LCCC ENGLISH
DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
December 29/08
Bible Reading
of the day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 2,22-40. When the days were
completed for their purification according to the law of Moses, they took him up
to Jerusalem to present him to the Lord, just as it is written in the law of the
Lord, "Every male that opens the womb shall be consecrated to the Lord," and to
offer the sacrifice of "a pair of turtledoves or two young pigeons," in
accordance with the dictate in the law of the Lord. Now there was a man in
Jerusalem whose name was Simeon. This man was righteous and devout, awaiting the
consolation of Israel, and the holy Spirit was upon him. It had been revealed to
him by the holy Spirit that he should not see death before he had seen the
Messiah of the Lord. He came in the Spirit into the temple; and when the parents
brought in the child Jesus to perform the custom of the law in regard to him,
he took him into his arms and blessed God, saying: Now, Master, you may let your
servant go in peace, according to your word,
for my eyes have seen your salvation, which you prepared in sight of all the
peoples, a light for revelation to the Gentiles, and glory for your people
Israel." The child's father and mother were amazed at what was said about him;
and Simeon blessed them and said to Mary his mother, "Behold, this child is
destined for the fall and rise of many in Israel, and to be a sign that will be
contradicted (and you yourself a sword will pierce) so that the thoughts of many
hearts may be revealed."There was also a prophetess, Anna, the daughter of
Phanuel, of the tribe of Asher. She was advanced in years, having lived seven
years with her husband after her marriage, and then as a widow until she was
eighty-four. She never left the temple, but worshiped night and day with fasting
and prayer. And coming forward at that very time, she gave thanks to God and
spoke about the child to all who were awaiting the redemption of Jerusalem. When
they had fulfilled all the prescriptions of the law of the Lord, they returned
to Galilee, to their own town of Nazareth. The child grew and became strong,
filled with wisdom; and the favor of God was upon him.
Blessed Teresa of Calcutta (1910-1997), Foundress of the Missionary Sisters of
Charity
A Simple Path/"They returned to Galilee, to their own town of Nazareth"
You can pray to the Holy Family for your own family: Our Father, who art in
heaven, you have given us a model of life in the Holy Family of Nazareth. Help
us, most loving Father, to make a new Nazareth of our own families, where joy
and peace will reign. May it be deeply contemplative, fervently eucharistic and
joyfully vibrant. Help us to stay together through good and ill thanks to our
praying as a family. Teach us to encounter Jesus in every member of our own
families especially those who suffer and are wounded. May the eucharistic Heart
of Jesus make our hearts as meek and humble as his (Mt 11,29). Help us to
fulfill our vocation as a family in holiness. May we love one another as God
loves each one of us more and more every day
and forgive each other's faults as you forgive our sins. Most loving Father,
help us to accept all you give to us and give all you take from us with a big
smile. Immaculate heart of Mary, cause of our joy, pray for us. Holy
Guardian Angels be always with us, guiding us and protecting us.Amen.
Free Opinions, Releases,
letters & Special Reports
A good start... to a bad ending-Jerusalem
Post 29/12/08
Analysis: Hamas unlikely to be toppled-The
Associated Press 29/12/08
Delusions of victory in Gaza-Ha'aretz
29/12/08
Israel to reprise Lebanon war in Gaza?Reuters
29/12/08
Peace with Syria? Too costly-By:
Efrain Inbar/Jerusalem Post 29/12/08
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for December
29/08
In Gaza operation, Israel remembers Lebanon
setbacks-AFP
Hezbollah leader says his group is on alert in
southern Lebanon-Jerusalem
Post
Lebanese security forces prevents demonstrators
from approaching ...Xinhua
Hezbollah: Israel's attacks on Gaza "a war crime
and a genocide"-Monsters and
Critics.com
Can Israel deny Hamas the "victory" Hezbollah
obtained?Power Line
Lebanese Shiite leader compares Gaza aggression
to 2006 Lebanon war-Monsters
and Critics.com
Israel Mobilizes Reservists,
Iran Sends Humanitarian Aid as Number of Palestinians Killed rises to over 280-Naharnet
Israeli Warplanes Fly Low
Over South Lebanon-Naharnet
Demonstrations staged across Lebanon in protest
against Gaza attacks-Xinhua
Suleiman from the South: Lebanon is not a
Platform for Launching ...Naharnet
Syria halts indirect peace talks-Jerusalem
Post
Sfeir: The Political Middle Ground is beneficial for a Country Like Lebanon-Naharnet
Suleiman from the South:
Lebanon is not a Platform for Launching Rockets-Naharnet
March 14: Israeli
Massacres Require Global Action, Palestinian Unity-Naharnet
Hizbullah Calls for Speedy
Global Action against Israeli Raids on Gaza-Naharnet
Protesters Demonstrate
near Egypt Embassy after Israel Raids on Gaza-Naharnet
Aoun's Christmas Greeting
to Sfeir-Naharnet
Aoun: Those that are
Neutral are Negligent; Those That are Independent at 2009 Elections are with
March 14 Forces-Naharnet
Report: Eight killed in Iran Armaments Plant Blast-Naharnet
Statement by Canada's Minister
of Foreign Affairs on the Situation
in Israel and the Gaza Strip
December 27, 2008/No. 252
The Honourable Lawrence Cannon, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the
following statement regarding the situation in Israel and the Gaza Strip:
“Canada is deeply concerned by the escalation of violence in Southern Israel and
the Gaza Strip and by the loss of life and the suffering sustained by all sides.
“Israel has a clear right to defend itself against the continued rocket attacks
by Palestinian militant groups which have deliberately targeted civilians. First
and foremost, those rocket attacks must stop. At the same time, we urge both
sides to use all efforts to avoid civilian casualties and to create the
conditions to allow safe and unhindered humanitarian access to those in need in
Gaza.“In addition to calling for immediate calm, we urge renewed efforts to reach a
ceasefire between Hamas and Israel and for Israeli and Palestinian leaders to
remain committed to finding a comprehensive peace settlement.”
Peace with Syria? Too
costly
By EFRAIM INBAR /Jerusalem Post
The lame duck prime minister, Ehud Olmert, stated that peace with Syria can be
clinched in a short time, and immediately flew to Ankara to accept the Syrian
territorial demands to fish in the Sea of Galilee. He obviously prefers to go
down as peacemaker rather than a crook.
Much of the Golan Heights is still mined.
This seems to be the only logical explanation for his hyperactivity on the
Syrian track. The mere opening of indirect negotiations with Damascus via the
services provided by Ankara lacked any diplomatic logic. Why should Israel help
Bashar Assad escape his international isolation following his mischievous
behavior in Iraq and Lebanon? Indeed, the Bush administration is justified in
its anger with the Syrian dictator for allowing insurgents access to Iraq via
Syria and for undermining the Seniora pro-Western regime in Beirut.
The most important reason why Israel should not engage Syria is that the state
has nothing significant to offer. A peace treaty with Syria does not improve the
strategic situation. Nothing beats the status quo.
Politically, the desire for an embassy in Damascus is too costly. Giving up the
strategic Golan plateau deprives Israel of its best defense against potential
Syrian aggression. It also signals weakness and undermines deterrence.
Economically, uprooting 20,000 Jews and the attempts to resettle them will cost
at least $20 billion. In these difficult economic times, this will pose a heavy
burden on the economy, not to mention the deep psychological effects on society.
The cost of a peace treaty nowadays is clear, as is the current quid pro quo. A
treaty with Syria will not improve the country's strategic situation. Generally,
Israel has little to gain from economic or cultural interactions with the Arab
world.
Our neighbors have not opened up to globalization and have remained poor, an
unappetizing market for our products. Moreover, their societies are despotic,
corrupt, fanatic and in deep cultural crises. The Arab world has nothing to
offer and Israel should keep its distance.
Moreover, at this particular historic junction Syria carries little weight in
the Arab world. The Arab states do not fear a Syrian veto on relations with
Israel. More precisely, the Saudi initiative indicates Arab willingness to
accommodate Israel in facing the Iranian nuclear challenge. Many Arab states
share deep concerns about Syria's strategic relationship with Iran and its
rising power in the Middle East.
The naďve belief that territorial concessions will dissuade Syria from
continuing its cozy relationship with Teheran is baseless. Precisely those who
belittle the strategic importance of the Golan Heights believe that Syria
ascribes great importance to this piece of territory and its transfer to Syrian
hands could change the foreign policy orientation of Damascus. Henry Kissinger,
former US secretary of state, tried unsuccessfully to move Syria toward a
pro-American orientation in 1976. Under more auspicious international
circumstances, after the Cold War, the formidable US secretary of state James
Baker tried again but failed. Even when Washington was the only game in town,
the Syrians preferred no ties with the Americans.
Many analysts ignore the fact that the regime in Damascus is similar to the
dictatorial anti-American regimes in Havana and Pyongyang. Unfortunately, there
is a genuine dislike of Uncle Sam in these capitals and an opening up to the
West is a mortal danger for these despotic regimes. Why would Bashar Assad jump
on a pro-American bandwagon, when the US displayed weakness by electing Barack
Obama, a man willing to talk to Iran and advocating an early withdrawal from
Iraq? A declining United States is not a desirable ally.
Similarly far-fetched is the expectation that Damascus would stop arms and cash
flow to Hizbullah and would expel the Islamic Jihad and Hamas headquarters from
Syria. Lebanon is still of great importance to Syria, and it is unlikely Assad
will relinquish his influence on Lebanese politics. Similarly, Assad will be
reluctant to refrain from intervening in Palestinian politics. The expectations
that the Syrian regime will behave differently than in the past betrays an
ignorance of Middle Eastern politics, and espouses unfounded optimism. In
reality, Assad clearly stated that Syria's foreign policy will not be hostage to
an Israeli-Palestinian agreement.
The status quo, quite bearable from an Israeli point of view, has been stable
since 1973 because Israel is militarily stronger than Syria. As long as the
power differential continues, there is little chance for a Syrian challenge to
the status quo. Syrians are not unfamiliar with power politics. Indeed, in
facing Turkish superiority they gave up their claim to the Alexandretta region,
five times as large as the Golan.
Leaders such as Olmert are dangerous even during their last hours in power.
Fortunately, they can not muster a majority in the Knesset for a reckless move
on the Golan.
**The author is professor of political studies at Bar-Ilan University and
director of the Begin-Sadat (BESA) Center for Strategic Studies
Suleiman
from the South: Lebanon is not a Platform for Launching Rockets
Naharnet/Lebanese
President Michel Suleiman said everyone must respect Lebanon and its sovereignty
and not to turn it into a platform for launching rockets.
The president stressed that this can no longer be tolerated following the
deployment of the Lebanese armed forces and United Nations International Forces
in Lebanon (UNIFIL) that are working on implementing UNSCR 1701.
During an inspection visit to the south of Lebanon on Saturday accompanied by
Defense Minister Elias el-Murr and Chief of Armed Forces Gen. Jean Qahwaji,
Suleiman said: "Lebanon is an oasis of understanding and not an arena for
conflicts and for settling scores."
"Lebanon continues to support the righteous Palestinian cause, and in particular
the Palestinian right of return to their homes, meaning a rejection for settling
them in Lebanon," Suleiman said.
He pointed to continued Israeli violations against Lebanon's sovereignty,
violation of UNSCR 1701 and occupation of Lebanese territories.
"This is an aggression against Lebanese security and stability, it threatens our
economy and the livelihood of Lebanese," Suleiman explained.
He called on Israel to respect its international commitments in implementing
international resolutions and law.
The president pointed to the importance of the Lebanese military institution
adding it must remain far removed from any political polarizations, stressing
that the military must present a transparent image of their institution as
should all state institutions do. He stressed that the state reverence must not
be shaken in particular at the upcoming spring elections.
Suleiman rejected the saying that the military could easily be divided.
"The army contrary to what was being said in the past cannot be divided. This is
the rule today; this has been achieved with the sacrifices made by the military
to maintain the country and allow state institutions to function properly,"
president said.
UNIFIL Commander Major General Claudio Graziano and other high leading officers
received Suleiman at Naqoura. The president placed a wreath at the UNIFIL
memorial in south Lebanon.
Major General Graziano briefed the president on the investigations concerning
the adduction of two Lebanese farmers by Israeli forces (the farmers were later
returned to Lebanon) and the discovery of Katyousha rockets placed close to the
Lebanese-Israeli border.
The UNIFIL Commander stated that 5 of the posted rockets were 122- mm caliber
and two of 105-mm. Caliber.
From Naqoura Suleiman headed to Qana, he was received by MP Ali Khraeis and a
number of municipality heads. He placed a wreath at the Qana memorial.
The president moved to the military barracks at Sour (Tyre) he addressed the
military saying: "UNSCR 1701 has not been implemented, there are daily and many
Israeli violations by Israel. There is also the Ghajar village that remains
occupied. There is not border dispute there, there are the Shebaa farms and that
Kfar Shouba hills…Israel must implement its international commitments, the
international community is responsible for following up the implementation of
these commitments."
"We also have to pay attention to fighting terrorism. We shall do so with our
full will. If we have the will we would conquer terrorism. What is important is
that terrorists feel that we are strongly capable, that we are not afraid that
we won't run away," Suleiman said. Beirut, 28 Dec 08, 09:48
Sfeir:
The Political Middle Ground is beneficial for a Country Like Lebanon
Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Sfeir said that Political middle ground is
beneficial for a country like Lebanon that has various political movements and
trends.
The Patriarch on Saturday received a delegation from the Identity and
Sovereignty Gathering. "Some of you have a great background in political
affairs, we hope that you would use this past at your new gathering," Sfeir
said. The Maronite Patriarch received various popular delegations and political
figures that wished him season's greetings. Beirut, 28 Dec 08, 10:23
Suleiman from the South: Lebanon is not a Platform for
Launching Rockets
Naharnet/Lebanese President Michel Suleiman said everyone must respect Lebanon
and its sovereignty and not to turn it into a platform for launching rockets.
The president stressed that this can no longer be tolerated following the
deployment of the Lebanese armed forces and United Nations International Forces
in Lebanon (UNIFIL) that are working on implementing UNSCR 1701. During an
inspection visit to the south of Lebanon on Saturday accompanied by Defense
Minister Elias el-Murr and Chief of Armed Forces Gen. Jean Qahwaji, Suleiman
said: "Lebanon is an oasis of understanding and not an arena for conflicts and
for settling scores."
"Lebanon continues to support the righteous Palestinian cause, and in particular
the Palestinian right of return to their homes, meaning a rejection for settling
them in Lebanon," Suleiman said. He pointed to continued Israeli violations
against Lebanon's sovereignty, violation of UNSCR 1701 and occupation of
Lebanese territories.
"This is an aggression against Lebanese security and stability, it threatens our
economy and the livelihood of Lebanese," Suleiman explained.
He called on Israel to respect its international commitments in implementing
international resolutions and law. The president pointed to the importance of
the Lebanese military institution adding it must remain far removed from any
political polarizations, stressing that the military must present a transparent
image of their institution as should all state institutions do. He stressed that
the state reverence must not be shaken in particular at the upcoming spring
elections.
Suleiman rejected the saying that the military could easily be divided.
"The army contrary to what was being said in the past cannot be divided. This is
the rule today; this has been achieved with the sacrifices made by the military
to maintain the country and allow state institutions to function properly,"
president said.
UNIFIL Commander Major General Claudio Graziano and other high leading officers
received Suleiman at Naqoura. The president placed a wreath at the UNIFIL
memorial in south Lebanon.
Major General Graziano briefed the president on the investigations concerning
the adduction of two Lebanese farmers by Israeli forces (the farmers were later
returned to Lebanon) and the discovery of Katyousha rockets placed close to the
Lebanese-Israeli border.
The UNIFIL Commander stated that 5 of the posted rockets were 122- mm caliber
and two of 105-mm. Caliber.
From Naqoura Suleiman headed to Qana, he was received by MP Ali Khraeis and a
number of municipality heads. He placed a wreath at the Qana memorial.
The president moved to the military barracks at Sour (Tyre) he addressed the
military saying: "UNSCR 1701 has not been implemented, there are daily and many
Israeli violations by Israel. There is also the Ghajar village that remains
occupied. There is not border dispute there, there are the Shebaa farms and that
Kfar Shouba hills…Israel must implement its international commitments, the
international community is responsible for following up the implementation of
these commitments."
"We also have to pay attention to fighting terrorism. We shall do so with our
full will. If we have the will we would conquer terrorism. What is important is
that terrorists feel that we are strongly capable, that we are not afraid that
we won't run away," Suleiman said. Beirut, 28 Dec 08, 09:48
March 14: Israeli Massacres Require Global Action,
Palestinian Unity
Naharnet/The majority March 14 alliance described Israel's massive air raids on
Gaza Saturday as "barbaric massacres."
A statement by the coalition supported a call by Prime Minister Fouad Saniora
for an emergency Arab League meeting to adopt an Arab stance to "face up to
Israeli terrorism.""These barbaric massacres require a wide-scale Arab and
international action to deter Israel and force it to stop its aggression," said
the statement.
These massacres "also require restoration of Palestinian unity and an end to
Palestinian divide," the statement added.
It said March 14 leaders express solidarity with the Palestinian people and
their just cause in line with a comprehensive settlement based on U.N.
resolutions, particularly 1850."Harmony of the Lebanese government's policy with
this general trend and requirements, to strengthen Res. 1701, is a higher
national interest," March 14 said. Beirut, 27 Dec 08, 20:09
Hizbullah Calls for Speedy Global Action against Israeli
Raids on Gaza
Naharnet/Hizbullah on Saturday called for speedy global and U.N. action against
massive Israeli raids on the Gaza Strip that left at least 205 Palestinians
killed.
"What is going on in Gaza Strip is an Israeli war crime and represents
genocide," said a Hizbullah statement. It also "calls for speedy U.N. action as
well as action by the international community because silence is tantamount to
complicity in this aggression," added the statement. "The nations are requested
to stand firm against the Israeli barbarism -- covered internationally and by
America -- to halt the ongoing massacre," the statement said. Beirut, 27 Dec 08,
16:32
Protesters Demonstrate near Egypt Embassy after Israel
Raids on Gaza
Naharnet/Hundreds of protesters against Israel's deadly raids on the Gaza Strip
demonstrated near the Egyptian embassy in Lebanon on Saturday amid a greatly
reinforced security presence, an AFP journalist said. The embassy was
transformed into a veritable fortress as dozens of soldiers and other members of
the security forces were deployed. The protesters, mostly from Hizbullah
stronghold in Beirut's southern suburbs, were kept several hundred meters away
from the building in the Bir Hassan area, where other Arab embassies are also
located. Riot police prevented demonstrators and journalists from approaching
the embassy complex by blocking off nearby streets. Some shots were also heard,
but it was not known who fired them. In Cairo on Thursday, Israeli Foreign
Minister Tzipi Livni vowed to strike back at the Islamist Hamas rulers of Gaza
after a sharp escalation of violence in the Palestinian territory dashed hopes
of a new truce. A six-month truce ended on December 19. Hamas said Saturday's
blitz killed at least 160 people and medics said around 300 people were wounded,
120 of them seriously. Earlier hundreds more Palestinians protested in south
Lebanon. Demonstrators in Ain el-Hilweh -- the largest of the country's 12
refugee camps with 45,000 residents -- burned tires and dustbins and blocked the
main road.(AFP) Beirut, 27 Dec 08, 17:06
Aoun's Christmas Greeting to Sfeir
Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun on Saturday called on Maronite
Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir at the latter's seat in Bkirki to relay Christmas
greetings.
Aoun made no statement to reporters after the 15-minute meeting. Beirut, 27 Dec
08, 14:48
The waiting game
Bassel Oudat
Syria is looking forward to Obama taking the reins of US power, hopeful he will
end its isolation, writes Bassel Oudat from Damascus
Syrian-US relations plummeted over the past five years into depths unseen since
1967. Differences ensued over the US military invasion of Iraq in 2003, which
Syria -- sitting on the UN Security Council at the time -- strongly opposed.
Following the occupation of Iraq, Syria cooperated with the US in fighting
terror. It prevented volunteers from Arab and foreign countries from using its
territories to reach Iraq, arresting some and deporting others. It exchanged
security information with the US and pledged to tighten its borders with Iraq
even more. But this wasn't enough. Washington continued to accuse Syria of
sponsoring terror and facilitating the passage of "terrorists" into Iraq.
In summer 2004, Syria helped obtain a three-year extension for Lebanese
President Emile Lahoud. The move divided Lebanon and alienated the Americans.
Relations hit rock bottom when Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Al-Hariri was
assassinated in February 2005. Acting under pressure from France and the US,
Syria pulled out of Lebanon within months, ending 29 years of military presence
in that country. With Paris and Washington insisting that Damascus had a hand in
Al-Hariri's murder, the UN Security Council ordered an investigation into the
case. Washington pulled its ambassador to Syria out and called for a change in
Syria's "conduct".
To press the point, Washington imposed sanctions on Syria's main commercial bank
and airliner, prohibited the supply of spare parts to Syrian companies, froze
the assets of two private companies, including one owned by Rami Makhlouf, the
cousin of President Bashar Al-Assad, and refrained to talk to officials
suspected of terror connections. Furthermore, Washington urged its European
allies to do the same. As a result, the European Commission declined to sign a
partnership deal with Syria that was initiated in 2004. It became clear that
Syria needed a way out of rapidly approaching isolation. But first it had to
change its policies on Iraq, Lebanon, Palestinian organisations and Iran.
Tensions between Syria and the West remained high until French President Nicolas
Sarkozy suggested that dialogue with Syria might prove more fruitful than
pressure and threats. Eventually, Syria began to revise its policies. It
accepted a settlement in Lebanon, agreed to a calming-down period in Palestine,
tightened its borders with Iraq against possible infiltrators and, in April,
launched Turkish-mediated indirect talks with Israel. During a visit to Paris,
President Al-Assad suggested that the talks with Israel would become more
successful if Washington were to sponsor them. For a while, it seemed that the
Bush administration would have no excuse for keeping the heat on Syria. Some
optimists even predicted a return of the US ambassador. But this wasn't to be.
In April 2008, Washington accused Syria of cooperating with North Korea in
nuclear production. US officials claimed that the Kibar facility in northeast
Syria (bombed in December 2007 by the Israelis) was the site of a nuclear
reactor intended to enrich plutonium. The International Atomic Energy Agency
sent experts to Syria but couldn't reach a firm conclusion. Syria dismissed the
accusations as part of a negative publicity campaign.
Things took a turn for the worse when US troops landed near Abu Kamal on the
Syrian-Iraqi borders and launched an attack against what the US claimed were
terrorists. The Syrians said that eight people died, all civilians, including
women and children. Damascus retaliated by pulling its guards from the Iraqi
borders and shutting down the American Cultural Centre and the American School
in Damascus.
Despite his pro-Israeli statements, Syria hopes that relations with Washington
will improve once Obama takes over as US president. Syria's information minister
said that Obama's election would give a push to peace and help alleviate the
region's problems. A delegation of Obama aides visited Damascus to discuss
regional matters within weeks of Obama's victory. Syrian diplomats took the
occasion to voice resolve in fighting "terror", keeping things quiet in
Palestine, encouraging stability in Lebanon and Iraq, and keeping up talks with
Israel. In particular, Damascus seemed eager to have Washington mediate in talks
with Israel.
In December, former US President Jimmy Carter visited Damascus and said that he
expected Syrian-US relations to warm once Obama takes over. Carter added that
Washington is likely to become involved in Syrian-Israeli talks.
Obama's choice of Hillary Clinton as secretary of state dampened Syrian hopes,
however. Clinton is known for her pro-Israeli views and her dislike for Hamas
and Iran. But one of Clinton's associates, Martin Indyk, said that the "gap can
be bridged" between Damascus and Washington.
Despite their discomfort with Clinton, Syrian leaders hope that the next US
administration will improve ties between the two countries, mainly through
returning the US ambassador to Damascus, lifting sanctions, and sponsoring
Syrian- Israeli talks. Syrian diplomats believe that Obama's administration will
recognise the importance of the Syrian role in the region and stop pushing
Damascus around. In return, Damascus is willing to be more accommodating in its
regional policies.
© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved
Israel to reprise Lebanon war in Gaza?
Sun Dec 28, 2008
By Dan Williams
JERUSALEM, Dec 28 (Reuters) - Goaded by Islamist guerrillas' cross-border
attacks, Israel goes to war with a surprise aerial onslaught. Troops and tanks
follow, to gain ground and pressure foreign powers into imposing a truce the
Israelis can live with. The strategy used by Prime Minister Ehud Olmert for an
offensive in Lebanon in 2006 could again be deployed against Hamas in the Gaza
Strip.
But there are big differences in the handling of the military operation in Gaza,
which the Israeli air force started pounding on Saturday, and it is not clear
how regional stability might benefit, let alone peace talks with Palestinians.
For now, Israeli officials sound satisfied with an operation in Gaza that shows
few of the tactical mistakes of the 2006 war on Lebanese Hezbollah.
Fewer than half of Gaza's many dead are civilians, Israeli border towns were
better prepared this time for retaliatory rocket fire and the Olmert government
has not promised big victories. International censure has so far been largely
limited to urging a return to an Egyptian-brokered ceasefire that expired on Dec
19.
"Israel certainly underwent a lesson-learning process" after Lebanon, cabinet
secretary Oved Yehezkel told Israel Radio.
Hamas has made a new ceasefire conditional on Israel ending an embargo on Gaza,
and Israeli officials have hinted they also want new terms met -- such an end to
arms smuggling by Hamas and the release of a captive soldier, Gilad Shalit.
While strikes continue, neither side is giving quarter.
"Hamas knows our demands, and there's no use to talking about them publicly,"
said one Israeli defence official. "Until Hamas signals that it's ready to back
down, all we can do is continue placing a hefty 'price tag' on its rocket
attacks."
Israel's relative reticence may mask uncertainty over how far this assault will
go. Although its forces have massed on the border, Israel is in no rush for a
reoccupation of the congested, poor and deeply hostile Palestinian territory.
That means exhausting a "bank" of Hamas sites that can be bombed by the Israeli
air force, although the Lebanon war showed such raids can quickly push up the
civilian casualty toll.
"What do we do when the target bank runs out? And what if we end up with another
Kafr Qana?" asked one Israeli diplomat, referring to a village where the killing
of dozens of unarmed Lebanese drained support for driving back Hezbollah.
CONTINGENCY PLANS
Whereas the Lebanon war ended in a U.N.-brokered ceasefire that beefed up a
foreign peacekeeper force in Hezbollah's former heartland, such a presence is
considered anathema for Gaza.
"There was talk of it (Gaza peacekeepers) a while back, but nothing happened as
no one wanted to contribute troops," said Yigal Palmor, an Israeli Foreign
Ministry spokesman. Hamas has long said it would regard any foreign peacekeepers
as invaders.
According to the defence official, Israel has contingency plans for a Gaza sweep
in which Hamas would be crushed and the territory handed to the Islamists'
rival, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who seeks a peace accord with the
Jewish state.
But Palmor dismissed such an idea as "fringe idiocy". It would depict Abbas as
little more than an Israeli stooge, and to many Palestinians his credibility is
already sapped by his failure to shelve diplomacy altogether over the Gaza
violence.
"We want quiet, and for Israelis and Palestinians to be able to address their
differences through dialogue," Palmor said, alluding to Hamas's refusal to
accept coexistence with Israel.
Hamas has said it will not surrender to Israel, but its top politician in Gaza,
Ismail Haniyeh, signalled on Sunday that the group feels isolated in a region
where some states dislike the axis formed by Hamas with its Iranian and Syrian
patrons.
In televised comments apparently intended for Egypt and other Arab countries
aligned with the United States, Haniyeh urged a "responsible Arab decision to
end the (Gaza) siege".
Egypt, which also borders Gaza, has shown little desire to break with the
embargo. Cairo could instead propose that Hamas submit to Abbas's authority, in
exchange for which Israel would end the Gaza assault and ease economic
restrictions on the territory.
"The sense is that we have to wait to see what Egypt pulls out of its hat," said
the Israeli diplomat.
Until then, Israel appears to be targeting the Egypt-Gaza frontier as part of
its effort to step up pressure on Hamas.
Hundreds of cross-border tunnels allow the Palestinians to smuggle in arms and
commercial goods, circumventing the embargo to a limited degree. Many of those
secret passages may have been destroyed by Israel's bombing runs over southern
Gaza.
(Editing by Timothy Heritage)