LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِMay
05/2010
Bible Of the
Day
27:1 Don’t boast about tomorrow; for you
don’t know what a day may bring forth. 27:2 Let another man praise you, and not
your own mouth; a stranger, and not your own lips. 27:3 A stone is heavy, and
sand is a burden; but a fool’s provocation is heavier than both. 27:4 Wrath is
cruel, and anger is overwhelming; but who is able to stand before jealousy? 27:5
Better is open rebuke than hidden love. 27:6 Faithful are the wounds of a
friend; although the kisses of an enemy are profuse.
27:7 A full soul loathes a honeycomb; but to a hungry soul, every bitter thing
is sweet. 27:8 As a bird that wanders from her nest, so is a man who wanders
from his home.
27:9 Perfume and incense bring joy to the heart; so does earnest counsel from a
man’s friend. 27:10 Don’t forsake your friend and your father’s friend. Don’t go
to your brother’s house in the day of your disaster: better is a neighbor who is
near than a distant brother.
Free Opinions, Releases, letters, Interviews & Special Reports
Environmentalists warn Jordan River drying up/The
Associated Press/May
04/10
Another human-rights irony at the
U.N/By Anne Applebaum/washingtonpost/May
04/10
North Korea and Syria: A Warning in
the Desert/By Gregory L. Schulte/The Epoch Times/May
04/10
Lebanon's no choice election/Daily Star/May
04/10
The myth of the Arab triangle/Now
Lebanon/Tony Badran, May 4, 2010
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for May
04/10
Man arrested in NYC car bomb attack
to appear in court/Canada Press
Analysis: Why the Syria-US relationship is
likely to remain chilly for some time/The
Guardian
Syria to join WTO after Israel doesn't oppose/Ynetnews
Obama Renews Syria Sanctions/New
York Times
Clinton warns Iran, Syria on threats to Israel/Las
Vegas Sun
Syria Compares Missile Accusations to Iraqi WMD Claims/Global
Security Newswire
Al Maliki is at odds with Syria/GulfNews
Studies look at ways to save Jordan River/The
Jewish Journal of Greater L.A.
Another human-rights irony
at the UN/Washington Post
Deployment of Nuclear Weapons, by Israel, Against
Iran or Lebanon/Student Operated
Press
U.S.-Israel Defense Ties Are
Strong/Wall Street Journal
Amnesty blasts Hezbollah sentences/UPI.com
U.S.-Israel Defense Ties Are
Strong/Wall
Street Journal
Netanyahu, Mubarak Hold Summit on
Renewed Mideast Peace Effort/Naharnet
Mitchell Starts Regional Trip to
Push New Peace Talks/Naharnet
Iran Navy to Kick Off 8-day
Drill in Gulf/Naharnet
Obama, Netanyahu Discuss Middle
East Peace Talks/Naharnet
Gates:
Hizbullah Among Parties Trying to Challenge U.S. Naval Power/Naharnet
Jumblat Discusses 'Issues
of Common Interest' with King Abdullah/Naharnet
Fatah Implements Abbas'
Decision: Issa Replaces Maqdah/Naharnet
Tripoli MPs Agree on Nader
Ghazal as Municipal Council Chief/Naharnet
Electoral Battle Looms
over Sidon as Saad, Jamaa Islamiya Upset/Naharnet
Beirut Headed Toward
Electoral Battle: AMAL Aligned with Mustaqbal, Hizbullah Neutral/Naharnet
Official Mount Lebanon
Municipal Election Results Tuesday/Naharnet
Hariri Reiterates
Commitment to Equal Muslim-Christian Powersharing in Beirut Municipality/Naharnet
Ambassador Ziade, Egypt
Deny Lebanese Embassy Asked for Protection over Threats/Naharnet
Jumblat: UNSCR 1559 was a
Real Disaster, We Can Do without Some Destructive Foreign Advices/Naharnet
Geagea: Hizbullah Main
Reason Behind Dangers Facing Lebanon/Naharnet
Sfeir Gets Berri's Support
for Exempting Christian Sects from Taxes/Naharnet
Ras Beirut Mayor List
Announced/Naharnet
Mount Lebanon Municipal
Election: Aoun Defeated in Jbeil, Comes First in Hadath, Murr Biggest Winner in
Metn/Naharnet
Former US Ambassador John Bolton: Obama Damages
Israeli Security
by Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu /Arutz
Sheva
John Bolton, former United States ambassador to the United Nations, told Bar
Shem-Ur on IDF Army Radio Tuesday morning that ”[U.S. President Barack] Obama is
harming Israeli security and is playing into the hands of [Iranian President
Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad” by
agreeing to talk with Egypt
about a nuclear-free Middle East.
Listen to statements by former US ambassador to UN John
Bolton
mms://msmedia.a7.org/arutz7/eng-perm/10/JohnBolton-4May2010.mp3
“All of us know this suggestion [of Egypt] relates to one country - Israel,”
Bolton stated. "The question right now is how much pressure he is prepared to
apply to achieve his objective. If I were an Israeli, I would be afraid of the
results of these contacts because of the very fact that Obama agrees to talk
with Egypt” about its proposal.
“It is clear that we are talking about an absurd and very aggravating” action by
President Obama, “but this is how it has worked for years since the days of
Castro, and the ‘shining” period of [Yasser] Arafat,” Bolton told Army Radio.
He also said he is not surprised that the “head of an enemy state can arrive in
the United States, take the podium in the center of New York, castigate the
United States and Israel and accuse them of mutual nuclear aid.
“This really is not an exceptional step for the U.N. to give the podium to the
president of Iran. The best thing I can say about the visit of Ahmadinejad is
that his speech was so ridiculous that he actually damages himself more than he
does himself any good.”
Calling the United Nations an organization “empty of all content” that “lost its
legitimacy a long time ago,” Bolton suggested the establishment of an
alternative body comprising only those countries that are democratic.
“There needs to be a wide-ranging discussion on the lack of effectiveness of the
United Nations in dealing with international challenges,” he explained. “In its
history, it has failed time after time to deal with global threats. This
happened with Communism and today it is happening with worldwide terror.”
He dismissed the U.N. committee for preventing the spread of nuclear weapons as
another “great name of an organization that has no teeth or significance."
Bolton, who advised then-President George W. Bush to stop paying dues to the
United Nations, quit his U.N. post out of frustration.
US Links De-Nuking Israel with
Removing Iranian Threat
by Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu/Arutz Sheva
The United States, which already has tied Israel’s agreeing to Palestinian
Authority demands with solving the Iranian nuclear threat, now cites Israel’s
nuclear arsenal as the key.
Ellen Tauscher, U.S. Undersecretary of State for arms control, was quoted by the
London Guardian as saying last week, "The best chance we have to achieve a WMD-free
zone in the Middle East is to reach an agreement on a lasting and just peace in
the Middle East." A proposal for a ban on mass destruction weapons in the Middle
East is being circulated by the Obama administration and Russia.
Egypt also is circulating a proposal that links removing nuclear weapons from
Israel with eliminating the Iranian threat to become a nuclear power. Egyptian
Ambassador to the United Nations Maged A. Abdelaziz said last week, “Success in
dealing with Iran will depend to a large extent on how successfully we deal with
the establishment of a nuclear-free zone" in the Middle East, meaning Israel.
Cairo also is using its “Israel card” to refuse to participate in the chemical
weapons convention, arguing that Israel first must sign the nuclear
non-proliferation treaty (NPT).
Israel’s “ambiguity” policy does not admit or confirm that it has nuclear
weapons. It has declined to sign the NPT, which would require opening up state
secrets on nuclear capability.
The United Nations this week opened its NPT conference and heard Iranian
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad charge, “The Zionist regime continues to threaten
the countries of the Middle East with its arsenal. It continues to threaten the
world's countries with acts of terror and invasion, and even gets the necessary
assistance for its nuclear program.”
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton revealed to the conference Monday that
the United States has 5,113 nuclear weapons, nearly 50 percent less than most
estimates.
However, she did not disclose how many weapons have long-range capability. The
United States and Russia have “enough nuclear weapons to destroy the world many
times over,” she said. American officials noted that the United States has
reduced its nuclear capability by 84 percent since the mid-1960s and 90 percent
since 1991.
Revealing the classified information in the American nuclear arsenal is designed
at putting pressure on China to do the same.
An American-inspired Middle East peace, with Israel at the core, remains in the
background of the official statements. Besides the Russian-American proposal,
Egypt’s position paper calls for countries signing the non-proliferation treaty
"to disclose all information available to them on the nature and scope of
Israeli nuclear capabilities, including information pertaining to previous
nuclear transfers to Israel."
The proposal is buried in its working paper being circulated in New York,
according to the Washington Post’s Walter Pincus.
Pincus noted, “How the Obama administration deals with the nettlesome problem of
Israel's nuclear arsenal and the establishment of a nuclear-weapons-free zone in
the Middle East will determine U.S. success or failure at the NPT conference.” (IsraelNationalNews.com)
Obama Renews Syria Sanctions
By AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
Published: May 3, 2010
WASHINGTON (Agence France-Presse) — President Obama on Monday renewed sanctions
against Syria for a year, accusing Damascus of supporting terrorist groups and
pursuing missile programs and weapons of mass destruction. There had been no
expectation that Mr. Obama was ready to lift the measures, but the renewal comes
at a delicate time in relations between the United States and Syria, despite
efforts by the administration to return an ambassador to Damascus. The United
States also recently expressed concerns after Israel accused Syria of arming
Hezbollah with increasingly sophisticated rockets and missiles, which the United
States says undermine stability in the region. Mr. Obama said in a message to
Congress renewing the sanctions, first imposed by President George W. Bush in
2004, that the Syrian government had made “some progress” in suppressing the
infiltration of foreign fighters into Iraq.
But he added that Syria’s “continuing support for terrorist organizations and
pursuit of weapons of mass destruction and missile programs, continue to pose an
unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security, foreign policy and
economy of the United States.”
Environmentalists warn Jordan River drying up
By DANIEL ESTRIN (AP)
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gQMVxbB3qaTsrS5OHPj3ViLTWtBQD9FFQRG00
QASR AL-YAHUD, West Bank — Christian pilgrims who flock to the
Jordan River to immerse themselves in the water where Jesus was baptized may
have nothing left to dunk in next year.
A team of Israeli, Jordanian and Palestinian environmental scientists says large
stretches of the biblical river could dry up by 2011. And much of what remains
is nothing but a canal of sewage, they said in a report released Monday.
"You can almost jump across this river. In other places, you don't need to even
jump — you can just cross it. It's ankle deep," said Gidon Bromberg, Israeli
director of Friends of the Earth Middle East, the organization that commissioned
the report. "You struggle to see the water."
Sadly, it is one of the efforts to save the river that has helped doom it, the
report said. Israel and Jordan have agreed to stop dumping waste into the river
and instead treat it in plants expected to be up and running in both countries
in 2011.
But if no wastewater enters the lower Jordan — the river's largest section —
then no water will flow in it at all, the report notes.
According to Christian tradition, John baptized Jesus in the Jordan River.
Typical of the region's conflicting land claims, both Jordan and Israel maintain
the New Testament baptismal site stands on their soil, and the sites face each
other on either side of the Jordan.
On the Israeli-controlled side in the West Bank, the site is called Qasr al-Yahud,
Arabic for "Castle of the Jews" or "Crossing of the Jews." In Jordan, it is
called al-Maghtas, or "Baptism Site."
The Bible describes the river, which flows south from the Sea of Galilee into
the Dead Sea, marking the border shared by Israel, Jordan and the West Bank, as
"overflowing." In 1847, a U.S. Naval officer visiting the area reported on the
"deafening roar of the tumultuous waters."
But over the past five decades, Israel, Jordan and Syria have diverted about 98
percent of the Jordan River and its tributaries for drinking water and
agricultural use. Only 700 million to about 1 billion cubic feet (20 million to
30 million cubic meters) flow through the river today, a tiny fraction of the 45
billion cubic feet (1.3 billion cubic meters) that used to surge through before
the 1930s, when the first dam was built on the river in what is now Israel.
What was once the narrowest stretch of the river has now become its widest. In
some spots, the Jordan is only a trickle. Otters and other creatures that used
to live on its banks are long gone.
Today, the lower section of the Jordan is choked with sewage from towns on the
Israeli, West Bank and Jordanian sides.
The report's authors praised the Israeli and Jordanian wastewater treatment
plan, while noting that it will dry up large stretches of the river by the end
of next year because the treated sewage will be used for agriculture rather than
being pumped into the Jordan.
The report recommends that Israel and Jordan rehabilitate the river by filling
it with freshwater pumped in from the Sea of Galilee and the Yarmouk river, the
Jordan's largest tributary, in addition to highly treated wastewater, to return
a third of the volume that once flowed there.
Today, most Christian pilgrims who visit Israel immerse themselves in the fresh
waters of the Jordan river at Yardenit, a modern-day baptismal tourist site near
the Sea of Galilee, 60 miles (100 kilometers) upstream.
Less than a mile (about one kilometer) away, a dam built by Israel blocks the
water for agricultural use. Steps away, a fountain of murky sewage from nearby
Israeli communities shoot through a rusty pipe, where it joins up with
agricultural runoff and saline water from nearby salt springs to form the rest
of the river.
Some still go to the traditional baptism site of Jesus. On Sunday, a grinning
Christian pilgrim from Moscow donned a long white robe and bobbed up and down in
the brown waters, gesturing the sign of the cross with his hand each time he
came up for air.
Some environmentalists strongly discourage baptisms there because the foul state
of the waters make it a health hazard.
On the Israeli-controlled side, the site is closed most of the year because of
its location in a military zone, surrounded by minefields, on the international
border with Jordan.
About 30,000 pilgrims were allowed to visit this year, according to the Israel
Nature and Parks Authority, and Israel is now renovating the site to accommodate
more tourists.
The sad state of the Jordan River does not exist in a vacuum. Political deadlock
between governments sharing the river and its tributaries has exacerbated the
water shortage. Israel and neighboring Arab countries have complained about each
other's projects to divert shared water sources for their own needs.
The diversion of waters from the Jordan is also a major reason why the Dead Sea
is shrinking so dramatically. The legendary salt-water lake has lost one-third
of its volume since Israel and Jordan built plants in the 1960s to divert the
waters of the Jordan.
Copyright © 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.
Another
human-rights irony at the U.N
By Anne Applebaum
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/03/AR2010050303950.html?hpid=opinionsbox1
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad campaigned
in Uganda and Zimbabwe. Behind the scenes, his flunkies twisted arms and offered
favors. For weeks, feelers were sent out to all kinds of unlikely allies. What
was the diplomatic prize at stake? Nothing less than a seat on the United
Nations council on human rights.
Which was perfectly appropriate: Despite its title, this is a committee whose
past members -- Syria, Saudi Arabia, Zimbabwe among them -- have not been
renowned for their adherence to the Universal Declaration on Human Rights. On
the contrary, authoritarian regimes have long battled to join the council and
its predecessor organizations, the better to prevent any outsiders from
investigating their own governments. Once they became members, much of their
time was spent denouncing Israel and the United States, while studiously
avoiding anything that might sound like, say, criticism of Russian behavior in
Chechnya.
Different American administrations have adopted different approaches to this
peculiar institution. In recent years the United States has quit the council,
denounced the council and isolated the council, generally with bipartisan
support. Perhaps the only New York Times editorial ever written in praise of
John Bolton, President Bush's pugnacious U.N. ambassador, complimented him for
advocating its radical reform.
Yet the council kept working to the advantage of its members: The fact is that
in such places as Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia and Zimbabwe, praise -- or even lack
of condemnation -- from something called the "U.N. human rights council" still
carries a good deal of political weight. We might roll our eyes when a committee
headed by Libya solemnly pats China on the back for its good behavior in Tibet,
but in China this makes useful propaganda. We might not take seriously the
umpteenth denunciation of Israel by yet another U.N. body, but the Syrian
government probably finds it useful.
Knowing this to be the case, the Obama administration, while it was pressing its
other reset buttons, decided to rejoin the council in 2009, the better to
"reform the institution from within." This was not just a gesture of friendship
to the human rights council but an olive branch for the United Nations itself:
We were going to engage with the process, work with others, use diplomacy. We
were going to change the way the committee functioned, make the United Nations
work for democratic values and not against them.
And we did. When Iran began to campaign for membership, Western diplomats --
French, Swiss, American and others -- took this prospect seriously for the first
time in recent memory. They, too, began twisting arms and offering favors. They,
too, sent their ambassadors to bat. Western human rights groups planned major
events around the council meeting. Two French human rights activists made a film
about the whole affair. Other experts mobilized their evidence: The wave of
arrests and killings that followed last June's disputed Iranian election; the
women who are severely beaten for not covering their bodies; the wider
discrimination against women and religious minorities in courts of law; the
ubiquitous presence of police thugs and informers on the streets.
It worked. Fearing it would lose, or fearing bad publicity that might get beamed
back into the country, Iran withdrew its bid on April 23. The human rights
groups claimed "victory." American officials spoke loftily of a "step in the
right direction."
And the result? Five days later, another committee, the U.N. Commission on the
Status of Women -- a body dedicated to "gender equality and the advancement of
women" -- put out a turgid news release announcing its new members. Among them
will be . . . the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Which is fine, unless you think that the "advancement of women" should not
include stoning them for alleged adultery. And unless you think, as I do, that
it is time to abandon the fiction of U.N. human rights diplomacy altogether --
or if you worry, as perhaps we all ought to, that Iran knows its way around U.N.
nuclear diplomacy better than we imagine.
**applebaumletters@washpost.com
Netanyahu, Mubarak Meet on PA Talks
by Maayana Miskin/Arutz Sheva
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu plans to meet on Monday with Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak. The two will discuss the resumption of negotiations
between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.
The two leaders are expected to discuss PA demands, among them the extension of
the construction freeze in Jewish cities in Judea and Samaria and a building
freeze in Jerusalem. The PA has demanded a complete building freeze in those
areas as a precondition for talks. "If even one house is built, we will break
off the talks," said PA negotiator Saeb Erekat.
Netanyahu will be accompanied by Minister of Trade and Labor Binyamin Ben-Eliezer.
Israel-PA talks may resume within the next several days, with the return to the
Middle East of United State envoy George Mitchell. Talks will begin as indirect
negotiations mediated by the US.
On Wednesday, Mubarak plans to meet with PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas. Egypt and
the Arab League have backed Abbas's demand to freeze Israeli construction in
much of Jerusalem prior to the resumption of peace talks.
The PA demands that Israel ultimately hand over half of Jerusalem to the PA,
which will make it the capital of yet another Arab state. Abbas sees all parts
of Jerusalem that were under Jordanian control from 1948 to 1967 as rightfully
belonging to the Arab world, including neighborhoods that have historically been
Jewish.
Previously, Abbas agreed to direct negotiations with Israel in the absence of a
construction freeze. However, following Israel's agreement to a construction
freeze in Judea and Samaria, and US pressure on Israel over Jewish housing in
northern Jerusalem, the PA began to demand an indefinite building freeze as a
condition for talks
Iran, Syria, Turkey Cementing Ties
by Hillel Fendel/Arutz Sheva/Iran made a point of declaring its solidarity with
both Syria and Turkey in recent days, on the heels of joint Turkish-Syrian
military exercises.
Turkish and Syrian troops conducted three days of joint military drills and
exercises last week, in the latest manifestation of the close ties between the
two former adversaries. The exercises were aimed at increasing “cooperation and
confidence between the land forces of the two countries, and rais[ing] border
units' level of training and ability to work together," according to a joint
statement.
On Friday, Iranian Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi visited Syria’s capital,
Damascus, and said that Iran will always remain alongside Syria as the latter
prepares to "confront any threat." Appearing in a joint press conference with
Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad Naji Otri, Rahimi added that Iran will never stop
for a moment supporting Syria against the “occupiers of the Palestine land.”
It was also announced during the visit that Iran and Syria are seriously
considering the formation of a regional economic bloc, with Turkey and Iraq as
their key partners.
Just a few days earlier, Iranian dictator Mahmoud Ahmadinejad stressed the
shared interests and concerns of his country and Turkey. He said that both can
play important roles not only in safeguarding security in the region, but in
“influencing the new world order.”
"Safeguarding the regional security and efforts aimed at influencing the new
world order are the most important duties of our two countries," Ahmadinejad
reiterated in a meeting with the newly-appointed Turkish envoy to Tehran.
"Tehran and Ankara have lots of shared historic moments and interests, and at
the international scene, too, our standpoints are quite close to each other…
Iran and Turkey are also the center of the entire Muslims' reliance within the
Islamic world, too."
Syria is immediately north-east of Israel, and Iraq is east of Syria; Turkey is
located north of both Syria and Iraq, and Iran is east of both Turkey and Iraq.
Israel has long eyed the improving relations among these three countries with
concern, while at the same time once-warm Israeli-Turkish relations have cooled
down significantly.
US Targets Israel as Anti-Nuke Conference Begins
/by Hillel Fendel/Arutz Sheva/
The United States is working with both Egypt and Russia to rid Israel of its
nuclear weapons, as part of a comprehensive plan to neutralize Iran’s nuclear
power.
Reports of this nature are being reported in various news media. The Guardian
(London) reports that the US and Russia have drafted an initiative to ban
nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East, while
the Wall Street Journal says the Obama Administration is considering support for
a “nuclear-free Middle East.”
The Guardian adds that the proposal involves the appointment of a special
coordinator to conduct exploratory talks with Israel, Iran and the Arab states,
followed by a regional conference. It is to be a central issue at an
anti-proliferation United Nations conference beginning Monday in New York.
According to the Wall Street Journal report, the US is strongly considering
opposing Israeli nuclear weapons more strongly than it ever has before. However,
the US government has, at the same time, sent Jerusalem a message designed to
calm Israeli anxieties on the matter, stating that the U.S. would not take such
a drastic approach before it sees significant progress in the peace process
between Israel and the Arab nations.
Specifically, Ellen Tauscher, undersecretary of state for arms control and
international security, said the conditions are not right “unless all members of
the region participate, which would be unlikely unless there is a comprehensive
peace plan which is accepted.”
Such a message is actually not very calming, in that it does not state that
there must be “peace” before the U.S. would take such a position. Furthermore,
it is widely felt in Israel that its nuclear potential is as critical for
maintaining peace as it is during times of war.
This may not be Israel’s official position, however – at least according to the
Wall Street Journal. An Israeli source is quoted in the report as saying that
Jerusalem’s vision is one of a Middle East without weapons of mass destruction,
but that this must occur only as the climax of a peace process with all nations
of the region.
The UN conference, held every five years, is to begin with an address by Iranian
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, whose nuclear program and soon-expected
capabilities have thrown the region into turmoil. U.S. Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton will also address the conference on Monday.
“The last NPT conference in 2005 ended in collapse,” the Journal reported, “but
U.S. officials said they have been laying the groundwork for this conference for
nearly a year.”
North Korea and Syria: A Warning in
the Desert
By Gregory L. Schulte
May 3, 2010 Last Updated: May 3, 2010
http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/content/view/34656/
South Korean conservative activists shout slogans with placards showing pictures
of North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il during a rally in Seoul denouncing the
North's launch of missiles on Oct. 13, 2009. (Jung Yeon-Je/AFP/Getty Images)
North Korea has dropped tantalizing hints about rejoining the six-party talks on
its nuclear program, having walked out of the talks in 2009. There is at least
one catch: After its two nuclear tests, Pyongyang wants to rejoin as a nuclear
weapon state and not as a party that had committed to abandoning its nuclear
program.
According to South Korean press, North Korea’s foreign ministry recently wrote
that it is ready to “take part in international efforts on nuclear disarmament
on an equal footing with other nuclear weapons states.” Perhaps miffed at being
excluded from President Barack Obama’s recent nuclear security summit, North
Korea reportedly proposes to “join forces with the international community in
nuclear nonproliferation and safe storage of nuclear materials.”
The recent sinking of a South Korean ship may also sink the six-party talks,
making moot both their purpose and the agenda. If the talks resume nonetheless,
the United States and its diplomatic partners cannot accept North Korea’s desire
to be recognized as a nuclear weapon state. However, the five countries—the
United States, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and China—can and should accept North
Korea’s suggestion that the talks address nonproliferation.
Syrian Nuclear Reactor
North Korea has a penchant to proliferate to earn a living, and a warning about
this proliferation lies buried in Syria’s desert. There, at a remote location
near the Euphrates, North Korean technicians were helping Syria build a covert
nuclear reactor until Israel warplanes bombed it in September 2007.
This reactor, destroyed before it started operations, had no obvious civil
applications. It was built in great secrecy and without the required
notification to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Once destroyed by
Israeli bombs, Syria quickly hid the remains from international scrutiny. Much
of a neighboring hill was bulldozed over the reactor remains, and a new building
erected on top.
North Korean experts were reportedly involved in both construction and coverup.
This gas-cooled, graphite-moderated reactor was strikingly similar to the North
Korean reactor at Yongbyong, the same reactor which produced plutonium for
Pyongyang’s small stockpile of nuclear weapons. Indeed, the external
configuration looked much the same until the shape of the facility in Syria was
disguised with a false roof and walls.
Much of this joint Syrian-North Korean venture—from source of reactor fuel to
funding—remains shrouded in mystery as do the motives. In the case of Syria,
Bashar al-Assad, Syria’s president since 2000, may have been seeking personal
prestige, regional influence, or a reinforced deterrent against Israel. North
Korea, for its part, could have been seeking an offshore backup to its reactor
at Yongbyong. More likely its leaders just wanted cash.
North Korea is an active trafficker in conventional weapons, missiles, and
associated technologies. The Syrian reactor provides a stark warning that
Pyongyang is ready to extend its illicit marketing to nuclear technology.
In October 2006, after North Korea’s first nuclear test, President George W.
Bush warned that North Korea’s transfer of nuclear weapons or material to states
or non-state entities would be considered “a grave threat to the United States,”
and that the nation “would hold North Korea fully accountable for the
consequences of such action.” Yet when the United States became aware of North
Korea’s nuclear cooperation with Syria, there were no consequences other than
Israel’s destruction of the North Korean reactor in Syria.
The Road Ahead
In the context of the six-party talks, Syria’s illicit venture was seen more as
an unwelcome distraction than as a dangerous development. The U.S. chief
negotiator at the time was satisfied with North Korea not denying its
involvement and promising not to proliferate again. And while the IAEA launched
an investigation of the covert reactor—an investigation now stymied by Syria’s
refusal to cooperate—little was said in Vienna about the role of North Korea.
The IAEA director general even removed North Korea from the agency’s agenda.
The world’s nonproliferation regime has been shaken by North Korea’s flagrant
violations and by Iran’s determined pursuit of nuclear weapons capabilities. A
nuclear armed Iran risks sparking a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Middle
East countries that might consider acquiring their own atomic arsenals but
generally lack the necessary bomb-making technologies would look abroad for
equipment, material, and technical assistance. North Korea has shown its
availability.
To prevent further proliferation, North Korea’s activities need to be exposed,
penalized, and disrupted. Three approaches should be pursued with those goals in
mind.
First, proliferation should be moved to the top of the agenda of renewed
six-party talks rather than being relegated to the bottom. Effective
verification—two words detested by the North Koreans—must be a priority.
Promises are not enough, particularly from a regime that has regularly
dissembled about the scope of its nuclear activities. A better understanding of
North Korea’s nuclear activities will not only thwart proliferation but also
better position efforts to limit and ultimately roll back the nation’s nuclear
program.
Second, the United States and like-minded countries should encourage the IAEA to
revitalize its investigation of Syria’s covert reactor. Convincing President
Assad to cooperate will require some adept diplomacy backed by the threat of
IAEA special inspections and, if Assad refuses, subsequent referral to the U.N.
Security Council. It is important to ensure that there are no other undeclared
activities in Syria, to demonstrate that a country cannot stymie the IAEA by
refusing to cooperate, and to protect the integrity of the nuclear
nonproliferation treaty. Getting Damascus to “rat out” Pyongyang would expose
the North Korean network, make future joint ventures easier to detect, and
discourage other countries—whether in the Middle East or Far East—from embarking
on similar projects.
Third, the United States should step up its efforts to interdict North Korea’s
illicit trafficking and encourage China and others to do the same. The
Proliferation Security Initiative, endorsed a year ago by President Obama, needs
to be re-energized and targeted on North Korea. It should renew high-level
diplomatic efforts to secure participation by countries like China, Indonesia,
and Malaysia that lie on the maritime routes used by North Korean shipping. The
initiative should also be expanded to include financial measures of the type
that the U.S. Treasury has used so effectively. Because China is a regular
transshipment point for North Korean vessels, it is essential to bring Beijing
into maritime and financial interdiction efforts.
If the six-party talks remain on hold, the United States should not sit pat. It
should instead convene the parties without North Korea, restate international
expectations that North Korea disarm, and develop a regional approach to detect
and disrupt Pyongyang’s black market in weapons technology. The reactor in the
Syrian desert may lie in rubble, but the world cannot ignore its warning of
North Korea’s readiness to market the most dangerous of technologies.
***Gregory L. Schulte was the U.S. ambassador to the International Atomic Energy
Agency from 2005 to 2009. He previously served three tours in the White House
under two presidents and six years on the NATO International Staff, working on
nuclear policy and the Balkans. He is now a senior fellow at the Center for the
Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction at the National Defense University. This
essay reflects his personal views. With permission from YaleGlobal Online.
Copyright © 2010, Yale Center for the Study of Globalization, Yale University.
U.S.-Israel Ties Remain Intact
By GERALD F. SEIB
A serious accusation, one rarely heard previously, was leveled against the Obama
administration on Monday. The charge: It is too vigorously defending Israel.
Patrick Seale, a prominent British writer on Middle East affairs, published an
article declaring that the administration "is beginning to adopt the
vociferously pro-Israeli, anti-Arab rhetoric of its predecessor—the neocon-dominated
administration of former President George W. Bush." He cited a speech last week
by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in which she "used unusually strong
language" to warn Syria and Iran that "America's commitment to Israel's security
was unshakable."
Hyperbole aside, Mr. Seale's assertion points to an important but little-noted
reality. The very public feuding between the Obama administration and Israel
over the Palestinian peace process has gotten lots of attention, as has the
strained relationship between President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu.
But beyond those headlines, the two countries actually have undertaken a broad
effort at military and strategic cooperation—including supplying Israel with
sophisticated American military equipment—to counter threats from Iran and
Hezbollah fighters armed by Syria.
While there may be public feuding between the Obama administration and Israel
over the peace process, the two countries have also begun a high level of
military and intelligence cooperation in other areas, WSJ's Jerry Seib explains.
.In a week when Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is at the United Nations
to talk at a nuclear nonproliferation conference—an ironic appearance given that
most of the world worries he's seeking to proliferate—the level of security
cooperation between Israel and the U.S. is of more than passing interest.
Israel believes Iran and Syria are creating a here-and-now threat by supplying
Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon and the Gaza Strip with rockets and, possibly,
missiles. But, of course, for Israel the real long-term threat lies in Iran's
potential development of nuclear arms.
In the face of those dangers, the crucial question is simply: What are the U.S.
and Israel doing about them?
Actually, they're cooperating more than most people think. It's important to
note that this cooperation isn't designed to facilitate an Israeli attack on
Iran's nuclear facilities. Actually, it's more the opposite. By making Israel
feel its has, on its own and in conjunction with the U.S., the defenses needed
to either deter or defend against Iran, the Obama administration undoubtedly
hopes to reduce Israel's inclination to launch a pre-emptive strike on Iran,
which the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Adm. Mike Mullen, for one, has openly
fretted might be ineffective and destabilizing.
Beyond that, making it clear that there is a robust American-Israeli security
relationship is one way of preventing miscalculations by the Middle East's more
dangerous characters.
If Iran, Syria, Hezbollah or their extremist friends think U.S.-Israeli
relations are so strained that Washington is backing away from its commitment to
defend Israel, the perception of a newly vulnerable Israel might well invite
attacks that could spin out of control.
That's one reason why both Secretary Clinton and Defense Secretary Robert Gates
have gone out of their way in the last two weeks to publicly restate America's
commitment to Israeli security.
And in fact, officials from both countries say that military and security
cooperation has weathered the political storms of recent months, and in some
areas actually thrived. An advanced American radar system, for example, has been
deployed to Israel's Negev Desert, whence it can help the burgeoning Israeli
missile-defense network.
A large military exercise last fall, code-named Juniper Cobra, was used to
practice linking up that radar with American defense systems. The U.S. is
funding the development of an advanced Israeli long-range, high-altitude system
for knocking out ballistic missiles of the kind that might come from Iran.
Israel is discussing purchasing the new American F-35 fighter jet, now nearing
completion.
At the heart of much of this joint work is the relationship between Mr. Gates
and his counterpart, Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Both men are veteran
political survivors and hard-eyed realists, and their ties seem to have grown
stronger even as political strains between the White House and Prime Minister
Netanyahu have increased. The two defense chiefs met last week and emerged
uttering strikingly similar statements of warning to Israel's enemies.
U.S. officials also say there is a high level of intelligence sharing. One
outgrowth appears to be a significant effort to detect and then stop arms
shipments going from Iran to Syria, and potentially on to Hezbollah fighters in
Lebanon.
Last fall, for example, U.S. forces stopped and inspected a ship called the
Hansa India, which was carrying shipping containers that originated in Iran and
were headed for Syria. The ship later was detained in Malta, where, the American
government asserts, it was found to be carrying tons of bullet casings.
None of this means there aren't real strains between Washington and Tel Aviv
over settlements in the West Bank, or over the value of a robust Arab-Israeli
peace process to the broad American effort to knit Arab states into a coalition
opposing Iran. Nor does strategic cooperation now mean that there won't, at some
point down the road, be a serious rupture between the U.S. and Israel over the
wisdom of a military strike at Iran's nuclear facilities.
It simply means that, as in all matters Middle Eastern, the situation isn't
entirely as it appears on the surface.
Write to Gerald F. Seib at jerry.seib@wsj.com
Amnesty blasts Hezbollah sentences
Published: May 3, 2010
LONDON, May 3 (UPI) -- The trial of 26 members of Hezbollah in an extrajudicial
court in Egypt "leaves a bitter taste in the mouth," Amnesty International
complained. An emergency court last week sentenced members of an alleged
Hezbollah cell to terms ranging from six months to life in prison. Amnesty
International said that the trial in emergency court undermines and bypasses
conventional forms of justice. "These men should be retried by an ordinary court
which gives them a chance of getting a fair trial," the group said. Egypt
enacted a state of emergency following the 1981 assassination of President Anwar
El Sadat. Amnesty International said the special courts operating under the
state of emergency "flout basic guarantees" for a fair trial and permit
extraordinary measures to extract confessions. Cairo said the members of the
alleged Hezbollah cell were charged with plotting attacks on tourist sites in
the Sinai Peninsula and coordinating with militants in the Gaza Strip. Several
of the accused said they confessed to the crimes under torture, however. "This
trial leaves a bitter taste in the mouth," said Amnesty International. Cairo
denies the torture claims. The sentence handed down Wednesday comes just weeks
after authorities extended the state of emergency by another two years.
Al-Shami Criticizes Ban for Linking 1559 with Taef
Naharnet/Foreign Minister Ali al-Shami has said linking U.N. Security Council
resolution 1559 with the Taef accord was "not right" adding that exchange of
ambassadors between Lebanon and Syria was a "sovereign issue." Al-Shami's
comment to reporters on Monday came in response to U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon's
latest report on the implementation of 1559.
"The primary goal of resolution 1559 (2004) is to strengthen the sovereignty,
territorial integrity, unity and political independence of Lebanon under the
sole and exclusive authority of the government of Lebanon throughout the
country, consistent with the Taef agreement of 1989," Ban said in the report.
Border demarcation and the opening of embassies do not fall within the
jurisdiction of the provisions of 1559 about respect for Lebanon's sovereignty
and territorial integrity, he said. "Consequently, the exchange of ambassadors
was a bilateral sovereign issue not called for by resolution 1559," the minister
told reporters. "In addition, the issue of border demarcation between Lebanon
and Syria is not a topic of controversy between them because both countries'
highest authorities have agreed to engage in dialogue over it," he added. When
asked to comment about Ban's dubbing of Hizbullah a militia, al-Shami said:
"This is rejected, particularly that the 6th clause of the cabinet policy
statement stresses the right of Lebanon, its people, army and resistance to
liberate" occupied Lebanese territories.
"The armed component of Hizbullah remains the most significant Lebanese militia
in the country," the report said.
Cover the sun with a screen
Ahmad Jarallah
THE Iranian Embassy in Kuwait has made a futile attempt to refute reports on the
arrest of a spy network working for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, because
this is part of its fundamental diplomatic activities.
The denial does not change anything, since the fact is as glaring as the sun.
There is no need for proof concerning plans of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
leaders on the Arabian Gulf nations, particularly since numerous pieces of
evidence were exposed in the past.
Our newspaper had earlier cautioned - more than once - against “the planted
cells” of the Revolutionary Guard in Kuwait and the entire Gulf nations in
general. In addition, the action of Iran speaks for itself, especially the
situation in North Yemen, since Iran has adopted the destructive Houthi
dissidents who tried to attack Saudi Arabia and disintegrate Yemen. They nearly
turned Yemen to another Somalia by making it a safe haven for al-Qaeda
terrorists.
I think there is no need to reiterate the fact that the Iranian strategy on the
‘import of revolution’, which means importing tension and crisis, has not
changed since 1979. The recent political steps taken by Iran, particularly
instigating unnecessary tension in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and launching
unfounded cheap campaigns, made the country look like an architect of fake
campaigns to hide the truth behind the UAE’s occupied islands. Iran imagines
itself as the lion of the region but it is actually a peacock with ruffled
wings.
Everybody knows that the Iranian trumpets cannot conceal speeches, which do not
conform to Islam and are aimed at actualizing certain objectives. The irrational
noisemaking cannot cover the sun with a screen. Iranian statements have become
historical debris and part of a strategy to instigate conflicts, in a bid to
drag the region towards political and military tension, as well as cover
divergent domestic and foreign crises which have already been exposed.
The recent discovery does not mean the Iranian spy network has just started its
operations in Kuwait, since it is an age-long activity. Iran has never announced
its good intentions towards Kuwait, and the latest discoveries contradict such
claims. It is then pertinent for us to drop mild policies with the cruel
neighbor, while the other GCC nations should expose consistent Iranian brutality
and join the international community in taking a decisive step in this regard.
GCC nations should not fold their arms amid talks on the Iranian nuclear file,
since it might escalate tension between the world powers and Iran at the expense
of the region. Iran has no right to violate regional security regulations. It
should not destabilize our security up to the extent of ‘celebrating’ explosions
and ammunitions, similar to what happened in the 1980s.
Kuwait has never and will never become a backyard garden for instigating tension
between a regional state and the international community. The region cannot
afford any type of frivolous adventures by the Iranian regime under the current
political and economic circumstances.
Iran has been playing with the security of Arab nations under the guise of
liberating Al-Quds which has opened the door for its destructive groups.
However, Iran has not exerted any effort to rescue Al-Quds and the entire
Palestine from Israeli aggression. Has the Iranian compass changed its direction
as it now finds Al-Quds, which it has been claiming to liberate for almost three
decades, in Kuwait, Abu Dhabi or Manama? Iran continues to spill the blood of
Muslims and contribute to the destruction of Muslim and Arab nations.
It is extremely important to curb excesses of the Iranian spies and
Revolutionary Guards, not only to preserve regional security but also to protect
Iranian citizens from the consequences of blind destruction and extreme cruelty
that Iran carries out everywhere. Are we going to fold our arms against actions
of this dragon, which has never satisfied its craving for blood and destruction?
Email: ahmed@aljarallah.com
We will not tolerate expats fighting on Kuwait’s soil
Need to respect and abide by the laws
‘Nine individuals were seriously injured, with two of them admitted to the
Intensive Care Unit of Mubarak Hospital, during clashes among over 150 Arab
nationals from the Salmiya and Hawalli zones. The mob attacked each other with
knives and other sharp weapons, inside a famous commercial complex in Salmiya.”
(Arab Times May 1, 2010).
This is not the first time that reckless “foreign” individuals commit such
anti-social behavior as knives fights. What is reckless and in fact disturbing
is that those Arab nationals’ behavior will definitely have greater
consequences. Being a foreigner in any country carries with it more obligations
to respect and abide by the laws of the host country.
Therefore, it is logical to assume that a foreign individual will put
himself/herself in a precarious and vulnerable position if they intentionally
break the laws of their host country. In the case of the 150 fighting Arab
nationals, it is quite baffling how such people harm through their violent
behavior the lives of their loved ones and families. The outcome of such
criminal behavior is going to be either being sent to jail or deported or both!
Any law-abiding, hardworking expat realizes that following the rules and
regulations, maintaining social peace will usually guarantee, for all,
harmonious and prosperous living in Kuwait. Therefore, the violent actions of
those Arab nationals will subject them and their families’ too under uncertain
conditions. In other words, we continue to live in the Middle East where
negative generalizations, stereotyping are part of the general psyche. Moreover,
in addition to tainting the image of their countries, expats who involve in
fights will get deported.
They will lose the chance of ever enjoying the many blessings of Kuwait!
It is a bit ironic that someone who works and lives in Kuwait would contribute
negatively in our environment. We know of course that we are not perfect, yet we
also know that Kuwait offers its expats numerous opportunities for greater
financial independence and prosperity. Those knives and sharp weapons-fighting
Arab nationals remind one of what usually happen when one loses their moral
compass. The outcome of any reckless behavior will always bring with it negative
outcomes. Furthermore, we as Kuwaitis already have enough on our hands to
tolerate foreigners fighting each other on our national soil !
khaledaljenfawi@yahoo.com
Mitchell Starts Regional Trip to Push New Peace Talks
Naharnet/U.S. Middle East envoy George Mitchell was in Israel on Tuesday at the
start of his latest regional trip aimed at pushing new peace talks between the
Israelis and Palestinians
Mitchell was due to hold consultations with his team on Tuesday ahead of planned
talks with Israeli officials on Wednesday, a U.S. embassy spokesman said.
He is expected to hold talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and,
on Friday, with Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas.
Mitchell hopes to convince the two sides to begin indirect talks, after direct
negotiations were halted in December 2008 when Israel launched a devastating
22-day military offensive in Gaza.
The Palestinians had reluctantly agreed to take parts in the talks in March but
reversed their decision after Israel announced plans to build 1,600 homes for
settlers in Arab east Jerusalem, also infuriating the U.S. administration which
had sent Vice President Joe Biden to promote the negotiations.
U.S. President Barack Obama on Monday stressed to Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu the importance of holding "substantive" peace talks as soon
as possible.
He made the remarks in a phone call to the Israeli premier who on Monday held
talks with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak in the Egyptian Red Sea resort of
Sharm el-Sheikh.(AFP)
3 Electoral Lists, FPM Solo Compete for Zahle Municipal Elections
Naharnet/Three electoral lists will compete for seats in Zahle municipality. The
Free Patriotic Movement, however, has decided to run solo. Zahle, in east
Lebanon's Bekaa Valley, is the key election political battleground in the May 9
polls. The third list, which was recently formed, is headed by retired army
officer Walid Shweiri. The other lists competing for these elections are one
supported by ex-MP Elias Skaff and another headed by incumbent Zahle municipal
head Asaad Zogheib and backed by the majority March 14 forces. Meanwhile, Michel
Aoun's FPM supported only one candidate for the Zahle elections without engaging
in any coalition.
The myth of the Arab triangle
Now Lebanon/Tony Badran, May 4, 2010
The last couple of weeks have shed the spotlight again on the tensions between
Egypt and the regional Iranian axis, which includes Syria. The tensions surged
with the conviction of Hezbollah cell members by the Egyptian judiciary, as well
as with Cairo’s friction with Hamas and the persistence of its strained
relations with Syria. Despite talk of reconciliation between Cairo and Damascus,
the gap dividing the two states remains wide, as they have conflicting
objectives and opposing strategic alignments.
The possibility of Egyptian-Syrian reconciliation had received ample airtime
ahead of the Arab Summit in late March, but it amounted to very little. During
the summit, the political differences dividing the two states were on display,
pitting Egypt and Syria in opposing camps on key issues such as Palestinian
politics, the resumption of negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians,
its stand on “resistance,” and, in general, Syria’s strategic position within
the Iranian camp.
In the end, the Egyptians and Syrians only agreed to stop media campaigns
against each other, which had reached a fevered pitch. It was speculated that
the freeze in media wars was to pave the way for Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad to visit his Egyptian counterpart, Hosni Mubarak, who had undergone
surgery.
A host of Arab papers kept talking up the prospect of such a visit throughout
last month. The Kuwaiti paper Ad-Dar claimed that the visit was due in
mid-April. It was soon followed by similar reports in a number of Kuwaiti
outlets, as well as in the London-based Al-Quds Al-Arabi and the Lebanese Al-Liwaa,
which announced everything from a visit within a “few hours,” to a readjusted
“in the next two days,” all the way to a more vague “very soon.”
Al-Quds al-Arabi’s widely-recycled April 21 report claimed that Assad’s visit
would be to participate in a tripartite summit along with Saudi Arabia’s King
Abdullah. Perhaps reflecting a Saudi push in that direction, one unnamed Saudi
source, quoted in a separate report, went as far as to declare that the summit
would signal the return of the so-called “Arab triangle” of Egypt, Saudi Arabia
and Syria. The men were also reportedly set to discuss the growing tensions with
Israel as a result of the crisis of the Scud missiles, which Syria is said to
have smuggled to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Cold water was quickly poured over this story, as both the Egyptians and the
Syrians denied it. A couple of days later, during a trip to Lebanon, Egyptian
Foreign Minister Ahmad Abu al-Gheit diplomatically told reporters that Assad’s
visit, while welcome, “has not yet been scheduled.” Meanwhile, Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with President Mubarak yesterday.
Moreover, the Saudi monarch has also yet to pay a visit to Egypt. Instead, King
Abdullah dispatched a letter to Mubarak with Saudi Foreign Minister Saud al-Faysal,
who traveled to Cairo to participate in the meetings of the Arab League’s Peace
Initiative Follow-up Committee.
Evidently, there was no change in the political status quo to warrant even a
pro-forma photo op. There were several sources for the continued strain, not
least being the Scud story, and they quickly bubbled to the surface.
For instance, one of Bashar al-Assad’s closest Lebanese associates, former
Minister Michel Samaha, unleashed a scathing diatribe on Al-Manar TV against
Egypt immediately following Abu al-Gheit’s visit to Beirut. Samaha rehashed all
the issues dividing Syria and Egypt (specifically Cairo’s position on Hezbollah
and Hamas), strongly criticizing the Egyptians and accusing them of seeking to
sow dissent among the Lebanese and the Palestinians, to sabotage the
Syrian-Saudi rapprochement and to lend Arab cover for an Israeli attack on
Lebanon. He added, “Egypt is still holding on to its position, and we [sic] to
ours.”
Indeed, Hamas officials have also come out criticizing Egypt’s rigidity over its
proposed solution for the inter-Palestinian conflict. Hamas, backed by Syria and
Iran, wants to introduce amendments (for example, on the issue of “resistance”)
to the Egyptian document, while Egypt refuses any change. Hamas and its sponsors
in Tehran and Damascus have also railed against Egypt’s increasingly tight
border measures with Gaza. Most recently, Hamas accused Egypt of gassing
smuggling tunnels from Gaza.
Then came the Egyptian judiciary’s conviction of members of the Hezbollah cell
caught operating in Egypt, which revived tensions with the Party of God,
including public condemnation by the party’s secretary general and a vow to work
to set free the incarcerated cell members. And finally, at the Follow-up
Committee’s meeting last week, Syria repeated its objection to granting Arab
cover for renewed talks between the Palestinians and Israel, and its ambassador
to the Arab League strongly attacked the committee’s resolution.
Therefore, the issues dividing Egypt and Syria remain unresolved, regardless of
whether Assad ends up visiting Cairo or not. These are strategic differences
highlighting how, in the regional cold war between Iran and pro-American Arab
states, Egypt and Syria are entrenched in opposing camps. This reality exposes
the fallacy of the theory of the “Arab triangle” – a variant of the “returning
Syria to the Arab fold” argument.
The Jordanian analyst Saleh al-Qallab made this keen observation in his As-Sharq
al-Awsat column last Thursday. The calls for reviving the “Arab triangle” are
badly misplaced, he wrote. In fact, this “triangle” never really existed, he
added. Contrary to the common wisdom about Syria’s supposed “marriage of
convenience” with Iran, in reality, it was the so-called “Arab triangle” that
was the transient, ad hoc arrangement that faded, whereas Syria’s alliance with
Iran endured for three decades. Egypt sees Syrian policies as subverting Cairo’s
regional clout, which Damascus holds as its own entitlement. That is partly why,
as Qallab noted, the idea of an "Arab triangle" was always unsustainable.
It is Egypt’s ongoing conflict with Iran’s regional axis that lies at the heart
of the divide, all visits of protocol and wishful thinking about a Syrian
“strategic realignment” notwithstanding.
**Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies