LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS
BULLETIN
June 09/12
Bible Quotation for today/Children
and Parents
Ephesians 06/01-11: "Children, it is your Christian duty to obey your parents,
for this is the right thing to do. Respect your father and mother is the first
commandment that has a promise added: so that all may go well with you, and you
may live a long time in the land. Parents, do not treat your children in
such a way as to make them angry. Instead, raise them with Christian discipline
and instruction. Slaves, obey your human masters with fear and trembling; and do
it with a sincere heart, as though you were serving Christ. Do this not only
when they are watching you, because you want to gain their approval; but with
all your heart do what God wants, as slaves of Christ. Do your work as slaves
cheerfully, as though you served the Lord, and not merely human beings. Remember
that the Lord will reward each of us, whether slave or free, for the good work
we do. Masters, behave in the same way toward your slaves and stop using
threats. Remember that you and your slaves belong to the same Master in heaven,
who judges everyone by the same standard.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies,
reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
U.S. Options for Syria: Action vs. Inaction/By:
Michael Singh /Washington Institute/June
08/12
In defense of Hosni Mubarak/By
Michael Young/The Daily Star/June
08/12
Daily Star/Interview with
Lebanese Batroun MP Butros Harb/June
08/12
A message
to Misbah al-Ahdab/By:
Hazem al-Amin/Now Lebanon/June 08/12
Assad’s
sectarian strategy/By:
Tony Badran/Now Lebanon/June 08/12
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for June 08/12
Iran thwarts Syrian “contact group” plan over US conditions for nuclear talks
Lebanon’s veteran journalist Ghassan Tueni dies at 86
March 14 prepare memo, Future to attend dialogue
Lebanon's Arabic press digest - June 8, 2012 June 08, The Daily Star
Hezbollah role clouds Tripoli battleground
Germany says very concerned over Lebanon's stability
Relatives of Lebanese Shiite hostages block airport road over government
inaction
France condemns Syrian incursion into Lebanese territories
Tripoli mufti meets Alawites in peace push
Habib: March 14 will participate in national dialogue
Syrian forces release municipality chief of Lebanese town
Asiri Meets Suleiman, Renews Support to National Dialogue
Condolences of Politicians, Tweeters and Facebook Users Pour in after Tueni’s
Death
Miqati Calls on Opposition to be ‘Constructive’
Glowing Objects, Fiery Meteors Appear in Sky above Lebanon
Russia vows to block UN mandate for Syria intervention
White House condemns “outrageous” Syria violence
France backs new Syria “Contact Group,” says Foreign Ministry
Deadly blast rocks Damascus as 10 die in Syria, activists say
Worsening Syria war drives civilians from homes
Annan: Syria solution requires Iran
Annan: Syria crisis will spiral out of control
Report: Unidentified gas used in Syria
Iran thwarts
Syrian “contact group” plan over US conditions for nuclear talks
DEBKAfile Special Report June 7, 2012/Iran stalled the US Secretary and UN-Arab
League Envoy Kofi Annan’s plan to present the world body’s special session
Thursday, June 7, with a plan for a contract group based on five permanent
Security Council members and Iran to handle the Syrian impasse. Tehran refused
to join the group as long as it faces nuclear conditions, after US Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton said in Istanbul that Iran must come to the nuclear talks
in Moscow “ready to take concrete steps” to curb its enrichment of uranium to 20
percent purity.
Discussion of the plan was therefore abandoned in the hall and confined to UN
corridors. By forcing the pace at the special general assembly crisis session,
Tehran once again demonstrated its refusal to play ball with the international
community until its major power status in the Middle East is recognized.
Iranian sources have insisted in recent days that the six power talks with Iran
were not just about its nuclear program but affected a wider spectrum, because
the nuclear issue could be settled at the International Atomic Energy Agency in
Vienna. Tehran has made it clear that the continuation of nuclear diplomacy is
contingent on the general recognition of Iran’s major power status.
The situation in Syria meanwhile continues to deteriorate disastrously amid
conflicting claims about another massacre at the Hama village of Mazraat al-Qubeir:
Opposition activists have disseminated video footage illustrating the slaughter
of up to 70 people, including women and children, by Assad’s security forces and
militiamen less than two weeks after the Houla massacre. This is denied by
official sources in Damascus who say no more than nine people died at the hands
of “terrorists.”
No independent testimony was available on the episode from the UN monitors, who
set out for the Hama village. The UN Secretary said they turned back after they
were fired on by small arms and would set out again Friday.
Kofi Annan warned that if nothing changes in Syria, the future holds all-out
civil war. His words attested to the helplessness of the world body to put a
stop of the bloodshed in Syria, combined with the Obama administration’s refusal
to intervene in the crisis in the expectation that Russia and Iran would step
up. That expectation has faded.
debkafile reported Wednesday, June 6: Israel remains dormant despite the serious
consequences to its strategic and security situation threatened by the new
proposal the UN-Arab League envoy for Syria Kofi Annan is to present to the UN
Thursday, June 7, for saving his peace plan. The nub of his proposal,
debkafile’s sources disclose, is the creation of a “contact group” for handling
the hot Syrian potato. It is to be composed of the five permanent Security
Council members (US, UK, France, Russia and China) plus Iran, Turkey, Saudi
Arabia and Qatar.
The proposal has won the blessing of the Obama administration, meaning its
consent to letting the two powers that will dominate the contact group, Russia
and Iran, determine the course and outcome of the Syrian crisis.
Washington believes that only they have the clout in the Syrian army for
bringing about Bashar Assad’s removal and his replacement in Damascus by a
provisional military regime.
Washington also hopes, according to our sources, that this gesture will give
Moscow a strong incentive to lean hard on Tehran for concessions at the next
round of its talk with the six world powers on June 13.
Neither Iran nor Moscow have promised the US anything of the sort, but the
administration hopes Iran will start being forthcoming on its nuclear program
after being permitted to assume a central role in Damascus.
There is less optimism outside administration circles and in Israel. They expect
from Tehran nothing more at the next round of talks than token nuclear
concessions, and none at all toward curtailing its work on a nuclear weapon.
However the Obama administration appears to have opted for this course, even
though it is the first time since the outbreak of the Arab Revolt in December
2010 that the United States is willing to let go of a major Middle East crisis
and allow its foremost Middle East rivals, Moscow and Tehran, to take charge.
debkafile reported exclusively on May 31, that President Barack Obama had
proposed to President Vladimir Putin the creation of a large force of 5,000
international monitors for Syria, most of them Russians, to safeguard Assad’s
stock of biological and chemical weapons against falling into the hands of al
Qaeda or Syrian rebels. This team consisting of thousands of Russian troops
would be the operational arm of the future “contact group.”
As far as Israel is concerned, the plan has disastrous connotations. Instead of
containing the spread of hostile Iranian influence in the region, as Obama
promised Israel, he is opening for the door for Iran to extend its nfluence
squarely in the countries neighboring on – and still at war with – Israel, while
at the same time moving back from a focused effort to draw the sting of Iran’s
nuclear bomb program.
Israel’s political and security tacticians never took into account that a
consequence of the Syrian revolt would be the establishment of full-blown
Iranian sway over Damascus in partnership with Russia. Indeed, for 15 months,
they insisted that the Syrian uprising was proof of America’s success in
breaking up the dangerous Tehran-Damascus-Hizballah axis.
Lebanon’s veteran journalist
Ghassan Tueni dies at 86
June 08, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Veteran politician, journalist and diplomat Ghassan Tueni died Friday at
the age of 86.
His passing marks the end of a long and storied career as politician and
newspaper man, playing a pivotal role in both the formative years of Lebanon and
its post Civil War period.
Born in Beirut in 1926, Ghassan Tueni inherited the power of his family’s
dynasty and embarked on his sweeping journey at a young age.
After getting degrees from American University of Beirut and Harvard University
the 22-year-old Tueni took the reins of An-Nahar newspaper after his father died
in 1948.
Under Tueni’s aegis An-Nahar became what many say was the most influential and
widely read newspaper in the country. He led the paper as editor and publisher
from 1948 until 1999 and again from 2005 until 2010, penning thousands of
editorials through almost the entire history of the young nation.
He was a fierce advocate of press freedoms and was jailed several times in the
years before the 1975-90 Civil War for his media rights advocacy and was known
for opening An-Nahar’s editorial page up to a broad range of opinions.
But Tueni was more than just a giant of the newspaper business.
He was involved in some of the most seminal moments of the country’s history as
a diplomat and politician and cemented an unusual and controversial tradition of
trying to value political participation at his newspaper along with journalistic
objectivity.
In 1951 Tueni became a 25-year-old MP. By 1953 he was deputy speaker of the
house. He would go on to become deputy prime minister as well as the ambassador
to Greece and later to the United Nations. He handled all his political duties
while also running his newspaper that attempted to be objective. Tueni’s son
Gebran and granddaughter Nayla, who now runs the newspaper, carried on his
politics and journalism tradition.
After a short-lived stint as a member of the Social Syrian Nationalist Party,
Tueni was a lifelong advocate of national independence and sovereignty.
His call at the United Nations Security Council to “let my people live, let my
people live” was the emotional force behind the 1978 U.N. resolution to
establish the UNIFIL peacekeeping force in south Lebanon. As a March 14
coalition MP in 2006 Tueni delivered the petition for pro-Syrian President Emile
Lahoud’s resignation after the killing of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in
2005.
His newspaper leaned heavily against the Syrian occupation and his son Gebran
and An-Nahar columnist Samir Kassir were killed for their stances against that
occupation.
Later in his life Tueni was also very involved in Lebanon’s university system.
He was a founding president of the University of Balamand and on the AUB Board
of Trustees where he received a doctorate for his achievements.
Tueni’s wife died from cancer in 1983. His son Makram was killed in a car crash
in 1987.
In 2009, Tunei received the Lebanese Order of Merit from President Michel
Sleiman for his life’s work.
Future bloc MP Khodr Habib: March
14 will participate in national dialogue
June 8, 2012 /Future bloc MP Khodr Habib said on Friday that the March 14
coalition would participate in the national dialogue “although it will not lead
to anything.”“The security situation in Lebanon is bad, and the Syrian regime is
trying to move its crisis to Lebanon. We will join the national dialogue to stop
any internal or external parties from destabilizing Lebanon, but I would like to
confirm that the dialogue will not have any results,” Habib said following his
meeting with Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea. Habibi also commented on the
cabinet’s decision to allocate money for launching a number of development
projects in the northern city of Tripoli. “We will examine the spending of this
amount because we fear it might be used for electoral purposes,” he said. Last
week, President Michel Sleiman sent invitations to the members of the national
dialogue committee calling on them to convene on June 11 at the Baabda
Presidential Palace to discuss various issues, including Hezbollah’s
arms.However, some members of the Western-backed March 14 coalition said they
reject taking part in the national dialogue session unless Prime Minister Najib
Mikati’s cabinet resigns.-NOW Lebanon
March 14 prepare memo, Future to
attend dialogue
June 08, 2012/By Hussein Dakroub/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The parliamentary Future bloc of former Prime Minister Saad Hariri will
attend next week’s National Dialogue session, Future MP Nuhad Mashnouq said
Thursday, as the opposition March 14 parties were working to draft a political
memo outlining their stance on the all-party talks.
“The Future bloc will participate in National Dialogue in line with the March 14
memo to be presented to President Michel Sleiman,” Mashnouq told The Daily Star.
Asked to elaborate on the March 14 coalition’s political memo to be presented to
Sleiman by former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora Saturday, he said: “The memo will
stress national security rules and call for the formation of a neutral salvation
government.”
He said that the memo did not put any conditions by the March 14 coalition to
attend a new session of National Dialogue called for by Sleiman for Monday at
Baabda Palace.
Mashnouq added that the Future bloc and its March 14 allies are demanding the
formation of “a neutral salvation government” to supervise next year’s
parliamentary elections.
With Hariri living out of Lebanon mainly for security reasons, Siniora, the head
of the Future bloc, will represent the bloc at the National Dialogue conference,
Mashnouq said.
The March 14 memo will be made public by Siniora after delivering a copy of it
to Sleiman at Baabda Palace.
Political sources told The Daily Star that senior March 14 politicians are
working to draft the final version of the memo in which they will outline the
coalition’s position on the planned dialogue and other key contentious issues
such as the problem of non-state arms following a series of deadly clashes in
the north. Among other things, the memo will stress the commitment by the
Lebanese people to state institutions, the Taif Accord and the Constitution in
the face of last week’s call by Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah for the
creation of a constituent assembly aimed at building a strong state.
The memo will emphasize that the government of Prime Minister Najib Mikati has
become part of the problem and therefore it must leave and be replaced by a
neutral salvation government to follow up the dialogue and oversee the 2013
elections, the sources said.
The memo demands completion of National Dialogue on all non-state arms in
Lebanon, including Hezbollah’s arms, Palestinian arms inside and outside the
refugee camps in Lebanon and the proliferation of arms in cities and towns, the
sources said.
Hezbollah and March 8 have supported Sleiman’s call for resuming National
Dialogue, stalled since November 2010, saying they will attend without
conditions.
While the Kataeb (Phalange) Party has also said it will attend the National
Dialogue, Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea has dismissed the all-party talks
as a waste of time.
“The aim of the other side [March 8 parties] from the National Dialogue is to
divert attention from the economic, living, security and sovereignty problems
facing the country,” Geagea told reporters after meeting with envoys from the
European Union at his residence in Maarab.
“Dialogue in this delicate stage is a big distraction while Lebanon is
constantly bleeding at the security, economic and sovereignty levels,” Geagea
said.
“This dialogue will not produce any result,” he added.
A statement issued by the EU envoys after the meeting said they welcomed
Sleiman’s decision to revive the National Dialogue, expressing hope that all
Lebanese political leaders would attend.
For her part, EU Ambassador to Lebanon Angelina Eichhorst welcomed calls and
efforts “made in Lebanon to maintain calm and stability because the country is
living a very delicate stage, especially following the security incidents that
happened in Tripoli, Beirut, Akkar, namely on the Lebanese-Syrian border.”
A Lebanese man was killed and two others were wounded Wednesday, triggering a
series of clashes between the Syrian Army and Lebanese gunmen along the
increasingly tense border area in the Bekaa Valley. In his invitation for the
rival factions, Sleiman said that the all-party talks are aimed at ending
political divisions and protecting Lebanon from the reverberations of the
15-month-old turmoil in Syria following deadly clashes between armed supporters
and opponents of Syrian President Bashar Assad in both Tripoli and Beirut.
Sleiman has gained support for his National Dialogue call from four Arab Gulf
states he had visited – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and
Qatar.
The dialogue call has also won support from Western countries, including France,
whose Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said his country encouraged all Lebanese
political parties to attend the planned dialogue. The visit of German Foreign
Minister Guido Westerwelle, who held talks with Lebanese leaders Thursday, and
upcoming visits to Beirut by the foreign ministers of Sweden, Poland and
Bulgaria were designed to show support for Lebanon’s stability amid threats of
the probable spillover of the Syrian unrest into the country.
Meanwhile, Kataeb Party leader Amin Gemayel reiterated his support for National
Dialogue, saying a meeting of rival leaders would reassure the people.
“We were the first to encourage attending this dialogue. I think our position
was very clear. If there are remarks or objections, they should be raised at the
dialogue table,” Gemayel told reporters after meeting Maronite Patriarch Beshara
Rai in Bkirki, north of Beirut.
“I think when leaders meet, this will reassure the people and create a minimum
of stability that helps tackle security incidents that are happening in areas
from the north to the south, Beirut and the Bekaa,” he said. “I think as
political leaders we are duty-bound to look at these matters from this angle in
particular,” he added. Apparently referring to the contentious issue of
Hezbollah’s arms, Gemayel said: “We fully realize that there are issues that
cannot be solved quickly because they are difficult at present. But there are
other issues which we can study. We can take some initiatives that benefit the
citizen who is in dire need for a minimum of stability.”
Hezbollah role clouds Tripoli
battleground
June 08, 2012/The Daily Star
TRIPOLI, Lebanon: Deceit, ambiguity and shifting allegiances are epithets of
internecine fighting. The recurrent clashes in the vastly underprivileged
neighborhoods of Jabal Mohsen and Bab al-Tabbaneh in the north Lebanon city of
Tripoli are no exception. Theories abound regarding the nature of the conflict
in Tripoli – from a power struggle between rival Lebanese intelligence
apparatuses to purely sectarian hostility – but they all seem to be missing a
key piece of the puzzle. Hezbollah and supporters of Prime Minister Najib Mikati
in the city are arming and financing groups that are taking an active part in
clashes with the pro-Bashar Assad fighters from Jabal Mohsen, residents,
fighters and security sources told The Daily Star. While some say this shows
that Hezbollah wants the situation in north Lebanon to ignite in a bid to shift
the pressure away from the embattled Assad, others say the sectarian rift in the
city overshadows any political alliances.
Tensions between the Sunni Bab al-Tabbaneh and the majority Alawite Jabal Mohsen
date back to the 1970s, and much blood has since been spilled with no
reconciliation taking place. Intense clashes renewed between the two
neighborhoods in mid-May, claiming the lives of scores of people.
The fighting, the heaviest in recent years, has raised fears that the 15-month
unrest in Syria has spilled into Lebanon.
Abdul-Latif Saleh, the spokesman for Jabal Mohsen’s Arab Democratic Party,
bluntly accuses groups in Bab al-Tabbaneh ordinarily affiliated with his party’s
major ally Hezbollah of turning against the ADP.
He says those groups are fighting alongside Bab al-Tabbaneh gunmen. “It’s an
honor for us to be allies with Hezbollah,” adds Saleh. “But they should
know that their people in Bab al-Tabbaneh have gone sectarian and turned against
them.”Saleh is also bitter at what he dubs the “negligent behavior” recently
displayed by Hezbollah. “Our shops were burned and they didn’t even condemn it,”
he said, in reference to the wave of attacks this week on Alawite businesses in
the area.
Saleh adds that Mikati and former Prime Minister Omar Karami, both Hezbollah
allies, also did not issue condemnations. “We are terribly upset.”
Asked whether his anger stemmed from the fact that Hezbollah had not so far
assisted the ADP in the clasheswith Bab al-Tabbaneh, Saleh is categorical. “We
don’t need them,” he says. “We’re able to manage brilliantly on our own.”
A fighter from Bab al-Tabbaneh, who wished to remain anonymous, argues that no
one in Bab al-Tabbaneh “dares to side with Jabal Mohsen.”
“Anyone in Bab al-Tabbaneh who has arms and does not take part in the fighting
[against Jabal Mohsen] is scorned,” he says.
Several photos of Khodr al-Jalkh, a Sunni who fought alongside the ADP and was
killed in the fighting in May, are plastered across Bab al-Tabbaneh’s streets.
The photos bear the inscription: “This is the fate of every traitor.”
The Bab al-Tabbaneh fighter says the groups Saleh refers to have “strictly
financial ties” with Hezbollah. “They take money and weapons from them,” he
says.
“They shift alliances according to their interests,” the bearded man continues.
“They are fighting with us against Jabal Mohsen.”
Mahmoud al-Aswad, the leader of one of the groups in Bab al-Tabbaneh believed to
be affiliated with Hezbollah, blames the clashes on the Future Movement led by
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri.
Imad al-Rez is another leader of a Bab al-Tabbaneh armed squad said to have ties
to Mikati’s Azm Association.
Mikati has strongly denied any links to armed factions in Tripoli.
Sitting in his smoke shop in Bab al-Tabbaneh, Aswad, who spent 12 years in
Syrian prisons, makes it clear early on that he is a staunch supporter of
resistance against Israel and against its agents in Lebanon. “I support
Hezbollah as a [resistance group],” he says. “But I will not back the party when
they point their gun at me.”
Indeed, talk of guns and armament in Jabal Mohsen and Babal-Tabbaneh will likely
engender more confusion.
While the ADP is open about its weapons supplier, the situation in Jabal Mohsen
is even more complicated.
“May God protect the Syrian regime,” Saleh says in response to a question about
the source of the ADP’s arms, and accuses Saudi Arabia and Qatar of arming his
rivals.
Aswad, for his part, says it is clear to everyone that Syria and Hezbollah
provide the ADP with supplies of weapons, yet he adds that there are “a hundred
people” arming the Bab al-Tabbaneh fighters.
He claims that two Future Movement MPs are among those who “channel the weapons
to Bab al-Tabbaneh.”
Saleh adds that although the Lebanese Army seized in April a Sierra
Leone-registered ship and confiscated a large consignment of arms and ammunition
it was carrying to rebels in Syria, “five ships loaded with arms made their way
to Syria before the last one was busted.”
Meanwhile, veteran Bab al-Tabbaneh fighter Walid al-Zoabi says all the weapons
used in the fighting between the two Tripoli neighborhoods come from “Hezbollah
warehouses.”
He maintains that all the weapons in Jabal Mohsen and Bab al-Tabbaneh bore
serial numbers that prove they were manufactured in Iran.
“We get them through several mediators,” he explains. “We’re sold the box of
bullets for LL50,000 ($33) but Jabal Mohsen gets special treatment, and is sold
the box for LL5,000.”
Saleh is skeptical. “If the Bab al-Tabbaneh people are getting their arms from
Hezbollah and Iran then we are getting ours from the Future Movement,” he quips.
Yet despite pronounced sectarian feelings and heavy armament, the Jabal Mohsen
and Bab al-Tabbaneh foes agree that the Lebanese Army is the only guarantor of
security and stability in the area. “We are comforted by their presence,” says
Zoabi.
Saleh calls on the military to be “stricter in imposing law and order.”
“The army needs to tighten its grip,” he adds. “We need radical solutions.”
But the enigmatic Aswad offers a less flowery reading of the situation in the
restive neighborhoods.
Although he denies the participation of members from the Free Syrian Army in the
Tripoli warfare, Aswad says events in Jabal Mohsen and Bab al-Tabbaneh aim at
ousting the Lebanese Army from north Lebanon, so that it can turn into a safe
haven for the FSA.
“Do you think the area can accommodate all those numbers?” he asks. “We are
going to become poorer and hungrier.”
Lebanon's Arabic press
digest - June 8, 2012 June 08, 2012 10:13 AM The Daily Star
Arabic press digest.
Following are summaries of some of the main stories in a selection of Lebanese
newspapers Friday. The Daily Star cannot vouch for the accuracy of these
reports.
Al-Mustaqbal
March 14 delegation headed by Siniora will present memo to Sleiman [Saturday]
Spending resolved: Hezbollah hero, citizens victims
Remarkably, the interests of the various government members came together
[Thursday] on the financial issue during a "harmonious [Cabinet] meeting” after
months of division.
After realizing the urgent need to finance their election campaigns, Cabinet
ministers suddenly reconciled Thursday, approving an additional LL 10.394
trillion fund without providing a detailed explanation to the Lebanese.
Economic sources, speaking to Al-Mustaqbal, described as “shocking” what
happened at Thursday’s Cabinet meeting.
What happened was clear evidence that the current government does not want to
approve the 2012 draft budget, the sources said.
Meanwhile, Al-Mustaqbal has learned that former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora
will visit Baabda Palace at the head of a March 14 delegation Saturday to
present a memo to President Michel Sleiman outlining their stance on national
dialogue.
As-Safir
March 14 to attend dialogue without Lebanese Forces ... in line with national
security rules
Government rebirth with LL 11 trillion
The “majority agreement” managed to extend the life of the government after
resolving the funding crisis that has dragged on for several months.
The significance of the “majority agreement” – which saw its first signs at the
Cabinet meeting Thursday – is that in it represents the rebirth of the
government – the fourth since its formation.
Meanwhile, a delegation from the March 14 coalition headed by former Prime
Minister Fouad Siniora is expected to visit Baabda Palace Saturday to hand
Sleiman a copy of the “salvation initiative” [memo] which until this day is
still being finalized.
Siniora is likely to hold a news conference to announce the initiative after he
hands over the memo to Sleiman.
An-Nahar
Government floats in money until end of year
Lebanese Forces boycott dialogue, Jumblatt criticizes
Following months of dispute within the government, Cabinet approved Thursday the
spending of LL10.934 trillion.
It also allocated LL 150 billion for the implementation of development projects
in the northern city of Tripoli.
March 14 parliamentary sources told An-Nahar that this step looked to be more
like allocating funds “for elections, not for developmental projects.”
Ministers from MP Walid Jumblatt’s National Struggle Front were said to have
criticized the formula that was agreed upon.
Regarding National Dialogue, Jumblatt told An-Nahar that “I no longer understand
March 14 and the way it’s dealing with the issue of dialogue."
Ad-Diyar
Finally ... ministers “happy” with LL 10 trillion
Finally, Cabinet ministers are now “happy” with LL 10 trillion after a severe
18-month deadlock while Lebanese citizens mulled over how the “difficult” crisis
was resolved, and therefore those responsible for the country’s paralysis during
that period.
Relatives of Lebanese
Shiite hostages block airport road over government inaction
June 08, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Relatives of 11 pilgrims who were recently kidnapped in Syria briefly
blocked the airport road Thursday afternoon, demanding action and information
from the government.
On May 22, 11 male pilgrims were kidnapped in the Syrian province of Aleppo
shortly after crossing the border from Turkey. The women and elderly men were
set free and returned to Lebanon soon after the abduction. Around 75 relatives
blocked the road leading to Rafik Hariri International Airport, near the
headquarters of the Higher Islamic Council in Beirut, for a few hours, while
security personnel and members of “local political parties” worked to re-open
the road, according to the National News Agency.
An unknown Syrian rebel group claimed the abduction of the Lebanese pilgrims and
said that releasing them was contingent on Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hasan
Nasrallah apologizing for his support of Syria.
In response to the rebel group’s demands, Nasrallah said last week the
kidnappers should separate the humanitarian aspect of the case from political
disagreements they may have with him or the resistance group. He also urged them
to release the 11 men.
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said last week his country would
continue “intensive efforts” to secure the release of the hostages.
Turkey’s ambassador to Lebanon, Inan Ozyildiz, said Thursday his country was
“following up” on the case. After meeting with the vice president of the Higher
Shiite Council, Sheikh Abdel-Amir Qabalan, Ozyildiz also said there was no
negative news about the pilgrims’ condition.
In defense of Hosni Mubarak
June 07, 2012/By Michael Young/The Daily Star
Now that I’ve caught your attention, let me hasten to add that I have no
intention of defending Egypt’s former president. The old despot was corrupt and
thoroughly deplorable. For decades, Mubarak turned his security services against
his own population. His legacy, in most respects, was one prolonged serving of
national cretinism.
And yet, when we compare Mubarak or his equally sinister onetime counterpart
from Tunisia, Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali, with the likes of Bashar Assad and
Moammar Gadhafi, there are differences. It may be useful to examine these
differences more closely to see if they can be of benefit as Arab societies
strive to reimpose civil structures on what had been (and in some cases still
are) authoritarian orders.
Mubarak and Ben Ali were thugs, but they were not mass murderers. The Egyptian
president stepped down before unleashing – or more likely because he was
incapable of unleashing – the army against protesters in January 2011. Ben Ali
took to the clouds, his stolen goods firmly in hand. Both were undeniably
responsible for the deaths of innocents, and Mubarak’s conviction last week was
nothing if not fair; but they did not butcher their populations and provoke
civil wars to stay in office in the same way that Gadhafi did and Assad is
doing.
Why is that? Most probably because of the fact that Egypt and Tunisia are
traditionally countries of institutions, where the structures of state and
society, for all their myriad shortcomings, extend beyond the supreme leader and
his clan. Many of these institutions were co-opted by Mubarak and Ben Ali,
discredited, intimidated and manipulated; but they also had a prior life of
their own, an institutional memory, that the persecutor in chief could never
entirely overcome.
When Mubarak sought to install his son Gamal as his successor, something in the
Egyptian psyche snapped. This was an ambition too far, reckless hubris by a man
who, ultimately, was a mere byproduct of the system, yet who somehow imagined
that his 30-year reign entitled him to bend Egypt to his personal preferences.
As protesters took to the streets, Mubarak became a liability to the corporate
interests of the military, which had much to lose by protecting the president.
It was the army that gave Mubarak the final push, to preserve its stake in the
system. There was nothing altruistic about this, even as Egypt’s complex
institutional edifice meant that a full-scale massacre was never in the cards.
Mubarak was expendable.
If we imagine a continuum of authoritarian systems, they tend to be defined by
two extremities. At one extremity are systems where the absolute reference when
it comes to the law, or what passes for law, is the leader. At the other are
systems built on a scaffolding of regulations and state bodies lending
legitimacy to repression. Most authoritarian leaderships combine the two: There
are domains controlled by the leader, but there are also those where a judicial
veneer is in place to stifle dissent, but also to avoid the inevitable resort to
force.
For a long time Syria was such a place. In order to perpetuate his own rule and
that of his minority Alawite community, the late Hafez Assad adopted multiple
layers of behavior, bureaucracy and ideology to bolster his regime. Arab
nationalism, in the guise of Baathism, was there partly to detract from the
minority status of the leadership, and to act as an instrument to co-opt large
swathes of Syrian society. The conflict with Israel bought the Syrian president
Arab credibility and funding, while Syria’s hegemony over Lebanon earned it
regional leverage. Syrian prisons were full, but when offered a choice between
violence and negotiations to resolve his problems, Assad usually preferred the
latter – albeit negotiations destined to assert his will.
And yet there was never any doubt who was the final arbiter on most issues.
Syrian institutions had no latitude to question Assad. The army and security
apparatus was there to defend the Assads and their political-military clique,
not Syrian society. Outside the reach of the ruling family there was virtually
no autonomous political space.
Bashar Assad’s mistake was to make this increasingly apparent over the years,
even as he alienated his young and impoverished society in other ways. The worst
thing a despot can do is to highlight the absoluteness of his supremacy over
humiliated subjects. For instance, in Deraa, rather than seek a peaceful
solution occasioned by his cousin Atef Najib’s arrest of protesting children,
Assad went for his guns. Moammar Gadhafi, similarly, transformed Libya into an
extension, a plaything, of his demented, kleptocratic family. When Benghazi
rose, his reflex was to threaten carnage. For Gadhafi and Assad, anything short
of total submission was existentially dangerous.
Does this tell us something useful about places such as Egypt or Tunisia? To an
extent yes, because it affirms that even in degraded political systems, it is
yet beneficial to have time-tested institutions in place that can mediate
between society and the leadership. Mubarak’s control over the army and
judiciary often seemed unlimited, but in retrospect the reality was more
complicated. When he departed, both had to face pressures and dynamics imposed
on them by society, to which they simply could not respond with unqualified
suppression.
The struggle against authoritarianism will be a long one, but civil societies in
the Arab world must focus on creating spaces of institutional independence in
order to safeguard their liberty. That’s easier said than done, but
revolutionary moments allow for such aspirations. There is nothing to regret in
Mubarak and Ben Ali. However, they left behind systems easier to reform than
Libya’s and Syria’s, and enough survivors for this to happen more serenely.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of The Daily Star. He tweets @BeirutCalling.
Harb not invited to new round
of National Dialogue
June 08, 2012/By Antoine Ghattas Saab/ The Daily Star
HAZMIEH, Lebanon: Batroun MP Butros Harb won’t be taking part in next week’s
scheduled National Dialogue, having been dropped from the list of invitees after
taking part in earlier rounds.
In an interview with The Daily Star at his home in Hazmieh, Harb discussed the
tense political standoff in Lebanon between the March 14 and March 8 camps. He
noted that he was now obliged to temporarily stay away from his office in Beirut
in the wake of the April assassination attempt against fellow March 14
politician Samir Geagea, the head of the Lebanese Forces.
Harb recalled how he took part in earlier dialogue sessions, “when I represented
a bloc of independent MPs – Jawad Boulos, Nayla Tueni and Samir Franjieh – but
after the [2009] elections, I was the only one left in this bloc.”
“The president decided – why I don’t know – that I don’t represent anyone except
myself ... meanwhile, there are people who don’t represent blocs, such as
Mohammad Safadi, who used to represent a bloc of two MPs [and took part],” Harb
said.
The veteran lawmaker, a lawyer by profession, said he didn’t blame President
Michel Sleiman for not inviting him, since dialogue has become “a waste of time
– it’s all about philosophizing, and artificial smiles.”
“We hear cursing [between rival camps] in the media, and at the same time, they
all salute each other inside” the dialogue hall, he said. “I wish them luck ...
the dialogue is no longer useful, since there’s no will to settle the issue of
Hezbollah’s weapons.”
March 14 politicians are leaning toward attending the dialogue session, but
without Geagea or former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, and the coalition is split
on the issue.
“When it comes to dialogue, there are two groups,” Harb said. “One group thinks
it isn’t useful, because none of the earlier agreed-upon items was
[implemented], so it believes the other side is headed for dialogue in order to
impose its conditions, relying on the force of arms.”
The second group believes that dialogue is useful, aimed at finding solutions to
divisive issues, and reducing the “tension on the street,” he said.
The March 8 camp, Harb said, has indicated its lack of respect for dialogue, by
opposing the Special Tribunal for Lebanon and giving refuge to four Hezbollah
members who have been indicted in the 2005 assassination of former Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri.
A key plank of a memorandum that March 14 will send to Sleiman involves the
demand that March 8 groups commit to earlier decisions reached during national
dialogue, “so that they prove they’re serious, and aren’t interested in merely
maneuvering.”
“There is no point in dialogue under the current government, because what is
taking place on the ground contradicts the process of cooling things down
[politically],” Harb said.
March 14 has demanded in previous statements a neutral Cabinet to be in place
for both the dialogue process and the parliamentary elections scheduled for next
year.
Asked about March 14’s position if Sleiman declines to endorse the formation of
a neutral government, Harb said “then we’ll see.”
“The basic thing is that this government, which acts hostilely toward half of
the Lebanese people, cannot continue. If there is an insistence on its staying
in office, we’ll respond, based on democratic methods,” he said.
Asked if a decision by March 14 to attend national dialogue would contravene the
support expressed by King Abdullah bin Abdel-Aziz of Saudi Arabia for the Baabda
Palace meeting, Harb said March 14 was entitled to its own opinion.
“Everyone in March 14 has great affection for the king, but in the end, we have
our own stance, and express it, without relying on anyone, even if that person
is close to us.”
As for the internal developments within March 14, which is currently engaged in
a process of evaluating its internal structure, Harb said the process was a
healthy one.
“Disputes are a positive aspect within a political team – it indicates that
there is a sense of democracy,” he said, adding that the members of March 14
agreed on core issues.
Harb, who has run for president in the past, said he should not be considered
under the “current conditions,” with Sleiman’s tenure ending in 2014.
“The criteria for selecting the president aren’t in line with my convictions,”
he said. “They want the president of Lebanon to have no opinions.”
U.S. Options for Syria: Action
vs. Inaction
Michael Singh /Washington Institute
June 7, 2012
The Obama administration should take actions to overcome the obstacles to, and
mitigate the risks of, bolder international action in Syria.
With the failure of the Annan plan and the increasing civilian toll of fighting
in Syria, the Obama administration is reportedly considering more proactive
steps to compel Syrian president Bashar al-Assad to step aside. While most
options carry risks, so does inaction. To achieve its policy objectives in Syria
and increase the available options, the Obama administration should take actions
to overcome the obstacles to, and mitigate the risks of, bolder international
action.
Policy Objectives
For the United States, the Syrian uprising represents not only a humanitarian
crisis to be addressed but a strategic opportunity to be seized. The Assad
regime -- Iran's sole ally in the Middle East -- has aided terrorist groups and
foreign fighters and has sought to destabilize Lebanon. While a successor regime
may still oppose U.S. interests in some areas, it would unlikely prove a close
ally to Tehran or Iranian proxy groups such as Hizballah.
For these reasons, President Obama more than a year ago called upon Assad to
resign. Since doing so, however, the United States has proven unable or
unwilling to compel Assad to actually step aside; furthermore, Washington
appears to have stepped back from this policy objective, for example by
endorsing the so-called Annan plan, which does not explicitly call for Assad's
resignation. Washington's inability or unwillingness to compel Assad's departure
from Syria, as well as its shifting objectives, poses a threat to American
credibility and the perception of American power in the region.
The Obstacles
For all that might be gained by successfully achieving Assad's downfall in
Syria, a more proactive U.S. approach also entails risks:
First, the Obama administration worries about exacerbating the violence and
instability in Syria, which could continue even after Assad's fall and could
also spill over into neighboring countries.
Second, U.S. officials are concerned about the fragmented state of the Syrian
opposition and its implications for a post-Assad government. Unlike Libya's
Transitional National Council, which based itself inside Libya after the
liberation of Benghazi and achieved a common agenda and remarkable consistency
of message until the fall of Qadhafi, the Syrian opposition has been forced to
base itself abroad, failing to unite around a single platform or leadership. As
for the Free Syrian Army and other armed opposition elements, understandable
concern exists that their ultimate aims and interests may differ considerably
from Washington's, that arms provided to them may be poorly controlled, and that
militias may be reluctant to disarm and cede power to civilians if Assad is
ultimately toppled. The pre-Assad history of Syria was characterized by
rapid-fire revolutions carried out by military figures, and avoiding a return to
such a scenario is vital for Syria's future.
Third, Washington is concerned about international support for more proactive
steps in Syria. Like in Libya, the Obama administration has preferred not to
lead international efforts on Syria, but to await international consensus and
defer to the leadership of regional or international partners. Unlike in Libya,
however, such consensus has been elusive. While much attention has been focused
on Russia's effective veto of UN Security Council sanctions, not to mention
military intervention, Moscow is not the only obstacle to a bolder approach.
French president Nicolas Sarkozy, who played a pivotal role in marshaling
support for the Libya intervention, is no longer in office, and the European
Union is mired in an economic crisis, leaving no one other than the Syrians
themselves to champion greater Western involvement in dethroning Assad.
While these risks are not trivial, inaction also carries with it consequences.
Rather than cutting Assad off from Iran and Hizballah, the fighting has drawn in
both parties more deeply, risking the regionalization of the conflict. Also, one
of the very risks Washington has been seeking to avoid -- spillover of the
conflict into neighboring states -- is already occurring, with clashes occurring
in both Lebanon and Turkey. And patient U.S. efforts to convince Russia to
support international sanctions have borne little fruit while expending valuable
time.
Policy Options
Looking forward, the Obama administration should recommit firmly to its original
objective of compelling Assad to step down. A clear stance on this point will
ensure that those in Syria and the region who support Assad will face up to the
consequences of this support and not count on a diplomatic deal that protects
their privileges and prerogatives. To begin making progress toward accomplishing
this objective, the United States should work to diminish the obstacles to
bolder and more effective action:
1.Continue to increase diplomatic and economic pressure. While not abandoning
efforts to secure UN Security Council sanctions, Washington should not dilute
its policy objectives or provide lifelines to the Assad regime solely for the
sake of garnering Russian support. Realistically, Moscow is unlikely at this
stage to make a strategic shift in its approach to Syria, which it sees as one
of the few remaining bastions of Russian influence in a key region. Washington
should therefore emphasize its diplomatic efforts on ratcheting up non-UN
sanctions to the greatest possible extent, as Treasury secretary Timothy
Geithner urged at a recent meeting in Istanbul. Sanctions, however, must be just
one element of a broader effort to pressure Assad, as history demonstrates the
ability of determined regimes to resist even comprehensive diplomatic and
economic pressure.
2.Throw U.S. support behind Assad opponents in Syria. Washington should take
steps to bolster the Syrian opposition and overcome doubts about its
reliability, concentrating these efforts in two areas: First, the civilian
opposition should be urged -- even required, as a condition for international
aid -- to unify behind a common leadership and platform that is pluralistic and
provides for civil liberties, and should be provided with whatever international
assistance is required. Second, the disparate elements that make up the armed
opposition should be thoroughly vetted, including through greater contact with
Western officials, and those found most trustworthy should be provided not just
with arms but with intelligence, training in command and control, and equipment.
This assistance should be conditioned on the militias subordinating themselves
to the civilian opposition.
3.Lead consultations on international intervention. With Russia and China able
to block UN Security Council authorization for intervention in Syria and with
regional allies looking to Washington for leadership, the United States will
need to lead discussions among allies on preparing for the possibility of
military intervention in Syria should other measures fail to sway the Assad
regime. Military intervention in Syria must have two objectives: first, to
establish buffer or "safe" zones along Syria's borders to protect displaced
persons and prevent further spillover of violence into neighboring countries,
thus preventing the Syrian crisis from becoming a regional conflagration; and
second, to deprive Assad of his most lethal resources and to support indigenous
Syrian opposition forces by imposing no-fly, no-drive, and/or naval quarantine
areas. While such intervention may ultimately be unnecessary, planning now for
such actions and building international support for them will ensure that viable
military options are available to Washington should they be required. In
addition, such planning -- including the end of categorical U.S. and NATO
statements that no intervention is being contemplated -- may influence the
calculus of Assad and his supporters in Syria, as well as Russia, which may find
supporting international sanctions preferable to the alternative of
international intervention.
A message to Misbah al-Ahdab
Hazem al-Amin, June 8, 2012 /Now Lebanon
Against a backdrop of the bloody events in the poverty-ridden neighborhoods of
Tripoli, a group of male and female activists in the city organized a genuinely
noteworthy campaign they dubbed as “Tripoli, a weapons-free city.” Indeed, the
Tripoli activists said that they want Tripoli to be “a weapons-free city” and
did not link disarmament in their city to disarmament in other Lebanese areas.
This denotes a local sense that is lacking among the city’s political forces,
which call for disarmament, albeit linking it to the spread of weapons
throughout Lebanon, especially Hezbollah’s weapons.
Hezbollah’s weapons are undoubtedly the Lebanese people’s top problem, but the
weapons in Tripoli are the problem of Tripoli’s inhabitants first and foremost.
Therefore, launching the campaign “Tripoli, a weapons-free city” entails a sound
civic sense, as the activists said: “The weapons in our city target us before
even being the weapons of our community against those of another community.”
Accordingly, it is necessary to take the weapons out of the surrounding
political context. Weapons have become exclusively a killing instrument, rather
than a self-defense means as those carrying them claim, and Tripoli can really
do that. Yes, the “Sunni Tripoli” can be a weapons-free city and, as such, have
no fear of the “Alawi weapons,” which is invoked by armed groups as a reason to
justify their own armament. Hundreds of thousands will not be scared by a few
hundred armed men, whereas the losses resulting from the equation of “weapons
vs. weapons” will be felt by the majority before they even hit the minority.
During the latest round of clashes, 14 people were killed, 30 others were
wounded and dozens of homes were burnt. Sales in local shops fell by 40%, as the
North’s inhabitants deserted Tripoli’s souks and expatriates decided not to
return to the city for the summer while schools remained closed with the end of
the school year in sight. 95% of these negative indicators affected Tripoli’s
inhabitants, whom armed men are claiming to defend with their weapons.
However, one would be remiss, while commenting the “Tripoli, a weapons-free
city” campaign, not to mention that the activists’ campaign monopolized
Tripoli’s image, thus falling into another trap, especially since they argue
that their campaign aims to ban weapons without seeking to monopolize the city.
The activists actually distributed ads with pictures of townsfolk aiming to
reflect the street mood as opposed to that of burgeoning militias. However,
these faces failed to reflect the other side of Tripoli, one that is a partner –
and even a pioneer – in tragedy.
The faces on the ads belong to men and women who are obviously not part of the
city’s poverty belt where the clashes are occurring. People in those areas are
supposed to be the most harmed by weapons. The markets of the city’s middle and
upper class may have been harmed by the weapons, but the spirits of the
inhabitants in these poverty belts have been violated.
Tripoli’s ads show a man complaining about “our jobs” or a young woman being
“heartbroken” over the quality of living … How fitting would it have been had
the ads also displayed a woman from Bab al-Tabbaneh saying: “We have lost our
children.”
This takes us to a debate that politics in our country have failed to reach so
far, one regarding the costs that are supposed to be shared by communities that
have gathered in states and cities where they live with one another. Europe, as
a continent, has decided to do that and being a French citizen entails paying a
tax that supports one’s fellow Spanish citizen.
What if being a Tripoli inhabitant entailed seeking to bring Bab al-Tabbaneh out
of its poverty? This would greatly facilitate disarmament and block the attempts
to take advantage of the inhabitants’ poverty in political crises.
This article is a translation of the original, which appeared on the NOW Arabic
site on Friday June 8, 2012
Deadly blast rocks Damascus
as 10 die in Syria, activists say
June 8, 2012
A deadly blast rocked a Damascus suburb, killing two security forces members,
among 10 people killed across Syria on Friday, said the Syrian Observatory for
Human Rights.
The bloodshed came as people took to the streets to demonstrate against the
regime of President Bashar al-Assad following weekly Muslim prayers, the main
day of protests in the 15-month uprising.
An AFP photographer said the blast in the capital's Qudssaya neighborhood tore a
car to shreds and damaged a military bus—the reported target—as well as some
nearby residential buildings.
Elsewhere, an explosion in front of a police station in the northwestern city of
Edleb killed five people, including another two more members of the security
forces, said the Britain-based Observatory.
"It was a powerful explosion that destroyed the facade of the building," said
the watchdog, which also reported that a civilian was shot dead at Kfar Nebbol
in the same province.
In other violence, troops battled to take back the rebel bastion of Khaldiyeh in
the central city of Homs, shelling the district, the Observatory said.
Khaldiyeh in the north of the city has been pounded intermittently since Friday
morning "at a rate of five shells a minute," the Observatory said.
In the southern province of Daraa, cradle of the uprising, the head of a rebel
"brigade" was killed at Basr al-Sham and a sniper shot dead a civilian in
Mahajja, said the Observatory.
At least 58 people were killed on Thursday across Syria, where the crisis may
"spiral out of control," UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan told the UN Security
Council, unless more pressure is put on Assad.
Anti-regime activists had called for fresh demonstrations on Friday, under the
slogan "Revolutionaries and traders, hand in hand until victory," in an attempt
to convince the middle classes in Damascus and the northern city of Aleppo to
join the uprising that erupted in mid-March 2011.
People emerged from mosques to demonstrate in Kfar Zita, in the central Hama
province, chanting: "We don't want peace. We want bullets and Kalashnikovs!"
A convoy of UN monitors trying to reach the central village of Al-Kubeir on
Thursday to investigate the slaughter of at least 55 civilians in the small
Sunni farming area was shot at, the Observatory said.
-AFP/NOW Lebanon
Assad’s sectarian strategy
Tony Badran , June 7, 2012/Now Lebanon
The Houla massacre was simply the most egregious installment in a pattern of
deliberate sectarian killings by regime forces in Syria. (AFP photo)
While the massacre of women and children in Houla last month has been rightly
denounced by outsiders as a horrific act of brutality, few fully appreciate the
cold-blooded calculus of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad that gives rise to
recent sectarian murders in Sunni villages.
Predictably, regime sympathizers were quick to cast doubt on whether in fact
Assad was responsible for the atrocity, intimating that it must have been
perpetrated by the opposition in order to invite outside intervention. Others
suggested it was the work of “rogue” shabiha paramilitaries from Assad’s
minority Alawite sect, but not an officially sanctioned attack. After all, the
attack was seemingly irrational, serving only to further alienate the Syrian
people and outrage the international community.
In fact, the killing was simply the most egregious installment in a pattern of
deliberate sectarian killings (most recently in the town of al-Qubayr
yesterday), the product of cold deliberation by Assad. The Syrian dictator is
seeking to irredeemably tie the fate of the Alawites to his own, in a message
aimed both at his sectarian community as well as at the international community.
To better understand Assad’s thinking, it’s important to situate these attacks
in the larger context of the regime’s operations and the logic that’s been
driving them. Like al-Qubayr, Houla possesses two important characteristics. On
the one hand, it is adjacent to Alawite villages, from which the attacks were
launched. On the other hand, these villages (and one could add Kfar Zayta to the
list) straddle the eastern edge of the traditional region of Alawite
concentration, along the north-south meridian that runs from Jisr al-Shughour in
the north to Tel Kalakh in the south.
Those who have lived through or studied Lebanon’s 1975-1990 civil war will
immediately recognize what’s going on. The early stages of the war witnessed
mass killings in towns like Nabaa-Tel az-Zaatar, Quarantina and Damour as the
rival camps began fortifying their sectarian cantons, clearing out enemy
outposts and securing strategic routes and points of access—a sign that they
were in it for the long haul.
As noted by Michael Young, the Assad regime has been pursuing something
“suspiciously similar” to ethnic cleansing along the northern and southern tips
of the Alawite ancestral stronghold (and within it, as we saw yesterday in
Haffeh, near Lattakia). While it’s hard to say whether the Syrian regime is
preparing a fallback plan of an Alawite mini-state, it’s clear that Assad is
pursuing a policy of Alawite inner consolidation.
The Assad regime’s Alawite-dominated forces are already little more than a
sectarian militia. By arming Alawite villages and using them as launching pads
for attacks against Sunnis, as he did in Houla and al-Qubayr (and possibly
Haffeh), Assad is hardening the sectarian boundaries and implicating the entire
Alawite community in the murder of Sunnis, further bonding its fate to his. If
the Sunnis retaliate, as he surely must have counted they would, all the better.
Some commentators have speculated that by perpetrating these massacres, Assad
was trying to reinstate fear in the hearts of his opponents. However, at this
point in the game, we are well past that. This is no longer about putting the
Sunni genie back in the bottle. Rather, this is about sealing Alawite solidarity
and widening the target of Sunni animosity.
By covering the collective hands of the Alawite community with Sunni blood,
Assad is creating total identity between his family and the broader sect, while
simultaneously heightening its existential fears and feeding its primordial
hatreds. “It is natural,” one Alawite woman told a reporter from The Telegraph
recently, “[T]hey have to defend their sect.” “We have no future, at least not
one that is worth looking forward to,” explained an insightful Alawite blogger
known as Karfan in 2005. That is exactly what Assad sought to enshrine with the
Houla massacre.
The killings are also a message to the outside world. When Assad hears daily
consternation from Washington about the horrible specter of sectarian civil war
in Syria, he recognizes that accentuating these anxieties is likely to deter,
not trigger, international action. Indeed, judging from the underwhelming
international reaction to the Houla killing, his reading was vindicated. This is
why the pattern is now being repeated in other villages.
*Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
He tweets @AcrossTheBay.