for
burial. In a mosque packed with grieving women and distraught men, bodies were
collected, identified and prepared. Children stepped gingerly among the corpses
covering the floor.
The Syrian army and sectarianism
By Hussein Shabokshi/Asharq Alawsat
An article published in the New York Times newspaper claims that the Syrian army
has reached very dangerous levels of sectarianism. It reveals that in every
batch of graduates from the Syrian military academy there are 1,000 affiliates
of the Alawite sect (which Bashar al-Assad’s family belongs to), compared to
just 100 from the Sunni sect and 100 others representing all the remaining
diverse mix of sects and minorities. It is no secret that positions in the
Syrian army, especially leadership posts, have always and still are allocated to
members of the Alawite sect, and if a Sunni is in a position of leadership then
the post has no real meaning or executive powers. Hafez al-Assad, who came to
power from the environment of a non-sectarian army, realized that he had to
“dilute” the identity of the army to maintain his power. Thus he began to
promote the idea that the country’s nationalist, pan-Arabist army should by
definition serve to defend the Baath party, and during that period many
important families began to guide their children towards trade and business, and
away from a military career. Hafez al-Assad exploited this issue well and began
to lure dozens, then hundreds, then thousands of his own sect to enroll in the
military. But let us consider the numbers: Amidst the violence and force of the
Syrian revolution, which has lasted for over 17 months and claimed the lives of
more than 17,000 people, the Syrian army - which is estimated to consist of
around 400,000 recruits - has become weary of its war against the people, with
signs of division emerging amongst its components. There is also another issue
of growing importance, namely that 80,000 young people, mostly from the Sunni
sect, have refused to participate in compulsory military service, and there are
also increasing numbers of those refusing to execute the orders of their
superior officers, telling them to carry out specific operations against the
residents of besieged cities. The Syrian army, which used to promote the idea
that it was a secular and nationalist entity, and did not distinguish between
the sons of one country, is full of layers of distinction and preference. The
army’s Fourth Armoured Division includes an elite selection of the Alawite sect,
assigned to protect the regime and its close inner circle. The same goes for the
Republican Guard, with estimates suggesting it has 60,000 elements, and the
intelligence services, where those enrolled amount to 150,000. There is a
widespread conviction that this army was organized in such a complex and
competing hierarchy in order to consecrate its primary role of protecting the
regime from the people. Hafez al-Assad was always aware that in order to seize
power and dominate, he must have a long term plan to ensure the loyalty of the
most important institution in the country, the army. We also saw this clearly
during the gradual transfer of power to Bashar al-Assad, who adopted various
military positions until he inherited the presidency after his father’s death.
The news of the defection of Manaf Tlass, a military figure close to the
president and responsible for one of the most vital divisions in the Syrian
army, came as a very shocking surprise to Bashar al-Assad’s supporters, because
Manaf Tlass had a longstanding friendship with the Syrian president, and was
considered one of the most important elements of the regime. However, the
comments issued by the al-Assad regime’s media were far from realistic. They
suggested that Manaf Tlass had no value in the Syrian army’s military system,
and that he had no real weight. The bitter truth that we should all be aware of
by now is that this regime is nothing but a sectarianism breeding machine. It
has channeled all its resources towards this endeavor ever since it was able to
establish the very idea in the first place. The regime’s governance and
interests are all strongly linked to sectarianism, and its loyalties and
priorities also adhere to this. The scenes that we are witnessing in the
chapters of the Syrian revolution are the natural product of injustice,
discrimination, racism and sectarianism, and the outraged Syrians have paid the
price for this for many years.
Annan…and his teacher al-Assad
By Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat,
It is clear that the Syrian revolution has embroiled Mr. Annan – along with his
initiatives and plan –in Syrian affairs. It is as if Annan today is trying to
steal Walid Muallam’s job, for what he is doing to save al-Assad is far more
tangible than anything that Muallem is capable of, particularly as Annan’s
latest initiative towards Syria would not grant al-Assad an opportunity, but
rather would completely save him! Therefore the talk about calming the situation
in the country in a “step by step” manner means that Annan wants to strengthen
al-Assad on the ground after his control of Syria began to slip. As for Annan’s
statement that we must collect the arms that are in the “wrong hands”, this was
frightening and provocative, for does Annan want to say that the Syrian
opposition is an armed, terrorist opposition, as al-Assad has always asserted?
This would mean that Annan has begun to adopt the positions of al-Assad, and his
rhetoric! What is even more dangerous than all of this is that Annan wants to
continue pursuing his initiative, without putting a time limit in place, or
taking this initiative to the UN Security Council under Chapter VII of the UN
charter, which authorizes the use of military force. Without this, any new
initiative would be meaningless. However much of the suspicion surrounding
Annan’s positions disappears when we read and contemplate what was published by
the Lebanese al-Akhbar newspaper this week. The newspaper initially published
the minutes of the meeting between al-Assad and Annan, and then the next day it
issued a retraction. This is something that we have become accustomed to from
the Bashar al-Assad regime, and the newspapers affiliated to it, not to mention
the newspapers affiliated to Hezbollah in Lebanon. We would initially see
information being leaked about al-Assad’s meetings with visitors, and then
following this it would be said that this information was taken out of context
or that parties within the al-Assad regime were attempting to highlight
al-Assad’s position. However these are lies and tricks that we have become
accustomed to from the al-Assad regime. The al-Assad regime utilized this policy
when it promoted the lie of reform during the early days of its rule in
Damascus, as well as following the assassination of Rafiq Hariri, and indeed
during every recent crisis in Lebanon and Iraq. Al-Assad also utilized this
tactic with regards to his meetings with Saudi Arabian, Turkish and French
visitors recently, and others. The Lebanese al-Akhbar newspaper report depicted
Annan as if he were a student listening to his teacher, Bashar al-Assad, who was
putting forward one idea after another to him. Al-Assad appeared relaxed and
confident, whilst Annan mumbled responses and admiration. What is even worse
than this was what was reported regarding Annan’s belittling of the Syrian
opposition in Cairo, and his description of the Syrian revolutionaries as armed
terrorist groups being supported from abroad. As if massacres and crimes against
humanity are not taking place in Syria, and what is happening in the country is
not a real disaster, the report also showed the tyrant of Damascus mocking US
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and explicitly disparaging the state of
Qatar. The report also claimed that Annan participated in this. This was issued
in a report by a newspaper with well-known ties to the al-Assad regime and its
allies in Lebanon.
Therefore Annan’s position means that the situation is increasingly urgent, and
this is to save the Syrian people from Annan himself, as much as from the tyrant
of Damascus. The simple reason for this is that whilst al-Assad kills, Annan
justifies and expresses regret. This brings to mind the famous [Arab] proverb
that “if you kill one person then you must seek the help of a lawyer, but if you
kill dozens then you must seek the help of a lobby, which will carry out
propaganda campaigns on your behalf.” This is what al-Assad is doing today,
thanks to Annan’s approach.
Israel advised to brace for Syrian missile attack –
conventional or chemical
DEBKAfile Special Report July 14, 2012/As the already unthinkable pace of
slaughter in Syria accelerates further, Western military sources warned
Saturday, July 14, that not only Israel, but additional strategic targets in
Middle East lands deemed enemies by Bashar Assad should prepare for him to
launch surface-to-surface missile attacks. The assaults would start out with
conventional warheads, but as the regime continued to be hammered, the
beleaguered ruler might well arm the next round of missiles from his huge
stockpile of mustard gas - not to mention sarin nerve poison and cyanide.
Western intelligence sources say Assad has a list of targets ready to go.
Analyzing the Syrian war game taking place last week, they calculated that
Wednesday and Thursday, July 11 and 12, the Syrian army practiced shooting
missiles at strategic centers in Israel, Turkey and Jordan. But while most
Western officials now confirm that Assad has moved his WMD warheads and shells
out of storage, they are already divided on what it means. Some US officials are
soft-pedaling the menace, offering the theory that the Syrian ruler is only
safeguarding his unconventional weapons from falling into rebel – or what he
calls “terrorist” – hands. Other Western intelligence watchers, especially in
Britain, believe he is preparing a campaign of ethnic cleansing at centers of
revolt and report that chemical weapons have already been transferred to Homs,
Latakia and Aleppo for operational use. That is one game-changing predicament
facing the West. It would quickly assume a regional dimension if Turkey, Israel
and Jordan were to come under Syrian missile assault. Air and missile reprisals
against Syrian military or regime centers would carry the danger of Hizballah
retaliation from Lebanon leading to direct attacks from Iran. Before going down
that road, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Turkish Prime Minister
Tayyip Erdogan – who are not on speaking terms – would certainly confer with US
President Barack Obama.
Even then, their consultations would not necessarily lead to action. For
example, three weeks have gone by since Syria shot down a Turkish Air Force
reconnaissance jet and yet after, close consultation with Washington, the
Erdogan government was persuaded to leave the incident without response.
Administration officials explained to the Turks that covert warfare carried a
price in failure and casualties.
This US attitude might well embolden the Syrian ruler to risk his arm with
limited missile strikes against Turkey and Israel and bank on the Obama
administration twisting their leaders’ arms behind their backs to prevent them
making any serious response.
Canada Condemns Massacre in Syria
Canada Condemns Massacre in Syria
July 13, 2012 - Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird today issued the following
statement:
“Canada is appalled by reports that more than 200 Syrians have been brutally
murdered in the city of Tremseh near Hama. The use of artillery, tanks and
helicopters by Syrian security forces, confirmed by the United Nations
Supervision Mission in Syria, is evidence of the barbarity of this regime.
“The international community cannot stand by and allow these atrocities to
continue.
“Canada urges all members of the UN Security Council to come to agreement on a
resolution that will impose tough, binding economic sanctions against the
regime.
“Those countries blocking any meaningful attempt at a resolution will be held
accountable for their decisions.
“The senseless bloodshed in Syria is unconscionable. Those in a position to
influence Syria must do their part to bring about an immediate end to the
violence.
“Canada stands with the people of Syria in the face of this unspeakable horror.”
Egypt's Power Struggle and the Fate of Christians
By Aidan Clay
07/13/2012 Washington, D.C. (International Christian Concern) — In defiance of
Egypt’s top generals and highest court, Muslim Brotherhood presidential-elect
Mohammed Morsi reopened parliament on Tuesday. In only his third week in office,
Morsi’s rapid-fire pursuit to broaden the Brotherhood’s power openly challenges
the country’s ruling military council. Egypt’s Coptic Christian minority fears
that the restoration of parliament, which will grant greater powers to
Islamists, will be used to institute Sharia law and stifle religious freedoms.
On July 10, Egypt’s lower chamber, the People’s Assembly, convened despite a
ruling by the Supreme Constitutional Court on June 14 ordering the parliament’s
dissolution. Saad el-Katatni, the assembly’s speaker, told lawmakers the session
was being held to seek a “second opinion” by an appellate court in an effort to
reinstate the Islamist-dominated legislature. The court, however, did not
concede to the chamber’s request, upholding its earlier ruling that the
parliament had been elected unconstitutionally and that its dissolution was
“final and binding”.
If the parliament were to be reinstated, the Muslim Brotherhood—which holds
nearly half the seats in the Islamist-dominated assembly—would head both the
legislature and the presidency. Yet, a Brotherhood-controlled civilian
government appears to be what Egypt’s ruling generals fear most. Only a week
prior to Morsi’s announcement as president, the military announced a
constitutional declaration on June 17 that expands their control over civilian
politicians and strips the head of state of most of his powers. Morsi’s move to
defy the court ruling by reconvening parliament was not only considered to be
illegal by the military council, but also a direct challenge to the
establishment’s authority.
In a warning to the president, the military said it would support the country’s
“legitimacy, constitution and law” by upholding the court’s ruling. “[This is]
language that means [the military] will not stand by and watch the rulings of
the country's top court ignored or breached,” the Christian Science Monitor
reported.
Despite the military’s grip on power, Bret Stephens, a reporter for The Wall
Street Journal, argues that Egypt has already been “lost” to Islamists and that
a radical future, similar to what was seen in Iran’s 1979 Islamic revolution,
lingers on the horizon. “Egypt under the Brotherhood will seek to arm Hamas and
remilitarize the Sinai. By degrees, it will seek to extract concessions from the
U.S. as the price of its good behavior. By degrees, it will make radical
alliances in the Middle East and beyond.”
However, Daniel Pipes, the President of the Middle East Forum, argues the
contrary, saying that the military, not the Brotherhood, has the ultimate power
in Egypt. “Not only was the [presidential] election symbolic, but it was also
illusory, in that the military leadership scripted it,” Pipes wrote in an op-ed
for the National Review. “[Mohammed Morsi’s] job is undefined. A military coup
could brush him aside… Mohamed Tantawi is the real ruler of Egypt. Chairman of
the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), field marshal, and minister of
defense, he serves not only as the commander-in-chief but also as the effective
head of all three of Egypt’s branches of government… The [military] exploits the
Muslim Brotherhood and other proxies as its civilian fronts, a role they are
happy to play, as it has permitted the Islamists to garner an outsized
percentage of the parliamentary vote and then to win the presidency.”
Egypt’s Coptic Christian minority, who make up 10 percent of the population,
hope that Pipes is right, fearful that if the Brotherhood gains leverage over
the military, the country could quickly transition into an Islamic state.
“There is a Brotherhood strategy to work toward building an Islamic country,”
Yousef Sidhom, editor of the weekly Watani newspaper and a Coptic Church
official, told The Associated Press. He added that the Brotherhood will withhold
government positions from Christians, tax non-Muslims, and base education around
Islam.
The Brotherhood will not likely concede to pressure by the military, vowing to
“fight in the courts and the streets to reinstate the Parliament,” according to
The New York Times. Prior to the reconvening of parliament, the Brotherhood’s
Secretary-General Mahmoud Hussein called for a “million-man march” to “regain
the parliament” and denounced the military’s hold on power. A few hundred
protestors supporting the Brotherhood responded to the call in Cairo's Tahrir
Square on Monday, chanting, “We love you Morsi,” and “Down with military rule.”
“This may end being a game of 'chicken' [to see] who withdraws his decision
first,” Dr. Omar Ashour, a scholar at the Brookings Doha Center and director of
the Middle East Politics Graduate Studies Program at the University of Exeter,
told msnbc.com.
Christians and all Egyptians anticipate the power struggle, which Reuters
labeled “a war of attrition,” to be far from over. More battles lie ahead,
including the drafting of Egypt’s constitution, the right of which was stripped
from the parliament last month in a decree that authorizes the military to
appoint the body to write the document. In this confrontation for power, nothing
less than the very ideals of Egypt’s revolution—mainly that a democratically
elected government would replace the military—are at stake.