LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
January 17/2012


Bible Quotation for today/
Jesus Speaks about His Suffering and Death
Luke 09/21-27: "Then Jesus gave them strict orders not to tell this to anyone. He also told them, The Son of Man must suffer much and be rejected by the elders, the chief priests, and the teachers of the Law. He will be put to death, but three days later he will be raised to life. And he said to them all, If you want to come with me, you must forget yourself, take up your cross every day, and follow me. For if you want to save your own life, you will lose it, but if you lose your life for my sake, you will save it. Will you gain anything if you win the whole world but are yourself lost or defeated? Of course not! If you are ashamed of me and of my teaching, then the Son of Man will be ashamed of you when he comes in his glory and in the glory of the Father and of the holy angels. I assure you that there are some here who will not die until they have seen the Kingdom of God.


Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Al-Assad in Bab al-Aziziyah/By Tariq Alhomayed/January 16/12 
Iran's intelligence penetrates the wall of China/By Huda al Husseini/January 16/12 
Extensive interview from Asharq Al-Awsat, with former Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa/January 16/12 
Exclusive interview from Asharq Al-Awsat with Turkish President Abdullah Gul/January 16/12 
Will the Salafis change/By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid/January 16/12 

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for January 16/12 
Ashrafiyeh Building Collapse Adds to Government Woes, 26 Dead
Hizballah planned Mumbai-style attack on Habad Bangkok, Khao San restaurants
Thailand Charges Hizbullah Suspect in Terror Probe
Thai police raid warehouse of Lebanese in terror probe
France: Iran Violating Arms Embargo with Shipments to Syria
Jumblat: Terrorism Theories No Longer Convince the Angry Masses
Policeman wounded in armed robbery at Sidon KFC outlet
Ban Urges Security Council to Act on 'Unacceptable' Syria Situation
New 'Freedom Convoy' Attempt on Syria Uprising Anniversary
Assad's political, military foes step up pressure
Ahmadinejad Aide Convicted for Insulting Khamenei
Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Nominates Parliament Speaker
Oil Above $99 in Asia Amid Middle East Jitters

US, Israel in open rift over Iran: Big joint military drill cancelled
'Israel and U.S. postpone massive defense drill in fear of escalation with Iran'
Netanyahu deputy voices ‘disappointment’ with Obama on Iran
Zvi Bar'el / Iran's game of chicken regarding oil production
Iran confirms receipt of U.S. letter warning against blockade of Strait of Hormuz
British FM: European nations to intensify pressure on Iran
Saudi Arabia: Readiness to up oil output is not linked to Iran sanctions
Ban: STL mandate to be extended automatically if work remains
Beirut building collapse traps residents
11 Dead, 11 Rescued as 5-Storey Building Collapses in Ashrafiyeh
Al-Rahi: Lebanon Must Not Be Source of Regional Instability
Hariri via Twitter: Ban’s Visit Aimed at Stressing Need for Lebanon to Respect STL
Davutoglu voices confidence in Lebanon
Hundreds of Lebanese men and women march against rape
U.N. appoints Plumbly as new Lebanon coordinator
French downgrade may hurt Lebanese economy
Ban: Era of one-man rule in Middle East is over
27 Civilians Dead in Syria as Bus Attack Kills At Least 6
Ban calls on Assad to stop killing his own people
U.N.'s Ban tells Assad to halt violence and stop killing his people
No plan to send Arab troops to Syria: League source
Iran sends rare letter to U.S. over killed scientist
Camp David pact to be reviewed: Egypt’s presidential frontrunner

US, Israel in open rift over Iran: Big joint military drill cancelled
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis/January 15, 2012/US-Israeli discord over action against Iran went into overdrive Sunday, Jan. 15 when the White House called off Austere Challenge 12, the biggest joint war game the US and Israel have every staged, ready to go in spring, in reprisal for a comment by Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Moshe Yaalon in an early morning radio interview. He said the United States was hesitant over sanctions against Iran's central bank and oil for fear of a spike in oil prices.
The row between Washington and Jerusalem is now in the open, undoubtedly causing celebration in Tehran.
Nothing was said about the 9,000 US troops who landed in Israeli earlier this month for a lengthy stay. Neither was the forthcoming visit by Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint US Chiefs of Staff, Thursday mentioned.
The exercise was officially postponed from spring 2012 to the last quarter of the year over "budgetary constraints" – an obvous diplomatic locution for cancellation. It was issued urgently at an unusually early hour Washington time, say debkafile's sources, to underscore the Obama administration's total disassociation from any preparations to strike Iran and to stress its position that if an attack took place, Israel alone would be accountable.
Israel's Deputy Prime minister further inflamed one of the most acute disagreements in the history of US-Israeli relations over the Obama administration's objections to an Israel military action against Iran's nuclear sites in any shape or form. Yaalon ventured into tricky terrain when he pointed out that US Congress had shown resolve by enacting legislation for sanctions with real bite. But the White House "hesitated." He went on to say: "A military operation is the last resort, but Israel must be ready to defend itself."
The friction was already fueled last week by the deep resentment aroused in Israel by Washington's harsh condemnation of the assassination last Wednesday, Jan. 11, of the nuclear scientist Prof. Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan, and absolute denial of any US involvement.
Although Tehran has since accused the United States of the attack, the White House treated it as the defiant sign of an approaching unilateral Israeli military operation against Iran to which the administration is adamantly opposed.
Friday, Jan. 13, the Pentagon announced the substantial buildup of combat power around Iran, stationing nearly 15,000 troops in Kuwait - two Army infantry brigades and a helicopter unit – and keeping two aircraft carriers the region: The USS Carl Vinson, the USS John Stennis and their strike groups.
Debkafile's military sources report that a third aircraft carrier and strike group, the USS Abraham Lincoln, is also on its way to the Persian Gulf.
This massive military buildup indicates that either President Obama rates the odds of an Israel attack as high and is bolstering the defenses of US military assets against Iranian reprisals - or, alternatively, that the United States intends to beat Israel to the draw and attack Iran itself.
The official purpose of Gen. Dempsey's visit next Thursday was supposed to be coordination between the US armed forces and the IDF. But his main object was another try to dissuade Israel's government and military leaders from plans to strike Iran without Washington's prior consent.
The "budgetary constraints" pretext for cancelling Austere Challenge 12 is hard to credit since most of the money has already been spent in flying 9,000 US troops into Israel this month. Although the exercise in which they were to have participated was billed as testing multiple Israeli and US air and missile defense systems, the exercise's commander, US Third Air Force Lt. Gen. Frank Gorenc, announced that the event was more a "deployment" than an "exercise."
Its cancellation leaves Washington and Jerusalem at loggerheads in four main areas:
1. President Obama believes he is rushing through the sanctions against Iran's central bank CBI and oil restrictions with all possible speed. He needs time to persuade more governments to support him. Israel sees little real progress in the crawling diplomatic bid for backers and is impatient for action. At the rate the sanctions are going through, they will not be in place before the end of 2012 and by then, Iran will have already acquired a nuclear weapon.
Israeli leaders also suspect that the Obama administration may be foot-dragging deliberately in the hope of encouraging Iran to enter into negotiations and so avoid a military showdown. They point out that all previous rounds of talks were exploited for Iran's forward leaps in their nuclear weapon drive, free of international hassle.
2. President Obama insists on the US acting alone in attacking Iran with no Israeli military involvement. This would leave him free to decide exclusively when and how to stage an operation. He is counting on the tightened military and intelligence cooperation he has instituted between the two armed forces and agencies to safeguard Washington against the surprise of a lone Israeli action.
But Israel has declined to make this commitment - even in the face of US officials' efforts at persuasion.
3. US military strategists are counting on an Iranian reprisal for an attack on its nuclear sites to be restrained and limited to certain US military assets in the region, Israeli targets and oil installations in the Persian Gulf, including a temporary and partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which one fifth of the world's oil passes.
They expect Israel to refrain from striking back for Iranian attacks and to leave the payback option entirely in American hands. US officials have said they fear an Israeli overkill would tip the entire American military operation into imbalance and generate unforeseen consequences.
The incoming US troops were therefore armed with the sophisticated missile interceptorTHAAD systems (easily transportable Terminal High Altitude Area Defense hit-to-kill weapons) to show the Israeli government that the US would stay on top of all the military moves against Iran - offensive and defensive alike.
On these three points, the US and Israel disagree. Neither Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, nor Defense Minister Ehud Barak or Deputy Prime Minster Yaalon, who are responsible for all decisions on Iran, are willing to put all their trust for defending Israel in American hands or relinquish unilateral military options against Iran. They believe US officials when they assert that the administration is prepared to prevent Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon, but they want to see proof of the pudding and actions to back up the rhetoric. In the light of credible intelligence that Iran is very close to achieving its nuclear goal, Israel is holding on to its military option over American objections.

Ashrafiyeh Building Collapse Adds to Government Woes, 26 Dead
by Naharnet/..The collapse of a building in Ashrafiyeh on Sunday that left at least 26 people dead added to the woes of the government which is already suffering from disputes on a wage hike and delays in the appointments of civil servants to positions in state institutions.
"Until now, 26 bodies have been recovered and we believe there are more buried under the building that collapsed Sunday evening," Red Cross official Georges Kettaneh told Agence France Presse on Monday evening.
The head of the General Security Department, Brig. Gen. Raymond Khattar, said earlier that by Monday afternoon the bodies of seven Lebanese, seven Sudanese, three Filipinas and two Egyptians were retrieved from the rubble of the six-storey apartment building in the neighborhood of Fassouh that was built in the 1940s.
Later on Monday, several media outlets said rescuers managed to retrieve the bodies of Lebanese victims Maroun Saad, Alice Saad, Farhat Noaim, Tanious Noaim, Charbel Noaim and Jeanette Abi Serhal.
Eleven others were rescued and taken to nearby hospitals a day earlier. No survivors were found during rescue efforts on Monday.
Around 10 people were still missing. But rescuers began facing a new hurdle in the afternoon after heavy rains lashed the area.
Premier Najib Miqati ordered the formation of a team of experts to probe the incident after witnesses said that the building’s owner, Michel Saadeh, had warned them not to stay in their apartments on Sunday night.
A witness, Gladiss Noaim, told LBC TV on Monday morning that the residents heard an explosion during Christmas which turned out to be cracks in one of the building’s foundations.
Noaim said that she and her mother were leaving their apartment on the first floor when the debris began pouring on them. Her father and three brothers were still under the rubble, she said.
Authorities are now questioning Saadeh to find out whether the incident was due to his neglect or the construction of a new building near the old structure.
Nearby buildings were evacuated on Sunday night upon the request of the security forces, LBC reported.
Ministerial sources told An Nahar daily that the cabinet will discuss the incident from outside its already packed agenda on Monday. It will hear a briefing on the primary probe into the circumstances that led to the collapse.
The sources said the issue of public safety will become a priority and the government will take all necessary and urgent measures to deal with hundreds or thousands of similar cases in Beirut and other areas.
Old buildings should be routinely inspected to avoid such a tragedy, they told An Nahar. Secretary-General of the Higher Relief Council Brig. Gen. Ibrahim Bashir told NNA that the government will compensate the victims and provide them with shelter. The head of parliament’s public works committee, Mohammed Qabbani, has called for an extraordinary meeting on Monday to discuss the incident.
Representatives of the involved state institutions and Beirut Municipality will attend the meeting.

11 Dead, 11 Rescued as 5-Storey Building Collapses in Ashrafiyeh
by Naharnet /An old five-storey building collapsed on its tenants in the Ashrafiyeh neighborhood of Fassouh on Sunday, leaving at least five people dead, including a 15-year-old girl, and several people injured, trapped or unaccounted for.“The collapsed building in Ashrafieh is located in Al-Motran Atallah Street and it contains 10 apartments,” MTV reported.
Young man Anthony Abdul Karim was pulled out alive while Anne-Marie Abdul Karim, 15, was found dead and her wounded grandmother was rushed to hospital, state-run National News Agency reported. NNA later reported that rescue crews managed to pull out the body of an Ethiopian man while still trying to pull out the corpse of another Ethiopian man.
"One of them is called Ahmed while the other is called Ayyoub," it added.
Later on Sunday, MTV said the bodies of two Sudanese victims were pulled out and moved to state-run Rafik Hariri Hospital in Beirut. The TV network said earlier an infant was pulled out alive from the debris while LBC television identified some of the survivors as Jack and Joseph Jaara, Ayed and Antoinette Abdul Karim, Sudanese nationals Banadi and Sadeq Abdullah, and Filipina Rose-Marie Balaka.
The National News Agency said an unknown number of people were buried under the rubble, and emergency services were scrambling to find survivors. It identified one of the survivors as Mohammed Kamel Abdul Salam, an Egyptian. "It was like an earthquake" when the block collapsed, one witness told MTV. NNA said the building had been in a state of disrepair made worse by recent torrential downpours. At once, Interior Minister Marwan Charbel and Civil Defense chief Brig. Gen. George Khattar arrived on the scene, with the latter telling MTV that his crews were exerting their utmost efforts to rescue the trapped tenants."Two bodies have been found while ten people have been pulled out alive and in good health so far and we are in contact with two of the survivors" who are still under the rubble, Charbel said. "More survivors may be still under the debris ... Three of the five floors were rented by foreign workers," the minister added. President Michel Suleiman inspected the scene of the disaster later on Sunday, demanding an instant probe.For his part, Prime Minister Najib Miqati instructed the relevant authorities to mobilize all crews and contractors to promptly rescue those still trapped under the debris.He asked the secretary general of the High Relief Commission, Brig. Gen. Ibrahim Bashir, to take the measures applicable in such calamities and to submit a report as soon as possible.
Miqati ordered the formation of a commission of inquiry comprising representatives from the Public Works and Transport Ministry, the Civil Defense Directorate and the Order of Engineers and Architects.
He also demanded an inspection of all buildings whose safety is doubted and asked for an urgent report in this regard. Resident Gladys Farhat, who was not in the building at the time of collapse, told MTV that “a pillar fell off the building a month ago.”“Voices are being heard from beneath the rubble and a number of vehicles and bulldozers have been scrambled to the scene,” MTV said.
Speaking to MTV by telephone, Journalist Tareq Karam, an Ashrafieh resident, described the scene as “scary.” “It is the third building on the right in Al-Motran Atallah Street and a part of the building collapsed on the building belonging to the Beirut Water Authority,” he told MTV. Quoting officials from the Beirut Fire Brigade, Future News TV said the building accommodated around 30 residents.
Meanwhile, MTV said “another building faces the threat of collapse near Qasabli Snack.”

Hizballah planned Mumbai-style attack on Habad Bangkok, Khao San restaurants

DEBKAfile Special Report/ January 16, 2012/, The Thai police's capture of a Lebanese-Swedish Hizballah suspect, who was charged Monday, Jan. 16, thwarted a terrorist attack on Bet Habad in Bangkok, involving the taking of hostages and blowing up the building. It was to have followed the same lines as al Qaeda's 2008 assault on the Mumbai Habad center which killed 8 Israelis and Jews - only more ambitious. The Habad Bangkok is much larger: its hostel has rooms for dozens of lodgers. A second team was to have hit the Khao San Road restaurants popular with Israelis and Americans in a coordinated operation.
This is the first time Western and Israeli agencies have found evidence of the Lebanese Shiite Hizballah using and training operatives in the same terrorist methods as al Qaeda.
debkafile's counter-terror sources note that two or possibly three Hizballah cells were to have gone into coordinated action on the same date this month. The only suspect in Thai custody is Atris Hussein, 47, who was arrested as soon as he landed at Bangkok international airport Thursday, Jan. 12.
He first denied association with Hizballah, claiming he was on holiday. Sunday, he broke down under interrogation and admitted he was on a mission to attack Jewish, Israeli and American sites and that explosive materials had been prepared in advance by another Hizballah team, which had pinpointed the targets and was to have briefed the perpetrators.
Thai authorities believe that each team was made up of two or three members, all carrying European or Persian Gulf emirate passports.
Monday, Jan 16, Hussein led the police to an address he received from his Hizballah controllers in Lebanon in the Samut Sakorn province on Bangkok’s outskirts. There they found a cache of 4,000 kilograms of urea fertilizer and 10 gallons of ammonium nitrate, a chemical compound used in explosives. The materials had not been assembled, indicating the plot was still not quite ready to go.
The Thai police were waiting for the suspect at the airport after receiving alerts from US and Israeli counter-terrorist agencies, which had advance information about the coming attack. According to debkafile's intelligence sources, the tip-off originated with Lebanese nationals living in Bangkok who had been approached for assistance. Those informants, who did not trust the local authorities to act, went straight to Western and Israeli contacts, who then published terror alerts to US and Israeli travelers. The terror alerts issued by the US embassy and Israel's Counter-Terror Bureau are still in force.Sources familiar with the investigation report a major manhunt in progress for Hossein's confederates in Thailand, Europe and the Middle East. Some of those sources suspect the advance team members who prepared the explosives materials managed to escape, either by plane from Bangkok or by crossing into Laos and catching a flight there, although others believe they are still hiding out in Thailand waiting for another chance to strike.

Thailand Charges Hizbullah Suspect in Terror Probe
by Naharnet /Thai authorities charged on Monday a Lebanese Hizbullah suspect with illegally possessing explosive materials. He faces up to five years in prison.Atris Hussein was detained by police Thursday at Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi airport, trying to leave the country. Police are still looking for another Lebanese suspect.Hussein led Thai police Monday to a warehouse filled with materials commonly used to make bombs. Police confiscated more than 8,800 pounds (4,000 kilograms) of urea fertilizer and several gallons of liquid ammonium nitrate during the early morning raid of the warehouse in Samut Sakhon, on the western outskirts of Bangkok, according to police and media reports.Hussein told police that he and other accomplices had rented the warehouse a year ago, according to a police official.
The official said that police also found shipping containers, leading them to believe the materials were destined for shipment elsewhere, though he declined to say where.The raid came after the U.S. Embassy issued an "emergency message" Friday warning of a possible terror threat against Americans in Bangkok, and Israel sent out a similar warning to its citizens. A dozen other embassies have since urged their citizens to exercise caution.Thai authorities were caught off-guard by the U.S. announcement, hastily revealing they had detained a Swedish national of Lebanese origin with alleged links to Hizbullah on Thursday and that intelligence indicated a plot could be carried out between Jan. 13 and 15.The defense minister said the news was not released earlier to avoid panic that could hurt Thailand's tourism industry. Damage control continued Monday, with the prime minister calling for calm."I'd like to tell people not to panic. The situation is under control. There is no problem," Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra told reporters, adding that security was increased and intelligence agencies were closely following the situation. Details of the alleged plot remained hazy Monday due to a variety of conflicting accounts from Thai officials, some of whom said that Thailand appeared to have been a staging ground but not the target of any plot."I think Thailand is likely a transit point for other regions of the world," national police chief Gen. Prewpan Dhamapong told reporters after the raid. "It is unlikely that they would have staged terror attacks in Thailand."But the U.S. Embassy said it stood by its warning of a possible attack in Bangkok.
Source/Associated Press

France: Iran Violating Arms Embargo with Shipments to Syria
by Naharnet/Iran has repeatedly violated a U.N. arms embargo with exports to protest-hit Syria, the French foreign ministry said on Monday, citing a U.N. group of experts.
"The U.N. panel of experts on Iran has identified and informed the Security Council of several violations of the embargo on arms to or from Iran set up by... the United Nations Security Council," said spokesman Romain Nadal."These arms deliveries are illegal and deeply shocking because they benefit a regime that has chosen a kind of repression that the U.N. rights council has repeatedly said constitutes 'crimes against humanity'," he said."We condemn these violations and call on Iran and Syria to comply with Security Council resolutions," Nadal said in response to a question about a U.S. accusation that Tehran was sending arms to Damascus.Senior U.S. officials told Agence France Presse on Friday that Iran was supplying munitions to aid Syria's bloody protest crackdown in an initiative spearheaded by the head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps' elite Quds force, Qasem Soleimani.Iran is forbidden to import or export weapons or ammunition under the terms of U.N. Security Council resolutions dating from 2007 and 2010 slapped on the Islamic republic because of its controversial nuclear program.Source/Agence France Presse.

Jumblat: Terrorism Theories No Longer Convince the Angry Masses
by Naharnet /Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat has warned that revolt-hit Syria might “descend into civil war if the bloodshed continues,” stressing that the Arab peoples “can no longer tolerate autocratic parties and rulers.” In his weekly column in his party’s Al-Anbaa newspaper to be published Tuesday, Jumblat said: “The Arab peoples can no longer tolerate autocratic parties and rulers, and the freedom fighters and revolutionaries in all countries do not buy anymore the obsolete rhetoric that was used for years to control the masses.”
The Druze leader stressed that “the persistent attempts to promote theories about terrorism and armed terrorist groups can no longer convince the angry masses.”
But he noted that “if there are gangs described as terrorist that are taking advantage of the state of chaos created by the security and oppressive solutions implemented by the regime in the face of legitimate political and social demands, that does not negate the fact that there are peoples seeking to achieve their freedom, democracy and dignity.”
“There’s no doubt that Syria may descend into a devastative civil war if the bloodshed continues,” Jumblat cautioned, warning that “certain steps to escape forward might push things towards an explosion in other arenas.”
And as he reiterated that the Arab initiative was the most appropriate solution to the Syrian crisis, Jumblat urged Iran to “launch some kind of initiative towards the Syrian people who stood by the Iranian revolution against the Shah regime and in the face of the Saddamist attack in the eighties.”He also called on Russia to “launch a political initiative together with the countries concerned in order to pull Syria out of this crisis.”Turning to Lebanon, Jumblat reiterated his support for “the Resistance and the defensive mission it is performing in the face of the Israeli enemy, in a manner that preserves the national Lebanese interest,” stressing “the need to reach consensus over a comprehensive national defense strategy.”He also underlined that “weapons should not be used domestically.”
“We are totally keen, together with the Resistance, on preserving domestic stability and civil peace, especially in this critical and sensitive moment in the region. As to the divergent viewpoints on evaluating the developments of the Syrian crisis, that should be left to direct dialogue, away from bickering in the media.”

Beirut building collapse traps residents
January 16, 2012/By Stephen Dockery The Daily Star
BEIRUT: A five-story apartment building collapsed in the Ashrafieh district of Beirut Sunday, trapping an unknown number of people under the rubble.Rescue workers worked into the night digging through debris to try and find those still alive beneath a mound of concrete shards and twisted metal. Officials at the site of the collapse said voices could still be heard from below.
Red Cross officials announced Sunday night that one person had been pronounced dead while 10 people were pulled alive from the building. It is likely that amount could climb as the number of people trapped is still unknown. The building includes 10 apartments. Ashrafieh resident Nicolas Abou rjeily told The Daily Star he had heard the building collapse from a block away around 6 p.m. “I heard a loud sound,” He said, adding that he ran to see a large cloud of dust, debris and bloodied people being pulled out of the building. Distraught and weeping people surrounded the collapsed building, hoping to see signs of friends and family.  Rescue workers pulled a number of injured out of the rubble throughout the night, carrying them down from the debris on stretchers into waiting ambulances. Emergency medics milled outside local hospitals, with rescues growing less frequent as the night wore on. Most of the streets near the site of the collapse were closed as Civil Defense personnel, the Red Cross and the Army arrived to help rescue residents. There is no indication of what caused the collapse, but residents could have had some warning, as the building may have shaken before it collapsed.
The sons of Tanios Farhat, a 70-year-old man who lived on the ground floor of the building, were said to have rushed to try and save their father when the building started to shake, a security source told The Daily Star.The three sons were said to have been trapped in the building when it collapsed and the voices of two of them could still be heard, the source said.During the night emergency crews asked people to remain quiet in order to hear those calling for help from beneath the rubble. Debris from the collapsed building also slid into the foundations of adjacent buildings, prompting Army officials at the scene to ask people in the area to evacuate because of concerns that other buildings might collapse. President Michel Sleiman and Interior Minister Marwan Charbel arrived at the scene to assist in the evacuation process. “There is more help coming to the area to assist in the evacuation process and rescue people still trapped under the rubble,” Charbel said.
Ann-Marie Abdel Karim, 15, was pronounced dead upon arrival at the Saint George Hospital in Ashrafieh. Among the 10 rescued, two women, a Filipino and a Lebanese, were transported to nearby hospitals. Health Minister Ali Hasan Khalil, and a number of MP, including Beirut lawmaker Jean Oghassapian, arrived at the scene and expressed their regrets about the collapse. Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri also expressed his regrets for the people who died or were injured in the collapse of the building. Lebanese Red Cross spokesperson Ayad Monzer said that no clear information was available regarding the number of people trapped under the rubble.

Ban: STL mandate to be extended automatically if work remains
January 16, 2012/By Mirella Hodeib/The Daily Star
Editor’s note: The following is the full text of an interview with U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon conducted Saturday by The Daily Star.
Q: Are consultations with the Lebanese government concerning the renewal of the mandate of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon binding?
A: In accordance with the Lebanon and U.N. agreement, the STL mandate should be extended. If the works of the tribunal are not completed by Feb. 29 of this year, it is to be extended automatically. The question is how long that should be extended. That is something to be decided by me in consultation with the Security Council and Lebanese authorities. I am in the process of having [those] consultations.
Q: What about the protocol between the Lebanese government and the United Nations on the STL? Some Lebanese factions are calling for it to be amended. Is that possible?
A: The STL was established in accordance with Security Council Resolution 1757. I don’t think there is a need to change any agreement. It is a matter of extending the [court’s] mandate so that all the works can be carried out to bring to justice the perpetrators of this crime (the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri). This will send a strong message to not only perpetrators but any other potential crimes.”
As you know since this STL Lebanon was established, you have not seen any political assassinations. This means the message has been clearly conveyed. These are very important tools, mechanisms, to end impunity.
Q: Are you satisfied with the way Lebanese authorities have dealt with the indictment issued by the STL? Have they made enough efforts to apprehend the four suspects?
A: Four persons have been accused officially and it is important for the Lebanese government to fully cooperate with the STL to apprehend them as soon as possible. I am grateful to the Lebanese government for their strong commitment to the STL by contributing 49 percent of their financial obligations. I count on the continuing support and cooperation of Lebanon’s government.
Q: How do you respond to Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah saying that he was pleased that you, as well the United States and Israel, were concerned with the resistance’s growing capabilities?
A: It is important that Security Council Resolution 1559 is fully respected and implemented. I was emphasizing in my [news] conference [Friday] that while pressing my concern of Hezbollah’s military capacity it is important that all the parties should fully comply with this resolution.
Q: What if it isn’t fully implemented? you called for dialogue among Lebanese factions over the issue. What if the dialogue fails to achieve outcomes? What is the position of the U.N.?
A: There should be continuous efforts to realize this resolution, [regarding] the disarmament. These weapons outside state authority are very dangerous and harmful to peace and stability for Lebanon and also in the region. There have been allegations of illegal arms transfers. This affects negatively to overall peace and stability of Lebanon as well as in this region. This is why I expressed my concern.
Q: There have been several reports that the United Nations is receiving threats to its Lebanon offices. Are you mulling a move?
A: The location of U.N. headquarters in [Downtown] Beirut is exposed to threats, security threats, and we are concerned about this. That is why I have discussed this issue with the leadership of the Lebanese government. They also fully appreciate these security concerns. We are now discussing actively to relocate our headquarters to a safer and more secure place within Beirut, or if not, the outskirts of Beirut. But I hope the Lebanese government will render full cooperation as soon as possible.”
Q: Did you discuss with Lebanese officials the possibility of establishing humanitarian corridors between Lebanon and Syria? What is your evaluation of the work of Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s Cabinet?
A: I am very happy to work with Prime Minister Mikati on all matters. I really admire his leadership. As for the specific question of the issue of humanitarian corridors, that is to be decided in consultation with the Syrian government. At this time, the League of Arab States’ ... monitoring mission is in Syria and we are waiting for their assessment report after they return. All these issues will be discussed in due course.
Q: Will there be any military action against Syria similar to what happened in Libya in your opinion?
A: No one has raised the possibility of having military operations at this time and since the League of Arab States has already entered Syria, they are monitoring the situation. The League of Arab States’ ministerial meeting has reconfirmed the continuation of this mission. So let us wait for their assessment and I am in close consultation with Secretary General of the League [Nabil] Elaraby. We highly commend the efforts of the League of Arab States. We are going to provide technical assistance in the area of training of the monitoring teams.
Q: Is the U.N. going to help Lebanon demarcate its maritime border?
A: Lebanon has the right to explore and exploit its maritime resources in accordance with the law of the sea. Lebanon and Israel can explore their maritime resource in uncontested areas. But this needs to be discussed bi-laterally. The United Nations, unless we are mandated by the General Assembly or the Security Council, cannot directly intervene in this matter. If the Israeli and the Lebanese governments agree to give us, request us to play some mediating or facilitating role, we can do it. But I have explained this to the leadership of the Lebanese government about the current situation, [although] we will continue to discuss this matter.
Q: Will Israel pull out from the northern part of the border village of Ghajar? Are talks about the withdrawal stalled?
A: It is regrettable this issue has not been resolved. In fact there was a very positive development which took place over a year ago. The U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon has presented its plan of action to secure the security there after the withdrawal of Israeli [Army] from the northern [part] of the village of Ghajar. Unfortunately we have not received any response from the Israeli government. The Lebanese Armed Forces have agreed to the proposal of UNIFIL.”

No plan to send Arab troops to Syria: League source
Reuters) - The Arab League has not received any official request or suggestion that it send Arab troops to Syria, an Arab representative to the Cairo-based League told Reuters on Sunday. Qatar's emir, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, said on Saturday that Arab troops may have to step in to halt the bloodshed in Syria since the start of protests against President Bashar al-Assad in March. "There is no official suggestion to send Arab troops to Syria at the current time ... There has been no Arab or a non-Arab agreement on a military intervention in Syria for the time being," the representative to the League said. There is little appetite in the West for any Libya-style intervention in Syria, although France has talked of a need to set up zones to protect civilians there. It was far from clear if Arab countries would be willing to beef up the team of civilian monitors currently in Syria, let alone send in troops without broader international support. It was also not clear if Qatar envisaged the troops playing a peace enforcement or other role. An earlier idea of asking the United Nations to provide technical support and experts to bolster the Arab monitoring team has so far made little headway. The United Nations says more than 5,000 people have been killed since protests against Assad erupted in March. Syrian officials say 2,000 members of the security forces have been killed by armed "terrorists." The Arab League has suggested a peace plan that requires an immediate halt of violence and withdrawal of military forces from cities and has been sending monitors from different Arab states to check if Assad's regime is committed to the Arab plan. But both Arab monitors who have travelled to Syria and sources in the Arab League say violence has continued unabated and have voiced concerns about the efficacy of the mission in its current form. Qatar has been the most outspoken among Arab countries about the need for tougher action on Syria. Some other Arab states including Syria's neighbors Lebanon and Iraq, oppose any escalation against Assad's government.

U.N.'s Ban tells Assad to halt violence and stop killing his people

15/01/2012/BEIRUT, (Reuters) - United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon urged Syria's President Bashar al-Assad on Sunday to halt violence against a 10-month uprising and said the "old order" of dynasties and one-man rule in the Arab world was coming to an end.
"Today, I say again to President Assad of Syria: Stop the violence. Stop killing your people. The path of repression is a dead end," Ban told a conference in Lebanon on political reform. The United Nations says more than 5,000 people have been killed in Syria's crackdown on protests which erupted against Assad in March, inspired by uprisings that toppled three Arab leaders last year. Syria says 2,000 members of the government forces have been killed by "armed terrorists".
"From the very beginning of the ... revolutions, from Tunisia through Egypt and beyond, I called on leaders to listen to their people," Ban said. "Some did, and benefited. Others did not, and today they are reaping the whirlwind." The conflict in Syria has become one of the bloodiest and enduring confrontations of the "Arab Spring". An escalating armed insurgency, driven by army defectors and gunmen, has raised fears of civil war. The deployment of Arab League monitors in Syria has failed to stem the bloodshed and Assad, facing sanctions, increasing isolation and a crumbling economy, has vowed to crush what he says is a foreign-backed conspiracy.
The 46-year-old president, who inherited power when his father died in 2000, also promised a parliamentary election under a new constitution later this year, and on Sunday declared a general amnesty for crimes committed during the uprising.
OLD ORDER CRUMBLES
"The old way, the old order, is crumbling," Ban said.
"One-man rule and the perpetuation of family dynasties, monopolies of wealth and power, the silencing of the media, the deprivation of fundamental freedoms... To all of this, the people say: Enough."But he also said that the transition to democracy in the region would be hard and drawn out, requiring genuine reform, inclusive dialogue, a proper role for women and a solution for millions of young people seeking work. In the short term, the instability created by the uprisings had exacerbated economic difficulties. Unemployment was rising, along with food and fuel prices, while commerce suffered. "Meanwhile, old elites remain entrenched. The levers of coercion remain in their hands," Ban said. "...We have reached a sober moment". Where authoritarian rulers had been toppled, there was no guarantee that their successors would uphold human rights.
"The new regimes must not elevate certain religious or ethnic communities at the expense of others," he said in apparent reference to fears that newly empowered Sunni Islamist movements could marginalise minorities. Acknowledging that the United Nations itself needed to "update its approach" to address the region's problems, Ban said it was supporting change in Libya, Egypt, Tunisia and Yemen. "We are firmly committed to help Arab countries through this transition, by every means," he said.

Al-Assad in Bab al-Aziziyah!
By Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat
The appearance of Bashar al-Assad in Damascus amongst some of his supporters was a lot like Muammar Gaddafi appearing in Bab al-Aziziyah, or Green Square, to show that he is still the leader, and is still popular. However that is not the truth at all, firstly in the case of Gaddafi, which was proven over the days and events that followed, and now the same applies to al-Assad.
After al-Assad’s speech, in which he appeared to be begging and detached from reality, he emerged a day later among the crowds to prove his courage and leadership, but reality dictates that he came out because of his fear. His appearance only confirmed that he is no longer the President of Syria, but rather merely a man who has his followers. Here some may say: How come? The emergence of al-Assad in Umayyad Square - the day after his 99 minute-long speech - was an indication that al-Assad is the leader of a specific group, and not the President of Syria, and in turn he is contributing to isolating himself more and more. It is suffice to consider the pictures of his lengthy, boring speech at Damascus University, which did not show the attendance of any officials from his government, particularly the well-known faces, just as the images did not show anyone wearing military uniforms, such as high ranking officials. This is not to mention the fact that a panoramic view of the Umayyad Square rally shows that most of the audience there were security men, and that was apparent from their features and physique, and it was suffice to consider the amount of security personnel surrounding al-Assad’s wife at the time.
In al-Assad’s previous three speeches, and even in his latest interview with the US television network ABC, he spoke as the leader of the Syrians, although it was not convincing of course. However, the Umayyad Square scene was different, where he assured his followers that victory was near, he pledged to fight a broad spectrum of Syrian society, and he vowed victory over the Arabs and the West. He seemed as if he was talking from the position of Hassan Nasrallah rather than the President of Syria, and there is a big difference!
Of course, the question now is: When will al-Assad fall, or how? The answer to this question was summed up recently by the dissident Syrian Brigadier General Mustafa Ahmed al-Sheikh, who said that “large divisions, at the level of entire sectors, only happen when there is an open horizon and an officer or soldier feels that there is an international resolution to overthrow the regime”. He adds that “so far there has been no international resolution to overthrow the regime. That is why we have not seen high ranking officers or officials from important civilian posts defecting. However, if there was a buffer zone in place, most of the army would defect and the regime would fall faster”. This is what happened in the case of Libya, and the intention here is not to call for extensive NATO military participation, but what is required is an international resolution to de-legitimize the al-Assad regime. The first step towards doing so is to issue a UN resolution to provide buffer and no-fly zones, and then the divisions will grow within the Syrian army, especially as the number of dissidents so far, according to Brigadier General al-Sheikh, has reached 20,000. As soon as a buffer zone is in place, according to al-Sheikh, then senior officials will start to defect, which would in turn quickly bring down the regime.
This is what must be done now, since all other solutions have become ineffective, no matter what some have tried to say otherwise.

Iran's intelligence penetrates the wall of China
By Huda al Husseini/Asharq Alawsat
Iran is busy with its maneuvers on numerous fronts. With regards to America, it is flexing its military muscles, dazzling the naïve, and providing fuel for its trainees waiting to carry out its deeds. As for Russia, Iran feigns that relations between the two countries are “cordial”, for at least they meet in the Syrian trench, although each has its own goal. However, at present, Iran's main emphasis is on China.
Iran's stance towards China is very interesting: on the one hand Iran is furious at China's cooperation with some of the sanctions imposed upon Iranian banks, but on the other hand China still holds the "key" to the effectiveness of the international sanctions. Besides, Iran believes that China and Russia are striking a balance between the mounting pressure of the US and its Western partners, and extending economic relations with Iran as protection against international sanctions. Hence, Iran is also striving to develop greater ties with China through alluring oil deals. However, the West has noticed that China, which imports 11 percent of its oil from Iran, has cut its imports during the past two months, yet it is not known whether China has sought to diversify its oil supply, or whether it is still seeking to purchase Iranian oil but on better terms.
Iran's temptations mask its secret activities in China, as it fears Beijing's policies are two-fold; China is using its influence to reduce the pressure mounted on Iran in order to protect its interests there, but it would eventually submit to the Security Council's resolutions in order not to provoke other members.
China was a major cause for the disagreement between President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his Minister of Intelligence Heyder Moslehi, who criticized the manner in which agents were being recruited in the Far East, and gained the support of the Supreme Leader.
For nearly a month, Moslehi has been supervising a "mission" in China that incorporates Chinese agents who began work for the Iranian regime in early 2011, and are providing Tehran with significant intelligence information. Iran's long-term objective is to "impose" a shift on Chinese political stances and learn how China determines its relations with "arrogant and aggressor states" (Western states, mainly the US), with regards to the West’s standoff with Iran over nuclear weapons.
Recruiting in China has been something of a successful coup for Iran, because Chinese recruits have access the sources of information that Iran seeks to exploit. Whilst such clandestine activity is being undertaken by Iran, it is kept separate from diplomatic relations with China to the extent that Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi recently paid a visit to Beijing, shortly after these activities had begun.
Many of the Chinese agents recruited by Iran are either diplomats or civil servants in Beijing, who are required to provide Iran with details of China’s political stances towards upcoming issues expected to be deliberated at the Security Council. This includes the new sanctions imposed by the US and Britain, as well as the upcoming measures to be taken by the International Atomic Agency.
The reason why these Chinese government employees agreed to leak information and why they believed their [Iranian] interlocutors is unclear. The Iranian officers who were assigned to contact the Chinese agents are using aliases and claim to be businessmen from other countries. The concerned Chinese officials do not seem to be aware that they are aiding the Iranian regime directly. In recent weeks, they have been updating the Iranians on Western efforts to urge importers of Iranian oil to cut trade significantly.
The mission assignment was ordered by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who requested that the Intelligence Ministry should take active steps to secretly recruit agents fluent in Mandarin Chinese. It was decided that this particular ministry should be used as a tool to aid the establishment of a secret Iranian-Chinese economic project. Hence, Iran is recruiting Chinese businessmen linked with fake trade firms under the direct supervision of the Iranian Intelligence Ministry with the aim of evading international surveillance of their businesses. Attempts are also being made to bribe senior state officials in the Chinese trade sector and banking system, in a bid to steal a march over rivals seeking to win lucrative deals, specifically in the energy sector.
The office of the Iranian Supreme Leader has emphasized the need to keep these plans secret, fearing potentially devastating consequences if they were discovered by the Chinese. Khamenei has emphasized the importance of China's economic ties with Iran (Iran is among major exporters of crude oil to China), but his international affairs advisor Ali Akbar Velayati has suggested that these relations are effectively guaranteed: "China relies on Iran. Such a partnership is useful to them as well." Velayati added that “Iranian officials could in fact extend their influence in China, for Iran is significant to the Chinese economy."
There has been some opposition to the plan from within the Iranian Intelligence Ministry itself, out of fear of possible political consequences if the plan is exposed. The Intelligence Ministry was forced to intensify its counter-surveillance operations after Indian Navy marine commandos stopped a trade ship (Nafis-1) flying the Iranian flag inside Indian waters on the 14th August 2011, with eight African crew-members onboard and a cargo of equipment from the Far East. Ever since this incident, the Intelligence Ministry has undertaken desperate efforts to prevent its activities being tracked. Despite such a setback, the "mission" is still active in China because Moslehi, Velayati and the inner circle of Khamenei are convinced that such recruitment serves the prime objective which they believe will lead towards the progress of the Iranian nuclear program, and the land-to-land missile project. This is apart from the significant information and materials that have been obtained from North Korea, and are now being developed in Iran.
The new information which Iran has obtained through its Chinese recruits is extremely sensitive, including 60 possible exporters of dual-use nuclear equipment (some of which is produced by Japanese firms), and the raw materials which Iran requires. Through these new channels, Iranian intelligence has found a way to obtain high-quality carbon fibers, which Iran requires to construct more advanced centrifuges than those installed in Natanz, south of Tehran. Other items sourced include special oils and minerals that are necessary for these projects, as well as computer machines manufactured by the Chinese company “SMTCL” (the transactions and dealings are carried out between the identified company and the holding companies established by the Iranian government, so that Iran can purchase electronic equipment to produce the main components of missiles).
Moslehi is aware that this new supply chain will dramatically increase Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities in Natanz, as well as in other major nuclear sites in Iran. The obtained information also included a stock inventory list of certain Chinese companies, which Iran can use to circumvent the official sanctions imposed by China and its international partners.
As a result of the successes achieved by the Moslehi "mission" in China, Khamenei has ordered that an additional 80 million Riyals (US $ 55.7million) be paid to the Intelligence Ministry, and deposited in the fund for Iranian interests in China 2011 – 2012. Part of the sum will be invested in "human resources", with emphasis laid on teaching the Chinese language to Iranian officers in Tehran, so that they can work efficiently on the secret documents they receive from China.
The Iranian military and espionage circus is at its very peak, but as for the Iranian people's living standards, these will be determined by the Iranian elections in March 2012.

Exclusive interview from Asharq Al-Awsat with Turkish President Abdullah Gul
By Tha'ir Abbas
Ankara, Asharq Al-Awsat- In an exclusive interview, Turkish President Abdullah Gul denied that his country has abandoned the Syrians, stressing that it supports the legitimate demands of its people.
Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Gul sharply criticized the policy of "repressing demands by tanks and heavy weapons", adding that "when the barrier of fear collapsed and the masses began to take to the streets and make their legitimate demands yet you begin by repressing demands by tanks and heavy weapons, the reaction to this will also be strong".
He expressed apprehensions that there were quarters preparing for civil war in Iraq and Syria but said he was confident of "the ability of the nationalist forces and the politicians in the two States to surmount and evade the crisis". He said his country was concerned and condemns "terrorist operations in Iraq whatever their sources or their causes". He stressed that his country "regards equally all the hues in Iraq and Syria so does not support a party against another, a sect against another sect, or a camp against another camp and wants all sides to enjoy accord".
The text of the interview follows:
[Asharq Al-Awsat] During your term you revived the orientation towards the east. What were the results of this policy?
[Gul] This is very important, and it is the secret of our success in Turkey by preserving our traditions and the teachings of the Islamic religion. We are also at peace with ourselves, our history, and our historical and religious values. We are also in concert with the dominating public feelings in Turkey in support of these inclinations. We are told that we have become in a situation where the State and the people embrace each other. We also had a big role in making Turkey embrace its milieu. We became a country that cares about its region. We have entrenched these tenets in our relationship with these States. The Arab States--and also the States of the region--became aware of our convictions about this matter. This is why there was also an embrace between these States and Turkey.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Does Turkey still feel what is described as "betrayal" from the Arab world?
[Gul] I do not believe so. We have lived a very long time with the Arab peoples. Perhaps there were some ideas proposed to the new generations, whether here or in the Arab world, but these were temporary ideas that have become part of the past. We must trust ourselves and trust our tenets. We lived with this [Arab] people a very long time and we coexisted as best as can be. So the new generations must feel the blessings of this situation.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What do you want from the Arab world?
[Gul] There are States in the Arab area which we want to be strong and impregnable, and we want their peoples to be prosperous and aspiring to a better future. To explain how happiness should be reached, I say that peace and stability must prevail in this region so that these peoples would enjoy stability, peace, and prosperity. The more entrenched stability is in the region, and the more solid the situation of these States, the more solid the conditions of the entire region will be. There are a lot of natural and human resources that have not been dealt with properly in the crises the region has gone through. This is why we give a lot of attention to the factors of stability and peace in the region. These two factors must prevail so that the people can enjoy their resources.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Concerning your southern neighbor Syria, some aspired f or a major role for you to the extent that they felt disappointment that you were not up to the level of their aspirations ...
[Gul] We have established normal and sincere relations with Syria over the past 10 years because we have 900 kilometers of joint borders. We consider the Syrian people to be fraternal and friendly neighbors without discriminating among any of their hues. We have been truthful in our discussions over these issues with the brothers in Syria. We are not a country and I am not a leader to impose opinions on others or dictate to others what they should do. When we talked with them, we always talked about what we did in our country; how we accomplished certain reforms and how we reached these reforms. We said that there were shortcomings we must redress and that we must work in this direction.
It was with this approach that we talked with the Syrian leadership headed by President Bashar al-Assad. We told them that you have to seek these reforms inside your house so that the Syrian people might enjoy prosperity and happiness and so that Syria should become a strong State. So you must take the initiative for these reforms from your side.
The latest events had not erupted in this region when we were talking about these issues for many years. This is why these events did not come as a surprise to me. They were very expected in the Arab world. In a 2003 speech I delivered at the Islamic Cooperation Organization in Tehran I said that we must reform our internal house and seek to solve all the internal problems we have otherwise there will be a popular explosion and there will be foreign intervention.
In a world dominated by social communication through the Internet, mobile phones, and social networking sites, you cannot hide what is going on in this country or this region. Mistakes committed here or there cannot be hidden. We would have wished President Al-Assad would lead himself these reforms and undertake a qualitative shift in the country by carrying out these reforms in a real and constructive manner. We believed that this could happen in Syria. But as you have seen, when the barrier of fear collapsed the masses started to go out on the streets and call for their legitimate demands, when you begin to repress the demands with tanks and heavy weapons, the reaction will also be strong. We support the Syrian people and we support the legitimate demands.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What is your opinion about the latest speech by President Al-Assad? Is there still hope for reform from him?
[Gul] I have read some excerpts from it and its main headlines. These statements might have had credibility six months or a year ago. We have done everything we could in this domain and we have urged the Syrian Administration to respond to the people's demand. But I think that what he is doing now is too little too late.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Is it still possible for Al-Assad to lead the reform?
[Gul] This is up to the Syrian people. The people are the ones who should decide on this matter. We are not in a position of dictating our will and opinion on the Syrian people. This is their business alone and they are the ones who decide it by themselves. We want to see all the hues of the Syrian people happy and prosperous and to see the Syrian State strong.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Has your last thread of contact with Al-Assad been ruptured?
[Gul] Yes, unfortunately yes.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What can Turkey do to help the Syrian people?
[Gul] Our approach to the affairs of the Syrian people is humanitarian. We also share with them part of our ideas.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] How do you view the situation in Iraq at present in the light of the latest developments?
[Gul] When we see terrorist operations in Iraq we feel worried. We denounce these criminal acts whatever their source and whatever their reasons. We feel that all the Iraqi hues--as in Syria--are fraternal and friendly and want them to enjoy security and stability. We look at all of them equally without supporting a party over anot her, a sect over another sect, or a camp over another. We want all of them to enjoy accord.
After the withdrawal of the American forces, there have been tensions on the political arena. These are regrettable matters. After the withdrawal of the American forces there was supposed to be a spirit of festivity and that all Iraqi sides should show cohesiveness, cooperation, and solidarity. The Iraqis should understand the importance of their unity and cohesiveness. After the withdrawal of the American and foreign forces they should have basked under this unity because we feel that all of them--Sunnis, Shiites, Arab, Kurds, Turkomen and others--must be up to the level of responsibility in building the united Iraq. The Iraqis have suffered since the Iraq-Iran War and the First Gulf War from difficulties and torment. So after all this, and after having reached this phase, they should be in a situation in which they can save their country. Otherwise they will be held responsible.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Do you fear a civil war in Iraq and Syria?
[Gul] We hope this will not happen. There are factors that push in these directions. We hope it will not happen. At the same time we hope that the Iraqi and Syrian leaders will rise to the level of the responsibility and will not allow these fears to turn into realities. It is possible that some are inciting to this from certain cells, or from terrorist gangs in Iraq, or from those who do not want Syria and Iraq to enjoy security and stability. But I trust the politicians and the nationalist forces in this region and trust their wisdom and shrewdness to avoid all these problems.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] How do you view the crisis existing with France?
[Gul] What we know about France is that it is the home of mental and cultural liberties and so on. But the suspect moves currently underway will lead to punishing any person who deviates from the official French position, even if he is a scientist or historian. This would be futile. In our country there may be ideas and principles that conflict with the State's perceptions or my own perceptions. But we deal with respect with these attitudes even if they contradict what we think. But in France this will be forbidden. The Armenians say that the Turks annihilated them in 1915 because they were Armenians. We say this is not genocide but historical facts. There are things that happened at that time when the Turkish State was fighting on seven fronts including France, England, and Russia. Russian quarters incited part of the Armenians to carry out acts that disrupt public order. They were dealt with, but certainly not through genocide. There were common pains which the Muslims and Turks suffered from and the Armenians as well. But the Turks suffered more than anyone else from the ramifications of World War I.
Many European capitals were Islamic cities. The Muslims suffered much in that period. More than 500,000 were displaced by the war. In the countries of the Balkans three million people were killed and an equal number was displaced. The same happened on the caucas front. Where are those Muslims now? We do not teach our sons or new generations hatred and negative feelings toward things that happened in the countries where the Ottoman Empire existed. We do not teach them the principles of violence, hatred, and rancour. We tell the Armenians frankly that if they want we can form a joint committee and open our entire archives then accept the results of the historic research that will be undertaken. We have opened all our dossiers and archives including the existing military archives for any Armenian or Arab or anyone else to see.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Are you going to impose penalties on France if the draft is approved?
[Gul] Naturally, there will be an effect on our relationship.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Rupturing diplomatic relations?
[Gul] Our relations in various domains will be affected by this issue.

Extensive interview from Asharq Al-Awsat, with former Arab League Secretary-General and Egyptian presidential hopeful Amr Moussa
Asharq Al-Awsat
Asharq Al-Awsat – In an extensive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, former Arab League Secretary-General and Egyptian presidential hopeful Amr Moussa spoke on a number of topics, including the political situation in Egypt, his presidential campaign, and his hopes for the future of the country.
Amr Moussa served as Egyptian Minister of Foreign Affairs between 1991 and 2001, following a career in the diplomatic service. Following this, Moussa served as Arab League Secretary-General between 2001 and 2011, leaving the post to return to Egypt following the ouster of former president Hosni Mubarak. Amr Moussa is perhaps the most prominent Egyptian presidential candidate to have thrown his hat into the ring, and opinion polls consistently show him as leading the Egyptian presidential race. The last such poll, conducted in November 2011, by the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, showed Moussa winning 39 percent of the vote.
The following is the full text of the interview:
[Asharq Al-Awsat] You were amongst the Egyptian politicians who signed the Al-Azhar charter last week. What can you tell us about this?
[Moussa] There was an important document at Al-Azhar [University] which we signed. This was signed by the Prime Minister [Kamal al-Ganzuri], the Pope [Shenouda III of Alexandria], the General Guide of the Muslim Brotherhood [Mohammed Badei], and myself. In addition to this, the party leaders also signed this document, including the leaders of the Freedom and Justice party, the Wafd party, the al-Nour party, and others.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] How does this document or agreement differ from the other agreements that have been made?
[Moussa] It is an addition [to the other agreements]. It includes a very important article, called “completing the goals of the revolution”, and its [other] major articles confirm freedom of belief, freedom of opinion, freedom of expression, freedom of scientific research, freedom of creativity in literature and the arts, and more. All of this is coming from Al-Azhar University, which speaks about development, scientific research, freedom of worship, freedom of expression and more, and so this is something that is very good, and that is why I confidently signed this agreement. Al-Azhar is regaining and recovering its leadership role, informing the Egyptians and all the Muslims around the world that these principles are righteous Islamic principles, namely freedom of belief and worship….and therefore this is something that is very beautiful.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] You mentioned freedom of creativity in literature and the arts. Is this a response to the fears that the Islamists will restrict Egypt’s literature and arts?
[Moussa] No, I do not believe this. However this might be viewed as being a “response” to stagnation. Among those who attended the Al-Azhar signing was the leader of the [Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated] Freedom and Justice party Dr. Mohamed Morsy who said something very important. He said, we have won a majority [in parliament] but we believe that every Egyptian decision in the future requires consensus of opinion, otherwise this will result in one viewpoint dominating other viewpoints, one party dominating [other] parties, without any concern being paid to [parliamentary] majority and minority.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] As we approach the one-year anniversary of the 25 January revolution in Egypt, do you believe that the revolution has achieved its objectives, particularly as some people are claiming that what has happened is nothing more than superficial change; one corrupt and autocratic regime being traded in for another?
[Moussa] No, this is an extremely narrow point of view, which perhaps intends to inflame the situation. Otherwise, how can we explain the recent Egyptian parliamentary elections, which were completely different than all other elections that have taken place in Egypt over the past decades? Doesn’t this represent an essential step on the road to democracy, and which can be considered one of the objectives of the revolution? So, this is one objective that has been fulfilled. We can also take the specification of a deadline for a new president to be elected, which is 30 June, as the fulfillment of another revolutionary objective. This means that there is a transition from the era of dictatorship and autocratic hegemony to the era of a president being elected, not appointed. This was also one of the objectives of the revolution. What about the former president and pillars of the former regime being brought to trial? Wasn’t this also one of the revolutions objectives? The priorities of the political authorities, the presence of the revolution and revolutionary political parties and coalitions, and the main principles that everybody is talking about today…all of this is completely different from the past. When the proposal was put forward for a decentralized [political] system in Egypt, starting with the election of governors and mayors, and the presence of village, municipal, and provincial councils…this shows that democracy can now be found at all levels [of Egyptian politics]. Isn’t this the fulfillment of one of the objectives of the revolution? What about the change in Egyptian society at its most basic level, the change of rule, and the manner of ruling Egypt? When you hear everybody talking about reviewing Egypt’s legal and economic system, and rebuilding the country…all of this represents the fulfillment of the objectives of the Egyptian revolution. As for power being transferred from the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces [SCAF] to an elected national authority by 1 July [2012]…this will represent the fulfillment of one of the major objectives of the revolution.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] However despite these achievements, many people in Egypt – particularly the youth who drove the 25 January revolution – are disappointed about the course of events following Mubarak’s ouster. There are some fears that 25 January, 2012, may see the people taking to the street en masse to express their anger. Is this likely?
[Moussa] This is a good question, and some people do indeed believe that 25 January 2012, may be a day of clashes, or some forces of chaos may seek to incite such clashes.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] These people are demanding that SCAF immediately hand over power to a civil government. What is your view of this issue?
[Moussa] The issue of power being transferred immediately is not acceptable; otherwise we will be a Jamahiriya [Gaddafi’s Libya] and not a jumhuriya [republic]. This is not possible, there will be a transition to an elected national authority, and I stress the term elected here, by the deadline that is already in place. As for the public discussion about the 25 January anniversary, this will be a day of celebration, a day of unity and coming together, not a day of clashes and chaos.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about those who fear bloody clashes breaking out in Egypt between 25 January and 11 February, the anniversary of the ouster of the Mubarak regime? Do you think there is any possibility of this happening?
[Moussa] Why would this happen? This is not one of the demands of the revolution. This is an anarchist demand, and there is a big difference between those calling for revolution and those calling for anarchy.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] When will candidates begin to register their candidacy for the Egyptian presidential elections?
[Moussa] This will begin on 15 April, although it may be moved forward by a week or two. Then an agreement will be made regarding a roadmap [for the presidential elections], with the final deadline for this being 30 June. This date is not far away, rather it is fast approaching. From 15 April until that day…this is when the presidential elections campaigns will take place.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about the debate that is raging regarding whether a new constitution should be drafted before the presidential elections?
[Moussa] There is a debate going on…and it is possible that we can bring an end to the issue of the [new] constitution within the next two months. There is more than enough time to draft a constitution before the presidential elections, particularly as the majority of the constitutional issues have been agreed upon. The disputes are confined to the issue of the ruling system, whether this will be a presidential or parliamentary system, and regarding the precise powers of the president and parliament. In addition to this, there are other issues such as Egypt’s identity, the representation of “worker” and “farmer” members of parliament and more. It will not be difficult to reach an agreement on these issues. The constitutional role of the military institution must also be decided. This is an institution that must be respected as one of the key institutions of the state.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] In your own opinion, would you prefer to see the president elected first, or the new constitution drawn up before the presidential elections?
[Moussa] Neither one nor the other; the [new] president must be elected and in office on 1 July, 2012, whether the constitution has been drafted or not. This is something that must not delay the presidential election; however it would be better if the constitution was in place by that date.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What are the priorities for the next president?
[Moussa] Speaking for myself, I believe that my mission is to rebuild Egypt, or rather, to lead the operation to rebuild the country, coordinating between all the national forces. In order to rebuild Egypt we would need to implement three things, namely: democracy, reform, and economic development. By democracy, I do not just mean the ballot box, but also human rights, separation of powers, and the independence of the judiciary. As for the issue of reform, the first thing that we must do is eliminate corruption, and let me tell you how. Corruption did not come out of nowhere, it was institutional. Look at the hundreds of laws that were issued over the previous years and you will find that they are full of exceptions and loopholes that lead to corruption not being penalized; this is something that came at the expense of Egypt’s poor people and can be seen in the laws regarding construction of buildings, laws of [purchasing] agricultural land, and even the laws regarding the licensing of stalls. As citizens in a third world country, we must realize that poverty is the basis of corruption, for everybody wants to take as much as they can. Therefore, one must keep in mind that Egypt’s greatest enemy is poverty, and therefore the basis of one’s program and action is to combat poverty, in every sense of the word, and so this means material poverty, but also moral poverty. As for the third point, which is economic – and social – development, we must put in place an economic program for the future. The short-term [economic] program that is being implemented today is the responsibility of Egyptian Prime Minister Kamal al-Ganzuri, because he is in charge of ruling the country until 30 June. However we must also look to the future, and make medium and long-term economic plans.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Let us talk about the trials that are taking place of former regime figures. Some people are casting doubts about these trials, particularly as many of them are still ongoing. What is your view of this issue?
[Moussa] I would say that since there are trials there must also be judgments…that is expected. The issue is not trials taking place in order for an audience to observe this; rather this is in order to achieve justice. We are waiting for these judgments, and I believe that the ruling in the trial of former president [Hosni Mubarak] will be issued sometime this month.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Returning to the 25 January revolution, how would you respond to the claims that there have been attempts to distort the image of the revolution and portray them as foreign agents, following accusations that they have received funding from foreign countries?
[Moussa] You can add the anarchists’ entry on the scene to this, for they have also distorted the image of the revolutionaries. Someone who wants to burn down a ministry, or disrupt [political] operations, and more…is certainly not a revolutionary. I have heard how many of the revolutionary youth have taken action to prevent such acts and disruption. I would therefore agree that there are indeed attempts being made to distort the image of the revolution and the revolutionaries, however achieving the objective of the revolution will vindicate the revolution and the revolutionaries.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Politics in Egypt has always been centralized, even during the Mamluk and Ottoman periods. The power has always been held in the hands of a small ruling class, whether we are talking about land barons during the Ottoman era or the army following the 1952 revolution. After all of this, will it be easy for true democracy to take root in Egypt?
[Moussa] Over the past three decades, power was not in the grip of the Egyptian armed forces, but rather the hands of a harsh security-based regime. There is a difference between the two. The regime over the past thirty years was authoritarian and dictatorial based upon a brutal security service that had besieged the people; it [power] was not in the hands of the army. This centralized regime caused a number of social phenomenon to occur in Egyptian society. Firstly, 50 percent of Egyptians are living below the poverty line. In other words, 1 out of 2 Egyptians is poor, whilst the second is most likely not rich. 30 percent of Egyptians are illiterate, or in other words, 1 out of 3 Egyptians cannot read or write. The figures also say that Egypt has an unemployment rate of between 20 and 25 percent, or that approximately one out of every 4 or 5 Egyptians is out of work. Why has all of this happened? This is due to poor governance, excessive centralization of power, and cruel dictatorship. However we have now replaced dictatorship with democracy…there can be no doubt about this, at least.
The other issue, with regards to administering the country, is that this must be managed by officials who are close to the people. Here we come to what I previously called for, namely governors and mayors must be elected by the people. Not elected and forgotten about, but rather elected and held accountable by a legislative council, whether we are talking about a village council, neighborhood council, or provincial council, in addition to parliament. I proposed this idea and published it in an article, and it was even commented on in Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper. This will result in the creation of a generation of politically aware youth. The minimum age for a parliamentary candidate [in Egypt] is 25 years old; however this is 21 for local councils. The same goes for women, and young women will have the opportunity to enter such councils. So let us open the door to restructuring political operations and tools of governance in Egypt. This is part of my own personal view of what is required from the next president.
Returning to the current situation, and with the approaching anniversary of the 25 January revolution, we cannot measure the revolutionary achievements every week or month, because there are achievements that will not be fully realized even in 20 years’ time. However there are achievements that have been made on the ground and the important thing is that we are moving forward. When the president is elected, it will be his mission to review the unjust laws, begin to fight corruption and poverty…these are the things that will achieve the objectives of the revolution in a sustained manner.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] The Egyptian people have not been used to being politically in charge, and even Gamel Abdul Nasser, in his book “Egypt’s Liberation: The Philosophy of the Revolution” said that the Egyptian people are politically passive. Do you think that the Egyptian people can engage with democracy today?
[Moussa] Of course, the Egyptian people can do this; they took action to save themselves during the era of dictatorship. The Egyptian people are like all people…why should the Egyptian people be an exception from all the other people in the world and unable to engage with democracy? The Indian people, the Vietnamese, the Malaysians, the Turks, and the Tunisians all engaged with democracy…why not the Egyptians? Such statements aim to harm the Egyptian people and convince them that they are unable to do so…but I say that the Egyptian people are capable, and you will see this in the future. We have seen the parliamentary elections take place, and the presidential elections are on the way…whilst elections will soon take place at all levels, including village, municipal, and provincial council elections. This will represent a great boost to the democratic process in Egypt.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Bearing in mind the famous proverb, those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it, let us look to Egypt’s past. In 1805, for example, al-Azhar was a major player, and one of the reasons why Muhammad Ali Pasha was chosen as the Ottoman administrator for Egypt. Today, al-Azhar is also exerting its influence in the political scene, whilst the Islamists are in the ascendency, whether we are talking about the Muslim Brotherhood or the Salafists. In your own opinion, which party is the most dominant today with regards to choosing the presidency? Who should a presidential candidate gamble on?
[Moussa] Presidential candidates must gamble on all of these forces and not preclude any of them. Many regimes, particularly the former Egyptian regime, gambled that the army, the police, its supporters, funds, and even foreign powers, would protect it. However they forgot the most important thing, namely the people. Therefore anybody who wants to stand for the [presidential] election must not rely on this political force or that political force, but rather the Egyptian people. A presidential candidate must convince the people at a grass-roots level to endorse their candidacy. I believe that the people now understand that a major imbalance was in place in Egyptian society, and this requires a number of things [in order to resolve]. This requires a strong and politically aware presidency, cooperation between the presidency and parliament, an efficient and capable government, and strong Egyptian relations with the Arab world and international community, based upon mutual trust and confidence. All of this is needed if we are to extricate ourselves from the problems we are facing today. Therefore, the next president will face a difficult presidential campaign, and a large responsible [following his election], this won’t be a picnic, but rather a harsh responsibility for whoever becomes the president.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] You are putting yourself forward as an independent presidential candidate, without any connection to the political parties and coalitions that are present in the Egyptian political arena today. How will you respond if all the major parties put forward presidential candidates to compete against you?
[Moussa] It is up to the people to decide. There are major parties and coalitions who put forward parliamentary candidates who succeeded. The Freedom and Justice party has won a parliamentary majority, whilst the al-Nour party has also won a large number of parliamentary seats, not to mention the Wafd party and the Kutla al-Masriya. Some of these parties will undoubtedly nominate presidential candidates…but I am saying “this is my [political] program and this is what I think, and I believe that I will be completely capable of resolving the problem and leading the process of reconstruction in Egypt should I be elected.” It is up to the Egyptian people to vote. Democracy means that candidates must be prepared for victory as well as defeat.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] In the forthcoming period will there be any reliance on any particular coalition? Will you try to convince any parties to back your candidacy?
[Moussa] Of course, I will talk with all parties and coalitions and indeed all people, and even with you personally to convince you to vote for me! I have already started to visit villages and small towns and provinces to speak with the people.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Are you afraid of presidential candidates trying to use religion to secure votes?
[Moussa] The Egyptian people are aware [of this]. We, as Egyptians, know that our feelings can be influenced by religion; therefore, I am not afraid of this, because I myself am one of the people whose feelings can be influenced by religion and with the principles and tolerance of religion. However we must also not forget that inside each of us there is the religious side, and the patriotic side….and this is why the country is drowning, and there must be serious political operations to address this. I want to guarantee job opportunities at home and abroad to our youth, as well as develop our own industries, particularly tourism and agriculture. This is something that we must do.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] During the parliamentary elections, despite the law and the constitution banning religion being used in politics, most members of the Islamist parties did so, using mosques during their election campaigns, for example. What is your view of this?
[Moussa] I believe that Egypt’s collective [political] awareness is far too advanced to view this situation as being an issue of worship only. The issue is one of respecting other religions. As an Egyptian Muslim, I respect the Islamic religion, and so it would not be right for me to go beyond this, and if I did go beyond this, I should return to it. However I also have another duty, namely to read and learn and work with modern science; to express my opinions; to enjoy literature and the arts. What is Egypt? Egypt is al-Azhar, the well-educated elite that has led sciences, literature, and art throughout the Arab world and the Middle East over the past years. Therefore Egypt is Taha Hussein and Abbas al-Akkad. Egypt is Umm Kalthoum and Mohammed Abdel Wahab. It is Ahmed Shawqi and Hafez Ibrahim. It is the renowned scientist Ali Moustafa Moshrafa. It is Naguib Mahfouz. This is Egypt. If we wanted it to be without writers, artists, intellectuals, and scientists…then this is not Egypt.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Despite all this, many people have expressed their fears that many of Egypt’s freedoms will take a step backwards, particularly with regards to the parliamentary majority enjoyed by the Islamists. Were these parliamentary results a source of concern for you?
[Moussa] No, I am not concerned about this at all, because this is democracy. What can you say about an Islamist parliamentary majority…when this is what the people decided…and we are still waiting for the results of the presidential elections. Some people are saying that there were a lot of irregularities in the parliamentary elections…however whatever the case, these results reflect the mood in Egypt today. As for the public’s mood regarding Egypt’s future, I think the public wants to see a balance between the different components [of the Egyptian government].
[Asharq Al-Awsat] There have been claims that the Muslim Brotherhood affiliated Freedom and Justice Party will back current Arab League Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby for the presidency. Have you given this scenario any thought?
[Moussa] No, I have not thought about this. I am in contact with everybody, and with Dr. Nabil Elaraby, and also with [Advisory Council president] Mansour Hassasn, and others. Their position is that they are outside of the scope of presidential candidacy, however even if this did occur…then I welcome it. When the name of Nabil Elaraby, or any other, is put forward, this does not bother me, indeed I welcome it.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about if SCAF decided to lend its support to a particular candidate? What if SCAF chairman Field Marshall Hussein Tantawi decided to stand for the presidency? Would you continue your candidacy?
[Moussa] I am committed to standing for the [presidential] electoral battle, God willing, until the end. I understand that the Field Marshall is not interested in standing as a candidate. We make assumptions on this…and then ask questions about these assumptions, and create a confused and tense position. The man [Tantawi] did not say that he will stand for election, so why are we even discussing this. Let me also say that I welcome all candidates, for it is the [Egyptian] people that will decide, and which will seek to uncover the shape of every candidate. Everyone must get involved and take part in campaign tours and speak with the people and receive the insults [from political opponents], with the people supporting some views, and being against others…so it is not easy. It is no longer a case of this candidate is being supported by this figure, therefore it’s over…no…the candidates will have to go to the villages and talk to the Egyptian people, and they will say yes or no, whether you are good enough or not.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] You have stressed that you intend to take part in the presidential electoral battle “until the end”, but what can you tell us about your policies? Do you see yourself as belonging to the left-wing, the right-wing, or the moderate?
[Moussa] My basis is Egyptian nationalism. This may require me to take a left-wing position, or a right-wing position, or a moderate position [depending on the circumstances]. The main thing is to take a nationalist position…that is in the interests of Egypt and the Egyptian people. As I am part of the Arab world, I must also respect the Arab and African dimensions. I believe that Egyptian vitality is a trinity…namely Arabic, African, and Mediterranean.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] Some of your political opponents have made references to the fact that you were a minister under the former regime, saying this makes you unsuitable to preside over the new Egypt. What is your opinion of this?
[Moussa] Yes, I was a minister under the former regime. Indeed, I was not just any minister in the former regime, I was the foreign minister. I was the Egyptian Foreign Minister between 1991 and 2001, and I carried out my duties and responsibilities according to my conscience. It makes me happy to recall the overwhelming support and respect that Egyptian diplomacy enjoys from the Egyptian people, Arab world, and international community. This is an issue that I do not fear, and my answer is that this is something that is not said by the revolutionaries, but by [opposing] political campaigns that want to take advantage of the people. If former Egyptian prime minister Essam Sharaf was a minister under Hosni Mubarak and a member of the National Democratic Party …and was chosen and nominated as Prime Minister by Tahrir Square [following the ouster of Mubarak], so what if I was [also] a minister? This is double standards and cheap talk.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about the claims that you are receiving financial backing from Saudi Arabia? There have been reports that you have received as much as 50 million Egyptian pounds for your presidential campaign…is this true?
[Moussa] This is completely untrue. Saudi Arabia is a friend and sister state [to Egypt], and it is waiting to see what will happen in Egypt. Saudi Arabia has taken the same line with regards to all the candidates and political trends in Egypt. As for the issue that Saudi Arabia sent me money, I completely deny this. This did not happen, and will never happen. I call on those who make such claims and write such things to comply with God Almighty, because this is not true.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] The future of Egypt’s relations with Israel is an issue that weighs large in the minds of Egypt’s citizens. What is your view on this issue?
[Moussa] I visited many villages in Upper Egypt and elsewhere, and whilst talking about various domestic issues such as services to citizens, education, and more, no meeting would end without the question of Palestine being raised. Since the beginning of the 25 January revolution, when I was Secretary-General of the Arab League, the youths - when speaking to me – would always include questions about Palestine, the state of Palestine, Gaza, and Hamas. Let me tell you that the Middle East region needs a new system. The Arab world and the Middle East are in the process of change, and so the previous way of doings things is no longer good enough. Firstly, we must put forward a new political, economic, and security system in the region. Secondly, and with regards to Egypt, the Arab – Israeli conflict, and the Palestinian Cause, Egypt must and will continue to be part of the Arab Initiative [for peace]. Egypt’s policy on the Arab – Israeli conflict, and its resolution, must be based on the Arab Initiative. As for Egyptian – Israeli relations, the Egyptian – Israeli peace treaty is in place, and I do not think there are any circumstances that will lead to its cancellation. I do not think this will happen, and I do not think it would be wise for this treaty to be cancelled. The treaty will continue so long as each party respects it…as for the security situation in the Sinai Peninsula and the presence of Egyptian forces there, I believe that the security articles of the treaty should be reviewed in this regard. This is something that can be discussed within a political framework. As for the Palestinian Cause, Egypt must not turn its back on this, for this is part of Egypt’s national security. As Egyptians, we are the largest neighbor to Palestine and Israel, and so we must work to control the situation in this region. This is via three points: solving the Arab – Israeli conflict in a just and respectable manner, solving the Palestinian Cause through the establishment of a genuine Palestinian state, and by establishment an atmosphere where everybody feels safe, most prominently through nuclear non-proliferation
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about the issue of Egypt’s sale of natural gas to Israel? Will this deal remain unchanged?
[Moussa] There are two issues that must be decided. Firstly, whether we will sell natural gas to Israel or not, and secondly, how such sales will take place. There is a lot of corruption in the gas deals that occurred in the past. This corruption must be immediately addressed. As for the issue of whether we will continue such sales, the [Egyptian] political apparatus must look into this and consider how it will manage Egypt’s gas and oil policies, environmental policies, etc.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] When you were Arab League Secretary-General, you played a major role in internationalizing the situation in Libya during the Libyan revolution; however following your departure it seems that the Arab League has suffered one setback after another, particularly with regards to the situation in Syria. What is your view of this?
[Moussa] I believe in taking the issue of change in the Arab world very seriously. The Arab’s League’s operations in this regard should be in line with the course of history. Therefore I completely reject the issue of practicing violence against citizens and suppressing revolutions and attempts to stop the wheel of change.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] What about the Syrian regime continuing to kill Syrian citizens at this time? It seems that the Arab League is not dealing with the Syrian revolution in the same manner as the Libyan revolution. Why is that?
[Moussa] Libya was in between two countries where change had taken place, namely Tunisia and Egypt; therefore it was hard to avoid such change. Syria is in a region that does not respond to revolutions. It is also an extremely sensitive region…being next to Israel, as well as Arab states that fear certain political developments. Syria is next to Iraq, Turkey, and others. However this by no means justifies the use of violence against citizens, nor does it justify the death of 5,000 citizens in clashes with the government. I am not in the picture regarding what precisely the Arab League is doing [with regards to Syria], but I believe that the Arab League delegation of monitors must be considered a first step, and not the end of the road. As I said, the situation in Syria is different to Libya. There are a number of complexities surrounding the Syrian situation; however this does not justify the bloodshed that is being seen in the Syrian streets. I believe that the Arab League should take a clear position regarding change [in Syria], and that violence against the [Syrian] citizens must stop, otherwise it is up to the relevant international security authorities to take action.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] If you were the Arab League Secretary-General today, how would you resolve this crisis?
[Moussa] Firstly, there must be a halt to the violence against the citizens.
[Asharq Al-Awsat] However how would you achieve this?
[Moussa] The Arab League observers must submit daily reports about what is happening. How can Syrian citizens be fired upon when they are in Syria? Moreover Arab diplomacy must become more active, and the Arab States must act together as a group, not individuals, along with the Arab League, to communicate with the international community [about the situation in Syria]. All countries are concerned about what is happening in Syria, due to the sensitive regional position it occupies. The Syrian crisis is already internationalized, but this did not take. Egypt must also play as prominent a role as Turkey and Iran in confronting and resolving the situation in Syria.

Will the Salafis change?

By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid/Asharq Alawsat
It is not surprising that the Muslim Brotherhood won around 45 percent of vote in the Egyptian parliamentary elections. In fact, we expected them to achieve a landslide victory, based on their reported popularity. The performance of the Salafis was the real surprise. With no experience, no popularity and no political charisma; they won more than quarter of the votes. They won despite being subjected to criticism and ridicule from all sides, including the Muslim Brotherhood. Various political powers seemed to be in unison against the Salafis. The media accused them of receiving funding from abroad, whilst they were slammed as “malicious” and “scheming.” Meanwhile, the Muslim Brotherhood was praised and courted by the same groups that had accused them in the past of backwardness, and being dependent on foreign powers.
Today, the Salafis have around 25 percent of the seats in Egypt’s first free parliament, where no party has won a decisive majority. It is no longer possible to accuse those representing a quarter of the Egyptian people of being agents of foreign powers. They can no longer be ridiculed as the group that deems it impermissible for women to “touch cucumbers or bananas”, and yet is happy to deal with Israel! The results of Egypt’s parliamentary elections indicate that Egyptians, and also Arabs, must accept a new reality, namely that the Salafis have seized a large share of the political map.
However, although conservative Salafism has deep roots in our history, the Salafis have little experience in politics. On the contrary to the 80-year-old Muslim Brotherhood, the Salafis are still relative beginners. The Arabs and the wider world have never known a Salafi model of rule to judge upon, other than the Saudi regime. That’s why Riyadh is usually accused of being the worldwide Salafi mentor, although Saudi Arabia is often the first to be adversely affected and the last to gain from the group, as was the case when the Kingdom was accused of having ties to al-Qaeda. We know nothing of the Salafis succeeding as an independent political group, except in Kuwait.
Despite competing with them, it seems that the Muslim Brotherhood will in fact benefit most from the emergence of Salafis. The Egyptians, as well as the West, are now obliged to choose one of two religious parties: the elegant Muslim Brotherhood or the “backward”, bearded Salafis. This is why foreign ministries across the Western world rushed to express their relief at the Brotherhood’s victory, as well as praising their civilized stances; whilst winking in reference to the “savage” Salafis. I would not rule out that the Muslim Brothers might have played a part in such anti-Salafi propaganda, as it undoubtedly serves their interests.
Nevertheless, the Muslim Brotherhood shouldn’t celebrate being victorious in the first elections; as the battle is still in its early stages. Salafism - which is basically a social movement in all its aspects - is capable of change, and thus it may cause a major political problem in the future if it is not contained. From an Islamic point of view, the Salafis stand to the right of the Muslim Brotherhood, in other words they are able to outbid them religiously. There is no doubt that the more religious members of the electorate will definitely vote for the Salafis. However, the young Salafis who were in charge of the recent election campaign are politically enlightened. Whoever listened to their speeches would realize that they are changing, and becoming more like the Brotherhood in their political discourse. Here we cannot help but admire the potentials of their rising star Nader Bakkar.
What is really concerning about the Salafis is not their strict social program, but the possibility of their political change. This reminds us of the Jihadist movements in Afghanistan, where the Salafis merged with the Brotherhood in Afghan camps during the 1980s and 1990s and created a new creature; namely “al-Qaeda”. The Salafis became popular among the extremists because of their conservative and provocative views. For example, one prominent Salafi once said that a woman’s face is like her genitals - in reference to the fact that it should be covered. In the future, the Salafis will become more radical and demanding in the political sphere. They will make demands that the ruler cannot implement, and then call for his exit as a religious duty.
The Salafis in the Gulf used to be more traditional. They believed in separating religion from politics; in other words, they applied the theory of mandatory obedience to the ruler, which is not applicable any more. In the majority of their political discourse, the Salafis have now become much closer to the Muslim Brotherhood, but wearing a Gulf thobe. However, because of their limited experience, they are less flexible than the Brotherhood.
I fear that the less politically aware Salafis might push their movement towards increasingly hard-line positions, in competition with the Muslim Brotherhood. In turn, this will make Salafi politics more radical, which we will see in the Egyptian scene over the next four years. Meanwhile, this will all take place under difficult conditions because of the fragility of the new Egyptian regime, and the willingness of all parties that lost out in the elections to exacerbate the scene, like the nationalist parties and the military council.