Bible Quotation for today/God
and Possessions
Matthew 06/24-34: "You cannot be a slave of two masters; you will hate one
and love the other; you will be loyal to one and despise the other. You
cannot serve both God and money. This is why I tell you: do not be worried
about the food and drink you need in order to stay alive, or about clothes
for your body. After all, isn't life worth more than food? And isn't the
body worth more than clothes? Look at the birds: they do not plant seeds,
gather a harvest and put it in barns; yet your Father in heaven takes care
of them! Aren't you worth much more than birds? Can any of you live a bit
longer by worrying about it? And why worry about clothes? Look how the wild
flowers grow: they do not work or make clothes for themselves. But I tell
you that not even King Solomon with all his wealth had clothes as beautiful
as one of these flowers. It is God who clothes the wild grass—grass that is
here today and gone tomorrow, burned up in the oven. Won't he be all the
more sure to clothe you? What little faith you have! So do not start
worrying: Where will my food come from? or my drink? or my clothes? (These
are the things the pagans are always concerned about. Your Father in heaven
knows that you need all these things. Instead, be concerned above everything
else with the Kingdom of God and with what he requires of you, and he will
provide you with all these other things. So do not worry about tomorrow; it
will have enough worries of its own. There is no need to add to the troubles
each day brings."
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters &
Releases from miscellaneous sources
Will Nasrallah pay the price for
al-Assad/By Emad El Din Adeeb/Asharq Alawsat/October 06/12
Yes, the al-Assad regime is afraid/By
Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 06/12
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for
October 06/12
Israeli Army
shoots down UAV in northern Negev
Israel wages cyber battle over UAV, satellite-guided by
Iran or Hizballah
Israel checking: Was drone headed to Dimona?
21st
century battlefield: Race of drones
Downed
drone: Iran testing Israel's capabilities
Iran presents 'US spy drone'
Tehran's Grand Bazaar reopens, currency trade still frozen
Iran denies offering new plan on nuclear impasse
UN
chief says sanctions on Iran affecting its people
Report: Israel's Iran policy shifting
amid Tehran unrest
Syria unrest sparks rifts among Lebanon’s Palestinian
factions
Egyptian Constituent Assembly close to
finalizing constitution - El-Beltagy
Interview: Libyan - Syrian revolutionary Mahdi al-Harati
US-Israel Ties: Obama's anti-Israel agenda
Assad: Enemy has Israeli weapons
Turkey returns fire after new Syrian shelling
Northern border: Hezbollah’s transformation
Tehran warns Syrian rebels to free captive Iranians
Syria army pounds Homs,
rebels seize border village
Pope's butler convicted in
leaks, given 18 months
Syria army pounds Homs, rebels seize border village
U.S. court fight starts for radical cleric sent from
Britain
Suleiman: My Call for Dialogue is Aimed at Achieving
Sovereignty, Stability
Lebanon’s Arabic press
digest - Oct. 6, 2012
Assad adviser involved in Samaha case: report
Saqr Refers File on Samaha-Shaaban Telephone Calls on
Explosives to Military Tribunal Judge
Jumblat: No One Would Have Ever Thought Resistance's Arms
Would Be Turned to Internal Scene
Israel wages cyber battle over UAV, satellite-guided by
Iran or Hizballah
DEBKAfile Special Report October 6, 2012/Israeli intelligence and air force
waged a cyber battle Saturday, Oct. 6 with unidentified parties, most likely
Hizballah or Iran, who sent a satellite-guided unmanned helicopter into Israeli
air space through the Mediterranean. debkafile’s military sources report
exclusively that for 30 minutes, as the helicopter flew over southern Israel,
control swung back and forth between Israeli cyber operators and unknown agents.
The battle was finally resolved by an Israel decision to scramble four F-16
fighters to shoot the trespasser down, the while Israeli cyber experts tried to
identify its satellite controller.
Defense Minister Ehud Barak released a statement saying that Israel takes a very
grave view of the incursion and will weigh its response.
debkafile reported earlier Saturday, straight after the incident:
Israeli air force jets were scrambled Saturday, Oct. 6 to shoot down a small
unmanned aircraft from Gaza. It was downed over the Yatir forest in the southern
Mt. Hebron district after cutting across southern Israeli airspace. It crashed
at around 1000 local time. Israeli troops are scouring the area in search of
fragments.
debkafile’s military sources reports that the unmanned plane was sent over
Israeli airspace at the start of a military mobilization exercise conducted by
Hamas in the Gaza Strip. It is coordinated with Hizballah and sponsored by Iran.
The Lebanese terrorist group may have helped Hamas launch the aerial vehicle,
which came in from the west.
It as shot down almost half an hour after the intrusion. The IDF spokesman
denied it caught Israel intelligence unawares. He said the UAV was tracked from
the start and the operation for downing it was delayed to avoid harm to civilian
locations in its path.
Our sources add that the plan for the Gaza exercise was approved in the talks
Hamas leaders Mahmoud A-Zahar and Marwan Issa held with Iranian and Hizballah
leaders in Tehran and Beirut in the second week of September. They agreed then
that Hamas would take active part in any Iranian or Syrian conflict with Israel.
After launching the small UAV, Hamas went ahead with its call-up of reserve
strength for active duty. Roadblocks were thrown up to keep Gaza Strip roads
from being clogged with civilian traffic and speed up military movement.
Palestinian sources claim that before it was detected the Hamas craft managed to
fly over Israeli bases and towns including Beersheba.
Israel checking: Was drone headed to Dimona?
Ron Ben-Yishai/Ynetnews
After IDF collects remnants of unmanned aircraft shot down over southern forest,
security establishment examining possibility it was launched by Hezbollah to
photograph Israeli reactor; army fears drones will be used to hit strategic
sites. After Israeli fighter jets shot down a drone over the Yatir forest in the
south Mount Hebron area on Saturday, the army is trying to figure out what its
destination was. One of the possibilities the security establishment is looking
into is that the unmanned aircraft, which was apparently Iranian-made, was on
its way to test the option of infiltrating the nuclear reactor in Dimona,
perhaps even to examine the option of targeting the plant in a future conflict.
A drone such as the one that was downed on Saturday after penetrating Israel's
airspace through the Mediterranean Sea could not cause serious damage to the
reactor, but such an incident would mark a psychological victory for Lebanese
Shiite group Hezbollah, whose leader Hassan Nasrallah recently threatened to
attack strategic targets in Israel, including power plants. The Iranians are
aware that Israel has the capability to deal with rockets and missiles with its
Iron Dome and Arrow air defense systems, but dealing with the threat of a slow
drone poses a different kind of challenge.
Operating a drone by remote control from such a long distance requires advanced
capabilities, which Israel was not aware Hezbollah had acquired. By examining
the drone's parts, the army hopes to find out whether the drone was controlled
from a command center in Lebanon or was directed by a space-based satellite
navigation system (GPS) according to predetermined coordinates. If that was the
case, the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) may have directed itself automatically
and was supposed to return to its base or self-destruct over the sea. As far as
Israel is concerned, Saturday's incident calls for increased alertness and
preparations to thwart such infiltration attempts in the future. In light of the
successful interception and the volatile situation in the Middle East, Israel
may decide to act with restraint and not respond at all. It will certainly want
to avoid a massive response that may ignite the entire region.
"Israel is aware of Iran and Hezbollah's technological capabilities. The current
discussion is about how Israel should respond to such an infiltration of a drone
and if it should be compared to the launching of a missile or rocket from
Lebanon, which has always drawn an immediate response in the form of artillery
fire or aerial strikes on targets in south Lebanon," a senior security official
told Ynet Saturday night
The drone apparently began its flight in Lebanon and then headed in the
direction of Gaza's coastline after flying over the Mediterranean Sea. The
drone's operators may have planned to take advantage of this fact in hopes of
confusing Israel's detection and interception systems. However, the drone was
detected while it was still flying over the Mediterranean Sea and was downed a
half-hour later over the south Mount Hebron area after IAF jets made certain it
was not carrying any explosives and that its main mission was intelligence
gathering.
The IDF is working to improve its aerial detection and interception capabilities
in light of the changes in the Middle East and due to the fact that Israel's
enemies have upgraded their military capabilities. The army is placing an
emphasis on detecting drones, fearing that they may be used as a missile to
target Israeli strategic sites.
"In the next war Syrian and Iranian drones will also be sent on 'suicide'
missions," a senior Air Force official recently told Ynet.
Iran and Hezbollah have yet to respond officially to the downing of the drone,
but in an interview with English-language Iranian network Press TV, retired
Lebanese general Hisham Jaber estimated that the drone was American.
"The Negev desert is a very sensitive area," he added. "Everybody knows that the
Dimona nuclear center is there and the Negev is also the nuclear reserve for the
Israeli armed forces.
"No one knows where the drone came from yet, but the Palestinians do not possess
such sophisticated aircraft. Maybe it came from Sinai and Egypt, but I prefer
the idea that since it came from the sea it may have come from an American
aircraft carrier and was shot by accident," the general said.
The retired general said the drone may have departed from one of the American
bases in Saudi Arabia and rejected the possibility that it was launched from
Lebanon or Jordan.
"If Israel will remain silent after its investigation and will close the file,
that means that - like we said - it (drone) came from a friendly side and it is
not in their interest to talk about it," he argued.
Yoav Zitun contributed to the report
Yes, the al-Assad regime is afraid!
By Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat
Now we see the regime of the tyrant of Damascus issuing an apology to Turkey via
the United Nations, pledging that there will be no repeat of the mortar attack
that struck Turkish territory causing the deaths of 5 Turkish citizens. This was
an incident that prompted Ankara to respond by bombarding the Syrian border, so
what does this al-Assad apology tell us?The simple answer is that the al-Assad
regime - both that of the father and the son - is “not ashamed to be afraid”, to
use the colloquial Arab saying. So the regime of al-Assad the father avoided
confronting the Turks after they threatened Damascus over harboring [PKK leader]
Abdullah Ocalan. Whilst today, Bashar al-Assad also rushed to apologize to
Turkey! However this incident explains the reason why al-Assad is persisting in
carrying out crimes against the Syrian people. The major reason for this is that
al-Assad has, until now, yet to see any real indication of foreign intervention
in Syria in order to serve as a deterrent and put an end to his crimes, whether
under the umbrella of the UN Security Council or outside of this framework. In
this case, if al-Assad saw, for example, [foreign] aircraft entering Syrian
airspace or his troops being easily overcome, he would certainly flee his
presidential palace. Therefore all the talk that al-Assad is heading a strong
and intransigent regime is nothing but propaganda to justify the lack of
international intervention to put an end to his crimes, particularly as we have
seen al-Assad demonstrate his weakness and rush to apologize following the first
Turkish bombardment!
Al-Assad’s apology to Turkey was not just because of this bombardment, but also
because he is aware that Turkey's parliament had released the hand of the Ankara
government to launch strikes against his regime, authorizing this for a period
of one whole year. Al-Assad was gambling on political division within Turkey,
from the opposition and others, tying the hands of Mr. Recep Tayyip Erdogan and
preventing him from taking any military decision against Syria. However the
Turkish parliament’s decision had released the hands of Mr. Erdogan, and this
serves as a clear message to al-Assad that the Turks are behind their
government, and there is no room to play on or manipulate this issue. This is
precisely what is missing in the international position today towards al-Assad’s
crimes, for so long as there is no decisive international resolution against
al-Assad, or an effective alliance of the willing to put an end to his crimes,
the tyrant of Damascus will not hesitate to commit further crimes against the
Syrian people.
Therefore, the lesson that we can learn from the latest Turkish position towards
al-Assad is that although al-Assad is afraid, he will not desist from killing
his own people. This is something that was confirmed during the Hafez al-Assad
era in Syria with regards to the issue of Abdullah Ocalan, as well as following
Israel’s Deir Ezzour operation during the Bashar al-Assad era. This is not to
mention the US raid on the Abu Kamal terrorist camps and the withdrawal of the
Syrian army from Lebanon against the backdrop of Washington’s threats against
al-Assad following the assassination of Rafiq Hariri.
Everything that has happened tells us that the criminal al-Assad regime only
understands the language of force, and that diplomacy does not work with it.
This is because al-Assad believes that diplomacy is the art of laughing at
others, or as Colonel Gaddafi associate Abdelsalam Jalloud said in his recent
interview with Al-Arabiya TV, “the tyrant believes that diplomacy is lies.”
To conclude, al-Assad only understands the language of force, anything other
than this is a waste of time.
Egyptian Constituent Assembly close to finalizing
constitution - El-Beltagy
By Mohamed Abdu Hassanein
Cairo, Asharq Al-Awsat – In an exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Dr.
Mohamed El-Beltagy, a senior member of the Muslim Brotherhood and also a member
of Egypt’s Constituent Assembly, stressed that any alternative
constitution-drafting committee would not reflect the will of the Egyptian
people, particularly as the current assembly was formed by the now dissolved
Egyptian party. El-Beltagy, who is also a spokesman for the Freedom and Justice
party – the political wing of the Muslim Brotherhood – asserted that the calls
for a boycott of the Constituent Assembly would return Egypt to a state of
“political vacuum.”
El-Beltagy described the criticism being leveled at the Freedom and Justice
party regarding the performance of the government of prime minister Dr. Hisham
Qandill as being “normal”, in the context of the evaluation of an incoming
government, adding that whatever happens, a new government will be formed in
Egypt following the referendum on the forthcoming constitution.
Egypt’s now dissolved parliament formed the 100-member Constituent Assembly to
draft a new constitution for post-revolution Egypt. This is the second
Constituent Assembly since the ouster of the former Mubarak regime, after the
first assembly was dissolved by court order in April. Egypt’s courts are
currently considering a lawsuit to dissolve the current Constituent Assembly due
to the presence of former MPs within it.
The current Constituent Assembly has received significant criticism from Egypt’s
liberal and left-wing political forces due to its perceived pro-Islamist bent.
Human Rights activist Manal El-Tibbi recently resigned from the Constituent
Assembly, and her strongly worded resignation letter has been the subject of
controversy in Egypt. In the public letter, Manal El-Tibbi said that “we are
approaching the drafting of a constitution that is worse than all previous Egypt
constitution” adding that this constitution “would form the solid foundation not
just for reproducing the former regime, but to create the state for the
counter-revolution, whose direct job would be to neutralize the political,
popular and glorious revolution of 25 January, 2011.”
The Egyptian Human Rights activist also claimed that this Constituent Assembly
was “based on the military’s overwhelming use of power and authority, and the
Muslim Brotherhood’s utilization of the parliamentary majority enjoyed by the
Brotherhood, Salafists and Wahhabis.”
For his part, Dr. El-Beltagy said that there could be no complete consensus
within the Constituent Assembly, adding that any such assembly would witness
some differences of opinion and division. He also confirmed that El-Tibbi is the
only member of the Constituent Assembly to resign until today. He stressed that
the liberal and left-wing forces had boycotted some sessions, but this did not
mean there was any official withdrawals or resignations from the Constituent
Assembly. The Muslim Brotherhood spokesman asserted that all members of the
constitution-drafting committee would be held to the assembly’s rules and
regulations, namely that any assembly member who was absent for 5 or more
sessions would be excluded.
Dr. El-Beltagy also told Asharq Al-Awsat that what is being proposed about
reforming the Constituent Assembly, perhaps with some Islamist members being
replaced, is “completely out of the question”. He confirmed that the only
“reformation” of the assembly would see absent members being replaced by members
present on the Constituent Assembly membership reserve list.
As for the possibility of the Constituent Assembly being dissolved for a second
time by court order, Dr. El-Beltagy said “in this case, an alternative committee
will be formed by presidential decree, as he [the president] has the right to
reform this committee according to the ruling documents.”
Speaking exclusively to Asharq Al-Awsat, Dr. El-Beltagy said that the current
Constituent Assembly “was formed by an elected parliament and represents the
will of the majority of the people.” He confirmed that “any alternative assembly
will not be able to achieve what this current Constituent Assembly has achieved
in terms of representing the popular will.”
The Freedom and Justice party spokesman also revealed that he expects the
Constituent Assembly deliberations to end in the coming few weeks, after the
majority of constitutional articles have been agreed upon. In addition to this,
the Constituent Assembly was given just 6 months to finalize a constitution,
with this deadline ending on 12 December, according to the Constitutional
Declaration issued last May. He stressed that “we will definitely finish our
deliberations before this date.”
The Constituent Assembly ended its debate on the proposed Article II of the new
constitution earlier this week; this article pertains to Islamic Sharia law. The
Constituent Assembly members reportedly agreed to keep this article in the new
constitution; the article states that “the principles of Islamic Sharia law
would be the main foundation of legislation.” The previous 1971 constitution had
seen an amendment attached to this article.
Article II of the new constitution will also reportedly include a clarification
regarding the meaning of the term “principles”, ensuring that “this includes
attestation of all Islamic Sharia law and jurisprudential views, as well as
principles of Sunni madhabs.”
The new expanded Article II will also include an amendment that “followers of
Christianity or Judaism have the right to appeal to their own religious laws in
their personal affairs and practices, as well as the right to practice their
religious rituals and choose their religious leaders.”
Salafist Constituent Assembly members conceded their earlier calls for the
inclusion of a number of controversial articles, including an article dealing
with criminalizing religious blasphemy, as well as an article on Zakat, Islamic
almsgiving.
El-Beltagy also issued a call to former presidential candidates Dr. Mohamed
ElBaradei and Hamdeen Sabahi, who have called for a boycott of the Constituent
Assembly. He said “I continue to call on all Egyptian figures, including
ElBaradei and Sabahi, to participate. History records all of our deeds and
actions, and it is the duty of everybody to take positive stances, not negative
ones. Criticizing the Constituent Assembly is not in the national interest.”
He added “calling for a boycott of the Constituent Assembly is a call for the
continuation of a state of political vacuum, not just within the Constituent
Assembly itself, but within the country as a whole.”
As for the criticisms being received by the Freedom and Justice regarding the
performance of the Qandill government, el-Beltagy stressed “this represents an
evaluation of the experience, especially as we are approaching the stage of
completing the constitutional-drafting process.” He stressed that the Qandill
government is a temporary government, as a new government will be formed
following the referendum on the new constitution and parliamentary elections.
For his part, Dr. el-Beltagy praised the performance of the Qandill government
and stressed that any criticism was “normal”, adding “we do not need to defend
it [the government] at all times.”
Interview: Libyan - Syrian revolutionary Mahdi al-Harati
By Abdul Sattar Hatita
Tunis, Asharq Al-Awsat – Commander of the rebel “Liwaa al-Umma” group in Syria,
Libyan revolutionary Mahdi al-Harati, appeared in Tripoli, confirming reports
that he was no longer present on Syrian territory. Al-Harati, who played a
prominent role in the Libyan revolution that toppled Colonel Gaddafi’s rule,
serving as co-commander of the Tripoli Brigade, had initially travelled to Syria
on a fact-finding mission. Following discussions with members of the Syrian
opposition, the Libyan commander took the decision to form Liwaa al-Umma [Banner
of the Nation] and join the Syrian revolution. His appearance in Syria had
served as a source of major controversy regarding the presence of foreign
fighters in the ranks of the Syrian revolutionaries.
In an exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat from Tripoli, Mahdi al-Harati
played down the presence of foreign fighters on Syrian soil, stressing that “99
percent of Liwaa al-Umma are Syrian nationals.”
This comes at a time that a leading Free Syrian Army [FSA] officer in Idlib,
utilizing the nom de guerre “Abu Huraira” claimed that the rebel army was
capable of “defeating” pro-regime forces. The rebel officer, speaking via Skype,
also revealed that the FSA rejected the presence of “Arab volunteers” in the
Syrian revolution, particularly as this issue had been the subject of
differences of opinion amongst the FSA leadership.
Al-Harati previously served as deputy to Abdul Hakim Belhadj, head of the
Tripoli Military Council, before this organization was disbanded following the
ouster of Gaddafi. Al-Harati’s presence in Syria had sparked controversy,
particularly after he appeared in a video on YouTube in the midst of Syrian and
Libyan rebel fighters. Al-Harati’s presence, along with other Libyan
revolutionaries, appeared to give some credence to Syrian President al-Assad’s
claims that foreign fighters were participating in the uprising against him.
In his first interview since returning from his adventures in Syria, al-Harati
revealed that he has been back in his home country for the past two weeks. The
Libyan commander spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat at a Tripoli hotel overlooking the
Mediterranean Sea, and he spoke indirectly about the difficulty of his returning
to Syria to rejoin the revolution. He asserted that the reason for his return to
Libya was to undergo surgery, adding that this and the Turkish authorities’
reluctance to allow him to enter their territory makes it unlikely that he will
return to Syria.
As for whether arms are being smuggled to the FSA and Syrian rebels via the
border, Mahdi al-Harati asserted that “in general, weapons come from inside
[Syria]…from the defectors’ stressing that “these are the arms that are present
at home.” He added “as for arms coming from abroad, it is very difficult because
Turkey has imposed a ban on this sort of activity.”
Whilst the Libyan revolution enjoyed wide-spread international support,
including an arms embargo on the Gaddafi regime and a NATO-imposed no-fly zone
and air support, the Syrian revolution has lacked any concrete foreign support.
For his part, Mahdi al-Harati asserted that the conditions enjoyed by the Libyan
revolution are “very difficult” to impose in Syria, despite the fact that the
al-Assad regime is “massacring” the Syrian people. Indeed, the Libyan commander
stressed that this is the only thing that the Syrian regime can do now, saying
“all that it can do is slaughter innocent people and kill and destroy…but
despite this it cannot destroy the FSA.”
In response to whether he had witnessed al-Assad regime forces utilizing
internationally banned weaponry, such as chemical weapons, during his time in
Syria, Mahdi al-Harati said “I did not see any chemical weapons during the war,
but the force being used by the al-Assad regime is enough to kill innocent
people.” He added that the al-Assad regime’s fate is sealed, but the speed of
its ouster will depend on the actions and reactions of the international
community.
He said “if the revolution is provided with support, then the collapse of the
Syrian regime will happen very quickly…and if a no-fly zone is imposed, then
this will be much quicker than you imagine.”
FSA officer Abu Huraira, speaking from Aleppo via Skype, asserted that the FSA
leadership is split regarding the presence of “Arab volunteers” amongst the
ranks of the Syrian rebels. He said that the presence of volunteers from Egypt,
Libya and elsewhere has caused “divisions” that the FSA leadership does not
require at this time, instead calling on anybody who wants to support the Syrian
revolution to send weapons.
Commenting on the FSA’s rejection of non-Syrian nationals, Mahdi al-Harati told
Asharq Al-Awsat that “firstly, we went [to Syria] in response to the call of the
Syrian, Arab and Muslim people. We met with a very strong response from the
[Syrian] people” adding “we have a very good relationship with the FSA and the
Syrian Military Council, and our movements [in Syria] were in arrangements and
coordination with the FSA and Military Council.”
He also stressed that 99 percent of Liwaa al-Umma, the rebel group he formed in
Syria, were Syrian nationals. Al-Harati said “all the officers and cadres
present in Liwaa al-Umma were present in the FSA and Syrian Military
Council…namely full affiliation. As for the role played by the Libyans, this was
limited to training and organization, providing any help for the factions,
including playing a combat role and providing our Syrian brothers with our
experience of the Libyan revolution.”
Without providing any specific figures or statistics regarding the number of
Libyan or foreign volunteers amongst the ranks of the Syrian revolution, al-Harati
acknowledged that many Arab fighters were present in Syria, but stressed this
was not in any organized or formal manner. He said these “Arab volunteers” came
from many countries to take part in the revolution, but added that the lack of
organization regarding their presence in Syria “will certainly result in future
problems.”
Responding to a question as to whether Al Qaeda is present on Syrian soil, al-Harati
told Asharq Al-Awsat that “there may be some [Al Qaeda] elements, but not in the
size that the media is talking about.” He added “what is happening in Syria is a
revolution that has exceeded groups. Even if we assume that Al Qaeda is present,
the revolution is beyond all groups or organizations.”
As for whether he is thinking of returning to Syria to rejoin the fight against
Bashar al-Assad, the Libyan commander said “I underwent major spinal surgery,
and am awaiting another operation” before adding “I hope to communicate with the
Syrians.”
Will Nasrallah pay the price for al-Assad?
By Emad El Din Adeeb/Asharq Alawsat
My work in the media made it possible for me to meet with Hezbollah chief Hassan
Nasrallah on several occasions. This allowed me to get close to the man and
become acquainted with some aspects of his personality.
Regardless of whether we agree or disagree with Nasrallah and his group, there
can be no doubt that he possesses a number of attributes that both his friends
and enemies can agree on. These attributes are as follows:
1. The man has all the attributes of a charismatic leader.
2. He has a unique logical style in putting forward ideas and giving an account
of events, and he certainly has the ability to convince others.
3. The man is socially adept, and enjoys political expertise.
All these attributes means that Nasrallah is no easy prey, and he will try to
ensure that Hezbollah, “the party of resistance”, does not go down in the
history books as contributing - by word or deed - in quelling a popular uprising
against injustice, repression and autocracy in Syria. This is why I paused
thoughtfully last week to meditate on Hezbollah's statement from Beirut
regarding the death of one of the movement’s leaders, known as “Abu Abbas”, who
was killed in Homs whilst “performing his jihadist duty”, according to the
statement.
The statement is an explicit admission of the party's involvement in the
military operations and massacres being committed by the Syrian regime’s troops
to quell the popular uprising in the country. In fact, this stance and option
only serves to harm Hezbollah’s stature and reputation, as well as its standing
in Lebanon and Syria, in both the long and short term.
Syria, for Hezbollah, is a strategic necessity and a source of arms, as well as
training and logistical supplies. Syria is a strategic bridge between Hezbollah
and Tehran, whilst Damascus is also a major political supporter for the group’s
activities in Lebanon.
Yet, at some point, Hezbollah must choose between the dictates of reality and
the weight of history.
Therefore, I strongly doubt that Hassan Nasrallah can back the Syrian regime
politically or militarily. This is because he has the social intelligence and
political expertise to be aware that he is betting on a long-shot that will
impact negatively on the group’s stature in Lebanon and Syria.
In my view, Nasrallah is acting like someone who is unable to reject or
withstand the pressures being mounted on him by Iran and Syria. Even now, Iran
continues to gamble on its ally Bashar al-Assad, whilst the Syrian regime
continues to seek to recruit and mobilize all forces, supporters and allies for
the “life and death” battle it is facing.
In Damascus, there are those who are seeking to expand the battlefield from
Syria into Lebanon, from Homs to Tripoli and from Qardaha to Southern Lebanon.
In my view, Bashar al-Assad, his family, sect, supports and party will not be
the only ones who will pay the price for the Syrian revolution. I believe that
Syria’s agents in Lebanon will also have to pay the price for this as well!