LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِMay 09/2011

Biblical Event Of The Day
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 6,12-19. In those days he departed to the mountain to pray, and he spent the night in prayer to God. When day came, he called his disciples to himself, and from them he chose Twelve, whom he also named apostles: Simon, whom he named Peter, and his brother Andrew, James, John, Philip, Bartholomew, Matthew, Thomas, James the son of Alphaeus, Simon who was called a Zealot, and Judas the son of James, and Judas Iscariot, who became a traitor. And he came down with them and stood on a stretch of level ground. A great crowd of his disciples and a large number of the people from all Judea and Jerusalem and the coastal region of Tyre and Sidon came to hear him and to be healed of their diseases; and even those who were tormented by unclean spirits were cured. Everyone in the crowd sought to touch him because power came forth from him and healed them all.

Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Defense officials weigh in after former Mossad chief brands Iran strike a 'stupid' idea/Haaretz/
May 08/11
Will Ahmadinejad fall before them?
/By Tariq Alhomayed/May 08/11
Egyptian Coptic Youth Protect Cathedral During Pope's Sermon/AINA/
May 08/11
Has Ahmadinejad taken on more than he can handle with Khameini?/By Zvi Bar'el /May 08/11

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for May 08/11
Cabinet-formation delay is crippling state institutions, Rai says/Now Lebanon
Egypt sectarian violence toll rises to 10/Now Lebanon
Egypt to put sectarian clash participants on trial/Now Lebanon

Egyptian PM calls crisis meeting after sectarian violence/Now Lebanon
US Special Forces go after Mullah Omer, Ayman Zawahiri, Seif al-Adel/DEBKAfile
Barak: Dagan should not have made Iran comments in public/J.Post
Israeli Ex-Spymaster: Assad's Fall Would End Syrian Help to Hizbullah/Naharnet
Security forces crack down on Syria’s Homs/Now Lebanon
Syrian regime hunting down opponents, activists say/Now Lebanon

Threat of regime collapse in Syria creates uncertainty in region/Boston Globe
Syria: President Assad should be brought to book over violence/The Guardian
Syrian Security Forces Kill Three Women/WSJ
Syria -- from bad to worse/T.Z
Syria sends tanks into Baniyas as regime refuses to compromise/Telegraph
UN report says that Lebanon is fragile and polarised/The National
Two wounded Syrians flee to Lebanon/Daily Star
Journalist With Canadian Citizenship Being Held in Syria/ET
US general: criminals main threat in Latin America/AFP
Bellemare submits new indictment, UN warns of tensions/Daily Star
Bahrain Accuses 21 Activists of Plots to Topple State with Hizbullah Help/Naharnet
Miqati's Circles: Premier-Designate, Nasrallah Met a Month Ago
/Naharnet
Report: Syria Thwarts Attempts by Armed Men to Infiltrate Lebanon
/Naharnet
Ex-Spymaster: Assad's Fall Would End Syrian Help to Hizbullah
/Naharnet
Report: Assad Spared from EU Sanctions Over 7 Estonians
/Naharnet
Miqati Still 'Patient' Amid Suggestion of New Names to Lead Interior Ministry/Naharnet

 

Cabinet-formation delay is crippling state institutions, Rai says
May 8, 2011 /Maronite Patriarch Bechara Boutros al-Rai on Sunday said that the cabinet-formation delay is crippling state institutions and plunging Lebanon into an economic crisis, the National News Agency reported. A dispute over the Interior Ministry portfolio between President Michel Sleiman and Change and Reform bloc leader MP Michel Aoun is reportedly delaying the formation of a new Lebanese cabinet headed by Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati. -NOW Lebanon

Al-Rahi Hopes that Officials Would Achieve Mutual Respect and End Cabinet Crisis

Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday prayed that Lebanon comes out of its crisis and hoped that the relationship between officials would be based on mutual respect.
During a mass at the Harissa basilica, al-Rahi expressed hope that Lebanese officials would use their conscience to end the government formation impasse that is "paralyzing constitutional institutions" and drowning Lebanon in an economic crisis. Al-Rahi said over the weekend that nations are not built by trade or government posts and warned that a third of the Lebanese population is living under the poverty line. "Nations are not built by trade, money or seats," al-Rahi said Saturday during a ceremony organized by Radio Charity to honor him and former patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir. On the contrary, nations are built through the unity of its "heroes" who make sacrifices for the country's goodwill, al-Rahi said. "We hope that we still have such heroes who believe in Lebanon first." On Friday, the patriarch met with visiting delegations in Bkirki. He told his visitors that major projects should be carried out to improve social conditions. "The luxury and lavish spending do not reflect the real social conditions in Lebanon," he said. "We regret to say that one third of the Lebanese population has reached below the line of poverty." Beirut, 08 May 11, 09:20

Egypt sectarian violence toll rises to 10

May 8, 2011 /The death toll from clashes between Muslims and Christians in the Egyptian capital Cairo has risen to 10, state TV said on Sunday. The clashes in the working class neighborhood of Imbaba, in northwest Cairo, on Saturday also left 186 injured, TV reported. The two groups clashed after Muslims attacked the Coptic Saint Mena church in Imbaba to free a Christian woman they alleged was being held against her will because she wanted to convert to Islam. Copts account for up to 10 percent of the country's 80 million people and they complain of discrimination, and have been the targets of fairly regular sectarian attacks. Claims that Christian women who converted to Islam were kidnapped and held in churches or monasteries have soured relations between the two communities for months.-AFP/NOW Lebanon


Egypt to put sectarian clash participants on trial

May 8, 2011
Egypt's military rulers said on Sunday that 190 people detained overnight in connection with deadly clashes between Muslims and Christians in Cairo will face a military trial.
The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, which has ruled Egypt since a popular uprising toppled president Hosni Mubarak, ordered "the transfer of all those arrested in connection with [Saturday's] events, and they number 190, to the Supreme Military Court, as a deterrent to all those who think of toying with the potential of this nation."In a statement on its Facebook page, the council also said it would "set up a committee to assess the damage caused by the clashes and to restore all property and places of worship to how they were before the events."In a stern communiqué, the council warned of the "severe dangers facing Egypt during this phase."It called on "all communities in Egypt, the youth of the revolution, the national forces and Islamic and Christian scholars to stand like a wall against any attempt by the forces of evil and darkness to tear the national fabric."The clashes in the working class neighborhood of Imbaba, in northwest Cairo, on Saturday also left 186 injured, TV reported. The two groups clashed after Muslims attacked the Coptic Saint Mena church in Imbaba to free a Christian woman they alleged was being held against her will because she wanted to convert to Islam. Copts account for up to 10 percent of the country's 80 million people and they complain of discrimination, and have been the targets of fairly regular sectarian attacks.-AFP/NOW Lebanon

Egyptian PM calls crisis meeting after sectarian violence

May 8, 2011 /Egyptian Prime Minister Essam Sharaf called an urgent cabinet meeting Sunday and postponed a Gulf visit after clashes between Muslims and Christians in Cairo left nine people dead, state media said. "Prime Minister Sharaf has called for an emergency meeting of the cabinet to discuss the regrettable events in Imbaba," Ahmed al-Saman, a cabinet spokesperson told the official MENA news agency. Sharaf "has decided to postpone his visit to Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates" which had been scheduled for Sunday, state TV reported. Clashes between Muslims and Christians in the Cairo working class neighborhood of Imbaba on Saturday left nine dead and more than 100 injured. State TV said that six Muslims and three Copts had been killed. A parish priest, Father Hermina, had told AFP on Saturday that at least five of the dead were Copts. The area in Imbaba has been sealed off and security has been stepped out around key churches in the country, senior security official Mohsen Murad told state TV. The two camps had clashed on Saturday after Muslims attacked the Coptic Saint Mena church to free a Christian woman they alleged was being held against her will because she wanted to convert to Islam. Elsewhere in Imbaba, Muslim protesters threw firebombs at another church, setting it on fire, police officials said. They said the fire was put out. Copts account for up to 10 percent of the country's 80 million people and they complain of discrimination, and have been the targets of fairly regular sectarian attacks. Claims that Christian women who converted to Islam were kidnapped and held in churches or monasteries have soured relations between the two communities for months.-AFP/NOW Lebanon

Security forces crack down on Syria’s Homs

May 8, 2011 /Al-Arabiya on Sunday cited an eye-witness as saying that a campaign of arrests has been conducted in the Syrian city of Homs. According to eyewitnesses, military checkpoints have been set up throughout the city. The reported added that bombs exploded in the Homs neighborhoods of Baba Amro and Bab al-Siba’a overnight. Meanwhile, Al-Jazeera reported that phone lines and electricity were cut-off in several neighborhoods in the city.-NOW Lebanon


Syrian regime hunting down opponents, activists say

May 8, 2011 /Syrian troops hunted down opponents of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in two flashpoint cities on Sunday, rights activists said, as the regime ignored growing world anger at its bloody response to pro-democracy protests. Tanks were deployed as the military launched the crackdown on the northwestern coastal city of Banias and Homs, another protest hub in central Syria, activists said. Overnight the military cut electricity and communications before entering several districts of Homs that are home to opponents of Assad's regime, after having taken up positions inside central Homs on Friday, an activist said. He reported heavy machinegun fire in Bab Baba and Sebaa Amr, two neighborhoods in the city of one million inhabitants which has been the scene of almost daily demonstrations since the protests began mid-March. Sixteen demonstrators were killed in Homs on Friday when security forces opened fire on a protest in the central district of Bab Draybi, the human rights group Insan reported. The military conducted a similar operation after cutting electricity, communications and water in the Mediterranean port city of Banias, said Rami Abdel Rahman of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Human rights groups say that more than 600 people have been killed and 8000 jailed or gone missing in the crackdown on protestors since demonstrations against Assad erupted in mid-March.-AFP/NOW Lebanon

Bahrain Accuses 21 Activists of Plots to Topple State with Hizbullah Help

Naharnet/Bahrain's military prosecutor accused 21 political activists of seeking to overthrow the ruling monarchy with the help of a "foreign terrorist group" — an apparent reference to Hizbullah — in a widening crackdown on a pro-reform uprising by the island nation's Shiite majority. The charges are part of fast-moving efforts by Bahrain's authorities to prosecute opposition leaders and others after months of clashes and protests in the strategic kingdom, which is home to the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet. Late last month, a special security court set up under martial law sentenced four people to death for killing two policemen in the unrest. The latest cases were tried by the same court, according to the state-run Bahrain News Agency. Fourteen members of the group are in custody, including several prominent Shiite political figures. The others are charged in absentia. The allegations include seeking to topple the 200-year-old Sunni monarchy and having links to "a terrorist organization abroad working for a foreign country." No addition details were made public, but Bahrain's leaders have claimed that the Iranian-backed Hizbullah in Lebanon has sought to make inroads in Bahrain with the protests. Bahrain also is locked in a deepening quarrel with Iran, which has sharply criticized the waves of arrests and the dispatch of a 1,500-strong Saudi-led force in March to prop up the monarchy. Protests began in February — inspired by others across the Arab world — by Shiites demanding a greater political voice and other reforms in the tiny Gulf nation. Shiites comprise about 70 percent of Bahrain's population, but are excluded from top government and security posts. More than 30 people have died in the unrest.(AP) Beirut, 08 May 11, 10:03

Report: Syria Thwarts Attempts by Armed Men to Infiltrate Lebanon

Naharnet/The Syrian army has thwarted attempts by "armed men" to escape to Lebanon by land and sea, the Syrian al-Watan newspaper reported Sunday. The daily said that the Syrian military was making strong efforts to "eradicate terrorist cells" in the country. The report came a day after the National News Agency said that two badly wounded Syrians crossed into northern Lebanon from the Syrian village of Tal Kalakh. NNA said the two men were found on a bank of Nahr al-Kabeer in the border area of Bukayaa, suffering from bruises and wounds. The agency said that they were taken to a hospital in the town of Qbayyat and placed under police guard. Authorities will continue their investigations into the incident, it added. Beirut, 08 May 11, 11:03

Ex-Spymaster: Assad's Fall Would End Syrian Help to Hizbullah

Naharnet/Israel's recently retired spy chief, Meir Dagan, has said that the Jewish state would be better off if Syrian President Bashar Assad was toppled because "this will stop help to Hizbullah," Israeli media reported Sunday. Dagan also told a weekend conference that Assad's fall would strengthen the Sunni camp in Syria and in the Arab world in general. "These things will be good for Israel strategically." He believed that Assad will fight to the end. "He has no alternative. It's victory or death." The former spymaster also said that a military strike against Iran's nuclear program would be "stupid." His remarks challenge Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's position that Tehran won't curb its nuclear ambitions unless it thinks it is threatened with military action. Dagan also cautioned that a strike would be liable to trigger war with Iran and possibly Syria. This is the first time Dagan has publicly expressed his blunt opposition to a military strike against Iran, though he has expressed reservations privately, media have reported. Dagan spoke days before Netanyahu is due to meet with U.S. officials in Washington. It is not clear how his remarks will affect the prime minister's international campaign against the Iranian nuclear program.(Naharnet-AP) Beirut, 08 May 11, 10:30


US Special Forces go after Mullah Omer, Ayman Zawahiri, Seif al-Adel /Naharnet

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 8, 2011,
In the wake of the Osama bin Laden operation, the US is sustaining the momentum of the war on terror by sending more Special Forces and drones into Pakistan after his top lieutenant, the Egyptian Ayman al Zawahiri, Taliban leader Mullah Omer and al Qaeda's chief operations officer, Seif al Adal.
debkafile's counter-terror sources report that on May 2, the day bin Laden was killed, the Taliban leader and his top staff were thought to be in Karachi, southern Pakistan and the two al Qaeda leaders in the tribal region of North Waziristan. All three are presumed to have since moved on. US intelligence suspects their whereabouts are known to Pakistan's Inter-Services-Intelligence agency (ISI). Our Washington sources report that Saturday night, May 7, President Barack Obama gave the Pakistani government, army and intelligence an ultimatum: Cooperate in the capture of the three wanted men or else we shall pump more American soldiers into Pakistan to take up the pursuit with or without your permission.
US intelligence is convinced that Omer, Zawahiri and al-Adal have joined forces and are plotting a revenge attack on America dramatic enough to outdo the psychological impact of the bin Laden killing. Al-Adal, whom Iran released in Sept. 2010 and allowed to cross into Pakistan, is rated the most competent and innovative planner of large-scale terrorist attacks.
The videos of bin Laden the Pentagon released Saturday from the raid on his Abbottabad compound show an ageing man with a straggling grey beard, huddled under a blanket and watching his own performance on a TV screen – a far cry from the well-known tall, commanding presence. Still, US spokesmen are now insisting that the master-terrorist they killed was active, dangerous and preoccupied with plotting attacks on the United States. As the sifting through the computers, files and drives captured in the raid continued, a senior US intelligence source maintained: "The materials reviewed over the past several days clearly show that bin Laden remained an active leader in al Qaeda, providing strategic, operational and tactical instructions to the group. He was far from a figurehead. He was an actively player."This assessment radically contradicted everything Washington put out about the al Qaeda leader in the last four years. They scorned as "one man on the run" who was too busy chasing from one hideout to another under hot US pursuit to have time for setting up terrorist operations. Such operations were increasingly attributed to al Qaeda's regional "franchises."Now, US terrorist experts have clearly decided otherwise.

The US pushes Pakistani intelligence to the wall

DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 7, 2011,
The Obama administration is presenting the successful Osama bin Laden hit as an epic American solo operation, unparalleled in military and intelligence annals, while leaning hard on Islamabad to sack certain officers of the powerful military intelligence army ISI including its head Lt. Gen. Ahmad Shuja Pasha, accusing them of keeping the dead al Qaeda leader hidden for eight years. The ISI chief is a close confidant of Pakistan's chief of staff Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani with whom Washington works closely and so the demand for Pasha's head is seen as casting aspersions on him too.
American sources reported Saturday, May 7 that five days earlier, just hours after bin Laden was killed in Abbottabad, Pakistan, a high-ranking US official landed in Islamabad with a demand to bring the ISI officers involved in sheltering the al Qaeda leader to book. It now appears that the iconic jihadi leader first arrived in Pakistani in 2003 and stayed in the small village of Chak Shah Mohammad near Haripur 40 kilometers north of the Pakistani capital. According Pakistani sources, this information came from questioning the Bin Laden wife found and detained in the Abbottabad villa where he was killed. She said the family stayed in the village two and-a-half years before moving to Abbottabad in 2005.
debkafile's intelligence sources report that details are slipping out over bin Laden's secret Pakistani addresses over the years. The ISI used some of those compounds as safe houses for terrorists from other organizations. The Abbottabad villa compound is now revealed as having served as a byway station for terrorists from Pakistan-backed organizations heading for Kashmir, long a violent bone of contention with India. In summer, however, it had a very different use: High-ranking diplomats and officials of the Pakistani foreign office used it as a holiday villa, attracted by the pleasant climate in this North West Frontier town. Far from being off the beaten track, the property was therefore in regular use by the authorities in Islamabad.
In the mounting duel between the Obama administration and Pakistan, two conflicting versions of the bin Laden episode are unfolding, with potentially detrimental effect on the Afghan War and global war on terror.
The Americans have embarked on a two-pronged strategy:
1. Friday, May 6, President Barack Obama was cheered by members of the 101st Airborne Division at Fort Campbell, Kentucky, when he said: "Now in recent days, the whole world has learned just how ready they were. These Americans deserve credit for one of the greatest intelligence military operations in our nation's history." Pakistan was not mentioned.
Obama had just shaken the hands of the Seals members who returned from Abbottabad.
2. Washington is not only cutting Pakistan out of any role in the feat but bent on weakening Pakistani military intelligence and, in particular, the officials tied to Osama bin Laden, on the assumption that they are also in touch with other high-profile al Qaeda leaders and may even be harboring them too. The US also presumes them to be in connection with the very Taliban leaders American soldiers are fighting in Afghanistan.
The Obama administration is vitally interested in weakening the Pakistani factions maintaining those ties and showing Taliban they can no longer be relied on as protection against America's long arm. The US will ultimately corner Taliban's leaders, whether by diplomatic engagement or the methods which ended Osama bin Laden's life.
Pakistan's take is not just different but increasingly resentful: Its military intelligence insists the bin Laden operation would not have succeeded without close cooperation between the CIA and ISI and the two armies – or some factions thereof – which was maintained at least up until President Obama's decision to authorize the Abbottabad raid. This view is supported by some Western counterterrorism agencies engaged in the war on al Qaeda.
Pakistani officials suspect the US administration heads is deliberately denying them a measure of credit for the successful mission because, with bin Laden gone, Obama feels confident enough to go straight to the Taliban to negotiate an end to the Afghanistan war and dispense with Pakistan's good services as intermediaries. With the al Qaeda leader out of the way, he wants to see the back of a Pakistan role in Afghanistan. debkafile's counter-terror sources warn that the rising acrimony between Washington and Islamabad may well deter Pakistani intelligence from fingering more wanted al Qaeda figures and their hideouts - or even encourage the ISI to stand aside when Taliban goes for American targets in revenge for bin Laden's termination.

Has Ahmadinejad taken on more than he can handle with Khameini?

By Zvi Bar'el /Haaretz
How far will Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad take things with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei? Is he misreading the Iranian political map, or does he really believe that some miracle or magic trick will shift the balance in his favor in this unprecedented clash? On Saturday, Iranian websites reported that Khamenei gave the president an ultimatum: Bring back the intelligence minister you fired against my will or resign. Ahmadinejad, meanwhile, insists that appointing and dismissing ministers is his prerogative as head of the government. The conflict began around two weeks ago, when Ahmadinejad, in a laconic statement, fired his intelligence minister - an associate of Khamenei. In response, the supreme leader instructed the minister to stay at his post. Ahmadinejad reacted by skipping two cabinet meetings and barring the intelligence minister from taking part in a third. The rift between the two men has produced some unprecedented alliances. The commander of the Revolutionary Guard, an armed force seen as the president's staunchest supporter, and conservative clerics have made clear they support Khamenei. Disagreements between Khamenei and Ahmadinejad are nothing new, but this time the president appears to have taken on more than he can handle. He appears to be motivated by a desire to retain influence even after the end of his term, having his son-in-law elected president and returning after a one-term break. Some observers say he may even have aspirations to reduce the clerics' involvement in government. A disloyal intelligence minister would be an obstacle to that. But the damage he's causing is enormous. He is forcing Khamenei to act like a politician and is confronting him with an extraordinary dilemma. If he intervenes, Khamenei will work against the election results he himself created. If he doesn't, the position of supreme leader will lose its clout. Meanwhile, Khamenei and his allies are using the old and tested method. Some of the president's associates have been arrested, and websites are slowly filling up with reports on the intelligence minister's corruption carried out with the president's knowledge.

Defense officials weigh in after former Mossad chief brands Iran strike a 'stupid' idea

By Haaretz Service
Former Mossad chief Meir Dagan's declaration that an Israeli attack on Iran would be "stupid" triggered mixed reactions Sunday from senior government and defense officials in Israel.
In his first public appearance since leaving the post in September, Dagan said Friday that the possibility a future Israel Air Force attack on Iranian nuclear facilities was "the stupidest thing I have ever heard". Two other past Mossad chiefs, Danny Yatom and Ephraim Halevy, said Sunday that Dagan has every right to express his opinion with regard to extraordinary matters such as a strike on Iran. When it comes to fateful issues pertaining to security and the state, the head of the Mossad must say his piece after leaving the post, Yatom told Israel Radio. Yatom said that he too opposed the idea of attacking Iran as it would not achieve the intended goal. Halevy echoed this sentiment, saying that an outgoing Mossad chief must grant the public what it is entitled to know, although he added that he might have phrased the declaration differently. Halevy also said that Dagan's remarks should have no bearing on the government's decisions to that regard. MK Shaul Mofaz, chairman of the Knesset's Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, agreed that senior defense establishment officials must express their opinions regarding issues such as these whenever possible. "Dagan's stance is important and he was right to express it, as a man who did an excellent job and contributed so much to Israel," said Mofaz, adding that there was nothing inappropriate about making such a statement at the Hebrew University strategy conference at which he spoke. Mofaz also said that while Israel could not allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons, military action must be used only as a last resort. Other responses were less supportive. Defense Minister Ehud Barak said that while Dagan was a man of many merits who had contributed immeasurably to the security of Israel, he "should not have shared that opinion with the public at large". Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz agreed, saying he believed Dagan to have been an outstanding Mossad chief but he should have kept the remarks to himself. In his address to the Hebrew University conference on Friday, Dagan said that Iran has a clandestine nuclear infrastructure which functions alongside its legitimate, civil infrastructure. It is the legitimate infrastructure, he said, that is under international supervision by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Any strike on this legitimate infrastructure would be "patently illegal under international law," according to Dagan. Dagan emphasized that attacking Iran would be different than Israel's successful air strike on Iraq's nuclear reactor in 1981. Iran has scattered its nuclear facilities in different places around the country, he said, which would make it difficult for Israel to launch an effective attack. According to Dagan, there is proof that Iran has the capability to divert its nuclear activities from place to place in order to take them out of the watchful eye of international supervision and intelligence agencies. No one in Iran would have any problems in building a centrifuge system in a school basement if they wished to, he said. The IAF's abilities are not in doubt, Dagan emphasized, but the doubts relate to the possibilities of completing the mission and reaching all targets. When asked about what would happen in the aftermath of an Israeli attack Dagan said that: "It will be followed by a war with Iran. It is the kind of thing where we know how it starts, but not how it will end."

Will Ahmadinejad fall before them?

08/05/2011
By Tariq Alhomayed/Asharq Al-Awsat
News coming from Iran suggests that the Supreme Leader has given the Iranian President a few days to restore Iran's intelligence chief to his post, or resign. So will Ahmadinejad fall before the other leaders who are facing a similar fate in our region?
Nothing can be ruled out of course, and it seems that something indeed has been developing in Iran ever since the blow dealt to Tehran when the Joint Peninsula Shield Force entered Bahrain, and the subsequent hit which Tehran received from the Syrian people rebelling against their regime. Iran now seems to be in a state of bewilderment. Even Iraq is not excluded from the demonstrations in the region, and all of this means a failure in Iran's foreign policy, which has been struck a violent and degrading blow. All of Iran's allies in the region are in real trouble; the government of Lebanon is yet to be formed, and Hamas has rushed into the arms of Mahmoud Abbas, to save it from the wrath of the Syrian regime, for reasons Mishal and his associates know well, and not because the absence of Mubarak has accelerated the reconciliation, as has been said, for this is a big lie. In Damascus there is a genuine feeling of indignation regarding Hamas and its leadership.
Another indicator of the failure of Iran's foreign policy, and the depth of its crisis, as revealed by U.S journalist David Ignatius in his article the day before yesterday in the Washington Post, is that the Iranians recently sent messages to Washington, intimating their desire to talk with the Obama administration. Washington is still trying to confirm whether the messages came from Ahmadinejad or the Supreme Leader. It seems that the Americans have listened carefully to the advice of the Syrian President, where the "Wikileaks" documents revealed that al-Assad had told the Americans that the real Iranian President was Khamenei, not Ahmadinejad.
Of course, what prompted Tehran to try to talk to Washington was another matter, and not the failure of Iran's foreign policy, namely that America has killed Osama Bin Laden, and this means that the exit route from Afghanistan has become more visible. The U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates says that killing Bin Laden may change the rules of the game in Afghanistan, and the interests of the Taliban today mean that the time to negotiate with America has come, as the mediation gates have opened. We can remember how the Saudis refused to respond to the invitation of the Afghan President to mediate, as long as the Taliban refused to abandon Bin Laden! The erosion of the regime in Syria may open opportunities for the Americans to reorder the situation in Iraq, as well as taking new steps in the peace process. The Oslo Accords came after a major political earthquake, the liberation of Kuwait, and today the earthquakes around us are many and great. Once Gaddafi is overthrown, Washington and the international community will turn their attention to the next enemy, and that is Iran without a doubt.
Thus Ahmadinejad will either resign or be sacked, or perhaps remain in his position, if the intelligence chief supported by the Supreme Leader remains. This means that Ahmadinejad may actually fall, unless there is a surprise and Ahmadinejad himself ousts the Supreme Leader. This would be a momentous event, but nothing can be ruled out.
Ahmadinejad would fall because of the failure of his foreign policies, as Iran today is completely isolated. Ahamdinejad would also fall due to the blow dealt to him by Khamenei, when he was ordered to keep his intelligence chief, as if he was the Iranian "secretary", not the Iranian President. But will Ahmadinejad leave the political scene in the near future? Let's see, although no one would miss him!

Barak: Dagan should not have made Iran comments in public

By JPOST.COM STAFF /05/08/2011 11:42
Responding to ex-Mossad head's statement that "attack on Iran’s nuclear reactors would be foolish," defense minister says sensitive matters should not be expressed openly; former Mossad chiefs: Dagan acted appropriately. Defense Minister Ehud Barak on Sunday morning commented on former Mossad chief Meir Dagan's statements over the weekend, saying that Dagan is a man with many rights who has contributed greatly to the state, but that he should not have shared his thoughts with the public.Dagan said on Saturday that "an aerial attack against Iran’s nuclear reactors would be foolish,” adding that such an attack would start a regional war whose end Israel cannot foresee. I'm not sure his statements are correct, and if we're dealing with intelligence issues, it is not right to share those statements with the public," Barak said. Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz also said that it was unfortunate that Dagan's comments were made in public. In contrast to Barak and Steinitz's comments, two former Mossad chiefs Danny Yatom and Efraim Halevy said that statements made by Dagan were appropriate for the public to hear. Yatom told Israel Radio that on critical security issues, the Mossad chief should, and even must, share his opinion after he has finished his term. Halevy expressed similar sentiments to Yatom, saying that it is appropriate for a former Mossad head to make comments after he leaves his position if there are things that are important for the public to know.
Halevy said that he would pick other issues to discuss, but that the things Dagan said do not deny the government its authority to make any decisions. Yatom added that Dagan's comments on Iran had already been revealed before, and that he personally would not rule out military action against Iran if all other actions do not achieve their objective.

Egyptian Coptic Youth Protect Cathedral During Pope's Sermon

 5-7-2011 21:8:20
Assyrian International News Agency
(AINA) -- Egyptian police and armed forces were heavily deployed around St, Mark's Cathedral in Cairo yesterday as Coptic Pope Shenouda III delivered his weekly sermon to nearly 10,000 church members. The sermon was also attended by the media and Muslim journalists to show their opposition to the Salafis and the actions against the church. A large number of veiled Muslim women were also in attendance. Hundreds of Coptic Christians also guarded the Cathedral. The Maspero Coptic Youth Federation announced they will guard the Cathedral until Friday because the Salafis warned they will stage this Friday another demonstration in front of it, to "free" the Christian converts to Islam whom the church detains.
Islamists websites had warned Copts not to attend today's sermon and had called for retaliatory action against the Cathedral during the sermon in response to the church's decision not to release Camellia Shehata, who Muslims believe has converted to Islam and is being held against her will. The Pope's sermon was titled "Forgive" and stressed the virtue of being good to the offenders. The Pope said every human being sins, even the saints, and "forgive the people so that you are forgiven." Thousands of Salafists staged a march to the cathedral last Friday to demand the appearance of Camellia Shehata and Wafaa Constantine, both wives of clergy, whom they claim converted to Islam. The church has denied they converted to Islam (AINA 4-30-2011). The prosecutor requested of the appearance of Camellia to investigate the claims that she was allegedly kidnapped and detained by the Church. She is expected to appear before them in the very near future. "Camelia said she was 100% Christian, is proud of her religion, has not converted to Islam and never went to AlAzhar for conversion," said Dr. Naguib Gobraeel, her attorney. "She confirmed that she had had a misunderstanding with her husband, Father Tedaos, and left their home and stayed a few days with some relations, until friends and relatives intervened and reconciled them." Dr. Naguib Gobraeel said she now lives a quiet and happy life with her husband and her two and half year old son Anton in Cairo.
Gobraeel said he advised Camellia to appear in the media to refute the claims of her conversion to Islam and that she is being held by the church, but she refused. He added that Camellia told him that her biggest wish is to return to the simple life, like any normal Egyptian woman, away from the media and the between Copts and Muslims dispute regarding her.
By Mary Abdelmassih
Copyright (C) 2011, Assyrian International News Agency. All Rights Reserved. Terms of Use.

Dagan: Israeli airstrike on Iran nuclear plant 'foolish'
By YAAKOV KATZ /J.Post
05/07/2011 21:51
Former Mossad chief warns attack on Iranian reactors would cause regional war in which missiles from Iran, Hezbollah would be fired.
An Israel Air Force attack against Iran’s nuclear facilities would start a regional war whose end Israel cannot foresee, former Mossad chief Meir Dagan said on Friday.
“An aerial attack against Iran’s nuclear reactors would be foolish,” Dagan was widely reported in the media as telling a conference of senior faculty at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem on Friday, in his first public remarks since leaving office earlier this year.
“Anyone attacking Iran needs to understand that it could start a regional war which will include missile fire from Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The Iranian problem must be made an international problem, and we must continue to work to delay the nuclear program,” he said.
This was the first time Dagan had made his opposition to an Israeli strike against Iran public. In the past he has called for continued covert action against Iran and for investing in opposition groups within the country with the objective of toppling the Islamic regime run by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Before leaving office in January, Dagan broke away from earlier predictions and said that in his view, Iran would obtain a nuclear weapon only in 2015.
With regard to the ongoing upheaval in the Middle East, Dagan downplayed the significance of the toppling of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt, saying Cairo had merely seen a “change of leaders, and not a revolution.”Dagan said the same elite would continue to rule Egypt, adding that the chance the Muslim Brotherhood would take power was minimal.
He also predicted that a new regime would not dramatically change Egypt’s relations with Israel.
Israel, he said, would benefit from the removal of Bashar Assad as the ruler of Syria, which could lead to a stop in the flow of weaponry to Hezbollah. Iran’s influence over the region would also be curbed, he said. “Assad and the Alawite elite will fight until the end since they do not have an alternative. It is either win or die, and they understand that,” he said.
The former Mossad chief said the so-called “tsunami” in the Middle East was actually giving expression to historic rifts in Arab society. He added, however, that a certain barrier of fear had been breached, and that it was no longer possible to hide events taking place in the region.
Dagan said he was in favor of conducting a prisoner swap to secure the release of Gilad Schalit – but “not at any price.” Prisoners released in 2004 in exchange for businessman Elhanan Tannenbaum were subsequently responsible for murdering over 200 Israelis, he said.

US general: criminals main threat in Latin America

(AFP) –MIAMI — Cross border criminal organizations specializing in drug, arms trafficking and money laundering are the principal threat to the United States in Latin America, a top US general said Friday. "I do not see any conventional military threat to the United States from the region," General Douglas Fraser told a conference organized by the University of Miami. "So my concerns then become... very non-traditional.The threats come from "transnational criminal organizations and the impact they are having on politics, the economy, and societies throughout the region," he said. Fraser, who heads up the US military's Southern Command, said corruption makes it difficult to fight these organizations, which continue to grow and strengthen, especially in Mexico and Central America.In some countries, he said, "endemic" corruption aids the activities of the criminal gangs. "Law enforcement organizations are not respected, the judiciary systems lack the ability to investigate, convict, and put in prison those who are detained," said Fraser. "All of that brings to the region a sense of impunity, and that has a significant impact on the overall security problem." Fraser also noted that Iran continues to try to increase its diplomatic and commercial influence in the region, although it is not yet seen as a security threat. Fraser noted that Iran had almost doubled the number of embassies in the region in the past five years, established cultural centers in 17 countries, and is supporting anti-US efforts in the area."But, he said, "from a security standpoint, I have not seen a significant connection. My primary concern remains their historic relationship with Hezbollah

Lebanon's budget deficit swells by 37.76 percent in Q1
By The Daily Star, Beirut, Lebanon
May 6--BEIRUT: Lebanon's budget deficit in the first three months of 2011 rose by LL794 billion ($529.3 million) or 37.76 percent of spending while the primary surplus in the same period registered a deficit of LL218 billion, the Finance Ministry said Thursday. The ministry attributed the high deficit to a sharp fall in government revenues and an increase in spending.
Analysts and observes fear that the sharp differences between some of the ministers in the caretaker Cabinet could harm the country's economy and have warned of negative effects on public finance if the ministers do not tone down their rhetoric. A dispute between caretaker Finance Minister Raya al-Hasan and caretaker Telecoms Minister Charbel Nahhas has seen the latter withhold revenues from landline and cellular networks from the Finance Ministry. Hasan last Friday warned that her ministry may be unable to pay the salaries of public staff at the end of the month or finance $1.2 billion in Eurobonds at the end of May if the Telecoms Ministry does not release the revenues. Nahhas rejected Hassan's accusations, saying that the bulk of the telecom proceeds are already earmarked for the municipalities. "The law says that I have until the end of this year to transfer the revenues to the Finance Ministry," Nahhas told The Daily Star. "I should also make it clear that the money sitting in a Central Bank account is for the municipalities."
Nahhas also said that since the start of his term, his ministry had transferred close to $1.7 billion in telecoms revenues to the Central Bank.
He also alleged that all finance ministers who held office in the past 17 years have "plundered the state's coffers." However, an assistant to Hasan told The Daily Star that all previous telecom ministers transfered money to the treasury each month. "Why is he [Nahhas] making a fuss about the revenues? The revenues from customs and VAT have dropped to alarming levels in the last three months and it would be advisable to transfer the revenues from the telecoms to help pay the salaries of the public sector," the assistant said.
She added that the recent decision to cut taxes on gasoline by LL5,000 has dealt a severe blow to the treasury and has further widened the deficit.
Hasan wants Nahhas to transfer $600 million to allow the Finance Ministry to settle the salaries of the public sector. According to the Finance Ministry's monthly bulletin, the budget deficit up to March 2011 reached 37.76 percent of spending or LL1.655 trillion, an increase of LL794 billion. The deficit in the first three months of 2010 reached LL861 billion or 21.83 percent of spending. The primary surplus, excluding the cost of debt servicing, recorded a deficit of LL218 billion, compared to a surplus of LL582 billion in the same three months of 2010.
Total government revenues in the first three months of 2011 reached LL2.728 trillion, or a drop of LL356 billion (or 1.55 percent) compared to the same period of 2010.
The table provided by the Finance Ministry showed custom revenues up to March 2011 reached LL536.374 billion, a drop of 19.08 percent compared to the same period of 2010.
Proceeds from the value-added tax (VAT) stood at LL775.087 billion in the first three months, a drop of 0.61 percent in the same period of 2010.
Non-tax revenues such as the telecoms stood at LL305 billion, compared to LL566.691 billion in the same period of last year, a decrease of 46.12 percent.
Total government spending in the same reporting period reached LL4.383 trillion, compared to LL3.954 trillion in the same period of 2010, an increase of 11.09 percent.