LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
February 19/2012
Bible Quotation for today/The Wedding in Cana
John 02/01-12: " Two days later there was a wedding in the town of Cana in
Galilee. Jesus' mother was there, and Jesus and his disciples had also been
invited to the wedding. When the wine had given out, Jesus' mother said to him,
They are out of wine. You must not tell me what to do, Jesus replied. My time
has not yet come. Jesus' mother then told the servants, Do whatever he tells
you. The Jews have rules about ritual washing, and for this purpose six stone
water jars were there, each one large enough to hold between twenty and thirty
gallons. Jesus said to the servants, Fill these jars with water. They filled
them to the brim, and then he told them, Now draw some water out and take it to
the man in charge of the feast. They took him the water, which now had turned
into wine, and he tasted it. He did not know where this wine had come from (but,
of course, the servants who had drawn out the water knew); so he called the
bridegroom and said to him, Everyone else serves the best wine first, and after
the guests have drunk a lot, he serves the ordinary wine. But you have kept the
best wine until now! Jesus performed this first miracle in Cana in Galilee;
there he revealed his glory, and his disciples believed in him. After this,
Jesus and his mother, brothers, and disciples went to Capernaum and stayed there
a few days.
Latest analysis,
editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha/By
Tariq Alhomayed/February 18/12
Chaos is the new 'status quo' in the Middle East/By
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi/February 18/12
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for
February 18/12
Crisis in
US-Israel relations over nuclear talks with Iran
FBI: Man Arrested near U.S. Capitol in Terror Plot
U.S. officials don't believe sanctions will stop Iran's
nuclear program, says U.K.'s Guardian
Top Obama aide heads to Israel for talks on Iran, Syria
U.K.'s Hague: Iran nuclear program will bring ‘new Cold
War’ to Middle East
U.S., EU welcome Iran nuclear letter, suggest talks
possible
Iranian naval ships enter Mediterranean via Suez Canal
Report: Israel advises Thailand to up security, fearing
fresh attacks
Report: Testimony of Israeli victim in New Delhi terror
attack sheds new light on incident
Iran says Stuxnet virus infected 16,000 computers
Israel seeks tighter sanctions against Iran
Reports: Iranian Warships Dock in Tartus Port, Israel
‘Closely Watching
Jumblat Advises Nasrallah to Support Syrian People, Not
Assad Regime
Extension of STL Mandate Begins to Take Course as Beirut
Fails to Make Observations
STL refuses to confirm media reports on new indictment
Trouble ahead as Parliament mulls rent law reform
Damage from red river could be long felt
First nationwide study of dementia launched at AUB
March 14 politicians slam Hezbollah’s
defense of its arms
Berri-Aoun talks may help end Cabinet
crisis
Hariri, Fadlallah promise to prevent strife
Military Court Sentences 3 to Death for Spying for Israel
Building Evacuated in Sidon after Parts of it Collapse
Jumblat Meets Davutoglu: Political Solution Will End Syria
Crisis
Arabic press digest - Feb. 18, 2012/Daily Star
Lebanon hit by extreme weather conditions
Berri meets Italian ambassador
Lebanon's Kurdish community to hold demonstration
MP
Fayyad lashes out at critics of Hezbollah
Hizbullah and Amal Back Assad’s Reform to Consolidate
Syria
Young Man, Woman Killed by Gas Leak in Faraya
Lebanese Man Found Killed in Nigeria Hotel Room
Report: U.S. drones flying over Syria to monitor crackdown
Activists say Syrian tanks shell Homs intensively
China envoy meets Assad,
backs Syria election plan
56 killed on Friday in Syria as Assad regime ignores UN resolution
West seeks united Syrian opposition
Activists say Syrian tanks shell Homs intensively
U.S. officials don't believe sanctions will stop Iran's
nuclear program, says U.K.'s Guardian
The U.K.'s Guardian newspaper cites officials saying that Obama administration
does not want conflict, but has few options left; says sanctions partly aimed at
showing Israel U.S. serious over Iran. U.S. officials don't believe sanctions
will stop Iran's nuclear program, says U.K.'s Guardian
By Haaretz and Reuters
The U.K.'s Guardian newspaper cites officials saying that Obama administration
does not want conflict, but has few options left; says sanctions partly aimed at
showing Israel U.S. serious over Iran. U.S. officials increasingly believe that
sanctions are not enough to stop the development of Iran’s nuclear program, and
that the U.S will have to launch a military strike on Iran, or support Israeli
action, the U.K’s Guardian newspaper reported on Friday.
According to the report, officials in U.S. President Barack Obama's
administration say the U.S. does not want a conflict, but that sanctions are not
working. The White House wants to see sanctions work. This is not the Bush White
House. It does not need another conflict," the newspaper cited an official who
is knowledgeable on U.S. Middle East policy as saying. "It’s problem is that the
guys in Tehran are behaving like sanctions don't matter, like their economy
isn't collapsing, like Israel isn't going to do anything,” the official said.
“Sanctions are all we've got to throw at the problem. If they fail then it's
hard to see how we don't move to the 'in extremis' option."
"We don't see a way forward. The record shows that there is nothing to work
with," the newspaper quoted another U.S. official as saying. One former U.S.
official told the newspaper that the question of how serious Israel is about
military action is part of the calculus behind U.S. policy toward Iran, the
Guardian said.
"The sanctions are there to pressure Iran and reassure Israel that we are taking
this issue seriously," it quoted one official as saying. "The focus is on
demonstrating to Israel that this has a chance of working. Israel is skeptical
but appreciates the effort. It is willing to give it a go, but how long will it
wait?"
Colin Kahl, who was U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle
East until last December, told the newspaper, “It's not that the Israelis
believe the Iranians are on the brink of a bomb. It's that the Israelis may fear
that the Iranian program is on the brink of becoming out of reach of an Israeli
military strike, which means it creates a 'now-or-never' moment."
"That's what's actually driving the timeline by the middle of this year. But
there's a countervailing factor that [Ehud] Barak has mentioned – that they're
not very close to making a decision and that they're also trying to ramp up
concerns of an Israeli strike to drive the international community towards
putting more pressure on the Iranians," the newspaper cited Kahl as saying. "If
you look at the calendar, it doesn't make much sense that the Israelis would
jump the gun. They probably need to provide a decent interval for those
sanctions to be perceived as failing, because they care about whether an Israeli
strike would be seen as philosophically legitimate; that is, as only having
happened after other options were exhausted. So I think that will push them a
little further into 2012," he added. Obama said earlier this month that he did
not believe Israel had decided how to respond to its concerns about Iran's
nuclear program, following public discussion within Israel about whether it
should attack Tehran to stop it from getting a nuclear bomb. The newspaper also
reported that some criticism of sanctions stems from the belief that the Obama
administration is using them to prepare the ground for a military strike. "The
latest drum beat of additional sanctions and war against Iran sounds too much
like the lead-up to the Iraq war,” the Guardian cited Congressman Dennis
Kucinich as saying this week. "If the crippling sanctions that the U.S. and
Europe have imposed are meant to push the Iranian regime to negotiations, it
hasn't worked," he said. "As the war of words between the United States and Iran
escalates it's more critical than ever that we highlight alternatives to war to
avoid the same mistakes made in Iraq.Obama’s national security adviser Tom
Donilon's will visit to Israel on Saturday for two-days of talks on regional
issues which will include Iran and Syria.
Crisis in US-Israel relations over nuclear talks with Iran
DEBKAfile Special Report February 18, 2012/In the last 24 hours, the approach of
international talks with Iran on its nuclear program has escalated already high
tensions over the issue between the Obama administration and the Israeli
government and triggered the following developments:
US President Barack Obama decided to send his US National Security Adviser Tom
Donilon to an urgent visit to Israel Saturday, Feb. 18, for three days of talks
“on regional issues including Syria and Iran.”
This unusually long trip by a top White House official over the weekend is a
measure of the crisis in relations.
The visit is part of the US “unshakeable commitment to Israel's security,”
according to a White House statement. It was called “the latest in a series of
regular, high-level consultations between the United States and Israel,
consistent with our strong bilateral partnership.”
Such pledges no longer wash in Jerusalem, debkafile’s political sources report,
in light of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s strong sense of betrayal from
what he sees as surreptitious US diplomacy with Iran for promoting talks that
will end the promised sanctions for halting Iran’s momentum for building a
nuclear weapon now in its final stages. T
The existence of those back-channel exchanges and the imminence of negotiations
with Iran were first disclosed by DEBKA-Net-Weekly 529 of Feb. 17.
In private conversations, Netanyahu has said he feels cheated. By its actions
the Obama administration leaves Israel with no recourse other than to grapple
with the Iranian menace on its own, he has said, and be less sensitive to
Washington’s wishes.
A bipartisan group of concerned US senators warned President Obama Friday that
they would strongly oppose any proposal in talks with Iran that would allow it
to continue uranium enrichment activities.
A letter signed by a dozen senators from both parties expressed concern that
Iran would try to use a resumption of talks with world powers on its nuclear
program to buy time and dilute international pressure on it. "Such tactical
maneuverings are a dangerous distraction and should not be tolerated," the
senators said.
Belgium-based SWIFT, which provides 10,000 banks in 210 countries with a system
for moving funds around the world, said Friday that it was ready to block its
network to money transfers by Iranian banks. Expelling Iranian banks from the
Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication would shut down
Tehran's main avenue for doing business with the rest of the world.
Two Iranian warships sailed through Suez Canal to Mediterranean Friday on their
way to Syria. Israel called their mission a provocation.
Wednesday, Netanyahu blasted Iran – and indirectly Washington– when he said in
Cyprus that sanctions “haven’t worked” and that for a regime which attacks
diplomats to have nuclear weapons “is something of enormous concern for the
United States and for Israel.”
FBI: Man Arrested near U.S. Capitol in Terror Plot
by Naharnet /An FBI sting operation resulted in the arrest near the U.S. Capitol
on Friday of a man who thought he had explosives for a terror attack, law
enforcement officials said.
The FBI confirmed the man had been detained following a long running FBI
terrorism investigation, while media reports said he was Moroccan and had been
apprehended in connection with an alleged plot to carry out a suicide attack.
"Explosives the suspect allegedly sought to use in connection with the plot had
been rendered inoperable by law enforcement and posed no threat to the public,"
the Federal Bureau of Investigation said in a statement. The arrest was "in
connection with a terrorism investigation," and "was the culmination of an
undercover operation during which the suspect was closely monitored by law
enforcement," the FBI added. Fox News reported that the suspect was of Moroccan
descent and had expressed interest in an attack on the Capitol to undercover FBI
agents, who he had thought were with al-Qaida. The police force responsible for
security at the Capitol said it was intimately involved in the "lengthy and
extensive" operation from the start, and "at no time was the public or
congressional community in any danger." Authorities declined to provide further
detail on the arrest. The Washington Post, citing an unnamed U.S. official, said
the suspect was in his thirties and was picked up near Labor Department offices
on his way to the Capitol for what he thought would be a suicide attack.He was
carrying with him a vest that he believed was packed with explosives but that
actually contained harmless material, the newspaper reported. Agence France
Presse.
Top Obama aide heads to Israel for talks on Iran, Syria
By Reuters
U.S. President Barack Obama's national security adviser Tom Donilon's will visit
the country from Saturday through Monday. U.S. President Barack Obama's top
security aide will visit Israel for two days of talks on regional issues
including Syria and Iran, the White House said on Friday. National security
adviser Tom Donilon's trip from Saturday through Monday comes amid tensions over
Iran's nuclear program, which the West says is aimed at securing weapons
capability, but Tehran insists is for peaceful purposes.U.S. and European
officials on Friday voiced cautious optimism over the latest signals from Tehran
that it might be willing to resume talks with major powers on the nuclear issue,
after the Iranians sent them a letter. Donilon's visit was "the latest in a
series of regular, high-level consultations between the United States and
Israel, consistent with our strong bilateral partnership, and part of our
unshakeable commitment to Israel's security," the White House said in a
statement. Obama said earlier this month that he did not believe Israel had
decided how to respond to its concerns about Iran's nuclear program, following
public discussion within Israel about whether it should attack Tehran to stop it
from getting a nuclear bomb. In Syria, which borders Israel to the northeast,
violence continued to rage on Friday despite international protest and the
forces of Syrian President Bashar Assad renewed their attack on the opposition
stronghold of Homs.
Iranian naval ships enter Mediterranean via Suez
Reuters /Two Iranian vessels, a destroyer and a supply ship, cross through Suez
into Mediterranean, possibly en route to Syrian coast, source in canal authority
says . Two Iranian naval ships have sailed through Egypt's Suez Canal into the
Mediterranean, in a move likely to be keenly watched by Israel. "Two Iranian
ships crossed through the Suez Canal (on Thursday) following permission from the
Egyptian armed forces," a source in the canal authority said on Friday. The
destroyer and a supply ship could be on their way to the Syrian coast, the
source added. Iran and Syria agreed to cooperate on naval training a year ago,
and Tehran has no naval agreement with any other country in the region. Two
Iranian warships sailed along the strategic waterway on February 17 last year,
in a move that Israel called a "provocation". Syria and Iran are hostile to
Israel.Egypt's military, which has a close defense ties with the United States,
has been governing the country since the overthrow of President Hosni Mubarak a
year ago.
The Suez Canal cuts through Egypt and allows shipping to pass from the Middle
East to Europe and vice versa, without going around southern Africa.
STL refuses to confirm media reports on new indictment
February 18, 2012/ By The Daily Star The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The Special Tribunal for Lebanon spokesperson refused to confirm Friday
local media reports that the court’s prosecutor had filed a draft indictment in
three cases to the pre-trial judge. Marten Youssef only said that it was up to
the prosecutor alone to decide when to file an indictment for review. “It is
also his prerogative to file it confidentially and ex-parte, in which case, we
would not be privy to that filing,” he told The Daily Star. Quoting sources
close to STL Prosecutor Daniel Bellemare’s office, Lebanon’s Al-Akhbar newspaper
reported Friday that Bellemare submitted recently to Judge Daniel Fransen a
draft indictment in the attempted assassinations of former Deputy Prime Minister
Elias Murr and MP Marwan Hamadeh, as well as in the assassination of former
Lebanese Communist Party leader George Hawi. In October 2004, Hamadeh was
seriously injured in a car bomb attack in Beirut. Hawi was assassinated on June
21, 2005 while Murr survived an assassination attempt on his life on July 12 of
the same year. A judicial source told The Daily Star that Lebanon had received
no official information on the matter. If the media reports prove accurate,
Fransen would assess the indictment and could ask the prosecution for additional
material if it is not sufficient. The local newspaper said that Bellemare, who
is leaving his post at the end of February, also submitted additional documents
related to the STL’s indictment in the case of the 2005 assassination of former
Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. Al-Akhbar said that a fifth person might be
indicted in Hariri’s case. Last June, four members of Hezbollah – Mustafa Amine
Badreddine, Salim Jamil Ayyash, Hussein Hasan Oneissi and Assad Hasan Sabra –
were named in an indictment by the U.N.-backed court, which was established in
May 2007 to investigate and try Hariri’s assassins. Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hasan
Nasrallah strongly denies any involvement of his party in Hariri’s
assassination, dismissing the court as an “American-Israeli” tool targeting the
resistance. The Hezbollah leader had vowed not to hand over the indicted “even
in 300 years.” The dispute over the STL led to the collapse of former Prime
Minister Saad Hariri’s Cabinet in January last year.
Extension of STL Mandate Begins to Take Course as Beirut Fails to Make
Observations
by Naharnet /The renewal of the protocol signed between the Lebanese government
and the Special Tribunal for Lebanon will likely take effect soon after Beirut
failed to make its observations, al-Liwaa daily reported Saturday. The newspaper
said that a document calling on the U.N. Security Council to renew the
tribunal’s mandate became part of the official U.N. documents on Friday at
around 5:00 pm New York time and will likely be approved soon if the Council
expresses no reservations on it. U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon had sent a letter to
Lebanese authorities asking for Lebanon’s comments by Feb. 15 on the plan to
extend the mandate of the STL for another three years. The mandate of the court,
which will try ex-Premier Rafik Hariri’s suspected assassins, expires on March
1. But the Lebanese government failed to meet to discuss Lebanon’s observations
due to a cabinet crisis that erupted on Feb. 1. Premier Najib Miqati suspended
the sessions after he accused ministers loyal to Free Patriotic Movement leader
Michel Aoun of hindering the government’s work. Some reports had said that
Miqati suspended the sessions to avert a clash among cabinet ministers over the
protocol’s renewal although the role of the Hizbullah-led government is only
observatory. Hizbullah strongly opposes the STL which has indicted four of its
members in Hariri’s Feb. 2005 assassination.
Jumblat Advises Nasrallah to Support Syrian People, Not Assad Regime
Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat said Saturday that
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah should have announced his backing for
the Syrian people rather than defending the Assad regime. “I would have hoped
that for Syria’s sake he would directly address (President) Bashar Assad and
tell him that Syria is more important” than anything else, Jumblat told As Safir
daily.
“I wish that he told him to be realistic, particularly that there could no
longer be any reform in Syria after all the bloodshed,” the Druze leader said.
During a televised speech on Thursday, Nasrallah said he was ready for
unconditional dialogue with his March 14 foes and renewed his support for Assad,
accusing Arab and Western states of seeking to topple the Syrian president.
Jumblat criticized a newly drafted constitution that could end nearly five
decades of Baath Party rule, saying the text is an “illusion.” Syrian
authorities have called for a Feb. 26 referendum on the charter. Nasrallah’s
“support for the Syrian people is much more important that his support for the
regime and its deluding reform,” the PSP chief told As Safir. “Sayyed Hassan
knows what I mean and I don’t want to go into a public confrontation with
him.”“But for the sake of Syria and the resistance, it’s better to accept the
international consensus on a U.N. recommendation for the Syrian president to
step down,” he said. Jumblat described the central protest city of Homs as the
Stalingrad of Syria. “If it falls, then Syria would fall” and have an unknown
fate.
He also defended his call for a new Taef agreement, saying unlike what his
critics said, he was neither backing a new social-political contract to replace
the deal nor altering the balance between Christians and Muslims.On Wednesday,
Jumblat called for a new deal between Shiites and Sunnis, stressing that the
Taef, which ended the Lebanese civil war in 1990, had expired.
He told As Safir on Saturday that the only way to safeguard Lebanon against the
“complicated” Syrian crisis, was for officials to steer themselves clear of the
dangerous repercussions of the developments in the neighboring country. “The
best and most efficient solution is to sit at the dialogue table,” Jumblat
stressed, welcoming Nasrallah’s announcement that he was ready to engage in
dialogue.
March 14 politicians slam Hezbollah’s defense of its arms
February 18, 2012/By Hussein Dakroub The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Politicians in the opposition March 14 coalition hit back at Hezbollah
leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah Friday, accusing him of setting preconditions for
the resumption of national dialogue based on his party’s arms. They also
rejected Nasrallah’s accusations that March 14 parties were funding and arming
Syrian opposition groups fighting to oust President Bashar Assad.Samir Geagea,
the leader of the Lebanese Forces, said Hezbollah had not been serious about
dialogue over the Special TribunalLebanon and accused the resistance group of
committing crimes in times of peace and times of war.“Hezbollah was never
serious about the dialogue sessions we held [regarding the STL]. We had agreed
to an international tribunal and the matter took a little time. But where is
Hezbollah’s commitment to this?” he asked. “We don’t want to put conditions [on
dialogue]. But they [Hezbollah] were never serious. Yesterday, he [Nasrallah]
set a precondition: ‘Don’t speak about arms,’” Geagea said in a speech to mark
the launch of the LF party’s charter in Maarab, northeast of Beirut. During
national dialogue sessions in 2006, Hezbollah and other March 8 parties agreed
to establish an international court to investigate the 2005 assassination of
former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. However, Hezbollah and its March 8 allies
later rejected the U.N.-backed tribunal, dismissing it as an “American-Israeli
court.” Last year, the STL indicted four Hezbollah members in Hariri’s killing
and demanded their arrests. Hezbollah has rejected the indictment, vowing never
to hand over the four suspects.
In a televised speech Thursday, Nasrallah left the door open to a resumption of
dialogue with the March 14 alliance, stalled since November 2010, but said any
talks must have certain preconditions. He also accused the March 14 coalition of
arming and financing the Syrian opposition against the Assad regime, saying that
such actions destabilized Lebanon. Nasrallah also rejected former Prime Minister
Saad Hariri’s call on Hezbollah to surrender its arms to Lebanese authorities,
saying that March 14 leaders were not in a position to impose conditions on any
dialogue.
However, Geagea said that Hezbollah’s weapons, a major bone of contention
between the March 8 and March 14 camps, threatened the country’s stability.
“The ones who are involving Lebanon [in crises] are those wielding power outside
the Lebanese state,” Geagea said, in reference to Hezbollah’s arms. “What we
[March 14 parties] are doing is taking a political and ethical stance,” he
added, referring to March 14 parties’ support for the Syrian opposition.
Responding to Nasrallah who scoffed at Geagea saying that he was the last person
to condemn “massacres” in Syria, the LF leader defended his party’s actions
during the 1975-90 Civil War.
“Assuming that all the accusations against the LF about massacres during the war
were true, then they would be worth just one drop in the sea of [crimes] of
which Hezbollah was accused during the war and during peacetime,” Geagea said.
MP Ahmad Fatfat from Saad Hariri’s parliamentary Future bloc said there was
nothing new in Nasrallah’s speech, except insistence on keeping Hezbollah’s
arms.
“Sayyed Nasrallah appeared to be confused as a result of the [March 14 leaders’]
speeches at the BIEL center, particularly [former] Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s
speech in which he extended his hand and called for dialogue,” Fatfat told Al-Fajr
radio station. He described Nasrallah’s speech as that of “a militiaman” against
Hariri’s speech of “a statesman.”
Fatfat rejected Nasrallah’s accusations that March 14 parties possessed arms and
were financing the Syrian opposition. “Nasrallah is the one who possesses arms.
He has admitted receiving political money [from Iran] and collaboration with
Iran,” he said.
Deputy Speaker Farid Makkari also denied March 14 parties were sending arms and
money to the Syrian opposition. “It is only political and media support [for the
Syrian opposition], while the other side [Hezbollah] is practically supporting
the [Syrian] regime by sending some of its members to fight alongside the regime
and help it in suppressing its people,” Makkari said.
MP Mohammad Raad, head of Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc, defended the the
party’s right to carry arms against criticismfrom March 14. “This resistance is
not a choice of a group, nor a choice of a part of our people. This resistance
has become a slogan for all our people and for our awakening nation,” Raad told
a rally in the southern town of Kfar Tibnit. “Any change that does not take into
account the bolstering of the resistance’s strength is not a change at all but a
step backward. Conspirators, and those who collude to surround the resistance,
have missed the boat.”
Hariri, Fadlallah promise to prevent strife
February 18, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri and Lebanese Shiite cleric Sayyed Ali
Fadlallah highlighted during a telephone conversation the importance of calls to
combat strife, a statement by Fadlallah’s media office said Friday. The two
discussed general developments and welcomed calls for preventing strife in
Lebanon in general and between Muslims in particular, the statement said.
Delivering a speech to commemorate the seventh anniversary of the assassination
of his father former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, the Future Movement head
promised to prevent the outbreak of Sunni-Shiite strife in Lebanon in wake of
ongoing unrest in neighboring Syria.
Berri-Aoun talks may help end Cabinet crisis
February 18, 2012/ By Hussein Dakroub, Hassan Lakkis The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun paid a rare visit to Speaker
Nabih Berri Friday, in what appeared to be the first move toward ending a row
between Aoun and Prime Minister Najib Mikati that has brought the Cabinet to a
standstill. During the two-hour meeting at the speaker’s residence in Ain al-Tineh,
Berri and Aoun discussed the 2-week-old Cabinet crisis sparked by a dispute
between Mikati and ministers from Aoun’s parliamentary Change and Reform bloc
over the issue of civil service appointments. Details about the results of the
meeting were not immediately known. Sources close to Berri kept mum on the
outcome of the talks.
But Baabda MP Alain Aoun, a nephew of the FPM leader, described the meeting as
“a good step” toward finding a solution for the Cabinet crisis. He said his
uncle was satisfied with the talks with Berri. “General Aoun briefed Speaker
Berri on all aspects of the [Cabinet] crisis and his vision for a solution,” MP
Aoun told The Daily Star Friday night.
As a means to resolve the crisis, the Baabda MP said Mikati must recognize
Aoun’s bloc, which is the second largest bloc in Parliament with 27 MPs, as “a
main partner in executive authority.” “Mikati must take into account the size
and role of the Change and Reform bloc in [administrative] appointments,” Aoun
said. Asked whether Friday’s meeting would encourage Berri, who had intervened
in the past to end Cabinet rifts, to begin efforts to resolve the crisis, Aoun
said the answer lay with the speaker. A political source said the Berri-Aoun
meeting, which lasted longer than expected, had been “a major indication” that
the FPM leader was ready to seek a solution for the crisis. “Berri and Aoun
addressed in depth the causes of the crisis and the atmosphere was very good,”
the source told The Daily Star.
Michel Aoun has accused Mikati of violating the Constitution with the suspension
on Feb. 1 of Cabinet sessions following sharp differences with ministers from
Aoun’s bloc over appointments of Christians to key public administration posts.
Aoun’s ministers rejected names that were proposed by Mikati to head the High
Disciplinary Committee, a position traditionally reserved for Greek Catholics.
Mikati defended Thursday his decision to suspend Cabinet meetings, saying the
move was not meant to shirk responsibility but rather to protect state
institutions.
Mikati has signaled that Cabinet sessions could resume once Labor Minister
Charbel Nahhas signs the transportation allowance decree. Nahhas, one of Aoun’s
10 ministers in Mikati’s 30-member Cabinet, has refused to sign the decree
contending that it should first be ratified by Parliament.
The Berri-Aoun meeting came as Parliament is expected next week to approve a
draft law authorizing the government to set the transportation allowance, a move
that is likely to eliminate a major hurdle in the way of resuming Cabinet
sessions.Meanwhile, sources in the Change and Reform bloc said the meeting
between Berri and Aoun came in the wake of an understanding on a solution to a
dispute over the transportation allowance decree.
Parliamentary sources in the FPM said that the presence of the bloc in the
Cabinet had begun to have an adverse effect on the movement’s popular base,
especially since the country was not far from the 2013 parliamentary elections
that would lead to the emergence of a new authority in Lebanon.
Aoun has become convinced that President Michel Sleiman and Mikati have agreed
not to let ministers from his bloc make any achievements in their ministries and
also not to give the bloc a share of Christian appointments, the sources said.
They added that some of Berri’s stances on the Cabinet crisis converged with the
“diabolical alliance” between Sleiman and Mikati against Aoun. According to the
sources, only “a new approach” by Mikati and Berri can prevent the withdrawal of
ministers of Aoun’s bloc from the Cabinet, although the circumstances through
which Lebanon is passing require that the Cabinet stay in office and despite
insistence by Aoun’s main ally Hezbollah that the time is not suitable now for a
government change. The same sources said that unless there was a change in the
Cabinet’s conduct toward Aoun, the FPM leader would inform Hezbollah of the
reasons that would prompt him to withdraw his ministers from the Cabinet.
However, the sources expected the Cabinet crisis to be resolved when Parliament
approves a draft law next Wednesday authorizing the government to act on the
transportation allowance and Nahhas signs it. The sources said that unless a
solution to the transportation allowance problem was accompanied by an agreement
to eliminate Aoun’s concerns, the crisis would be renewed in the Cabinet.
Mikati has implicitly accused Aoun’s ministers of obstructing the Cabinet’s
work, saying he will not allow anyone to undermine the prime minister’s
prerogatives. He has since said that he will not resume Cabinet sessions before
agreement is reached on a formula to make the government productive. Last month,
Nahhas signed a Cabinet decree approving a wage hike which increased the minimum
wage among other measures. Nahhas refused to sign a decree under which the
government would set the transportation allowance, arguing that this was illegal
and required a draft law to be passed by Parliament. Sleiman was outraged by
Nahhas’ stance, saying that previous Cabinets had set transportation fees and
that was the norm. Sleiman reiterated Thursday the need for Nahhas to sign the
transportation allowance decree. Meanwhile, Information Minister Walid Daouk
said Mikati’s suspension of Cabinet sessions constituted “a positive shock” that
made everyone aware of the drawbacks of impeding Cabinet’s work. Lebanon is
facing “fateful challenges and the government’s concern should not be confined
to this huge amount of searching for false victories at the expense of the
public interest,” Daouk said in an interview to be published in Al-Massira
magazine Saturday.
Military Court Sentences 3 to Death for Spying for Israel
by Naharnet /The Permanent Military Tribunal headed by Brig. Gen. Nizar Khalil
on Friday sentenced to death Haitham al-Sahmarani, a retired Internal Security
Forces first sergeant, on charges of collaboration with Israel. Upon his arrest
in 2009 Sahmarani confessed to collaborating, along with his wife, with the
Mossad, Israel’s intelligence agency. With the help of his sister who had fled
to Israel in 2000, Sahmarani began his relation with the Israelis in 2004. The
sister, Sahera al-Sahmarani, and her husband Mohammed Amin Khazaal were
sentenced to death in absentia on Friday. Hizbullah’s mouthpiece, Al-Manar
television, said “Sahmarani met with Israeli officers in Turkey and Israel and
gave coordinates to the enemy during the (2006) July war of (Hizbullah chief)
Sayyed (Hassan) Nasrallah's possible locations.” Separately, the military
tribunal sentenced Ragheda Daher to two years hard labor on charges of spying
for Israel. And it handed a similar verdict to Assem Hammoud, who had been
accused of plotting to bomb train tunnels in the U.S. More than 100 people have
been arrested on suspicion of spying for the Israeli Mossad since April 2009,
including members of the security forces and telecom employees. Several have
since been sentenced to death.
Jumblat Meets Davutoglu: Political Solution Will End Syria
Crisis
by Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat stressed the
need for exerting political and humanitarian efforts to end the crisis in Syria,
announced the PSP in a statement on Thursday. He said after holding talks with
Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu in Turkey: “The political solution
alone will end the Syrian regime’s violence” against protesters. The MP’s talks
in Turkey also focused on Lebanese and other regional developments. Jumblat had
traveled to Turkey on Wednesday on board a private jet. The PSP leader had met
with Davutoglu during the latter’s visit to Beirut in January. The Lebanese
official had stressed the importance of maintaining stability in Lebanon to
avert any repercussions the Syrian crisis may have on the country. Turkey “is
keen not to allow the Syrian crisis slip into Lebanon,” Jumblat remarked
China envoy meets Assad, backs Syria election plan
AMMAN/BEIRUT, (Reuters) - China said on Saturday it backed President Bashar al-Assad's
plans for a referendum and multi-party elections to resolve the Syria crisis, a
show of support against world condemnation of the Syrian leader's crackdown on a
popular uprising.
After meeting Assad in Damascus, Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Zhai Jun also
called for an immediate end to the violence by all sides in the 11-month-old
conflict.
Assad announced his plan on Wednesday for a referendum on a new constitution on
February 26 followed by a multi-party election. The Syrian opposition and the
West swiftly dismissed it as sham.
"We hope that the referendum on the constitution and the parliamentary elections
take place in a continuous way," Zhai said, according to Syrian state television
monitored in Beirut.
"China supports the path of reform taking place in Syria and the important steps
that have been taken in this respect."
The Chinese state news agency Xinhua highlighted Zhai's comments that China was
"deeply concerned by the escalating crisis and wanted the government and various
political factions in the country to end all acts of violence against
civilians".
The Syrian report quoted him as saying: "The Chinese experience shows a nation
cannot develop without stability".
China and Russia have been Assad's most important international defenders during
the crackdown which has killed several thousand people and divided world powers.
The United Nations, the United States, Europe, Turkey and Arab powers want Assad
to step down and have condemned the ferocious repression.
Beijing and Moscow vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution on February 4
calling on Assad to quit and also voted against a similar, non-binding General
Assembly resolution on Thursday.
BOMBING THE OPPOSITION
Syrian government forces meanwhile renewed their bombardment of the opposition
stronghold of Homs on Saturday.
A blanket of snow covered Homs, on the highway between Damascus and the
commercial hub Aleppo, as Syrian troops pounded mainly Sunni Muslim rebel
districts with rockets and artillery.
The troops were close to Baba Amro, a southern neighborhood that has been target
of the heaviest barrages since the armored offensive began two weeks ago,
activists said.
"Troops have closed in on Baba Amro and the bombardment is mad, but I don't know
if they are willing to storm the neighborhood while it is snowing," activist
Mohammad al-Homsi said from Homs.
"There is no electricity and communications between districts are cut, so we are
unable to get a death toll... there is no fuel in most of the city."
On Friday, opposition activists reported anti-Assad demonstrations in Damascus,
Aleppo and other cities after weekly Friday prayers. Security forces shot dead
at least three demonstrators in the capital after prayers, they said.
The military has also opened a new offensive in Hama, a city with a bloody
history of resistance to Assad's late father. The Assad clan are Alawites, an
offshoot of Shi'ite Islam, in a majority Sunni country.
Assad, who succeeded his father Hafez in 2000 after he had ruled for 30 years,
portrays his enemies as nothing more than foreign-backed terrorists.
The uprising began with civilian protests in March, but now includes a parallel
armed struggle led by the loosely organized Free Syria Army, made up of army
deserters and local insurgents.
Syria's other significant ally is Iran, itself at odds with the West. An Iranian
destroyer and a supply ship sailed through the Suez canal this week and are
believed to be on their way to the Syrian coast, a source in the canal authority
said.
The West has ruled out Libya-style military intervention, instead imposing
sanctions and urging a fragmented opposition, which includes activists inside
Syria, armed rebels and politicians in exile, to present a common front against
Assad.
Tunisia, which is hosting a meeting on Syria next week, said on Friday Arab
countries would encourage the opposition to unite before they would recognize
them as a government-in-waiting.
Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha
By Tariq Alhomayed
Asharq Al-Awsat,
Hassan Nasrallah, who is akin to a member of the Syrian pro-regime Shabiha
militia, during a speech on Thursday, asked “could any Arab king, emir or sheikh
put forward the same reforms that have been put forward by al-Assad and the
Syrian leadership?” The simple answer to this question is: no, for no Arab king,
emir or sheikh would kill seven thousand of their own citizens simply to cling
to power!
Since Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha, is not familiar with Arab history, as he is
too wrapped up in Persian – and Khomeinist – history, let us take this
opportunity to inform him that King Farouk of Egypt abdicated the throne without
bloodshed, whilst in Saudi Arabian history, Imam Abdullah Bin Saud surrendered
to the Ottoman forces of Ibrahim Pasha in 1817, after Diriyah – then capital of
the country – was besieged. By doing so, he protected innocent lives, although
the Turks took him into custody and later executed him in Istanbul. This is not
the only such case in Saudi Arabian history, for Imam Faisal Bin Turki also did
this, surrendering to the forces of Hursid Ahmed Pasha after Dalam was besieged;
therefore Imam Faisal took the decision to surrender to spare the blood of his
people, and he, along with his sons and his brother, was placed under house
arrest.
As for today, King Abdullah Bin Abdulaziz was amongst the first to raise his
voice about reform in late 1998, long before the so-called Arab Spring. King
Abdullah spoke about the role of women and minorities, and he launched national
dialogue; most importantly, he rallied his people around him when elsewhere in
the Arab world, people being ruled by military dictatorships were revolting.
Therefore what Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha, is not aware of is that the kings,
emirs, and sheikhs of the Arab world are not imitating the “republic” of al-Assad,
for indeed it is the tyranny of al-Assad the son which has transformed Syria
into a false republic ruled by military dictatorship.
When Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha, defends what he describes as al-Assad’s
reform, by which he means the drama being played out over a new constitution, he
is intending to mislead public opinion. The new al-Assad endorsed constitution
says that any Syrian president is allowed to have two terms in office, whilst
each single presidential term is seven years; this means that al-Assad wants to
rule Syria for 25 years, for he has not said that he would not stand at any
forthcoming elections. Indeed, all the Syrian president is interested in is
“resetting the clock”, according to the expression coined by Yemeni President
Ali Abdullah Saleh.
Hence, when Hassan Nasrallah, the Shabiha, speaks, he is not just
misrepresenting the facts, he is completely perverting the truth, and putting
forward Shabiha rhetoric par excellence that is akin to the speeches made by
Syrian Envoy to the UN Bashar al-Jaafari in New York, or Syrian ambassador to
the Arab League Youssef al-Ahmed in Cairo. The morals and customs of monarchy
are being completely misrepresented by Nasrallah, the Shabiha, for we have seen
King Abdullah II of Jordan say that if he were in al-Assad’s position, he would
step down; whilst the King of Morocco has invited his opponents to be partners
in ruling the country. As for the King of Bahrain – a country Nasrallah claims
is “oppressed” – he brought renowned and respected statesman Mahmoud Cherif
Bassioun to head an independent Commission of Inquiry [into the events that took
place in Bahrain from February 2011], whilst al-Assad met with [Arab League
Observer mission head] General Mohammed al-Dabi, who put forward a shameful
report regarding the situation in Syria, equating the killers with the victims!
Therefore, this is the ethics of kings, emirs, and sheikhs; they do not kill
their own people, like al-Assad, nor do they live in caves, like Hassan
Nasrallah the Shabiha.
Chaos is the new 'status quo' in the Middle East
By Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi/Haaretz
For Israel, chaos is ultimately a good thing. It means that the Islamists and
other hostile forces will be too distracted by infighting to focus any attention
on fighting Israel.One year after the ousting of Hosni Mubarak as president of
Egypt, what conclusions can we draw regarding the ongoing wave of unrest in the
Middle East and North Africa?
Around this time last year at the Herzliya Conference, the Israeli historian
Prof. Martin Kramer lambasted the Obama administration for taking the view that
the "status quo" in the region was no longer sustainable, and even went so far
as to accuse the U.S. government of "throwing Mubarak under the bus." Yet
Kramer's critique was off the mark even then, for the fact is that the "status
quo" - that is, the apparently stable order imposed by strongmen that prevailed
in the Middle East and North Africa prior to the outbreak of the so-called "Arab
Spring" - was never sustainable. The unrest that has come upon and now
characterizes the region can be compared to a tidal wave: It is simply
unstoppable.
The United States could no more have saved Mubarak than President Nicolas
Sarkozy could have saved the former Tunisian dictator Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali,
whom the French government was eager to see retain power even as mass protests
erupted in Tunisia. By promulgating the notion that the Obama administration
threw Mubarak "under the bus," Kramer was inadvertently echoing the thoughts and
intellectual legacy of a scholar whom he rightly took to task in his book "Ivory
Towers on Sand": Edward Said.
The writings of Said - especially his best-known book, "Orientalism" - have
unfortunately disseminated a patronizing view that in the Arab world,
responsibility both for what goes wrong and for setting things right rests on
the shoulders of Western powers.
What led to Mubarak's resignation in Egypt was not that the U.S. government had
somehow abandoned him, but rather that the military, feeling the heat of mass
protests, carried out a de facto coup. The same is true of Ben Ali in Tunisia,
although there the military has now chosen to withdraw from politics.
In any case, a widespread problem with analysis of current developments in the
Arab world is a tendency to impose false dichotomies. For instance, on the
subject of Egypt's future, too much ink has been wasted on asking whether that
country will emerge as a full-blown Islamist state or a healthy democracy. In
fact, it is time to appreciate that a new norm will be dominating the region:
chaos. Too often, commentators overlook demography, economy, tribal affiliations
and climate change in their assessments of current and likely future trends.
For example, in Egypt, the ongoing protests in Tahrir Square have brought the
economy to a grinding halt. Besides considerable decreases in tourism revenue
and deleterious labor strikes, Bedouin tribes are stirring up trouble in Sinai,
having taken over the Aqua Sun holiday resort - once a favorite destination for
Israelis - at the end of last month with demands for a ransom of $660,000.
More generally, with a rapidly growing population of over 80 million, huddled
around the Nile in an area that is only some 2.5 times the size of Israel, and
with sharp divisions among political parties regarding how to solve the economic
crisis facing the nation - Egyptians will continue to be quick to anger, having
realized that the overthrow of Mubarak has led to no real improvement in quality
of life, triggering a vicious cycle of further unrest. Likewise, few have
noticed that Syria looks set to face a Malthusian-style collapse in the event of
the fall of Bashar Assad's regime. The Sunni heartland is likely to succumb to
the demographic and environmental pressures that helped trigger the uprising in
the first place.
A traditionally pro-natalist policy on the part of the government has meant that
the tribally dominated peripheries of Syria in particular have witnessed rapid
population growth, especially among the armed tribes of Deir ez Zor, which
contains most of Syria's dwindling oil reserves.
With Assad gone, these tribes will surely demand their fair share of oil
revenues, potentially triggering another "periphery versus center" conflict like
those that have characterized much of this country's uprising so far, or leaving
the rest of Syria with less to spend on itself - above all as regards net
importation of petroleum and oil products.
In addition, the suburban slums of Syria's major cities are teeming with
hundreds of thousands of displaced migrants, owing to climate change and severe
water shortages, with 500,000 people displaced from areas inhabited by the Inezi
tribe in eastern Syria because of drought caused by shifts in rainfall patterns.
In 2007-8, 160 villages in northern Syria were abandoned for the same reasons.
All this significantly increases the possibility that the country will fall
apart once Assad goes, especially when one factors in sectarian tensions that
have plagued cities like Homs.
For Israel, chaos is ultimately a good thing. It means that the Islamists and
other hostile forces will be too distracted by infighting to focus any attention
on fighting Israel. As for policy, Israel need only adopt a strong deterrence
strategy. That is, to issue a stern warning that any foreign aggression will be
met with severe retaliation, and act on such a warning should such aggression
arise. Deterrence, however, must be consistent.
In the meantime, we must accept that chaos will be the main trend in the region
for quite some time, rather than constantly fret over false "liberal democracy
vs. Islamist theocracy" dichotomies.
**Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi is a student at Brasenose College, Oxford University,
and an adjunct Fellow at the Middle East Forum. His website is http://www.aymennjawad.org.
Report: U.S. drones flying over Syria to monitor
crackdown
By Zvi Bar'el and DPA/Haaretz
Pentagon officials say drones used to gather evidence to make case for
international response; 40 Turkish intelligence officials captured in Syria,
Assad regime claims Israel's Mossad trained them. The United States is flying
unmanned reconnaissance planes over Syria to monitor the regime's escalating
crackdown on dissent, U.S. defense officials told NBC television on Saturday.
The drones are being used to gather evidence on the Syrian security forces'
violence against pro-democracy protesters that can be used to "make a case for a
widespread international response," the U.S.-based broadcaster quoted the
unnamed officials as saying.The Pentagon officials stressed that the U.S. is not
preparing the ground for a military intervention, but is simply collecting
evidence of President Bashar Assad's crackdown on protesters.
There was no official comment from Syria on the report.
The West has ruled out a Libya-style military intervention in Syria to stop 11
months of bloodshed.
Meanwhile, there have been disagreements regarding what action must be taken
against Syria. Turkey refuses to set up buffer zones for civilians on its border
with Syria, and demands that the transfer of equipment and medicine be done via
the sea and not through its territory.
France, on the other hand, maintains that such buffer zones must be on land and
will anyhow spill over the Turkish border.
While the Syrian army continued to attack Daraa and Homs with tanks and heavy
artillery, large protests also took place in Damascus, as well as Aleppo, a city
which hasn't taken part in anti-regime protests regularly thus far.
The resolution passed by the United Nations General Assembly condemning Syria,
supported by 137 countries, has not impressed the Syrian regime which is only
escalating its war against the opposition and widening its war zones. Russia
continues to come to aid of the Assad regime with weapon shipments, and on
Friday two Iranian warships passed through the Suez Canal on the way to Tartus
port in Syria.
Western officials fear that Iranian military presence along with Russian aid
could turn Syria into a center of international friction much worse than the
struggle inside Syria. They fear that the control over actions in Syria will be
taken over by a Russian-Iranian "partnership" which would exclude the European
Union and Turkey and that U.S. involvement could be too late and inefficient.
Turkey fears this development after a diplomatic crisis erupted with Syria when
more than 40 Turkish intelligence officers were captured by the Syrian army.
Over the past week, Turkey has been conducting intensive negotiations with Syria
in order to secure their freedom, and Syria insists that their release will be
conditioned on the extradition of Syrian officers and soldiers that defected and
are currently in Turkey.
Syria also conditioned the continuation of the negotiations on Turkey's blockade
of weapon transfers and passage of soldiers from the rebels' Free Syria Army
through its territory. It also demanded that Iran sponsor the negotiations of
releasing the Turkish officers.
Turkey, who mediated several weeks ago between the Free Syria Army and Iran to
secure the release of several Iranian citizens who were captured by the rebels,
rejects Syria's demands, and for this reason Turkish sources believe that Turkey
will soon decide on hardening its stance on Syria.
Syria, on the other hand, has recently published "confessions" that it allegedly
gathered from the Turkish officers that they were trained by Israel's Mossad,
and were given instructions to carry out bombings to undermine the country's
security. According to the Syrians, one of the Turkish officers said that the
Mossad also trains soldiers from the Free Syria Army, and that Mossad agents
came to Jordan in order to train al-Qaida officials to send to Syria to carry
out attacks.