LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
December 09/09

Bible Reading of the day
Luke 11/27-32: "It came to pass, as he said these things, a certain woman out of the multitude lifted up her voice, and said to him, “Blessed is the womb that bore you, and the breasts which nursed you!” 11:28 But he said, “On the contrary, blessed are those who hear the word of God, and keep it.” 11:29 When the multitudes were gathering together to him, he began to say, “This is an evil generation. It seeks after a sign. No sign will be given to it but the sign of Jonah, the prophet. 11:30 For even as Jonah became a sign to the Ninevites, so will also the Son of Man be to this generation. 11:31 The Queen of the South will rise up in the judgment with the men of this generation, and will condemn them: for she came from the ends of the earth to hear the wisdom of Solomon; and behold, one greater than Solomon is here. 11:32 The men of Nineveh will stand up in the judgment with this generation, and will condemn it: for they repented at the preaching of Jonah, and behold, one greater than Jonah is here."

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
Lebanese civil society group asks MPs not to legitimize Hezbollah’s arms/Louisa Ajami and Manal Sarrouf/, December 8, 2009
For Hezbollah, Lebanon is an afterthought/By: Tony Badran/Now Lebanon/December 8, 2009
Taliban's Counter Strategy is based on declared US Strategy/By Walid Phares/December 08/09  
Where Is the OIC When Mosques Are Attacked?/by Walid Phares/December 08/09
Nasrallah: Prime Minister of Lebanon/By: Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed/December 08/09
Iran…and political hallucination/Tariq Alhomayed/December 08/09

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for December 08/09
Sfeir Rejects 'Resistance Army'/Naharnet
Netanyahu: Syria willing to renew talks without conditions/Ha'aretz
LEBANON: Government policy statement on Hezbollah's arms irks Washington/Los Angeles Times
Ghanem urges Resistance to not compete with state/Now Lebanon/Now Lebanon
Makari says Article 6 hinders state institutions/Now Lebanon/Now Lebanon
Aoun: Education, Fighting Corruption Should Come Before Abolishment of Confessionalism/Naharnet
Confidence Vote Debate Starts, Hariri: Cabinet Faces Test of People's Trust/Naharnet
Resentment over Syrian Request to Summon Lebanese Officials for Questioning/Naharnet
Berri: Resistance Not Subject to Bargaining/Naharnet
Report: Israel Has Timetable for Ghajar Pullout, Last Stage in January/Naharnet
Jumblat: Formation of a Senate Could be Part of Berri's Proposal/Naharnet
Experts: 'Sleeper Cells' in Palestinian Camps in Lebanon/Naharnet
Lebanese Man Accused of Buying Arms for Hizbullah to be Detained in the U.S./Naharnet
Hariri: Israeli Threats Boost Our National Unity/Naharnet
Abbas from Baabda: Reports About Issuing Passports to Palestinians Not True/Naharnet
Phalange Party Rejects Duality of Arms, Authority in Ministerial Policy Statement/Naharnet
Quarrel Between Hizbullah Members, UNIFIL in Marjeyoun/Naharnet
Six Bodies Found in Nahr Al-Bared Refugee Camp/Naharnet

US 'seriously concerned' about Hezbollah/UPI.com
Suspected Lebanese Arms Dealer Agrees To Detention/KDKA
IDF Intel: Hezbollah rockets deployed south of Litani River/Ynetnews /Daily Star
Four bodies found in Nahr al-Bared camp/AFP
Workshop discusses obstacles facing working women/Daily Star
Italy donates over $7 million in development aid/Daily Star
AUB celebrates diversity on Founders Day/Daily Star
Arrest warrants issued for Fatah al-Islam suspects/Daily Star
Five Bekaa men jailed for drug trafficking/Daily Star
Arab educators call for greater collaboration/Daily Star
English language gaining ground in region/Daily Star
Palestinian refugees surviving, not living/AFP
Rights group: End abuse of stateless individuals/Daily Star
Municipal polls must be held on time - LADE/Daily Star
Lebanon's Solidere unit eyes Saudi Arabia, Montenegro/Daily Star
Telecommuting good for both employees and employers: poll/Daily Star
Abbas urges peace in Sleiman talks, offers camps cooperation/Daily Star
Netanyahu: Hizbullah is Lebanon's real army/Daily Star
Finance minister holds talks on traffic congestion/Daily Star
Syrian court summons local officials in Sayyed case/Daily Star
Jumblatt urges action on climate change/Daily Star
MPs set for hot debate on Cabinet statement/Daily Star


Sfeir Rejects 'Resistance Army'

Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir said Tuesday that he rejects a "resistance army that would one day use its weapons against the enemy and another day domestically."
Sfeir made his remark before heading to Baabda Palace for talks with President Michel Suleiman. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 12:03

Ghanem urges Resistance to not compete with state
Now Lebanon/December 8, 2009 /MP Robert Ghanem addressed deputies during Tuesday’s parliamentary session in Nejmeh Square, stressing that the Resistance is noble if it abides to the “concept of the state,” with which it does not compete. He explained that the state has its role, power, and is the primary entity. “We do not accept making compromises,” he added. He also said that “several alarming events” had taken place prior to the cabinet formation and that eliminating political sectarianism should be a result, not a goal. “We need to start implementing administrative decentralization and a fair electoral law. That is how we eliminate political sectarianism,” he said. He urged fighting corruption, dealing with traffic problems, protecting the environment as well as giving importance to education “to strengthen the culture of dialogue.”“I grant my vote of confidence to the cabinet, and I hope it will be able to confront challenges and have successful achievements,” he concluded.-NOW Lebanon

Phalange Party Rejects Duality of Arms, Authority in Ministerial Policy Statement
Naharnet/Phalange Party on Monday reiterated its objection on the sixth article of the ministerial Policy Statement "despite full support for the government and keenness on ministerial solidarity."After its joint Political Bureau-Central Council monthly meeting under party leader Amin Gemayel, the party stressed that its stance on the ministerial Policy Statement is "clear and direct, it objects on the sixth article of the statement -- Hizbullah's arms article -- because in principle it contradicts with all the goals and constants Phalange Party is working for. It also contradicts with all of what the Cedar Revolution called for in terms of national sovereignty." "This article torpedoes the principle of arms exclusivity to the Lebanese State and its extending of sovereignty on all its territories. It also contradicts with international resolutions and the compliances of sovereignty, border demarcation, and the truce agreement (with Israel)," added the statement of Phalange Party. The party stressed that it will not hesitate to take the proper stance on each issue separately inside the cabinet according to its beliefs, principles, and constants. On the other hand, the party hailed the "reconciliations and dialogue meetings between leaders from all sides." Beirut, 07 Dec 09, 21:21

Lebanese Man Accused of Buying Arms for Hizbullah to be Detained in the U.S.

Naharnet/A "terror" suspect won't fight detention on charges he came to Philadelphia to try to steer a huge cache of missiles and machine guns to his native Lebanon, in what proved to be an undercover sting. Dani Nemr Tarraf hoped to ship anti-aircraft missiles, 10,000 machine guns, night-vision equipment and other weapons to Lebanon via Iran or Syria, according to court documents. In statements after his arrest, the muscular Tarraf admitted to membership in Hizbullah and said he has received military training from the group, according to a detention memo.
"As the sheer quantity would indicate, these (weapons) are not for target practice," Assistant U.S. Attorney Stephen Miller argued at Monday's detention hearing. He said they were destined for the hands of thugs and killers. Tarraf, 38, is charged with violating arms-control laws, conspiring to acquire anti-aircraft missiles, passport fraud and other counts. He answered questions through an Arabic interpreter. U.S. Magistrate Henry Perkin ordered detention, finding him both a danger and a flight risk. Tarraf is described as a German citizen with homes in Lebanon and Slovakia and extensive business dealings in China and Lebanon. He claimed last year to have 130 people working for him, the government said. Tarraf has pleaded not guilty. Defense lawyer Marc Neff said his client understands the seriousness of the case. The several-defendant plot initially involved the transport of stolen cell phones, laptops and video games, before it evolved through Tarraf into an arms-smuggling operation, the November indictment charged. According to court documents, Tarraf paid about $20,000 cash to an undercover officer in July as a deposit on machine guns and shoulder-fired Stinger missiles and traveled to Philadelphia to inspect the merchandise last month. Tarraf wanted missiles that could "take down an F-16," according to an affidavit.(AP) Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 10:11

Hariri: Israeli Threats Boost Our National Unity

Naharnet/Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Monday addressed those who doubt the chances of Lebanon to prosper in shadow of Israeli threats by saying: "The enemy's threats against our country are real and clear, but that boosts our national unity. National unity boosts stability, and stability boosts productivity and achievements." Hariri was speaking at a dinner thrown in his honor by the economic committees in BIEL. "I tell you, and I tell every Lebanese man and woman: We are standing at the gate of a real, concrete, and promising opportunity which we will not be forgiven by our children and grandchildren if we lose it. An opportunity that if we seize is itself the opportunity that can compensate the entire citizen's lost chances," added Hariri. Hariri stressed that Lebanon did not only avoid the world economical crisis, but also managed to develop the economy in its shadow.
"This internal political opportunity is accompanied by a regional opportunity reflected in the Arab rapprochement and the rebuilding of the Arab interests system which the Lebanese State will always be, in all its ingredients and institutions, an essential part of it -- considering that the Lebanese people are the pioneers of modern Arabism, just like Arabism is a shield that has protected Lebanon in face of all threats," added Hariri. Beirut, 07 Dec 09, 22:45

Experts: 'Sleeper Cells' in Palestinian Camps in Lebanon

Naharnet/Despite the relative calm of Lebanon's Palestinian refugee camps in recent months, experts warn that Islamist groups are still operating within and could strike at any time.
At Ain al-Hilweh, the largest of Lebanon's 12 camps, which is known to harbor extremists and fugitives, small sleeper cells have kept a low profile but could mobilize quickly depending on developments, they say. "In theory, this is the sort of environment al-Qaida, for example, generally chooses for its sleeper cells, which could be used at any time," said Hazem al-Amin, a journalist and expert on regional Islamist groups. "And that is not a reassuring thought. It might not happen immediately, but it is always a possibility." His comments came as Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas discussed the plight of the refugees with Lebanese officials on Monday. The spread of Islamist groups in the camps was brought starkly into focus in 2007 when Fatah al-Islam, an obscure al-Qaida-inspired militia, fought fierce battles with the Lebanese army at Nahr al-Bared camp in northern Lebanon.
The fighting killed 400 people, including 168 soldiers, and displaced some 30,000 refugees from the camp, which was leveled in the fighting.
There were widespread fears at the time that Ain al-Hilweh, near the southern coastal town of Sidon and home to about 70,000 refugees, would be the next front for the Islamists.
Reports say that Abdul Rahman Awad, dubbed the "Prince of Fatah al-Islam," is holed up in the camp despite army calls to hand him over. The group has been linked to deadly bombings targeting U.N. peacekeepers in the south and civilian buses. By long-standing convention, the Lebanese army does not enter the camps, leaving security inside to the Palestinians.
At Ain al-Hilweh, the main Palestinian factions moved quickly to try to contain the situation following the Nahr al-Bared battles and drew up a pact with the army to preserve the calm. But parts of the camp where radical factions are thought to be based remain off-limits to outsiders.
Sahar Atrache, an analyst with the Brussels-based International Crisis Group, said the camps, notably Ain al-Hilweh, are fertile ground for extremism.
"It's a little prison: the conditions are deplorable and there are no prospects for the inhabitants," Atrache told AFP. "And these are the grounds where jihadis find their young recruits."
"And I'm not talking about the conventional Islamic Jihad and Hamas, but groups who follow the so-called global jihad."
Atrache and others say successive Lebanese governments are largely to blame for the miserable conditions of the refugees who are denied basic human rights. The new cabinet headed by Prime Minister Saad Hariri has acknowledged the need to address the issue, and included it in its policy statement.
Mounir Maqdah, who commands the main police force in Ain al-Hilweh, said he was well aware of the danger of extremist groups exploiting the sense of hopelessness among the younger refugees. "We do realize that there are groups who could take advantage of the situation of our youth," he said. But Maqdah and others downplayed concerns that groups close to al-Qaida could be taking root inside the camp. "It is true there is a wave of Islamism which is affecting the whole world," said Sheikh Jamal Khattab, a Sunni cleric at Ain al-Hilweh who heads the Haraka Islamiyya Mujahida and has allegedly recruited fighters for al-Qaida in Iraq. "But if there were really any groups like al-Qaida in Ain al-Hilweh, Lebanon today would be another Iraq."Still, experts say it could be just a matter of time before the next bout of violence. "Like any problem, you can ignore it, but it could explode at any moment," warned Atrache. "The way the Lebanese are dealing with it, it's ignoring the real problem."(AFP) Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 10:39

Report: Israel Has Timetable for Ghajar Pullout, Last Stage in January
Naharnet/Israel has told the UNIFIL leadership that it would withdraw from the northern part of the village of Ghajar in several stages, al-Akhbar daily quoted official Lebanese sources as saying Tuesday. The sources also told the newspaper that Israel agreed in an oral message to UNIFIL to hand over authority to U.N. peacekeepers in the Lebanese side of Ghajar in separate stages pending full pullout mid January. Israel Radio said on Monday that the Jewish state approved UNIFIL's proposal that suggests withdrawing Israeli forces from the northern part of Ghajar village and give authority there to UNIFIL troops.The radio also said that Terje Roed-Larsen, the U.N. secretary-general's special representative for the implementation of Security Council Resolution 1559, met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak. He reportedly arrived in Israel on Friday and also met twice with President Shimon Peres. Earlier, Israel's Channel 2 reported that the Israeli foreign ministry's director-general, Yossi Gal, met late last week with UNIFIL commander Maj.-Gen. Claudio Graziano to discuss the terms of a possible Israeli withdrawal from the northern part of Ghajar. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 09:07

Resentment over Syrian Request to Summon Lebanese Officials for Questioning

Naharnet/The issue of Syrian warrants demanding that a number of Lebanese political, judicial and security officials as well as journalists appear in a Damascus court to be questioned over a lawsuit filed by Maj. Gen. Jamil Sayyed has stirred up unfriendly feelings among Lebanese political circles while judicial authorities kept silent. The daily An-Nahar on Tuesday said the issue is being dealt at the "highest level" as Syria was considering revoking the warrants. Lebanese political sources close to Damascus told the daily that these warrants had "no value," adding that Syria will not allow any move to hamper the visit of Prime Minister Saad Hariri to the Syrian capital. Justice Minister Ibrahim Najjar, who refused to comment of the issue, denied his Ministry had received any memorandum or warrant from the Syrian judiciary. Judicial sources, however, confirmed that the Prosecutor General office had received a memorandum from the Syrian judiciary. State Prosecutor Saeed Mirza also declined to comment. "I have no comment and I will not speak about this issue at all," Mirza told pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat. While An-Nahar pointed that the Lebanese judiciary had received the warrants from the Syrian judiciary under a 1951 agreement signed by Lebanon and Syria, sources at the Lebanese justice ministry criticized the "method of communication" with the Lebanese judiciary. The issue also drew reaction from the majority March 14 coalition. "What is Syria's benefit from hindering Hariri's visit by targeting advisers and other officials close to him?" one Majority source asked. Lebanon First bloc member Nuhad Mashnouq said the "least we can say about this is that the timing of the warrants was inappropriate both politically and diplomatically and is not in harmony with the spirit of understanding between Syria and Saudi Arabia." Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 08:11

Berri: Resistance Not Subject to Bargaining

Naharnet/Speaker Nabih Berri said he was committed to the offer which calls for setting up a committee to abolish political sectarianism. In remarks published Tuesday by the daily As-Safir, Berri stressed that the resistance issue was not a subject for bargaining. "I will not back down on this demand because the issue is not only linked to the future of Lebanon but to its resurrection," Berri thought. He refused to link the issue of abolishing political sectarianism to create a kind of "balance" with resistance weapons, stressing that
"Let it be known that the resistance is a non-negotiable issue for me," Berri said. The resistance, he added, is a "strategic choice that is not subject to bargaining." Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 09:33

Aoun: Education, Fighting Corruption Should Come Before Abolishment of Confessionalism

Naharnet/Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun said Tuesday that abolishment of confessionalism in politics could be reached through an educational program for youth and fighting corruption. Giving the example of Turkey, Aoun said in his statement during a vote of confidence debate in parliament that a lot of steps should be taken before abolishing confessionalism.
"Sectarianism doesn't produce corruption. But corruption encourages sectarianism," he told MPs and members of cabinet. Aoun, who was the first to speak in parliament after PM Saad Hariri, also said Lebanon will not be shaken on the security level because it has immunity. Following his statement, Speaker Nabih Berri snapped back at Aoun saying he hasn't called for abolishment of sectarianism. "I called for the formation of the national committee tasked with studying abolishment of confessionalism," Berri said. Berri's latest proposal has stirred debate in the country with Christian parties the most critical of abolishment of sectarianism. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 12:54

Jumblat: Formation of a Senate Could be Part of Berri's Proposal

Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat has said Speaker Nabih Berri most probably had in mind the formation of a senate when he proposed abolishing confessionalism in politics. "Part of Speaker Berri's proposal could have been the formation of the senate that represents all sects equally and serves the interests of confessions and religions," Jumblat told al-Jazeera satellite TV network on Monday. "There would be a non-confessional parliament" in case the senate was formed, the PSP leader said in response to a question about the obsessions of Christians on Berri's proposal. He said his father Kamal Jumblat tried for 25 years to abolish sectarianism in politics. But he failed because confessional forces and cultural and religious interests are more powerful than civil society in Lebanon. Jumblat the father also failed because he faced the obstacle of the Arab world which is based on religious and sectarian regimes, the MP told al-Jazeera. "The Arab and Islamic worlds did not evolve. The West evolved hundreds of years ago after wars, cultural revolutions and uprisings until religion was separated from the state," the Druze leader said. "Although our system calls for equality among all, in reality there is distinction between sects dividing the Lebanese between first class and second class" citizens, Jumblat said in response to a question. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 08:14

Confidence Vote Debate Starts, Hariri: Cabinet Faces Test of People's Trust

Naharnet/Lebanon's debate on a vote of confidence in Prime Minister Saad Hariri and his 30-member Cabinet started in Parliament on Tuesday. "Cabinet faces a test of people's trust," said Hariri prior to reading the Cabinet policy statement. He said "success cannot only be achieved through a coalition government, but through a government of principles and goals." Hariri stressed the "unity and authority of the state as well as the sole authority on all issues related to the country's general policy." The policy statement said the government is "determined to prevent all forms of tampering with civil peace and security," emphasizing that military and security decisions will solely remain in the hands of the state. On the issue of resistance and arms, the statement said the government affirms the right of Lebanon – its people, army and resistance -- to "liberate or recover" Shabaa Farms, Kfar Shouba Hills and the Lebanese part of the border town of Ghajar; to defend Lebanon against any aggression and to uphold Lebanon's right to water through legitimate means available.
It said the government is committed to U.N. Resolution 1701 and is determined to agree to a unified position on a comprehensive national defense strategy to safeguard Lebanon.
He said the government looks forward to seeing improvement in "brotherly" relations between Lebanon and Syria. The statement called for the implementation of decisions adopted by Lebanese parties during National Dialogue Committee meetings concerning the handover of weapons in Palestinian refugee camps. Sixty-five lawmakers will get a chance to speak out during the three-day vote of confidence process.  The vote, due Thursday, will decide the fate of Hizbullah arms in Hariri's government. Hariri's Cabinet is likely to win a landslide parliamentary vote of confidence. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 11:08

Where Is the OIC When Mosques Are Attacked?

by Walid Phares
12/08/2009
According to the Associated Press, Jihadi terrorists "stormed a mosque in Rawalpindi, killing at least 36 worshippers, including six military officers, during Friday prayers as they sprayed gunfire and threw grenades before blowing themselves up," Pakistani officials said. A military statement said four attackers hurled grenades and then opened fire as they rushed toward the mosque, located on Parade Lane in a military residential colony, just a few miles from the capital. Two Jihadists then blew themselves up inside, while the other two terrorists were killed in an exchange of gunfire. Seventeen children and 10 civilians were killed. The dead included a major general, a brigadier, two lieutenant colonels, one major and a retired major as well as three regular soldiers, military spokesman Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas said. Witnesses said two of the militants entered the mosque, which had up to 200 worshippers inside, while others ran into buildings nearby.
Per the AP, "Nasir Ali Sheikh saw the attackers at the mosque as he walked there to pray. He said they were dressed in traditional Pakistani clothing of loose pants and a long tunic and carried hand grenades, automatic weapons and ammunition belts slung around their shoulders. "They were killing people like animals," he said. "I couldn't understand what was happening." TV footage showed that the mosque's walls and prayer mats were covered in blood and shattered glass lined the floor.
What horrifies observers around the world is the unethical Jihadi behavior in terror operations. The sheer, open and cold blood massacring of children, women, elderly and civilians in general, even when they coin these horrors as "martyrdom operations" (amalyyat istishadiyya), they qualify unarguably as war crimes. The Jihadi Salafists have been perpetrating these types of international law breaches since the early 1990s in Algeria, where more than a hundred thousand civilians, mostly women, children, older persons and cultural personalities have been butchered for ten years. Salafi Jihadism has been among the most barbaric levels of violence produced by radical ideologies in the modern history of the Arab and Muslim world. Intellectuals and politicians in the region have long ago indicted this "movement" as catastrophic. Moderate Iraqi, Jordanian, Bahraini, Kuwaiti, Pakistani, Lebanese and Egyptian writers and commentators have appeared on air and wrote often about the necessity for their governments to forcefully condemn not only the perpetrators but also the ideology and the doctrines allowing such mayhem.
But what surprises me and many other observers is the heavy silence of the largest club of governments and regimes in the world, just below the United Nations: The Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC). With a membership exceeding 50 countries and a dizzying economic power embodied by many of its oil producing regimes, the OIC should have been at the forefront of fighting the Salafi Jihadist method. Since the massacres in Algeria in the 1990s, the OIC has refrained from expressly denouncing the movement and ideology behind these perpetrators. If we put aside the Jihadist massacres of 9/11, Madrid, London, Beslan, Mumbai and those perpetrated in southern Sudan, arguing that these societies are non Muslim (not that this should justify the bloodshed) but even when the al Queda, Taliban and other Salafist terror groups had targeted Muslim societies in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Indonesia, and Pakistan, still the alleged representative of the one billion Muslims dodged the ideology behind the murder of Muslim women, children and elderly. The question is why?
The OIC was overwhelmingly active to get a vote on the so-called "defamation of religion" at the United Nations but ran away from indicting the doctrine that kills people of its own religion. One would at least expect that the OIC would narrow its indictment of Jihadism to focus on what many Arab Muslim governments coin as "Takfirism," that is the so-called hot headed fringe within the Islamist web. But that never happened; why not?
Then Mosques have been attacked by Jihadi terrorists, while shouting "Allahu Akbar," in Gaza, Iraq, Afghanistan and now in Pakistan. Where on earth is the OIC when the very worship places it is supposed to protect are targeted by militants claiming "Jihad." We've seen the OIC bureaucracy thoroughly investigate any possible criticism of the ideology of Jihadism coining it "Islamophobia" while the Jihadists murder Muslims inside their own Mosques. The OIC, whose member states are mostly authoritarians, is busy fighting the Swiss democratic referendum on the shape of the Minarets in the Alps, while Mosques are ravaged in one of the most populated Muslim countries in the world: Pakistan. Something is utterly wrong here.
OIC bureaucrats must first of all rush to the defense of the children and women executed by the Jihadists inside the Masajid, Shia or Sunni, Pakistani or Arab, and openly condemn the savage behavior of those who are claiming themselves as the soldiers of the new Jihad. In refraining from coming to the rescue of their own populations and civil societies -- including their own houses of worship -- these bureaucrats would be sending a message to a billion people that Petrodollars are protecting the murderous ideologies instead of protecting innocent civilians.
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Dr. Phares is the author of The Confrontation: Winning the War against Future Jihad and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. For more, visit www.walidphares.com .

Taliban's Counter Strategy is based on declared US Strategy

By Walid Phares
Taliban waiting for 2012?
Now that we know the administration’s new strategy for Afghanistan, what is the Taliban strategy against the United States?
Such a question is warranted to be able to project the clash between the two strategies and assess the accuracy of present U.S. policies in the confrontation with the forces it is fighting against in that part of the world.
So, how would the Taliban/al-Qaida war room counter NATO and the Afghan Government based on the Obama Administration's battle plan?
Strategic Perceptions
The jihadi war room is now aware that the administration has narrowed its scope to defeat the so-called al-Qaida organization while limiting its goal to depriving the Taliban from achieving full victory, i.e. depriving them "from the momentum." In strategic wording this means that the administration won’t give the time and the means, let alone the necessary long term commitment to fully defeat the Taliban as a militia and militant network.
The jihadist strategists now understand that Washington’s advisers still recommend talking to the Taliban, the entire Taliban, but only after the latter would feel weak and pushed back enough to seek such talks. Underneath this perception, the Salafi Islamists’ analysts realize that present American analysis concludes that al-Qaida and the Taliban are two different things, and that it is possible to defeat the first and eventually engage the second.
Such a jihadist understanding of U.S. defective perceptions will give the Taliban and al-Qaida a first advantage: knowing that your enemy, the United States, isn’t seeing you as you really are.
Strategic Engagement
The US has reconfirmed that the goal of the mission in Afghanistan is to destroy al-Qaida, train the Afghan armed forces but not to engage in nation-building. Unlike previous American commitments, which weren’t very successful anyway, the current strategy officially ignores the ideological battle.
Hence the Taliban understands that their lifeline to further recruitment based on madrassas graduations is wide open. Washington’s efforts and dollars won’t touch the ideological factory of jihadism, which is the strategic depth of the Taliban and al-Qaida.
Hence, the jihadi network in Afghanistan will continue and further develop its indoctrination structures, untouched and un-bothered by American military escalation. The Marines and other NATO allies will be fighting today’s Taliban, while tomorrow’s jihadists will be receiving their instruction in full tranquility.
By the time the US deadline to withdraw would be reached, in 2011, 2012, or even beyond, the future forces of the enemy will be ready to be deployed. One wave of terrorists will be weakened by the action of the U.S. and NATO armed forces, while the next wave will be prepared to take over later.
Deadly Deadline
The administration’s plan included a timeline for withdrawal from the central Asian country (although reinterpreted as beginning of withdrawal). Basing their assessment on the notion of “no open ended engagement,” the shapers of the new Afghanistan strategy have told the enemy’s war room on camera that America’s time in Afghanistan is until 2013 maximum, after which it will be Taliban time again.
As many analysts have concluded, all the jihadists war planners have to do is to wait out the hurricane of escalation. The deadly deadline proposed in the strategy has no precedent in the history of confrontation with totalitarian forces. The Taliban waited out eight years, what are two, three or eight more years, if the U.S.-led coalition's action is not qualitatively (not just quantitatively) different?
A Surge to Exit
As presented to the Afghan people, the administration's new plan for the battlefield is seen as a last surge before the general exit of the country. The Taliban’s war room has understood the equation. Thirty thousand more U.S. troops will deploy with their heavy equipment, backed by another 5,000 to 10,000 allied forces. Offensives will take place in Helmund and other areas. Special forces will move to multiple places and shelling will harass the Islamist militias as long as two years or more.
The Taliban will incur losses and al-Qaida's operatives will be put under heavier pressure: All that is noted in Mullah Umar’s book and saved on Zawahiri’s laptop. Then what?
Then the time for exit is up and U.S and NATO forces begin their withdrawal. When that happens, the surviving Taliban, plus the new wave just graduating from madrassas, or the jihadi volunteers sent from the four corners of the virtual “Caliphate” will have a choice to make: Either they will accept the U.S. negotiators' offer to join the Afghan government or — depending on their assessment then — will reject the offer and shell the "infidel troops" as they pull out.
In a nutshell, the new strategy is convenient to that Taliban war room: They now can figure it all out until the Mayan year of 2012 — and way beyond.
All that it takes for democracies to offer the totalitarians victories is to not understand the latter’s long-term goals. And we’ve just done that, so far.
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Dr. Walid Phares is director of the Future Terrorism Project at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and author of "The Confrontation: Winning the War against Future Jihad."
December 7, 2009

Civil society group asks MPs not to legitimize Hezbollah’s arms

Louisa Ajami and Manal Sarrouf, December 8, 2009
Now Lebanon/
A group of protestors calling themselves al-Multazimoun, or the Committed, gathered in Riad al-Solh Square on Tuesday to express their concerns about “legitimizing weapons outside State control,” saying that Hezbollah’s arsenal “threatens civil peace and national unity.”
The protest comes as Lebanese MPs gathered in Nejmeh Square in downtown Beirut for the first of three days of parliamentary sessions to discuss the recently-drafted Ministerial Statement and eventually give the cabinet a vote of confidence. The most disputed item of the Ministerial Statement is Article 6, which pertains to Hezbollah’s arsenal and the right of the Lebanese Resistance to exist. A group of Christian March 14 ministers already expressed their reservations on the article, but allowed the statement to be drafted nonetheless.
Multazimoun’s manifesto, which members handed out to the press during the protest, described the group, formed in February 2009, as a non-sectarian and politically unaffiliated gathering whose goal is to “defend the Lebanese people’s freedom and dignity” and which is “committed to the principles of the Cedar Revolution, to Lebanon’s sovereignty and independence.”
“We only have one objective,” Multazimoun General Coordinator Najib Salim Zouein told NOW, “supporting the establishment of the State, and we as part of the civil society will take action against anything that obstructs the process.”
“As the civil society we have a voice,” Dina Lteif, a Multazimoun member, told NOW. “We the people are the source of power. We send a message to all MPs, especially the majority deputies, who promised us we would embrace the State, that we are afraid of illegitimate weapons. The [opposition] is trying to legitimize its weapons by using vague language in the Ministerial Statement.”
Kataeb MP Sami Gemayel feels the same. He stopped by the demonstration to greet protestors before heading to the parliament building. “I promise that we will do all that we can to confront the legitimization of Hezbollah’s weapons and to forbid the State from violating the constitution and from not committing to the people’s will,” he told NOW.
When NOW asked Gemayel what his plan was to address the issue of Hezbollah’s arms during the upcoming parliamentary sessions, he said only that he and his fellow Kataeb MPs “will do all that we can.”
“We are happy that someone is taking action and letting the truth be told,” he told the protestors. “It is our duty to support anyone who is telling the truth, especially on such an important issue, which will determine the Lebanese’s future for the coming years.”
“What happened with the Ministerial Statement is abnormal and unacceptable,” Gemayel added.
“On June 7 we voted for a movement that made concessions we do not support,” Zouein said. “The first concession was reelecting Speaker Nabih Berri. The second was forming this cabinet, which does not reflect the election’s results. It was formed under pressure of [the opposition’s] weapons.”
“We accepted the national-unity cabinet, but we cannot accept MPs legitimizing weapons outside State control. We urge MPs not to grant the government the vote of confidence because we did not give them our vote to do so.” But despite the protestors’ cries to block the passage of the Ministerial Statement, only three deputies – National Liberal Party leader MP Dori Chamoun, Zahle MP Nicolas Fattouch and Lebanon First bloc MP Amin Wehbe – have said they will not support it and will not give the cabinet their votes of confidence.
Accordingly, demonstrators were not very optimistic. A March 14 member who attended the protest but preferred not to give his name said that while he thinks that the gathering will not have an impact on the parliament’s decision, the aim was to “keep the issue of Hezbollah’s weapons in the spotlight.”
“The cabinet gave up its right to make war-and-peace decisions” with its passage of the Ministerial Statement “and it legitimized Hezbollah’s weapons, which is not normal [internationally],” he said. Najwa al-Khazen, who was at the demonstration but is not a Multazimoun member, concurred. “We only want the State alone to possess weapons; no other country in the world has illegitimate weapons,” she told NOW.
Multazimoun member Dina Lteif, addressing Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, said, “We want the liberation of occupied land more than you, but by peaceful and civilized means. And we want a stronger state than the one you want, which can only be built through unity and under the national army and State institutions’ authority.”

For Hezbollah, Lebanon is an afterthought

Tony Badran, December 8, 2009
Now Lebanon/Two things were unsurprising about Hezbollah’s political document, unveiled on November 30 by the party’s secretary general, Hassan Nasrallah, namely its content and characterization in the media. The document reaffirmed the party’s determination to defend its parallel state while simultaneously forcing its priorities on Lebanon’s state and society, without abandoning its ideological principles or strategic objectives.
A closer look at the document shows that what has been hailed as a “new” platform is in fact a point-by-point expansion of the principles laid out in Hezbollah’s founding document, the so-called Open Letter, of 1985. And what is not explicitly laid out in the document, Nasrallah clarified in his press conference, as did other Hezbollah officials in media outlets.
First and foremost, the party remains as determined as ever to safeguard its autonomous armed status in an open-ended way, reaffirming the “duality” between itself on the one hand and the rest of Lebanon on the other. In fact, as Nasrallah himself remarked to the assembled journalists, the “Resistance” (by which he meant Hezbollah’s autonomous armed status), “still holds first place.” The document’s section on Lebanon outlines Hezbollah’s conception of the country as being directly intertwined, both thematically and structurally, with the Resistance. In other words, there is no Lebanon without the Resistance. As Nasrallah’s deputy, Naim Qassem, put it in 2007, Hezbollah’s objective is to integrate the rest of society into the Resistance, not vice versa, as some are claiming.
A key statement in that regard was the section on the so-called “defense strategy” for Lebanon. Here Nasrallah reiterated Hezbollah’s long-held position on a “twinning” of a “popular resistance” with a “nationalist army,” in a “complementary” security regime. In that perilous scheme, the Lebanese state and its official decision-making institutions and processes are completely omitted. Nor was it surprising that the document failed to mention United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 as well as the Taif Accord – two key documents today affecting the Lebanese polity.
Nasrallah’s aims more closely resemble what he imposed through the disastrous April Understanding of 1996. In a book he authored in 2002 titled “Hezbollah: The Program, the Experience, the Future”, Naim Qassem described the understanding as having been “tailored to the demands of the Resistance,” especially in how it bestowed “legitimacy on the Resistance.” The April Understanding, in Hezbollah’s eyes, enshrined in writing its operational autonomy vis-à-vis an emasculated Lebanese state, under the direct supervision of Iran and Syria.
Hezbollah and its regional patrons have been consistently striving to empty Resolution 1701 of its substance in order to return to the framework of the April Understanding. It is safe to assume that this is the reading that Nasrallah wants to impose on the new Lebanese government as well. Not only did he time the unveiling of Hezbollah’s document to coincide with the agreement on the ministerial statement, the terminology he used was intended to codify Hezbollah’s interpretation of that statement. Hence Nasrallah’s repetition of the formula mentioning “the Resistance, a loyal people, and the nationalist army” echoing that of the cabinet statement that Hezbollah imposed by force after the 2008 Doha Accord.
Meanwhile, some of those who commented on the party document argued that it somehow represented a departure from the old platform, instead highlighting Hezbollah’s “evolution” toward “Lebanonization.” This interpretation displays a woeful misunderstanding of what Hezbollah is about. One tenet of this approach is that the party, as Augustus Richard Norton once put it, is “preparing for life after the Resistance.”
Norton’s theory is wrong. As the new document shows, Hezbollah’s conceptual universe is tied in with the idea of “resistance,” elevated into a comprehensive worldview, or what Qassem once referred to as “the project of [Jihad in] the Path of God.” Not coincidentally, the two Quranic verses that lead Hezbollah’s document are about Jihad in the Path of God.
Those who underline that Hezbollah is becoming more of a Lebanese party also tend to play down its global reach and organic ties to Iran. Instead, those advocating this view play up the party’s involvement in Lebanon-related issues. However, this has repeatedly been undermined by events, not least the group’s cells in Azerbaijan, Egypt, Iraq and South America; and now by the text of Hezbollah’s latest document.
The document repeats Hezbollah’s intent to eradicate Israel, adding that the liberation of Jerusalem and all of Palestine is a religious duty. Support for the Palestinians, the document adds, is Iranian policy under the leadership of Iran’s supreme guide, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the “Ruling Jurisconsult”. In this way, Nasrallah reaffirmed Hezbollah’s subservience to Khamenei, stressing that this attitude was an “ideological, doctrinal and religious position, and not a political one subject to revision.”
Through this trans-national ideological vision released in sync with the launching of the new cabinet, Hezbollah openly reaffirmed that in its conceptual universe, Lebanon was but an operational base in a broader war that it will force on the Lebanese whether they liked it or not. The party official and parliamentarian Nawwaf Moussawi expressed this plainly in an interview with Al-Jazeera, noting that Hezbollah was not bound by Lebanon’s geographic boundaries: “[W]e crossed the border [in 2006] … out of our belief that the battle is one and the same.”
So much for Hezbollah’s “Lebanonization.”
**Tony Badran is a research fellow with the Center for Terrorism Research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

Iran…and political hallucination!

Tariq Alhomayed
ASHARQ ALAWSAT on Dec. 6, 2009.
In one of his speeches in Isfahan, the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says that the attacks launched by America and it’s military allies over the past few years on some countries in the [Middle East] region are based on religious grounds and that “their motive for carrying out these attacks that they did not make public is that they know that there will come a day when a man descended from Prophet Mohammed, may peace be upon him, will appear in this region and he will eliminate all the wrong-doers in the world. The Iranian nation will be among the supporters of this divine man.” Ahmadinejad continued and confirmed that “Iran has the documents to prove this.” And of course that’s not all; Ahmadinejad added, “The first task for Iranian officials is to build [up] Iran and their second task is represented in preparing to enter the administration of world affairs.”
Is there a better example of political hallucination? The question here is that if talk such as this works on the supporters of the Iranian regime and its president, how can Tehran’s ideas and political projects be marketed in the Arab world? [How was it sold to] some of the cultural and political elites, especially those that engage in politics and particularly Arab nationalists who used to describe some Arab regimes as backward? How have they i.e. some nationalists today become theorists of the Iranian hallucinations?
This is not the first time that Iranian politicians have used such political hallucinations. Ahmadinejad claimed that a halo was shining on him when he was in New York around two years ago. Also, it was not long ago that we heard that the authority of the Iranian [Supreme] Guide is derived from the authority of God. Therefore, it is clear that Tehran uses this method to play on emotions and of course, what’s hidden is even worse.
All of those hallucinations are coming out and almost half of the Iranian nation was, and still is, divided over its regime, and the proof of this is the magnitude of threats issued by the regime as a continuous warning to the Iranian opposition, not to mention cutting off internet access in Iran and [other] methods of communication with the outside world.
When we say political hallucination, then what Ahmadinejad is doing and saying might please some of his supporters; however he will lead Iran to an inevitable and upcoming disaster if the chain of escalation with the international community that we are seeing from Iran continues, especially with regards to the nuclear file. The nuclear file is an issue for which Iran uses all our regional issues and fronts such as Gaza and Lebanon. There is information that there is a state of panic within Hezbollah and many people in Lebanon are very concerned that the Lebanese front might open suddenly in a new war with Israel.
What we want to say is that as long as this is the logic in Iran and this is the way Tehran deals with political issues then this makes us pessimistic about solving the Iranian nuclear file or pending regional issues with Tehran – whether in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen or with regards to interference in the Palestinian cause – in a rational and peaceful manner, as long as Iranian policy is based on hallucination. How can it not [be based on hallucination] when Ahmadinejad is saying that he has documents proving that America targeted regional states because it knows that a man will be sent down [by God] to save the region from oppression.
*Published in the London-based ASHARQ ALAWSAT on Dec. 6, 2009.

LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
December 09/09

Bible Reading of the day
Luke 11/27-32: "It came to pass, as he said these things, a certain woman out of the multitude lifted up her voice, and said to him, “Blessed is the womb that bore you, and the breasts which nursed you!” 11:28 But he said, “On the contrary, blessed are those who hear the word of God, and keep it.” 11:29 When the multitudes were gathering together to him, he began to say, “This is an evil generation. It seeks after a sign. No sign will be given to it but the sign of Jonah, the prophet. 11:30 For even as Jonah became a sign to the Ninevites, so will also the Son of Man be to this generation. 11:31 The Queen of the South will rise up in the judgment with the men of this generation, and will condemn them: for she came from the ends of the earth to hear the wisdom of Solomon; and behold, one greater than Solomon is here. 11:32 The men of Nineveh will stand up in the judgment with this generation, and will condemn it: for they repented at the preaching of Jonah, and behold, one greater than Jonah is here."

Free Opinions, Releases, letters & Special Reports
Lebanese civil society group asks MPs not to legitimize Hezbollah’s arms/Louisa Ajami and Manal Sarrouf/, December 8, 2009
For Hezbollah, Lebanon is an afterthought/By: Tony Badran/Now Lebanon/December 8, 2009
Taliban's Counter Strategy is based on declared US Strategy/By Walid Phares/December 08/09  
Where Is the OIC When Mosques Are Attacked?/by Walid Phares/December 08/09
Nasrallah: Prime Minister of Lebanon/By: Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed/December 08/09
Iran…and political hallucination/Tariq Alhomayed/December 08/09

Latest News Reports From Miscellaneous Sources for December 08/09
Sfeir Rejects 'Resistance Army'/Naharnet
Netanyahu: Syria willing to renew talks without conditions/Ha'aretz
LEBANON: Government policy statement on Hezbollah's arms irks Washington/Los Angeles Times
Ghanem urges Resistance to not compete with state/Now Lebanon/Now Lebanon
Makari says Article 6 hinders state institutions/Now Lebanon/Now Lebanon
Aoun: Education, Fighting Corruption Should Come Before Abolishment of Confessionalism/Naharnet
Confidence Vote Debate Starts, Hariri: Cabinet Faces Test of People's Trust/Naharnet
Resentment over Syrian Request to Summon Lebanese Officials for Questioning/Naharnet
Berri: Resistance Not Subject to Bargaining/Naharnet
Report: Israel Has Timetable for Ghajar Pullout, Last Stage in January/Naharnet
Jumblat: Formation of a Senate Could be Part of Berri's Proposal/Naharnet
Experts: 'Sleeper Cells' in Palestinian Camps in Lebanon/Naharnet
Lebanese Man Accused of Buying Arms for Hizbullah to be Detained in the U.S./Naharnet
Hariri: Israeli Threats Boost Our National Unity/Naharnet
Abbas from Baabda: Reports About Issuing Passports to Palestinians Not True/Naharnet
Phalange Party Rejects Duality of Arms, Authority in Ministerial Policy Statement/Naharnet
Quarrel Between Hizbullah Members, UNIFIL in Marjeyoun/Naharnet
Six Bodies Found in Nahr Al-Bared Refugee Camp/Naharnet

US 'seriously concerned' about Hezbollah/UPI.com
Suspected Lebanese Arms Dealer Agrees To Detention/KDKA
IDF Intel: Hezbollah rockets deployed south of Litani River/Ynetnews /Daily Star
Four bodies found in Nahr al-Bared camp/AFP
Workshop discusses obstacles facing working women/Daily Star
Italy donates over $7 million in development aid/Daily Star
AUB celebrates diversity on Founders Day/Daily Star
Arrest warrants issued for Fatah al-Islam suspects/Daily Star
Five Bekaa men jailed for drug trafficking/Daily Star
Arab educators call for greater collaboration/Daily Star
English language gaining ground in region/Daily Star
Palestinian refugees surviving, not living/AFP
Rights group: End abuse of stateless individuals/Daily Star
Municipal polls must be held on time - LADE/Daily Star
Lebanon's Solidere unit eyes Saudi Arabia, Montenegro/Daily Star
Telecommuting good for both employees and employers: poll/Daily Star
Abbas urges peace in Sleiman talks, offers camps cooperation/Daily Star
Netanyahu: Hizbullah is Lebanon's real army/Daily Star
Finance minister holds talks on traffic congestion/Daily Star
Syrian court summons local officials in Sayyed case/Daily Star
Jumblatt urges action on climate change/Daily Star
MPs set for hot debate on Cabinet statement/Daily Star


Sfeir Rejects 'Resistance Army'

Naharnet/Maronite Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir said Tuesday that he rejects a "resistance army that would one day use its weapons against the enemy and another day domestically."
Sfeir made his remark before heading to Baabda Palace for talks with President Michel Suleiman. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 12:03

Ghanem urges Resistance to not compete with state
Now Lebanon/December 8, 2009 /MP Robert Ghanem addressed deputies during Tuesday’s parliamentary session in Nejmeh Square, stressing that the Resistance is noble if it abides to the “concept of the state,” with which it does not compete. He explained that the state has its role, power, and is the primary entity. “We do not accept making compromises,” he added. He also said that “several alarming events” had taken place prior to the cabinet formation and that eliminating political sectarianism should be a result, not a goal. “We need to start implementing administrative decentralization and a fair electoral law. That is how we eliminate political sectarianism,” he said. He urged fighting corruption, dealing with traffic problems, protecting the environment as well as giving importance to education “to strengthen the culture of dialogue.”“I grant my vote of confidence to the cabinet, and I hope it will be able to confront challenges and have successful achievements,” he concluded.-NOW Lebanon

Phalange Party Rejects Duality of Arms, Authority in Ministerial Policy Statement
Naharnet/Phalange Party on Monday reiterated its objection on the sixth article of the ministerial Policy Statement "despite full support for the government and keenness on ministerial solidarity."After its joint Political Bureau-Central Council monthly meeting under party leader Amin Gemayel, the party stressed that its stance on the ministerial Policy Statement is "clear and direct, it objects on the sixth article of the statement -- Hizbullah's arms article -- because in principle it contradicts with all the goals and constants Phalange Party is working for. It also contradicts with all of what the Cedar Revolution called for in terms of national sovereignty." "This article torpedoes the principle of arms exclusivity to the Lebanese State and its extending of sovereignty on all its territories. It also contradicts with international resolutions and the compliances of sovereignty, border demarcation, and the truce agreement (with Israel)," added the statement of Phalange Party. The party stressed that it will not hesitate to take the proper stance on each issue separately inside the cabinet according to its beliefs, principles, and constants. On the other hand, the party hailed the "reconciliations and dialogue meetings between leaders from all sides." Beirut, 07 Dec 09, 21:21

Lebanese Man Accused of Buying Arms for Hizbullah to be Detained in the U.S.

Naharnet/A "terror" suspect won't fight detention on charges he came to Philadelphia to try to steer a huge cache of missiles and machine guns to his native Lebanon, in what proved to be an undercover sting. Dani Nemr Tarraf hoped to ship anti-aircraft missiles, 10,000 machine guns, night-vision equipment and other weapons to Lebanon via Iran or Syria, according to court documents. In statements after his arrest, the muscular Tarraf admitted to membership in Hizbullah and said he has received military training from the group, according to a detention memo.
"As the sheer quantity would indicate, these (weapons) are not for target practice," Assistant U.S. Attorney Stephen Miller argued at Monday's detention hearing. He said they were destined for the hands of thugs and killers. Tarraf, 38, is charged with violating arms-control laws, conspiring to acquire anti-aircraft missiles, passport fraud and other counts. He answered questions through an Arabic interpreter. U.S. Magistrate Henry Perkin ordered detention, finding him both a danger and a flight risk. Tarraf is described as a German citizen with homes in Lebanon and Slovakia and extensive business dealings in China and Lebanon. He claimed last year to have 130 people working for him, the government said. Tarraf has pleaded not guilty. Defense lawyer Marc Neff said his client understands the seriousness of the case. The several-defendant plot initially involved the transport of stolen cell phones, laptops and video games, before it evolved through Tarraf into an arms-smuggling operation, the November indictment charged. According to court documents, Tarraf paid about $20,000 cash to an undercover officer in July as a deposit on machine guns and shoulder-fired Stinger missiles and traveled to Philadelphia to inspect the merchandise last month. Tarraf wanted missiles that could "take down an F-16," according to an affidavit.(AP) Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 10:11

Hariri: Israeli Threats Boost Our National Unity

Naharnet/Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Monday addressed those who doubt the chances of Lebanon to prosper in shadow of Israeli threats by saying: "The enemy's threats against our country are real and clear, but that boosts our national unity. National unity boosts stability, and stability boosts productivity and achievements." Hariri was speaking at a dinner thrown in his honor by the economic committees in BIEL. "I tell you, and I tell every Lebanese man and woman: We are standing at the gate of a real, concrete, and promising opportunity which we will not be forgiven by our children and grandchildren if we lose it. An opportunity that if we seize is itself the opportunity that can compensate the entire citizen's lost chances," added Hariri. Hariri stressed that Lebanon did not only avoid the world economical crisis, but also managed to develop the economy in its shadow.
"This internal political opportunity is accompanied by a regional opportunity reflected in the Arab rapprochement and the rebuilding of the Arab interests system which the Lebanese State will always be, in all its ingredients and institutions, an essential part of it -- considering that the Lebanese people are the pioneers of modern Arabism, just like Arabism is a shield that has protected Lebanon in face of all threats," added Hariri. Beirut, 07 Dec 09, 22:45

Experts: 'Sleeper Cells' in Palestinian Camps in Lebanon

Naharnet/Despite the relative calm of Lebanon's Palestinian refugee camps in recent months, experts warn that Islamist groups are still operating within and could strike at any time.
At Ain al-Hilweh, the largest of Lebanon's 12 camps, which is known to harbor extremists and fugitives, small sleeper cells have kept a low profile but could mobilize quickly depending on developments, they say. "In theory, this is the sort of environment al-Qaida, for example, generally chooses for its sleeper cells, which could be used at any time," said Hazem al-Amin, a journalist and expert on regional Islamist groups. "And that is not a reassuring thought. It might not happen immediately, but it is always a possibility." His comments came as Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas discussed the plight of the refugees with Lebanese officials on Monday. The spread of Islamist groups in the camps was brought starkly into focus in 2007 when Fatah al-Islam, an obscure al-Qaida-inspired militia, fought fierce battles with the Lebanese army at Nahr al-Bared camp in northern Lebanon.
The fighting killed 400 people, including 168 soldiers, and displaced some 30,000 refugees from the camp, which was leveled in the fighting.
There were widespread fears at the time that Ain al-Hilweh, near the southern coastal town of Sidon and home to about 70,000 refugees, would be the next front for the Islamists.
Reports say that Abdul Rahman Awad, dubbed the "Prince of Fatah al-Islam," is holed up in the camp despite army calls to hand him over. The group has been linked to deadly bombings targeting U.N. peacekeepers in the south and civilian buses. By long-standing convention, the Lebanese army does not enter the camps, leaving security inside to the Palestinians.
At Ain al-Hilweh, the main Palestinian factions moved quickly to try to contain the situation following the Nahr al-Bared battles and drew up a pact with the army to preserve the calm. But parts of the camp where radical factions are thought to be based remain off-limits to outsiders.
Sahar Atrache, an analyst with the Brussels-based International Crisis Group, said the camps, notably Ain al-Hilweh, are fertile ground for extremism.
"It's a little prison: the conditions are deplorable and there are no prospects for the inhabitants," Atrache told AFP. "And these are the grounds where jihadis find their young recruits."
"And I'm not talking about the conventional Islamic Jihad and Hamas, but groups who follow the so-called global jihad."
Atrache and others say successive Lebanese governments are largely to blame for the miserable conditions of the refugees who are denied basic human rights. The new cabinet headed by Prime Minister Saad Hariri has acknowledged the need to address the issue, and included it in its policy statement.
Mounir Maqdah, who commands the main police force in Ain al-Hilweh, said he was well aware of the danger of extremist groups exploiting the sense of hopelessness among the younger refugees. "We do realize that there are groups who could take advantage of the situation of our youth," he said. But Maqdah and others downplayed concerns that groups close to al-Qaida could be taking root inside the camp. "It is true there is a wave of Islamism which is affecting the whole world," said Sheikh Jamal Khattab, a Sunni cleric at Ain al-Hilweh who heads the Haraka Islamiyya Mujahida and has allegedly recruited fighters for al-Qaida in Iraq. "But if there were really any groups like al-Qaida in Ain al-Hilweh, Lebanon today would be another Iraq."Still, experts say it could be just a matter of time before the next bout of violence. "Like any problem, you can ignore it, but it could explode at any moment," warned Atrache. "The way the Lebanese are dealing with it, it's ignoring the real problem."(AFP) Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 10:39

Report: Israel Has Timetable for Ghajar Pullout, Last Stage in January
Naharnet/Israel has told the UNIFIL leadership that it would withdraw from the northern part of the village of Ghajar in several stages, al-Akhbar daily quoted official Lebanese sources as saying Tuesday. The sources also told the newspaper that Israel agreed in an oral message to UNIFIL to hand over authority to U.N. peacekeepers in the Lebanese side of Ghajar in separate stages pending full pullout mid January. Israel Radio said on Monday that the Jewish state approved UNIFIL's proposal that suggests withdrawing Israeli forces from the northern part of Ghajar village and give authority there to UNIFIL troops.The radio also said that Terje Roed-Larsen, the U.N. secretary-general's special representative for the implementation of Security Council Resolution 1559, met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak. He reportedly arrived in Israel on Friday and also met twice with President Shimon Peres. Earlier, Israel's Channel 2 reported that the Israeli foreign ministry's director-general, Yossi Gal, met late last week with UNIFIL commander Maj.-Gen. Claudio Graziano to discuss the terms of a possible Israeli withdrawal from the northern part of Ghajar. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 09:07

Resentment over Syrian Request to Summon Lebanese Officials for Questioning

Naharnet/The issue of Syrian warrants demanding that a number of Lebanese political, judicial and security officials as well as journalists appear in a Damascus court to be questioned over a lawsuit filed by Maj. Gen. Jamil Sayyed has stirred up unfriendly feelings among Lebanese political circles while judicial authorities kept silent. The daily An-Nahar on Tuesday said the issue is being dealt at the "highest level" as Syria was considering revoking the warrants. Lebanese political sources close to Damascus told the daily that these warrants had "no value," adding that Syria will not allow any move to hamper the visit of Prime Minister Saad Hariri to the Syrian capital. Justice Minister Ibrahim Najjar, who refused to comment of the issue, denied his Ministry had received any memorandum or warrant from the Syrian judiciary. Judicial sources, however, confirmed that the Prosecutor General office had received a memorandum from the Syrian judiciary. State Prosecutor Saeed Mirza also declined to comment. "I have no comment and I will not speak about this issue at all," Mirza told pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat. While An-Nahar pointed that the Lebanese judiciary had received the warrants from the Syrian judiciary under a 1951 agreement signed by Lebanon and Syria, sources at the Lebanese justice ministry criticized the "method of communication" with the Lebanese judiciary. The issue also drew reaction from the majority March 14 coalition. "What is Syria's benefit from hindering Hariri's visit by targeting advisers and other officials close to him?" one Majority source asked. Lebanon First bloc member Nuhad Mashnouq said the "least we can say about this is that the timing of the warrants was inappropriate both politically and diplomatically and is not in harmony with the spirit of understanding between Syria and Saudi Arabia." Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 08:11

Berri: Resistance Not Subject to Bargaining

Naharnet/Speaker Nabih Berri said he was committed to the offer which calls for setting up a committee to abolish political sectarianism. In remarks published Tuesday by the daily As-Safir, Berri stressed that the resistance issue was not a subject for bargaining. "I will not back down on this demand because the issue is not only linked to the future of Lebanon but to its resurrection," Berri thought. He refused to link the issue of abolishing political sectarianism to create a kind of "balance" with resistance weapons, stressing that
"Let it be known that the resistance is a non-negotiable issue for me," Berri said. The resistance, he added, is a "strategic choice that is not subject to bargaining." Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 09:33

Aoun: Education, Fighting Corruption Should Come Before Abolishment of Confessionalism

Naharnet/Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun said Tuesday that abolishment of confessionalism in politics could be reached through an educational program for youth and fighting corruption. Giving the example of Turkey, Aoun said in his statement during a vote of confidence debate in parliament that a lot of steps should be taken before abolishing confessionalism.
"Sectarianism doesn't produce corruption. But corruption encourages sectarianism," he told MPs and members of cabinet. Aoun, who was the first to speak in parliament after PM Saad Hariri, also said Lebanon will not be shaken on the security level because it has immunity. Following his statement, Speaker Nabih Berri snapped back at Aoun saying he hasn't called for abolishment of sectarianism. "I called for the formation of the national committee tasked with studying abolishment of confessionalism," Berri said. Berri's latest proposal has stirred debate in the country with Christian parties the most critical of abolishment of sectarianism. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 12:54

Jumblat: Formation of a Senate Could be Part of Berri's Proposal

Naharnet/Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat has said Speaker Nabih Berri most probably had in mind the formation of a senate when he proposed abolishing confessionalism in politics. "Part of Speaker Berri's proposal could have been the formation of the senate that represents all sects equally and serves the interests of confessions and religions," Jumblat told al-Jazeera satellite TV network on Monday. "There would be a non-confessional parliament" in case the senate was formed, the PSP leader said in response to a question about the obsessions of Christians on Berri's proposal. He said his father Kamal Jumblat tried for 25 years to abolish sectarianism in politics. But he failed because confessional forces and cultural and religious interests are more powerful than civil society in Lebanon. Jumblat the father also failed because he faced the obstacle of the Arab world which is based on religious and sectarian regimes, the MP told al-Jazeera. "The Arab and Islamic worlds did not evolve. The West evolved hundreds of years ago after wars, cultural revolutions and uprisings until religion was separated from the state," the Druze leader said. "Although our system calls for equality among all, in reality there is distinction between sects dividing the Lebanese between first class and second class" citizens, Jumblat said in response to a question. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 08:14

Confidence Vote Debate Starts, Hariri: Cabinet Faces Test of People's Trust

Naharnet/Lebanon's debate on a vote of confidence in Prime Minister Saad Hariri and his 30-member Cabinet started in Parliament on Tuesday. "Cabinet faces a test of people's trust," said Hariri prior to reading the Cabinet policy statement. He said "success cannot only be achieved through a coalition government, but through a government of principles and goals." Hariri stressed the "unity and authority of the state as well as the sole authority on all issues related to the country's general policy." The policy statement said the government is "determined to prevent all forms of tampering with civil peace and security," emphasizing that military and security decisions will solely remain in the hands of the state. On the issue of resistance and arms, the statement said the government affirms the right of Lebanon – its people, army and resistance -- to "liberate or recover" Shabaa Farms, Kfar Shouba Hills and the Lebanese part of the border town of Ghajar; to defend Lebanon against any aggression and to uphold Lebanon's right to water through legitimate means available.
It said the government is committed to U.N. Resolution 1701 and is determined to agree to a unified position on a comprehensive national defense strategy to safeguard Lebanon.
He said the government looks forward to seeing improvement in "brotherly" relations between Lebanon and Syria. The statement called for the implementation of decisions adopted by Lebanese parties during National Dialogue Committee meetings concerning the handover of weapons in Palestinian refugee camps. Sixty-five lawmakers will get a chance to speak out during the three-day vote of confidence process.  The vote, due Thursday, will decide the fate of Hizbullah arms in Hariri's government. Hariri's Cabinet is likely to win a landslide parliamentary vote of confidence. Beirut, 08 Dec 09, 11:08

Where Is the OIC When Mosques Are Attacked?

by Walid Phares
12/08/2009
According to the Associated Press, Jihadi terrorists "stormed a mosque in Rawalpindi, killing at least 36 worshippers, including six military officers, during Friday prayers as they sprayed gunfire and threw grenades before blowing themselves up," Pakistani officials said. A military statement said four attackers hurled grenades and then opened fire as they rushed toward the mosque, located on Parade Lane in a military residential colony, just a few miles from the capital. Two Jihadists then blew themselves up inside, while the other two terrorists were killed in an exchange of gunfire. Seventeen children and 10 civilians were killed. The dead included a major general, a brigadier, two lieutenant colonels, one major and a retired major as well as three regular soldiers, military spokesman Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas said. Witnesses said two of the militants entered the mosque, which had up to 200 worshippers inside, while others ran into buildings nearby.
Per the AP, "Nasir Ali Sheikh saw the attackers at the mosque as he walked there to pray. He said they were dressed in traditional Pakistani clothing of loose pants and a long tunic and carried hand grenades, automatic weapons and ammunition belts slung around their shoulders. "They were killing people like animals," he said. "I couldn't understand what was happening." TV footage showed that the mosque's walls and prayer mats were covered in blood and shattered glass lined the floor.
What horrifies observers around the world is the unethical Jihadi behavior in terror operations. The sheer, open and cold blood massacring of children, women, elderly and civilians in general, even when they coin these horrors as "martyrdom operations" (amalyyat istishadiyya), they qualify unarguably as war crimes. The Jihadi Salafists have been perpetrating these types of international law breaches since the early 1990s in Algeria, where more than a hundred thousand civilians, mostly women, children, older persons and cultural personalities have been butchered for ten years. Salafi Jihadism has been among the most barbaric levels of violence produced by radical ideologies in the modern history of the Arab and Muslim world. Intellectuals and politicians in the region have long ago indicted this "movement" as catastrophic. Moderate Iraqi, Jordanian, Bahraini, Kuwaiti, Pakistani, Lebanese and Egyptian writers and commentators have appeared on air and wrote often about the necessity for their governments to forcefully condemn not only the perpetrators but also the ideology and the doctrines allowing such mayhem.
But what surprises me and many other observers is the heavy silence of the largest club of governments and regimes in the world, just below the United Nations: The Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC). With a membership exceeding 50 countries and a dizzying economic power embodied by many of its oil producing regimes, the OIC should have been at the forefront of fighting the Salafi Jihadist method. Since the massacres in Algeria in the 1990s, the OIC has refrained from expressly denouncing the movement and ideology behind these perpetrators. If we put aside the Jihadist massacres of 9/11, Madrid, London, Beslan, Mumbai and those perpetrated in southern Sudan, arguing that these societies are non Muslim (not that this should justify the bloodshed) but even when the al Queda, Taliban and other Salafist terror groups had targeted Muslim societies in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Indonesia, and Pakistan, still the alleged representative of the one billion Muslims dodged the ideology behind the murder of Muslim women, children and elderly. The question is why?
The OIC was overwhelmingly active to get a vote on the so-called "defamation of religion" at the United Nations but ran away from indicting the doctrine that kills people of its own religion. One would at least expect that the OIC would narrow its indictment of Jihadism to focus on what many Arab Muslim governments coin as "Takfirism," that is the so-called hot headed fringe within the Islamist web. But that never happened; why not?
Then Mosques have been attacked by Jihadi terrorists, while shouting "Allahu Akbar," in Gaza, Iraq, Afghanistan and now in Pakistan. Where on earth is the OIC when the very worship places it is supposed to protect are targeted by militants claiming "Jihad." We've seen the OIC bureaucracy thoroughly investigate any possible criticism of the ideology of Jihadism coining it "Islamophobia" while the Jihadists murder Muslims inside their own Mosques. The OIC, whose member states are mostly authoritarians, is busy fighting the Swiss democratic referendum on the shape of the Minarets in the Alps, while Mosques are ravaged in one of the most populated Muslim countries in the world: Pakistan. Something is utterly wrong here.
OIC bureaucrats must first of all rush to the defense of the children and women executed by the Jihadists inside the Masajid, Shia or Sunni, Pakistani or Arab, and openly condemn the savage behavior of those who are claiming themselves as the soldiers of the new Jihad. In refraining from coming to the rescue of their own populations and civil societies -- including their own houses of worship -- these bureaucrats would be sending a message to a billion people that Petrodollars are protecting the murderous ideologies instead of protecting innocent civilians.
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Dr. Phares is the author of The Confrontation: Winning the War against Future Jihad and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. For more, visit www.walidphares.com .

Taliban's Counter Strategy is based on declared US Strategy

By Walid Phares
Taliban waiting for 2012?
Now that we know the administration’s new strategy for Afghanistan, what is the Taliban strategy against the United States?
Such a question is warranted to be able to project the clash between the two strategies and assess the accuracy of present U.S. policies in the confrontation with the forces it is fighting against in that part of the world.
So, how would the Taliban/al-Qaida war room counter NATO and the Afghan Government based on the Obama Administration's battle plan?
Strategic Perceptions
The jihadi war room is now aware that the administration has narrowed its scope to defeat the so-called al-Qaida organization while limiting its goal to depriving the Taliban from achieving full victory, i.e. depriving them "from the momentum." In strategic wording this means that the administration won’t give the time and the means, let alone the necessary long term commitment to fully defeat the Taliban as a militia and militant network.
The jihadist strategists now understand that Washington’s advisers still recommend talking to the Taliban, the entire Taliban, but only after the latter would feel weak and pushed back enough to seek such talks. Underneath this perception, the Salafi Islamists’ analysts realize that present American analysis concludes that al-Qaida and the Taliban are two different things, and that it is possible to defeat the first and eventually engage the second.
Such a jihadist understanding of U.S. defective perceptions will give the Taliban and al-Qaida a first advantage: knowing that your enemy, the United States, isn’t seeing you as you really are.
Strategic Engagement
The US has reconfirmed that the goal of the mission in Afghanistan is to destroy al-Qaida, train the Afghan armed forces but not to engage in nation-building. Unlike previous American commitments, which weren’t very successful anyway, the current strategy officially ignores the ideological battle.
Hence the Taliban understands that their lifeline to further recruitment based on madrassas graduations is wide open. Washington’s efforts and dollars won’t touch the ideological factory of jihadism, which is the strategic depth of the Taliban and al-Qaida.
Hence, the jihadi network in Afghanistan will continue and further develop its indoctrination structures, untouched and un-bothered by American military escalation. The Marines and other NATO allies will be fighting today’s Taliban, while tomorrow’s jihadists will be receiving their instruction in full tranquility.
By the time the US deadline to withdraw would be reached, in 2011, 2012, or even beyond, the future forces of the enemy will be ready to be deployed. One wave of terrorists will be weakened by the action of the U.S. and NATO armed forces, while the next wave will be prepared to take over later.
Deadly Deadline
The administration’s plan included a timeline for withdrawal from the central Asian country (although reinterpreted as beginning of withdrawal). Basing their assessment on the notion of “no open ended engagement,” the shapers of the new Afghanistan strategy have told the enemy’s war room on camera that America’s time in Afghanistan is until 2013 maximum, after which it will be Taliban time again.
As many analysts have concluded, all the jihadists war planners have to do is to wait out the hurricane of escalation. The deadly deadline proposed in the strategy has no precedent in the history of confrontation with totalitarian forces. The Taliban waited out eight years, what are two, three or eight more years, if the U.S.-led coalition's action is not qualitatively (not just quantitatively) different?
A Surge to Exit
As presented to the Afghan people, the administration's new plan for the battlefield is seen as a last surge before the general exit of the country. The Taliban’s war room has understood the equation. Thirty thousand more U.S. troops will deploy with their heavy equipment, backed by another 5,000 to 10,000 allied forces. Offensives will take place in Helmund and other areas. Special forces will move to multiple places and shelling will harass the Islamist militias as long as two years or more.
The Taliban will incur losses and al-Qaida's operatives will be put under heavier pressure: All that is noted in Mullah Umar’s book and saved on Zawahiri’s laptop. Then what?
Then the time for exit is up and U.S and NATO forces begin their withdrawal. When that happens, the surviving Taliban, plus the new wave just graduating from madrassas, or the jihadi volunteers sent from the four corners of the virtual “Caliphate” will have a choice to make: Either they will accept the U.S. negotiators' offer to join the Afghan government or — depending on their assessment then — will reject the offer and shell the "infidel troops" as they pull out.
In a nutshell, the new strategy is convenient to that Taliban war room: They now can figure it all out until the Mayan year of 2012 — and way beyond.
All that it takes for democracies to offer the totalitarians victories is to not understand the latter’s long-term goals. And we’ve just done that, so far.
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Dr. Walid Phares is director of the Future Terrorism Project at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and author of "The Confrontation: Winning the War against Future Jihad."
December 7, 2009

Civil society group asks MPs not to legitimize Hezbollah’s arms

Louisa Ajami and Manal Sarrouf, December 8, 2009
Now Lebanon/
A group of protestors calling themselves al-Multazimoun, or the Committed, gathered in Riad al-Solh Square on Tuesday to express their concerns about “legitimizing weapons outside State control,” saying that Hezbollah’s arsenal “threatens civil peace and national unity.”
The protest comes as Lebanese MPs gathered in Nejmeh Square in downtown Beirut for the first of three days of parliamentary sessions to discuss the recently-drafted Ministerial Statement and eventually give the cabinet a vote of confidence. The most disputed item of the Ministerial Statement is Article 6, which pertains to Hezbollah’s arsenal and the right of the Lebanese Resistance to exist. A group of Christian March 14 ministers already expressed their reservations on the article, but allowed the statement to be drafted nonetheless.
Multazimoun’s manifesto, which members handed out to the press during the protest, described the group, formed in February 2009, as a non-sectarian and politically unaffiliated gathering whose goal is to “defend the Lebanese people’s freedom and dignity” and which is “committed to the principles of the Cedar Revolution, to Lebanon’s sovereignty and independence.”
“We only have one objective,” Multazimoun General Coordinator Najib Salim Zouein told NOW, “supporting the establishment of the State, and we as part of the civil society will take action against anything that obstructs the process.”
“As the civil society we have a voice,” Dina Lteif, a Multazimoun member, told NOW. “We the people are the source of power. We send a message to all MPs, especially the majority deputies, who promised us we would embrace the State, that we are afraid of illegitimate weapons. The [opposition] is trying to legitimize its weapons by using vague language in the Ministerial Statement.”
Kataeb MP Sami Gemayel feels the same. He stopped by the demonstration to greet protestors before heading to the parliament building. “I promise that we will do all that we can to confront the legitimization of Hezbollah’s weapons and to forbid the State from violating the constitution and from not committing to the people’s will,” he told NOW.
When NOW asked Gemayel what his plan was to address the issue of Hezbollah’s arms during the upcoming parliamentary sessions, he said only that he and his fellow Kataeb MPs “will do all that we can.”
“We are happy that someone is taking action and letting the truth be told,” he told the protestors. “It is our duty to support anyone who is telling the truth, especially on such an important issue, which will determine the Lebanese’s future for the coming years.”
“What happened with the Ministerial Statement is abnormal and unacceptable,” Gemayel added.
“On June 7 we voted for a movement that made concessions we do not support,” Zouein said. “The first concession was reelecting Speaker Nabih Berri. The second was forming this cabinet, which does not reflect the election’s results. It was formed under pressure of [the opposition’s] weapons.”
“We accepted the national-unity cabinet, but we cannot accept MPs legitimizing weapons outside State control. We urge MPs not to grant the government the vote of confidence because we did not give them our vote to do so.” But despite the protestors’ cries to block the passage of the Ministerial Statement, only three deputies – National Liberal Party leader MP Dori Chamoun, Zahle MP Nicolas Fattouch and Lebanon First bloc MP Amin Wehbe – have said they will not support it and will not give the cabinet their votes of confidence.
Accordingly, demonstrators were not very optimistic. A March 14 member who attended the protest but preferred not to give his name said that while he thinks that the gathering will not have an impact on the parliament’s decision, the aim was to “keep the issue of Hezbollah’s weapons in the spotlight.”
“The cabinet gave up its right to make war-and-peace decisions” with its passage of the Ministerial Statement “and it legitimized Hezbollah’s weapons, which is not normal [internationally],” he said. Najwa al-Khazen, who was at the demonstration but is not a Multazimoun member, concurred. “We only want the State alone to possess weapons; no other country in the world has illegitimate weapons,” she told NOW.
Multazimoun member Dina Lteif, addressing Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, said, “We want the liberation of occupied land more than you, but by peaceful and civilized means. And we want a stronger state than the one you want, which can only be built through unity and under the national army and State institutions’ authority.”

For Hezbollah, Lebanon is an afterthought

Tony Badran, December 8, 2009
Now Lebanon/Two things were unsurprising about Hezbollah’s political document, unveiled on November 30 by the party’s secretary general, Hassan Nasrallah, namely its content and characterization in the media. The document reaffirmed the party’s determination to defend its parallel state while simultaneously forcing its priorities on Lebanon’s state and society, without abandoning its ideological principles or strategic objectives.
A closer look at the document shows that what has been hailed as a “new” platform is in fact a point-by-point expansion of the principles laid out in Hezbollah’s founding document, the so-called Open Letter, of 1985. And what is not explicitly laid out in the document, Nasrallah clarified in his press conference, as did other Hezbollah officials in media outlets.
First and foremost, the party remains as determined as ever to safeguard its autonomous armed status in an open-ended way, reaffirming the “duality” between itself on the one hand and the rest of Lebanon on the other. In fact, as Nasrallah himself remarked to the assembled journalists, the “Resistance” (by which he meant Hezbollah’s autonomous armed status), “still holds first place.” The document’s section on Lebanon outlines Hezbollah’s conception of the country as being directly intertwined, both thematically and structurally, with the Resistance. In other words, there is no Lebanon without the Resistance. As Nasrallah’s deputy, Naim Qassem, put it in 2007, Hezbollah’s objective is to integrate the rest of society into the Resistance, not vice versa, as some are claiming.
A key statement in that regard was the section on the so-called “defense strategy” for Lebanon. Here Nasrallah reiterated Hezbollah’s long-held position on a “twinning” of a “popular resistance” with a “nationalist army,” in a “complementary” security regime. In that perilous scheme, the Lebanese state and its official decision-making institutions and processes are completely omitted. Nor was it surprising that the document failed to mention United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 as well as the Taif Accord – two key documents today affecting the Lebanese polity.
Nasrallah’s aims more closely resemble what he imposed through the disastrous April Understanding of 1996. In a book he authored in 2002 titled “Hezbollah: The Program, the Experience, the Future”, Naim Qassem described the understanding as having been “tailored to the demands of the Resistance,” especially in how it bestowed “legitimacy on the Resistance.” The April Understanding, in Hezbollah’s eyes, enshrined in writing its operational autonomy vis-à-vis an emasculated Lebanese state, under the direct supervision of Iran and Syria.
Hezbollah and its regional patrons have been consistently striving to empty Resolution 1701 of its substance in order to return to the framework of the April Understanding. It is safe to assume that this is the reading that Nasrallah wants to impose on the new Lebanese government as well. Not only did he time the unveiling of Hezbollah’s document to coincide with the agreement on the ministerial statement, the terminology he used was intended to codify Hezbollah’s interpretation of that statement. Hence Nasrallah’s repetition of the formula mentioning “the Resistance, a loyal people, and the nationalist army” echoing that of the cabinet statement that Hezbollah imposed by force after the 2008 Doha Accord.
Meanwhile, some of those who commented on the party document argued that it somehow represented a departure from the old platform, instead highlighting Hezbollah’s “evolution” toward “Lebanonization.” This interpretation displays a woeful misunderstanding of what Hezbollah is about. One tenet of this approach is that the party, as Augustus Richard Norton once put it, is “preparing for life after the Resistance.”
Norton’s theory is wrong. As the new document shows, Hezbollah’s conceptual universe is tied in with the idea of “resistance,” elevated into a comprehensive worldview, or what Qassem once referred to as “the project of [Jihad in] the Path of God.” Not coincidentally, the two Quranic verses that lead Hezbollah’s document are about Jihad in the Path of God.
Those who underline that Hezbollah is becoming more of a Lebanese party also tend to play down its global reach and organic ties to Iran. Instead, those advocating this view play up the party’s involvement in Lebanon-related issues. However, this has repeatedly been undermined by events, not least the group’s cells in Azerbaijan, Egypt, Iraq and South America; and now by the text of Hezbollah’s latest document.
The document repeats Hezbollah’s intent to eradicate Israel, adding that the liberation of Jerusalem and all of Palestine is a religious duty. Support for the Palestinians, the document adds, is Iranian policy under the leadership of Iran’s supreme guide, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the “Ruling Jurisconsult”. In this way, Nasrallah reaffirmed Hezbollah’s subservience to Khamenei, stressing that this attitude was an “ideological, doctrinal and religious position, and not a political one subject to revision.”
Through this trans-national ideological vision released in sync with the launching of the new cabinet, Hezbollah openly reaffirmed that in its conceptual universe, Lebanon was but an operational base in a broader war that it will force on the Lebanese whether they liked it or not. The party official and parliamentarian Nawwaf Moussawi expressed this plainly in an interview with Al-Jazeera, noting that Hezbollah was not bound by Lebanon’s geographic boundaries: “[W]e crossed the border [in 2006] … out of our belief that the battle is one and the same.”
So much for Hezbollah’s “Lebanonization.”
**Tony Badran is a research fellow with the Center for Terrorism Research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

Iran…and political hallucination!

Tariq Alhomayed
ASHARQ ALAWSAT on Dec. 6, 2009.
In one of his speeches in Isfahan, the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says that the attacks launched by America and it’s military allies over the past few years on some countries in the [Middle East] region are based on religious grounds and that “their motive for carrying out these attacks that they did not make public is that they know that there will come a day when a man descended from Prophet Mohammed, may peace be upon him, will appear in this region and he will eliminate all the wrong-doers in the world. The Iranian nation will be among the supporters of this divine man.” Ahmadinejad continued and confirmed that “Iran has the documents to prove this.” And of course that’s not all; Ahmadinejad added, “The first task for Iranian officials is to build [up] Iran and their second task is represented in preparing to enter the administration of world affairs.”
Is there a better example of political hallucination? The question here is that if talk such as this works on the supporters of the Iranian regime and its president, how can Tehran’s ideas and political projects be marketed in the Arab world? [How was it sold to] some of the cultural and political elites, especially those that engage in politics and particularly Arab nationalists who used to describe some Arab regimes as backward? How have they i.e. some nationalists today become theorists of the Iranian hallucinations?
This is not the first time that Iranian politicians have used such political hallucinations. Ahmadinejad claimed that a halo was shining on him when he was in New York around two years ago. Also, it was not long ago that we heard that the authority of the Iranian [Supreme] Guide is derived from the authority of God. Therefore, it is clear that Tehran uses this method to play on emotions and of course, what’s hidden is even worse.
All of those hallucinations are coming out and almost half of the Iranian nation was, and still is, divided over its regime, and the proof of this is the magnitude of threats issued by the regime as a continuous warning to the Iranian opposition, not to mention cutting off internet access in Iran and [other] methods of communication with the outside world.
When we say political hallucination, then what Ahmadinejad is doing and saying might please some of his supporters; however he will lead Iran to an inevitable and upcoming disaster if the chain of escalation with the international community that we are seeing from Iran continues, especially with regards to the nuclear file. The nuclear file is an issue for which Iran uses all our regional issues and fronts such as Gaza and Lebanon. There is information that there is a state of panic within Hezbollah and many people in Lebanon are very concerned that the Lebanese front might open suddenly in a new war with Israel.
What we want to say is that as long as this is the logic in Iran and this is the way Tehran deals with political issues then this makes us pessimistic about solving the Iranian nuclear file or pending regional issues with Tehran – whether in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen or with regards to interference in the Palestinian cause – in a rational and peaceful manner, as long as Iranian policy is based on hallucination. How can it not [be based on hallucination] when Ahmadinejad is saying that he has documents proving that America targeted regional states because it knows that a man will be sent down [by God] to save the region from oppression.
*Published in the London-based ASHARQ ALAWSAT on Dec. 6, 2009.