LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
January 16/10

Bible Of the Day
14/1-12: "At that time, Herod the tetrarch heard the report concerning Jesus, 14:2 and said to his servants, “This is John the Baptizer. He is risen from the dead. That is why these powers work in him.” 14:3 For Herod had laid hold of John, and bound him, and put him in prison for the sake of Herodias, his brother Philip’s wife. 14:4 For John said to him, “It is not lawful for you to have her.” 14:5 When he would have put him to death, he feared the multitude, because they counted him as a prophet. 14:6 But when Herod’s birthday came, the daughter of Herodias danced among them and pleased Herod. 14:7 Whereupon he promised with an oath to give her whatever she should ask. 14:8 She, being prompted by her mother, said, “Give me here on a platter the head of John the Baptizer.” 14:9 The king was grieved, but for the sake of his oaths, and of those who sat at the table with him, he commanded it to be given, 14:10 and he sent and beheaded John in the prison. 14:11 His head was brought on a platter, and given to the young lady: and she brought it to her mother. 14:12 His disciples came, and took the body, and buried it; and they went and told Jesus. 14:13 Now when Jesus heard this, he withdrew from there in a boat, to a deserted place apart. When the multitudes heard it, they followed him on foot from the cities"

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
Hezbollah’s vision thing/By: Michael Young/January 01/10
Lebanon's rivals make up/Al-Ahram Weekly/January 15/10
Can ElBaradei revivify Egypt?/The Daily Star/January 15/10
Ideas for a Christian Lebanese revival/By Rayyan al-Shawaf/January 15/10

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for January 15/10
Lebanese Ambassador to Venezuela: No information on Lebanese nationals in Haiti/Now Lebanon
Hezbollah chief Nasrallah speaks during the Arab and International Forum to Support the Resistance/Now Lebanon
Zahra: Lebanese-Syrian rapprochement will not affect Cedars Revolution principles/Now Lebanon
Mubarak offended by phone call between Ahmadinejad, Assad/Now Lebanon
Jones in Beirut for U.S.-Lebanese Cooperation on Combating Terror/Naharnet
Police In Lebanon Arrests Gang for Kidnapping 2 Young Men/Naharnet
Hariri's Paris Visit: New Agreements and Consolidation of French Support/Naharnet
Report: Israel reassures Lebanon before IDF exercises/Ynetnews
Abul Geith: Egypt Interested in Dealing Equally with Lebanon, Neighboring Countries/Naharnet
2 Killed, 7 Injured in Separate Traffic Accidents
/Naharnet
Aoun Asks Sison about Reason for Not Visiting Rabiyeh
/Naharnet
Jumblat: Segment of Druze Still Reluctant to Accept my Policy Change toward Syria
/Naharnet
March 14 Christians Fear Berri's Proposal Bid to Create 'Balance of Terror'
/Naharnet
Egypt Reportedly toward Normalization with Syria, Boycott of Hizbullah to Continue
/Naharnet
Meshaal: Arms Outside Refugee Camps Need Discussion
/Naharnet
Shaaban: Saudi-Syrian Relation Reflects Positively on Lebanon
/Naharnet
Berri: Current Period 'the Finest Gleaming Point' in Years
/Naharnet
Sfeir voices support for reinstating compulsory military service/Daily Star
Accused spy for Israel denies role in Islamic Jihad killings/Daily Star
Hariri: Consensus needed before abolishing sectarianism/Daily Star
Hariri, Spanish envoy discuss affairs/Daily Star
Hassan rules out privatization this year/Daily Star
Women's Council hits out at 'immoral' TV shows/Daily Star
Fatah al-Islam militants sentenced/Daily Star
No help for those battling addiction in Lebanon/Daily Star
Former general Sayyed files for slander/Daily Star
AUB mourns great humanitarian/Daily Star
Police arrest serial rental car thief/Daily Star
Counterfeiters caught by army/Daily Star
Events to mark centennial of  Ar-Rihaniyyaat/Daily Star
Activist warns climate change will take heavy toll on Lebanon/Daily Star

Police Arrest Gang for Kidnapping 2 Young Men
/Naharnet/Police have arrested a four-member ring that kidnapped two young men in Beirut earlier this week and held them captive for several hours before releasing them on ransom.
A security source told An-Nahar daily that a police patrol intercepted on Thursday a BMW jeep roaming Beirut's Sin el-Fil district and arrested the four men inside.
Three guns were found in the jeep. The source said that the four suspects were residents of Beirut's southern suburbs. He said investigation showed that the four men were part of a gang of burglars that is involved in cases of kidnapping and steeling vehicles. Zahi Farah and Robert Jumhouri were kidnapped at 2:30am Tuesday in Beirut's Badaro neighborhood. They were released two-and-a-half hours later after their parents paid the requested ransom. Farah and Jumhouri were on their way home when a BMW car carrying 4 gunmen intercepted them in Badaro and forced them to withdraw money from an ATM machine. Shortly afterwards, the kidnappers called the parents of the hostages, demanding $10,000 ransom. They threatened to kill Zahi and Robert if their demand was not met. Negotiations resulted in an agreement that the ransom be delivered to the kidnappers at 5:00 am in the Beirut suburb of Tayyouneh. Zahi and Robert were released after their fathers paid the ransom. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 07:48

Jones in Beirut for U.S.-Lebanese Cooperation on Combating Terror

Naharnet/U.S. National Security Advisor James Jones arrived in Beirut on Friday for talks with top Lebanese officials mainly on strategic cooperation between the two countries on ways to eradicate terrorism in Lebanon and the region. Jones held talks with President Michel Suleiman upon arrival to Beirut. The U.S. official later met with Speaker Nabih Berri and Premier Saad Hariri According to Voice of Lebanon radio, Suleiman brought up the issues of tight security screenings recently introduced by the U.S. against travelers from Lebanon and a measure calling on U.S. President Barack Obama to monitor Arab news stations that were viewed as inciting violence against the United States, including Hizbullah's al-Manar TV.
Suleiman also discussed with Jones Israeli violations of U.N. Security Council resolution 1701 and the situation in the Middle East. The talks between the two sides will most probably include U.S. military assistance to Lebanon, An Nahar daily had said. Al-Liwaa daily quoted diplomatic sources as saying that the meetings between top Lebanese officials and Jones will be an extension of Suleiman's latest visit to Washington where he stressed on the necessity of providing military assistance to Lebanon, including high-tech weaponry enabling it to combat terrorism and spreading its sovereignty on all Lebanese territories. The sources distinguished between the missions of Jones and U.S. special Middle East envoy George Mitchell. They said the National Security Advisor kicked off his trip to the region with a visit to Riyadh that also took him to the Palestinian territories and Israel. Jones carries with him U.S. views on ways to deal with security problems and terrorism in the Middle East, the sources added. Mitchell, on the other hand, is working on bringing the Palestinians and Syrians on one hand and the Israelis on the other to the negotiating table in two separate peace tracks. The envoy arrives in Beirut on Monday. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 09:20

Hariri's Paris Visit: New Agreements and Consolidation of French Support

Naharnet/Premier Saad Hariri's visit to Paris next week is expected to witness consolidation of French support for Lebanon and the already strong relations between the two countries, An Nahar daily reported Friday. Hariri travels to Paris next Wednesday and is scheduled to meet with President Nicolas Sarkozy on Friday. The talks will include a lunch banquet thrown in the Lebanese premier's honor at the Elysee palace.  French Prime Minister Francois Fillon will also host Hariri for lunch on Thursday. Hariri will kick off his two-day visit with talks with French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner and Parliament Speaker Bernard Accoyer. French Senate President Gerard Larcher will later throw a dinner banquet in Hariri's honor.
An Nahar said that the premier's trip to Paris will be his first to a Western country since he became premier last year. Media reports said Hariri will discuss with French officials Lebanese-Syrian ties, border demarcation, armed Palestinian bases outside refugee camps and the issue of missing Lebanese. Hariri is also expected to discuss with his French counterpart the reforms that the Lebanese government is planning to undertake. The economic talks will focus on the Paris 3 conference and the French loan that Sarkozy had promised. An Nahar said the two sides will sign security, justice and scientific research agreements during Hariri's visit. A delegation from the interior, justice, foreign and social affairs ministries will accompany the premier to Paris. Al-Hayat, however, quoted sources as saying that Hariri's visit to the French capital was of high significance "even if new (economic) agreements wouldn't be signed" between the two sides. Furthermore, An Nahar quoted diplomatic sources as saying that France wants to inquire about Hariri's point of view on the national dialogue and the defense strategy.
The sources said that neither Israel nor Hizbullah have an interest in starting a new confrontation in southern Lebanon. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 08:31

Abul Geith: Egypt Interested in Dealing Equally with Lebanon, Neighboring Countries

Naharnet/Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul Geith stressed that Egypt is interested in dealing equally with Lebanon and its neighboring countries. "Egypt pays close attention to Lebanon … and so do Syria and Saudi Arabia," Abul Geith said in remarks published Friday by pan-Arab Asharq al-Awsat. Not only that, but Syria and Saudi pay a high dose of intense attention to Lebanon, Abul Geith pointed. At the same time, Abul Geith said, Egypt is also interested in stability among the various factions in Lebanon "to ward off any shakes."
Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 09:25

2 Killed, 7 Injured in Separate Traffic Accidents

Naharnet/One person was killed and four others were injured on Friday when a truck rammed into a car, carrying a mother and her three children, and an army vehicle on the Sidon-Beirut highway, the National News Agency reported. NNA did not identify the victims of the accident which took place in Jiyeh. It said that the truck driver sped away after the crash. He had been on the highway one hour prior to the 9:00 am schedule set for trucks, according to NNA. Also Friday, One person was killed and two people were injured when a truck rammed into several vehicles parked at Jwaya main square near Tyre. Mohammed Saleh, 29, from Jwaya was killed and Ismail Laqis and Ali Dheini were hospitalized. Several vehicles were also damaged from the accident, according to NNA. In another incident, Mohammed Mounir Berjawi was injured when a BMW hit him in Khalde. The driver, Mohammed Khaled al-Khatib was taken into police custody. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 11:53

Aoun Asks Sison about Reason for Not Visiting Rabiyeh

Naharnet/Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun has asked U.S. ambassador Michele Sison why she had not visited him in over a year, the daily As-Safir said Friday.
Sison, who visited Aoun on Thursday, gave "unconvincing reasons," according to As-Safir. She reportedly told Aoun that she chose to stay away "during the period of the political crisis" and decided to wait until after the elections, government formation and stabilization of the situation. Talks between Aoun and Sison focused on issues like reform, economy, social and administrative that are mostly concerned with the work of the ministries that are run by FPM ministers as well as others from the Opposition, particularity since the U.S. is working on developing an assistance program for the new year. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 13:00

Women's Council hits out at 'immoral' TV shows
/Daily Star staff/Friday, January 15, 2010
BEIRUT: Racy and objectionable content on local television stations continued to draw fire on Thursday, even after government authorities promised to see outlets tone things down. The Lebanese Women’s Council strongly condemned certain television shows it deemed “of a low media, cultural and moral level.”
The council was referring to comedy shows that depended on “low levels of entertainment and immoral jokes.” It said such shows were a bad influence on Lebanese society, particularly on young people. In a statement, the group also blamed the National Audiovisual Media Council [NAMC], the Information Ministry’s Censorship Committee and local television stations for the problem. The council urged government censorship bodies to step in and ensure that audiovisual media and internet websites halt the objectionable programs and content.
For its part, the International Catholic Press Union in Lebanon also condemned the phenomenon of supposedly immoral programming, singling out OTV’s weekly program “LOL” for censure. On Monday, the NAMC held an emergency session on “LOL” and other programs, after receiving a number of complaints about the content of jokes told on the show and other programs. The union thanked the NAMC for its efforts to end the commotion, but said a wide-ranging revision of the relevant legislation was required. It said the judiciary remained the proper authority for deciding whether certain programs were violating the law. The union said that religious figures should not be outside the scope of permitted criticism, but added that freedom of opinion and expression didn’t permit the practice of insulting others. – The Daily Star

Jumblat: Segment of Druze Still Reluctant to Accept my Policy Change toward Syria

Naharnet/Druze leader Walid Jumblat has acknowledged that a segment of the Druze community was still unwilling to accept his shift in policy made last summer toward Syria.
"A segment of Druze is still reluctant to accept the Aug. 2, 2009 policy shift of their leader from enmity to amity," Jumblat said in remarks published Friday by Al-Akhbar newspaper.
"They still detest the idea and need to be tamed," he added. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 10:05

March 14 Christians Fear Berri's Proposal Bid to Create 'Balance of Terror'

Naharnet/Christian leaders from the majority March 14 coalition have expressed fear that a proposal by Speaker Nabih Berri to abolish political sectarianism was a bid to create a "balance of terror." A source from March 14 told the daily Al-Liwaa in remarks published Friday that Christian leaders within the alliance do not rule out the possibility that Berri's offer was the result of an agreement worked out beforehand with Hizbullah "who has exclusive control over Shiite decisions."He said March 14 Christians fear that Berri's proposal is a "scarecrow" to be used as a bargain chip for the issue of resistance arms or create a "balance of terror" with that team. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 09:10

Egypt Reportedly toward Normalization with Syria, Boycott of Hizbullah to Continue

Naharnet/Egypt was reportedly no longer moving according to priorities of the outside world or that of the Arab-Israeli conflict. Al-Akhbar newspaper, citing Arab diplomatic sources who recently visited Cairo, said Friday that Egypt was no longer "ancient Egypt, where the dreams of Pan-Arabism and unity existed." It said the Egyptian system believes that those "dreams have done harm more than good," and, as a result, Egypt has been acting only according to its own interests and national security. The diplomatic sources said discussion of the role of Syria in Palestine opens the door to negotiations over the role of Syrian-Egyptian ties, adding that Cairo is likely to be moving toward "normalization" with Damascus. On Lebanon, the sources said Egypt "is not an enemy of Hizbullah." "Egypt only moved when its national security was threatened," one diplomatic source told Al-Akhbar, adding that Egypt has boycotted Hizbullah during the war on Gaza when Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah called for uprising against the Egyptian government. Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 08:31

Meshaal: Arms Outside Refugee Camps Need Discussion

Naharnet/Hamas leader Khaled Meshaal said Friday that the issue of his movement's arms should be discussed and stressed there in authority above the authority of state.
Following talks with Premier Saad Hariri, Meshaal said he discussed with the PM the civil rights of Palestinians in Lebanon and stressed the necessity of reaching an understanding on this issue. Meshaal arrived in Beirut on Friday for talks with top Lebanese officials that will mainly center on the situation in Lebanon and Gaza and Palestinian refugees, al-Liwaa daily reported.
The newspaper said Meshaal will also meet with Palestinian officials in Lebanon, President Michel Suleiman and Speaker Nabih Berri. Al-Liwaa expected the visit to launch dialogue on latest developments in the region, the Palestinian cause, the situation of Palestinians in Lebanon and armed bases outside refugee camps. Meshaal lives in exile in Damascus.
 Beirut, 15 Jan 10, 09:50

Shaaban: Saudi-Syrian Relation Reflects Positively on Lebanon

Naharnet/Syrian President Bashar Assad's political and media advisor Buthaina Shaaban said that "the positive Saudi-Syrian relations lead to developing the relation with Lebanon in a positive manner," adding that "the Riyadh summit -- between Saudi King Abdullah and (Syrian President Bashar) Assad – contributes in serving the causes and interests of the Arab peoples." In an interview with Al-Manar TV network Thursday, Shaaban stressed that "the Syrian-Lebanese relations are fine," and that both "the Syrian and the Saudi sides expressed their relief over the situation in Lebanon." "Syria and Saudi Arabia give great emphasis to the Palestinian situation, and are not seeking private roles, but seeking to serve the Palestinian people and through it the Arab community," added Shaaban. Answering a question about the situations in the region, Shaaban said: "I believe that all parties, including Iran, stand against sectarian fighting in the region." Beirut, 14 Jan 10, 19:25

Berri: Current Period 'the Finest Gleaming Point' in Years
Naharnet/Speaker Nabih Berri on Thursday said that "the period we are living today is the finest gleaming point we have reached in many years," calling to "seize it in order to enhance harmony and consensus among the Lebanese." During his meeting with a delegation from the consular corps in Lebanon, Berri hailed national unity and its role in facing the Israeli aggression in 2006, reiterating that "the best mean of resisting the enemy is internal national unity." "There is a chance for consensus on many things, and from here I called for the formation of the National Commission for the Abolition of Political Sectarianism, which is not a new call because I've started it since 1992. It is not an option, but an act of abiding by the Constitution and its 95th article," added Berri. "Lebanon's eighteen sects have now been tripled, because regretfully, instead of the parties containing the sects, the sects managed to contain the parties."
Beirut, 14 Jan 10, 19:04

Former general Sayyed files for slander

Daily Star staff/Friday, January 15, 2010
BEIRUT: Former General Jamil Sayyed filed on Thursday three lawsuits against former MPs Mustafa Alloush and Samir Franjieh for slander and defamation. Sayyed filed two separate lawsuits against Alloush and one against Franjieh to the Publications Court and demanded an indemnity of LL3 million for each case. He claimed that during a television interview, the defendants accused Sayyed, the former head of Surete General, of “corrupt” practices in the Rafik Hariri assassination case as well as in matters related to Parliament and other state institutions. The court is scheduled to look into these cases on March 3. – The Daily Star

Can ElBaradei revivify Egypt?

By The Daily Star/Friday, January 15, 2010
Editorial
Sometime next month Mohamed ElBaradei, the 2005 Nobel Peace Prize laureate who stepped down last year as head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, is expected to return home to his native Egypt, and many there and elsewhere have been following the situation closely to see whether ElBaradei will take the reins of the opposition to President Hosni Mubarak.
However, we do not view the potential entrance of ElBaradei into the darkness of Egyptian politics merely as the shortest path to ousting the desiccated Mubarak. The 81-year-old Mubarak will sooner rather than later see his rule of the Arab world’s most-populous nation come to an end. To his credit, there was a time, back near the beginning of his reign – now in its 31st year – when Mubarak actually invigorated the political scene in Cairo.
And this is precisely where ElBaradei would need to begin work. What ElBaradei can bring to Egypt goes beyond becoming a force in the country’s frequently dodgy elections – he would need to revivify the political process in the country. The Nobel winner – if he enters the fray – should use his not inconsiderable competence and standing to reanimate political life in Egypt.
This nation of nearly 80 million inhabitants is in dire need of expanding its economy, igniting its industrial sector, bringing the first spark of innovation and with all that creating opportunities to work for the masses suffering from chronic unemployment.
ElBaradei has demonstrated that he knows the best avenue to start this daunting task – in an open letter he wrote in response to the request of youthful opposition members that he run for the presidency, ElBaradei said he would enter politics only if elections were free, held under the eye of an independent judiciary and accompanied by changes to the country’s Constitution to open the political process.
More than a new president, what Egypt needs is the activation of its laws – their adaptation to a free political process and the enforcement of their stipulations, supervised by a functional, transparent and untrammeled judiciary. In its present, stagnant state, Egypt – just as far too many other Arab nations – does not allow its citizens to have responsibility. Real democracy, which is the hope that many Egyptians are seeing embodied in the promise of ElBaradei, redistributes power to the people by allowing them to take responsibility for public life.
We are not speaking not only of the rights of people to participate, but also their responsibility under the law – a law that, when properly enforced, will demand that those acting in the political sphere be held accountable for their actions.

Ideas for a Christian Lebanese revival

By Rayyan al-Shawaf /Commentary by
Friday, January 15, 2010
Among the most pressing political issues in Lebanon today is the uncertain position of the Christians, in a region in which the fortunes of the community are subject to all manner of vicissitudes. Increasingly, it is advisable to think of long-term, comprehensive solutions to the problem of Christian insecurity in both Lebanon and the Middle East. One solution is for Lebanon to become a country for its long-term residents, its expatriates, and those Christians of the region who are persecuted. Indeed, were Lebanon to absorb Christian refugees from neighboring countries and grant them citizenship, it could fulfill its historical role as a haven for persecuted Christians, shore up Christian numbers, and allow the naturalization of a good number of the long-term resident, mostly Muslim, Palestinian refugees in the country, for whom no real alternative future exists, despite official claims to the contrary.
For centuries before its creation as a modern state, Lebanon served as a refuge for maltreated Christian and Muslim minorities. Modern Lebanon was created in 1920 for the specific purpose of ensuring a Christian majority (and a Maronite plurality), although the addition of predominantly Muslim regions to overwhelmingly Christian Mount Lebanon (deemed necessary for the economic viability of the proposed country) admittedly complicated this design. In the decades immediately following its creation, Lebanon was particularly attentive to the plight of oppressed Christians – naturalizing Armenian refugees, most Palestinian Christian refugees, and other Christians from Iraq, Syria and even Egypt.
Yet Christians in Lebanon have become a minority. Perhaps the most dependable source of information in this regard is a survey of Lebanon’s voter rolls published in Al-Nahar by the researcher Joseph Doueihy in 2005, which found registered Muslim voters to be 59.2 percent, and their Christian counterparts to be 40.8 percent. Given the higher Muslim birthrate, a general population census would likely show an even higher percentage of Muslims; and the gap will probably continue to widen. Yet the main institutions governing the country, above all Parliament, continue to operate on the basis of a Taif-mandated 50-50 split. This situation of disproportionate Christian representation is untenable.
The solution need not be the scrapping of the 50-50 formula, but rather reinforcing its justification by re-emphasizing Lebanon’s role as a sanctuary for Christians. Crucially, the Christians deemed eligible for Lebanese citizenship must be political refugees, not economic migrants. Eligibility should therefore be determined on a country-by-country basis.
Every so often, the (sometimes discriminatory) treatment of Christians in this or that Arab or Muslim country degenerates into persecution. Such a scenario occurred in Iraq following the toppling of Saddam Hussein and the rise of Islamic extremism there. The result has been terrorism, mass exodus, and the halving of the country’s Christian community. Unlike many Muslims who have fled for Jordan, Syria and Lebanon, Christians do not want to return. Since they cannot stay indefinitely in their host countries, they will end up emigrating to the West. Nobody of sound mind would suggest that the historical continuity of the Christian community of Iraq should take precedence over saving its persecuted members, so it is impossible to begrudge these refugees their desire to move to the West.
Yet there is a way to allow these Christians to remain in their ancestral region – if not their home country – and to save their lives. Were Lebanon to absorb those interested in making a future for themselves, both objectives would be achieved. Simultaneously, Lebanon could increase the number of Lebanese Christians so that, over time, they would come close to representing 50 percent of the population (allowing the first official census since 1932 to be conducted), thereby justifying the Taif ratio.
This is where the Palestinians enter the picture. When a final-status agreement is reached between Israelis and Palestinians, many Palestinian refugees in Lebanon are likely to leave for a Palestinian state, Western countries, or Israel. Yet it is impossible to imagine that Lebanon will not be asked to naturalize a substantial share of the 250,000 to 400,000 refugees living in the country, something the state has hitherto rejected on the grounds that it would upset the country’s sectarian balance. Indeed, it is difficult to imagine that with Christians making up 41 percent of the population or lower, some 100,000 Palestinian Muslims (an arbitrary but probably not unrealistic figure) will be given Lebanese citizenship.
Thus, re-emphasizing Lebanon’s role as a refuge for persecuted Christians will simultaneously make it easier to naturalize long-resident Palestinian Muslims who have been denied, in many ways unfairly, Lebanese citizenship. Other long-resident Muslims, such as many Lebanese Kurds and some Bedouin, whose status has been “under consideration” for decades, would also finally receive their due. So long as more Christians than Muslims are naturalized, the process will gradually redress the demographic imbalance and justify retention of the 50-50 formula.
Leaving aside the unlikely prospect that political deconfessionalization will be introduced, this proposal is the best solution for the Lebanese Christians’ fear of marginalization as well as the unhappy saga of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon. It is important to recall that the 50-50 formula is itself a modification of an earlier 6:5 ratio of Christians to Muslims, which Taif changed due to shifting demographics. If shifting demographics prompted a change in the old system, further demographic shifts may well bring about a change in the current formula.
Ultimately, it is difficult to object to a proposal that seeks to ground the 50-50 formula in reality, unless one objects to it in the first place, which is rare in Lebanese politics. If the notion of Lebanon as a country for its long-term residents, its expatriates, and persecuted Christians is not adopted, it is difficult to imagine that the 50-50 formula will be retained, that persecuted Christians, whether in Iraq today or elsewhere tomorrow, will be offered another option for a secure future in the region, or that the condition of Palestinians in Lebanon will be significantly ameliorated.
**Rayyan al-Shawaf is a freelance writer and reviewer based in Beirut. He wrote this commentary for THE DAILY STAR.

By the way, the Hariri tribunal is dying
By Michael Young
Commentary by
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Only days after it was announced that the chief investigator, Neguib “Nick” Kaldas, would soon leave the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, we now hear that the registrar, David Tolbert, is doing the same. The next tribunal statement about a departure should perhaps come with a laughing track.
For four years between 2005 and 2009 the March 14 majority told the Lebanese people that its priority was the “truth” about who had killed Rafik Hariri and all those afterward. The opposition sought to block the Hariri tribunal, and nearly carried Lebanon into a civil war as a consequence. And yet here we are, near the fifth anniversary of the former prime minister’s assassination, with myriad (numerous) signs that the investigation and tribunal process is in crisis, and all we are hearing is silence from those once the loudest champions of justice, not least the victims’ families.
It’s obvious that the tribunal will not produce an accusation in the foreseeable future. It is equally obvious that the prosecutor, Daniel Bellemare, is not someone who inspires much confidence, and that the alleged deterrence power of the Hariri investigation has evaporated completely. This dismal (depressing) evolution merits recapitulation.
The first major sign that something was amiss (wrong) was the decision of the second UN commissioner, Serge Brammertz, to reopen the Hariri crime scene in 2006. Although three reports had indicated that the former prime minister was killed by an above-ground explosion, Brammertz wasted time and resources to ultimately reach the same conclusion.
The episode indicated one of two things: either that the commissioner consciously sought to delay progress, perhaps because he knew that UN headquarters did not want a serious inquiry; or that Brammertz was inexperienced. The second possibility is alarming in itself, but the first is hardly far-fetched. Recall that the UN secretary general, Kofi Annan, told the first UN commissioner, Detlev Mehlis, that “he did not want another trouble spot” because of the Hariri investigation, which Mehlis put on the record in an interview with me. If Annan told Brammertz the same thing, and surely he did, the Belgian may well have decided to comply. His appointment as prosecutor of a leading UN tribunal, that for the former Yugoslavia, was perceived by many to be a promotion, although Brammertz had done nothing in Lebanon to earn that accolade (honour).
Mehlis expanded on his doubts about Brammertz in that interview with me, conducted in January 2007 for The Wall Street Journal. Brammertz was preparing to move to the former Yugoslavia tribunal, and Mehlis saw this as an opportunity to sound a warning shot about his successor. He criticized Brammertz’s imparting of scant information in his reports to the Security Council, under the guise of protecting the “secrecy of the investigation”, then declared: “From what I am hearing, the investigation has lost all the momentum it had [when Brammertz took over] in January 2006.” Mehlis went on to argue, “Unfortunately, I haven’t seen a word in his reports during the past two years confirming that he has moved forward. When I left we were ready to name suspects, but [the investigation] seems not to have progressed from that stage.”
Subsequent developments proved Mehlis right, and last year Brammertz rebuffed my efforts to obtain his reaction to the criticism. By all accounts, and both Lebanese and non-Lebanese sources have confirmed this to me, Brammertz did not advance much in his work, certainly not on the Syrian track anyway. A police investigation requires suspects, not just analysis. It is only by arresting suspects that an investigator can compare testimonies and unravel the chain of command and the decision-making process in a crime to determine who ordered what, and when. In many ways, an investigation without suspects in custody is a contradiction in terms.
The Mehlis interview was received apathetically in Beirut, especially from those who had a vested interest in ensuring that Brammertz had done his work well. The fact that the Belgian was replaced by Bellemare, a man with no expertise in conducting a complex political investigation, who was recommended and briefed by Brammertz, was, similarly, unworthy of comment; and this despite the fact that the high expectations of the years before were now being questioned by the individual, Mehlis, who had the most advantage in seeing his initial findings vindicated.
Bellemare’s two years in office have been even more disturbing than Brammertz’s. The Canadian’s reports as investigator told us less than his predecessor’s, if that was humanly possible. We quickly learned that the laconism hid no new information. Just over a year later, sitting as prosecutor, Bellemare would be compelled to release all those suspects in his case still in detention, because he did not have enough to indict. Far from implying the suspects’ innocence, however, the decision only affirmed that Brammertz, who had approved of the continuing detentions (as had Bellemare himself), left the Canadian with a deficient dossier.
And then came another incomprehensible development: Bellemare’s decision to declare the suspect and witness Mohammad Zuhayr al-Saddiq “no longer of interest to the case.” That Saddiq may have been a plant to discredit investigators is quite possible. However, it was, therefore, up to the prosecutor to determine who put him up to this, just as it was up to Bellemare to explain why Saddiq, who presented testimony under oath, was not sanctioned for lying. One is not a suspect and witness in a murder case at one moment and no longer of interest the next. Yet Lebanon’s judicial authorities said nothing about Bellemare’s astonishing measure.
But then the Lebanese government, officially a part of the prosecution, has said nothing about anything else that has gone wrong with the tribunal either. Bellemare’s decision to unfreeze the assets of the former Syrian intelligence chief in Lebanon, Rustom Ghazaleh, only reinforced a conviction that he has little of note on the Syrian angle in the Hariri assassination, for which he can doubtless thank Brammertz. That might help explain why Bellemare dropped the case against Saddiq.
Then there was Kaldas’ departure, and now Tolbert’s. Despite the official explanation that Kaldas left because his one-year contract was up, his exit was almost certainly the result of two far more significant factors: his personal differences with Bellemare, and their mutual disagreement over the mechanics of the investigation. It is true that Kaldas was offered a professional promotion in Australia, in much the same way as Tolbert received an attractive offer from the International Center for Transitional Justice. But the reality is that both men felt that nothing particularly compelling retained them at the Lebanon tribunal, therefore preferred to abandon what they once imagined might be an interesting trial.
The Lebanon tribunal is not yet dead, but it seems very nearly there, amid embarrassing indifference in Beirut. Those committed to the rights of the victims must denounce more forcefully the charade now taking place in a suburb of The Hague. The supreme insult is to be told that justice will come when everything points to the contrary. Bellemare has to provide real answers soon, or else its time to close his stumbling operation down.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR.