Bible Quotation for today/‘The
harvest is plentiful, but the labourers are few;
Matthew 9,36-38: "When he saw the crowds, he had
compassion for them, because they were harassed and helpless, like sheep
without a shepherd. Then he said to his disciples, ‘The harvest is
plentiful, but the labourers are few; therefore ask the Lord of the harvest
to send out labourers into his harvest.’
Latest analysis, editorials,
studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
What to expect from Egypt's Morsi/By:
Aymenn Jawad
Al-Tamimi/Ha'aretz/June 30/12
Muslim Persecution of Christians: May, 2012/By
Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/June
30/12
Robert Fisk Demonizes Mideast's Persecuted Christians/By
Raymond Ibrahim/PJ
Media/June 30/12
President
Mursi: Points of weakness and strength/By Amir Taheri/Asharq Alawsat/June
30/12
Not by Sanctions Alone: Using Intelligence and Military
Means to Bolster Diplomacy with Iran/By:Michael Eisenstadt /Washington
Institute/June
30/12
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for June
30/12
Aviation Week: Obama may use Assad’s fall to disguise Iran strike
Saudis forces mass on Jordanian, Iraqi borders. Turkey, Syria reinforce strength
International Christian Concern (ICC)/Christian Victims of Radical Hindu Attack
Discharged from Hospital
Canada Pleased with World Trade Organization Appellate Decision on United States
Country-of-Origin Labelling
Islamist Mursi is sworn in as Egypt's president
Canada Alarmed by Crackdown on Protests in Sudan
Blast hits
Damascus, Turkey sends troops to border
Syria carnage persists on eve of Geneva meet
Russia and West tussle at Syria peace talks
Russia, U.S. fail to agree on plan to end Assad's reign in Syria
Iran's UN envoy criticizes U.S., EU over nuclear talks
U.S. downplays Turkish troop moves near Syrian border
Security Sources: Hizbullah Committed to Security Plan after Losing Control over
its Supporters
Rai slams road blocking, so called 'political cover'
Lebanon: Judge freezes work on controversial construction site as debate rages
Ban cites Blue Line violations by Israel, Lebanon
Controversial preacher Sheikh Ahmad Assir vows to continue Sidon protest, army
steps up patrols
Assir plans rally, businessmen counter with demo
Assir defies calls by leaders to reopen road
Geagea Calls on Cabinet to Strike Security Chaos with 'Iron Fist'
Lebanon sucked in Syria crisis
Lebanese dies after being shot in Metn
Lebanese shepherd abducted by Israel released
Egypt’s Islamist President-elect Mohammad Mursi: No power above people power
Aviation Week: Obama may use Assad’s fall to disguise
Iran strike
DEBKAfile Special Report June 30, 2012/The new Aviation Week reports: “Evidence
is mounting that the US defense community and the Obama administration view 2013
as the likely window for a bombing attack on Iran’s nuclear and missile
facilities. It could be earlier, timed to use the chaos of the Syrian
government’s fall to disguise such an attack…”
According to the journal, “Iran’s intransigence over shutting down its
uranium-enrichment program will not buy it much more time… The tools for such an
attack are all operational” and the US is coming around to suspect that Iran has
already conducted its first nuclear test in North Korea.
Aviation Week’s report appeared after a failed attempt Friday, June 29, to
bridge US-Russian differences on Syria was made by US Secretary of State and
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in St. Petersburg. Moscow refuses to
accept any solution that would entail Bashar Assad’s removal or foreign
intervention in Damascus.
UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan is to present a proposal for a transitional
unity government to the new Action Group on Syria meeting in Geneva Saturday.
According to his plan, the government would include opposition representation
but (without mentioning Assad) exclude figures complicit in the 15-month bloody
suppression of dissent.
He had hoped that the presence at the meeting of all five UN Security Council
veto-wielders, Arab League members and Turkey would make it possible to gain
international endorsement of an agreed road map for the transition of power in
Damascus without resorting to the Security Council again. However, after the
failed St. Petersburg encounter, its chances of taking off are slim. Asked about
this, a senior US official commented: “We may get there, we may not.”
In the Middle East, the military alert declared by Saudi King Abdullah Thursday
was still in effect Saturday. Saudi forces continue to stream to the Jordanian
and Iraqi borders and Jordanian, Turkish and Syrian army units are on the move,
as debkafile reported Friday:
The Syrian crisis was Friday, June 29, on a knife edge between a
Western-Arab-Turkish military offensive in the next 48 hours and a big power
accord to ward it off. debkafile’s military sources report heavy Saudi troop
movements toward the Jordanian and Iraqi borders Thursday overnight and up until
Friday morning, June 29, after King Abdullah put the Saudi military on high
alert for joining an anti-Assad offensive in Syria. The Saudi units are poised
with tanks, missiles, special forces and anti-air batteries to enter Jordan in
two heads:
One will safeguard Jordan's King Abdullah against potential Syrian or Iranian
reprisals from Syria or Iraq.
The second will cut north through Jordan to enter southeastern Syriam, where a
security zone will be established around the towns of Deraa, Deir al-Zour and
Abu Kemal – all centers of the anti-Assad rebellion. The region is also the home
terrain of the Shammar tribe, brethren of the Shammars of the Saudi Nejd
province.
The Saudi units deployed on the Iraqi border are there to defend the kingdom
against potential incursions by Iraqi Shiite militias crossing into the kingdom
for reprisals. The Iraqi militias are well trained and armed and serve under
officers of the Iranian Al-Qods Brigades, the Revolutionary Guards’ external
arm.
Western Gulf sources report that Jordan too is on war alert.
Following the downing of a Turkish plane by Syria a week ago, Turkey continues
to build up its Syrian border units with anti-aircraft guns, tanks and missiles
towed by long convoys of trucks.
A Free Syria Army officer, Gen. Mustafa al-Sheikh, reported Friday that 170
Syrian army tanks of the 17th Mechanized Division were massed near the village
of Musalmieh northeast of Aleppo, 30 km from the Turkish border. He said they
stood ready to attack any Turkish forces crossing into Syria.
As these war preparations advanced, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
arrived in St. Petersburg Friday for crucial talks with Russian Foreign Minister
Sergey Lavrov. They meet the day before the new UN-sponsored Action Group
convenes in Geneva to discuss UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan’s latest
transition proposal for Syria. He hopes for a political settlement that will
ward off military intervention.
Invited to the meeting are the five veto-wielding UN Security Council members
plus Turkey and Arab League envoys from Qatar, Kuwait and Iraq.
Annan proposes forming a transitional national unity government in Damascus that
includes the opposition and excludes unacceptable regime members.
It was widely reported Thursday that Russia had agreed to this formula, even
though it entailed evicting Bashar Assad from power. However, Lavrov stepped in
to correct the record, stressing in reference to the Annan proposal that Moscow
would not lend its support to “any outside interference or imposition of recipes
in Syria.”
This position is doubly aimed at the intensive military movements afoot around
Syria.
Clinton and Lavrov are therefore expected to go at the Syrian issue hammer and
tongs. The outcome of their meeting will not only determine the course of the
Action Group’s discussions but, more importantly, whether the
Western-Arab-Turkish alliance goes forward with its military operation against
Syria.
US-Russian concurrence on a plan for Assad’s removal could avert the operation.
The failure of their talks would spell a worsening of the Syrian crisis and
precipitate Western-Arab military intervention, which according to military
sources in the Gulf is scheduled for launch Saturday, June 30.
Saudis forces mass on Jordanian, Iraqi borders. Turkey,
Syria reinforce strength
DEBKAfile Special Report June 29, 2012/The Syrian crisis was Friday, June 29, on
a knife edge between a Western-Arab-Turkish military offensive in the next 48
hours and a big power accord to ward it off. debkafile’s military sources report
heavy Saudi troop movements toward the Jordanian and Iraqi borders Thursday
overnight and up until Friday morning, June 29, after King Abdullah put the
Saudi military on high alert for joining an anti-Assad offensive in Syria. The
Saudi units are poised with tanks, missiles, special forces and anti-air
batteries to enter Jordan in two heads:
One will safeguard Jordan's King Abdullah against potential Syrian or Iranian
reprisals from Syria or Iraq.
The second will cut north through Jordan to enter southeastern Syriam, where a
security zone will be established around the towns of Deraa, Deir al-Zour and
Abu Kemal – all centers of the anti-Assad rebellion. The region is also the home
terrain of the Shammar tribe, brethren of the Shammars of the Saudi Nejd
province.
The Saudi units deployed on the Iraqi border are there to defend the kingdom
against potential incursions by Iraqi Shiite militias crossing into the kingdom
for reprisals. The Iraqi militias are well trained and armed and serve under
officers of the Iranian Al-Qods Brigades, the Revolutionary Guards’ external
arm.
Western Gulf sources report that Jordan too is on war alert.
Following the downing of a Turkish plane by Syria a week ago, Turkey continues
to build up its Syrian border units with anti-aircraft guns, tanks and missiles
towed by long convoys of trucks.
A Free Syria Army officer, Gen. Mustafa al-Sheikh, reported Friday that 170
Syrian army tanks of the 17th Mechanized Division were massed near the village
of Musalmieh northeast of Aleppo, 30 km from the Turkish border. He said they
stood ready to attack any Turkish forces crossing into Syria.
As these war preparations advanced, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
arrived in St. Petersburg Friday for crucial talks with Russian Foreign Minister
Sergey Lavrov. They meet the day before the new UN-sponsored Action Group
convenes in Geneva to discuss UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan’s latest
transition proposal for Syria. He hopes for a political settlement that will
ward off military intervention. Invited to the meeting are the five
veto-wielding UN Security Council members plus Turkey and Arab League envoys
from Qatar, Kuwait and Iraq.
Annan proposes forming a transitional national unity government in Damascus that
includes the opposition and excludes unacceptable regime members.
It was widely reported Thursday that Russia had agreed to this formula, even
though it entailed evicting Bashar Assad from power. However, Lavrov stepped in
to correct the record, stressing in reference to the Annan proposal that Moscow
would not lend its support to “any outside interference or imposition of recipes
in Syria.”
This position is doubly aimed at the intensive military movements afoot around
Syria.
Clinton and Lavrov are therefore expected to go at the Syrian issue hammer and
tongs. The outcome of their meeting will not only determine the course of the
Action Group’s discussions but, more importantly, whether the
Western-Arab-Turkish alliance goes forward with its military operation against
Syria.
US-Russian concurrence on a plan for Assad’s removal could avert the operation.
The failure of their talks would spell a worsening of the Syrian crisis and
precipitate Western-Arab military intervention, which according to military
sources in the Gulf is scheduled for launch Saturday, June 30.
Judge freezes work on controversial construction site as
debate rages
June 30, 2012 By Van Meguerditchian The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The judiciary stepped in Friday to resolve the controversial case of the
destruction of an ancient Phoenician port at a construction site in Beirut as
former Culture Minister Salim Wardy blamed the current minister for secretly
seeking the destruction of the ruins. After ordering a 24-hour halt Thursday on
all construction work at Plot 1398, owned by Venus construction firm, Judge
Nadim Zouein extended the freeze until next Tuesday and asked the Culture
Ministry and the Directorate General of Antiquities to state what kind of ruins
were present at the site earlier this week.
In a news conference Friday, former culture ministers Wardy, Tammam Salam and
Tarek Mitri criticized incumbent Culture Minister Gaby Layyoun’s decree 70 to
revoke a former ministerial decision that designated some 1,200 square meters of
the plot as a national archaeological site.
For his part, Layyoun said he would respond to the accusations in a separate
news conference Saturday. Wardy questioned the credibility of the archaeological
report upon which the ministry based its decision. A report prepared by Dr.
Ralph Pederson, at the request of Venus, states that the site, which was
previously believed to be an ancient Phoenician port dating back to at least 500
B.C. did not fall under the known parameters of a port or a shipyard.
Construction at Plot 1398 was stalled for more than a year following a decree
issued by Wardy in 2011, then the culture minister. Wardy’s decree was based on
the conclusions made by seven local and international archaeologists who
recommended the preservation of the site because it included the ruins of
ancient dry docks used for ship building and maintenance.
But officials at Venus told The Daily Star that Wardy had not provided enough
evidence to prove the presence of an ancient port. “Wardy and his team never
submitted clear-cut evidence that what was found in our land lot was effectively
a Phoenician port, or that [the ruins] have any historical meaning or value,”
said Hassan Jaafar, the firm’s assistant managing director. According to Jaafar,
the report prepared by Layyoun highlights errors by the archaeologists tasked by
Wardy.
During the news conference Friday, Wardy called for the establishment of a
committee of independent experts to re-examine the site in light of the
conflicting reports published by archaeologists. He said the decision to level
the land had been made in a rush and the property owner had been informed of the
decision by phone. “The property owner contacted two experts who submitted a
report to the ministry, which then adopted the report’s recommendations. This
means that all archaeological sites are in danger [in Lebanon],” Wardy said.
According to Wardy, the judge presiding over the case could not initiate urgent
measures to stop the leveling of the land because the decision to begin work had
not been formally published in the country’s Official Gazette. For his part,
Mitri asked Layyoun to provide precise and legal reasons for his decision to
press ahead with construction works.
“If a current minister needs to cancel a decision made by his predecessor, then
he needs to provide legal and technical reasons for the decision; if he doesn’t,
we have to the right to question this,” he said.
He added that archaeological experts confirmed the necessity of preserving the
site while only a single expert tasked by Layyoun had said the site did not date
to the Phoenician period.
Salam criticized Layyoun, asking: “Is this a Culture Ministry or a real estate
ministry? “This unilateral action by the minister makes me question whether the
Culture Ministry is really concerned about culture or about financial
investments,” said Salam.
Security Sources: Hizbullah Committed to Security Plan after Losing Control over
its Supporters
Naharnet/ 29 June 2012/Hizbullah is committed to the month-long security plan
that is being implemented by the state security agencies after it found itself
“unable to control its supporters and started suffering the symptoms that
affected the Palestinian resistance.”
Security sources told LBC Friday that “Hizbullah is committed to the security
plan due to the state of corrosion its environment is suffering, which has
caused chaos and lawlessness.”
Interior Minister Marwan Charbel announced Wednesday the beginning of a
one-month security plan aimed at restoring stability.
“Hizbullah is unable to control those who were considered to be its supporters,
so it threw the ball in the state’s court to accomplish this mission,” the
sources said, pointing out that several statesmen consider that the party is
showing the “Arafat syndrome that previously led the Palestinian resistance to
chaos and anarchy.”
However, the sources revealed that political parties were advised “to take
advantage of what could be described as a relatively calm situation, awaiting
the outcome of the Syrian developments.”
The sources pointed out that "all Lebanese parties informed the security
agencies of their responsiveness to the security plan, particularly in terms of
curbing all attempts to block streets.”
However, the sources acknowledged that Sheikh Ahmed al-Asir’s sit-in and
blocking of the southern entrance of Sidon city “would sabotage the relative
calm,” urging him to “reduce the intensity of his protest steps after he
delivered his message to the leaders concerned.”
Controversial preacher Sheikh Ahmad Assir vows to continue Sidon protest, army
steps up patrols
June 29, 2012/By Mohammed Zaatari The Daily Star
SIDON, Lebanon: Controversial preacher Sheikh Ahmad Assir defied a demand Friday
by leaders of this southern port city that he reopen the Sidon entrance of
Lebanon's highway, as the Lebanese Army stepped up armed patrols in the city.
"We absolutely won't open the road, not even if a decision is made by the [U.N.]
Security Council," Assir, who is protesting Hezbollah's arms, told reporters at
the site.
His remarks came shortly after a statement by local leaders in Sidon denounced
the blocking of roads and called on those using the tactic to cease and desist.
“Expressing an opinion is the right of every citizen ... but the practice of
blocking roads is not acceptable at all,” said the statement at the end of a
meeting at Sidon’s City Hall.
“We respect the opinion of he who planned the sit-in as well as its announced
goals. We have the right to freedom of expression, but without blocking roads on
others,” said the statement, which was read by former Prime Minister Fouad
Siniora.Around 150 protesters set up a tent and blocked the highway Thursday in
continuation of a protest against non-state arms that began a day earlier.Assir
swiftly hit back at Siniora. "You are afraid. But we only fear God," he said
from the protest site.“We prefer death to humiliation,” he cried. Dozens of
supporters repeated the phrase loudly after him.
“We are blocking the road on the resistance party [Hezbollah] and the Amal
Movement, which dominate the country. Why should a group of rascals block the
[Beirut] airport road?” he complained.
Turning to Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah and Amal Movement head Nabih
Berri, Assir said: “I swear to God ... through peaceful means, we will compel
you to pay the price.” He pledged to maintain the protest unless “someone
convinces us” that Hezbollah and Amal will seriously respond to efforts to
resolve the weapons' issue.
Interior Minister Marwan Charbel, who launched a monthlong law enforcement
crackdown Wednesday, was not available for comment when contacted by the Daily
Star.
“The minister is following up on security issues,” an aide to Charbel said.
Charbel had repeatedly said that while security forces can open a blocked road
in a matter of minutes he would not order them to do so for fear of bloodshed.
Assir led Friday prayers at the protest site. "I apologize to the people who
were affected by the road closure," Assir told some 700 followers who joined the
prayer.
Security sources said both the the Lebanese Army and police were increasing
patrols all over the city as a security precaution.
Egypt’s Islamist President-elect Mohammad Mursi: No power
above people power
June 30, 2012/By Shaimaa Fayed Daily Star
CAIRO: Egypt’s Islamist President-elect Mohammad Mursi took an informal oath of
office Friday before tens of thousands of supporters in Cairo’s Tahrir Square,
in a slap at the generals’ attempts to limit his power.“I swear by God that I
will sincerely protect the republican system and that I respect the constitution
and the rule of law,” Mursi said to the crowd, many of whom were followers of
his once-banned Muslim Brotherhood.“I will look after the interests of the
people and protect the independence of the nation and the safety of its
territory,” said the bearded Mursi, in an open-necked shirt and suit.
Mursi is to be sworn in officially Saturday by the constitutional court, rather
than by parliament as is usual.
The court dissolved the Islamist-dominated lower house this month in a series of
measures designed to ensure that the generals who took over from ousted ruler
Hosni Mubarak would keep a strong grip on Egypt’s affairs even after Mursi takes
power.
“There is no power above people power,” said Mursi. “Today you are the source of
this power.
“You give this power to whoever you want and you withhold it from whoever you
want.”
His defiant speech was a clear challenge to the army, which also says it
represents the will of the people.
The 60-year-old U.S.-trained engineer addressed himself to “the Muslims and
Christians of Egypt” and promised them a “civil, nationalist, constitutional
state.”
Mursi also paid homage to a militant Egyptian cleric jailed in the United
States. “I see the family of Omar Abdul-Rahman [in Tahrir],” he said. “And I see
the banners of the families of those who have been jailed by the [Egyptian]
military.” He pledged to work for the release of the prisoners, including Abdul-Rahman.
Tens of thousands of Egyptians cheered Mursi in the square that was the hub of
the anti-Mubarak uprising.
“Say it loud, Egyptians, Mursi is the president of the republic,” they chanted.
“A full revolution or nothing. Down, down with military rule. We, the people,
are the red line.”
The military council that pushed Mubarak aside on Feb. 11, 2011, has supervised
a chaotic stop-go transition since then, holding parliamentary and presidential
elections, but then effectively negating their outcome to preserve its own
power.
“Do we accept that parliament is dissolved?” cheer leaders from the
Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party asked the throng in Tahrir. “No,” the
party faithful thundered back.
Mursi was declared president last Sunday, a nerve-wracking week after a runoff
vote in which he narrowly beat former air force chief Ahmad Shafiq, who was
Mubarak’s last prime minister.
After being sworn in as the first freely elected civilian president of the most
populous Arab state Saturday, Mursi would speak at Cairo University, a
presidency statement said.
Hundreds of protesters have been camped out in Tahrir for weeks to press the
army to transfer power to civilians.
“I’m here to tell the military council that we, the people, elected parliament
so it is only us, the people, who can dissolve it,” said Intissar al-Sakka, a
teacher and FJP member.
She, like many of the women in Tahrir, was wearing a waist-length “khemar” veil
of the kind favored by Mursi’s wife.
The military council has long promised to hand over power to the next president
by July 1, but army sources said the ceremony had been postponed, without giving
a reason or a new date.
The generals have seized new powers this month, giving themselves veto rights
over the drafting of a new constitution, naming a National Defense Council to
run defense and foreign policies and decreeing their control of all military
affairs.
The military’s insistence that Mursi take his oath before the constitutional
court and his defiant riposte in Tahrir sets the stage for a protracted struggle
for power in Egypt.
Scenes at the presidential palace occupied by Mubarak for three decades
encapsulated the rise of an 84-year-old Islamist movement he had banned,
constrained and often persecuted.
Bearded men, some in white robes, others in suits, milled around the palace
while Mursi held talks Thursday with the Muslim Brotherhood’s supreme guide
Mohammad Badie and consulted clerics from the Al-Azhar seat of Islamic learning,
hard-line Salafists and independent evangelical Muslim preachers.
Many seemed dazzled by the grandeur of their surroundings or intrigued to be
walking once-forbidden halls of power.
Security guards, still there from the Mubarak era, shook their heads in frank
amazement at the bearded conclave.
After the Brotherhood’s Badie entered the gates, one said: “Good God, these men
were in prison before and wouldn’t have dared walk past the compound. Look at
them now.”
Many Egyptians swarmed around outside, hoping to meet the homespun
president-elect with grievances and petitions. Security men said it was hard to
impose order because Mursi had given instructions that people should not be
turned away.
After the talks, Mursi’s Islamist visitors at the palace in Cairo’s Heliopolis
district broke a daylong fast with hundreds of takeout meals in cardboard boxes
hauled in by palace guards from an army-owned local restaurant – one of the many
commercial interests developed by the military over the decades.
The military, the source of every previous president in the Arab republic’s
60-year history, runs business enterprises accounting for an estimated one-third
of the economy.
It does not intend to jeopardize the $1.3 billion a year it receives in military
aid from the United States to back Egypt’s 1979 peace treaty with Israel, widely
criticized by Islamists.
Mursi has said that he would respect Egypt’s international obligations and did
not want to take the country back to war.
Lebanese dies after being shot in Metn
June 30, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: A Lebanese man died Saturday after sustaining gunshots wounds while in
the Fanar area, Metn, during a drug-related altercation, security sources told
The Daily Star.
Around 10 men in their vehicles surrounded Mario George Semaan, 35, Friday night
and shot him in the stomach before fleeing the Zaetariyeh neighborhood. Semaan
succumbed to his wounds at the Abu Jawdeh Hospital at around 5 a.m. Two of his
friends, Elie Ghassan Sammara, 35, and Michel Maroun Aoun, 19, said they saw the
men shoot at Semaan but denied any knowledge of the dispute between their friend
and the shooters.During questioning, Sammara and Aoun also denied knowing the
men and said they were standing far from where the incident took place.
Not by Sanctions Alone: Using Intelligence and Military Means to Bolster
Diplomacy with Iran
Michael Eisenstadt /Washington Institute
June 28, 2012
To bolster diplomacy with Iran, the United States must intensify intelligence
operations and more actively use the military instrument to alter Tehran's
threat calculus.
With the latest round of nuclear diplomacy ending inconclusively last week, the
United States and the EU are poised to impose a new round of sanctions on Iran.
Given Tehran's large cash and gold reserves and still-substantial oil income,
however, sanctions alone may not make the regime more flexible in negotiations.
To bolster diplomacy, and thereby diminish the prospects of military
confrontation, the United States must intensify intelligence operations and use
the military instrument in ways it has not been willing to thus far.
RATCHETING UP THE PRESSURE
Since taking office, the Obama administration has been extremely reticent to
employ the military instrument in dealing with Tehran, largely to avoid
undermining nuclear diplomacy or sparking an unintended conflict. To its credit,
the administration has built up the military capabilities of U.S. allies in the
region, filled gaps in U.S. defenses in the Persian Gulf, and defined red lines
regarding the use of force. Yet these steps do not seem to have altered Tehran's
threat calculus. If diplomacy is to succeed, the United States must do just
that.
Strengthening partnerships. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has stated that
strengthened security partnerships and collective defenses are key to preventing
Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Building on the efforts of its
predecessors, the Obama administration has sought to advance these goals through
the Gulf Security Dialogue and tens of billions of dollars in planned arms sales
to Gulf Arab allies. The intent is to reassure these allies while convincing
Iran that its nuclear program will diminish, rather than enhance its security.
Tehran, however, believes that the Gulf Arab monarchies are doomed to be swept
away by the "Islamic awakening" now convulsing the region, and that their armed
forces will eventually be inherited by revolutionary Islamist regimes more
closely aligned with its own worldview. From that perspective, Gulf Arab
militaries pose no threat to Iran, so U.S. efforts to build them up have no
effect on Tehran's threat calculus.
Filling capabilities gaps. Following an internal review in 2011 that revealed
critical gaps in U.S. warfighting capabilities in the Gulf, CENTCOM ordered a
rush effort to enhance the readiness of U.S. forces there. These upgrades --
along with the dispatch of additional mine countermeasure ships and helicopters
to the region, as well as the refitting of the amphibious transport dock USS
Ponce to function as an afloat staging base for countermine and naval special
warfare operations in the Gulf -- will help U.S. forces deal with small boat,
mine, and submarine warfare threats. Yet, because none of these necessary steps
enhances America's offensive potential in the Gulf, they are unlikely to alter
Tehran's threat calculus.
Drawing red lines. President Obama and Secretary Panetta have declared that if
Iran were to begin building a nuclear weapon, the United States would use all
means at its disposal to prevent completion of the project. (They have also
warned Tehran that any attempt to block the Strait of Hormuz would prompt U.S.
military action.) Recent media reports of U.S. and Israeli cyber-spying on
Tehran have undoubtedly caused some Iranian officials to wonder whether they
could build a bomb in secret, should they decide to do so. But that may be
beside the point: because Washington has set the bar so high with its red line
concerning Tehran's nuclear program, Iran could make great progress toward
acquiring the bomb, all through overt activities, without risking U.S. military
action.
NEXT STEPS
Successful diplomacy may well depend on the administration's ability to convince
Tehran that the price of failed negotiations could be armed conflict. To make
this threat credible, Washington must first show Tehran that it is preparing for
a possible military confrontation -- whether initiated by Iran or a third
country -- and that it is willing and able to enforce its red lines regarding
freedom of navigation in the Gulf and the regime's nuclear program.
PRESSURE DAMASCUS TO UNNERVE TEHRAN
The Obama administration's understandable caution regarding the Syria crisis has
had the unfortunate side effect of convincing Tehran that Washington lacks the
resolve to deal with its nuclear challenge. To help dispel this impression,
Washington should more vigorously support the armed opposition in Syria,
Tehran's closest regional ally. The key is to provide enough support to enable
the opposition to turn the tide in Syria, yet without drawing the United States
so deeply into the crisis that it diverts resources and attention from the
Iranian nuclear issue.
BOOST READINESS
The United States should take additional steps to demonstrate that it is
preparing for a possible military confrontation with Iran, whether as a result
of an Israeli preventive strike or an Iranian provocation. For instance, it
should enhance security around embassies and military facilities, raise the
threat condition for its forces in the region, and undertake other steps that
suggest it is preparing for the kind of turmoil a confrontation with Iran might
bring. U.S. agencies and local allies should also step up surveillance of
Iranian intelligence personnel serving under diplomatic and nonofficial cover in
the region, making it more difficult for them to plan or implement retaliatory
action.
In addition, the U.S. military should increase the pace of bilateral and
multilateral exercises in the Gulf in order to demonstrate that both Washington
and the Gulf Cooperation Council are ready to confront Tehran. Acting within a
coalition framework is particularly important, as it would lend legitimacy to
any future military operation. In particular, the United States should undertake
exercises that demonstrate its ability to rapidly surge forces into the region.
Finally, Washington should publicize major milestones in the development,
production, and deployment of the upgraded 30,000-pound "massive ordnance
penetrator" bomb, currently being developed to deal with Iran's deep underground
uranium enrichment facility at Fordow.
REPOSITION GULF NAVAL FORCES
On the naval front, Washington should move the aircraft carrier that it
currently keeps on station in the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman. There, it
would be much less vulnerable to an Iranian surprise attack and much better
positioned to wage the kind of "outside-in" campaign that would provide the
least costly way to restore freedom of navigation in the Persian Gulf in the
event of confrontation. Senior Iranian officers have stated that the carrier is
a strategic prize they could hold at risk given its current location;
temporarily repositioning it would deny them a major advantage in the event of
conflict.
At the same time, to prevent Tehran from credibly claiming that it chased the
U.S. military out of the Persian Gulf, Washington should continue to maintain
other naval forces there while deploying additional strike aircraft and bombers
to the southern Gulf states and elsewhere in the region. It should also quietly
explain to allies that the carrier's repositioning is a temporary expedient
intended to better position U.S. forces to deal with a potential confrontation
with Iran.
"OUT" TEHRAN'S OPERATIVES
Should nuclear negotiations continue to languish, thereby increasing the
prospects for confrontation, the United States should do what it did in the wake
of the 1996 Khobar Towers bombing in Saudi Arabia: identify to friendly nations
any Iranian intelligence operatives serving on their soil under diplomatic or
nonofficial cover. This would hinder Iran's ability to carry out a wave of
terrorist attacks or otherwise retaliate in the event of an Israeli preventive
strike or clash in the Gulf.
All of the above steps would demonstrate that Washington believes there is
heightened potential for conflict in the Gulf while simultaneously enhancing
U.S. readiness for such an eventuality. They would also allow the administration
to avoid overtly threatening Tehran in ways that could divide the P5+1, cause
Iran to dig in its heels in order to save face, or prompt it to overreact.
CONCLUSION
If nuclear diplomacy with Tehran is to succeed, Washington must be prepared for
the kind of brinkmanship it has not engaged in since the Cold War. This means
ratcheting up pressure, while, backstopping diplomacy with preparations that
underscore its readiness for a confrontation, in order to deter Iran from
additional steps toward a nuclear breakout. To this end, Washington should
reinforce three key notions in Tehran: that the Iranian nuclear program has been
penetrated by foreign intelligence services, that the regime would not be able
to conduct a clandestine breakout without getting caught, and that if it does
try to build a nuclear weapon, the United States will destroy its nuclear
infrastructure. In this way, the administration would make clear to Tehran that
the only way to obtain sanctions relief and escape from its growing isolation is
through a diplomatic solution -- one that meets Iran's desire for peaceful
nuclear technology without allowing for the possibility of a breakout.
**Michael Eisenstadt is director of the Military and Security Studies Program at
The Washington Institute.
Lebanon sucked in Syria crisis
BBC News, Tripoli, Lebanon/By Jim Muir
Like Syria's other neighbours - Turkey, Iraq and Jordan - Lebanon has absorbed
thousands of refugees fleeing from the conflict now raging on the other side of
the border.
But unlike the other countries, Lebanon risks being plunged into sectarian
strife, possibly even civil war, by the strains inflicted on its own delicate
internal situation by the Syrian crisis.
If there is a spark that sets off a wider conflagration in the country, it is
most likely to come from Tripoli, where blood has already been spilled.
The majority of the city's 500,000 or so inhabitants are Sunnis, most of whom
naturally side with the uprising across the border in Syria, which has taken
root mainly in the country's Sunni areas.
But there is a small but tough minority of Alawites, perhaps 35,000 strong,
mainly concentrated in the hilltop Jebel Mohsen quarter.
They share the same obscure faith as the ruling clan of Bashar al-Assad in Syria
- an occult offshoot of Shia Islam - and most of them strongly support the
Syrian regime.
More than 20 people have been killed in clashes in Tripoli this year Symbols of
struggle
It is not a theoretical alliance.
During the Syrian military presence in Lebanon (from 1976 until 2005) Alawite
leaders in Tripoli worked closely with the Syrians and fought on their behalf in
various proxy battles over the years.
The main Lebanese Alawite faction, the Arab Democratic Party led by Rifaat Eid,
is strongly linked to Damascus and is widely believed to receive arms and even
instructions from the regime.
Twice already this year, there have been bouts of fighting along a civil war
front line between Jebel Mohsen and Bab al-Tebbaneh - the adjacent Sunni
district.
More than 20 people have been killed in clashes which nobody doubts were related
to the Syrian conflict, though there were conflicting recriminations.
Sunnis accused the Alawites and Damascus of stirring up the trouble to divert
attention from Syria's internal struggle and to warn the Sunnis against allowing
Tripoli to become a rear base for the Syrian rebels, which it effectively is.
Alawites accused the Sunnis of trying to impose a Salafi (fundamentalist)
emirate and of arming and financing the Syrian Sunnis. Rifaat Eid even suggested
that the only solution was to invite the Syrian army in to impose order.
Most parts of Tripoli are clearly badged with the symbols of the struggle.
In many areas, the black-white-and-green banner of the Syrian revolution
flutters, in places more prominently than Lebanon's own flag.
But in Jebel Mohsen, the posters are of Mr Assad and his father, the regime
founder Hafez al-Assad, some of them featuring Rifaat Eid.
'Civil war'
Buildings on and near Syria Street, which runs along the front line just on the
Sunni side, are pocked and battered by the various bouts of fighting.
Continue reading the main story
“Start Quote
It's just a pity to see our city again having to pay for the wars of others”
End Quote
Samer Annous
Lebanese university lecturer
People here are in no two minds about who is to blame.
"Every time we open up and try to work, they shoot at us again, so people close
down again and run away," said Imad, a coffee shop owner.
"It's all down to Bashar al-Assad. He promised that if Syria doesn't have
security, he'll set fire to the whole Middle East. Now he's started with
Lebanon, then it'll be Iraq, Jordan, Turkey.
"He's killing more than 100 of his own people every day. We're with the people
who are being killed for no reason," Imad added.
There are widespread fears that more clashes between Alawites and Sunnis in
Tripoli could spread along the sectarian and political fault lines that run
through the country.
The Alawites may be a small minority, but they are connected to a Syrian-backed
alliance which includes the Shia factions Hezbollah and Amal, as well as some
Christian groups - among them the northern warlord Suleiman Franjieh in nearby
Zgharta.
"All the elements of a civil war are present," said Samer Annous, a university
lecturer and civil society activist.
"Poverty, rage among many people over things that are happening in Syria,
sectarian divisions, corruption in government, the total collapse of the whole
system.
"It's just a pity to see our city again having to pay for the wars of others,
regional powers including the Gulf states and the Syrians," Mr Anbnous said.
Hezbollah's role
There is a widespread perception that a proxy struggle is already taking place,
with Saudi Arabia and Qatar pouring funds into Tripoli through a proliferation
of Salafi Islamist groups which have become increasingly active on the ground.
"It seems that there is a kind of competition between Qatar and Saudi Arabia to
control the Sunni street in Lebanon, and especially in Tripoli," said Ziad al-Ayyoubi,
another civil society activist.
"This is also directly related to the Syrian revolution. Qatar is the lead
country in the Gulf supporting the Syrian rebels. It seems that it is using
Tripoli and north Lebanon to get access to Syria. There are a lot of expensive
new weapons on the front line here, and they're not left over from the civil
war."
One of the best-known Salafi leaders in Tripoli, Shaikh Daai al-Islam al-Shahhal,
also stressed the regional dimensions of the struggle.
"The end of the criminal regime in Syria is absolutely inevitable," he said.
"That will deal a huge blow to the Safavid [Iranian] project of which it is a
cornerstone. It will shake the Iranian and Iraqi regimes, and the allies of the
Syrian regime in Lebanon."
Chief among those allies is Hezbollah, the most powerful force in Lebanon,
including the Lebanese army.
Hezbollah's reaction to a Syrian collapse would set the frame for what happens
next in Lebanon.
Mr Shahhal said he believed a conflict was not inevitable.
"I think some voices within Hezbollah organisation will call for preemptive
steps to overturn the table in Lebanon in security terms."
"But there will also be wiser and more aware voices, which may prevail, arguing
that Hezbollah should adjust to the new Lebanese reality, and content itself
with being one of the effective political parties in Lebanon. "If they turn back
[from the Iranian project], there would be no problems between them and us," Mr
Shahhal said.
Hezbollah has so far been extremely restrained in its attitudes on the ground in
Lebanon, while strongly supporting the Assad regime politically.
There is no impression at present that it is spoiling for a fight, and when 11
Lebanese Shia pilgrims were abducted by Sunni rebels in northern Syria two
months ago - they are still being held - it discouraged its supporters from
making trouble to press for their release.
But one man who believes civil war is already here is Hussein Ali, an
88-year-old Alawite shopkeeper who has lived in Tripoli all his life.
One of his shops was recently attacked and smashed by Sunni thugs who he
believed belonged to organised Salafi groups, part of a campaign that has sent
many Alawites fleeing from mixed areas.
But he refuses to be intimidated, and has reopened. He is fiercely critical of
the local Alawite leaders, who he believes are encouraging their followers on a
suicidal course.
"The Alawite community here is small - they'll get swallowed up like candy," he
said. "When the politics change, and the support from Syria goes, Hezbollah's
influence will go too. The Alawites here seem to believe the Assad family in
Syria is there forever. They've made a mistake. But that doesn't mean they
deserve to be killed."
Russia, U.S. fail to agree on plan to end Assad's reign
in Syria
Hillary Clinton and the Russian Foreign Minister also discuss the serious risk
of destabilizing Jordan and the potential impact on Israel.
By The Associated Press | Jun.30, 2012 /Secretary of State Hillary Rodham
Clinton, center right, and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, center left,
sit down for dinner, Friday, June 29, 2012ץ Photo by AP Text size Comments (0)
Print Page Send to friend Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share this story is
byThe Associated Press related tagsUS Russia Syria Bashar Assad The United
States and Russia failed on Friday to bridge differences over a plan to ease
Syrian President Bashar Assad out of power, end violence and create a new
government, setting the stage for the potential collapse of a key multinational
conference that was to have endorsed the proposal.
On the eve of Saturday's conference, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham
Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov met one-on-one for about an
hour in St.-Petersburg, Russia, but could not reach agreement on key elements of
U.N. envoy Kofi Annan's proposed plan for a Syrian political transition,
officials said. They also discussed the "serious risk" of destabilizing Jordan
and the potential impact on Israel. A senior U.S.¬ official traveling with
Clinton said areas of "difference and difficulty" remain and was not optimistic
that the gathering in Geneva would produce agreement. "We may get there
tomorrow, we may not," the official told reporters as Clinton left Russia for
Switzerland, where she arrived early Saturday morning.
The official said Clinton and Lavrov would try to resolve differences in Geneva
out of respect for Annan, the former U.N. chief whose efforts to end the Syrian
crisis have thus far fallen short.
The inconclusive results of the Clinton-Lavrov meeting may presage the
unraveling of Annan's plan to end 16 months of brutal violence in Syria by
creating a national unity government to oversee the drafting of a new
constitution and elections. The United States and its allies attending the
conference are adamant that the plan will not allow Assad to remain in power as
part of the transitional government, but Russia insists that outsiders cannot
dictate the composition of the interim administration or the ultimate solution
to the crisis. "[We] agreed to look for an agreement that will bring us closer
based on a clear understanding of what's written in the Annan plan that (all)
sides in Syria need an incentive for a national dialogue," Lavrov said after
meeting Clinton, according to the Interfax news agency.
"But it's only up to the Syrians to make agreements on what the Syrian state
will be like, who will hold (government) jobs and positions," he said. Lavrov
predicted the meeting had a "good chance" of finding a way forward. "But I am
not saying that we will agree on every dot." But failing to agree on every dot
may well be the plan's undoing, particularly if Russia refuses to except the
implicit demand that Assad leave power. Annan on Friday laid out his
expectations for the conference in an op-ed in The Washington Post that tracked
very closely to the draft of his proposed plan, according to diplomats familiar
with it. The future government in Syria, he said, "must include a government of
national unity that would exercise full executive powers."
This government could include members of the present government and the
opposition and other groups, but those whose continued presence and
participation would undermine the credibility of the transition and jeopardize
stability and reconciliation would be excluded," Annan said. Such a proposal
does not explicitly bar Assad, but the U.S.¬ and other Western powers that will
participate in the conference said that is obvious and that the Syrian
opposition will not sign on to the plan unless it excludes Assad. The senior
official said Clinton and Lavrov also discussed the real danger for the region
if the uprising in Syria that has killed some 14,000 people doesn't end
peacefully. Already, Syria has shot down a Turkish warplane and Turkey has
responded by setting up anti-aircraft guns on its border with Syria.
On Friday, Syrian troops shelled a suburb of Damascus, killing an estimated 125
civilians and 60 soldiers. Russia is Syria's most important ally, protector and
supplier of arms. Diplomatic hopes have rested on persuading Russia to agree to
a plan that would end the Assad family dynasty, which has ruled Syria for more
than four decades.
Iran's UN envoy criticizes U.S., EU over nuclear talks
Says excluding Iran from talks on Syria was not in the interest of those
attempts to resolve the crisis.
By Reuters | Jun.30, 2012 | 3:17 AM
EU Foreign Policy Chief Catherine Ashton meeting with Iran’s chief negotiator
Saeed Jalili in Moscow this week. Photo by Reuters Text size Comments (0) Print
Page Send to friend Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share this story is
byReuters related tagsIran US EU Syria related articlesEU officials: Iran shows
flexibility, agrees to discuss nuclear proposal in MoscowBy Reuters |
Jun.30,2012 | 3:17 AM | 7 With Russian and Chinese backing, Iran continues to
play toughBy Anshel Pfeffer | Jun.30,2012 | 3:17 AM Western powers negotiating
with Iran over its nuclear program have not been "serious enough" in their
attempts to resolve an escalating stand-off with the Islamic Republic, Tehran's
UN envoy said on Friday.
Iran held what officials said were intense talks in Moscow earlier this month
with the five permanent UN Security Council members and Germany - the so-called
P5+1 - about its nuclear program, but a breakthrough once again failed to
materialize. "It is clear for us that some members of the P5+1 for whatever
reasons ... are not forthcoming and serious enough for finding a solution,"
Iranian Ambassador Mohammad Khazaee said in a statement to reporters at the
Iranian mission. "If the talks do not proceed as it should be, we are going to
have another stand-off," he said. "The USA and some Europeans have said they are
going to increase their pressure and sanctions against us, and this ...
indicates that they are not willing to engage with us in a meaningful dialogue."
Iran has been in a decade-long dispute with Western powers and their allies over
its nuclear program, which they suspect is aimed at developing the capability to
produce nuclear weapons. Tehran denies the charge. The Moscow talks followed two
rounds of negotiations since talks with Iran resumed in April after a 15-month
hiatus during which the West cranked up sanctions pressure and Israel repeated
threats to bomb Iranian nuclear sites if diplomacy failed to prevent Tehran from
developing a nuclear bomb.
Iranian officials have repeatedly insisted on an easing of sanctions and an
acknowledgment of the country's right to enrich uranium, conditions that the
United States and the European Union have not accepted. Khazaee reiterated those
demands on Friday.
Khazaee also touched on the 16-month conflict in Syria, where the United States
and the EU have accused Iran of providing military support to President Bashar
Assad in his assault on an increasingly militarized opposition. The Iranian
diplomat indicated that Tehran's exclusion from Geneva negotiations of major
world powers and key regional players organized by international mediator Kofi
Annan on Syria was not in the interest of those attempts to resolve the crisis.
"They have to take into consideration the power and influence of Iran in the
region," Khazaee said. 'Illegitimate means' Khazaee reiterated comments from
Iran's chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili in a letter to EU foreign policy
chief Catherine Ashton against adopting "unconstructive measures" - a clear
reference to new sanctions - that harm negotiations over Tehran's nuclear
program. He distributed to reporters an English translation of Jalili's letter -
Iranian state television reported about it on Thursday.
"There is no doubt that any gesture which damages the confidence-building
process would be counterproductive," Jalili wrote, adding that "those who
replace logic with illegitimate means in the talks shall be accountable for any
damage to the productive process of the talks."
An EU embargo on Iranian oil takes full effect on July 1. Iran's crude oil
exports have fallen by some 40 percent this year, according to the International
Energy Agency.
Four UN Security Council resolutions since 2006 have demanded Iran suspend all
its enrichment-related activities due to concerns about the nature of the
nuclear program. Tehran has refused to suspend enrichment, arguing that it is a
sovereign right guaranteed under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
U.S. downplays Turkish troop moves near Syrian border
By Reuters | Jun.30, 2012/
A Turkish official on Thursday described the movement as a precaution after
Syrian air defenses shot down a Turkish warplane a week ago.Turkish military
trucks carrying missile batteries in the center of Hatay, Turkey, on June 28,
2012. Photo by AFP Text size Comments (0) Print Page Send to friend Share on
Facebook Share on Twitter Share this story is byReuters related articlesTurkey's
maneuvers near Syria borders: Flexing muscles, not declaring warBy Zvi Bar'el |
Jun.30,2012 | 3:30 AM U.S. defense chiefs on Friday downplayed Turkey's
deployment of troops and military vehicles toward its border with Syria, saying
the movements didn't appear aimed at escalating tensions with Syrian President
Bashar Assad. A Turkish official on Thursday described the movement as a
precaution after Syrian air defenses shot down a Turkish warplane a week ago.
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta noted that Turkey has maintained troops
along the border. "And I wouldn't read too much into the movements that have
been in the press," Panetta told reporters at the Pentagon. Army General Martin
Dempsey, chairman of the U.S. military's Joint Chiefs of Staff, added that "I
wouldn't read that as provocative in any way." Dempsey, who recently spoke with
his Turkish counterpart, General Necdet Ozel, added: "You'd probably have to ask
the Turks. I've asked them and they are not seeking to be provocative."
Commenting on his conversation with Ozel, Dempsey said: "He's taking a very
measured approach to the incident. So he and I are staying in contact."
Turkish commanders on Friday inspected missile batteries deployed in the border
region, seen as a graphic warning to Assad after last Friday's shoot-down of the
Turkish plane.
Regional analysts said that while neither Turkey nor its NATO allies appeared to
have any appetite to enforce a formal no-fly zone over Syrian territory, Turkish
Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan had made it clear Assad would be risking what he
called the 'wrath' of Turkey if its aircraft strayed close to its borders.
Erdogan told a rally in the eastern city of Erzurum on Friday, broadcast by
Turkish television: "We will not hesitate to teach a lesson to those who aim
heavy weapons at their own people and at neighboring countries." The Turkish
border region is sheltering more than 33,000 Syrian refugees as well as elements
of the rebel Free Syrian Army.
President Mursi: Points of weakness and strength
By Amir Taheri/Asharq Alawsat
I told you so,” an Egyptian acquaintance said over the telephone moments after
Muhammad Mursi had been declared as winner of the country’s first credible
presidential election. “It was either us or them.”
Proceeding with his mocking tone, my interlocutor repeated the claim made by
Egypt’s ruling elite for six decades that the alternative to rule by the
military would be a dictatorship dominated by the Muslim Brotherhood. Egypt’s
successive dictators claimed that they provided the country and the region with
stability.
I never shared that analysis because what they produced was not stability but
stagnation. I believed that, given a chance, Egypt had the potential to develop
options other military rule or domination by the Brotherhood.
Even then, the fact that tomorrow Mursi will be sworn in as Egypt’s first truly
elected president must be rated as good news.
The military elite and its business associates have a record stretching back six
decades. On balance, that record is a negative one. Under their rule, Egypt was
condemned to under-achievement, to say the least. The Brotherhood, on the other
hand, has no record in government. It would, therefore, be unfair to condemn it
on the basis of assumed intentions. Of course, once in government, the
Brotherhood may well end up doing a great deal of mischief. However, it is fair
to remember that they haven’t done so yet.
Mursi starts his presidency with several points of strength.
First of these is his democratic legitimacy. The elections were generally free
and clean with the results accepted by all concerned. The election campaign,
fought in two rounds, allowed for a range of views to be put on the market.
Mursi won because he was able to produce a broader synthesis of those views than
his run-off rival Ahmad Shafiq.
Mursi’s second point of strength is that his presidency comes in the context of
a broader historic movement that is reshaping Arab politics across the region.
In other words, his victory is not a freakish trick of history.
Finally, Mursi may have yet another point of strength: his moderate temperament
and penchant for pragmatism.
Judging by his statements over the years he seems to have learned a great deal
from the Turkish experience in which a new generation of Islamists, led by Recep
Tayyib Erdogan, developed the concept of coexistence between a religious society
and a secular state.
Inevitably, Mursi also has points of weakness.
The first is the narrowness of his victory.
In the first round of voting he collected around 25 per cent of the votes in a
turnout of 42 per cent. In other words, only 11 per cent of the total electorate
voted for him. In the second round he collected just over 51 per cent in a
turnout of 51 per cent which means that he attracted only a quarter of eligible
voters. In other words, 75 per cent of the electorate did not vote for him.
The narrowness of Mursi’s victory does not undermine his legitimacy. In
political terms, however, it limits his options.
Mursi’s second point of weakness is the confusion that the Supreme Council of
the Armed Forces (SCAF), the country’s interim authority, has spun around the
function of the presidency.
Perhaps, Egypt would have done better to get a new constitution before holding
presidential elections.
The establishment of a new constitution and the election of a new parliament
within the next year or so, as SCAF has promised, could produce a new vision of
the presidential function. In other words, within a year or so, Egypt could face
another presidential election under a new constitution.
Many in Egypt want to replace the presidential system with one in which
executive power is exercised by a prime minister answerable to the national
assembly. The reason is that a presidential system is more vulnerable to the
emergence of dictatorial temptations.
More importantly, perhaps, Mursi’s relationship with the Brotherhood may also be
a point of weakness.
I don’t agree with those who mocked Mursi as “the fifth wheel”. History is full
of instances in which “second choices” emerged as strong leaders.
Who could have imagined that poor old Claudius would one day become Emperor of
Rome and outclass many of his predecessors? And who would have thought that
Harry Truman, “the grocer from Missouri”, would become one of the strongest
presidents in US history? And what about Georges Pompidou, dismissed as “that
schoolteacher from Auvergne”, who succeeded General de Gaulle and became the
most successful president of the French Fifth Republic?
Some Egyptian friends dismiss Mursi as “Khairat al-Shater’s man”. In politics,
however, nobody is anybody’s man, and biting the hand that feeds you is
routinely practiced. So, I don’t believe that Mursi would be on the telephone to
Shater asking for instructions. Shater, of course, may now make a deal with the
generals to develop a prime ministerial, rather than a presidential system, in
the hope that he himself with get the premiership. However, that would be
legitimate political manoeuvre and need not affect Mursi’s position at least
during the transition.
Nevertheless, sandwiched between SCAF and the Brotherhood, Mursi, who lacks his
own organisational base, still faces a tough ride.
Of course, if he has time to seize effective control of the state machinery he
would need neither SCAF nor the Brotherhood.
But will he have the time needed?
It is in everyone’s interest that the transition presided over by Mursi
succeeds. A stable Egypt in which the state and the people are not at war
against each other would be in everyone’s interest. Mursi’s election offers a
chance. It should not be missed.
Christian Victims of Radical Hindu Attack Discharged from
Hospital
Perpetrators Still At Large
Washington, D.C. (June 28, 2012)-International Christian Concern (ICC) has
learned that three victims of a recent attack against Christians in Assam,
India, have been released from the hospital. ICC sources are reporting that
riots in the city and nearby villages were brought under control via police and
the government lock-down of nearby villages. However, the perpetrators of these
attacks have not been brought to justice.
On June 9th, forty Hindu radicals broke into the home of Manesor Rabha, a
Christian convert from Hinduism. Manesor’s wife, Mala Rabha, along with Michael
and Prashanto Rabha, were threatened by the radicals who wanted them to recant
their faith. When the Christians refused, ICC sources say the radicals “beat
them with their hands, feet and flashlights all the while abusing them with
filthy language.” When the victims were taken to the hospital, rioters began
breaking into the homes of Christians to beat them and steal their belongings,
including livestock. Out of fear, families fled to the surrounding jungle to
hide.
Manesor lodged a complaint, First Information Response (FIR), with the police,
asking for an investigation against the perpetrators who attacked his wife,
Mala. ICC sources confirm that since lodging the FIR, which requires the police
to investigate, Manesor has received threats from local Hindus demanding he
withdraw the FIR. Manesor and Mala, unwilling to withdraw the complaint, are
unable to return home. They fear being beaten once again, this time for
reporting the crimes committed against them.
ICC sources say that the police are investigating the attack, but have made no
arrests at this time. Nor have they responded to the threats Manesor and Mala
have received for filing the FIR.
Corey Bailey, ICC Regional Manager for Asia, said, “We are concerned for the
safety of the victims and implore the government to provide them protection from
those threatening them. Furthermore, we urge the police to do an actual
investigation and bring the perpetrators to justice.”
Please call the Indian embassy in your country and politely ask Indian officials
to bring the perpetrators of this attack to justice and provide protection for
the Rabha’s.
USA: (202) 939-7000 [Phone] (202) 265-4351 [Fax]
Canada: (613) 744-3751 [Phone] hicomind@hciottawa.ca
UK: 020 7836 8484 [Phone] att.pni@hcilondon.in
Canada Alarmed by Crackdown on Protests in Sudan
June 29, 2012 - Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird today issued the following
statement:
“Canada is concerned by the response of security forces to protests that have
escalated in Khartoum and other cities in Sudan over the last 10 days.
“We condemn the arrests of bloggers, journalists and political activists that
have taken place over the last week and call for their immediate release.
“The Government of Sudan must immediately halt all violence.
“We impress upon the government the importance of carrying out a genuine and
inclusive reform process that addresses the true needs and interests of the
Sudanese people.”
Canada is a key player in a concerted international effort to foster a just and
lasting peace in Sudan and South Sudan. Since 2006, Canada has made significant
contributions toward peace, humanitarian assistance, development aid, security
and peacebuilding, including through the strategic deployment of military
personnel and Canadian police to peace-support operations in both countries.
For more information on Canada’s contributions to Sudan, please consult Canada’s
Approach.
Canada Pleased with World Trade Organization Appellate Decision on United States
Country-of-Origin Labelling
Appeal decision agrees with findings in favour of Canadian livestock industry,
farm families and North American economies that COOL is discriminatory
June 29, 2012 - Agriculture Minister Gerry Ritz, International Trade
Parliamentary Secretary Gerald Keddy and Minister of State for Western Economic
Diversification and Member of Parliament for Blackstrap Lynne Yelich today met
with livestock producers and processors in Dundurn, Saskatchewan, to welcome a
victory for Canada’s livestock industry. The World Trade Organization (WTO)
Appellate Body confirmed today that the United States Country-of-Origin
Labelling (COOL) measure discriminates against Canadian livestock and is
inconsistent with the WTO trade obligations of the United States.
“We are pleased with today’s World Trade Organization appeal decision in favour
of our livestock industry,” said Minister Ritz. “Our government has always stood
with our cattle and hog producers, in order to create a stronger and more
profitable integrated North American livestock industry.”
COOL is a mandatory United States labelling measure that forced the livestock
industry in Canada and other countries to implement a burdensome labelling and
tracking system. When the United States implemented COOL in 2008, the impact on
the Canadian livestock industry was immediately negative. Between 2008 and 2009,
exports to the United States of Canadian feeder cattle declined 49 percent and
exports of slaughter hogs declined 58 percent. COOL led to the disintegration of
the North American supply chain, created unpredictability in the market and
imposed additional costs on producers on both sides of the border.
“We are very pleased with today’s decision,” said Parliamentary Secretary Keddy.
“We will continue to engage with our U.S. partners to ensure trade can move more
freely and benefit producers and processors on both sides of the border. That is
why we are asking the United States to respect its international trade
obligations and comply with the outcome of the World Trade Organization
findings.”
Canada and the United States enjoy the largest bilateral trading relationship in
the world, with two-way trade in goods and services reaching almost $709 billion
last year. Agriculture and agri-food bilateral merchandise trade accounted for
$43 billion in 2011. Reducing obstacles to trade contributes to mutually
beneficial supply chains, making both countries more competitive domestically
and internationally. All told, the jobs of over 8 million Americans depend on
trade with Canada, and over 2.4 million Canadian jobs depend on exports to the
United States.
For the full findings and for more information on the World Trade Organization
dispute settlement process, please visit WTO Appellate Body issues report on
U.S. “country of origin” disputes and Dispute settlement.
- 30 -
A backgrounder follows.
For further information, media representatives may contact:
Rudy Husny
Press Secretary
Office of the Honourable Ed Fast
Minister of International Trade and Minister for the Asia-Pacific Gateway
613-992-7332
Meagan Murdoch
Director of Communications
Office of the Honourable Gerry Ritz
Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food
613-773-1059
Trade Media Relations Office
Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada
613-996-2000
Follow us on Twitter: @Canada_Trade
Media Relations
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
613-773-7972
1-866-345-7972
Backgrounder - World Trade Organization Trade Dispute on United States
Country-of-Origin Labelling
On June 29, 2012, the World Trade Organization Appellate Body released its
report on the United States Country-of-Origin-Labelling (COOL) measure. It
confirms that the U.S. COOL measure discriminates against Canadian livestock.
However, the appeal decision found that there was not enough evidence to
determine whether the COOL measure is more trade restrictive than necessary.
Timeline
On September 30, 2008, the COOL measure was implemented by the United States
through an Interim Final Rule. The Final Rule came into force on March 16, 2009.
On December 1, 2008, Canada initially requested World Trade Organization
consultations with the United States.
On December 16, 2008, consultations were held, with the participation of Mexico.
On February 20, 2009, U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack issued a letter
to industry requesting that they comply with stricter guidelines than those
found in the Final Rule.
On June 5, 2009, Canada held a further round of consultations with the United
States on COOL. The consultations did not resolve the issue.
On October 7, 2009, Canada requested a World Trade Organization panel and, on
November 19, 2009, the panel was established.
Throughout 2010, legal submissions were made to the panel and two oral hearings
took place in Geneva.
On July 29, 2011, the World Trade Organization panel provided its final report
to the parties to the dispute on a confidential basis.
On November 18, 2011, the World Trade Organization panel released its final
report determining that the United States COOL measure discriminates against
foreign livestock, does not fulfill its stated objective and that the letter
sent from Secretary Vilsack to industry was an unreasonable administration of
the COOL measure. Thus, COOL is inconsistent with the United States’ World Trade
Organization trade obligations.
On March 23, 2012, the United States appealed several findings in the panel’s
report.
What to expect from Egypt's Morsi
by Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi/Ha'aretz
June 29, 2012
http://www.meforum.org/3274/egypt-morsi
What to make of Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Morsi's election as
president of Egypt? What seems to be the most likely outcome is something
analogous to the "constitutional settlements" of the early Roman Empire. That
is, the military, like the Emperor Augustus in antiquity, will entrust to itself
management of foreign policy, while granting Morsi (and a parliament, if new
elections are allowed) - akin to the Senate in Rome - considerable autonomy with
regards to the direction of domestic affairs, even as the military has assumed
control over the drafting of the constitution.
Indeed, such a settlement would work well for the military, because, despite its
extensive control of the economy, the burden of resolving the economic crisis
would ultimately rest in Morsi's hands. Currently, as Reuters reports, the
country's depleted foreign reserves can only cover "three months of import
coverage," while the local currency debt has increased to 600 billion Egyptian
pounds ($99 billion), up from 500 billion before the unrest began in January
2011.
The International Monetary Fund has indicated that a $3.2 billion loan will only
be granted if the country gets its finances in order, but the prospects of such
a resolution appear to be bleak. Having Morsi take responsibility, therefore,
can prove useful in directing potential civilian anger away from the military.
On the other hand, the perception of a settlement between the military and the
president could help to attract foreign investment.
With the military managing foreign policy, the chances of a full-blown war
between Egypt and Israel are slim, despite bellicose rhetoric emanating from
some quarters of the Muslim Brotherhood calling for the liberation of Jerusalem
and establishment of a "United Arab States." For one thing, Egypt lacks the
means to launch and sustain a war against Israel. At the same time, however, one
should not expect Egyptian firmness in dealing with rocket fire against the
Jewish state or militant activity in the Sinai Peninsula.
In fact, one could well see the military adopt an approach toward militancy not
dissimilar to the methods of the Pakistani security forces: that is, targeting
those perceived to pose a direct threat to Egypt's stability, while lacking
resolve at best, and at worst playing a double game with other militants in
order to continue receiving U.S. aid.
As for the domestic scene, it is probable that the Islamization trend that has
been apparent over the past five or so decades will not only continue but could
also accelerate. When the likes of Hosni Mubarak were in charge, the arrangement
was such that Islamist ideology was allowed to disseminate at ground level. Now
that Egypt has an elected Islamist president, it is to be expected that
sentiments on the ground will only become more hard-line.
Although it is easy to dismiss outlandish claims that Morsi wants to reinstate
the discriminatory jizya poll tax - essentially the equivalent of a Mafia
protection racket - on Christians (the report is an uncorroborated rumor that
can be traced to one obscure Arabic website), there is evidence that he would
like to restrict the rights of non-Muslim minorities and women. Just under half
of voters chose Ahmed Shafiq, but that will not act as a firm barrier against a
gradualist approach to implementing Islamic law that many in the Brotherhood see
as the ideal strategy to adopt.
In an interview with Jeffrey Goldberg in the Atlantic magazine last year, Morsi
made it clear that neither he nor the Brotherhood could tolerate the idea of a
Christian or woman running for the presidency of Egypt.
While much has been made of a recent announcement by an advisor to Morsi that
there are plans to appoint a Copt and a woman as vice-presidents, it should be
appreciated that such positions are likely to be no more than symbolic. In fact,
problems of discrimination against non-Muslims and women will in all likelihood
only worsen under Morsi's presidency. Further, the spike in Salafist mob attacks
on Coptic churches since the ousting of Mubarak - attacks usually sparked by the
flimsiest rumors and trivialities - is unlikely to subside, and the authorities
will probably continue to do nothing about it.
In the long run, chaos and instability are most likely to dominate the country's
future. Unlike Iran, which has, since the mid-1980s, implemented a major family
planning program that has dramatically slowed population growth, Egypt's
population (83 million as of October 2011) continues to grow. It could reach 100
million by 2020, with more than 99 percent of the population living on an area
of land around the Nile only 2.5 times the size of Israel.
Even assuming Egypt can escape from its current economic crisis, there is no
sign its economy can keep up with the pace of population growth even to sustain
present standards of living. The Muslim Brotherhood and other Egyptian Islamists
have on past occasions denounced family planning as a Western conspiracy to keep
the number of Muslims in the world in check. They have shown no intention of
implementing a program to reduce the birth rate.
Egypt is unlikely to become a "Somalia on the Nile" as economist and columnist
David P. Goldman has predicted, but in the long-term, internal stability is a
remote possibility.
Update from June 29, 2012: Concerning Egypt's economy and the Muslim
Brotherhood's plans, Martin Kramer summarizes the situation well:
The Muslim Brotherhood is in a bind, because it has to deliver. For the masses
of people who voted for the Muslim Brotherhood, the revolution wasn't about
democracy and freedom. It was about bread and social justice.
The Brotherhood has a so-called "Renaissance" plan for the overhaul of the
Egyptian economy. I won't pretend to judge its feasibility. Could modernization
of tax collection double or triple tax revenues? Can Egypt double the number of
arriving tourists, even while contemplating limits on alcohol and bikinis? Can a
renovation of the Suez Canal raise transit revenues from $6 billion a year to
$100 billion? Can Egypt's economy surpass the economies of Turkey and Malaysia
within seven years? These are all claims made at various times by the economic
thinkers of the Muslim Brotherhood, who trumpet Egypt's supposed potential for
self-sufficiency.
To these big promises, one can add Morsi's pledge to tackle congestion problems
within the first 100 days of his time in office.
Kramer goes on to suggest that the Brotherhood will try to solicit aid from Gulf
Arabs and the West, drawing attention to remarks made by Khairat El-Shater, the
deputy supreme guide of the Brotherhood, back in February, when he "strongly"
advised Europeans and Americans to "support Egypt during this critical period as
compensation for the many years they supported a brutal dictatorship."
However, the question of the Brotherhood's relations with the U.S. and the West
at large is a tricky issue. It should not be forgotten that the Islamists have
spent the past thirty years attacking Mubarak and the establishment for
supposedly being too close to the U.S. and the West, and the popular sentiment
in Egypt is deeply anti-American.
That the military will continue to receive Western aid is almost certain, but
Kramer correctly notes that the Brotherhood is trumpeting an image of
self-reliance. A perception of economic dependence on America and the West could
backfire on the Brotherhood. This is not like the North Korean regime that has a
philosophy of autarky but can portray its reliance on foreign aid as tribute to
the greatness of the nation.
As for the Gulf Arabs, let's just say that they have frequently proven
themselves to be remarkably stingy when it comes to helping Muslim brothers in
need. Saudi Arabia in particular is still angered by the 'betrayal' of Mubarak
(hence its uncompromising stance on Bahrain).
* * *
Fawaz A. Gerges appears to agree with my idea of a "constitutional settlement"
along the lines of the early Principate but with unfounded optimism proclaims:
After decades of persecution and incarceration, what is unfolding today clearly
shows the weight and influence of the Muslim Brothers, most of whom are centrist
and modernist and accept democratic values, in shaping the political future of
their society…Arab Islamists are traveling a similar path as did the Christian
fundamentalists and later the Christian Democrats and Euro-communists in Western
Europe who in the 20th century subordinated ideology to interests and political
constituencies.
As Jonathan Schanzer aptly comments on Twitter: "Fawaz Gerges just slobbers all
over the Brotherhood here. Behold, the personification of MidEast studies
failures today."
*Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi is a student at Brasenose College, Oxford University,
and an adjunct fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Muslim Persecution of
Christians: May, 2012
By Raymond Ibrahim
Originally published by the
Gatestone Institute
June 29, 2012
http://www.raymondibrahim.com/11930/muslim-persecution-of-christians-may-2012
Unlike those nations, such as Saudi Arabia, that have eliminated Christianity
altogether, Muslim countries with significant Christian minorities saw much
persecution during the month of May: in Egypt, Christians were openly
discriminated against in law courts, even as some accused the nation's new
president of declaring that he will "achieve the Islamic conquest of Egypt for
the second time, and
make all Christians convert to Islam"; in
Indonesia, Muslims threw bags of urine on Christians during worship; in Kashmir
and Zanzibar, churches were set aflame; and in Mali
Christianity "faces being eradicated."
Elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa—in Nigeria, Somalia, Kenya, Sudan, the Ivory
Coast—wherever Islam and Christianity meet, Christians are being killed,
slaughtered, beheaded and even crucified. Categorized by theme, May's assemblage
of Muslim persecution of Christians around the world includes (but is not
limited to) the following accounts, listed in alphabetical order by country, not
severity. Note: Because Pakistan had the lion's share of persecuted Christians
last month, it has its own section below, covering the entire gamut of
persecution—from apostasy and blasphemy to rape and forced conversions.
Church Attacks
Indonesia saw several church-related attacks:
France: Prior to celebrating mass, "four youths, aged 14 to 18, broke into the Church of St. Joseph, before launching handfuls of pebbles at 150 faithful present at the service." They were chased out, though "the parishioners, many of whom are elderly, were greatly shocked by the disrespectful act of the youths of North African origin."
Kashmir: A Catholic church made entirely of wood was partially destroyed after unknown assailants set it on fire. "What happened is not an isolated case," said the president of the Global Council of Indian Christians, and follows the "persecution" of a pastor who baptized Muslims. "With these gestures, the Muslim community is trying to intimidate the Christian minority."
Kuwait: Two months after the Saudi Grand Mufti, in response to a question on whether churches may exist in Kuwait, decreed that all regional churches must be destroyed, villa-churches serving Western foreigners are being targeted. One congregation was evicted without explanation "from a private villa used for worship gatherings for the past seven years"; another villa-church was ordered to "pay an exorbitant fine each month to use a facility it had been renting… Church leaders reportedly decided not to argue and moved out."
Zanzibar: Hundreds of Muslims set two churches on fire and clashed with police during protests against the arrest of senior members of an Islamist movement known as the Association for Islamic Mobilization and Propagation. Afterwards, the group issued a statement denying any involvement of wrong doing.
Pakistan: Apostasy, Blasphemy, Rape, Forced Conversions, and Oppression
Dhimmitude
[General Abuse, Debasement, and Suppression of non-Muslims as "Tolerated" Citizens]
Egypt: A court verdict that was criticized by many human rights groups as "unbelievable" and "extremely harsh" towards Christians was decided according to religion: all twelve Christians were convicted to life imprisonment, while all eight Muslims—including some who torched nearly 60 Christian homes—were acquitted, all to thunderous cries of "Allahu Akbar!" in the courtroom. Another Muslim judge in Upper Egypt dismissed all charges against a group of Muslims who terrorized a Christian man and his family for over a year, culminating with their cutting off his ear in a knife attack while trying to force him to convert after they "falsely accused him" of having an affair with a Muslim woman. And a new report describes the plight of Coptic girls: "hundreds of Christian girls … have been abducted, forced to convert to Islam, and forced into marriage in Egypt. These incidents are often accompanied by acts of violence, including rape, beatings, and other forms of physical and mental abuse."
Eritrea: Activists taking part in a protest outside the Eritrean embassy in London revealed that "Some 2,000 to 3,000 Christians are currently detained in Eritrea without charge or trial… Several Christians are known to have died in notorious prison camps" and "thousands of Eritreans flee their country every year," some falling "into the hands of abusive traffickers, and are held hostage in torture camps in the Sinai Desert pending payment of exorbitant ransoms, or the forcible removal of organs."
Ethiopia: A Christian man accused of "desecrating the Koran" spent two years in prison, where he was abused, pressured to convert to Islam, and left paralyzed. Now returning home, he has found that his two young children have been abducted by local Muslims: "My life is ruined—I have lost my house, my children, my health. I am now homeless, and I am limping."
Greece: Abet Hasman, the deputy mayor of Patras who recently passed away, left a message to be revealed only in his obituary—that, though born to Muslim parents in Jordan, he was "secretly baptized" a Christian (demonstrating how some Muslims who convert to Christianity, knowing the consequences of apostasy, opt for secrecy).
Indonesia: A predominantly Christian neighborhood was attacked for several days by "unidentified persons" who set fire to homes and cars. Dozens of Christian families fled their homes, "many fear[ing] the involvement of Islamic extremist groups."
Iran: A prominent house church pastor remains behind bars, even as his family expresses concerns that he may die from continued abuse and beatings, leading to internal bleeding and other ailments; authorities refuse to give him medical treatment. Also, the attorney of Youssef Nadarkhani—the imprisoned Christian pastor who awaits execution for apostasy—was himself "convicted for his work defending human rights and is expected to begin serving his nine-year sentence in the near future." Meanwhile, in a letter attributed to him, the imprisoned pastor wrote: "I have surrendered myself to God's will...[and I] consider it as the day of exam and trial of my faith...[so that I may] prove my loyalty and sincerity to God."
Jordan: After the Jordanian Dubai Islamic Bank decreed that all females must wear the hijab, the Islamic veil, or be terminated, all female employees who refused to wear the hijab—mostly Christians, including one Christian woman who worked there for 27 years—were fired. There are suspicions that this new policy was set to target and terminate the Christian employees, since it is they who are most likely to reject the hijab.
Lebanon: A 24-year-old woman, the daughter of a Shiite cleric, who was "physically and psychologically tortured by her father for converting to Christianity three years ago," managed to escape and then got baptized by a Christian priest—who was abducted and interrogated to disclose the whereabouts of the renegade woman. In connection, Muslim assailants fired gunshots at the house of another priest and at a church. This "is part of an escalating pattern of violence against local Catholics," in the words of the region's prelate.
Macedonia: After some Muslims were arrested in connection to a "series of murders of Christians," thousands of fellow Muslims demonstrated after Friday prayers, shouting slogans like "death to Christians" and calling for "jihad."
Mali: Ever since the government was overthrown in a coup, "the church in Mali faces being eradicated," especially in the north "where rebels want to establish an independent Islamist state and drive Christians out… there have been house to house searches for Christians who might be in hiding, church and Christian property has been looted or destroyed, and people tortured into revealing any Christian relatives."
Nigeria: Muslim gunmen set fire to a home in a Christian village and then opened fire on all who tried to escape the inferno, killing at least seven and wounding many others, in just one of dozens of attacks on Christians.
Sudan: Without reason, security officials closed down regional offices of the Sudan Council of Churches and a much needed church clinic for the poor; staff members were arrested and taken to an undisclosed location: "Their families are living in agony due to the uncertainty of their fate."
Syria: Jihadi gunmen evicted all the families of a Christian region, "taking over all the homes of the village, occupying the church and turning it to their base."
Uzbekistan: Police raided a Protestant house church meeting, claiming "that a bomb was in the home." No bomb was found, only Christian literature which was confiscated. Subsequently, 14 members of the unregistered church were heavily fined—the equivalent of 10-60 times a monthly salary—for an "unsanctioned meeting in a private home." Between February and April, 28 Protestants were fined and four were warned for the offence, with three Baptists also being fined for not declaring their personal Bibles while crossing the border from Kazakhstan into Uzbekistan. Fines and warnings were accompanied by the confiscation of religious literature.
About this Series
Because the persecution of Christians in the Islamic world is on its way to reaching epidemic proportions, "Muslim Persecution of Christians" was developed to collate some—by no means all—of the instances of persecution that surface each month. It serves two purposes:
Accordingly, whatever the anecdote of persecution, it typically fits under a specific theme, including hatred for churches and other Christian symbols; sexual abuse of Christian women; forced conversions to Islam; apostasy and blasphemy laws; theft and plunder in lieu of jizya (tribute); overall expectations for Christians to behave like cowed "dhimmis" (barely tolerated citizens); and simple violence and murder. Oftentimes it is a combination thereof.
Because these accounts of persecution span different ethnicities, languages, and locales—from Morocco in the west, to India in the east, and throughout the West, wherever there are Muslims—it should be clear that one thing alone binds them: Islam—whether the strict application of Islamic Sharia law, or the supremacist culture born of it.
Previous Reports
April, 2012
March, 2012
February, 2012
January, 2012
December, 2011
November, 2011
October, 2011
September, 2011
August, 2011
July, 2011