Bible Quotation for today/Ask,
Seek, Knock
Matthew 07/07-12: " Ask, and you will receive; seek, and you will find;
knock, and the door will be opened to you. For everyone who asks will
receive, and anyone who seeks will find, and the door will be opened to
those who knock. Would any of you who are fathers give your son a stone when
he asks for bread? Or would you give him a snake when he asks for a fish? As
bad as you are, you know how to give good things to your children. How much
more, then, will your Father in heaven give good things to those who ask
him! Do for others what you want them to do for you: this is the meaning of
the Law of Moses and of the teachings of the prophets.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters &
Releases from miscellaneous sources
A red line Iran would take seriously/By Michael
Singh/The Washington Post/
October 09/12
What's happening in Qardaha/By: Tony
Badran/Now Lebanon/October 09/12
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for
October 09/12
US sources: US, Israel plan October Surprise. Others:
Israel can do it alone
US report: Israel-US discussing joint Iran attack
Ahmadinejad admits: Chance of attack on Iran exists
US said to mull
'surgical strike' on Iran
Israeli strike on
Iran's nuke sites would be folly'
US: We'll do what we must to prevent nuclear Iran
'If attacked, Iran's response would be crushing'
Gilad: Intercepted UAV failed at both its missions
Free Syrian Army Says Arrested 13 Hizbullah Fighters:
Nasrallah Not Safe from Our Strikes
MP Butros Harb: Lawsuit Has Been Filed against Syrian
Officers Linked to Tueni's Assassination
Lebanon’s Arabic press digest - Oct. 9, 2012
Syria conflict causing tension between Sleiman, Hezbollah
Future bloc calls for investigating alleged Hezbollah
involvement in Syria
Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea's Jeddah trip sparks
polls buzz
Free Syrian Army, (FSA) threatens to take fight to
Hezbollah bastion
Thief who stole $10 mln in valuables arrested in Beirut
Mustaqbal Rejects FSA Threat against Dahiyeh, Urges Probe
into Death of Hizbullah Members
Aoun Slams Christian Foes over Electoral Law Delay,
Accuses Them of Harming Christians
Eight Lebanese Charged with Obtaining Israeli Citizenship
Syrian rebels take key town in blow to regime
400 Syrians Flee Qusayr Bloodshed for Lebanon
First Formal Displaced Persons Camp Opens inside Syria
Netanyahu Calls Early Elections over Coalition Disputes
Egypt Court Postpones Constitution Panel Decision
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu calls early
elections
World’s biggest shipping company halts Iran operations
US sources: US, Israel plan October Surprise. Others:
Israel can do it alone
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis October 9, 2012/Four facts deserve attention with
regard to a potential attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The first is that the
Iranian-Israeli war is already at hand. Iran launched it by sending an unmanned
drone into Israeli air space Saturday, Oct. 6, breaking new ground in
belligerence with a cyber attack.
Israel countered by stationing Patriot missile interceptor batteries in Haifa
and other parts of its northern region.
That Tehran initiated hostilities with a cyber attack on Israel cannot be wiped
from the record any more than its score: two points, Iran; zero, Israel, whose
air defenses proved no match against a large, slow-moving and cumbersome aerial
vehicle loaded with electronic equipment.
As many experts have pointed out, Patriots are not designed for intercepting
aircraft, only missiles. Their deployment therefore aims at defending the
country from potential Iranian or Hizballah missile strikes from Lebanon or
Syria - depending partly on the state of the Syrian war.
And indeed, Hamas and Jihad Islami spokesmen, when they assumed shared
responsibility for the 55 Palestinian missiles and mortars fired against Israel
Monday morning, Oct. 8, said quite openly that the rules of Gaza warfare had
changed: IDF attacks on terrorist targets in the Gaza Strip, however limited in
scope, would draw forth reprisals not only from that Palestinian-ruled territory
but from Lebanon, they said. debkafile: As of mid-September, under newly-signed
military pacts, the strings of the two leading Palestinian terrorist militias in
the Gaza Strip are being manipulated from Beirut by Iran and Hizballah. It is
they who now set the rules and dictate the scope of Palestinian anti-Israel
operations from Gaza.
The drone’s incursion was a separate Iranian initiative.
The other three points pertinent to the Iranian-Israel confrontation are:-
1. US intelligence recently warned President Barack Obama that Iran’s nuclear
breakthrough point is much closer than formerly estimated, i.e. approximately 7
weeks off. In late November, therefore, Iran will enough 20 percent plus
enriched uranium to build a nuclear bomb. American and Israeli intelligence see
eye to eye on this estimate.
It flies, however, in the face of the assessments circulated in Israel by
anti-attack factions who are now claiming that Iran has slowed the progress of
its military nuclear program in order to divert much of its enriched uranium to
civilian projects. This claim is not only incorrect, but it is a valuable
contribution to Tehran’s propaganda effort to prove that its program is entirely
innocent and peaceful.
2. A US Congressional Research paper published internally on Sept. 28 asserts
that Israel is capable of going it alone without the United States against
Iran’s nuclear sites, including the Fordo underground enrichment facility.
This fact has been suppressed by the anti-attack camp, whose spokesmen have
insisted that Israel lacks this capacity.
The experts commissioned by congress to determine the truth of the matter
concluded: “… an attack on Esfahan, Natanz, and Arak might require deploying
only 20% of Israel’s top-line fighters purchased from the United States. “…this
yields an Israeli strike involving at least 100 aircraft. Most sources indicate
that Israel has a total of “around 350 fighter jets.”
The US congressional research team adds that, although Israel received enough 7
KC-130 refueling planes from the US to cover the round trip to Iran and back,
the Israeli Air Force has also secretly developed two more refueling options
about which the US knows very little.
“Over the past two years, Israel Aerospace Industries-IAI bought up all the
Boeing 707s coming on the international market and had them converted in IAI
factories into KC-135 refueling planes,” says the report. After the
Congressional Research Center published these findings, David Rothkopf, who is
close to US Democratic Party leaders, tested the ground with a report Monday,
Oct. 8, in Foreign Policy, which said that the United States and Israel are
considering the possibility of a joint "surgical strike" against Iran's nuclear
facilities as an “October surprise.”
He quoted a source said to be close to the discussions, which claimed that “a
small-scale attack is currently viewed as the most likely military option by
air, using bombers and supported by drones,” which Israel would not be able to
carry out on its own. What Rothkopf was saying is that President Obama has no
more than 20 days to decide if and when to conduct this US-Israel attack on
Iran. His clock, say our sources, is ticking at the same speed as that of former
Mossad chief Efraim Halevi who on August 1 predicted an attack on Iran within
twelve weeks; and Tzahi Hanegbi, the former Knesset defense and foreign affairs
committee chair and close confidant of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who
said in mid-September that the next 50 days would be critical for Israel’s
destiny.
Ahmadinejad admits: Chance of attack on Iran exists
Dudi Cohen Published: 10.09.12/Ynetnews/For first
time, Iranian president diverts from official position of shrugging off West's
threats; warns targeting nuclear facilities would be 'suicide mission for
Israel' Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad admitted in an interview Tuesday
that there was "a chance" of a strike on the Islamic Republic's nuclear
facilities. "We cannot ignore the possibility that there is a chance of a strike
against Iran," he said in an interview given to an international television
station, which broadcasts in Farsi for audiences in the Americas. This was the
first statement by the Iranian president that indicated any change in Tehran's
position towards the West's threat of a military campaign against its nuclear
program. Iran has been adamant that both Israel and the US were essentially
"bluffing" and threatened to obliterate Israel, strike US carriers in the
Persian Gulf and close the Strait of Hormuz in the event of a strike. "We have
never started a war, but we will retaliate if we are attacked and our response
will be crushing," Ahmadinejad said. "All the rational people in the world know
that it would be a suicide for Israel to attack Iran," he concluded.
A red line Iran would take seriously
By Michael Singh, The Washington Post
Recently, red lines both figurative and — since Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu’s prop-assisted speech to the United Nations two weeks ago — literal
have come to dominate the Iran policy discussion. While Netanyahu was as
explicit as possible in his delineation of Israel’s red line regarding Iran’s
nuclear status, President Obama has been reluctant to draw one. Instead, he has
offered different, even contradictory, messages to two audiences: To Israel, he
has pleaded for patience; to Iran and reluctant U.S. allies, he has warned that
“time is not unlimited.”
Problem is, neither audience seems to believe him. To address this, he should
communicate clearer limits on American forbearance by setting his own red lines
for Iran.
Iran’s quest to possess nuclear technology: Iran said it has made advances in
nuclear technology, citing new uranium enrichment centrifuges and domestically
made reactor fuel.
.While red lines have been mischaracterized as automatic triggers or even
deadlines for war, their purpose is to facilitate diplomacy. Generally speaking,
such lines set bounds for action by indicating what Washington will and won’t
tolerate. Red lines set by the United States are crucial for determining the
“rules of the game” in geopolitics — not the formal rules set by multilateral
bodies such as the United Nations, but the informal rules that just as clearly
guide action by states. Red lines create predictability and can also foster
stability by heading off avoidable conflicts and forming the context for
diplomacy.
To work, red lines must possess two characteristics: enforceability and
credibility. Enforceability means the line must correspond to an action that can
be detected and then countered or prevented; credibility means that others
believe we will enforce the line once it is trespassed.
The U.S. red line on Iran — that Iran simply cannot have a nuclear weapon —
falls short on both counts. It is not enforceable because once Tehran gets
sufficiently close to possessing a nuclear weapon, such as by producing a
stockpile of weapons-grade enriched uranium, the final steps required to make a
nuclear weapon can probably be done relatively quickly and in secret — and thus
are not detectable.
The U.S. red line also, regrettably, lacks credibility. Washington did not move
to halt the North Korean or Syrian nuclear programs; we did so in Iraq but at so
high a price that “avoiding another Iraq” has practically become a mantra of
U.S. foreign policy. Other states are understandably skeptical that we would
move to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons if and when the moment finally
comes.
For its part, Iran is following a canny strategy that serves to further
undermine U.S. red lines. On the one hand, Tehran is moving incrementally toward
nuclear capability, avoiding dramatic steps that could provoke an international
outcry and lead the United States to believe that our red line had been crossed.
Instead, Tehran is careful to acclimate us to a new “nuclear normal” at each
step of its progress, moving forward only when its accomplishments have been
accepted as a fait accompli.
Furthermore, Iran warns unstintingly of the negative consequences of a military
conflict, warnings that are accepted and repeated by credulous Western analysts
and officials. This makes it seem a remote possibility that those officials
would ever order a strike on Iran.
In his U.N. speech, Netanyahu articulated a clear red line: Iran accumulating
one bomb’s worth of “medium-enriched” uranium. Whether that is the right line
depends on two things. First, does it satisfy the criteria required of any red
line — credibility and enforceability? There can be little doubt of Israel’s
credibility, given its history of preemptive strikes on adversaries’ nuclear
programs. But enforceability is another matter; while the line is detectable,
many — including Iran — doubt Israel’s capacity to counter it alone.
Because multiple red lines meet these criteria, a second question must be asked:
Does Netanyahu’s red line best satisfy our twofold policy objective of
preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon while delaying a military
conflict as long as possible?
Given that Obama administration officials have publicly expressed doubts about
Israel’s capacity to destroy Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and have argued that
the United States would have sufficient time to act militarily even after Iran
has progressed beyond the point Netanyahu identified, it is unlikely that they
find his red line satisfactory.
After Netanyahu’s clear statement, however, it is up to the Obama administration
to suggest a red line that better meets U.S. objectives as well as the criteria
of enforceability and credibility. And when it comes to credibility, the United
States has undermined itself on multiple fronts — by rewarding Iranian defiance
with better offers at the negotiating table, by enforcing sanctions reluctantly
and by allowing senior officials to speak out publicly against the military
option that the president insists remains “on the table.” Obama is right to want
to avoid conflict with Iran. But lest his patience be mistaken for apprehension,
and allies and adversaries alike tune out U.S. warnings, he would be wise to
overcome his aversion to red lines.
**Michael Singh is managing director of the Washington Institute for Near East
Policy. From 2005 to 2008, he worked on Middle East issues at the National
Security Council.
MP Butros Harb: Lawsuit Has Been Filed against Syrian
Officers Linked to Tueni's Assassination
Naharnet/09 October 2012/Opposition MP Butros Harb revealed on Tuesday that the
case of the assassination of MP Gebran Tueni may be referred to the Special
Tribunal for Lebanon should the Lebanese judiciary fail to address the matter.
He added: “A lawsuit has been filed against Syrian officers linked to the
lawmaker's assassination.”He made the announcement during a press conference in
light of a recent Al-Arabiya television report that aired documents
demonstrating the alleged involvement of Syrian officers and Hizbullah
intelligence in the December 12, 2005, assassination of journalist, MP, and
chairman of the board of directors of An Nahar newspaper Gebran Tueni. As the
attorney tackling the case, Harb said during the press conference: “We want to
continue the investigation in the matter and stress that the case of Tueni and
the rest of the martyrs will remain alive.”“We want to send a clear message to
the criminals that we reject political assassinations and anyone who tries to
assassinate Lebanon will be confronted,” declared the MP.“Despite the political
pressure being exerted, we are determined to place our faith in the Lebanese
judiciary to tackle Tueni's murder,” he added.
“We will turn to the STL and request that this case be added to the others it is
looking into,” revealed Harb.“Should the international tribunal agree to our
request, then we will ask the Lebanese judiciary to cease its investigations in
the case and turn it over to the STL,” he said. “The STL's jurisdiction and
means go beyond the agreements signed between Lebanon and Syria, and at that
point, Syria cannot refuse a request to interrogate one of its officers,” he
stated. Furthermore, he stressed: “We did not turn to the Lebanese government to
address this case because we are aware of its poor history in dealing with such
matters.”
The opposition MP said that the government's past practices in similar
situations have portrayed it as a partner in obstructing justice.
Addressing Hizbullah and its alleged involvement in Tueni's assassination, Harb
said: “We hope the party would act in a manner that would erase all suspicions
against it.” “We hope our suspicions over this document do not become realized
and so far no suspect in Tueni's assassination has faced the judiciary,” he
remarked.
“We will strive to uncover all the crimes against the Lebanese people through
the judiciary. Should we fail then we will leave justice to God,” he stressed.
On Saturday, Al-Arabiya obtained an alleged Syrian document saying: “With the
help of members of the intelligence department of Lebanon's Hizbullah, Mission
213, which was assigned to them on December 10, has been successfully
accomplished with excellent results.”The document, dated December 12, 2005, was
sent by head of the operations department in the Syrian intelligence, Hasan
Abdul Rahman, to then chief of national security department Assef Shawkat,
according to Al-Arabiya.
“In concurrence with Assef Shawkat's letter on accomplishing the mission and on
the same day the letter was sent to the Syrian presidential palace, a
booby-trapped car was awaiting Lebanese lawmaker Gebran Tueni to end his life
while on his way to work, in an assassination operation described as mysterious
back then,” Al-Arabiya added.
Hizbullah on Monday denied links to Tueni's assassination, with Minister
Mohammed Fneish saying: “Al-Arabiya's document on Hizbullah is fake and not
everything published is a real document and you can tell that from the content.”
The party later issued a statement denying the report and accusing the March 14
camp of taking advantage of the “baseless accusations fabricated by the Saudi
network Al-Arabiya and attributed to Syrian opposition activists, including
those related to the assassination of MP Gebran Tueni.”
Lebanon’s Arabic press digest - Oct. 9, 2012
October 09, 2012/The Daily Star
Lebanon's Arabic press digest.
Following are summaries of some of the main stories in a selection of Lebanese
newspapers Monday. The Daily Star cannot vouch for the accuracy of these
reports.
Al-Joumhouria
Judicial and union appointments tomorrow
Sleiman rejects provocative arms
Eyes turned to the borders of both Turkey and Syria, where tensions reigned,
after the arm wrestling between Ankara and Damascus brought on by the Turkish
suggestion of forming a transitional Cabinet under Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa
which has gained the approval of the opposition but was criticized by the
regime.
However, such developments haven’t attenuated attention from the bloody events
in Syria and their repercussions on Lebanon, which has been repeatedly violated
by its neighbor, particularly given the growing conviction of Hezbollah’s
involvement there.
Hezbollah Minister Mohammad Fneish slammed the March 14 coalition and denied
leaked reports by Al-Arabiya that his group was involved in the assassination of
journalist Gibran Tueni. The minister said such accusations were part of a smear
campaign aimed at distorting the resistance’s image.
On another note, upon President Michel Sleiman’s return from his Latin American
tour Baabda sources said that the president was ready to discuss different
opinions about the stances he declared while he was abroad. The sources said
that Sleiman’s comments on separating between the resistance’s arms and the
domestic weapons were not new and that the president had previously declared
such statement in the past.
The sources stressed that all weapons barring those used by the resistance [to
fight Israel] would be subject to discussion at the National Dialogue table,
adding that when the president suggested suspending all arms use in Lebanon, it
was a prelude to gathering weapons and preventing their use so as not to have
weapons of provocation in the country.
Al-Mustaqbal
Assad regime implements its threats against Lebanon and sets Al-Aboudieh in the
north on fire
Hezbollah escalates its ‘Jihad duty’... in Syria
Only a few hours passed since Bashar Assad’s followers carried out their threats
to blow up the Lebanese situation, even if partially, through direct attacks
that have set on fire the Al-Aboudieh region in the north in an unprecedented
manner.
While Hezbollah escalated the level of engagement in fighting alongside the
Syrian regime, the party continued holding funerals for its members, who fell in
battle, and buried the latest among them in Baalbek Monday and declared that one
of its leaders was “martyred while defending the dignity of Islam and Muslims.”
Al-Mustaqbal has learned that the Syrian attack against Aboudieh came as a
result of a split in the ranks of the Syrian army in Tallat Al-Joumrok.
As-Safir
Who gave instructions to publish the “documents” accusing Hezbollah of
assassinating Gebran Tueni?
Back to the plan of setting Lebanon on fire through war in Syria
As it is becoming clearer that the Syrian crisis will prolong, fear and concern
among the Lebanese has begun to increase about that which threatens their
present and future.
What worries the Lebanese is the series of events that have occurred recently in
the country that have placed Lebanon at risk of being dragged into a sectarian
conflict.
Also causing concern is that some people believe the “scenarios” that have been
suggested while answers are lacking to pressing questions such as: who
instructed Al-Arabiya to publish “documents” accusing Hezbollah of assassinating
Gebran Tueni, regardless of their accuracy or inaccuracy? Was this “bomb” thrown
without taking into consideration the effects it would have on Lebanon or was it
intended to be a media “scoop”?
An-Nahar
Tensions broaden in the north and strikers call for speeding up financing [of
salary scale]
Hezbollah denies any involvement in Gebran Tueni’s assassination
Although Union strikes have returned to the forefront of the local scene,
yesterday’s tension at the northern border region of Aboudieh renewed fears of
the Syrian crisis spilling over into Lebanon.
Meanwhile, prominent ministerial sources said that extremely important
consultations are being held behind-the-scenes with regard to the electoral law
in order to form a sub-committee during the next session of the joint
parliamentary committee this Thursday.
The committee is to be composed of representatives from the main March 14 and
March 8 blocs.
Consultations are reportedly being held at two main levels. First, Speaker Nabih
Berri is broadening the circle of contacts and meetings with various political,
parliamentary and even some religious forces.
The second level involves discussions between the factions of the March 14
coalition.
Following visits by former PM Fouad Siniora and Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra
to Jeddah to meet with former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, Lebanese Forces leader
Samir Geagea is also expected to hold several meetings with Hariri in order to
address the general situation and the electoral law.
Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea's Jeddah trip sparks polls buzz
October 09, 2012/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT/BAALBEK: Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea headed for Jeddah Monday
amid speculation that the trip is aimed at meeting former Prime Minister Saad
Hariri to discuss next year’s parliamentary elections. While LF sources refused
to comment on the purpose of the visit, they said the party was expected to
issue a statement on Geagea’s visit in the coming hours.
LF MP Antoine Zahra had met Hariri in Saudi Arabia last week for talks on the
parliamentary elections. Lebanese groups are mulling an electoral law ahead of
the 2013 polls.
Meanwhile, over 2,000 Hezbollah supporters gathered in the Bekaa Valley to bury
one of their fighters, whom a security source said was killed in the border area
with Syria, as the party denied Monday any involvement in the assassination of
MP Gebran Tueni.
Hezbollah put to rest Hussein Abdel Ghani al-Nimr, 35, who “died while he was
performing his jihadist duty,” according to a Hezbollah spokesman from Baalbek.
A security source told AFP that the Hezbollah member had been “killed in the
Lebanon-Syria border region and his body was taken back Sunday.”
The funeral comes less than a week after a senior Hezbollah commander, who
Syrian rebels said had been killed in Syria, was buried in the Bekaa.
“He was a good man and a good fighter, and he died as a martyr serving his
country and fellow Muslims,” Hezbollah’s Sheikh Mohammad Yazbek, who heads the
party’s religious council, told the crowd.
Hezbollah has announced several similar burials in the past months, without
elaborating on the circumstances of its members’ deaths.
Activists in the Syrian province of Homs told AFP that Hezbollah fighters have
been taking part alongsidegovernment troops in fighting against rebels in the
besieged town of Qusayr near the border with Lebanon. Tripoli MP Mohammad
Kabbara lashed out at Hezbollah for its alleged involvement in the fighting in
Syria. “Hezbollah is admitting that it is performing jihadist duties alongside
the Assad regime, thus violating the dissociation policy claimed by the
government,” he said. “It is our duty as lawmakers to question the government
over the issue. Does it approve Hezbollah’s jihad against the Syrian
people?”Earlier, Hezbollah denied any involvement in the assassination of
journalist and lawmaker Tueni, days after an Arab television station presented
documents allegedly showing that the resistance group had a role in killing the
lawmaker.“Hezbollah denies any involvement in the assassination of late MP
Gebran Tueni and affirms its condemnation of political assassination,” the group
said.
“It awaits the judiciary for its word on the matter after it was proven that
those who claim to preserve peace in the country and its people do not
demonstrate a minimal degree of responsibility,” it added, in an apparent swipe
at March 14 MPs.
Last week, Al-Arabiya television released what it claimed were leaked
communiqués between Syrian intelligence and the state’s leadership. In the
documents, references were made to Hezbollah and its alleged activities with the
Syrian security apparatus.
One of the communiqués – sent from the head of the operations department in
Syrian Intelligence Hasan Abdel-Rahman to the head of State Intelligence Assef
Shawkat – said an operation, referred to as “mission 213,” had been successfully
completed with the help of Hezbollah members.
The Saudi-based channel said this communiqué had been sent on the same day MP
and journalist Gebran Tueni was killed in a car bomb on Dec. 12, 2005.
In its statement, Hezbollah slammed members of the March 14 coalition who
quickly denounced the resistance party’s alleged role in fighting in Syria and
Tueni’s assassination. “March 14’s stance about several issues based on
fabricated documents and facts which are not accurate proves day after day that
whoever is used to cheating can only excel in fabrications,” Hezbollah added.
“The latest wave of [fabrications] by March 14 is what Saudi Arabia’s Al-Arabiya
prepared and claimed were documents it obtained from members of the Syrian
opposition, inventing events and fabricating accusations that have nothing to do
with reality, including the assassination of late MP Gebran Tueni,” it added.
Another communiqué by Al-Arabiya reported the arrival of 250 Hezbollah fighters
in Syria in May 2011. The document – which the station said had been sent to
President Bashar Assad from an intelligence officer – said members of the
resistance had arrived in May in the Syrian city of Aleppo, had taken rooms at
the Ramses Hotel and were awaiting orders from the Syrian leadership.
Earlier Monday, Hezbollah Minister Mohammad Fneish said the Al-Arabiya documents
were lies. “The Al-Arabiya documents are lies and not everything that is
published is an actual document,” Fneish told reporters before attending a
Cabinet session at the Grand Serail.
His comments were echoed by Hezbollah MP Kamel Rifai, who said his party was
innocent of the claims or inferences arrived at through the aired documents.
Hezbollah has repeatedly denied being involved in the crisis and has urged that
Lebanon maintain its dissociation policy toward events in its neighbor.
The Cabinet, which met at the Grand Serail Monday, passed a number of decrees,
focused on administrative reforms, said a statement from premier Mikati’s
office.
Information Minister Walid Daouk told reporters after the meeting that Cabinet
had not discussed items pertaining to the salary scale despite a labor strike
over the issue planned for Wednesday.
Earlier Monday, U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Derek Plumbly stressed the
need for Lebanon to hold the 2013 polls on time and urged political leaders to
commit to distancing the country from events escalating in neighboring Syria.
“In my view, it is very important that the elections take place on time. Lebanon
is a country with a long democratic history and the present period is one of a
spread of democracy across the Arab world. I am confident elections here will
take place on time,” Plumbly said after meeting Mikati at the Grand Serail. –
with AFP
Syria conflict causing tension between Sleiman, Hezbollah
October 09, 2012/By Hussein Dakroub/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The 19-month-old bloody conflict in Syria is putting strain on President
Michel Sleiman’s ties with Hezbollah as the two sides have conflicting political
calculations, analysts said Monday.
However, the analysts predicted that tension that burst out into the open last
week following Sleiman’s unexpected tough stance on Hezbollah’s arms would
eventually be overcome and not lead to a break in relations. “Of course, there
is tension between President Sleiman and Hezbollah. The president is escalating
his position on Hezbollah’s arms,” Hilal Khashan, professor of political science
at the American University of Beirut, told The Daily Star.
“The developments in the region, particularly in Syria have encouraged the
president to go on escalation against Hezbollah’s arms,” he added. Khashan said
Sleiman was dissociating between Hezbollah’s arms and its role in resistance,
meaning he was seeking “a compromise agreement” with regard to the party’s
military wing.
“The president was saying: No to Hezbollah’s military wing in domestic Lebanese
politics, yes to Hezbollah’s military wing to help defend Lebanon against a
possible Israeli attack,” Khashan added.
Political analyst Carol Maalouf concurred that Sleiman has been taking “a strong
national position on different issues, including the divisive issue of
Hezbollah’s arms.” She said that Sleiman’s stance was directly linked to
domestic politics and developments in Syria.
“The president is taking a critical position on Hezbollah mainly because of the
party’s involvement in the internal Syrian conflict,” Maalouf said.
“The president is taking advantage of Hezbollah’s involvement in Syria to voice
his political opinion freely, including outlining the role of the party’s
weapons in defending the country,” said Maalouf, a lecturer in political science
and political history of Lebanon at Notre Dame University.
She added that Sleiman’s changed position on the role of Hezbollah’s arms was
tied to the party’s involvement in the developments in Syria. First signs of the
crisis between Sleiman and Hezbollah emerged on Sept. 20, when the president put
forward during a National Dialogue session he chaired at Baabda Palace a
blueprint for a national defense strategy that would allow Hezbollah to keep its
arms but place them under the command of the Lebanese Army, which would have
exclusive authority to use force.
Under the proposal, Hezbollah would not hand its arms over to the Army, as
demanded by the opposition March 14 coalition, nor would there be coordination
between the resistance and the Army, the defense strategy that Hezbollah has
backed.
Sleiman’s defense blueprint, which is to be debated by March 8 and March 14
leaders at the next National Dialogue session on Nov. 12, was viewed by
pro-Hezbollah politicians as a departure from the tripartite equation endorsed
in the government’s policy statement: “The Army, the people and the resistance,”
which is upheld by Hezbollah as the best means to defend Lebanon against a
possible Israeli attack. The March 14 coalition has long demanded that Hezbollah
surrender its weapons to the Lebanese Army. The resistance party has strongly
rejected local and international calls to disarm, arguing that its arsenal was
needed to face any possible Israeli attack.
The simmering tension broke out into the open last week when Hezbollah rejected
Sleiman’s recent remarks in which he distinguished between Hezbollah as a
political party and a resistance group.
Speaking to reporters in Argentina during his Latin American tour last week,
Sleiman said: “Arms that are being used domestically [in internal conflicts] are
forbidden. Be they with Hezbollah or the Salafists or others, they [weapons]
must be stripped.”
Sleiman’s statement drew an unprecedented quick response from Hezbollah’s No. 2
man. “We don’t have arms for the resistance and arms used for other purposes. We
don’t have arms to face Israel and arms for domestic bickering,” Hezbollah’s
deputy leader Sheikh Naim Qassem said during a graduation ceremony at UNESCO
Palace in Beirut Saturday. “In Lebanon, there is one party called Hezbollah. We
don’t have a military wing and a political wing. Hezbollah is a political party
and a resistance party.”
Analyst Qassem Kassir said the rhetoric between Sleiman and Hezbollah reflected
“different viewpoints” over the role of Hezbollah’s arms. “The president has his
own [political] calculations and so does Hezbollah,” Kassir, an expert on
Islamic fundamentalist movement, told The Daily Star.
“As a result of the changes in the region, Sleiman’s stance on Hezbollah’s arms
is aimed at boosting his popularity and political ambitions,” he said. Kassir
added that Sleiman’s tough stance was designed to set the stage for launching
his future political project, including the possibility of renewing his term in
office, which expires in 2014.
Shafik Masri, professor of international law at the state-run Lebanese
University, defended Sleiman’s stance.
“The president has settled the matter with regard to the role of the Lebanese
Army in defending the country and its border in line with his oath to preserve
the Constitution,” Masri said.
He pointed out that Sleiman’s position came a few months after he sent direct
and indirect messages to the Syrian side, condemning Syrian attacks on the
Lebanese border.
“During the National Dialogue session, the president was firm that the Lebanese
Army is the one that defends the country ... He made it clear that it was not a
matter of disarming Hezbollah but coordination with the Army which is alone
responsible for the country’s national defense,” Masri added.
Khashan said Hezbollah is reconsidering its domestic role as a result of the
developments in Syria.
“I won’t attach much significance to the president’s statements in Latin America
even though they caused tension in Lebanon,” he said. “But in Lebanon tension is
a way of life and can easily be overcome by the repercussions of strong
statements.”“Tension will be contained because the president’s statements do not
speak for an official policy in the making. Lebanese politics is a conflict
management,” Khashan added. Maalouf, the NDU lecturer concurred. “The tension is
going to be contained. A Hezbollah delegation will visit the president in Baabda
to sort out the problem,” she predicted.
Thief who stole $10 mln in valuables arrested in Beirut
October 09, 2012/The Daily Star/BEIRUT: Police have arrested a thief who stole
$10 million in valuables from safes across Lebanon.
A statement released Tuesday by the Internal Security Forces said judicial
police in Beirut’s southern suburb managed to apprehend a 48-year-old Syrian
national who was identified by his initials M.D.
It said a quantity of looted items – jewelry, precious stones, precious watches,
antiques, cell phones, pistols and cash – were confiscated from the burglar.
They were estimated at $10 million.
“Under interrogation, he confessed that he heads a gang of robbers that has
stolen 24 safes from homes and commercial enterprises,” the police statement
added.
It said police were in pursuit of the other gang members. M.D. was referred to
relevant judicial authorities and the stolen items were returned to their
owners, ISF said.
Syrian rebels take key town in blow to regime
October 09, 2012/Daily Star
DAMASCUS: Rebels seized a town on the highway to Aleppo on Tuesday in what
monitors said was a blow to regime plans to reinforce troops in the northern
city, the main battleground of Syria's nearly 19-month conflict. The rebel
advance on the town of Maaret al-Numan, in the northwestern province of Idlib,
came after twin suicide bombings hit an air force compound near Damascus,
killing dozens of people, said the monitoring group.
Turkey, meanwhile, again warned Syria it would not hesitate to retaliate for any
strike on its soil as the country's top military commander visited troops
stationed along the reinforced border. And with fighting spilling into both
Turkey and Lebanon, UN chief Ban Ki-moon urged President Bashar al-Assad's
regime to declare a unilateral truce while NATO head Anders Fogh Rasmussen urged
restraint.
On the increasingly bloody battlefield, rebels overran Maaret al-Numan on the
highway linking Damascus with Aleppo after a fierce 48-hour gunbattle and heavy
shelling, said the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.
"Regular forces pulled back from all of their checkpoints around Maaret al-Numan,
except for one at the entrance of the town," said Observatory director Rami
Abdel Rahman.
"This is a strategic location on the route from Damascus to Aleppo. All the
regime reinforcements headed to Aleppo must pass through Maaret al-Numan."
The rebels' seizure of the town came as soldiers moved into Homs, farther south
on the same highway, in a bid to finish off insurgents in the central city and
free up forces for northern battle zones like Aleppo.
"This is your tank, O Bashar!" a group of about 20 rebels shouted in a video
posted by activists online as they fired off celebratory gunfire at a captured
army checkpoint.
State television, meanwhile, said troops entered the rebel district of Khaldiyeh
in the besieged city of Homs.
An activist confirmed the army had "stormed part of Khaldiyeh," but the
Observatory said the neighbourhood remained in rebel hands, although fighting
was intense.
"The catastrophe is that there are 800 families trapped in Homs. It will be an
unprecedented massacre if they take over the district," said the activist, who
identified himself as Abu Bilal. The army onslaught around Homs sparked a new
exodus of refugees into neighbouring Lebanon, with up to 400 people fleeing from
the nearby area of Qusayr within 24 hours, a Lebanese security official said.
'All hell has broken loose'
Many of the villagers crossed the heavily mined border on foot, while others
came by motorbike or donkey, an AFP correspondent in the Lebanese frontier town
of Arsal reported. "All hell has broken loose on our village. Many people have
died, and many others have fled," said one refugee who identified himself only
as Masri. "Our village is now practically empty."
Pro-government media remained silent on Monday night's twin suicide bomb attacks
in Harasta, a town northeast of Damascus.
A security official said, however, that the assault had been largely foiled,
although some people were hurt when one vehicle blew up.
The blasts were claimed by the jihadist Al-Nusra Front, which said one attacker
drove a booby-trapped car and a second an explosives-packed ambulance.
The Observatory's Abdel Rahman said "dozens of people" died in the bombings, and
that the fate of "hundreds of prisoners" held in the building's basement was
unknown.
AFP was unable to verify either account.
The Observatory said the attacks sparked intense fighting in Harasta.
UN chief Ban urged a unilateral truce by Assad's regime.
"I have conveyed to the Syrian government (a) strong message that they should
immediately declare a unilateral ceasefire," he said.
Ban urged "the opposition forces to agree to this unilateral ceasefire when and
if the Syrian government declares it," and appealed for countries to stop arming
both sides.
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned of retaliation against
Syria's "aggressive position."
"It has become inevitable for our armed forces to retaliate in kind... as the
Syrian administration maintains its aggressive position," he told lawmakers.
Erdogan spoke as his armed forces chief inspected troops on a tour of the
heavily fortified border after a number of shells landed on Turkish soil,
including one strike that killed five civilians last week.
The Observatory said violence across Syria killed at least 100 people on
Tuesday. It said more than 32,000 people have died since the revolt against
Assad erupted in March 2011.
FSA threatens to take fight to Hezbollah bastion
October 09, 2012 /The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Syrian rebels said they have detained 13 Hezbollah members and
threatened to take the fight to the Hezbollah stronghold in Beirut’s southern
suburbs unless the party ended its support for Bashar Assad’s regime, an FSA
spokesman said.
“We [vow] to take the battle in Syria to the heart of the [Beirut] southern
suburbs if [Hezbollah] does not stop supporting the killer Syrian regime,” Fahd
al-Masri told pan-Arab Asharq al-Awsat in an interview published Tuesday.
He said the FSA is holding 13 Hezbollah members in a village near Homs for
involvement in the Syria conflict.
“They [Hezbollah detainees] have confessed to killing and slaughtering [people]
in Syria,” Masri said, pointing out that most of the captives hail from Baalbek
and Hermel in east Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley.
Masri stressed that Hezbollah is “deeply involved” in the Syria fighting,
warning that the fate of the 13 detained men was “in the hands of [FSA] field
commanders.”
Hezbollah “is involved in the killing of the Syrian people and in suppressing
the revolution, particularly in Damascus and Homs,” Masri said.
“Hezbollah focuses [its operations] on Damascus’ Zabadani area given that the
Iranian Revolutionary Guard has a military base there,” he said. “They also have
a huge presence in Qusair and Talbisa.”
Responding to Masri's comments, Hezbollah bloc MP Kamel Rifai denied that
members of the resistance group were being sent to fight alongside the Syrian
army.
“The party has a basic rule that forbids fighting anyone other than Israel and
thus it bans its elements from fighting in Syria,” Rifai told The Daily Star
Tuesday.
"There are Shiites living in Syria, but that does not make them Hezbollah
[fighters]," he added.
In apparent response to Rifai, Masri told the Lebanese MTV channel later Tuesday
that the 13 Hezbollah men were arrested in their military uniforms.
“They were armed and in military uniform when they were captured in Homs’
countryside,” Masri said. “They were not pilgrims and not on a political tour.”
He held Hezbollah fully responsible and said the Shiite group “must” not drag
Lebanon into lost battles.”
Recent reports claim that Hezbollah fighters are involved in the 18-month-old
Syria crisis and that a number of them have been killed in fighting there.
“Funerals were held for four Hezbollah members who died at a military training
camp as well as three others who passed away in the Nabi Sheet explosion. None
of them were involved in the Syrian fighting as has been rumored,” Rifai said.
Last week, Hezbollah said three of its fighters were killed in an explosion at a
munitions depot in Nabi Sheet, east Lebanon.
On Monday, Hezbollah buried one its fighters who a security source said was
killed in the border area with Syria.
Hussein Abdel Ghani al-Nimr, 35, "died while he was performing his jihadist
duty," a Hezbollah spokesman said.
Nimr’s death comes less than a week after a senior Hezbollah commander, who
Syrian rebels said was killed in Syria, was buried in the Bekaa.
Hezbollah has announced several similar burials in past months, without
revealing details about the deaths.
Free Syrian Army Says Arrested 13 Hizbullah Fighters: Nasrallah Not Safe from
Our Strikes
Naharnet / 09 October 2012/The rebel Free Syrian Army on Tuesday claimed
arresting 13 Hizbullah fighters in the countryside of the Syrian province of
Homs, warning that it is capable of teaching Hizbullah a lesson in the heart of
Dahiyeh, the party's main stronghold in Lebanon.
“Hizbullah is involved in the current clashes in Syria and its fighters are
taking part in the ongoing battles,” Fahd al-Masri, head of the FSA Central
Media Department, told MTV.
Masri's warning comes less than a week after a senior Hizbullah commander, who
Syrian rebels said was killed in Syria, was buried in the Bekaa. Hizbullah has
announced several similar burials in past months, without elaborating on the
circumstances of its members' deaths.
The opposition March 14 camp and Syrian rebels have repeatedly accused Hizbullah
of aiding the Syrian regime of President Bashar Assad militarily.
“We hold Hizbullah fully responsible before its supporters and it must not
implicate Lebanon and the Lebanese people in lost battles,” Masri added.
He reiterated the FSA's warning to “a specific religious community of the
Lebanese people,” advising them not to let their sons “become the fuel of a war
you are not part of.”
Masri announced that Syrian rebels managed to capture “13 Hizbullah fighters, in
full combat gear, who were manning security and military checkpoints in Homs'
countryside.”
“Therefore they were not on a religious or touristic or family visit to the
region,” Masri noted.
“I believe their fate depends on Hizbullah's leadership, should it withdraw its
fighters from Syrian territory and stop violating Syria's sovereignty, killing
the Syrians and repressing the glorious Syrian revolution,” the spokesman added.
The FSA official accused Hizbullah of being “steeped up to its ears in crime”
and of “executing the instructions of its masters in Tehran.”
Masri warned that “the Syrian people will not forget those who are harming them,
and there will be a severe punishment against anyone harming the Syrian people.”
“We warn Hizbullah that if it does not stop, we are capable of teaching it a
lesson it will not forget in the heart of Dahiyeh, and we tell (Hizbullah chief
Sayyed) Hassan Nasrallah: we know how to find you and you are not safe from our
strikes, you and all the leaders of your gang,” Masri added.
A Hizbullah commander and several fighters have been killed inside Syria, a
Lebanese security official told the Associated Press last week, a development
that could stoke already soaring tensions over an alleged role for the Lebanese
group in the civil war next door.
Hizbullah has stood by Syrian President Bashar Assad since the uprising began 18
months ago, even after the group supported revolts in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and
Bahrain. The group says it is backing the Syrian regime because of its support
for the anti-Israel resistance movements in Lebanon and Palestine and because it
is willing to implement political reforms.
It was not immediately clear how the alleged Hizbullah militants were killed or
whether they had been fighting alongside the Syrian army. But Hizbullah's
newspaper al-Intiqad said Hizbullah commander Ali Hussein Nassif, who is also
known as Abu Abbas, was killed "while performing his jihadi duties." It did not
say when or where he was killed.
A Lebanese security official told AP Nassif was killed in Syria and his body was
returned to Lebanon through the Masnaa border crossing on Sunday. Speaking on
condition of anonymity because he is not authorized to speak to the media, the
official said the bodies of several other Hizbullah fighters have been brought
back to Lebanon in recent days.
Hizbullah spokesman Ibrahim al-Moussawi last Tuesday confirmed the deaths of the
Hizbullah members but said he had no further information on where or how Nassif
was killed. He declined further comment. Nassif's funeral, which was held in the
eastern town of Budai, near Baalbek, was attended by top Hizbullah officials
including the head of the Sharia council and the political bureau, an indication
of Nassif's high prestige, according to AP. Last Tuesday, Hizbullah's al-Manar
TV showed the funerals of at least two other Hizbullah members it said were
killed while performing their "jihadi duty." Both funerals were attended by
Hizbullah officials and commanders. Samer al-Homsi, an activist in Syria's
central Homs province, which borders Lebanon, said Nassif was killed Saturday
when a roadside bomb went off as the car he was in passed just outside the town
of Qusayr. He said Nassif and several other people were killed in the blast.
"His job was to coordinate with Syrian security agencies," al-Homsi told AP via
Skype.
He added that the rebels detonated the bomb "without knowing" that the target
was a Hizbullah official. "We knew he was a Hizbullah official after it was
announced by the group in Lebanon," he said. Al-Homsi's account could not be
independently verified.
Aoun Slams Christian Foes over Electoral Law Delay, Accuses Them of Harming
Christians
Naharnet/ 09 October 2012,
Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun on Tuesday complained that “no
progress has been made concerning the electoral law” under which the 2013
parliamentary polls will be held, blaming his Christian rivals, the Lebanese
Forces and the Phalange Party, for the delay.
“I hold responsible those who are rejecting the laws proposed by the Orthodox
Gathering and the government, because they are obstructing justice, especially
the LF and the Phalange Party. Their stance is a commodity for sale and they are
claiming to be defending the rights of Christians,” said Aoun after the weekly
meeting of the Change and Reform parliamentary bloc.
“I don't know what 'consolation prizes' the LF and the Phalange Party will get,
but that will definitely harm Christians,” Aoun added.
Recalling the 2008 Doha Conference, where he pushed for implementing the 1960
electoral law in the 2009 elections, Aoun said: “Yes, in Doha we 'liberated' 10
parliamentary seats for Christians in the North and 11 in other regions, but we
accepted the 1960 law for one time only because it was so much better than the
2000 law, and we were not ashamed of what we did in Doha.”
Slamming the draft law proposed by the LF and the Phalange Party, Aoun said
“dividing Lebanon into 50 electorates is aimed at achieving political ends.”
He vowed that “the 50 electorates law will not be passed in parliament, even if
the parliamentary committee approves it.”
“If the LF and the Phalange Party are with the law proposed by the Orthodox
Gathering, (under which each sect would elect its own MPs), let them support
it,” Aoun added.
“As long as the country is sectarian, I will keep defending the rights of
Christians,” he pledged.
Asked about the blast that recently hit a Hizbullah arms cache in the Bekaa town
of Nabi Sheet, Aoun said: “Everyone knows that the Resistance has missiles that
can reach Haifa and beyond, so storing them in several locations should not
surprise anyone. This is normal and I'm speaking technically and not trying to
defend Hizbullah. No one should be surprised that they have a huge amount of
ammunition.”
“I hope we will reach a stage during which the army will be capable of defending
the country and the country would benefit from that,” Aoun added.
Asked about Al-Arabiya television's report that claimed Hizbullah was involved
in the 2005 assassination of prominent MP and journalist Gebran Tueni, Aoun
said: “When judicial authorities have their say, we will voice our opinion, and
if the charges are confirmed, we will voice a very strong condemnation.”
Asked whether he supports referring Tueni's case to the U.N.-backed Special
Tribunal for Lebanon, Aoun said: “Let the judiciary decide.”
Hizbullah on Monday denied involvement in Tueni's assassination, after Al-Arabiya
television broadcast Saturday a report claiming that Damascus and Hizbullah's
intelligence department were behind the operation. “Al-Arabiya's document on
Hizbullah is fake and not everything published is a real document and you can
tell that from the content,” Hizbullah's State Minister for Administrative
Development Mohammed Fneish told reporters as he entered a cabinet session at
the Grand Serail.
Later on Monday, Hizbullah issued an official statement denying “any involvement
whatsoever” in Tueni's assassination, saying it is “awaiting the judiciary's
ruling in this case.”
“With the help of members of the intelligence department of Lebanon's Hizbullah,
Mission 213, which was assigned to them on December 10, has been successfully
accomplished with excellent results,” said an allegedly leaked Syrian document
obtained by Al-Arabiya.
The document, dated December 12, 2005, was sent by head of the operations
department in the Syrian intelligence, Hasan Abdul Rahman, to then chief of
national security department Assef Shawkat, according to Al-Arabiya.
“In concurrence with Assef Shawkat's letter on accomplishing the mission and on
the same day the letter was sent to the Syrian presidential palace, a
booby-trapped car was awaiting Lebanese lawmaker Gebran Tueni to end his life
while on his way to work, in an assassination operation described as mysterious
back then,” Al-Arabiya added.
A leaked U.S. Embassy cable dated December 19, 2005 said Syria was likely behind
Tueni's assassination in 2005, which was aimed at silencing his caustic remarks
against the regime of President Bashar Assad. The WikiLeaks cable, which was
published exclusively in al-Jumhouriya newspaper, added that the assassination
was also a message to the Lebanese opposition that “no one can protect them.”
What's happening in Qardaha?
Tony Badran, October 9, 2012/Now Lebanon
A defaced mural showing members of the Assad clan in Syria. The Assads have
managed to keep their hold on Syria largely because of communal solidarity with
other Alawites, though that bond is weakening. (AFP photo)
Last week, Mohammed Assad, a cousin of President Bashar al-Assad, was shot and
critically wounded in Qardaha, hometown of the Assads in the coastal mountains
of Syria. For a member of the Assad family to have been attacked in his native
village is news enough, but the most intriguing aspect of the event is the
identity of the gunman. At the time of the shooting Assad was arguing with
representatives of other eminent Alawite families, who are led by the Khayyir
clan. Tempers flared, and Mohammad drew his gun—but not quickly enough.
The incident is significant, because it would appear to be the first sign of an
open rift among the Alawite elite. Communal solidarity is a major reason why the
regime has failed to crack apart, and why Bashar al-Assad has managed to keep
his generals in line.
The news of possible anti-Assad stirrings in his ancestral village naturally
attracted the interest of the opposition, which fervently hopes that the
shooting represented the first stirrings of politically significant Alawite
defections from Assad. Syrian opposition sites and social media feeds went abuzz
with several accounts of what happened.
Events like these are murky by definition. Reports are hard to source with
accuracy, and they vary in details. But all agree that Mohammad Assad, known as
the “sheikh of the mountain," is a prominent leader of the shabiha gangs, the
notorious Alawite mafia that smuggles and extorts for profit, while also acting
as a paramilitary arm of the regime. Assad and his confederates had a brawl with
members of the other big clans, which left a number of them dead or wounded.
Credible sources report that the Khayyirs led the other big families in street
protests, forcing the hand of the security forces, who cordoned off the village.
On Monday, the “coalition of Alawite youth against the Assad regime” reported on
a street protest, also led by the Khayyirs, which resulted in another exchange
of gunfire and yet more casualties. Tensions continued to rise throughout the
week, and the situation does not appear to have been resolved.
While these events seem clear enough, it’s much harder to know how to interpret
them. Some Syrian oppositionists viewed the fight, especially at first, as a
typical dispute between mafia families – turf and spoils, not high politics.
However, other sources, including Alawite activists, are telling a different
story. They insist that at the heart of the incident is discontent with Bashar
al-Assad’s leadership. The other big clans, they say, denigrated the president’s
leadership of the war, and it was this affront that goaded Mohammad al-Assad
into pulling his gun.
These sources emphasize that a pall of anxiety has descended on the entire
Alawite community. The regime, many feel, has implicated all Alawites in its
atrocities. When Assad falls, the community will pay for his crimes with its
blood. This anxiety has reached a new level in recent weeks, because the Free
Syrian Army has succeeded in making incursions into the coastal mountains, once
thought to be an impregnable Alawite stronghold. On Saturday, the rebels
announced they were in control of territories just north of Qardaha itself. This
advance led the families of the town to fear reprisals for the atrocities
committed by Assad’s shabiha.
Fear of Sunni revenge is mixed with resentment against the Assads and their
shabiha gangs, who have long tormented the coastal region, Alawites included. As
the big families watch their sons in the military return home in coffins, these
old intra-communal resentments are taking on new meaning. “Get off our backs
already,” Mohammad al-Assad and his thugs were told, according to one account.
The Khayyirs' bitter history with the Assads runs particularly deep. To them,
the Assads are peasant upstarts. The Khayyirs are a notable family that boasts
of having produced important cultural and religious figures. Following the
shooting of Mohammed al-Assad, the story of the late poet, Hassan Khayyir, was
circulated. The poet was executed at the hands of Hafez al-Assad in 1979 for
criticizing the regime in one of his poems. They say his tongue was cut out – a
particularly vengeful torture to a poet.
Mohammad al-Assad may have styled himself as the “sheikh of the mountain,” but
the Khayyirs always viewed the Assads as a lowly family that climbed to
prominence by sheer force. These resentments were renewed two weeks ago, when
the security services abducted veteran dissident Dr. Abdel Aziz Khayyir after he
returned from a trip abroad. He remains detained.
One is tempted, therefore, to analyze the events in Qardaha as a direct
challenge by the Khayyirs to Assad's leadership. That view is corroborated by an
intriguing report, which claims that loyalists of Bashar's notorious uncle
Rifaat joined the Khayyirs in protest. Rifaat, who is in exile in Europe, still
dreams of a political role in Syria and has even floated himself as an
alternative to his nephew. He also took a Khayyir as his fourth wife. But one
must be careful before jumping to conclusions. Not only are the facts murky,
but, also, the lines between the clans are opaque – precisely because of
intermarriage, which all the Assads, not just Rifaat, have used to cement their
primacy.
Although last Monday’s street mobilization did not call for Assad’s downfall,
the embattled president was not about to tolerate open opposition from big
Alawite families. That is why, according to Alawite activists, the regime is
intent on setting an example. The shops of the Khayyirs and their confederates
have reportedly been burned. And young girls from the Khayyir family are said to
have been abducted to “teach the families a lesson.”
Up until now, Assad has been able to rely on the Alawites’ cohesiveness and
support. The community has been a bastion of support. But Alawite discontent
could well be surfacing under the stress of war and the fear of retribution.
Time will tell whether Assad will be able to maintain communal solidarity.
**Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
He tweets @AcrossTheBay.
World’s biggest shipping company halts Iran operations
October 9, 2012/Maersk Line, the world's biggest shipping company that is part
of group A.P. Moeller-Maersk, said on Tuesday that it has stopped operations
into and out of Iran.
"Due to a combination of EU sanctions as well as strengthened US sanctions, it
is no longer possible for Maersk Line to conduct business in the country and has
ceased operations into and out of Iran for the foreseeable future," said John
Churchill, a spokesperson for the company. The decision comes as the Iranian
economy seems to be under increasing pressure from international sanctions aimed
at curbing Tehran's nuclear program. The Iranian rial has lost about two thirds
of its value in the past 15 months, and Iran's foreign reserves are believed to
have dropped by tens of billions of dollars this year.
Maersk Tankers, another unit within the Danish conglomerate, said in February
that it had ceased doing business in Iran.-AFP
Future bloc calls for investigating alleged Hezbollah involvement in Syria
Now Lebanon/October 9, 2012 /The Future bloc on Tuesday discussed the alleged
involvement of Hezbollah fighters in Syrian events and called on judicial
authorities to investigate the charges.
“Funerals of Hezbollah fighters in the past few weeks raised a lot of questions
on how and where these fighters were killed and [the Shiite party] has provided
[weak] excuses,” the bloc said following its weekly meeting. “[Their excuses]
varied between [the fighters dying while] defending Lebanon [or] in training
camp [accidents]. One of Hezbollah’s [officials] announced these [fighters] were
killed in Syrian lands defending Lebanese residents there,” it added. The bloc
called on the relevant security and judicial authorities “to address the case
along with all of its details” and also condemned Syrian opposition figures’
statements “threatening” Lebanese areas in the southern suburb of Beirut. Last
week, a Hezbollah senior commander was buried in the eastern Lebanon Beqaa
valley, as Syrian rebels claimed he was killed in Syria. The participants also
discussed last week’s Baalbek explosion, which killed at least nine people and
wounded seven others, and called on Hezbollah to place its ammunition depots
under the management of the Lebanese army. According to residents, the blasts
hit an arms stockpile in a building under construction in an uninhabited area
between the villages of Nabi Sheet and Khodr.
On the alleged Al-Arabiya “leaks” regarding Syria, the Future bloc said the
Lebanese cabinet as well as judicial authorities must address the documents on
the possible involvement of Hezbollah in the assassination of Lebanese MP Gebran
Tueni and announce the result of the investigation to the public.
In the past two weeks, Saudi-based Al-Arabiya published what it alleged were
“leaked and highly-classified Syrian security documents.” The station speculated
that one of the documents about a successfully completed mission “is linked to
the assassination of Tueni.”
On the case of ex-Information Minister Michel Samaha and the alleged involvement
of Syrian President’s advisor Bouthaina Shaaban in the case, the bloc said: “We
call for speeding up the investigation into the issue [in order] to issue
indictments in this [dangerous] crime.” On Saturday, Government Commissioner to
the Military Court Judge Saqr Saqr referred to First Military Investigative
Judge Riad Abu Ghida a report on the analysis of phone calls between the
detained minister and the Shaaban. The move came after media reports that the
Syrian aide was involved in the case.
The bloc also addressed President Michel Suleiman’s statements on non-state arms
and said his positions “responsibly expressed the convictions of the Lebanese
people.”
The president last week said that work was underway to eventually make the army
“the sole possessor of weapons to defend Lebanon against any threat.”
Before making this statement, he had said that the arms of Hezbollah should not
be confused with the arms of Resistance, and that the latter fall within a
national defense strategy, while arms used domestically by any party must be
confiscated.-NOW Lebanon
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu calls early
elections
Now Lebanon/October 9, 2012
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday called an early general
election, saying it should be held "as quickly as possible" in a bid to avoid
damaging the Jewish state's flagging economy.
"My duty as prime minister is to put the national interest before everything,
and so I've decided that for the good of Israel we must go to an election now as
fast as possible," he told a press conference, broadcast live on Israel's main
television and radio stations.
"For the state of Israel, it is preferable to have a short election period of
three months than a long election campaign which would last a whole year, and
hurt Israel's economy," Netanyahu said.
Elections for Israel's 19th parliament had been due to take place in October
2013 but the Israeli leader moved to bring forward the date after failing to
garner the support of coalition partners for an unpopular austerity budget which
must be passed by the end of this year.
Although he did not set a date for the election, Israeli press reports suggested
it would be in late January or mid-February.
"I finished my talks with party leaders in the coalition and I reached the
conclusion that at this time, it is not possible to pass a responsible budget,"
he said.
"We are facing an election year and unfortunately, in an election year, it is
difficult for parties to put the national interest over party interests," he
said.
Israel's Knesset, which reconvenes for its winter session on October 15, is
likely to be dissolved at some point next week.
Netanyahu's announcement ends weeks of speculation about whether he would bring
forward the election in a bid to bolster his position and capitalize on his
popularity.
Recent polls indicate Netanyahu, who heads the rightwing Likud party, is well
placed to stay in power, although his ratings hit a low point earlier this year
after he pushed through an initial series of austerity measures in order to plug
a shortfall in the budget.
His coalition of rightwing, nationalist and ultra-Orthodox parties currently
holds 66 of the 120 seats in parliament.
There was a brief flurry of election fever earlier this year after Netanyahu
said in May that he would seek an early vote in September.
But as parliament was voting on whether to dissolve itself, he backtracked and
made an 11th-hour deal to bring the opposition Kadima party into his ruling
coalition, giving him a cast-iron majority of 94 seats. That political marriage
collapsed just 70 days later, with Kadima head Shaul Mofaz pulling out over what
he said were irreconcilable differences over plans to change the law on
universal conscription.
-AFP