Bible Quotation for today/"In
the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God
John 01/01-18: "In the beginning
was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God. He was in the
beginning with God. All things came to be through him, and without him
nothing came to be. What came to be through him was life, and this life was
the light of the human race; the light shines in the darkness, and the
darkness has not overcome it. A man named John was sent from God. He came
for testimony, to testify to the light, so that all might believe through
him. He was not the light, but came to testify to the light. The true
light, which enlightens everyone, was coming into the world. He was in the
world, and the world came to be through him, but the world did not know him.
He came to what was his own, but his own people did not accept him. But to
those who did accept him he gave power to become children of God, to those
who believe in his name, who were born not by natural generation nor
by human choice nor by a man's decision but of God. And the Word became
flesh and made his dwelling among us, and we saw his glory, the glory as of
the Father's only Son, full of grace and truth. John testified to him and
cried out, saying, "This was he of whom I said, 'The one who is coming after
me ranks ahead of me because he existed before me.'" From his fullness we
have all received, grace in place of grace, because while the law was given
through Moses, grace and truth came through Jesus Christ. No one has
ever seen God. The only Son, God, who is at the Father's side, has revealed
him.
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters
& Releases from miscellaneous sources
The Gulf: In the midst of the storm/By Ali
Ibrahim/Asharq Al-Awsat/December
26/12
Egypt: The implication of voting “yes”/By
Dr. Hamad Al-Majid/Asharq Alawsat/December
26/12
Lebanon and
the value of dialogue/By Dr. Robert Chahine/December
26/12
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for December 26/12
Gunmen kill six in northeast Nigeria church attack
Pope urges end to bloodshed in Christmas message
Iran, Hizballah setting up terror squads to perpetuate
Syrian war post Assad
Audeh Hopes State Would 'Work for Everyone, with
Everyone for Lebanon's Salvation'
Al-Rahi Calls on Parties to Engage in Dialogue to Confront
Current Challenges
Sleiman: Parties should attend Jan. Dialogue
session
Families of Kidnapped Pilgrims Hold Sit-in near
Presidential Palace
Report: Hariri May Return to Lebanon Given March
14 Accord with Berri
Qabbani likely to postpone council elections
Bassil’s call for refugees explusion draws fire
March 14 will respond positively to Berri
Rai urges rivals to settle elections law row
Makdissi in U.S., helping intelligence agencies
Report: CIA Helped Makdissi Flee to U.S. after
Crossing into Lebanon
Syria rebels kill intelligence officer, clashes rage: activists
Syrian regime 'has no future' says US
Female Afghan police attacker is Iranian: government
Egypt approves new constitution drafted by Mursi allies
8 killed in Yemen clashes
Brahimi meets opposition, Gulf urges transition
GCC leaders call for unity
Gulf States Lash Out at Iran, Urge Rapid Syria Transition
Iran, Hizballah setting up terror squads to
perpetuate Syrian war post Assad
http://www.debka.com/article/22634/Iran-Hizballah-setting-up-terror-squads-to-perpetuate-Syrian-war-post-Assad-
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 25, 2012/Tehran is developing
its own plans for continuing the Syrian war and maintaining its grip on the
country – even as Washington and Russia press on with secret discussions on the
fate of Syrian president Bashar Assad, backed by UN-Arab League envoy Lakhdar
Brahimi’s mediation efforts in Damascus. Tuesday, Dec. 25, the envoy said after
meeting Assad that he would stay on for another six days in the hope of
persuading the parties to end their bloody hostilities.
At the same time, Iran is putting its military and intelligence assets in place
ready for the day after Assad’s departure.
debkafile reports: In the opinion of Saudi intelligence chiefs who attended the
two-day GCC summit in Manama Monday and Tuesday, Iran has drawn up plans to
sabotage any deal Washington and Moscow may pull off between Assad and the
rebels for ending their war and incapacitate any transitional regime set up to
replace the Assad presidency.
Those sources report that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has already
issued directives to Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the Al Qods Brigades (Iran’s
external intelligence and terrorist arm), for perpetuating the Syrian conflict
by means of a terrorist network spread across the country and operating in
conjunction with local militias.
“These militias,” said one Saudi intelligence source, “all depend on Hizballah
for their supplies of weapons, explosives, funds and intelligence.”
Their task together with the terrorist cells will be to keep Syria in a constant
state of warfare and so prevent any central government in Damascus from
exercising its authority after Assad’s exit. There will be one secure island in
the havoc: a fortified enclave in the capital. This setup will resemble the
fortified palace compound in Kabul where Afghan President Hamid Karzai is
barricaded, or Baghdad’s Green Zone in which Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al
Maliki is protected. Iran’s Hizballah design for Syria borrows heavily from
Soleimani’s al Qods program for Iraq in the years 2003-2007.
Then, Tehran used its terrorist squads under Hizballah’s guidance to
systematically derail US control of the country. They generated violent mayhem
for the purpose of rendering any pro-Western regime rising in Baghdad
unsustainable and forced it to make way for a government dependent on Tehran.
Today, Iraq’s prime minister is reduced to a measure of dependence that leaves
him powerless to stop the Iranian airlift bound for Syria transiting his
country’s airspace and sends him running to Tehran for approval before every
change of policy. The Supreme Leader is believed by Saudi intelligence to have
condemned post-Assad, post-war Syria to a version of this scenario and blocked
any chance for the US and the West to extricate the country from Iran’s
clutches, whether the Syrian ruler stays or goes.
Five years after performing for Tehran in Iraq, Hizballah has been recast for
the return show in Syria - the only difference being the change in a key role.
In Iraq, Al Qods benefited from the services of Hizballah’s late military chief
Imad Mughniyeh, who was assassinated in Damascus in February, 2008. His
successor is Wafiq Safa, a kinsman of Hizballah Secretary General Hassan
Nasrallah, who is already working in Syria with the commander of Iranian forces
in Lebanon, Gen. Hossein Mahadavi,.Saudi intelligence is deeply pessimistic
about the next stage of Syria’s future. They envisage Bashar Assad sticking it
out in Damascus and pretty soon giving the order to launch chemical and
biological warfare against the insurgency and Syria’s close neighbors.
Audeh Hopes State Would 'Work for Everyone, with
Everyone for Lebanon's Salvation'
Naharnet/Greek Orthodox Archbishop of Beirut Elias Audeh lamented on Tuesday the
current state of affairs in Lebanon, wondering “where the country is being taken
given all the burdens it is being made to support.”
He said during Christmas mass: “The state should work for everyone, with
everyone for Lebanon's salvation.”
Lebanon is being made to serve personal interests at the expense of national
ones and those of its people, he added during the mass held at St. Georges
Cathedral in downtown Beirut.
“The main problem lies in powers seeking solutions to disputes at the expense of
the other,” noted Audeh.
“They are unaware that the collapse of one side will affect everyone,” he
stressed.
“Dialogue, partnership, and accepting the other are the basis of building a
solid productive society,” he remarked.
Addressing the people, he urged them to realize the dangers threatening Lebanon,
calling on them to drive away darkness from their hearts.
“Let us work together in eliminating all that harms our nation,” he declared.
He hoped that the occasion of Christmas would push powers towards abandoning all
that is hindering communication between them.
“Let us all, officials and citizens, cooperate together in various sectors for
Lebanon's salvation,” said Audeh.
He stressed the need for redemption and punishment for work at administrations
be rectified “because that way we would have taken one step forward towards
reform that is sought by all sides.”
Al-Rahi Calls on Parties to Engage in Dialogue to Confront
Current Challenges
Naharnet /Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi urged on Tuesday Lebanese rival
parties to resume the national dialogue to overcome the crises in the country.
“The Lebanese people are waiting for politicians to resolve their disputes and
gather around the dialogue table to confront the current challenges locally,
regionally and internationally,” al-Rahi said during the Christmas mass that was
held at Bkirki. He called on politicians to courageously attend all-party talks
as they shouldn't “fear the sacrifices that they will offer by attending
dialogue, for nations are molded on sacrifices by those who want to serve the
public.” The next dialogue session is set for January 7. The March 14 opposition
has boycotted all government and parliamentary activity linked to the elections,
however, it made concessions by announcing earlier this month that it would end
its boycott of the parliamentary subcommittee to discuss an electoral law ahead
of the 2013 polls. Lebanon plunged in a political crisis in October after the
opposition blamed the government for the assassination of Internal Security
Forces Intelligence Branch chief Wissam al-Hasan. The opposition demands the
resignation of the government as a condition to ending its boycott and the
formation of a national salvation cabinet. The Christmas mass was attended by
President Michel Suleiman, first lady Wafaa Suleiman and other officials.
Sleiman: Parties should attend Jan. Dialogue session
December 25, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: President Michel Sleiman urged Tuesday Lebanese political rivals to
attend the National Dialogue session scheduled for early January and called for
the release of the nine Lebanese pilgrims who are being held in Syria. “All
relevant participants must come to the [National] Dialogue session on Jan. 7...
If they don’t, let them offer me alternatives,” said Sleiman, following a closed
meeting with Cardinal Beshara Rai in Bkirki.
Stressing the need for the all-party talks, Sleiman cited what he described as
the major achievements of previous Dialogue sessions, including the “Baabda
Declaration.”
"Dialogue resulted in Baadba Declaration, even those [this agreement] was
violated at times. It also led to talks on the country's defense strategy and
the issue of the regulation of arms," said the president.
Sleiman added that National Dialogue benefited the country through helping
political parties overcome their differences.
The head of the state added that there was no justification for boycotting the
all-party-talks by any of the rival March 8 and March 14 camps.
“Last time, boycotting dialogue was under the pretext of the false witnesses
file and that didn’t make any sense,” said Sleiman. “Now, the boycott aims at
toppling the Cabinet and I can’t see the link between the two issues,” he added.
Sleiman’s efforts earlier this year paved the way for the relaunch of National
Dialogue which was later boycotted by the opposition in October following the
assassination of a top security official.
The March 14 alliance has also called for the resignation of Prime Minister
Najib Mikati’s government and for the formation of a neutral Cabinet to oversee
the upcoming parliamentary elections.
Sleiman also said Tuesday that the elections must be held on time and voiced
support for the electoral draft law of proportional representation endorsed by
the Cabinet.
“The constitution and international charters stipulate elections must be held on
time and I prefer the proportional representation draft law suggested by the
Cabinet,” said Sleiman.
However, the president said the elections should not be held on time even if the
law endorsed by the Cabinet doesn’t get approved.
“If the electoral law endorsed by the Cabinet doesn’t get adopted, that
shouldn’t mean we should evade adopting a new law to abolish elections,” he
said. “Power rotation, within any law, would be better than not holding the
elections,” added the president.
Syrian regime 'has no future' says U.S.
December 25, 2012/Daily Star
DAMASCUS: Peace envoy Lakhdar Brahimi held "constructive" talks in Syria with
President Bashar al-Assad, as Washington warned Monday that his regime's days
are numbered.
As jihadists seized an area populated by the embattled leader's Alawite
community, the opposition National Coalition accused Damascus of committing a
"massacre" of dozens of civilians in the bombing of a bakery.
The United States condemned the "vicious" attack in which at least 60 people are
reported to have been killed in a regime air strike on a bakery in the town of
Halfaya, in the central province of Hama on Sunday.
"Brutal attacks such as these show that this regime has no future in Syria,"
acting State Department spokesman Patrick Ventrell said in a statement.
"Those that commit atrocities will be held accountable. The United States calls
on all parties that continue to assist the regime in executing its war against
the Syrian people to end their support," he added.
As violence raged in flashpoints across Syria, some 1,000 people attended
Christmas mass in Damascus, praying for peace to return nearly two years into an
uprising that has killed tens of thousands.
Heba Shawi said she hoped "the smile comes back to children's faces" during the
festivities, which other church-goers admitted would be much more low key than
usual.
Hours earlier, Brahimi, the UN and Arab League envoy to Syria, met with Assad,
who described the talks as "friendly and constructive".
"I had the honour to meet the president and as usual we exchanged views on the
many steps to be taken in the future," Brahimi said, while labelling the crisis
as "worrying" given the scale of the bloodshed.
More than 44,000 people are estimated to have been killed since the eruption in
March 2011 of the uprising that morphed into an armed insurgency when the Assad
regime unleashed a brutal crackdown on dissent.
On Monday alone, at least 119 people were killed nationwide, including 38
civilians, said the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.
Brahimi, who last visited Syria on October 19, expressed hope "all parties are
in favour of a solution that draws Syrian people together".
"Assad expressed his views on the situation and I told him about my meetings
with leaders in the region and outside," said the veteran Algerian diplomat who
took over the position from former UN chief Kofi Annan.
Assad said his "government is committed to ensure the success of all efforts
aimed at protecting the sovereignty and independence of the country", state
television reported.
The official SANA news agency blamed the bakery killings on an "armed terrorist
group" -- the regime term for rebels -- saying "many women and children" had
died.
The National Coalition, recognised by many countries and groupings as the
legitimate representative of Syrians, blamed Assad's regime for the "massacre"
in Halfaya, saying it "targeted children, women and men who went out to get
their scarce daily bread ration".
Meanwhile in Hama, the Observatory said the Al-Nusra Front and other jihadist
groups on Monday overran large parts of the village of Maan populated by
Alawites, the offshoot of Shiite Islam to which Assad belongs.
Rebels last week launched an all-out assault on army positions across Hama, home
to a patchwork of religious communities, the Observatory said.
Activists accused Assad's regime of unleashing killer gas bombs in the central
city of Homs.
The Observatory said six rebels died in Homs on Sunday night after inhaling "odourless
gas and white smoke" emanating from bombs deployed by regime forces in clashes
with rebels.
"These are not chemical weapons, but we do not know whether they are
internationally prohibited," Observatory director Rami Abdel Rahman told AFP.
Russia, one of the few staunch allies of Syria, downplayed fears of chemical
weapons being deployed.
"I do not believe Syria would use chemical weapons," Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov told English-language television channel RT. "It would be a political
suicide for the government if it does."
Meanwhile, rights watchdog Amnesty International condemned the regime's transfer
of civilians to military courts, and urged action to ensure Syria's courts meet
international fair trial standards.
Rai urges rivals to settle elections law row
December 24, 2012/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Rival Lebanese politicians need to agree on a new elections law as well
as form a new government to oversee next year’s parliamentary elections,
Maronite Cardinal Beshara Rai urged Monday on the occasion of Christmas Eve.
“Partners in Lebanon’s political disputes should be peacemakers and should take
the initiative to issue a new elections law instead of the law of 1960 which is
at the core of our conflicts,” Rai said in his Christmas address to the Lebanese
people.
“[They should also] form a new government capable of running the country to
oversee calm elections on time,” he added.
Work on a new elections law was halted in October after opposition lawmakers
boycotted legislative subcommittees, including the one looking into several
electoral proposals to replace the 1960 law based on the qadaa and a
winner-takes-all system. Formed in early October, the subcommittee was tasked
with studying the type of the electoral system and the distribution of electoral
districts in the absence of Cabinet members or representatives.
The boycott came after the Oct. 19 assassination of a top intelligence chief in
a bid to add further pressure on the current Cabinet to resign.
The opposition has also called for the formation of a neutral government to
oversee next year’s polls.
Efforts have been ongoing between Speaker Nabih Berri and March 14 lawmakers to
resume the discussions on the electoral draft laws despite the opposition’s
boycott.
The March 14 alliance will respond positively to Berri’s proposal for resuming
discussions on a new electoral law, former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora told The
Daily Star Sunday, a move that raised hope for an agreement on a draft law under
which the 2013 polls would be held.
Berri has called on March 8 and March 14 MPs to resume talks on a new electoral
legislation before the end of the year, while stressing that elections,
scheduled in June next year, be held on time.
In his address Monday, Rai also said that the new cabinet should also be
committed to putting forward an economic and political plan that safeguards
Lebanon from the repercussions of the Syria conflict.
The new cabinet should also keep Lebanon neutral from regional and international
conflicts, the Maronite cardinal added. “Lebanon and the East need a peace
offered from God but one that is made by man so that our countries can step away
from violence, terrorism, homelessness and immigration as well as the injustices
of dictatorship,” Rai said. He noted that injustices in the region were rooted
in a lack of respect for life and dignity of human beings.
Rai also said that Christmas offered an opportunity for change. “Christmas day
is the start of a new era and an end to all that is old in our lives,” he said,
adding that Middle Eastern countries were suffering the pain of transforming
into better societies while facing developments that could pull them backward.
“These countries need moderation and democracy where there is alteration of
power, reform, diversity in thought and politics,” he said.
“[These countries need] democracy that guarantees freedom of religion and
speech, that separates church and state,” he added.
Syria’s Makdissi in U.S., helping intelligence agencies:
report
December 25, 2012/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: American intelligence officials secured safe passage for Syrian Foreign
Ministry spokesman Jihad Makdissi to the United States, Britain’s The Guardian
said in a report published Tuesday. According to the daily, the U.S. officials
helped Makdissi flee to Washington in late November after the Syrian official
made his way from his home country to the Lebanese capital Beirut. The paper
said it learned that Makdissi was granted asylum to the United States and was
now co-operating with U.S. intelligence. There have been conflicting reports as
to the whereabouts of Makdissi. The pro-Syrian government newspaper Al-Watan
said in early December that Makdissi took a sanctioned leave for three months,
following reports of the diplomat's resignation. Lebanon’s Al-Liwaa said in a
report last week that Makdissi was in the U.K. but the British embassy in Beirut
has denied the claim.
Lebanon and the value of dialogue
By Dr. Robert Chahine/Lebanonwire
Dialogue by definition is a process that allows opponents, adversaries and even
enemies to discuss issues and problems that are subject to important
disagreements and which may result in risky confrontation. The objective of
dialogue is to seek solutions for difficult and dangerous problems by smooth and
peaceful mechanisms. The process usually helps find some form of compromise that
allows the participants to avoid violence or any form of negative or
catastrophic outcomes. When issues are not amenable to reasonable and timely
solutions, dialogue may at a minimum allow the postponement of any risky
confrontation, with the hope that some future developments may ease the tensions
and allow solutions to emerge.
Since the Syrian official exit from Lebanon in 2005 dialogue has been, on and
off, a major component of Lebanese political life. During the presence of its
army and intelligence apparatus inside Lebanon, Syria in some way functioned as
a power broker and acted as a judge in solving problems, or tactfully imposing
solutions. When political leaders could not agree among each other, they knew
that sooner or later a Syrian verdict may emerge and settle the issue in
contention.
After the Syrian army left Lebanon, the State was weak and had to adjust to the
presence of a strong and powerful armed Lebanese resistance and a number of
armed Palestinian groups outside its control. Divided leaders wisely decided to
address these issues via dialogue, initially under the guidance of the Speaker
of Parliament and subsequently under the leadership of the legitimately elected
Lebanese President. To our understanding, the main issue for dialogue was to
develop a “defense strategy” for Lebanon that will not sacrifice or confront the
well armed Lebanese resistance, but will recuperate the full authority of the
Sate in making the crucial decisions regarding war or peace.
For multiple reasons, some obvious and other tactfully hidden, the dialogue
could not succeed in reaching the desired goals. In fact, it never progressed to
effectively addressing the most needed solutions, but had to focus largely on
lesser targets, cosmetic options or delays and postponements of possible
confrontations. The dialogue, nevertheless, reached a full agreement on the
disarming of Palestinian elements outside the official camps. Despite the
consensus reached in that regard, that decision was never implemented. Each of
the deeply divided Lebanese political groups blamed the other side for the
failure of implementation.
The tragic developments on the Syrian scene which, to date, have resulted in the
loss of more than 40,000 lives, brought new elements to the Lebanese dilemmas.
Deeper divisions ensued between the two main political groups: the pro Syrian
regime (March8) and the anti-regime, pro revolution (March 14) coalitions. One
camp is said to provide fighters and training to help the regime and the other
is accused of supplying arms and logistics to the revolutionary forces. The
current government which officially wisely distanced itself from the Syrian
violent confrontations includes within its ranks elements with opposing views
regarding the Syrian problem. It is obviously finding it difficult and may be
impossible to implement its so called neutrality concept. And since it is
dominated by March 8 elements, it has been frequently accused of supporting the
Syrian regime. More recently, when General Wisam Al Hasan was assassinated, the
opposition did not just stop at criticizing the government’s failure to prevent
such horrible crime, but went further to accuse it of complicity and demand its
resignation.
Thus, as stability in Syria continues to deteriorate, the divisions in Lebanon
are deepening and the tensions increasing and moving ever closer to the
possibility of a risky and dangerous outcome. Long time ago we appealed to
Lebanese leaders to avoid involvement in Syria’s violent confrontations, since
it seemed clear to us that nobody in Lebanon could significantly influence the
outcome. We believed that Lebanon should only participate in any initiative, if
it became available, which will try to stop the killings through dialogue and
possible compromise. The opposing political groups in Lebanon each thought that
our thinking can only help the side they did not like in Syria, because they
believed the side they like was about to win in days or weeks. At the time of
our initial appeal, the lives lost in Syria were believed to be between 3000 and
6000. Now, with 5 to 10 times more lives lost, are we closer to a real solution
or a clear outcome? We have more concerns now that some evil forces may be
trying to turn the conflict in Syria into a violent Sunni- Shia confrontation.
Very recently the Syrian Sunni Vice President appealed on the record for a
compromise and some form of unity government as the only possible solution to
avoid a prolonged and debilitating conflict that can completely destroy Syria.
We are in no position to judge or determine the value or chances for success of
such thinking. We only can say that we wish the best for the Syrian people and
we want the killing to stop today before tomorrow, if possible. The
interferences of the big players in Syria have not been constructive, and to
date, have contributed to making the situation worse. We can only wish that
small Lebanon does not contribute to worsening the situation through more Sunni-Shia
tensions. We hope that the moderates in Lebanon from all religions and sects,
who we believe are an overwhelming majority, will work intensively and
selflessly towards a smooth and harmonious Shia-Sunni relationship that will
serve as model for other countries where tensions exist and help protect them
from disasters or catastrophes. We strongly warn against any carelessness or
evil fifth column which may create in Lebanon a spark that could ignite the
unthinkable confrontation.
While the problem of “arms outside the control of the state” remains unresolved,
newer issues, with fast approaching deadlines are emerging. These are primarily
related to the upcoming parliamentary elections. The current opposition groups
are requesting the formation of a new independent government, constituted by non
candidates who will have no problem being impartial towards the parties
participating in the election process. This request is very legitimate and such
principle has been respected with good results in 2005, in the first elections
that occurred after Syria’s official departure from Lebanon. The current Prime
Minister is concerned about resigning and creating a prolonged vacuum, judging
by the time it took to form new governments after the Syrian departure. This
concern is realistic and the most reasonable possible solution is to promptly
restart a focused dialogue under the leadership of the independent Lebanese
President. The newer desirable government should be promptly discussed and
agreed upon, while keeping in mind the date of the upcoming parliamentary
elections. The current government should be ready to resign when its replacement
is ready. The other related issue is the new electoral law. Both Mach 8 and
March 14 groups agree that neither the 1960 nor the 2000 laws are suitable. Any
of the laws being currently discussed may be better. The President may have a
reasonable chance to guide the dialogue towards reaching consensus on the law
that may assure the best representation and not just secure an advantageous
result for one party or the other.
It is understandable that some opposition leaders are disappointed by the
previous dialogue experience to the point that they are now refusing to
participate. Their disappointment may be explained by the dialogue’s failure to
address appropriately the problem of the “arms outside the control of the
State”. However the issues of a better electoral law and new independent
impartial government are now more pressing and may not necessarily be as complex
and as difficult as the issue of the resistance arms. More importantly, if no
dialogue is initiated to address these issues, what is the alternative and what
price will Lebanon and its democracy have to pay?
The biggest obstacle to successful dialogue may be the outside influences that
make it difficult for some leaders to sort out the interest of Lebanon from
those of other countries that provide support and financing. We therefore appeal
to all Lebanese Leaders to examine their conscience and give priority to their
own country’s survival and prosperity ahead of any narrow selfish or outside
interests. In view of current regional and worldwide developments, a good
consensus agreement among the various political ideologies in Lebanon, may allow
the country to reach a level of independence never attained before, in resent
history. The upcoming exploitation of Lebanon’s oil and gas resources may bring
unimaginable wealth and prosperity from which all the Lebanese population will
benefit. Consensus will facilitate and speed the development of these resources
and no party in Lebanon will further need to seek foreign financial aid, which
never comes without political strings, regardless of its source. Failure to seek
consensus through dialogue may delay and possibly thwart the development of
these vital economic resources and keep the country at risk of war and
devastation.
**Dr Robert A. Chahine, President, American Lebanese Foundation, www.alfusa.org
Gunmen kill six in northeast Nigeria church attack
December 25, 2012/Daily Star
KADUNA, Nigeria: Gunmen killed six people at a church in northeast Nigeria early
on Tuesday, the third year running that Christmas services have come under
deadly attack in the country, the military said.
The strike took place after a Christmas Eve midnight service outside the town of
Potiskum in northeastern Yobe state, where Islamist sect Boko Haram has carried
out several attacks this year.
"Unknown gunmen attempted to attack Potiskum but were repelled by the troops.
While they were fleeing, they attacked a church in a village known as Jiri,"
said military spokesman Eli Lazarus, who confirmed that six people were killed.
Members of Boko Haram have killed hundreds in a campaign to impose sharia law in
northern NIgeria.
The group killed dozens in a series of bombings across northern NIgeria on
churches on Christmas Day last year, mirroring similar attacks in 2010 which
killed more than 40. This year the police and army pledged to protect churches,
boosting security in major northern towns and cities and restricting people's
movement.
At least 2,800 people have died in fighting in the largely Muslim north since
Boko Haram launched an uprising against the government in 2009, watchdog Human
Rights Watch says.
Potiskum, which lies in Boko Haram's northeastern stronghold, has been one of
the areas worst affected by the insurgency. Security experts believe Boko Haram
is targeting worshippers to spark a religious conflict in a country of 160
million people split roughly equally between Christians and Muslims.
Many churches in Nigeria's biggest northern city, Kano, and elsewhere in the
north were almost empty for Christmas Day services on Tuesday, local residents
said.
Two people were killed in separate attacks on Tuesday in Kano, a police source
said. He said gunmen riding motorcycles killed the driver of a government worker
and another civilian.
Pope Benedict used part of his Christmas message to the world on Tuesday to
highlight the need for reconciliation in Nigeria, saying "savage acts of
terrorism continue to reap victims, particularly among Christians".
The Gulf: In the midst of the storm
By Ali Ibrahim/Asharq Al-Awsat
It is estimated that the Gross Domestic Production [GDP] of Gulf Cooperation
Council [GCC] states may reach as high as $1.5 trillion in 2013, depending if
oil prices remain at $100 per barrel. This is consistent with the expectations
of the oil market based on international levels of supply and demand.
If we take current global standards into account, which talk about a state’s
power and ability to influence according to the size of its economy and the per
capita income of its citizens as well as the extent of its economy’s
development; these figures grant a clear picture that we are talking about an
economic force to be reckoned with on the international level, as well as in
terms of regional standards.
The GCC is holding its 33rd summit in Manama whilst this organization has always
focused on regional economic integration and market openness along the lines of
what we have seen in Europe. The GCC’s march has passed through a significant
period of volatility, perhaps most noticeably as a result of the severe decrease
in oil prices which GCC state economies relied upon, particularly in the 1980s,
not to mention various international financial crises. In addition to there,
there are the fluctuations in the global economy that have had both negative and
positive repercussions on all economies tied to the global market; however these
have ultimately been positive and the citizens of the 6 GCC states have
benefited from this in terms of movement, labour or investment. The markets and
economies of the GCC states have expanded and developed to the point that they
are now dealing in figures reaching tens of billions of dollars per day!
Politically, the storms have raged on, and this is in a turbulent region that
has always been beset by crises. Indeed, the establishment of the GCC in 1981
took place amidst the Iran – Iraq war, which itself was accompanied by the
so-called Gulf “Tanker” war. Following this we witnessed the gravest threat,
namely Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, which was followed by the war to liberate the
country. Following this, we saw the so-called Second Iraq War [2003], as well as
numerous other regional crises with military dimensions, whether we are talking
about Gaza, Lebanon or Yemen. This is not to mention the threat of terrorism,
particularly following the 9/11 attacks.
We have now witnessed the latest political storm, namely the wave of change that
beset some Arab states beginning two years ago, including key states. The
repercussions of this wave are on-going, including chaos and instability, whilst
violence is on-going in Syria, along with Iranian attempts to exploit these
fluctuations and events to serve Tehran’s regional agenda.
This may not be the first storm that GCC states have co-existed with,
particularly if we take into account the previous crises, however the nature of
this crisis represents a different challenge in light of the state of fluidity
that has been created in the region and which remind us of the circumstances
that characterized the beginning of the 20th century.
Without a doubt, the projects that are currently being discussed by the GCC
summit to achieve a Gulf Economic Union, as a prelude to establishing a single
currency and a unified political and security policy will place the 6 GCC member
states in a better position to positively influence their geographic
surroundings, and assist the region to safely pass through this storm with the
least damage possible.
Egypt: The implication of voting “yes”
By Dr. Hamad Al-Majid/Asharq Alawsat
The fact that nearly 64 percent voted “yes” on the new Egyptian constitution has
wider implications than the mere approval of a legal reference for the country
in its post-revolution phase. This comfortable percentage also gives us a clear
indication of the outcome of the forthcoming parliamentary elections. Based on
the results of the constitutional referendum, the Islamist trends could control
between 60 and 70 percent of parliament, and it is noteworthy in this regard
that the results of constitutional referendum were contrary to what the
opposition trend had envisioned, namely that the Egyptian street would turn on
President Mursi and the Islamist trends that supports him after his
controversial constitutional decrees. The National Salvation Front imagined that
their relative success in mobilizing some demonstrations on the Egyptian street
– although these never reached the stage of a million man march – would change
the public’s mind, as evidenced by the fact that the opposition finally decided
to participate in the vote and urged the Egyptian people to vote “no”. This was
a rational and calculated decision on the part of the opposition, but the
majority of the Egyptian people refused to respond to them, and these are the
rules of the democratic game.
The referendum has also exposed the failure of the Egyptian opposition in
relying on the media as a weapon to change the point of view of the Egyptian
street, and mobilize it against the president’s decrees. The overwhelming
majority of Egyptian satellite stations and newspapers, in their programs,
investigations, interviews and articles, were inclined towards opposing the
president and the group to which he belongs. In a study conducted recently on
talk shows aired on 15 private Egyptian channels, the results showed that 93
percent of relevant airtime was inclined towards the opposition against
President Mursi. Remarkably, the results of this study show that 68 percent of
relevant airtime on state television was also used to air content opposing the
president and his decisions. However, the Egyptian people have spoken and
displayed a degree of awareness and ability to make their own decisions in a
relatively independent manner from the influence of others.
Now it is the turn of President Mursi and the Islamist groups that support him
to be gracious in victory. The people have had enough of political bickering
from both sides and now it is time, for the victor in particular, to show
modesty and sit with the opposition and listen to what they have to say. I
imagine that President Mursi’s decision to appoint 90 new members to the Shura
Council – 75 percent of whom do not belong to Islamist trends – represents a
step in the right direction. Victory in an election does not mean that one can
seize everything, as the president saw for himself with the severe reactions
following his audacious and dangerous constitutional decrees, due to which the
country almost fell into a whirlpool of violence and mistrust and nearly fell
apart.
The most important question is: what’s next? What happens now that the curtain
has been brought down on the issue of the constitution? Will this also bring the
curtain down on the political crisis that the country is going through? Or is
there more to come? In a poll published by the Egyptian newspaper “Akhbar al-Yaom”,
those who voted “yes” on the constitution said that they believed that this
would lead the way towards building a state of elected institutions, beginning
with the transfer of legislative power from the president to the Shura Council
and the cancelling of the constitutional declarations. This would be followed by
elections for the People’s Assembly and then the Shura Council, in turn
stimulating the wheel of production in Egypt. On the other hand, if the
opposition continues their state of hostility and embitterment towards the
emerging Egyptian government, or continues to call to overthrow the president,
then this means that the country will be caught in an endless whirlpool. This
would cause the country to slip into a dangerous situation without any
justification, requiring military intervention and the exclusion of both the
Islamists and the National Salvation Front, ultimately eliminating all the major
changes that took place as a result of the 25 January revolution.
Gulf States Lash Out at Iran, Urge Rapid Syria Transition
Naharnet/The six Gulf states sharpened their tone against their Shiite neighbor
Iran on Tuesday, demanding an immediate halt to its "interference" in their
internal affairs while urging a rapid political transition in its ally Syria.
Concluding a two-day summit in Manama, the Gulf Cooperation Council members
voiced support for Bahrain's Sunni minority regime while lashing out at Tehran,
which they accuse of fueling a Shiite-led uprising in the host country last
year. In a joint statement, the GCC countries said they "reject and denounce"
Iran's "continued interference" in their internal affairs.
They added that Tehran must "immediately and completely stop these actions and
policies that increase regional tension and threaten security and stability".
The six states -- Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, and the United
Arab Emirates -- also condemned Iran's "continued occupation of the three
Emirati islands" of Abu Moussa, Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb, which lie in the
strategic Strait of Hormuz entrance to the Gulf. In addition to the dispute over
the islands, relations between Iran and most GCC states have been further
strained since Gulf troops rolled into Bahrain last year to help put down the
Shiite-led protests. The regional powers have also taken opposite stances
towards the Syrian crisis. While Tehran has openly supported President Bashar
Assad's regime, GCC members Saudi Arabia and Qatar have called for arming rebels
fighting regime loyalists.
In their Tuesday statement, the GCC monarchies expressed "deep sadness over the
continued shedding of blood by the regime and the destruction of cities and
infrastructure, making political transition a demand which must be rapidly
implemented." They also urged the international community "to make a quick and
serious move to end massacres" in Syria and provide humanitarian assistance to
the people.
Kuwait's emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmed al-Sabah announced Monday a donor conference
on behalf of civilians caught up in the Syrian conflict to be held on January 30
at the request of the United Nations.
The GCC states also affirmed their support for the newly-formed opposition
National Coalition "as the legitimate representative of the Syrian people."
The statement meanwhile welcomed a decision by Yemeni President Abdrabuh Mansour
Hadi to restructure the army and the defense ministry, purging them of relatives
and cronies of former strongman Ali Abdullah Saleh. The Gulf states had strongly
backed a political deal reached last year in which Saleh resigned following a
year-long uprising in the Arabian Peninsula's poorest nation. The GCC called on
"all components of the Yemeni people" to participate in a national dialogue
after it failed to take place last month when southern separatists refused to
join the talks. The dialogue is part of the transition period, as per the
Gulf-backed deal.
The summit had opened Monday with a call for closer economic integration and
unity in the face of the turmoil which has swept much of the Middle East and
North Africa. In the closing statement, the meeting said the GCC states had
decided to accelerate the process of integrating the economic gap between member
states and had approved a security treaty, while announcing the creation of a
unified military command. No further details were given. Four of the six heads
of state did not attend the annual gathering. King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia is
convalescing after a back operation in November, while Qatar sent its crown
prince, the United Arab Emirates its vice president, and Oman its deputy prime
minister.The next summit will be held in Kuwait.