LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
February 22/2012


Bible Quotation for today/Jesus Goes to the Temple

Luke 19/45-48: "Then Jesus went into the Temple and began to drive out the merchants, saying to them, It is written in the Scriptures that God said, My Temple will be a house of prayer. But you have turned it into a hideout for thieves! Every day Jesus taught in the Temple. The chief priests, the teachers of the Law, and the leaders of the people wanted to kill him, but they could not find a way to do it, because all the people kept listening to him, not wanting to miss a single word.

Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
It may be best to talk to Iran before launching a strike/By Akiva Eldar /Haaretz/
February 21/12
From Syria to Morocco…lessons to consider/By Osman Mirghani/
February 21/12
National waste of time/Naharnet/February 21/12 
Serious and respectable neutrality/Hazem Saghiyeh/February 21/12
The Lebanonization of the Syrian opposition/By: Hanin Ghaddar/
February 21/12

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for February 21/12
Obama to try and talk Netanyahu out of Iran strike after his advisers failed
Israel to U.S.: Disagreement over attack on nuclear sites serves Iranian interests
Israel must listen to U.S. warnings against Iran attack
White House: Netanyahu, Obama to meet in Washington on March 5
Americans consider Iran to be U.S.'s greatest enemy, poll shows
Israel could strike Iran's nuclear facilities, but it won't be easy
Iranian warships dock at Syrian port after crossing Suez Canal
Report: U.S. officials say Israel would need at least 100 planes to strike Iran
Iran threatens to cut oil to more EU states
McCain Calls for Military Aid to Syria Opposition
Red Cross negotiates Syria humanitarian ceasefire with Assad regime
Syrians sense war in Damascus while Assad tries to score points
A week after New Delhi attacks, India tries to play down Iran link
STL Amends Some its Rules of Procedure and Evidence
Bellemare thanks Lebanese for support before STL resignation
Phalange: Solution to Govt. Crisis Must Respect President, Premier
Mufti Qabbani Meets Hizbullah Delegation: Lebanon Must Be Fortified against Regional Unrest
Audit Bureau Refers Red Diesel Report to General Prosecution
Moussawi Slams Syria ‘Humanitarian Corridors,’ Calls for Dialogue in Lebanon
Grand Mufti meets with Hezbollah delegation
Jumblatt calls Syria’s planned referendum “heresy”
Moussawi: Lebanon’s interest is not in inciting strife in Syria
Chamoun: We want a cabinet not waiting for ‘Syrian orders’

No life or death sentence reductions under new law: Ghanem
Radar speed traps fail to curb fatalities: NGOs
Lebanon to remain on copyright watch list

Obama to try and talk Netanyahu out of Iran strike after his advisers failed
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 20, 2012/After a high-ranking US delegation headed by White House National Security Adviser Tom Donilon failed in three days of tough talks (Feb.18-20) to dissuade Israeli leaders to back off plans for a military strike against Iran’s nuclear sites, the White House invited Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu for talks with President Barak Obama on March 5. He will try and break the stalemate which ended his advisers’ talks with Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz.
The defense minister, addressing his Independence Party later Monday praised Israel’s security relations with the US as very good and very important for a strong Israel. The dialogue between the two governments, he said, is marked by openness, mutual respect, understanding and attentiveness. At the same time, Barak hinted at discord by adding, “Both are sovereign nations which are ultimately responsible for their decisions in relation to themselves and their future.”
debkafile reported earlier Monday, Feb. 20:
White House National Security Adviser Tom Donilon faced an acrimonious Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in two hours of stormy conversation in Jerusalem Sunday, Feb. 19, according to updates reaching senior US sources in Washington. The main bones of contention were Iran’s continuing enrichment of uranium and its ongoing relocation of production to underground sites.
Israeli officials declined to give out any information on the conversation. Some even refused to confirm it took place.
According to debkafile’s sources, Netanyahu accused the Obama administration of drawing Iran into resuming nuclear negotiations with world powers by an assurance that Tehran would be allowed to continue enriching uranium up to 5 percent in any quantity, provided it promised not to build an Iranian nuclear weapon. The prime minister charged that this permit contravened US administration guarantees to Israel on the nuclear issue and, moreover left Tehran free to upgrade its current 20 percent enrichment level to 90 percent weapons grade. This Israel cannot tolerate, said Netanyahu, so leaving its military option on the ready.
He warned the US National Security Adviser that no evidence whatsoever confirms Washington’s claim that Tehran intends suspending enrichment and other nuclear advances when negotiations begin. Quite the contrary: Even before the date was set, Iran started working at top speed to build up its bargaining chips by laying down major advances in its nuclear program as undisputed facts.
Tehran now claims to have progressed to self-reliance in the production of 20 percent-enriched uranium, the basis for the weapons grade fuel, in unlimited quantity. Once the talks are underway, Netanyahu maintained, there would be no stopping the Iranians without stalling the negotiating process. Going by past experience, Tehran would use dialogue as an extra fulcrum for its impetus toward weapon production without interruption.
Monday, Donilon and his delegation meet Defense Minister Ehud Barak.
The mission of this high-powered US delegation in Israel takes place to the accompanied of a resumed US media campaign for discouraging Israeli military action against Iran’s nuclear installations.
Sunday, Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint US Chiefs of Staff, offered this opinion to CNN: “Israel has the capability to strike Iran and delay the Iranians probably for a couple of years. But some of the targets are probably beyond their reach.”
Monday’s New York Times carried an assessment by “American defense officials and military analysts close to the Pentagon” under the caption, “Iran Raid Seen as a Huge Task for Israel Jets.” debkafile’s military sources report the main argument, dredged up from the past and long refuted, is that Israeli Air Force bombers cannot cover the distance to Iran without in-flight refueling.
That array of “analysts” apparently missed the CNN interview and therefore contradicted the assessment of America’s own top general that “Israel has the capability to strike Iran…”
Reality has meanwhile moved on. Four events in the last 24 hours no doubt figured large in the US delegation’s talks with Israeli leaders:
1. Monday, the IAEA sent to Tehran its second team of monitors this month for another attempt to gain access to nuclear facilities hitherto barred by the Iranians. The inspectors will also demand permission to interview scientists which according to a list drawn up at the agency’s Vienna headquarters hold key positions in their nuclear program.
2. The Russian Chief of Chaff Gen. Nikolai Makarov estimated that the attack on Iran would be “coordinated” by several governments and “a decision would be made by the summer.”
3. Moscow recalled Russian aircraft carrier Admiral Kutznetsov from the Syrian port of Tartus to its home base at Severomorsk on the Kola Peninsula.
4. Turkey is beinding over backward to assure Iran that data collected by the US missile shield radar stationed at its Kurecik air base will not shared with Israel. It is especially anxious not to annoy Tehran after foreign minister Ali Akbar Salehi announced that the resumed nuclear talks with the five Permanent Security Council members and German (P5+1) would be held in Istanbul.
However, the Iranians certainly know exactly what is going on after watching the recent joint US-Israeli radar test which demonstrated that Israel is fully integrated in the missile shield radar network and that the US radar station in the Israeli Negev interfaces with its station in Turkey and Israel’s Arrow missile Green Pine radar.
When he visited Ankara last week, NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen assured his Turkish hosts that “Intelligence data collected within the missile defense system will not be shared with third countries. It will be shared with the allies within our alliance.”
His statement was quite accurate – except for the fact that the radar stations collecting the intelligence data are not controlled by NATO but by US military teams, both of which, including the Turkish-based radar, are integrated and coordinated with Israeli radar and missile interceptors.

It may be best to talk to Iran before launching a strike
By Akiva Eldar /Haaretz
For dialogue with Tehran to succeed, the insolent tone and threatening language of the Israeli government spokespeople and their neoconservative friends in the United States must be toned down.
The convoy of senior American officials who are making weekly pilgrimages to Jerusalem, in an attempt to stop the Israel Air Force from attacking Iran, is no doubt chalking up plenty of flight hours for the U.S. Air Force. But the secretary of defense, the head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the national security adviser and even President Barack Obama himself will not succeed in convincing Israel’s leadership that sanctions alone will suffice to stop the Iranian nuclear project.
Who knows better than Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that there are principles in whose name nations are prepared to ignore the whole world, and for which nations will even pay with their best interests? The prime minister assumes, and justifiably so, that the chance that Tehran will submit to sanctions without conditions is about the same as the chance that economic pressure will convince the Likud central committee to divide Jerusalem. And that’s about the same as an Iranian admission that Israel is allowed to have an atomic bomb ‏(as per foreign sources‏) along with Pakistan and India ‏(and that the large Islamic republic is a pariah and/or crazy‏).
But fresh sanctions are certainly having an effect on the Iranian leadership − and how! Its support for its protege, Syrian President Bashar Assad, who is mowing down the Sunnis in his country, has augmented Shiite Iran’s isolation and undermined its regional standing. These pressures are the reason behind the statement by Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi that his country is prepared to renew talks with the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council as well as Germany. Even our friend Dennis Ross, who recently left the team of senior advisers to President Obama and has returned to the Jerusalem-based Jewish People Policy Planning Institute, stated in recent days that the time is ripe for diplomatic initiatives in the Iranian arena.
The question is not whether to talk to the Iranians before shooting at them: The question is what to talk about, who does the talking, and how should it be done. For example, what would we do if Tehran announces that it is prepared to put an end to its nuclear plans and to open up its facilities for all to see, on condition that Israel signs the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and opens its facilities to inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency? If Iran were to forgo its nuclear program and all the Arab states were to follow suit, the international community would ask, rightfully, why does Israel need a bomb? Whom does it have to deter? Either no country can have weapons of mass destruction, or all of them can. Sooner or later, Israel will have to agree to regional demilitarization.
In an article in The New York Times earlier this month, former American diplomats William Luers and Thomas Pickering recommended to Obama that he open diplomatic channels with Tehran, in the way that former President Nixon breached the diplomatic embargo on China. They proposed that Obama appoint a special envoy who enjoys the trust of the Iranians, to hold secret talks in an effort to prevent a conflagration. The president should equip his emissary with guarantees that military action would not be taken, and that public pressure on Iran would be lessened during any such contacts.
For the dialogue with Tehran to succeed, the insolent tone and threatening language of the Israeli government spokespeople and their neoconservative friends in the United States must be toned down.
The word “respect” appears in every speech by the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad. In his speech a week ago to mark the anniversary of his country’s revolution, he stated that the door was open to negotiations “in a framework of justice and respect.”
Doron Pely, who has spent many years researching the mechanism of the Islamic sulha ‏(a means for resolving disputes‏), has drawn my attention to the decisive importance of the concept of respect in Islamic culture. He says that particularly in terms of the ancient Persian nation, respect is the main component in resolving disputes, particularly those with the West, and above all with Israel.
The sanctions, like the assassination of Iranian scientists, and like military activities in Iranian skies, can defer the development of a bomb for some years but they will not wipe it out. The best scientists have not been able to invent a weapon against national-religious respect. It is possible that ultimately there will be no choice but to shoot. But when missiles fall on us, we must know that we asked our friends to do their best to use all other options against the Iranians. Including speaking to them with respect and wisdom.

Israel must listen to U.S. warnings against Iran attack
Haaretz Editorial/Haaretz
Does Iran truly intend to use nuclear technology for military purposes, or do its leaders recognize that the international response to such a development could jeopardize its very survival? Fear of Iran’s nuclear program is pushing Israel into a dangerous corner. The state could find itself in a conflict of interest, or even on a collision course with the American administration just when it needs U.S. support more than ever before. It’s enough to hear the warning of the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, that a strike on Iran could be harmful to Israel, and to see the stepped-up pace of visits here by senior U.S. officials to realize just how anxious Washington is about the prospect of Jerusalem deciding to bomb Iran. The United States in particular, or the West in general, cannot be accused of ignoring the Iranian threat. The burden of sanctions imposed on Iran, together with Washington’s frequent declarations that the military option is still on the table, demonstrate the administration’s concern over Tehran’s nuclear program. The big question for the United States is not only about the effect of an Israeli attack against Iran on American interests in the region, but also about the efficacy of such a strike and concern about its potentially disastrous implications for Israel. Israel and the United States are in agreement on both the dimension of the threat and the understanding that Iran has not yet decided to obtain nuclear weapons. Not enough attention has been paid to the big question − why that decision has not been made − and there is no consensus on the answer.
Does Iran truly intend to use nuclear technology for military purposes, or do its leaders recognize that the international response to such a development could jeopardize its very survival?
Dempsey believes, correctly, that Iran is a “rational actor” that considers the political implications of its actions. He concludes from this that the sanctions must be given a chance before trapping the region and the world in a war the final outcome of which is unknowable. One can disagree with the American assessment that the sanctions are already having an effect, and one can find data that prove the opposite. But the fact that even in Israel there is disagreement on the issue indicates that there’s a chance the sanctions could prove effective. Israel, which succeeded in enlisting the Western countries to take action against Iran, must listen to the warnings coming out of Washington and refrain, for now, from unilateral measures.

Israel to U.S.: Disagreement over attack on nuclear sites serves Iranian interests
By Barak Ravid/Haaretz /Netanyahu, Barak, senior officials make their displeasure known to national security adviser during visit to Israel. Israel has protested to the United States over recent comments by senior American officials critical of any Israeli attack on Iran, saying this criticism "served Iran's interests." Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and other senior officials made their displeasure known to Tom Donilon, U.S. national security adviser who has been in Israel this week. A senior Israeli official said Netanyahu and Barak told Donilon of their dissatisfaction with the interview given by Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, to CNN on Sunday. Dempsey said "I don't think a wise thing at this moment is for Israel to launch a military attack on Iran," and a strike "would be destabilizing" and "not prudent." Dempsey said the United States has so far not been able to persuade Israel not to attack Iran. "I wouldn't suggest that we've persuaded them that our view is the correct view," he said. The Israeli officials also objected to a number of briefings senior American officials gave American correspondents, who wrote in recent weeks about a possible Israeli attack in Iran. The story that angered Netanyahu most was an NBC broadcast two weeks ago saying Israel would attack Iran's nuclear facilities with Jericho missiles, commando forces and F-151 jets.
"We made it clear to Donilon that all those statements and briefings only served the Iranians," a senior Israeli official said. "The Iranians see there's controversy between the United States and Israel, and that the Americans object to a military act. That reduces the pressure on them." Donilon also met a team of Israeli experts from the ministries and intelligence agencies, headed by National Security Adviser Yaakov Amidror, who coordinates the Iranian portfolio. He also met Mossad chief Tamir Pardo, Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz and Military Intelligence head Aviv Kochavi. All the officials told Donilon that the pressure and sanctions on Iran must be increased, especially to avoid having to use military force. "We made it clear that if we don't increase the pressure on the Iranians now, we might be in a situation in which the question how Iran obtained nuclear weapons would become an issue for commentators and historians," the official said. The talks between Israel and the United States on the Iranian nuclear issue will continue on Thursday, when U.S. National Director of Intelligence James Clapper comes to Israel for talks with intelligence and defense establishment heads. The White House said on Monday that Donilon invited Netanyahu to a meeting with President Barack Obama on March 5.

Report: U.S. officials say Israel would need at least 100 planes to strike Iran
By Haaretz /New York Times quotes U.S. defense and military officials as saying that should Israel choose to attack Iran, it would be a highly complex operation. Israel will need to use at least 100 planes and fly more than 1,000 miles above unfriendly airspace should it decide to attack Iran, the New York Times reported on Monday, citing the assessment of U.S. defense officials close to the Pentagon.
According to the report, American military analysts and defense officials believe that an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities would be a highly complex operation, and say that it would be very different from Israel's "surgical" strike on Iraq's Osirak reactor in 1981 and would also differ from the strike that Israel is believed to have carried out in Syria in 2007.
"All the pundits who talk about ‘Oh, yeah, bomb Iran,’ it ain’t going to be that easy,” the report quoted Lt. Gen. David A. Deptula, who retired last year as the Air Force’s top intelligence official.
Andrew R. Hoehn, a former Pentagon official, was also quoted as saying, "I don’t think you’ll find anyone who’ll say, ‘Here’s how it’s going to be done — handful of planes, over an evening, in and out.'"
Meanwhile, the report also cited comments by former CIA director Michael Hayden, who said that Israel is not capable of carrying out airstrikes that would seriously set back Iran's nuclear program, partly due to the distance the aircraft would have to travel. According to the report, U.S. military analysts believe that Israel will have a serious problem reaching Iran's four major nuclear sites – the urnainum enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordo, the heavy water reactor near Arak, and the uranium conversion plant near Isfahan. Israel has three possible routes to those facilities – north over Turkey, south over Saudi Arabia, or a central route across Jordan and Iraq. U.S. defense analysts believe that the route over Iraq would be preferable, since Iraq effectively has no air defenses and the U.S. is no longer defending Iraq's airspace. According to officials, should Jordan allow Israel to fly over its territory, the next issue for Israel is that the range of its fighter jets falls short of the 2,000-mile round trip.
For this reason, officials say, Israel would need to use airborne refueling planes, called tankers, and then those tankers would need to be protected by more fighter planes, which significantly increases the number of planes needed for the operation. Another problem U.S. officials see is penetrating Iran's Natanz facility, which is believed to be buried under 30 feet of concrete, and the Fordo facility, which is built inside a mountain. Israel has American-made GBU-28 5,000-pound "bunker buster" bombs that could damage such targets, but it is not known how far down they could go, the report said

The vision of a new Arab president
By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Alawsat
Moncef Marzouki, the new President of Tunisia and an Arab intellectual who came to power without ever really expecting this to happen, wrote a few days ago about good governance, roughly eight weeks after assuming the presidency. He addressed the problem of democracy in the Arab world, concluding that the theory of good governance can never be consecrated without a commensurately mature society. This brings us back to the never-ending argument over whether a culture of democracy should be the starting point, or whether a democratic ruler alone is the horse to lead the nation towards democracy.
Marzouki believes that one of the main problems for Arabs when it comes to democracy is that it is an imported system, since the Arabs failed throughout their history to invent or apply a similar system. Accordingly, we must attempt to “resettle” Western democracy and plant it in the Arab soil. Marzouki argues: “The problem is that for most Arabs, the resettlement of democracy simply means applying a ready-made recipe comprising of its four main ingredients; individual freedom, public freedoms, an independent judiciary and free elections. Through this mechanism some people expect to have a stable political system that ensures good governance”.
Now Marzouki, with his two contradictory characters - the intellectual critic and president - can view his world from the top. Is it possible that the ballot box can reflect the peoples’ desires? Is the state, as he advocates it, capable of achieving social justice? Is the freedom of expression in mass media and parliament capable of meeting the demands of the majority?
It is remarkable that only two months after becoming the President of Tunisia, Marzouki seems to be despairing. He believes that the elected state does not have all the tools of power to foster democracy, for it is not in control of the media, the market, the army or the intelligence services. Accordingly, democracy through its three branches –legislative, judicial and executive – is still not enough. Of course, we are all aware that if an elected state controls the media and the economy, it will likely transform into a tyrannical regime. The problem lies in public awareness and its ability to manage the delicate balance between the forces of society. Enlightenment is both the problem and the solution. An effective media apparatus and a free economy both need a conscious society to flourish. The tools of freedom are less successful in culturally undeveloped societies – such as the Arab communities – and they themselves can turn into despotic authorities that in fact curb civil liberties. Without granting immunity to freedom, democracy becomes meaningless and would most likely turn into a dictatorship of the ignorant majority.
This is Egypt’s current problem and Tunisia’s to a lesser extent. Lawmakers and representatives of the state are calling for more restrictions. The media, on the other hand, supposedly the voice of freedom, is pursuing those who violate already existing restrictions. Due to these difficult early beginnings, an intellectual in a “newly democratic” Arab community may reach a moment where he in fact laments the former tyrannical regime. This is a conclusion reached by Marzouki himself, who is one of the most prominent Arab advocates of democracy. According to Marzouki, “what is even worse is that such a debate will remind people that they only protested against tyranny when they lost hope in its ability to achieve their aspirations for development and social justice. They might protest again tomorrow against democracy for the same reason.” The solution is largely cultural; elections alone will not suffice. Yet it seems that some intellectuals, not only the masses, are ignorant of the meaning of democracy, which means that the battle ahead of us is a long one.

From Syria to Morocco…lessons to consider

By Osman Mirghani/Asharq Alawsat
Despite the vast distance between them and the different circumstances involved, there is a lot that calls for comparison between the experiences of Morocco and Syria, when it comes to dealing with demands for change and the implications of the Arab Spring. Certain events coincided in both countries and led to varying results in terms of lessons, morals and highly significant consequences. Early last year, when the Arab Spring was still in its prime, Moroccan King Mohammed VI and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad both addressed their people’s popular demands for reform and change. The two speeches were worlds apart in terms of form and content, and ended up being worlds apart in terms of the final results. The King of Morocco interpreted the developments well and understood the message coming from the protest movements that shook the entire region. Hence, he opted to issue bold decisions and effect major changes to the internal reform process, which had been initiated during his late father's tenure and continued during his own. Thus, his first speech after the outbreak of events - and precisely in March 2011 - was dedicated to announcing a constitutional revision aiming to advance the reform and democracy process, widen of the scope of freedoms, and strengthen the mechanisms to protect human rights.
In contrast, the first speech given by Syria's President in parliament on March 29th 2011, following the eruption of the Syrian revolution, was ambiguous and tense. During his address, al-Assad mocked the Arab Spring revolutions and dismissed them as a new fad. He even deemed what was happening in Syria to be a conspiracy and form of sedition, calling on his citizens to nip it in the bud; this being a "national, moral and religious duty" as he put it. At that time, the gulf separating the perspectives of these two young leaders, who rose to power at practically the same time, seemed vast, especially when it came to their handling of popular demands and aspirations. This gulf has been further exacerbated by the ongoing developments in both countries from the beginning of last year until this day.
As fate would have it, both leaders were destined to address their own people once again three months after their first speeches. And for the second time, the difference between the two was immense and the gulf wide. On June 17th 2011, King Mohammed VI addressed the Moroccans and announced a series of constitutional amendments introduced by an entrusted committee and described at the time as historic. He called upon his people to vote on those amendments in a referendum to be held a few weeks later, in preparation for parliamentary elections.
Three days after the Moroccan monarch's address, Bashar al-Assad spoke to the Syrians from the University of Damascus. Once again, his speech was a mixture of threats and empty promises. Words about national dialogue and pledged constitutional amendments were mingled with threats towards the protesters demanding reform and change. They were described as saboteurs involved in a conspiracy to destabilize the country. The speech included promises, but it did not offer a clear road map for the implementation of the pledged reforms which the Syrians have been hearing about for many years, ever since Bashar al-Assad succeeded his father as president. Over the past decade, the Syrians haven't seen any tangible progress on the ground. Contrary to that, al-Assad's talk about dialogue and reform soon vanished in the midst of other sections of his speech, which underscored the regime's refusal to understand the street's message and its intention to confront the popular uprising and repress it through military force and security oppression.
It was obvious that while the Syrian regime was focusing on the security solution as a chief element in resolving the crisis, Morocco was set on continuing along the road of reform and translating promises into action. A referendum was conducted on the constitutional amendments and parliamentary elections were held. This was tantamount to a revolution in the Moroccan ballot box. Abdelilah Benkirane, Secretary General of the Justice and Development Party, was placed at the head of a coalition government incorporating parties from both ends of the political spectrum as well as those in the center. This government reflects the political pluralism and diversity across the country. Through a process of gradual reform, Morocco saved a lot of time and overcame the agony we are now witnessing in many other countries. Furthermore, Morocco has been much faster than the Arab Spring countries in terms of implementing constitutional amendments and holding parliamentary elections. For example, Egypt and Tunisia are still experiencing the throes of their revolutions and have a long way to go before drafting new constitutions and holding elections in accordance with them. It is true that Tunisia held its parliamentary elections last October, before Morocco, but it is still making the preparations that will lead to the drafting of a new constitution, thereby paving the way for new elections and another constitutional stage. As for Egypt, it has gone through a great deal of pain ever since the outbreak of its revolution; it is still waiting for presidential elections and the constitutional battle is expected to be far from easy or smooth.
If we go further in our comparison, we would find that Yemen has been more unfortunate because its revolution drowned in military confrontations and political bartering. It eventually ended in a vague formula where people do not know whether the regime has been actually toppled, or whether the president is on vacation after which he will return to the political scene as leader of his party and director of the country's affairs.
Libya, on the other hand, has given us a glaring example of the sheer indifference that authoritarian regimes feel toward their people. Gaddafi immersed his country in pools of blood and confrontations, which eventually led to foreign intervention. Hence, Libya shall need a long time to recover and rebuild what the war has destroyed and the rule of Colonel Gaddafi has left behind. The horrific part is that the Libyan experience, in terms of many aspects, seems to be the closest to what is happening in Syria, especially with the regime's persistence in carrying out more killings and acts of torture, and its insistence upon trying to suppress the popular uprising regardless of the price and results.
The Moroccan experience may have been unjustly assessed because it did not receive the attention it deserves. This is because the bloody events of other revolutions and uprisings dominated the political scene and news headlines. However, Morocco's experience provides an important lesson, namely that reform satisfying people's demands and aspirations is possible. However, such reforms should be enacted before the bloodbaths and atrocities of repression, which ultimately close the windows of dialogue and destroy the chances of a peaceful transition. The problem with some leaders is that they do not like to listen, and if they ever do, they do not understand the message of their people.

STL Amends Some its Rules of Procedure and Evidence
by Naharnet /The judges of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon have approved some amendments to the tribunal's Rules of Procedure and Evidence, said the STL in a statement on Monday.
There were a limited number of changes, which clarified the existing rules especially in relation to victims, it added. The changes allow the Prosecution, Defense and the Victims’ Participation Unit to make submissions on requests from victims wishing to participate in the proceedings, it stated. Submissions are limited to legal issues to protect the confidentiality of victims’ applications.
In addition, the pre-trial judge has been given the authority in deciding on the grouping of victims wishing to participate in the proceedings. “This decision cannot be appealed,” said the statement. Another change makes it easier for victims who participate in the proceedings to also appear as witnesses before the tribunal. “The Judges also decided that the Prosecution must immediately inform the head of the Defense Office Francois Roux about the arrest of a suspect or an accused,” said the statement.
This will strengthen the rights of the Defense, it explained.

Bellemare in Farewell Letter: Historic Days ahead for Justice, People of Lebanon
by Naharnet /Special Tribunal for Lebanon Prosecutor Daniel Bellemare on Monday addressed a farewell letter to the Lebanese people on the occasion of the end of his tenure, stressing that he did his job “objectively” and noting that “historic days lie ahead for justice and the People of Lebanon.” Bellemare will leave office at the end of this month. In November 2007 he was assigned by U.N. chief Ban Ki-Moon as the commissioner for the United Nations International Independent Investigation Commission (UNIIIC) into the 2005 assassination of ex-PM Rafik Hariri, replacing Serge Brammertz of Belgium.
At the same time, the U.N. secretary-general designated Bellemare as the prosecutor of the STL, an appointment he took up on March 1, 2009.
Prime Minister Najib Miqati revealed on Tuesday that Bellemare had informed him during his recent trip to Lebanon that he will submit a new revised indictment before leaving office end of February.
Media reports had said that Bellemare was expected to issue a new indictment before he leaves his post in March. His successor has not yet been named.
Below is the full text of Bellemare’s farewell letter: “As I approach the end of my tenure as Prosecutor of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, I want to bid farewell to the People of Lebanon.
It has been an honor and a privilege to serve both as the last Commissioner of the United Nations International Independent Investigation Commission, and as the founding Prosecutor of the Tribunal. I want to thank you for your support and trust in carrying out these profoundly important mandates. And for the journey of progress we have travelled together.
During my tenure, I often felt that the fight against impunity would be a long and difficult journey. Nonetheless, I continued to be passionate about the mission and about Lebanon. The People of Lebanon deserve no less. They deserve a society free of impunity, a society based on a culture of accountability. Is there a greater mission than one built on the desire of a people for truth and justice?
It is encouraging to see that this legitimate desire for justice and accountability is now gaining greater momentum. Today our fight against impunity is shared even more broadly. We have already accomplished a lot together in this respect. While much still remains to be done, I am confident that the foundations are firm. I am leaving with reluctance, but with the sense of having done the right thing, objectively, passionately and, with professionalism and respect.
These have been the most intense years of my professional life. Those who advised me when I was considering whether or not to accept this challenge were right when they said that if I declined the opportunity, I would regret it for the rest of my life. While it has been anything but easy, it has been immensely fulfilling both personally and professionally. It should come as no surprise that my decision not to seek reappointment for a second term was indeed a very difficult one. As my professional involvement with the People of Lebanon comes to an end, I would like to leave you with a message of hope. Historic days lie ahead for justice and the People of Lebanon. But Justice does not happen overnight. In this respect, the Lebanese people, and especially the victims, have been patient. For this, I want to thank all of you. I would also like to thank the Lebanese Authorities for their continued cooperation and assistance. I am proud to be leaving behind a strong and committed team of professionals, who have joined the Office of the Prosecutor because they believe in the cause of justice for Lebanon. They have worked long and hard, often under very difficult circumstances, and they, too, have all my gratitude.
With your support, they will continue their mission.
Daniel A. Bellemare
Leidschendam, 20 February 2012”

Grand Mufti meets with Hezbollah delegation

February 20, 2012 /Grand Mufti of the Lebanese Republic Sheikh Mohammad Rashid Qabbani (C) meets with a Hezbollah delegation on Monday. (NOW Lebanon) Grand Mufti of the Lebanese Republic Sheikh Mohammad Rashid Qabbani on Monday met with a delegation from Hezbollah, a press release issued from the mufti’s office reported. The Mufti reiterated his call for dialogue and reinforcing the unity between Muslims and the Lebanese people in general.-NOW Lebanon

Jumblatt calls Syria’s planned referendum “heresy”
February 20, 2012 /Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblatt slammed the Syrian regime’s decision to hold a referendum for a new constitution that would end almost 50 years of single party rule, and called it a “heresy.”“History and political science books will tell about the heresy of a referendum for the so-called new draft constitution [mixed] with the smell of corpses and the dust of the rubble in Homs and other villages in Syria,” Jumblatt wrote in his weekly article in the PSP newspaper Al-Anbaa. He also said that “hundreds of [ignoble] parties similar to the Baath Party will be formed in a bid to keep complete control of the state and its institutions.” He also said that countries supporting the Syrian government are clinging to the regime at the expense of Syria’s unity. “[Russia] can provide a solution to the [Syrian] crisis [by hosting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in exile] in the far reaches of Siberia - in respect for the feeling of the Russian citizens - or in the middle of Baluchistan.”“I think Al-Qaeda leaders would repent when they hear the Syrian regime’s experience in terrorism,” he added.The PSP leader also said that “the Western countries are hiding behind the Russian veto, and are shyly demanding the implementation of reforms under the pretext of the Syrian opposition’s divisions so that they can avoid supporting or acknowledging it.” Jumblatt also reiterated his call for the Syrian Druze to join the uprising and “refuse to confront the Syrian people.”“The future is for the free people in Syria, and your natural position is to stand by them,” he added. “No matter what the plots are, the Syrian people will eventually triumph.”Assad called a February 26 referendum on a draft constitution that could end nearly five decades of rule for his Baath Party. Opposition groups promptly rejected the new charter and urged voters to boycott the poll. The UN says more than 6,000 people have been killed in the crackdown on Syrian protesters who have been demonstrating against the Baath regime since March 2011. Lebanon’s political scene is split between supporters of Assad’s regime, led by Hezbollah, and the pro-Western March 14 camp.-NOW Lebanon

Chamoun: We want a cabinet not waiting for ‘Syrian orders’

February 19, 2012 /National Liberal Party leader MP Dori Chamoun said in remarks published on Sunday that he wants a cabinet in Lebanon that “does not wait for Syrian orders.”“We want a cabinet that really represents Lebanon and that does not wait for orders from Syria,” Chamoun told An-Nahar newspaper. He also said “preparations are underway to topple the cabinet,” adding that the cabinet “will be overthrown by its own components because of the [problems] they have among each other.” Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s cabinet is mainly dominated by ministers affiliated with the Hezbollah-led March 8 coalition. -NOW Lebanon

Moussawi: Lebanon’s interest is not in inciting strife in Syria
February 20, 2012 /Loyalty to the Resistance bloc MP Nawwaf Moussawi said on Monday that Lebanon’s interest does not lie in inciting strife in Syria. “Lebanon’s interest lies in standing by our [Syrian] brothers and helping them bridge their divide, not in inciting strife,” the National News Agency quoted the Hezbollah MP as saying. Moussawi also said that some groups “sponsored” by Lebanese political parties were smuggling weapons “to [cause] a sectarian war in Syria.” “We ally with [those who form] the resistance [against Israel] and we disagree with [those] who are against it.”He also called on March 14 to abandon the “illusion of victory that is displayed in their speeches,” and to look into how to protect Lebanon from threats. Syria has witnessed anti-regime protests since mid-March. The United Nations estimates that more than 6,000 people have been killed in the regime’s crackdown on dissent.  Lebanon’s political scene is split between supporters of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime, led by Hezbollah, and the March 14 pro-Western camp.-NOW Lebanon

The Lebanonization of the Syrian opposition
Hanin Ghaddar, February 20, 2012 /Now Lebanon
When the Syrian National Council was formed, the Syrian people protesting against the regime hailed it and gave it all the legitimacy it needed to claim itself as the representative of the Syrian uprising. They called Friday, October 7, 2011 “The Friday of the Syrian National Council” and asked the international community to endorse it.
Today, we sense bitterness from Syrian activists whenever the SNC is mentioned. These activists—mainly those who are active on the ground, whether through the Local Coordination Committees or the Free Syrian Army—feel that the SNC is becoming a body that is obsessed with power rather than helping people inside Syria. That is why, they believe, this council hasn’t received the international recognition it has been promised.
In this context, Arab countries are encouraging the Syrian opposition to unite before they formally recognize the SNC as a government-in-waiting. Rafik Abdesslem, Foreign Minister of Tunisia, which is hosting a meeting on Syria next week, said on Friday that there is a move toward supporting dialogue among the different Syrian factions so that a national consensus is reached. “Then we would have no objection to recognizing the SNC... I don't think this position is specific to Tunisia, but one that includes Arab countries and many countries," he said at a news conference.
This week will be crucial in this regard. If the SNC shows genuine effort toward uniting all opposition, inside and outside Syria, under its umbrella, then a real move toward its recognition will come about in Tunisia later this week.
Of course, one must take into consideration that any opposition in Syria was banished for 40 years. Organizing and reaching agreement on many critical issues is a challenging process that should not be rushed or expected to reach a mature stage in a matter of a few months. However, the dire humanitarian situation of the people inside Syria should be enough for the SNC members to put their personal differences aside and focus on the revolution and its demands.
For example, the fact that they extended the presidency of Burhan Ghalyoun again, garnering intense media scrutiny, sends a negative message to the people demonstrating in the streets, calling for democratic rule and at least expecting it when it comes to their representative body.
The SNC was formed because of an international demand for an alternative rule in Syria in the event of the regime’s fall. Originally, the SNC's job was to act on the demands of the street, and they have been making a lot of fiery statements about democracy, freedom and independence. Yet they suffer from serious problems: they are fragmented, they are still not united over crucial issues such as foreign intervention, they have no strategy, and they seem removed from the pain and suffering of the people inside Syria.
For us Lebanese, this is déjà vu. We experienced the same disillusionment with the March 14 political camp, which represented the street during the anti-Syrian Independence Intifada in 2005. Because of their lack of strategy, ongoing fragmentation and their complete ignorance of the people’s needs, they have lost the Lebanese street. Because of the gap between the leaders’ statements and what they can actually do, the people lost hope after watching their 2005 uprising hijacked.
Within March 14, the gap between the street and its leaders is getting wider and wider every day. The politicians have lost credibility, and they can only still make fiery statements and get media attention because their main issues, Hezbollah’s arms and the meddling of the Syrian regime in Lebanese affairs, are still unresolved. After the Syrian uprising is over, there will be nothing for them to complain about. The same goes for the SNC. Without a clear and unified strategy, when President Bashar al-Assad is gone, they will be left with no credibility on the ground.
The Syrian National Council is suffering from March 14 syndrome. The obsession with power and media attention ruined their ability to stand up for the people, who are the main reason the revolution still has momentum. Exactly like March 14, the SNC still cannot agree on what kind of state they want after Assad leaves power. Minorities need guarantees. Alawites, like the Shia in Lebanon, need guarantees. The secularists need guarantees. Without these guarantees and without a clear strategy for a new Syria, and a new Lebanon, both March 14 and the SNC will be struggling to regain trust from the people in the street. The real problem is not our fear for them; it is our fear of whoever will fill the gap. **Hanin Ghaddar is the managing editor of NOW Lebanon.

Serious and respectable neutrality
Hazem Saghiyeh/Now Lebanon
February 20, 2012
Voices recently emerged in Lebanon calling for neutrality vis-à-vis the Syrian crisis and its complications. However, neutrality here is no more than a call for supporting the Damascus regime in Arab and international forums as well as along the border and on the inside by making it easier to hunt down and hand over Syrian refugees and by keeping silent on the violation of the border by the Syrian army.
In other words, the requested neutrality is to abide by the same policy and to take it even further by enacting punishment against those who harbor a different opinion on the Syrian crisis. The “partisans of this kind of neutrality” seem to be required to accept – and even participate in – military, security and intelligence operations that serve the Baath regime. According to this logic, it is also required that those who support the uprising do not express do not voice their opinion publicly. Nevertheless, these tacky words, which cannot be taken seriously, and this phony tradeoff serve a single purpose, i.e. reminding us that neutrality is objective. Supporters of the Syrian regime claim to have discovered today that Lebanon’s situation is sensitive, fragile and cannot bear major expressions of partiality. However, this realization was stated seriously and with a greater deal of seriousness and honesty decades ago. At the time, the environment that traditionally supported “Lebanon’s Arabism” responded to such calls merely by accusing those making them of treason and questioning their motives. Yes, Lebanon is always in a sensitive and fragile situation. Its people seldom agree on anything, and its geographical situation exposes it to the importation of crises from any neighborhood, hence to an explosive situation. According to this balanced vision, supporters of the Syrian regime are free to keep their opinion to themselves or to say it out loud, and the same holds true for those who support the uprising. However, if the same standard is to be applied, those who wish to uphold the principle of animosity against Israel and those who do not see any use in armed clashes with it may also keep their opinions to themselves or say them out loud. At the end of the day, the important thing is to agree on avoiding weapons, armament and the provision of military and logistical services to any warring factions in the region, as this would eventually lead the country into self-destruction. This is the neutrality based on the famous Austrian formula, which is the only one that deserves to be referred to as serious and respectable. This article is a translation of the original, which appeared on the NOW Arabic site on Monday February 20, 2012

New opinion: National waste of time

February 20, 2012
President Michel Sleiman feels he is overcoming the impasse by calling for the resumption of a national dialogue to discuss the issue of who should and shouldn’t carry the guns in Lebanon. (presidency.gov.lb)
President Michel Sleiman may feel he is overcoming the impasse by calling for the resumption of a national dialogue to discuss the issue of who should and shouldn’t carry the guns in Lebanon.
He has, after all, quite rightly identified that “there are three dimensions” to the matter: those weapons in the Palestinian camps held by the various factions, those held by all political parties in Lebanon’s towns and cities, and finally Hezbollah’s massive arsenal, most of which is in the south of the country and trained on Israel. The latter has been given a veneer of legitimacy by being earmarked for inclusion in the oft-discussed national defense strategy, a process that seeks to find ways “to benefit from Hezbollah’s arms, when to use them and for what purpose.”
Who is Sleiman trying to kid? The national defense strategy is a chimera, a function that allows the Party of God to maintain its weapons while appearing to side with reason and debate. Does he honestly believe that Hezbollah would put its weapons at the disposal of the state when they are the very stick that allows it to beat the state whenever it feels like it?
In the wake of the 2000 Israeli withdrawal, there had been suggestions that the party’s military know-how—personnel and materiel—could be absorbed under the army’s command. But that was before Hezbollah showed its true thuggish colors on the streets of Beirut in May 2008. That was before we realized it was just another militia, albeit one that was better armed than most Arab countries.
There is no longer a need for a Resistance, and we must remove the myth and the paranoia surrounding calls for its disarmament. Ask the person in the street if Lebanon needs a private army to biff the Israelis and many will say yes simply because there is a perception that without it the country would be swept away by the combined tsunami of Israel’s military ambitions and the long-standing dream of annexing Lebanon into a bigger Zionist empire. Others will see the Hezbollah’s disarmament as a bid to disembowel Shia dignity.
Both are knee-jerk reactions. There is no evidence of Israeli expansionist desires, save for the bogus “Protocols of the Elders of Zion,” a work that has been debunked but which many in Lebanon cling to as proof that they live on the edge of the abyss, while the threat of military action is actually higher as long as Hezbollah remains armed, belligerent and threatening Israel’s northern border. As for it being a slap in the face to the Shia, well this is clearly nonsense. Those who see Hezbollah’s weapons as an expression of confessional pride should remember that no sect should be above the state. Period.
A third, more moderate, school would argue that having an armed militia running the show is not a perfect arrangement, but until the army is strong enough to defend Lebanon’s borders, there is no alternative. It is a position that many feel comfortable with because it does not fully endorse Hezbollah and at the same time makes an implicit call to strengthen the army.
The reality is that they are simply kicking the proverbial can further down the road. There will never be a concerted move to strengthen the army as long as Hezbollah holds the reins of power in Lebanon. The party has never accepted American offers of military aid for all the usual reasons, and now the Americans are reluctant to give aid to a country run by what it sees, rightly or wrongly, as a terror group. The only recent offer of aid has been from Iran, the country that finances Hezbollah, which it sees as an extension of its armed forces. So not much progress will be made there, one feels.
To quote Prime Minister Najib Mikati in 2006, Hezbollah’s armed wing is a cancer, one that inhibits Lebanon’s progress as a genuine state with functioning institutions and which will one day metastasize and plunge the country or the region into war.
With the war drums beating over Iran, it may already be too late.