LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS
BULLETIN
March 03/08
Bible Reading of the day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to
Saint John 9,1-41. As he passed by he saw a man blind from birth. His disciples
asked him, "Rabbi, who sinned, this man or his parents, that he was born blind?"
Jesus answered, "Neither he nor his parents sinned; it is so that the works of
God might be made visible through him. We have to do the works of the one who
sent me while it is day. Night is coming when no one can work. While I am in the
world, I am the light of the world." When he had said this, he spat on the
ground and made clay with the saliva, and smeared the clay on his eyes, and said
to him, "Go wash in the Pool of Siloam" (which means Sent). So he went and
washed, and came back able to see. His neighbors and those who had seen him
earlier as a beggar said, "Isn't this the one who used to sit and beg?"
Some said, "It is," but others said, "No, he just looks like him." He said, "I
am." So they said to him, "(So) how were your eyes opened?" He replied, "The man
called Jesus made clay and anointed my eyes and told me, 'Go to Siloam and
wash.' So I went there and washed and was able to see." And they said to him,
"Where is he?" He said, "I don't know." They brought the one who was once blind
to the Pharisees.
Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
Talking to Terrorists.
By
Walid Phares - March 02/08
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for March 02/08
MP Franjieh: War is Coming, Lets Unite To Avoid the Storm-Naharnet
Kuwait to Deport
Foreigners who Mourned Mughniyeh-Naharnet
GCC States Urge the
Election of President on March 11-Naharnet
Saudi Advises Citizens to Leave Lebanon Immediately, Kuwait Denies Taking
Similar Measure-Naharnet
Muallem: U.S.
Warship Obstructs Solution to Lebanon Crisis-Naharnet
Ban Alarmed by
Hizbullah's 'Open War' against Israel-Naharnet
Hizbullah: U.S.
'Tutelage' Prevents Lebanese Unity, Hampers Initiatives-Naharnet
Eye on Lebanon: Two important lessons-Jerusalem Post
Palestinians in Lebanon Protest Israeli Assault on Gaza-Naharnet
Harb Warns Against Getting Used to the Absence of a Christian ...Naharnet
Lebanon somehow chugs along despite instability in its politics ...International
Herald Tribune
Gemayel: Lebanon has become the 'scapegoat'-Ya
Libnan
Ahmadinejad's
Challenging Visit to Iraq-Naharnet
Saudi Arabia Advises Citizens to Leave Lebanon-Naharnet
GCC States Urge the
Election of President on March 11-Naharnet
Muallem: U.S. Warship
Obstructs Solution to Lebanon Crisis-Naharnet
Hizbullah: U.S.
'Tutelage' Prevents Lebanese Unity, Hampers Initiatives-Naharnet
Assad, Moussa Discuss Lebanon-Naharnet
Kuwait Seeking to Resolve Arab Disputes to
Guarantee Arab Summit Success-Naharnet
Berri Slams U.S. Warships as 'Act of
Intimidation'-Naharnet
US Warships Steam Toward Lebanon-CounterPunch
Quake Hits south Lebanon-Naharnet
US hinders solutions to end Lebanon's crisis, al-Muallem says-Monsters
and Critics.com
Syria says US warship prolongs Lebanon crisis-Reuters
Mussa reviews critical issues with Syria, prepares for Arab summit-Monsters
and Critics.com
US, Saudi Arabia jointly put pressure on Syria-Xinhua
Does Lebanese Opposition Still Back Sleiman For
President?
The Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar, which is close to the Lebanese opposition, quoted
an opposition sources as saying that for over two weeks, Lebanese military
commander Michel Sleiman is not the the opposition's preferred presidential
candidate and that relations with him are worsening from day to day.
Source: Al-Akhbar, Lebanon, February 1, 2008
MP Franjieh: War is Coming,
Lets Unite To Avoid the Storm
By Dalia Nehme-Naharnet
MP Samir Franjieh urged the Lebanese to set aside differences and agree on a
"safety dragnet" that can protect the nation from a regional war that is in the
offing.
Franjieh, who de the call in an interview with Naharnet, accused the Hizbullah-led
March 8 opposition of taking a "big risk" by keeping the nation exposed to
threats. "They remind me of the Lebanese nationalist Movement in 1982 when it
had indications about a possible Israeli invasion but failed to freeze the
domestic dispute in favor of creating a safety dragnet, so Israel invaded a
Lebanon incapable of resisting due to its internal differences and hundreds of
other reasons," Franjieh added. He said deployment of the USS Cole guided
missile destroyer in Mediterranean waters off the Lebanese coastline is "not
linked to the domestic Lebanese situation, but rather to the explosive situation
in the region. It could signal the imposing of new sanctions on Iran." "The
situation of very serious in the region, which could be heading to a war. Would
such a war serve the interests of the majority or the minority? Certainly not.
It would serve interests not related to all those factions." The forthcoming
summit scheduled for March 29 in Damascus, according to Franjieh, "would not
really convene. It may not convene at all, but it could convene with a weak
structure. The whole region is heading to a major crisis." Franjieh accused
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri of "distorting" the ongoing crisis. He said
"Lebanon's problem is not in forming a cabinet and not in the election law. The
essence of the problem is the persisting differences on national principles."
Franjieh reiterated that Syria "has decided to block the presidential election
and the opposition is behaving in line with this decision."
He said the Hizbullah-led opposition "does not need warships in the
Mediterranean to accuse the majority of following a U.S. agenda like it did not
need any additional reason to accuse Premier Fouad Saniora of coordinating the
July (2006) war" with Washington. Franjieh said Free Patriotic Movement leader
Michel Aoun was assigned to represent the opposition in negotiations at a time
the opposition adopted a decision to block any settlement. "Aoun is not really
related to what is happening … his role is marginal … his influence is very
limited." Beirut, 02 Mar 08, 15:53
Talking to Terrorists?
By Walid Phares
Brussels, February 20, 2008,
At the invitation of the East West Institute’s Worldwide Security Conference, Dr
Walid Phares, Director of the Future Terrorism Project at the Foundation for the
Defense of Democracies offered several remarks on “the international community’s
best attitude towards the idea of talking to terrorists.” Phares, a visiting
scholar at the European Foundation for Democracy and the author of The War of
Ideas said this dilemma is centered on questions never really addressed. The
issue is not about talking or not talking, it is about defining the
communications goals and the context of the conflict.” He went on:
“First, one has to determine who the ‘we’ is? Is it each nation alone, a
coalition of Governments or the international community altogether? Second, who
are the Terrorists and what is it that they want? Wouldn’t this identification
help understand what would our goal be when we seek communication? Third, what
do we mean by “talking”? Are we not? Are they not? Fourth, and most importantly,
if we engage in such a dialogue we need to define the goal.”
Phares went on to review the various campaigns against Terror depending on each
country involved in the struggle. “America is waging a war on Terrorism while
many European countries are engaged in a limited confrontation of their own
terrorists.” Phares made a distinction between talking to Terrorists on tactical
levels and engaging a dialogue with Terror movements on strategic level. “Local
authorities when dealing with terrorists, as in a hostage situation, kidnapping,
threats, are in effect talking to Terrorists. To insure saving lives,
Governments allow that type of communications with groups engaged in violence.
But a dialogue with a Terror group or regime on strategic grounds is a different
matter.
First, regarding the Jihadi forces, talking is taking place. Their ideologues
and spokespersons are “talking” often in the media. The representatives of these
forces are frequently on al Jazeera and other media and U.S and Western
representatives engage in public discussions with them many times. So there is
no rupture in engagement. But to have officials from democracies sitting with
Terror groups, before the latter accept the principle of dialogue is a question
that relates to strategy. Why would democracies recognize these violent forces
before the latter recognizes international law? Al Qaeda for example doesn’t
recognize international law or the United Nations. Hence under which auspices
such an engagement can take place?”
Phares concluded that priority must be given to “talking to the victims of
terrorists, ex terrorists and counter terrorists. Indeed, he argued if we have
some resources where should we begin? I suggest we need to talk to women,
students, labor unions, artists and all those targeted by the Jihadi forces. We
have ignored the natural foes of the terrorists for too long. It is only when we
have real allies in these civil societies that the Terrorists will begin
regressing and weakening.”
Dr Phares and the other panelist remarks were followed by a debate with the
audience.
Kuwait to Deport Foreigners who Mourned Mughniyeh
Naharnet/The Gulf state of Kuwait plans to deport foreigners who took part in a
rally last month to mourn slain Hizbullah commander Imad Mughniyeh, the interior
minister said on Sunday. "We will deport any expatriate who took part in the
mourning rally. This is a decision we will implement and we will not back down,"
Sheikh Jaber Khaled al-Sabah told Al-Watan newspaper. He did not say how many
people will be deported or if the ministry has begun rounding up suspects.
The rally, in which hundreds of Shiite activists including Kuwaitis, Bahrainis,
Lebanese and Iranians took part, caused uproar in the oil-rich emirate because
Mughniyeh was accused of hijacking a Kuwaiti plane two decades ago. Reactions to
the protest have taken a sectarian turn in Kuwait, where a third of the native
population of one million are Shiite Muslims. Two Kuwaiti lawmakers, Adnan
Abdulsamad and Ahmad Lari, and a number of leading Shiite activists are being
sued by four lawyers and the interior minister in connection with the protest.
Three leading activists have been remanded in custody and are being questioned
on suspicion of belonging to Hizbullah Kuwait, a previously unknown
organization. The prosecution service also plans to interrogate others including
former MPs and a member in the municipal council on the same charges. Abdulsamad
and Lari cannot be interrogated unless parliament strips them of their immunity,
however.
Mughniyeh, who was killed last month by a car bomb in Damascus, was described at
the rally as a "martyr hero," but Kuwait says he was responsible for killing two
Kuwaiti passengers on a hijacked plane in 1988.(AFP) Beirut, 02 Mar 08, 11:31
GCC States Urge the Election of President on March 11
Naharnet/Six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council insisted At a meeting in Riyadh on
Saturday on the election of a president by the Lebanese parliament as scheduled
on March 11, after 15 earlier sessions were scrapped. The GCC "stresses the need
to eliminate any obstacles to the president of the republic being elected on
March 11", the foreign ministers said in a statement after a closed-door
meeting. They underlined their support for the "constitutional institutions" of
Lebanon and concern over obstacles to the Arab initiative for Lebanon. Saudi
Arabia, meanwhile, has advised its citizens in Lebanon to exercise caution or
leave the country "if possible" due to the growing political unrest, a Lebanese
government source said.(AFP) Beirut, 01 Mar 08, 20:34
Saudi Advises Citizens to Leave Lebanon Immediately, Kuwait
Denies Taking Similar Measure
Naharnet/Saudi Arabia has advised its citizens in Lebanon to
leave the country immediately due to growing political unrest, but Kuwait denied
it was taking a similar measure. "The Lebanese government has been informed of
the measure taken by the Saudi Arabian embassy which has asked its citizens to
exercise caution in their movements and to leave the country if possible," a
Lebanese government source said. A Saudi diplomatic source confirmed the measure
and said a number of Saudi families had already left. He also disclosed that the
car of a Saudi diplomat traveling with his family was hit by a bullet on Friday
night in Beirut, without anyone being injured. The incident occurred as
opposition supporters fired into the air to celebrate a television interview
with one of their leaders, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, the source said. He
did not specify if the car was targeted or hit by a stray bullet. Al-Arabia TV
Network reported a similar measure taken by the Kuwaiti embassy in Beirut, but
later denied it. Kuwait's ambassador to Lebanon Abdelaal al-Qenaei denied asking
Kuwaiti citizens to leave Lebanon.
Fears of civil strife in Lebanon have mounted over the continued deadlock and
warnings of wider conflict after the February 12 assassination in Syria of top
Hizbullah commander Imad Mughniyeh. Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saoud
al-Faisal warned last month that the country was "on the verge of civil war."
KSA, Kuwait and Bahrain have previously issued travel warnings to
Lebanon.(AFP-Naharnet) Beirut, 01 Mar 08, 20:38
Muallem: U.S. Warship Obstructs Solution to Lebanon Crisis
Naharnet/Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Muallem said Saturday that
sending a U.S. warship to waters off the Mediterranean is aimed at undermining
any solution to Lebanon's presidential crisis. "The presence of the warship off
the coast of Lebanon shows that the United States is striving to obstruct all
political solutions in the Lebanese crisis," Muallem told reporters flanked by
Arab League chief Amr Moussa. Washington said on Thursday it had sent the
USS Cole guided-missile destroyer to waters off Lebanon, amid concern over
regional stability and Lebanon's protracted political crisis.
It is "a show of support for regional stability" because of "concern about the
situation in Lebanon," a U.S. official said, declining to say whether the show
of force was meant for Syria or Iran. Both countries back the Hizbullah-led
opposition which is at loggerheads with the ruling March 14 coalition over
electing a new president. The post has been vacant since last
November.(AFP-Naharnet) Beirut, 01 Mar 08, 14:19
Ban Alarmed by Hizbullah's 'Open War' against Israel
U.N. chief Ban Ki-moon expressed concern over threats made by
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah of an "open war" against Israel after
top Hizbullah commander Imad Mughniyeh was killed. "I am concerned by the
threats of open war against Israel by the secretary general of Hizbullah ...
following the funeral of Imad Mughniyeh," Ban said in his sixth report on the
implementation of Security Council Resolution 1701. Resolution 1701 was adopted
to end the 34-day war between Hizbullah and Israel in the summer of 2006.
Nasrallah has vowed to avenge Mughniyeh's death -- which was blamed on Israel --
by finishing off the Jewish state.
He said Mughniyeh's assassination in a car bombing in Damascus on Feb. 12 was a
clear sign that Israel was preparing a new war against Lebanon.
Israel welcomed Mughniyeh's death, but denied any involvement. "The presence of
Israel is but temporary and cannot go on in the region," Nasrallah said at a
ceremony to mourn Mughniyeh. "We will kill you in the fields, we will kill you
in the cities, we will fight you like you have never seen before," Nasrallah
vowed.
Ban, however, said "this rhetoric goes against the spirit and intentions of
Resolution 1701, which aims to achieve a permanent ceasefire."
"I call upon all parties to exercise the utmost restraint and to continue to
abide by their stated commitments to Resolution 1701."
The U.N. chief was also worried about the rearming of Hizbullah and held both
Syria and Iran responsible for breaches of the arms embargo.
"Reports of Hizbullah rearming are a cause of great concern, posing serious
challenges to the sovereignty, stability and independence of Lebanon and the
implementation of resolution 1701 (2006)," Ban said in his 6th report on the
implementation of 1701.
"I remain concerned about ongoing reports and Hizbullah public statements that
point to breaches of the arms embargo, in serious violation of resolution 1701,"
he said. "All Member States in the region, in particular the Syrian Arab
Republic and the Islamic Republic of Iran, have a key responsibility in this
regard," Ban added.
"Such violations risk further destabilizing Lebanon and the whole region," he
said. "In my last report to the Council on the implementation of resolution 1701
… I drew attention to alleged breaches of the arms embargo across the border
between Lebanon and the Syrian Arab Republic and the claimed transfer of
sophisticated weaponry from the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Syrian Arab
Republic across this border," Ban said.
"In its letter dated 10 December 2007 Syria counters these claims and maintains
that allegations of weapons smuggling across the Syrian-Lebanese border are
motivated by political rather than security considerations. "However, Hizbullah,
by admission of its leaders on several occasions has replenished its military
capacity after the 2006 war with Israel. "I, therefore, remain concerned that
this border remains vulnerable to such breaches, which would represent serious
violations of the resolution and constitute a significant threat to the
stability and security of Lebanon. Ban said the Lebanese army "continues its
deployment along, and monitoring of, this border in order to prevent such
breaches." He pointed out, however, that the presence of the Lebanese Armed
Forces (LAF) has been "somewhat reduced due to the increased operational demands
placed on the LAF to address various security challenges in other parts of the
country.
"However, this has been partially offset by the deployment of additional troops
from the Internal Security Forces," Ban wrote in his report.
He said the "heavily armed military positions" by the Popular Front of the
Liberation of Palestine-General Command and Fatah al-Intifada along the same
border remain a cause for continuing concern. "Their existence poses a direct
and continuing challenge to the sovereignty of the Lebanese State inasmuch as it
affords both groups de facto control of a stretch of the Lebanese border with
the Syrian Arab Republic. The Lebanese Armed Forces continue to maintain a
defensive line around both of these military camps," Ban said. Beirut, 01 Mar
08, 09:14
Hizbullah: U.S. 'Tutelage' Prevents Lebanese Unity, Hampers
Initiatives
Naharnet/Hizbullah on Saturday said the despatch of US warships to Lebanon was
part of U.S. President George Bush's "tutelage plot which prevents Lebanese
unity."A Hizbullah statement said the American scheme also was aimed at
"hampering all initiatives" to solve the prolonged political crisis.
The statement said the American plan also "wants to incite one group against the
other and withdraw the cards of strength from their hands to the benefit of its
strategic ally -- the Zionist enemy." The deployment of the USS Cole off the
Lebanese coast was "clearly embarrassing" to the ruling March 14 coalition.
Beirut, 01 Mar 08, 17:17
Eye on Lebanon: Two important lessons
Posted by Manuela Paraipan
The first time I went to Lebanon was in 2003, as a Political Science
undergraduate student. The idea came to me while interning in Washington DC. I
began to take more interest in the Levantine socio-political culture a year
prior to my DC internship and I thought that nothing compares to on the ground
observation. I still believe that today. I have no trust whatsoever in the
Omerta whether it is in the virtual world, on a blog or out there in the real
world.
Reading books about Lebanon is great, studying the language and meeting Lebanese
expats ditto, but it is simply not good enough. First hand knowledge matters. I
had no idea what to expect when I arrived there. It was my first trip to the
region and as such I was scared as a rabbit and curious as a cat.
At the airport I discovered something interesting and totally unexpected.
If you arrive from Eastern Europe (like I did) the officers in charge give you
an odd look. It was explained to me like this: it is somehow implied that all
women traveling alone to Lebanon are either spies or prostitutes. You won't see
me at 4 am (or at any other hour) in an airport in a foreign country on high
heels, lipstick and a generous low neckline T-Shirt where Versace becomes
Verssace or Versacce. So there is always the other alternative they consider. I
have some good stories on the topic so stay tuned.
Let me just say that I was asked lots of questions for over an hour. I kept
looking around while all the others passed me by.
The officer was determined to see in my story some sort of a conspiracy theory.
He kept asking me why a nice Romanian student who got her visa from the US would
go back home for a couple of weeks and then travel to Lebanon. Nothing strange
here, I assure you. My student visa expired and I wanted to take a break and
then head to Lebanon. I kept telling him that I was there to do research at one
of their Universities. It did not help that I was staying in Tripoli for my
first week in the country, in the old, very nice area of El Mina. That too
sounded odd to him but in the end he let me go.
By that time I was seriously thinking that perhaps I should take the next plane
back to Bucharest. I did not and I am grateful for that moment of hesitation. I
am not the kind of girl that gives up that easily. I was just extremely tired,
did not know a soul in Lebanon and did not want to go through other friendly Q&A
sessions.
I moved to Beirut after I recharged my batteries in Tripoli. I spent a lot of
time at the University and met a lot of interesting people. As part of my
research (and for the sake of some initiative), I emailed the Parliament and
asked to meet someone who can brief me about the current situation and give me
an overview of the general state of affairs.
I was well-versed on the history of the country and I was pretty much up to date
with the political events but I thought I might be able to find out more from a
face-to-face meeting. To my surprise, I got a positive reply. It probably helped
that a General I never met but only exchanged a few emails with recommended me.
He actually said that I should contact an MP. Lebanese are friendly with
foreigners, he said.
When I wrote the email to the Parliament, I mentioned that this General
recommended I do so. In a country where it matters less who you are (this is
also true for Romania), but rather who you know and who knows you (the largesse
of one's bank account doesn't hurt either) my absolutely truthful message worked
miracles. I had a meeting with the Head of the Studies and Documentations
Department of the Lebanese Parliament, the Secretary General of the Lebanese
Parliament and someone else, but since he was more of an observer I forgot his
name.
The meeting lasted well over two hours. I was later told that this is most
unusual but apparently they liked my outspoken and direct way of addressing the
issues on my agenda. During the meeting, men kept coming into the room and few
even joined the conversation. Some spoke directly in French or English while the
Secretary General, who looked like the man in charge, spoke through a female
translator. That woman is now a dear friend of mine and so is the Secretary
General.
One of the most controversial questions I asked was how they can explain the
existence of a militia (yes, I said that without fearing repercussions, which
were none) while claiming that Lebanon is a unitary, democratic state (I
stressed democratic in an Arab fashion) that acts within the boundaries of
international laws.
I then said that I wanted to know more of Amal. They asked what I knew of Amal
to which I responded by listing everything I could remember about one of its
founders, Musa Sadr. I added that I respected Sadr's social and humanistic to
some extent. I should have stopped there but I added that I know that if one
needs a job he/she should go to the Speaker of Parliament (Nabih Berri), an
excellent politician otherwise. I also said that because of Amal's corruption,
Hizbullah gained terrain within the Shia sect.
The next day while eating a cheesecake and reading the Daily Star I noticed a
familiar face from the Parliament meeting. It turns out that he was Nabih Berri,
who was briefly in the office while I was going on and on about Amal's
corruption.
I learned two important things that day: 1) if and when a high dignitary trusts
you, he will speak to you in English without the translator and will give you
his mobile number, 2) if you are honest and say your views, subjective (how
else?) yet substantiated by arguments, good or at least interesting things may
happen.
Did I have prejudices when I first visited Lebanon? You bet. Few, but they were
there. A silly one was that most Arabs look just like Saddam. With the mustache.
I've learned a lot about Lebanon and mostly about the Lebanese since 2003.
Palestinians in Lebanon Protest Israeli Assault on Gaza
Thousands of Palestinian refugees in south Lebanon protested against
Israel's military assault on the Palestinian population in the Gaza Strip.
Women and children took part in the protest at the Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian
refugee camp in the southern Lebanese city of Sidon on Saturday.
"Death to Israel," shouted the angry protestors marching through the camp,
carrying black flags and pictures of Palestinian children killed in the latest
Israeli incursion into Gaza. The protestors burned the Israeli and American
flags. They called on Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah to avenge the
killing of Palestinian children. Beirut, 01 Mar 08, 19:31
Harb Warns Against Getting Used to the Absence of a Christian President
MP Butros Harb pledged Friday to propose a new trend to settle the ongoing
crisis based on consensus on electing Army Commander Gen. Michel Suleiman
President. Harb, talking to reporters after a meeting with Maronite Patriarch
Nasrallah Sfeir, said the persisting void in the presidential office would lead
to "state collapse and changing the Lebanese community into a forest ruled by
outlaws.""It is better to tackle the political crisis with a president on top of
the helm " Harb added. He said certain issues "that we have agreed on could be a
good start in the president's hands to launch dialogue under his auspices."
He cautioned that the people "could get used to living without a president.
Therefore, the people would get used to the idea that the absence of a Christian
in the authority structure is normal." Beirut, 29 Feb 08, 17:24
Lebanon somehow chugs along despite instability in its politics and security
The Associated PressPublished: March 2, 2008
BEIRUT, Lebanon: "Poor Lebanon" is a much-loved preface to a litany of the
country's troubles. Parliament has been deadlocked for a year. A quarter of
Cabinet ministers are boycotting meetings. There's been no president since
November because quarreling lawmakers keep postponing a session to elect a
replacement.
In Beirut so far this year, 17 people have been killed and dozens wounded in car
bombs, army gunfire on protesters and clashes between pro- and anti-government
groups. In south Lebanon, many fear new battles could erupt with Israel after
the militant group Hezbollah blamed the Jewish state for the car bomb death in
Syria of one of its leaders — a charge Israel denies.
It sounds like a disaster about to happen in a nation where a renewal of the
devastating 1970s-'80s civil war is a chronic worry. But Amer Hazime doesn't see
it that way. While not exactly optimistic about the future, the young
businessman — a Lebanese-Jordanian dual national — is shopping for an apartment
in Beirut where he can live with his wife and daughter.
"The security situation is deteriorating, the political situation is bad but I
am looking to buy a flat. My wife is Lebanese and I want to live here," Hazime
said as he ate pizza one night at a crowded Italian restaurant in Beirut.
There are many like Hazime. Beirut's hot real estate market is just part of a
crazy quilt of actions and attitudes that allow Lebanon to keep chugging along
in spite of itself, a Middle Eastern magnet even if it can't return to the
storied days of the early '70s when Beirutis boasted their city was the "Paris
of the Middle East."
Today in Africa & Middle East
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in a day of strikesSenior al-Qaida in Iraq leader and associate killed
Among the negatives: the national debt of US$42 billion (€28.6 billion) is 175
percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product, making it one of the highest in
the world. Economic growth was projected to be 7 percent last year but, amid the
nagging uncertainty, it was only about a third of that. The cost of living has
shot up 37 percent since November. And the positives: tourists keep coming — a
million in 2007, albeit 4 percent less than the previous year — and the
restaurants and nightclubs are packed. Private bank deposits are up 10.5
percent, the currency has remained steady for 15 years, taxes are collected, the
courts keep functioning.
So how does this small nation of 4 million people get by?
To begin with, Lebanese are entrepreneurs. They've never banked on their weak,
fractious governments over the decades. The country's free market its strongest
asset and its banking secrecy an attraction to depositors.
Hundreds of thousands of educated, professional Lebanese have regularly gone
abroad during the country's troubles and — in a boost to the economy — sent
money home.
During the civil war, about one quarter of Lebanon's population left. Many have
returned, but others remain abroad. The monthlong war in summer 2006 between the
Lebanese Shiite Muslim militant group Hezbollah and Israel also increased the
brain drain as much of the reconstruction from civil war damage was wiped out by
Israeli bombing.
A World Bank report said that in 2006, the last year for which figures are
available, Lebanese living abroad sent home US$5.6 billion (€3.82 billion), or
about 25 percent of the country's GDP. Almost half of that figure came from
about 400,000 Lebanese working in oil-rich Persian Gulf countries.
"The high inflow of remittances are keeping the day-to-day economy functioning,"
said Nassib Ghobril, head of economic research and analysis at Byblos Bank
Group.Today, many Lebanese still contemplate leaving. For every Amer Hazime —
the young businessman looking for a Beirut apartment — there is probably a
Mohammed Kheir, who runs an airport supply business in the city but fears what
will happen to his three children should wholesale violence return.
"I am thinking about immigrating for good. I don't want my children to live what
I passed through during the war," said the 39-year-old man, referring to the
1975-90 civil war in which 150,000 were killed.
"Our country is very good and I have no problem living here. But the most
important thing for me is that my children live a normal life."
Still, as Kheir travels to other countries on business, he can see what keeps
luring Lebanese and others back to his country.
Rich Arabs visit or buy villas in the Lebanese mountains, whose cool weather
contrasts with the desert heat in much of the surrounding Middle East.
Another draw is the country's rich culture — a mix of Mideastern traditions and
Western influence — and its looser social restrictions. Lebanese make
prize-winning wines, and the country's cuisine and fervent nightlife are famed
throughout the region.
Like the brain drain that turns out to provide an economic asset, Lebanon's
troubles wind up pumping money into the country. Since the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah
war international donors have pledged more than US$7 billion (€4.77 billion) in
soft loans and grants, and some US$320 million (€218 million) has been paid.
In addition, funds flow to Lebanon's competing political factions, including the
Iranian-backed Hezbollah, from their patrons abroad. In contrast, Saudi Arabia
promised in February to place a US$1 billion (€689 million) deposit in Lebanon's
Central Bank to shore up the government of Prime Minister Fuad Saniora — a Sunni
Muslim like the Saudi royal family — against the Shiite opposition.
Overall, Lebanon's banking system is doing very well. Assets of private banks
have reached US$71 billion (€48.4 billion), nearly three times the GDP. Foreign
currency reserves in the Central Bank have risen steadily to USS$13 billion in
2007, and the 9.2 million ounces of gold the Central Bank has now is valued at
more than US$8 billion (€5.4 billion).
"This confirms the separation between the monetary situation and the security
and political situation," Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh told bankers in
January.
Others, however, fear that if the security situation blows up, it could erode
all the economic pluses.
"Anything that happens now will change expectations, especially in security,"
said Louis Hobeika, an economist.
And Ghobril, the Byblos Bank analyst, warns: "The longer it takes for a
(political) solution, the reforms will be delayed, the trends trying to reduce
public debts will be delayed. This is where it hurts."
Still, the appetite for taking big risks that makes Lebanon's politics a lethal
game also is at the heart of the country's entrepreneurial spirit. Real estate
agent Victor Abu Kheir played to that spirit as he readied thick Turkish coffee
for a potential client and explained that investing now in a Beirut apartment
could mean a 100 percent profit before long.
"Oil Prices are going up, the dollar is going down, gold is going up and
consumer prices are going up. Real estate prices have to go up," he reasoned.