LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
October 28/09

Bible Reading of the day
Matthew 13/10-17 :The disciples came, and said to him, “Why do you speak to them in parables?” He answered them, “To you it is given to know the mysteries of the Kingdom of Heaven, but it is not given to them. For whoever has, to him will be given, and he will have abundance, but whoever doesn’t have, from him will be taken away even that which he has. Therefore I speak to them in parables, because seeing they don’t see, and hearing, they don’t hear, neither do they understand. In them the prophecy of Isaiah is fulfilled, which says,  ‘By hearing you will hear, and will in no way understand; Seeing you will see, and will in no way perceive: for this people’s heart has grown callous, their ears are dull of hearing, they have closed their eyes; or else perhaps they might perceive with their eyes, hear with their ears, understand with their heart, and should turn again; and I would heal them.’ “But blessed are your eyes, for they see; and your ears, for they hear. For most certainly I tell you that many prophets and righteous men desired to see the things which you see, and didn’t see them; and to hear the things which you hear, and didn’t hear them.

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
The consensus fallacy/By: Hussain Abdul-Hussain/Now Lebanon/October 27/09
This is the general/BY: Hazem al-Amin/Now Lebanon/October 26, 09
Hezbollah and the new regional reality/By: Firas Maksad & Anthony Elghossain/Now Lebanon/October 27, 09
The “Dispersed” Gulf Diplomacy/
By: Jamil Theyabi?Al Hayat/October 27/09
The “Brotherhoodization” of the Arab World/By: Husam Itani/AlHayat/October 27/09
 A widening generation gap?/By Mira Baz/Daily Star/October 27/09

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for October 27/09
Barak: Ready for Any Confrontation with Lebanon/Naharnet
Franjieh from Baabda: Cabinet Negotiations Close to 'Achieving Something'/Naharnet
 
9 General Security Staff Charged with Taking Bribes/Naharnet
Mustaqbal Urges All Parties to Help Facilitate Cabinet Formation/Naharnet

Cabinet Crisis, Postponement of Parliament Session Threaten to Paralyze State Institutions /Naharnet

Cairo Snaps Back at 'Acrobat' Jumblat /Naharnet

Jumblat: Difficulties are 100% Lebanese /Naharnet
Security Council Discusses Tuesday Ban's Report on 1559 without Feedback /Naharnet
Hussein Khalil Met Hariri Sunday, Berri to Visit in Following Hours
/Naharnet
Jumblat: '1559 Report' Tackled Issues Under Discussion through National Dialogue Table
/Naharnet
Phalange Party: Relations with Syria Through Official Channels Not Individual Ones
/Naharnet
Bassil: We Are Open to Solutions
/Naharnet
IC Ras Beirut Middle School Closes Down over Swine Flu
/Naharnet

Pakistan arrests 11 Iranian guards who crossed border/Daily Star
Iran Helped Syria Acquire WMD, Missile Technology, Report Alleges/Global Security Newswire
Saudi king pardons reporter sentenced to 60 lashes/Reuters
Jumblatt: Syria Is Lebanon's Political Support/MEMRI
Fears arise of open-ended crisis as Lebanon cabinet delays persist/Daily Star
Sleiman slams horrific Baghdad bombings/Daily Star
Saudi king pardons LBC journalist/AFP
Israel vows to persist with espionage efforts in Lebanon/Daily Star
A widening generation gap?/Daily Star
'Gentleman's agreement' draws Bekaa clans closer to state/AFP
Lebanon sees highest tourism growth worldwide - report/Daily Star
Lebanon second-biggest player in Arab world in IT, ICT services/Daily Star
Event honors sons of Lebanon's fallen heroes/Daily Star
School protest attacked by gun fire/Daily Star
Residents of Ghobeiri suburb exchange gun fire/Daily Star
Family of pregnant woman insists her death due to negligence, not swine flu/Daily Star
UNIFIL carries out amphibious exercises/Daily Star
Italian Embassy pledges support for mental health care in south/Daily Star
Jabal Moussa mountain to become ecotourism center/Daily Star
US ambassador hands AUB $457,475 check for scholarship assistance/Daily Star  

Canada Condemns the Deadly Attacks on Baghdad
(No. 315 - October 25, 2009 - 6:30 p.m. EDT) The Honourable Lawrence Cannon, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the following statement regarding the double bomb attacks that occurred in Baghdad this morning, killing more than 130 people and wounding more than 500: “Canada is appalled and gravely concerned by today’s two deadly bomb attacks in Baghdad, near the Justice and Foreign Affairs Government buildings, which took many innocent lives. “Canada condemns these cruel and unjustified acts of violence. We are confident that such affronts on the Iraqi people will not weaken the country’s strong desire to establish a secure, stable and unified democracy. “On behalf of all Canadians, I offer my sincere condolences to the families and friends of those killed and injured in the bombings. Our thoughts are with the Iraqi people. “The Government of Canada stands firmly with the Iraqi people to help strengthen freedom, democracy, human rights and the rule of law in Iraq.”
- 30 -
For further information, media representatives may contact:
Natalie Sarafian
Press Secretary
Office of the Minister of Foreign Affairs
613-995-1851
Foreign Affairs Media Relations Office
Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada
613-995-1874


Pakistan arrests 11 Iranian guards who crossed border

Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Abdul Sattar/Associated Press
QUETTA, Pakistan: Pakistan arrested 11 Iranians on Monday after they shot at a vehicle carrying smugglers on the Pakistani side of the border, officials said. The incident came amid tensions over a recent suicide attack that Tehran alleges was carried out by militants sheltering inside Pakistan and supported by its intelligence officials.
Pakistani officials initially identified the men as members of Iran’s powerful Revolutionary Guard, but later said most were regular border guards. One official said three senior officers among the detainees belonged to the elite unit. Iran’s Press TV carried what it described as a statement from the guard condemning the arrests, but saying that the 11 were not its members. The report cited “informed” sources as saying the 11 were “border guards hunting fuel smugglers [who] accidentally entered Pakistan.”
In an attempt to boost security in the region, Iran in April put the Revolutionary Guard directly in control of Sistan-Baluchistan Province. Its officers typically take the lead in any operations on Iran’s border. The 11 officers were taken into custody in Mashkel district, around 7 kilometers from the countries’ border in the southwestern Pakistani province of Baluchistan, said paramilitary official Mohammad Naseer Baluch. He said they were arrested soon after they shot out the tires of a car driven by “two petty smugglers.” Ties between Pakistan and Iran have been strained since an October 18 suicide attack killed 15 members of the Revolutionary Guard, including five senior commanders, and at least 27 others in the town of Pishin on the Iranian side of the border. Iranian officials blamed a Sunni rebel group known as Jundallah, or Soldiers of God, in the attack. Iran’s president and the guard chief have since publicly accused Pakistan’s intelligence service of supporting Jundallah. Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari met with Iran’s interior minister in Islamabad on Sunday to discuss the attack. Zardari vowed to cooperate in capturing any attackers and said those behind the blasts “were the enemies of both countries.” Other Pakistani officials Monday said the arrested Iranians were in two cars and had no travel documents. “We need to probe that,” said Murtaza Baig, a spokesman for the paramilitary border force. Pakistan has been accused of past and ongoing support of militant activities in two other neighboring countries, Afghanistan and India, greatly complicating relations with both of them. Tensions with another regional power would only add to the problems facing it as it battles Al-Qaeda and the Taliban within its borders. Jundallah has waged a low-level insurgency in Iran’s southeast in recent years, claiming to fight on behalf of the Baluchi ethnic minority, which it says is persecuted by Iran’s government. The 120,000-member guard is Iran’s strongest military force and is directly linked to the ruling clerics. It also controls Iran’s missile program and guards its nuclear facilities. Iran has also accused the United States and Britain of having links with Jundallah, charges both nations deny.

Security Council Discusses Tuesday Ban's Report on 1559 without Feedback

Naharnet/The U.N. Security Council is scheduled to discuss on Tuesday the tenth bi-annual report of Secretary General Ban Ki-moon on the implementation of resolution 1559.
Al-Mustaqbal daily said that the Council is not expected to issue any statement on the content of the report during a closed-door session. It quoted diplomatic sources as saying, however, that the report did not adopt a stern language. The sources added that the report was the "weakest" issued so far. In the report, delivered to the Council last week, Ban urged the Lebanese to benefit from the successful June 2009 parliamentary elections and visits between Saudi King Abdullah and Syrian President Bashar Assad. The U.N. chief also warned that the presence of Hizbullah and Palestinian militants in Lebanon is contributing to tensions and insecurity and could eventually lead to a resumption of hostilities. The secretary-general said he took seriously recent reports "of a proliferation of extremist groups activities and of arms in Lebanon," but said the U.N. doesn't have the means to independently verify them. He said Hizbullah's paramilitary force "poses first and foremost a key challenge to the safety of Lebanese civilians, and to the government's monopoly on the legitimate use of force." "I call on the leaders of Hizbullah to complete the transformation of the group into a solely Lebanese political party," Ban said. Beirut, 27 Oct 09, 10:05

Cairo Snaps Back at 'Acrobat' Jumblat

Naharnet/An Egyptian source has described MP Walid Jumblat an "acrobat" who keeps changing stances after the Druze leader said those who established ties with Israel have ended up in "history's dunghill." "Such talk from Jumblat is no longer a source of surprise for Egypt," the source told pan-Arab daily al-Hayat in remarks published Tuesday. "He (Jumblat) has got used to jumping back and forward in a single acrobatic move." Jumblat said Sunday that Lebanon's geopolitical situation leaves it before two choices; the sea or Syria which he described as "the path to the Arab World." The Egyptian source said the Druze leader was in vain trying to knock on Syria's doors while criticizing Egypt and its stances. Jumblat "is handing over his credentials again in order to be an ally (of Syria) and its exclusive agent in Lebanon," he added. He told al-Hayat that the Progressive Socialist Party leader changed his stances and "resorted to fabricating lies" when Egypt did not respond quickly to his demand to visit Cairo. "People like Jumblat who used to kill their Lebanese and Palestinian brethren during the war have no right to talk about a heroic military mission carried out by the biggest Arab army in modern history," the source said. Beirut, 27 Oct 09, 09:44

Cabinet Crisis, Postponement of Parliament Session Threaten to Paralyze State Institutions

Naharnet/A decision by Speaker Nabih Berri to postpone for the second time a parliamentary session to elect committees threatened to create a scenario similar to the 2008 presidential void that lasted around seven months. An Nahar daily said Tuesday that political circles have expressed fears over a return to a similar situation amid an ongoing cabinet crisis.
They said repeated expressions of optimism on the possible formation of a government followed by escalation indicate there are attempts by some politicians to play the game of paralyzing the functions of state institutions. It took around seven months for parliament to convene and elect Michel Suleiman as president in May 2008. The country had been without a president since November 2007, when Emile Lahoud's term ended and parliamentarians could not agree on a candidate to replace him. Scheduled parliamentary elections were repeatedly cancelled as party officials argued over who was best fit for the job and what shape the government should take once the new president was in place. Berri set a date for another session on November 5 due to lack of quorum on Tuesday. Al-Liwaa newspaper quoted parliamentary sources as saying that Berri is not comfortable with procrastination and that he would continue to set dates for the session after agreement was reached for the majority to keep its share of nine committees and the opposition seven. Beirut, 27 Oct 09, 08:55

Hussein Khalil Met Hariri Sunday, Berri to Visit in Following Hours

Naharnet/Manar TV mentioned that a meeting between PM-designate Hariri and Hizbullah secretary-general's political assistant Hussein Khalil was held Sunday. Manar sources also confirmed that Speaker Nabih Berri will have a similar meeting in the following hours to shake the situation. Sources from the Free Patriotic Movement mentioned that MP Aoun requested the Justice portfolio in exchange of Telecommunications and Labor in exchange of Energy, according to Manar TV. MP Aoun should have word over the formula soon, according to Manar TV. Meanwhile the Progressive Socialist Party said that it will not give up the Labor portfolio, Manar TV said. Beirut, 26 Oct 09, 21:15

Phalange Party: Relations with Syria Through Official Channels Not Individual Ones

Naharnet/The Phalange Party Office after its weekly meeting celebrated at the Central residence in Saify headed by leader Amin Gemayel claimed that digging up the realities of the Lebanese war does not serve the co-existence. The Office also mentioned that the good relations with Syria should be carried out through official channels and not individually.
The Phalange party refused to leave the Lebanese with two choices without an alternative of a third one; either turn to Syria, or any other country, for support or commit treason.
The party offered its cooperation in PM-designate Hariri's tedious task and expected to get what it deserves of governmental representation equivalent to the sacrifices made to serve the required political and national balance. The office warned against procrastination in fear of it turning the government crisis into an institutional paralysis. On the region, the Phalange party condemned the bloody aggressions targeting Iraqi constitutional institutions and hundreds of innocent people in a time when the legitimate government aims at gathering the torn country and spread the security. The Arab silence over the Israeli attempts at judaizing Jerusalem and changing the map of the Al-Aqsa Mosque was also reproached at the meeting. The Office called the Arab League to refer the case to the U.N. Security Council or to the NGO's to secure the holy city which pertains to the celestial religions. "These unaccepted Israeli procedures hinder the national attempts at reaching whole and fair peace in the region which is the long awaited hope of the Palestinian nation to recuperate their simplest right of going back to their land and to Jerusalem, as its capital", the Office added. Beirut, 26 Oct 09, 20:04

Bassil: We Are Open to Solutions
Naharnet/Caretaker Telecoms Minister
Gebran Bassil stressed that the Free Patriotic Movement is open to solutions but will not tolerate being discriminated in an unfair manner. After meeting with Speaker Nabih Berri on Monday, Bassil said: "We are concerned with facilitating the solution and acknowledging the elections results," adding that "there is no obstacle, rather a creation of obstacles, once through a name, and another through a concept," Bassil considered that the fair distribution of cabinet portfolios produces a government that is politically stable. Beirut, 26 Oct 09, 17:30

Fears arise of open-ended crisis as Lebanon cabinet delays persist
Hariri and Aoun continue discussions through envoys

By Elias Sakr /Daily Star staff
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
BEIRUT: Indirect exchange of ideas through envoys between Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri and Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) leader MP Michel Aoun continued on Monday but no concrete progress was made on the cabinet front. The negotiations over the distribution of ministerial portfolios concerning the Reform and Change bloc’s share in the next cabinet were kept away from the media, as both parties refrained from disclosing any details over the discussed proposals.
Consequently, the delay in the formation process raised concerns regarding the country’s social and economic pressing issues. Analysts fear that the persistence of the deadlock will lead to an open-ended crisis.
Addressing a delegation of students at the Grand Serail in Beirut, Caretaker Prime Minister Fouad Siniora stressed that the upcoming cabinet would be eventually formed but required some time.Future Movement MP Ammar Houri told The Daily Star on Wednesday that Hariri and Aoun were in constant contact as they were exchanging ideas through visits by reciprocal envoys.
Houri added that the past few days witnessed the resolution of some complications, but he refrained from disclosing the details of negotiations over ministerial shares between Aoun and the premier-designate.
A well-informed source told The Daily Star Monday that the cabinet line-up could see light by the end of this week, as positive deliberations were aiding the formation process.
The source added that the sole remaining obstacle to the cabinet formation was the ongoing debate over the Telecommunications Ministry, for which Aoun might relinquish his demand if granted the Justice Ministry or the Public Works and Transportation portfolio as part of a “weighing basket” of ministries.
The Telecommunications Ministry has been the subject of much debate between the majority and the opposition, given its significant role in funding the state’s treasury, as well as its pivotal importance with regard to security issues related to monitoring phone calls.
Caretaker Telecommunications Minister Jebran Bassil said Monday that the FPM was open to all solutions regarding the ongoing negotiations over the distribution of ministerial portfolios, but only in a just way.
Similarly, FPM official and caretaker Deputy Premier Issam Abu Jamra said on Monday that since the Reform and Change bloc size had grown from 21 to 27 MPs, the bloc was entitled to key portfolios in addition to those held in the current caretaker cabinet.
Abu Jamra also underscored the rising financial and security importance of the Telecommunications Ministry.
Following a meeting with Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri in Ain al-Tineh, Bassil expressed his party’s concern over the cabinet deadlock, adding that there were no obstacles impeding the government formation but fabricated complications every now and then.
“Obstacles were being fabricated just like the majority’s objection to the nomination [as ministers] of defeated candidates in the June 7 parliamentary elections,” Bassil said.
The majority had earlier rejected the nomination of ministers who failed in the June 7 elections but later relinquished its condition as they are expected to nominate, as minister, a March 14 candidate who lost the race to Parliament in response to Bassil’s appointment.
Bassil lost the elections in Batroun to independent MP Boutros Harb and Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra
Bassil, who praised Berri’s efforts to facilitate the cabinet formation away from the media, added that the fair distribution of ministerial portfolios ensures the cabinet’s political stability. The daily As-Safir reported in remarks published on Monday that Berri has set the end of this week as a deadline for the conclusion of the formation process.
Otherwise, the speaker would in cooperation with President Michel Sleiman take the necessary steps in order to reach an understanding over the cabinet line-up, the paper added.
Quoting Berri’s visitors, the paper reported that the speaker believes that the remaining obstacles hindering the formation process were fully domestic.
Also in efforts to break the deadlock, Marada Movement leader Sleiman Franjieh is to play a role in smoothing the government formation following a phone conversation with President Bashar Assad who urged him to facilitate an agreement over the cabinet line-up, the daily An-Nahar reported on Monday.
Franjieh is expected to talk Aoun, his opposition ally, into showing more flexibility in order to end the cabinet impasse.
Ali Bazzi, an MP from Berri’s Liberation and Development bloc, said his group supports the swapping of ministerial portfolios as long it is applied to all political parties, stressing that no group should have monopoly over any ministry.
In a joint statement on Monday, the Amal Movement and the Socialist Arab Baath Party called on Hariri to speed up the formation of a national unity government based on the 15-10-5 structure so as to benefit from the existing positive regional atmosphere following the Syrian-Saudi Summit.
Separately, Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir said on Monday that the continuation of the cabinet void threatens Lebanon’s regime.
Future MP Okab Sakr quoted Sfeir on Wednesday as urging the prompt formation of a cabinet in order to preserve Lebanon’s identity and national unity.
Meanwhile, Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblatt criticized the UN’s bi-annual report on the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1559.
In remarks to be published by his party’s weekly Al-Anbaa newspaper on Wednesday, Jumblatt accused Ban Ki-moon’s report of marginally touching upon Israeli violations against Lebanon, and urged the UN not to take sides with Israelis. “I wish the report was more balanced,” Jumblatt said.

Lebanon second-biggest player in Arab world in IT, ICT services
Report shows country exported $7bn in IT, ICT-enabled services in 2007

Daily Star staff/Tuesday, October 27, 2009
BEIRUT: Figures released by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) indicate that Lebanon exported $6.95 billion in Information Technology (IT) and Information Communication Technology (ICT)-enabled services in 2007, making it one of the largest exporters of such services among developing economies.
Lebanon This Week, the economic publication of the Byblos Bank Group, reveals that worldwide Lebanon is the 35th largest exporter of IT and ICT-enabled services among 173 countries covered in the survey, ranking immediately behind Hungary, Australia and Brazil, and coming ahead of Malaysia and Poland.
Lebanon is also the 9th largest exporter of IT and ICT-enabled services among developing economies, ranking behind Brazil and Taiwan and ahead of Malaysia and Thailand.
Also, Lebanon was the second-largest exporter of such services in the Arab world behind Saudi Arabia that exported $7.9 billion. Kuwait followed with exports of $5.4 billion, Morocco with $2,5 billion, Egypt with $2.4 billion, Tunisia with $572 million, Jordan with $350 million, Oman with $133 million, Yemen with $106 million, and Sudan with $66 million.
Exports of IT and ICT-enabled services from Lebanon accounted for 0.42 percent of global imports, 2.1 percent of exports to developing economies, and 26.3 percent of exports from the Arab world. Further, exports of IT and ICT-enabled services to Lebanon rose by 13.7 percent in 2007 from $6.1 billion in 2006. In parallel, Lebanon imported $5.14 billion in IT and ICT-enabled services in 2007, making it one of the largest importers of such services among developing economies. Globally, Lebanon was the 38th largest importer of IT and ICT-enabled services, ranking immediately behind Portugal, Greece and Nigeria, and coming ahead of South Africa, and Turkey. Lebanon was the 12th largest importer of IT and ICT-enabled services among developing economies, ranking behind Angola and Nigeria and ahead of South Africa and Turkey. Further, Lebanon was the second largest importer of such services in the Arab world behind only Saudi Arabia whose imports reached $21.9 billion. It was followed by Egypt with $4.4 billion, Oman with $2.5 billion, Morocco with $1.4 billion, Yemen with $887 million, Jordan with $640 million, Bahrain with $524 million, Tunisia with $497 million, Kuwait with $284 million, Libya with $299 million, and Sudan with $82.5 million.
Imports of IT and ICT-enabled services to Lebanon accounted for 1.55 percent of imports to developing economies, and 13.4 percent of imports to the Arab world. Furthermore, imports of IT and ICT-enabled services to Lebanon rose by 22 percent in 2007 from $4.2 billion in 2006. – The Daily Star

Israel vows to persist with espionage efforts in Lebanon
Spying to continue ‘so long as hizbullah poses a threat’

By Patrick Galey /Daily Star staff
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
BEIRUT: Israel will continue to spy on Lebanon in spite of condemnation from the United Nations, according to media reports on Monday. After refusing to confirm or deny assertions made by United Nations peacekeeping divisions and Lebanese groups that it had violated international law by planting espionage devices in south Lebanon, an Israeli Army official vowed Israel would not cease its surveillance activities. The Israeli daily Haaretz quoted representatives at last week’s tripartite meeting between the Lebanese and Israeli armies and the United Nations Interim Forces in Lebanon (UNIFIL) in Naqoura. The report indicated that Israel’s representative at the conference, Brigadier Yossi Hayman, said that continuing to spy on targets in south Lebanon did not constitute a breach of international law. Although UNIFIL did not comment on specific conversations, it confirmed that recent security breaches were discussed, “with a view to preventing the reoccurrence of such events.”The paper quoted “a Western diplomat” who was privy to information discussed at the meeting. It said Hayman had vowed that Israel would continue to spy on Lebanon “so long as Hizbullah poses a threat.” “Israel will continue to use all means necessary to defend its citizens,” Hayman was quoted as saying.
Earlier this month, “at least two” spying devices were discovered and destroyed in south Lebanon, near the villages of Mais al-Jabal and Houla, according to a UNIFIL spokesperson. Dispute rages as to when the devices were planted, with the UN’s official line in opposition to that of Hizbullah’s, which claims that the equipment was installed after the 2006 summer war.
Retired Lebanese Army General Elias Hanna told The Daily Star Israel’s spying activity was likely to continue indefinitely. “This is the ABC of warfare. Israel will continue to update its tactical intelligence and this is nothing new. If you think they will stop, you are wrong.”
According to Haaretz, a Lebanese representative present at the Naqoura meeting said that the technology in the devices suggested they post-dated the 2006 conflict – meaning they violated Security Council Resolution 1701. “It seems that something new was put in place recently,” he was quoted as saying. The resolution was drafted to end the 34-day war of 2006 in which more than 1200 Lebanese, mostly civilians, were killed. The Security Council recently voted to extend its mandate until August 2010, which stipulates that Lebanese sovereignty be respected. Israel has repeatedly violated the resolution, with near-daily over flights by its war planes. The unearthing of spying devices last week prompted the government of Lebanon to write to the UN, asking the international community to pressure Israel into ceasing such breaches.
For its part, Israel accuses Hizbullah of stockpiling weapons south of the Litani River – something it claims to be a serious violation of Resolution 1701, which also provides that no arms must exist in Lebanon outside of state control. Hanna said while the UN could overtly condemn violations, it lacked the capacity to enforce the resolution.
“The UN is not really equipped to stop this and take action because its rules of engagement are totally to do with the Lebanese government,” he said.
October saw another blast involving weapons from Hizbullah’s suspected arsenal, when a shell exploded in a garage in the southern village of Tayr Felsay. In view of all this we do not consider this instance [of listening devices] as an Israeli violation of Resolution 1701,” Hayman said. He added that any unearthing of listening devices should be considered “in the broadest sense” in light of the fragile peace and deep mistrust which persists between players either side of the Blue Line – the boundary of Israeli military withdrawal from Lebanon.
Hanna said that Resolution 1701 continued to be relevant in spite of either side’s apparent disregard for its stipulations. “The resolution is still working and we need to remember that here there is no 100 percent security. The LAF and UNIFIL still work and there’s a high level of stability, although everyone is violating 1701,” he said. More than 70 people have been arrested since the start of the year for spying for Israel in an anti-espionage crackdown, including a number of Lebanese generals and security officials. If convicted, a spy faces life imprisonment.

A widening generation gap?
By Mira Baz
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
First person By Mira Baz
If Noor al-Sharif stands accused of being gay – let him be gay. It’s none of our business. And let’s start calling things by their names; the magazine being discussed is called Jassad. So exclaimed, emphatically, provocatively, the young Lebanese journalist in the audience – not in those exact words but stating those opinions in no uncertain terms. Her voice was resolute. She was assertive and loud, the way parents have traditionally told their children not to be. Her belly-revealing top seemed to underscore each word.
She made the comment at last week’s New Arab Woman Forum and raised several eyebrows among a generally older audience during the panel on “Sexuality and the Media.” It was an attack on the subdued manner in which the two subjects, the allegations surrounding the renowned Egyptian actor and the sexually explicit Lebanese magazine, were discussed. Many in the audience may have considered her attitude crass, but the young participant was making two points. First, she was critical of how discussions in Arab public circles don’t identify their subjects and prefer not to call a spade a spade, according to her. The example of the controversial new, sexually explicit Lebanese magazine Jassad (Body) was raised and censured by a prominent, older Lebanese activist, without identifying the publication by name. Similarly, the actor’s identity was protected by the panelists and his case not clarified to those who may not have been familiar with it.
Second, the young journalist was supporting personal freedom and privacy, two values that are still nascent but integral to a democratic, tolerant and open society. That a famous Egyptian actor thought to be gay should be condemned is unacceptable, according to her, should he be facing defamation for something personal and not criminal charges. In the same vein, she argued that adults – not underage youngsters – having access to a magazine with explicit content should also be about personal freedom.
Regardless of whether members of the audience agreed with her perspective or her delivery, she made one thing clear: she was outspoken, she had strong convictions, and she wanted to be heard. In brief, at that moment, she became the voice of the youth at the forum – or a segment of the youth, at least.
But most significant is how this exchange between the young journalist and the older activist is symptomatic of a rupture between two generations of the Lebanese: the pre-war generation – those over 50 years old – and the post-war generation, those under 30.
On the one hand, some pre-war activists come off as too protective of the youth from what they perceive to be a cultural invasion that they did not experience in their youth. They want to preserve the innocence of the values they grew up on and pass them down. They may have progressive views but that don’t take into consideration the youth’s own. Instead of educating young people, they opt for censorship. They can be likened to protective parents who, in trying to shield their children, end up suffocating them with prescriptive and overbearing formulas which don’t relate to their reality.
On the other hand, the post-war generation is tolerant of what they’re exposed to, be they images or ideas. In the case of sexual images in the media, some may be influenced by them, but others may see them for what they are, that is, commercially driven. And while not completely embracing every new idea, young people don’t outright reject it either. They are weighing new ideas because they are surrounded by them. They are the product of their own age and time.
The older generations are needed to give guidance. But unless we want to be a closed society, the young should not be shielded or removed from the issues facing them. Protectionism might hurt them more in a time when global cultures are now open to each other and an overabundance of information exists.
They should be included in the discussions and encouraged to make informed decisions and educated choices, within the social framework. This is not a rebellion against the old but a natural progression. And if the younger generation is seen as passive receivers, it’s because our patriarchal societies have made them so, as those before them.
This is how patriarchy establishes itself: by not only prescribing specific roles for men and women, but by quieting the youth as well and by convincing young people that they are not able to make responsible decisions on their own, and that the patriarch is the one who makes those decisions for them.
The ocean between the two is huge, and each generation is trying to shape the other in its own image. But this is a useless endeavor. It’s alienating the two generations from each other, and could push the youth to recklessness in their rebellion. Inter-generational communication is needed, with respect given from both sides.
**Mira Baz is a women’s rights researcher based in Yemen and a contributor to The Daily Star.

Lebanon sees highest tourism growth worldwide - report
Daily Star staff/Tuesday, October 27, 2009
BEIRUT: The United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) released its World Tourism Barometer in which Lebanon came first worldwide among countries that witnessed an increase in tourism. In 2009 so far, the number of tourists visiting Lebanon saw the highest growth rate among the 165 countries examined by UNWTO. The barometer, which was published by Audi Bank’s Weekly Monitor, ranks countries according to their year-to date variation in the number of visiting tourists, and this time it compared the number of tourists visiting each country in the first eight months of 2009 relative to the same period of 2009. For countries where data for August 2009 is not yet available the UNWTO calculated the variation as per the latest available data. The study noted that with the world facing the most severe recession of the post World War II period, tourism has also been seriously impacted, and most countries witnessed a plunge in the number of incoming tourists. Among the 165 countries, only 15 countries bucked the overall negative trend posting positive growth rates. Lebanon, with its flourishing tourism activity in 2009, ranked first among those 15 countries. In Lebanon’s case, the survey used data of the first seven months of the year and thus placed Lebanon in the top spot. In the first nine months of the year when Lebanon saw a 46.3 percent escalation in the number of its incoming tourists, the country still performs best globally, as the country which ranked second, Kenya saw its tourists rise by 43 percent in the first eight months of 2009. They were followed by Korea with a 15 percent year-to-date growth in the number of tourists, as well as Syria and China with a growth of 12 percent each. – The Daily Star

Event honors sons of Lebanon's fallen heroes

Daily Star staff/Tuesday, October 27, 2009
BEIRUT: The sons of Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) martyrs were honored in Beirut, Monday. A dinner organized by the coordination committee for the support of the activities of the children of LAF martyrs was attended by LAF Commander General Jean Kahwaji. Committee head Joanna Kahwaji said the group helped the children of fallen Lebanese soldiers, but nothing could compare to the sacrifices made by their fathers. The ceremony was compared by journalists Toni Khalifeh and Georges Qordahi, and featured performances by singers Nancy Ajram, Zein al-Omer and Wael Kfoury. – The Daily Star

UNIFIL carries out amphibious exercises

By Mohammed Zaatari /Daily Star staff
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
NAQOURA: A joint amphibious exercise conducted by the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) and the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) was carried out Monday at Naqoura Harbour. The exercise, running from October 23-26, aimed at testing the command and control procedures and training for both forces and check all facilities used for basic water operations. Participating in the exercise were Lebanese Naval Forces, Navy Rangers and the sixth Brigade of the Lebanese Armed Forces as well as a component of the UNIFIL Maritime Task Force and the Italian Navy’s amphibious vessel “San Marco,” which was under the tactical command of Graziano for the duration of the exercise. Naval helicopters were also used, besides assets to secure the coastline both on land and at sea. The exercise was attended by UNIFIL Force Commander Major General Claudio Graziano, LAF Brigadier General Maroun Khraish representing the Lebanese Armed Forces Commander General Jean Kahwagi, as well as a number of Lebanese Army and UNIFIL officers, public officials and media representatives. On the day personnel and vehicles were embarked and disembarked by Landing Craft Units and a landing on a fictitious suspect smuggling vessel in Lebanese territorial waters was simulated. The amphibious exercise is the second of its kind. The last such joint exercise was conducted by UNIFIL and LAF in March.

The “Dispersed” Gulf Diplomacy

Mon, 26 October 2009
By: Jamil Theyabi?Al Hayat
http://www.daralhayat.com/portalarticlendah/70029
A pitched battle of repeated advances and retreats is taking place between the Western capitals and Tehran, while the capitals of the Gulf are busy watching the play “Gharbistan”.
For the moment, Tehran seems to be oscillating between acceptance and irresponsiveness in what regards the [agreement] to enrich the majority of its uranium abroad, all in order to achieve political gains, and to gain more time and more Western incentives and rewards.
Was the Velvet Revolution, meanwhile, defeated, following the start of the trials and executions of those who were deemed by the government of President Ahmadinejad as having “caused” the turmoil that shook the country and threatened the Wilayat-e-Faqih [Supreme Leader of Iran]?
Also, how accurate are the accounts of a scheme by the Revolutionary Guard to liquidate Arab and Gulf journalists opposed to the Iranian ambitions and policies in the region?! Is Iran actually capable of carrying out the assassination of journalists by giving the green light to its militias and columns to execute its plans?
Perhaps, but Iran will not do so if compromises should be agreed upon with the West regarding its nuclear program. Instead, Iran would carry out its plans by using its Special Forces unit which enjoys an unlimited budget and powers, including issuing passports and diplomatic passports for any of its operatives; this in addition to the fact that most of the latter, including those operating inside Iran, are fluent in more than one language, in particular Arabic, many of whom having being seen speaking with a fluent Lebanese dialect. These individuals are carefully selected so as not to arouse any suspicions around them, whether in terms of their presentation or dialect, something that also applies to all the members of the unit. (I will detail this and more in another forthcoming article).
Did the collapse of the Velvet Revolution, then, along with the decline in the reformists’ resolve in confronting the conservatives – following their being oppressed, abused, imprisoned, and murdered –, in addition to the Western incentives bundle, did this all encourage the government of Ahmadinejad to regain its “aggressive” determination? Did it encourage this government to resume its “hostile” ideology of exporting its revolution in order to fill the vacuum and distract the people with “illusory” external dangers? It is thus in fact, that Iran will set off its allies in the region, Hezbollah, Hamas and the Huthis, while activating some of its supporters and partisans in Iraq, Lebanon, and the Gulf countries to carry out acts aimed at inciting sectarian riots and insurgency in order to sabotage the relations between Arab governments and their peoples.
Nevertheless, will the shared interests of the West and Iran lead to the weakening of Arab governments, and render them the victims and satellites of the new relations drafted by the Western capitals and Tehran?
A while ago, Karim Sadjapour, a researcher at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, prepared a study that urged Washington and Tehran to resolve their differences on the basis of common concerns and mutual or shared interests, in a manner that would modernize Iran and reintegrate it in the global economy, in addition to restoring mutual trust in dealing with the sensitive issues. Sadjapour also pointed out that the interests of the United States meet and overlap with those of Iran in Iraq and Afghanistan, more than with any other neighbouring country. (Al Mushahid al-Siyasi [Political Observer] Magazine – Issue 700; August 16 – 2009).
Iran is behind everything in Iraq, and is interfering there not far from the eyes and ears of the Americans. In fact, the ones who gave Iran the strength and ability to be free to do whatever it wants in Baghdad are the Arabs themselves, by shunning Iraq and the Iraqis under the pretext of the security situation, until Iran managed to completely have its way there, and build bridges and roads on the backs of Iraq’s own inhabitants to serve its own policies and interests.
In Afghanistan meanwhile, the overlapping interests [of the U.S and Iran] are even more evident, despite the fact that the Iranian behaviour in Afghanistan is almost “schizophrenic”, when its official radio for instance, describes the Afghan President Karazai as being “an American puppet”, while Iran is actually one of the top ten countries that grant aids to Karazai’s government. This in addition to the fact that what brings Washington and Tehran together in this regard is their number one enemy, the Taliban.
Is Iran seeking to dominate the Middle East and threaten Israel, or is it seeking to shake hands with the latter by extending a long arm above the Arab disarray, in order to oppress the Arab peoples and discipline them?! Is there some kind of a need for the religious establishment in Iran that pushes it to further zeal in order to protect itself from “unstable” neighbours, and from American and the neighbouring governments that have a common animosity against Iran?!
What is certain is that Iran has non-peaceful intentions, and that Iran cannot be trusted no matter how many pledges, commitments, promises or guarantees were offered. As such, the international community must not allow Iran to enrich uranium, as long as Iran is playing with both fire and water, as it supports extremist groups and armed militias, and is carrying acts of sabotage against neighbouring countries. Iran must not be allowed to do so since it also threatens all those who dare whisper against it, so that the world would not become a jungle of beasts that can throw sand in our eyes, and “slip poison in the honey”, all in order to carry out murderous assassination plans and criminal schemes.
The negotiations between Iran and the West and the incentives package do not concern Tehran alone; the Gulf countries as such must learn all the secret items on the negotiation table and the developments related to the latter, since there is no bigger threat to the Gulf countries than the Iranian menace. The Gulf countries remaining politely neutral, or respectfully diplomatic, will not achieve anything for them, and may perhaps even become a factor that exacerbates political pressures against them in the future, similar to what their neglect of Iraq has incurred upon them.

The “Brotherhoodization” of the Arab World

26 October 2009
By: Husam Itani/AlHayat
http://www.daralhayat.com/portalarticlendah/70030
No one benefits from the recurrent arrests which the Muslim Brotherhood is subject to in Egypt, the latest being what took place a few days ago in Mit Ghamr, except the Brotherhood itself. Indeed, this kind of persecution is renowned for strengthening the core of ideological parties, as well as the arsenal of means they use to deal with the government, according to an opinion prevalent in partisan circles.
Moreover, harassment from here and annoyance from there against the largest opposition party in Egypt are things that will not, in the eyes of the Brotherhood and its supporters, lead to restricting their activity, but rather will contribute to improving their image for common citizens who observe the deterioration of the government and its apparatus, as legislative and presidential elections draw near in Egypt. Harassment in the past did not prevent a “deal” from being reached between the Brotherhood and the government, one that ensures for the Islamic organization a fixed share of seats in the People’s Assembly, according to the latest press interview by the Chairman of the Muslim Brotherhood, Mohammed Mahdi Akef.
Beyond the political hunts that indirectly benefit the hunted, one can speak of a type of “political” practice spread by the Brotherhood in Egypt over the past two decades and popularized by their counterparts and peers throughout the Arab world. And if the list of “issues” raised by Brotherhood MPs before the Egyptian Parliament – most of which are concerned with the personal or public affairs of artists, as well as with journalistic and literary writings and with dubious fatwas – is ever transgressed, this is indicative not only of the narrow-mindedness of the Brotherhood and of its efforts to forcibly impose its values on society, but also of the inability to understand the broader meaning of politics.
One could state many examples of the damage caused by the multitude of television “preachers”, who barely disappear from one channel before appearing on another, and who seem to have taken control of the system of mores and values prevailing in Egypt and beyond it in the Arab World, especially as most of them are from among those who have received only half a religious education, forming the ideological “vanguard” of the Brotherhood. These kinds of sermons, which blend the current trend of consumerism with a partial and deficient understanding of tradition, impedes in the most severe way any focused efforts towards progress and modernization, efforts which Arab and Muslim peoples are in the most dire need of today.
The distance seems short between the cultural and social climate that pleases the Brotherhood and puts it at ease, and the political climate which it seeks after. This appears in the form of refusal to realize and understand if one compares the scarcity of its power and paucity of its influence to the hegemony and influence that the Brotherhood has in popular circles (or “society”). Such a comparison reveals the Brotherhood’s lack of a political and economic program that would support their looking after what they consider to be virtues and concern for public morals.
If what Mohammed Mahdi Akef said about the deal that ensures the share of MPs in the People’s Council obtained by the organization and about his wishes and those of the security apparatus meeting over not making a “ruckus” is not surprising, then – to the same extent – neither is the Brotherhood not moving to straightforward opposition to the government, despite all the elements of opposition between them that appear on the surface. Indeed, what is clear in this approach is that the organization does not know quite exactly how to draft policies that go beyond topical opposition to this or that issue, most of it no more than stances condemning the shows of singer Beyoncé Knowles or of female Arab singers who have come to form a major source of pretexts for intervention by Brotherhood MPs in past years.
Leaving politics and focusing on this kind of “ethical” opposition reveals in its depth the vacuity of the program which the Muslim Brotherhood calls for. Egypt is only one sample, but the stances and opinions of the Brotherhood are imitated throughout the Arab World and across it.

The consensus fallacy
By: Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Now Lebanon
October 26, 2009
Lebanon’s parliament. (Archive)
Pioneers in their own minds, the Lebanese have introduced concepts to the world of political philosophy by chewing up recognized principles and spitting them out with a hint of Lebanese peculiarity.
The result is a paralyzed state beset by perpetual political deception.
The most famous of Lebanese invention has been the concept of “Consensus Democracy.” The expression itself is an oxymoron. While the word consensus means the approval of all parties involved, democracy means the rule of the majority.
Lebanon has exported its brand of democracy to neighboring states, such as Iraq, where the parliament has repeatedly failed to pass an election law for the vote, which is scheduled for January. Just as a failing Lebanese parliament delegated its problems to an even more incapacitated forum, the “Dialogue Table,” the Iraqis often take their stalemates to a so-called “Political Council for National Security.”
As that name would suggest, the Iraqi council is no more than a powerless gathering for the country’s top leadership.
Here in Lebanon, MP Michel Aoun and his crew certainly win the prize for the most creative twists of political concepts.
Proportionality means that in a parliamentary election the amount of seats a political party wins is proportional to the percent of votes it receives. Such a concept guarantees wider representation, as opposed to Lebanon’s bloc-vote system, where a single vote decides who wins between two candidates with equal popular appeal.
The Aounists, however, never proposed proportionality for the June elections. Had they done so, Aoun would have lost at least two of the five seats that he swept in Kesrouan, for example.
Knowing that proportional elections would break the monopoly he seeks over Christian representation, Aoun restricted his demands to the formation of the cabinet, perhaps a precedent in the history of government politics, especially given that Aoun’s opponents command a majority in parliament and could, in principle, form a cabinet without him.
Even more entertaining are the continuous demands from Aoun and his allies that Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri forget the results of the June elections, in which March 14 defeated Aoun and the March 8 coalition.
But if Aoun was so keen to forget the results of the June elections, how come he complained that his parliamentary bloc had expanded from 22 to 27, which he said mandates that his ministerial bloc be accordingly increased from five to six ministers?
In parliamentary elections and cabinet formations, it seems, numbers and proportionality only count when they give Aoun more, and to that end the Aounists are ready to obstruct cabinet formation and sabotage – with their allies in Hezbollah – the whole country.
And if Aoun’s dance around proportionality was not enough, the Kesrouan MP has repeatedly lectured the Lebanese about the constitution, which, in his mind, is being breached by the successive Sunni prime ministers. These men, according to Aoun, have undermined the Lebanese state by controlling the Finance Ministry for the better part of a decade and a half.
To destroy a country, as Aoun and his supporters argue, one needs to dominate its economic direction. Having a militia with tens of thousands of rockets and a couple of thousand of fighters, who would not hesitate to kill their political opponents, is a force of regional justice, per Aoun.
What is missing from Aoun’s dishonest rhetoric, however, can be always found in that of his allies. Hezbollah, for instance, slanders anyone who dares talk to an American ambassador or delegate. But when Washington’s delegates find their way to Damascus or hold talks with their Iranian counterparts, one cannot but detect a sly smile on the face of news anchors on Al Manar.
Hezbollah, the champion of consensus in cabinet, has never shared what it deems to be Shia issues. Speaker Nabih Berri was re-elected in June, whether the March 14 majority liked it or not. Similarly, the “arms of resistance” are staying, regardless of what non-Hezbollah supporters think. This, to Hezbollah, is consensus.
Likewise, talking to Israel – even through the UN to win back the Shebaa Farms – is an act of espionage, unless Hezbollah does it to free Samir Kuntar.
With Aoun and Hezbollah hypocrisy runs high. No wonder Hariri has, since June 27, been unable to form a cabinet. The state will remain on hold, until Aoun and his allies decide otherwise. This, they call partnership, again giving the word a new meaning.
With Aoun and Hezbollah, political concepts are redefined and everything else takes a whole new meaning. This is Lebanon’s “unique experience,” which others simply call the absurd.

This is the general
Hazem al-Amin ,
October 26, 2009
Now Lebanon
We have moved with Michel Aoun from talk about “the numerical majority” to discussions of “the parliamentary majority.” At previous times when the Lebanese government was being formed, Aoun’s pretext for demanding more seats and ministries was that the elections proved that he represented a “numerical majority,” despite the fact that the elections did not result in Aoun receiving half of the majority in parliament. However, today, the notion of “the numerical majority” is no longer included in his rhetoric. He speaks about his bloc as being the largest Christian bloc while his [current] adversaries do not have the right to bring up this same notion of “the numerical majority” which he had previously concocted. However, it should be kept in mind that his adversaries’ claim to such a majority is better founded and more legitimate than the general’s former claims since they are a “Christian numerical majority” within a “general Lebanese parliamentary majority,” and also having “a Christian parliamentary majority.”
Whereas Aoun retained one instance of majority representation – a “Maronite parliamentary majority,” which, in any case, is a trivial majority – his Christian adversaries obtained those three [significant] instances of majority representation mentioned above. Despite this, Aoun still wants six ministerial portfolios.
It seems there is a tax on the Lebanese which leaders have paid during the last four years called “the Michel Aoun tax.” The crisis with Aoun today is not political at all. Politically everyone knows that regional actors are no longer applying pressure [over the country] in order to prevent the formation of the government as[, to the contrary,] Syria and Iran’s allies have supposedly received instructions to facilitate the process of government formation. Politically it was also presumed that the results of the elections would be translated during the process of forming the government. Furthermore, politically [major] players must find a balance between their ambitions and their capabilities. Aoun has remained aloof to all of these political premises. All he did was take advantage of his ability to obstruct and everyone else, including his allies, have had to bear the consequences.
The right to six ministries does not extend from his share in parliament or from his representation among the Lebanese people. It only comes from the ability to obstruct as well as from that “great religion” which he lent to Hezbollah, Syria and Iran, knowing full-well that he had overtaxed his political funds.
It is difficult for PM-designate Saad Hariri to respond to Aoun’s demands. The issue is not at all political since concessions in the political sphere have been yielded to factors which seem unrelated to these demands. The issue is personal, a one man’s deadlock which he has forced upon the rest us, saying: “I want six portfolios or else don’t even bother showing up for talks… I have the ability to demand that, and I have the desire and the intent.” He continues: “The Saudi-Syrian agreement took place so come on, pay up, to me and only me. My allies have no objections [to this] but you, the majority, need to get over the fact that you are the majority.”
There is no doubt that Aoun’s strength extends from his departure from all political convention, or rather the ease with which he has been able to depart from politics itself, paying little heed to the consequences. This comes from the experiences of one who has engaged in wars without asking any questions about the consequences of the calamities that such wars cause and without asking any questions about the consequences that could arise were he to lose or even win in these wars.
Before “the opposition” occupied downtown Beirut in an act, which at the time was called a sit-in, done to disrupt activity in the city, a debate took place between two personalities: the first has an intimate knowledge of the Christian community, and the second has an intimate knowledge of General Michel Aoun. The first personality pondered that the Christians would not to be burdened by their participation in a sit-in which would shut down the city’s commercial center, as they represented more than half of its commercial workforce and as the sit-in would mean that Hezbollah forces would be delivered to Achrafieh’s doorstep. Moreover, this first personality thought that participating in the sit-in would signify a great loss for General Aoun and the Christian community will hold him accountable to that. The second personality agreed with the first except in one detail which he conveyed to his friend, saying: despite that everything you have said is true, the general will participate in the sit in!
After the sit-in, this same scene played itself out more than once, and Aoun paid the price in the elections, never having admitted to himself that he made any error.
This is the general, and it falls upon us to pay the Aoun tax while we wait for the 2013 elections

Hezbollah and the new regional reality

Firas Maksad and Anthony Elghossain ,
October 27, 2009
Now Lebanon
The bombing of the Marine barracks at Beirut Airport some 26 years ago by a suicide truck bomber killed 241 US servicemen and led to an American withdrawal from Lebanon, where it had sent soldiers to establish some sort of peace, eight years into the country’s complicated civil war. While the bombing forced an eventual American withdrawal and once again changed the course of the conflict, it can be argued that it was also the opening salvo in Iran’s fight for hegemony in the Middle East, a battle that is very much raging today.
In ushering in a new era of war against the United States, the bombing, for which the Iranian-backed Hezbollah has long been blamed, helped cultivate the notion that state-supported militant groups could harass the United States into retreating from a robust tradition of foreign policy adventures in the region. Over the past quarter-century, the Islamic Republic has built a forward operating base in Lebanon (through its local proxy, Hezbollah), an alliance with Syria, and considerable influence in Iraq to complement its domineering presence in the Persian Gulf.
Iran’s current nuclear program must be understood as part of this broader challenge to the United States and the existing order in the Middle East. From the ashes of the Marine barracks, Iran and Syria have nurtured Hezbollah from a rag-tag militia into a formidable army-cum-pseudo-state. It is Hezbollah’s entrenchment that has altered the region’s strategic calculus and which best reflects how Iran perceives the conflict.
A new regional reality
First, Hezbollah will ultimately serve as Iran's advance guard in a regional confrontation. The Party of God already demonstrated its military capacity in 2006 by fighting Israel to a standstill and retains a network of operatives in Latin America, West Africa, and the United States itself.
Second, at a deeper level, Hezbollah is a manifestation of Iranian ideology and a franchise of the Iranian Revolution. The concept of Hezbollah as a disciplined, determined and zealous organization has electrified the region and has helped Iran create an arc of influence from the Persian Gulf to the Eastern Mediterranean.
Iranian largesse and Syrian facilitation have allowed Hezbollah to build schools, hospitals and utilities as well as rebuild neighborhoods destroyed by Israel. In the same vein, Iranian military support and ideological guidance have helped Hezbollah defy Israel and irritate Sunni or moderate (read pro-western) regimes in the region.
Thus, while the authoritarian regimes in Tehran and Damascus have failed to provide their people with the level of prosperity and freedom they would have liked, Hezbollah has, by and large, made a decent stab at providing for its constituents both through its social services and its largesse. Thus the Party of God is far more than a tactical nuisance - it strives to be an existential alternative for the people of the Middle East.
What to do
And so today, it can be argued that Iran is winning right where the battle began 26 years ago on the Beirut airport road. The United States must respond at every level, doing for the Lebanese state and its other allies what Iran has done for Hezbollah and Hamas.
For starters, the United States must maintain its post-Cedar Revolution economic and diplomatic support for Lebanon, such as the $67.5 million allocated by USAID's 2009 budget for Lebanon. Similarly, the US should support Lebanon's pending accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and provide assistance to related reform efforts as well as military aid to bolster Lebanon’s woefully feeble army. The latter will go a long way in convincing those Lebanese who support Hezbollah’s armed presence as long as the national army is weak that statehood can only come with genuine state institutions.
Yet, while America should continue its support for Lebanon, it cannot end there. To protect progress, Washington must adopt a firm stance against rejectionists in Tehran and Damascus. The problem is the regimes themselves; engagement, sanctions, or war will not change their world-view overnight.
The U.S. must pursue a policy of active containment to exhaust such regimes in the long term and prevent them from violating clear and enforceable "red lines" in the short term. When engagement stalls, targeted financial and economic sanctions should follow. Congress must legislate, and presidents must implement, sanctions to discourage Syria and Iran from milking new administrations for concessions while the clock ticks out every four years.
At the same time the U.S. should make clear that it will intensify sanctions and diplomatically isolate the Assad regime if Syria continues to support insurgents in Iraq and militias in Lebanon. Washington should also, subject to reliable intelligence and the advice of the military command, establish a time horizon beyond which it would adopt a more robust policy, including a military option, if Iran refuses to cease its nuclear program and submit to IAEA inspections.
There is no need to stir the pot now. Engagement may bear fruit. Nevertheless, the Marine barracks bombing on October 23, 1983 should serve as a lesson in vigilance. All too often, to paraphrase a Marine who survived the attack, the United States is "caught with its pants down." Best it not happen again.
**Firas Maksad is a Middle East analyst. Anthony Elghossain is a former journalist for Lebanon's The Daily Star and a J.D. candidate at The George Washington University Law School