Bible Quotation for today/
Saint Matthew 18/23-35:
"‘For this reason the kingdom of heaven may be compared to a king who
wished to settle accounts with his slaves. When he
began the reckoning, one who owed him ten thousand talents was brought to
him; and, as he could not pay, his lord ordered
him to be sold, together with his wife and children and all his possessions,
and payment to be made. So the slave fell on his
knees before him, saying, "Have patience with me, and I will pay you
everything." And out of pity for him, the lord of
that slave released him and forgave him the debt.
But that same slave, as he went out, came upon one of his fellow-slaves who
owed him a hundred denarii; and seizing him by the throat, he said, "Pay
what you owe."Then his fellow-slave fell down and pleaded with him, "Have
patience with me, and I will pay you."But he refused; then he went and threw
him into prison until he should pay the debt.When his fellow-slaves saw what
had happened, they were greatly distressed, and they went and reported to
their lord all that had taken place. Then his lord
summoned him and said to him, "You wicked slave! I forgave you all that debt
because you pleaded with me. Should you not have
had mercy on your fellow-slave, as I had mercy on you?"And in anger his lord
handed him over to be tortured until he should pay his entire debt.
So my heavenly Father will also do to every one of you, if you do not
forgive your brother or sister from your heart.’
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters
& Releases from miscellaneous sources
Why Iran Wants to Attack the United States/Matthew
Levitt/Foreign PolicyWashington
Institute/October
31/12
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for October 31/12
Hollande issues warning to Iran after meeting
Israeli PM
U.S. lauds Sleiman’s efforts to resolve Cabinet
crisis
Lebanese Cabinet approves diplomatic
appointments
March 14 declares total boycott of government
Lebanese Campaign Urges 'Right to Know' Fate of
Disappeared
Report: Miqati Says March 14 Statement Does Not
Serve Efforts to Reach Calm
Hezbollah urges March 14 to exercise wisdom
Israel Abducts Lebanese Shepherd near Blue Line
'Hezbollah installs cameras along border'
Soldier Wounded in Shooting in Front of ISF
Intelligence Bureau Chief's Residence
Report: ISF Detains Nigerian Man Who Was
Monitoring MP Mashnouq's Mother's House
Mikati: Opposition boycott personal par excellence
March 14 youth blast Cabinet, call for sit-in
Relatives of hostages protest outside Turkish
mission
Jumblatt, Wahhab agree to
maintain stability in Chouf
Berri says no Parliament session without full
participation
Lebanese reporter Itani now in Turkey, minister
says
Political events making apolitical art
More bloodshed if West insists on Assad ouster:
Lavrov
Air strikes pound Syria rebels as China urged to
help
Egypt begins
questioning 'Nasr terror cell' suspects
Peres
meets UN's Serry, calls for peace talks
Air strikes pound Syria rebels as China urged to
help
Iran bans export of 50 goods as sanctions bite:
report
Hollande issues warning to Iran after meeting Israeli PM
October 31, 2012/ /By Delphine Matthieussent
PARIS: French President Francois Hollande on Wednesday said he wanted "concrete
acts" from Iran to prove it was not pursuing nuclear arms, after his first
direct meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Addressing a press conference with Netanyahu, whose aim during the two-day visit
is to press for more pressure on Tehran, Hollande warned that Paris would back
"other sanctions" if Tehran failed to convince on its contested nuclear
programme.
"This is a threat which cannot be accepted by France," Hollande said.
"We have voted for many sanctions and are ready to vote others as long as
necessary," the French leader said, underscoring that he wanted "proof that Iran
has abandoned this drive."
Iran denies Israeli and Western suspicions that its nuclear programme is a front
for a drive for a weapons capability.
Netanyahu hailed the "extremely important position" taken by Hollande.
Netanyahu has warned that a nuclear Iran would pose an existential threat to the
Jewish state and has repeatedly refused to rule out military action, fuelling
speculation that an attack was imminent.
But he then appeared to pull back, pushing the deadline until spring or even
summer 2013, ostensibly to allow time for international sanctions to work.
The pugnacious Israeli leader said in an interview Wednesday that the Arab world
would be relieved if Israel struck at Iranian nuclear facilities.
He said in case of an attack, "five minutes later, contrary to what sceptics
think, I believe there will be a great feeling of relief throughout the region."
"Iran is not popular in the Arab world, far from it," he said in comments
reported in French in France's Paris-Match weekly..
"And some neighbouring regimes and their citizens have well understood that a
nuclear-armed Iran is a danger for them, not only for Israel," he said, without
mentioning specific nations.
Hollande meanwhile urged Israel and the Palestinians to resume peace talks
without any conditions, while criticising continued Israeli occupation.
"Only negotiations can lead to a definitive solution," he said. "These
negotiations are hoped for and awaited."
"France wants the resumption of talks between Israel and the Palestinians
without conditions and with the same goal -- one we have been pusuing for years,
even decades, two state, a state of Israel where security if guaranteed and a
Palestinian state which must be allowed to live," he said.
Hollande said the two countries had "divergences on occupation, which we want to
see halted."
Direct peace talks have been on hold for more than two years, with Palestinian
president Mahmud Abbas refusing to negotiate as long as Israel continues to
build and approve new Jewish settlements.
Netanyahu is hoping during the two-day trip "to build a good working
relationship with the French leader," a source close to the Israeli leader told
AFP.
Since taking office five months ago, Hollande has only spoken to Netanyahu by
telephone but met Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas twice -- both times in
Paris.
Netanyahu enjoyed close ties with Hollande's predecessor Nicolas Sarkozy who
cast himself as a "friend of Israel" but there was a chill after Sarkozy
reportedly called him a "liar" in November last year during a private
conversation with US President Barack Obama.
On Thursday, Netanyahu is to travel to Toulouse with Hollande to attend a
memorial ceremony for three children and a French-Israeli teacher at a Jewish
school who were shot dead by an Islamist gunman who also killed soldiers of
North African origin.
The Israeli prime minister also evoked rising anti-Semitism, which he said was a
"threat for all the European people."
But Hollande pledged to "eradicate" attacks on Jews in France, saying: "Whenever
a citizen's security is challenged just because he is Jewish -- it's the
Republic which is attacked."
The two leaders then launched into a light-hearted exchange with Netanyahu
urging French Jews to settle in Israel and Hollande responding that their place
was really at home.
France is home to between 350,000 and 500,000 Jews, according to various
estimates. Since the creation of Israel in 1948, more than 90,000 French Jews
have settled there.
Demonstrations against Netanyahu's visit are planned in several French cities.
U.S. lauds Sleiman’s efforts to resolve Cabinet crisis
October 31, 2012/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs Elizabeth Jones
voiced Wednesday her country’s appreciation for President Michel Sleiman’s
effort to resolve the government crisis and stressed the importance of avoiding
a power vacuum. According to Sleiman’s office, Jones, who arrived in Beirut
Tuesday night, “relayed U.S. President Barak Obama and Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton's appreciation for Sleiman's efforts to preserve political
stability and security as well as his call for dialogue to resolve problems and
crises between rivals.” The U.S. official also affirmed the importance of state
institutions to continue their work and “avoid plunging the country into a
vacuum, particularly given the current circumstances in the region, in order to
prevent any negative repercussions on the domestic scene.”
Jones also told Sleiman about the Defense Department’s decision to resume
the U.S. aid program for the Lebanese military and that the U.S. has prepared an
aid program for countries housing Syrian refugees via the United Nations High
Commissioner for Refugees. Last week, the U.N. refugee
agency said there are over 100,000 registered Syrian refugees in the country.
Jones also met with Speaker Nabih Berri and Prime Minister Najib Mikati
separately. During her talks with Berri, Jones voiced the U.S. administration's
support for the policy of disassociation adopted by the Lebanese government,
warning against repercussions of the Syrian crisis on Lebanon. Last week, the
U.S. threw its support behind calls for a new government in Lebanon. However it
also warned against leaving the country with a power vacuum.
A statement issued by the State Department said the U.S. believes it is
time for the Lebanese people to choose a government that will counter the threat
posed by the civil war in Syria. March 14, the
opposition group in Lebanon, have been calling for the resignation of Prime
Minister Najib Mikati and the formation of a neutral Cabinet to address the
country’s exceptional circumstances. The current Lebanese situation was
triggered by a recent car bombing at a residential neighborhood in Ashrafieh,
Beirut, that claimed the life of Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hassa, who headed the
police’s Information Branch. The Oct. 19 explosion killed two others and wounded
over 100 people.
March 14 youth blast Cabinet, call for sit-in
October 31, 2012/Daily Star
BEIRUT: The March 14 Youth and Student organization will hold a sit-in outside
the Grand Serail Wednesday as part of its protest calling on the government to
resign.
“The Youth and Student Organization of March 14 calls on all Lebanese youth and
civil society groups to gather at the Grand Serail at 6:30 Wednesday night ...
in conjunction with the Cabinet session at Baabda Palace which aims at affirming
its survival as opposed to our stance,” the group said.
The sit-in would be part of the opposition group’s plan to bring down Prime
Minister Najib Mikati’s government via democratic means, which began following
the assassination of police Information Branch chief Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hasan.
The coalition accuses Syrian President Bashar Assad of being behind the killing
and holds Mikati and his government responsible.
In its statement Wednesday, the March 14 Youth organization said: “Hezbollah
decided to convene its government today and its Prime Minister Najib Mikati
yielded with a clear conscience, indifferent of the blood of the Brig. Gen.
Wissam al-Hasan has not dried yet.”
It also added that Mikati was responsible for Hasan’s killing as well as the
“blood of the victims” of the blast, which also wounded over 100 others.
“But if Mikati does not consider himself to be responsible for covering the
killing of Hasan, as we do, then he is responsible for [devaluing] the blood of
the victims in Ashrafieh by continuing to head a government that cries over
those who were killed, covers up the killer and resumes meetings as if nothing
had happened,” the statement added.
The youth organizations have set up tents outside the Grand Serail in an
open-sit demanding the resignation of the government.
The March 14 coalition met Tuesday at former Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s
residence in Beirut and declared a total boycott of the government.
“In order to face the dangers threatening Lebanon and based on the fact that we
are against taking the confrontation to the streets, the March 14 coalition
announces its total boycott of this government and is determined to use all
democratic means, including popular protests to achieve its goals,” the
opposition group said in a statement Tuesday.
“The battle is to face the dangers that beset Lebanon and that cannot be faced
by a government which lost the confidence of the majority of the Lebanese,” it
added.
March 14 declares total boycott of government
October 31, 2012/By Hussein Abdallah, Hasan Lakkis The
Daily Star
BEIRUT: The March 14 coalition called on the Lebanese people Tuesday to rally
around its plan to topple Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s government, describing
Lebanon as a country in danger.
The coalition announced it will boycott the current Cabinet and use all
democratic ways, including popular protests, to realize its goal.
Former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, reading a statement following a meeting of
March 14 leaders at former Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s residence in Beirut,
said the opposition would not remain silent after the Oct. 19 assassination of
Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hasan.
March 14 accuses Syrian President Bashar Assad of being behind the killing and
holds Mikati responsible.
“In order to face the dangers threatening Lebanon and based on the fact that we
are against taking the confrontation to the streets, the March 14 coalition
announces its total boycott of this government and is determined to use all
democratic means, including popular protests to achieve its goals,” the
statement said.
Siniora reiterated his coalition’s call for the formation of a neutral
government to replace the current one, adding that the new government should
distance Lebanon from regional conflicts, as stated in the Baabda Declaration.
“This government should go immediately and a neutral salvation government should
be formed to face the dangers threatening Lebanon and oversee next year’s
parliamentary elections,” the statement said.
“The battle today is not just to bring down the government, and it is not a
battle to replace the government of Hezbollah with a government of March 14,”
the statement added.
“The battle is to face the dangers that beset Lebanon and that cannot be faced
by a government which lost the confidence of the majority of the Lebanese.”
Addressing the Lebanese people, the statement concluded: “This Lebanon is in
danger, the nation is in danger, the state is in danger, freedom is in danger,
the Lebanese citizen is in danger, your future and the future of your children
are at risk, and therefore we cannot act loosely anymore. Stand with us against
the status quo that has been imposed on you and on your country.”
Mikati said national disputes should only be resolved through dialogue,
criticizing the opposition’s decision to boycott government work, as well as
talks aimed at resolving the crisis.
“National issues are not resolved via stubbornness, arrogance or reactionary
stances but through dialogue in order to develop common goals shared by Lebanese
to fortify the nation under these dangerous regional circumstances,” Mikati’s
office quoted him as saying.
He added that he would remain in office to fulfill his responsibilities in order
to prevent a power vacuum.
A day after the assassination, Mikati offered to resign and President Michel
Sleiman tried to consult with the National Dialogue committee to resolve the
government crisis.
But Sleiman was unable to convince March 14 to join talks, with the coalition
insistent on Mikati’s resignation as a prerequisite for their attendance, and
the prime minister subsequently said he would not step down until an agreement
on a new Cabinet was reached.
The premier met later Tuesday with Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid
Jumblatt at the latter’s residence in Mukhtara.
Jumblatt had joined March 14 in accusing Assad of being behind Hasan’s killing,
but parted ways with the coalition over the fate of the Mikati Cabinet after he
turned down a request by Hariri to pull his ministers from the government.
Siniora said after the March 14 meeting Tuesday there are four dangers
threatening Lebanon: the return of assassinations, the Syrian regime’s decision
to destabilize the country, Hezbollah’s provocation of Israel to wage war
against Lebanon, and the power monopoly that is being imposed through the threat
of Hezbollah’s arms.
The March 14 statement called on Hezbollah to hand over the four party members
accused of being behind the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri and a suspect who is believed to be linked to a failed plot to kill MP
Boutros Harb.
The statement called for referring Hasan’s killing, as well as all the
assassinations in the country since 2004, to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon.
The coalition reiterated its earlier calls to deploy the Lebanese Army along the
border with Syria and to request assistance from the United Nations Interim
Forces in Lebanon to help the Army in controlling the northern and eastern
borders.
The statement also called for filing a complaint against the Syrian regime
before the Arab League over the Samaha-Mamlouk plot, referring to a failed plan
to destabilize the country that was uncovered by the late Hasan. The plan
involved the targeting of March 14 politicians and was spearheaded by former
Minister Michel Samaha, who said while in custody that he had received orders
from Syrian Brig. Gen. Ali Mamlouk. The March 14 statement also demanded that
Hezbollah hand over its military arsenal to the Lebanese state and called for
ending the Palestinian armed presence.
The opposition is expected to step up protests against the Mikati government in
the coming days and is considering launching a campaign of civil disobedience,
March 14 sources told The Daily Star.
The sources added that Siniora had informed opposition leaders during a weekend
meeting at the residence of Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea in Maarab that
Hariri is determined to force the government to resign and that Saudi Arabia
backs the opposition’s demand for a new Cabinet that is not headed by Mikati.
Meanwhile, government sources said the opposition had no international backing
to oust Mikati’s Cabinet and that the personal attacks against the prime
minister following Hasan’s assassination led to a change of heart on his part.
The sources added that forcing Mikati to resign using street pressure is no
longer possible and challenged the opposition to take the issue to Parliament by
requesting a no-confidence vote. U.N. Special Coordinator to Lebanon Derek
Plumbly said Lebanon’s security remains a priority for the international
community.
“Our priority remains Lebanon’s security and stability during this period. We
are all waiting to see the outcome of the consultations that President Michel
Sleiman is undertaking with the political leaders in Lebanon and we hope that
those consultations will produce a result satisfactory to all Lebanese parties,”
he said.
Lebanese reporter Itani now in Turkey, minister says
October 31, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Lebanese journalist Fidaa Itani who was held over the weekend by Syrian
rebels is now in Turkey, Interior Minister Marwan Charbel said Wednesday.
Speaking to reports at Baabda Palace ahead of a Cabinet seesion, Charbel said
Itani was now on Turkish territory. Charbel’s announcement came hours before the
Syrian rebels holding Itani said they would release the reporter within hours.
“Journalist Fidaa Itani will be sent to back home through Turkey after we
finish getting some information and details about him,” a statement by the Azaz
Northern Storm Brigade said. Itani, a former
commentator for Al-Akhbar daily who works for Lebanon’s LBCI television, was on
a field report in Azaz, in the district of Aleppo, north Syria, when he was held
by Syrian rebels over the weekend. According to the statement on the group’s
Facebook page, Itani will be freed without any mediation or ransom because he
was just “under house arrest.”
“We got information the Itani’s work as a journalist does not meet with the
international standards concerning the press,” said the statement.
The stamen added that Itani would not have the
right to go back to Syria before a month at least.
“The channel or whatever media agency Itani will be working for will have to
send a clear note explaining his task in Syria,” said the statement.
Itani’s friends and family held a gathering Tuesday to demand his release. A
Facebook group “Free Fidaa Itani” was also established in solidarity with the
journalist. The group was joined by more than 5,000 people urging the immediate
release of Itani.
Lebanese Cabinet approves diplomatic appointments
October 31, 2012/ /The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Cabinet approved Wednesday diplomatic appointments, including those for
posts of ambassadors representing Lebanon abroad, in a move likely to revitalize
the work of the government.
Disputes between political parties had held up for years the issue of filling
hundreds of diplomatic posts. The decision, arrived during a Cabinet session
headed by President Michel Sleiman at Baabda Palace, comes amid mounting calls
by the opposition March 14 coalition on the government to resign over the recent
assassination of a top intelligence official. Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hasan, the
head of the police’s Information Branch, was assassinated in a car bombing on
Oct. 19 in the Beirut district of Ashrafieh. His killing heightened tensions in
Lebanon, which is threatened by a spillover of the crisis in neighboring Syria.
The opposition has accused Syrian President Bashar Assad of the assassination
and also holds the government and its prime minister responsible.
On Tuesday, the March 14 alliance announced it would boycott the government and
urged the Lebanese people to rally around its plan to topple Mikati’s Cabinet
Hezbollah urges March 14 to exercise wisdom
October 31, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Hezbollah Deputy Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem called Wednesday
on the March 14 coalition to exercise wisdom and back off from their stance to
boycott the government, the party said in a statement. “We call on the March 14
coalition to demonstrate wisdom and accept the current state of the government
because chaos and disruption damage the country and won’t change anything,” said
Qassem in the statement. Hezbollah’s official also accused the opposition of
evading discussing a new electoral law in a bid to keep the old electoral law
adopted in the previous parliamentary polls.
“The March 14’s aim is to disrupt the work of the state and to evade discussion
of a new electoral law so they can preserve the 1960s law,” said Qassem. The
official also said that the priority in the country should be toward preserving
its political stability amid all the regional conflicts. “Political stability in
Lebanon is a priority... Lebanon is amid a region in flames and domestic
stability is needed to protect it from the repercussions,” he said. On Tuesday,
the March 14 alliance announced it would boycott the current Cabinet and use all
democratic ways, including popular protests, to realize its objective.
Tensions in the country rose considerably after the Oct. 19 assassination of
Brig. Gen. Wissam al-Hasan, who headed the police’s Information Branch, which
prompted calls by the opposition for the resignation of the March 8-dominated
government headed by Mikati.
Why Iran Wants to Attack the United States
Matthew Levitt/Foreign PolicyWashington
Institute
October 29, 2012
The Islamic Republic's terror plots may look bumbling today, but what about
tomorrow?
An Iranian-American used car salesman pleaded guilty this month to conspiring
with Iranian agents to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States.
Mansour Arbabsiar's guilty plea would appear to be the end of this story, but in
truth it raises more questions than it answers.
The facts were never really in dispute. U.S. officials learned of the plot early
on and built an airtight case. The assassin Arbabsiar tried to hire was in fact
a DEA informant. Once arrested, Arbabsiar confessed. At the direction of law
enforcement, he then called his cousin and Quds Force handler, Gholam Shakuri.
With agents listening, Shakuri insisted Arbabsiar go ahead with the plot. "Just
do it quickly. It's late."
But why was the Quds Force, which had earned a reputation for operational
prowess even among its enemies, so eager to move forward with an obviously
flawed operation? Arbabsiar appears to have been a weak character who "wants to
be important," as a government-retained psychiatrist determined. He was drawn
into the plot by his cousin, a general in the Quds Force, the arm of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps responsible for external operations. So the real
question is: What was the Quds Force thinking?
According to Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, the plot "shows
that some Iranian officials -- probably including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei --
have changed their calculus and are now more willing to conduct an attack in the
United States in response to real or perceived U.S. actions that threaten the
regime."
This new calculus, intelligence officials believe, dates back to January 2010,
when the Quds Force decided that it and Hezbollah, its primary terrorist proxy,
would embark on a new campaign of violence targeting not only Israel but U.S.
and other Western targets as well.
In the wake of last July's attack on Israeli tourists in the Bulgarian city of
Burgas, a barrage of journalists called asking me to explain the logic of the
attack. I was finishing a book on Hezbollah -- Hezbollah: The Global Footprint
of Lebanon's Party of God, due out next year -- but still could not easily place
the attack within Hezbollah's established modus operandi. The more I thought
about it, the more perplexed I became. So, much to my editor's dismay, I stepped
away from my keyboard long enough to meet with diplomats and intelligence and
military officials from several countries to try and make sense of the new trend
of Shia extremist attacks tied to Iran and its proxies. Here is what I have come
to understand.
To understand the decision Iran made in January 2010 to engage in a new campaign
of violence, one must hark back to the February 2008 assassination of Hezbollah
master terrorist Imad Mughniyeh, who was allegedly responsible for the 1984 U.S.
Marine barracks bombing in Beirut, the 1985 hijacking of TWA Flight 847, and
numerous other attacks. Following Mughniyeh's death in Damascus, Hezbollah
leader Hassan Nasrallah called for an "open war" on Israel. "The blood of Imad
Mughniyeh will make them [Israel] withdraw from existence," Nasrallah vowed.
Within weeks, Hezbollah would attempt the first of several failed and foiled
plots -- a series of simultaneous car bombings around the Israeli and U.S.
embassies, the kidnapping of the Israeli ambassador, and blowing up a radar
tower in Baku, Azerbaijan -- intended to make good on Nasrallah's threat.
Several additional plots were foiled, leading the Quds Force to partner with
Hezbollah and provide extensive logistical support for a large-scale bombing in
Turkey in fall 2009. Turkish authorities disrupted a plot in which Hezbollah and
Iranian agents posing as tourists intended to attack Israeli and possibly
American and local Jewish targets. According to one account, a cell led by Abbas
Hossein Zakr was looking to strike Israeli tourists, Israeli ships or airplanes,
or synagogues in Turkey. Turkish police arrested Hezbollah operatives who
reportedly smuggled a car bomb into the country from Syria while Quds Force
agents left the country posing as tourists.
The foiled attack in Turkey was a watershed event for Hezbollah operational
planners and their Iranian sponsors. According to Israeli intelligence
officials, a blame game ensued between Hezbollah and the Quds Force over the
past two years, as the two sides pointed fingers at each other for the failed
operations. Meanwhile, by late 2009, Iran was increasingly interested in using
Hezbollah to combat threats to its nascent nuclear program. The Islamic Republic
was in need of an enforcer: Malfunctioning components had ruined Iranian
centrifuges, IRGC officers had defected, and in January 2010 a bomb killed
Iranian physics professor Masoud Ali Mohammadi outside his Tehran home.
Iranian officials were furious at Mohammadi's death, and reached two conclusions
in its aftermath: First, Hezbollah had to revitalize its operational
capabilities. And second, the IRGC would no longer act solely as logisticians
supporting Hezbollah hit men -- it would now deploy Quds Force operatives to
carry out terrorist attack abroad.
And Iran was in the position to tell Hezbollah where it would fall within Iran's
plans. In February, Clapper characterized the relationship between Hezbollah and
Iran as "a partnership arrangement, with the Iranians as the senior partner."
This "strategic partnership," as National Counterterrorism Center director
Matthew Olson put it, is the product of a long evolution from the 1980s, when
Hezbollah was just a proxy of Iran.
Under Iran's instructions, Hezbollah's international terrorist wing, the Islamic
Jihad Organization (IJO), underwent a massive operational reorganization. New
operatives were recruited from the elite of Hezbollah's military wing for
intelligence and operational training, while existing IJO operatives were moved
into new positions. At the same time, the IJO invested in the development of
capabilities and tradecraft that had withered on the vine after the group
decided to rein in most foreign operations in an effort to keep out of the
crosshairs of the post-9/11 war on terrorism.
As part of its IJO shakeup, Hezbollah engaged in detailed talks with Iranian
officials to lay out Hezbollah's role in Iran's larger plan for a coordinated
shadow war targeting Israeli, American, British, and Arab Gulf state interests.
The plan they settled on would include operations intended to achieve several
different goals, including taking revenge for Mughniyeh's assassination,
retaliating for attacks on Iran's nuclear program, and convincing Western powers
that an attack on Iran would lead to asymmetric terrorist attacks worldwide.
To this end, Iranian decision makers settled on a campaign of violence based on
three broad targets: Israeli tourists, formal government targets (diplomats,
retired officials), and targets broadly representative of Israel or the Jewish
community (community leaders, prominent Israeli companies). It assigned the task
of targeting Israeli tourists -- a soft target -- to Hezbollah, and gave the
Quds Force responsibility for operations targeting Israeli, American, British,
or Gulf states' interests. The latter would be carried out by Unit 400, the Quds
Force's new special external operations branch.
The operational blitz that followed is now well known. Hezbollah operations
included plots in Bulgaria, Thailand, South Africa, and Cyprus. Meanwhile, Quds
Force operatives were at work in India, Georgia, Thailand, Azerbaijan, Pakistan,
Kenya, and -- through Mansour Arbabsiar -- the United States. Tehran was
desperate to implement its new strategy and exact revenge for covert attacks
against its nuclear program, so the Quds Force traded speed for tradecraft --
and reaped what it sowed. In some cases, Iranian agents employed laughable
operational security; in others, the agents, like Arbabsiar, were kooky.
But the threats were real enough. Last June, Jonathan Evans, the
director-general of the British intelligence agency MI5, noted that the plot to
assassinate the Saudi envoy in Washington "leads straight back to the Iranian
leadership."
The Quds Force is sure to recover from its operational sloppiness, and Iranian
leaders appear committed to a policy of targeting Western interests. Arbabsiar's
guilty plea ends one chapter in Iran's shadow war against the West, but
authorities must remain vigilant for the plots yet to come.
**Matthew Levitt is senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East
Policy. He is the author of the forthcoming study, Hezbollah, the Qods Force,
and Iran's Shadow War against the West.