LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
February 13/09

Bible Reading of the day.

Bible Reading of the day.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 17,1-6. He said to his disciples, "Things that cause sin will inevitably occur, but woe to the person through whom they occur. It would be better for him if a millstone were put around his neck and he be thrown into the sea than for him to cause one of these little ones to sin. Be on your guard! If your brother sins, rebuke him; and if he repents, forgive him. And if he wrongs you seven times in one day and returns to you seven times saying, 'I am sorry,' you should forgive him." And the apostles said to the Lord, "Increase our faith." The Lord replied, "If you have faith the size of a mustard seed, you would say to (this) mulberry tree, 'Be uprooted and planted in the sea,' and it would obey you.

Saint Cyprian (c.200-258), Bishop of Carthage and martyr
The good of patience (copyright Fathers of the Church, Inc.)"You should forgive him."
"Love bears all things, believes all things, hopes all things, endures all things" (1Cor 13,7).By this the apostle Paul showed that love can persevere steadfastly because it has learned to endure all things. And in another place he says: "Bear with one another through love, striving to preserve the unity of the spirit through the bond of peace" (Eph 4,2-3).Neither unity nor peace can be preserved unless brothers cherish one another with mutual forbearance and preserve the bond of unity with patience as intermediary. How then will you be able to endure these things: not to swear or curse; not to seek again what has been taken away from you; on receiving a blow to offer the other cheek also to your assailant; to forgive your brother who offends you not only seventy times seven times, but all his offences without exception; to love your enemies; to pray for your adversaries and persecutors, if you do not have the steadfastness of patience and forbearance?We see what happened in the case of Stephen. When he was being killed by the violence and stones of the Jews, he did not ask for vengeance but forgiveness for his murderers, saying: "Lord, do not hold this sin against them" (Acts 7,60).
 

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
Lebanon NOT for sale/Future News 12/02/09
An election that raises Syria's appetite.By: Michael Young 12/02/09
Don't expect Israel's parties to be very unlike.Barnett R. Rubin 12/02/09
How serious is the EU about supporting democracy and human rights in Lebanon?. Daily Star 12/02/09

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for February 12/09
Obama Supports U.N. Moves to Punish Hariri Killers-Naharnet
Baroud Suspends Sect Registration at Population Registry-Naharnet

Jumblatt: The success of the right in Israel announces new wars in the region-Future News
IDF on high alert for fear of “Hezbollah” revenge attack -Future News
Seaid: International Tribunal achieved by public participation in Martyr Hariri’s commemoration-Future News
Sfeir Renews Support for Centrist Bloc, Says He is Neither With March 8 Nor March 14-Naharnet
Students Clash at Lebanese University Law School
-Naharnet
Baroud Suspends Sect Registration at Population Registry
-Naharnet
Israeli Troops on High Alert for Anniversary of Mughniyeh's Assassination
-Naharnet
Families of Buhsas Victims Legally Seek Bassil's Testimony
-Naharnet
Shatah: Proposing Projects, Not Amounts Key to Solving South Council Crisis
-Naharnet
Four Speakers to Address Feb. 14 Crowd
-Naharnet
March 14, Bassil Preparing for New Round of Confrontation in Parliament
-Naharnet
Hand Grenade Goes Off in Beirut, No Casualties
-Naharnet
March 14 Rejects Foreign Influence, Calls Partisans to Chant for Lebanon on Saturday
-Naharnet
Moawad Won't Run in 2009
-Naharnet
Berri and Aoun Follow the Same Path
-Naharnet
Jumblat in Baabda Soon to Clarify Stance on Army
-Naharnet
Hariri: I Won't Take Part in New Government if March 8 Wins Elections
-Naharnet
Sarkozy Determined to Bring Hariri Killers to Justice
-Naharnet
Yakan to Nominate Candidates All Over Lebanon
-Naharnet
Nazik Hariri Remembers Slain Husband
-Naharnet
Lebanon's state prosecutor in intensive care at Beirut hospital-Daily Star
When will Hizbullah avenge Mughniyeh assassination?-Daily Star
Khatami says Hariri 'was killed by terrorism'-Daily Star
Fear of assassinations haunts Lebanon on Hariri anniversary (Feature)Monsters and Critics.com
Mideast reacts to israel elections-Xinhua
Are we helping Syria to fly the terrorist skies?Foreign Policy
Democrats Reach Out to Syria-Wall Street Journal
Veteran US lawmaker to meet with top Syrian leader-Xinhua
Gemayel to discuss poll pact with Murr - and even Tashnak-Daily Star

Are we helping Syria to fly the terrorist skies?
 
Tue, 02/10/2009 - 12:19pm
By Michael Singh
There have been news reports over the last day or two suggesting that, according to the Syrian government, the United States has granted approval for the export of spare parts to rehabilitate Boeing 747s owned by Damascus. By way of background, any such export would require a license from the U.S. Department of Commerce (for the relevant regulations on this issue, see here).
To the casual observer, the approval of spare parts for civilian aircraft might seem unremarkable. Except, of course, for the fact that Syria serves as the conduit for Iranian weapons bound for Hizballah in Lebanon, which is among the reasons cited by the Commerce Department for restricting U.S. exports to Damascus. These arms shipments provide Hizballah the capability to intimidate Lebanese citizens and potentially destabilize the entire region.   
Troublingly, there is a history of allegations that Iran and Syria have used civilian transport for illicit arms shipments. Recall, for example, the 2007 case of a train in Turkey which, having been bombed by Kurdish guerillas, was found to be carrying arms bound for Syria from Iran hidden among construction materials. Or more recently, the case of the ship, also bound for Syria from Iran, that was detained by Cypriot authorities and reportedly found to be carrying cargo in violation of UN Security Council resolution 1747. Until the Syrian government ends its provision of arms to terrorist groups like Hizballah, it makes little sense for the United States to help Damascus maintain its aircraft fleet. 


Sfeir Renews Support for Centrist Bloc, Says He is Neither With March 8 Nor March 14
Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir on Thursday renewed his support for a centrist parliamentary bloc and declared he was neither with March 8 nor March 14 Forces. "I am with a centrist bloc that would facilitate resolving domestic issues," Sfeir told reporters following a meeting with members of the Youth Shadow Government. He said he was surprised as to why some interpreted his statements as being supportive of the ruling March 14 coalition and against the Hizbullah-led March 8 Forces. Addressing the delegation, Sfeir said: "Learn from others' mistakes so you won't make them yourself." He called on all Lebanese to serve their country, particularly those in power "should use their power to serve the best interest of all citizens and not their own interest." Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 13:32

Students Clash at Lebanese University Law School
Naharnet/Fist fights broke out between students belonging to different political parties at the Lebanese University's Law School in Hadath. The Voice of Lebanon radio station said students set some offices ablaze. It said fighting erupted among student groups within the March 8 coalition when one side used loudspeakers to blare political chants. Other local reports said the clash pitted supporters of Speaker Nabih Berri's AMAL Movement against Hizbullah partisans. Security forces stepped in to try to contain the fighting. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 14:41

Baroud Suspends Sect Registration at Population Registry
Naharnet/Interior Minister Ziad Baroud issued a general instruction allowing Lebanese not to declare their sect at population registries.
"Requests made by citizens not to declare their religious sect or to remove it from their personal identity registration should be respected," Baroud's general instruct read. The minister added that this right was guaranteed by the constitution and by the international declaration for human rights, and other international agreements that Lebanon is party to. He sited article 9 of the Lebanese constitution that guarantees freedom of religious belief. Various Lebanese civil societies and political parties have been fighting for a civil law regarding citizenship status, in particular the recognition of civil marriage. Baroud was an active member of civil society prior to becoming Interior minister. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 15:13

Four Speakers to Address Feb. 14 Crowd
Naharnet/March 14 forces are mobilizing masses for a rally that will be held on Saturday on the occasion of ex-Premier Rafik Hariri's fourth assassination anniversary.
According to the daily An-Nahar on Thursday, al-Mustaqbal Movement leader Saad Hariri, Phalange leader Amin Gemayel, Democratic Gathering MP Walid Jumblat and Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea are scheduled to address the mass rally that would start at 10:30am in Beirut's Martyrs Square.
The celebration is expected to end at 12:50pm, the time of the car bomb explosion that killed Hariri on Feb. 14, 2005. A source from the organizing committee told An-Nahar that the committee was expecting large masses that could exceed hundreds of thousands. The organizing committee has placed 100,000 chairs and the event would include cultural programs. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 09:22

Shatah: Proposing Projects, Not Amounts Key to Solving South Council Crisis
Naharnet/Finance Minister Mohammed Shatah said the key to resolving the Council for the South crisis is when projects become our target and not amount of funds needed for projects. "Then, numbers – whether 40, 50 or 60 billion – would not be the main issue – but rather the projects proposed to the Cabinet" for approval, Shatah said in an interview with the daily An Nahar published on Thursday. Shatah said that a solution is seen in the offing based on projects proposed by the Council.
Meanwhile, Speaker Nabih Berri stressed he would not retract a request for LL 60 billion for the Council unless a Ministry of Planning was established to replace councils, foundations and funds. The Council for the South crisis was aggravated when Lebanese leaders failed to agree over funding, particularly after Berri submitted a budget request of LL 150 billion for the Council, a demand totally rejected by Prime Minister Fouad Saniora and the majority of Cabinet. A 10-day deadline for resolving the standoff has also passed without an agreement. Ministerial sources had earlier said that a possible solution was being discussed that would "put the issue within its institutional framework." The proposal calls for adopting a mechanism used by the finance ministry with the various funds, councils and public institutions such as they submit their budget requests and funds needed for 2009 for approval. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 10:37

Families of Buhsas Victims Legally Seek Bassil's Testimony
Naharnet/Attorney Mohammed al-Murad, acting on behalf of the families of the Buhsas victims, legally requested the testimony of Telecommunications Minister Jebran Bassil, as a main witness in the case. Bassil has allegedly refrained from providing investigating authorities, particularly the military intelligence unit with details concerning the crime. Murad also called on Bassil's Bureau Manager Gilbert Najjar as well as officials from Alfa and MTC Touch cell phone companies, to testify and provide all the necessary and available data showing that Bassil is refraining from helping the investigation. First Sergeant Anwar Jassem al-Khatib and Corporal Ali Mohammed Ali died from an explosion in the Buhsas area at the southern entrance of the city of Tripoli during the morning rush hour of Sep. 29, 2008. The main suspect in the case is Abdul Ghani Jawhar, a Lebanese citizen who remains at large. Jawhar heads the terrorist group Fatah al-Islam. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 10:22

March 14, Bassil Preparing for New Round of Confrontation in Parliament
Naharnet/The ruling March 14 coalition is reportedly preparing for a new round of confrontation with Telecommunications Minister Jebran Bassil over the wiretapping issue. News reports said a meeting of the Media and Communications Committee scheduled for Thursday is likely to be a hot one just like the previous session with MPs from the ruling majority eyeing Bassil. Mustaqbal Movement MP Ghazi Youssef said March 14 lawmakers will listen to what Bassil has to say regarding questions raised on the wiretapping issue. "The most important thing is to listen to the minister's (Bassil's) response because up till now he has not replied to anything," Youssef told the daily An Nahar. "We will hold him accountable for his response … If he tried to avoid a reply or if his responses should not be transparent," Youssef warned, adding that March 14 MPs would otherwise seek a no-confidence vote against Bassil. Bassil, meanwhile, told the daily As Safir that he would attend Thursday's meeting carrying with him a dossier full of "satisfactory answers to questions posed to him at the previous session.""On the contrary, I will be the one who will request to hold all those who have violated implementation of the wiretapping law," Bassil warned."I have many questions to ask in this regard," he added.
Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 10:08

Israeli Troops on High Alert for Anniversary of Mughniyeh's Assassination
Naharnet/Israeli troops on Thursday were put on high alert on the northern border for the anniversary of top Hizbullah commander Imad Mughniyeh's assassination.
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) raised the level of alertness, particularly on the northern border, in a bid to thwart any attempt by Hizbullah to launch a retaliatory attack against Israel in response to Mughniyeh's murder, Ynet news said on its website. Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has vowed to avenge the killing of Mughniyeh, exactly one year ago in a car bombing in Damascus. "Israelis are living in fear of our revenge. Don't expect me to say when we will strike," Nasrallah has said. Nasrallah accused Israel of Mughniyeh's assassination, but the Jewish State denied the charge. Nasrallah also accuses Israel of holding on to remains of 350 Lebanese and Palestinian fighters. A prevailing assessment in the defense establishment, Ynet said, is that Hizbullah may also act on a later date. It quoted security sources as saying that the heightened state of alert continues across the globe for fear of an attempt to attack Israeli targets abroad. "Hizbullah views Israel as responsible for Mughniyeh's assassination and has vowed to avenge his death," a security source told Ynet. "All the relevant elements have been prepared accordingly for a long time now. This alertness will continue in the future as well according to evaluations of the situation." Nasrallah is to deliver a speech on the occasion of Mughniyeh's assassination on Monday. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 13:26

Hand Grenade Goes Off in Beirut, No Casualties
Naharnet/A hand grenade went off early Thursday in Beirut's Nuwairi neighborhood, causing no casualties.
The state-run National News Agency said the blast took place at 6:30 am in an abandoned two-story building. It said Lebanese army troops and police swiftly cordoned off the area and opened an investigation into the incident. The Voice of Lebanon radio station, however, said an assailant riding a motorcycle tossed the grenade on the building in Nuwairi's Nahhal neighborhood. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 08:25

Jumblat in Baabda Soon to Clarify Stance on Army
Naharnet/Democratic Gathering Leader Walid Jumblat will "soon" meet President Michel Suleiman to clarify his stance which took a hard hit at the Lebanese army command, the daily Ad Diyar said Thursday. Jumblat placed doubts on military appointments during a recent television interview.
Ad Diyar said Suleiman's response to Jumblat led to a tense situation, prompting the Druze leader to boycott a committee of experts tasked with studying the various proposals for a defense strategy. Jumblat said the reason he withdrew his representative, retired Col. Sharif Fayyad, from the defense strategy committee, was because he did not want to take part in what he called "counterfeit party." Meanwhile, Jumblat called for Arab-Iranian coordination to confront what he called the Israeli "tripartite Livni-Netanyahu-Lieberman victory." Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni and hawkish ex-premier Benjamin Netanyahu were locked in a battle for power on Wednesday after a photo-finish election that could send peace talks into limbo. An overall lurch to the right has made it more likely that Netanyahu will return to the nation's most powerful post, but Livni immediately started coalition talks, meeting on Wednesday with ultra-nationalist Avigdor Lieberman. "The victory of the tripartite Livni-Netanyahu-Lieberman gang warns of more wars," Jumblat said in remarks published by the daily As Safir on Thursday. "And unless a serious Arab stance is established in order to exert real pressure on the new U.S. Administration in line with the Arab peace initiative, I am afraid that the schemes of both nations (Israel and Palestine) would fall apart," Jumblat warned. He stressed on the need to establish a "united Arab stance as well as coordination between the Arab League and Iran to confront the challenges imposed by the victory of the Israeli tripartite gang." Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 08:08

March 14 Rejects Foreign Influence, Calls Partisans to Chant for Lebanon on Saturday
Naharnet/The March 14 majority alliance on Wednesday said it would not permit "external infiltration into our national-political life" and said the Lebanese people would reaffirm allegiance to the nation and support for justice on the fourth anniversary of ex-Premier Rafik Hariri's killing. The alliance, in a statement released after a meeting by its leaders, said "they" wanted Feb. 14, 2005, the day Hariri was assassinated, to be "a day marking state death." "But you wanted it a day for the nation's renaissance," said the statement recited by MP Butros Harb. "It was followed by the unprecedented civil independence movement in the Middle East, the March 14 movement," the statement added. It said the international tribunal that would start operating on March 1st would be "an historic event that would safeguard justice and move criminals closer to justice." "The 14th of February is a day to renew allegiance to Lebanon and loyalty to the martyrs' blood; a day to declare support for the truth, justice and the international tribunal," it said. "We call you to stream to Martyrs Square to commemorate the event. Together we will be at … Freedom Square to chant for Lebanon, wave the flag, declare commitment to our national independent decision and reject all forms of external infiltration into our national-political life," the statement concluded. Beirut, 11 Feb 09, 21:10

Berri and Aoun Follow the Same Path
Naharnet/Parliament Speaker Berri has said he was in agreement with Free Patriotic Movement leader Gen. Michel Aoun and warned that internal divisions are more dangerous than election results. "Send my regards to the General, and I don't mind that you announce after the meeting that the Development and Liberation bloc is an essential part of the opposition's structure," Berri told Health Minister Mohammad Khalife ahead of his visit to Aoun on Wednesday.
"We and Aoun are on the same line," the speaker told Khalife, according to An-Nahar daily. He said the elections "are not the end of the world in Lebanon."
"Election results do not pose a threat to Lebanon. Internal divide is the danger because if it expands, national unity" will be negatively affected, Berri told An-Nahar. Berri also talked about the Higher Relief Council which Premier Fouad Saniora describes as "the successful experience" and said "its activities were not only limited to Lebanon but also reached abroad."He added that the Council has turned into a "fiscal shadow government."On the other hand, Berri hoped the results of the Lebanese elections set for June 7 will come out as fast as those of the Israeli elections. Beirut, 12 Feb 09, 13:35

Lebanon NOT for sale
Date: February 12th, 2009 Source: Future News
Lebanese in the past four years have endured lots of hardships and great responsibilities. Their lives were threatened as followers of the Syrian regime were putting Lebanon for sale at Israeli, American, Iranian and Syrian auctions.
The “Cedar’s Revolution” four years ago, has been eagerly working on regaining the components of the government and its sovereign and liberal stance, while the tribe of “Thank you Syria” has since been dismantling it and auctioning its decisions to the credit of the Syrian and Iranian regimes at the behest of the United States of America. For that purpose, February 14, will be a clear message that Lebanon is Not for sale. It is for all its citizens where no security zones of sectarian and religious ghettos exist. It will be a referendum that they champion a strong government and legal armed forces.
February 14 will also be an occasion to announce our refusal of a nation disintegrated into several mini-states where tongues and hands are chopped off and necks and dignities are stepped on. On this day we will renew our loyalty to the “human being” in Lebanon and to the norms of Justice, truth and beauty so that we regain the country we all dream of with dignity and pride under the umbrella of a just government and its legal forces.
We will participate February 14 to launch a political workshop whose ultimate aim is to ban the formation of mini-states and the prevailing of heavier and stronger weaponry than that of the government in the hands of illegitimate groups.
This occasion is a necessary path to move forward to the elections to gain the majority in the parliament in order to work hand in hand to kick off the project of rebuilding the nation and safeguarding Lebanon from the earthquakes set by the Syrian and Iranian policies through its followers here.
“Lebanon is not for sale”, this is what we are going to shout out loud February 14. Lebanon is a free, independent and strong state. Lebanon will never be a playground for others and our blood belongs to us not to the Pasdaran or the Passij or the Syrian intelligence.

An election that raises Syria's appetite
By Michael Young /Daily Star staff

Thursday, February 12, 2009
Leave it to the Israelis and Palestinians to extinguish the heavenly light that accompanied Barack Obama into the White House. The American president, we were told, would take the sins of the Middle East onto his mortal shoulders and usher in a new morning of regional concord. Apparently not.
The wittiest comment on Israel's elections Tuesday, which saw a dramatic shift in the country toward the political right, came from a Hamas official, Moushir al-Masri, who declared that Israel had chosen "extremists." It would be difficult to disagree with Masri, but somehow he seemed to miss the irony that the Palestinians already did that three years ago when they elected a Hamas majority to the Palestinian Parliament.
What happens next in Israel is a matter of utter confusion. If Tzipi Livni, the Kadima leader, is asked to form a government, she will have to fish in the waters of the right to reach some sort of majority, one that will be unstable at best. If the Likud leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, is handed the task, his right-wing government will also be rickety, bringing together secular and religious parties, along with the xenophobic partisans of Avigdor Lieberman - by some estimates giving the right a short majority of 64 seats in the Knesset. And all for what? Livni won't have any margin to discontinue settlement building and evacuate occupied Arab land, assuming she is serious about it; while Netanyahu is explicitly hostile to it.
On the Hamas side, this is all excellent news. That Israel is obliterating what remains of the Oslo process suits the movement just fine. The one unmistakable victim of the Israeli election is the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, who can now look forward to many more years of deadlock with Israel, as well as an escalating effort by Hamas to discredit the Palestinian Liberation Organization, and then eventually either replace it with a more amenable structure or hijack the PLO itself.
Precisely how George Mitchell, the American envoy for the Middle East peace process, will untie this knot of vipers is anyone's guess. Perhaps now, all those who blamed George W. Bush and Condoleezza Rice for not doing enough to promote Palestinian-Israeli peace can understand why they were so lethargic. Bush and Rice, chastened by their hubris of the years before, were modest about what the United States could achieve. The domestic dynamics in Israeli and Palestinian society did not permit a settlement, and Obama's aura, we must suspect, will not make much difference.
Also delighted with the Israeli election results is Syria. As he surveys the wasteland of Oslo, the president, Bashar Assad, sees his stock rising. We can hear echoes of what will be the conventional wisdom in Washington these coming weeks: "The Palestinian-Israeli track is blocked, so let's move ahead with negotiations between Syria and Israel." The Syrians are sending out signals that they would welcome being engaged by the US, but that this can only be effective if the administration lifts the sanctions imposed under the Syria Accountability Act (SAA). Syria would also like to be removed from the State Department's list of terrorism sponsors, and has indicated that Damascus has no intention of cutting its ties with Iran, Hizbullah or Hamas. These demands are opening gambits, but Assad will try to milk US impatience when it comes to progress in the region for all he's worth.
That's why it's urgent for the Obama administration to make public its new policy toward Syria. The Syrian wish list is not one Assad is likely to soon get. There even appears to be a continuing debate over whether to send an American ambassador back to Damascus. The Syrian regime's scribes have valiantly tried to generate good news by reporting that US-Syrian relations are normalizing. Some, for example, have written that the State Department is preparing to name Frederic Hof as the new ambassador to Syria. That appears to be untrue. The regime is also spinning that the American decision to allow Syria to buy spare parts for its two Boeing-747s is a sign that the SAA is collapsing. Again, that is untrue, since the legislation allows the US to sell parts if necessary to ensure the safety of flying.
But it's Lebanon where Syria's eye wanders most lustily. One writer, Sami Moubayed, who accurately reflects the Assad regime's thinking, let the cat out of the bag recently when he wrote that the Syrians "want to show the world - mainly the US - that just as they can deliver on Palestine, they can deliver in Iraq and Lebanon." He went on to quote the former US secretary of state, Warren Christopher, to the effect that Syria "influenced the leaders of Hezbollah to stop the conflicts with Israel in 1993 and 1996."
It is remarkable how the Syrians will refuse to constrain Hizbullah, while also peddling themselves as potential adversaries of the party. To believe Christopher's line, one would need to have been relieved of a memory. In 1993 and 1996 Syria didn't end the conflicts with Israel; it granted Hizbullah great leeway to use its weapons, as it did later on, then bargained over the rising number of Lebanese corpses to earn an advantageous deal - not coincidentally with Warren Christopher himself, living proof that an old fool is someone who will commend you for robbing him blind.
The Syrian messages on containing Hizbullah are not directed solely at the Obama administration; they are being beamed toward the next Israeli prime minister as well. Whether it is Livni or Netanyahu, the Syrians know that regional politics abhor a vacuum, so that blockage on the Palestinian front or in discussions over the Golan Heights might create openings between Syria and Israel over Lebanon. That remains an American worry, and is why there are opponents of Syria in Washington who nevertheless argue that an American presence at the table is desirable, if only to prevent the Lebanese from turning into Syria's and Israel's meal.
Since the region invites gastronomic terminology, in light of the Israeli election results the Obama administration has its plate full in finding a way through the inveterate stalemate of the region. Before long, it may conclude that the pickings are so slim that Arabs and Israelis merit only last suppers.
**Michael Young is opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR.

Are we helping Syria to fly the terrorist skies?
Tue, 02/10/2009 - 12:19pm
By Michael Singh
There have been news reports over the last day or two suggesting that, according to the Syrian government, the United States has granted approval for the export of spare parts to rehabilitate Boeing 747s owned by Damascus. By way of background, any such export would require a license from the U.S. Department of Commerce (for the relevant regulations on this issue, see here).
To the casual observer, the approval of spare parts for civilian aircraft might seem unremarkable. Except, of course, for the fact that Syria serves as the conduit for Iranian weapons bound for Hizballah in Lebanon, which is among the reasons cited by the Commerce Department for restricting U.S. exports to Damascus. These arms shipments provide Hizballah the capability to intimidate Lebanese citizens and potentially destabilize the entire region.
Troublingly, there is a history of allegations that Iran and Syria have used civilian transport for illicit arms shipments. Recall, for example, the 2007 case of a train in Turkey which, having been bombed by Kurdish guerillas, was found to be carrying arms bound for Syria from Iran hidden among construction materials. Or more recently, the case of the ship, also bound for Syria from Iran, that was detained by Cypriot authorities and reportedly found to be carrying cargo in violation of UN Security Council resolution 1747. Until the Syrian government ends its provision of arms to terrorist groups like Hizballah, it makes little sense for the United States to help Damascus maintain its aircraft fleet.

How serious is the EU about supporting democracy and human rights in Lebanon?
Thursday, February 12, 2009

The European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) Working Papers
Editor's Note: This is the first part of a working paper by scholar Julia Choucair Vizoso from the FRIDE think tank based in Madrid and published by ECFR. The document provides a comprehensive overview of EU-Lebanon ties and comes up with a series of recommendations on the various means by which the EU could support democracy and human rights in Lebanon. The Daily Star will publish the rest of the document on Thursday.
Europe is deeply involved in and affected by the situation in Lebanon. From the European Union's perspective, Lebanon's security is vital for the security of the entire Mediterranean region, which is judged to be producing increasingly serious threats to the EU's own stability and strategic security. For Europe, Lebanon is not only key to the Arab-Israeli conflict but also holds great symbolic significance as a model of confessional coexistence in a region rife with sectarian tension.
For almost four years, Lebanon has been in a crisis caused by the upsetting of the political equilibrium in place since the end of the Lebanese civil war in the early 1990s. The end of Syrian direct control over Lebanese politics unleashed a political game of musical chairs in which local and regional players have struggled to ensure that they hold the upper hand in the new consensus that will govern Lebanon.
As feared by Lebanese citizens and predicted by many observers, the political crisis eventually erupted in the worst internal fighting since the civil war. The outbreak of violence in the second week of May 2008 forced politicians - through Qatari-sponsored mediation - to return to dialogue to resolve the 18-month political impasse between the governing March 14th coalition and opposition March 8th parties. The Doha Agreement of 21 May and the formation of a national unity cabinet on 11 July have ended the immediate risk of further violence. However, the underlying problems that prompted the crisis remain unresolved and are likely to resurface in the lead up to the elections for parliament in the spring of 2009.
The dynamics of this most recent crisis are not new to Lebanon. Due in large part to the confessional political system, which mandates that political and institutional Lebanese state. The EU has been unable to develop a coherent and overarching strategy that addresses the real hurdles to political reform in Lebanon. The EU's state building approach in Lebanon focuses on traditional developmental and technical aid that does not address the main problems of state capacity and state accountability. Also, there is a lack of systematic coordination on assistance to Lebanon both between individual member states of the European Union in their bilateral cooperation with Lebanon as well as between member states and the European Commission.
Furthermore, European states have pursued traditional diplomatic mediation approaches that do not attempt to coordinate with democracy assistance tools.
The Lebanese confessional system: flawed but entrenched Lebanon's political system is one of the most complex in the Middle East. Based on the premise that a careful balance in all aspects of political life must be maintained among the seventeen recognised religious communities, this confessional system has given Lebanon a semblance of democratic practice: regular elections, numerous political parties, and news media that are relatively free and lively compared with other Arab countries. At the same time, the distribution of power on a confessional basis has prevented the emergence of a state, let alone a democratic one.
All political and bureaucratic positions in Lebanon are allocated along confessional lines. The institutionalisation of long established social, cultural identities based on confessional and sectarian loyalties has resulted in a collection of de facto mini-states responsible for all the needs of their respective constituents rather than in a central authority capable and willing to deliver basic services to citizens. Lebanon holds regular elections for the parliament but it cannot be described as an electoral democracy. The sectarian balancing act prevents the establishment of an electoral law that will guarantee fair representation.
Electoral districts are blatantly gerrymandered before every election to ensure the re-election of incumbent deputies and to result in weak coalitions of independent candidates. The segmented political landscape and the absence of national institutions render Lebanon ungovernable when there are political disagreements among the leaders of the major communities. In the absence of a central authority to arbitrate, political actors are involved in zero sum negotiations where every compromise is seen as a threat to their existence. As a result, systemic instability has haunted the country since independence, surfacing in episodes of violence, the most significant of which was the 1975-1990 civil war. The confessional system also makes Lebanon particularly vulnerable to the political and strategic battles of its difficult neighbourhood. The fact that it is impossible for any one domestic force to generate sufficient power to govern invites the disproportionate influence of outside actors, so that different Lebanese factions appeal to different external actors for financial and/or diplomatic assistance that can be translated into greater power internally. Syria, like many foreign powers before it, was able to exploit the weaknesses of the confessional system both during and after the Lebanese civil war, ultimately becoming the main power broker in Lebanon. Many Lebanese politicians acknowledge the flaws of the existing system and have paid lip service to 'deconfessionalisation', that is abolishing power-sharing arrangements that divide executive and legislative power into sectarian allotments. The corrupt patronage system, however, has created vested interests in perpetuating the status quo. The confessional system has also prevented the emergence of powerful grassroots demands to change the system. The debate surrounding electoral reform is perhaps the most telling example of the fact that despite a realisation by the political elite that the current system is inefficient and unrepresentative, the focus is always on short-term benefits or concessions rather than structural change. The problems of Lebanon's election law are widely acknowledged and an independent National Commission on Electoral Law Reform was formed in August 2005 to identify needed revisions. The commission submitted a draft law to the Council of Ministers on 1 June 2006 that addressed the major flaws in electoral legislation. Following years of squabbling over the details, politicians finally reached an agreement in May 2008 that made a passing reference to the draft legislation proposed by the commission, but in fact ignored its key provisions.
Searching for a new modus vivendi: implications for political reform
The assassination of Rafik Hariri, the former prime minister, on 14 February 2005, and the subsequent withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon in April 2005 have shaken the local and regional equilibrium that governed Lebanon since the end of the civil war. The end of Syrian tutelage over Lebanese politics unleashed issues that were suppressed since the close of the civil war, ranging from sectarian relations and the distribution of power to the question of Hizbullah's arms and the status of armed Palestinian refugees.
The withdrawal of Syrian troops also reflected the end of the wider international consensus that emerged at the end of the Lebanese civil war based on the assumption that stability was the first priority in Lebanon and that Syria could ensure this objective by keeping the fractious sectarian groups and militant organizations in check. Beginning in 2000 regional developments gradually eroded this international consensus.
As a result of the collapse of Israeli-Syrian negotiations, the death of the Syrian president, Hafez al-Asad, Israel's withdrawal from South Lebanon, the US war in Iraq, and the ascendant power of Iran in the region, Lebanon is once again at the heart of a strategic tug-of-war between the region's main players: Iran, Syria, Israel, and the United States. The current situation in Lebanon must therefore be understood against the deterioration of the Arab-Israeli conflict and the increasing tension in US-Syrian and US-Iranian relations.
The upsetting of the old local equilibrium coupled with the fierce regional and international competition has pushed Lebanese politicians to adopt maximalist positions, which does not bode well for a process of democratic political reform. Within a year of the Syrian withdrawal, the disparate parties and confessional groupings had coalesced into two rival camps. The March 14 group (named after the largest of the protests in 2005 to demand Syrian withdrawal) is composed primarily of Sunni, Druze, and Christian politicians and controls the majority of seats in the parliament. It receives diplomatic support from the United States, France, and key Arab states such as Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt. Its main goal is to contain Syrian ambitions and, more specifically, to ensure the implementation of a UN resolution to establish a tribunal to try suspects in the al-Hariri assassination. The March 8 group (named after the largest Hizbullah-led protest in 2005) brought together the two Shia parties (Hizbullah and Amal) with the Maronite Free Patriotic Movement led by Michel Aoun. The March 8 group denies the legitimacy of the March 14 coalition as the governing majority, claiming its actions have been unconstitutional.
The March 8 group's international patrons are Iran and Syria, with Damascus providing political and material assistance and, in Hizbullah's case, military supplies.
Both groups believe that Lebanon's identity and its future relations with its neighbours and international actors are at stake in the current tug-of-war: March 14 strives to prevent further involvement in regional conflict and accuses Hizbullah of being subservient to Syria and Iran; March 8 accused March 14 of working for US and Israeli interests.
In a very worrying trend, the conflict has been acquiring greater sectarian overtones.
The confrontation between the two blocs was exacerbated by a wave of assassinations of politicians and journalists belonging to the March 14 group that began in late 2004.
In 2007, a series of car bombs also began targeting civilians and commercial neighborhoods in and around Beirut. The devastating 34-day war launched by Israel on Lebanon in summer 2006, after Hizbullah kidnapped two Israeli soldiers and killed three others, further exacerbated the political divide and renewed sectarian anxiety. It also ended the attempt by Lebanese politicians to find through negotiations compromise solutions for the major issues that divided the two camps. The standoff between the political groups virtually paralysed the institutions of the Lebanese state.
The outbreak of violence in May 2008 - the worst internal fighting since the end of the civil war - demonstrated the extent to which the parties perceive the conflict as an existential one, one that was threatening their very existence as parties and communities of influence. A government decision on 6 May to reassign the head of Airport Security at Beirut International Airport and to investigate and dismantle a separate telecommunications network run and controlled by Hizbullah triggered violent clashes in which fighting units of Hizbullah and Amal attacked and overran positions defended by armed supporters of the government.
The Qatari-mediated Doha agreement of 21 May has averted further violence by filling the institutional vacuum.
The parties agreed to elect Michel Sleiman, the former commander-in-chief of the army, as president thus ending the six-month presidential vacuum. They also formed a unity government on 11 July, in which the governing majority has 16 seats and the opposition got their long-standing demand of 11 cabinet seats - which guarantees them veto power. The new president nominated the remaining three ministers.
The situation, however, remains very volatile since the local and regional triggers discussed above are still firmly in place. Furthermore, Hizbullah's use of its arms internally has intensified communal animosity and provided fertile ground for radicalization and rearmament among other factions in Lebanon. The tension between the two camps in Lebanon continues to threaten domestic stability and undermine the chances of political reform. Debates about political and economic reform, which already had a slim chance of leading to significant change in the first place, have now been completely undermined by shortterm tactical considerations as the various political forces struggle to obtain and retain the upper hand in the new balance of power.
The role of European states in the latest crisis has highlighted the centrality of Lebanon's stability for Europe's interests. From Europe's perspective, Lebanon's security is vital for the security of the entire Mediterranean region and therefore preventing the disintegration of the Lebanese political system is a priority. To achieve this objective, the focus has been primarily on diplomatic activity aimed at mediating between internal and regional forces.
Europe's diplomatic power: strengths and limitations
The European Union's diplomatic record throughout Lebanon's recent crisis has highlighted its strengths and weaknesses as a strategic player not just in Lebanon, but also in the Middle East in general. A discussion of European diplomatic activity has to begin with the separate foreign policies of the EU member states most involved in Lebanon.
Despite converging interests and greater coordination between their activities, European states continue to operate based on their own considerations.
France
France's historic ties with Lebanon (Lebanon was governed by France as a League of Nations mandate between 1919 and 1943) have placed it at the forefront of European diplomatic activity. French policy since the end of the Lebanese civil war has focused primarily on maintaining special relations with Lebanon and avoiding instability. In light of this objective, France acquiesced to Syrian military presence in Lebanon based on the assumption that Syria would restore public order by keeping the fractious sectarian groups and militant organisations in check. At the same time, France was always keen to maintain its influence in both countries.
Former French president Jacques Chirac had particularly close ties to Lebanon due to his personal relationship with Lebanon's former Prime Minister, Rafik Hariri. With Bashar al-Asad's succession in Syria in 2000, France also increased its contacts with Syria and involved itself in the new process of administrative reform in the country.
By 2004, France had started to lose confidence both in Syria's stabilising role in Lebanon as well as in the Syrian government's willingness to deliver economic and administrative reform. Syria's brazen interference with the Lebanese political system to keep former president Emile Lahoud in office - coupled with Chirac's growing disenchantment with Bashar al-Asad - exacerbated French concerns and ultimately led France to join the United States as co-sponsor of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1559 (September 2, 2004) calling for the withdrawal of "all remaining foreign forces," understood to mean Syria, from Lebanon. The resolution also called for the "disbanding and disarmament of all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias," a clear allusion to Hizbullah. According to French officials, this clause went against French preferences of not alienating the movement but was included upon US insistence.
Following Hariri's assassination, France suspended relations with Syria and strongly backed the establishment of an international tribunal to investigate the murder. As the Lebanese political scene grew increasingly polarised, France also provided strong diplomatic support to the March 14 coalition.
The ElysŽe was also very active in pushing for a cease- fire agreement between Israel and Hizbullah following the summer 2006 war and France helped draft the United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 which was unanimously adopted on 11 August 2006. France committed 2,000 troops to the reinforced UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mission.
French policy toward Lebanon under President Nicolas Sarkozy has experienced some changes in its style.
Firstly, in marked contrast to Chirac's mandate, Sarkozy has made an effort to depersonalise relations between French and Lebanese politicians. For example, in his first visit to Lebanon, Sarkozy led a delegation of French ministers and the leaders of France's major political parties to Lebanon, becoming the first Western head of state to 10 Chirac invited Bashar al-Asad to make a state visit to France in June 2001, dispatched trusted advisers to help steer administrative modernisation, and sent a close aide (Jean-FranŤois Girault, a former presidential adviser) as ambassador to Syria.
According to Sarkozy, the decision to bring such a large and diverse delegation for the occasion was intended to show that "France's solidarity with the Lebanese people and our country's commitment to Lebanon's independence and sovereignty have nothing to do with parties, or individuals."
Secondly, French policy under Sarkozy has adopted a more conciliatory position towards the "March 8" group than under Chirac in the hope of creating an environment more conducive to the resolution of the gridlock. This has been accompanied by a much more vigorous shuttle diplomacy approach. Soon after his election, Sarkozy sent a high-level envoy to Lebanon to restart the frozen dialogue between the parties and invited all the Lebanese factions involved in the national dialogue to an inter-Lebanese meeting at Celle Saint-Cloud in France in July 2007.
Thirdly, France has made considerable diplomatic investment in restoring high-level ties with Syria since Sarkozy's accession in May 2007. After a highly publicised initial attempt by France's foreign minister Bernard Kouchner to enlist Syrian support failed to push forward a resolution to the Lebanese crisis, Sarkozy announced he would freeze relations with Syria and would only renew them if Damascus collaborated in diffusing the Lebanese crisis. Soon after the election of a new president in Lebanon, France moved to restore high-level contacts with Syria, sending two senior envoys - Jean-David Levitte and Claude GuŽant - to meet with Bashar al-Asad in Damascus on 15 June 2008. These efforts culminated in a very public and symbolic trip by al-Asad to Paris to attend the summit for the Barcelona Process: Union for the Mediterranean and join in Bastille Day celebrations on 12-14 July 2008.
At the summit, Sarkozy announced that Syria and Lebanon would open embassies in both countries, a very significant development given Syria's resistance to fully normalising relations with Lebanon. Such a normalisation would entail exchanging embassies, but more importantly, demarcating the border between Syria and Lebanon. Sarkozy also called for reviving efforts to negotiate the EU-Syria association agreement.
Despite the changes in style from Chirac to Sarkozy, French policy guidelines in Lebanon remain the same: promoting internal dialogue to avoid instability in Lebanon, and ensuring that Syria's grip on Lebanon does not derail French influence in the country. It can be said that Sarkozy has tried to send the message to Syria that his approach is different from that of Chirac, but that he still has firm conditions for engagement. France has also continued to collaborate with the United States on Lebanon policy and both countries have strived to portray an image of harmonised policy decisions.
Other European member states have historically been less involved than France in the internal politics of Lebanon and view the country primarily through the lens of broader regional interests. Efforts in this context have focused on an attempt to reinvigorate the Middle East peace process.
Germany
Germany is vested in maintaining stability in Lebanon due to a concern that conflicts in the region could have an impact on European security and due to its sense of historical responsibility for Israel's existence and security.
Under the leadership of Angela Merkel, German chancellor since November 2005, the German government declared the Middle East conflict to be one of its top priorities.
The German presidency of the EU (from January to June 2007) had three main goals for its Middle East policy: to revive the Middle East Quartet, to stabilize Lebanon, and to achieve progress towards a comprehensive peace settlement. Following the 2006 war, Lebanon became one of four large-scale missions with a long-term orientation for the German government. German sensitivities to the potential danger of German troops clashing with Israeli soldiers limited Germany's involvement in UNIFIL (which began on 15 October 2006) to commanding the Maritime Task Force (MTF) along the coast of Lebanon, whose task, in conjunction with the Lebanese navy, is to prevent arms smuggling at the country's maritime borders.
On 29 February 2008 Germany handed over the command of the MTF to the European Maritime Force (EUROMARFOR) that is currently led by Italy. Germany has also taken the lead in assisting the Lebanese government in controlling the land border with Syria to curb cross-border smuggling and illegal arms trade.
The project focuses on providing technical support and training to Lebanese security forces and is managed by the German Federal Ministry of the Interior and the Federal Foreign Office in collaboration with Denmark, the United Kingdom, and the United States with funds from the European Commission.
Since the beginning of the 1990s, Germany has also been carrying out a key role in the realization of indirect talks on the exchange of prisoners and remains between Israel and Hizbullah. Most recently, Germany helped mediate a deal on 16 July in which Hizbullah exchanged the bodies of two Israeli soldiers captured in July 2006 in return for five Lebanese prisoners and the remains of 200 Lebanese and Palestinian fighters.
Italy
Italy's involvement in Lebanon has reflected the shifts in its policy toward the southern Mediterranean in general, which has been characterised by a trend whereby centre-left governments have favoured relations with the EU whereas centre-right governments have favoured developing closer ties with the United States. In this context, Italy's increased involvement following the 2006 war reflected the eagerness of Romano Prodi's centre-left government (elected in April 2006) to cooperate with other EU members to reinforce a European foreign policy and depart from the "Atlanticism" of the Berlusconi era. Engagement in Lebanon presented Italy with a window of opportunity to take the lead in bolstering European efforts to revive the Middle East peace process and more broadly to inject momentum into the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership (EMP). Italy was very active in trying to end the 2006 war between Israel and Lebanon and hosted a conference in Rome on 26 July 2006 to discuss how to bring an end to the conflict and to pledge future support for Lebanon's reconstruction. Italy also pushed to enlarge the UNIFIL presence in South Lebanon and contributed the largest contingent with 2,450 troops.
Since Silvio Berlusconi's re-election in April 2008, statements both by Berlusconi and the Italian foreign minister, Franco Frattini, have reflected a harder stance on the issue of Hizbullah's disarmament. Berlusconi pledged to maintain Italian troops as part of UNIFIL, but alluded to the need to revise the rules of engagement for UNIFIL soldiers. Frattini formulated these demands initially, but in mid-June 2008 stated that for the moment, it was not possible to rework UNIFIL's rules of engagement given the situation in the country but that the rules of engagement in their current form, if fully applied, would suffice. In an 8 July visit to Israel, Frattini also expressed Italy's willingness to mediate in direct peace negotiations between Israel and Lebanon.
Spain
Spanish policy toward Lebanon has been framed within its policy toward the Arab-Israeli conflict and by its leading role in the Barcelona Process: Union for the Mediterranean.
In this context, involvement in Lebanon gives Spain the opportunity to be more involved both in the Middle East as well as within Europe. As in the case of Italy, the change in leadership in Spain has also increased Spanish activity in Lebanon. Spanish foreign minister, Miguel Angel Moratinos (who assumed his post in March 2004), has a history of involvement in the Middle East peace process and a personal conviction that Spain should be more involved in the region. The numerous visits by Moratinos to Lebanon and Syria during the summer 2006 war and subsequent visits aimed at getting the Lebanese parties to agree on a new president, indicate a clear decision by the Spanish government to be involved in the crucial political moments in Lebanon. The Spanish contribution to UNIFIL (1,100 troops) has also raised the stakes for Spanish policy in the country.
Strengths and limits of European
diplomacy in Lebanon
European states' diplomatic record in Lebanon shows that Europe can play an important and constructive role in mitigating conflict, primarily by convincing domestic actors to step back from the brink and therefore avoid the disintegration of order. Unlike other foreign powers with interests in Lebanon, Europe has exhibited a conciliatory approach based on a consensus around the notion that Lebanon cannot be governed without the agreement of its principal political coalitions and, therefore, that Europe must actively pursue the role of mediator. This common approach was expressed most clearly through the coordinated visits to Lebanon of the foreign ministers of France, Spain, and Italy (Bernard Kouchner, Miguel Angel Moratinos, and Massimo D'Alema) in October and November 2007. Joint European involvement in UNIFIL has also increased the leverage of the EU in preventing a new violent conflict on Lebanon's southern border.
EU member states have also adopted a nuanced approach to the question of Hizbullah's arms. While acknowledging that the existence of an armed militia independent of the government is an obstacle to democratic reform in any country, European states have for the most part demonstrated acceptance of the fact that the debate over Hizbullah's status is very complex because it is not limited to the Lebanese context. Most European governments perceive that since its establishment in 1982, Hizbullah has become a multifaceted organization that is a political party, a vast social welfare network, and a regional movement and militia allied with Syria and Iran to deter US and Israel's ambitions in the region. Given this reality, European states accept the fact that barring a breakthrough in the Arab- Israeli conflict, the prospects of the group's disarmament remain very distant. This is accompanied by a belief that the disarmament of Hizbullah can only be done in a cooperative and gradual manner, in full consultation with Hizbullah itself. As such, European states have preferred to engage the group and make efforts to reduce or contain the likelihood of Hizbullah using its large military potential - an approach that has given Europe a fair degree of diplomatic leverage.
For example, Germany is interested in maintaining its rather unique role as a successful mediator in prisoner swaps between Hizbullah and Israel.
In light of these considerations, most European governments have resisted including Hizbullah on the list of terrorist organisations despite the fact that in March 2005 the European parliament branded Hizbullah as a terrorist organisation and urged EU governments to place the group on their terrorist blacklists. France, Spain, and Italy have been particularly opposed to this designation.
The Netherlands, on the other hand, included Hizbullah in its terrorism list in 2004. The British government added the military wing of Hizbullah to a list of terrorist groups banned in the United Kingdom on 2 July 2008. While these positions have helped European efforts at mediation, the recent crisis has highlighted the extent to which Europe is limited in its ability to bring about a sustainable solution. Europe has limited influence on the likelihood of a comprehensive regional, political, and diplomatic agreement between the United States, Iran, and Syria that would address all issues of regional concerns. Such an agreement would allow efforts at stabilization to occur in a less explosive environment.
Despite the convergence of some member states' policies in Lebanon, deep disagreements among European states continue to impede a unified European policy. This was demonstrated most visibly in European states' response to the summer 2006 war between Israel and Lebanon.
While the large majority of the EU's 25 states called for an immediate cease-fire, the United Kingdom mirrored US policy, insisting that it would be futile to demand an end to the fighting until the "necessary conditions for a durable, sustainable ceasefire that would prevent a return to the status quo ante" were present.20 The EU's High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy Javier Solana visited Lebanon at the height of the conflict but he was not given a mandate by the Finnish EU presidency to speak on behalf of the 25 member states, as recommended by Jacques Chirac. At the end of the crisis, Chirac explicitly expressed his concern that the European Union was insufficiently active in the crisis and that its slow reaction to stop the destruction of Lebanon highlighted the weaknesses of the EU's foreign policy. In addition to vigorous diplomatic activity, the European Union's policy for stabilising Lebanon has relied on significant financial aid, allocated both at the multilateral level (mainly through EU institutions) as well as bilaterally through the individual member states.