LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِNovember
02/2010
Bible Of The
Day
Warning the rich/James
5/1-6: " Come now, you rich, weep and howl for your miseries that are coming on
you. 5:2 Your riches are corrupted and your garments are moth-eaten. 5:3 Your
gold and your silver are corroded, and their corrosion will be for a testimony
against you, and will eat your flesh like fire. You have laid up your treasure
in the last days. 5:4 Behold, the wages of the laborers who mowed your fields,
which you have kept back by fraud, cry out, and the cries of those who reaped
have entered into the ears of the Lord of Armies. 5:5 You have lived delicately
on the earth, and taken your pleasure. You have nourished your hearts as in a
day of slaughter. 5:6 You have condemned, you have murdered the righteous one.
He doesn’t resist you."
Free Opinions,
Releases, letters, Interviews & Special Reports
Desperate measures/Now
Lebanon/November
01/10
Assad Remains Defiant, Washington
Might be Signaling Departure/The
Weekly Standard/November 01/10
Fares Soueid in a recent
statement/NNA/November
01/10
The Significance of Boycotting the
Special Tribunal/By: Abdullah Iskandar/November
01/10
Are U.S. Officials Understanding
and Responding to Middle East Crises? Ya Think?/By Barry Rubin/November
01/10
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for November
01/10
Hizballah's "zero hour"
exercise for toppling Beirut government and war on Israel/DEBKAfile
Special Report
Hizballah, Syria, Iran sow
alarm in Lebanon without a shot/DEBKAfile
Special Report
52 Worshippers Killed in Baghdad
Church Drama /Naharnet
Hizbullah Simulation Aims to
Hold Grip on Lebanon, Besiege Hariri in Less than 2 Hours/Naharnet
Syria's Shaaban: Meetings with
Hariri Depend on Circumstances /Naharnet
Berri's Optimism Stems From 'Data I
Cannot Disclose' /Naharnet
Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir:
STL investigations key to ending political murders in Lebanon/Daily Star
Syria denies undermining Lebanese state/Daily Star
Saudi Arabia: Lebanon must 'immunize' against surprises/Daily Star
March 8 source: Lebanon situation will mirror Syrian-Saudi dialogue/Daily Star
Hariri in London to meet with prime minister, Prince Charles, British
officials/Daily Star
Lebanon breaks record for biggest glass of wine/Daily Star
Lebanon still supports STL, Hariri
says/Now Lebanon /Naharnet
Majdalani rejects equating “false
witnesses” issue with Hariri murder/Now Lebanon /Naharnet
Gemayel: Nasrallah’s speech step in
coup against institutions/Now Lebanon /Naharnet
Gemayel:
Nasrallah's Speech is a New Step in Process of Obstructing Constitutional
Institutions
/Naharnet
Hackers Shut Down Saudi
Education Ministry Website, Post Nasrallah Photo
/Naharnet
In Beirut, a Crash Course
in Arabic and a Bonus Too: Class Trips to Hizbullah, Hamas Offices
/Naharnet
Secret Documents Confirm
Indictment to be Issued Soon
/Naharnet
Ammar: STL's Course and
Performance of its Investigators Will Destroy Lebanon and its Stability
/Naharnet
Hashem: There are Several
Leaks Surrounding Indictment
/Naharnet
Aoun Warns: No Dialogue if
Cabinet Session on False Witnesses Fails
/Naharnet
Qassem: Hizbullah Won't
Quit Government over False Witnesses' Issue
/Naharnet
Hariri Ends Kuwait Visit:
Give Unity Government a Chance to Invest in Stability
/Naharnet
Berri Meets Syrian, Saudi,
Iranian Ambassadors ahead of Cabinet Session
/Naharnet
Saudi King's Son Meets
Assad to Defuse Lebanon Tension over Nasrallah's Boycott Call
/Naharnet
Obama Phones Saudi King,
Stresses Full Support for Hariri, Tribunal
/Naharnet
Suleiman Seeks Consensus
on Solving False Witnesses
/Naharnet
Ban Phones Hariri,
Discusses Dahiyeh Incident
/Naharnet
Saudi-Syrian-Iranian
Rapprochement Enforces A-A-G Equation
/Naharnet
Hizballah's "zero
hour" exercise for toppling Beirut government and war on Israel
DEBKAfile Special Report November 1, 2010, Hizballah last Thursday, Oct. 28,
conducted a command exercise in all parts of Lebanon to test its armed militia's
readiness for what its leaders called "zero hour" i.e. asserting its grip on
Lebanon and "cornering" Prime Minister Saad Hariri. debkafile's military sources
report the exercise took all day and led up to the sabre-rattling speech
delivered by Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah that night, which was interpreted
by all Lebanese factions interpreted as a declaration of war on their government
and the prologue to heating up the border with Israel.
(To read our
Oct. 30 report on the speech and its impact, click here.)
The Shiite terrorist group made no bones about the reasons for its war stance -
just the opposite:
1. Hizballah found it necessary to answer the Israel Defense Forces' recent
"electronic exercise," in keeping with a top-level Iranian-Syrian-Hizballah
decision never to leave any American or Israel military step without response.
2. It was a practice for the military action planned for the hours leading up to
the Special Lebanese Tribunal's issuance of indictments against Hizballah
leaders for complicity in the assassination of Lebanese ex-prime minister Rafiq
Hariri five years ago.
The "zero hour" exercise demonstrated, according to Hizballah sources, "the
quick implementation on the ground" of the necessary deployment. They claimed
that in "less than two hours" they were able to "maintain a security and
military grip of large areas of Lebanon."
Our sources note that this is the first time Hizballah has leveled publicly
about its plan for seizing control of Lebanon by force of arms - even without
waiting for the STL indictments to be issued. The disclosure was made five days
after the critical command exercise in order to establish a fact. It took
advantage of a moment when its key opponents were otherwise engaged.
President Barack Obama has his hands full with the Democrats' sliding rating in
polls ahead of the Nov. 2 midterm elections to Congress.
Saudi King Abdullah had an eye on an ambitious initiative to convene a national
conciliation conference of all Iraqi factions for breaking the long impasse over
the formation of a new government in Baghdad. The Saudi king was seeking an
al-Arab breakthrough that would push Iran off the board.
And in Jerusalem, political circles in Jerusalem are full engaged in the trivia
of domestic scandal, such as the illegal employment of a foreign worker at
Defense Minster Ehud Barak's home or endless bickering over the stipends for
yeshiva students with families.
Hizballah also feels it can safely send its gunmen out on the streets of Beirut
and vent its ire on Israel without being jumped on by Western media because they
are all totally absorbed in al Qaeda's bomb package plot and its
intercontinental ramifications.
Hizballah,
Syria, Iran sow alarm in Lebanon without a shot
DEBKAfile Special Report October 30, 2010, 7:29 PM (GMT+02:00)/The speech Hassan
Nasrallah, leader of Lebanon's Hizballah, delivered Thursday night Oct. 29 was
taken in all sections of Lebanese society as a virtual declaration of war on his
country, a conflict which they fear will be even fiercer and crueler than the
1975 civil war. It is widely believed, according to debkafile's Middle East
sources, that the power-sharing order the diverse communities achieved after
that conflict will be swept away and replaced with a pro-Iranian, pro-Syrian
puppet regime.
The Shiite Hizballah is already on the move. It latest step took place last
Wednesday, Oct. 27, when a crowd of Lebanese Shiite women prevented two
investigators of the STL tribunal probing the 2005 murder of former Lebanese
Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri from obtaining documentary evidence for their case
at a gynecology clinic in South Beirut. The documents were seized and destroyed.
The UN officers needed medical treatment.
The next day, Nasrallah thundered his call for "every official and every citizen
to boycott the work of the UN investigators… Cooperation would be an assault on
the Resistance (Nasrallah's name for his Hizballah)," he said. The Hizballah
chief went on to invoke "our honor and dignity" as "requiring us to have a
different stance."
Far from staging a minor incident, the Shiite women were hurriedly mobilized to
keep the UN investigators attached to the STL's Prosecution Office from gaining
access to one of the top-secret security and intelligence archives which
Hizballah has hidden away in unlikely places like the clinic.
UN Secretary Ban Ki-moon condemned the attack in the strongest terms as
unacceptable.
However, Hizballah's threats to the Beirut government and country at large are
growing fiercer as the moment approaches for the STL to issue indictments
against its officials for complicity in the Hariri assassination.
At the clinic, the UN investigators apparently got too close for comfort to
incriminating documents.
Early Thursday, in growing alarm over the methods employed by Hizballah and its
patrons, Syria and Iran, to thwart the UN tribunal's work, the UN Security
Council held a closed-door situation.Later, US ambassador to the United Nations,
Susan Rice, slammed Syria for displaying "flagrant disregard" for Lebanon's
sovereignty. She cited its provision of increasingly sophisticated weapons to
Hizballah and other militias in violation of a UN resolution and its issuance of
33 arrest warrants for senior Lebanese officials and foreigners.
"Hizballah remains the most significant and most heavily armed Lebanese
militia," said Ambassador Rice in the most extreme US criticism of Damascus
heard in years. "It could not have done so if not for Syria's aid, and
facilitation of Syrian and Iranian arms."
debkafile's Beirut and intelligence sources stress that even the strongest words
cannot save Lebanon from its dizzying fall into the clutches of Hizballah, Syria
and Iran, thereby derailing a key Obama administration policy for the Middle
East.
Washington's partners-in-fiasco would be French President Nicolas Sarkozy who
shared in the formation of this policy and the Israeli government headed by
Binyamin Netanyahu and Ehud Barak. They all buried their heads in the sand for
two years without lifting a finger Hizballah was massively armed by Iran and
Syria and they all developed their power-grab for Beirut.
The tenor of Nasrallah's speech Thursday night demonstrated that the American
diplomat's strong words cut no ice and would not deter Hizballah from enforcing
its strong-arm laws on the Lebanese government and citizenry.
52
Worshippers Killed in Baghdad Church Drama
Naharnet/Iraqi security forces stormed a Baghdad church where militants had
taken an entire congregation hostage for four hours, leaving at least 52 people
dead, including a priest, Iraqi officials said Monday. It was not immediately
clear whether the hostages died at the hands of the attackers or during the
rescue late on Sunday night in an affluent neighborhood of the capital.
The incident began when militants wearing suicide vests and armed with grenades
attacked the Iraqi stock exchange at dusk Sunday before turning their attention
to the nearby Our Lady of Deliverance church — one of Baghdad's main Catholic
places of worship — taking about 120 Christians hostage.
Maj. Gen. Hussein Ali Kamal, the deputy interior minister, said 52 people were
killed and 67 wounded, in the bloodbath. Officials said at least one priest and
10 policemen were among the dead. Many of the wounded were women.
A Christian member of parliament on Monday described the Iraqi rescue operation
as "not professional," saying "it was a hasty action that prompted the
terrorists to kill the worshippers."
"We have no clear picture yet whether the worshippers were killed by the
security forces bullets or by terrorists, but what we know is that most of them
were killed when the security forces started to storm the church," Younadem Kana
said.
Video footage from an American drone that was overhead during the attack showed
a black plume of smoke followed by flashes from inside the building before what
appears to be soldiers going in. U.S. forces often supply air support to Iraqi
forces conducting operations on the ground, feeding them video footage of what
American drones see from the air. The casualty information was confirmed by
police and officials at hospitals where the dead and wounded were taken.
There were conflicting accounts about the number of attackers involved in the
assault, with Baghdad military spokesman Maj. Gen. Qassim al-Moussawi saying
Sunday night that security forces killed eight, while the U.S. military said
between five and seven died.
Two police officers on the scene, however, say only three attackers were killed
and another seven arrested afterward.
Outside the Syrian Catholic church Monday morning, Raed Hadi leaned against his
car on top of which rested a casket holding the body of his cousin, who was
killed in the siege. Hadi was waiting for the police to let him onto the church
grounds to bury his relative. He railed against Iraqi authorities.
"It was a massacre in there and now they are cleaning it up," said Raed. "We
Christians don't have enough protection. ... What shall I do now? Leave and ask
for asylum?"
Police pushed back onlookers from around the church by erecting a barbed wire
fence but residents and people from the Christian community claimed that it was
too little, too late.
A cryptically worded statement posted late Sunday on a militant website
allegedly by the Islamic State of Iraq appeared to claim responsibility for the
attack. The group, which is linked to al-Qaida in Iraq, said it would
"exterminate Iraqi Christians" if Muslim women in Egypt were not freed.
It specifically mentioned two women in Egypt that extremists maintain have
converted to Islam and are being held against their will in Egypt. The two are
wives of priests and are believed to have converted to Islam to leave their
husbands since divorce is banned by Egypt's Coptic Church. One woman disappeared
in 2004 and another in July.
Egypt's Christians had maintained they were kidnapped and staged rallies for
their release. Both were later recovered by police, denied any conversions and
were then spirited away to distant monasteries. In the message, the militants
claim the two are still Muslim and called upon the Vatican, which held a meeting
earlier in October to discuss the fate of Christians in the Middle East, to
release the women. "We direct our speech to the Vatican and say that as you met
with Christians of the Mideast a few days ago to support them and back them, now
you have to pressure them to release our sisters, otherwise death will reach you
all," the message said. Iraqi Christians, who have been frequent targets for
Sunni insurgents, have left in droves since the 2003 U.S.-led war. Catholics
used to represent 2.89 percent of the population in 1980; by 2008 they were just
0.89 percent. One Iraqi man who identified himself only as Abu Sami for security
reasons, said his wife was inside the church during the attack. Although she was
unharmed, he said he feared that the church siege signaled a new round of
violence by militants against Iraq's Christian community.
"I expect the coming attacks will be worse in the future since the government is
doing nothing to protect us. We are peaceful people and never harmed any of our
fellow countrymen, so we do not understand the reasons behind such evil
attacks," he said. "Many Christians now believe that they do not have any hope
in Iraq and the best thing to survive is to seek another country to live in," he
said.(AP) Beirut, 01 Nov 10, 06:37
STL investigations key to ending political murders in Lebanon - Sfeir
By The Daily Star /Monday, November 01, 2010 /Naharnet
BEIRUT: Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir said Friday the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon (STL) probing the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri
was necessary to end the string of political murders in the country.“If we want
to put an end to political assassinations then the tribunal should issue its
indictment naming those who committed the crime,” he said. “If we want matters
to continue the same way, then assassinations will continue, which is harmful to
Lebanon and other countries as well,” he added.
In an interview with Al-Jazeera satellite channel, Sfeir said claims that
Hizbullah wanted to take control of the country, “draw worry for those who are
not affiliated with the party.”
Sfeir denied that Hizbullah had plans to take control of Lebanon. “However,” he
said, “methods that the party adopts are powerful, and power eventually leads to
control.”
“Lebanon should remain the way it is, for all its sects, which should be awarded
equal power,” said the prelate. “If one [sect] were to overpower the others,
this goes against the principles upon which Lebanon is founded.” The patriarch
said while Christians had been in control of the decision-making process ahead
of Lebanon’s 1975-90 Civil War, “decision-making was now in the hand of others.”
Sfeir, however, admitted that Christians in Lebanon had more “power” than
Christians in other countries of the region.
Sfeir said the Maronite Church stood at an equal distance from the rival March 8
and the March 14 camps. He voiced dissatisfaction with the share allotted to
Christians in the public administrations.Sfeir also said he would visit Syria
“when circumstances are appropriate.” “So far it is not clear whether ties
between Lebanon and Syria are back on track because one country has interests in
the other,” he added. “If Syria wants to befriend Lebanon in order to control
us, then we do not want this friendship,” he added. – The Daily Star
Syria denies undermining Lebanese state
By The Daily Star /Monday, November 01, 2010
BEIRUT: A state-run Syrian newspaper has dismissed US accusations that Syria was
undermining Lebanon’s independence and sovereignty, calling the claims
“irresponsible.”
Tishrin newspaper said Sunday the accusations reflect a “pure Israeli will” and
that US policies lack credibility. Saudi Arabia’s Al-Watan newspaper said in its
Saturday issue that the deadlock in Lebanon has reached a “dangerous stage.”
Tensions have mounted in Lebanon over the indictment to be issued by the Special
Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) probing the assassination of former Prime Minister
Rafik Hariri. In statements made to reporters at the UN this week, US Ambassador
Susan Rice singled out Syria and said it displayed a “flagrant disregard” for
Lebanon’s sovereignty and political independence. She accused Syria of providing
weapons to Hizbullah and other Palestinian militias in violation of a UN
resolution.
Tishrin said the US accusations were in “full harmony” with Israel’s regional
policies. Last week, the US vowed continued support for the STL, accusing
Hizbullah of “intimidation” in urging a boycott. Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah warned all Lebanese Thursday not to help investigators probing the
2005 killing, saying that such cooperation would be tantamount to an attack on
the resistance. His speech came one day after two STL investigators and their
interpreter were attacked by women at a gynecology clinic in a Hizbullah-controlled
southern suburb of Beirut. Saudi Arabia’s Al-Watan newspaper described
Nasrallah’s comments as an attempt to “impede justice,” adding that the truth
will be revealed “sooner or later.”
“Nasrallah’s remarks are an indication of how Hizbullah does not have the
interest of all the Lebanese people in mind,” State Department spokesman Philip
Crowley told reporters.
“It has a narrow agenda and we will do everything that we can to help the
Lebanese government and Lebanese people resist this obvious intimidation.” – AP,
with The Daily Star
Saudi Arabia: Lebanon must 'immunize' against surprises
Osseiri says with dialogue, country can be safeguarded
By The Daily Star /Monday, November 01, 2010
BEIRUT: Saudi Ambassador Ali Awad Osseiri called on the Lebanese over the
weekend to “immunize” their country against any surprises. “Saudi Arabia plays a
positive role in Lebanon and is keen on preserving the country’s unity,” he
said. Syria’s Ambassador Ali Abdel-Karim Ali, meanwhile, said the unity of the
Lebanese will safeguard their country.
Speaking to politicians and crowds in the rural north Lebanon district of Akkar,
Osseiri said his country was “closely following up” on developments on the
Lebanese political scene.
Asked about the repercussions of the indictment to be issued by the UN-backed
tribunal probing the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri,
Osseiri said he was confident that the Lebanese would work for the best interest
of their country. “We call on all the Lebanese to immunize their country against
any surprises,” said the Saudi ambassador.
The country has been caught in a standoff over the indictment to be pronounced
by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL). Hizbullah announced that the court
was moving toward indicting “rogue” members of the party and slammed the STL as
an Israeli project.
Last week, the party’s leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah called on the Lebanese to
boycott the tribunal, adding that anyone who cooperated with the STL would be
considered an agent.
Osseiri said the Saudi monarch devoted time to ensure that Lebanese ranks are
kept united, adding that King Abdullah considered the “Lebanese internal front
to be strong.”
“[King Abdullah] sees that the Lebanese should adopt dialogue as a means to
solve all their problems so that Lebanon can be strong and safeguarded against
attempts to weaken the country or sow divisions among the Lebanese,” said
Osseiri. The Saudi ambassador had started a tour of north Lebanon Friday by
visiting the coastal city of Tripoli, where he met prominent political and
religious leaders there. Osseiri headed to Akkar Saturday, one of Lebanon’s most
impoverished regions, where he met the lawmakers of the district and residents.
“I am planning to visit the four corners of Lebanon to get to know the people of
this country,” he said. Osseiri said his visit to various Lebanese regions aimed
to spread a “message of unity.” “[Saudi Arabia] hopes that the next [Lebanese]
generations will not inherit animosity and hatred and move away from divisions,”
he said. Saudi Arabia and Syria are considered Lebanon’s main powerbrokers. A
tension in ties, or conversely a rapprochement between the two Arab countries
clearly reflects on the situation in Lebanon. Also speaking over the weekend,
the Syrian Ambassador said Lebanon and Syria were united by the same challenges
and goals. “National entente and dialogue are the guarantee to unity, civil
peace, sovereignty, independence, and freedom,” Ali told a luncheon in the Iqlim
al-Kharoub town of Jieh. Ali highlighted that inter-Lebanese dialogue was key to
protecting Lebanon, “that we cherish and hope will remain strong and healthy.”
The Syrian ambassador said Israel should not be allowed the opportunity to boast
that it has intercepted Lebanon’s telecommunications network in a bid to target
Lebanon’s steadfastness and resistance. – The Daily Star
March 8 source: Lebanon situation will mirror Syrian-Saudi dialogue
Discussions on ‘false witnesses’ in cabinet ‘will not be decisive’
By Wassim Mroueh /Daily Star staff
Monday, November 01, 2010
BEIRUT: A Cabinet session set to convene Wednesday won’t be a decisive one
regarding “false witnesses” in the investigation into the murder of Lebanese
former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. A senior source from the March 8 coalition
told The Daily Star Sunday that the ministers’ failure to reach an agreement on
the matter at the next session “is not the end of the world,” adding that he did
not expect a vote to be held on the issue. “All domestic contacts are marginal,
the key issue is the Syrian-Saudi talks,” said the source, adding: “Everyone is
in a wait-and-see mode awaiting the outcome of the Syrian-Saudi talks, what we
are monitoring is the outcome of the Syrian-Saudi differences over Iraq.”
According to the source, if the outcome of the Syrian-Saudi talks are negative,
then this will have a negative impact on Lebanon, and if the result is positive,
then this would have a positive effect on the country. Syria and Saudi Arabia
back different candidates for the prime minister’s post in Iraq. A political
source told The Daily Star that Saudi Prince Abdel-Aziz Bin Abdullah, who paid a
short visit to Syria Sunday, mainly discussed the situation in Lebanon with
Syrian President Bashar Assad.
Lebanese daily An-Nahar reported Sunday that Prince Abdel-Aziz would deliver a
letter from Saudi King Abdullah Ibn Abdel-Aziz to Assad and that the two would
discuss “a mechanism to ease political tensions that resulted from a call by [Hizbullah
leader Sayyed Hassan] Nasrallah to boycott the international tribunal [probing
Hariri’s murder].”
Justice Minister Ibrahim Najjar said he was not notified about any “middle or
final solution” to the issue, confirming it was on the agenda of Wednesday’s
Cabinet session.
A report forwarded by Najjar indicated the issue did not satisfy conditions
required in order to be referred to the Justice Council, but should be dealt
with by the Lebanese judiciary.
The Hizbullah-led March 8 forces insisted the issue should be handled by the
Justice Council, while the rival March 14 coalition headed by Prime Minister
Saad Hariri supported Najjar’s view. Once referred to the Justice Council, any
verdict related to the matter could not be appealed.
Speaking to Voice of Lebanon radio station, Najjar reiterated his position that
referring the issue of “false witnesses” to the Justice Council was not possible
“in light of the clarity of the legal text in Lebanon.” “The dominant opinion is
that the Justice Council has exceptional prerogatives and the Cabinet can’t go
into judicial affairs,” he added.
Echoing Najjar, head of the Progressive Socialist Party Walid Jumblatt said he
had no information about a solution to the issue of “false witnesses” that led
to calling for the Cabinet session.
A source close to Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri told The Daily Star that
contacts between Berri, Hariri and President Michel Sleiman have never stopped,
noting that there were no substantial contacts over the issue of “false
witnesses.” While confirming that the Cabinet would convene Wednesday, the
source said Berri was not actively involved in the contacts, but was awaiting
steps to be taken by Sleiman, expecting no decision to be taken by the speaker
before Tuesday. Hizbullah stepped up its offensive on the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon (STL) by calling on the Lebanese to boycott its probes.
In a brief televised speech last week, Nasrallah said two STL investigators, who
were obstructed from carrying out their investigations by a crowd of women at a
medical clinic in Beirut’s southern suburb, violated ethical, religious and
humanitarian norms by asking for a gynecologist’s patient records.
He called upon the Lebanese to boycott STL probes, saying everything presented
to it was passed to Israel. In July, Nasrallah slammed the STL as an “Israeli
project” designed to spark civil strife in the country. He expected members of
his party to be indicted by an impending STL indictment Hizbullah’s number two
Sheikh Naiim Qassem said the party would defend itself against any indictment
targeting it. “All foreign diplomats are asking about our reaction following the
issuance of the indictment, and the answer is: we will defend ourselves,” Qassem
told Qatari newspaper Al-Watan in remarks Sunday. “Our reaction to the
indictment has to do with the circumstances and the atmosphere surrounding its
issuance … There are several possible scenarios for Hizbullah’s reactions which
we can’t predict from now,” he added. Concerning the issue of “false witnesses,”
Qassem said that the Lebanese judiciary would have probed the matter “several
years ago” if it had been seriously looking for truth. “Hizbullah wants to know
the real criminal that false witnesses wanted to hide,” said Qassem, denying his
party planned to topple the Cabinet by withdrawing from it over the issue of
“false witnesses.”
Hariri in London to meet with prime minister, Prince Charles, British officials
By The Daily Star /Monday, November 01, 2010
BEIRUT: Prime Minister Saad Hariri arrived in London Sunday evening after
concluding a one-day official visit to Kuwait. Hariri is scheduled to hold talks
Monday with British Prime Minister David Cameron, British Foreign Minister
William Hague, Prince Charles and an array of Lebanese businessmen residing in
Britain.
The premier will be accompanied by Defense Minister Elias Murr and his advisers.
Earlier Sunday, Hariri held talks with Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Jaber
al-Sabah and his Kuwaiti counterpart Nasser al-Mohammad al-Jaber al-Sabah at the
Bayan palace in the city of Kuwait. Hariri discussed with the two the situation
in Iraq and in the Palestinian occupied territories along with Israeli
violations. He agreed with the Kuwaiti leaders to soon hold a meeting for the
Lebanese-Kuwaiti High Commission in Beirut.
Hariri detailed a number of investment projects in which Kuwait could take part.
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Nawwaf al-Ahmad al-Jaber al-Sabah, Kuwaiti Prime Minister
and a number of Kuwaiti officials participated in the meeting. A Lebanese
delegation composed of the Minister of the Displaced Akram Shehayeb, former MP
Bassem Sabaa, Lebanese Ambassador to Kuwait Bassam Naamani, Hariri’s aide Nader
Hariri and advisers Hani Hammoud and Fadi Fawwaz also took part in the talks.
Hariri held separate talks with his Kuwaiti counterpart at the Emiri Diwan.
Delivering a speech at the opening session of the “Second Kuwait Financial
Reform 2010” in the city of Kuwait, Hariri said Lebanon “looked forward to
approaching its political crises with awareness and responsibility.” “We look
forward to … avoiding drifting into what could harm the national stability and
hinder the will of dialogue and communication among the Lebanese,” he said. The
event was organized under the patronage of the Kuwaiti prime minister.
“The experiences of the past years are enough to draw lessons from and make sure
that we have no choice but solidarity in order to strengthen our national unity
and start the work to continue rebuilding Lebanon, and give the national unity
government a chance to invest in the stability so that it can be able to play
its role in the economic and social investment,” Hariri said.
Lebanon has plunged into its worst political crisis in two years with rumors
that an impending indictment by a UN-backed tribunal probing the murder of Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri, – Saad Hariri’s father – would indict members from
Hizbullah. The Hizbullah-led March 8 coalition said the court aimed at targeting
the resistance, while rival March 14 forces headed by Hariri considered the
tribunal the only chance to punish murderers. Hariri said Lebanon’s chance would
not be lost “and I am totally confident that time will not go backward and that
this country in which you placed high hopes in the past will always be a place
of trust in the future.” He urged Iraqi political factions not to waste the
“golden opportunity” of meeting in Riyadh on the invitation of Saudi King
Abdullah Bin Abdel-Aziz to resolve differences over the formation of a
government. Separately, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon telephoned Hariri
Friday evening during which the two discussed the incident two investigators
from the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) experienced last week in the Beirut
southern suburbs.
The two investigators were prevented from carrying out their investigations at a
gynecology clinic in Beirut’s southern suburbs when they were accosted by an
angry crowd of women.
Ban and Hariri stressed Lebanon’s commitment to respect the international
legitimacy in order to serve the proper conduct of the investigation and the
imperatives of justice. – The Daily Star
Lebanon breaks record for biggest glass of wine
Monday, November 01, 2010 /Daily Star
BEIRUT: Seeking to brush off its political troubles and burnish its reputation
for good living, Lebanon claimed a record over the weekend for the world’s
biggest glass of wine. Organizers of a wine festival in Beirut poured around 100
bottles of Lebanese wine into the giant glass, 2.4 meters high and 1.65 meters
wide. “The previous record was set in Portugal 12 years ago, and I’m proud to
announce that Lebanon has achieved a new record,” Guinness World Records
adjudicator Liz Smith told Reuters Television at the festival Friday evening.
The size of the glass meant that even with dozens of bottles poured in, it was
not even a quarter full. And no one appeared in a rush to drink from the
cocktail of red, white and rose wines which were sloshed in with abandon.
Organizers said winemakers from across the country had contributed their produce
as part of a campaign to promote Lebanese wine – half of which they said is
exported.
“This glass brings together all the wine producers [in Lebanon],” said Nada
Farah. The wine glass may be a useful accompaniment for Lebanon’s other forays
into culinary extremes. In recent years it has claimed the world’s biggest
servings of kibbeh and tabbouleh and the biggest bowl of hummus. – Reuters
Lebanon still supports STL, Hariri says
November 1, 2010 /“Official Lebanon is still in its stance of support for the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL),” Prime Minister Saad Hariri said Monday
according to MTV.
Speaking to reporters with his delegation in London, Hariri also said that
Wednesday’s cabinet session will not experience a dispute over the “false
witnesses file” because there are multiple solutions for agreement. Hariri is in
the UK on his first official visit since becoming PM.On Thursday, Hezbollah
Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah called on all Lebanese to boycott the
STL and to end cooperation with its investigators. The “false witnesses” file
tops the agenda of the cabinet session set for this Wednesday. March 8
politicians have called for the cabinet to task the Justice Council with
investigating the issue of witnesses who gave unreliable testimonies to the
international probe into former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri’s 2005
assassination. However, March 14 has said that the regular judiciary should
handle the issue.-NOW Lebanon
Gemayel: Nasrallah’s speech step in coup against institutions
November 1, 2010 /Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s recent
speech is a “new step toward […] the advancing coup against constitutional
institutions and justice,” Kataeb Party leader Amin Gemayel said on Monday,
according to a statement from his office.
“What is Lebanon’s fate if it is left prey to the law of the jungle?” he asked,
saying that is essential that the “murderers of martyrs” be held accountable.
Tension is high in Lebanon after unconfirmed reports that the Special Tribunal
for Lebanon (STL) will soon issue its indictment for the 2005 assassination of
former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. There are fears that should the court indict
Hezbollah members, it could lead to clashes similar to those of the 2008 May
Events – when gunmen led by the party took over half of Beirut. On Thursday,
Nasrallah called on all Lebanese to boycott the STL and to end cooperation with
its investigators.-NOW Lebanon
Majdalani rejects equating “false witnesses” issue with Hariri murder
November 1, 2010 /Lebanon First bloc MP Atef Majdalani said Monday that he
rejects the March 8 coalition’s attempt to equate the issue of “false witnesses”
with the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. He told ANB
news that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) must issue its indictment
before the issue of witnesses who gave unreliable testimonies to the
international investigation can be addressed, adding that the furor raised thus
far over the issue is “political par excellence.” March 8 has called for the
cabinet to task the Justice Council with investigating unreliable witnesses.
Some March 14 figures have said that the regular judiciary should handle the
issue, while others have argued that unreliable testimonies cannot be
investigated until the UN-backed tribunal issues its indictment in the case.-NOW
Lebanon
Assad Remains Defiant, Washington Might be Signaling Departure
3:03 PM, Oct 29, 2010
Since taking office, the Obama administration’s policy toward Syria has been one
of engagement. Repeated visits by high-level U.S. officials, as well as a strong
push to re-send an ambassador there, were meant to signal to Damascus a
departure from the Bush administration’s policy of isolation. The Syrian
response, however, has left many in Washington miffed.
Take the most recent example of how Syria returns Washington’s favors. In an
interview on Tuesday with the pan-Arab newspaper Al-Hayat, Syrian president
Bashar al-Assad officially—and publically—bit the outstretched hand, perhaps for
the last time. Assad told the interviewer that the U.S. has “created chaos in
every place it entered.” “Is Afghanistan stable?” he rhetorically asked. “Is
Somalia stable? Did they bring stability to Lebanon in 1983?” Assad’s statement
is the continuation of a series of provocative actions that have signaled
clearly that Syria, although perhaps interested in reconciliation with the U.S.
on a theoretical level, is not prepared to pay the price where it counts.
Continued support of Hezbollah and a refusal to break with Iran suggest that
Damascus has already made its calculation that its interests are better served
by aligning with what it perceives to be an ascendant Iran.
What was surprising, however, was the U.S. reaction. Rather than downplay these
provocative remarks, State Department spokesman P. J. Crowley replied in kind,
pointing out that “Recent Syrian behavior and rhetoric has had a destabilizing
effect on Lebanon and the region, has contributed to recent tensions.” In
addition to arming Hezbollah with deadlier weapons, Syria continues to obstruct
the Special Tribunal for Lebanon’s investigation of the assassination of former
Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri. U.S. ambassador to the U.N., Susan Rice,
carried the baton further yesterday. Rice singled out Syria, declaring that it
has “displayed flagrant disregard for the sovereignty, territorial integrity,
unity, and political independence of Lebanon under the sole and exclusive
authority of the Lebanese government.” Although it is too early to tell, these
strong words may signal the beginning of a more confrontational Syria
policy.Instead of signaling an interest in reconciliation with the West,
Damascus has pursued even greater cooperation with both Hezbollah and Iran. And
although many on Capitol Hill have pointed to Syria’s provocations and cried
foul, the Obama administration has continued to push engagement as its policy,
leading lawmakers to delay the confirmation of Robert Ford, the proposed
ambassador to Syria. Assad may soon discover that Obama’s outstretched hand was
worth more than his own two clenched fists.
Desperate measures
November 1, 2010
Now Lebanon/Tourism Minister Fadi Abboud, of the Change and Reform bloc,
suggested on Sunday that one way to defuse the ongoing crisis surrounding the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon would be to hand the case over to the Lebanese
judiciary.
How silly of us to not think of this option earlier. We forget that Lebanon’s
judiciary is the envy of the rest of the world. How can a court that is merely
founded by a UN Security Council resolution and based on what it calls the
“highest international standards of criminal justice” compete with such a
transparent, clean and efficient system as our own?
Minister Abboud is also concerned that some evidence will be tampered with if it
remains in the hands of the STL. Again, we only have to look at the way in which
the Hariri murder crime scene was handled in the aftermath of the blast to get
an idea of the meticulous way in which the Lebanese authorities work.
But seriously though, the source of the current round of misinformation and
threats – not to mention loopy ideas like Abboud’s – stems from the Thursday
speech of Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in which he called
on all Lebanese to boycott the STL and, upping the ante further, declared that
whoever cooperates with the tribunal is working against the Resistance.
Why? Because Nasrallah assures us that all data gathered by the STL is shared
with that arch-bogeyman, Israel. As usual we only have his word on this
allegation, and while that might be enough for some people to take to the bank,
we prefer hard evidence before drawing our own conclusions. Still, Nasrallah is
convinced and that’s what counts. “We have reached a very dangerous point where
we can no longer remain silent… Our honor has been breached,” he declared.
Apart from asking Nasrallah when Hezbollah ever remained silent on anything, the
more salient question is: Who is Nasrallah to speak for all Lebanese in the
first place? Who is this man who holds no public office to tell us that our
honor has been breached and that, in his party’s convoluted way, if we support
the tribunal we are in some way giving succor to a country that his party, not
Lebanon, is hell-bent on destroying. How dare he? And while we are on the
subject of honor or dignity, call it what you will, Nasrallah should recall the
honor he showed the Lebanese people when he sent his masked gunmen onto the
streets of Beirut on May 7, 2008.
Then again Hezbollah appears to live by a two-pronged creed that it deploys to
outstanding effect when it wants to intimidate and blackmail.
The first unshakeable tenet is that the Resistance is divine and can do no
wrong. Hence the party could never have been involved in the murder of a former
Lebanese prime minister and 21 others on February 14, 2005. If it is being
accused it is because someone wants to take it down, simply.
The second principle is “if you are not with us, you are pro-Israel,” a card
that it plays to stunning effect even though the most basic logic argues that
opposing A does not necessarily mean one is endorsing B. The Lebanese can
disagree with Israeli policies and actions, not to mention recall past
atrocities, and still demand international law deliver justice in the Hariri
killing.
Yes, it is likely that Israel is following the STL’s activities closely. It
would dearly love to see Hezbollah hurt, but again it is a curious logic to
assume that this means the court has been tainted. We must place our trust in
international justice. To simply lash out at a legal entity because the US,
Israel and the vast majority of the international community support it only
serves to create internal instability.
If Nasrallah is feeling the heat - and his increasingly inflammatory statements
suggest he is – he shouldn’t seek to bring the country down with him. If, as his
number two Naim Qassem says, Hezbollah has nothing to hide and is innocent, then
it should cooperate with the STL and show that it too believes in justice. For
all our sakes.
Syria's Shaaban: Meetings with Hariri Depend on Circumstances
Naharnet/Syrian President Bashar Assad's advisor Buthaina Shaaban said meetings
with Prime Minister Saad Hariri depend on the circumstances. "Contacts with
Prime Minister Saad Hariri may stop at one point and then resume, depending on
the circumstances," Shaaban said in an interview published Monday by As-Safir
newspaper. "However, there is no problem in the relationship between Syria and
Hariri and a meeting could take place at any moment," she said. "Things are
good," Shaaban stressed, pointing out that an Assad-Hariri contact may take
place "at any moment when the need arises." Beirut, 01 Nov 10, 08:23
Berri's Optimism Stems From 'Data I Cannot Disclose'
Naharnet/Speaker Nabih Berri said he is optimistic in resolving the current
crisis.He said his optimism stems from "data I cannot disclose." "I do not
promote optimism just to pass time, but based on data I possess that I cannot
disclose right now," Berri said. He said Syrian-Saudi consultations were ongoing
in an effort to find a solution to the crisis over the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon. Berri said he was also relying on France's "active role," particularly
after his successful visit to Paris. Beirut, 01 Nov 10, 08:09
Hizbullah Simulation Aims to Hold Grip on Lebanon, Besiege
Hariri in Less than 2 Hours
Naharnet/Hizbullah has reportedly unleashed a simulation of the zero hour aimed
at holding both a security and military grip on Lebanon and corner Prime
Minister Saad Hariri.
A report published Monday by al-Akhbar newspaper said that prior to Hizbullah
chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's Oct. 28 speech a "main Opposition group was
carrying out an electronic, field simulation for the assumed zero hour." This
was an indirect reference to Hizbullah.
The simulation, according to the daily, preceded an electronic Israeli
simulation for a future war with Hizbullah that could reach Tel Aviv.
It said the Hizbullah mockup was based on a scenario of the issuance of the
International Tribunal indictment accusing Hizbullah of ex-PM Rafik Hariri's
assassination.
Just a few hours before issuance of the indictment, Hizbullah plans to deploy
security and political forces en masse, without bloodshed and without targeting
citizens or residential areas, the report said. The quick implementation on the
ground, which was carried out in less than two hours, was "designed to hold a
security and military grip on large areas of Lebanon," Al-Akhbar wrote. It said
among the targets, were also centers and sites as well as political, military
and security figures. The plan also aims at looking for (simultaneously and
during a two-hour period) the officials Syria had issued arrest warrants against
or those who tried to stir sectarian strife.The report said Hizbullah's plan
includes pinning down those officials' whereabouts and arresting them "in order
to curtail their movement and get hold of major cities in Lebanon."
The report said Hizbullah's plan includes pinning down those officials'
whereabouts and arresting them "in order to curtail their movement and hold a
grip on major cities in Lebanon from the capital and the suburbs to the Kesrouan
highlands and north Lebanon and well as holding a grip on seaports and border
crossings to prevent the escape of personalities."
Al-Akhbar said news may not have reached Prime Minister Saad Hariri that his
mansion in downtown Beirut, better known as Center House, and the Grand Serail
have been toppled and that they are in the hands of Hizbullah security forces
and that Hariri had been isolated. Beirut, 01 Nov 10, 10:33
Fares Soueid
November 1, 2010
On October 31, the Lebanese National News Agency (NNA) carried the following
report:
The coordinator of the March 14 General Secretariat Fares Soueid talked about
the current developments during a political meeting held at the headquarters of
the Syriac Union Party in Sadd al-Bouchrieh. He said, “Lebanon in the pre-Ahmadinejad
visit stage is not like Lebanon in the post-visit stage. Before Ahmadinejad’s
visit, Hezbollah tried to say to the Lebanese people that it was a Lebanese
party possessing weapons to defend the country and liberate the land occupied by
the Israelis. It was trying to say that its alliance with Iran was due to the
arms support it was providing and that the party would offer blood to defend
Lebanon, claiming to have the right to differentiate itself from the other
sects. This was believed by a team of Lebanese. However, following Ahmadinejad’s
visit, the Iranian president defined the position of the party, the mission of
these weapons and the side in charge of these weapons and their goals.
[Ahmadinejad said] that this party, the South and the entire country among
others, are one front under Iran’s command, that the arms aim at overthrowing
the global imperialistic regime and at eliminating the Zionist entity and that
the entire region is under Persian Islamic control, thus toppling the talk about
the fact that these arms do not aim at destroying Lebanon, but rather at
liberating occupied Lebanese territories. Ahmadinejad announced that the command
of these arms was not in Lebanon but in Iran, and that this region has fallen
under the control of the Islamic Republic, even culturally, with the
introduction of new terms such as ‘Khosh Amadid’ [Welcome] among others. Had I
been in Hezbollah’s place, I would not have been pleased with Ahmadinejad’s
visit. The party was trying to convince and actually convinced the Lebanese
Republic to sit around the dialogue table with the parties who do not possess
arms, and discuss the ways to introduce it into the legitimate power. However,
the exposure of these arms, their goals and size toppled the dialogue table.
The current situation is unacceptable because there is an Arab wish to keep
Lebanon from being part of the Iranian political space. It is thus not allowed
for Lebanon to fall under Iranian influence, the proof of that being the
political balance which has imposed itself since Ahmadinejad conducted his visit
and until this day. There is one team in Lebanon saying that the country should
be free, sovereign and independent, and another saying that Lebanon’s security
and Israel’s security are in its hands and that if the international community
wishes to see stability in this region, it must talk to it. Everyone knows that
on November 16-17, Iran is invited to engage in dialogue with the P5+1. Before
that time, I think that something very dangerous will happen in Lebanon. Iran is
activating its team in the region to improve the circumstances of the
negotiations with the United States. If an agreement is reached, none of the
other sides will matter and all these armed parties will return to the table of
negotiations like all the remaining major parties.
We are not weak because the will of our people to defend Lebanon is exceptional.
When Abu Ammar threatened the entity and Syria, the Christians were the first to
defend Lebanon. There is a threat targeting the Lebanese entity through the
attempts to control it and change its cultural and political aspects. The
Christians will deter these attempts. We do not have weapons, we do not use
weapons and we do not want to form a militia in the face of another militia.
However, we will use diplomatic means and corroborate our insistence on maintain
the state in order to deter this attempt. The defense of the entity should be
done via a Lebanese state rising above the sects, and this is a very important
issue which is seen for the first time in Lebanon’s modern history.
Some called Saad Hariri the avenger of blood, but they are wrong. The avengers
of blood are one and a half million Lebanese people. The most dangerous thing
which Hezbollah is trying to consecrate in Lebanon is the fact that the law is
not applied on the powerful in the country… But the war days have ended since
1992 and the law cannot be implemented on only one team of Lebanese and not the
other because it possesses arms. [What] requires a confrontation is the attempt
to isolate Lebanon from the international community and saying that whoever
deals with the tribunal is Israeli. By doing so, they are asking Lebanon to
sever its relations with the international community.
We are strong and are not alone in this battle. Therefore, we will not pull out
from it, [there is a plan] for Iran to negotiate on behalf of Lebanon and all
the Arabs, and to say that no negotiations will be successful without Iran’s
presence around the table. Syria exited Lebanon thanks to the strength of the
March 14 supporters, and not one act of violence occurred. Through its
insistence on the peacefulness of its action, its democracy and Arab and
international relations, the March 14 team will stand in the face of Hezbollah’s
arms. No one can scare us in this land, neither Ahmadinejad nor a thousand of
him. We have our roots in this country.”
The Significance of Boycotting the Special Tribunal
Sun, 31 October 2010
By: Abdullah Iskandar
Hezbollah’s call, a few days ago, for boycotting UN investigators looking into
the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafic Hariri can be
considered the culmination of the party’s stance on the Special Tribunal.
Indeed, Hezbollah has shed doubt on this tribunal since its establishment,
voiced reservations to sanctioning it and withdrawn its ministers from the
government cabinet in protest to its sanctioning, which resulted in a political
and security crisis, one which could only be contained in the Doha Agreement and
the election of a President of the Republic.
And despite the fact that state institutions, especially the Presidency and the
cabinet of ministers, were not able to fully exercise their role, by virtue of
the structure of the cabinet and of the successive crises which were due to the
Special Tribunal in the first place, the situation in Lebanon remained subjected
to a ceiling of understandings, some of the main features of which were to move
forward with the National Dialogue Table, to include the right of resistance
(i.e. keeping weapons in the hands of Hezbollah) in the Ministerial Statement,
and to support the Special Tribunal.
Intermittently holding the National Dialogue Table and speaking officially of
the formula of the army, the people and the resistance, as well as of supporting
UN resolutions regarding Lebanon, among them the Special Tribunal, all of this
has produced at least a minimum of internal stability at the security level. It
had still been hoped that the National Dialogue Table, which was discussing the
national defense strategy, would find some kind of formula for Hezbollah’s
weapons within the system of defense – making such weapons, at least in official
discourse, an issue being worked on resolving internally and without foreign
interference. The formula of the army and the resistance protects these weapons
from being targeted by foreign parties, in an effort to reassure Hezbollah about
its weapons – provided that all of this is accompanied by consensus, at the
National Dialogue Table and in the Ministerial Statement, over the Special
Tribunal.
In such a climate, Hezbollah cooperated with UN investigators, despite all of
its reservations over the tribunal, its function, how it was formed, and the
mechanism governing its work. Such cooperation cannot be viewed as separate from
the general climate in the country following the Doha Agreement. Indeed, it
reflects recognition by Hezbollah – which is party to the National Dialogue
Table, the Doha Agreement and the government cabinet – that it is part of the
internal political game, even if it is the strongest party within it. And
Hezbollah remained this way, even when it began declaring that the tribunal was
politicized and served Israeli goals, reaching up to asking it to direct its
investigation towards Israel, on the basis of evidence and clues on the field
and at the political level. Indeed, the party continued to consider that the
evidence it held could reach the tribunal’s investigators through Lebanese
courts, in order to reach the truth.
In other words, Hezbollah remained within the circle of internal consensus over
the main headlines, and the political partner of others within the framework of
respecting the Lebanese state’s international commitments. And in spite of what
befell this partnership in terms of provoking issues of dispute and of taking
unilateral initiatives, Hezbollah clung to giving itself such an image, and made
sure not to sever relations with the state or with its other partners.
Today, the declaration made by Hezbollah in the words of its Secretary-General
Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah of boycotting the Special Tribunal does not represent
only a stance on the tribunal in itself, especially as it has had this very same
stance ever since the tribunal was established. Indeed, demanding that the state
and its officials exercise similar boycott makes it breach the minimum
consensus, in all the issues that it covers, especially the National Dialogue
Table and the formula of the army (the state), the people and the resistance.
And that is the fundamental significance of calling on Lebanon to boycott the
Special Tribunal.
Indeed, the issue here does not concern the UN investigation into the Hariri
assassination and how it is conducted. Rather, it concerns the new position
Hezbollah has chosen for itself on the Lebanese scene, based on regional and
perhaps domestic assessments. Indeed, the party now falls, at the political
level, outside of ministerial agreement and internal consensus, thus threatening
the National Dialogue Table, which represents the effective guarantee of
stability at the security level. Constitutionally, the part now falls outside of
the state, threatening the latter’s internal balance as well as its
international commitments as per the United Nations Charter, and therefore its
existence as a member of this international organization.
Are U.S.
Officials Understanding and Responding to Middle East Crises? Ya Think?
By Barry Rubin * Gloria Center
http://www.gloria-center.org/gloria/2010/10/are-us-officials-understanding
October 28, 2010
If you've lost faith in the current administration's ability and mass media's
ability to respond to Middle East developments, here's more evidence. There's a
relatively new American idiomatic expression, "Ya [you] think?" Said
sarcastically, it means: Wow, duh, the answer to that question is really
obvious! So consider how hidden, obscure stories [sarcasm] are being dug out by
policymakers and top media. The New York Times reports that the U.S. government
is "increasingly alarmed by unrest in Lebanon, whose own fragile peace is being
threatened by militant opponents of a politically charged investigation into the
killing in 2005 of a former Lebanese leader." Ya think? Lebanon has been taken
over (or recaptured, if you wish) by the Iran-Syria anti-American, revolutionary
Islamist, terrorist-sponsoring axis, operating largely--though by no means
completely--through their client, Hizballah. Might this be of some concern for
U.S. policymakers? Four years ago, Lebanon was run by an independent-minded,
pro-Western government that would have preferred peace with Israel (though knew
that was impossible), opposed Iran, and saw radical Islamism as its antagonist.
Today, Lebanon has been "lost" in large part through Western (don't forget
France's responsibility) weakness and inaction.
I predict that even on this latest point the administration is wrong. There
isn't going to be any big conflict over any report that the Syrians murdered
former Prime Minister Rafiq Harari. Everybody in Lebanon knows that Syria did
so, possibly (though this is far less certain) with Hizballah's help.
But there won't be any problem if the UN-backed investigation publicly states
this because everyone in Lebanon has also been intimidated into silence. Even
Harari's own son, the most important Sunni Muslim leader and head of the
Sunni-Christian-Druze [well, no longer Druze since they have joined the
pro-Syrian side for all practical purposes] has surrendered to Damascus. And of
course there remains the question of what, if anything, this administration will
do about Lebanon. Answer: Nothing, except continue to aid the army which, at
best, is neutral and, at worst, is an ally of Hizballah. Speaking of Syria and
great discoveries. The Washington Post reports that Syria just doesn't seem to
be responding to administration efforts to engage, moderate, and pull that
country out of Iran's orbit.
Ya think?
During the last almost two years there has been example after example of Syria
opposing all aspects of U.S. policy; sponsoring terrorism to kill Americans in
Iraq and against Israel; sabotage the Israel-Palestinian peace process; dominate
Lebanon; help Hamas and Hizballah; and build an ever-tighter alliance with Iran.
And now people in Washington are starting to notice this? So what will the
administration do, end engagement with Syria and take a tough line? Ya think?
Should I mention the blindness towards the Turkish regime's entrance into the
Iran-Syria-Hamas-Hizballah bloc, and the need for U.S. opposition to that
government to help ensure its defeat in next year's election? Hint: In an
interview Republican People's Party leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu states,
"Washington is just beginning to wake up to the true nature" of the current
regime. If that government ever does, it will understand that victory for
Kilicdaroglu is a vital U.S. interest.
Should I mention that nothing could be more obvious than the fact that the
Israel-Palestinian negotiations process is going to go nowhere because the
Palestinian Authority doesn't want to make a deal with Israel. And then add that
this problem is being exacerbated by U.S. policy making the PA believe this
strategy can succeed fully by getting recognition for a unilateral declaration
of independence?
Should I mention the new U.S. policy of engaging the Taliban is disastrous and
may result in the movement that partnered the September 11 attacks against
America returning to power? The New York Times published an anthropologists'
op-ed explaining how the United States can coopt the Taliban and turn it against
al-Qaida! Ya think?
But don't take my word for it. Ask the would-be Times Square bomber who worked
with that group, or a teenager who describes how the Taliban tried to recruit
him as a suicide bomber (something it will be able to do to lots more youth if
it can operate legally.
And here's what New York Times reporter David Rhode wrote after spending several
months as a Taliban prisoner in 2009: "Before the kidnapping, I viewed the
organization as a form of 'al-Qaeda lite'...primarily focused on controlling
Afghanistan. Living side by side with the[m], I learned that the goal [was]...to
create a fundamentalist Islamic emirate with Al Qaeda that spanned the Muslim
world." Ya think? Should I mention the total reversal of U.S. policy on Hamas
from trying to undermnie that radical Islamist group's rule in the Gaza Strip to
believing Hamas will fall if Gaza becomes prosperous? Should I mention that most
Arab governments are shocked at U.S. expressions of weakness and want a strong
American policy to protect them from Iran and revolutionary Islamists? Should I
mention that despite the praiseworthy (but overdue) increase in anti-Iran
sanctions there's no doubt that Tehran will get nuclear weapons and this
development will transform the strategic balance in the region? Should I mention
that the administration doesn't react to its own intelligence which shows Iran
is helping kill Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan through training terrorists
and supplying both advisors and military equipment in both countries? Eighteen
months ago I laid out all of these points in detail and pointed out the needed
U.S. policy to respond. Every one of these issues has developed predictably
since then. Anybody in the U.S. government noticing these things and perhaps
getting prepared to do something about them? Ya think?