LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
ِApril
11/2010
Bible Of the
Day
Proberbs25:21 If your enemy is hungry, give him food to eat. If he
is thirsty, give him water to drink: 25:22 for you will heap coals of fire on
his head, and Yahweh will reward you.
Free Opinions, Releases, letters, Interviews & Special Reports
The Honourable Lawrence
Cannon, Canada's Minister of Foreign Affairs Statement on Iran’s
Uranium Enrichment Claim/April
10/10
Worry That New Sanctions
Will Not Curb Iran’s Nuclear Goals/By
Gal Beckerman/April
10/10
For country or sect?/By:
Bassel Oudat/Al-Ahram
Weekly/April
10/10
Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for April
10/10
Nigeria gunmen kidnap Lebanese, Syrians in/AFP
Recriminations fly after clashes by
Palestinian militiamen/Daily Star
US drops Iran and Syria from airport watch list/World
Tribune
Family defends Lebanese psychic jailed in Saudi/The
Associated Press
Congress wants to know: Is Syria rearming
Hezbollah?/Foreign Policy
US: al-Qaida exemplifies new-age nuclear threat/The
Associated Press
Hariri tribunal's registrar to visit Lebanon/AFP
Jumblatt voices support for Hizbullah/Daily
Star
Iran
to display new centrifuges for nuclear work/Daily
Star
Iran says its nuclear drive is now
'irreversible'/Reuters
Israel viewed as sixth nuclear
power despite secrecy/AFP
Column One: Israel the
strong horse/Jerusalem Post
Israeli premier calls off trip to US nuclear conference/Daily
Star
Hariri: Failure to advance peace process is a 'time-bomb'/The
Daily
FPM
officials in dispute over proper forum to tackle problems/Daily
Star
UN
urges Lebanon to sign Ottawa land-mine treaty/Daily
Star
Commissioner files law suit against spies for Israel/Daily
Star
Statement by
Minister Cannon on Iran’s Uranium Enrichment Claim
http://www.international.gc.ca/media/aff/news-communiques/2010/132.aspx
(No. 132 – April 9, 2010 – 7:45 p.m. ET) The Honourable Lawrence Cannon,
Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the following statement in reaction to
Iran’s claim that it will unveil faster uranium enrichment capabilities:
“The claim that Iran is advancing its enrichment technology is a clear example
that the regime is further testing the patience of the international community.
The Iranian regime continues to threaten global security and ignore its
international obligations.
“The Iranian regime must address the serious lack of confidence that members of
the international community have in its nuclear program. The military links to
Iran’s nuclear program remain completely unresolved, and Iran has made no
attempt to live up to the minimum standard of compliance.
“Canada strongly supports further sanctions through the United Nations Security
Council. Canada will work with its allies to encourage effective responses to
the threat that Iran poses to international peace and security.
“Canada continues to express its serious concerns over the Iranian regime’s
continued suppression of the Iranian democracy movement, the regime’s blatant
disregard of basic human rights, and its use of brute force against the people
of Iran. While we are deeply concerned with the actions of the regime, the
people of Iran must know that we stand with them in their struggle.”
For further information, media representatives may contact:
Ève Cardinal
Press Secretary
Office of the Minister of Foreign Affairs
613-995-1851
Foreign Affairs Media Relations Office
Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada
613-995-1874
Recriminations fly after clashes by Palestinian militiamen
ISF confirms arrests of four PFLP-GC members
By Wassim Mroueh and Patrick Galey
Daily Star staff
Saturday, April 10, 2010
BEIRUT: Recriminations flowed Friday following the armed clashes between
Palestinian militiamen in the Bekaa Valley.
Internal Security Forces (ISF) confirmed the arrest of four members of the
Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command (PFLP-GC),
following gun battles at the group’s Ain al-Bayda base near the town of Kfar
Zabad on Thursday.
One person was injured in the incident, which was reportedly the result of an
internal PFLP-GC dispute. Initial reports of a death sustained in the fighting
were proved false.
A statement released late Thursday by the ISF said four members of the group had
been arrested following the incident.
“Armed clashes broke out with men in the base after which four of the [PFLP-GC]’s
militants were arrested,” the statement said.
The ISF named the detained men as Ali Qassem Araji, Khaled Ramzi Araji – both
Lebanese nationals – and Palestinians Mahmoud Alyan and Rejeh Saleh. All of the
men were close to Colonel Dureid Shaaban, who was recently removed from his PFLP-GC
post.
It is thought that Thursday’s clashes were a result of Shaaban’s unwillingness
to relinquish his role at the Ain al-Bayda base.
The daily Al-Akhbar, citing a security source in the Bekaa, said that the mutiny
had begun several days earlier, before spilling outside the compound, and that
Lebanese security forces were not involved in internal clashes.
The rebellion at Ain Al-Bayda base started several days ago and talks between
the rebelling group and the PFLP’s command broke down due to financial issues,
the paper reported.
Debate continued to simmer over who was responsible for the clashes, even after
order was restored in the vicinity. LBCI television reported Friday that calm
had returned to the area.
PFLP-GC media officer Anwar Raja, during an interview with New TV, blamed an ISF
intelligence head for the clashes.
He also “totally” refuted that “any gunfight or internal clashes among PFLP-GC’s
members” had occurred.
“What was reported by the media is inaccurate and these media leaks are
deceptive,” Raja added.
PFLP-GC senior officer Abu Ramez Imad Mustafa, however, appeared to confirm that
fighting had been internal and instigated by Shaaban.
“One member of PFLP-GC, who has personal problems with his comrades that he
tried to solve in a wrong manner, came with a number of his non-PFLP-GC
relatives to the Kfar Zabad base, where clashes took place,” he said.
“The PFLP-GC was able to arrest four members of this soldier’s family and the
investigation is under way,” he added.
The ISF’s statement also refuted Raja’s claims.
“The remarks made by Raja were false, and it would have been better if Raja had
examined closely what has been happening in his organization before making his
accusations,” it said.
The PFLP-GC was founded during the 1975-90 Lebanese Civil War with Syrian
backing. It has bases in the Bekaa Valley and close to the Syrian border.
Its bases are officially illegal, but Lebanese authorities remain reluctant to
challenge PFLP-GC presence for fear of violent ripostes from the group’s
partisans.
The government has previously called for Palestinian factions outside the
country’s refugee camps to disarm; UN Security Council Resolution 1559, drawn up
in 2004, included clauses to this effect.
For his part, Lebanese Forces (LF) leader Samir Geagea called on Syria to halt
its training, equipping and financing of Palestinian military bases in Lebanon.
Commenting on a recent Syrian offer to intervene and control the situation in
the Bekaa, the LF leader said: “We can say a lot of things about Syrian
officials, but they’re certainly ‘not cute,’ since the Palestinian camps are
located near the Syrian-Lebanese border … and can only be accessed from Syrian
territory.”
Labor Minister Butros Harb said that it was unacceptable that the Lebanese state
tolerated the possession of arms by the Palestinians, especially those outside
the camps.
He called for tackling this issue with the Syrians, given that it was agreed
upon in the Taif Accord and during dialogue sessions, or else “it will
jeopardize civil peace.”
Beirut MP and Minister of State Michael Pharaoun called for the issue of
Palestinian arms within Lebanon to be tackled by National Dialogue sessions.
“We agreed upon this issue in 2006 dialogue sessions, and we integrated it in
the ministerial statement. However, we need to implement it as soon as possible
as it threatens the national security,” Pharaoun said in a Friday statement.
Tripoli MP Mohammad Abdel-Latif Kabbara said Thursday’s incident represented a
threat to Lebanese security.
“Those who tamper with national security must know that illegal arms are a
threat to Lebanon,” the lawmaker said in a statement.
“The Kfar Zabad incident is a major threat to Lebanese stability based on
national reconciliation within the national unity government,” he added. “We
have always called for implementing National Dialogue decisions regarding
Palestinian arms outside the camps. However, some parties refuse to abide by
these decisions and cover up for these dubious actions.”
Al-Liwa, quoting diplomatic sources, reported on Friday that Syria may be
willing to help deal with the issue of armed Palestinian groups operating in
Lebanon. Any such intervention would need the official support of the Lebanese
Cabinet, the sources added.
Jumblatt voices support for Hizbullah
By The Daily Star /Saturday, April 10, 2010
BEIRUT: Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) leader MP Walid Jumblatt stressed
during a meeting Thursday night with Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
his support for the resistance and the need to embrace it, according to a
statement by Hizbullah. Jumblatt also thanked Nasrallah for mediating his last
trip to Damascus after five years of ruptured relations with Syria. The PSP
leader accused Syria in 2005 of the murder of former Premier Rafik Hariri and
voiced support for UN Security Council Resolution 1559, which called for an end
to Syrian intervention in Lebanon. The tense relation between Jumblatt and
Syria’s allies in Lebanon reached its peak in May 2008 when clashes broke out on
in West Beirut and spread out to the Chouf region between PSP and Hizbullah
militants following the Cabinet’s decision to dismantle Hizbullah’s
telecommunications. – The Daily Star
UN urges Lebanon to sign Ottawa land-mine treaty
By The Daily Star /Saturday, April 10, 2010
BEIRUT: Lebanon should sign the Ottawa Treaty banning the use of land mines, the
UN’s special coordinator said Friday. After a meeting with Speaker Nabhi Berri,
Michael Williams praised Lebanon’s status as a signatory to the Oslo Convention
banning cluster munitions, but urged it to go further. “Given [Lebanon’s] tragic
experience and its current membership of the Security Council, we believe it
would be helpful to ratify both treaties on cluster munitions and land mines,”
he said. Williams praised the recent announcement of electoral coordination
between Amal and Hizbullah during next month’s polls, saying the UN “stands
ready to to lend its technical assistance for these elections if requested.” –
The Daily Star
Israel viewed as
world's sixth nuclear power: analysts
LONDON (AFP) - Israel, whose prime minister withdrew Friday from next week's
US-hosted nuclear summit, is viewed as the sixth country to have acquired
nuclear weapons -- a title it has neither denied nor confirmed.
Analysts at British defence specialists Jane's believe the Jewish state has
between 100 and 300 nuclear warheads, putting them among the more advanced
nuclear weapons states and roughly on a par with Britain.
The London-based International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) estimates
Israel has "up to 200" warheads delivered on land-based short-range Jericho 1
and medium-range Jericho 2 missiles. The Nuclear Threat Initiative, a US
advocacy group co-created by Ted Turner, the founder of CNN, puts the figure at
100 to 200.
Israel is the only nuclear power in the Middle East with a programme dating back
to the 1950s under Israel's first prime minister, David Ben Gurion.
It was developed with the help of France and is centred on the Dimona reactor in
the southern Negev desert.
According to Jane's, the Israeli strategic force could be deployed by the
Jericho 2 missile, which has a range of up to 4,500 kilometres (2,800 miles), or
the five-year-old Jericho 3, which reaches up to 7,800 kilometres.
It is also believed to be able to deploy by air, using F-16 fighter jets, and
even by sea through its submarine fleet, providing an opportunity for a second
strike if its land systems are attacked.
Israel acquired three diesel-powered Dolphin-class submarines in 1999-2000 which
are capable of launching adapted Harpoon cruise missiles fitted with nuclear
warheads.
In addition, Jane's says some observers believe Jerusalem has developed tactical
nuclear weapons such as landmines and artillery shells.
"Some analysts believe that Israel probably keeps most, if not all, of its
nuclear arsenal in an unassembled mode," the latest Jane's briefing says, adding
that "fully functional weapons could be completed in a matter of days".
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu abruptly withdrew Friday from next
week's nuclear summit in Washington, underscoring Israeli reluctance to expose
its own nuclear programme to scrutiny.
Iran says its nuclear drive is "irreversible"
By Parisa Hafezi
TEHRAN (Reuters) - President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, taunting the United States for
trying to halt Iran's nuclear program, showcased an improved centrifuge on
Friday which officials said would enrich uranium faster than existing models.
U.S. President Barack Obama, who is seeking tougher U.N. sanctions against
Tehran, acknowledged that such measures would not necessarily work, but said
sustained world pressure could prompt Iran to revise its nuclear calculations
over time.
Ahmadinejad, in a speech to mark Iran's annual nuclear day, called the nuclear
arms reduction treaty that Obama signed with Russia this week "a masquerade"
which hid his true intentions. "We consider nuclear weapons to be against
humanity," he said.
"Iran's nuclear path is irreversible. The Iranian nation has reached a new point
where no power can deter it from moving full speed ahead to reach peaceful
nuclear energy," he said at a ceremony where he unveiled the centrifuge model
from behind a white curtain.
Western nations fear Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons but Tehran says
its program is entirely peaceful.
The head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, Ali Akbar Salehi, said the latest
"third generation" centrifuges had a separation power of 10, six times that of
the first generation.
But it was not clear when the new machines would be introduced into full-scale
enrichment.
"In the near future we will be ready to inject gas into this (third generation)
centrifuge," Salehi told Iranian state TV.
The centrifuges Iran uses now are adapted from a 1970s design and have been
prone to breakdowns. Tehran has been testing new models for several years at a
site which is under the watch of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
"This is not unexpected and given what Obama is doing, I think they are really
trying to show that they are getting past the sanctions," said David Albright,
director of the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington.
"The real issue is, are they able to build these in the thousands or ... in the
tens, and when are they going to be installed? The other question is, do they
work well?"
Western analysts say Iran has exaggerated progress in the past to bolster
domestic pride about its nuclear program and to improve its bargaining position
with major powers.
Diplomats close to the IAEA said it was unclear why Iran had not chosen to
reveal a more significant advance, and questioned whether it was having
technical problems or being cautious due to the current spotlight on the nuclear
program.
PUSH FOR SANCTIONS
Western countries are seeking the support of Russia and China for a fourth round
of U.N. sanctions against Tehran.
Obama, who hosts a nuclear security summit next week, wants them to back further
measures to deter Iran from pursuing what the West believes is a covert drive to
develop nuclear weapons.
Obama said there was no guarantee the sanctions that could be instituted now
would automatically alter Iranian behavior.
"The history of the Iranian regime, like the North Korean regime is that ... you
apply international pressure on these countries, (and) sometimes they choose to
change behavior, sometimes they don't," he told ABC's "Good Morning America."
Russia, along with China, has long resisted calls for tougher sanctions on Iran
but now chides Tehran for ignoring offers made by world powers aimed at defusing
the nuclear issue.
Obama hailed what he called an "enormous shift" by Russia in efforts to get all
countries, notably Iran and North Korea, to "start abiding by certain rules of
the road."
"If we are consistent and steady in applying international pressure ... over
time, Iran -- which is not a stupid regime, which is very attentive and watching
what's happening in the international community -- will start making a different
set of cost-benefit analyses about whether or not pursuing nuclear weapons makes
sense for them," the U.S. president said.
(Additional reporting by Hashem Kalantari and Robin Pomeroy in Tehran, David
Morgan in Washington, Sylvia Westall in Vienna and Adrian Croft in London;
writing by Alistair Lyon; editing by David Stamp)
Worry
That New Sanctions Will Not Curb Iran’s Nuclear Goals
Latest U.N. Push ‘Very Inadequate To the Task,’ Says AJC’s Harris
By Gal Beckerman
Published April 07, 2010, issue of April 16, 2010.
As another set of sanctions against Iran makes its way through the United
Nations — the fourth in as many years — heads of American Jewish organizations
and pro-Israel foreign policy analysts are wondering if these or any other
measures will really be able to change the behavior of the regime in Tehran.
In conversations with the Forward, these observers repeatedly came to a stark
conclusion: Either the world will come to accept and contain an Iran that has
nuclear weapons, or some sort of military strike is inevitable.
The proposed sanctions slowly en route to a vote by the U.N. Security Council
would not alter the inevitability of this bleak choice, these experts said.
The Obama administration, however, is pushing hard for this new resolution,
which it hopes will pass with a broad consensus. At the beginning of April, the
president spent an hour on the phone with Chinese President Hu Jintao in an
effort to win over the most recalcitrant of the five permanent members on the
Security Council. Following that talk and other recent hints, the administration
said that both China and Russia are close to signing off on some form of
sanctions.
“Between where we are today and the two ultimate options, there is still a lot
of space to be filled,” said David Harris, executive director of the American
Jewish Committee, referring to a military option or containment. “The question
is: Will it be filled? I can only hope it will. What’s contemplated currently
seems very inadequate to the task.”
In order to appease China and Russia — not to mention other, non-permanent
Security Council members like Turkey and Brazil — the set of sanctions being
considered will build on the efforts of three previous resolutions targeting
Iran. These contained relatively mild measures that sought to prevent Iran from
achieving its nuclear ambitions by limiting its ability to enhance uranium or
develop nuclear weapons. (Iranian leaders deny this is their goal). The new
resolution is still being negotiated, but it will most likely focus on creating
economic difficulties for Iranians or anyone trying to do business with Iran. In
the past, however, Tehran has been able to circumvent some of these financial
barriers. The freezing of assets, one of the main punitive actions, has not had
a deep effect. A recent Wall Street Journal story reported that under the
current sanctions, only $43 mil- lion dollars in Iranian money has been frozen
in the United States — a quarter of what Iran earns in oil revenue in a single
day.
The previous sanctions have avoided the most extreme forms of economic
isolation.
But even the two measures that could, by most accounts, create true hardships
for Iran are not seen anymore as overwhelmingly crippling. One measure would
involve blockading Iran’s refined petroleum supply; the other would sever all
ties between Iran and external banks. In spite of the fact that Iran is a large
oil producer, it depends on imports of refined petroleum for its own fuel needs.
One analyst described this dependence as Iran’s “Achilles heel.”
Even if the Chinese and Russians drop their expected opposition to these two
tougher measures, however, it is not clear that they would have the intended
harsh impact.
“If the new sanctions touch on the Iranian energy sector — and that remains to
be seen — Iranians are already, we’re told, trying to hoard more refined energy
product to avoid any effect on their domestic economy,” Harris said. “If it has
to do with banking, the Iranians have already created a number of front banks
and third-party dummy corporations. The Iranians are quite skilled at all this
and that’s why it’s not clear that even strong sanctions, however well
intentioned, will have the desired effect.”
The Iranians have had the benefit of time, most analysts said.
“One of the problems when you have such a long run up is that you give the
targeted country time to adjust its own resources, its own economy to the world
that will be existing under the sanctions,” said Keith Weissman, former top Iran
analyst for the pro-Israel lobby AIPAC. “There is no question that sanctions
like this will hurt Iranian economic activity, but will they do what we want
them to do, which is to affect Iran’s ability to do what we don’t want them to
do, like build nuclear weapons?”
The only sure thing about sanctions, Weissman said, was that they would “make
the people doing the sanctioning feel better.”
The other major concern is that sanctions, if not thought out well, could end up
backfiring. Iran is now in a fragile state, according to these observers, with a
large portion of the population in a mood of revolt. Any sanctions that would
end up hurting average Iranians might force people to rally around their
government and against the Western world.
“Who will suffer? Will it be the revolutionary guard, the regime or the people?”
said Yoram Peri, director of the Joseph and Alma Gildenhorn Institute for Israel
Studies at the University of Maryland. “And if you make the people suffer,
generally they will tend to support their government rather than revolt. So the
sanctions should be fairly sophisticated. It has to be very well calculated.”
Peri said that in order to be effective, the sanctions would have to be targeted
at Iranian elites and coordinated among many different countries.
“Once the Iranians see lack of coordination among the Western powers, they will
find loopholes and ways to circumvent the pressure,” said Peri. “So all of this
demands real coordination. And to tell you the truth, I’m not sure whether we’ll
get there.”
According to observers, the strategy of the Obama administration at the moment
is to devise a set of sanctions that will garner a wide consensus in the
Security Council. As a trade off, the Americans have had to accept the fact that
only a resolution with milder provisions — not ones, for example, that would
destroy the Iranian energy and banking sectors — will achieve this goal.
So intent is the administration on reaching this international consensus in the
next few weeks that, according to The Hill, a newspaper that covers Congress, it
has asked lawmakers to push back a final vote on a unilateral American sanctions
bill that contains tough measures against Iran. Both the House and Senate have
already approved the measure.
“What the administration is doing is trying to trade off the intensity of
sanctions for the breadth of the coalition,” said Gary Hoffbauer, a fellow at
the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington and
author of the book “Economic Sanctions Reconsidered.”
“Conceivably, opinion in Iran might be somewhat moved if the coalition were
broader,” he said. “At least it’s a possibility. I wouldn’t say it’s a
probability.”
But Hoffbauer, like others, thought this was a last, best option. “As I
understand it, Obama’s strategy is to continue the delay until the Iranians
test,” he said. “The crunch will come when they test.”
Contact Gal Beckerman at beckerman@forward.com
Canadian PM forces out minister, calls in police
Fri Apr 9,
OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper forced junior minister
Helena Guergis out of his government on Friday and called in the police to
investigate what he said were serious allegations against her.
Harper did not give further details. Guergis was already in trouble for losing
her temper in an airport and had been pressured over the antics of her husband,
a former legislator who alleged he had access to the top levels of government.
In a move unprecedented in recent Canadian politics, Harper referred the case to
the police and Parliament's conflict of interest and ethics commissioner. He
also booted her out of the ruling Conservative party's parliamentary caucus.
Although Guergis offered her resignation, Harper made it clear she had
effectively been removed.
"Obviously, given the circumstances, a resignation was inevitable," he told a
hastily arranged news conference.
"I'm very disappointed, it's a very sad day."
Guergis had become an increasing embarrassment to the minority Conservative
government, which needs the support of other parties to pass legislation and
remain in power.
The main opposition Liberal Party, noting that Harper had defended Guergis less
than 24 hours previously, said the matter cast doubt on his judgment.
"I call on the prime minister to tell the truth about this affair," Liberal
leader Michael Ignatieff told reporters.
Guergis is married to former Conservative member of Parliament Rahim Jaffer, who
was charged with drunk driving and possession of cocaine last year. The case was
then downgraded to a charge of dangerous driving, prompting critics to ask about
possible political interference.
(Reporting by David Ljunggren; editing by Rob Wilson)
For country or sect?
By: Bassel Oudat
Al-Ahram Weekly
Jumblatt's talks with Al-Assad in Damascus last week will have lasting
repercussions on Lebanese-Syrian relations
Following five years of animosity and rhetoric, the leader of Lebanon's
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) and the Democratic Gathering parliamentary
bloc came to Syria. Walid Jumblatt met with Bashar Al-Assad to discuss past
differences and turn a new leaf in relations.
Following the meeting, the Syrian presidency released a brief and
cautiously-worded statement saying that Al-Assad reviewed with Jumblatt "the
brotherly and historic ties that bind Syria and Lebanon and asserted the
importance of consolidating Syrian-Lebanese relations and cementing the role of
the resistance against Israel."
According to the statement, Jumblatt "praised Al-Assad's position on Lebanon and
commended his eagerness to safeguard its security and stability." Syrian
official media reported the statement verbatim, adding no commentary or
analysis.
Although Jumblatt's visit was expected, only a handful of Syrian officials and
members of the PSP and Hizbullah knew its timing. Hizbullah has been mediating
the reconciliation between Jumblatt and Syria.
Jumblatt arrived in Syria accompanied by a senior Hizbullah official. His first
meeting with Al-Assad in more than five years lasted 90 minutes.
Jumblatt was less taciturn than the Syrians concerning the outcome. In Beirut,
he described the first moments as being "very difficult". Jumblatt said that he
was wary because it was hard to meet the man he had spoken ill about in the
past. According to Jumblatt, Al-Assad proceeded to break the ice and asked the
Druze leader to speak his mind. The talks were "very positive, cordial, and
frank", Jumblatt stated.
Syria's cautious approach to the visit reflected how far the Syrians were keen
to keep things official and formal. But the upshot is Syrians can forgive.
Jumblatt's past confrontation with the Syrian leadership had left a painful
wound, for the Lebanese leader didn't flinch from using foul language in
reference to President Al-Assad.
Jumblatt blamed the Syrian regime for a spate of political assassinations in
Lebanon. He once said that anyone who criticises the Syrian regime "would be
killed by Bashar Al-Assad's regime." He accused the Syrian regime of killing his
father, Kamal Jumblatt, as well as other journalists and politicians including
Lebanese President Rene Moawwad, Mufti Hassan Khaled, prime minister Rafik
Al-Hariri, Samir Qusayer, George Hawi and Jubran Tuweini.
Jumblatt's vitriol climaxed in the second anniversary of the assassination of
Rafik Al-Hariri on 14 February 2007, when he called Bashar Al-Assad a "butcher"
and a "tyrant".
Syrian and Lebanese commentators agreed that the meeting between Al-Assad and
Jumblatt was wide-ranging, profound, frank, and cordial, and might lead to a
strategic alliance between the two countries.
Since August 2009, Jumblatt has made a series of statements indicating a change
of heart. He said that moments of anger made him say "improper things about
Al-Assad" and called on Al-Assad to forget the past.
Al-Assad said that Jumblatt's remarks paved the way for a visit to Syria, adding
that what matters to Syria is good intentions.
Damascus may have been hoping that as soon as Jumblatt goes back to Beirut, he
would take sides with the Lebanese minority, basically Hizbullah, Amal and the
Lebanese National Current. But Jumblatt doesn't seem in a hurry to part with his
old friend, the March 14 Coalition of the Mustaqbal Current, the Phalangists,
and the Lebanese Forces.
After the visit to Damascus, Jumblatt said that he is not bound by any
arrangements with Damascus, but added that he wants to safeguard the resistance
and to consolidate Lebanese-Syrian relations "through institutional channels".
One must keep in mind that Jumblatt didn't go to Damascus until after Prime
Minister Saad Al-Hariri. And he said nothing to suggest that he would distance
himself from his allies. So far it seems that Jumblatt wishes to continue his
alliance with the Lebanese majority while taking a reconciliatory approach
towards the minority.
Speaking in a news conference held in his house in Beirut one day after the
visit, Jumblatt said that starting afresh with Syria is more important than
dwelling on the past. He pledged "to support the resistance and protect it and
rebuild relations between Lebanon and Syria through institutional channels."
Jumblatt also called for the borders between the two countries to be drawn and
urged stronger political, economic, and security ties between the two countries.
Syrian-Lebanese relations underwent steady improvement last year, following
years of tensions that began with the assassination of Rafik Al-Hariri in 2005.
With Syrian blessing, Lebanon was able to make a few achievements, including the
election of President Michel Suleiman and the formation of a national unity
government.
Syria and Lebanon have exchanged ambassadors for the first time since Lebanon's
independence. And with Saudi prompting, Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri visited
Damascus for talks with the men he used to accuse of murdering his father.
Observers say that Jumblatt's decision to visit Syria seems to be inspired by
sectarian as well as political considerations. The greater part of the Druze
community, which Jumblatt leads, lives in Syria.
Jumblatt admitted as much when he said that, "the safety of the Druze is
something to be acquired within the Arab horizon overlooking Palestine. In other
words, through pan-Arabism and through Syria."
The Druze community in Syria was pleased with the visit. Syrian Baath Party
official Fayez Ezzeddin, a Druze, told Al-Ahram Weekly that Syrian Druze welcome
the meeting between Al-Assad and Jumblatt. He added that Jumblatt's visit to
Syria was "motivated by political rather than factional considerations."
"The Druze community in Suweidaa [southern Syria] is different from the Lebanese
Druze. The Lebanese Druze live within a political and national political map
that is sometimes influenced by sectarian considerations, for this is the nature
of Lebanon. In Syria, the political map of the Druze community conforms with
official politics... In recent years, the Druze of Suweidaa didn't support what
Jumblatt was doing. They knew that Jumblatt lives in Lebanon and thinks in a
Lebanese way... But when Jumblatt visits Syria in such a positive atmosphere,
all the Druze would support him. Reconciliation is a good thing," Ezzeddin said.
Nearly 90 per cent of Syrian Druze live in Al-Suweidaa and have close family
ties with the Druze who live in Mount Lebanon. Many Druze emigrated from Mount
Lebanon to Syria two centuries ago due to tensions between the Druze and the
Maronites. Syrian Druze have never had to worry about sectarian violence there
like they did in Lebanon.
Jumblatt is the scion of a patriotic family that never reconciled with Israel.
His visit to Damascus makes it possible to put together a political coalition
hostile to Israel. He is also regaining a valuable strategic ally and making
sure that the status of the Druze in Syria continues to be protected. Jumblatt
needs to remain leader of all Lebanese, Syrian and Palestinian Druze.
On Syria's part, the time was right to turn Jumblatt into an ally. Jumblatt is a
force to contend with in Lebanon, and his friendship means a lot to the Syrians
and their allies in Lebanon's minority coalition.
Listen to the Two Best Arab Journalists Warning What A Nuclear-Armed Iran Means
By Barry Rubin
The two Arab journalists I most respect have written of the fear in
Arabic-speaking countries about Iran’s having nuclear weapons. They explain
persuasively why a U.S. containment policy of reassuring Arab states and Israel
against direct nuclear attack is totally inadequate.
Listen to what they’re saying as it is much more accurate in warning about the
coming strategic shift in the region than what’s being written in the West.
Both Abd al-Rahman al-Rashid and Ahmad al-Jarallah are close to elements in the
Saudi regime yet also maintain personal independence and support liberal reform.
Rashid (often transliterated, Rashed) is a Saudi who is former editor of al-Sharq
al-Awsat, probably the best Arabic newspaper, and is now director-general of the
al-Arabiya network, possibly the best satellite television network. Writing in
al-Sharq al-Awsat on February 21 (translated by MEMRI) he explained:
"An Iranian bomb…will not be put to military use; it will be used as a way to
change the rules of the game. What we are afraid of is Iran's policy, that uses
all means to force its existence [as a regional power], and nuclear weapons is
only [one of these] means.” For example, if pro-Iranian militias “take over
southern Iraq, no superpower will dare to use military means to stop it.”
"We fear the logic of the current regime in Tehran, which spent the country's
funds on Hizbullah, Hamas, the extremist movements in Bahrain, Iraq and Yemen,
and the Muslim Brotherhood, and supported every extremist in the region. The
Ahmadinejad regime aspires to expansion, hegemony, and a clear takeover on the
ground, and to do this he needs a nuclear umbrella to protect him from
deterrence by [any] superpower.
"The Gulf states, that built giant cities and factories all along the coast,
will, when Iran possesses nuclear weapons, become hostage to the caprices of
Ahmadinejad and his extremist government.…”
Precisely right. Iran’s bomb will change the strategic balance, inspire
revolutionary Islamist movements, lead Arab and Western states toward
appeasement, and thus shift power in the region decisively toward Tehran.
Jarallah, editor of the Kuwaiti daily Al-Siyassa, has survived several
assassination attempts which he attributes to Syria. He wrote on February 7:
“The entire region has become hostage to fears of [possible] rash actions by
Iran that could cause nuclear catastrophes that neither Iran nor the world will
be able to bear. After all, examples of such catastrophes, some of which were
the result of unexpected events, are still etched in memory, and the world
continues to pay for them."
He adds, "The current Iranian position is reminiscent of the stands taken by
Saddam [Hussein], the Iraqi dictator who was the last regional leader who sought
hegemony in the area. Clearly, the political path taken by the Tehran regime is
controlled by imperialist aspirations; this inspires much fear...not only due to
[Iran's] support for several extremist groups of various kinds, but also due to
the nuclear issue and the real intentions that the Iranian leadership is
concealing….
"Now more than ever, the entire international community must stop Iran's
rashness and bring it back to the right path – particularly in light of the
obvious signs of the beginning of a nuclear arms race in the region. Beyond the
economic cost, this race will affect all areas of life, and will drown the
region in a quagmire of chaos and [evoke] reactions that none can predict."
As an extra bonus, take a look at Fouad Ajami's piece on Afghanistan in the Wall
Street Journal. It is a brilliant analysis--ok, it sounds like what I've been
saying but it's still brilliant--about how as Obama shows his weakness and
unreliability U.S. allies are running for cover. Isn't it funny how people who
really know or live in the region understand this perfectly.
Yes, bland assurances that all will be ok because the United States will stop
Iran from firing off nuclear missiles at its neighbors are very much beside the
point.
Lebanon's Samir Geagea: A Maverick - Hussain Abdul-Hussain - The Huffington Post
Those who are familiar with the Middle East know that politics in the region are
tantamount to mafia wars. Politicians pride themselves for being "realistic" as
they frequently turncoat.
In Lebanon, political realism can rarely be differentiated from opportunism.
Politicians flip-flop as they talk. Instead of calling out this kind of
deception, journalists have become hired guns serving on payrolls. When Lebanese
politicians change positions - often drastically - the media praises change
deeming it "necessary for national interests."
As a result of the impunity of politicians and their conspiring media outlets,
words and principles in Arab countries - especially Lebanon - account for
little.
But one politician stands out for always sticking to his principles: Samir
Geagea.
Coming from an economically underprivileged family, the exceptionally brilliant
Samir Geagea won every available scholarship, and made his way to the medical
school at the prestigious American University of Beirut.
In 1975, Lebanon was divided between Christians - who tied their existence to
protecting an ailing Lebanese state that they dominated - and Muslims bent on
replacing the Christians at the helm of state power. For their plan, Muslims
borrowed the muscle of Lebanon-based Palestinian militias that were presumably
fighting to liberate neighboring Palestine.
That was how Lebanon looked when Samir Geagea came of political, and for that
matter paramilitary, age. Being a Christian, it was natural for Geagea to join
the Lebanese Forces, an umbrella organization for Christian militias fighting
for state sovereignty against armed Palestinian groups and their Lebanese
allies.
Militias fought endlessly, and after Israel ejected the Palestinian leadership
from Lebanon in 1982, fighting continued between Lebanese militias, some of
which later imploded or split into warring factions.
A dedicated and talented Geagea ascended the ranks of the Lebanese Forces. By
the mid 1980s, still 33, he became its undisputed leader. In addition to his
paramilitary skills, Geagea displayed organizational abilities as his party
launched a television program that still maintains the highest viewership in the
region. The Lebanese Forces also created medical care and educational
institutions.
Civil wars are never civil, and no matter his community services, Geagea
remained a militiaman. In this capacity, he - like every other Lebanese
politician - ordered battles and assassinations of rivals. Geagea's militia
record tarnished his reputation.
In 1990, Lebanon became under Syrian control with American acquiescence.
Damascus was finally allowed, not only to call the shots in Beirut, but also -
as a victor - to write the history of the civil war.
Under the American-sponsored Syrian rule in Lebanon, which extended from 1990 to
2005, all militias - except for Hezbollah - were dissolved, as militia leaders
repackaged themselves as politicians.
Except for Geagea who insisted on Syrian withdrawal and Lebanese sovereignty,
all other Lebanese militia-leaders-turned-politicians were rewarded with senior
state positions and lofty subsidies for their supporters.
Geagea never succumbed to Syrian rule and was punished. In 1994, a bombing
charge was fabricated against him and he was sentenced to life in prison. The
Lebanese Forces party, now a licensed political party, was banned by law.
Meanwhile, Lebanese and Syrian media launched a campaign to vilify Geagea for
the decade that followed.
A sudden turn of events in 2005 forced a Syrian withdrawal. Syria's former
friends-turned-opponents then lobbied for Geagea's release.
Once out of jail, Geagea joined the anti-Syrian March 14 movement. While his
allies had to publicly regret decades of behaving as Syria's puppets, at the
expense of Lebanese sovereignty, Geagea stood tall. He had served 11 years in
prison for refusing Syrian diktats, and in 2005, he resumed preaching his
pro-sovereignty principles from the point where he had stopped.
A changing world leadership, however, later dropped the ball in Lebanon and
completely halted support for democracy, especially after Barack Obama became
president in 2008. As such, the mercurial Lebanese politicians jumped off the
democracy and independence ship, which they deemed sinking, and humiliatingly
begged Syria - now the focus of American and world attention - to take them
back.
A maverick Geagea stayed on that ship. He became the last man standing in
support of independence and state sovereignty, insisting that the Hezbollah
militia disarm. With his militia history far behind most Lebanese, and with what
had remained of it absolved by his decade in solitary confinement, Geagea
started winning support from outside of the nation's Christian community, a rare
phenomenon in Lebanon's fragmented population.
Samir Geagea today is betting against the political realities of Lebanon, the
Middle East and the world. For doing so, he has earned the admiration of
frustrated pro independence Lebanese - Christian, Muslim and Druze - and the ire
of Syria and its Lebanese protégés.
Samir Geagea is proving to be the only man of principles in Lebanon. For that,
he should be applauded as the last freedom fighter in the Middle East, at a time
when the world is looking for dictators to entertain.