LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
January 21/09
Bible Reading of the
day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ
according to Saint Mark 2,23-28. As he was passing through a field of grain on
the sabbath, his disciples began to make a path while picking the heads of
grain. At this the Pharisees said to him, "Look, why are they doing what is
unlawful on the sabbath?" He said to them, "Have you never read what David did
when he was in need and he and his companions were hungry? How he went into the
house of God when Abiathar was high priest and ate the bread of offering that
only the priests could lawfully eat, and shared it with his companions?" Then he
said to them, "The sabbath was made for man, not man for the sabbath. That is
why the Son of Man is lord even of the sabbath."
Aelred of Rielvaux (1110-1167), Cistercian monk
Mirror of Charity, III, ch.3 (trans. Geoffrey Webb and Alan Walker)/"The sabbath
was made for man"
When a man goes in, as it were, to the secret place of his soul, turning his
back on all the noise and worry and vanity of the outside world, he shuts the
door and looks around, and what does he find? Here all is at peace, all is in
order. There is nothing to cause remorse. Everything gives him joy and conduces
to calm. Like a well-ordered family, all his thoughts, words and deeds are
gathered about him, and he can smile on them benevolently like a father in a
disciplined household. And this gives rise in his heart to a wonderful sense of
security, and his security gives him such a joy and happiness that he cannot but
thank and praise God the more fervently for his blessings. This is the seventh
day of rest that is only made possible by six days of labor, for we must expend
our energy in good works before we can take our rest with a peaceful conscience.
A clear conscience is born of zealous works, and we cannot love ourselves unless
we have a good conscience enabling us to love our neighbour as ourselves (Mt
22,39).
Free Opinions, Releases, letters &
Special Reports
Bush Will Be Vindicated Against
Terror.By Walid Phares. 20/01/09
Syria, Lebanon and the
U.S.Jean-Pierre Katrib 20/01/09
Despite its Threats, Hamas
Put Up Light Resistance-AP
20/01/09
Decision Time for Hamas.By Abdul
Rahman Al-Rashed 02/01/09
Interview with Syrian
Presiden Bashar Assad from the Spiegel news magazine 20/01/09
Keeping Iran's finger out of the post-war Gaza pie-Jerusalem
Post 20/01/09
Latest News Reports From
Miscellaneous Sources for January 20/09
Sfeir Against Deadly Mixture of Politics with
Religion-Naharnet
Arab
leaders emphasize Gaza reconstruction efforts-Xinhua,
Gaza Reconstruction Efforts Face
Political Hurdles-AHN
U.N. chief visits Gaza Strip to
inspect damage from offensive-AP
Iraqi FM: Arabs unable to agree on Gaza statement-The
Associated Press
Aoun: Rhetoric against President
Reflects March 14 Way of Thinking-Naharnet
Aoun Attacks March 14-Naharnet
Saniora: Lebanon First Beneficiary From Kuwait's Reconciliation-Naharnet
Jumblat, Hariri Discuss Impact of Arab Reconciliation-Naharnet
Lebanon Informed U.S. of Measures to Curb Katyusha Fire-Naharnet
Sayyed Declined to
Confront Fatah Islam Terrorist for 9th Time-Naharnet
Berri: Israel Would
Monitor Gaza and Syria Borders-Naharnet
Hariri Calls for
Solidarity with King Abdullah's Call-Naharnet
Pakradouni from Rabieh:
The Understanding Between Hizbullah and the FPM Protected Lebanon-Naharnet
Jumblat Warns Against
Setting Up Wiretap Program at Communications Ministry-Naharnet
Aoun: Rhetoric against President Reflects March 14 Way of Thinking
Naharnet/Free Patriotic Movement leader Gen. Michel Aoun blamed the rhetoric
against President Michel Suleiman in a recent demonstration on the March 14
"school of thought." "The school of thought of March 14 brought forth turmoil
during demonstrations while the school of understanding that we had built (with
Hizbullah) did not result in shattering a windshield," Aoun said Monday. The FPM
leader, talking to reporters after the weekly meeting of his Change and Reform
parliamentary bloc, denied Hizbullah had attacked President Suleiman during
recent anti-Israeli protests in Awkar. He said his FPM would be the last faction
to announce its candidates for the forthcoming elections. Aoun congratulated
Arab leaders for the reconciliation achieved during the Kuwait summit. He
recalled that he had said in a lecture in Damascus that Israel would not emerge
victorious after its 2006 war with Hizbullah and expressed hope that "the recent
events in Gaza have confirmed my viewpoint."
Beirut, 19 Jan 09, 20:09
Saniora: Lebanon First Beneficiary From Kuwait's
Reconciliation
Naharnet/Prime Minister Fouad Saniora said Monday the initiative of Saudi King
Abdullah has paved the way for Arabs to handle their basic issues and protect
their rights. Saniora, who is attending the first Arab Economic Summit in
Kuwait, said: "We in Lebanon are the first to benefit from this (Saudi)
initiative. Our strength and unity is multiplied by theirs (the Arabs), and we
are the first to encourage and welcome this reconciliation and initiative."
"President Michel Suleiman and I worked on joining and supporting (Arab) lines,"
Saniora said. He went on to add that the Saudi King has opened the door wide for
all Arabs to unite in the face of Arab causes. "What happened is not the end of
problems that we as Arabs face, rather it is the right path for confronting our
issues," he said. "We have to seriously think of how best to invest this
initiative to our interest on all internal Lebanese, inter-Arab and
international levels" particularly when U.S. President-elect Barak Obama is
moving into the White House. Saniora said that the Saudi monarch was a pioneer
in proposing his (peace), initiative at the 2002 Arab summit in Beirut, adding:
"He was a pioneer once again in stretching his hand to his brethren to overcome
the past." The prime minister paid tribute to King Abdullah's $1 billion
donation for rebuilding Gaza, reminding reporters of the monarch's similar
donation to Lebanon following the July 2006 war. Beirut, 20 Jan 09, 12:23
Jumblat, Hariri Discuss Impact of Arab Reconciliation
Naharnet/Democratic Gathering leader Walid Jumblat met overnight with Future
Movement leader Saad Hariri at his mansion in Qoreitem.
The daily Al Liwa on Tuesday said Hariri and Jumblat discussed the impact of the
Arab reconciliation on Lebanon.They also discussed the impact of decisions taken
at the Kuwait summit. Beirut, 20 Jan 09, 08:42
Lebanon Informed U.S. of Measures to Curb Katyusha Fire
Naharnet/Lebanon has assured the U.S. State Department that measures had been
taken together with the U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to curb further
Katyusha fire from south Lebanon into northern Israel.
The daily An Nahar on Tuesday said the Lebanese stand was made after U.S.
sources voiced fear over the rocket attacks against Israel during the conflict
in Gaza.
The sources said the U.S. sources, however, hurried to announce that Washington
is aware that the Lebanese government is exerting lots of effort to prevent
recurrence of such attacks. They said Principle Deputy Assistant Secretary of
State for Near Eastern Affairs Jeffrey Feltman and his assistant David Hill
exchanged views with Lebanon's ambassador to Washington Antoine Shedid on this
matter. Beirut, 20 Jan 09, 08:23
Berri: Israel Would Monitor Gaza and Syria Borders
Naharnet/Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Monday said the most serious outcome
of the Gaza confrontation is that Israel is "determined on achieving security
arrangements with the United States and NATO to monitor the borders of Gaza and
Syria." Berri, speaking to a delegation representing the Syndicate of Newspaper
Editors, also said the military intelligence is aware of "the identity of those
who had fired rockets from south Lebanon" towards Israel. He refused to disclose
further details. He urged "all the Lebanese (factions) to be keen on Lebanese
unity and Palestinian unity." Berri reiterated that "naturalization of
Palestinian refugees would be achieved the moment the rifle and the resistance
spirit fall." Lebanon, Berri concluded, "was united in the July (2006) war and
is united this time."
Beirut, 19 Jan 09, 21:02
Sayyed Declined to Confront Fatah Islam Terrorist for 9th
Time
Naharnet/Maj. Gen. Jamil Sayyed, who is facing charges of involvement in the
2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, has refrained from
appearing in court to confront leading Fatah al-Islam Suspect Ahmed Merhi.
Sayyed refused to go to court in handcuffs, press reports said Tuesday. Merhi
was arrested in an Ashrafiyeh hotel in the summer of 2007 during the fighting
between the Lebanese army and Fatah al-Islam fighters in the northern refugee
camp of Nahr al-Bared only to find out later that he is a key Fatah Islam
member. Beirut, 20 Jan 09, 10:01
Hariri Calls for Solidarity with King Abdullah's Call
Naharnet/Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri on Monday called for "solidarity
with the pan-Arab trend" voiced by Saudi Monarch King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz
during his address at the Kuwait Summit. Hariri also urged the various
Palestinian factions to cooperate with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's
efforts aimed at consolidating Palestinian ranks to "end the era of foreign
hegemony … and put an end to controlling the Palestinians' right to take their
own decisions without any foreign intervention." Hariri told members of his
Mustaqbal Parliamentary Bloc that King Abdullah's address "re-launches the
Arabs' role and sets the stage for a new era." Beirut, 19 Jan 09, 19:26
Pakradouni from Rabieh: The Understanding Between Hizbullah
and the FPM Protected Lebanon
Naharnet/Former Minister Karim Pakradouni said that the understanding between
Hizbullah and Gen. Michel Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) "protected
Lebanon." Following his meeting with Aoun at his residence in Rabieh on Monday,
Pakradouni said: "The understanding between the two sides is more and more
becoming a strategic stance."Pakradouni explained that Hizbullah is committed to
this understanding, and has not used its arms in the interior despite the fact
that it is closely related in thought and creed to the Palestinian cause.
Regarding Gaza, Pakradouni said: "Clearly Hamas has defeated Israel. This is
proof once again that Israel cannot defeat the resistance.""Furthermore,
resistance is a shield, that is why Israel never dared to open any front in
Lebanon," Pakradouni said.
He went further to add: "The resistance knows how to protect the country and
take responsibility in not engulfing Lebanon in any battle." Beirut, 20 Jan 09,
10:07
Jumblat Warns Against Setting Up Wiretap Program at Communications Ministry
Naharnet/Progressive Socialist party leader Walid Jumblat on Monday warned that
allies of Syria and Iran could "strike at the Doha Accord" prior to the
forthcoming elections. Jumblat, in an article to be published Tuesday by the
PSP's weekly al-Anbaa, also praised the stand voiced by President Michel
Suleiman during the recent Doha meeting, especially his adherence to the Arab
peace Initiative. He described Suleiman's stand as "important." "The
consultative gathering held in Doha last week achieved only a decision to severe
ties with Israel, which did not require a summit, or even a semi-summit,"
Jumblat wrote. He believed that launching rockets from southern Lebanon
"necessitates the implementation of the decisions of the previous dialogue,
particularly the issue of the so-called Palestinian arms outside refugee
camps."Jumblat feared Palestinian weapons could "remain a sword hanging over the
heads of the Lebanese people as well as the political authority and is capable
of blowing up the situation in the south again without a decision taken by the
Lebanese government." Jumblat also warned against "the reported setting up of a
new wiretap monitoring department at the ministry of communications … It could
aim at bugging calls and blocking efforts by the International Committee probing
the Hariri crime."
"Do they want to block the International tribunal?" he asked. Beirut, 19 Jan 09,
14:45
Despite its Threats, Hamas Put Up Light Resistance
20/01/2009
JERUSALEM (AP) — Before Israel invaded the Gaza Strip, Hamas vowed to turn the
territory into a "graveyard" for Israeli soldiers, and the military braced for
dozens of fatalities. The results were markedly different.
The Islamic militant group's fighters put up little resistance to Israel's
crushing offensive, and the army — still smarting from its stalemate with
Hezbollah guerrillas in their 2006 conflict in southern Lebanon — emerged
relatively unscathed and more confident.
Israel wrapped up its three-week offensive over the weekend, leaving behind
widespread devastation and a death toll of more than 1,250 Palestinians,
according to Gaza medical officials. In contrast, Israel suffered just nine
combat deaths, four of them from "friendly fire."
To be sure, Hamas' battlefield losses could be offset by other gains, depending
on how postwar politics play out. By standing up to Israel and firing hundreds
of rockets into the Jewish state throughout the fighting, it appears to have
boosted its standing, especially in the Arab world.
Yet soldiers returning from the battlefield said they were surprised by the lack
of resistance from Hamas, a group that receives backing from Iran and had vowed
to inflict heavy losses on Israeli troops.
In an interview, an infantry reservist who fought in Gaza said he and his
comrades experienced only light combat during over a week inside. They took no
casualties, he said, speaking on condition of anonymity because army regulations
prohibit troops from giving interviews.
"There was some sniper fire and a few mortar shells, but face-to-face — nothing
like that," he told The Associated Press, crediting the army's use of
overwhelming firepower. The infantry were backed by tanks, artillery and
airstrikes as they made their way into Gaza.
Another soldier offered a similar assessment.
"We set a date with Hamas, and they didn't come. They were afraid to come and
face us, and they ran away," the unidentified soldier told Army Radio on Monday
from an encampment just outside Gaza.
Israel opened the offensive with a weeklong aerial barrage. The surprise
bombardment on the first day, Dec. 27, might have crippled Hamas, erasing many
of its bases and driving its leaders into hiding. With an eye toward maintaining
control in Gaza after the fighting, Hamas also might have decided not to risk
its militiamen in battle.
Whatever the reason, Hamas fighters — using booby traps, missiles, mortar shells
and light weapons — inflicted little damage on Israeli forces. For a guerrilla
group operating on its urban home turf, it wasn't much of a fight.
One senior military officer said Israel partly owed its light casualties to
luck. He mentioned a company of infantrymen from the Givati Brigade who spent a
night in a commandeered school. In the morning, a soldier discovered the wire of
a bomb that was supposed to blow the building up. The militants who were
supposed to press the detonator apparently fled before the soldiers arrived, the
officer said.
The army expected much fiercer fighting and dozens of Israeli fatalities,
defense officials said. They spoke on condition of anonymity because the
information was classified. Despite its losses, Hamas remains firmly in control
of Gaza, and the fact that it took on Israel is likely to boost its image.
Throughout the fighting, the group managed to keep firing rockets and hit deeper
than ever inside Israel — perhaps its main military achievement.
"There was a world war against Gaza. We, at least, were happy that somebody was
able to retaliate," said Hatem Wahdan, a 49-year-old from the northern town of
Jebaliya who spent much of the fighting sheltering in a U.N. school. Hamas
claims its fighting strength is intact.
Ismail Haniyeh, the Hamas prime minister of Gaza, declared a "heavenly victory"
Sunday in an address televised from his hideout.
Abu Obeida, a spokesman for Hamas' military wing, claimed at a news conference
Monday that Hamas fighters had killed 80 Israeli soldiers and shot down four
helicopters. "We did not kneel down, we did not surrender, we did not raise the
white flag," he said.
The Israeli army called his account "completely wrong."
Despite the initial praise for Hamas, the events of the past weeks could
eventually hurt the group's standing among Palestinians and abroad, said Jamil
Rabbah, director of Near East Consulting, a Palestinian polling institute based
in the West Bank.
"What I've been seeing in many Internet chat rooms over the past two or three
days is: `Where is Hamas? ... What happened?'," he said.
Hamas' results were far short of Hezbollah's performance in its 2006 war with
Israel.
The Lebanese guerrilla group killed 120 Israeli soldiers during a month of
hit-and-run fighting in southern Lebanon and an additional 40 Israeli civilians
with rocket attacks, drawing adulation in the Arab world. Hezbollah has far more
freedom of movement than Hamas and better equipment. But with both backed by
Iran and motivated by radical Islamic theology, the two groups had become
conflated in the minds of Israelis. That view was fueled by military
intelligence reports that Hamas had turned itself from a ragtag militia into a
Hezbollah-style force of many thousands that prepared fortifications and
booby-traps to greet invading Israeli troops. During the fighting, Hamas sent
out text messages to reporters claiming its fighters destroyed tanks and armored
personnel carriers, blew up a house full of Israeli troops, and captured two
soldiers. All of those things were accomplished by Hezbollah in 2006. None was
true this time.
Both sides have an interest in inflating the results of the Gaza fighting: Hamas
wants to avoid the humiliation of appearing weak, while Israel wants to give the
impression that it crushed a formidable foe. "Whoever reads the Israeli media
would think the military fought the most glorious war in its history, but that
isn't accurate," said Israeli military analyst Reuven Pedatzur. "There wasn't
even one battle."
U.N. secretary general visits devastated Gaza
(Reuters) – Confronted by stark scenes of destruction, U.N. Secretary-General
Ban Ki-moon visited the Gaza Strip on Tuesday, and Israel was poised to withdraw
its troops before the U.S. presidential inauguration later in the day. Ban, on a
Middle East tour, was the highest-ranking international figure to visit the
territory since separately declared ceasefires by Israel and Hamas ended a
22-day Israeli offensive and Palestinian cross-border rocket attacks.
"The secretary general was keen to express solidarity with the people of Gaza
who have suffered so much over the past few weeks and the U.N. staff who have
continued heroically to provide assistance despite the difficulties," said Ahmad
Fawzi, a spokesman for Ban.
Israeli political sources said Israel planned to complete its troop pullout
before Barack Obama's inauguration, scheduled for 1700 GMT. Analysts saw the
withdrawal as an effort to avoid any tension with the new U.S. president. Amid
crowds waving Hamas flags, Ban drove in a convoy to the compound of the United
Nations Relief and Works Agency in the city of Gaza. Last Thursday, Israeli fire
set ablaze the UNRWA facility's food and fuel warehouse, an incident Ban
described at the time as "an outrage." Israel apologized but said it was
prompted by fire from gunmen at the compound.
Many Palestinians returned to the rubble of what used to be their homes in Gaza
city suburbs that were hard hit during the fighting. They picked through debris,
trying to salvage belongings.Two children playing with unexploded ordnance were
killed when it detonated, Hamas officials said.
Ban, who met Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert before traveling to the Gaza
Strip, planned to visit southern Israel, an area hit by Palestinian rockets
during the Gaza war, later in the day.At the prime minister's office, Ban said
he wanted to help to make the ceasefire "durable."
World leaders are keen to cement a truce and avoid any more bloodshed in Gaza
where more than 1,300 Palestinians were killed in Israel's air and ground
strikes launched on December 27 with the declared aim of ending rocket attacks.
RUINED INFRASTRUCTURE
In a report denied by the Israeli military, Hamas said an Israeli force holding
a position near the town of Jabalya shot and killed a 17-year-old Palestinian.
Residents of Maghazi refugee camp said Israeli tanks had shelled houses, causing
several casualties. An Israeli military spokeswoman had no immediate comment.
Gaza's infrastructure has been left in ruins and the repair bill was estimated
by the Palestinian statistics bureau to be about $1.9 billion. Hamas said 5,000
homes, 16 government buildings and 20 mosques were destroyed and that 20,000
houses were damaged. Israel has said militants hid weapons inside the mosques.
Palestinian militant groups said 112 of their fighters and 180 Hamas policemen
were killed. Israel put its dead at 10 soldiers and said three civilians were
killed in rocket attacks.Gaza medical officials said the Palestinian dead
included at least 700 civilians. Israel, which accused Hamas of endangering
non-combatants by operating in densely populated areas, said hundreds of
militants were among the dead.
In Geneva, World Health Organization head Margaret Chan warned of a looming
health crisis in the Gaza Strip.
Saudi Arabia pledged $1 billion for rebuilding and the European Union said the
bloc's foreign ministers planned to meet in Brussels to discuss humanitarian aid
and Israeli demands for the prevention of weapons smuggling to Gaza.
Israel had launched its offensive with a vow to "change the reality" for
southern border towns that had been the target of rocket fire from Hamas and
other militant groups since 2001.
Olmert has declared the mission accomplished, noting diplomatic efforts by the
United States, Egypt and European nations to prevent Hamas rearming. Israel has
vowed to respond to any renewed flow of arms to Gaza.
The fighting ended just weeks before a February 10 Israeli election. Former
prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing Likud party is still the
front-runner but Defense Minister Ehud Barak's Labour party has gained in
popularity.
Hamas proclaimed victory despite the destruction in Gaza, and its armed wing
vowed to replenish its arsenal of rockets.
But Hamas official Mushir al-Masri said talks would continue on Egypt's proposal
for a long-term truce that would assure the reopening of crossings into Gaza,
including the Rafah terminal with Egypt that was the main access to the outside
world.
Hamas seized control of Gaza from Abbas's Fatah forces in 2007 after winning an
election the year before. Israel and the West boycotted governments led by Hamas
because the group rejects Israel's right to exist.
(Additional reporting by Douglas Hamilton in Gaza, Adam Entous in Jerusalem;
Writing by Jeffrey Heller; Editing by Dominic Evans)
Decision Time for Hamas
19/01/2009
By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed
We are entering a new era following the end of the Israeli war on Gaza; the
positions have been examined and the results have become known, and things are
presently less ambiguous. The leaders of the Hamas movement- because there is
not one single leader that can be addressed- have two choices with regards to
their [foreign] relations that will decide the fate of the movement, especially
as they are aware of their strengths and weaknesses in confronting [Israel].
Hamas's strength revealed itself in their confrontation with Israel and
endurance, despite the fact that the Gaza Strip did not provide them with what
Hezbollah possessed in Lebanon, such as open borders, local allies, a large
missile force, and a country under its control. Without any of these vital
ingredients for confrontation Hamas has endured, and remains a player in the
Palestinian political arena.
As for its weakness, this can be seen in the Hamas movement's powerlessness in
the field of conflict as a result of the terrible bombardment campaign
undertaken by the Israeli military machine, and their humiliation in the eyes of
the Palestinian citizens due to Hamas's inability to protect them [the citizens]
from the horrendous Israeli attack, add to this months of suffering from an
unprecedentedly long blockade depriving the people of the most basic necessities
for living. All of which have been blamed on the policies of Hamas. It will not
be easy for them to convince many of the Gazan population of the logic behind an
ant confronting an elephant, targeting Israel with cartoon rockets, while
meanwhile families pay the [highest] price, the lives of their children.
The Arab cheers for the valiance of Hamas does not matter, because they [the
Arabs] have become accustomed to welcoming the sacrifices of others, and this
acclaim has stung leaders far more popular and better equipped than the Hamas
leadership, for example [Jamal Abdul] Nasser and Saddam [Hussein].
Away from the tallying of losses and gains, Hamas is facing a new history, and
has been given another chance to review its position and chose between staying
in Iran's camp, or returning to the Arab side. Following the harsh experience
[of the war] the Hamas leadership has a better [public] image after its
traumatic experiences there, and the Arabs realize that their estrangement from
the Hamas movement may have been a mistake that needs rectifying.
Today, due to the repercussions of the war- the region ha become even more
divided than it was during the days of the Israeli war in Lebanon [Lebanon July
War 2006] or Hezbollah's war against the Sunni population of Beirut [May 2008
conflict]. Hamas must be aware that they were used by Iran to attack the Arabs
in an unprecedented way that surpasses any previous antagonism. Iran has
progressed as a result of this, and made advancements on the ground to an
extremely dangerous point, which includes the attempt to create chaos in Arab
countries opposed to it, and explicitly seeking to destroy Saudi Arabia, and
incite the overthrow of the Egyptian regime. Such audacity serves only to unite
Arab countries against Hamas. However it is also just and reasonable to say that
the door is still open; it is up to the Hamas movement to choose between
returning to the Arab family or remaining a weapon in the hands of Iran.
Hamas is in a good position, and must negotiate with itself with regards to its
own relationship with the Arabs, who can only respect Hamas and ensure its
political and material rights on Palestinian soil. Generally speaking, we know
that Hamas is not a singular organization, despite the similarity of its
language and political façade; there is Hamas the hostage to Damascus and Tehran
and whose leaders live in hotels, and there is the Gazan Hamas who have paid a
high price in order to fulfill the orders of their brothers in Damascus, the
results of which were always disastrous. The Gazan Hamas must chose between
Tehran or Cairo.
Bush Will Be Vindicated Against Terror
By Walid Phares, For The Bulletin
Published: Tuesday, January 20, 2009
With the Bush presidency ending today, it’s time to take stock of the War on
Terror, something that didn’t begin with George W. Bush but which entered the
American collective consciousness on his watch. So, where are we now, as we get
ready to usher in a new era with a new president?
The measurement of the successes and failures under the Bush administration
isn’t a simple matter of calculus. Many questions make the final assessment
complex and inextricable. Here are few examples:
1) Did the jihadi war against America begin on Sept. 11, 2001? Of course not! It
began in the years and decades before the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
The ideology of jihadism rose in the 1920s. The Islamist movement, through both
Wahabism and the Muslim Brotherhood, indoctrinated large pools of recruits
around the world during the Cold War.
In the 1980s, the United States was targeted in Tehran and in Beirut. In the
1990s, Americans were attacked in New York in 1993, massacred in 1993 in
Somalia, killed at the Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia in 1996, attacked in 1998
in East Africa and again in 2000 in Yemen.
By the time Mr. bin Laden’s men crumbled the towers in Manhattan and the
Pentagon on Sept. 11, 2001, four presidents had been advised by their experts to
avoid a “global confrontation” with terrorism.
In contrast, George W. Bush broke that taboo and on Oct. 7, 2001 he declared a
“War on Terror.” He should have identified the enemy with its real name, the
jihadists, but at least he informed the nation, that indeed, we were at war with
“an enemy.” And for that mere fact he was vilified for seven years.
The first root of Bushophobia in the region and within the West comes from those
who wanted the U.S. public to remain numb until the balance of power would give
the advantage to America’s enemies. Two players shattered this game: Osama bin
laden (by attacking too early) and George W. Bush (by responding too quickly).
2) Why was there an unusual demonization of George W. Bush by the widest array
of regimes, radicals and international opinion makers? Although it will fall to
historians to uncover the forces behind this campaign, the unprecedented attacks
against the president of the United States are proportional to the powerful
changes he wished to accomplish, even if the results didn’t match his initial
ideals. In short, Mr. Bush dared to “touch” the untouchable: the totalitarian
regimes and the ideology of jihadism. The U.S. was tolerated when it bombed and
changed regimes in the Balkans, Grenada, Panama and even when it supported
Afghanistan’s Mujahidin. But when its president spoke of “spreading democracy”
in the region, America was walking into a hornets’ nest.
The financial power of oil from Iran, the Wahabi quarters and even Qatar
slaughtered Mr. Bush’s image. In a moment of history, his name and changing the
status quo merged for seven years, rightly or wrongly, unleashing the wrath of
those who wanted to march backward in history: denying women, minorities, and
opposition rights and unwilling to reach peace.
3) But was George W. Bush representing his nation as he challenged regimes and
ideologies overseas? The public is yes, the bureaucratic answer is: no. —
Indeed, his re-election confirmed that on basic instincts and general
directions, Americans mandated Mr. Bush to implement the content of his speeches
on national security. Joe and Jane knew the enemy out there wanted to do harm
unto them. But the intellectual elite of the U.S, including Mr. Bush’s own
foreign affairs bureaucracy failed him and dodged his ideals. The president and
many congressional leaders aimed to advance the agenda of democracy and
de-radicalization in the greater Middle East. But undoubtedly the bureaucrats
and media elite in the U.S. fought fiercely against these higher goals and
crushed most of them. Hence, Mr. Bush’s words were aimed well but the high
ideals expressed in his public speeches were rarely carried out by the
executioners.
Here is a quick list of battlefields and the end results, so far:
Afghanistan: Removing the Taliban and throwing al-Qaida out of that country was
a victory but managing the rise of democratic culture was insufficient.
Pakistan: Pressuring Gen. Pervez Musharraf to contain al-Qaida and the Taliban
was slow but convincing him to allow elections brought about a more counter
jihadi government.
Iraq: Removing genocidal Saddam under any plan was a duty for the UN to
accomplish but America accomplished it. However, moving faster to achieve the
successful surge earlier and to pressure Iran and Syria would have been a game
changer.
Lebanon-Syria: Pushing the Syrian Army out of Lebanon was an achievement but
allowing Hezbollah to cannibalize the country is a set-back.
Africa: Fighting al-Qaida on the continent and countering the Jihadi Mahakem in
Somalia, along with local allies was a good first step.
Arab-Israeli Conflict: Backing the Palestinian Authority in its dialogue with
Israel and staying firm on Hamas’ terror was right.
Homeland Security: Establishing a homeland security policy was a first step but
Congress should have delivered the legal structure needed to isolate extremism
and protect civil liberties. The debate will continue but the fact is that
America has not been hit since 2001.
Ideological War: President Bush’s speeches until 2006 were cutting edge on
trying to name the doctrines of the enemy. However his bureaucracy stopped him
from his role as educator in chief. Americans were made to wonder again if Jihad
is Yoga!
So what’s the historical bottom line? George W. Bush told the American people
that it is a terrorist target and the U.S. needs to take action. The challenge
now is for his successor(s) to stay the course or change it. Mr. Bush’s national
security decisions will certainly be scrutinized by politicians and historians
in order to assess their value; but guess what? Americans are growing mature in
this increasingly threatening environment. Deep down, a large segment of our
society knows that the jihadists aren’t going to practice yoga. The future will
clarify further the difference between America’s instincts as embodied by George
W. Bush and many of his critics and bureaucrats who got stuck in the 1990s.
**Dr. Walid Phares is the Director of the Future Terrorism Project at the
Foundation for the Defense of Democracies and the author of “The Confrontation.”
Keeping Iran's finger out of
the post-war Gaza pie
By SHIMON SHAPIRA /Jerusalem Post
Upon the end of the fighting in Gaza, the international community will enlist
for an extensive rehabilitation project with the objective of enabling the
Palestinian population to return to their homes and get on with their civil and
economic lives. The pictures of the destruction of buildings in Gaza as a result
of the war are increasing the salience of the reconstruction issue across the
Middle East, especially in Iran.
Pictures of the week Middle Eastern states are likely to have a critical role to
play in this effort. Presently, the states of the region are deeply polarized,
as witnessed in the Doha Summit on January 18: Qatar, Iran, Sudan, Syria, and
Hamas attended, while Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia stayed away.
Unfortunately, the new Iraq was also present. The US, EU, and Israel have a
collective interest in cutting off post-war Gaza from the Iranian-Syrian axis.
It is of prime importance to identify who will provide the assistance funds for
Gaza rehabilitation, and who on the ground will implement the wide-ranging
renewal projects. A reliable international mechanism is urgently needed to
prevent Iran from acquiring influence in post-war Gaza through any assistance
programs.
There are important precedents to keep in mind concerning the link between
rehabilitation and regional political influence. Following the Second Lebanon
War in 2006, Iran and Hizbullah grasped the political and economic significance
of the rehabilitation project in the Shi'ite areas of southern Lebanon damaged
during the war. Iran, in tandem with Hizbullah, quickly resorted to the Waad
("promise") Company and employed it to channel most of the Iranian assistance
funds into the rehabilitation activities that Hizbullah performed in West Beirut
and southern Lebanon. In this framework, immediately upon the cessation of
fighting, Iran's emissaries appeared with suitcases stuffed with dollars and
distributed $12,000 in cash to every Shi'ite family whose house was destroyed
and applied for assistance.
Within a few short months, Iran had paved hundreds of kilometers of roads and
rehabilitated houses and public institutions that were damaged during the
fighting. Hizbullah directed the rehabilitation work among the Shi'ite
population, while totally ignoring the central Lebanese government, and in this
manner it regained and even reinforced its influence within the Shi'ite
community. Hizbullah was savvy enough to transform the severe blows that it had
sustained into a "divine victory" and into the principal leverage for
buttressing its dominant status in Lebanese politics. It did so while
rehabilitating its military strength and tripling the quantity of rockets and
missiles at its disposal, and at the same time extending their target range.
The US Treasury understood the implications of what Iran was doing in Lebanon
through the Hizbullah-run Waad company. Undersecretary of the Treasury Stuart
Levey bluntly noted: "The Waad Project is another example of Hizbullah's use of
deceptive tactics to support its military and terrorist apparatus."
The US Treasury noted that Waad not only rebuilt Lebanese homes, it also built
up Hizbullah's command center in southern Beirut, underground weapons storage
facilities, and military infrastructure. In early 2007, the US blacklisted Jihad
al-Bina, Hizbullah's construction company, for similar reasons. Clearly, funds
moved through organizations controlled by terrorist groups can also be disguised
and used for rearmament, as well.
Iran is already positioning itself for influence in post-war Gaza. On January
14, the Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Ali Akbar Mohtashami, arrived
in Lebanon heading a 40-man delegation. Mohtashami, who was the architect behind
the establishment of Hizbullah in the early 1980s, arrived in Beirut in order to
direct Iranian support for Hamas.
At a conference organized by Hizbullah under the auspices of the "International
Forum for Resistance and Opposition to Imperialism and Solidarity Among People,"
Mohtashami sat in the first row next to the deputy secretary-general of
Hizbullah, Naim Qassem, the deputy of Hassan Nasrallah. Mohtashami explained in
his address to the conference, which he delivered in Arabic rather than Farsi,
that the muqawama (resistance) in Gaza is defending the honor of the entire
nation and that what is happening in Gaza will influence all the opponents of
the US and Israel.
Based on the major lessons from the Second Lebanon War, it would be prudent to
anticipate that Iran will seek to provide immediate assistance in order to
rehabilitate Hamas in Gaza. Just as in Lebanon, Iran will strive to channel the
rehabilitation funds for Gaza to its Sunni protegé - Hamas - in order to
preserve Hamas's ability to reassert its rule over Gaza. Sealing the Philadelphi
Route effectively will not only block the supply of Iranian rockets, but also
the flow of Iranian cash into Gaza.
Juxtaposing the Doha Conference, attended by Ahmadinejad, and the Sharm e-Sheikh
Conference on January 18 with the heads of government from the main EU states,
it is clear that the main competition for influence in post-war Gaza is between
Iran, allied with its regional partners, and Egypt, backed by the West.
Therefore, the main objective for Israel and the international community should
be to deny Iran the attainment of this objective and, conversely, to transform
the Palestinian Authority, headed by Mahmoud Abbas, into the principal factor,
along with Egypt, entrusted with the rehabilitation work in Gaza. The World Bank
can provide oversight of how the funds are being used. This is the only way to
guarantee the return of the Palestinian Authority to Gaza and convert Hamas's
severe military debacle into political currency in Gaza.
**Brig.-Gen. (ret.) Dr. Shimon Shapira is a senior research associate at the
Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs.
Syria, Lebanon and the U.S.
Jean-Pierre Katrib
January 16, 2009 |
Assad is gambling that the Obama administration will allow Syria to reassert
itself in Lebanon, downplay the International Tribunal into the killing of
Hariri, and mediate a peace deal with Israel. But when the time comes to
reciprocate, Assad will be able to play the game his father perfected, at once
embracing process and ignoring peace, and in the end leaving Washington with far
less leverage than it had before.
Among the more controversial selling points employed by Barack Obama during his
campaign for the presidency was his willingness, if elected, to engage regimes,
principally Tehran and Damascus, which the Bush administration refused to do.
“Not talking doesn't make us look tough— it makes us look arrogant,” Obama
declared. In theory, of course, there is nothing wrong with engagement, in
theory, talk is better than the severing of connections out of hand. That said,
given the Syrian regime’s longstanding and destabilizing policies in Lebanon and
the region, the Obama administration must make it contingent on tangible
developments on the ground, and not just rhetoric and half-hearted measures if
rapprochement between Washington and Damascus is to succeed.
Cost-free diplomatic gains
After Syria’s relationship with the international community collapsed in the
wake of the 2005 assassination of former Lebanese premier Rafik Hariri, the
regime took a number of steps to try to reopen lines of communication with the
West. In a clear attempt to woo Washington, Syria restarted indirect talks with
Israel, via Turkey, publicized in May 2008. Two months later, Syrian President
Bashar Assad flew to France where he was granted the distinction of meeting his
French counterpart Nicolas Sarkozy on Bastille Day. Soon after, Sarkozy pressed
the case for expediting the European Union’s Association Agreement with Syria.
And, in an official visit to Syria in November, British Foreign Secretary David
Miliband announced that high-level intelligence links between the UK and
Syria[1] would be renewed, a decision he defended by pointing to Assad’s
declared intention to establish diplomatic ties between Syria and Lebanon as
evidence of an encouraging transformation in Syrian attitudes.
Firm US commitment to Lebanon
Since Lebanon’s Cedar Revolution of 2005, which ended the decades-long Syrian
occupation of Lebanon, the Bush administration has turned a deaf ear to
Damascus’s demands in Lebanon, insisting that instead it stop destabilizing its
smaller neighbor and commit to its sovereignty and independence. But as a new
administration takes office on January 20, a considerable number of Lebanese
worry about what this transition may hold for their country.
In this regard, reassuring statements by US officials were recently made. In a
November interview with the pan-Arab daily, Asharq al-Awsat, former ambassador
to Lebanon Jeffrey Feltman— who is currently the principle Deputy Assistant
Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs— stated that “contrary to the past,
succeeding US administrations now have a clear and firm policy towards Lebanon
that will not change.” Likewise, a recent statement by Rep. Gary L. Ackerman—
chairman of the U.S. House Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia—
included an assurance that “the election of Barack Obama will not mean any
reduction in U.S. support for Lebanon… Whatever fears or suspicions exist, I
want to state as clearly as I can, that when it comes to Lebanon there is a
strong bipartisan consensus of support, and I fully expect our policy to remain
rock-solid.”
Pending issues with Syria
Several unresolved issues impede Damascus’ relationship with Beirut, and
consequently its relationship with Washington. Obama, with his expressed
preference for direct diplomacy and negotiations rather than aggressive
unilateralism, can help resolve these issues by insisting that they be addressed
in any dialogue with Damascus. Even so, with the Assad regime, dialogue is not
enough. For relations with the US to improve meaningfully, they must be tied to
concrete evidence of change in Lebanon and elsewhere in the region. Among the
most important issues Damascus must demonstrate progress on are:
Full diplomatic relations and representation: While the decision to establish
diplomatic relations between Beirut and Damascus is a historic achievement, the
prospect remains unfulfilled for two reasons. First, Syria’s insistence on
maintaining, instead of abrogating, the Syrian-Lebanese Higher Council, which
was established following Syria’s occupation of Lebanon in 1990.[2] And second,
Syria’s willful delay in appointing an ambassador to Lebanon, under the flimsy
guise that the appointment should take place “gradually.”
Transfer of arms into Lebanese territory: As a number of UN reports repeatedly
indicate, movement of arms into Lebanese territory for militias is routine from
the borders with Syria. It is no secret that Syria continues to act as the main
military conduit of Hezbollah and other pro-Syrian Palestinian factions, such as
the PFLP-GC which just days ago recklessly launched a barrage of rockets into
Israel, delivering a tacit message for Syria. Such actions, in addition to the
regular flow of arms to paramilitary groups constitute a clear violation of UN
Security Council Resolutions 1680 and 1701, to both of which Lebanon remains
committed.[3]
Demarcating the Lebanon-Syria Border: To date, there is no formal demarcation of
the borders between Lebanon and Syria. It has been demanded time and again by
various Lebanese officials to demarcate the entire length of the border,
including the disputed Shebaa Farms, which Lebanon and Syria claim is Lebanese,
despite Damascus having yet to provide any documentary evidence proving the
area’s Lebanese identity. Formally demarcated borders are critical to a positive
relationship between the two countries, as they provide clearly defined limits
and responsibilities for each side in accordance with international law.
The International Tribunal: Established by UN Security Council 1757 (2007) to
prosecute the assassins of former premier Hariri and the subsequent string of
political murders targeting anti-Syrian politicians and journalists. The
tribunal, which is to start its proceedings in March, serves as both a judicial
deterrent and a moral solace to the families of victims. Most importantly, it
indicates a significant evolution of international criminal law, with political
assassinations now falling into the category of offenses so grave as to
transcend national jurisdiction. The new administration should make it clear to
Damascus that there can be no deal to undermine the international tribunal in
return for warmer relations.
Lebanese Detained in Syria: During the Lebanon war (1975-1990) and under Syria’s
direct occupation of Lebanon (1990-2005) hundreds of Lebanese military personnel
and civilians were arrested by Syrian security forces and, in violation to
international humanitarian law, transferred outside their country of origin into
Syria. Away from political bickering, this dossier should be treated on
humanitarian grounds by granting the International Committee of the Red Cross
access to Syrian detention centers in order to reveal the fate of these Lebanese
detainees. In addition, Syrian authorities should not be allowed to conflate
these illegally detained individuals with Lebanese convicted of criminal
offenses in Syria.
Conclusion
Undoubtedly, as Obama takes office, he will be dealing with an already charged
and volatile foreign policy agenda. With challenges in the region ranging from
conflict in Gaza to Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons, it is not at all clear
how Obama will prioritize his policies for the region. But as the tactics the
new administration will employ in dealing with Syria remain undetermined, it is
likely that US-Syrian rapprochement under Obama may be short-lived if the Assad
regime retains its rejectionist posture vis-à-vis Iraq, Lebanon and Palestinian
politics.
On the other hand, if the Syrians prove to be really serious about peace-making
and engage in principled cooperation in the region, whether through US-Syrian or
US-Syrian-Israeli talks, an Obama administration should set some red lines
around Lebanon. All that Syria should get in return for just goodwill are: an
end to sanctions and heightened trade, WTO membership, open doors to the west
and returning the Golan, among other, but not Lebanon.
The reason is that in contrast to its Arab surroundings, Lebanon enjoys an
impressive track record of pluralism, freedom, novelty and openness,
notwithstanding its shortcomings. Today, Lebanon’s vibrant civil society and
strong liberal educational sector continue to serve as a hub, exporting these
values and yearnings to the region at large. In democratization terms then,
Lebanon should not fade off the radar of the West in general and the US in
particular. A retreat on this front, could well lead to the entrenchment of
anti-Western forces of hatred and terrorism.
Jean-Pierre Katrib is a human rights activist and political analyst based in
Beirut.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] Links with the Europeans were being rebuilt on the basis of Syria’s declared
opposition to al-Qaeda style Sunni Islamist forces-- some of which Damascus
itself appears to have created, others of which it has provided with a safe
haven.
[2] The Council’s role is to oversee the implementation of the notorious
treaties that were signed between Lebanon and Syria and to strengthen
“brotherly” cooperation between the two countries.
[3] Art. 5 of UNSCR 1680 (2006): “Commends the government of Lebanon for
undertaking measures against movements of arms into Lebanese territory and calls
on the government of Syria to take similar measures.”
Art. 8(5) of UNSCR 1701 (2006): “No sales or supply of arms and related material
to Lebanon except as authorized by its government.”
Lebanon and the role of the Christians in the Middle East
By Dr. Robert Chahine
January 19, 2009/Lebanonwire
Since the painful events of early May 2008, the Doha agreement and the election
of President Michel Sleiman have resulted in a stretch of uneasy peace and slow
gradual normalization in Lebanon. Yet some of the crucial and vital problems
remain unsolved and many Lebanese and friends of Lebanon wonder whether
solutions are in progress or at all possible.
Despite heavy indebtedness (the government reportedly owes more than $40
billions) Lebanon has been an oasis of financial stability and security during
this period of global economic turmoil, because of avoiding the craze of toxic
investment security products. Nevertheless, Lebanese expatriates are hesitant
about investing or returning to their country of origin, and questions continue
as to whether the civil peace can endure and survive the upcoming important
landmark dates and deadlines, the most critical of which being the upcoming
parliamentary elections, next spring.
The fact that Lebanon has managed to avoid, so far, a violent confrontation with
Israel, as a result of the painful violence in Gaza is very encouraging.
Nevertheless, sadly but realistically we need to admit and recognize that
Lebanon remains dangerously polarized and divided between the so called March 14
and March 8 groups and ideologies. The realignment of the Free Patriotic
Movement from its March 14, 2005 participation into the March 8 understanding or
alliance has brought more electoral balance between the two political groups.
But at the same time it has made the situation more dangerous and unpredictable
since the election results may remain too close to call until and possibly
beyond the upcoming parliamentary election. Further, the arms of Hezbollah in
opposition to UNR 1559 and 1701, which were originally accepted as an instrument
of resistance and deterrence against outside aggression, have now become a
subject of general anxiety, particularly to the March 14 group. Their use
internally against West Beirut population, in the suburbs and other areas of
Mount Lebanon generated questions and concerns that are difficult to resolve.
Each side seems to be ready to delegitimize the electoral process if it
perceives that the results may allow the opponents to achieve a possible
majority in Parliament. Outside observes within the expatriate community and
among experts and analysts wonder if a true democratic vote can take place
peacefully and reliably, when several armed groups within some Lebanese Parties
or part of Non-Lebanese Militias, remain outside government control.
We in the American Lebanese Foundation take pride of being non-partisan and
non-sectarian, despite individual Board Member friendships, affinities and
possible affiliation with various Lebanese groups or leaders. Nevertheless, our
common denominator is moderation and the desire or passion to search for
solutions that would minimize the divisive effects of confessional radicalism
and ethnic short sightedness on Lebanon’s fate. We have always argued for a
Lebanon that promotes the “Dialogue of Civilizations” and serves as an antidote
to the Huntington vision of the “Clash of Civilizations”. Nevertheless, denying
or ignoring that Lebanon’s consensual democracy is based on a proportional
division of political power in relation to its confessional constituents will
make any attempt to propose solutions doomed to certain failure. Lebanon’s
history and the psychology and sensitivity of all major and minor factions will
have to be taken into consideration for any chance at success and stability.
The reality is that the March 14 alliance is dominated by Sunnis and is
supported in the Arab World by the Saudi Arabian/ Egyptian axis as well as by
the United States and Europe. On the other hand the March 8 group is lead by
Shiite parties and is aligned and influenced by Iran and Syria. Most of the
current prominent Christian leaders and politicians have made a choice to align
with one or the other ideology, setting the stage for a potential strong and
tense confrontation within the electoral districts that have significant
Christian presence or majorities. Is this truly in the best interest of Lebanon
or the Arab World? Should the Christians be making confessional or ethnic
alliances based on emotional, materialistic or selfish considerations at the
risk of contributing or igniting dangerous and possibly violent confrontations
among themselves and/or their respective allies? Can the Christians afford to
become champions of perpetuating or intensifying confessional tension, whether
Christian vs Moslem or Sunnis vs Shiites? Granted, these alliances may have some
beneficial confessional and national effects. The Christian alliance with the
dominant Shiite groups may have limited the scope and duration of the May 2008
rampage and may have contributed to the current restraint in the response to the
Gaza violence. On the other hand the alliance with the dominant Sunni current
may have strengthened and intensified the drive towards full independence and
sovereignty. Both alliances have diminished the risks of Christian/Moslem
confrontation. However, the question remains as to: how could Lebanon be really
unified again in such atmosphere. What assurance there is that a Sunni/Shiite
confrontation may not be triggered in Lebanon by a trivial political incident,
only to spread later to neighboring countries and engulf the whole Middle East
in violent clashes.
We all know that the Lebanese political atmosphere is conducive to confessional
posturing. General Aoun, while in exile reportedly said “Please reject me if I
talk with any confessional tone.” Yet since his return to Lebanon, he found
himself dragged into constantly trying to assert and reassert his Christian
representation and leadership in Lebanon and beyond. On the other hand his
opponents within the March 14 alliance argue that they are the ones that
represent the traditional Christian aspirations and vision of independence,
sovereignty and peaceful democracy.
While the other major Lebanese denominations: Sunnis, Shiites and Druze have
clear majorities within their ranks who have reached apparent understandings
with their minorities, the Christians remain precariously divided and thereby
they may be endangering Lebanon’s march toward full sovereignty, peace and
stability. Various efforts to date have failed to produce any satisfactory
progress toward unity.
President Michel Sleiman was elected to the highest office of the land with
broad support from the Christians, all other Lebanese denominations as well as
the Arab and International community. He earned this impressive support largely
because of confidence in his equidistance from the opposing political groups and
the belief that he would have a better shot at unifying the Christians and the
overall Lebanese population. Those of us who know President Sleiman are aware of
the fact that he has the necessary knowledge, determination and potential for
the real unifying solutions. His actions since he acceded to the Presidency do
not contradict such expectations. However questions have arisen as to whether he
is acting aggressively and fast enough to protect Lebanon in general and the
Christians in particular from looming risks that could be exacerbated by
unpredictable internal or external events?
The role of the Christians in Lebanon and the Middle East should be that of
mediators and/or catalysts for tolerance, understanding and easing of the
tensions produced by the struggle for power or dominance by various players,
locally or on the broad world scene. The Lebanese Christians’ destiny is also to
serve as ambassadors for Arab issues and interests in the West and wherever
needed. During the past three to four decades much of that has been happening
through the efforts of individuals or groups within the Lebanese expatriate
community. However, divisions on the Lebanese scene have frequently spilled into
the expatriate world and neutralized the emigrants’ effectiveness. Thus it may
serve the Lebanese and Arab causes that much of the ambassadorial and mediation
responsibilities be entrusted to the Christian President.
President Sleiman remains the best possible potential messenger or spokesman for
the unifying and tolerant strategies within Lebanon and amongst Lebanon’s
neighbors and friends. Once he finds the appropriate moment (and hopefully
sooner rather than later) other Christian politicians will have no choice but to
coalesce around him and support his efforts, the same as they all came together
to elect him to the Presidency. Many on the Lebanese political scene are
wondering and debating whether or not President Sleiman should seek to establish
a parliamentary group, loyal to him, and independent from the two opposing
political alliances. This in itself, while very desirable, may be impractical
and risky unless the President enunciates a plan for solutions and unity that
will win internal and external support. Such plan can only be based on mediation
and conciliation between the two main Lebanese groups and their Arab and
International supporters. An important component of the plan has to be some
level of Christian unity or at least some sincere understanding between the
divergent philosophies President Sleiman is a quiet and patient leader and only
few people may know the exact strategy he may have in mind at this point. The
future of Lebanon as an independent, united, free, democratic and sovereign
state will largely depend on the implementation and pace of such possible
strategy.
**Dr Robert A Chahine, President, American Lebanese Foundation, www.alfusa.org
Interview with Syrian Presiden Bashar Assad from the
Spiegel news magazine
http://freeinternetpress.com/story.php?sid=19848#more
Free Internet Press
2009-01-19 21:29:57
Intellpuke: In the following interview with Spiegel news magazine, Syrian
President Bashar Assad discussed the war between Israelis and Palestinians in
the Gaza Strip, the threat of an Iranian nuclear bomb, and his expectations for
incoming United States President Barack Obama. The interview was conducted
Thursday, January 15, 2009.
SPIEGEL: Mr. President, the world community is protesting Israel's aggression in
Gaza, but they have also called upon Hamas to relent. No one in the Arab world
has as much influence on Hamas as you do. Couldn't you have tempered the
fighters?
Assad: It always depends on how one uses one's influence. Our most urgent
objective is to stop the attack. The fighting must come to an end, and this
applies to both sides. In addition, the Israeli embargo against Gaza must end,
because sealing the borders is strangling the population. The blockade is a slow
death. People don't just die as a result of bombs, but also because their
supplies of medications and food are cut off.
SPIEGEL: Israel will only lift the blockade once the rockets are no longer being
fired at its cities.
Assad: If the people in Gaza have only the choice between a slow death caused by
the blockade or death in battle, they will choose to fight. This is why lifting
the embargo is an indispensable part of an agreement. We agree with Hamas on
this point. Basically, Hamas is not the problem in this conflict, but Israel.
SPIEGEL: Much of the world considers Israel's military action to be
disproportionate. But Hamas provoked it by shelling southern Israel. Each
additional rocket results in more violent retribution and increases human
suffering.
Assad: That sounds logical. But politics is about realities, not logic. The fact
is that for six months Hamas complied with the cease-fire that had been agreed
upon. The Israeli government, on the other hand, continued to constrict the Gaza
Strip during that time. One has to be aware of this background information.
SPIEGEL: The United States and the European Union see this background
differently. They consider Hamas to be a terrorist organization that wants to
destroy Israel
Assad: Oh, here we go with the same old labels and clichés. That's the American
way. Whether you call it terrorism or resistance, and whether you like Hamas or
not, it is a political entity that no one can ignore. There is no truth to the
notion that Hamas is holding the people hostage, as some people claim. Hamas
captured an absolute majority of votes in the internationally recognized
parliamentary election three years ago, a landslide victory. You cannot declare
an entire people to be terrorists.
SPIEGEL: Do you believe that all of the tools of resistance Hamas is using,
which make it a terrorist organization in our view, are justified?
Assad: Definitely. There is no doubt about it. How can you accuse Hamas of
terrorism without defining Israel's actions as terror? During the most recent
six-month ceasefire, Israel targeted and killed more than a dozen Palestinians,
but no Israeli died. And yet Europe remained silent. More than 1,000 people have
already died as a result of the Israeli aggression in the Gaza Strip. Just this
morning, I saw the picture of a three-year-old girl who was killed. Where is the
West's outcry?
SPIEGEL: We can understand the argument of justified resistance against a
military power. But Hamas has acquired its reputation as a terrorist
organization primarily through suicide bombings against Israeli civilians. Do
you intend to excuse that, as well?
Assad: I don't want to talk about methods of killing. But what is the difference
between a bomb worn on the body and one dropped from an airplane? Both of them
kill people. Personally, I do not support the concept of suicide bombings. This
is not part of our culture. But whether you condemn them or not, suicide
bombings are a reality.
SPIEGEL: No Western politician wants to sit at the same table with Hamas.
Assad: That's not true at all. Many European officials have sought a dialogue
with Hamas, especially recently.
SPIEGEL: With your mediation?
Assad: The Europeans have learned from experience. That's why they are now
talking to the Hamas leadership here in Damascus -- not publicly, of course. I
don't want to mention any names. But I do think it's telling that they include
people who are especially critical of Hamas in their speeches. We try to help
where we can.
SPIEGEL: The key Hamas representative abroad, Khaled Mashaal, was granted asylum
in your country. He is at the very top of the Israelis' hit list. Many consider
him to be far more radical than the Hamas leadership in Gaza. Are there any
conditions to your hospitality?
Assad: Mashaal has changed. He already mentioned the borders of 1967 in 2006.
What does that mean? It means that he accepts a two-state solution. Besides, a
few months ago he also said that he would sign anything that the Palestinian
people see as the right thing to do.
SPIEGEL: That's a very broad interpretation. In our view, it is little more than
indirect recognition.
Assad: Talking about the 1967 borders means more than indirect recognition. We
Syrians see it this way: We do not recognize Israel and Israel is still our
enemy - it occupies part of our country, the Golan Heights. If the Israelis
withdraw from Golan, we will recognize them. First comes peace, then recognition
- not the other way around. We have been grappling with our relationship with
Israel for more than 30 years now. With Hamas, the process began only three
years ago. You have to exercise patience.
SPIEGEL: But the dramatic situation in Gaza requires more than thinking within a
historic timeframe.
Assad: That's why we are active here in Damascus and have made proposals and
presented them to Hamas, the French, the Turks and the government of Qatar…
SPIEGEL: …which invited countries last week to an Arab crisis summit in Doha.
What do you see as a solution?
Assad: This is my peace plan: First, there must be a cease-fire, and it must
happen at the same time on both sides. In the ensuing 48 hours, but within no
more than four days, the Israelis must withdraw completely from the entire Gaza
Strip.
During this time, negotiations to lift the embargo must take place. This could
take a while, because controlling the borders is a very complicated issue, but
it should take no more than a week. In addition, the people in Gaza need
international guarantees that they will not be attacked again.
Part 2: 'The Situation In The World Has Worsened In Every Respect In The Last
Eight Years'
SPIEGEL: You make no mention of guarantees for Israel.
Assad: Then Israel will have to make peace, and not just with Palestinian
President Mahmoud Abbas…
SPIEGEL: …whose moderate Fatah movement, following a bloody internal conflict
with Hamas, now holds power in the West Bank only.
Assad: Hamas must be included. Nothing will work without Hamas. As the next
major step, it will be important to establish unity with in the Palestinian
people. There can be no peace without unity. How they manage to do that is the
Palestinians' business. I cannot and do not wish to apply pressure to Hamas in
this context.
SPIEGEL: Then who should sign a treaty on behalf of the Palestinians?
Assad: Let's look at the reality, which is what matters. Israel and Hezbollah
went to war in 2006. At that time, the Israelis treated Hezbollah as a terrorist
organization, as they do today. Nevertheless, they eventually signed an
agreement that came about as a result of negotiations among the United States,
France, Israel, Syria and Hezbollah. Like Hezbollah then, Hamas today must be
part of an agreement. Otherwise, one cannot expect anything from them.
SPIEGEL: Large segments of the Israeli government seem to believe that Hamas
could be eliminated.
Assad: Hamas will not disappear. Hamas will not raise the white flag. Hamas has
the trust of the people, and anyone who wishes to destroy it must destroy an
entire people.
SPIEGEL: Do you believe the Palestinians and Israel are capable of complying
with a possible agreement and stopping the smuggling of weapons for Hamas?
Assad: They cannot prevent smuggling as a whole. But monitoring by a third party
would certainly be helpful. I think that the Turks could take on this task. The
Turks are highly trustworthy and influential, and they have good relations with
Israel and the Arab world. On the other hand, the Egyptians share a border with
Gaza, and the French are also very engaged.
SPIEGEL: And the Germans?
Assad: The German foreign minister is active in the region, but he hasn't come
to Damascus yet. We would be pleased to see him here, and we would welcome it if
the Germans, in general, played a larger role.
SPIEGEL: Chancellor Angela Merkel blames Hamas alone for the Gaza war. Do you
accept the notion that Germany, because of its history, gives special
consideration to Israel?
Assad: No. We understand the feelings of guilt stemming from your past. And we
see that they influence Germany's Israel policies. . They shouldn't anymore.
SPIEGEL: Despite all of your criticism of Israel, you yourself negotiated with
the Israelis - with the help of Turkish mediators - until recently. Do you have
hopes of regaining the Golan Heights, which were occupied in 1967?
Assad: There are no longer any negotiations, not with this Israeli government.
We had no great hopes before, because it was a weak government. We need a strong
party on the other side to be able to make peace.
SPIEGEL: Would your ideal partner be someone like hardliner Benjamin Netanyahu,
with whom you have already negotiated in the past and who is a favorite to
succeed (Prime Minister) Ehud Olmert in the election on Feb. 10?
Assad: He was already the prime minister once before, and he was not a strong
man. Ehud Barak, the current Israeli defense minister, has also been the prime
minister and was also too weak for an agreement. In his memoirs, then US
President Bill Clinton wrote quite clearly that while we were willing to
compromise, Barak was too fearful. As far as the coming Israeli government is
concerned, we will not lose hope. However, the tendency seems to be for each
successive generation in Israel to become more radicalized. Perhaps the next one
won't be interested in making peace at all, but just fighting.
SPIEGEL: Isn't that far more applicable to Hezbollah, the Shiite group in
Lebanon with close ties to Iran and Syria?
Assad: Hezbollah presents no danger to anyone.
SPIEGEL: Did you lose your influence with Hezbollah because you withdrew from
Lebanon?
Assad: Hezbollah is an independent organization that is part of the government
today. And Lebanon is an independent nation, whose sovereignty we accept.
SPIEGEL: Many say that this conciliatory attitude toward Beirut is the
consequence of Syria's involvement in the murder of former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri. Damascus could face an international tribunal in this context.
Assad: We are not worried about the proceedings. All investigators have
emphasized our cooperation. We hope that the real perpetrators will be exposed.
SPIEGEL: Nevertheless, Washington counts Syria among the rogue states, partly
because of your close relations with Tehran and Iran's nuclear bomb ambitions.
Assad: I don't believe that Iran is seeking to develop the bomb. Syria is
fundamentally opposed to the proliferation of nuclear weapons. We want a
nuclear-free Middle East, Israel included.
SPIEGEL: Other Arab heads of state clearly see the threat of an Iranian bomb and
are concerned about Iran's growing influence. They fear dominance by the Shiite
country.
Assad: The Americans are stoking these fears with their information policy.
Washington is interested in the embargo, with which it hopes to weaken Iran.
SPIEGEL: Israeli politicians have developed concrete plans to bomb Iranian
nuclear facilities. What would such an attack mean for the Middle East?
Assad: That would be the biggest mistake that anyone could make. The
consequences would be catastrophic and would destabilize the region for the long
term.
SPIEGEL: You yourself experienced what Israel is capable of in the summer of
2007, when the Israeli air force leveled a complex of buildings in northeastern
Syria. You reacted to this attack with great restraint. Why?
Assad: We could have struck back. But should we really allow ourselves to be
provoked into a war? Then we would have walked into an Israeli trap. The
facility that was bombed was not a nuclear plant, but rather a conventional
military installation.
SPIEGEL: But inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency found traces
of uranium during their inspection. How do you explain this?
Assad: That uranium did not come from us. Perhaps, the Israelis dropped it from
the air to make us the target of precisely these suspicions. If we had in fact
had something to hide, we would not have allowed any inspectors into the
country.
SPIEGEL: The inspectors would like to take additional samples and inspect other
Syrian facilities. Why are you no longer allowing the experts into the country?
Assad: We gave them the opportunity to conduct their research. This is a
political game. They are trying to pillory us. We will not let that happen.
SPIEGEL: So you have no ambitions to produce weapons of mass destruction, not
even chemical weapons?
Assad: Chemical weapons, that's another thing. But you don't seriously expect me
to present our weapons program to you here? We are in a state of war.
SPIEGEL: Do you work closely together with countries like North Korea and Iran
as part of these weapons programs?
Assad: We work trustingly together with many countries on research programs.
SPIEGEL: Do you expect greater cooperation from the new American president? Will
you approach Barack Obama with your own proposals?
Assad: We speak of hopes, not expectations. The Bush administration brought us
two wars. The situation in the world has worsened in every respect in the last
eight years. Everything has gotten worse, including economic development. The
Americans must withdraw from Iraq. The new US administration must seriously
commit itself to the peace process. We must help it to do so, together with the
Europeans.
SPIEGEL: Wouldn't rapprochement with Washington upset your Iranian friends?
Assad: We are independent. No one can tell us what to do. Our actions are
determined solely by our interests. Good relations with Washington cannot mean
bad relations with Tehran.
SPIEGEL: It is possible that President Obama will ask you to convince Iran not
to build nuclear weapons.
Assad: We would like to contribute to stabilizing the region. But we must be
included and not isolated, as has been the case until now. We are willing to
engage in any form of cooperation that is also helpful when it comes to
America's relations with other countries.
SPIEGEL: Secretary of State-designate Hillary Clinton has indicated that she
will seek dialogue with Syria and probably Iran, but she also said that Damascus
would have to change its irresponsible, "dangerous" behavior.
Assad: It depends what she means by that. I define our responsibility by our
national interest. If we can agree on that point, then I have no problem with
her statement.
SPIEGEL: Isn't the lack of unity in the Arab world an even bigger problem?
Assad: The Arab world is divided, no doubt. For example, we have had no direct
dialogue with Egypt on the central problem of the Gaza war. We are not familiar
with Cairo's specific position, because we have been unable to come to terms
with Egypt in the last two years. It is not necessarily easier for us to talk to
France, for example. But at least the French are interested in talking to us.
SPIEGEL: Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger once said that, in the
Middle East, there can be no war without Egypt, no peace without Syria.
Assad: This is truer than ever. Peace without Syria is unthinkable.
SPIEGEL: Mr. President, we thank you for this interview.
Intellpuke: You can read this Spiegel interview with President Assad in context
here: http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,602110,00.html
This interview was conducted by Spiegel journalists and editors Dieter Bednarz,
Erich Follath and Mathias Muller von Blumencron. This interview was translated
from the German by Christopher Sultan.