LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِAugust
12/2010
Bible Of
the Day
Hebrews 10:19–22/Therefore,
brothers, since we have confidence to enter the holy places by the blood of
Jesus, by the new and living way that he opened for us through the curtain, that
is, through his flesh, and since we have a great priest over the house of God,
let us draw near with a true heart in full assurance of faith, with our hearts
sprinkled clean from an evil conscience and our bodies washed with pure water.
Today's Inspiring Thought: Full Assurance of Faith
There's power in the blood of Jesus. His blood cancels our every debt from sin.
It clears our minds of doubt. It cleanses our guilty conscience. It washes us
clean. Because of his blood, through the sacrifice of Christ's flesh, our sins
are forgiven! It cost the Lord everything—the very life flowing through his
veins—to grant us unhindered access to God. That is why we can confidently draw
near to God; that is how we can approach him in full assurance of faith—by the
precious blood of Jesus. (about.com)
Free Opinions, Releases,
letters, Interviews & Special Reports
The Week Lebanon Became
Part of the Anti-Western Axis and West Governments Didn't Notice/By
Barry Rubin/August
11/10
Lebanon through the Prism of
US-Syrian Rapprochement/By: Jean-Pierre Katrib/August
11/10
Hezbollah on the defensive/By:
Hanin Ghaddar/August
11/10
Aid to Lebanon is in the US’s
best interest/The National/August
11/10
Focus U.S.A. / Will Israel
really attack Iran within a year?/By: Natasha Mozgovaya/August
11/10
Latest News
Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for August 11/10
Bellemare to soon issue statement
on Nasrallah’s press conference/Now Lebanon
Gen. Ben-Yisrael:
Nasrallah Got Nothing after 1997 when Israel Ensured Transmissions were
Secured/Naharnet
Israel's Army to Deal
'Firmly' with Lebanese Army/Naharnet
Military Experts: Link between
Aerial Footage and Hariri Murder 'Very Weak'/Naharnet
International Tribunal Urges
Submission of 'Evidence'/Naharnet
Sarkozy Meets Hariri, Lays Stress
on Lebanon's Stability, Security, Sovereignty/Naharnet
France: Only Tribunal has Power to
Prosecute Criminals/Naharnet
Lebanon Seeks to Assure
U.S. after Military Aid Halt/Naharnet
Israel rejects Nasralah’s ‘proof’
on Hariri killing as ‘ridiculous’/Daily Star
US lawmaker cuts $100 million aid
to Lebanon’s military/Daily Star
Iran ‘reiterates’ support for
Lebanon against Israeli threat/Daily Star
Berman, Lowey block military funding to Lebanon/Jewish Telegraphic Agency
Iran plans help to Lebanon army, as US blocks aid/Ynetnews
Iran says it will make up for
the cutoff of US aid to Lebanon/Los Angeles Times
10 wounded in a clash during
wedding in south Lebanon/Ya Libnan
Lebanon to file UN complaint
against Israeli spying/Xinhua
Nasrallah’s speech fails to meet
high expectations/AFP
Iran digging graves for American
troops in case of attack/Associated Press
March
14: Lebanese Committed to Tribunal and its Free Role/Naharnet
Berri after Meeting
Suleiman: It is time to Work/Naharnet
Suleiman Assures:
Indictment Won't Lead to Deterioration of Lebanon Situation/Naharnet
Syria's Ambassador:
Nasrallah Evidence Points to Israel's Responsibility for Hariri's Murder/Naharnet
Alam was in Crime Scene 2
Hours before Ghanem's Assassination/Naharnet
10 Wounded in Fight at
Wedding in Tyre/Naharnet
Berri: I'm Ready to
Provide Weapons to Lebanese Army, Even from Underground/Naharnet
U.S.: Iran's Activities
Compromise Lebanese Sovereignty/Naharnet
Lebanon's Crisis Strikes
Dispute in Gaza, Report/Naharnet
Qabbani Announces
Wednesday as 1st Day of Ramadan as Khamenei's Representative Says 1st Day is
Thursday/Naharnet
Mustaqbal Calls on U.S.
Not to Go Back on Aiding Army: For Exhausting All Hypotheses in Hariri Murder/Naharnet
Suleiman's Advisor
Criticizes U.S. Congressman over Military Aid/Naharnet
Aoun: Those Serving
Israel's Cause with Their Political Stands are the Ones Betraying the Country/Naharnet
Defense Ministry responds
to Aoun/Now Lebanon
US lawmaker cuts $100 million aid to Lebanon’s
military
By The Daily Star
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
A top US congressman has blocked $100 million in aid to Lebanon’s military,
saying he cannot be sure the country’s armed forces are not working with
Hizbullah.
The news sparked criticism from an aide to the Lebanese president, who said the
money was needed to underpin the country’s sovereignty. Howard Berman, the
Democratic chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said in a statement
Monday that the hold had been in place since August 2, pointing to last week’s
deadly clash between Israeli and Lebanese troops along the countries’ shared
border.
“Until we know more about this incident and the nature of Hizbullah influence on
the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) – and can assure that the LAF is a responsible
actor – I cannot in good conscience allow the US to continue sending weapons to
Lebanon,” Berman said. “The incident on the Israel-Lebanon border only one day
after my hold was placed simply reinforces the critical need for the United
States to conduct an in-depth policy review of its relationship with the
Lebanese military,” he added. Relations between Israel and Lebanon have been
strained in the wake of the deadly exchange of fire last week that killed two
Lebanese soldiers and a journalist, as well as an Israeli officer.
The standoff was sparked when Israeli troops tried to cut down a tree on the
border, prompting the Lebanese to fire.
On Monday, Iran offered support to Lebanon’s Army.
The offer from Iran, which supports Hizbullah, could fuel Western concern that
Tehran is increasing its influence near Israel’s northern border. Iran’s
ambassador to Lebanon met Lebanese Army chief Jean Kahwaji on Monday and said
Tehran was ready to “cooperate with the Lebanese Army in any area that would
help [it] in performing its national role in defending Lebanon.” Iranian
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is expected to visit Beirut next month. Meanwhile,
State Department spokesman Philip Crowley said the United States was not
planning “to re-evaluate our current military cooperation with Lebanon in light
of this incident,” adding that military cooperation with Lebanon remains in US
interests. “We are not aware that there was any US equipment used during the
incident,” he told reporters.
“We do have training programs with Lebanon. It’s hard to say whether those who
were directly involved in this incident were part of any program.”
“The last thing that the US or any other friend of Lebanon should do is to
weaken the effort to build up our national army,” Mohammad Chatah, an adviser to
Prime Minister Saad Hariri, told the Associated Press on Monday. He added that
government officials were contacting Washington “to make sure that there is a
better and fuller understanding of the situation in Lebanon and along the
border.” Representative Eric Cantor earlier warned that the lines between
Hizbullah and Lebanon’s armed forces had become “blurred.”
“The days of ignoring the LAF’s provocations against Israel and protection of
Hizbullah in southern Lebanon are over,” added Cantor, the number two Republican
in the House of Representatives. “Lebanon cannot have it both ways. If it wants
to align itself with Hizbullah against the forces of democracy, stability and
moderation, there will be consequences,” said Cantor, a fierce defender of
Israel. Cantor said the United States had provided roughly $720 million since
2006 in military aid “to build up a Lebanese fighting force that would serve as
a check on the growing power of the radical Islamist Hizbullah movement.” But,
he said, “for the past few years, the US and the international community looked
the other way as the lines between Hizbullah and the Lebanese military and
government became blurred.” In Beirut, Nazem Khoury, an adviser to President
Michel Sleiman, said “it is in the interest of those who claim to defend
Lebanon’s sovereignty that Lebanon have a strong army. “The United States says
it supports that sovereignty, but these statements should also be translated
into acts,” he added. “It is time the Lebanese Army be adequately armed, and we
are counting on the friends of Lebanon to help the army.” Sleiman announced
Saturday a plan to build up the armed forces “regardless of the position of some
countries,” in apparent reference to Israel’s complaints. A statement from his
office said he had received numerous phone calls “from Lebanon and Lebanon’s
friends … who expressed the desire to contribute to arming the military.” On
Tuesday, the municipality of the Beqaa town of Zahle sent a letter to President
Sleiman, informing him that it will donate 100 million LL to support the
Lebanese Army, the state-run National News Agency reported. – Agencies, with The
Daily Star
Bellemare to soon issue statement on Nasrallah’s press
conference
August 11, 2010 /Naharnet/An-Nahar newspaper reported that Special Tribunal for
Lebanon (STL) Prosecutor Daniel Bellemare will in the next 24 hours make a
statement on Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s Monday press
conference. Nasrallah on Monday presented alleged evidence of Israeli
involvement in the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri,
including footage he said came from Israeli Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) and a
confession from a suspected Israeli spy. Sources close to the Future Movement
and March 14 alliance told the daily that Nasrallah’s evidence is important and
must be presented to the STL, adding that Bellemare will have to take the
evidence into account. -NOW Lebanon
Sarkozy Meets Hariri, Lays Stress on Lebanon's Stability, Security, Sovereignty
Naharnet/French President Nicolas Sarkozy met Prime Minister Saad Hariri and
stressed efforts to maintain stability, security and sovereignty in Lebanon.
A statement issued by the Elysee Palace, said Sarkozy commented on a deadly
border clash between Israeli and Lebanese troops, saying "we must do everything
in order to avoid new tensions." Sarkozy stressed that France, along with the
various regional and international forces, "will continue to support Lebanese
authorities, democratic institutions, and efforts to promote stability, security
and sovereignty of Lebanon." The statement said the French President and Hariri
discussed during the 90-minute meeting bilateral relations and the situation in
the Middle East. It said the meeting came "within the framework of traditional
friendship between France and Lebanon." Beirut, 11 Aug 10,
Israel's Army to Deal 'Firmly' with Lebanese Army
Naharnet/Israel's army will deal "firmly" with the Lebanese army, the Israel
daily Maariv said. It said the Israeli army was instructed to be "more fierce"
when responding to Lebanese troops in any new border violation. Maariv quoted
its military correspondent as saying that the Israeli army has decided to change
the pattern of dealing with the Lebanese army following the deadly gunbattle in
the border town of Adeisseh. Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 11:07
Gen. Ben-Yisrael: Nasrallah Got Nothing after 1997 when
Israel Ensured Transmissions were Secured
Naharnet/Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's accusations that Israel was
behind the 2005 assassination of PM Rafik Hariri drew critical reaction from
both Lebanon and Israel.
Nasrallah was attacked by many Israeli politicians and military personnel in the
army reserve, but they differed on the extent of his sincerity, pan-Arab Asharq
al-Awsat newspaper reported Wednesday. Others, however, were convinced by
Nasrllah's revelations, the daily said. It said among those who believed
Nasrallah was Gen. Yitzhak Ben-Yisrael, former Chairman of the Atomic Energy
Commission and one of the inventors of drones. Bin-Yisrael said that the
pilotless surveillance aircrafts known as MK used to transmit data without being
secured at the beginning. He did not rule that Hizbullah likely intercepted
footage from the planes until 1997 when Israel army ensured that transmissions
were secured through codes. During Nasrallah's Monday press conference, several
clips, each minutes long and undated, showed aerial views of the coastline off
mainly Sunni west Beirut on various dates before the Hariri assassination, some
dating back several years before 2005. Nasrallah, who has accused Israel of the
February 14, 2005 bombing which killed Hariri and 22 others, said the footage
was intercepted from MK aircrafts. He conceded the images were not conclusive
proof but noted that Hizbullah had no offices, positions or presence in the
areas under surveillance. Beirut, 11 Aug 10,
Indictment Likely to Be Postponed as Mirza Assures UN
Committee Obliged to Look Into Nasrallah Revelations
Naharnet/In view of Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's revelations made
during his latest press conference, several political and judicial circles
appeared to be mulling a possible postponement of the indictment until after the
end of the year. Others, however, went to estimate that the indictment -- which
is likely to accuse Hizbullah members of the 2005 assassination of ex-PM Rafik
Hariri – will not be announced before April of next year. In this context,
former Justice Minister Bahij Tabbara told the daily As-Safir that "it is the
duty of the U.N. investigating committee to scrutinize the facts and evidence
presented by Mr. Nasrallah and to take them seriously."Meanwhile, State
Prosecutor Saeed Mirza said that the international committee probing Hariri's
murder is in principle committed to follow-up on circumstantial evidence
presented by Nasrallah. Mirza said in remarks published by the daily As-Safir on
Wednesday that efforts are underway to gather information about alleged Israeli
spy Ghassan al-Jid, one of several agents Nasrallah accused of espionage.
Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 09:14
Arrest Warrant Issued against Fayez Karam
Naharnet/The Military Court on Wednesday issued an arrest warrant against
retired Lebanese army officer Fayez Karam on charges of spying for Israel.
Military magistrate Riad Abu Ghida issued the arrest warrant after conducting a
hearing with Karam. Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 14:21
Franjieh Meets Aoun, Criticizes Those who Ruled Out Israel Behind Hariri Murder
Naharnet/Marada Movement leader Suleiman Franjieh on Wednesday criticized those
who ruled out the theory that Israel was behind the 2005 killing of former
Premier Rafik Hariri.
"Anyone who rules out the hypothesis that Israel is behind Hariri's
assassination either is accusing ex-PM Rafik Hariri that he had ties with the
Israelis or is drawing suspicion away from Israel," Franjieh said. His remarks
came following a meeting in Rabiyeh with Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel
Aoun. "How can a Lebanese camp condemn and destroy the country through false
witnesses and data that does not exceed 1 percent while ignoring what Hizbullah
leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah had provided?" Franjieh asked. Beirut, 11 Aug 10,
14:11
March 14: Lebanese Committed to Tribunal and its Free Role
Naharnet/March 14 General Secretariat on Wednesday said the Lebanese are
committed to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon "and its role, free from any
interference and dictations."
"Lebanese are invited to fortify the Tribunal's work by standing alongside the
court, given that it is a pillar of national consensus so that it is able to
accomplish its mission at the highest levels of professionalism and
impartiality," said a statement issued at the end of March 14's weekly meeting.
The statement stressed that "justice will remain the most important pillar of
peace and stability in communities.""That is why the Lebanese are committed to
this Tribunal and its jurisdiction in full based on international standards of
justice, and free from any interferences and dictations, and all restrictions
and limitations in its work in order to uncover the truth of these crimes,"
March 14 added. Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 14:40
Berri after Meeting Suleiman: It isTime to Work
Speaker Nabih Berri said Wednesday "it is time to work."
Naharnet/His remark, the only one he made, came following his weekly meeting
with President Michel Suleiman at Baabda Palace. Berri earlier expressed
readiness to provide the army with weapons in response to Suleiman's appeal to
arm the Lebanese military. "The Lebanese army has the right to obtain weapons
from anywhere in the world," he said in remarks published Wednesday by the
Beirut dailies An-Nahar and As-Safir. "I'm ready to provide weapons to the army,
even from underground," Berri added. He believed that what is important is to
"maintain the warfare doctrine and national unity." Beirut, 11 Aug 10,
Syria's Ambassador: Nasrallah Evidence Points to Israel's Responsibility for
Hariri's Murder
Naharnet/Syria's ambassador to Lebanon Ali Abde-Karim Ali said "evidence and
circumstantial evidence" provided by Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
points to Israel's responsibility for the 2005 murder of former PM Rafik Hariri.
He described as "very important" the facts brought forward by Nasrallah during
his Monday press conference. "They should be taken into account by
investigators," Ali added. Beirut, 11 Aug 10,
Alam was in Crime Scene 2 Hours before Ghanem's
Assassination
Naharnet/Alleged Israeli spy Adib al-Alam was in the crime scene in Sin el-Fil
only two hours before the assassination of MP Antoine Ghanem, Al-Akhbar
newspaper said Wednesday.
It said police intelligence discovered this fact after Alam's arrest in 2009.
When asked about this "coincidence," according to al-Akhbar, Alam said he had
dropped his wife at a nearby beauty salon. Alam's wife, who is also arrested in
the same charge, said the same thing as her husband. Hence, investigation
stopped at this point, Al-Akhbar reported.
Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 10:19
Lebanon's Crisis Strikes Dispute in Gaza, Report
Naharnet/Beirut is caught in a vice between Iranian and Syrian backed factions
over the Saudi move to pull Syria away from its support for the Hizbullah and
Tehran's counter-moves, Debkafile said. It cited military sources as saying that
this conflict is reflected in the strains breaking surface between the ruling
Hamas, whose political secretary Khaled Meshaal is based in Damascus, and Jihad
Islami, Tehran's Palestinian arm. Both have put their armed men on the ready for
a showdown which could end in the carving-up of the densely populated, tiny (360
sq. km.) Palestinian enclave, the sources added. They said on Saturday night,
Hamas' Ezzedine al-Qassam and Jihad's Saraya al Qods-Jerusalem Battalions
ordered a general mobilization.
Debkafile said this brink-of-factional war went unnoticed in Jerusalem and
Israel's media, which are preoccupied with unending domestic political disputes.
The military sources, however, described as "explosive" the situation in the
Gaza strip. Beirut, 11 Aug 10, 06:34
Suleiman Assures: Indictment Won't Lead to Deterioration of Lebanon Situation
Naharnet/President Michel Suleiman assured that a possible indictment of
Hizbullah members by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon will not lead to
deterioration of the situation in Lebanon.
"I'm confident that the difficulties facing Lebanon at present due the dispute
over the International Tribunal and leaks about the indictment to be announced
by Prosecutor Bellemare will not lead to deterioration of the situation in the
country as some fear," Suleiman said in remarks published Wednesday by the daily
Ad-Diyar.
"It is only in Israel's interest to explode the situation in Lebanon," he
warned. On calls by some officials demanding that the government to withdraw
Lebanese judges from the STL and stop funding the tribunal, as well as threats
to cancel the court, Suleiman believed that "challenge and overly tense rhetoric
will not lead to an acceptable solution." "Calm and wisdom and the resort to
dialogue, instead, are always a successful settlement for all problems facing
the Lebanese," he stressed.
Mustaqbal Calls on U.S. Not to Go Back on Aiding Army: For Exhausting All
Hypotheses in Hariri Murder
Naharnet/In the wake of a U.S. Congress decision to put on hold 100 million
dollars in military aid to Lebanon following the Adeisseh clashes, the Mustaqbal
parliamentary bloc on Tuesday called on the U.S. government to "retain its
previous commitments as to supplying military aid to the Lebanese Army at all
levels" and not to go back on those commitments.
In a statement issued after its weekly meeting in Qureitem under former premier
Fouad Saniora, the bloc stressed its "support for the initiative of President
Michel Suleiman who is trying to obtain the necessary aid from all brotherly and
friendly countries to equip the army."The Mustaqbal bloc also discussed the
content of the press conference held by Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
on Monday, stressing that it welcomes "every effort that contributes to
providing any information, data, presumptions or evidences that may lead to
uncovering the murderers who committed or were behind the assassination of
martyr premier Rafik Hariri and his companions." The bloc said that it was
"necessary to exhaust all hypotheses and possibilities regarding the side, or
sides, that perpetrated or planned this major crime." The conferees highlighted
"the need to put all data and available dossiers and documents, including what
was demonstrated by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in the hand of the prosecutor of the
Special Tribunal for Lebanon to conduct the necessary investigations about them
according to specialty and in order to reveal the truth." Beirut, 10 Aug 10,
22:45
Hezbollah on the defensive
Hanin Ghaddar , August 11, 2010
Now Lebanon
There is a saying in Arabic about a mountain that went into labor to give birth
to a mouse. It is mostly used to explain a pathetic or disappointing outcome
after a long process with high expectations. It applies perfectly to how the
Lebanese felt after Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s press
conference on Monday in which he tried to prove Israel’s involvement in the
February 2005 murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and 21
others.
Nasrallah succeeded in forcing almost all Lebanese to watch his presentation for
more than two hours, glued to the TV, anticipating a serious and
highly-significant turn of events. But the leader of the Party of God fell short
in delivering the goods.
Nasrallah may have reassured his own supporters that Hezbollah played no role in
the killing, but the footage from Israeli UAVs filming the usual routes Rafik
Hariri allegedly used when driving in Beirut, Saida and Mount Lebanon, combined
with a power-point presentation on Israeli spies and statements by Israeli
officials on Hezbollah’s involvement in the assassination, did not prove
Israel’s involvement either.
The “evidence” Nasrallah presented can be easily refuted. It is well known that
Israel’s MK surveillance planes have filmed every inch of Lebanon, that it has
agents and surveillance equipment on the ground, and that it has shown that it
is more than capable of liquidating its enemies. In short, there were no
surprises, which was not unexpected given that Nasrallah’s objective was not to
surprise us.
But to give the Hezbollah leader some credit, apart from soothing any anxieties
his supporters may have had, he showed us the extent to which his party has
become technologically advanced. The footage he presented made a big impression,
and not just on Hezbollah’s supporters, showing that the party can directly tap
into video feeds from the many aerial drones circulating above Lebanon to
Israel’s military command. He also reminded us of previous Israeli murder
missions in Lebanon, highlighting the country’s historic disregard for Lebanese
sovereignty. However, at the end of the day, the footage, according to the
public and experts, was meaningless. It did not add anything new to our
knowledge of Israel’s capabilities and intentions, and it failed drastically at
constituting evidence.
But Nasrallah knew that. His intention was to send a clear message to the
Lebanese and the international community that Hezbollah rejects the Special
Tribunal for Lebanon and anything that comes from it. That is why he did not
provide the STL with the information he’s been gathering.
Of course, even if the STL wanted to take his so-called “evidence” into
consideration, there is serious doubt that Hezbollah will let the investigation
team know just how it got the footage. Nasrallah does not have to prove it is
authentic as long as his supporters believe so. This means that whatever
indictment the STL issues, Hezbollah will not accept it. Still, Nasrallah
demanded that the Lebanese government form an internal committee to carry out an
independent investigation that would, of course, base its inquiry on Israel’s
involvement in the assassination. By giving the Lebanese government an internal
option, Nasrallah was simply telling PM Saad Hariri that he’d better take this
alternative or face the possibility of violence between the Shia and the Sunnis,
which would spread to the whole region.
He said this very calmly, dropping the tone that he used prior to last month’s
Saudi-Syrian-Lebanese summit. This indicates that Hezbollah decided to abide by
the summit’s statement of avoiding violence, at least until further notice.
The Syrian regime now, having agreed with the Saudis on preserving calm in
Lebanon, won’t let Nasrallah violate the rules. However, as the Syrians still
want to undermine the STL, they have supported Nasrallah’s presentation and have
asked for it to be taken into account. Nasrallah is now waiting for Hariri’s
answer, hinting through reports on Hezbollah media of a change of government
should he not take his “recommendations” seriously.
What Nasrallah knew but did not tell his supporters is that despite it all, the
STL will go on, independent of any internal struggle in Lebanon. Even if
Nasrallah wishes to kill the tribunal, he cannot, despite the power his party
wields over the country. So now what? Will the STL change course because
Nasrallah has said it must? Of course not. Will Nasrallah change his rhetoric?
Of course not. But one can say that things are not quite the same after
Nasrallah’s Monday conference, only because now the debate has shifted, and
whoever wishes to discuss the STL will have to include the footage, whether or
not they are convinced by it. On the other hand, when and if the indictments are
handed down, things will also not be quite the same for Nasrallah, who will be
even more cornered. And until then, the Lebanese will probably witness more
threats, messages and an escalation of tension.
Hanin Ghaddar is managing editor of NOW Lebanon
Defense Ministry responds to Aoun
August 10, 2010 /The Defense Ministry issued a statement in response to Free
Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun, who said on Tuesday that he held
ministries – including the Defense Ministry – responsible for any leaks on the
investigation with arrested Brigadier General Fayez Karam, refuting Aoun’s
claims. Karam, who is also an FPM official, was arrested last week on suspicion
of collaborating with Israel. “If Aoun had any information that could serve the
investigation with Karam, he should present it,” the Defense Ministry statement
said.
-NOW Lebanon
Michel Aoun
August 11, 2010
On August 10, the Lebanese National News Agency carried the following report:
The Change and Reform bloc held its weekly meeting in Rabieh headed by General
Michel Aoun… He stated following the meeting: Today, we tackled all the issues
of the hour, starting with the laws presented before parliament. In 2005, I
presented a bill to form a parliamentary security committee to deal with the
security apparatuses such as the army intelligence, general security, the
information branch – when it becomes legal – the state security and the judicial
police among others. In other words, [this committee would deal] with all the
apparatuses that collect information, assess the security situation and overlook
the implementation of the laws in place. We presented this bill and Mr. Robert
Ghanem – and this is his responsibility – cannot block a bill presented by a
parliamentary bloc or a deputy, especially since it is related to the core of
our daily life.
The security situation imposes the presence of such a law and the parliamentary
council should not be prevented from assuming its responsibilities. Certainly,
this security committee should have its own statute in regard to the secrecy or
the respect of the apparatuses and their work and coordination. Unfortunately,
this did not happen and we saw last week the intelligence, media and political
earthquake which was blown out of proportion and raised commotion among the
public affecting the morale of the Lebanese people. To what was that due? To
security sources and journalistic sources, as well as to the absence of
monitoring apparatuses and ministries inquiring about what is happening in the
country to give the event its right size. On Wednesday, they immediately
mentioned Brigadier General Fayez Karam by name while he was still a suspect. We
respected the secrecy of the investigation and distributed the report in a legal
language that respected the people, the apparatuses, the state and the laws.
We said: ‘Brigadier General Fayez Karam being interrogated by the Information
Branch.’ However, no news outlet is allowed to say anything more than this and
start spreading rumors. Moreover, no official, whether a minister or otherwise,
is allowed to leak confidential information about the investigations to the
press. This was a grave mistake. I will not accuse any specific apparatus for
the time being, but the news was spread. On Thursday, I talked and answered
questions to place all that has happened in the right context. I said that if a
person among us fell and was convicted, that would be a loss in our political
battle. We are not a party with information and intelligence apparatuses. We are
not a state… Therefore, it is not our duty to follow our partisans and see who
they are talking to and with whom ‘they are going’.
It was normal for each member of the Free Patriotic Movement to perceive the
issue as a ‘fabrication,’ especially since the arrest of Brigadier General Karam
occurred during the week of August 7, a date linked in the memory of Aounis to
great injustice. On August 7, 2001 all the leaders of the movement were arrested
and accused of trying to stage a coup in collaboration with the Israeli state.
So, ‘thank God’ there is only one person dealing with the Israeli state in light
of the unjust treatment we received from the Lebanese state for fifteen years…
Despite that, this fall remains an exceptional case in our ranks while it is
collective and common in the ranks of others. Those serving the Israeli cause
with their political positions are the ones harming the country and the
resistance. One person alone, regardless of the information he was presenting,
cannot cause as much damage. This is in terms of the outcome since we are not
discussing the issue in terms of principles. We want Brigadier General Karam to
be interrogated, and if he is guilty, let him bear the consequences. However,
what is required from the apparatuses is the respect of the laws from A to Z.
Who is responsible for the state of panic seen on Friday? Who provoked it? Did
it aim to affect the morale of the Lebanese people? True, it passed peacefully
because no one invaded us and because there are leaderships which are wise and
capable of containing the situation…
We recently heard talk about the reassignment of Syria to handle the Lebanese
file and there was a threat made by Minister Wiam Wahhab regarding Syria’s
military return to Lebanon in the event of strife. Will Syria return to Lebanon?
I do not think so. It will be concerned about security on its border because it
does not want to jeopardize its security and wishes to protect itself. This is
normal. Had the issue been the other way around, we would have protected
security on our border.
How do you comment on the efforts deployed by some in rejection of Israel’s
possible assassination of Prime Minister Al-Hariri?
This goes against the investigation’s law and against the logic of criminal
techniques. First of all, the investigation cannot exclude any course that might
lead to the truth... Any exclusion in the investigations is suspicious,
especially the exclusion of Israel which has an agent sentenced against the
backdrop of three assassinations, i.e. the Majzoub brothers and Al-Awali. Why
should I exclude it now? The biggest deficiency in the international
investigation is the exclusion of Israel…
Lebanon through the Prism of US-Syrian Rapprochement
Jean-Pierre Katrib , L’Orient Le Jour Special Supplement, August 11, 2010
Since January of 2009 and in line with US President Barack Obama’s engagement
strategy, multiple diplomatic openings towards Damascus were registered from the
US administration.
Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs William Burns visited Syria on
February 17th 2010, the highest ranking US official to visit Damascus in more
than five years. Shortly after his visit, President Obama nominated Robert Ford
as Ambassador to Damascus, filling in after Margaret Scobey was withdrawn in the
wake of the 2005 assassination of Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
The US has also removed the American block to Syria’s attempt to join the WTO,
and in July of 2009, it eased some export licenses for Syria, mostly pertaining
to aircraft. In October of 2009, Syria’s deputy foreign minister, Faisal Al-Miqdad,
was invited to Washington, the first such visit after years of boycott.
The objective behind these overtures was to moderate the Syrian regime’s
behavior, constructively engage it in a regional peace process and lure Damascus
away from its strategic alliance with Tehran.
In response, less than ten days after Mr. Ford’s nomination and Undersecretary
Burns’ visit, Syrian President Bashar Assad hosted Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad and Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah at a banquet in
Damascus amid increasing international pressure on Iran. During the visit, Assad
openly mocked US efforts to distance Syria from Iran, and stressed as recently
as April 14 following a meeting with Iran’s Ambassador to Syria that, “Syria
will continue developing ties with Iran in all fields,” and that he “fully backs
Iran’s nuclear program.”
Further undermining President Obama's efforts to engage Syria were the series of
reported advanced weapons transfers in recent months from Syrian territory to
Hezbollah in Lebanon – the latest of which was the Scuds transfer controversy.
While weapons have been flowing from Syria to Lebanon for decades, the latest
allegations further violates UN Security Resolution 1701, undermines the
Lebanese government's ability to exercise sovereignty over all of its territory
and risks sparking a conflict that might derail the fragile stability in the
region.
US concern over these revelations was communicated in private to Syrian
officials in both Washington and Damascus and in public through statements by
military and Foreign Service officials. As two statements issued from the US
Department of State in mid-April put it, “the transfer of these arms can only
have a destabilizing effect on the region,” and “potentially puts Lebanon at
significant risk” posing an immediate threat to its sovereignty.
Though Syria and Hezbollah both denied the charges, these developments have
generated conflicting reactions in Washington and further unease in Beirut
regarding engagement with Syria.
In Beirut, and following an uncoordinated engagement by France, Saudi Arabia,
the EU, and now the US, an already fractured March 14th coalition feels
abandoned and forced to compromise with the Syrian regime. It is argued that
Syria's decision to upgrade Hezbollah’s arms cache proves Damascus is unwilling
to distance itself from Tehran and that posting a US ambassador to Syria under
current circumstances would send the wrong signal to Damascus and emboldens
Assad further to bring Beirut back into his orbit.
On Capitol Hill, the shipment has refueled debate over recent overtures towards
Syria. The US Senate Committee on Foreign Relations approved the nomination of
Robert Ford as Ambassador to Syria. However, the Scuds crisis has further
contributed to “holds” on Ford by senior Senators, making his confirmation
unlikely anytime soon.
Although the senators holding up the appointment of the ambassador are all
Republican, frustration with the Syrian regime’s behavior have crossed partisan
lines, with leading Democrats like Senator Barbara Boxer and Representatives
Eliot Engel and Gary Ackerman expressing reservations about the administration’s
current policy of engaging Damascus. As Congressman Ackerman asserted in a May
4th statement applauding President Obama’s extension of sanctions on Damascus:
“President Obama’s ‘open hand’ and willingness to engage the Assad regime is not
a ‘get out of jail free’ card.”
Ackerman, who is the Chairman of the House Subcommittee on the Middle East and
South Asia, reiterated Obama’s concern about “Syria’s destabilizing and
dangerous policies,” while concurring with the President on the reduction of the
flow of foreign fighters into Iraq from Syria. Yet, he highlights a host of
American concerns that Syria has yet to fulfill to date. From continuing “to
seek an unwanted and illicit influence in Lebanon, provid[ing] Hezbollah of arms
of increasing capability and sophistication,” to hosting the leadership of both
Hamas and Iraqi Ba’ath in Damascus.
Notwithstanding American discontent with Syria’s behavior, the administration is
not second-guessing its engagement strategy and is pushing forward with Ford’s
confirmation. "Sending an Ambassador to Syria who can press the Syrian
government in a firm and coordinated fashion ... is part of our strategy to
achieve comprehensive peace in the region," the White House said in a statement.
Proponents of engagement with Damascus argue that sending an Ambassador is part
of a phased US reengagement with Syria that is to be tied to Damascus’s
cooperation in Iraq, Lebanon and other areas, adding that an ambassadorial
presence will improve communication with the Syrian regime.
While talking to adversarial states is necessary for progress, and while
restoration of full diplomatic ties may allow the US to better deliver its
message, there has been no shortage of communication when it comes to US-Syrian
relations. Even in the best of times when Secretary of State Warren Christopher
made twenty-six visits to Damascus during the period from February 1993 until
April 1996, and after three summits between President Bill Clinton and President
Hafez Assad (in January and October of 1994 and in March of 2000), engagement
proved to be an exercise in futility. The crux of the issue is not about
communication, but about the Syrian regime’s intransigence!
What have been lacking are concrete steps by the administration to accompany
more engagement with more pressure. Toothless and unconditional engagement will
not compel President Assad into tangibly delivering. Instead, open-ended
engagement alienates US allies while gaining little, if any, from adversaries
but a hardening in their belief that their intransigence will prevail in the
end.
Evidently, the Scuds controversy reveals the limits of engaging Damascus without
clearly defined objectives and benchmarks. Something the Assad regime can be
judged upon and held accountable too. One mutual concern to Lebanon and US
regional interests is the long overdue borders demarcation between Lebanon and
Syria in accordance with UNSCR 1701. Another is the pariah status of pro-Syrian
Palestinian militant’s camps, particularly along the porous border where arms
smuggling routinely occurs. As both issues are monopolized by Damascus, and
given the deleterious ramifications they pose not only to Lebanon but to the
region at large, the US administration would be well advised to benchmark these
in its next round of engagement against Syrian goodwill in promoting regional
peace and stability. After all, the resolution of both issues is something that
can be easily verified and corroborated.
**Jean-Pierre Katrib is a political analyst and human rights activist based in
Beirut.
**The article originally appeared in French in L’Orient’s special supplement on
Lebanese-Syrian Relations.
Focus U.S.A. / Will Israel really attack Iran within a
year?
After interviewing dozens of Israeli, American and Arab officials, Atlantic
Magazine correspondent concludes Israel may not even ask for American 'green
light' to attack Iran nuclear sites.
By Natasha Mozgovaya
http://www.haaretz.com/blogs/focus-u-s-a/focus-u-s-a-will-israel-really-attack-iran-within-a-year-1.307211
Israel might attack Iranian nuclear sites within a year, if Iran stays the
current course and the U.S. administration doesn't succeed in persuading
Israel's leadership that U.S. President Barack Obama is ready to stop Iran by
force if necessary, so argues Jeffrey Goldberg in Atlantic magazine's September
cover story, obtained by Haaretz ahead of publication.
Based on dozens of interviews the Atlantic correspondent conducted in recent
months with Israeli, American and Arab officials, Goldberg came to the
conclusion that the likelihood of an Israeli strike has crossed the 50 percent
mark. And Israel might not even ask for the famous "green light" from the U.S. -
or even give couple of false pre-attack alerts, so that Washington won't try to
stop the unilateral operation.
Published 22:26 10.08.10
Latest update 22:26 10.08.10
Focus U.S.A. / Will Israel really attack Iran within a year?
After interviewing dozens of Israeli, American and Arab officials, Atlantic
Magazine correspondent concludes Israel may not even ask for American 'green
light' to attack Iran nuclear sites.
By Natasha Mozgovaya
Tags: Iran Iran nuclear Barack Obama Israel US
Israel might attack Iranian nuclear sites within a year, if Iran stays the
current course and the U.S. administration doesn't succeed in persuading
Israel's leadership that U.S. President Barack Obama is ready to stop Iran by
force if necessary, so argues Jeffrey Goldberg in Atlantic magazine's September
cover story, obtained by Haaretz ahead of publication.
Based on dozens of interviews the Atlantic correspondent conducted in recent
months with Israeli, American and Arab officials, Goldberg came to the
conclusion that the likelihood of an Israeli strike has crossed the 50 percent
mark. And Israel might not even ask for the famous "green light" from the U.S. -
or even give couple of false pre-attack alerts, so that Washington won't try to
stop the unilateral operation.
"…one day next spring, the Israeli national-security adviser, Uzi Arad, and the
Israeli defense minister, Ehud Barak, will simultaneously telephone their
counterparts at the White House and the Pentagon, to inform them that their
prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has just ordered roughly one hundred F-15Es,
F-16Is, F-16Cs, and other aircraft of the Israeli air force to fly east toward
Iran - possibly by crossing Saudi Arabia, possibly by threading the border
between Syria and Turkey, and possibly by traveling directly through Iraq's
airspace, though it is crowded with American aircraft…," Goldberg paints a
possible scenario
The repercussions of such a strike, which could include the bombing of the
Iranian facilities in Natanz, Qom, Esfahan, and maybe even the Russian-built
reactor in Bushehr, are less than clear, despite the endless discussions and
several simulations. American experts speculate that attacking Iran's nuclear
facilities will only slightly delay the nuclear program, whereas some Israelis,
according to Goldberg, are a bit more optimistic, in light of the successful
Israeli operations against Iraqi and Syrian reactors in the past.
The results might be dire: It's likely that the Israeli air force won't have
much time to waste in Iran, as Hezbollah will probably retaliate against Israel
in the North and the fighter jets will be needed there. The unilateral operation
might throw relations between Jerusalem and Washington into an unprecedented
crisis, and might even unleash full-scale regional war with possible economic
repercussions for the whole world, not to mention the cost of human lives.
The timetable in this issue is an evasive one - the red lines were pushed back
again and again, and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told New York Times
reporters this week: "Based on my conversations with allies, it's not so much
the timing of when or how the Iranians might pursue the nuclear weapons, it's
whether they do so. And so whether it would take six months, a year, or five
years, it's that deep concern about Iran acquiring nuclear weapons that is the
preoccupation of our friends and partners. And we would be pursuing the path
we're pursuing regardless of any issue of timing because we think it's got the
best potential for changing Iranian behavior."
According to Goldberg, for Israel the red lines are clear. The end of December
is Netanyahu's deadline to estimate the success of "non-military methods to stop
Iran."
And while Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff, reminded Goldberg that
"the expression 'All options are on the table' means that all options are on the
table," - the Israeli interviewees repeatedly questioned Obama's resolve to
actually do it. Some even asked Goldberg if he thought the American president
was actually an anti-Semite, forcing the reporter to explain that Obama is
probably "the first Jewish President" – but not necessarily Likud's idea of a
Jew.
But the reply he got from one official was: "This is the problem. If he is a J
Street Jew, we are in trouble."
Ben Rhodes, a deputy national security adviser, stressed that "This president
has shown again and again that when he believes it is necessary to use force to
protect American national security interests, he has done so" - but the Israeli
government might need stronger assurances.
Israel is trying to convey the message not only through the official channels -
Israeli military intelligence chief Major General Amos Yadlin visited Chicago
recently to meet with the billionaire Lester Crown, one of Obama’s supporters,
and asked to him to convey Israel's concerns to the American President, Goldberg
reports.
"If the choice is between allowing Iran to go nuclear, or trying for ourselves
what Obama won't try, then we probably have to try,” one senior Israeli official
told Goldberg. Basically, the Israeli military officials agreed that it would be
tough for Israel to do it alone – but on the other hand, the conclusion is
Netanyahu might well risk this operation and alienation of his closest ally if
he becomes convinced Iran's nuclear bomb "represents a threat like a Shoah."
Goldberg delves into Netanyahu’s relations with his father – the historical
lessons he learned from Ben-Zion Netanyahu – and his eagerness not to disappoint
him. He also offers a long list of Iran's verbal hostilities toward Israel to
remind his readers that Israel is not personally obsessed with Iranian President
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
"I once asked Ali Asghar Soltanieh, a leading Iranian diplomat who is now Iran’s
ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, why the leadership of Iran
persistently described Israel not as a mere regional malefactor but as a kind of
infectious disease. 'Do you disagree?' he asked. 'Do you not see that this is
true?'" Goldberg writes.
A recent poll conducted in six Arab countries showed a shift of opinion in favor
of the Iranian nuclear weapon – views that the Arab leadership clearly doesn’t
share with the street.
For Netanyahu, it's clear the bomb will not only strengthen Iran's proxies, but
will undermine Israel’s status as a safe haven for Jews, embolden terrorists all
over the word, and make the Arab countries more reluctant to make peace with
Israel.
According to Goldberg, all the Arab officials he spoke to didn’t think that the
U.S. administration truly understood Iran's ambitions. “The best way to avoid
striking Iran is to make Iran think that the U.S. is about to strike Iran. We
have to know the president’s intentions on this matter. We are his allies," one
Arab minister told Goldberg.
Dennis Ross, special adviser to the U.S. president, told the Atlantic that
imposing sanctions on Iran could work, despite Israeli doubts, because the
Iranian government already faces public alienation. "They are looking at the
costs of trying to maintain control over a disaffected public. They wanted to
head off sanctions because they knew that sanctions would be a problem. There is
real potential here to affect their calculus. We’re pursuing a path right now
that has some potential."
Last week, Obama unexpectedly joined a White House briefing for a small group of
senior reporters in Washington, raising questions whether he intended to convey
some new message to Iran or hint at some new initiative. The accounts of the
meetings were somewhat different, and the final impression was that there still
is no answer for the question, what President Obama is ready to do if sanctions
fail.
**David Sanger, the New York Times reporter, heard from the White House sources
that during his latest visit to Washington Netanyahu didn't list Iran as one of
his top agenda items "whereas at the previous meetings when he has come here,
[Iran] was the number one, two, and three issue," on the agenda, which might
indicate that Netanyahu got some clear reassurances from the U.S.
administration.
Aid to Lebanon is in the US’s best interest
August 10. 2010
The National
http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100811/OPINION/708109878/1033/editorials?template=opinion
We hope that common sense prevails in Washington this week as the debate over US
military aid to Lebanon deepens. In a thinly disguised reaction to last week’s
border skirmish between Israel and Lebanon, the chairman of the US House
Committee on Foreign Affairs, Howard Berman, has blocked the appropriation of
$100 million for the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF). The reason, according to one
of the most staunch defenders of Israel in the US Congress, is to clarify
Hizbollah’s relationship with the state-backed army. Mr Berman is not the only
one with such questions, given the complex political alliances in Lebanon.
However, Mr Berman’s eagerness to show support for Israel by freezing aid to
Lebanon’s only legitimate army, and a unifying element in a fractious nation, is
shortsighted, not only for the long-term stability of that country, but for
America’s own regional interests.
When the US bolstered its support to the LAF in 2005, its intention was to make
the country more stable and assist in the creation of a counterterrorism force.
To block these funds would discredit the US’s commitment to that effort.
Comments made last week by Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hizbollah, that his
organisation would “not stand silent, or quiet or restrained” if the LAF were
attacked by Israeli forces did little to silence critics of the US relationship
with the Lebanese goverment, in which Mr Nasrallah’s organisation plays a role.
His flimsy accusations on Monday that Israel was behind the former Lebanese
president Rafik Hariri’s assassination in 2005 may have also turned heads on
Capitol Hill.
But, Mr Nasrallah’s military forces operate outside of the LAF’s control. He and
his organisation have derived much of their legitmacy from this independence.
Furthermore, with 85 per cent of the LAF’s equipment coming from the US,
Lebanon’s search for alternative suppliers may leave a vacuum that other nations
would be keen to fill. Few – Mr Berman included – would countenance greater
Syrian or Iranian involvement in the country.
More broadly, a knee-jerk reaction by the US would also lend credence to the
criticism that it budges only at Israel’s behest, rather than in consideration
of its stated desire to secure regional stability and support other longstanding
allies in the region. For the moment, the Obama administration denies that there
are plans to review its military partnership with Lebanon. For the sake of
Washington’s credibility and Lebanon’s stability, we hope that doesn’t change.
Iran ‘reiterates’ support for Lebanon against Israeli threat
By The Daily Star /Tuesday, August 10, 2010
BEIRUT: Lebanese Foreign Minister Ali Shami reiterated Iran’s support to Lebanon
against Israeli aggression
Shami returned to Beirut on Monday following a visit to Tehran over the weekend.
The Foreign Minister told reporters at the Rafik Hariri International Airport,
that the Iranian administration saluted the tripartite meeting held in Beirut in
August. Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad paid a
visit to Beirut in late July and met with Lebanese leaders in a bid to ease
tensions. Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s statements on the Special
Tribunal for Lebanon probing the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri sparked fears of an outbreak of violence in Lebanon. In July, Nasrallah
revealed that Hizbullah was aware that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon was
likely to indict members of its party, slamming the UN court as an “Israeli
project.” Shami had met with top Iranian officials on Sunday, including Foreign
Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The Iranian
Students News Agency (ISNA) quoted Ahmadinejad as saying that Lebanon’s
tripartite summit “has thwarted the enemies’ plots,” in reference to Israel.
Ahmadinejad describes the initiative of his Lebanese counterpart Michel Sleiman,
who invited King Abdullah and Assad for the summit, as “productive and
constructive.” “The tripartite summit held in Beirut has foiled plots of the
enemy Zionist regime,” Ahmadinejad said in a meeting with Lebanese Foreign
Minister Ali al-Shami Sunday afternoon in Tehran. “Their presence represented
solidarity and unity in the entire region and promoted the nation’s front
against the Zionist regime and its sponsors,” Ahmadinejad added. Iran’s
president said Israel sought discord among Lebanon, Syria and the resistance.
Shami expressed gratitude for Iran’s “material and moral support for Lebanon
against the Zionist regime” and called for boosting “bilateral cooperation,”
according to ISNA. Shami also met with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council
Secretary Saeed Jalili. “The Lebanese Army, which has the backing of the people
and the resistance, will not let the Zionist regime cut even one tree in
Lebanon,” said Jalili. On Monday, Shami said Lebanon was preparing to file a
complaint with the UN Security Council and General Assembly regarding Israeli
espionage activities in Lebanon. “The report is now ready,” he added. In the
last year, more than 70 people have been arrested in the spy probe, among them
members of the security forces as well as telecommunications employees. – The
Daily Star
Israel rejects Nasralah’s ‘proof’ on Hariri killing as ‘ridiculous’
Future Movement says only STL can probe murder
By The Daily Star /Wednesday, August 11, 2010
BEIRUT: Israel dismissed Tuesday as “ridiculous” Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah’s assertion that his group had acquired Israeli footage implicating
Israel in the murder of former Premier Rafik Hariri. official
“Everyone in the world knows, even the Lebanese, that Nasrallah’s accusations
are ridiculous,” a senior Israeli told AFP, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The accusations were “coming from the pressure on [Nasrallah] over the
international community’s suspicions about Hizbullah’s involvement in Hariri’s
murder,” he said.
Israel has repeatedly announced that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL)
would indict Hizbullah in the murder.
Nasrallah on Monday unveiled footage he said was intercepted from Israeli
surveillance planes of the site where Hariri was killed in a bombing in February
2005.
Nasrallah’s claims prompted France to stress that the STL remains the sole
authority in charge of putting suspects to trial while Iran said his
presentation had uncovered Israeli involvement in the operation. “The STL
established under UN Security Council Resolution 1757 holds alone the
prerogatives to try those who executed, organized and were involved as well as
ordered the assassination of Rafik Hariri,” French Foreign Ministry Assistant
Spokesperson Christine Fage said. Nasrallah, who demanded that the government
form a committee to study the evidence held by Hizbullah, said his party would
not present the evidence to the STL, since he had “no trust” in the body.
Fage stressed France’s commitment to “international justice” and voiced support
for the STL’s independent work, adding that her country “always worked against
escaping justice.”
On the domestic level in Lebanon, parliamentary majority parties played down the
importance of information presented by Nasrallah.
Echoing the French Foreign Ministry, the Future Movement said in a statement
issued later Tuesday that the STL was the party authorized to investigate the
murder and seek evidence that would uncover assailants. But Future Movement
leader Premier Saad Hariri, who is currently on vacation in Sardinia, made no
comments about Nasrallah’s news conference.
“The Future Movement bloc stressed that all data and files available including
those presented by Sayyed Nasrallah should be submitted to the STL’s general
prosecutor to conduct the necessary investigations,” the statement said. The
statement added that it welcomed all information or evidence that could lead to
the uncovering of the murder and stressed the need to “exploit all assumptions
and possibilities of the side standing behind the murder.” Separately, Phalange
Party leader Amin Gemayel said Nasrallah presented “presumptions rather than
evidence.” “If the STL possesses presumptions than it should be compared to
those held by Hizbullah but if the STL possesses proof then it should go ahead
with presenting its indictment,” he said. Meanwhile, Hizbullah’s domestic and
international allies slammed previous investigations by the STL and called for
building upon Monday’s presentation as a new foundation for investigations. “The
documents and proof presented by Hizbullah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan
Nasrallah that implicate Israel in the operation are interesting and worth
studying,” Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Ramin Mahman said.
Similarly, the Syrian Ambassador to Lebanon said Tuesday evidence presented by
Nasrallah was of major importance and should be taken into consideration. “The
STL cannot disregard such information,” Ali Abdel-Karim Ali added. For his part,
Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun said “the presented information
was valuable and valid to constitute the start of a new investigation since [Nasrallah’s]
information should be taken into consideration and interpreted more.” Aoun added
that such consideration was necessary “given the flaws we witnessed in earlier
investigations and the protection of those who misled investigations,” a
reference to false witnesses. Development and Loyalty MP Qassem Hashem went
further to stress that evidence presented by Nasrallah left no room for doubt or
interpretation of Israel’s involvement in Hariri’s murder. UN chief Ban ki Moon
refused to comment on reports about any STL’s indictment, stressing that the
issue was part of the STL’s general prosecutor’s prerogatives. – Agencies, with
The Daily Star
‘This time we went too far’
Norman finkelstein’s new book examines likelihood of an Israeli attack on
lebanon
Wednesday, August 11, 2010 /Daily Star
perspective/Charles Glass
“Not Another War on Lebanon.” My old friend Norman Finkelstein has just written
a foreword to a new edition of his first-rate book on the Gaza Strip, “This Time
We Went Too Far,” in which he shares his fears of another Israeli war in
Lebanon. Norman is usually right, but he is also usually a lonely prophet in the
wilderness, ignored and scorned by kings and courtiers.
This time, however, most of the people he disagrees with are on his side: former
US Ambassador to Israel Dan Kurtzer at the Council on Foreign Relations, the
International Crisis Group and much of the Israeli and Lebanese press. It’s
worth reading Norman’s foreword, as well as the book, to understand what is
happening. As someone who has watched Lebanon suffer too much since 1975, I hope
he is wrong. His argument, at least in the first draft that I read, goes as
follows:
The most likely initial target of an Israeli attack is Lebanon. Of late Israel
has been busily preparing the ground for it. Even Israel’s most vulgar
apologists concede that should war break out, it is “more likely” that Israel
will have initiated it (Daniel C. Kurtzer, “A Third Lebanon War,” Council on
Foreign Relation, July 2010). The pretext is that Hizbullah has amassed a huge
quantity of rockets and missiles targeting Israel.
It is also clear that the Israeli assault will replicate the Gaza massacre (of
December 2009) but on a much grander scale. An Israeli general proclaimed
shortly after the Gaza massacre that the Israeli military will “continue to
apply” the Dahiya doctrine of directing massive force against civilian
infrastructure “in the future” (Yaacov Katz, “The Dahiya Doctrine: Fighting
dirty or a knock-out punch?” Jerusalem Post, 28 January 2001). On the same day
as the (Turkish) flotilla bloodbath, DefenseNews was reporting that a
prospective Israeli assault on Lebanon “would include attacks on national
infrastructure, a total maritime blockade, and interdiction strikes on bridges,
highways,” while “land forces would execute a ferocious land grab well beyond
the Litani River.” The essence of Israeli strategic doctrine, the Israeli deputy
chief of staff elaborated, was that “each new round” of fighting “brings worse
results than the last” to Israel’s enemies.
It also brings fairly damaging results to Israel itself. In 2006, although the
Israeli military killed about nine times as many Lebanese as the Lebanese did
Israelis, about a million Israelis fled their homes to avoid being hit by
Hizbullah rockets. (It is historically interesting that those Israelis, some of
whom live in houses that Palestinian Arabs lived in before they fled violence in
1948, went home when the fighting stopped. Israel has always argued that people,
i.e., Palestinians, who left their houses in wartime have no right to return to
them. Different principles for different folks.) That was what Dan Kurtzer
called the “second Lebanon war,” in his Council on Foreign Relations treatise
urging the Obama administration to forestall the third. But Lebanon has had many
wars, perhaps too many to count. Even against Israel, there has either been one
long war or at least five.
Menachem Begin sent the Israeli military to occupy south Lebanon in March 1978.
In 1982, the Israeli Army went further north into Lebanon to expel the Palestine
Liberation Organization (PLO) from Beirut. That was its high water mark, and the
water has, as water does, been flowing downhill ever since. In subsequent forays
into the country, it lost again and again to the resistance movement that would
not have existed but for Israel’s occupation of south Lebanon from the summer of
1982 on, Hizbullah. The Israelis were better off for an enemy with the PLO,
which has since been tamed and now does Israel’s bidding on the West Bank.
Hizbullah, for all the Levantine business acumen of some of its backers, is less
pliable. It is also more serious. Its steady attacks on the Israeli occupiers
from the time of its clandestine inception in late 1982 forced Israel to
withdraw from Lebanon in 2000. Between the original invasion of 1978 and the
summer 2006’s disastrous incursion, Israel has launched several mini-invasions
that failed to make a dent in Hizbullah’s armor.
Has everyone forgotten the “decisive” Operation Grapes of Wrath? When the
Israelis attempted to deal the deathblow to Hizuallah in the summer of 2006, the
Shiite resistance handed them a humiliating defeat. Israeli soldiers in south
Lebanon were so badly prepared for a serious battle that some of them ran out of
drinking water. Israeli jets destroyed all of Lebanon’s bridges and much of its
civilian infrastructure, but its troops on the ground were relieved to depart.
So, what are the hawks in Israel urging the army to do? You guessed it, have
another go.
Norman writes, “Tellingly, after each successive bungled operation, Israelis
speak of “operational” errors, never conceptual ones, the tacit assumption being
that if these errors are corrected, then next time around the goals still can
and will be achieved.”
The question is: what does Israel intend to achieve? As I see it, its objectives
are to maintain military superiority over all potential adversaries and,
whenever an adversary threatens to become so much as an irritant, to destroy its
power. This doctrine goes beyond mere preemption, which is itself of dubious
legality. Preemption means attacking before you are attacked. Israel is going a
step further and attacking before anyone can achieve the means so much as to
consider an attack – even in retaliation.
You could call it pre-preemption. Just as its soldiers employ submachine guns on
Palestinian children who throw stones, Israel’s army unleashes the full force of
F-16s on those who merely bear arms in a neighboring state, Lebanon, to defend
their territory.
Norman Finkelstein and Dan Kurtzer, who stand at polar ends of the Mideast
spectrum, agree that another Israeli invasion of Lebanon will be bad for
Lebanon, bad for Israel and bad for the US. Is that enough to convince
Washington to stop it before it happens?
Charles Glass was ABC News Chief Middle East Correspondent from 1983 to 1993.
His books include Tribes with Flags (Atlantic Monthly Press,1990) and Americans
in Paris: Life and Death Under Nazi Occupation (Penguin Press, 2010). Article
URL: http://www.takimag.com/site/article/not_another_war_on_lebanon/
Iran digging graves for American troops in case of attack
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Ali Akbar Dareini/Associated Press
TEHRAN: Iran has dug mass graves in which to bury US troops in case of any
American attack on the country, a former commander of the elite Revolutionary
Guards said.
The digging of the graves appears to be a show of bravado after the chairman of
the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen, said last week that the US
military has a contingency plan to attack Iran, although he thinks a military
strike is probably a bad idea. The US and some of its allies accuse Iran of
using its civilian nuclear program as a cover to build nuclear weapons. Iran has
denied the charges, saying its nuclear program is geared merely toward
generating electricity, not bomb.
General Hossein Kanaani Moghadam, who was the Guards’ deputy commander during
the 1980s, said graves have been dug in Iran’s southwestern Khuzestan Province,
where Iran buried Iraqi soldiers killed during the ruinous 1980-88 war between
the Islamic Republic and Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein’s regime. “The mass
graves that used to be for burying Saddam’s soldiers have now been prepared
again for US soldiers, and this is the reason for digging this big number of
graves,” Moghadam told the Associated Press Television News late Monday. He did
not say how many were prepared. Footage obtained by APTN showed a large number
of empty, freshly dug graves in a desert region of Khuzestan. The digging of the
graves was first reported earlier this week by Iran’s news agency Fars. Moghadam
repeated warnings that Iran will retaliate against US bases in the Gulf if there
is an attack on Iran. The US Navy’s 5th Fleet headquarters is based just across
the Gulf from Iran in Bahrain.
If US forces attack, “Iran will have no choice but to strike the American bases
in the region,” he said. “The heavy costs of such a war will not be just on the
Islamic Republic of Iran. America and other countries should accept that this
would be the start of an extensive war in the region.” The war of words has
intensified between Iran and the United States after the UN Security Council
imposed a fourth tougher round of sanctions in June in response to Iran’s
refusal to halt uranium enrichment, a technology that can be used to produce
nuclear fuel or material for an atomic bomb. The US and Israel have said
military force could be used if diplomacy fails to stop what they suspect is an
Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iranian officials have stepped up their own
rhetoric in recent weeks, threatening to close the Gulf to shipping and strike
Israel if attacked.
Nasrallah’s speech fails to meet high expectations
By Agence France Presse (AFP)
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
analysis/Natacha Yazbeck
Agence France Presse
BEIRUT: Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s “evidence” implicating Israel
in the murder of Lebanese former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri has failed to sway
his political rivals and left analysts divided over its impact. “The press
conference is likely part and parcel of a strategy of self-defense,” Mustafa
Alloush, a former MP and member of the Future Movement, founded by Hariri, told
AFP on Tuesday. “If the aim is to convince us of Israel’s guilt, then this
evidence should be placed in the hands of the relevant authorities and
jurisdiction.”
At a Monday night press conference, Nasrallah produced several undated clips of
aerial views of various areas in Lebanon, including the site of the Hariri
assassination in mainly Sunni west Beirut several years prior to the murder.
Nasrallah, who has accused Israel of the February 14, 2005, bombing which killed
Hariri and 22 others, said the footage was intercepted from unmanned Israeli MK
surveillance drones.
He conceded the images were not conclusive proof but noted that his party –
which is believed constantly under surveillance by its arch-foe Israel – had no
offices, positions or presence in the areas surveyed. Hariri’s allies initially
blamed Syria for his killing but Damascus has consistently denied the
allegations. Syria nonetheless withdrew its troops from Lebanon under
international pressure in April 2005, ending a 29-year presence.
Nasrallah last month said he was aware the UN-backed tribunal on the Hariri
murder, which is expected to issue an indictment this year, would indict members
of his Syrian- and Iranian-backed party, slamming it as an Israeli project. But
his highly anticipated address Monday failed to live up to the expectations of
the Lebanese and was at best received as circumstantial evidence – and a show of
counter-espionage prowess.
“No one took the evidence seriously or considered it objective,” said Hilal
Khashan, a political science professor at the American University of Beirut.
“Nasrallah was simply addressing his public,” Khashan told AFP. “He promised
solid proof but instead offered new elements to support his rebuttal of the
tribunal’s credibility and request they start anew.” Asaad Abu Khalil, a
political science professor at California State University at Stanislaus, said
the event was “a great political show” that aimed to sway Arab public opinion.
“The expectations were high for the speech: in Lebanon, Hizbullah’s enemies did
not want anything less than pictures of Israelis pulling the triggers on Hariri.
That was not provided,” Abu Khalil wrote on his “Angry Arab” blog. “Hizbullah
did something entirely different in this press conference: it recaptured Arab
political opinion … with images, and visual effects and background music and
graphics.”
But Fadia Kiwan, who heads the political science department at Saint Joseph
University, said Nasrallah’s revelation was “extremely dangerous.”
“There is no conclusive evidence on the involvement of Israel but [Nasrallah
presented] relevant arguments that make it inevitable that this hypothesis be
seriously examined,” she told AFP.
Nasrallah’s statements have raised fears of a replay of the events of May 2008,
when 100 people were killed in a week of fighting sparked by a government
crackdown on the party’s private communications network. The government later
repealed its decision.
The Hizbullah leader on Monday said he was willing to cooperate with the
Lebanese government on the Hariri murder and present the Cabinet, which includes
two Hizbullah ministers, with his findings. He refused to specify what measures
Hizbullah would take should the UN tribunal implicate the Shiite party. But a
high-ranking government official, who requested his name be withheld, told AFP
on Tuesday that he did not expect Hizbullah to take any drastic measures. “The
indictment will be issued by an international body so even withdrawing from the
government would be a very artificial, contrived step that would cause problems
here in Lebanon without presenting any corroboration of the evidence presented
yesterday,” the official said. “Turning the table on the Lebanese government
would seem to me taking Lebanon hostage and saying ‘I’m threatening the
international community that my own country will be paying the price,’” he
added. “I don’t expect that.” Israel on Tuesday dismissed Hizbullah’s claims of
their guilt as “ridiculous.”
Elias Bejjani's response to Barry's editorial (Below)
Dear Barry, You analysis is fully right and because of this sad, unfortunate and
dangerous imposed status quo by Iran, Syria and Hezbollah on our beloved
Lebanon, the West has an obligation to step in and straighten the balance
militarily. As you know Syria at least since 1990 has been Syrianizing all
Lebanon's institutions, especially the armed forced, media, cabinet and
parliament. At the same time it granted unlawfully the Lebanese citizenship to
more than half a million in 1994 through which it messed badly with the
country's very delicate demography. In 2005 when Syria was forced to leave
Hezbollah the Syrian Iranian armed proxy took over the job and fully controlled
the country and its institutions.
What is definite that the Lebanese alone are
not able any more to reverse the Syrianization and HEZBOLLAHISATION of their
country. They need military western intervention and the sooner the better.In conclusion Lebanon in the axis of evil orbit will not only hurt the Lebanese
people, destroy their freedom, multicultural and democracy system and enslave
them but will destabilize the whole middle east and threaten peace and stability
all over the world.
The feasible solution would be via a new UN resolution under chapter seven
through which the UN troops stationed in South Lebanon will be given the upper
hand not only in the south but all over Lebanon and specially on the Lebanese
Syrian border. The Lebanese army needs to be put under the UN troops command and
Lebanon declared a country that is unable to govern itself. I personally have
called for such a solution in one of my recent editorials. There is no doubt
that losing Lebanon to the axis of evil means losing the whole middle east and
toppling of all the so called moderate Arab regimes.
The Week Lebanon Became Part of the Anti-Western Axis and West Governments
Didn't Notice
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
By Barry Rubin
History will record that Lebanon was integrated into the Iran-Syria empire in
early August 2010. Here are some of the stories that mark that turning point,
and also show how Western willingness to make concessions and eagerness to avoid
confrontation are interpreted by moderates as a signal or surrender and radicals
as an invitation to advance further.
Former Lebanese cabinet minister Wiam Wahhab explained that Lebanon is now, in
effect, a Syrian province in a television interview, explaining that the country
is back to the rule of Damascus that prevailed in the 1980s:, "In the event of a
civil war, Syrian tanks will enter Lebanon. Syria is not fooling around."
No, Syria is not fooling around. But the West is.
Wahhab added that UNIFIL and other UN groups are hostages that Lebanon and Syria
can dominate. The last four years has shown that the international community is
weaker than Hizballah and won’t defend its own people. The UN and international
community did not make a serious effort to implement any of the promises made at
the time they brokered the 2006 ceasefire in the Israel-Hizballah war. Once
again, Hizballah rules southern Lebanon. It imports weapons and builds military
strong points at will. Hizballah will never defeat Israel in this situation but
it has succeeded in defeating the entire world.
Meanwhile the Syrian media brags about extensive victories, including the
acceptance of Syria’s domination over Lebanon by both Western and Arab countries
(the Saudi king's visit marked the submission of Syria's main rival in Lebanon),
the surrender of the former Lebanese independence forces, the alleged growing
influence of Syria in Iraq, and the integration of Turkey into the Iran-Syria
alliance.
Most Western governments and media still publicly ignore the transformation
(perhaps temporary) of Turkey into part of the radical, anti-Western alliance
but Iran, Syria, and Hizballah are quite aware of this huge change. Equally,
they pretend that Lebanon still functions as an independent country, though
Congress's cut-off of aid to Lebanon's army shows that it comprehends the
situation.
Meanwhile, Hizballah leader Hasan Nasrallah charges that Israel killed former
Lebanese president Rafik Hariri, the act that set off the short-lived Lebanese
national revival against Syrian domination. Everyone in Lebanon knows Hariri was
killed by Syria through Lebanese agents, who seem to have included Hizballah
officials. But no one in political life has the courage to say so. And if the
international investigation does implicate Syrian-Hizballah involvement, all the
Lebanese leaders who once shouted in anger against these assassins will now
tremble and deny it.
Other Hizballah statements include the claim that the unprovoked assassination
of an Israeli officer in the tree incident was a defense of Lebanon against
Israeli aggression. The extol the resistance as being so brave and strong that
it would not even let a tree be cut down in Lebanon, though it is now
established that the tree in question was in Israel.
Western observers might find such points to be foolish or unimportant but few in
Lebanon, or even in the Arab world, will hear abou the truth. They will believe
that the shooting incident was a heroic defense of the Arab homeland against
still another Israeli act of aggression.
Moreover, many will be inspired by a struggle that will give neither an inch nor
a tree. The message is also that the resistance will fight for one tree while
the West won't fight at all. Such arguments are far more powerful than any
rational matters of fact in stirring passions and shaping politics in the
region.
If the Iran-Syria-Hizballah-Hamas-Iraqi insurgent-Turkish regime alliance is
looking ever stronger and will kill over a tree, how is the leadership of the
Palestinian Authority going to compromise over territory and give up the dream
of conquering all of Israel? Now that the West has surrendered and, for all
practical purposes, recognized the Hamas regime in the Gaza Strip, why should
Palestinians believe that the Palestinian Authority is going to be their sole
legitimate leader, especially if it makes compromises to achieve peace with
Israel?
Perhaps most chilling in the rhetoric coming out of Lebanion is a statement by a
Hizballah member of Lebanon’s parliament that the Lebanese army’s murder of an
Israeli officer on the border proves the Lebanese army is now part of the
radical resistance. The main U.S. activity in Lebanon during the last decade has
been to provide aid to Lebanon's army based on the reasonable argument that it
was a bulwark against Hizballah. But that claim no longer holds. To a large
extent, Hizballah is governing Lebanon today, either directly, through the
intimidation of violence and veto power in the cabinet, or due to the pressure
of its Syrian and Iranian big brothers.
Iran offered to subsidize the Lebanese army if the United States cut off aid, an
eventuality is unlikely. But the point is that the Lebanese army under the
current government serves the interests of Tehran more than Washington. One can
certainly make an argument that U.S. aid should continue to avoid an Iranian
monopoly and keep open contacts in hope things will get better in future. I'm
not necessarily arguing against that idea. But have no illusions that the
Lebanese government and army are "pro-Western."
If some day a war breaks out between Lebanon and Israel, as in 2006, and Israeli
forces hit the Lebanese infrastructure hard, remember all of this. Lebanon has
now joined—however unwillingly on the part of most of its citizens—the radical,
anti-Western Islamist bloc and may well have to pay the price for that
allegiance.
Only if the huge Western setbacks in Turkey, the Gaza Strip, and Lebanon are
taken into account can anyone get a realistic picture of what's going on in the
region.
**Barry Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs
(GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA)
Journal. His latest books are The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), The Long
War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley), and
The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan). The website of the GLORIA Center is
at http://www.gloria-center.org and of his blog, Rubin Reports, at
http://www.rubinreports.blogspot.com.
Hizballah, a threat to the USA
http://fresnozionism.org/2010/08/hizballah-a-threat-to-the-usa/
Hizballah, second only to al-Qaeda in the number of American citizens murdered,
is the most powerful terrorist group in the world today. Hizballah effectively
controls Lebanon — thus finally putting an end to the idea of a state in which
Muslims and Christians could share power — and will soon doubtless fight yet
another war with Israel.
Hizballah has tentacles in numerous countries, and is especially powerful in
Latin America. Originally financed from Iran, Hizballah now is also funded by
drug operations in both hemispheres. It also receives contributions from Islamic
charities around the world.
The degree of autonomy exercised by Hizballah is unclear, but its connection to
Iran is close enough that it’s been called “the Foreign Legion of the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards.” It’s fair to say that one of the major factors that
deters the US and Israel from military action against the Iranian nuclear
program is the threat that Hizballah would both strike Israel with tens of
thousands of rockets as well as unleash a wave of terror against American
interests at home and abroad.
Hizballah is a tremendous threat to the US — probably more so than al-Qaeda —
especially since it could easily infiltrate terrorists through our porous
Mexican border.
So you would think that our foreign policy would be aimed at weakening it. You
would think we would be doing our best to help keep weapons out of its hands.
You would think that if we knew that major parts of the Lebanese Armed Forces
were controlled by Hizballah, we wouldn’t train them and give them advanced
weapons.
You would think that we would help Israel, which directly confronts Hizballah.
For example, if Israel was spying on Hizballah (and giving information to the
US), we wouldn’t beef up the Lebanese security services, which in effect work
for Hizballah, so they can use our equipment to catch and kill the agents
working for Israel.
You would think all of this, but you would be wrong, because you would not have
reckoned with the sheer stupidity — or worse — of the US State Department.
WASHINGTON – The State Department is working to allay the concerns of members of
Congress who have put a hold on funding to the Lebanese military, following last
week’s deadly border incident with Israel, a spokesman said Tuesday.
“We understand that this incident has raised very legitimate questions on the
Hill and we will continue to engage leaders on both sides of the aisle to help
assuage concerns that exist,” said State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley.
However, he defended US military assistance to the Lebanese Armed Forces [LAF]
as something that’s “in our national interest and contributes to stability in
the region.” He added that the US has “no indications” that its training
programs were in any way implicated in the incident.
Crowley also pointed to statements by Iran that it would fill whatever funding
gap is left by the US with its own money as an example of the need for the US to
keep up its contributions. “The statements by Iran are expressly the reason why
we believe continued support to the Lebanese government and the Lebanese
military is in our interest,” he said.
In addition to the recent border skirmish between Lebanon and Israel, House
Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Howard Berman cited more general concerns
of Hizbullah involvement with the Lebanese army in placing a hold on $100
million in funds slated for 2010.
Crowley responded to the concern by saying that, “Hizbullah is a fact within
Lebanese society and much of our effort in supporting the Lebanese military is
in fact the very professionalization that we think helps mitigate that risk.”
The suggestion that the Lebanese Army “contributes to stability” by confronting
Hizballah is ludicrous. Here are some facts:
» The LAF confronts Israel on its border, as this recent incident shows.
However, it takes absolutely no action to stop the continuous smuggling of
weapons — including Scud missiles — to Hizballah across the border with Syria.
» The LAF, as far back as 2006, cooperated with Hizballah. Targeting information
provided by the LAF allowed Hizballah to hit an Israeli ship with a missile
during the last war.
» In 2008, the Lebanese President, Michael Suleiman, issued ‘guidelines’ that
the LAF could fight alongside ‘the resistance’ [Hizballah] in order to “resist
Israeli aggression.”
» There may have been a time where anti-Hizballah forces had a chance to prevail
in Lebanon, but that time is past. In May 2008, in a bloody coup, Hizballah took
effective control of the nation. Although they did not officially establish a
Hizballah government, the real power is in their hands.
» The border ambush — which was not the action of a ‘rogue officer’, but was
carefully planned — sent the message that the LAF and Hizballah are on the same
side.
The argument that ‘if we don’t buy them weapons, Iran will’ is completely
absurd. It would only be worth considering if Lebanon were ruled by pro-Western
forces. But it isn’t. That battle is over. Perhaps we could have supported that
side more effectively, but we didn’t, and now we can’t make up for it by arming
our enemies. This is yet another case of the US trying to influence bad actors
by bribing them in advance, the ‘all-carrot, no stick’ policy. The result is
that they take our guns and think we’re stupid. They’re right.
Hizballah directly confronts Israel, but Israel is prepared for the inevitable
war. That is more than can be said for the US, where the threat from Hizballah
is being studiously ignored. My prediction is that if we don’t start taking it
seriously, Hizballah will make al-Qaeda look like pikers.
Hezbollah is Lebanon’s
Sherlock Holmes
Wed, 11 August 201/Al Hayat
By: Randa Takieddine
The news conference by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah was certainly a skillful
portrayal of a truth known by everyone, namely that Israel has intentions of
committing sabotage actions and destabilizing Lebanon, and that it does not
support the country’s economic revival. Lebanon’s modern history, since the
civil war, has proven the existence of a situation that every honest and
objective citizen acknowledges. However, the material presented by the secretary
general of Hezbollah, particularly the photos taken from Israeli aircraft, do
not constitute decisive evidence. Israel can certainly take such photos and
follow the movements of Lebanese officials and leaders; however, the news
conference was not decisive and convincing and did not have tangible evidence.
Today, with advanced IT capabilities, it is easy to create visual documents and
fashion them at will. Becoming convinced by such visual materials reminds us of
Sherlock Holmes, the British detective. Relying on such documentation matches
the complaint by Hezbollah’s secretary general about the Special Tribunal for
Lebanon, namely relying on false witnesses. However, regardless of the fact that
the international investigation into the Rafiq Hariri assassination, since Serge
Brammertz and after him Daniel Bellemare, has abandoned the evidence of the
false witnesses, and no longer relies on it. This led to the release of four
senior security and military officers. The international investigator and public
prosecutor, Bellemare, is a judicial official with no connection to politics,
and no one can influence him, even if they wanted to.
Bellemare asked to investigate
matters with a number of countries, including Israel. The notion that the STL
has not conducted investigations with all concerned countries is not accurate.
Since the beginning, the STL has requested cooperation with a number of
countries. The fact that the talk and the rumors are focusing on the
international investigation and Bellemare’s work also reminds us of Sherlock
Holmes.
The news conference completely
ignored the political conditions that preceded the assassination of Hariri and
the extension of then-President Emile Lahoud’s mandate, and the repercussions,
and the local and regional political climate that prevailed as a result. It is
as if these conditions had no impact, and they were completely absent from the
secretary general’s investigation. The issue was absent from the news
conference, even though it has become part of Lebanon’s history, as acknowledged
by Hezbollah’s allies today, and it appeared in the statements by General Michel
Aoun, when he was in Paris. This was the reality of the Lebanese domestic and
regional situations during the period that preceded the assassination of Hariri
and the other martyrs who fell after him. Nasrallah told the tale, citing Syrian
leaders, that an Arab leader tried to convince the Syrians to receive Lebanon in
exchange for crushing Hezbollah’s forces in the South. This reminds us of what
the Israelis continually say to western and American leaders, namely that Israel
prefers that Lebanon remain under Syrian control, because only Syria can control
Hezbollah. Ever since the civil war and the expulsion of Yasser Arafat from
Lebanon, Israel has sought Syrian domination over Lebanon, since it believes the
Lebanese political system to be weak, and that only Syria can rein in Hezbollah.
The documented presentation by Nasrallah at the news conference, and everything
he said about Lebanese agents for Israel, will be taken into consideration by
the international investigator. Bellemare is not finished with his investigation
and has yet to issue an indictment. Everything that Nasrallah said was useful in
the framework of Bellemare’s investigation, which is studying all possibilities
and documents; however, it is searching for tangible and precise evidence, in
purely legal terms.
What Nasrallah put forward will
certainly be studied by the international investigation, which is working
seriously and objectively. Doubting Bellemare’s work is a negative act. Trying
to convince the states that supervised the establishment of the STL that it
would be better to delay the indictment, because it will lead to a civil war in
Lebanon, will not succeed, because Bellemare is completely independent and the
STL, like similar trials for Rwanda and Kosovo, cannot be eliminated.