LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِApril 29/2011

Biblical Event Of The Day
Mark 16/14-20: "16:14 Afterward he was revealed to the eleven themselves as they sat at the table, and he rebuked them for their unbelief and hardness of heart, because they didn’t believe those who had seen him after he had risen. 16:15 He said to them, “Go into all the world, and preach the Good News to the whole creation. 16:16 He who believes and is baptized will be saved; but he who disbelieves will be condemned. 16:17 These signs will accompany those who believe: in my name they will cast out demons; they will speak with new languages; 16:18 they will take up serpents; and if they drink any deadly thing, it will in no way hurt them; they will lay hands on the sick, and they will recover.” 16:19 So then the Lord*, after he had spoken to them, was received up into heaven, and sat down at the right hand of God. 16:20 They went out, and preached everywhere, the Lord working with them, and confirming the word by the signs that followed. Amen.

Latest analysis, editorials, studies, reports, letters & Releases from miscellaneous sources
Syria: Dictator Assad's war on his own people/By: Walid Phares/April 28/11
Behind the curve on Syria/By: Tony Badran/April 28/11
Lebanese MP Jamal al-Jarrah fears for his life in relation to Syria's false accusations/Now Lebanon
Mikati’s bitter options/By Elias Sakr/April 28/11
Western Pretexts/By: Hassan Haidar/April 28/11

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for April 28/11
Syrian rights group says protester death toll rises to 500/By Reuters/AP
UN Security Council fails to condemn Syria protest crackdown/By Reuters/Haaretz
More deaths as water, power cut in Syrian protest town/Now Lebanon
Turkey discusses situation in Syria/Now Lebanon
Fatah-Hamas accord – by-product of secret Israel-Turkish talks, Syrian crisis/DEBKAfile
Report: Syria, Hezbollah to unite if war with Israel erupts/J.Post
Bashar al-Assad's inner circle/BBC
Hundreds Of Syrians Flee Into Northern Lebanon On Foot/Zawya
Syria officials 'quit in protest'/BBC
Push in UN for Criticism of Syria Is Rejected/New York Times
UNHRC to hold special Syria session Friday/J.Post
Syria unrest takes toll on Lebanon border towns/Zawya
Syria crackdown continues despite international condemnation/The National
European nations condemn Syria's violent crackdown on protesters/Los Angeles Times
Two hundred Baathists resign in Syria's Deraa/Reuters
Syria denies any split in army/Xinhua
Syria's intelligence may have assassinated Hezbollah's Mughniye, Wikileaks/iloubnan.info
Gaddafi's daughter: 'World should come together'/J.Post
Britain Withdraws Syria Envoy's Royal Wedding Invitation/Naharnet
Three People Missing in Tripoli/Naharnet
Report: 'Tacit Time Limit' to Carry out Illegal Construction Near Airport
/Naharnet
Berri Calls for Speeding up Cabinet Formation, Says Lebanon's Stand at Security Council is Normal
/Naharnet
March 14: March 8 Camp is Afraid to Form a Government and its Excuses Demonstrate its Failure
/Naharnet
Shami Did Not Contact Hariri Regarding Lebanon's Position at Security Council
/Naharnet
Jumblat Fears Sunni-Shiite Division May Escalate into a Conflict
/Naharnet
 

UN Security Council fails to condemn Syria protest crackdown
By Reuters/Haaretz
A European push for the UN Security Council to condemn Syria's violent crackdown on anti-government protesters was blocked on Wednesday by resistance from Russia, China and Lebanon, envoys said. Instead, Western countries called a public debate on Syria, but the meeting highlighted differences in the 15-nation council, with Russia charging that it was outside interference in Arab countries that could be a threat to peace. French United Nations Ambassador Gerard Araud speaks at United Nations headquarters in New York, March 24, 2011.
Earlier this week Britain, France, Germany and Portugal circulated to the other 11 council members a draft statement condemning the crackdown, in which hundreds have been reported killed, and urging restraint by the Damascus government. They were supported by the United States. But French Ambassador Gerard Araud told reporters positions were so far apart that "negotiating a press statement would take so much time that we preferred to have immediately ... a public session to transmit the message." He said a statement might be issued at some point in the future. "There will be no statement," a Security Council diplomat told Reuters on condition of anonymity. Permanent veto-wielding council members Russia and China have become increasingly critical of the UN-backed intervention to protect civilians in Libya, which they believe aims to oust leader Muammar Gadhafi. "Their tolerance of U.S. and European attempts to protect civilians in the Middle East appears to have dissipated," a UN official told Reuters. Diplomats said the Lebanese delegation also opposed the idea of condemning Syria. Lebanon, the sole Arab nation on the Security Council, has had a troubled relationship with its neighbor and Syrian influence remains strong there. Last week the Council failed to agree a similar statement condemning Yemen's crackdown against protesters, who have demanded greater freedoms and called on President Ali Abdullah Saleh to step down.
Divided Council
At Wednesday's debate on Syria, U.S. Ambassador Susan Rice and other Western delegates denounced what they called repression of peaceful demonstrators.
They also backed a call by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon for an independent inquiry into the violence in Syria and voiced skepticism about Syrian reforms, such as the lifting of decades-old emergency rule. "All announcements of reforms are undermined by the ongoing violence," said German Ambassador Peter Wittig, who like several other Western speakers warned of possible sanctions by the European Union and others. The prospect of sanctions by the divided Security Council looks remote.
But most other speakers took a cautious line, urging restraint and a peaceful resolution of the Syrian crisis.
Russian envoy Alexander Pankin said the Syrian situation "does not present a threat to international peace and security" -- a condition for Security Council involvement -- and that the demonstrators had also been violent. "A real threat to regional security, in our view, could arise from outside interference in Syria's domestic situation, including attempts to push ready-made solutions or taking of sides," he said in a clear hit at the West.
Some demonstrators in Arab countries wanted the outside world to take their side, he said. "Such approaches lead to a never-ending cycle of violence. This is a type of invitation to civil war," Pankin said. In a defiant speech, Syrian Ambassador Bashar Ja'afari blamed the violence on "extremist groups whose fundamental objective is clearly the fall of the Syrian government." The authorities had shown the "utmost restraint," he said. "Some of the statements we heard today can only be considered an encouragement to extremism and terrorism," Ja'afari said, repeating allegations from Damascus that foreign forces were inciting the unrest. France's Araud dismissed the charge. "Every dictatorship facing opposition usually says there is foreign involvement," he told reporters. "So it's not new."

Syrian rights group says protester death toll rises to 500
By Reuters and The Associated Press
Syrian security forces have killed at least 500 civilians in a crackdown of a "peaceful democratic uprising", Syrian human rights organization Sawasiah said on Thursday.
Sawasiah, founded by jailed Syrian human rights lawyer Mohannad al-Hassani, also said thousands of Syrians have been arrested and scores have gone missing after demonstrations demanding political freedoms and an end to corruption erupted almost six weeks ago. A Syrian protester beats a poster of Syrian President Bashar Assad with a shoe, as he attends protest against the on going violence in Syria, April 27, 2011. Syria's uprising against Assad's authoritarian regime started in Daraa, the provincial capital, on March 15. Assad has tried to crush the revolt, the gravest challenge to his family's 40-year ruling dynasty. The city at the heart of Syria's month-long uprising ran low on food, water and medicine as the army sent in more tanks and reinforcements as part of a widening crackdown against opponents of President Bashar Assad's authoritarian regime, witnesses said.
Residents in Daraa said Wednesday that at least five army officers had sided with demonstrators, and conscripted soldiers sent into the city were quietly refusing orders to detain people at checkpoints and were allowing some people through to get scarce supplies. But the Syrian government denied that there had been any splits in the military, which is seen as fiercely loyal to Assad. Gunfire and sporadic explosions were heard in Daraa, two days after the military rolled in - backed by tanks and snipers. The army also deployed tanks around the Damascus suburb of Douma and the coastal city of Banias, the site of large demonstrations recently. "We have no electricity, no water, no telephones and no bread," resident Abdullah Abazeid told The Associated Press by satellite telephone from Daraa, where the uprising began more than five weeks ago. "The situation is terrible." The repression, however, has only emboldened protesters who started their revolt with calls for modest reforms but are now increasingly demanding Assad's downfall. Syria has banned nearly all foreign media and restricted access to trouble spots since the uprising began, making it almost impossible to verify the dramatic events shaking one of the most authoritarian regimes in the Arab world. The relentless government throttling of the protest movement showed no sign of letting up. One Douma resident said security agents were going house to house, carrying lists of wanted people and conducting raids. If the agents did not find the person they were looking for, they seized his relatives, the resident added. A witness in Banias said the army redeployed tanks and armored personnel carriers near the main highway into the city. In the coastal city of Latakia, an activist said security forces fired live bullets and a stun grenade at demonstrators in poor neighborhoods near the city's Palestinian refugee camp of al-Ramel. He said four people were wounded and several others were detained. The opposition is getting more organized as the uprising gains momentum, but it is still largely a grassroots movement. There are no credible opposition leaders who have risen to the level of being considered as a possible successor to Assad.
A human rights activist in Syria says more than 200 members have quit the ruling Baath party in the southern province at the epicenter of the country's uprising to protest President Bashar Assad's brutal crackdown on opponents. Mustafa Osso says another 30 resigned in the coastal city of Banias. A resident of the city of Daraa said on Thursday that most of the resignations came from Baath party members in the town of Inkhil. He spoke on condition of anonymity, fearing reprisals.

Three People Missing in Tripoli
Naharnet/ Two Lebanese citizens and a Palestinian from Tripoli's Bab al-Tabbaneh neighborhood have disappeared, al-Akhbar daily reported Thursday.
It said worried parents headed to hospitals and resorted to the security forces to find out the whereabouts of the men. Police have no information about the three men except for finding the ID of one of the missing and the motorcycle of another in Tripoli's Mina district, the newspaper added. Bab al-Tabbaneh residents are mainly from the Alawite community allied with Hizbullah and Syria. In the past, they have clashed with Tripoli's Jabal Mohsen residents who are Sunnis. Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 10:45

March 14: March 8 Camp is Afraid to Form a Government and its Excuses Demonstrate its Failure

Naharnet/March 14 General Secretariat coordinator Fares Soaid criticized on Wednesday Speaker Nabih Berri's recent statements on Syria, saying that they "involve Lebanon in Syria's internal affairs in a very dangerous manner." He said after the general secretariat's weekly meeting: "His statements expose Lebanon on all levels and we question such remarks seeing as they were issued from a man of state such as Nabih Berri." Addressing the government formation process, he noted: "The March 8 camp is demonstrating its complete political ineptness after it failed to form a Cabinet." "The March 14 camp is the only political group that has a central agenda to save Lebanon," he stated. Soaid added that eliminating the possession of illegitimate arms will end Lebanon's crisis. "The March 8 camp is viewing the developments in the region and it is therefore afraid to form a new government," he stressed. Commenting on caretaker Ali Shami's request from Lebanon's Ambassador to the United Nations, Nawwaf Salam, not to approve a Security Council draft statement condemning the use of violence against protestors in Syria, he said: "Lebanon's ambassador not only represents our country, but the entire Arab world." Beirut, 27 Apr 11, 17:11

Suleiman Reportedly Ready to Give up Interior Ministry Portfolio

Naharnet/President Michel Suleiman informed Premier-designate Najib Miqati that he was ready to give up his demand for the interior ministry portfolio in return for giving the seat to a neutral personality, al-Akhbar daily reported on Thursday. The newspaper quoted sources following up the cabinet formation process as saying that Suleiman called Miqati on Wednesday to inform him about his stance. It said Miqati's circles preferred to adopt a wait-and-see approach rather than being optimistic. Baabda palace sources also told al-Liwaa daily that agreement would be reached to grant the portfolio to a personality that appeases all sides. The premier-designate's circles said, however, that the main obstacle behind the formation of the government was still the bickering between Suleiman and Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun over the interior ministry portfolio. They told An Nahar and As Safir newspapers that Miqati won't give up his task of forming a productive cabinet but he would eventually take the appropriate decision if the efforts to solve the deadlock fail. The premier-designate has reportedly two cabinet lineups ready in case negotiations fail – a 30-member government made up mainly of politicians in addition to technocrats and a 24-member technocrat cabinet. Pending such a decision, Miqati is relying on the aides of the speaker and the Hizbullah leader, respectively MP Ali Hassan Khalil and Hussein Khalil, and the envoys of Druze leader Walid Jumblat to bridge the gap between Suleiman and Aoun, As Safir said. Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 09:20

Hundreds of Syrians Flee Unrest into Northern Lebanon as Army Boosts Measures on Border

Naharnet/Hundreds of Syrians on Thursday fled into northern Lebanon on foot after they said unrest broke out in the Syrian border town of Tall Kalakh, Agence France Presse reported.
Those fleeing, mostly women and children, carried mattresses and their belongings as they entered Lebanon through an unofficial border crossing in the Wadi Khaled border region located in Lebanon's northern district of Akkar. Mahmood Khazaal, the former mayor of the Lebanese town of Mkaybleh, located at the border, said some 700 people had fled and were seeking refuge with family and friends in Lebanon. "A few people fled last night but the pace really picked up this morning beginning at 8:00 am," Khazaal told AFP. "Most of those fleeing have family in the Wadi Khaled region." An official crossing point between the two countries is located about a kilometer from Mkaybleh but those fleeing said the road leading to it had been blocked with stones and tires, thus preventing cars from reaching the border. The news came after An Nahar daily reported that the Lebanese army and security forces have deployed along the Nahr al-Kabir river on the border with Syria in the north. The newspaper quoted eyewitnesses as saying that heavy security measures were taken along the river from Arida all the way to the Wadi Khaled area on Wednesday night. The witnesses told An Nahar that they heard heavy shooting on the Syrian side of the border in the area of al-Baqiaa. They also said that armored vehicles were seen heading from their bases in Akkar towards the border with Syria. Residents of border villages said that the army and security forces also carried out foot and vehicle patrols as part of efforts to control the porous border with Syria and combat smuggling.(AFP-Naharnet) Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 07:41

Angry Youth Block Roads to Protest Rising Fuel Prices

Naharnet/Angry citizens blocked several roads with burning tires on Wednesday night, the same day taxi and bus drivers drove their vehicles in a long queue to protest the rise in gasoline prices. At midnight, youth blocked a road in Beirut's Beshara al-Khoury district but then dispersed when security forces arrived at the scene of the incident. A group of youth in Aley blocked the Sofar-Dahr al-Baidar highway with burning tires for more than an hour on Wednesday night. Security forces later opened the road, but protests renewed after 10:00 pm when protestors blocked the entrance of the town. Angry residents also burned tires in Nabatiyeh and Hboush. The action of drivers on Wednesday consisted of a convoy of vehicles which traveled to a number of ministries honking horns to express discontent. The prices of 98 Octane and 95 Octane rose to LL36,600 and LL35,900 respectively, after undergoing a LL500 price hike. Diesel rose to LL31,100. Informed sources ruled out to An Nahar daily any new agreement within the caretaker cabinet to solve the problem similar to a previous deal to decree a gas tax cut of LL5,000. Wednesday's actions, in addition to a May 19 protest that the labor sector is planning to hold, further complicate the political crisis. Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 08:29

More deaths as water, power cut in Syrian protest town
April 28, 2011 /Water and power have been cut in the southern Syrian city of Daraa, with at least 42 people killed since Syrian troops stormed in three days ago, a rights activist said Thursday. "The situation is worsening. We have neither doctors nor medical supplies, not even baby milk. The electricity is always cut and we haven't any more water," Abdallah Abazid told AFP in Nicosia by telephone from Daraa.  The Syrian army, supported by tanks and armored vehicles, stormed into Daraa to quell the unprecedented challenge that since March 15 has shaken the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. At least 42 "martyrs" have been killed since Monday, Abazid said. Their families, he added, had been unable to bury them because "security forces were firing on anybody visiting the cemetery," which is controlled by the army. Sporadic gunfire had been heard in the town, while an aircraft flew overhead, Abazid said. "I think it was a surveillance plane," he added. He also said there had been defections from the army. Some soldiers "of the 5th company joined the residents to defend against the security services," he said, although it was not possible to verify this information. The Baath party has had a monopoly on power since 1963, but is now also confronted with collective resignations, with more than 230 party members leaving on Wednesday. Since March 15, when protests began, at least 453 people have been killed, according to the Syrian Observatory of Human Rights.-AFP/NOW Lebanon

Lebanese MP Jamal al-Jarrah fears for his life

April 28, 2011 /Future bloc MP Jamal al-Jarrah said in an interview published on Thursday that he fears a destiny similar to his fellow March 14 figures who were assassinated after being threatened. He told Kuwaiti newspaper As-Seyassah that false campaign would be launched targeting a person who was later assassinated, adding he is currently very cautious.
Jarrah also said the accusations against him are part of a political campaign against Lebanon. The MP added that during his meeting with Speaker Nabih Berri, he voiced his condemnation to the manner in which Syrian Ambassador to Lebanon Ali Abdel Karim Ali addressed the Syrian TV allegations against him without providing any proof or submitting a judicial file. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime has been rocked by unprecedented protests since March 15 demanding reform. Three suspects testified two weeks ago on Syrian state television that they received arms and weapons from abroad to fuel a wave of protests in the country, naming Jarrah as a funder. Following the accusations against Jarrah, the Syrian envoy urged Lebanese authorities to take legal action on the matter. The Future Movement and Jarrah have both repeatedly denied the charges and labeled them as “fabrications.”-NOW Lebanon

Turkey discusses situation in Syria

April 28, 2011 /Turkey's leadership convened Thursday to discuss raging unrest in neighboring Syria before dispatching an envoy to step up pressure on Damascus for reform, AFP reported. The revolt against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, with whom Ankara has close ties, and its possible spill-over effects on Turkey, were to top the agenda of the bi-monthly meeting of the National Security Council (MGK), which brings together the country's civilian and military leaders.
Turkey's ambassador to Syria, Ömer Önhon, was also set to participate in the gathering, chaired by Turkish President Abdullah Gul, officials said, according to AFP.
A special envoy was scheduled to head to Damascus later "to convey proposals and recommendations to help Syria emerge from the current deadlock," a government official told AFP on condition of anonymity. The proposals would focus "on economic and political reform and measures to overcome the security situation," he said.
If Damascus agrees to listen to the appeal, Ankara is ready to send experts to assist the Syrian authorities, he added. A Turkish delegation was already in Damascus for preliminary contacts, a diplomat said. On Tuesday, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who enjoys close personal relations with Assad, called the Syrian leader to press for reform, following a call with US President Barack Obama.-AFP/NOW Lebanon

Behind the curve on Syria

Tony Badran, April 28, 2011
The Obama administration remains badly behind the curve on Syria. Despite news reports of a “shift” on Syria, the administration’s latest decision to impose targeted sanctions on Bashar al-Assad’s inner circle actually highlights that, even at this point in the game, the White House’s operating principle with the Assad regime remains “behavior change.” With conflicting messages and no articulated strategy, Washington is doubling down on failed ideas, continuing to hold out delusional hope that Assad will miraculously “reform.”
During a press briefing on Monday, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney publicly expressed this position. Asked about the meaning and impact of targeted sanctions, Carney replied, “Sanctions can put pressure on governments and regimes to change their behavior.” He added, “We continue to encourage President Assad ... to honor the promises that [he] has made … to institute reform.”
The hoax of the “reformist Assad” simply won’t go away, even as Assad butchers people in the streets on a daily basis. If it wasn’t clear before, it certainly is now, that this is a zero-sum game for the Syrian president. It is impossible for him to reform, for doing so means losing his hold on power.
Moreover, what reforms, exactly, does the US administration think Assad should, and would, implement, when the protesters in the streets have long moved to calling for the downfall of the regime that he heads? Besides, hadn’t the White House stated that Assad’s declared “reforms” were “not serious”? Assad made no other “promises.” He only made threats of more violence – the only promise he’s ever kept.
To say the least, this is a position that’s been overtaken by events. Does the administration really believe that Assad, who’s fighting for his very survival, will take measures that would facilitate his ouster, regardless of sanctions?
But here’s where Washington’s incoherence is further highlighted. To date, the administration has made a point of adamantly and repeatedly refusing to come out and say that Assad has lost his legitimacy to lead, even when it was far quicker in adopting such a position with a US ally, former Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, who was also nowhere near as brutal as Assad.
To add to the puzzlement, the US sanctions won’t target Assad personally. Rather, as reported by An-Nahar on Wednesday, they are likely to go after his brother Maher and other high-ranking officials. What this approach achieves is to further indulge another fantasy – that Assad is somehow separate from his own regime; a lone, closet reformer held back by hardliners in his entourage.
The most absurd articulation of this belief came from a “senior official,” who let the New York Times in on the administration’s bizarre thinking on Assad: “He sees himself as a Westernized leader, and we think he’ll react if he believes he is being lumped in with brutal dictators.”
The confusion is further compounded by the proliferation of paradoxical statements. As that senior official was making those comments to the Times, another official was explaining to Foreign Policy that the reason why the general assessment in the administration had been that the Syrian crisis would “never grow this serious,” was that Assad was “not afraid to be brutal.”
That is hardly the only example of conflicting messages. For instance, while the administration’s public position was to call on Assad to reform, and that sanctions were designed to achieve such behavior change (even as officials lamented the supposed lack of leverage), the Wall Street Journal reported that officials involved in the sanctions deliberations did not believe that Assad can “embrace meaningful reforms.” In fact, the paper added, doubts are also growing in the administration that Assad will survive the uprising.
If this is the case, then the administration ought to be thinking much farther ahead, well beyond discussing sanctions. If there is conviction that Assad’s days are numbered, then serious preparation must be done for post-Assad Syria. As such, the US ought to be conferring with key stakeholders (such as Turkey, which increasingly seems to share this assessment of Assad’s chances) about managing the transition in Syria to a more pluralistic political order.
Such an approach would put the Obama administration ahead of the curve, and beyond mere reaction to criticism of its regional policy. However, that would require assertive leadership – not “from behind.” It would also mean revamping the entire thinking on Syria, and shelving the bad ideas that have framed the failed Syria policy (“wooing Assad away from Iran” or restarting the Syrian-Israeli peace track). Most importantly, it requires strategic clarity. In the absence of a coherent strategy statement, Obama’s decision to sanction top figures in the Syrian regime remains merely a fig leaf.
**Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.


Mikati’s bitter options
April 28, 2011
By Elias Sakr/ The Daily Star /Three months have passed since Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati was tasked by the Hezbollah-led March 8 coalition with forming a Cabinet, but tangible signs are yet to materialize over a breakthrough in the efforts to form a government. When the Saudi-Syrian compromise collapsed last January, Hezbollah and its allies rushed to topple Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s government.
The decision to oust Hariri came after he refused to comply with Hezbollah’s conditions for remaining in office – the party was particularly determined to end Beirut’s cooperation with the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, which was a pillar of the Saudi-Syrian agreement.
Once the new parliamentary majority designated Mikati, it expected the head of the new government to carry out what Hariri had refused to endorse, because expecting anything less from the prime minister-designate would defeat the purpose of his nomination and the ousting of Hariri.
Thus, one should examine the government formation process and its related complications, as going beyond the reportedly disputed distribution of portfolios, as it extends to the overall perception of the new government in the regional contest that pits Iran and its regional ally Damascus against the U.S. and the Saudi-led GCC coalition.
While March 8 pro-Syrian figures argue that Damascus would benefit from an allied government in Beirut and consequently is seeking its prompt formation, March 14 officials insist that Syria might intentionally be delaying the process to use it as leverage in its negotiations with the West. But irrespective of Damascus’ exact position vis-à-vis the formation of a government, Mikati seems to be endorsing a wait-and-see approach as the direction of events in Syria is yet to unfold. The mounting unrest over the last few days and Syrian President Bashar Assad’s decision to crush the opposition seems to further complicate Mikati’s task. When Hariri refused to succumb to Hezbollah’s demand to scrap his government’s cooperation with the international community, symbolized by working with the U.N.-backed tribunal, he was fully aware of the negative repercussions that Lebanon and he might suffer as the result of confronting the international community. Mikati, like Hariri, seems to have reached the same conclusion amid warnings by U.S. officials against the formation of a “Hezbollah-oriented” government, which have overlapped with an intensification of the crackdown on Hezbollah’s financial operatives. The crackdown led to the recent blacklisting of the Lebanese-Canadian Bank by the U.S. Treasury Department based on allegations of money laundering tied to Hezbollah, which the U.S. lists as a Terrorist Foreign Organization, making it a criminal act for anyone to provide material assistance to the party. Although the decision resulted from several years of investigations, the timing of the move can be easily read as a clear warning against succumbing to Hezbollah’s growing dominance, raising fears over the stability of Lebanon’s banking sector. Thus, Mikati is less likely to withstand international and domestic pressure at a time when Assad’s regime faces a popular uprising, in contrast to when Damascus, from a dominant position, threw its full weight behind Hezbollah’s demands and its decision to oust Hariri.
In other words, it is as costly for Mikati to form what U.S. officials has recently dubbed as a “Hezbollah-dominated” Cabinet as it was too costly for Hariri to bear the consequences of the Syrian-Saudi compromise sought by Hezbollah. Accordingly, the obvious question arises: Will Mikati step down, or will regional developments change course, and let him reassert his position as head of the new government?

Britain Withdraws Syria Envoy's Royal Wedding Invitation

Naharnet/Britain on Thursday withdrew the Syrian ambassador's invitation to the wedding of Prince William and Kate Middleton, saying the regime's crackdown on protesters made his presence "unacceptable". Foreign Secretary William Hague made the decision and the royal family agreed that Sami Khiyami should not attend Friday's ceremony, the Foreign Office said in a statement, following criticism from rights groups. "In the light of this week's attacks against civilians by the Syrian security forces, which we have condemned, the foreign secretary has decided that the presence of the Syrian ambassador at the royal wedding would be unacceptable and that he should not attend," the statement said.
The Foreign Office defended the initial invitation, saying the Syrian envoy had been invited alongside all countries with which Britain has normal diplomatic relations and which have ambassadors in London. "An invitation does not mean endorsement or approval of the behavior of any government, simply that we have normal diplomatic relations with that country," it said. Buckingham Palace, the official residence of Queen Elizabeth II, Prince William's grandmother, said it agreed with the decision. "Buckingham Palace shares the view of the Foreign Office that it is not considered appropriate for the Syrian ambassador to attend the wedding," a palace spokeswoman told Agence France Presse. Rights groups say at least 453 civilians have been killed in Syria since protests against the regime of President Bashar Assad first erupted in mid-March.(AFP) Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 13:41

Fatah, Hamas Reach Agreement on Interim Unity Govt, Elections

Naharnet/Rival Palestinian groups Hamas and Fatah reached an "understanding" in Cairo on Wednesday to set up a transitional unity government and to hold elections, prompting a swift warning from Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu demanded that Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas, who heads Fatah, "choose between peace with Israel or peace with Hamas." And Washington, the key sponsor of direct Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations which collapsed last September, warned that any Palestinian unity government must renounce violence. "The United States supports Palestinian reconciliation on terms which promote the cause of peace," said U.S. National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor.
"To play a constructive role in achieving peace, any Palestinian government must ... renounce violence, abide by past agreements, and recognize Israel's right to exist."
Fatah delegation chief Azzam al-Ahmed told Agence France Presse the two factions, which have been blood enemies for the past four years, had agreed to set up a "government of independents." "This government will be tasked with preparing for presidential and legislative elections within a year," Ahmed said in a telephone call with AFP in the West Bank political capital of Ramallah. Hamas delegation chief Mahmoud Zahar, whose Islamist movement seized control of Gaza in 2007, told Al-Jazeera television the two parties had agreed to form a transitional government made up of personalities selected by both sides.
Cairo is to invite Palestinian factions to return at the end of next week to sign the agreement, which would also call for the release of political detainees by both sides, he said.
The elections for president and parliament would be held at the same time and a commission of 12 judges formed to rule on any disputes linked to the polling, said Zahar.
Netanyahu said such an agreement paved the way for Hamas to take control of the West Bank too, where Abbas and his Palestinian Authority have their headquarters.
"The Palestinian Authority must choose between peace with Israel or peace with Hamas. There cannot be peace with both because Hamas strives to destroy the state of Israel and says so openly," Netanyahu said. Nabil Abu Rudeina, a spokesman for Abbas, dismissed these remarks. "In reaction to Netanyahu's remarks we say that Palestinian reconciliation and the agreement reached today in Cairo is an internal Palestinian affair," he told AFP. Netanyahu, for his part, "must choose between peace and settlements."
Hamas and Fatah were on the verge of agreeing to the same Egyptian-mediated deal in October 2009 but the Islamists backed out, protesting the terms had been revised without their consent. Wednesday's deal was brokered in Cairo where the factions met with Egypt's new spy chief Murad Muwafi, whose predecessor Omar Suleiman tried unsuccessfully to bridge a split that has left Gaza and the West Bank ruled by rival administrations. Tensions between the two movements date back to the start of limited Palestinian self-rule in the early 1990s when Fatah strongmen cracked down on Islamist activists. They worsened in January 2006, when in a surprise general election rout, Hamas beat the previously dominant Fatah to grab more than half the seats in the Palestinian parliament. Hamas expelled Fatah from Gaza after a week of deadly clashes in June 2007, cleaving the Palestinian territories into rival hostile camps.
The reported deal won support on the streets of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, where demonstrations have been held calling for the two camps to patch up their differences.
"We hope the reconciliation will meet the demands of the Palestinian people, especially the young people who have recently come out demanding an end to the divide," said Gaza City resident Ahmed al-Wan. "Every Palestinian citizen supports unity between Fatah and Hamas, we are brothers," said Mohammed, a 48-year-old farmer and Fatah supporter from the West Bank city of Hebron.(AFP) Beirut, 27 Apr 11, 22:34

Fatah-Hamas accord – by-product of secret Israel-Turkish talks, Syrian crisis
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 27, 2011,
The deal initialed by the two rival Palestinian factions, Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah and the Hamas rulers of the Gaza Strip in Cairo Wednesday, April 27, hailed by the Israeli media as "historic," drew an instantaneous critical response from Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu: "You can't have peace both with Israel and Hamas," he warned the Fatah-led Palestinian Authority. It raises concerns about the Palestinian Authority's weakness and a possible Hamas takeover of Judea and Samaria like the coup it staged in the Gaza Strip, he said. "Hamas aspires to destroy the state of Israel and is quite open about it. Hamas shoots rockets at Israeli cities and our children," he added.
At least three Fatah-Hamas reconciliation pacts have been signed with loud acclaim in the past, only to crash into oblivion. Netanyahu has himself to blame if the latest draft accord which caught him by surprise survives Palestinian fractiousness and actually produces a transitional government and elections a year hence.
This time, the interests of both Palestinian factions are served: It fulfills PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas' ambition to appear before the UN General Assembly in September demanding recognition of Palestinian statehood within the 1967 borders on behalf of a united people. Hamas' political chief Khaled Meshaal is looking for a new address for his Damascus headquarters away from President Bashar Assad's bloody crackdown on dissent.
But the deal struck in Cairo Wednesday was galvanized most of all by Netanyahu's secret track with Washington and Ankara for patching up the Israeli-Turkish quarrel.
debkafile's sources report that in quiet shuttles between the offices of Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and Netanyahu, unofficial American figures obtained Ankara's consent to postponing the Gaza-bound flotillas due to sail in the coming months. They are now parked on the Israeli leader's doorstep for the quid pro quo demanded by the Turks.
The comment by the Hamas official Abu Marzuk on April 14 about a fresh mediation channel for negotiating the release of the kidnapped Israeli soldier Gilead Shalit was in fact a signal from Ankara that Turkey could be helpful on that sensitive issue as well.
While Netanyahu and his advisers believed that their exchanges with the Turkish government had gone unnoticed behind the sound and fury of the Arab revolt, they missed two intent observers: the new Egyptian Foreign Minister Nabil Alaraby and Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen). The two decided to work together on what they reckoned would be the most effective scheme for pulling the rug from under the US-Turkish-Israeli track which left them out in the cold. It entailed a rapid move for getting Fatah-Hamas reconciliation in the bag before anyone realized what was happening.
To attain this goal, Abbas was pressed into major concessions to Hamas. If the initialed pact is finalized and he eventually delivers on those concessions, his dominant position and that of his Fatah on the West Bank will be seriously compromised, not to mention Israeli security interests.
Its terms provide for the two factions to establish a supreme security council with final authority on matters of security. It would override the Palestinian-Israeli coordinating panel operating under US supervision because neither Washington nor Jerusalem would agree to Hamas oversight, even if only indirect, of their security and undercover activity.
Abu Mazen agreed to a full exchange of prisoners, meaning all the Hamas operatives jailed on the West Bank would go free, especially those captured in the last two years as a result of two years of US-Israel-Palestinian counter-terror operations on the West Bank. Their release will make it harder than ever for Netanyahu to argue that he can't release all the dangerous terrorists Hamas is demanding in return for Gilead Shalit.
Hamas also beat Abbas down on a critical point at issue, that within a year of signing a formal agreement, elections are held for all the Palestinian institutions including the presidency, the legislative council (the Palestinian parliament) and also for PLO institutions.
Hamas will final gain membership of the PLO after being shut out for many years.
Since any Israel-Palestinian peace accord would be with the PLO rather than the Palestinian Authority, the way is opened for the Oslo Interim Peace Accords to be revoked in the same ways as future elections in Egypt would enable a future legislature and administration to revoke the Egyptian peace treaty with Israel.
The draft initialed in Cairo provides for the establishment of a joint transitional government of apolitical technocrats to serve until elections. Ministerial appointments from prime minister down would be subject to the approval of both parties. In other words, Hamas will have veto power over these appointments, which places the continued tenure of the incumbent Prime Minister Salem Fayad in great doubt.
debkafile's intelligence sources report that neither Washington nor Ankara, and especially Jerusalem, had the slightest inkling that a Palestinian accord was in the works or achievable at such high speed. They were all caught napping as a result of overconfidence, the absence of strategic forethought and planning and failed intelligence.
Substantial adjustments will have to be made in the three capitals to prepare for the pictures to be broadcast from Cairo next week of Abbas and Khaled Meshal kissing and embracing with Egyptian Foreign Minister al-Arabi, after affixing their signatures to the final version of their accord.


Syria: Dictator Assad's war on his own people

Wednesday, April 27, 2011
By Walid Phares
Although the origins of al-Taqiyya are found in fundamentalist dogma regarding propaganda, Ba’athists and other authoritarian regimes in the region have used the practice for decades. In short, once widespread opposition to his one-party regime became evident, Assad needed to shield himself from international retribution. In an effort to buy time, the Syrian dictator announced that he would cancel “emergency law” which forbids demonstrations and limits free speech.
Assad’s lack of credibility immunizes Syrian protesters to his “Taqiyya.” No deception will convince them that the Syrian President’s intentions are good.
Ma’moun Homsi, a former Member of Syria’s Parliament who has been jailed several times for speaking out against the regime said recently, “The dictator is gaining time and playing the propagandist, nothing more.” In essence, Mr. Assad simply replaced an outmoded tool, the state of emergency, with a cutting-edge narrative referred to as “counter terrorism law.” His own speech indicts the so-called 'reformist' head of the regime who warned, “There will no longer be ‘an excuse’ for organizing protests after Syria lifts emergency law and implements the reforms.” What part of “reform” does the Syrian President not understand? When emergency law is lifted, it is so that protests can take place freely, not the other way around. In fact, Assad’s speech sought to gild the rapidly tarnishing image of Damascus’s ruling elite.
Dozens of citizens, mostly youth, have been killed by his hit teams and snipers since the beginning of April. Reports have accused Bashar of importing Iranian and Hezbollah’s militias to help suppress the protests. With such bloodshed, the regime has been delegitimized and its leaders will eventually face Syrian or international justice, no matter how long it takes, just as is the case in other Arab countries where rulers ordered protesters killed.
Assad’s flanking maneuver to attack the Syrian revolt’s rear guard is not reform. He never mentioned changing Article 8 of the Syrian Constitution which states “The leading party in the society and the state is the Socialist Arab Baath Party. It leads a patriotic and progressive front seeking to unify the resources of the people’s masses and place them at the service of the Arab nation’s goals.”
The protesters main goal is to break the monopoly of Assad’s ruling party. There was never any mention of releasing all political detainees. Equally important, there has been no dismantling of the existing security apparatuses; and last but not least, there is no intention of revising the Syrian Constitution. The only thing the dictator is doing is accusing imaginary “foreign conspiracies” from Israel, the United States, Arab Sunni Governments and Lebanon. His citizens do not buy his stories.
The demonstrators, mostly from civil society groups, were inspired by the “Damascus Declaration” issued more than five years ago by dissidents, some of whom remain in jail to this day. Most of the protesters are young males with female protestors seen primarily on college campuses. Political movements who oppose the regime (left wing, liberals, and others) support the uprising but aren’t moving to the front of the protests for fear of being exposed. This also applies to the Muslim Brotherhood of Syria who are present on the streets but prefer, for the time being, that others be seen as taking the lead.
The protests started initially in Dar’a in the south, where most of the killing took place. Gradually, they spread to cities in the north and finally Damascus. The demonstrators are mainly Sunnis, Syria’s numerical majority, but Kurds, Christians, Druses, and even Alawites (Assad’s own ruling sect) have joined the marches.
The regime is using security forces and militias to suppress the revolt. Regular troops are only seeing limited involvement to avoid provoking troop defections. In addition, Iran and Hezbollah have permanent bases inside Syria and have been supplying the Syrian regime with equipment to track and suppress the communications of opposition groups who are organizing the demonstrations.
President Assad sends tanks against civilians in Deraa. Gunfire can still be heard in the city, which has been cut off from the rest of the world. Almost 400 people have died since the start of protests. Almost 500 people have been arrested in the past few days. The international community is ...Despite the Assad regime’s super police state, the masses will not retreat now. The demonstrators know all too well that the son of Hafez Assad will surpass the Hama massacres if the revolt recedes. Bashar played his last card with hollow promises of legal remedies rather than accept the principle of free elections. The Syrian dictator’s “Taqiyya” didn’t fool the people on the streets; they are well acquainted with the regime’s method which has been on display against Syria’s enemies for decades. Assad can’t fool his own people; he can only frustrate them further. Assad’s psychological warfare on his own people has failed and the revolt continues.
**Dr. Walid Phares teaches Global Strategies in Washington, DC, and is the author of The Confrontation: Winning the War against Future Jihad and The Coming Revolution: Struggle for Freedom in the Middle East.


Push to Ban Liquor in Nabatiyeh

Naharnet/Two months after Yaacoub Yaacoub opened his liquor store in Nabatiyeh he shut it down -- not for lack of customers, he says, but due to pressure. "Members of local political parties came to see me and made it clear that stores that sell alcohol were not welcome in town," said Yaacoub, 50. "And I was made to understand that they could harm me if I didn't abide by their demand," he added. A banner recently hoisted near his store drove the message home. "The residents of Nabatiyeh want all liquor stores to shut down," it reads. More than 10 years ago Sidon, witnessed a string of attacks against liquor stores that no longer exist in the city. Yaacoub said it was clear to him that those behind the campaign to close down his store in Nabatiyeh were loyal to Hizbullah and AMAL. Both parties declined comment for this article. Besides Yaacoub's store, several more shops in Nabatiyeh that sell alcohol have also closed in recent months. Other stores have resorted to selling liquor discreetly without displaying bottles on shelves. The store closures were ordered by Nabatiyeh's mayor Ahmad Kahil, after 900 local residents signed a petition demanding their town turn dry. "Alcohol affects moral values and the social order," Kahil told Agence France Presse. His decision has grabbed headlines and sparked a heated debate online. Many local residents who spoke on condition of anonymity said had Hizbullah not condoned the liquor store closures, no one would have dared draw up a petition, let alone submit it to local leaders. "Banners against the sale of liquor began popping up about a week ago," said Samir Sabbagh, who along with his father heads a 20-year-old liquor wholesale company. "Unknown people then started distributing leaflets calling for the closure of liquor stores," he added. "Last Friday, after the Muslim prayer, protesters held a march during which they chanted slogans against alcohol consumption." He said he has since decided to shut down his company for fear of reprisals. "I am a secular man, I am for personal liberties but I had no other choice," Sabbagh said.
Social networking site Facebook meanwhile has been awash with indignant messages describing Nabatiyeh as an Iranian city or comparing it to an "Islamic republic.
One page in Arabic is entitled "The freedom of Nabatiyeh's youngsters is a red line" while another declares: "No to oppression, yes to alcohol in southern suburbs" of Beirut.
Ali al-Sabbagh, a resident of Nabatiyeh and member of the local council, said he would have favored more strict controls on the sale of alcohol rather than an outright ban.
"One must not meddle in people's private business," he said. "Banning liquor by force is counter to the constitution which guarantees individual liberties."
He also pointed out that the stores targeted had been granted liquor licenses by the state.
But Abbas Fahes, another local resident, holds a different view.
"The real threat to individual freedom here is the existence of liquor stores in an Islamic city," he said. "The majority of the population is Muslim and opposed to the sale of alcohol.
"The minority represents 10 percent of the population so who is the aggressor here?" (AFP) Beirut, 28 Apr 11, 11:26

Western Pretexts
Thu, 28 April 2011
Hassan Haidar/Al Hayat
Despite the blatant imbalance of power between the regime in Syria and the peaceful opposition that has been targeted for forty years with all kinds of political, moral and physical pressures under an experienced and active security apparatus, the opposition has managed over a period of less than two months to exert serious pressures on the regime, leading the latter to make use of decisive military force in an attempt to stifle it, after the failure of aesthetic and formal solutions to convince it of their seriousness became patent, and after the naïve media campaigns were unsuccessful at distorting the opposition’s image and at portraying it as a group of foreign agents.
Yet, while absolutely asserting the rejection of any foreign interference in the confrontation currently taking place in Syria, the spontaneous and youthful Syrian opposition’s ability to endure in the face of cannons, tanks and the machineguns of the “shabbiha” (thugs), in addition to the broad campaign of arrests, is in urgent need of a strong moral boost, one which the world has not offered it as it did with the revolutions of Tunisia and Egypt, as well as with the uprising in Libya. Indeed, hesitancy, reservations and cold calculation still dominate the stances of influential decision-making capitals – first because of what they say is “fear of the coming unknown”, because they are unfamiliar with the opposition’s leaderships, structure and inclinations; and second because they are concerned about “the situation in the region turning to chaos” if stability is undermined in Syria.
It may be true that the world is unfamiliar with prominent leaders of the Syrian opposition, which includes a wide range of Leftists, Islamists, Centrists and Liberal activists working in the Human rights field, in addition of course to ordinary citizens, and that such leaders raise various slogans, ranging from demanding more freedoms, the right to form political parties and an end to the tyranny of the security apparatus over the daily lives of citizens, to directly demanding the overthrow of the regime, as per the slogan that was chanted in some protests after the start of the bloody repression. Yet such a factor was not decisive in the uprisings of Tunisia and Egypt, in which the youth went beyond traditional opposition leaderships or those who sought to benefit from the wave. In fact, those who settled the issue of the regime in Egypt were mostly from the youth and not affiliated with any political party or organizational framework, but rather merely people demanding rights and looking for a better future. Furthermore, the outcomes of these two revolutions went beyond all the fears of the “Brotherhood Boogeyman” and of the possibility of the Muslim Brotherhood coming to power.
As for what is being said about stability in the Middle East, it is an old tune that no longer convinces anyone. Indeed, Western nations, and especially the United States, have always accused the Syrian regime of undermining stability in the region and held it responsible for proxy wars of which the Lebanese and the Palestinians have experienced the destruction and tragedies over decades. And we are entitled to wonder: why then was the West constantly asserting over the past years, as it still does, that the existing alliance between Damascus and Tehran poses a threat to stability in the region because it arms Hezbollah and the Hamas movement? And is what is meant by stability merely ensuring the security of Israel?
The truth is that there is patent contradiction between the West’s stress on the necessity for the Syrian regime to enact radical reforms and its desire for it to maintain its stability, because it knows perfectly well that the nature of the regime in Damascus does not allow for any kind of real change.