LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
December 09/2011
Bible Quotation for today/Jesus
Condemns Their Hypocrisy
Matthew 23/13-23: "How terrible for you, teachers of the Law and Pharisees! You
hypocrites! You lock the door to the Kingdom of heaven in people's faces, but
you yourselves don't go in, nor do you allow in those who are trying to enter!
How terrible for you, teachers of the Law and Pharisees! You hypocrites! You
sail the seas and cross whole countries to win one convert; and when you
succeed, you make him twice as deserving of going to hell as you yourselves are!
How terrible for you, blind guides! You teach, If someone swears by
the Temple, he isn't bound by his vow; but if he swears by the gold in the
Temple, he is bound. Blind fools! Which is more important, the gold or the
Temple which makes the gold holy? You also teach, If someone swears by the
altar, he isn't bound by his vow; but if he swears by the gift on the altar, he
is bound. How blind you are! Which is the more important, the gift or the altar
which makes the gift holy? So then, when a person swears by the altar, he is
swearing by it and by all the gifts on it; and when he swears by the Temple, he
is swearing by it and by God, who lives there; and when someone swears by
heaven, he is swearing by God's throne and by him who sits on it. How terrible
for you, teachers of the Law and Pharisees! You hypocrites! You give to God one
tenth even of the seasoning herbs, such as mint, dill, and cumin, but you
neglect to obey the really important teachings of the Law, such as justice and
mercy and honesty. These you should practice, without neglecting the others
Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from
miscellaneous sources
Has the Arab
League fallen into the hands of the Gulf?/By Tariq Alhomayed/November 08/11
In Egypt: Who
wins?/By Hussein Shabokshi/November 08/11
Do the Egyptian
Salafists believe in democracy?/By Ali Ibrahim/November 08/11
Conspiring with
the Damascus regime/By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed/November 08/11
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for
November 08/11
US's military restraint on missing
spy drone bolsters Israel's Iran hawks
U.S. presidential candidates slam Obama's Israel, Iran policy at Republican
Jewish Coalition
U.S. envoy: Washington closely coordinating with Israel on Iran
US Republicans urge covert ops against Iran, Syria
Syria
says pipeline blown up by rebel saboteurs
IDF: Gaza strike killed terrorist planning attack on Egypt border
Von Hebel Expects STL Trial to Begin in 2012
Assad says only "crazy" leaders kill own people
U.S. Says Assad 'Disconnected from Reality' or 'Crazy'
Safadi to U.S.: arming military decreases
Hezbollah's role
Maronite bishops welcome Mikati’s decision to fund STL
FPM should refrain from making unrealistic demands: party officials
US will back Lebanese Army: Feltman
Mikati says no row with
Hezbollah over STL
Hariri: I openly and proudly support Syria's uprising
Feltman resumes talks
in Beirut
Feltman to Israeli Daily: Hizbullah Imposes Will Through Force
Report: Baabda Snubbed Feltman
Feltman Stresses Need to Maintain Cooperation with STL, Hopes Syrian Crisis Will
End Peacefully
Feltman:
US worried about regional impact of Syrian crisis
Sleiman: Arab Spring benefits Lebanon
Lebanon looks to capitalize on foreigners of Lebanese descent
Lebanese Cabinet Adopts Alternative Wage Hike Decree, Rejects Nahhas'
Lebanese Cabinet approves, GLC rejects hike
Liban Lait Owner Kidnapped at Gunpoint in Bekaa
Suleiman Travels to Armenia
Lebanon's Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Ashraf Rifi is ‘Man of the
Year 2011’
Aoun Says his Bloc’s Ministers to Attend Cabinet Session but Leaves Door Open to
All Options
Nahhas criticizes
Cabinet over wage hike
Lebanese
Bankers play down
Moody’s downgrade
Wood leads Lebanon to opening win
Syrian security halts border movement
Assad says only "crazy" leaders kill own people
December 07, 2011/Daily Star
By Douglas Hamilton
BEIRUT: Syrian President Bashar Assad has denied ordering his troops to kill
peaceful demonstrators, telling the U.S. television channel ABC that only a
"crazy" leader kills his own people.
Assad is under mounting international pressure, including a threat of sanctions
from the Arab League, over a crackdown on nationwide anti-government protests in
which the United Nations says more than 4,000 people have been killed. "We don't
kill our people ... No government in the world kills its people, unless it's led
by a crazy person," ABC's website Wednesday quoted Assad as saying in a recorded
interview. "Most of the people that have been killed are supporters of the
government, not the vice versa," Assad said. Syrian activists say around a
quarter of the more than 4,500 deaths they have recorded in nine months of
protest have been among the security forces. Most foreign media have been
excluded from Syria, making it hard to verify events independently.
The Arab League has threatened to impose sanctions on Syria unless armed forces
are verifiably withdrawn from towns and cities and a political dialogue is
opened with opposition representatives. Major Western powers as well as
neighbors Turkey and Jordan are calling on Assad to step down. U.S. Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton said on Tuesday that Washington and its NATO allies wanted
Assad to make way for a government ready to establish the rule of law and
protect "the rights of all citizens, regardless of sect or ethnicity or gender".
Peaceful protests against Assad, inspired by the Arab Spring in Tunisia and
Egypt, were met with massive force as soon as they began in March. Now Syria is
creeping closer to civil war as armed opposition groups organise and move into
some city districts.
Assad conceded that some members of his armed forces had gone too far, but said
they had been punished. "Every 'brute reaction' was by an individual, not an
institution, that's what you have to know," he told ABC's Barbara Walters.
"There is a difference between having a policy to crack down and between having
some mistakes committed by some officials," he said. "There was no command to
kill or be brutal." Asked if he regretted the violence that has beset his
country, he said he had done his best to "protect the people". Assad repeated
that he was introducing reforms and elections, but said the changes could not be
rushed: "We never said we are a democratic country ... we are moving forward in
reforms, especially in the last nine months ... It takes a long time, it takes a
lot of maturity to be a full-fledged democracy."
He said the mounting international effort to impose sanctions on Syria would
have little effect. "We've been under sanctions for the last 30, 35 years. It's
not something new," Assad said.
"We're not isolated. You have people coming and going, you have trade, you have
everything." U.S. State Department spokesman Mark Toner was quoted in U.S. media
as saying it was "ludicrous" that Assad was "attempting to hide behind a sort of
shell game and claim he does not exercise authority in his own country".
Russia and Algeria both called for the Arab League peace plan, which Syria says
it is considering, to be given time.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov noted that months of effort to secure
agreement on a regional plan had now finally started a handover of power in
Yemen.
"The same kind of patience, the same kind of responsibility need to be exercised
in relation to the realization of the plan of the Arab League in Syria," he told
reporters after attending a meeting in Lithuania of the Organization for
Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).
Algerian Foreign Minister Mourad Medelci told lawmakers in Paris that Syria was
in a "pre-civil war situation".
"Today we are in a situation where we are putting pressure on the Syrian
government and, on the other hand, talking to the opposition to create the
conditions for dialogue," he said.
"Outside of this dialogue, this transition will not happen. We must give the
maximum chance to this Arab initiative."
Syria's state news agency SANA said an "armed terrorist group" had shot dead an
army pilot on Tuesday in front of his home in the city of Homs, scene of some of
the worst violence.
On Tuesday, SANA had reported that Syrian border guards had blocked an attempt
by about 35 "armed terrorists" to enter from Turkey.
It said some of those who came over the border were wounded and escaped back to
Turkey where they were picked up in Turkish military vehicles, SANA said.
Relations between Syria and Turkey have disintegrated since Syria began using
force to suppress the revolt. Turkey has said a buffer zone may be required on
its 900-kilometers border with Syria if the violence causes a mass exodus of
Syrians.
Feltman to Israeli Daily: Hizbullah Imposes Will Through Force
Naharnet /U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Jeffrey
Feltman reportedly said that Hizbullah would resort to violence whenever it
dislikes a certain situation. “Hizbullah is a terrorist organization that
participated in the elections,” Feltman told the Israeli Yedioth Ahronoth
newspaper on Thursday.“But when they dislike the status quo, they impose their
will through force and violence,” he reportedly said. Feltman’s comments came as
he arrived in Beirut on Wednesday on a two-day visit for talks with top Lebanese
officials. Sources close to Hizbullah told pan-Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat that
Feltman is visiting Beirut to put new conditions on the Lebanese government
after Lebanon paid its share of funds to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon. They
said that Washington had threatened Premier Najib Miqati to impose Security
Council sanctions on Lebanon if it had failed to fund the STL that is set to try
ex-Premier Rafik Hariri’s suspected assassins.
Report: Baabda Snubbed Feltman
Naharnet /Baabda Palace has reportedly snubbed visiting U.S. Assistant Secretary
of State for Near Eastern Affairs Jeffrey Feltman after the failure of President
Michel Suleiman to meet with any U.S. official during his visit to New York in
September.An Nahar daily said Thursday that the presidential palace did not set
a date for talks between Suleiman and Feltman as a retaliation to the failure to
hold any meeting between the Lebanese head of a state and U.S. officials on the
sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly in September.
But informed sources said no date was set between the two officials due to
Suleiman’s scheduled visit to Armenia on Thursday.
The visiting diplomat held talks with Premier Najib Miqati and Democratic
Renewal Movement leader former MP Nassib Lahoud on Wednesday. An Nahar said that
he had dinner with former Minister Michel Khoury and several
intellectuals.Feltman handed Miqati a letter from Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton in which, according to the newspaper, she expressed “gladness” that the
premier had transferred Lebanon’s share of funds to the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon. “I appreciate the steps that you have taken as prime minister to stress
that Lebanon is committed to its international obligations,” An Nahar quoted
Clinton as saying in the letter. The implementation of “Security Council
Resolutions 1559 and 1701 in addition to the full cooperation with the STL fall
in Lebanon’s interest and contribute to regional stability,” she said.Clinton
reiterated the U.S. commitment to the independence and sovereignty of Lebanon.
On Thursday, Feltman held talks with Speaker Nabih Berri and Progressive
Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat and will later meet with March 14 leaders
over dinner.
IAF strike kills senior militant in Gaza
Palestinian sources claim two killed, six injured in car explosion in Gaza City;
IDF says aircraft targeted al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades senior militant who planned
terror attacks in Israel
Roee Nahmias Latest Update: 12.08.11, 14:32 / Israel News Targeted killing in
the heart of Gaza City – Israel on Thursday killed Assam Subahi Ismail Batash, a
senior militant who organized terror attacks carried out by assailants who were
infiltrated into Israel from the Sinai Peninsula.Palestinian security officials
said a car carrying three people exploded near a public garden in Gaza City,
killing at least two people and injuring six. IDF officials confirmed that Air
Force aircraft attacked a vehicle carrying BatashEyewitnesses reported seeing
the two men being pulled out of the white vehicle.
Batash, IDF officials claimed, was a senior figure in the al-Aqsa Martyrs'
Brigades, and was behind an imminent terror attack in the south.
Officials said Batash was also involved in several attacks in which terrorists
from Gaza were smuggled into Sinai and then infiltrated back into Israel through
the border. In January 2007 he organized a suicide bombing in Eilat that killed
three Israelis. Batash was also involved in several botched attacks, in which he
tried to smuggle terrorists and arms into Israel. . According to Maan
Palestinian news agency, the blast occurred in a car that was parked near the
Gaza municipality building on Umar al Muhtar street in the center of the city.
Adham Abu Salima, an official in the Health Ministry, said the explosion set the
car on fire and also wounded six bystanders.
On Wednesday, Israeli aircraft attacked terror cells in two separate locations
in north Gaza. Palestinian sources said one of the cells, which belonged to
Islamic Jihad's armed wing, was holed up in a building in Gaza City's Zeitun
neighborhood, not far from the border fence separating Israel from the Hamas-ruled
territory.The IDF Spokesperson's Office said the terror cells were preparing to
launch rockets towards Israeli army forces. The office said IDF forces who took
part in the strike identified hits and thwarted the rocket fire.
Safadi to U.S.: arming military decreases Hezbollah's role
December 08, 2011/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Finance Minister Mohammad Safadi told U.S. Congress that Hezbollah's
role as an armed resistance in defending Lebanon would become moot if the
country’s army was fully equipped and capable.“The decline in the military role
of Hezbollah is correlated with the ability of the Lebanese Army to defend
Lebanon's territory,” Safadi told members of Congress during an official visit
to Washington Wednesday, according to his press office. “And this requires
equipping the army with appropriate weapons so it can be the only guarantee for
security in the country,” he added.
Safadi's remarks came during a meeting with members of the House of
Representatives committee responsible for discussing and allocating aid to
countries.
In a meeting with U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern
Affairs Elizabeth Dibble, the minster urged the U.S. to support Lebanon
politically, reiterating Lebanon’s request for the U.S. to equip the Lebanese
Army with “arms needed to preserve stability and reinforce the state's authority
through its legitimate powers.”
“Our government does not fall under orders of any country and it is not true
that it is a Hezbollah captive,” Safadi told the congressional committee, adding
that Hezbollah, which the U.S. designates as a terrorist organization,
represented Lebanese in Parliament and Cabinet. The U.S. has provided around
$100 million annually in military aid to Lebanon since 2005, although the funds
were temporarily put on hold last August. U.S. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton
had promised Prime Minister Najib Mikati that the U.S. will continue its
assistance to the Lebanese Army.
Lebanese Army Commander Gen. Jean Kahwagi traveled to the U.S. in October on an
official visit to request the continuation of the military aid program to
Lebanon.
“I realize that some recommendations have suggested lowering U.S. aid to
security and educational institutions but I am confident that representatives of
the American people in Congress will not do anything that would hurt the
interests of the Lebanese people without a reasonable right,” Safadi said.
There was fear that the U.S. would cut military aid to Lebanon after Hezbollah
and its allies gained a majority in the government earlier this year. However,
Lebanese officials have been urging the U.S. to continue the funding and
attempting to assure the U.S. that Hezbollah does not control the government.
“The current Lebanese government is a coalition government which enjoys
representation in Parliament and has a reform and development program and has
proven its ability to commit to Lebanon's international obligations,” the
finance minister said.
Maronite bishops welcome Mikati’s decision to fund STL
December 08, 2011/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The Council of Maronite Bishops welcomed Wednesday the government’s
decision to finance the U.N.-backed Special Tribunal for Lebanon, thus avoiding
a confrontation with the international community. “The bishops welcomed the
overcoming of the crisis over the funding of the STL which warded off the
specter of a crisis with the international community and a government crisis in
Lebanon and eliminated a threat to stability as many had warned,” according to a
statement released after the council’s monthly meeting chaired by Maronite
Patriarch Beshara Rai at the Maronite patriarchate’s seat in Bkirki, north of
Beirut.“They look forward for the government to shoulder its responsibility and
tackle the unresolved issues, particularly the issue of public appointments in
vacant posts and security, social and economic affairs,” said the statement,
which was read to reporters by the secretary of Maronite patriachate priest
Rafik al-Warsha.
Prime Minister Najib Mikati, facing mounting local and international pressures
to honor Lebanon’s commitments to U.N. resolutions, including the one pertaining
to the STL, last week transferred Lebanon’s $32.6 million share to the
tribunal’s annual budget, overriding opposition from Hezbollah and its March 8
allies.
Mikati’s decision has been welcomed by the U.S. and other Western states, the
Netherlands-based STL and the opposition March 14 parties.
The row over the STL’s funding had sharply split the government and put its fate
into jeopardy after Mikati threatened to resign if the Cabinet failed to approve
the payment of Lebanon’s share to the tribunal.
Referring to the wave of popular uprisings currently sweeping the Arab world,
the Maronite bishops supported the peoples’ right to determine their fate and
choose the form of rule that suits them. However, they warned of the threat of
turmoil in Syria creating tension in Lebanon.
While viewing with interest the major changes that are taking place in the
region, the Maronite bishops voiced concern over the deteriorating security
situation in Syria, fearing a drift toward more violence.
“They reminded that supporting the issues of Arab brothers cannot be attained by
shifting the tension and divisions to inside Lebanon, but by adhering to the
requirements of the National Pact, preserving the ‘Lebanese particularity,’
respect of plurality and acceptance of the other,” the statement said.
Despite the great efforts made by security forces to maintain calm, the bishops
voiced their concern over security incidents.
“The firing of rockets from the Lebanese border [toward Israel], explosions,
thefts and ugly crimes against innocent people are incidents that raise anxiety
as if Lebanon has no sanctity or border,” the statement said. It added that the
bishops reminded government officials that the state’s sovereignty cannot be
divided or compromised.
Referring to repeated riots in crowded prisons, the bishops called on the state
to draw up a clear policy to improve conditions in prisons and exercise justice
by acting on cases of people left in prison for months and years without a
trial. The bishops called on the government to take action on the socioeconomic
crisis, including the wage hike issue and soaring prices, and to ensure water
and electricity supplies. They welcomed a draft law tackling the repatriation of
Lebanese who were forced to flee to Israel after 2000.
US's military restraint on missing spy drone bolsters
Israel's Iran hawks
DEBKAfile Special Report/ December 8, 2011/
The Obama administration's decision after
internal debate not to send US commando or air units into Iran to retrieve or
destroy the secret RQ-170 stealth drone which fell into Iranian hands has
strengthened the hands of the Israeli faction which argues the case for striking
Iran's nuclear installations without waiting for the Americans to make their
move.
Senior Israeli diplomatic and security officials who followed the discussion in
Washington concluded that, by failing to act, the administration has left Iran
not only with the secrets of the Sentinel's stealth coating, its sensors and
cameras, but also with the data stored in its computer cells on targets marked
out by the US and/or Israeli for attack.
debkafile’s military sources say that this knowledge compels the US and Israel
to revise their plans of attack for aborting the Iranian nuclear program.
Like every clandestine weapons system, the RQ-170 had a self-destruct mechanism
to prevent its secrets spilling out to the enemy in the event of a crash or
capture. This did not happen. Tehran was able to claim the spy drone was only
slightly damaged when they downed it.
The NATO spokesman claimed control was lost of the US UAV and it went missing, a
common occurrence for these unmanned aircraft.
The enigmas surrounding its capture continue to pile up. How did Iran know the
drone had entered its airspace? How was it caused to land? Most of all, why did
the craft's self-destruct mechanism which is programmed to activate
automatically fail to work? And if it malfunctioned, why was it not activated by
remote control?
Thursday, Dec. 8, The New York Times and the Wall Street Journal reported that
from Sunday, Dec. 4, when Tehran announced the stealth drone's capture, the
Obama administration weighed sending special commando forces into Iran from
bases in Afghanistan to bring the downed aircraft back to Afghanistan or blow it
up to destroy the almost intact secret systems - either by a sneak operation or
by an air strike.Iranian officials said the drone was detected near the Iranian
town of Kashmar, 200 kilometers from the Afghan border and presumably moved to a
military or air base inside the country. The NYT disclosed that the special
force would have used "allied agents inside Iran" to hunt down the missing
aircraft, the first time Washington has admitted to support from "allied agents"
operating covertly in Iran.
In the end, the paper quoted a US official as explaining that the attack option
was ruled out "because of the potential it could become a larger incident." If
an assault team entered the country, the US "could be accused of an act of war"
by Tehran.
The Obama administration's internal discussion on how to handle the loss of the
high-value reconnaissance drone was followed tensely in Jerusalem. The decision
it took against mounting a mission to recover or destroy the top-secret Sentinel
was perceived in Israel as symptomatic of a wider decision to call off the
covert war America has been conducting for some months against Iran's drive for
a nuclear bomb – at least until the damage caused by RQ-170 incident is fully
assessed.
A senior Israeli security official had this to say: “Everything that’s happened
around the RQ-170 shows that when it comes to Iran and its nuclear program, the
Obama administration and Israel have different objectives. On this issue, each
country needs to go its own way.”
Feltman: US worried about regional impact of Syrian crisis
December 7, 2011 /US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs
Jeffrey Feltman on Wednesday told Prime Minister Najib Mikati in a meeting that
Washington is concerned about developments in Syria and their regional impact.
“[Feltman] highlighted US concerns that developments in Syria not contribute to
instability in Lebanon or in other countries in the region,” according to a
statement issued by the US Embassy in Lebanon. He also told Mikati that
Washington wants to strengthen Lebanon and its institutions. “[The US recognizes
the Lebanese army’s] importance in serving as Lebanon’s sole legitimate defense
force, securing Lebanon’s borders and defending the sovereignty and independence
of the state.” The envoy also delivered to Mikati a letter from US Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton expressing Washington’s welcoming of Lebanon’s transfer of
funds to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon. Feltman voiced the importance of
“Lebanon’s continued cooperation with the [STL],” the statement added. Mikati on
November 30 transferred the funds to the UN-backed STL, a source of political
tension in Lebanon since its creation. Feltman served as the US ambassador to
Beirut from 2004 to 2008.
-NOW Lebanon
U.S. will back Lebanese Army: Feltman
December 08, 2011/By Hasan Lakkis/Hussein Dakroub The Daily Star
BEIRUT: A senior U.S. official praised Lebanon’s decision to pay its share to
the U.N.-backed Special Tribunal for Lebanon as “a very positive sign” for the
international community, saying Wednesday that Washington would support the
Lebanese Army to secure its borders with its neighbors.
Jeffrey Feltman, U.S. assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs,
also voiced U.S. concerns that the current turmoil in Syria would lead to
instability in Lebanon or other countries.
Feltman spoke to reporters after holding talks with Prime Minister Najib Mikati
at the Grand Serail. He arrived in the country earlier Wednesday and met with
senior officials to discuss the political and security situation in Lebanon,
developments in Syria, and other regional issues, according to a statement
released by the U.S. Embassy.
During the meeting with Mikati also attended by U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Maura
Connelly, Feltman delivered a letter from U.S. Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton “welcoming Lebanon’s action to fund the Special Tribunal for Lebanon.”
“He noted the importance of Lebanon’s continued cooperation with the tribunal
and of Lebanon upholding its international obligations under United Nations
Security Council Resolutions 1559 and 1701,” the statement said.
In her letter to Mikati dated Dec. 5, Clinton welcomed his announcement about
transferring $32 million to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, “thus fulfilling
Lebanon’s funding obligations to the tribunal for 2011.” “I appreciate the steps
you have taken as prime minister to ensure that Lebanon complies with key
international commitments,” she said. “Vigorous implementation of U.N. Security
Council resolutions, including Resolutions 1559 and 1701, and full and
unequivocal cooperation with the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, are in Lebanon’s
interests and contribute to regional stability.”
“The U.S. government remains committed to an independent and sovereign Lebanon,
free of extremist influences,” Clinton said. “We will continue to support this
objective, including through our assistance programs, in cooperation with your
office and other Lebanese stakeholders.”
Feltman also renewed the United States’ commitment to a stable, sovereign and
independent Lebanon. “Ambassador Feltman underscored the U.S. Administration’s
support to strengthening Lebanon and Lebanon’s institutions, including the
Lebanese Armed Forces, recognizing its importance in serving as Lebanon’s sole
legitimate defense force, securing Lebanon’s borders and defending the
sovereignty and independence of the state,” the embassy statement added.
There have been reports about the smuggling of arms and sending fighters from
the Lebanese border into Syria to help protesters against the violent crackdown
launched by Syrian security forces and reported Syrian incursions into Lebanon
to chase Syrian nationals.
Feltman discussed regional developments with Mikati, consulting with him on a
range of issues, including the 8-month-old popular uprising in Syria against
President Bashar Assad.
“Ambassador Feltman shared the grave concerns of the United States for the
people of Syria and our desire to see the Syrian government end its brutality
against them immediately,” the statement said. It added that Feltman highlighted
“U.S. concerns that developments in Syria not contribute to instability in
Lebanon or in other countries in the region.”
Given the sharp split between the rival Lebanese factions on the situation in
Syria, there are fears that the turmoil in Syria could spill over into Lebanon.
While the Hezbollah-led March 8 alliance supports the Assad regime, the
opposition March 14 parties have expressed solidarity with Syrian pro-democracy
protesters demanding Assad’s ouster.
Speaking to reporters at the Grand Serail, Feltman described his meeting with
Mikati as “very good.”
Referring to Mikati’s decision last week to transfer Lebanon’s $32 million share
to the STL’s budget, Feltman said this decision was “a very positive sign for
all of us as an international community with regard to Lebanon’s continuing and
firm respect of international obligations.” He said Mikati’s move was taken on
the basis of serving Lebanon’s interest.
The row over the STL’s funding had sharply split the government and put its fate
into jeopardy after Mikati threatened to resign if the Cabinet failed to approve
the payment of Lebanon’s share to the tribunal. Hezbollah and its March 8 allies
reject the STL altogether, let alone funding it.
Feltman said he had asked to meet with President Michel Sleiman but political
sources said Sleiman refused to meet him, in a tit-for-tat move after U.S.
officials declined to meet with the president when he was in Washington in
September. Feltman said he will meet with Speaker Nabih Berri and officials from
the government and the March 14 coalition during his visit. He met Wednesday
with former MP Nassib Lahoud, head of the Democratic Renewal Movement. Feltman,
who served as ambassador to Lebanon from 2004-08, praised Arab and international
unanimity on imposing sanctions on Syria to force it to halt its violent
crackdown on protesters. He also said that Lebanon’s leadership recognizes
Lebanon’s interests regarding events in neighboring Syria.
FPM should refrain from making unrealistic demands: party officials
December 08, 2011/ By Hasan Lakkis/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Michel Aoun’s Change and Reform bloc’s decision to attend Wednesday’s
Cabinet session came after Prime Minister Najib Mikati telephoned Aoun Tuesday
evening.
The leaders discussed energizing the work of the Cabinet and the atmosphere
during the telephone conversation was positive, political sources told The Daily
Star. Prior to the conversation, contacts between the two had come to
standstill. Meanwhile, officials from Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement met
recently to discuss its recent stances, their potential effect on the group’s
supporters and on its credibility. Some FPM members called for refraining from
making unrealistic demands and even suggested making a “truce” with Mikati.
Late last month, the FPM tied its continued participation in the Cabinet to the
latter’s fulfillment of a series of demands made by the movement. These include
providing the Army with more advanced weaponry, increasing the minimum wage,
passing the draft budget on time, moving forward with development projects,
appointing civil servants and tackling the issue of the state’s public finances
account.
Senior FPM sources said that FPM ministers were updating Aoun on Mikati’s
response to these demands. For example, the sources said Mikati argues that the
implementation of a plan to boost Lebanon’s electricity sector, which was
forwarded by Aoun, must await the response of the Kuwaiti Fund for Arab Economic
Development on a request for a small loan which might come after 100 days, while
arguing that the prime minister facilitates the demands of other ministers.
The sources said that Mikati had informed Aoun through a third party that if
administrative appointments in posts typically reserved for Christians were
subject to a Cabinet vote, as proposed by Speaker Nabih Berri and favored by
President Michel Sleiman, they might have to be put to a vote two or three
times, especially as appointments in grade one require approval by two-thirds of
the ministers, a level of support that the FPM could not secure.
The sources said that while discussing this information, some FPM officials
called for exercising prudence, refraining from making demands that are
difficult to achieve or from threatening to resign or boycott Cabinet sessions,
especially as current politics in the country would not allow the FPM to make
good on its threats. The officials called for adopting a “more realistic” policy
so that FPM supporters would not be disappointed. They supported their argument
by noting that the fall of the Cabinet was unlikely to happen especially as
Hezbollah, the FPM’s ally, had sidestepped the funding of the U.N.-backed
Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which it strongly opposed, without allowing a
Cabinet collapse. Thus, despite the strong support which Hezbollah leader Sayyed
Hasan Nasrallah had expressed for Aoun’s demands in two successive speeches, the
party won’t risk the fall of the Cabinet for the sake of these demands. They
noted that after he provided the funds to the STL, Mikati’s stature had improved
on the local level and with respect to the Higher Islamic Council and Western
capitals, many of which are racing to invite him for a visit.
By paying Lebanon’s share of funds, the officials continued, Mikati had garnered
the implicit support of Saudi Arabia and Arab capitals, adding that the prime
minister’s belief that Hezbollah was in need of him and the Cabinet would prompt
him to continue his attacks on the FPM and Aoun since they were easy targets.
Also, attacking the FPM would boost the popularity of Mikati among Sunnis.
The FPM officials proposed a “truce” between Mikati and the FPM, under which the
FPM would refrain from raising demands that could not be implemented, like
sacking the acting secretary-general of the Prime Minister’s Office or trying to
undermine the prerogatives of the prime minister, until Hezbollah succeeds in
convincing all sides of the necessity of Aoun’s demands and fulfilling some of
them.
Cabinet approves, GLC rejects hike
December 08, 2011/By Mohamad El Amin/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Cabinet signed off on a long-awaited wage increase decree Wednesday,
hiking minimum wage by LL100,000 to LL600,000, salaries under LL1 million by 30
percent up to a LL200,000 increase, and salaries above LL1 million by a 20
percent increase up to LL275,000. But the government suggested that employees
who had received “consensual” salary increases from employers since Jan. 1,
2010, may not be eligible for the raise. The Cabinet also agreed to hike the
yearly education allowance to a maximum of LL1.5 million from its current LL1
million level.
The decree was passed after Prime Minister Najib Mikati proposed an alternative
to Labor Minister Charbel Nahhas’ salary package which apparently did not have
sufficient support.
Only one of the suggestions made by Nahhas was adopted by the Cabinet: It gave
approval to developing a “youth support” program, a bid to tackle the country’s
emigration problem by helping recent graduates find job opportunities in
Lebanon.
Nahhas had suggested allocating LL10 billion to the program, but is as yet
unclear how much the Cabinet intends to allocate. Most ministers favored
Mikati’s proposal with only the seven Free Patriotic Movement ministers voting
against it. Industry Minister Vrej Sabounjian voted in favor. The decision will
be implemented once the decree is signed and published in the Official Gazette,
but it would not have any retroactive effect, sources said. This means employees
could benefit from the raise by the beginning of 2012.
The transportation allowance was unchanged by the ministers, remaining at the
current LL8,000 per working day which totals to a monthly allowance of
LL176,000.
The General Labor Confederation immediately rejected the deal and threatened to
stage a general strike. Head of the GLC Ghassan Ghosn told The Daily Star they
reject outright the decree which “humiliated workers and threatened their
rights.” “We will hold a meeting of the GLC executive council tomorrow
[Thursday] and we are headed toward announcing a return to general strike,” he
warned.
A mid-October wage increase decree averted what may have become the country’s
biggest ever labor strike. It increased by LL200,000 salaries under LL1 million
and by LL300,000 salaries between LL1 million and LL1.8 million.
But the decree was later rejected by the Shura Council over the illegality of
the ceiling which excluded those who earn above LL1.8 million from the raise.
This issue was avoided at the decree issued Wednesday which gave a raise to all
employees. The Shura Council’s rejection had prompted additional deliberations
within the framework of the Price Index Committee in the hope of reaching a
settlement.
The Price Index Committee meetings failed to reach a common understanding over
the issue, prompting Nahhas to take his own suggestions to Wednesday’s Cabinet
session.
Nahhas’ bid stipulated a 17 percent increase on salaries up to LL1 million,
increasing salaries above LL1 million by LL170,000 – a figure reflecting a 17
percent increase on the first salary bracket.
The rejected bid also included a suggestion that the government should pay, on
the behalf of employees and employers, the National Social Security Fund
sickness and maternity fees, relieving employees from paying up to 9 percent of
their salaries.
The step, Nahhas says, would have prepared the way for the implementation of a
publically funded universal health care coverage for Lebanese residents.
But Nahhas said his proposals would be forwarded to the Socioeconomic Council,
headed by Mikati, for further deliberations.
A statement issued earlier by Labor Ministry said it would hike wages to more
than specified in last October’s decree rejected by the Shura Council. It lashed
out at the GLC for its failure to realize the importance of extending health
coverage. “The General Labor Confederation, which represents 10 out of 26 board
members of the National Social Security Fund, had never worked toward applying
article 12 [which calls for the extension of NSSF coverage to all Lebanese].”It
said half of Lebanese families were bearing health-care costs and were excluded
from any coverage including the NSSF.
Sleiman: Arab Spring benefits Lebanon
December 08, 2011/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: President Michel Sleiman said Wednesday that the ongoing developments in
the region will move countries in the Arab world toward a democratic political
system and would serve the interests of Lebanon. In an interview with a
Yerevan-based Armenian TV on the eve of his official visit to Armenia, Sleiman
said that countries in the region could not remain on the sidelines of the
political transformation that the world was going through as a result of
globalization. “Countries in the Arab world cannot stand outside of this
transformation and progress … the Arab world is currently going through a
transformation toward democracy and a system that Lebanon would benefit from
because it has had a democratic system for a long time,” said Sleiman.
Since the beginning of pro-democracy uprisings in Tunisia in December of last
year, three Arab presidents have been overthrown and ongoing protests in Syria
continue to call for President Bashar Assad’s departure from power. “These
developments will also result in a change in leadership,” Sleiman added. Sleiman
said that changes in the Arab world should include a change in the situation in
occupied Palestine. “It is not enough to have democracy in the Arab world, there
should also be a solution to the Palestinian struggle … who should regain their
rights in a sovereign Palestine,” said Sleiman.
Syrian security halts border movement
December 08, 2011/By Rakan al-Fakih/The Daily Star
HERMEL, Lebanon: Stricter security measures along the Lebanese-Syrian border are
bringing movement of people and economic activity between the close-knit border
areas in the two countries to a standstill. Syrian military and security
authorities have been implementing stronger security measures along the
Lebanese-Syrian border daily as Syria’s popular uprising continues, including
planting mines at many illegal crossings on the border, as well as closely
checking the identification papers of people traveling between the two
countries.
But the measures are also slowing trade, especially in the Baalbek-Hermel
region, and preventing residents of border towns and villages from securing
basic needs as the smuggling of commodities, especially fuel, has ground to a
halt.
Residents say that incidents across the border in Syria have caused panic in the
mainly Shiite villages in the Hermel area.
After a businessman from the area, Mohammad Zeaiter, was murdered in Homs where
he lived, residents say that they now refrain from visiting Syria. There are
also rumors of people setting fire to homes belonging to Shiites living in Homs
and its surrounding areas that are convincing residents to stay away from Syria.
Hussein Nasereddine, a resident of the village of Hawsh al-Sayyed Ali, a town
that sits on both sides of the Lebanese-Syrian border, says that since the
uprising, the crossings between the two parts of the village have been
completely closed.
The village would ordinarily be crowded with people and vehicles transporting
goods to and from Lebanon, Nasereddine says, adding that the village’s residents
on the Lebanese side would often secure their basic needs from Syria at a
cheaper price.
According to him, that practice ended when Syrian military and security units
established several checkpoints inside the village and its surrounding areas,
and now only allow Lebanese residents into Syria to work during the day if they
own land there. Anyone who tries to cross from one side of the village to the
other without prior permission might be shot at, he says, and family members who
live only dozens of meters apart now cannot visit one another. Meanwhile,
Mohammad Idriss, the mayor of the village of Zeita, which lies 7 kilometers
inside Syria, said that there are up to 5,000 Lebanese living in around 20
Syrian villages near the border such as Hawik, Diyabieh, Fadlieh and Safsafah.
According to Idriss, these residents have also been facing difficulty entering
Lebanon since the beginning of the events in Syria and now have to travel dozens
of kilometers to reach the legal crossing of Jousieh. Confrontations between
protesters and Syrian security forces in the neighboring cities of Homs and
Qoseir, especially those that have taken on a sectarian dimension, have caused
many residents to flee to Lebanon and settle in border villages and the town of
Hermel.
The border crossings between the town of Arsal, where the majority of residents
are Sunnis and sympathize with the Syrian uprising, and a number of neighboring
Sunni Syrian villages have been closed tightly to prevent communication between
residents of both areas, former Arsal Mayor Hussein Faliti says. According to
the mayor, dirt was bulldozed to prevent people from crossing the border and
security forces are deployed along the crossings. Faliti says that personnel at
a checkpoint at one of the crossings will shoot at any person who approaches the
border.
He recounts a recent incident when some of Arsal’s residents attempted to go to
their fields to work and were shot at by Syrian military and security units who
crossed the border more than once and fired at farmers’ homes and a number of
fishermen who were passing by. “This makes it difficult for residents of Arsal
to visit their relatives in neighboring Syrian villages,” he adds.
Overland smuggling of fuel between the two countries in the northern Bekaa area
has come to a standstill since the closing of all illegal crossings which had
been used to facilitate the transport of persons and goods. According to one
smuggler from the area, who declined to give his name, the smuggling of fuel,
mainly diesel, used to be pervasive in the border region, driven by the
difference in prices. In Syria, the price of 20 liters of diesel is around
LL9,000; in Lebanon it’s LL30,000. Up to 300 tankers, each carrying around 100
barrels of fuel, used to enter the Lebanese market daily coming from Syria, he
says, adding that half of the tankers used to pass through Hermel and north
Bekaa while the other half passed through the town of Wadi Khalid and some
crossings at the Bekaa’s eastern borders with Syria.
Fuel smuggling was a profitable activity, he explains, as it provided jobs and
income for residents of country’s economically deprived north.
Lebanon looks to capitalize on foreigners of Lebanese descent
December 08, 2011/By Justin Salhani/The Daily Star
BEIRUT: The Lebanese Football Federation has invited four players of Lebanese
descent to train with the national team to aid Lebanon in their push for World
Cup qualification, according to unconfirmed reports Wednesday.
The four are Soony Saad (playing with Sporting Kansas City, USA), Tarek Elrich
(Newcastle Jets, Australia), Adnan Haidar (Valerenga, Norway) and Abbas Hassan (IFK
Norrkoping, Sweden). The only player who confirmed the invitation to meet up
with the national team is Saad, who said via Twitter that he was invited to join
the Red Cedars and replied that he would “consider coming to play.”
Saad, 19, is a winger who has appeared with the USA under-20 national team in
the past.
Elrich, 24, plays at right back and has been reported to have played in a senior
international with Australia. His case is currently under investigation from
FIFA.
Haidar, 22, plays in midfield while Abbas, 26, is a goalkeeper.
It is thought the four players are being brought in to replace weak links in
their various positions. Saad potentially could either add another weapon to the
wings, or play wide, allowing Hassan Maatouk to play through the middle.
The goalkeeper and full back positions lack qualiy for Lebanon, hence the
contact with Hassan and Elrich.
Hariri: I openly and proudly support Syria’s uprising
December 08, 2011/ The Daily Star
BEIRUT: Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri said Wednesday that he “openly and
proudly” supports the uprising of the Syrian people, one day after Hezbollah
leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah repeated his support for the Syrian regime. “If
Hezbollah openly supports the Syrian regime, we openly and proudly support the
Syrian revolution and the Syrian people,” Hariri told his Twitter followers.
Meanwhile, lawmakers from Hariri’s Future bloc said that Nasrallah’s speech and
rare public appearance were aimed at boosting the dwindling morale of his
supporters since his regional allies “are falling” and after the funding of the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which the party had strongly opposed. “He felt
that there was a need to boost the morale of his supporters after a Cabinet,
which his party dominates, had financed the tribunal,” Minieh MP Ahmad Fatfat
told Future News. “What’s more important in Nasrallah’s speech was the [part] on
Arab affairs,” Fatfat said. “He will clearly fight by the side of President
Bashar Assad and his regime and he accuses the [Syrian] opposition of treason,
which is clear interference in Syrian affairs.”
Following a rare and short public appearance Tuesday, Nasrallah said that his
group was continuing to arm itself and would stand by Assad who is facing a
popular uprising nearing its ninth month.
“Our forces have increased and so have our arms day after day,” Nasrallah said
in a video link on the occasion of Ashura, one of the holiest occasions in
Shiite Islam which marks the martyrdom of Imam Hussein, the grandson of the
Prophet Mohammad. “This resistance and its weapons will continue to exist and
your conspiracies as well as your psychological, political and intelligence wars
will not destroy us,” Nasrallah told crowds at a packed stadium in the southern
suburbs of Beirut.
Thousands of men dressed in black applauded as Nasrallah yelled: “The resistance
in Lebanon, with its weapons and mujahideen, God willing, will continue to
exist. We will hold onto our arms … our weapons do not rust. They are being
upgraded.”
Fatfat said that Nasrallah had torpedoed dialogue when he refused to discuss the
party’s arms.
Beirut MP Serge Torsarkissian, Fatfat’s colleague in the Future bloc, commented
on Nasrallah’s statement that Hezbollah’s arms would not rust.
“We say that arms will rust because when they are not used domestically, what
will they be used for? To launch a war against Israel, this is unrealistic,” he
told al-Jadeed TV station.
During the appearance, Nasrallah, speaking from an open-air podium, told the
cheering crowd: “I wanted to be with you for a few minutes … to renew our pledge
with [Imam] Hussein who stood at this day alone in the face of 30,000
individuals.”
Nasrallah said his public appearance was a message to those who believe they can
intimidate Hezbollah.
“We tell all those who bet on scaring us or threatening us that we are the
companions of Imam Hussein, who says he will never be humiliated,” he said
before he was whisked out of Al-Raya Stadium in the southern suburb neighborhood
of Sfeir.
A good section of Nasrallah’s speech was devoted to Syria, saying that while he
supported reforms, he would “stand by a regime that has stood by the resistance
for a long time.”
“There are some who don’t want civil peace or stability and want to destroy
Syria. There are some who want to make up for their defeat in Iraq and their
inevitable loss in any change in the situation in Syria for the benefit of
Israel,” Nasrallah told the packed stadium in reference to the U.S.
“What some seek for in Syria is not reforms … but an Arab regime which is ready
to rubber stamp anything for the U.S. and Israel,” he said.
He also slammed the Syrian National Council, the main anti-Assad opposition
group, for seeking to “destroy” Syria while moving closer to the U.S. and
Israel.
“The so-called Syrian National Council, formed in Istanbul, has a leader, a
university professor by the name of Burhan Ghalioun who said a few days ago that
he wants to cut ties with Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas if they [Syrian opposition]
were able to change the regime and take over power in Syria … they are trying to
present their credentials to the Americans and the Israelis,” Nasrallah said.
Last week, the Wall Street Journal published an interview with Ghalioun in which
he said “Our relations with Iran will be revisited as [will those of] any of the
countries in the region, based on the exchange of economic and diplomatic
interests, in the context of improving stability in the region and not that of a
special relationship. There will be no special relationship with Iran.”
He said breaking the exceptional relationship with Iran after the fall of the
Syrian regime would change its relationship with Hezbollah.
Speaking to a local radio station, West Bekaa MP Amin Wehbe, from the Future
bloc, said that Nasrallah was mobilizing his supporters “which is understandable
in these circumstances when he feels that his allies are falling under the
pressure of people who are demanding freedom, and particularly in Syria.”
Wehbe said he was pained that Nasrallah congratulated the Libyans and other Arab
people for their revolutions and victories “but when speaking about Syria, he
behaved as if the Syrian people do not have the right to enjoy freedom.” He said
that Nasrallah had overlooked the fact that NATO had supported the Libyans to
oust late Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi.
On local matters, Nasrallah touched on the issue of “false witnesses” in the
case of the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
Nasrallah said the issue had caused tensions in ties between Lebanon and Syria
and called on the government to address the divisive topic.
“There is a need to resolve the issue of ‘false witnesses’ and that of the four
officers who were jailed,” Nasrallah said, referring to the four generals who
were held without charge for nearly four years before the STL probing Hariri’s
assassination ordered their release.
The Hezbollah leader also reiterated his support to the Free Patriotic
Movement’s demands to the Cabinet.
Liban Lait Owner Kidnapped at Gunpoint in Bekaa
Naharnet /Gunmen kidnapped a citizen in the Bekaa town of Hosh Sned on
Wednesday, reported the National News Agency. It said that the five kidnappers
forced Ahmed Zeidan, the owner of Liban Lait, into a black SUV and drove off to
an unknown location. They left his car, a Volkswagen, near the Liban Lait
factory where they kidnapped him. Investigations are underway to determine his
whereabouts and the reasons for the abduction. Liban Lait is one of the largest
dairy farms in Lebanon.
Lebanon's Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Ashraf
Rifi is ‘Man of the Year 2011’
Naharnet /Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Ashraf Rifi was chosen as
“Man of the Year 2011″ in a ceremony held in Dubai on Tuesday. Rifi was awarded
a Gold Medal in the field of security leadership excellence at the event
organized by the Arab Organization for Administrative Development of the Arab
League and the Academy of Excellence and Quality. The ceremony, held at Burj
Khalifa, was sponsored by Crown Prince Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum.
But his brother Sheikh Majed represented him at the event
Syria says pipeline blown up by rebel saboteurs
08/12/2011/BEIRUT, (Reuters) - A Syrian pipeline carrying oil from the east of
the country to a vital refinery in Homs was blown up Thursday in what the
official news agency SANA said was an act of sabotage by an armed terrorist
group.
Opposition activists said flames and clouds of thick black smoke were seen at
the site of the explosion in a suburb of the city, the epicenter of popular
unrest against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad that began in March.
"This is the main pipeline that feeds the Homs refinery," said Rami Abdulrahman
of the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.
The activist network also reported seven people killed in Homs Thursday by
snipers and in "random" shootings.
Popular protests began in Syria nine months ago, inspired by the wave of revolt
across the Arab world. The ferocity of Assad's crackdown on protests triggered
desertions from the armed forces, and now thousands of army defectors have
joined a guerrilla army staging hit-and-run attacks on security forces.
SANA said the pipeline was attacked in the Tal Asour area to the northwest of
the refinery on the outskirts of Homs, a city of 800,000 where -- activists say
-- about 1,500 people have been killed in the crackdown.
Video on the Internet of the purported blast site showed enormous billows of
black smoke rising above a built-up area by a railway line. A Syrian army tank
was seen close by.
The Homs refinery serves part of Syria's domestic requirement for refined oil
products. In July SANA said saboteurs blew up an oil export pipeline near Homs
which carried oil from Syria's eastern oilfields to the Mediterranean coast.
NO ORDERS TO KILL
Assad, whose family has ruled Syria for 41 years, has denied ordering his troops
to kill peaceful protesters, saying only a "crazy" leader kills his own people.
In a television interview with ABC news of the United States he distanced
himself from the actions of the security forces, saying it was not his personal
army -- a disclaimer that Washington said was simply not credible.
Assad is under growing international pressure, including a threat of sanctions
from the Arab League, to cease violent repression of protests - in which the
United Nations says over 4,000 people have been killed - and negotiate with
opponents.
Rejecting criticism of his government's action, he told ABC News that "most of
the people that have been killed are supporters of the government, not the vice
versa."
Syrian activists say around a quarter of the more than 4,500 deaths they have
recorded in nine months of protest have been among the security forces. Most
foreign media have been excluded from Syria, making it hard to verify events
independently.
HUB OF CONFLICT
Major Western powers as well as neighbors Turkey and Jordan are calling on Assad
to step down. Turkey imposed a 30 percent duty on imports from Syria Wednesday
in retaliation for a similar tax imposed on Turkish goods.
With exports of its oil effectively suspended owing to sanctions, Syria has
plenty of raw petroleum in stock but limited refining capacity, of which the
Homs installation now in a hub of the conflict is a key part.
Protesters are calling for a peaceful "dignity strike" by Syrians at the weekend
as what organizers say will be the first stage of a general campaign of civil
disobedience.
Schools, universities, shops, public transport and government services are being
urged to refuse work Sunday and close highways.
SANA said the army fought back against gunmen who tried to block the Aleppo
highway in the tense Hama district on Wednesday, killing one "terrorist."
Experts defused seven improvised bombs in Hama district, it said. An army pilot
was shot in front of his home, it said.
An activist website said an army armored personnel carrier was destroyed in
clashes between troops and defectors near the radio station in the city of
Saraqeb on the Hama-Aleppo highway. Heavy gunfire was reported in Hama city
Wednesday afternoon.
The site said three army defectors were killed in a firefight with regular army
units in a rural area of Hama and a woman was killed by gunfire in the Homs
suburb of Al-Hawla.
On the tense border with Turkey, Syrian troops opened fire in sustained bursts
Wednesday, according to residents of Turkish villages.
A member of the Syrian National Council, an exile group seeking an end to
Assad's rule, said the SNC would present a plan for a transition of power
shortly in the next few days.
"The plan will be a sort of roadmap for a peaceful transition, with article one
being that Assad has to resign and leave," said SNC member Bassma Kodmani.
"We hope that it will be supported by the Arab world and the international
community," she said during a meeting with European lawmakers in Brussels.
She warned again about the threat of civil war in Syria. "The first (objective)
is the protection of the civilian population, and putting an end to the
killings, which might bring us into a civil war, into militarization."
US Republicans urge
covert ops against Iran, Syria
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5it1YUgfwpCQXMXOh38bpdoatRZ6Q?docId=CNG.7949eeded2c785ca3f9459e7654efaa8.d1
By Olivier Knox (AFP) – WASHINGTON — Republican US presidential candidates have
redoubled their public calls for "covert" operations against Iran and Syria,
including sabotage, assassination and aid to opposition forces. Former House
speaker Newt Gingrich, who has led the calls for secret war, told a gathering of
party activists on Wednesday he would use "covert capability" to bring about
"regime replacement" in Tehran. "They only have one very, very large refinery. I
would be focused on how to covertly sabotage it every day," he told the
Republican Jewish Coalition, a group highly critical of President Barack Obama's
handling of ties to Israel. Gingrich said US policy towards Syria must be to
"replace" President Bashar al-Assad and "do everything we can, indirectly and
covertly -- but without American forces -- to help" the opposition topple his
government.
Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, who recently lost to Gingrich the
mantle of front-runner for the party's nomination to take on Obama in November
2012, called for Washington to secretly help dissidents in Iran. "We should also
have covert and overt activities to encourage voices of dissent within the
country. Ultimately regime change is what's going to be necessary in that
setting," he told the group.
One of their long-shot rivals, former senator Rick Santorum, told the same
audience he hoped US assets were behind a recent deadly explosion at a missile
base in Iran and vowed to put the world on notice of secret US operations. "We
need to say very clearly that we will be conducting covert activity to do
everything we can to stop their nuclear program. And that means using covert
activity like may have occurred at the missile site," he said. "We need to be
very clear: Any foreign scientists working in Iran on this nuclear program will
be termed an enemy combatant and will be subject -- like any other enemy
combatant, like Osama bin Laden -- to being taken out by the United States
government as a threat to this country," he said. In the same breath, Santorum
pointed to the May raid in Pakistan in which US commandos killed bin Laden to
accuse Obama of "not being able to keep a secret of anything good that he did
for even more than 24 hours."Gingrich proposed at a November 12 debate that
Washington kill Iranian scientists and disrupt Tehran's suspect nuclear program
-- "all of it covertly, all of it deniable."
In that same forum, Santorum said the United States must do "whatever it takes
to make sure" Iran does not develop a nuclear program -- then wondered whether
Washington may already be heavily involved in doing just that. "There have been
scientists turning up dead in Russia and in Iran. There have been computer
viruses. There have been problems at their facility. I hope that the United
States has been involved with that," he said. "I hope that we have been doing
everything we can, covertly, to make sure that that program doesn't proceed," he
said. Texas Governor Rick Perry suggested at a November 22 debate that
Washington had many ways to put pressure on Assad's regime -- "overt, covert,
economic sanctions.""This is the time for us to use not only sanctions, but
covert actions within Syria, to get regime change there," said Romney. "There
are people in the military that are shifting over, that are becoming part of the
rebel effort. We should support those efforts," he added.
The pronouncements of the Republican presidential hopefuls have raised eyebrows
among some career national security officials. "The chances of success go down
dramatically when you tell the world that is the major tool in your foreign
policy bag of tricks," one former senior official in Republican president George
W. Bush's White House told AFP. The official said Bush's team "took a lot of
heat for keeping secrets." The official praised Obama's "very strong national
security team," and urged Republicans not to view covert operations as "some
kind of magic elixir that will cure all of the problems."
"Yes, the Obama victory dance after the Bin Laden raid cost us the opportunity
to take full advantage of the information gathered; but do you think it would
have been different with a GOP administration? Please," said the official, who
requested anonymity in order to speak candidly.
Copyright © 2011 AFP. All rights reserved. More
Von Hebel Expects STL
Trial to Begin in 2012 2
Naharnet /The Registrar of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon Herman von Hebel
stated on Wednesday that predicting the judicial process in the tribunal is
“very difficult.”He expected however that the trial in the case of the
assassination of former Premier Rafik Hariri may begin in 2012. He stressed
however that Lebanon must continue to search for the accused and “in the
meantime, the Trial Chamber assesses whether all reasonable measures have been
taken by Lebanon.” Von Hebel made his statements during a question and answer
session he held via Twitter where he received questions from Lebanese citizens
and journalists. “If trials have to start without the accused, justice will be
ensured. Arrest warrants will remain in place during and after the trial,” he
added.
“It is for judges of Trial Chamber to decide whether all measures taken by
Lebanon are reasonable. This decision will be made public,” Von Hebel remarked.
Furthermore, it was revealed that STL Prosecutor Judge Daniel Bellemare is due
to file a report on Lebanon's efforts to arrest the accused by Thursday to which
Von Hebel replied: “The report will be submitted by the STL Prosecution to the
Trial Chamber confidentially. It is for the judges to take a decision.”
Addressing the issue of false witnesses, he tweeted: “For the STL, there are no
false witnesses since there have been no witnesses testifying in the courtroom.”
“In case of a false witness before the court, the judges can hold them in
contempt of court,” the registrar explained.
Furthermore, he said that any issues relating to individuals allegedly providing
false information to the United Nations International Independent Investigation
Commission is a matter for Lebanon and the U.N.
On the extension of the STL’s mandate, he revealed that the President of the STL
had recommended an extension of the mandate to U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon,
who will in turn decide on the extension after consulting with the Lebanese
government and U.N. Security Council. Addressing media reported linked to the
tribunal, Von Hebel said: “We need two make a distinction between leaks and
speculation. There has been lot of speculation presented as leaks about
accused.” “Second, we do recognize that there have been leaks. This was
primarily from the UNIIIC period,” he stressed.
“Stories about leaks from the STL itself have been greatly exaggerated,” he
noted.
“At any rate, any such stories won't impact judicial proceedings as the judges
will only consider evidence presented in court,” he remarked. “There are
procedures to deal with leaks and other misconduct of staff, but such procedures
are internal,” he explained. Asked about the credibility of the STL among the
Lebanese people, he replied: “It's too early to pass judgment on STL. The first
trial has yet to begin and we should be judged by the fairness of our trials.”
Asked if Hizbullah’s allegations against the STL officials have damaged the
court's reputation in Lebanon, Von Hebel responded: “We want to engage with the
public, but not engage in politics.” “The judicial work of the STL is not
influenced by political events,” he said. “Judges at the STL are independent and
impartial,” he stressed.
The court on August 17 unsealed the indictment against four Hizbullah members
accused of being involved in Hariri’s 2005 assassination. It said that Lebanon
must try harder to apprehend them.
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has said he doubted the four indictees
will ever be found and has branded the tribunal a U.S.-Israeli conspiracy aimed
at bringing down the party.
Conspiring with the Damascus regime
By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed
Asharq Al-Awsat
How do we interpret this sudden change in Iraqi policy? The Prime Minister, the
President, the Foreign Minister, the government spokesman; all of them defended
Bashar al-Assad’s regime, despite the brutal crimes that he is committing
against his own people. How do we interpret Jordan’s stance, particularly with
regards to the famous statement issued by the Jordanian monarch in which he said
that if he were in al-Assad’s position, he would resign. We can compare this to
the contradictory statement issued by the Jordanian Prime Minister in which he
opposed any actions to save the Syrian people, on the pretext that he was
against foreign intervention. How can we explain Algeria’s stance, which is
strongly defending the al-Assad regime at every summit and meeting, particularly
as Algeria was responsible for dialling back the Arab League sanctions that were
imposed on the Syrian regime, further complicating the Syrian crisis and causing
the deaths of more innocent people?
We can somewhat understand the position taken [on Syria] by certain countries,
like Lebanon. For Syria’s neighbouring Lebanon is embroiled in the situation,
and its fears of the Syrian regime are quite understandable. No one will blame
Lebanon, whatever decision it takes [on Syria], particularly as it has the bad
fortune to be in possession of a UN [non-permanent member] Security Council seat
at the same time that the Syrian revolution is taking place. As for Iraq, the
initial explanation was that it has fallen under the influence of the Iranian
regime which is pressuring Baghdad to support the al-Assad regime, and that this
is a sectarian stance, out of fear of a possible Sunni regime coming to power in
their northern neighbour. However there can be no doubt that this story of Sunni
extremists taking power in Syria is not fair to the oppressed Syrian people,
particularly as what is happening in Syria is a mirror-image of the suffering of
the Sunnis [in Iraq] during the Saddam Hussein era. It is therefore hard to
believe that the Iraqi regime – which is always referring to its own uprising
against injustice and tyranny – is supporting the Syrian regime, which is
exercising the same kind of injustice and tyranny [as Saddam Hussein]. Moreover,
one of the Iraqi Prime Minister’s aides issued a statement recently criticizing
the sanctions imposed on the Syrian regime, describing this as double-standards.
Does this make sense? Particularly as the current Iraqi government itself only
exists as the result of US sanctions and intervention [in Iraq]; therefore it is
the Iraqi government that is practising double-standards, accepting the ouster
of Saddam Hussein [via sanctions and foreign intervention], but protecting the
al-Assad government [from this], despite all the crimes it is committing against
its own people.
As for Amman, the only logic explanation for its actions is that it fears Jordan
becoming the main route for a war [in Syria] that it cannot afford. Jordan is
already suspicious that Israel is searching for a means of expelling the
Palestinians from the West Bank, viewing Jordan as an alternative home [for
them]. The new Jordanian government may also be thinking of financially
exploiting the Syrian crisis, without taking into account that the international
state of affairs today will not be as generous to them as it was for them during
the collapse of the Saddam Hussein regime.
As for Algeria, nobody seems to understand the stance taken by its leadership to
defend the worst dictators in modern Arab history; namely al-Assad and Gaddafi.
Does the Algerian leadership fear that its country will be the next to be hit by
unrest? Or is it merely opposing any action adopted by France on principle,
owing to the complicated history shared by the two countries? The Algerian
leadership – whose ambassadors are defending al-Assad – cannot justify defending
a regime that has killed thousands of people in Syria, merely because of
unjustified fears and the complicated historical relationship between itself and
France, and Arab public opinion is increasingly angered by the Algerian stance
[on Syria].
This is a very difficult period for all Arab governments, and any decision they
take [on Syria] will have implications. However the most dangerous decision
would be to remain silent on - or shall we say, conspire with - the brutal and
systematic violence that is taking place in Syria today. Silence on this issue
is something that is unforgivable!
Has the Arab League fallen into the hands of the Gulf?
By Tariq Alhomayed
Asharq Al-Awsat
Earlier this week, an official Iraqi source, speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, listed
six reasons explaining why the Nouri al-Maliki government is siding with Bashar
al-Assad. One of these six reasons was the Iraqi leadership’s fear that the Arab
League has fallen into the hands of the Gulf States! In the article, this
high-level Iraqi source said that: “due to Egypt’s absence from the Arab League
decision-making process – on account of Egypt being preoccupied with its own
internal affairs at this current time – Baghdad believes that the mandate' has
fallen into the hands of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which is directing
affairs as it sees fit”!
However what is even more interesting than this is what Dr. Naseer al-Ani, head
of the Presidential Council of the Republic of Iraq, said at the “Gulf and the
Globe” forum, organized by the Institute of Diplomatic Studies, affiliated to
the Saudi Foreign Ministry, and the Gulf Research Center in Riyadh. According to
what was published a few days ago, Dr. al-Ani called upon the GCC to play a
greater role in promoting security and stability in his country, especially in
light of the imminent withdrawal of U.S. forces, in order to prevent any
external interference and to support the Iraqi army. He also hinted towards the
unsolicited Iranian role in Iraq by saying: “there are interventions in Iraq
which everyone is aware of”. Al-Ani also revealed the state of fear with regards
to the unreadiness of the Iraqi armed forces [to deal with the security
challenges following the US withdrawal], although the Iraqi security authorities
have begun their final preparations for this. This [unreadiness] can be seen in
the inability of the current Iraqi military force to protect the country’s
airspace. Al-Ani stressed that although military deals and contracts that were
signed earlier are expected to be applied in the coming months, Iraq would not
be able to keep pace with its neighbors such as Iran and Turkey!
How can we explain this Iraqi contradiction? The right question is; who should
we believe in Iraq? Those who say that [Gulf-Iraqi relations] run deep and we
are their brothers, or those who stand with Bashar al-Assad’s Baathist regime on
the grounds that Nouri al-Maliki, for example, lived in Syria for 16 years? If
al-Maliki himself called on the United Nations [UN] to intervene against Bashar
al-Assad, and form a commission of inquiry into his regime following the famous
bombings in Baghdad nearly two years ago, how can al-Maliki - or his government
- begrudge the Syrian people calling on the UN Security Council to protect them
from the suppression they are facing at the hands of the al-Assad regime and the
Shabiha [militia], particularly as more than 4,000 Syrians have now been killed
by the al-Assad regime? Is there any explanation for the position of the al-Maliki’s
government, other than abhorrent sectarianism and the implementation of Iran’s
agenda? This is even worse when one considers that al-Maliki himself attacked
the Gulf States because of their stance on Bahrain, and the same applies to the
Sadrists who organized demonstrations in Iraq against the Gulf and Bahrain, and
amazingly some even carried the Bahraini flag in Iraq on the day of Ashoura!
Indeed, Iraq’s predicament is not because of its neighboring countries, and not
because the Arab League has fallen into the hands of the GCC, as they say,
because in the end, the people of the Gulf are Arabs as well. Iraq’s real
predicament stems from the sectarian regime that is governing it and which is
implementing Iran's agendas, highlighted recently in Iraq’s stance towards the
Baathist regime of Bashar al-Assad, even though the current Iraqi regime
brazenly attacks its domestic opponents on the grounds that they are Baathists!
This is the truth no matter how some in Iraq try to trick the Iraqi people, or
us.
In Egypt: Who wins?
By Hussein Shabokshi
Asharq Al-Awsat
Politicians and analysts continue to try to interpret the current electoral
scene in Egypt. They attempt to define and describe the principal causes for the
results of the first phase of the elections which shows a big win for the
religious parties, namely the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party,
the Salafists Al-Nour Party, the Muslim Brotherhood offshoot al-Wasat Party, and
the al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya’s Construction and Development Party. The results
showed that the Muslim Brotherhood and their Freedom and Justice Party were well
prepared for the election battle. The sizable experience they have accumulated
over the years, their benefitting from the experience of others, not to mention
their efforts to ensure that they get the best out of all their experience and
expertise seems to have clearly paid off for the Muslim Brotherhood.
However, the recent election successes cannot be attributed to the Muslim
Brotherhood's great thinkers and intellectuals such as Hassan al-Banna, Sayyid
Qutb, or even Abul Ala Maududi, a sheikh who had a considerable influence upon
the Brotherhood, albeit indirectly. Rather, it is more appropriate to attribute
the Muslim Brotherhood’s success to someone like Michael Porter, an
internationally renowned expert in the art of marketing; responsible for
producing various means and tactics for garnering influence in the business
world. The Brotherhood has taken note of his style and implemented this
successfully, ever since they put forward their most famous slogan, "Islam is
the Solution".
Let us look more closely at this simple and direct slogan. It does not say
religion is the solution, or even that upholding religion is the solution, but
rather it says Islam is the solution, without going into details or saying how
this will be applied, and despite the fact that Islam is full of different
trends, opinions and sects. This reminds me of the giant sportswear company
“Nike”, which coined the simple and extremely clear slogan "Just Do It". This
has since become a permanent fixture in our popular culture, and is taught as a
textbook case of successful marketing in prestigious business colleges around
the world.
The Muslim Brotherhood group, with its party and political leadership, realized
the importance of taking advantage and utilizing different media outlets,
increasing their presence on satellite channels, whether Western, local or
regional. Although the Muslim Brotherhood continued to hold deep reservations
about many of these channels, they ultimately overlooked this and began to put
forward young faces to represent them to the media, instead of their
"antiquated" symbols and figures who would not be able to engage with the new
generation. A good example of this is the official spokesman of the Freedom and
Justice Party, Ahmed Abou Baraka, a clean-shaven man who takes pride in his
personal appearance and is always dressed smartly. Performing the role of a
"spin doctor", he clarifies, justifies and remedies any crisis that emerges as a
result of Muslim Brotherhood stances or statements, by issuing concise sound
bites in a respectful and professional manner, similar to the manner of strong
political parties in the West. This is contrary to the behaviour of the al-Nour
Party, with its reckless, unwise, immature and seemingly hostile rhetoric. This
can clearly be seen in its leaders’ ludicrous stances, such as their intention
to impose the jizya [per capita tax levied on an Islamic state’s non-Muslim
citizens] against Copts in upper Egypt, their intention to destroy statues and
tombs [for being un-Islamic], their attempts to make use of Islamic Sharia
edicts other than those issued by al-Azhar University and its Fatwa committee,
and the accusations they have levelled against certain Egyptian symbols, using
the worst words imaginable.
The Egyptian character is a wondrous mix of attributes; an Egyptian loves the
sound of Abdul Basit 'Abd us-Samad’s recitation of the Quran, as well as
listening to the music of [famous Egyptian singer] Umm Kulthum. He loves to
watch [Egyptian actress] Faten Hamama’s movies and attend al-Ahly vs. Zamalek
football matches. He likes to spend the summer in Alexandria, sit in a café and
read Naguib Mahfouz's novels. Any attempt to forcibly separate these attributes
from his character will not be tolerated. The main priority remains the dignity
of the people, rather than imposing one’s viewpoint upon others or telling them
what to think. The electoral experience in Egypt so far has been somewhere
between marketing and politics, between the writings of Michael Porter and
Machiavelli, the author of “The Prince”. The coming political scene in Egypt
will focus on the religious parties, and the battle as to which political party
has the exclusive right to use religion has already begun to escalate between
the Freedom and Justice Party and the al-Nour Party.
Do the Egyptian Salafists believe in democracy?
By Ali Ibrahim
Asharq Al-Awsat
The most notable result of the first phase of the Egyptian elections, of which
there are two phases still to come during which two thirds of the [Egyptian]
electorate will cast their votes, is the alarming percentage obtained by the
Salafist political trend, which put them in second place after the Muslim
Brotherhood, a percentage almost equal to what was obtained in total by the
current comprising the liberal and leftist parties.
The Salafists have not only caused various other political currents to be
alarmed with regards to the rise of political Islam, but they have also
unsettled even the major Islamist movement, the Muslim Brotherhood. The alarm
stems firstly from the high percentage of votes the Salafists received in the
initial phase; close to a quarter of overall votes, something no one expected,
and secondly from the surprising statements of its leaders. These statements
have initiated an early battle regarding matters integral to Egypt’s social
contract, such as women’s rights, personal freedoms and behavior within society,
and even symbols of Egyptian culture such as the Nobel Prize winning author
Naguib Mahfouz, who prior to his death predicted that parliament would, in the
future, experience devastating ideological and political battles if it continued
to follow the same path.
There is surprise within the [Egyptian] political arena, yes, but some also feel
a deep sense of frustration with regards to these election results. The
revolutionaries and their supporters only achieved a small proportion of the
votes. The elections were supposed to be about a new force that had formed in
recent months, such as the Kutla al-Masriya [the Egypt bloc] which is a
coalition of liberal and leftist parties, but the Salafist party is also new and
only months old, yet it achieved higher results, so what happened? Is there
cause for alarm? Will we see something along the lines of the gloomy joke which
says that Egypt is now divided into two parties, Takfir wal-Hijra [a radical
Islamist group, here a reference to the Islamists] and Tafkir fil-Hijra [those
thinking of leaving the country]?
There are certainly those concerned about the form and identity of the Egyptian
state in the coming period. This will be the first parliament after the ouster
of the former regime, and it will be in power when the time comes to discuss the
new constitution which will regulate the rules of the game, political freedoms
and so on. If this [constitution] does not reflect a social consensus that
everyone accepts, then the next conflict will be even more violent and
destructive.
However, consideration must be given to the other side of the coin, as there is
no reason to give in to a state of frustration. Experience and the last few
months have shown us that political attitudes are changing, and that no one –
including the Egyptian Salafists, despite the radical ideas they have put
forward – is incapable of changing their ideas and adapting themselves
politically to the requirements of the stage and the age, in order to be
accepted by society.
First of all, the political Salafist trend in Egypt has changed its attitudes
and ideas since 25 January , although it must also be stated that this was as a
result of the pressure of the [Egyptian] public and street. The Salafists were
initially against the revolution and the youth taking to the streets to protest,
considering this to be contrary to their ideological viewpoint that one may not
deviate from his ruler. Yet afterwards we saw them taking part in the Tahrir
Square demonstrations, and more importantly they agreed to form a political
party to take part in the elections and compete for votes just like any other
political movement. This is a fundamentally western idea that the Salafists used
to reject. They also used to reject even the idea of western democracy that
considers the people as the source of authority, as their original idea was
based upon the concept of Hakimiyya [the principle that God is the sole
authority].
It is noteworthy that the same transformation has happened to the Muslim
Brotherhood in recent decades, when it began to accept the ideas of assuming
governance through the ballot box, and the peaceful transfer of power. The
Brotherhood undertook political action through its political party, even if they
made sure that their Islamic Dawa [call] group remained present in the
background.
Does this mean that we are now facing developments in the concepts and methods
of political Islamist trends, moving towards an acceptance of the rules of the
democratic game and the transfer of power? This is something that can only be
judged in the future. If this truly happens, with the Islamists coming to power
in parliament via the votes of the ordinary people, this means [the Islamists]
have accepted that they [the people] are the source of authority. In turn, they
have accepted to leave office if the voice of the people changes, i.e. accepting
the principle of the transfer of power, and this is something that the
forthcoming constitution must emphasize. We do not want to speculate by
predicting the size of the political Islamist representation (the Muslim
Brotherhood and the Salafists) in the next parliament, although it is expected
that they will find themselves in a sizeable confrontation with the liberal
bloc, even if it is a minority in parliament. It is difficult to imagine that a
broad representation of Egyptian society [in parliament] will accept a radical
government or way of life.
The
way to topple Assad
Op-ed: Syrian leader will only be toppled once growing brutality prompts global
intervention
Daniel Nisman Published: 12.08.11
Ynetnews
On December 2nd, Syrian insurgents staged an attack on an Intelligence facility
in northern Idlib province. Eight people were killed in the ensuing clashes,
including several Air Force intelligence personnel. Like the previous
high-profile attack on the Air Force intelligence headquarters in Damascus, the
media rushed to portray this act along with recent calls for sanctions as the
fall of another pillar signaling the imminent end of the Assad regime.
However, the reality of the situation is that the Idlib attack symbolizes all
that is plaguing Syrian opposition in its many forms.
The Idlib attack came hours after the opposition Syrian National Council (SNC)
and Free Syrian Army (FSA) insurgent group announced a decision to coordinate
their resistance. Included in the agreement was a pledge by the FSA to halt its
offensive attacks, limiting its armed activity to protecting protest
neighborhoods in flashpoint cities like Homs and Hama.
The SNC, an umbrella body of various opposition groups in exile, has been
struggling to prove its legitimacy to the world, while the FSA has taken the
spotlight with its high-profile attacks, drawing concerns over the advent of a
civil war in Syria. The nature of these groups and geographical and ideological
divides between them continue to deter the international community from taking
measures that would expedite Assad's fall.
In Libya’s case, the opposition NTC was able to create the façade that they were
a viable alternative to Gaddafi, established firmly in their base in Benghazi
from which they would conduct their military campaign to overthrow him. Today,
no one seems quite sure just who is leading the revolution in Syria, as most of
the world has yet to recognize the SNC's legitimacy, while it remains to be seen
whether the FSA boasts any real hierarchy as opposed to various bands of
defectors operating independently of each other.
Despite their growing attention from the media, the Free Syrian Army remains
incapable of launching a sustained military campaign against the Syrian
military. The hit-and-run attacks on symbolic targets such as Air Force
intelligence facilities (Assad Senior was commander of Air Force Intelligence)
show that these insurgents are conducting these raids in a bid to create the
impression that the government is losing control of its territory.
Syria protests not enough
Yet in reality these insurgents not only lack the necessary heavy weaponry to
compete with Assad's powerful military, but they also lack sufficient supply
lines to conduct a prolonged campaign. Many of these insurgents are forced to
make do with the arms they took when they defected from their units, while
others buy small arms from smugglers in neighboring countries or raid existing
military stockpiles.
Even with the rapidly increasing defection rates, the soldiers who are deserting
their post are mostly Sunni conscripts with limited training and strategic
know-how. The Allawite-dominated Syrian Air Force, Special Forces, and command
echelon are unlikely to follow suit, as they understand their fight is currently
the best way to preserve their sect’s domination of the country.
The Syrian opposition is therefore in need of international intervention in the
form of advanced arms, training, and ultimately, a military strike to eliminate
Assad's military advantage - his airpower. Given the potential regional
consequences of such strike, the Syrian opposition is left with little choice
but to use global public opinion to create a dire situation that would lead to
Assad's complete isolation.
They must therefore draw the Syrian military into a situation where it is forced
to use its airpower, causing mass casualties that would leave world leaders with
no choice but to consider military intervention.
After nearly 10 months of brutal crackdown, it remains clear that peaceful
protest in Syria will not remove the remaining economic and military pillars
still bolstering the Assad regime. Both the opposition leadership in exile and
within Syria must commit to taking drastic steps that will likely bring about
greater suffering in order to pressure the world to take action to remove these
pillars.
The first step is an agreement between armed opposition elements on the ground
and the opposition in exile to create a united front that would provide the
world with a viable alternative to replace the Assad regime. It will then be up
to the West, Turkey and other willing nations to provide the opposition with the
arms and support it requires to draw the Syrian military into a far more brutal
conflict. Only such brutality will leave the world with no other choice but to
bring down Assad by any means possible.
**The writer is an Argov Fellow for Leadership and Diplomacy at the IDC Herzliya.
He works for Max-Security Solutions, a security consulting firm based in Tel
Aviv