LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِJanuary 10/2010

Bible Of The Day
Jeremiah 32:17: "Ah, Lord GOD! It is you who have made the heavens and the earth by your great power and by your outstretched arm! Nothing is too hard for you."
Nothing is Too Hard for God
Jeremiah recognized that God is the ultimate muscle-man—he can easily out flex your greatest problem and arm wrestle your biggest need. If God made the heavens and the earth, then surely nothing in this world is impossible for him to do. What need or problem are you facing today? Who can content with your God? There is no difficulty the Lord cannot surmount. Whenever and wherever human might and skill fall short, God is able to master every opposition.

Free Opinions, Releases, letters, Interviews & Special Reports
Canada Offers Condolences After Tragedy in Arizona/January 09/11
Two voices of Lebanon/By: Mona Alam/January 09/11
We could learn from Tunisia/Now Lebanon/January 9, 2011
Iran: Foreign Insults Reveal Internal Crisis/By Tariq Alhomayed/January 09/11
How will Israel's new strategic leadership deal with Iran?/By Amos Harel/January 09/11

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for January 09/11
Excellent Meeting between Hariri and Clinton: Washington Opposes Any Deal at STL's Expense/Naharnet
Sarkozy-Obama Meeting: Race to Support STL and Calm in Lebanon/Naharnet
Sfeir Hopes that Situation Will Be Better than it is Now: The Whole of Lebanon is Worried/Naharnet

Hezbollah "Holding Gun to the Head" of Lebanese Parties – US Official/Asharq Alawsat
US congresswoman, six others killed in shooting/AP
Clinton heads to Persian Gulf states to shore up ties with Arab allies, promote democracy/AP
Egypt Copts mark Christmas under tight security/ AFP
Lebanon crisis will be raised during Obama-Sarkozy summit/Ya Libnan
Chamoun: No agreement is possible before STL indictment/Ya Libnan
Sfeir: Minorities represent a chance of cultural richness/iloubnan.info
Suleiman Optimistic that Settlement Will Emerge Soon/Naharnet
Jumblat: I am Not Informed of Initiative Details, I Will Assess it Once Details are Announced/Naharnet
Saqr: Qassem's Statements are a Blow to Hariri's Goodwill Policy/Naharnet
Hariri Vows Not to Accuse Hizbullah of Assassinating his Father in Return for Withdrawal of Syrian Arrest Warrants/Naharnet
Siniora: Talk that Hariri has to fulfill requirements is unfounded/Now Lebanon

Adwan: Only government can guarantee future/Now Lebanon
Allouch: Iran led Syria to withdraw some items from agreement on Lebanon/Now Lebanon
Iran could take a short cut to a nuclear bomb before 2015/DEBKAfile
Millions start voting in South Sudan independence poll/Reuters

Canada Offers Condolences After Tragedy in Arizona
(No. 11 - January 8, 2010 - 11:30 p.m. ET) The Honourable Lawrence Cannon, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the following statement on the shooting that took place this afternoon in Arizona: “On behalf of the government and all Canadians, I offer my condolences to the family and friends of federal judge John Roll and the other innocent victims of this senseless act of violence. In particular, I offer sympathy to the family of the young girl among the victims, whose entire life was ahead of her. “I would also like to wish a quick recovery to Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and to all others who were injured. “Canada stands with the people of the United States, our valued friend and neighbour, in this time of grief. “Regardless of where they occur, attacks against democratically elected officials affect and undermine the safety of us all.”

Excellent Meeting between Hariri and Clinton: Washington Opposes Any Deal at STL's Expense

Naharnet/U.S. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton described as excellent her meeting with Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri during which she repeated her country's support for the Special Tribunal for Lebanon and the country's sovereignty and independence, reported the daily An Nahar Sunday. The paper added that Hariri's advisor Hani Hammoud, who was present at the meeting, said that the talks tackled Lebanese-American ties and the situation in the Middle East. Meanwhile, international media reported a source present at the meeting as saying that Clinton had showed "clear" support for the tribunal. Hariri and Clinton did not hold a closed-door meeting, but they talked aside twice during the meeting, once when she entered his suite and another time before she left, according to An Nahar. The talks started with pleasantries over Saudi King Abdullah's health and then shifted to Clinton's support to Lebanon where she focused on supporting the Lebanese government, said an unnamed source. For his part, Hariri stressed the importance of the Arab-Israeli conflict, with the source saying that the fact that Clinton headed to Hariri's residence in person is a message in itself of Washington's support. Trusted sources told the pan-Arab daily al-Hayat that Clinton relayed to the prime minister the United States' opposition to any deal that may take place at the STL's expense. The meeting reflected Clinton's direct involvement in the Lebanese file and the U.S. administration's keenness that nothing impede the course of justice, the sources noted. They said that the U.S. is attempting to influence the situation in Lebanon through Clinton's latest talks, as well as influence Syria through the recent appointment of an American Ambassador in Damascus. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 12:07

Sarkozy-Obama Meeting: Race to Support STL and Calm in Lebanon

Naharnet/The situation in Lebanon will be at the dialogue table during the meeting between U.S. President Barack Obama and French President Nicolas Sarkozy on Monday as the two sides seek to affirm their support for the Special Tribunal for Lebanon and calm in the country. Sources told the Syrian al-Watan newspaper that Sarkozy will address the issue of Lebanon from the angle of reaching a settlement given the tensions caused by the STL. They considered that Saudi Arabia and Syria play a very important regional role and that nations such as France can also contribute in reaching a settlement in Lebanon. Western diplomatic sources in Beirut meanwhile told the Kuwaiti al-Anbaa that Obama and Sarkozy will also address the repercussions of the STL on Lebanon, as well as Iran's influence on Hizbullah and Hamas. They said that the France is secretly hoping that a settlement will not strip Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri of his authority and demands. It also hopes that it will not threaten Hizbullah and its arms, they added. In addition, they pointed out that the American administration is not satisfied with Sarkozy's approach of welcoming members of the Lebanese opposition, such as Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun who recently visited France.
Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 11:04

Sfeir Hopes that Situation Will Be Better than it is Now: The Whole of Lebanon is Worried

Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir stated that the whole of Lebanon is worried, and not just its Christian, adding a hope that the situation in the country would improve.
He said in an interview with CNN that the situation for Christians in Lebanon has completely changed because in the past, they represented the majority of the population and occupied a special position in Lebanon, but demographics have since changed. Now, he explained, Christian families consist of three to four children, while Muslim families could have ten to 15 children. "This is why Muslims have now greatly outnumbered the Christians, especially since Christians and some Muslims have emigrated," the patriarch said.
Asked whether he believes if Lebanon would ever have a non-Christian president, Sfeir replied: "I don't know, maybe if matters developed further and the Christians became a minority."
He added that this issue is up to the Lebanese themselves and maybe some demands may be raised for such a change. Addressing Islamist extremism, he said that that is not the real Islam, stressing: "Our message is for the people to cooperate with each other and seek peace, not war." He described the situation for Christians as tragic because several of them are leaving their country, especially Christians in Iraq. They should be reassured to return to their homeland, he added. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 14:41

Sfeir: "Minorities represent a chance of cultural richness
"iloubnan.info - January 09, 2011 BEIRUT - In his Sunday sermon, Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Nasrallah Boutros Sfeir strongly denounced the persecution of Catholics, as well as discrimination and acts of violence in the world linked to religion, particularly in Asia and Africa. He stressed that "the majority of victims were members of religious minorities not allowed to freely express their faith, which represents a violation of their political rights and freedoms." Sfeir proposed that "defense of religion can be achieved via defending human rights and freedom of religious communities." Thus, he added, "protection of minorities was not a threat to the identity of the majority but rather an opportunity for dialogue and mutual cultural richness."

Hariri Vows Not to Accuse Hizbullah of Assassinating his Father in Return for Withdrawal of Syrian Arrest Warrants
Naharnet/The mystery surrounding the nature of the "commitments not fulfilled by the other camp" recently mentioned by Prime Minister Saad Hariri has been at the heart of clarifications issued by observers of this case, reported the daily An Nahar Sunday. These commitments include withdrawing the Syrian arrest warrants issued a few months ago against a number of members of Lebanon's majority, especially Hariri's work team, which has damaged ties between the two sides. In return for the withdrawal, Hariri would announce that he would not accuse Hizbullah of the assassination of his father, former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, even if the indictment in the investigation did accuse some members of the party. The commitments also encompass general stability, internal security, and Hizbullah avoiding using its weapons on the internal scene as stipulated in the Doha agreement. This last element has not been implemented as demonstrated in the Borj Abi Haidar clashes that broke out in August 2010. The first step towards fulfilling these pledges has yet to be taken, with Hariri calling on the other camp to take the initiative, while the March 8 forces have said that the premier should be the one to do so. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 10:06

March 8 Bargaining on Hariri's Positivism towards Settlement, March 14 Trusts in PM's Actions

Naharnet/A source from the March 14 forces stated that the discrepancy between the camp and the opposition lies in the multiple interpretations of Prime Minister Saad Hariri's announcement that an agreement to end Lebanon's political crisis has been finalized. It told the pan-Arab daily al-Hayat in remarks published on Sunday: "When we speak of a complete agreement, then it means that contacts and calm will resume. When the other camp speaks of progress in the Saudi-Syrian initiative, then it only sees in it a step forward towards abandoning the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which is not going to happen." "Regardless of the speculation over Hariri's statements on what is required of the other camp, these assumptions should not eliminate the fact that the settlement has been reached," it added. Meanwhile, the daily al-Mustaqbal reported prominent March 8 sources as saying that the camp is bargaining on Hariri's positivism after his recent statements over the Saudi-Syrian initiative. They noted however that his remarks on requirements from the opposition are "unclear."
"The side allowed to state what is required from any camp is the one sponsoring the settlement, meaning Saudi Arabia through King Abdullah and Syria through President Bashar al-Assad," they stressed. Leading sources from the March 14 coalition told al-Mustaqbal that they support Hariri's positions and they trust in his actions. "The March 14 forces have never stopped seriously addressing the Saudi-Syrian initiative as opposed to the other camp that keeps on trying to hinder a settlement," they continued. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 10:50

Jumblat: I am Not Informed of Initiative Details, I Will Assess it Once Details are Announced

Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat stated that he is not informed of the details of the Saudi-Syrian initiative aimed to end the Lebanese political crisis.
He told the daily al-Mustaqbal in remarks published on Sunday that only Prime Minister Saad Hariri, House Speaker Michel Suleiman, Hizbullah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, and Saudi King Abdullah know its details.
The MP stressed that he will judge the initiative once its details are revealed, "but the important matter remains averting the repercussions of the indictment."
Commenting on Hariri's recent statements to al-Hayat, Jumblat said that they were "clear and positive."
The prime minister's statements finally confirmed that a Saudi-Syrian initiative exists "while some March 14 forces members questioned its existence because they don't want a solution that preserves Lebanon," he added. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 08:24

Suleiman Optimistic that Settlement Will Emerge Soon

Naharnet/Visitors to the Baabda Palace have reported President Michel Suleiman's optimism that a settlement in Lebanon's political crisis will emerge soon. He hoped that the solution would help reactivate the national dialogue and Cabinet's normal functioning. They also reported that complete communication and coordination is ongoing between him, Prime Minister Saad Hariri, and House Speaker Nabih Berri, revealing that the positive results of these contacts will coincide with the expected positive results of the premier's visit to the U.S.
Suleiman stated that all the Lebanese are now aware that no side will benefit from an escalation in the country and therefore ruled out an escalation on the ground, crediting the army and security forces for maintaining the peace. In addition, the president, who has cancelled his scheduled trip to Egypt, is preparing to launch important positions on the current crisis before diplomatic officials, reported Voice of Lebanon radio (100.5). Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 08:57

Adwan: Only government can guarantee future
January 9, 2011 /Lebanese Forces bloc MP George Adwan said on Sunday that “as long as each party is guaranteed by a foreign country, the Lebanese do not have a future,” NOW Lebanon’s correspondent reported on Sunday. The MP added that the future of the Lebanese people can only be guaranteed through the government.
Following his meeting with Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Boutros Sfeir, Adwan said Lebanon needs an agreement regarding its future.
“We do not seek [achieving] a settlement to provide certain issues. We need an agreement for the sake of the Lebanese who inquire about their country’s stability and future.”
What is the government’s role in any agreement in Lebanon?, Adwan asked. “A dialogue should be sponsored by President Michel Sleiman. Any agreement [in Lebanon] must [take into consideration] all the Lebanese [people] without any exceptions.”The MP added that an agreement must be based on how to improve state institutions and on how the government can control all its decisions. Lebanon for months has suffered from a political impasse over reports that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon is set to indict members of Hezbollah in connection with former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri's murder in 2005. Syrian and Saudi officials have reportedly been communicating in efforts to reach a compromise that would resolve tensions in the country.-NOW Lebanon

Allouch: Iran led Syria to withdraw some items from agreement on Lebanon
January 9, 2011 /In an interview with Future News television on Sunday, Future Movement official Mustafa Allouch said he believes that an Iranian interference led Syria to withdraw some items regarding the Syrian-Saudi agreement on Lebanon. Syrian and Saudi officials have reportedly been communicating in efforts to reach a compromise that would resolve tensions in Lebanon due to reports that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon may soon indict Hezbollah members in its investigation of the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
-NOW Lebanon

Saqr: Qassem's Statements are a Blow to Hariri's Goodwill Policy

Naharnet/Lebanon First MP Oqab Saqr lamented on Sunday the ongoing "tragic empty circle of obstruction, marginalization, and intimidation" in Lebanon, noting that whenever progress is achieved to end the cycle, some Lebanese go ahead and destroy agreement after agreement "as if we are destined to remain in an empty cycle of despair." He said in a statement: "The positive shock caused by Prime Minister Saad Hariri's recent statements over a settlement are being subject to the most violent tarnishing campaign, which is aimed at maintaining the reason of squandering efforts and underestimating the people's intelligence." "The most unfortunate development lies in Hizbullah Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem's latest statements that the opposition had fulfilled what was required of it and that it has nothing more to offer the Saudi-Syrian initiative," he said. "Does the March 8 forces' role, and Hizbullah's in particular, in supporting the initiative lie in destroying any positive reasoning, every constructive effort, and every attempt by PM Hariri to end the divide between the Lebanese camp?" the MP asked. Qassem's statements are another calculated blow to the goodwill policy adopted by Hariri, Saqr stressed. "We are convinced that a solution to the crisis will be reached through Lebanese ideas and Arab efforts … We call on the other camps, especially Hizbullah, to demonstrate the least amount of boldness required to implement measures expected by it … through employing its military might in the political field " he concluded. Beirut, 09 Jan 11, 14:11

Siniora: Talk that Hariri has to fulfill requirements is unfounded

January 9, 2011 /Talk that Prime Minister Saad Hariri has to implement certain steps is unfounded, Lebanon First bloc MP Fouad Siniora said on Sunday. “We have to be patient. We [should not act] on the basis of inaccurate information…We have to wait until Prime Minister [Saad] Hariri returns from New York to know the results of this visit,” Siniora said according to the National News Agency. The MP welcomed Arab efforts, particularly Syrian-Saudi ones, and added that the Taif Accord, democracy and justice must be taken into consideration.
“Stability and security cannot be achieved if there is no justice.” “[Problems] should be resolved in the cabinet. We should not lay conditions for the cabinet to convene,” he said, adding that dealing with the increase of gas prices can be dealt with in the cabinet and not through demonstrations. In an interview published Friday in the daily Al-Hayat, Hariri said that Saudi-Syrian mediation efforts led to an agreement months ago but accused Hezbollah of not living up to their end of the deal. "Any commitment on my part will not be carried out until the other party [Hezbollah] implements what they agreed to," the premier added. Energy Minister Gebran Bassil on Friday expressed his support for citizens to participate in demonstrations to protest increases in gas prices. The PM headed to New York on Friday to meet with Saudi King Abdullah and US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Syrian and Saudi officials have reportedly been communicating in efforts to reach a compromise that would resolve tensions in Lebanon due to reports that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon may soon indict Hezbollah members in its investigation of the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.-NOW Lebanon

Two voices of Lebanon

Mona Alami, January 9, 2011
Now Lebanon/In Lebanon, about 85 percent of adults regularly listen to the radio, according to the website Pressreference. Of those stations broadcasting news, “the favorites seem to be Voice of Lebanon [or Voix du Liban, or Sawt Libnan] and Radio One (105.5 FM), which relays news neutrally interspersed with music,” states the site.
Whoever has control of one of the most listened-to radio stations in Lebanon has enormous power over local public opinion, and so political and private parties have vied for years to claim the airwaves. “I have witnessed many revolutions in my time at Voix du Liban. Some were staged by the Lebanese Forces, others by Elie Hobeika’s people or the Kataeb party,” said popular broadcaster Wardeh Zamel, known to her listeners as simply Wardeh.
But this year’s split, unlike others that took place during the civil war, has left Lebanese listeners at loss. In November, VDL was split into two stations broadcasting on two different wavelengths, with one based in Dbayeh (where the managing company Modern Media Company has relocated) and another in Achrafieh (in a building owned by the Kataeb).
Conflicting statements about the split have been published in the press. An al-Balad newspaper article stated that “After a long struggle with the management of Modern Media Company [MMC], the Kataeb party was able to regain the Voice of Lebanon radio station just in time for the fourth anniversary of Industry Minister Pierre Gemayel's assassination.” The Dbayeh VDL, however, denied that the Kataeb had regained the station.
“We launched the VDL in 1958, with the help of journalist Joseph Abou Khalil, and we used to broadcast most programs from his place of residence, while my house served as a recording studio,” former minister Joseph Hashem told NOW Lebanon. The station closed down, but was reactivated in 1975 with the help of journalists Brahim el Khouri and Eli Salibi.
“We bought the Achrafieh building, which now hosts our headquarters, with the revenues of the radio station,” said Hashem.
“The MMC owns the wavelength used by the station,” said Serge Dagher, the Kataeb Party’s public relations director.
According to Hashem, the MMC took official control of the station’s management in the 1990s when the media law was passed, which allows a limited number of radio stations to broadcast news, among which the Voice of Lebanon.
The law also bans local broadcasting, and licenses are only provided to stations that can broadcast across the entire country. After the law was passed, “parties were not allowed to directly run media companies, which is why the MMC came to manage the station,” said Hashem. The company’s revenues were thus split between the Kataeb and the MMC, the former receiving 51 percent.
But when the station’s rental lease expired in November, station employees were divided among the buildings in Dbayeh and Achrafieh. Forty-five employees resigned from VDL to protest against the transfer of the station’s headquarters to Dbayeh, Wardeh said, while about 25 made the move.
“I really worked hard on bringing both sides together, for VDL’s voice to remain as one. The discussions were nonetheless cut short because MMC and the Kataeb could not agree on the extension of the lease... I have not sided with either one,” she added.
Today the VDL broadcasts on 100.5 FM from Achrafieh, and on 93.3 from Dbayeh, while many of the programs and even the jingles have remained practically the same. “An amiable solution needs to be found. Both sides should either decide to work together or separate amiably, but this situation can’t go on, and a court order will probably take years to come,” Wardeh said. Dagher, on the other hand, assured that VDL will remain a national radio station and that the Kataeb is not involved in its management.
“Listeners will keep on tuning in to one station or the other until they pick one, whether they follow an anchor or a particular program they like,” Wardeh said.

We could learn from Tunisia

January 7, 2011 /Now Lebanon
For weeks protests have been raging in Tunisia, kicked off by an unemployed university graduate. The young man, Mohamed Bouazizi, was unable to find work in a country where unemployment is estimated at 14 percent and living costs are high. He resorted to selling fruits and vegetables from a cart on the street.
He did not, however, have a permit to do so, and the Tunisian authorities confiscated his merchandise. In response, Bouazizi set himself on fire in front of the regional council building in his central Tunisian town of Sidi Bouzid, and recently died from the wounds he sustained.
Bouazizi’s brazen act of desperation and defiance sparked waves of protest that spread throughout the country and have yet to abate. Aided by social media like Twitter and activist bloggers, these protests are a grassroots expression of pent-up anger and legitimate grievances that should prove instructive for the Lebanese.
On Thursday, As-Safir published an interview with Ghassan Ghosn, head of the General Confederation of Lebanese Workers (GCLW), in which he called for a general strike “very soon” to protest rising prices, tax policy, and electricity and water shortages. These are legitimate reasons to take to the streets, and while Lebanon’s unemployment rate is not as high as Tunisia’s, university graduates in this country are often paid wages so embarrassingly low many would rather leave the country to work abroad.
That said, the GCLW is a politicized organization whose calls for action often cost people their lives. In late January 2007, with a GCLW-sponsored strike underway, students at Beirut Arab University began arguing politics and three were killed.
A GCLW strike in May 2008 led to a day of street fights among political rivals followed the next day by Hezbollah’s armed takeover of half of Beirut. A population willing to kill their neighbors in a political dispute is undoubtedly to blame. However, given that the GCLW is controlled by March 8, their calls for civil disobedience – particularly during times of heightened tension – arguably creates a mood that increases chances of civil strife as one half of a divided country would be loathe to heed protest calls from a rival political faction.
It is deplorable that year after year the state does almost nothing to fix the myriad problems facing this country. It is equally absurd that large Lebanese businesses – banks and construction firms, for example – pulling in millions each year pay recent university graduates a few hundred dollars a month, salaries so meager they can barely be used to rent an apartment in Beirut. With low wages, spotty access to electricity and water and generally dilapidated infrastructure, it is no wonder so many Lebanese are eager to leave this country.
In Tunisia, President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali has repeatedly won re-election since 1987 with percentages of the vote so high, many assume elections are rigged. Sadly, in Lebanon, the same elite class (or their progeny) continually wins democratic elections – though vote buying is a serious problem none of this country’s leaders are willing to fix.
Protestors in Tunisia have already forced Ben Ali to reshuffle his cabinet and sack some corrupt governors, all the while reiterating promises of reform. Admittedly, these are small wins, but at least they are something, and Ben Ali now knows his population is not complacent. Lebanon would do well to teach its leaders a similar lesson through protest born not of a politicized body but of the grassroots. Rising up as one, regardless of sect or political persuasion, could equally gain the neglected population a win, however small. Instead, unfortunately, the masses will likely stay inside filling out visa applications.

US congresswoman, six others killed in shooting: report
Agence France Presse –A US congresswoman and six other people were shot to death in Tucson, Arizona by a gunman who opened fire at a public event, National Public Radio reported, citing the local sheriff's office.NPR said at least nine other people were wounded in the attack at a grocery store where the Democratic lawmaker Gabrielle Giffords was hosting a "Congress on Your Corner" event with constituents. The wounded included three of her staffers. It said the suspect ran off and was tackled by a bystander before being taken into custody, and that witnesses described him as being in his late teens or early 20s. Andrea Gooden, a witness who was in an office across the street, told Fox News she heard a burst of gunshots and "immediately after that there were people racing across the parking lot." Another witness told CNN he heard 15-20 shots and saw people running from the scene and screaming before police and firetrucks arrived around two minutes later. Footage from the scene showed paramedics rushing stretchers to helicopters. The incident came after packages ignited in a post office in Washington, DC on Friday and two government buildings in neighboring Maryland on Thursday. Giffords, 40, was first elected to Congress in 2006 and is married to Mark Kelly, a NASA astronaut.

Arizona Rep. Gabrielle Giffords shot, aide killed in rampage at grocery store
FOX News 0:00 | 1213 views
....TUCSON, Ariz. - U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords of Arizona was shot in the head and an aide was killed Saturday when an assailant opened fire in an area where the lawmaker was meeting with constituents, officials said. There were varying accounts on Giffords' condition, but a hospital spokesman said the Democratic lawmaker was in critical condition. An aide to Giffords was killed. An unknown number of others were injured, officials said, including additional aides to the lawmaker. Congressional officials said one of the victims died soon after the attack, and others were taken to a nearby hospital. One official added the attack was carried out with an automatic weapon. The officials who described the events did so on condition of anonymity, saying they were not permitted to comment publicly. "I am horrified by the senseless attack on Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and members of her staff," the newly elected House Speaker John Boehner said. "An attack on one who serves is an attack on all who serve. Acts and threats of violence against public officials have no place in our society. Our prayers are with Congresswoman Giffords, her staff, all who were injured, and their families. This is a sad day for our country." The officials said the FBI and local law enforcement were investigating the attack, which took place while Giffords was greeting constituents outside a Tucson grocery store. Giffords, 40, was re-elected to her third term last November. She was a member of the Arizona House and Senate before coming to Washington. Giffords was elected to Congress amid a wave of Democratic victories in the 2006 election. The former state lawmaker won a narrow victory against a tea party favourite in the 2010 election. The shooting comes amid a highly charged political environment that has seen several dangerous threats against lawmakers but nothing that reached the point of actual violence. A San Francisco man upset with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's support of health care reform pleaded guilty to threatening the Democratic congresswoman and her family, calling her directly on March 25 and threatening to destroy her Northern California home if she voted for health care reform.
In July, a California man known for his anger over left-leaning politics engaged in a shootout with highway patrol officers after planning an attack on the American Civil Liberties Union and another non-profit group. The man said he wanted to "start a revolution" by killing people at the ACLU and the Tides Foundation. Giffords, a moderate Democrat, herself has drawn the ire of the right, especially for her support of the health care bill.Her Tucson office was vandlized a few hours after the House vote to approve the health care law in March, with someone either kicking or shooting out a glass door and window. AP Special Correspondent David Espo contributed to this report from Washington.

Clinton heads to Persian Gulf states to shore up ties with Arab allies, promote democracy
By Matthew Lee, The Associated Press/The Canadian Press
.WASHINGTON - Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton's trip to the Persian Gulf is intended to strengthen ties with Arab allies, rally support for penalties against Iran, and promote democracy and security across the Middle East. Clinton was to depart Washington late Saturday for the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Qatar, where leaders are concerned about Iran's nuclear ambitions and growing influence in the region. America's chief diplomat also will seek greater co-operation in enforcing international sanctions on Iran that are designed to make Tehran prove that it's not trying to develop nuclear weapons. Many Arab nations share U.S. fears that Iran is using a civilian atomic energy program to hide weapons development. Those concerns were amplified in leaked diplomatic cables released by the WikiLeaks website late last year that revealed deep mistrust of Iran by Sunni Arab leaders who must deal with an increasingly emboldened Shiite neighbour.
Clinton's trip comes ahead of a new round of international talks with Iran, tentatively scheduled for Jan. 21-22 in Turkey. The five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council — the U.S., Russia, China, Britain and France — along with Germany will again try to compel Iran to comply with demands to come clean about its nuclear intentions, in return for incentives.
Iran is under four sets of U.N. sanctions because of its refusal to halt uranium enrichment, which can be used to produce nuclear fuel or materials for bombs. U.S. officials believe the penalties are hitting Iran's economy, but want them to be more strictly enforced and would like individual countries to take separate punitive measures on their own.
Tehran insists its uranium enrichment and other programs are meant only for peaceful purposes to generate fuel for a future network of nuclear reactors.
Clinton's trip to the Gulf will be her second in as many months. She also attended an international security conference in Bahrain in December. While Iran is always high on the agenda during such visits to the region, her focus this time will be broader.
In her meetings with leaders in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Muscat and Qatar, U.S. officials say Clinton will look for more Arab backing for the new government in Iraq and more financial support for the Palestinian Authority. Some Arab states have yet to fulfil pledges to fully normalize relations with Iraq and open embassies in Baghdad, gestures of support that Washington wants to see as it winds down its military presence there. As the Obama administration struggles to get the Mideast peace process back on track, Clinton will push wealthy Arab powers to broaden their contributions to the Palestinians. The U.S. is keen to keep the development of Palestinian governmental institutions moving ahead. Officials hope such progress may help forestall Palestinian moves to declare statehood unilaterally or seek U.N. action against Israel. Clinton's visit also comes amid spikes of civil unrest in Arab states such as Tunisia and Algeria and deep alarm at the conduct of Egypt's recent elections. In town hall events at most stops and at a regional conference in Qatar on Thursday, Clinton will promote democratic, economic and social change as ways to reduce tensions and blunt the threat from Islamic extremism, particularly among Arab youth.

Egypt Copts mark Christmas under tight security
 Agence France Presse – Fri, 7 Jan
Drivers were banned from parking in front of churches, which were being tightly monitored by explosives detection teams and police, said a police official. Under the Coptic calendar, Christmas Day falls on January 7. Some Muslims would also show up at churches to act as human shields in a show of solidarity with Egypt's beleaguered Christian community, which accounts for 10 percent of the country's 80 million people. The measures came after Egypt's Coptic Christians attended Christmas Eve services Thursday behind cordons of steel put up by security forces. Security officials said at least 70,000 officers and conscripts had been deployed across the country to secure churches as Copts attended Christmas Eve mass.
Police said one primitive explosive device -- a tin can filled with fire crackers, nails and bolts, but with no detonator -- had been found in a church in the southern city of Minya.
The official Al-Ahram newspaper reported that security would also be tightened around tourist resorts.
Hundreds of worshippers gathered on Thursday at the Saints Church in Alexandria, the site of Saturday's bombing. They were guarded by dozens of police and anti-riot vehicles.
In Alexandria, 27-year-old Maureen, dressed in black, said: "To survive, we Copts must confront our fear and pain. We have to be stronger than the terrorists. That's why I am coming to mass."Maher, 50, arrived for the mass with his wife and two daughters. "Our sorrow is great, but we feel stronger because of the support of our Muslim compatriots," he said.
Others converged on Saint Mark's Cathedral in Cairo, where the head of the Coptic Church, Pope Shenuda III, conducted the service, attended by several government members and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's two sons Alaa and Gamal.
In Moqattam, a poor Cairo district with a large Coptic population, residents said the threat of further attacks would not deter them from going to church.
"With Al-Qaeda's threats, we anticipate further attacks but we are not afraid. God protects us," said Adel al-Wazir.
Pope Benedict XVI, who described the Alexandria bombing as a "cowardly gesture of death," sent his "heartfelt greetings and best wishes" to those now celebrating Christmas.
He deplored the "martyrdom of a large number of innocent people" in his homily Thursday.
"May the goodness of God... strengthen the faith, hope and charity of everyone and give comfort to the communities that are being tested," he said in an address to pilgrims in Saint Peter's Square. Meanwhile, police released a sketch of the suspected Alexandria suicide bomber's face, reconstructed from the remains of a severed head found on the roof of the church.
No one has yet claimed responsibility for the attack, which came after threats to Egypt's Copts from an Al-Qaeda-linked group in Iraq that had said it was behind a deadly October assault on a Syriac Catholic church in Baghdad.
The group, the Islamic State of Iraq, said it would attack Copts if their church failed to release two women it claimed were being held against their will after converting to Islam.
Several weeks before the attack, a website linked to Al-Qaeda published a list of Coptic churches it said should be targeted in Europe and Egypt, including the one bombed on January 1.
A security official in Jordan told AFP on Thursday that police in the capital Amman had also tightened security for Christmas services at two Coptic churches there after the Alexandria attack. Around 3,000 Copts are estimated to live in the kingdom.
Several other countries, including Canada, France, Germany and the Netherlands stepped up security around Coptic Christian churches in response to the threat.
The Alexandria bombing sparked days of protests and riots around Egypt that injured dozens of policemen and protesters. President Mubarak has vowed to find those responsible for the New Year's Day bombing, which he said targeted all Egyptians, regardless of their faith, and blamed "foreign hands."

Iran could take a short cut to a nuclear bomb before 2015

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 9, 2011, Meir Dagan, when he retired as Mossad chief last week, estimated that difficulties had held back Iran's race for a nuclear bomb until early 2014 or 2015. He did not mention the Stuxnet virus invading its systems or the untimely deaths of its nuclear scientists. He did refer to arguments in Iran's ruling elite which had delayed the attainment of its goal, indicating that without those disputes Tehran would have acquired a nuclear capability by now - or very soon.
But most strikingly, Dagan omitted mention of the short cuts available to Iran, as noted here by debkafile's military, intelligence and Iranian sources:
1. Not all Iran's concealed nuclear facilities have been discovered by Western intelligence – not even Mossad. Given Iran's record of concealment, it would be foolish, for instance, to ignore the possibility of a secret plant enriching uranium at full speed somewhere underground out of range of the UN nuclear watchdog's cameras recording every centrifuge spinning at Natanz. They may still be undetected by spy satellites and unbeknownst even to the defectors and double agents willing to collaborate with the West.
A single secret facility of this kind would invalidate the current Western estimate of Iran's stock of low-grade enriched uranium as standing at 3,000 kilos. The real amount could be 20 times or even 100 times as much, enough for three or four bombs.
2. The same applies to the "malfunctions" undoubtedly holding up the program. No competent agency would risk guaranteeing that every last Iranian facility has been crippled or exposed to cyber invasion. The publicity surrounding Stuxnet and the deaths or defections of Iranian nuclear scientists has conveyed the impression of a nation on the point of collapse, whose every nook and cranny is wide open to the long arm of Western and Israeli spy agencies.
But who knows what really goes on in the top-secret laboratories of Shahid Beheshti University in northern Tehran, which employed the two nuclear scientists targeted for attack last month? It is there that much of the research is conducted form Iran's nuclear and missile programs. But there is no certainty that a parallel research institution is not operating in some other dark place.
3. Iran has been known in the past to have established or transferred sensitive nuclear facilities outside the country to remove them from the sight of alien intelligence agencies and safeguard them against sabotage, like the audacious attack of Oct. 12, 2010 against a hidden Shehab-3 missile store at the Revolutionary Guards Imam Ali base in northwest Iran. The consequences of this attack were as destructive as the Stuxnet invasion.
It will be recalled that only when the Israeli Air Force struck the North Korean-built plutonium reactor at A-Zur in northern Syria in Sept. 2007 was this vital external link in Iran's nuclear program revealed. Tehran, Pyongyang and Damascus resumed their nuclear collaboration in early 2009, debkafile's sources disclose. Three or four secret military research centers are going up in Syria at this moment, which is why Damascus denies International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors access to suspect nuclear sites.
Western intelligence, including the Mossad, knows very little about Iran's nuclear partnership with North Korea. An Iranian military nuclear mission has been discovered based permanently in Pyongyang. It was substantially expanded in recent weeks raising the suspicion in the US and Israel that a joint nuclear test is planned to take place at the North Korean testing site in the course of this year. If North Korea performed this service for Iran, Dagan's 2015 estimate would no longer apply.
4. All the deadlines predicted for Iran's nuclear programs are therefore problematic.
Early on in the last decade, in 2000, Western and Israeli intelligence anticipated Iran would have a nuclear bomb or warhead by 2007. That year, the timeline was pushed back to 2009 and then again to 2011. The gap has widened now to 2015. However, there is no guarantee from any quarter that the latest estimate is any more credible than the old ones and that Tehran is not capable of throwing it awry by one stealthy ruse or another – this time not for another delay but by jumping the gun

Iran: Foreign Insults Reveal Internal Crisis
09/01/2011/By Tariq Alhomayed/ Asharq Al-Awsat
One can find fabricated news about rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, and other regional states, published by the Iranian news agencies, as well as talk about senior Saudi leadership – or other leaders in the region – planning to visit Tehran. However at the same time, you will also find these same news agencies publishing "insulting" and fabricated news items about Saudi Arabia and other regional countries; this is something that has confused many of those monitoring the situation, for how can this be explained?
One of those observing this situation asked me: isn't this escalation by the Iranian media against Saudi Arabia strange? To which I replied that no, it isn't! For this is not caused by Saudi Arabia, or the situation in Lebanon or Iraq, or anything else, but rather this is caused by Tehran itself; the problem is an internal Iranian one.
The evidence of this can be seen in the timing of Iran's [media] attack against the leader of the Iraqiya bloc, Dr. Iyad Allawi. Many people have not paid attention to the Iranian claims that Allawi previously sent a message to Tehran presenting a package of proposals that he would implement should Iran agree to him becoming Iraqi Prime Minister, which is something comprehensively denied by the Iraqiya bloc. This attack [on Allawi] took place at the same time that Iran's new acting Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi was visiting Iraq, during which he issued a statement saying that Tehran looks forward to turning over a new page in its relations with Iraq! Some people have promoted Salehi as potentially being Iran's Davutoglu [Turkish Foreign Minister] in terms of being able to resolve Tehran's problems with its neighbors, and when he was first appointed acting Iranian Foreign Minister Salehi himself said that one of his priorities would be to improve, or even restore, Iran's relations with Saudi Arabia.
So how can we explain the situation today, with a new Iranian foreign minister talking about restoring relations with Saudi Arabia, and this being his priority, whilst at the same time the country he is representing has launched an attack on Riyadh via media agencies affiliated to decision-makers in Tehran? How can we understand this escalation against Allawi, and the Iranian Fars News agency attacking him [in this manner], whilst at the same time the Iranian foreign minister is speaking about turning over a new page in Tehran's relations with Iraq, particularly in light of the fact that we are talking about Iranian news agencies, rather than newspapers or television channels?
This means that the cause is not outside of Iran, but rather that this is an internal Iranian problem. This indicates that what is happening in Tehran today is not according to the orders of any single leadership, but rather that there is a major political conflict taking place there over power, authority, and who is in charge of what in Iran. This can also be seen in the news which has yet to be explained with regards to [Iranian president] Ahmadinejad dismissing a number of his advisers, and as is always the case in Iran, the analysis of the news is more important than the news itself.
All the information points to the fact that this crisis is taking place within Iran itself, and not abroad; this also means that Salehi is not capable of being Iran's Davutoglu, for there is more than one leadership in Tehran, and so it would be very difficult for Salehi to rebuild or restore any of his country's foreign relations. Therefore, let's not worry about what is being leaked in Iran [about foreign countries], we should instead focus upon what is happening internally there, for when Iran intensifies its attack or insults against foreign parties, all that this means is that there is an internal crisis taking place there.

Millions start voting in South Sudan independence poll

09/01/2011/JUBA, Sudan (Reuters) – Millions of jubilant south Sudanese started voting on Sunday in a long-awaited independence referendum that is expected to see their war-ravaged region emerge as a new nation. Huge queues built up outside polling stations before dawn in the southern capital Juba where banners described the week-long ballot as a "Last March to Freedom" after decades of civil war and perceived repression by north Sudan. "I am voting for separation," said Nhial Wier, a veteran of the north-south civil war that led up to the vote. "This day marks the end of my struggles. In the army I was fighting for freedom. I was fighting for separation."The referendum was promised in a 2005 peace deal that ended Africa's longest civil war, fueled by oil and ethnicity, between the mostly Muslim north and the south, where most people follow Christianity and traditional beliefs.
In the north, the prospect of losing a quarter of the country's land mass -- and the source of most of its oil -- has been greeted with resignation and some resentment.
Sudanese president Omar Hassan al-Bashir, who campaigned for unity in the run-up to the vote, has been making increasingly conciliatory comments and this month promised to join independence celebrations, if that was the outcome.
U.S. President Barack Obama on Saturday said a peaceful, orderly referendum could help put Sudan back on a path toward normal relations with the United States after years of sanctions but warned a chaotic vote will mean more isolation. Southern president Salva Kiir urged long lines of voters to be patient after casting his ballot at 8 a.m. (0500 GMT).
"I believe Doctor John (Garang) and all those who died with him are with us today and I want to assure them they have not died in vain," he said, referring to the southern rebel leader who died in a helicopter crash months after signing the accord.
Juba and Khartoum already looked liked the capitals of two different countries on Sunday.
In Juba, actor George Clooney and U.S. Senator John Kerry mingled with dancing and singing crowds. Voters waiting outside one polling station burst into a rendition of the hymn "This is the day that the Lord has made."
"It is something to see people actually voting for their freedom. That's not something you see often in your life," Clooney told Reuters.
In Khartoum voting centres were empty, and southern districts were quiet -- tens of thousands of exiled southerners have returned for the vote. There were no banners acknowledging the historic referendum.
ALL VOTE MATERIALS DELIVERED
The vote's organising commission told Reuters it had defied gloomy forecasts of delays to deliver all voting materials on time for Sunday's deadline.
The logistical achievements have not been matched by political progress. Southerners went to the polls without knowing the exact position of their border with the north or how much of Sudan's debt they will have to shoulder after a split.
The two sides have been locked in negotiations for months over how they might share out oil revenues -- the lifeblood of both their economies -- and settle other issues after secession. There is no public sign of progress.
The south also will have to face up to its own internal ethnic rivalries and resolve a bitter dispute with the north over the ownership of the central Abyei region, where there were reports of clashes involving Arab nomads on Friday and Saturday.
Still, north and south proceeded to the referendum while drawing a line under more than half a century of fighting.
"The risk is always there. There is always lots of tinder about and there are a lot of unresolved issues, including Abyei," said Derek Plumbly, chairman of the Assessment and Evaluation Commission that monitors the north-south peace deal.
"But neither side really wants to go back to war. I believe they will find their way through."

How will Israel's new strategic leadership deal with Iran?

09.01.11/Haaretz/By Amos Harel
The departing chief of the Mossad, Meir Dagan, signed off last week with a clear and unequivocal message to the public: The Iranian nuclear threat is far from ripe. Israel and the international community still have plenty to do to undermine it, and a military assault is not the right solution.
One may assume the Israeli leadership, especially the prime minister, know Dagan's position on the matter. But his departure allowed us, for the first time and despite the partial cover of the censor, to get a better and more detailed idea of his approach to the nuclear problem. Perhaps this was a Bibi-bypass maneuver on Dagan's part; by making his position public, Dagan has written a warning firmly on his name. This, to a significant degree, is his legacy: The warning of the great risks of a war (twice injured, he has a close and personal knowledge of such a price ), and the understanding that before setting out on a military campaign, the leaders must use all alternative means to remove the threat.
For journalists, Dagan was almost inaccessible throughout his Mossad term. He kept mum for eight years and four months. It seems the tremendous weight of the Iranian issue and the consequences of a decision to attack made him set aside his long-term reservations about journalism.
Readers of the weekend papers would find that the publications are surprisingly well-versed in what the head of the secret service had to say. Dagan spoke "in closed discussions," "in a round of departure talks," "in documents leaked to Wikileaks."
The same expressions and observations are repeated. Dagan believes war would be justified only when Israel has "a sword at its neck, literally cutting into the flesh." Even in the worst-case scenario, Iran would not obtain nuclear weapons before 2015. The arguments against an Israeli attack are known: It would make the Iranian people rally around the regime, would make Israeli-American relations extremely difficult and could result in a war, in which the Israeli home front will be bombed by thousands of rockets and missiles from Iran, Lebanon and Gaza. The IDF would find it very difficult to achieve a decisive victory in such a war.
So what does Dagan suggest, according to those conversations documented on Wikileaks? The joint move conception, stalling the Iranian project instead of going to war. Dagan is preaching for a shared global effort that includes, alongside tightening the sanctions, stopping the purchase of parts essential for the progress of the nuclear program, encouraging the Iranian opposition, and, of course, covert operations. The very fact of a significant delay to the Iranian plan (considering Israeli intelligence originally estimated the Iranians would have the bomb by 2007 ), would seem to testify some of this is already being carried out.
Even after his retirement, Dagan's warning will continue to echo in the forum of seven key cabinet ministers, and in the public sphere. Those exposed to his arguments will find it difficult to ignore their logic, and the assertive tone in which they were made. It now remains to be seen whether Chief of Staff Gabi Ashkenazi and Shin Bet chief Yuval Diskin, Dagan's partners in the realist alliance in Israel's strategic leadership, will make a similar move when they retire - Ashkenazi in February and Diskin in May.
The positions their heirs take are even more important. What will be said by the next chief of staff, Yoav Gallant, new Mossad chief Tamir Pardo and Y, Diskin's deputy and apparent heir? Will they maintain the united front of their predecessors? How much clout will they have with the political leadership? The answers to these questions will have more influence than any other on Israel's strategic reality in the years ahead.